There are 52 Races Today across 7 meetings. There is 7 races at Curragh, 7 races at Newbury, 8 races at Ayr, 7 races at Bangor, 8 races at Brighton, 8 races at Thirsk, 7 races at Nottingham, use Tomform to help you find a winner.
Races & Results Today
The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.
(1) Grand Albert 2/1, Winning Irish pointer who got off the mark over hurdles in likeable fashion in 5-runner novice at this course (19.6f, heavy) 4 weeks ago. Should go on improving now that his stamina is drawn out and looks up to defying a penalty. Easy winner from the front over 2m3f here; has plenty of stamina in his pedigree.
(2) (9/4 +10%) Haiti Couleurs
9/4(+10%)
(2) Haiti Couleurs 9/4, Capitalised on the drop in grade in bloodless fashion in 6-runner maiden hurdle at Chepstow (23.6f, heavy, 11/8) 34 days ago, going clear. Much respected under a penalty. Beat a solid yardstock with loads to spare in a 2m7f maiden at Chepstow.
(3) (9/2 -13%) Heros De Romay
9/2(-13%)
(3) Heros De Romay 9/2, Well-bred bumper winner who showed a good attitude to make a successful hurdling debut in a Chepstow maiden in November. Hasn't quite matched that form both outings since but he'd be a threat if bouncing back. Progressive prior to handicap debut latest; bred to appreciate this longer distance.
(4) (5/1 +17%) Illico De Cotte
5/1(+17%)
(4) Illico De Cotte 5/1, Irish point winner who came good at the fourth time of asking for new connections when game winner of a 25.5f Hereford maiden hurdle in February. However, proved somewhat disappointing when only third of 5 in first-time cheekpieces on handicap debut at Huntingdon subsequently. Not at his best on handicap debut last time but previous efforts bring him right into it.
(5) (12/1 -50%) Galassian
12/1(-50%)
(5) Galassian 12/1, Successful only completed start in points and ran to a fair level when second of 8 in a 23f Worcester maiden hurdle in October 2022, pulling clear with a promising sort. Off since but yard going well and should make an impact. Off since Oct 2022 but that was a good run behind a now 141-rated horse.
(7) (40/1 -21%) Record High
40/1(-21%)
(7) Record High 40/1, Fontwell bumper winner in February 2022. However, very lightly raced since and only modest form in 2 novice hurdles. Lengthy breaks already in his career and has yet to offer much over hurdles.
(8) (50/1 -150%) Top Kap
50/1(-150%)
(8) Top Kap 50/1, Modest form only start in bumpers and in need of the experience sent hurdling on first run since leaving Tom Lacey when sixth of 8 in a Lingfield maiden (19.5f, good to soft) in November. Probably one for handicaps later on. Only sixth in his two runs under rules, beaten 22l and 30l; reservations for now.
(6) (50/1 -100%) Industrialist
50/1(-100%)
(6) Industrialist 50/1, Has shown some promise in a trio of bumpers but has been pulled up both starts over hurdles. Ran well in his third bumper but has since twice pulled up over hurdles.
LTO Selection:
13:05 Bangor-on-dee Maiden Hurdle
(Class 3) 23f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
HAITI COULEURS benefited from a drop in class when gaining a first career success at Chepstow last month. The seven-year-old was a cut above the opposition and while this appears to be a tougher assignment on paper, he has plenty in his favour to make it back-to-back victories. Grand Albert won here on his latest start and is respected going up in distance, while the likes of Galassian, Illico De Cotte and Heros De Romay add further spice to the contest.
GRAND ALBERT should go on improving now that his stamina is drawn out, so there's every reason to believe he can defy a penalty. Fellow last-time-out scorer Haiti Couleurs is much respected with some of his earlier form reading well in the context of this race. Galassian hasn't been seen for 18 months but reappears with his yard in good form and also needs considering.
This will probably concern the four penalised horses. HAITI COULEURS edges preference after his dominant display last time.
(4) Sans Bruit 3/1, Ex-French gelding jumped his rivals into submission from the front when the 15-runner Red Rum Handicap Chase (15.8f, soft, 5/1) 9 days ago. Very much the type to go on improving and makes plenty of appeal bidding to follow up. Dominant in the Red Rum at Aintree nine days ago and a 10lb rise may not stop him.
(2) (4/1 +11%) Uncle Phil
4/1(+11%)
(2) Uncle Phil 4/1, Won novice events at Kilbeggan and Listowel in the summer before notching his third win over fences in an 11-runner handicap chase at Fairyhouse (17.3f, soft) in January, jumping well and travelling enthusiastically. 11 lb higher now but has to be respected. Made all at Fairyhouse latest; progressive for top Irish yard and has to be respected.
(5) (5/1 -25%) Traprain Law
5/1(-25%)
(5) Traprain Law 5/1, Steadily progressive over hurdles and got off the mark at the second attempt in this sphere when scoring at Kelso (17f, heavy) just after Christmas. Even better form when jumping/travelling fluently to make all over C&D (heavy) 54 days ago and he should have more to offer. 2-4 over fences having easily made all over C&D last time; could make another bold bid.
(3) (11/2 -22%) Pembroke
11/2(-22%)
(3) Pembroke 11/2, Sole finisher under gruelling conditions in 4-runner Aintree novice chase prior to Christmas. Seemingly better form when third in a Lingfield Grade 2 the following but ended race in rather tame fashion at Kempton last time. Others preferred overall. Below par latest but wind op since; in calculations judged on January's Grade 2 third.
(6) (6/1 +8%) Persian Time
6/1(+8%)
(6) Persian Time 6/1, Slightly fortunate to land a 4-runner novice handicap at Ascot in December and after a lesser effort at Cheltenham, got back on the up when landing a 5-runner handicap at Kempton (18f, good to soft) 35 days ago. Hard to discount having been nudged up only 3 lb. 2-4 over fences and top trainer has won three of the last six runnings; could have big say.
(1) (6/1 +14%) Tommy's Oscar
6/1(+14%)
(1) Tommy's Oscar 6/1, Very smart chaser proved better than ever when making a winning return at Kelso. Not beaten too far when fourth of 5 at Doncaster (16.4f, soft) last time, albeit comprimising his chance by jumping right-handed late on. Respected. Won off this mark in October and fair run at Doncaster last time; not ruled out.
LTO Selection:
13:15 Ayr Handicap Chase (Class 1) 16f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.
Sans Bruit sauntered home in the Red Rum Handicap Chase at Aintree nine days ago and, despite a 10lb hike in the ratings, he must be respected turned out quickly. The prize might be going back to Ireland, though, courtesy of UNCLE PHIL. The Walk In The Park gelding recorded a cosy success in a Grade 3 handicap at Fairyhouse in January and a subsequent 11lb rise might not be enough to stop the unexposed chaser from going in again. Traprain Law can chase the pair home.
SANS BRUIT was most impressive when routing a bigger field at Aintree last week and Paul Nicholls' unexposed six-year-old should be able to take a 10 lb rise in his stride. Uncle Phil has already developed into a smart chaser and rates as a major threat as part of the raiding Mullins battalion, with Traprain Law also capable of adding to his positive C&D record.
Nicky Henderson has won three of the last six runnings and his progressive 6yo PERSIAN TIME earns the vote following his Kempton win.
(4) Arrest 15/8, Looked a very good prospect when winning the Chester Vase on last season's return. Also landed the Geoffrey Freer Stakes here (13.3f) later in the summer prior to a find second in the St Leger at Doncaster (14.5f, good to soft). Should have even more to offer this season and he's highly respected. Two Group 3 wins (one here) as 3yo and 2nd in the St Leger; goes well on softer than good.
(2) (10/3 +17%) Hamish
10/3(+17%)
(2) Hamish 10/3, Won 4 all starts at this level last season, latterly when getting the better of Al Qareem in the St Simon Stakes (5/4) at Newmarket (12f, soft). Conditions here well suit and he sets the standard on seasonal comeback. 1st or 2nd on all starts in 2022 and 2023, last year winning all four; seven Group 3 wins.
(1) (6/1 -9%) Al Qareem
6/1(-9%)
(1) Al Qareem 6/1, Smart performer made a winning return to British shores in a Chester listed event last season before following up in the Cumberland Lodge Stakes at Ascot. Another game effort in defeat when runner-up to Hamish in the St Simon Stakes at Newmarket (12f, soft, 9/4) and he's a player on return. Career-best form on last three starts last term; second to Hamish in Group 3 at Newmarket.
(6) (9/1 +18%) Chesspiece
9/1(+18%)
(6) Chesspiece 9/1, Looked a smart young staying prospect when scoring in a Hamilton listed event in July before meeting a narrow defeat in the Gordon Stakes at Goodwood. Only mid-field in the St Leger but soon back on track when runner-up in an Ascot listed event and he should do better this season. Gelded since final start; looks the type to raise his game this term but that is needed.
(8) (12/1 +33%) Mujtaba
12/1(+33%)
(8) Mujtaba 12/1, Smart form when winning a pair of handicaps late in 2022 and ran well when runner-up in the Huxley Stakes at Chester on his sole outing last season. Presumably had issues to miss rest of campaign, though, and his comeback in France last time was a muted effort. Pipped in Group 2 at Chester last May; tailed off recent in French Group 3 when next seen.
(3) (14/1 +0%) Alsakib
14/1(+0%)
(3) Alsakib 14/1, Developed into a smart performer last season, bagging pair of valuable handicaps at Ascot and Newmarket late in the season. Bit disappointing when last seen in Qatar but no shock if he made an impact at this level this season. Ended successful 2023 British season winning two big 1m4f handicaps; may still progress.
(7) (20/1 +20%) Max Vega
20/1(+20%)
(7) Max Vega 20/1, Won this race in 2022 before also landing St Simon Stakes here later in season. Winless in 2023 but back on the scoresheet in a Wolverhampton handicap in February. Had little go his way at Newcastle last time and he's not completely ruled out of making the frame here. Won this in 2022 and third last year; AW handicap win in February was close to best form.
(5) (33/1 +0%) Certain Lad
33/1(+0%)
(5) Certain Lad 33/1, Proved he's still a smart performer when ending a near 3-year losing streak in a York handicap in October before following up at Doncaster a fortnight later. This is tougher, though, and others are preferred on balance. A bit more is needed at this level and he's unraced beyond an extended 1m2f.
(10) (66/1 -164%) Salt Bay
66/1(-164%)
(10) Salt Bay 66/1, Relatively lightly raced since making a winning debut at 2 yrs, producing his best effort when runner-up in a Doncaster handicap in September, Not ideally placed at Kempton next time but probably needs to step forward again to make serious impact here having been gelded over the winter. Gelded since latest start but needs overall improvement and others are more solid.
(9) (66/1 -32%) Peking Opera
66/1(-32%)
(9) Peking Opera 66/1, Listed winner for Aidan O'Brien last season, when also fourth in the Irish Derby. Made a successful debut hurdling for this yard at Sandown in February but held when taking a late fall in the Adonis Juvenile Hurdle (9/1) at Kempton (16f, soft) last time. More needed back on the Flat. Very useful last year for Aidan O'Brien but needs much better form to win in this.
LTO Selection:
13:30 Newbury Group 3 (Class 1) 12f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.
ARREST finished last season in fine form, with a victory here in the Geoffrey Freer and a highly-creditable second in the St Leger behind subsequent Arc de Triomphe fifth Continuous. With an entry for the Yorkshire Cup next month, the strapping son of Frankel can take this en route to York, with the top-rated Hamish looking best placed to chase him home, despite a 3lb penalty. William Haggas' veteran is unbeaten in his last four starts and ground conditions should be in his favour as he looks to uphold form with Al Qareem (second) from a Group 3 at Newmarket in November.
The first double-figure field since 2010 in this Group 3, with the eight-year-old HAMISH fancied to make it 5 wins in a row. William Haggas' gelding has conditions to suit and is a particularly reliable type, so sets a good benchmark for last season's St Leger second Arrest to aim at. Al Qareem was just behind the selection in the St Simon Stakes when last seen and is another leading player.
The high-profile candidate is ARREST (nap), the St Leger runner-up, and he looks the type to carry on his good work.
(4) No Knee Never 7/4, €260,000 yearling, €170,000 2-y-o, No Nay Never colt. Half-brother to several winners, including 1½m winner Latrobe and winner up to 1¼m Pink Dogwood. Dam 6f winner. Promising third of 10 in maiden (10/1) at this C&D (heavy) on debut, not knocked about. Off 6 months. May well do better. Staying-on C&D third on debut and no surprise if he featured in a major way here.
(1) (9/4 -13%) Igor Stravinsky
9/4(-13%)
(1) Igor Stravinsky 9/4, No Nay Never colt. Dam, winner up to 1m (British/Irish 1000 Guineas, and 2-y-o 7f winner), sister to very smart winner up to 1½m The United States. Wears blinkers. Entered for Irish 2000 Guineas. Likely type. Out of dual Guineas winner Hermosa; blinkered newcomer with major claims on breeding.
(20) (6/1 -20%) Zaynab
6/1(-20%)
(20) Zaynab 6/1, Promising type. Fifth of 18 in maiden at this C&D (heavy, 14/1) on debut 33 days ago. Should improve. Definite C&D debut promise last month but likely needs further.
(3) (10/1 -82%) Monasterboice
10/1(-82%)
(3) Monasterboice 10/1, Thrice-raced gelding. Ninth of 13 in maiden (12/1) at Dundalk (7f). Off 171 days. Blinkers on 1st time. Claims on C&D run in October; blinkered for seasonal return.
(11) (11/1 +21%) Bleak Midwinter
11/1(+21%)
(11) Bleak Midwinter 11/1, €40,000 yearling, Wootton Bassett filly. Dam, 1½m winner, half-sister to smart 11.6f/1½m winner Brimham Rocks out of useful 2-y-o 8.3f winner (stayed 1½m) Colima. Yard had a maiden go close at Dundalk recently so not one to ignore on debut.
(15) (16/1 -33%) Kailasa
16/1(-33%)
(15) Kailasa 16/1, Starspangledbanner filly. Half-sister to 1¼m winner Kailash and 7f winner Kaliysta. Dam 2-y-o 7f winner. Nicely-bred debutante has to be worth a market check.
(7) (22/1 -10%) Solar Saving
22/1(-10%)
(7) Solar Saving 22/1, Twice-raced gelding. Ninth of 16 in maiden (9/2) at this course (9f, soft). Off 6 months. Down in trip. Initial 2yo promise but ground concerns here on seasonal return.
(18) (22/1 -10%) White Clover
22/1(-10%)
(18) White Clover 22/1, €30,000 yearling, Starspangledbanner filly. Half-sister to 5f winner Coley's Koko and 2-y-o 5f winner Sunmoonstar. Dam twice-raced half-sister to very smart 5f (Prix de l'Abbaye de Longchamp)/6f winner Gilt Edge Girl. Starspangledbanner filly worth a market check on debut.
(2) (33/1 -65%) Mark's One
33/1(-65%)
(2) Mark's One 33/1, Once-raced gelding. 50/1, ninth of 13 in maiden at Dundalk (8f) on debut 8 days ago. Tongue strap on for 1st time. Never featured on last week's Dundalk debut; tongue tie fitted and best watched for now.
(10) (80/1 +0%) Auburn Avenue
80/1(+0%)
(10) Auburn Avenue 80/1, Twice-raced filly. Sixth of 8 in maiden at Navan (5.8f, good to soft, 8/1). Off 7 months. Up in trip. Tongue strap on 1st time. Just okay form in sprint maidens at two; much more likely needed here.
(5) (100/1 +0%) Positive Energy
100/1(+0%)
(5) Positive Energy 100/1, Twice-raced gelding. 14/1, thirteenth of 15 in maiden at Leopardstown (8f, heavy). Off 6 months. Two late-season 2yo maiden runs suggest he'll be of more interest when tackling handicaps.
(13) (100/1 +0%) Clouds Collide
100/1(+0%)
(13) Clouds Collide 100/1, Once-raced filly. Last of 10 in maiden at Dundalk (6f, 28/1) on debut. Off 171 days. Plenty green when last of ten on Dundalk debut in November; can only be watched on return.
(14) (100/1 +0%) Empress Alma
100/1(+0%)
(14) Empress Alma 100/1, Once-raced filly. Sixth of 13 in maiden (80/1) at Dundalk (6f) on debut 8 days ago, not knocked about. Open to improvement. Better for last week's debut Dundalk run but may still need more time.
(17) (100/1 -100%) Nans View
100/1(-100%)
(17) Nans View 100/1, Once-raced filly. 33/1, ninth of 11 in maiden at Gowran (8.3f, heavy) on debut, missing break. Off 6 months. Never recovered from slow start on sole 2yo outing at Gowran; best watched for now.
(8) (125/1 -25%) Your Out Of Line
125/1(-25%)
(8) Your Out Of Line 125/1, Once-raced gelding. 50/1, fifth of 6 in maiden at Leopardstown (8f, heavy) on debut 10 days ago. Didn't get home over 1m on recent debut so drop in trip should suit.
(6) (150/1 -50%) Rappell
150/1(-50%)
(6) Rappell 150/1, Twice-raced gelding. 125/1, seventh of 10 in maiden at Naas (5.9f, heavy). Off 6 months. Well held both 2yo runs in October; likely to need more time.
(9) (150/1 -50%) Abbey Actress
150/1(-50%)
(9) Abbey Actress 150/1, Once-raced filly. 50/1 and hooded, last of 14 in maiden at Dundalk (7f) on debut. Off 127 days. Dropped out quickly as if something amiss on Dundalk debut, probably best watched for now.
(19) (200/1 +0%) Wing Glider
200/1(+0%)
(19) Wing Glider 200/1, Once-raced filly. 200/1, tenth of 16 in maiden at this C&D (soft) on debut, not knocked about. Off 6 months. Not disgraced on C&D debut in October; hard to see her making the required improvement.
LTO Selection:
13:35 Curragh Maiden 7f Race Speed Rating Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
Debutant Igor Stravinsky would likely need to land the spoils here if he were to take up his Irish Guineas entry at the end of next month. As is par for the course, the Aidan O'Brien/Ryan Moore representative must be given the utmost respect, but it is KAILASA who gets the vote. The daughter of Starspangledbanner makes plenty of appeal on paper, being a half-sister to two winners and a distant relative of Champion Stakes winner Kalanisi, so it would come as no surprise were she to make an immediate impact. Others to note include Zaynab, No Knee Never and Monasterboice.
IGOR STRAVINSKY makes plenty of appeal on paper being out of a 1000 Guineas winner so is taken to make a winning start. No Knee Never and Zaynab both shaped well in heavy-ground maidens at the Curragh so are feared most.
Given his C&D promise last year, NO KNEE NEVER is preferred to the superbly-bred debutant Igor Stravinsky
(1) Bampton Star 6/4, Stepped up on last season's maiden/novice hurdle exploits when runner-up on return/handicap debut in that sphere at Lingfield in February. Further progress equipped with cheekpieces/switched to fences the last twice, bagging back-to-back heavy-ground 3m handicap chases at Exeter. The one to beat. 2-2 over fences and this 7yo would appear to be going places at this sort of level.
(3) (10/3 -48%) Dusautior
10/3(-48%)
(3) Dusautior 10/3, No show in 3 starts over hurdles (all at 2m) but this former winning pointer predictably took a step forward when third upped to 23.6f for his chase/handicap debut at Huntingdon. The first-time cheekpieces he sported that day remain in place and he's a player off the same mark. Third on chase/handicap debut despite some untidy jumping; needs considering.
(5) (11/2 +0%) Le Grand Vert
11/2(+0%)
(5) Le Grand Vert 11/2, Successful over hurdles in France for Francois Nicolle back in 2021, which is his sole success form 25 starts overall. Record in this sphere stands at 0-14 but arrives here on the back of solid efforts in defeat at Wetherby and Newcastle (both at around 3m on testing ground). Major each-way chance. 0-14 over fences but good to see him post solid back-to-back efforts in defeat last twice.
(6) (7/1 -17%) Caeruleum
7/1(-17%)
(6) Caeruleum 7/1, Upped his game switched to fences for the first time when finding just one too good at Exeter (3m, heavy) in December. However, he has proved largely disappointing since and others bring more compelling claims to the table. Lightly raced and has a couple of seconds to his name over fences; possible..
(7) (10/1 +17%) On The Platform
10/1(+17%)
(7) On The Platform 10/1, Largely consistent in defeat for John Groucott last term, a campaign he signed off by finishing second in this race 12 months ago. On the same mark this time but has failed to fire since on each of his last 3 starts and needs to bounce back. Placed form over fences and drying conditions would bring him into the equation.
(2) (10/1 -25%) Nine Nine Nine
10/1(-25%)
(2) Nine Nine Nine 10/1, Off the mark at Leicester in January and doubled tally over 2½m back at that venue last month. Has remained in decent form since. albeit without leaving the impression that he has anything at all in hand of his current mark. Looks vulnerable back up in trip. Had a good season but might be high in the weights now and best form has been shy of 3m.
(4) (20/1 +0%) Tara Cove
20/1(+0%)
(4) Tara Cove 20/1, Multiple winning pointer who has yet to trouble the judge under Rules, including on chase debut at Leicester in January when pulled up in the handicap won by Nine Nine Nine. Three point wins but a maiden under rules, including a no-show on his chase debut.
(8) (50/1 -52%) Leading The Way
50/1(-52%)
(8) Leading The Way 50/1, Modest maiden hurdler who offered little in pair of chase starts, latterly when well held last of 4 at Southwell (20.4f, heavy) in February. Mark has eased further but he can only be watched. Tailed off in four runs for this yard, divided between hurdles and fences.
(9) (80/1 -21%) Black Market
80/1(-21%)
(9) Black Market 80/1, Fair ex-Irish hurdler but has shown little for current yard, pulled up again over hurdles at Stratford last time. Others make more appeal. Maiden pulled up over fences and hurdles on his last two starts some 514 days apart.
(10) (100/1 +0%) Glenavaddra
100/1(+0%)
(10) Glenavaddra 100/1, Point winner but has shown nothing so far under Rules and is impossible to fancy from a long way out of the weights. Pulled up in both his chases and he's 29lb out of the handicap here; had wind surgery.
LTO Selection:
13:40 Bangor-on-dee Handicap Chase (Class
5) 24f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
BAMPTON STAR has progressed well for the switch to fences, with victories on both starts at Exeter. The handicapper has raised him 8lb for the latest of those but he appears capable of further improvement. Le Grand Vert has been running with credit of late and is a key player, with Brian Hughes a notable jockey booking. Dusautior is entitled to step forward from his third at Huntingdon and is capable of a decent showing, as is Nine Nine Nine.
There could be more to come from BAMPTON STAR, who is unbeaten in two starts over fences and an 8 lb rise for his latest success at Exeter looks manageable given the way he went about his business that day. There were a number of factors which seemingly contributed to an improved display from Dusautior at Huntingdon and, if able to build on that, he may well emerge as the main danger ahead of Le Grand Vert.
Jeremy Scott's BAMPTON STAR ran well behind a major improver on his final run over hurdles and has since impressed in both his chases.
(7) Deeper Blue 6/1, Runner-up on 3 of his 4 starts in handicap chases since returning from a 12-month absence in October, including when proving his stamina at Newbury (23.4f) last time. First-time headgear could help and should be on the premises again. Looks strong form for the grade when second at Newbury; up 3lb and now in cheekpieces.
(10) (7/1 +30%) Hitching Jacking
7/1(+30%)
(10) Hitching Jacking 7/1, Back-to-back winner of novice hurdles last season and stepped up on his low-key chase debut when third at Doncaster (20.5f, soft). Similar form when filling same position at Kempton (24f, good to soft) since but more needed in this deeper race. Stamina to prove but trainer is persevering over this far and he's well handicapped.
(1) (7/1 +42%) Sharjah
7/1(+42%)
(1) Sharjah 7/1, Has come to chasing quite late but this dual Champion Hurdle second has taken well to it, winning a Grade 3 at Tipperary in October. Ran no sort of race in Golden Miller at the Cheltenham Festival last time but back down in class and opening mark in this sphere is a fair one. Trip could be an issue. Downgraded from Grade 1s but stamina an issue on this belated first run beyond 2m4f.
(9) (8/1 -45%) Montgomery
8/1(-45%)
(9) Montgomery 8/1, Lightly-raced winning hurdler for Christian Williams. Progressive sent chasing for his new yard, making it 3 from 3 in 5-runner handicap chase at Bangor (24.1f, heavy, 8/11) 28 days ago, well on top finish. This much more competitive but could well have more to give. Got there in the end at Bangor to bring up the hat-trick but it wasn't impressive.
(12) (9/1 +18%) Maclaine
9/1(+18%)
(12) Maclaine 9/1, Seemed suited by the step up in trip when off the mark over fences in impressive fashion at Newbury (22.4f, good to soft, 3/1) 29 days ago, travelling strongly. This much more competitive but he's still lightly raced so may progress further. First run beyond 2m4f when impressing over 2m6f at Newbury; 8lb higher but respected.
(2) (9/1 -6%) Marble Sands
9/1(-6%)
(2) Marble Sands 9/1, Developed into a useful hurdler last term and has won 2 of 5 starts switched to fences this season (both under this rider), including a Musselburgh novices handicap (20.3f, good to soft). Ran to a fair level on Flat debut since and remains of interest back in this sphere. Excuses both starts at 3m. Often highly tried hurdling and chasing; impressed in a Musselburgh handicap.
(3) (9/1 -29%) Inch House
9/1(-29%)
(3) Inch House 9/1, Lightly-raced winner over hurdles who has progressed well for switch to chasing, landing back-to-back handicaps at Newbury prior to a solid second at Cheltenham (25.2f). However, looked ungainly when disappointed at Newbury since so needs to bounce back. Tongue strap on 1st time. Sharp improver this season over fences before running no race last time; capable.
(8) (12/1 -9%) Abuffalosoldier
12/1(-9%)
(8) Abuffalosoldier 12/1, Had a host of new variables (breathing operation and more positive ride in first-time cheekpieces) when opening chase account in fine style at Newbury (22.4f, soft) in January. However, never looked like getting away from his rivals off revised mark there next time and this even tougher. Again ran well last time but was behind Deeper Blue and he looks high in the weights.
(4) (12/1 -41%) Young Buster
12/1(-41%)
(4) Young Buster 12/1, Won one of 4 starts over hurdles and has taken very well to chasing, completing hat-trick in a 5-runner handicap at Kelso (22.3f, heavy) over Christmas. Had winning run ended from a mark 21 lb higher than when it started when third a Doncaster yet still emerged with plenty of credit. This tougher. Won his first three over fences and a late mistake scuppered him last time at Doncaster.
(13) (14/1 +22%) Donny Boy
14/1(+22%)
(13) Donny Boy 14/1, Improved from a tentative performance on chase debut when only just failing in a 7-runner handicap at Newcastle (23.4f, good to soft) in December. However, failed to build on that in 2 subsequent starts and steps up in class now. Headgear applied. Probably no more than place claims even if the cheekpieces trigger something.
(5) (16/1 -33%) Mofasa
16/1(-33%)
(5) Mofasa 16/1, Dual hurdles winner for Michael Scudamore last term and positive start over fences for this yard, building on debut promise in this sphere when landing a 3m Huntingdon handicap in November. Disappointed both starts since, however, and this a tough race to bounce back in. Behind Deeper Blue and Abuffalosoldier last time at Newbury; has to get back on track.
(11) (20/1 -43%) Ballycoose
20/1(-43%)
(11) Ballycoose 20/1, Made a successful chase debut here (20.5f) in January and backed it up with a solid second of 5 in handicap chase over 2m here. Shaped as if still in good form here since (joined when bad mistake 3 out). Back up in trip. Tongue strap on 1st time. Has a good record here but today's race demands his best form yet; new tongue-tie.
(6) (22/1 -22%) Special Rate
22/1(-22%)
(6) Special Rate 22/1, Has enjoyed a most productive campaign over hurdles/fences, making it 7 wins from 8 starts this season in match at Kelso (23.4f, soft) 2 months ago, already in command when sole rival fell 2 out. Just respectable third there since but short break may have done him some good. Can make mistakes (as was the case last time) but there's no knocking his strike-rate.
LTO Selection:
13:50 Ayr Handicap Chase (Class 2) 24f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
Dan Skelton landed the corresponding event 12 months ago and he looks have another solid contender in the form of HITCHING JACKING. The seven-year-old has shown moderate form across his three fencing starts to date, but the handicapper has somewhat relented and it could be that forecast soft ground holds the key. Montgomery continued his upward trajectory when completing a hat-trick at Bangor last month and is respected, while Marble Sands should not be underestimated either.
An open affair with the vote going to MARBLE SANDS, who made it 2 from 2 for this rider at Musselburgh and still looks to be on a fair mark. Maclaine makes the shortlist given the manner of his stylish win at Newbury, while the classy Sharjah can make his presence felt down in class if his stamina holds up.
Jonjo O'Neill's INCH HOUSE was below par last time but is taken to prove himself well handicapped in the first-time tongue-tie.
(4) Relief Rally 3/1, Her only defeat in 5 starts has come when edged out in the Queen Mary at Royal Ascot and she has since bagged the Newbury Super Sprint and York's Lowther Stakes on her first go over 6f. Strong claims on return. Winner of the Super Sprint and Lowther over 5f/6f; leading contender provided she stays 7f.
(3) (10/3 -33%) Regal Jubilee
10/3(-33%)
(3) Regal Jubilee 10/3, Left debut form well behind when running out an impressive winner of a Windsor and took another marked step forward to land a listed event at Newmarket with something to spare. Can continue her progress after five months off and looks the one to beat. Showed rapid progress over 1m last autumn; bred to be as effective at 7f; big player.
(5) (7/2 +53%) Star Music
7/2(+53%)
(5) Star Music 7/2, Promising sort who improved again upped in trip/under more positive ride when running out a 7.5 length winner of a Kempton maiden in September and backed it up with a good third in the Oh So Sharp Stakes at Newmarket 6 months ago. May make a better 3yo. Ran well in Newmarket Group 3 last time out; stable in great form; enters calculations.
(1) (11/2 -10%) Elmalka
11/2(-10%)
(1) Elmalka 11/2, Well related (half-sister to Benbatl) and overcame a pace bias to make an impressive winning start at Southwell 148 days ago. Inexperience is an issue but well worth an early go in this company. Well-bred filly who came with a strong late run to win at Southwell; useful prospect.
(6) (20/1 -43%) Topanga
20/1(-43%)
(6) Topanga 20/1, Didn't need to improve from her promising debut when landing 10-runner novice at Kempton 171 days ago. Has plenty of potential but this is an entirely different proposition. Promise in 7f AW races at Kempton; open to improvement but has a lot to find on form.
LTO Selection:
14:05 Newbury Group 3 (Class 1) 7f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.
A confident vote goes to RELIEF RALLY, who can get off to the perfect start for her new owners following a highly profitable two-year-old campaign. A comfortable winner of the Super Sprint here over 5f before stepping back up in grade to land the Group 2 Lowther in decisive fashion over 6f, the daughter of Kodiak looks just the type to improve for going up in trip here. Regal Jubilee impressed when scoring in Listed company at Newmarket in November and she must enter calculations, along with Folgaria, whose Group-winning form in Italy is hard to judge. A half-sister to the mighty Benbatl, Southwell debut winner Elmalka has a pedigree fitting of this level.
REGAL JUBILEE improved in big chunks on both outings since her debut last season and she's very much the sort to go on improving this term, so she takes marginal preference over the likeable Relief Rally, who sets the standard on what's been achieved to this point. Impressive debut winner Elmalka is another one to consider in what looks a potentially good renewal.
The only runners who hold entries in the 1,000 Guineas are ELMALKA, Star Music and Regal Jubilee, preferred in that order.
(5) Sweetest 7/2, Fair filly. Winner at Dundalk in November. 18½ lengths last of 11 to A Lilac Rolla in 1000 Guineas Trial at Leopardstown (7.1f, heavy, 66/1) 13 days ago. Back down in trip. Trainer going well so can bounce back. Out of depth latest but definite player here off a workable mark.
(1) (7/2 -56%) Bonbon
7/2(-56%)
(1) Bonbon 7/2, Fairly useful filly. One win from 3 runs last year. 57/10, 3¼ lengths eighth of 11 to Zorken in listed race at Deauville (5.5f, good to soft). Off 6 months. Yard having good spell but this is no easy 1ask. Beat Sweetest in Cork maiden; still scope for improvement, especially on this ground.
(2) (5/1 -25%) Bid For Chester
5/1(-25%)
(2) Bid For Chester 5/1, Fairly useful gelding. 10/1, creditable second of 12 in handicap at Naas (7f, heavy) 27 days ago, no match for winner. Down in trip and not ruled out. Strong recent 7f form on heavy; not sure if drop in trip will suit.
(4) (6/1 -9%) Perfect Judgement
6/1(-9%)
(4) Perfect Judgement 6/1, Fairly useful gelding. Winner at Dundalk in January. Very good third of 5 in minor event there (6f, 10/3) 36 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Expected to be bang there. Improvement on AW recently; should go well if handling the conditions.
(7) (10/1 +0%) Heavenly Being
10/1(+0%)
(7) Heavenly Being 10/1, Lightly-raced winner. Winner at Navan in October. 9/1, eighth of 12 in handicap at Naas (7f, heavy) 27 days ago. Back down in trip with more needed. Too keen in Madrid Handicap; drop back in trip should suit but needs to settle better.
(9) (10/1 +0%) Jalaybee
10/1(+0%)
(9) Jalaybee 10/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Cheekpieces on for 1st time, respectable fifth of 18 in maiden at Cork (5f, heavy, 20/1) 21 days ago. Not taken lightly. Maiden with form on heavy; place claims.
(6) (12/1 -9%) Pansy Poe
12/1(-9%)
(6) Pansy Poe 12/1, Twice-raced maiden. 2¾ lengths third of 13 to Bonbon in maiden at Cork (5f, soft, 12/1), nearest finish. Off 6 months. Easy to look elsewhere. Closely matched with Sweetest on Cork run but may have more scope for improvement.
(3) (12/1 +0%) Lia Fail
12/1(+0%)
(3) Lia Fail 12/1, Fairly useful filly. Three wins from 9 runs last year. 28/1, ninth of 13 in minor event at Naas (7f, heavy). Off 6 months. Down in trip. Tongue strap on 1st time. Best 2yo form at sprint trips; fair share of weight mind.
(8) (16/1 +20%) Verified
16/1(+20%)
(8) Verified 16/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 20/1, below form 5½ lengths sixth of 13 to Bonbon in maiden at Cork (5f, soft). Off 6 months. Good bit to find with three of today's rivals on Cork run last September on soft.
LTO Selection:
14:10 Curragh Stakes 5f Race Speed Rating Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
PERFECT JUDGEMENT didn't get the clearest of runs when keeping on for third over 6f at Dundalk and compensation could await on his return to the turf. Not beaten far on his one start here, Ado McGuinness' charge may have enough to see off Jalaybee, who was a shade unlucky not to break the maiden last season and caught the eye when grabbing fifth late in the day at Cork. This represents a significant drop in grade for Sweetest and she must be considered, along with recent Madrid Handicap second Bid For Chester.
PERFECT JUDGEMENT looks the way to go on the back of his very good Dundalk third last time out and can fend off Aidan O'Brien's Sweetest who can get back on track in these calmer waters having found Leopardstown's 1000 Guineas trial too demanding. Jalaybee appeals as the pick of the rest for minor honours.
The less exposed PANSY POE is taken to reverse Cork form with both Bonbon and Sweetest
(2) Grain D'oudairies 13/8, Vastly improved from his chasing debut when easily landing 6-runner handicap at Market Rasen (17.2f, good to soft) 20 days ago. Up 10 lb but still holds leading claims. Won easily at Market Rasen; lightly raced and could easily cope with the 10lb hike.
(5) (7/2 -27%) Charlie's Glance
7/2(-27%)
(5) Charlie's Glance 7/2, Scored at Huntingdon early in 2023 and not disgraced on his return (after a breathing op) when third of 6 in handicap hurdle at Fakenham (20f, good to soft) 19 days ago. Much respected back in this sphere. Back chasing off a good mark and over the right trip, but soft ground would be a worry.
(3) (6/1 -33%) Vicki Vale
6/1(-33%)
(3) Vicki Vale 6/1, Acquitted herself well in handicap hurdle company this season but she came in last of six on her chasing bow in handicap at Plumpton (17f, good to soft) 20 days ago, unable to recover from a blunder 4 out. In excellent hands and worth another chance. Didn't jump particularly well on chase debut at Plumpton and may need further now.
(7) (7/1 -17%) Lipa K
7/1(-17%)
(7) Lipa K 7/1, A fair winning hurdler who was running with credit (in third) when fell last in 2m3f handicap at Haydock last time. Not without interest now going chasing. Capable hurdler off this sort of mark for Evan Williams; makes chase debut for new yard.
(1) (17/2 -13%) Fast Buck
17/2(-13%)
(1) Fast Buck 17/2, Belatedly landed a small-field Wincanton handicap (15.7f) in January. Back on song when third of 7 in handicap chase at Ludlow (16f, soft) 30 days ago. Possibilities with tongue strap refitted. Remains capable of popping up off this mark but he's not the percentage call.
(6) (12/1 +25%) One Fine Man
12/1(+25%)
(6) One Fine Man 12/1, Landed 2m handicaps at Carlisle/Ayr last February for James Moffatt. Yet to fire for his current yard though, a remote fourth of six in handicap chase at Stratford (2m1f, heavy) 40 days ago. Needs to step forward. Well handicapped on his winning form just over a year ago when in a different yard.
(4) (14/1 +30%) Daly Tiger
14/1(+30%)
(4) Daly Tiger 14/1, Very smart chaser in his pomp for Noel Meade. Winless for his current yard but he wasn't disgraced in a first-time visor when third of 9 in handicap chase at Haydock (19.9f, soft) 21 days ago. Needs to back it up with headgear again sported. A regressive maiden whose recent placed efforts don't amount to a great deal.
LTO Selection:
14:15 Bangor-on-dee Handicap Chase (Class
4) 17f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
GRAIN D'OUDAIRIES went up 10lb following a comfortable success at Market Rasen, when dropped back in trip on just his second start over fences. The return to softer conditions is unlikely to prove an issue because he won on heavy ground over hurdles at Uttoxeter in November. Reverting to fences is likely to benefit Charlie's Glance after his comeback third over timber at Fakenham at the start of the month. Others to note include Fast Buck and Vicki Vale.
Donald McCain's GRAIN D'OUDAIRIES is hard to oppose on the back of his wide-margin Market Rasen success despite taking a hefty rise in the weights. Vicki Vale blundered away her chance on her chasing bow at Plumpton but is worth another chance here and could emerge as the main danger ahead of Charlie's Glance and Lipa K.
Donald McCain's lightly raced GRAIN D'OUDAIRIES (nap) won with such authority at Market Rasen that he can defy the 10lb hike.
(5) L'eau Du Sud 7/2, Dual hurdles winner in France who has taken his form up a level of late with excellent second placings in the Betfair Hurdle at Newbury and County Hurdle at Cheltenham. Up another 3 lb but he's still not taken lightly. Runner-up in Betfair and County Hurdles; has a rock-solid profile and should go well again.
(6) (11/2 +45%) Favour And Fortune
11/2(+45%)
(6) Favour And Fortune 11/2, Landed the odds on his first 2 starts over hurdles and has shown very useful form since, posting a solid sixth of 11 to Slade Steel in Supreme Novices' Hurdle at Cheltenham (16.4f, heavy) 39 days ago. Merits consideration on his handicap debut. Useful novice who was sixth in the Supreme at Cheltenham; needs to hurdle more fluently.
(4) (15/2 +38%) Bialystok
15/2(+38%)
(4) Bialystok 15/2, Useful on Flat in France and plenty of good efforts to his name over hurdles without winning this term. Only 15th in County at Cheltenham (16.8f, heavy) last time but no surprise to see him get back on track for leading stable. Beat only one other finisher in the County at Cheltenham; bit to prove off unchanged mark.
(2) (8/1 +43%) First Street
8/1(+43%)
(2) First Street 8/1, Smart winning hurdler who is holding his form well this season, placed for the fourth consecutive start when third to Lossiemouth in International Hurdle at Cheltenham (16.8f, good to soft) 84 days ago. Since had a wind op and ought to be in the shake-up. Smart 2m hurdler at his best, bit below par this season; has had wind surgery.
(13) (11/1 +45%) Florida Dreams
11/1(+45%)
(13) Florida Dreams 11/1, Landed maiden hurdle over C&D in December. Not disgraced when fifth in Aintree Grade 1 on Boxing Day and when third in 3m Musselburgh novice last time. No forlorn hope back in trip for his handicap bow. Grade 2 bumper winner; hasn't hit the same heights over hurdles but may still be unexposed.
(10) (12/1 +14%) Afadil
12/1(+14%)
(10) Afadil 12/1, C&D winner who arrives in very good nick, coming in third of 19 in handicap hurdle at Aintree (16.5f, soft) 8 days ago. Can go well again off an unchanged mark. Fine efforts in some of the warmest 2m handicaps; should be in the thick of things again.
(11) (12/1 +52%) Cracking Rhapsody
12/1(+52%)
(11) Cracking Rhapsody 12/1, Improving young hurdler who bagged his third win from five starts in 17-runner Morebattle Hurdle at Kelso (16.2f, soft) last month by 4½ lengths from Ginger Mail. 8 lb higher now but has more to offer. Big shout. Progressing fast; stormed home to win Morebattle at Kelso; big weight rise fully justified.
(1) (14/1 -17%) Rubaud
14/1(-17%)
(1) Rubaud 14/1, Has continued on an upward trajectory this term, bringing up the 4-timer in a C&D Grade 2 in November. Ran a rare poor race when last of five in the mud in Kingwell Hurdle at Wincanton last time but this C&D winner is very much the sort to bounce back after a break. Bids for back-to-back successes in this race; would benefit from the ground drying out.
(14) (18/1 +10%) Salsada
18/1(+10%)
(14) Salsada 18/1, Useful Flat winner who took a big step back in the right direction when third of 9 in handicap hurdle at Haydock (15.6f, good to soft) 21 days ago, best work at the finish. Weighted to go well off the same mark. Good fifth in this last year; 8lb wrong this time but useful claimer booked; not ruled out.
(3) (20/1 -25%) Westport Cove
20/1(-25%)
(3) Westport Cove 20/1, Debut hurdles winner at Thurles in November and took his form up a notch when third of 12 to Effernock Fizz in handicap hurdle at Fairyhouse (16f, heavy) 21 days ago. Not discounted for top yard. Hit and miss so far but may not be fully exposed; strongly run race should suit him.
(9) (22/1 +12%) Petit Tonnerre
22/1(+12%)
(9) Petit Tonnerre 22/1, Useful hurdler at his best who failed to score over fences this term and ran poorly tried visored back in this sphere at Cheltenham last time. Cheekpieces are reached for now. Finished last in last month's County Hurdle; tries new headgear again.
(12) (22/1 +33%) Ginger Mail
22/1(+33%)
(12) Ginger Mail 22/1, Consistent type who resumed winning ways at Kelso in January. Posted another very good effort when runner-up to Cracking Rhapsody in Morebattle Hurdle there last time so must enter calculations. Likeable 2m hurdler; second to Cracking Rhapsody in the Morebattle; bit more required.
(8) (33/1 -32%) Effernock Fizz
33/1(-32%)
(8) Effernock Fizz 33/1, Ended a long losing run in 12-runner handicap hurdle at Fairyhouse (16f, heavy) 21 days ago, forging clear. Needs considering despite taking a 9 lb hike in the weights. Splendidly tough 9yo who rallied to score at Fairyhouse; still well treated on old form.
(15) (40/1 -60%) Alvaniy
40/1(-60%)
(15) Alvaniy 40/1, Got off the mark in 2m maiden hurdle at Galway in September but has failed to build on it since, pulled up in Betfair Hurdle at Newbury last time. Others appeal more. Disappointing in three British races; hard to recommend from 8lb out of the handicap.
(7) (66/1 -32%) Benson
66/1(-32%)
(7) Benson 66/1, Made it hurdle victory number 6 at Musselburgh on New Year's Day but his more recent form is far less encouraging, only 17th in Coral Cup at Cheltenham last time. Others appeal more. Good runs at Musselburgh this winter but subdued last two starts; others preferred.
LTO Selection:
14:25 Ayr Handicap Hurdle (Class 1) 16f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.
L'eau Du Sud ought to prove popular having finished a good second in the County Hurdle at Cheltenham last month, but FAVOUR AND FORTUNE gets the vote. Far from disgraced in the Supreme Novices' Hurdle last time out, a handicap mark of 138 should be well within range. He finished second to Jango Baie, who was an unfortunate runner-up in a warm handicap at Aintree recently, in a Grade 1 at the Liverpool track on Boxing Day, and that looks a solid piece of form now. Afadil is also noted.
CRACKING RHAPSODY was very strong at the finish when landing Kelso's Morebattle Hurdle and Ewan Whillans' upwardly-mobile hurdler can make light of an 8 lb rise in the weights to complete a hat-trick. County Hurdle runner-up L'Eau du Sud must go well again and heads the list of dangers, while Salsada teed herself up well for this when a resurgent third at Newcastle and is also highly respected. Rubaud and First Street complete the shortlist in this highly competitive handicap.
The most solid option is L'EAU DU SUD after excellent seconds in the Betfair and County Hurdles. Cracking Rhapsody is second choice.
(11) Zoum Zoum 9/4, Won all 3 starts as a juvenile, conceding weight to the promising Kikkuli at Newmarket before ending the year with a Saint-Cloud Group 3 success (7f, heavy). More to come and can make it 4-4. Made it 3-3 in 2yo campaign with French Listed win; strong form claims on reappearance.
(3) (13/2 +28%) Ballymount Boy
13/2(+28%)
(3) Ballymount Boy 13/2, Runner-up in Richmond at Goodwood and Acomb prior to ending his 2-y-o campaign with a heavy-ground listed win at Doncaster (beat reopposing Alaskan Gold ½ length). Has the physique to do at least as well at 3. Placed in 6f/7f Group races last August; 6f Listed win in October; firmly in calculations.
(8) (8/1 +43%) Room Service
8/1(+43%)
(8) Room Service 8/1, Progressive sort, taking form to another level when winning valuable 17-runner sales event at Doncaster (6.5f, good to soft) final start in September. Further improvement can't be discounted. Improved form to win Doncaster sales race on first run on slow ground; could be in the mix.
(7) (17/2 +23%) Mister Sketch
17/2(+23%)
(7) Mister Sketch 17/2, Confirmed debut promise when winning novice at Salisbury in impressive fashion. ½-length second of 6 to Array in Group 2 Mill Reef here (6f, heavy) in September. James Doyle, who is retained by the owner, seems to prefer Ballymount Boy but this son of Territories is still respected. Went close in Group 2 Mill Reef here last September and could have a part to play.
(9) (17/2 +39%) Son
17/2(+39%)
(9) Son 17/2, Built on encouraging debut effort when taking 10-runner maiden over 6.5f here last June. His limitations were seemingly exposed in good company subsequently but the stable did win the Craven earlier in the week so a market move would look interesting. Respectable Group 2/Listed form last year but improvement needed to threaten today.
(2) (17/2 +6%) Army Ethos
17/2(+6%)
(2) Army Ethos 17/2, Won at Ayr on debut and excellent effort when close second of 20 in Coventry at Royal Ascot 4 weeks later. Not seen again until turned over at short odds at Newcastle last month, although he may have bumped into a good prospect. Cheekpieces reached for now. Beaten at 2-9 latest but remains one to be interested in given his abundant 2yo promise.
(6) (16/1 -14%) James's Delight
16/1(-14%)
(6) James's Delight 16/1, Useful effort to win 6f Pontefract handicap (heavy) on reappearance but another chunk of improvement will be needed if he's to follow up in this higher grade. Gelded before reappearance when he bolted up in Pontefract handicap; might not be far away.
(10) (16/1 +11%) Watch My Tracer
16/1(+11%)
(10) Watch My Tracer 16/1, Improved again when making a winning reappearance in 7f Lingfield listed race last month. Ease in the ground an unknown back on turf but he has the form to be competitive. 7f AW Listed win on reappearance; further improvement is needed, but that's possible.
(1) (20/1 +9%) Alaskan Gold
20/1(+9%)
(1) Alaskan Gold 20/1, Much improved with a visor added when ½-length second of 9 to Ballymount Boy in listed race at Doncaster (6f, heavy) on final 2-y-o start. The headgear is left off for this reappearance. Listed runner-up at Doncaster last October but in a visor which is absent for reappearance.
(5) (25/1 -39%) Esquire
25/1(-39%)
(5) Esquire 25/1, Plenty in hand on Hamilton debut and second in listed race at York (6f, soft) 19 days later. A third outing in just over a month possibly too much for him when well held in another listed event at Doncaster final start. Steps up to 7f on return. Listed runner-up last October; disappointing next time but no surprise if he bounces back.
(4) (33/1 +0%) El Bodon
33/1(+0%)
(4) El Bodon 33/1, Promising second on Yarmouth debut last May and not fully extended to go one better at Lingfield (6f, AW) the following month. Absent since but connections must think a bit of him to pitch him in at this level. Won last June on second start; looked useful prospect back then but absent since.
LTO Selection:
14:40 Newbury Group 3 (Class 1) 7f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.
Unbeaten at two and a comfortable winner of a Listed contest at Saint-Cloud on his last start, Zoum Zoum is bound to be popular for a stable that looks to have a strong crop of three-year-olds this year. However, better value may lie with BALLYMOUNT BOY, a scorer in pattern company himself at Doncaster in October and runner-up over this distance in the Group 3 Acomb at York's Ebor meeting. James Doyle retaining the ride is another plus and it may be Mill Reef second Mister Sketch that is best placed to chase him home. Coventry second Army Ethos is entitled to be thereabout as well, despite a surprising reverse at Newcastle on his return last month.
ZOUM ZOUM looked smart when winning all 3 outings last year and can stretch his unbeaten record to 4 on his return to the track. Wathnan Racing pair Ballymount Boy and Mister Sketch may give Ralph Beckett's charge most to think about.
There was lots to like about the 2yo campaign of BALLYMOUNT BOY and he's taken to make a winning return.
(1) Crystal Black 7/2, Two wins from 6 runs last year. Career best when winning 22-runner handicap at this course (10f, good to soft, 5/1). Off 7 months. Must improve. In form of his life here when last seen albeit on much better ground; going concerns.
(5) (5/1 +38%) Mr Rango
5/1(+38%)
(5) Mr Rango 5/1, Course winner. Career best when winning 13-runner handicap at Leopardstown (10f, heavy, 10/3) 10 days ago, driven clear. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Not easy to make a case for. Hammered his rivals at Leopardstown; down in trip but sure to go well.
(12) (15/2 +46%) Spirit Genie
15/2(+46%)
(12) Spirit Genie 15/2, Latest win at Leicester in October. 25/1, respectable sixth of 20 in handicap at Doncaster (8f, heavy) 28 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Encouraging enough seasonal return in Lincoln at Doncaster; not one to rule out.
(8) (10/1 -67%) Scholarship
10/1(-67%)
(8) Scholarship 10/1, First run since leaving Clive Cox when good ½-length second of 9 to Independent Expert in handicap at Cork (7f, heavy, 13/2) 21 days ago. Others more persuasive. Promising second on yard debut at Cork behind Independent Expert; unproven over 1m.
(10) (11/1 -22%) Casanova
11/1(-22%)
(10) Casanova 11/1, Twenty eight runs since last win in 2021. 25/1, respectable fourth of 19 in handicap at this C&D (heavy) 33 days ago. Expected to be bang there. Lincoln fourth down to a competitive mark and has to enter calculations.
(3) (12/1 -85%) Grey Leader
12/1(-85%)
(3) Grey Leader 12/1, Lightly-raced winner. Three wins from 5 runs last year. Career best when winning 5-runner minor event (10/3) at Gowran (8.3f, heavy). Off 6 months. Makes handicap debut. Has work to do. Three from five last year but remains relatively unexposed entering handicap ranks.
(11) (12/1 -50%) Earls
12/1(-50%)
(11) Earls 12/1, 22/1, creditable fifth of 19 in handicap at this C&D (heavy) 33 days ago, slowly away. Others more persuasive. Left with plenty to do in Lincoln last month; should get closer this time.
(14) (12/1 -33%) Independent Expert
12/1(-33%)
(14) Independent Expert 12/1, Course winner. 17/2, career best when winning 9-runner handicap at Cork (7f, heavy) 21 days ago by ½ length from Scholarship, slowly away. Recent Cork winner; 4lb rise okay and gets 1m so one to consider.
(13) (14/1 -17%) Mexicali Rose
14/1(-17%)
(13) Mexicali Rose 14/1, 4/1, respectable third of 15 in handicap at Newmarket (10f, soft). Off 169 days. First run for yard after leaving Ralph Beckett. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals. Decent handicap form for Ralph Beckett last year; fair mark and handles heavy.
(7) (16/1 +0%) Lady Lunette
16/1(+0%)
(7) Lady Lunette 16/1, C&D winner. Tailed-off sixth of 7 to Sunchart in listed race (40/1) at Naas (10.4f, heavy) 27 days ago. Back down in trip. Out of depth of late; will appreciate return to handicaps.
(9) (16/1 -78%) Simply Sideways
16/1(-78%)
(9) Simply Sideways 16/1, Five wins from 13 runs last year. 7/1, respectable 3 lengths fifth of 9 to Independent Expert in handicap at Cork (7f, heavy) 21 days ago, unsuited by drop in trip. Not taken lightly. Cork run encouraging; return to a stiff mile to suit so not one to rule out.
(4) (20/1 -100%) Fast Tara
20/1(-100%)
(4) Fast Tara 20/1, 16/1, 6¼ lengths seventh of 8 to Mutasarref in listed race at Leopardstown (8f, heavy). Off 6 months. First run for yard after leaving John Patrick Murtagh. Needs a couple of these to falter. Heavy ground winner makes debut for new yard off a fair mark.
(16) (20/1 -25%) Sirjack Thomas
20/1(-25%)
(16) Sirjack Thomas 20/1, C&D winner. Fifteen runs since last win in 2023. Respectable fifth of 14 in handicap at Leopardstown (8f, heavy, 17/2) 13 days ago, running on. Merits consideration. Already had three runs this season, notably Cork third to Independent Expert; bit to find.
(15) (22/1 -57%) Pralognan
22/1(-57%)
(15) Pralognan 22/1, 16/1, fell in handicap hurdle at Down Royal (20f, soft) 34 days ago. Significantly back down in trip. Tongue strap back on. Can make presence felt. Faller on last month's hurdles return and this trip looks on the short side.
(2) (40/1 -21%) Fiscal Rules
40/1(-21%)
(2) Fiscal Rules 40/1, 6½ lengths fifth of 7 to Snapraeterea in listed race (5/1) at Naas (7f, heavy). Off over 2 years. Makes handicap debut. Smart performer in his day but absent nearly three years so impossible to gauge.
(6) (40/1 -21%) Current Option
40/1(-21%)
(6) Current Option 40/1, Fifteen runs since last win in 2022. Eighteenth of 19 in handicap at this C&D (heavy, 50/1) 33 days ago. Hood back on. 7f specialist likely to continue to find this trip a struggle in the conditions.
LTO Selection:
14:45 Curragh Handicap 8f Race Speed Rating Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
GREY LEADER showcased his versatility in his three victories from five starts in 2023, with the most recent coming on heavy ground at Gowran Park in October. The son of El Kabeir now has his attention switched to handicap company and it wouldn't be a huge surprise to see him take another step up the ladder. Crystal Black was last seen winning here on Irish Champions Weekend and is respected dropping back from 1m2f. Others to consider include Mexicali Rose and Mr Rango.
It's been a while since CASANOVA last got his head in front but he's been given a chance by the handicapper and there were positives to glean form his effort over this C&D last month. The 8-y-o shades preference ahead of Independent Expert, who got the better of Scholarship at Cork recently and a 4 lb rise is hardly draconian. The latter should be on the premises once again, too, and Mr Rango is another to consider.
Very competitive in which few can be safely ruled out. EARLS finished best of all in the Lincoln and can take revenge on Casanova
(3) Whodini 10/3, Made it 4 wins from 6 completed starts over fences when going in at Ayr in November. Good second back from a break there 6 weeks ago and should go well again. Won four chases last year and returned from break with good second last month; respected.
(1) (7/2 -27%) Ballycamus
7/2(-27%)
(1) Ballycamus 7/2, Made a successful debut over fences at Chepstow and added to his tally in 2m 4f handicap at Warwick following month. Beaten only by a couple of progressive sorts when runner-up next 2 starts and big shout back down in class. Two chase wins this season; ran well here last month and ought to be in the shake-up again.
(6) (11/2 +54%) Hurlerontheditch
11/2(+54%)
(6) Hurlerontheditch 11/2, Would have made a winning return/chase debut at Warwick but for an unfortunate slip after the last. Not in same form next 2 starts but took big step back in right direction tried in a hood when fifth at Ascot, doing well to get so close considering right-handed track looked all against him. Player. Unlucky on chasing debut in November, and seemingly back in good form last month.
(4) (13/2 -8%) Grey Skies
13/2(-8%)
(4) Grey Skies 13/2, Dual winner in novice company last spring and holding his form well this season without winning, just edged out in 3-runner event at Carlisle 3 weeks ago. This tougher. Stretched by 2m7f two runs ago but otherwise in good form in recent month; in the mix.
(5) (7/1 +0%) Cerendipity
7/1(+0%)
(5) Cerendipity 7/1, Fairly useful winner over hurdles and built on chase debut/return when winning over 15f at Wetherby in November. Mixed record since, however, though trip probably too far latest (finished tired). Didn't see out 3m last month but has done fairly well during first season over fences.
(2) (11/1 -10%) Monte Igueldo
11/1(-10%)
(2) Monte Igueldo 11/1, Ran too bad to be true bidding for a 4-timer at Southwell 15 months ago (later found to be suffering from an abnormally high heart rate) and low key-start for this yard back over hurdles 4 months later. Returning from another absence here and market may reveal expectations. Off seen since low-key stable debut over hurdles last May; not the most obvious answer.
(9) (12/1 -50%) No Tackle
12/1(-50%)
(9) No Tackle 12/1, Only second run for his current yard when getting off the mark over fences in 10-runner handicap at Leicester (22.7f, heavy). However, not in same form in 3-runner event there since and headgear now applied. Ready winner on second start for current stable; below form since but can still do better.
(8) (14/1 +0%) Jar Du Desert
14/1(+0%)
(8) Jar Du Desert 14/1, Showed fairly useful form over hurdles for Tom George prior to making a successful chasing debut in a 4-y-o event at Auteuil for N. George & A. Zetterholm in May. However, not at that level over hurdles/fences for present yard but handicapper is at least cutting him some slack. 0-4 in Britain but ran quite well when third of five at Huntingdon (2m7f) last month.
(7) (22/1 -38%) Jazz King
22/1(-38%)
(7) Jazz King 22/1, Left his hurdle form behind when making a winning start to his chase career at Ludlow (2½m) 14 months ago, coming clear in good style. Looked badly in need of the run on first outing since (left Sam Thomas for £40,000) at Doncaster in February, struggling after ninth. Headgear/tongue strap back on. Won on chasing debut last March but pulled up when reappearing for new yard in February.
LTO Selection:
14:50 Bangor-on-dee Handicap Chase (Class
4) 20f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
BALLYCAMUS ran with plenty of credit here over further when second in a higher grade last month, and dropping back in trip on this occasion can see him in his best light. A comfortable winner over this distance at Warwick in January, the seven-year-old is narrowly preferred to the progressive Whodini, who found only one too strong when on a hat-trick at Ayr. Narrowly denied at Carlisle last time out, Grey Skies is likely to appreciate the step up from 2m.
BALLYCAMUS bumped into a couple of progressive sorts on his last 2 starts and can resume winning ways back down in class. Hurlerontheditch took a big step back in the right direction when fifth at Ascot and should build on that returned to a more suitable track, while Whodini would have a big shout if the ground dries up.
The suggestion is WHODINI, who enjoyed a very productive 2023 over fences and looked as good as ever last month, after a break.
(2) A Penny A Hundred 7/2, Bumper/maiden hurdle winner on first 2 starts during second half of 2023. Fared as well as could be expected when fourth in Grade 1 company last month and she's the choice of Paul Townend. Lightly raced 5yo; could be suited by the step up in trip; Paul Townend rides; contender.
(5) (7/2 +13%) Coco Mademoiselle
7/2(+13%)
(5) Coco Mademoiselle 7/2, Winning Irish pointer who landed the odds in Lingfield novice hurdle in November and made the most of a good opportunity when going in again at Chepstow last month. Hasn't really been crying out for 3m but opening mark is very fair. Made it 2-5 over hurdles with novice win at Chepstow; retains potential now back in h'cap.
(10) (9/2 +18%) Larchmont Lass
9/2(+18%)
(10) Larchmont Lass 9/2, Useful form in bumpers, including a Sandown listed win last March. Showed improved form to get off the mark over hurdles at Wincanton (21.4f, soft) in February and would have finished closer with a clear run in the EBF Final at Newbury. Big player from the same mark upped in distance. Fourth in competitive 2m4f handicap at Newbury and may have more to offer now up in trip.
(1) (9/1 -29%) Saylavee
9/1(-29%)
(1) Saylavee 9/1, Looked promising in 2022 but hasn't kicked on quite as expected since. Brace of runner-up efforts last term more like it and she's one of 3 Willie Mullins representatives tackling a new trip. Goes up in trip; one of three for top Irish trainer and she's not ruled out.
(4) (10/1 +17%) Ottizzini
10/1(+17%)
(4) Ottizzini 10/1, Had looked exposed prior to winning 5-runner novice hurdle at Musselburgh (23.8f, good to soft) in February, making all and well on top finish. Had the run of the race on that occasion and not quite at that level when second in listed company a month later. Handicap bow up in trip. Went close in Listed mares' novice at Doncaster last time and entitled to respect.
(3) (11/1 -57%) Pink In The Park
11/1(-57%)
(3) Pink In The Park 11/1, Maiden/novice winner around this time last year and cranked it up another notch in form terms when second in Grade 3 company in December. Rare off day in Grade 1 company last month and likely to bounce back now handicapping up in trip. Well beaten last time but a case can be made on best form; one of three for Willie Mullins.
(9) (12/1 +14%) Phillapa Sue
12/1(+14%)
(9) Phillapa Sue 12/1, Winner of a 3m Doncaster mares handicap hurdle in December and bounced back from a brace of lesser efforts when landing 4-runner chase on debut over fences a month ago. Just 2 lb higher back over timber. Won over hurdles in December and back to form with chase debut win last month; chance.
(8) (16/1 -14%) Flower Of Scotland
16/1(-14%)
(8) Flower Of Scotland 16/1, Borders National winner at Kelso last term before good third in Edinburgh National. Reportedly suffered a setback following low-key reappearance in November and little to shout about both starts since. Stamina is assured back hurdling. On a handy mark but has been well below her best over fences this season.
(7) (25/1 +0%) Czech Her Out
25/1(+0%)
(7) Czech Her Out 25/1, Better than ever when making a winning start for the Lucinda Russell stable at Perth (3m) in August and good second when narrowly denied at Kelso next time. Off 4 months and stuck to her task well at Ayr last month. Return to 3m is sure to suit. Stayed on for third over 2m5f here last time; could be in the mix if conditions suit.
(6) (30/1 -67%) Condesa
30/1(-67%)
(6) Condesa 30/1, Returned from a very long absence to win a 2m Perth novice hurdle in July. Seemed to find 2½m on heavy ground stretching her when remote fourth next time but given 4 months off, was back in form when second at Sedgefield in January. Heavy defeat on handicap debut needs casting aside upped in trip. Pulled up on handicap debut but much better than that; not written off now up in trip.
(11) (30/1 -7%) Presenting Nelly
30/1(-7%)
(11) Presenting Nelly 30/1, Won mares' hurdles at Worcester (maiden) and Newton Abbot (novice) last summer and after unsuccessful attempt at chasing, she looked back on song when fifth of 13 in handicap hurdle at Warwick (21f, heavy). 3m not certain to suit by any means and she's out of the weights. Engaged 5.00 here Friday. Ready winner over 2m4f here yesterday; more to prove up in trip from out of the weights.
LTO Selection:
15:00 Ayr Handicap Hurdle (Class 2) 24f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
SAYLAVEE and Pink In The Park both go for the Willie Mullins yard, with slight preference for the former after she was beaten eight lengths by Hispanic Moon, who went on to hit the frame in the Mares' Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival, at Punchestown in February. The daughter of Shantou could unlock further improvement for this step up in distance and she gets the vote. As for the latter, she will find this a lot easier than her eighth in Grade 1 company at Fairyhouse last time, while Larchmont Lass and Coco Mademoiselle are others to keep an eye on.
LARCHMONT LASS shaped with a good deal of promise on handicap debut in the EBF Final at Newbury a month ago and with 3m sure to suit, she's a very attractive proposition from the same mark. Willie Mullins is triple-handed, with A Penny A Hundred probably the pick of the trio. Of the rest, Coco Mademoiselle is a big player if lasting out over this new trip.
Having returned from a break with a staying-on third over 2m5f here last month, CZECH HER OUT earns the vote now back up in trip.
(16) Noble Order 7/1, Returned from long absence to make a winning stable debut in 1m handicap at Newcastle in February. Had plenty in hand so well in the mix despite taking a 6 lb rise. Lightly raced; scored at Newcastle on debut for new yard; may progress further.
(3) (8/1 +27%) Thunder Ball
8/1(+27%)
(3) Thunder Ball 8/1, Deservedly gained a second career win at Goodwood in October and resumed with a promising seventh of 20 in Lincoln at Doncaster, faring best of those ridden prominently. Firmly in the picture. Fared best of the runners who raced prominently in the Lincoln; not dismissed.
(8) (8/1 +11%) Navagio
8/1(+11%)
(8) Navagio 8/1, Useful 1m/9.5f winner in Ireland for Ray Cody last summer. Changed hands for 47,000 guineas and shaped well for his new yard when third of 20 in the Lincoln at Doncaster on his return, having to weave his way through. Very much one to consider. Ex-Irish 5yo; ran promisingly in the Lincoln on debut for new stable; interesting.
(6) (9/1 -20%) Lattam
9/1(-20%)
(6) Lattam 9/1, Won the Irish Lincoln in the mud in 2023 for William Haggas and shaped well on his return/yard debut when second of 20 in the Lincoln at Doncaster (8f, heavy) 28 days ago. Player. Solid second in this race last year; ran well in the Lincoln on debut for new yard.
(18) (10/1 +0%) Godwinson
10/1(+0%)
(18) Godwinson 10/1, Saxon Warrior colt who looked a good prospect when landing 9f maiden at Hamilton last June. Not seen to best effect when fifth in 1m Kempton novice final run and returns for his handicap bow on a good mark. Interesting. Thrice-raced gelding; looks the type to improve further and do well in handicaps.
(1) (11/1 -47%) Raadobarg
11/1(-47%)
(1) Raadobarg 11/1, It's now 15 runs since his last win in 2022 but he posted a good third of 19 in handicap at the Curragh (8f, heavy) 33 days ago. Can give another good account. Ran well in similar event at the Curragh on reappearance; one of the main players.
(9) (12/1 +0%) Dancing Magic
12/1(+0%)
(9) Dancing Magic 12/1, Remains a maiden but has been highly tried and (after a wind op) raced on unfavoured part of track when 16th at Ascot final run on his belated handicap debut. No forlorn hope. Useful maiden who has Group form; well treated on peak RPRs; gelded since last run.
(15) (12/1 +45%) Metal Merchant
12/1(+45%)
(15) Metal Merchant 12/1, Useful performer who landed 1m classified race at Ascot in October. Beat only one in 1m Newmarket handicap following month so has work to do on his reappearance. Form dipped last time; record suggests he's likely to need this reappearance run.
(2) (14/1 -27%) Real Gain
14/1(-27%)
(2) Real Gain 14/1, Low-mileage Profitable colt who landed 9f handicap at Newmarket in September. Not disgraced when fifth in Darley Stakes there following month and needs considering on his return. Record is 3-5; represents stable in great form and likely still has more to offer.
(12) (14/1 -27%) Terwada
14/1(-27%)
(12) Terwada 14/1, Quickly made into a useful performer in 2023, winning over 1m at Nottingham and Newmarket last summer. Well held in Cambridgeshire on final run but remains with potential. Well held in the Cambridgeshire but a progressive sort otherwise; not ruled out.
(19) (16/1 -14%) Look Back Smiling
16/1(-14%)
(19) Look Back Smiling 16/1, Isn't straightforward, but resumed with success in the Spring Mile at Doncaster (heavy) 23 days ago. 4 lb higher now but still not taken lightly in his current mood. Won at Doncaster the last twice, latest in the Spring Mile; better than ever.
(10) (20/1 +0%) Bill Silvers
20/1(+0%)
(10) Bill Silvers 20/1, Lightly-raced Doncaster 7f winner who signed off last term with a very good third of 6 in handicap there (10.2f, heavy) in October. Much respected on his seasonal return. Ran well at Doncaster last time out; raced only four times; may improve further.
(5) (22/1 +0%) Talis Evolvere
22/1(+0%)
(5) Talis Evolvere 22/1, Got back on the up in 14-runner handicap at Newcastle (8f, 33/1) 22 days ago. Needs considering despite taking a 5 lb rise in the weights. Game winner on AW finals day; 15lb higher than last turf appearance.
(14) (25/1 -79%) Racingbreaks Ryder
25/1(-79%)
(14) Racingbreaks Ryder 25/1, Completed a four-timer at Ascot (7f) last May but ended 2023 out of sorts. Lots more is required on his reappearance. Lost his form after Ascot win; gelded since last run; could revive on reappearance.
(20) (25/1 -14%) Alpha Crucis
25/1(-14%)
(20) Alpha Crucis 25/1, Won twice over 1m in the mud last year and returned with a good fourth of 20 in the Lincoln at Doncaster (heavy) 28 days ago. Can go well again off 1 lb lower mark. Ties in with two of today's main players on Lincoln running; frame possibilities.
(21) (28/1 -27%) City Of York
28/1(-27%)
(21) City Of York 28/1, Completed a hat-trick last season when winning over C&D in September. Resumed with a creditable sixth in handicap at Lingfield (8f, AW) 15 days ago. No forlorn hope with that run under his belt. C&D success last September; form has dipped since; steps up in class.
(13) (33/1 -18%) Dashing Roger
33/1(-18%)
(13) Dashing Roger 33/1, Ended 2023 with back-to-back 1m wins at Nottingham and Newmarket but he came in last of 7 in Doncaster listed event on his return. Needs to bounce back. Would be more appealing granted heavy ground; 3-3 on heavy.
(4) (40/1 -122%) Sierra Blanca
40/1(-122%)
(4) Sierra Blanca 40/1, Got off the mark in 1m heavy-ground Naas maiden in November 2022 (final start for Aidan O'Brien). Came in last of 8 in 10f listed event at Goodwood on sole run for Freddie & Martyn Meade in September. More is required on his handicap debut. Well beaten in sole outing last year; follow the market signals on stable debut.
(11) (40/1 -43%) Bennetot
40/1(-43%)
(11) Bennetot 40/1, Useful in France but he was well held both runs for his new yard in 1m handicaps at Haydock and Ascot last autumn. No surprise to see him take a step forward here though off a 3 lb lower mark. Two duck eggs for new yard; best watched unless the market speaks favourably.
(7) (66/1 -32%) Revich
66/1(-32%)
(7) Revich 66/1, A useful 1m winner at his best but he beat only two in the Lincoln at Doncaster (8f, heavy) 28 days ago. Needs to bounce back. Has made the frame twice in this contest; poor effort in this year's Lincoln.
(17) (66/1 -32%) Hieronymus
66/1(-32%)
(17) Hieronymus 66/1, Already a dual 7f/1m scorer at Kempton in 2024 and posted another good effort when third of 10 in 1m handicap there 19 days ago. One for the shortlist. Has done his winning on AW at Kempton; 0-18 on turf.
LTO Selection:
15:15 Newbury Handicap (Class 2) 8f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
RAADOBARG posted some very creditable efforts in pattern company last season and even though this is no 'gimme' under top weight, he arrives on the back of a fine third in the Irish Lincoln last month and can show his rivals the way home for a trainer/jockey combination who operate at a 19% strike rate when teaming up. Lattam was last seen finishing an excellent second in the Lincoln at Doncaster on his first start for this stable last month and, nudged up 3lb for that, he can make his presence felt. The unexposed Godwinson is a fascinating contender on his handicap debut and he warrants respect.
William Haggas' GODWINSON looks to have got in lightly for his first venture into handicaps so this lightly raced Saxon Warrior colt gets the vote. Lattam shaped with promise on his first run for Julie Camacho when runner-up in the Lincoln and heads the list of dangers, although a good case can also be made for Navagio, Thunder Ball and Noble Order in a cracking Spring Cup.
An opening mark of 88 looks more than manageable for GODWINSON. Second choice is Real Gain.
(20) Nelda 9/4, Lightly-raced filly. 15/8, respectable second of 11 in maiden at Galway (7f, soft), conceding first run. Off 8 months. Leading claims. Solid maiden form at up to 7f last term; heavy ground is a worry but leading contender.
(24) (9/2 +0%) Uncanny
9/2(+0%)
(24) Uncanny 9/2, Churchill filly. Dam, 1m winner who stayed 11f, half-sister to useful 1½m-13.5f winner Moon Daisy. Makes debut late in the day but market check needed. Churchill filly from good family missed a couple of engagements last August; Moore rides.
(23) (5/1 -25%) Unassuming
5/1(-25%)
(23) Unassuming 5/1, Promising individual. 16/1 and tongue strap on, fifth of 17 in maiden at this course (10f, good) on debut, running on. Off 9 months. Stable in good form. Should improve. Came from well back to finish fifth of 17 in 1m2f maiden here on Derby weekend.
(13) (5/1 -11%) State Actor
5/1(-11%)
(13) State Actor 5/1, Twice-raced gelding. 4/1, second of 13 in maiden at Dundalk (8f) 25 days ago, clear of rest. That puts him firmly in the mix. Placed in both starts over 1m at Dundalk and has a chance if handling the ground.
(19) (17/2 -6%) Johanna Whitty
17/2(-6%)
(19) Johanna Whitty 17/2, Third of 10 in maiden at this course (12f, heavy, 9/2). Off 167 days. Significantly down in trip. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Two creditable runs here over 1m4f; headgear on but might be done for toe over this trip.
(6) (14/1 -27%) Expound
14/1(-27%)
(6) Expound 14/1, Fairly useful gelding. Remains a maiden after 15 Flat runs. 8/1, respectable third of 13 in maiden at Dundalk (8f) 25 days ago. Placed 10 times from 15 starts over a variety of trips; fit from the AW but ground a worry.
(16) (16/1 -14%) Concluding Call
16/1(-14%)
(16) Concluding Call 16/1, Twice-raced filly. 7/1, third of 14 in maiden at Dundalk (8f). Off 141 days. Two decent runs at Dundalk, only beaten just over a length over 10.5f the first time.
(12) (20/1 -67%) Spitfire Fighter
20/1(-67%)
(12) Spitfire Fighter 20/1, Eighth of 12 in maiden (80/1) at this course (10f, good to soft). Off 8 months. Tongue strap on for 1st time. Promising fourth over 7f in heavy-ground Galway maiden; off eight months; tongue-tie.
(3) (22/1 -10%) Come On The Lads
22/1(-10%)
(3) Come On The Lads 22/1, Lightly-raced gelding. Good fourth of 14 in handicap at Leopardstown (8f, heavy, 8/1) 13 days ago. Has twice run well on heavy at Leopardstown, including in handicap company last time.
(10) (28/1 +0%) Sevensees
28/1(+0%)
(10) Sevensees 28/1, Creditable seventh of 14 in handicap (12/1) at Leopardstown (8f, heavy) 13 days ago. Mid-field in 1m Leopardstown handicap on his return; better for that but stiff task.
(21) (33/1 -65%) Passionate
33/1(-65%)
(21) Passionate 33/1, Twice-raced filly. 14/1, thirteenth of 20 in maiden at Leopardstown (8f, good). Off 11 months. First run for yard after leaving J. A. Stack. Well held in two starts for Fozzy Stack last spring and picked up for small money in July.
(14) (40/1 -21%) Winning Smut
40/1(-21%)
(14) Winning Smut 40/1, Making Flat debut. Fifth of 18 in novice hurdle (4/1) at Cork (16f, soft) 167 days ago, unsuited by drop in trip. Decent maiden hurdler with form up to 2m7f; this will surely be too sharp on Flat debut.
(18) (50/1 -52%) Harseva
50/1(-52%)
(18) Harseva 50/1, Harzand filly. Half-sister to several winners, including useful 6f/7f winner Aramis Grey and winner up to 8.3f Rayoumti. Wears tongue strap. Homebred half-sister to four winners is out of unraced half-sister to high-class Intikhab.
(7) (50/1 +0%) Gunsight
50/1(+0%)
(7) Gunsight 50/1, Fairly useful gelding. Remains a maiden after 8 Flat runs. Sixth of 9 in handicap (10/3) at Limerick (7f, good). Off 10 months. Runner-up twice over 1m at Killarney; not seen since last summer and looks up against it.
(15) (50/1 +0%) Wisdomofhindsight
50/1(+0%)
(15) Wisdomofhindsight 50/1, Ninth of 19 in maiden (50/1) at this course (10f, soft) on debut. Off 7 months. Ran okay on debut here in September, keeping on when beaten 9l over 1m2f.
(9) (66/1 +0%) Lord Of Excess
66/1(+0%)
(9) Lord Of Excess 66/1, Twice-raced gelding. Fourth of 10 in minor event (50/1) at Windsor (10f, good to soft). Off 10 months. First run for yard after leaving Andrew Balding. Well held in two starts for Andrew Balding last year and picked up for small money in July.
(2) (100/1 +0%) Calzaghi
100/1(+0%)
(2) Calzaghi 100/1, 80/1, ninth of 15 in maiden at this course (7f, heavy) on debut 33 days ago. Showed a bit of ability when keeping on in mid-field over 7f here last month.
(1) (200/1 +0%) Beaumadier
200/1(+0%)
(1) Beaumadier 200/1, Fair gelding. Remains a maiden after 10 Flat runs. Tenth of 13 in handicap at Naas (7f, heavy, 40/1) 27 days ago, slowly away. Ten-race maiden with a low handicap mark and unlikely to be the answer to a Curragh maiden.
(4) (200/1 +0%) Cyprus Springs
200/1(+0%)
(4) Cyprus Springs 200/1, Twice-raced colt. 100/1, eighth of 14 in maiden at Dundalk (8f) 66 days ago. Well held in two AW maidens; outsider.
(5) (200/1 +0%) Eight By Ten
200/1(+0%)
(5) Eight By Ten 200/1, 80/1 and tongue strap on, tenth of 14 in maiden at Dundalk (7f) on debut 57 days ago, merely passing beaten rivals. Bit of late headway on debut when beaten 14l in AW maiden in February; best watched.
(11) (200/1 +0%) Silky Suilleabhain
200/1(+0%)
(11) Silky Suilleabhain 200/1, Thrice-raced gelding. Ninth of 14 in maiden at Dundalk (7f, 200/1) 57 days ago. Has made no impression in three starts; big outsider.
(22) (200/1 +0%) Reckless Quality
200/1(+0%)
(22) Reckless Quality 200/1, Thrice-raced filly. 40/1, seventh of 13 in maiden at Galway (7f, heavy). Off 173 days. Modest form in 7f maidens last term; big outsider.
(17) (250/1 -25%) Crystal's Heir
250/1(-25%)
(17) Crystal's Heir 250/1, Twice-raced mare on Flat. Twelfth of 14 in maiden at Dundalk (7f, 300/1) 15 days ago. Well held so far under all codes; will get a handicap mark after this.
LTO Selection:
15:20 Curragh Maiden 8f Race Speed Rating Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
Nelda sets a fair standard after finishing second in a Galway maiden last August and it would be no surprise to see her play a hand in the finish. Preference, though, is for 150,000gns purchase UNASSUMING. She fared best of those ridden off the pace when finishing fifth over 1m2f on her debut here in June last year and, with that experience under her belt, she gets a tentative vote. Johanna Whitty completes the shortlist donning cheekpieces for the first time, though the drop in trip asks a question of her.
The pick of NELDA's 3-y-o sets the standard in this big-field maiden and with fitness unlikely to be an issue given the yard she represents, she looks the way to go. State Actor and Expound are viable threats.
Heavy ground won't be ideal but NELDA, who had solid form up to 7f last term, is chosen in the hope she'll handle conditions and stay
(3) Balhambar 2/1, Fairly useful on the Flat for Michael Bell and left first 3 hurdles efforts behind when making a successful handicap debut in this sphere at Ludlow (2m, soft) 18 days ago. Merely pushed out and a 6 lb rise may not stop him with further progress likely. Drew clear on run-in to make winning handicap hurdle debut and can progress again.
(8) (10/3 -11%) Camarrate
10/3(-11%)
(8) Camarrate 10/3, Fairly useful AW Flat winner for Grant Tuer and taken well to hurdling, justifying favouritism in Fakenham juvenile over Easter. Highly likely there's more to come from him in handicaps. Won against own age group this month and might have more to offer in handicaps.
(6) (5/1 -11%) Torneo
5/1(-11%)
(6) Torneo 5/1, Fairly useful winner on the Flat in France for Jean-Claude Rouget. Opened his account over hurdles in facile fashion in a weak race at Wetherby (2m, heavy) in January and found only one too good on his handicap debut at Fontwell (2¼m, heavy) since. May do better still. Wide-margin winner of juvenile hurdle and ran well in defeat on handicap debut; a player.
(1) (8/1 -78%) Bucephalus
8/1(-78%)
(1) Bucephalus 8/1, Came good over hurdles in 2m Newbury handicap last month. Respectable effort on the Flat since. Each-way claims back hurdling. Fairly useful Flat-racer who came good over hurdles with clearcut success last month.
(11) (14/1 -17%) Silverbridge
14/1(-17%)
(11) Silverbridge 14/1, Showed fair form in pair of 1½m maidens on Flat for John Joseph Murphy in Ireland. Didn't achieve much when reaching the frame in 2 juvenile hurdles in January. Only sixth on AW Flat since but he is unexposed now handicapping for a good stable. Safely held in two juvenile hurdles in January but improvement is possible in handicaps.
(2) (14/1 +30%) Thank You Blue
14/1(+30%)
(2) Thank You Blue 14/1, Winner of maiden at Sedgefield in November. 13/2, fourth of 7 in C&D handicap (heavy) 28 days ago. Has first-time cheekpieces added to tongue strap. Has not yet kicked on from his winning hurdle debut; cheekpieces added today.
(5) (16/1 +20%) Our Follet
16/1(+20%)
(5) Our Follet 16/1, A fair 2m winner over hurdles last term but he has offered little in 4 starts so far this season. First-time cheekpieces need to have a positive effect. Chasing didn't go to plan in December and he was also well beaten when reverted to hurdles.
(9) (18/1 -29%) Badlands Boy
18/1(-29%)
(9) Badlands Boy 18/1, Offered more than on hurdle debut when third of 10 over 17f at Sedgefield (heavy) in February. Pulled up at Huntingdon since and deserted by Brian Hughes for this handicap debut. Kept on steadily for third in Sedgefield maiden in February; deserted by Brian Hughes here.
(4) (20/1 -25%) Present Fair
20/1(-25%)
(4) Present Fair 20/1, Brushed off a disappointing run over fences when winning 2m handicap at Uttoxeter in December. Not disgraced when fourth from a 3 lb higher mark at Catterick next time but last 2 runs disappointing. Surprise winner on heavy ground in December but has lost his way this year.
(7) (28/1 -40%) The Sad Shepherd
28/1(-40%)
(7) The Sad Shepherd 28/1, Point winner. Second in 2m Perth maiden hurdle last June (final start for Stuart Crawford). Well held on Hereford return for new yard last month and his opening mark isn't obviously generous. Ran well to a point on recent stable debut but raced awkwardly when coming under pressure.
(10) (33/1 +0%) Trick Of The Tail
33/1(+0%)
(10) Trick Of The Tail 33/1, Modest maiden hurdler who was third on his C&D handicap debut in August. Fair fourth in Sedgefield maiden in October but off since a lesser run at Hereford in November. Has had wind surgery (also tongue tied first time). Placed over C&D last summer; off since poor run in November; may need good ground.
LTO Selection:
15:25 Bangor-on-dee Handicap Hurdle (Class
4) 17f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
BALHAMBAR has improved hand over fist since joining the Harry Derham stable, and a 6lb rise for his recent success at Ludlow may not be enough to prevent him from doubling up. Bucephalus arrives with strong claims following his victory at Newbury in March, which came prior to a defeat on the level, while Camarrate makes his handicap debut on the back of a Fakenham triumph. Third to Sir Gino at Kempton over Christmas before an easy Wetherby victory, Torneo then occupied the runner-berth on his handicap bow and cannot be ruled out either.
Lightly-raced improvers BALHAMBAR and Camarrate rather stand out here, with a narrow preference for the former after his cosy Ludlow success. Torneo is another who has shown promise in a light hurdle career and looks best of the rest. `
This can go to BALHAMBAR, who built upon his very encouraging stable debut when winning quite comfortably at Ludlow this month.
(19) Git Maker 6/1, Good strike-rate under Rules, winning 6 of 11 starts. Better than ever when 8 lengths second to Inothewayurthinkin in Kim Muir at Cheltenham (3¼m, soft), pulling 18 lengths clear of Whacker Clan in third. The winner boosted that form when landing a Grade 1 novice at Aintree last week. On good mark. Subsequent Grade 1 winner beat him in the Kim Muir.
(17) (9/1 +44%) Inis Oirr
9/1(+44%)
(17) Inis Oirr 9/1, Much improved for a first-time visor and an increased stamina test when bolting up in the Edinburgh National at Musselburgh (4m, good to soft) in February. Presumably saved for this since by a Scottish yard which won this in 2021. Up 14lb today but his 3m7f Musselburgh win could hardly have been more authoritative.
(6) (11/1 +45%) Spanish Harlem
11/1(+45%)
(6) Spanish Harlem 11/1, Progressing gradually over fences, finishing third in maiden events around 2½m on all 3 starts. Fascinating contender now stepping up markedly in trip for handicap chase debut. Going beyond 2m4f may be overdue but recent runs are no proof that he can cut it in this.
(11) (11/1 -57%) Macdermott
11/1(-57%)
(11) Macdermott 11/1, Promising 6-y-o who looked a different proposition stepped up to around 3m for the first time when readily making all at Fairyhouse 19 days ago. Faces a much greater stamina test now but there's surely more to come from this lightly-raced sort from an all-conquering yard. Would be first 6yo to win this for 30 years but latest run showed major staying potential.
(14) (12/1 +40%) Mr Vango
12/1(+40%)
(14) Mr Vango 12/1, Maiden hurdle winner last season and this former point scorer has quickly made up into a much better chaser, producing a useful performance when routing his rivals in Devon National at Exeter. Backed that up when third in National Hunt Chase at Cheltenham Festival. Cheekpieces worn then retained. Nearly 3m7f at Exeter (heavy) in February when he made all to win by 60l; 3rd in NH Chase.
(2) (12/1 -100%) Mr Incredible
12/1(-100%)
(2) Mr Incredible 12/1, Has looked quirky but no doubting his ability, placing in another good handicap when splitting Beauport and My Silver Lining in the Midlands National on Uttoxeter reappearance. In rear (lost several lengths at start) when unseating halfway in Grand National last weekend. 2nd in Midlands National (4m2f, heavy) after 336 days off; hampered at Aintree last week.
(16) (12/1 -50%) Anglers Crag
12/1(-50%)
(16) Anglers Crag 12/1, Big improver for new stable after wind surgery, making it 4-4 when overcoming mistakes to edged ahead close home in the Eider at Newcastle (33f, soft) in February. Unlikely to get away with similar errors here but further progress certainly can't be discounted. 4-4 for this yard, latest win the 4m1f Eider on heavy; up another 8lb but on the shortlist.
(22) (14/1 +30%) Whacker Clan
14/1(+30%)
(22) Whacker Clan 14/1, Progressive chaser who won a pair of handicaps in the first half of the season and gave his all from the front when third of 22 in Kim Mur at Cheltenham, although the reopposing Git Maker was 18 lengths ahead in second. Likeable type for his leading Irish stable. 18l behind runner-up Git Maker in the 3m2f Kim Muir last time, the furthest he's been.
(1) (16/1 -33%) Stay Away Fay
16/1(-33%)
(1) Stay Away Fay 16/1, Won Albert Bartlett last year and better still over fences this term, winning over at Exeter and Sandown (Grade 2) before Christmas. Disappointed with cheekpieces (quickly discarded) added to regular tongue tie at Cheltenham but he can bounce back faced with a stamina test which should suit. Tops the weights after his Graded events; an outright test of stamina should suit though.
(18) (16/1 +0%) My Silver Lining
16/1(+0%)
(18) My Silver Lining 16/1, Progressive mare who relished the increased test of stamina when bagging her fourth chase win in Classic Chase at Warwick (29f, soft) in January. Excellent placed efforts in the Grand National Trial at Haydock and Midlands National at Uttoxeter (2¼ lengths third to Beauport) since. Should go well. Rock solid this term, including a win and two places in major long-distance handicaps.
(10) (16/1 +36%) Ballygrifincottage
16/1(+36%)
(10) Ballygrifincottage 16/1, Low-mileage chaser who warmed up for this by finishing second in a 3m Sandown handicap last month. His stamina has to be taken on trust but his trainer has few peers when it comes to teeing one up for big handicaps. 2nd at Sandown (3m) latest; back up 3lb but going beyond 3m1f for first time could help.
(4) (20/1 -25%) Beauport
20/1(-25%)
(4) Beauport 20/1, Bit of a mixed record over fences but he's smart on his day and put it altogether when overcoming some sticky jumping to land the Midlands National at Uttoxeter (4¼m, heavy) last month. Raised 5 lb for that but he's unexposed over marathon trips. In top form to win Midlands National from Mr Incredible at Uttoxeter (4m2f, heavy); up 5lb.
(15) (20/1 +0%) Autonomous Cloud
20/1(+0%)
(15) Autonomous Cloud 20/1, Largely progressive chaser who bounced back from his no show in the Welsh National when 7¼ lengths fourth of 12 to Beauport in the Midlands version at Uttoxeter (4¼m, heavy) last month. Respected. Back in serious contention latest in Midlands National (4m2f, heavy) but ran out of steam.
(8) (28/1 -12%) Iron Bridge
28/1(-12%)
(8) Iron Bridge 28/1, Bumper/dual hurdle winner who quickly developed into a smart chaser. Best of the rest behind Nassalam in Welsh National at Chepstow over Christmas before excellent third in Grand National Trial at Haydock in February. A subsequent no show in the Midlands National since needs forgiving, though. Placed in major handicaps and 4m should suit but this season presents rather a mixed story.
(12) (33/1 +0%) Tommie Beau
33/1(+0%)
(12) Tommie Beau 33/1, Better than ever when winning back to back at Sedgefield (Durham National) and Fontwell (Southern National) in the autumn. Another fine effort when 6¾ lengths third of 12 to Anglers Crag in Eider at Newcastle (33f, soft) last time. A credit to connections. Never better than on last two starts (4m1f Eider 3rd latest) but needs a fair bit better.
(26) (33/1 +0%) We'llhavewan
33/1(+0%)
(26) We'llhavewan 33/1, Winner of 3 handicap hurdles this season. Good second back chasing at Punchestown in February but could only manage a well-held sixth in the Irish Grand National over Easter. 5 lb out of handicap. 2nd in Grand National Trial but 26l sixth in Irish National itself; 5lb out of handicap.
(13) (40/1 -21%) Broken Halo
40/1(-21%)
(13) Broken Halo 40/1, Failed to complete on first 3 outings this season but back on track lately, second in Royal Artillery at Sandown before taking a 3½m handicap at Taunton. This is a lot more competitive, though. Produced late for tidy win at Taunton (3m4f, soft); back up 5lb; could have more to offer.
(20) (40/1 -21%) Surrey Quest
40/1(-21%)
(20) Surrey Quest 40/1, Dual hurdles winner for Nicky Henderson and improved when bagging chase victories Huntingdon and Newbury either side of Christmas. His run of good form came to a halt when only tenth in the Great Yorkshire at Doncaster (3m, good) in January but the sort to bounce back. Will stay long distances. Won first two for the yard; well treated judged on latter win (3m2f) but below form latest.
(3) (40/1 +20%) Elvis Mail
40/1(+20%)
(3) Elvis Mail 40/1, Useful handicapper who notched a second chase win of the season when leading close home in a 3m Carlisle veterans' event 13 days ago. Looks vulnerable off 4 lb higher in this much more competitive race. Won at Carlisle 13 days ago; has a career-high mark but the longer trip is interesting.
(21) (50/1 -100%) Klarc Kent
50/1(-100%)
(21) Klarc Kent 50/1, Went close to a first chase success on 21.5f Fairyhouse handicap debut at the end of March. The much longer trip asks a different question but he's another unexposed one in this for his top stable. 0-6 over hurdles/fences but some places this term and serious stamina tests could suit.
(7) (50/1 +24%) Gold Cup Bailly
50/1(+24%)
(7) Gold Cup Bailly 50/1, Useful chaser who won his first 3 starts (including twice here) last season but found life tougher later in the campaign and this is a big ask after a year off. Should have brought potential to this second chase campaign but he's unraced for a year.
(5) (66/1 -100%) Ontheropes
66/1(-100%)
(5) Ontheropes 66/1, Smart earlier in his career but hasn't shown much obvious promise in 3 outings since returning from a long absence. 2021 win at Limerick (3m, soft) is his career-best form by some way and his only chase win.
(23) (66/1 -100%) Egbert
66/1(-100%)
(23) Egbert 66/1, Maiden hurdle winner last term and won a pair of novice handicaps this winter, latterly over 3m at Doncaster. Advanced his form again when runner-up at Kempton (3m, good to soft) in first-time blinkers (retained) last month. Up significantly in trip for a yard with winning form in this race. In good form with headgear; 2lb out of the handicap but the move up in trip is interesting.
(25) (66/1 -32%) Secret Reprieve
66/1(-32%)
(25) Secret Reprieve 66/1, Won the Welsh Grand National in 2020/21 and ran well to be placed in good company twice last season. Probably needed his reappearance run at Sandown in March after 12 months on the sidelines. 5 lb out of handicap. Has not had much racing, or recaptured his form, since Welsh National win in January 2021.
(9) (80/1 +20%) Whistleinthedark
80/1(+20%)
(9) Whistleinthedark 80/1, Won first 4 chases last season but has found ife tougher this time round, finishing well behind Git Maker and Whacker Clan in Kim Muir at Cheltenham last month. Backward steps in major handicaps last two starts; soft ground possibly against him latest.
(24) (150/1 -50%) Punitive
150/1(-50%)
(24) Punitive 150/1, Lost his way for Gordon Elliott. Took a step back in the right direction when third of 7 over 3½m at Ffos Las but it's still hard to make a good case for him here from 5 lb out of handicap. First-time tongue tie goes on. 3m5f win in 2022; lost form for Gordon Elliott; better on yard debut but needs much more.
LTO Selection:
15:35 Ayr Handicap Chase (Class 1) 32f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.
Mr Incredible unseated his rider in the Grand National last week and is better judged on his second-placed finish behind Beauport in the Midlands National last month. It would be no surprise to see him get involved on 2lb better terms with that rival. However, the vote goes to ANGLERS CRAG, who remains unbeaten since switching to the Brian Ellison stable and his triumph in the Eider at Newcastle in February was arguably his best performance. The nine-year-old goes off an 8lb higher mark and makes plenty of appeal, while Inis Oirr and Ballygrifincottage are others to consider.
Jamie Snowden can land another big handicap chase courtesy of GIT MAKER. This 8-y-o bumped into a subsequent Grade 1 winner at Cheltenham and the fact he pulled 18 lengths clear of the reopposing Whacker Clan in third suggests he could be well treated here off only 1 lb higher. Willie Mullins is going all out for the British title after last weekend's Grand National success and his unexposed pair Macdermott and Spanish Harlem are very interesting contenders now stepping up markedly in trip.
The trainers' championship contenders have their runners but top of the list are ANGLERS CRAG (nap), Git Maker and Inis Oirr.
(4) Indication Ember 5/2, Promising individual. 22/1, third of 15 in the Brocklesby at Doncaster (5f, heavy) on debut 28 days ago. Likely to improve but mixed messages about strength of that form. Third of 15 in the Brocklesby; that experience is invaluable against these newcomers.
(7) (22/1 -38%) Marajito
22/1(-38%)
(7) Marajito 22/1, Foaled February 10. 30,000 gns yearling, Ardad filly. Half-sister to winner up to 6f Bay Breeze. Dam, lightly raced, closely related to useful 2-y-o 5f/6f winner Midnight Martini. Something to like on pedigree, but stable has few 2yos go in first time.
(11) (33/1 +0%) Solid Bond
33/1(+0%)
(11) Solid Bond 33/1, Foaled February 17. 15,000 gns foal, 10,000 gns yearling, Profitable filly. Sister to winner up to 5.7f Swift Asset. Dam unraced out of useful winner up to 6f (2-y-o 5f/6f winner) Velvet Flicker. Stable not noted for winning 2yo newcomers.
LTO Selection:
15:45 Thirsk Stakes (Class 4) 5f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Indication Ember reached the frame in last month's Brocklesby and she is the obvious starting point in a race full of unknown prospects, although it might be worth taking a chance on MISS LAMAI. The daughter of Mehmas was a 115,000gns purchase and represents a yard that typically excel with their juveniles, so it would come as no surprise were she to make a winning start. Amo Racing's Li Ban is related to a trio of useful types and she is likely to prove popular, while Innocent Settler merits closer inspection too.
Given her connections LI BAN, a 130,000 gns purchase as a yearling, is sure to know her job so a winning debut in an ordinary-looking novice would come as no surprise. The Brocklesby at Doncaster hasn't worked out that well so far but Indication Ember did beat most of her rivals when third and that experience puts her right in this. Miss Lamai is another to consider.
This can go to INDICATION EMBER who ran well to finish third in the Brocklesby. That experience should stand her in good stead.
(2) Economics 6/4, 160,000 gns yearling, Night of Thunder colt. Half-brother to winner abroad. Dam, 9.2f-12.5f winner. Promising fourth of 13 in warm novice at Newmarket (7f, soft) on debut in November, finishing off well after losing his pitch mid-race. Will improve. Form pick. Entered for Dante/Derby. Promising fourth on last November's Newmarket debut and first three have all won since.
(9) (10/1 +0%) Sedgemoor
10/1(+0%)
(9) Sedgemoor 10/1, Churchill colt. Dam, 2-y-o 5f winner, out of half-sister to top-class miler Toronado. Showed plenty of ability without laying a glove on the impressive winner when second of 8 in novice (18/1) at Salisbury (6f, good) on debut. Off 8 months. Significantly up in trip. Should improve. Well held by winner when second on last August's Salisbury debut; a player if stepping up.
(15) (10/1 +0%) Clove Hitch
10/1(+0%)
(15) Clove Hitch 10/1, 725,000 gns yearling, Siyouni filly. Dam unraced half-sister to very smart winner up to 1m Lillie Langtry and smart winner up to 1¼m Count of Limonade. Very green when fifth of 8 in novice (5/6) at this course (6f, good to firm) on debut. Off 9 months. Significantly up in trip. Should progress. Well-held fifth of eight when sent off 5-6 for her debut here last summer; watch market.
(17) (10/1 +17%) Pasha
10/1(+17%)
(17) Pasha 10/1, Advertise filly who was much better for debut when sixth of 17 in maiden (28/1) at Newmarket (7f, good to firm) in September, nearest finish. Off 6 months. First run for yard after leaving Freddie & Martyn Meade. Respected. Some promise in two starts for another yard last autumn; may be one for handicaps.
(6) (16/1 +0%) Mamdoh
16/1(+0%)
(6) Mamdoh 16/1, 31,000 gns foal, 100,000 gns yearling, Nathaniel gelding. Half-brother to 6f winner Tessa. Dam 1m winner who stayed 10.5f out of smart 1¼m-1½m winner (stayed 1¾m) Folk Opera. 12/1, fifth of 11 in maiden at Kempton (8f) on debut 17 days ago, needing stiffer test. Fifth of 12 on Kempton debut this month and has a race in him, but this is a tough ask.
(16) (16/1 +0%) Darysina Gold
16/1(+0%)
(16) Darysina Gold 16/1, 17,000 gns yearling, Golden Horn filly. Half-sister to several winners, including 2-y-o 1m winner Ejtyah and 7f-8.5f winner Great King, both useful. Fifth of 12 in novice at Kempton (8f, 5/1) on debut. Off 171 days. May well do better. Finished lame when fifth on Kempton debut last November; others appeal more.
(7) (20/1 +0%) Miletus
20/1(+0%)
(7) Miletus 20/1, €140,000 yearling, Magna Grecia colt. Closely related to smart winner up to 1m Emmaus and 2-y-o 7.4f winner Spirit Genie and half-brother to useful 7f-8.4f winner Dawn Mirage. 15/2, green when fifth of 7 in maiden at Newmarket (7f, good to firm) on debut. Off 6 months. Open to improvement. Fifth of seven on last September's Newmarket debut; should improve but others preferred.
(8) (25/1 -56%) Paradoxical
25/1(-56%)
(8) Paradoxical 25/1, Saxon Warrior half-brother to several winners, including very smart winner up to 1½m Wigmore Hall and smart winner up to 9f Ocean Road. Dam 2-y-o 7f winner. Sixth of 9 in novice event at this course (7f, good, 125/1) on debut. Off 9 months. Sixth of nine on his debut over 7f here last July; may need a bit more time.
(14) (33/1 +0%) Waistcoat
33/1(+0%)
(14) Waistcoat 33/1, Modest form both starts, including when fifth novice at Lingfield (8f, AW) on yard debut/return 12 days ago. Well-held fifth in both starts; looks one for handicaps after this.
(5) (100/1 +0%) Glam Squad
100/1(+0%)
(5) Glam Squad 100/1, €26,000 yearling, resold 85,000 gns yearling, Phoenix of Spain colt. Half-brother to winner up to 7f Fornarinah. Dam 6f winner. 66/1, tenth of 11 in maiden at Newmarket (7f, good to firm) on debut. Off 8 months. First run for yard after leaving William Jarvis. Beat one home at Newmarket last August in his only start for William Jarvis; gelded since.
(12) (150/1 -50%) Spartan Times
150/1(-50%)
(12) Spartan Times 150/1, Frontiersman gelding. Dam 6f winner out of 2-y-o 6f winner Switcher. Ninth of 12 in maiden at Kempton (7f, 200/1) on debut 17 days ago, very slowly away. Well-beaten ninth of 12 on his Kempton debut this month.
LTO Selection:
15:50 Newbury Maiden (Class 4) 8f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
ECONOMICS shaped with plenty of promise when staying on to take fourth over 7f at Newmarket on his debut in November, form which has been well advertised since, and the son of Night Of Thunder edges preference now stepping up in trip with that experience under his belt. Of the newcomers, 185,000-euro purchase Under Siege appeals most but the betting market may provide more clues, while Clove Hitch should appreciate this longer distance after finishing fifth over 6f on her debut at Newbury last term.
ECONOMICS shaped well in a good Newmarket maiden in November and this Dante/Derby entrant looks the one to beat. Pasha left her debut behind when sixth in a big field at Newmarket in September and is next best starting out for a new yard, while Amphius makes the most appeal of the newcomers.
This can go to ECONOMICS who showed plenty of promise when fourth on last November's Newmarket debut. The first three have won since.
(10) White Birch 3/1, Smart colt. 8/1, 1½ lengths fourth of 7 to Adelaide River in Paddy Power Stakes at Leopardstown (12f, good to firm), needing stronger gallop. Off 7 months. Can make presence felt. Might be better over 1m4f but the one to beat on figures if back to his best.
(5) (4/1 +11%) Maxux
4/1(+11%)
(5) Maxux 4/1, Lightly-raced Frankel filly who posted a career best when stylish winner of 11-runner Denny Cordell Lavarack & Lanwades Stud Fillies Stakes at Fairyhouse (9.1f, good to soft, 10/1) by 4¼ lengths from American Sonja. Interesting. Readily landed 1m1f Fairyhouse Group 3 in September; unraced on worse than yielding.
(9) (9/2 +40%) Village Voice
9/2(+40%)
(9) Village Voice 9/2, Useful filly. 13/10, career best when winning 8-runner Prix de Flore at Saint-Cloud (10.4f, soft) by neck from Manisha, staying on well. Off 6 months with more needed on form. All three wins on soft or heavy including Navan Listed contest on last year's return.
(1) (11/2 -38%) Greenland
11/2(-38%)
(1) Greenland 11/2, Smart colt. 5¾ lengths fifth of 7 to Fantastic Moon in Prix Niel (13/1) at Longchamp (11.9f, good). Off 7 months. Yard having good spell so no forlorn hope. Raced exclusively in France last year, winning Group 3 at Saint-Cloud on his second start.
(3) (15/2 -7%) Crypto Force
15/2(-7%)
(3) Crypto Force 15/2, Thrice-raced winner. Won 5-runner Beresford Stakes (15/2) at this course (8f, good to soft) by 2¼ lengths from Adelaide River. Off 19 months. First run for yard after leaving Michael O'Callaghan with his fitness to prove. Every chance of staying 1m2f on pedigree but stiff task after an absence since 2022.
(2) (12/1 +0%) Mashhoor
12/1(+0%)
(2) Mashhoor 12/1, Smart gelding. C&D winner. Three wins from 6 runs last year. 22/1, 7½ lengths sixth of 7 to Adelaide River in Paddy Power Stakes at Leopardstown (12f, good to firm). Off 7 months but not ruled out. Behind White Birch at Leopardstown on final start last term; ground concerns.
(6) (12/1 +14%) Raise You
12/1(+14%)
(6) Raise You 12/1, Smart gelding. Creditable 9¼ lengths fifth of 11 to Kyprios in Irish St Leger at this course (14f, heavy, 5/1). Off 19 months but stable in good form. Hood on 1st time. Considered. Smart 8yo goes on heavy but this is quite an ask after a long absence; hooded.
(4) (14/1 +0%) Helvic Dream
14/1(+0%)
(4) Helvic Dream 14/1, Useful gelding. C&D winner. Latest win here in October. Ninth of 12 in handicap hurdle at Fairyhouse (16f, heavy, 15/2) 21 days ago. Not dismissed back in this sphere. Former Group 1 winner not at that level nowadays; race fit from hurdling.
(7) (25/1 +0%) Serious Challenge
25/1(+0%)
(7) Serious Challenge 25/1, Useful gelding. 3/1, 15¼ lengths fourth of 7 to Sunchart in listed race at Naas (10.4f, heavy) 27 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Plenty to find on form. Creditable comeback in Irish Lincoln but weakened tamely in Listed contest at Naas.
(8) (66/1 +34%) The Shadow Lingers
66/1(+34%)
(8) The Shadow Lingers 66/1, 66/1, won 14-runner maiden at Dundalk (8f) on debut 66 days ago, missing break. Up in trip. Very hard to make a case for in this grade though. Was 66-1 when easily winning 1m AW maiden on debut in February; ordinary form though.
LTO Selection:
15:55 Curragh Group 3 10f Race Speed Rating Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
WHITE BIRCH showed he goes well fresh when bursting on to the scene in the Ballysax last year, proving it was no fluke by making the frame in the Dante and Epsom Derby. He has been off since a solid enough fourth on Irish Champions Weekend and this looks like a good point of return for him. Mashhoor claimed the scalp of Al Riffa in the International Stakes, although he was behind the selection when last seen. Testing conditions seem to suit the unexposed Maxux, with Greenland and the long-absent Crypto Force worth a look too.
MAXUX signed off last season with a taking success in a Fairyhouse Group 3 so Joseph O'Brien's low-mileage Frankel filly is taken to return in style here. White Birch has the form to go close too and is feared most on his reappearance ahead of the selection's stablemate Raise You who can't be dismissed despite his lengthy absence.
A winner on her return last term, VILLAGE VOICE will enjoy conditions and is preferred to last year's Derby third White Birch
(11) Finn Lough 4/1, Successful sole start between the flags and looked a work-in-progress over hurdles last term. Now goes handicapping on the back of a breathing operation and the market may guide. Irish point winner; shaped with promise in three 2m hurdles; up in trip for handicap debut.
(10) (9/2 -50%) Far Sight
9/2(-50%)
(10) Far Sight 9/2, Made a winning start to his career in a Newton Abbot bumper in June 2022. Let previous hurdles effort behind when third at Sandown the following March and the switch to Harry Derham and step up in trip means he's a fascinating contender. Not seen since promising handicap debut in March 2023 but has joined burgeoning stable.
(1) (6/1 +0%) Yealand
6/1(+0%)
(1) Yealand 6/1, Opened his account on handicap debut at Newcastle (20.3f) in January and travelled smoothly when doubling tally at Haydock a month ago, always holding on. 6 lb rise calls for further progress but that isn't out of the question. 2-4 since switched to handicaps; latest 6lb rise offset by Luke Scott's useful 5lb claim.
(12) (6/1 +25%) Elle Est Beau
6/1(+25%)
(12) Elle Est Beau 6/1, Lightly-raced sort from a top yard who stayed on for third on handicap debut at Sandown in December when well backed. Looked set to open her account before departing late back there (19.8f, heavy) in January and looked a non-stayer over 24.7f 3 weeks ago. Down in trip. Flopped when upped to 3m last time but was in front before last-flight fall two starts ago.
(3) (9/1 -50%) Galunggung
9/1(-50%)
(3) Galunggung 9/1, Clearly had his share of issues and positive start under Rules when a clear second to Traprain Law in a Kelso novice (16.2f, heavy) in January 2023. Landed the odds following 14 months off at Hexham last month and capable of rating higher if getting a clear shot at things. Very lightly raced 8yo; won a novice last month; should have more to offer in handicaps.
(2) (16/1 -33%) Thank You Ma'am
16/1(-33%)
(2) Thank You Ma'am 16/1, Well held on hurdle debut in the autumn but placed on next 4 outings, including stepped up to around 2½m on Hereford handicap debut in February. Pitched into a deeper race and wasn't up to the task at Sandown. Close second on handicap debut two starts ago and faced a tough assignment last time.
(4) (16/1 -14%) Blazing Soldier
16/1(-14%)
(4) Blazing Soldier 16/1, Soldier of Fortune gelding who was no better than a distant third on the first of 2 completed starts in Irish points but made a winning start over hurdles at Newcastle (16.9f, heavy) in January. Not in the same form under a penalty at Carlisle and now goes handicapping. Finished tired on heavy ground last time but won on his rules debut and remains unexposed.
(5) (16/1 -14%) Queshi Bridge
16/1(-14%)
(5) Queshi Bridge 16/1, Lightly-raced 8-y-o who improved further on first run since leaving Edmond Kent when second of 13 in a maiden at Ludlow (21.2f, soft) in February. Ran to a similar level back down in trip on handicap debut there last month before unseating at the first last week. Didn't get far at Hereford on Sunday but started off for this stable with two good efforts.
(9) (16/1 +0%) Thankyourluckystar
16/1(+0%)
(9) Thankyourluckystar 16/1, Scored at Ludlow last March and took a step back in the right direction when second at Warwick last month. Eased further 2 lb, which makes him of interest. Won off this mark last March but is yet to strike form this season.
(13) (16/1 +52%) Kapamazov
16/1(+52%)
(13) Kapamazov 16/1, Fair maiden for Sam Drinkwater and similar form in couple of starts for new yard, seeming to find the test inadequate when fourth of 7 in handicap hurdle at Newbury (16.2f, soft) in March. Eased further 1 lb ahead of this and return to further a plus. 0-6 over hurdles; both runs this year were very respectable but more is needed today.
(7) (18/1 -125%) Tregele
18/1(-125%)
(7) Tregele 18/1, Looked on a tempting mark on his efforts in 2m novice/maiden hurdles but proved a bit disappointing on his handicap debut over 20.67f at Huntingdon in January. Off 10 weeks after and shaped as though amiss at Plumpton. Needs to prove wellbeing after dropping out quickly last month but remains lightly raced.
(8) (25/1 -79%) Malpas
25/1(-79%)
(8) Malpas 25/1, A fair winner at 17f over hurdles in early 2022 who made a much better fist of things on second chase try (following wind op) when third on return at Carlisle (2m) in December. Back at that level when second at Bangor but this trip probably stretches him returned to timber. Not as good as he was but ran game race in defeat over fences here in February.
(15) (33/1 +34%) Iron Heart
33/1(+34%)
(15) Iron Heart 33/1, Fair hurdles winner over but he's been largely out of form since a promising start over fences for this yard in September, merely keeping on late for fourth at Taunton. Belied 80-1 odds when fourth last month but others have much more convincing profiles.
(6) (40/1 -21%) Lily Glitters
40/1(-21%)
(6) Lily Glitters 40/1, Four-time winner in staying handicap hurdles and matched that level at the second attempt over fences when runner-up in October. In nothing like the same form both starts since but mark has crept down reverting to timber on the back of a wind op. Ended 2023 with two heavy defeats over fences and would appeal more over 3m+.
(14) (40/1 -21%) Konfusion
40/1(-21%)
(14) Konfusion 40/1, Strong in the betting but perhaps unsurprisingly shaped as if in need of the run after an 18-month absence when ninth of 14 in novice hurdle at Newcastle (16.9f, heavy) in January. Never involved at Doncaster 3 weeks later and now goes handicapping up in trip. Returned from long absence with two underwhelming runs in January; handicap debut today.
LTO Selection:
16:00 Bangor-on-dee Handicap Hurdle (Class
4) 20f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Galunggung took a step forward from his debut over hurdles to justify odds-on favouritism at Hexham and it will be interesting to see how he fares in the market on his handicap bow. However, preference is for YEALAND, who struck by half a length at Haydock and has been put up 6lb, but with Luke Scott negating 5lb of that rise, he could be the one to beat again. Malpas completes the shortlist.
He's been off the track for over a year but FAR SIGHT is the interesting one having joined a yard firmly on the up with this increased emphasis on stamina sure to aid his cause, too. This is competitive, with Yealand, Galunggung and Elle Est Beau all having plenty to recommend them.
Unexposed 7yo FAR SIGHT made a very promising handicap debut in 2023 and has switched to a stable with an excellent strike-rate
(1) Haymaker 11/4, Lost way at end of 2023 but did well last spring and back on a good mark if staging a revival after wind surgery. Market confidence would look siginficant. Goes well fresh; on a good mark and has had a wind op since last seen; solid contender.
(9) (9/2 +0%) Conquistador
9/2(+0%)
(9) Conquistador 9/2, Fifteen runs since last win in 2023. 9/2, creditable third of 8 in handicap at Chelmsford (5f) 7 days ago. Struggled for current yard but last week's 3rd was better and he's down to a lowly mark.
(3) (11/2 +27%) Faustus
11/2(+27%)
(3) Faustus 11/2, C&D winner. Seventh of 8 in handicap (10/1) at Wolverhampton (5f) on reappearance 19 days ago. Visor back on. Likely to be sharper now. C&D winner off this mark last summer; can do better than on his return but he needs to.
(2) (6/1 -50%) Skallywag Bay
6/1(-50%)
(2) Skallywag Bay 6/1, Latest win at Lingfield in October. Respectable third of 8 in handicap (5/1) at Wolverhampton (5f) on reappearance 19 days ago. Should strip fitter for the run. Yet to win on turf but 3-6 on AW; promising return 19 days ago; handles good to soft.
(7) (17/2 -42%) Mary Of Modena
17/2(-42%)
(7) Mary Of Modena 17/2, C&D winner. 3/1, creditable second of 5 in C&D handicap on final start last year. Ran well on 2023 reappearance. Conditions to suit but she'll need a career best to take this back from six months off.
(5) (9/1 -13%) Antiphon
9/1(-13%)
(5) Antiphon 9/1, C&D winner. Thirteen runs since last win in 2023. Last of 10 in handicap at Southwell (6f, 28/1) on reappearance 23 days ago. Needs to have come on a lot. 3lb below last winning mark; last month's return should have sharpened him up; contender.
(8) (12/1 -33%) Secret Handsheikh
12/1(-33%)
(8) Secret Handsheikh 12/1, C&D winner last September but down the field in 2 AW runs this spring. Needs a return to turf to spark him back to life. Won this race off 1lb lower last year; down the field in two AW runs this year; can revive.
(4) (14/1 +0%) Pop Dancer
14/1(+0%)
(4) Pop Dancer 14/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Wolverhampton in November. 12/1, ran poorly when ninth of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (5f) 57 days ago. Conditions to suit but not at his best on AW the last twice; others appeal more.
(6) (25/1 +0%) Umming N' Ahing
25/1(+0%)
(6) Umming N' Ahing 25/1, Three wins from 9 runs last year. 28/1, last of 8 in handicap at Wolverhampton (5f) on reappearance 19 days ago. Hat-trick on slow ground last spring but form tailed off after; well held on his return.
LTO Selection:
16:06 Brighton Handicap (Class 4) 5f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Conquistador has match-fitness on his side after making the frame off 1lb higher at Chelmsford last week, but both of his wins came on the all-weather and preference is for the proven turf form of MARY OF MODENA. Michael Attwater's mare got within half a length of landing a second victory over this C&D on her final start of last year and she returns off the same mark for her seasonal debut. John Gallagher saddled the winner of this year last year and his Secret Handsheikh, who has also won over this track and trip, has slipped back to a feasible rating.
A chance is taken on the reappearing HAYMAKER who did well at a similar time last year and is back on a good mark if a wind operation during the off season has had a positive effect. Skallywag Bay should be sharper for a recent outing at Wolverhampton and is second choice ahead of the reappearing Mary of Modena.
Skallywag Bay is greatly respected but HAYMAKER goes well fresh, has had a wind op and tackles weaker opposition than he's used to.
(4) Welcom To Cartries 4/1, Easy winner of sole start in Irish points and confirmed hurdling debut promise to get off the mark at Ascot (21.6f) in December. Unable to justify favouritism or, in truth, advance his form much when runner-up in Grade 2 River Don a month later and he's now pitched into a handicap. Runner-up in 3m Grade 2 novice at Doncaster last time and has potential off opening mark.
(5) (4/1 +38%) Masaccio
4/1(+38%)
(5) Masaccio 4/1, Bumper winner who returned from 6 months off to make a successful start over hurdles in a Chepstow maiden in October. Better form in defeat at Newbury since and completed a simple task back in a regular novice when scoring at Kempton (21f, soft) in February. Plenty to like on handicap debut. Kept on for fifth in 2m4f Grade 1 Challow in December; could be thereabouts now up in trip.
(10) (5/1 -43%) Major Fortune
5/1(-43%)
(10) Major Fortune 5/1, Proved a different proposition since he was upped in trip this term, completing a 5-timer with something in hand at Lingfield (heavy) just under 7 weeks ago. 11 lb rise to contend with, but he's firmly on the up so remains of plenty interest with the Skeltons going great guns. Landed five-timer with very easy win; up 11lb but remains to be seen where limitations lie.
(2) (7/1 +7%) Chosen Witness
7/1(+7%)
(2) Chosen Witness 7/1, Lightly-raced 7-y-o who posted a career best when stylish winner of 16-runner maiden hurdle at Thurles last month. Ran at least as well in defeat sent handicapping when fourth at Cork (19f, heavy) recently and this Irish raider can take another step forward upped further in trip (and hooded). 3m point winner who goes up in trip; has to be respected for all-conquering Willie Mullins.
(8) (8/1 -33%) Milcree
8/1(-33%)
(8) Milcree 8/1, Won sole start in point bumpers with ease and has shaped well on first 2 starts over hurdles. Made the most of a good opportunity when easily landing 5-runner novice at Carlisle (19.3f, heavy) just under 2 weeks ago and now heads up in distance for his handicap debut. Makes handicap debut off fair mark & pedigree suggests he'll improve for this longer trip.
(9) (10/1 +0%) Young Jack
10/1(+0%)
(9) Young Jack 10/1, Successful on second attempt in maiden points and promising second in a 2¾m novice at Newcastle before scoring over 2½m there in February. Not seen to best effect at that same course (16.9f, soft) 5 weeks ago and looks sure to be suited by this longer distance now handicapping. 3m point and 2m4f Newcastle winner who could relish this step up in trip on handicap debut.
(6) (12/1 -20%) President Scottie
12/1(-20%)
(6) President Scottie 12/1, Has made a promising start over hurdles, making it third time lucky with wide-margin success in 17-runner maiden here (20.4f, heavy) in January. Made a winning handicap debut in an unorthodox event at Haydock (24.3f, soft) last month and remains with potential (type to make a chaser). Course maiden winner who scored over 3m at Haydock on handicap debut; one to consider.
(3) (12/1 -33%) I Love My Baie
12/1(-33%)
(3) I Love My Baie 12/1, Likeable type who doubled his tally in 4-runner novice hurdle here in December. Proved to be a disappointment when tailed off in Grade 2 event at Doncaster a month later but resumed progress to make a winning handicap debut at Newbury (18.8f) 4 weeks ago. Hiked back up in trip. Flopped on sole 3m run; won either side of that; well worth another crack at staying trip.
(1) (16/1 -33%) Doughmore Bay
16/1(-33%)
(1) Doughmore Bay 16/1, Made a winning start under Rules in 2½m Worcester novice hurdle last May and has been runner-up in 3 of 4 subsequent starts, latest in handicap at Haydock (24.3f, good to soft) 3 weeks ago (went like the best at the weights but left vulnerable to a stayer played later). In the mix again. Runner-up the last twice and this progressive 6yo might not be far away.
(7) (16/1 -33%) Idem
16/1(-33%)
(7) Idem 16/1, Made a bright start over hurdles, doubling his tally when impressively quickening clear under a hands-and-heels ride at Kelso in September. Just respectable fourth at Ascot next time but shaped well until coming to grief on return at Wetherby (21.2f, heavy) just over 3 weeks ago. This harder. Has shown considerable promise; trainer excels with staying types; could be leading player.
LTO Selection:
16:10 Ayr Handicap Hurdle (Class 3) 24f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
The hat-trick seeking President Scottie holds an obvious chance off a 5lb higher mark than his victory in a class 4 event at Haydock last month, but the one to side with is WELCOM TO CARTRIES. Paul Nicholls' six-year-old was far from disgraced when upped to Grade 2 level at Doncaster in January, finishing runner-up, and, while open to more improvement, he could defy his opening rating of 130. Doughmore Bay filled the runner-up berth in this grade at Haydock last time and is another to note.
Several powerful yards represented but it's YOUNG JACK who is selected to come out on top having not been seen to best effect when third (a place behind Milcree) in a falsely-run novice at Newcastle 5 weeks ago. This step up in trip should be right up his street sent handicapping and he can get the better of Welcom To Cartries, who is yet to finish oustide the first two places. The prolific Major Fortune and Irish-raider Chosen Witness can fight out third.
The very lightly raced 6yo MILCREE has plenty of stamina in his pedigree and is the selection now up in trip for his handicap debut.
(10) Kendall Roy 5/4, Career best when winning 7-runner handicap (7/1) at Windsor (5.1f, good) 5 days ago, forging clear. Carries penalty and looks ahead of the game. Thriving; 4l winner at Windsor on Monday; well treated under a penalty.
(7) (5/1 +0%) Moonstone Boy
5/1(+0%)
(7) Moonstone Boy 5/1, Winner at Southwell in March. 10/3, very good second of 6 in handicap at Southwell (5f) 20 days ago, slowly away. On the upgrade recently so a big player if continuing the good work on turf. A model of consistency, second at Southwell last time; should be in the mix again.
(2) (11/2 -10%) Curious Rover
11/2(-10%)
(2) Curious Rover 11/2, Good second of 8 in nursery (7/2) at Newcastle (5f). Off 173 days and gelded. May yet have more to offer as a 3-y-o. Haydock winner as 2yo; fine efforts off higher marks after; may continue to progress.
(4) (13/2 -30%) Sergeant Wilko
13/2(-30%)
(4) Sergeant Wilko 13/2, C&D winner. 3/1, career best when winning 5-runner handicap at Newcastle (6f) 28 days ago, well ridden. Assessor reacted with 7 lb back on turf but he's clearly in good order. Front-runner; easily made all at Newcastle four weeks ago; 7lb rise looks fair.
(8) (12/1 +0%) Winged Messenger
12/1(+0%)
(8) Winged Messenger 12/1, Career best when winning 5-runner maiden at Hamilton (5f, soft, 11/10), always holding on. Off 6 months. Makes handicap debut. More required. Ended 2yo season with Hamilton win; retains potential; very interesting if fit after break.
(3) (14/1 +30%) Midnight Lir
14/1(+30%)
(3) Midnight Lir 14/1, Last of 9 in nursery at York (5f, heavy, 17/2). Off 6 months and has no margin for error from this mark. Two juvenile wins; more required to make winning reappearance but that's possible.
(1) (18/1 -13%) G'day Mate
18/1(-13%)
(1) G'day Mate 18/1, Eighth of 11 in handicap at Newcastle (6f, 25/1) 22 days ago. That was a backward step but he's a player on his Lingfield run prior to that. 5f winner in Ireland on yielding ground; must concede weight to some unexposed rivals.
(5) (25/1 +0%) Due For Luck
25/1(+0%)
(5) Due For Luck 25/1, Two wins from 5 runs last year. 11/2, seventh of 8 in nursery at Newcastle (5f). Off 173 days and needs to return an improved performer to defy this mark. Disappointing last two 2yo starts and needs to be revived by a break.
(6) (40/1 -21%) Mini Magna
40/1(-21%)
(6) Mini Magna 40/1, Two wins from 6 runs last year. Last of 6 in handicap at Southwell (5f, 14/1) 20 days ago, possibly amiss. In and out since Bath wins last summer; others appear to have more potential.
LTO Selection:
16:20 Thirsk Handicap (Class 3) 5f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
Having struck over C&D on his debut last year, SERGEANT WILKO was highly tried thereafter and failed to make an impact. He was imperious in victory on last month's return at Newcastle, though, and despite being 7lb higher back on the grass, he could have more in the locker. Kendall Roy is 1lb out of the handicap under a 6lb penalty for his recent Windsor success but the Twilight Son gelding looks set to mount a stern challenge from a handy weight, while the consistent Moonstone Boy should not be far away.
KENDALL ROY is 1 lb "wrong" under a penalty for Monday's Windsor romp but such was the impression he created that day, he looks more than capable of going in again. Moonstone Boy has been progressing on AW and is another big player.
Plenty of possibilities in a warm handicap, headed by KENDALL ROY (nap) who bolted up at Windsor on Monday.
(6) Hidden Law 8/13, Dubawi colt who shaped well when second of 6 in minor event at Southwell (11.1f) on debut just over 3 weeks ago, showing a fine turn of foot to challenge and unfortunate to lose out on the nod. He's sure to progress and should be bang there. Green when beaten a short head on his Southwell debut; every chance of going one better.
(2) (7/2 +0%) Clockwatcher
7/2(+0%)
(2) Clockwatcher 7/2, Held back by inexperience when third at Chelmsford City (10f) on debut but improved for the step up in trip albeit still showing signs of greenness when second at Kempton (12f) a couple of months ago. May do better still now stepping on turf for the first time. Placed in both starts on AW, showing improvement second time; shouldn't be far away.
(8) (7/1 -27%) Mycoloursoryours
7/1(-27%)
(8) Mycoloursoryours 7/1, Gleneagles colt who produced a promising first effort despite being found wanting for know-how when third of 11 in maiden at Lingfield (10f, AW) on debut 10 days ago, pulling clear of remainder. Close third despite signs of greenness on Lingfield debut; should have learnt from that.
(3) (25/1 -25%) Easy Dancer
25/1(-25%)
(3) Easy Dancer 25/1, Ran to a similar level as on debut when eighth of 13 in maiden at Kempton (11f) 4 months ago. More need making his turf debut. Well held in two Kempton maidens late last year; can be handicapped after this.
(4) (33/1 -65%) Environment Amigo
33/1(-65%)
(4) Environment Amigo 33/1, Golden Horn gelding who showed ability amidst greenness when fifth of 6 in minor event (16/1) at Southwell (11.1f) on debut just over 3 weeks ago. Open to improvement with that initial effort under his belt. Well beaten on his Southwell debut; looks one for handicaps in due course.
(10) (50/1 -25%) Wahoo King
50/1(-25%)
(10) Wahoo King 50/1, Awtaad colt who was held back by inexperience when a well-held sixth of 9 in minor event at Kempton (12f) on debut a couple of months ago. He looks one for the longer term. Beaten a long way on his Kempton debut in February; needs to leave that effort well behind.
(7) (66/1 -65%) Marhaba Million
66/1(-65%)
(7) Marhaba Million 66/1, Galileo colt who showed only greenness when well held in maiden at Wolverhampton (9.5f) on debut 18 days ago. Will need to leave that effort well behind. Well-held ninth on his Wolverhampton debut; can do better but others preferred this time.
LTO Selection:
16:25 Newbury Maiden (Class 2) 11f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
HIDDEN LAW went close to making a winning start to his career when runner-up to a well-bred Juddmonte colt at Southwell last month, with the pair pulling well clear of the third, and Charlie Appleby's charge wouldn't need to improve much from that display to go one better today. Clockwatcher stepped forward from his debut to go close at Kempton in February and is unlikely to hang around on the front end. Far L'amore and Clockmaker are others worth considering.
A maiden that looks sure to throw up future winners and it's HIDDEN LAW who gets the vote having been unfortunate to lose out on the nod at Southwell just over 3 weeks ago. He can get the better of Clockwatcher, who was still green but took a big step forward when finishing runner-up at Kempton in February, while Mycoloursoryours and Environment Amigo are both once-raced and are open to improvement, too.
The choice is HIDDEN LAW who is bred to be useful and can gain compensation for a narrow defeat on last month's Southwell debut.
(1) Chemistry 11/10, Promising type. Blinkered, third of 12 in maiden at Naas (8f, soft, 8/1) on debut, running on late. Off 6 months. Bred to relish this longer trip and there should be a good deal more to come, so looks the one to beat on return. Plenty of debut promise at Naas in October; sure to relish step up in trip.
(12) (8/1 -45%) Quilieve
8/1(-45%)
(12) Quilieve 8/1, Once-raced filly. 6/1, fifth of 12 in maiden at Leopardstown (7.1f, heavy) on debut, inadequate test. Off 6 months. Significantly up in trip. Should have more to offer. Never landed a blow on debut, more expected of on return.
(2) (17/2 -6%) Kaptain Bay
17/2(-6%)
(2) Kaptain Bay 17/2, Once-raced colt. Fifth of 10 in maiden at Punchestown (8f, good to soft, 25/1) on debut. Off 7 months. Up in trip. Could do better. Mild debut promise at two; more expected of over mid-distances this year.
(5) (14/1 +58%) Model Approach
14/1(+58%)
(5) Model Approach 14/1, Once-raced gelding. 50/1 and cheekpieces on, fifth of 11 in maiden at Leopardstown (8f, heavy) on debut 13 days ago. Up in trip. Bred to do better for this longer trip, so not ruled out. Just fair debut effort at Leopardstown 13 days ago, probably needs more time.
(7) (25/1 -25%) Northern Sonas
25/1(-25%)
(7) Northern Sonas 25/1, Once-raced gelding. Ninth of 10 in maiden at Leopardstown (7.1f, heavy, 33/1) on debut. Off 6 months. Significantly up in trip. Soundly beaten on sole 2yo start in Leopardstown maiden, can only be watched on return.
(13) (80/1 -60%) Sheen Falls Time
80/1(-60%)
(13) Sheen Falls Time 80/1, Twice-raced filly. Eighth of 13 in maiden (66/1) at Dundalk (7f) 29 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Well held on last month's AW return; likely more one for handicaps.
(3) (150/1 -127%) King Of The Bronx
150/1(-127%)
(3) King Of The Bronx 150/1, Twice-raced gelding. Last of 12 in maiden (200/1) at Navan (8f, soft). Off 6 months. Up in trip. Last on both 2yo outings, easily overlooked.
LTO Selection:
16:30 Curragh Maiden 10f Race Speed Rating Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
Chemistry shaped with some promise when third on debut at Naas in October and appears to be open to improvement for stepping up in trip. Similar comments apply to Model Approach, who finished fifth at Leopardstown earlier in the month, but a chance is taken on BLOOM VEGA. Conditions are unlikely to be a concern given her dam was a dual Listed winner with cut in the ground and Johnny Murtagh's Lope De Vega filly commands plenty of respect on her first career start.
CHEMISTRY showed plenty to work on over an inadequate trip on debut at Naas 6 months ago and could be much improved on return, so he's preferred to Bloom Vega, who is the clear pick of the newcomers. Model Approach is also expected to step forward over this longer distance, so he's another one to consider.
Little strength in depth for a maiden at this venue and likely a good opportunity for CHEMISTRY, who should relish this step up in trip
(4) Doctor Kildare 2/1, Once-raced maiden. 5/4, fourth of 10 in bumper at Newbury (16.3f, soft) on NH debut 88 days ago, running green. Could improve plenty from that initial experience, so demands respect. Only fourth when warm favourite for Newbury debut but that was still a promising run.
(10) (9/2 +10%) Shady Wadey
9/2(+10%)
(10) Shady Wadey 9/2, Luck of The Kitten gelding. Half-brother to 3 winners, including fairly useful hurdler/useful chaser Sarasota Star and dual bumper winner Snegurochka. Dam unraced. One to note on pedigree. Half-brother to useful jumper Sarasota Star and a bumper winner; yard does well in bumpers.
(7) (13/2 -8%) Mythical Moon
13/2(-8%)
(7) Mythical Moon 13/2, Only seventh at Kempton on debut and, while he should have learned from that experience, he needs more to make an impact in this. Made underwhelming debut when seventh of nine at Kempton in November.
(11) (12/1 -50%) Walden
12/1(-50%)
(11) Walden 12/1, Out of a French Flat winner and showed a bit to work on when fifth at Taunton first time out. Will need to step forward from that if he's to open his account at the second attempt. Shaped with significant promise when fifth of 12 at Taunton last month.
(5) (33/1 +0%) Full Of Secrets
33/1(+0%)
(5) Full Of Secrets 33/1, War Command gelding. Dam useful bumper winner. One to be interested in if the market speaks in his favour. Out of a well-connected triple bumper winner; with that pedigree, he can't be ignored.
(14) (40/1 -233%) Alexandra Larose
40/1(-233%)
(14) Alexandra Larose 40/1, Sister to bumper winner/useful 2¾m hurdle winner Shannon Royale, and half-sister to numerous winners, including useful hurdler/chaser Minella Foru. However, debut display at Stratford was fairly low-key and she's passed over. From good jumping family and shaped with promise on heavy ground at Stratford last month.
(8) (50/1 +0%) Romeo Foxtrot
50/1(+0%)
(8) Romeo Foxtrot 50/1, £3,200 3-y-o, Dragon Dancer gelding. Brother to bumper winner Vanilla Dancer, and half-brother to 4 winners, including dual bumper winner Vanilla Run. Makes some appeal on paper. Brother to a bumper winner but stable 0-17 in these races during last five seasons.
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
DOCTOR KILDARE was sent off a warm order when beaten into fourth on his debut at Newbury in January, but he will have learned a great deal from the experience. Nicky Henderson's four-year-old should have plenty more to offer and he looks the one to beat. Mythical Moon failed to fire at Kempton but he has Brian Hughes taking over the reins, which suggests he could take a big leap forward. Any market confidence behind Walk With Charisma would be interesting.
SHADY WADEY is related to three winners, including a dual bumper scorer, and his stable is adept at readying one first time out, so he's worth taking a chance on. Doctor Kildare is the clear pick of those with experience and Walk With Charisma is another notable newcomer.
Fourth against older horses in a stronger race than this at Newbury in January, DOCTOR KILDARE looks the one to beat here.
(7) Violet Love 9/4, 16,000 gns foal, £30,000 yearling, Havana Grey filly. Dam maiden half-sister to very smart winner up to 1¼m Folkswood. Promising second of 7 in novice (11/8) at Southwell (5f) on debut 20 days ago, running on. Should improve. Notable connections; promising second at Southwell; respected with progress on the cards.
(2) (4/1 -14%) Bob The Bandit
4/1(-14%)
(2) Bob The Bandit 4/1, Cheap purchase who showed ability when runner-up on debut in the Brocklesby (5f, heavy) last month. Still looked raw but filled same spot behind a most promising newcomer at Wolverhampton (5.1f) since and his experience will count for plenty here. Runner-up in the Brocklesby and an AW contest; leading player on the figures.
(3) (6/1 -20%) Coiled
6/1(-20%)
(3) Coiled 6/1, 7,000 gns yearling, Coulsty gelding. Half-brother to 2-y-o 5f winner Mawde and 1m winner My Ambition. Dam, 2-y-o 5f winner, half-sister to smart winner up to 7f Roi de Vitesse. Third of 8 in maiden at Southwell (5f, 12/1) on debut 25 days ago. Should improve on Southwell AW effort and he represents last year's winning yard.
(5) (50/1 +0%) Super Dino
50/1(+0%)
(5) Super Dino 50/1, €16,000 yearling, Kodiac colt. Dam, 2-y-o 5f-6.5f winner, half-sister to useful 1½m winner Relentless Voyager. Last of 8 in maiden at Southwell (5f, 25/1) on debut 25 days ago. Blinkered for 1st time. Inauspicious debut at Southwell, finishing last; now blinkered.
LTO Selection:
16:40 Brighton Maiden (Class 5) 5f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Bob The Bandit has filled the runner-up berth on both starts to date and should have his say, but he may have to play second fiddle again, this time to VIOLET LOVE. The George Boughey-trained filly caught the eye staying on for a close second once the penny dropped on her debut over 5f at Southwell last month, and she should have more to offer here with that experience under her belt. Ollie Sangster introduces Bob Mali and Fondest Dream, with the latter, who cost 32,000gns, possibly the pick of those two newcomers.
Brocklesby runner-up BOB THE BANDIT bumped into one on the AW 3 weeks ago so is worth another chance. Violet Love made a decent start when second at Southwell and is the obvious threat.
Southwell runner-up VIOLET LOVE is taken to go one better. Coiled and Bob The Bandit are the other form contenders.
(2) Quai De Bourbon 4/5, Left his French form behind when winning big-field maiden at Naas on his Irish debut after 13 months off. Made to work hard when following up at Clonmel (16.5f) prior to running a cracker in the Martin Pipe on handicap debut. Sets the standard and should continue to progress. Strong form claims on the strength of his close third in the Martin Pipe at Cheltenham.
(4) (7/2 -27%) Billericay Dickie
7/2(-27%)
(4) Billericay Dickie 7/2, Fairly useful Flat winner who looked a good prospect when landing a 2½m Punchestown maiden on hurdles debut for new yard in January, quickening to lead approaching last and going clear. Open to significant improvement. 1m4f winner in France; did it easily when odds-on for a Punchestown maiden.
(8) (5/1 +0%) Twoohthree
5/1(+0%)
(8) Twoohthree 5/1, Promising points scorer who also won 7-runner novice hurdle (7/1) at Leopardstown (20f) in good style on Rules debut last month, cruising clear. Failed to build on that promise at Navan last time but shaped better than the distance beaten suggests and remains open to improvement. Impressed in his maiden and made a costly late blunder last time; open to improvement.
(6) (16/1 -33%) Jetronic
16/1(-33%)
(6) Jetronic 16/1, Chase winner in France who opened his hurdling account on third start for Paul Nicholls in a slowly-run Plumpton novice (20.5f, soft) last month. This demands a lot more, however. Made all on his return to hurdling at Plumpton; lightly raced and in top hands.
(7) (20/1 -25%) Phantomofthepoints
20/1(-25%)
(7) Phantomofthepoints 20/1, Promise both outings in bumpers and belatedly built on his hurdling debut promise when running away with a 2m Chepstow novice 19 days ago. Not an obvious one to be suited by this step back up in trip, though. Engaged 1.20 here Friday. Novice winner but dropped away to finish out of the money on yesterday's handicap debut.
(1) (20/1 +0%) Choccabloc
20/1(+0%)
(1) Choccabloc 20/1, Bumper winner who confirmed the promise of his hurdling debut when edging out a subsequent winner at Ludlow (21.2f) in November. Not disgraced upped in grade at Cheltenham 11 weeks later but faces another stiff task. Penalty found him out in a Grade 2 at Cheltenham and it could be a similar tale here.
(3) (20/1 +0%) Bertie's Ballet
20/1(+0%)
(3) Bertie's Ballet 20/1, Useful dual bumper winner (second victory here) who is improving over hurdles, scoring in the mud at Haydock (2m) in December and running well in Grade 2 at Kelso (18.2f) 7 weeks ago. Bred to be suited by this longer trip and may do better still. Smart 6yo but limitations exposed the last twice and others have stronger form.
(5) (40/1 -21%) Dripsey Moon
40/1(-21%)
(5) Dripsey Moon 40/1, Dual point winner who looked potentially useful when making a successful hurdling debut at Perth last summer. Has had his limitations exposed in stronger company since, however. Failed to land a telling blow on his handicap debut here yesterday and this is no easier.
LTO Selection:
16:45 Ayr Maiden Hurdle (Class 3)
20f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
BILLERICAY DICKIE got off the mark in the style of a very smart prospect when winning by a wide margin on his hurdles bow over 2m4f at Punchestown in January and, with a freshness edge over some of his rivals, he gets the vote to take Willie Mullins a step closer to securing the trainers championship. Quai De Bourbon arrives on the back of an excellent third in the Martin Pipe at Cheltenham last month and he can give the selection the most to think about. Jetronic scored on his hurdles debut for this stable at Plumpton last month, though he benefitted from an easy time of things out in front that day and isn't guaranteed the same here.
QUAI DE BOURBON looked a smart performer in the making when posting an excellent third in an exceptionally strong renewal of the Martin Pipe at last month's Cheltenham Festival, so he's very much the one to beat, especially with further progress on the cards. Unexposed pair Twoohthree and Billericay Dickie are feared most.
Willie Mullins sets a poser by running two but QUAI DE BOURBON has the best form credentials after his third in a Cheltenham handicap.
(1) God's Window 1/10, Dubawi colt who made a highly promising start when winning Doncaster maiden on debut. 1¾ lengths third of 7 to Ancient Wisdom in Futurity Trophy (8/1) at same course (8f, heavy), staying on well. Off 175 days. Will take the beating. Had two 1m races at Doncaster, winning a maiden and 2l third of seven in Group 1 Futurity.
(3) (9/1 +0%) Washeek
9/1(+0%)
(3) Washeek 9/1, Twice-raced maiden. Improved from debut when third of 8 in minor event at Carlisle (7.8f, good, 11/1), having run of race. Gelded during 7-month absence. Front-running third at Carlisle (1m) as 2yo does not suggest he's a match for God's Window.
LTO Selection:
16:50 Nottingham Stakes (Class 5) 8f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
This is a perfect opportunity for GOD'S WINDOW to get his three-year-old campaign off to a flyer before some potentially big targets. The Dubawi colt started off with a victory at the St Leger meeting, booking his return ticket to Doncaster for the Futurity Trophy, and he proved he belongs at the top table with a fine third. He is still in the 2000 Guineas, but his pedigree suggests he will be better over further so maybe a Derby trial beckons after this. Carlisle third Washeek is expected to chase him home, unless newcomer Rock Armour is above average.
GOD'S WINDOW ran a fine race going straight from a maiden win to place in a Group 1 at the end of last season and is impossible to oppose on comeback, Washeek seemingly showed a fair level of ability on his second start and is preferred to newcomer Rock Armour for second.
Having taken a maiden and been third in the Group 1 Futurity, beaten just 2l by the hot favourite, GOD'S WINDOW will surely win this.
(6) Never So Brave 4/7, Promising type who improved on his debut form when second of 11 in maiden at Nottingham (6.1f, soft, 2/1), running on. Off 9 months. Open to further improvement and very much the one to beat. Second in two 2yo starts, finishing behind subsequent Group 1 winners on both occasions.
(9) (4/1 +0%) Swift Storm
4/1(+0%)
(9) Swift Storm 4/1, Shaped with plenty of promise when third of 12 in minor event (5/1) at Newcastle (7.1f) on debut, not knocked about. Off 173 days. First run for yard after leaving Alice Haynes. Will improve. Promising third on sole 2yo run (7f, AW; solid form); respected starting out for new yard.
(11) (5/1 +0%) Ghaihaban
5/1(+0%)
(11) Ghaihaban 5/1, Ran below the pick of her 2-y-o form when third of 7 in minor event at Doncaster (7f, soft) 27 days ago. Needs to get back on track. Placed in her three starts, including 7f on slow ground; in the mix once again.
(5) (16/1 +0%) Mysteryofthesands
16/1(+0%)
(5) Mysteryofthesands 16/1, 40/1, showed more than on debut when third of 11 in minor event at Catterick (7f, heavy) 17 days ago, not knocked about. Shaped with some promise at Catterick on his reappearance; can do better but needs to.
(10) (25/1 -25%) Capellina
25/1(-25%)
(10) Capellina 25/1, Twice-raced filly. 18/1, fifth of 11 in minor event at Ayr (7.2f, good to soft). Off 7 months. Remains open to progress but could be more one for handicaps after this. Showed some promise in two Ayr runs over 7f last season but others have achieved much more.
(12) (40/1 +0%) Moneypiece
40/1(+0%)
(12) Moneypiece 40/1, Sent off 5/1 but proved very green when only seventh of 12 in maiden at Redcar (6f, good to firm, 5/1) on debut. Off 10 months. Didn't live up to market billing on her 2yo debut; should be a different proposition at 3.
(4) (50/1 +0%) Georgie Wooster
50/1(+0%)
(4) Georgie Wooster 50/1, Hinted at ability first time up when seventh of 13 in maiden at Newcastle (8f) on debut 12 days ago, not knocked about. Entitled to do better but may be one for the longer term. Recent Newcastle debut (1m, AW) not without hope but likely one for the longer term.
(8) (66/1 -32%) Scarfo
66/1(-32%)
(8) Scarfo 66/1, Well held in maiden/minor event. Off 6 months. First run for yard after leaving John Quinn. Down the field in two runs as a 2yo (6f and 7.5f); handicaps more suitable after this.
(1) (66/1 +0%) Damisa
66/1(+0%)
(1) Damisa 66/1, In need of experience when well held in maiden/minor event. Significantly up in trip. This trip more suitable than 5f but he's still hard to make a case for.
(2) (80/1 +0%) Evelyn's Phoenix
80/1(+0%)
(2) Evelyn's Phoenix 80/1, Offered little when ninth of 11 in minor event (80/1) at Catterick (7f, heavy) on debut 17 days ago. 80-1 and dropped right away in a 7f novice on heavy ground at Catterick 17 days ago.
(3) (80/1 +0%) Faris Flyer
80/1(+0%)
(3) Faris Flyer 80/1, Little impact in maiden/minor event. Significantly up in trip. Remote last in two 5f runs this spring; can't be recommended.
LTO Selection:
16:55 Thirsk Maiden (Class 5) 7f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
NEVER SO BRAVE can count himself incredibly unfortunate to have bumped into a pair of subsequent Group 1 winners when second on his two starts last season. It is perhaps a slight concern that we haven't seen him since last July but, all being well, he is the one to beat. Swift Storm was a promising third on his debut at Newcastle in October and he appeals as a likely threat, while Ghaihaban and newcomer Phoenix Of Dreams are just two others to consider.
NEVER SO BRAVE was unlucky to bump into subsequent Group 1 winner Vandeek at Nottingham on his most recent outing in July and is the clear pick on that form. Swift Storm produced a promising first effort at Newcastle in October and is preferred to Ghaihaban for forecast purposes.
Swift Storm shaped well on debut but NEVER SO BRAVE's second placings came behind two of the leading juveniles of 2023.
(4) Cracksking 4/1, Opened his account in a Newcastle maiden (10.2f) on final start of 2023, displaying an impressive turn of foot in the process. Gelded since and open to improvement returned to handicap company off what could prove to be a very fair mark. Made it sixth-time lucky at Newcastle last October; gelded since; watch market on return.
(3) (13/2 +0%) Prince Maxi
13/2(+0%)
(3) Prince Maxi 13/2, Confirmed debut promise (for Richard Hannon) when winning 10-runner novice at Wolverhampton (8.6f) in February. Turned over when odds on upped to 9.5f at the same course next time but that form has been boosted since and he's well worth a second look back on turf with William Buick booked. First and second at Wolverhampton since February; open to more progress on handicap debut.
(15) (7/1 +0%) Graham
7/1(+0%)
(15) Graham 7/1, Left 2-y-o form well behind switched to handicaps last year, winning twice and making the frame 6 times from his 8 starts. Latest success was over 1½m here 7 months ago and 3 lb rise fair enough, so he's a must for the shortlist. In the frame in all eight handicaps last year, winning twice; a player if in the same form.
(7) (10/1 +0%) God Of Thunder
10/1(+0%)
(7) God Of Thunder 10/1, Decisive winner at Wolverhampton in November and doubled his tally when striking at Lingfield (1½m, AW) last month. Turf record stands at 0-7 but he's clearly effective on grass and could have a part to play with this drop back in trip unlikely to be an issue. Yard also saddles Graham. Two AW wins since November; 6lb rise and drop in trip may find him out now back on turf.
(9) (10/1 +17%) Gallant Lion
10/1(+17%)
(9) Gallant Lion 10/1, Won 4 handicaps on the bounce at up to 11.6f for Tony Carroll last summer. Form dipped final 2 starts of 2023 campaign but wouldn't be without a chance if able to get back on track starting out for new yard here following a 6-month break. Completed a four-timer for Tony Carroll last summer; record suggests the run may be needed.
(17) (12/1 -71%) Monteria
12/1(-71%)
(17) Monteria 12/1, Off the mark at Windsor in the early part of last season and resumed winning ways during the autumn at Salisbury (1¼m, heavy). Backed that up when going down narrowly back at Windsor next time and each-way chance, provided he's raring to go following a break. May be better for first run in six months, but still of interest under suitable conditions.
(6) (12/1 -33%) Baltimore Boy
12/1(-33%)
(6) Baltimore Boy 12/1, More miss than hit last year but he was a winner off this mark at Kempton and put in good late work when fourth of 10 at Kempton (1¼m) on return/debut for new yard recently. One to consider with Jim Crowley again in the hot-seat. Both wins on the AW and 0-7 on turf; a bit to prove attempting this far for the first time.
(10) (14/1 -40%) Entrancement
14/1(-40%)
(10) Entrancement 14/1, Scored at Goodwood last spring and runner-up twice from her 4 subsequent starts, including over this C&D (heavy) when last seen in September. Yard saddled the winner of this in 2021 and she could have a part to play if ready to roll, Both wins on a soft surface; player if ready to roll and ground doesn't dry up too much.
(19) (14/1 +0%) Expressionless
14/1(+0%)
(19) Expressionless 14/1, Back-to-back winner last April, latterly off a 2 lb higher mark on his handicap debut at Epsom. Best effort since when a never-nearer sixth of 13 at Bath (10.2f, heavy) recently but will need to up his game in order to emerge on top here. Not beaten far last time; 2lb below last winning mark and acts on soft ground; interesting.
(18) (16/1 -60%) Galileo's Compass
16/1(-60%)
(18) Galileo's Compass 16/1, Placed on a couple of times for Jessica Harrington in Ireland last year, including off a 5 lb higher mark on his handicap debut at Naas (10.5f, good to soft) in August. One to note in the betting on return/debut for new yard with Tom Marquand aboard. Placed a couple of times for Jessica Harrington last year; market useful on stable debut.
(11) (18/1 -13%) Oj Lifestyle
18/1(-13%)
(11) Oj Lifestyle 18/1, Hasn't managed to add to maiden success here at 2 yrs and while he performed with credit in a first-time tongue strap at Epsom (8.5f, good to firm) on his latest start in October (gelded since), others make more appeal. 125-1 winner here as a 2yo; something to prove up in trip after 202 days off.
(16) (20/1 -67%) One Step Beyond
20/1(-67%)
(16) One Step Beyond 20/1, Ended last season with a couple of heavy defeats but it was otherwise a productive 2023 campaign. This mark doesn't look insurmountable and he'll be a threat if fully tuned-up for this assignment. Three wins last year; off seven months but has won fresh; each-way possibilities.
(5) (20/1 +0%) Mr Mistoffelees
20/1(+0%)
(5) Mr Mistoffelees 20/1, Progressive at 2 yrs but he failed to make an impact in 4 starts last season and is opposable back from an 8-month absence (has been gelded). Back in much calmer waters returning from nine months off, but may be best watched for now.
(2) (25/1 +0%) Polling Day
25/1(+0%)
(2) Polling Day 25/1, Successful both starts for the Gosden yard in 2021 and has performed with credit on 2 of his 4 starts appearances for new connections since returning from a lengthy absence in November. Ran poorly tried in a hood (discarded here) at Lingfield last time, though, and he's opposable on this turf debut. Seems to retain ability, but this looks a tough ask on turf debut.
(14) (25/1 +38%) Qaasid
25/1(+38%)
(14) Qaasid 25/1, Three-time winner on the AW and performed with credit when third on sole turf start last season at Newmarket. Reproduction of that form would put him firmly in the picture but now has a bit to prove following a string of no-shows in recent months. Rarely seen on grass these days, but 7lb lower than when third at Newmarket last May.
(1) (33/1 -65%) Sweet Reward
33/1(-65%)
(1) Sweet Reward 33/1, Better than ever when landing a 7-runner handicap in the mud at Goodwood last August. Signed 2023 campaign off with a poor effort, though, and he was down the field in this race off a 4 lb lower mark 12 months ago. Returns from 197 days off and his record suggests he will come on for the run.
(12) (33/1 -65%) High Spirited
33/1(-65%)
(12) High Spirited 33/1, Off the mark in a Windsor maiden last spring and encouraging fourth on handicap debut at Ascot in September, despite giving away several lengths at the start. However, she failed to make an impact final 2 starts of last season when again forfeiting ground exiting the stalls. Slow starts have become an issue; off five months; unraced on ground softer than good.
LTO Selection:
17:00 Newbury Handicap (Class 4) 10f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Prince Maxi tasted defeat at short odds when filling the runner-up spot under a 7lb penalty at Wolverhampton last month. However, the switch to handicap company and the booking of William Buick offers plenty of encouragement that he can be very competitive. The vote, though, goes to CRACKSKING. He built on some promising efforts to shed the maiden tag at Newcastle in October and a subsequent gelding operation may yield a fair amount of improvement. Graham and Oj Lifestyle are others capable of being in the mix.
The unexposed CRACKSKING deservedly opened his account at Newcastle in October and, with the promise of better to come, he could be the answer to this competitive handicap. Graham also signed off last season on a winning note and he doesn't look badly treated up 3 lb, while Baltimore Boy could be a threat with his encouraging reappearance fifth at Kempton under his belt. Entrancement is also worthy of consideration.
It may be worth chancing EXPRESSIONLESS who should appreciate conditions and has dropped 2lb below his last winning mark.
(11) Merisi Diamond 7/2, C&D winner. One win from 3 runs last year. 5/6 and hooded for 1st time, creditable second of 10 in handicap at Leopardstown (7.1f, heavy) 10 days ago, conceding first run. Expected to be bang there. Dual course winner on heavy; second over 7f at Leopardstown last time; has more to offer.
(3) (8/1 -78%) Tough Talk
8/1(-78%)
(3) Tough Talk 8/1, Lightly-raced winner. C&D winner. Fourth of 6 in handicap (7/4) at Leopardstown (7.3f, good), nearest finish. Off 9 months. Stable in good form. Tongue strap back on. Smart 2yo and lightly raced since; potentially on a good mark with perhaps more to give.
(1) (10/1 -25%) Heavenly Power
10/1(-25%)
(1) Heavenly Power 10/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Navan in October. Respectable third of 10 in handicap at Naas (5.9f, soft, 4/1). Off 6 months. Merits consideration. Dual course winner but probably needs his best form yet to defy current mark.
(16) (11/1 -10%) Secret Magician
11/1(-10%)
(16) Secret Magician 11/1, C&D winner. 9/1, respectable fourth of 9 in handicap at Cork (7f, heavy) 21 days ago. Looks competitive on form. Both wins have come over C&D and he handles heavy; shaped well at Cork three weeks ago.
(19) (12/1 +40%) Hokusai
12/1(+40%)
(19) Hokusai 12/1, 20/1, respectable eighth of 23 in handicap at this course (8f, heavy) on reappearance 33 days ago, hampered. Back down in trip. Blinkers back on. Yet to shine over this trip but could go well under last season's champion apprentice.
(4) (14/1 -40%) Dagoda
14/1(-40%)
(4) Dagoda 14/1, C&D winner. Good third of 19 in handicap at this course (5.9f, heavy, 14/1). Off 172 days. Dual course winner and third of 19 after missing the break in a C&D handicap in October.
(10) (14/1 +36%) Ramiro
14/1(+36%)
(10) Ramiro 14/1, Course winner. Shaped better than the result when seventh of 9 in handicap (2/1) at Cork (7f, heavy) 21 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Second at Naas prior to that. Interesting back at 6f. Good second over 7f at Naas last month; didn't see out his race when favourite at Cork.
(14) (16/1 -14%) Run Forrest Run
16/1(-14%)
(14) Run Forrest Run 16/1, C&D winner. 14/1, seventh of 11 in handicap at Cork (5f, heavy) on reappearance 21 days ago. Others more persuasive. Hold-up sprinter won twice over 6f last term, here and at Cork; needs luck in running.
(21) (16/1 -14%) Super Over
16/1(-14%)
(21) Super Over 16/1, Latest win at Dundalk in March. Seventh of 20 in handicap at Leopardstown (8f, heavy, 10/1) 13 days ago. Back down in trip. Four wins on AW (7f/1m); yet to win on turf and faded over 1m on heavy ground last time.
(6) (16/1 +0%) Brave Troop
16/1(+0%)
(6) Brave Troop 16/1, Two wins from 6 runs last year. 7/1, fell in novice hurdle at Gowran (16f, heavy). Off 6 months. Fairly useful on the Flat, creditable on last Flat run. Down in trip. Beaten fractions off this mark over 7f at Listowel in September; long lay-off to overcome.
(5) (18/1 +0%) Rough Diamond
18/1(+0%)
(5) Rough Diamond 18/1, C&D winner. 17/2, sixth of 9 in handicap at Dundalk (6f) 57 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Tongue strap on 1st time. Four-time winner handles soft; not in great form on AW over the winter; tongue-tie.
(8) (18/1 +0%) Polar Bear
18/1(+0%)
(8) Polar Bear 18/1, Below form fifth of 13 in handicap at this course (5f, heavy, 16/1) 33 days ago. Has won over 6f and handles heavy; should have come on for fair return at Cork.
(2) (20/1 +0%) Never Shout Never
20/1(+0%)
(2) Never Shout Never 20/1, Below form sixth of 11 in handicap (50/1) at Cork (5f, heavy) 21 days ago. Needs a couple of these to falter. Second over C&D last term for Fozzy Stack; weak in market when beaten around 5l at Cork.
(9) (20/1 +0%) Coumshingaun
20/1(+0%)
(9) Coumshingaun 20/1, C&D winner. Sixth of 9 in handicap at Cork (7f, heavy, 12/1) on reappearance 21 days ago. Ought to be sharper now. Dual C&D winner should be better for seasonal debut over 7f at Cork and is fairly treated.
(13) (20/1 +0%) Saturn Seven
20/1(+0%)
(13) Saturn Seven 20/1, Career best when winning 14-runner handicap (12/1) at this course (5f, soft). Off 6 months. First run for yard after leaving Ken Condon. 5f winner here on testing ground when last seen in October; visor worn then left off.
(15) (20/1 +20%) Run The Jewels
20/1(+20%)
(15) Run The Jewels 20/1, Latest win at Dundalk in December. 14/1, first run since leaving Michael McCullagh when good fifth of 14 in handicap at Dundalk (6f) 15 days ago, nearest finish. Has work to do. First try over 6f at Dundalk was encouraging but he's probably better around a bend.
(7) (25/1 -25%) Gustavus Weston
25/1(-25%)
(7) Gustavus Weston 25/1, 3-time C&D winner. Twenty one runs since last win in 2021. Last of 11 in handicap at Cork (5f, heavy, 28/1) 21 days ago. Second over 5f here in the autumn but no encouragement from his two starts this term.
(18) (25/1 +0%) Mercurial
25/1(+0%)
(18) Mercurial 25/1, One win from 26 Flat runs. Below form 11¾ lengths ninth of 20 to Merisi Diamond in C&D handicap (heavy, 5/1) on return 33 days ago, not knocked about. Cheekpieces back on. Should be sharper for the outing. Runner-up three times last term including over C&D on similar ground in October.
(20) (25/1 +0%) Midnight Fire
25/1(+0%)
(20) Midnight Fire 25/1, 3-time C&D winner. 20/1, below form tenth of 19 in handicap at this course (5.9f, heavy). Off 172 days. Three of his four wins have come over C&D including first-time out last term on heavy.
(12) (33/1 +0%) Rathbranchurch
33/1(+0%)
(12) Rathbranchurch 33/1, Winner at Navan in October. Eighth of 12 in handicap (10/1) at this course (5f, heavy). Off 167 days. Needs a couple of these to falter. Consistent handicapper throughout last season and ran well first time out; goes on heavy.
(22) (40/1 +0%) Tai Sing Yeh
40/1(+0%)
(22) Tai Sing Yeh 40/1, Four wins from 24 runs last year. 16/1, very good third of 14 in handicap at Dundalk (6f) 15 days ago. Respected. Only beaten 2l in AW handicap latest but this company looks bit too hot for him.
(17) (50/1 +0%) Distillate
50/1(+0%)
(17) Distillate 50/1, Three wins from 22 runs last year. Respectable fifth of 10 in handicap (12/1) at Dundalk (6f) 80 days ago. Must improve. Three-time winner handles heavy but off since January and opposable in this grade.
(23) (66/1 +0%) Livingston Range
66/1(+0%)
(23) Livingston Range 66/1, 50/1, tenth of 14 in handicap at Dundalk (6f) 15 days ago. Soundly beaten in three starts since switching yards last month and hard to fancy.
LTO Selection:
17:05 Curragh Handicap 6f Race Speed Rating Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
This can go the way of MERISI DIAMOND, who could not have won any easier over track and trip in March before failing to justify short odds at Leopardstown. Martin Brassil's charge seems to have more of a liking for the Curragh and gets the vote ahead of Tough Talk, who was runner-up in the Marble Hill over C&D as a two-year-old and hinted at a return to form at Leopardstown last July. Dagoda and top-weight Heavenly Power also go well here, while Saturn Seven is another to note on her first start for new connections.
The return to 6f could suit RAMIRO who might prove the answer to this wide-open finale. Merisi Diamond has returned in top form this spring and should go well again. Tai Sing Yeh, Tough Talk and Heavenly Power are also on the shortlist.
After a good comeback at Cork, SECRET MAGICIAN, who goes well here and handles heavy ground, is just preferred to Merisi Diamond
(1) Ceilidh 11/4, 4/1, career best when winning 14-runner handicap at Leicester (7f, good) when last seen in September, plenty in hand. 6 lb rise easy to digest and he is a big player. Ended last season with two wins and he's strongly respected on his return.
(4) (4/1 +0%) Thoughtful Gift
4/1(+0%)
(4) Thoughtful Gift 4/1, Career best when winning 8-runner minor event at Kempton (8f, 8/15) 52 days ago, kept up to work. Makes turf debut and more is needed back in a handicap. Has won AW events (1m) last twice; now switches to turf but she's open to more progress.
(10) (7/1 +0%) Heer's Sadie
7/1(+0%)
(10) Heer's Sadie 7/1, C&D winner. Respectable third of 13 in handicap at this course (6f, heavy, 7/1), unsuited by drop in trip. Off 6 months. This consistent mare Enters calculations. Two C&D wins last summer and latest was off this mark; needs close look on return.
(8) (10/1 -25%) Muy Muy Guapo
10/1(-25%)
(8) Muy Muy Guapo 10/1, Remains a maiden after 17 Flat runs. 11/2, last of 9 in handicap at Kempton (7f) 45 days ago, very slowly away. Others preferred. 17-race maiden who has finished in rear in two AW runs this year; opposable.
(3) (12/1 -50%) Daisy Roots
12/1(-50%)
(3) Daisy Roots 12/1, Latest win at Lingfield in October. 18/1, creditable fourth of 11 in handicap at that course (8f, AW) 12 days ago. Each-way shout. Close fourth at Lingfield on her return and she could go well again back in trip.
(9) (12/1 -33%) Awesome Spirit
12/1(-33%)
(9) Awesome Spirit 12/1, Ninth of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f, 10/1) 10 days ago. WIll be a danger to all if able to bounce back. 14-race maiden who has not made an impact in three runs after wind surgery this spring.
(6) (14/1 -27%) Dulcet Spirit
14/1(-27%)
(6) Dulcet Spirit 14/1, Thirteenth of 14 in handicap (11/2) at Lingfield (7f, AW) 10 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Needs a couple of these to falter. On dangerous mark back on turf but she needs a major revival with cheekpieces added.
(7) (14/1 +0%) Mudlahhim
14/1(+0%)
(7) Mudlahhim 14/1, 10/1, respectable fourth of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 19 days ago, left poorly placed. 0-15 on turf and it's probably best to look elsewhere. Multiple AW winner but he's 0-15 on turf and has never run here; down the list.
(11) (16/1 -33%) Moorgate
16/1(-33%)
(11) Moorgate 16/1, Winner at Lingfield in November. Ninth of 10 in handicap (13/2) at Lingfield (6f, AW) 15 days ago, slowly away. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals. Won at Lingfield in November but his form nosedived there last time; bit to prove again.
(5) (16/1 -14%) Sir Titan
16/1(-14%)
(5) Sir Titan 16/1, Latest win at Lingfield in January. Seventh of 9 in handicap (10/1) at Wolverhampton (9.5f) 28 days ago. Back down in trip and others are more persuasive. Ended a long losing run at Lingfield in January but he's been held in his last three runs.
(2) (20/1 -25%) Comedian Leader
20/1(-25%)
(2) Comedian Leader 20/1, Four wins from 17 runs last year. 25/1, eighth of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 21 days ago. Needs to raise her game. Well held in both runs for new yard; 0-9 on turf and has something to prove back on grass.
(12) (33/1 -32%) Arlo's Sunshine
33/1(-32%)
(12) Arlo's Sunshine 33/1, Fourteen runs since last win in 2023. Creditable fifth of 15 in handicap (100/1) at Chelmsford City (8f) 7 days ago. Others make more appeal from a win point of view. Losing run is up to 14 and he needs to rediscover his spark back at this trip.
(13) (40/1 +0%) Carry On Aitch
40/1(+0%)
(13) Carry On Aitch 40/1, One win from 21 Flat runs. Eleven runs since last win in 2023. Good fourth of 9 in handicap (80/1) at Lingfield (7f, AW) 57 days ago. Hood on 1st time. Just one win from 21 starts and has not made an impact in last six runs; hood now tried.
LTO Selection:
17:15 Brighton Handicap (Class 6) 7f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
This handicap looks wide open but there is plenty to like about the chances of HEER'S SADIE, who loves it here and returns from her winter break off the same mark as her C&D victory last summer. Ceilidh took a while to get off the mark but he quickly followed up his opening success with another win when last seen at Leicester in September and there could be more to come from him. Thoughtful Gift also bids for a hat-trick after an all-weather double in February but she has yet to race on turf, while Daisy Roots and Moorgate are also respected off tumbling marks.
CEILIDH ended last season on the up and, if able to pick up where he left off, he could prove tough to beat. Thoughtful Gift is also bidding for a third consecutive success and she is feared, for all that more is needed from this 5-y-o. The realiable Heer's Sadie and Daisy Roots can do battle for minor honours.
George Baker's CEILIDH found plenty of progress with his two wins in the autumn and is a big player if he can pick up where he left off
(3) C'est Ta Chance 7/4, Won sole start in points and didn't lose much in defeat when second at Navan first time under Rules, sticking to the task well. Was up against it in the Champion Bumper last time but boasts excellent claims of opening his accoun in this lesser company. Bumped into smart prospect at Navan; midfield in Champion Bumper next time; this is weaker.
(5) (7/1 -27%) Histrionic
7/1(-27%)
(5) Histrionic 7/1, Expensive purchase on the back of success between the flags but hasn't come up to expectations under Rules as yet. Has had a break since latest effort at Newbury. Easy point winner; beaten favourite in two bumpers but in good hands and still low-mileage.
(9) (8/1 +0%) Reflection Of You
8/1(+0%)
(9) Reflection Of You 8/1, Won sole start in Irish points (Oct 2023) and followed suit in a 6-runner bumper at Musselburgh first time out, making all with plenty in hand. Open to improvement and definitely of interest. Clearcut winner of Irish point and Musselburgh bumper, both on soft; plenty of potential.
(2) (10/1 +0%) Thistle Be The One
10/1(+0%)
(2) Thistle Be The One 10/1, Failed to beat a rival both starts in points but proved a different proposiition when landing a 9-runner bumper at Kempton 56 days ago. Could be more to come, so dangerous to rule out. Last in two points before springing 40-1 surprise in Kempton bumper; has to be respected.
(1) (33/1 -32%) Gasmani
33/1(-32%)
(1) Gasmani 33/1, Getaway gelding who was successful on last of 3 starts in points and built on an encouraging Rules debut when landing an 8-runner bumper at Newcastle last time. This is much tougher. Game winner at Newcastle; open to further improvement but meets stronger opposition here.
(11) (50/1 +0%) Authorized Mission
50/1(+0%)
(11) Authorized Mission 50/1, Tongue tied when down the field at Newcastle on debut and fared little better at Kelso next time. Others make more appeal. Beaten about 16l at Newcastle and Kelso in the winter; still early days but has to improve.
(10) (66/1 +0%) Disco Annie
66/1(+0%)
(10) Disco Annie 66/1, Runner-up completed start in points but yet to offer much promise under Rules. Looked to have a bright future when second in a point, but well held in bumpers since.
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
C'est Ta Chance has the ability to play a hand in a race of this nature and commands respect, though his lacklustre display in the Champion Bumper at Cheltenham tempers enthusiasm somewhat. Preference is for CALIFET EN VOL. Nicky Henderson's charge finished second on his only point-to-point start before being snatched up for 145,000 pounds, and it would be no surprise if he were up to the task at the first time of asking under Rules. Reflection Of You scored on her Rules debut at Musselburgh and is respected too.
C'EST TA CHANCE has the best form and his latest effort in the Champion Bumper is best to draw a line through, so he takes preference over point-winner Califet En Vol, with the unbeaten Reflection of You another obvious player.
The percentage call is C'EST TA CHANCE, who bumped into a smart prospect at Navan and ran in the Champion Bumper next time.
(1) Zargun 4/1, Latest win at Doncaster in March. 15/2, below form eighth of 13 in handicap at Thirsk (5f, heavy) 11 days ago, unable to get to the lead but this is a big drop back in class. Not at best last time but penultimate Doncaster win makes him of interest at this level.
(4) (4/1 +0%) High Opinion
4/1(+0%)
(4) High Opinion 4/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Newcastle in November. Respectable third of 11 in handicap at Newcastle (5f, 11/2) 12 days ago, faring best of those held up. Expected to be bang there from the same mark. Good form over C&D; promising effort on AW on recent return from break; interesting.
(3) (11/2 +15%) Fortunate Star
11/2(+15%)
(3) Fortunate Star 11/2, C&D winner. 6¾ lengths eighth of 10 to Zargun in handicap (10/1) at Doncaster (5f, soft) 27 days ago, unable to sustain effort. May strip fitter for that. Bolted up over C&D last spring; patchy since but he's had a run & this is a drop in class.
(8) (11/2 +8%) Mehmo
11/2(+8%)
(8) Mehmo 11/2, C&D winner. Three wins from 16 runs last year. Fifteen runs since last win in 2023. Seventh of 9 in handicap at Southwell (5f, 9/2) 23 days ago. C&D winner; pick of this year's AW efforts bring him right into it; each-way shout.
(6) (9/1 +64%) Harry With Style
9/1(+64%)
(6) Harry With Style 9/1, Seventh of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (5.1f, 33/1) 16 days ago. Quiet on AW this year but getting back on slow turf could see him to much better effect.
(11) (11/1 +0%) Glorious Rio
11/1(+0%)
(11) Glorious Rio 11/1, C&D winner. Twenty four runs since last win in 2022. Below form sixth of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f, 15/2) 10 days ago. Not at his best on AW this winter; returns to turf off a reduced mark; each-way shout.
(10) (11/1 -57%) Bama Lama
11/1(-57%)
(10) Bama Lama 11/1, Seventh of 8 in minor event at Southwell (6.1f, 9/1) 30 days ago. Should run closer to form this time. Conditions should suit and she's highly likely to leave her AW reappearance behind her.
(5) (11/1 -22%) Under Curfew
11/1(-22%)
(5) Under Curfew 11/1, Thirty three runs since last win in 2021. 9/4 and cheekpieces on for first time, respectable fourth of 10 in handicap at Chelmsford City (6f). Off 6 months. Winless since July 2021; back from a break on ground slower than optimal.
(7) (14/1 -100%) Stallone
14/1(-100%)
(7) Stallone 14/1, Course winner. Latest win at Newcastle in March. Ninth of 11 in handicap at Newcastle (5f, 10/1) 12 days ago. Bounce back needed returned to turf. Course winner; two more AW wins to his name this year; below par latest though.
(2) (20/1 +0%) Refuge
20/1(+0%)
(2) Refuge 20/1, Almost certainly needed the run when tenth of 11 in handicap (33/1) at Doncaster (5f, soft) 27 days ago. Dropped to a handy mark if stepping up on that. Dropped away on his reappearance but should do better in this lower grade.
(9) (25/1 -25%) Ohnojoe
25/1(-25%)
(9) Ohnojoe 25/1, Hood/tongue strap on for first time when last of 12 in handicap at Catterick (6f, good, 25/1). Off 7 months and headgear left off. Not easily recommended but there are grounds for expecting better today.
LTO Selection:
17:25 Nottingham Handicap (Class 6) 5f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
HIGH OPINION has been in good form on the all-weather, running well in defeat on three occasions at Newcastle after going in there in November. He is a soft-ground C&D winner so the switch in surface will hold no fears for him and he remains competitively weighted. Stallone was behind him last time, but he had been acquitting himself well prior to that and can't be written off yet. Zargun is also better than his latest effort suggests, while Under Curfew often performs well without getting his head in front.
ZARGUN finally cashed in on a falling mark at Doncaster last month and, back in a more suitable grade after a lesser effort at Thirsk, he may well be able to dominate these. High Opinion made up plenty of ground at Newcastle last time and is a threat, along with Mehmo.
An open sprint in which C&D winner HIGH OPINION can build on his latest effort. Mehmo may chase him home.
(2) Ramazan 9/4, Big improver towards the end of last season, landing a valuable Chepstow handicap before finding only one too good in Ayr Gold Cup and Redcar listed event final 2 outings. Big chance if returning in similar form. Progressed into smart performer at 3, going close in 7f Listed race final start; player.
(1) (3/1 -9%) Baradar
3/1(-9%)
(1) Baradar 3/1, Bagged the International Handicap at Ascot in July and produced a really smart handicap performance when following up over 6.5f at the Doncaster St Leger meeting. Seemed amiss in the Balmoral Handicap and underperformed on his return at Doncaster but this step back up in trip ought to suit. Smart handicapper last year; 6f bit short on reappearance and respected back at 7f.
(4) (7/2 -40%) Holloway Boy
7/2(-40%)
(4) Holloway Boy 7/2, Debut winner in Chesham at Royal Ascot in 2022. Seen just twice last season, disappointing in Irish 2000 Guineas before running up to his best with headgear left off when fourth of 15 in Jersey Stakes. Gelded prior to running below form in Doncaster listed event on return. Talented sort who might have needed run when a well-held fourth on 1m reappearance.
(5) (4/1 +11%) Shartash
4/1(+11%)
(5) Shartash 4/1, Useful gelding who underperformed when a well-held sixth of 9 in the Renaissance Stakes (9/1) at the Curragh (6f, heavy) on final outing. Off 6 months/gelded. First run for yard after leaving John Patrick Murtagh for €150,000. Didn't really fire last year but Group 2 winner at 2 and change of yard might reinvigorate.
(3) (18/1 -13%) Rhoscolyn
18/1(-13%)
(3) Rhoscolyn 18/1, Useful gelding. Three wins from 13 runs last year. Found run of good form coming to a halt at Ascot on final outing but easy to forgive that given a busy campaign. Has had a breathing operation ahead of return and has a bit to find on these terms. Three Goodwood wins in fine 2023 but has bit to find on figures here.
LTO Selection:
17:30 Thirsk Stakes (Class 3) 7f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
HOLLOWAY BOY sets the standard in this contest with a rating of 109 and he was beaten into fourth in the Doncaster Mile on his return to action month, shaping as if this step back down in trip would be a good move. The Karl Burke-trained four-year-old's only victory came in the Chesham over this distance on his debut and he looks well placed to double his tally. Ramazan progressed nicely last year and his latest effort when runner-up in the Guisborough at Redcar in October puts him bang in contention, while Shartash warrants a market check on his first start for the Archie Watson yard.
RAMAZAN improved in leaps and bounds towards the end of last season and can take this if returning in similar form. Baradar ought to be suited by the return to 7f and is second choice.
Richard Fahey's RAMAZAN made good progress as a 3yo and can get his 2024 campaign off to the perfect start.
(2) Ensured 11/4, Fifteen runs since last win in 2021. Respectable fifth of 10 in handicap at Doncaster (10.2f, soft, 9/4) 27 days ago. One to consider. On dangerous mark but he didn't fire when favourite at Doncaster latest and is now 1-18.
(1) (3/1 -20%) Lord Melbourne
3/1(-20%)
(1) Lord Melbourne 3/1, Career best when winning 6-runner handicap at Pontefract (10f, heavy, 4/1) 18 days ago. 3 lb hike tolerable and she's high on the shortlist. Forged clear on his handicap debut at Pontefract and a 3lb rise looks fair; big player.
(6) (11/2 -10%) Upepo
11/2(-10%)
(6) Upepo 11/2, Latest win at Lingfield in January. Creditable third of 9 in handicap at Southwell (14.1f, 9/4) 31 days ago. Solid claims. Three AW wins for his current yard but he needs to transfer his progress back to turf.
(3) (7/1 +0%) Lexington Knight
7/1(+0%)
(3) Lexington Knight 7/1, Three wins from 16 runs last year. 25/1, creditable third of 16 in handicap at Lingfield (12f, AW) 22 days ago. Not discounted. Placed on AW in last two starts and he should go well again back on turf; respected.
(4) (9/1 -29%) Eton Blue
9/1(-29%)
(4) Eton Blue 9/1, C&D winner. Below form ninth of 15 in handicap (11/2) at Newmarket (9f, good). Off 7 months and significantly back up in trip. Possibly in the handicapper's grip for now. Dual course winner who has won when fresh before; needs watching in market on his return.
(7) (10/1 -25%) Major Major
10/1(-25%)
(7) Major Major 10/1, 5/1, eighth of 10 in handicap at Chelmsford City (14f) 7 days ago. Yard saddles a stronger candidate in Lord Melbourne. Dual turf winner and needs watching in market back in this sphere; one of two for R Hannon.
(5) (12/1 -20%) Suffrajet
12/1(-20%)
(5) Suffrajet 12/1, One win from 3 runs last year. Latest win at Kempton in December. 28/1, fifteenth of 16 in handicap at Lingfield (12f, AW) 22 days ago, hampered. Likely to come up short once again. On workable mark but she had a major blip on AW last time and others are more convincing.
LTO Selection:
17:45 Brighton Handicap (Class 4) 12f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Lord Melbourne was able to put it all together when winning at Pontefract earlier this month and he is a leading candidate off 3lb higher, but ENSURED is preferred. Better was expected of James Fanshawe's charge last time at Doncaster, having been sent off favourite, but he drops from class 3 company and must hold every chance eased 1lb in the ratings. Eton Blue might be on a career-high mark, but he goes well fresh and likes it around here.
The vote goes to ENSURED, who arrives here on a long losing run but she's been given a helping hand by the handicapper. Lexington Knight and Lord Melbourne rate the main dangers in that order of preference, while Upepo is also likely to be in the mix.
The vote goes to LORD MELBOURNE (nap), who forged clear on his handicap debut at Pontefract and is open to more progress.
(3) The Dragon King 6/4, Showed plenty of speed when second of 8 in maiden (5/2) at Southwell (5f) on debut 25 days ago, clear of rest. Entitled to do better so holds obvious claims. Promising second on debut at Southwell; represents a top stable; probably the one to beat.
(5) (6/1 +25%) Lady Dorchester
6/1(+25%)
(5) Lady Dorchester 6/1, Showed more than previously when fifth of 8 in minor event (15/2) at Kempton (5f) 10 days ago. Can take another step forward. Unplaced in AW races; plenty of experience but will probably need to improve.
(1) (16/1 +20%) Chilly Breeze
16/1(+20%)
(1) Chilly Breeze 16/1, 8/1, held back by inexperience and didn't achieve much when last of 4 in minor event at Southwell (5f) on debut 9 days ago. Outsider of four, finished last at Southwell nine days ago; may improve but needs to.
LTO Selection:
17:55 Nottingham Maiden (Class 5) 5f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
The Dragon King was sent off joint-favourite for his debut at Southwell and gave his supporters a great run for their money, only being headed inside the final furlong before keeping on well for second. Natural improvement should be forthcoming but a chance is still taken on Karl Burke's Mehmas newcomer TEEJ A, who is out of a Listed-winning juvenile so is bred to come to hand quickly. Lady Dorchester's experience will stand her in good stead, but it will be disappointing if there aren't one or two better than her.
THE DRAGON KING showed bags of speed first time up when finishing runner-up at Southwell last month so with improvement on the cards, Clive Cox's colt is taken to go a place better at the expense of debutante Teej A, who represents a yard notorious for success with their juveniles. Lady Dorchester showed more than previously at Kempton recently and she rounds off the shortlist.
Teej A, from last year's winning stable, is an interesting newcomer but preference is for THE DRAGON KING after a promising debut.
(7) Mersea 4/1, Won 4-runner handicap at Southwell (5f, 9/4) 9 days ago, rallying. Likeable filly who should be suited by this step back up in trip, so makes plenty of appeal. Rallied gamely to win at Southwell; should be in the thick of things again.
(9) (4/1 +20%) Huddle Up
4/1(+20%)
(9) Huddle Up 4/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2021. Respectable third of 10 in handicap (11/4) at Doncaster (5f, soft) 27 days ago. Not dismissed. Third at Doncaster in March; second in division of this race last year; leading contender.
(2) (11/2 -10%) Slainte Mhath
11/2(-10%)
(2) Slainte Mhath 11/2, Three wins from 11 runs last year. Creditable third of 10 in handicap (5/1) at Catterick (6f, heavy) 17 days ago. One to consider. Close third at Catterick; again unlikely to be far away under optimum conditions.
(5) (8/1 +27%) Thankuappreciate
8/1(+27%)
(5) Thankuappreciate 8/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2022. Below form third of 8 in handicap at Chester (5.1f, heavy, 11/1), never nearer. Off 6 months. Worth a market check. 1-15; often blows the start and stable has been quiet so far this year.
(6) (17/2 -6%) King's Crown
17/2(-6%)
(6) King's Crown 17/2, C&D winner. Respectable fourth of 10 in handicap (8/1) at Pontefract (6f, good to soft), doing too much too soon. Off 6 months. Worthy of respect for all that he may need the run. C&D winner; has joined yard that excels with sprinters; dangerous if returning to his best.
(11) (9/1 +0%) Secret Road
9/1(+0%)
(11) Secret Road 9/1, 11/2, didn't need to improve to win 13-runner handicap at Southwell (6.1f) 20 days ago. Remains fairly treated on past exploits. Consistent; won at Southwell last month and does not look overburdened by a 3lb rise.
(12) (14/1 -40%) Rainbow Rain
14/1(-40%)
(12) Rainbow Rain 14/1, C&D winner. Three wins from 12 runs last year. 4/1, bit below form sixth of 11 in handicap at Newcastle (5f) 12 days ago. Three wins in 2023; might have needed latest run; soft conditions would be a worry.
(3) (14/1 -17%) Music Society
14/1(-17%)
(3) Music Society 14/1, Fourteen runs since last win in 2022. 5/1, third of 5 in handicap at Catterick (6f, heavy), merely closing up late. Off 6 months. Will probably strip fitter for this. 0-14 in 2023; no great record fresh; others make more obvious appeal.
(4) (14/1 +0%) Impressor
14/1(+0%)
(4) Impressor 14/1, Four wins from 13 runs last year. 10/1, below form fifth of 10 in handicap at Catterick (6f, heavy) 17 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Four wins last year; possibly needed reappearance and cheekpieces are back today; chance.
(10) (16/1 +0%) Cold Stare
16/1(+0%)
(10) Cold Stare 16/1, 28/1, bit below form sixth of 12 in handicap at Newcastle (7.1f) 50 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Others preferred. Second here 12 months ago; interesting back on turf and with cheekpieces returning.
(1) (18/1 -50%) Society Lion
18/1(-50%)
(1) Society Lion 18/1, C&D winner. Last of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f, 18/1). Off 104 days. Not easy to make a case for. Won a division of this race in 2023; has to be respected off the same mark.
(8) (25/1 -56%) Dark Kestrel
25/1(-56%)
(8) Dark Kestrel 25/1, Tenth of 11 in handicap (11/1) at Newcastle (5f) 76 days ago. Needs to bounce back. Has had wind surgery since last poor run; unproven on ground softer than good.
(13) (33/1 -65%) Dandy Spirit
33/1(-65%)
(13) Dandy Spirit 33/1, 28/1, ninth of 13 in handicap at this C&D (heavy) 11 days ago. Has work to do. Most recent win came off 7lb higher; probably needed latest run; could go well at a price.
LTO Selection:
18:05 Thirsk Handicap (Class 5) 6f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
SLAINTE MHATH (third) finished a neck behind Mersea (second) on her return from a 192-day break at Catterick earlier in the month and she is 2lb better off with that rival this time around. Katie Scott's mare could strip fitter on her second start back and she can reverse that form to go two places better. As for the latter, she went on to score at Southwell last week and is likely to be on the premises once again. Music Society and Huddle Up are others to note.
MERSEA battled well to score at Southwell last time and, from a handy draw in 13, she's worth a chance to defy a small rise with a fitness edge over plenty. Slainte Mhath and Huddle Up also arrive on the back of solid efforts and are others to consider.
A wide-open handicap may go to KING'S CROWN who has fallen in the weights and now reappears for a new yard that excels with sprinters.
(5) Sunset In Paris 5/2, 85/40, career best when winning 11-runner minor event at Wolverhampton (9.5f) 40 days ago. Clearly in good nick but will neede to kick on again if he's to complete the hat-trick here. Three AW wins from last four starts; big player if he can transfer form back to turf.
(1) (4/1 +0%) Global Tycoon
4/1(+0%)
(1) Global Tycoon 4/1, Career best when winning 8-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (9.5f, 9/2) 7 days ago, slowly away. Enters calculations. Won at Wolverhampton last week but he's still unexposed on turf; respected.
(2) (5/1 +0%) Bletchley Storm
5/1(+0%)
(2) Bletchley Storm 5/1, Winner at Southwell in February. Sixth of 8 in handicap (9/2) at Southwell (11.1f) 37 days ago. Would have a big chance if reproducing the form of her success at the aforementioned course in February. Off the mark at Southwell (1m3f) in February but she was disappointing there last time.
(3) (15/2 -15%) The Conqueror
15/2(-15%)
(3) The Conqueror 15/2, Winner at Lingfield in December. 5/2, respectable sixth of 11 in handicap at Lingfield (12f, AW) 85 days ago, not much room. Can make presence felt. Lingfield winner in December and he has claims if he gets some luck back in trip.
(7) (12/1 -50%) Native Melody
12/1(-50%)
(7) Native Melody 12/1, 16/1, twelfth of 13 in handicap at Chelmsford City (10f). Off 131 days and cheekpieces back on. Needs to bounce back in a major way. Has a patchy profile and needs to bounce back near best after another break.
(4) (14/1 -40%) Come To Pass
14/1(-40%)
(4) Come To Pass 14/1, Fourteen runs since last win in 2022. Seventh of 9 in handicap hurdle at Chepstow (16f, soft, 28/1) 30 days ago. Modest on the Flat, creditable on last Flat run. Needs a couple of these to falter. Three placed efforts on the Flat this winter and he's in the mix back in this sphere.
(11) (14/1 -56%) Rita Rana
14/1(-56%)
(11) Rita Rana 14/1, One win from 27 Flat runs. Fourteen runs since last win in 2022. Bit below form fifth of 9 in handicap at Windsor (8.1f, heavy, 18/1). Off 180 days and back up in trip. Opposable. Just 1-28 but she's on a dangerous mark and needs checking in the market on her return.
(8) (16/1 -33%) Chourmo
16/1(-33%)
(8) Chourmo 16/1, Respectable fourth of 9 in minor event (10/1) at Wolverhampton (12.2f) 35 days ago. Place possibilities. Still a maiden after 12 starts and has weak claims on bare 2024 form.
(10) (20/1 -25%) Miss Tiki
20/1(-25%)
(10) Miss Tiki 20/1, Course winner. Twelve runs since last win in 2021. 40/1, first run since leaving Michael Roberts when last of 9 in minor event at Lingfield (10f, AW) 69 days ago. Best to look elsewhere. Record of 1-18 and she was last of nine on her recent stable debut; equipment now removed.
(9) (20/1 +0%) Qeyaady
20/1(+0%)
(9) Qeyaady 20/1, Remains a maiden after 17 Flat runs. 25/1, bit below form sixth of 16 in handicap at Lingfield (12f, AW) 15 days ago, running on. Looks vulnerable for win purposes. Sole win was in France in 2021 and was a remote sixth at Lingfield last time; opposable.
(13) (40/1 -21%) Red Hot Rose
40/1(-21%)
(13) Red Hot Rose 40/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Tongue strap on for 1st time, eighth of 11 in minor event at Southwell (8.1f, 100/1) 25 days ago. Up in trip for this turf/handicap debut. Still unexposed but she needs major improvement upped in trip on handicap debut.
(6) (66/1 +0%) Hiccups
66/1(+0%)
(6) Hiccups 66/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Last of 12 in handicap at Lingfield (13f, AW, 66/1) 75 days ago. Back down in trip and blinkers on 1st time. Readily passed over. Has struggled in all four runs and he needs a transformation back in trip; hood added.
(12) (66/1 +0%) On The Nose
66/1(+0%)
(12) On The Nose 66/1, C&D winner. One win from 21 Flat runs. Fifteenth of 16 in handicap (150/1) at Lingfield (12f, AW) 15 days ago. Others make more appeal. Her win came over C&D but that was in 2022 and she's struggled in last eight runs.
LTO Selection:
18:15 Brighton Handicap (Class 6) 10f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
SUNSET IN PARIS recorded a third success from his last four starts when on target at Wolverhampton last month. Despite being winless on the grass from four attempts, he has shown some promise and the in-form son of Camelot is fancied to continue his upward trajectory. Bletchley Storm is on a competitive mark judged on last year's turf form and must enter calculations, along with the Gay Kelleway-trained Native Melody.
Having lookekd better than ever when scoring on return at Wolverhampton last weekend, GLOBAL TYCOON looks the way to go. A 4 lb nudge for that looks very fair indeed and he is marginally preferred to Bletchley Storm, who was below par last time but she will be a serious threat if able to bounce back here. The hat-trick seeking Sunset In Paris is another with a live chance.
Hat-trick seeker Sunset In Paris is strongly respected but preference is for last week's Wolverhampton winner GLOBAL TYCOON.
(6) Glencalvie 9/2, 8/1, won 12-runner handicap at Yarmouth (8f, good to firm) 7 days ago, always holding on. Should be competitive again from 3 lb higher mark, Winning return to turf over 1m last week; back up 3lb; much slower ground today.
(7) (11/2 +0%) Seattle Time
11/2(+0%)
(7) Seattle Time 11/2, Respectable third of 9 in handicap (9/1) at Lingfield (7f, AW) 29 days ago, running on. Has good chance on pick of form and still isn't long with an up-and-coming yard, so makes plenty of appeal. Acts on soft; looked worth another go at 1m when making late headway over 7f on AW latest.
(4) (13/2 -18%) The Spotlight Kid
13/2(-18%)
(4) The Spotlight Kid 13/2, Seventh of 9 in handicap at Chelmsford City (7f, 3/1). Off 170 days. Cheekpieces back on. Others preferred. Handles soft; both wins over 7f at Yarmouth; looked non-stayer over 1m more often than not.
(2) (13/2 +0%) Cariad
13/2(+0%)
(2) Cariad 13/2, Won handicap at Chelmsford in November and possibly found race coming too soon when down the field there under a penalty 3 days later. Place claims with visor applied after 165 days off. Four AW wins at 1m; turf maiden but acts well over C&D and has won after a break.
(5) (10/1 +0%) Realised
10/1(+0%)
(5) Realised 10/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 125/1, ninth of 14 in minor event at Kempton (8f). Off 166 days. Type to do better now handicapping. Well connected; minor form in qualifying runs; could do a lot better now handicapping.
(10) (10/1 +0%) My Mate Mike
10/1(+0%)
(10) My Mate Mike 10/1, Winner at Lingfield in February. Eleventh of 12 in handicap at Lingfield (7f, AW, 5/1) 44 days ago. Profile already begininning to look patchy but not out it if putting his best foot forward. On the up when winning 7f AW handicap in February; well held latest; first 1m handicap.
(1) (10/1 -33%) Contrast
10/1(-33%)
(1) Contrast 10/1, Course winner. 9/1, eleventh of 14 in handicap at Redcar (10f, good). Off 6 months. Has gone well fresh but likely needs a couple of these to falter. Course winner over usual 1m2f trip but well held on latest run over 1m back in 2022.
(11) (11/1 -38%) Tonal
11/1(-38%)
(11) Tonal 11/1, Winner at Wolverhampton in February. Shaped better than distance beaten suggests when twelfth of 18 in handicap (28/1) at Doncaster (8f, heavy) 28 days ago, left poorly placed. Respected. Cosy winner at about 1m1f on AW in February; excuses since; should still have potential.
(9) (12/1 +0%) Macho Sun
12/1(+0%)
(9) Macho Sun 12/1, Eleventh of 15 in handicap at Newmarket (8f, soft, 20/1). Off 169 days. Has work to do. Maiden; good C&D form on reappearance last April and mark has dropped.
(12) (12/1 +0%) Haaf A Diamond
12/1(+0%)
(12) Haaf A Diamond 12/1, Last of 10 in handicap at Leicester (10f, soft, 6/1), unsuited by step up in trip. Off 7 months. Generally held form well in handicaps last season and could be worth market check. Versatile tactically, made all for 1m win but held up when strong-finishing 3rd later.
(3) (25/1 +0%) Ardbraccan
25/1(+0%)
(3) Ardbraccan 25/1, Seventeen runs since last win in 2021. 50/1, tenth of 11 in handicap at Chelmsford City (8f). Off 6 months. Hard to fancy. Sole win back in 2021; has C&D form but nearly all races on good or quicker ground.
(8) (25/1 +0%) Bay Dream Believer
25/1(+0%)
(8) Bay Dream Believer 25/1, Unreliable sort. Last of 11 in handicap at Newcastle (8f, 50/1). Off 158 days. Hood back on. Others look more solid. Suited by drop to 1m in 2023; has won on good, effective on good to soft; has a squeak.
LTO Selection:
18:25 Nottingham Handicap (Class 6) 8f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Glencalvie is likely to have her supporters after going in by half a length at Yarmouth last week and she would be foolish to dismiss off a 3lb higher rating. However, preference is for SEATTLE TIME, who produced his best effort for the Jack Jones yard so far when making the frame over 7f at Lingfield and the handicapper has been kind enough to drop him 1lb. The son of Time Test returns to turf and he can get his career up and running. Realised warrants a market check on her handicap bow.
SEATTLE TIME got back on track at Lingfield last month and it would be a surprise if things didn't soon click for him having not been long with the upwardly-mobile Jack Jones yard. Glencalvie scored at Yarmouth last week and has to be respected after that effort, whilst Tonal is better than he could show at Doncaster and is another player.
Glencalvie has less to prove than some but preference is for CARIAD on his strong C&D form on soft ground last summer.
(4) Mereside Diva 4/1, Two wins from 6 runs last year. 11/4, career best when winning 8-runner handicap at Redcar (6f, heavy), suited by emphasis on stamina. Off 6 months. Well drawn and makes plenty of appeal with more to come as a 4yo. Won two 6f handicaps in 2023, including on soft; went well on return last year.
(8) (9/2 -13%) Gulliver
9/2(-13%)
(8) Gulliver 9/2, 11/2, creditable third of 9 in handicap at Southwell (6.1f) 9 days ago, nearest finish. Chance if rediscovering old form. Last won on grass in 2020 but claims on his hampered C&D run in September when 12lb higher.
(9) (7/1 -8%) Blazing Son
7/1(-8%)
(9) Blazing Son 7/1, Creditable fourth of 13 in handicap at Southwell (6.1f, 10/3) 20 days ago. May well be on the premises again. Good AW strike-rate but 1-19 on turf; does have C&D form though and not far away.
(3) (7/1 -17%) Minnesota Lad
7/1(-17%)
(3) Minnesota Lad 7/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2022. Creditable second of 12 in handicap (7/1) at Wolverhampton (6.1f), finishing best. Potentially well treated if he's tuned up for this after 170 days off. Yet to win a handicap but suited by 6f on soft and primed for big run for in-form yard.
(7) (8/1 -45%) Harry's Halo
8/1(-45%)
(7) Harry's Halo 8/1, Below form fifth of 11 in handicap at Doncaster (5f, soft, 2/1) 27 days ago. Hood back on, tongue strap back on. Given a chance by handicapper and could sharpen up for latest run. Quite temptingly treated on best 6f form last summer; low-key return (favourite) over 5f.
(2) (9/1 +44%) William Dewhirst
9/1(+44%)
(2) William Dewhirst 9/1, C&D winner. Ninth of 11 in handicap (28/1) at Newcastle (6f) 48 days ago. Others are more persuasive for all that his stable is going well. C&D maiden winner on heavy; stayed on well for 7f Carlisle win in September; more to come.
(11) (11/1 +8%) Lord Abama
11/1(+8%)
(11) Lord Abama 11/1, Remains a maiden after 17 Flat runs. 17/2, ninth of 13 in handicap at Southwell (6.1f) 20 days ago. Should be closer to form with that reappearance under his belt. Maiden who looked to find this C&D on the sharp side in a division of the race last year.
(1) (14/1 -17%) Our Absent Friends
14/1(-17%)
(1) Our Absent Friends 14/1, Two wins from 4 runs last year. 33/1, sixth of 9 in handicap at Newcastle (5f) 38 days ago. Not easy to make a case for. Not in great form on AW but back on the same mark as his 6f win on soft at Ayr in July.
(6) (14/1 +0%) Shandy Star
14/1(+0%)
(6) Shandy Star 14/1, 10/1, sixth of 8 in handicap at Doncaster (7f, soft) 27 days ago. Likely to strip fitter for reappearance, so not without hope. Three 6f wins as 2yo; fallow season in 2023 but down weights and better for reappearance.
(10) (18/1 -29%) Patontheback
18/1(-29%)
(10) Patontheback 18/1, Seventh of 10 in handicap at Southwell (6.1f, 22/1) 23 days ago, not knocked about. On a reasonable mark and should strip fitter for reappearance. 0-14 on turf and this C&D looked an inadequate test last June; others more likely.
(12) (20/1 +0%) Hurstwood
20/1(+0%)
(12) Hurstwood 20/1, Creditable second of 12 in handicap (22/1) at Newcastle (6f), well drawn. Off 158 days. Likely to strip fitter for this. Soundly beaten in all three C&D runs and has yet to shine on his reappearance.
(13) (20/1 +0%) Asadjumeirah
20/1(+0%)
(13) Asadjumeirah 20/1, C&D winner. Thirty six runs since last win in 2022. Tenth of 13 in handicap at this C&D (heavy, 7/2) 11 days ago, slowly away. Needs to get back on track. C&D winner on good; heavy ground against him on return and has ground worries again.
(5) (28/1 -12%) Miss Bella Brand
28/1(-12%)
(5) Miss Bella Brand 28/1, Three wins from 12 runs last year. Latest win at Kempton in November. 25/1, last of 10 in handicap at Southwell (6.1f) 23 days ago. Visor on 1st time. Others make more appeal. Multiple 6f winner, including on soft; well beaten on AW latest; first time in headgear.
LTO Selection:
18:35 Thirsk Handicap (Class 5) 6f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Mereside Diva got up by the smallest of margins at Redcar in October and makes her return to the fray off a 2lb higher mark, so she has to be respected. However, she could come out second best to GULLIVER, who was only denied by half a length in third at Southwell and reverts to turf on a career-low mark. David O'Meara's veteran looks to have lots in his favour to take his career victories into double digits. Hurstwood and Minnesota Lad could also have a say.
MERESIDE DIVA has a 6-month absence to overcome but she was on the up when last seen and should be seen to good effect, so she's preferred to the well-treated Gulliver, who shaped encouragingly on the AW last time. Minnesota Lad is also considered in an open race.
Gulliver is very well treated now but OUR ABSENT FRIENDS chalked up appealing 6f form on soft last summer and gets the vote.
(1) Chinthurst 3/1, Shaped well after 6 months off when fifth of 16 in handicap (6/1) at Lingfield (12f, AW) 15 days ago, left with lot to do. Player off the same mark. Runner-up in all three runs here; his recent AW return was quite eyecatching.
(4) (9/2 +0%) Roman Tempest
9/2(+0%)
(4) Roman Tempest 9/2, 10/1, career best when winning 10-runner handicap at this C&D (heavy), well on top finish. Off 6 months but not taken lightly. He won with a good bit to spare over C&D (soft) when last seen in October.
(3) (11/2 +27%) Velvet Vulcan
11/2(+27%)
(3) Velvet Vulcan 11/2, Winner at Lingfield in February. 15/2, creditable second of 16 in handicap at Lingfield (12f, AW) 15 days ago. Much respected on his turf debut. AW winner and 2nd last time; chance if transferring that form on this turf debut.
(7) (17/2 -42%) Gilbert
17/2(-42%)
(7) Gilbert 17/2, Course winner. 28/1, below form eighth of 16 in handicap at Lingfield (12f, AW) 15 days ago. Needs a couple of these to falter. Course winner with each-way claims but his good days are hard to predict.
(5) (9/1 -13%) Forever Proud
9/1(-13%)
(5) Forever Proud 9/1, Winner at Lingfield in February. Solid sixth of 12 in handicap at Kempton (11f, 8/1) 45 days ago. Can make presence felt. Consistent over this far on the AW this winter and has comparable form on turf.
(2) (10/1 -43%) Total Lockdown
10/1(-43%)
(2) Total Lockdown 10/1, One win from 23 Flat runs. 100/1, respectable fourth of 10 in handicap at Southwell (8.1f) 30 days ago, left poorly placed. Back up in trip. Unreliable individual. Has form claims but can be slowly away and is probably not one to trust.
(8) (11/1 +0%) Jimmy Mark
11/1(+0%)
(8) Jimmy Mark 11/1, Below form fifth of 9 in handicap (8/1) at Windsor (10f, heavy). Off 180 days. Others more persuasive. Both wins at Bath over this far; could have a say if relatively straight after his break.
(9) (12/1 -50%) Bbob Alula
12/1(-50%)
(9) Bbob Alula 12/1, Course winner. Twelve runs since last win in 2022. Good third of 11 in handicap at Lingfield (10f, AW, 12/1). Off 6 months. Visor back on. Not discounted. Never won over this far but was a closing third at Lingfield when last seen.
(10) (16/1 +0%) Naadyaa
16/1(+0%)
(10) Naadyaa 16/1, Remains a maiden after 33 Flat runs. 16/1, eighth of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (9.5f) 18 days ago. Has some placed form to her name this year but she's a longstanding maiden.
(6) (20/1 -25%) Barbarosa
20/1(-25%)
(6) Barbarosa 20/1, One win from 24 Flat runs. Respectable eighth of 13 in handicap at Chelmsford City (10f, 40/1) 7 days ago. Can give a good account. Classified winner for this yard but has found life a lot tougher in handicaps.
(11) (20/1 -25%) Irezumi
20/1(-25%)
(11) Irezumi 20/1, 40/1, thirteenth of 16 in handicap at Lingfield (12f, AW) 15 days ago. Blinkers back on. Very hard to make a case for. Shown occasional promise but was tailed off on the AW two weeks ago after a lengthy break.
(12) (25/1 -56%) Beau Geste
25/1(-56%)
(12) Beau Geste 25/1, Course winner. Tongue strap on for 1st time, eighth of 11 in handicap (50/1) at Wolverhampton (12.2f) 32 days ago, meeting some trouble. Possibilities back in trip. Has plenty of form around here but this exposed 8yo has been struggling for a while.
LTO Selection:
18:45 Brighton Handicap (Class 6) 10f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Although yet to race on turf, VELVET VULCAN should have no problem with the switch. The son of Nathaniel has been running well on the all-weather in recent starts and, should he handle the track, looks to hold solid claims. Roman Tempest capped off last season with a decisive C&D success and, though 6lb higher in the weights, he has few miles on the clock and should be involved. Others to note include Chinthurst and Bbob Alula.
A few with chances but Jim Boyle's CHINTHURST made a promising return when fifth in a big-field Lingfield handicap so gets the vote off an unchanged mark. Forever Proud is weighted to have a say and next on the list ahead of the returning C&D winner Roman Tempest and turf-debutant Velvet Vulcan.
The interesting horse is CHINTHURST who has finished runner-up in all three visits here and whose recent AW return was encouraging.
(1) Clansman Evens, Has seemingly returned an improved model this term, supplementing his Thirsk success earlier this month with another wide-margin victory in 5-runner handicap at Ripon (14f, heavy, 8/13) 2 days ago. Carries penalty. Could take some stopping in the same mood. Goes for a quick hat-trick after easy heavy-ground wins at Thirsk and Ripon.
(5) (5/1 +0%) Queensland Boy
5/1(+0%)
(5) Queensland Boy 5/1, Possibly needed the run after 3 months off when sixth of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (12.2f, 5/1) 19 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Below par on AW last twice but did win on turf last summer.
(6) (5/1 -43%) Young Merlin
5/1(-43%)
(6) Young Merlin 5/1, Blinkers on for 1st time in this code, kept mistakes to minimum but still failed to beat a rival when last of 4 in handicap hurdle at Lingfield (23f, good to soft, 10/1) 5 months ago. Makes Flat debut for this yard. Three hurdle wins last year suggest he can strike from good mark judged on best Flat form.
(2) (7/1 -8%) Greatness Awaits
7/1(-8%)
(2) Greatness Awaits 7/1, Blinkered for 1st time, creditable fifth of 10 in handicap at Chelmsford City (14f, 13/2) 7 days ago. Can give another good account. Two soft ground wins; recent AW runs respectable and not dismissed back on turf.
(3) (16/1 -33%) Anisoptera
16/1(-33%)
(3) Anisoptera 16/1, 5/1, wasn't seen to best effect when sixth of 10 in handicap at Chelmsford City (14f) 7 days ago, ideally needing stronger gallop. Recent AW efforts creditable and runner-up on turf earlier in her career.
(7) (16/1 -14%) Shadowfax
16/1(-14%)
(7) Shadowfax 16/1, Winner at Chelmsford City in November. Well held all 4 starts since and a first-time tongue strap goes on. Has lost the plot since Chelmsford win; new headgear combination must spark revival.
(4) (20/1 -25%) Man Of Riddles
20/1(-25%)
(4) Man Of Riddles 20/1, Latest win at Chelmsford City in January. 12/1, run best excused when seventh of 9 in handicap at Kempton (16f) 59 days ago, ideally needing stronger gallop. 33-1 winner in January but below par since; unplaced in three previous turf starts.
LTO Selection:
18:55 Nottingham Handicap (Class 5) 16f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
QUEENSLAND BOY was beaten into sixth over 1m4f at Wolverhampton earlier in the month and has been dropped 1lb. Ian Williams' charge is now on his last winning mark and he should improve for this step up in trip. The main threat might be Young Merlin, who was well held on each of his last three hurdles starts but could be seen in a different light on his first appearance on the Flat for the Amy Murphy stable. Anisoptera completes the shortlist.
CLANSMAN arrives in the form of his life so, provided this quick turnaround doesn't catch him out, Liam Bailey's 6-y-o is strongly fancied to complete the hat-trick with a useful 7 lb apprentice booked to ride. Young Merlin has his first start on the Flat for Amy Murphy, and he's put forward as the main threat returning from 5 months off, with Greatness Awaits taken to fill out third.
Clansman is thriving but this is a quick turnaround after Ripon on Thursday so he's taken on with YOUNG MERLIN.
(2) To Catch A Thief 3/1, Promising sort. Two wins from 4 runs last year. Latest win at Newcastle in December. Below form eighth of 13 in handicap at Newcastle (10.2f, 15/8). Off 110 days. Firmly expected to get back on the up over this distance and looks the one to beat. Disappointed on hat-trick bid on New Year's Day but retains potential for top yard.
(8) (11/2 +0%) Fairbanks
11/2(+0%)
(8) Fairbanks 11/2, Three wins from 4 runs last year. Didn't need to improve to win 3-runner handicap (2/5) at Goodwood (12f, good to firm), keeping on well. Off 10 months. Firmly on the up when last seen, so worthy of consideration despite the long absence. Completed a hat-trick early last summer; off since but could be more to come.
(14) (7/1 -8%) Kardia
7/1(-8%)
(14) Kardia 7/1, Lightly-raced winner. One win from 3 runs last year. 15/2, creditable third of 11 in handicap at Newmarket (12f, soft). Off 169 days. More to offer as a 4yo and merits plenty of respect on return. Good third on 1m4f handicap debut (heavy) final start; yard won this last year.
(7) (9/1 -38%) Arrange
9/1(-38%)
(7) Arrange 9/1, Two wins from 6 runs last year. 4/1, good second of 9 in handicap at York (16.2f, soft), clear of rest. Off 6 months. Back down in trip. Can make presence felt. Did well last autumn; trip/ground fine and could go well if fully primed for reappearance.
(10) (11/1 +21%) Faylaq
11/1(+21%)
(10) Faylaq 11/1, Twenty nine runs since last win in 2019. Respectable fourth of 10 in handicap at Newcastle (10.2f, 6/1) 36 days ago, slowly away. Not completely dismissed for all that he's difficult to win with. Promising reappearance but no win since 2019 dampens enthusiasm.
(16) (12/1 -20%) Fleur De Mer
12/1(-20%)
(16) Fleur De Mer 12/1, Two wins from 6 runs last year. Creditable second of 7 in handicap at Newcastle (12.4f, 2/1) 26 days ago, clear of rest. Should be on the premises again. Good AW record; needs to prove she's as effective on turf but her is in good form.
(3) (14/1 +0%) Torcello
14/1(+0%)
(3) Torcello 14/1, Ten wins from 39 Flat runs. Didn't need to improve to win 3-runner handicap (4/1) at Pontefract (12f, heavy) 18 days ago. This is much more competitive but can't be ruled out. Eleven wins, the latest in small field at Pontefract recently but this is harder.
(4) (14/1 +0%) Charging Thunder
14/1(+0%)
(4) Charging Thunder 14/1, 18/1, respectable 5¾ lengths fifth of 14 to Forza Orta in handicap at York (16.2f, good to firm), faring best of those held up. Off 8 months. Back down in trip. Worth monitoring in the betting on return. Didn't find his best form last year but is well treated as a result.
(9) (14/1 +0%) Two Brothers
14/1(+0%)
(9) Two Brothers 14/1, Three wins from 10 runs last year. 5/1, fourth of 7 in handicap at Doncaster (11.9f, soft) 27 days ago. Could get involved if things drop right. Shaped as if needing reappearance and won second time up last year; should go well.
(1) (20/1 -43%) Emiyn
20/1(-43%)
(1) Emiyn 20/1, 40/1, below form eighteenth of 31 in handicap at Newmarket (18f, good to soft). Off 6 months. Significantly back down in trip. Not completely dismissed. This front-runner might be using this as a prep for Chester next month (goes well there).
(5) (20/1 -43%) Mr Le Philosophe
20/1(-43%)
(5) Mr Le Philosophe 20/1, 20/1, third of 5 in juvenile hurdle at Kelso (16.2f, soft) 49 days ago, going in snatches. Visor on 1st time. Fairly useful on the Flat, very good on last Flat outing. More required back on the level. Dual 1m4f Flat winner in France but struggled in three hurdles for this yard; visor added.
(13) (20/1 -43%) Roost
20/1(-43%)
(13) Roost 20/1, Eleventh of 14 in handicap at Nottingham (14f, heavy, 11/2), unable to sustain effort. Off 6 months. Others make more appeal. 1m4f winner last year; from leading yard and respected back from wind surgery.
(6) (20/1 +0%) Forza Orta
20/1(+0%)
(6) Forza Orta 20/1, 7/1, below form eighth of 14 in handicap at Haydock (14f, good to firm). Off 7 months. Something to find on form. Win last year came over 2m; third and fifth in last two runnings of this.
(11) (25/1 -56%) Dark Moon Rising
25/1(-56%)
(11) Dark Moon Rising 25/1, 5/1, creditable sixth of 14 in handicap at Kempton (12f), not ideally placed. Off 157 days. Reliable sort but he's likely to come on for this. Won at York last summer but bit below that level later in year; off 157 days.
(12) (25/1 -56%) Strawman
25/1(-56%)
(12) Strawman 25/1, 11/1, didn't need to improve to win 11-runner handicap at Newcastle (12.4f), all out. Off 173 days. Likely to strip fitter for this. Third off 2lb higher on soft on 2023 reappearance; each-way claims.
(15) (66/1 +0%) Tessy Lad
66/1(+0%)
(15) Tessy Lad 66/1, Hooded for 1st time, last of 6 in handicap (50/1) at Southwell (14.1f) 23 days ago. Tongue strap on for 1st time. Hard to make a case for. Four Flat wins for Richard Hughes but yet to going for this stable (mainly over hurdles).
LTO Selection:
19:05 Thirsk Handicap (Class 3) 12f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
FAIRBANKS improved at a rate of knots in handicap company last season, with a hat-trick of victories in the space of a little over a month. The son of Nathaniel has been gelded during his time off and is expected to have more to offer, despite this being his first run since June. Better is expected from To Catch A Thief following his below-par effort at Newcastle on New Year's Day and he enters calculations along with Kardia, who remains open to improvement on her fifth career start.
TO CATCH A THIEF has looked progressive overall and shaped as if ready for the step up to this distance at Newcastle last time, so he's the one to side with after a break. Fairbanks is an obvious danger if tuned up back from 10 months off bidding for the four-timer and Kardia is another one who should do better as a 4yo.
Ed Bethell won this with a lightly raced improver last year and can repeat the feat with KARDIA.
(4) Freetodream 5/2, Course winner. 8/1, career best when winning 11-runner handicap at Chelmsford City (7f) 14 days ago, overcoming positional bias. Solid chance. Productive sort over 7f and shapes as if he'll stay this new trip; has won here; respected.
(3) (5/1 +0%) Island Native
5/1(+0%)
(3) Island Native 5/1, Creditable ½-length third of 11 to Freetodream in handicap at Chelmsford City (7f, 8/1) 14 days ago. Meets that rival on 3 lb better terms here and it should again be close between them. Ties in with Freetodream on two pieces of form; place possibilities.
(1) (11/2 -10%) Bernadine
11/2(-10%)
(1) Bernadine 11/2, Three wins from 7 runs last year. 4/1, creditable third of 6 in handicap at Southwell (8.1f) 35 days ago. Needs considering. Scored comfortably on last attempt in Class 5; interesting returned to this level.
(2) (6/1 +25%) Intercessor
6/1(+25%)
(2) Intercessor 6/1, Course winner. Creditable fourth of 13 in handicap at Kempton (8f, 16/1) 19 days ago. Tongue strap back on and he merits serious consideration. Two creditable AW efforts for new yard; last win came at Brighton; possibilities.
(5) (10/1 +0%) Kitaro Kich
10/1(+0%)
(5) Kitaro Kich 10/1, Cheekpieces on for 1st time, fifth of 6 in handicap (3/1) at Epsom (10.1f, good). Off 9 months and down in trip. Others preferred. The only maiden in this field and has produced peak efforts on AW.
(9) (10/1 -43%) Local Bay
10/1(-43%)
(9) Local Bay 10/1, C&D winner. Three wins from 11 runs last year. Seventh of 8 in handicap at Kempton (8f, 15/2) 45 days ago, left poorly placed. Others preferred. Suited by Brighton but this isn't his ideal grade (all wins in Class 6).
(10) (12/1 -20%) Roundabout Silver
12/1(-20%)
(10) Roundabout Silver 12/1, C&D winner. Sixth of 9 in handicap at Kempton (8f, 16/1) 59 days ago. Wouldn't be without a chance granted a return to form. Still seeking first success above Class 6; similar type to Local Bay.
(6) (12/1 -50%) Otago
12/1(-50%)
(6) Otago 12/1, Course winner. Latest win here in October. 80/1, ninth of 13 in handicap at Kempton (8f) 19 days ago. Needs to get back on track. Three-time 7f winner at this venue and has bits of 1m form here.
(8) (14/1 +13%) Believe You Me
14/1(+13%)
(8) Believe You Me 14/1, 14/1 and blinkered for 1st time, seventh of 8 in handicap at Kempton (7f). Off 157 days and one or two of these boast more compelling claims. Sole win came in weak Class 6 event over 7f; enough to prove.
(7) (33/1 -32%) Mr Fustic
33/1(-32%)
(7) Mr Fustic 33/1, Two wins from 6 runs last year. 20/1, sixth of 11 in handicap at Southwell (8.1f) 41 days ago. Easy enough to look elsewhere. Campaigned mostly on AW; something to prove back on turf.
LTO Selection:
19:20 Brighton Handicap (Class 5) 8f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Freetodream has been much improved on the all-weather of late, completing a Kempton/Chelmsford double, but he only had three-quarters of a length in hand over ISLAND NATIVE last time. Mick Appleby's grey has held his form generally well throughout the winter and a 4lb pull in the weights may allow him to turn the form around. The extra furlong will help too. Bernadine made a pleasing enough return when third at Southwell, while Intercessor has to enter the equation as well.
FREETODREAM remains on a workable mark and he is taken to complete the hat-trick following victories on the all-weather at Kempton and Chelmsford. Island Native was hot on the heals of the selection at Chelmsford and he should be in the mix once again. Bernadine and Intercessor are others to consider.
Returned to Class 5 level, BERNADINE could well defy top weight. Intercessor is second choice.
(2) Big Bear Hug 11/4, Latest win at Newmarket in November. 7/2, creditable third of 13 in handicap at Bath (1¼m, heavy) 13 days ago. Enters calculations. Placed on both starts this year (1m2f, soft/heavy) and another win looks imminent.
(8) (5/1 +9%) Giselles Defence
5/1(+9%)
(8) Giselles Defence 5/1, Placed in AW handicaps at Dundalk at the end of 2023. Well held in 2 maiden hurdles for Gavin Cromwell around the turn of the year but looks on a workable mark back on the Flat for new yard. Stable debut; 0-15 but on a handy mark on best Irish form and not ruled out.
(3) (5/1 -11%) Powerful Response
5/1(-11%)
(3) Powerful Response 5/1, First run since leaving Ed Bethell when respectable fourth of 12 in handicap (14/1) at Doncaster (1¼m, heavy) 28 days ago. Claims if able to build on that. Fair fourth on last month's seasonal/stable debut and could build on that run; chance.
(7) (7/1 +0%) Kittykarma
7/1(+0%)
(7) Kittykarma 7/1, Won at Thirsk last August. Also went close on AW in October. Below par final start but resumes with yard in decent form. The drop back in trip may not be ideal but she's not discounted on her reappearance.
(6) (8/1 -14%) Shaheen Saqaar
8/1(-14%)
(6) Shaheen Saqaar 8/1, Winner at Wolverhampton in December. Creditable third of 11 in handicap back there in January. Well held on previous turf start but too soon to suggest he won't prove effective on it. In good form on AW when last seen and major player if transferring that back to turf.
(1) (10/1 +0%) Lunar Jet
10/1(+0%)
(1) Lunar Jet 10/1, C&D winner. First run since leaving Michael Mullineaux when sixth of 8 in C&D handicap last October. Percentage call to look elsewhere on return. Below par last October when last seen, but he won off 1lb higher last April (1m2f, soft).
(10) (14/1 +13%) Berry Edge
14/1(+13%)
(10) Berry Edge 14/1, One win from 21 Flat runs. Sixteen runs since last win in 2021 but was placed off higher marks on first 3 outings last year. Lost way later in the season and has left Michael Dods ahead of reappearance. Poor strike-rate and out of form when last seen, but on a good mark and not written off.
(9) (16/1 +0%) Pending Appeal
16/1(+0%)
(9) Pending Appeal 16/1, Course winner. 9/1, seventh of 10 in handicap at Leicester (6f, good to firm) in July (final start for Charlie Hills). Significantly up in trip on reappearance for new stable. Returns from absence and all 13 starts over 6f/7f, but pedigree hints this trip may suit.
(11) (18/1 +64%) Break Point
18/1(+64%)
(11) Break Point 18/1, Well held in 4 handicaps since joining this yard. Hard to make a case for. Eight-race maiden who has finished down the field on his last four starts.
(5) (33/1 +0%) Kojin
33/1(+0%)
(5) Kojin 33/1, Has struggled on Flat/over hurdles since coming from Ireland. Could only consider if the subject of market support. Useful in 2022 but struggled in 2023 and it's been the same story this year.
LTO Selection:
19:30 Nottingham Handicap (Class 5) 10f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
BIG BEAR HUG has returned with good placed efforts over this trip at Doncaster and Bath recently and another bold bid is expected from her. Adam West's mare could be the safest option in a tricky contest, although Powerful Response would be a big player if improving from his encouraging seasonal debut last month, and Shaheen Saqaar has every chance if picking up where he left off on the all-weather in the winter.
BIG BEAR HUG has been placed in 2 competitive races this spring and this looks a decent chance for her to open her account for the campaign. Giselles Defence is nicely handicapped on the pick of his Irish form if new handler Ian Williams has him primed after a break so he's second pick ahead of Powerful Response.
The mare BIG BEAR HUG (nap) has run really well in defeat on her two starts this spring and is taken to return to winning ways.
(5) Langholm 11/2, Course winner. Twenty two runs since last win in 2022. Good second of 10 in handicap (9/2) at Catterick (7f, heavy) 17 days ago. Expected to be bang there. Good 2nd at Catterick (7f, heavy) on his return; potentially well drawn; solid contender.
(13) (7/1 -17%) Yazaman
7/1(-17%)
(13) Yazaman 7/1, Temperamental sort. One win from 40 Flat runs. Thirty nine runs since last win in 2020. Good second of 13 in handicap at this C&D (heavy, 15/2) 11 days ago. Losing run stands at 39 but a repeat of his recent C&D second would see him bang there.
(1) (8/1 +0%) Smalleytime
8/1(+0%)
(1) Smalleytime 8/1, 28/1, bounced back to form from out of the blue to win 11-runner handicap at Newcastle (7.1f) 12 days ago, all out. Respected. Back to form dropped into a 0-55 at Newcastle 12 days ago; 3lb rise fair; ground the query.
(6) (8/1 -78%) Stormy Pearl
8/1(-78%)
(6) Stormy Pearl 8/1, 8/1, second of 13 in handicap at this C&D (heavy) 11 days ago, faring best of those held up. Not taken lightly. Appreciated return to turf when 2nd over C&D 11 days ago; leading player despite 2lb rise.
(3) (9/1 -38%) Enderman
9/1(-38%)
(3) Enderman 9/1, Good fourth of 13 in handicap (10/1) at this C&D (heavy) 11 days ago. Conditions to suit and he made a pleasing return to turf here 11 days ago; shortlisted.
(15) (11/1 +0%) One For The Ladies
11/1(+0%)
(15) One For The Ladies 11/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2023. Bit below form fourth of 9 in handicap (5/1) at Catterick (5f, heavy) 17 days ago. Conditions won't be a problem & although she's hard to win with, she should go well again.
(17) (11/1 +0%) Mc's Wag
11/1(+0%)
(17) Mc's Wag 11/1, Creditable fourth of 12 in minor event (10/1) at Lingfield (7f, AW) 75 days ago. Best effort came on heavy last autumn; unexposed on slow turf; yard in form; interesting.
(18) (11/1 +0%) Dandys Gold
11/1(+0%)
(18) Dandys Gold 11/1, 6/1, respectable 3 lengths fourth of 11 to Smalleytime in handicap at Newcastle (7.1f) 12 days ago. String of good runs on AW of late; 6f on soft ground fine; should give her running.
(2) (12/1 +0%) Kaidu
12/1(+0%)
(2) Kaidu 12/1, Respectable third of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f, 12/1). Off 99 days. First run for yard after leaving Archie Watson. Bits of form for other yards but swerved soft ground; risky on stable debut.
(11) (14/1 +0%) Mr Trevor
14/1(+0%)
(11) Mr Trevor 14/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Hamilton in September. 28/1, looked very rusty when last of 13 in handicap at this C&D (heavy) on return 11 days ago. Tailed off over C&D 11 days ago; can't back him on the strength of that.
(10) (14/1 +30%) Hombre
14/1(+30%)
(10) Hombre 14/1, Twelfth of 14 in handicap (11/1) at Lingfield (7f, AW) 10 days ago. Makes turf debut. Others more persuasive. Not progressed since handicapping; enough to prove on this turf debut.
(9) (20/1 -43%) Elladora
20/1(-43%)
(9) Elladora 20/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2023. Sixth of 10 in handicap (22/1) at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 12 days ago, doing too much too soon. Running herself into form for new yard and conditions will suit; one to consider.
(7) (22/1 -83%) Eldeyaar
22/1(-83%)
(7) Eldeyaar 22/1, Eighth of 10 in handicap (11/2) at Newcastle (6f) 26 days ago, doing too much too soon. Two 6f wins last autumn; good 2nd on AW last month; one to consider with soft ground fine.
(14) (25/1 +0%) Irish Dancer
25/1(+0%)
(14) Irish Dancer 25/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Last of 9 in novice at Doncaster (6f, good to firm, 250/1). Off 9 months. Makes handicap debut. Finished last in three maiden/novice runs; had wind surgery prior to his handicap debut.
(16) (25/1 +0%) Yaahobby
25/1(+0%)
(16) Yaahobby 25/1, 25/1, sixth of 9 in handicap at Newcastle (6f) 26 days ago. 3-time AW winner but 0-8 on turf and best efforts in this sphere have come on fast ground.
(4) (33/1 +0%) Hailey Ya Mal
33/1(+0%)
(4) Hailey Ya Mal 33/1, 28/1, respectable fourth of 10 in handicap at Newcastle (7.1f) 26 days ago. Makes turf debut. Whiff of ability on AW but the forecast soft ground is a concern now switched to turf.
(19) (33/1 +0%) Atrafan
33/1(+0%)
(19) Atrafan 33/1, Twelve runs since last win in 2023. Tenth of 12 in handicap at Southwell (7.1f, 33/1) 20 days ago. Tongue strap back on, cheekpieces back on. Uphill task. Multiple AW winner but quiet in recent starts; first turf start since August 2017.
(8) (50/1 +0%) Ben Dikduk
50/1(+0%)
(8) Ben Dikduk 50/1, 50/1, first run since leaving Kevin Philippart De Foy when eleventh of 12 in handicap at Newcastle (5f) 76 days ago. 0-13; good mark on best efforts but he was well beaten at 50-1 on stable debut in February.
(12) (50/1 +0%) Fylingdale
50/1(+0%)
(12) Fylingdale 50/1, One win from 2 runs last year. Twelfth of 13 in handicap at this C&D (heavy, 40/1) 11 days ago. Well beaten here 11 days ago after a long absence; may need faster ground.
(20) (50/1 +0%) Aclaim To Fame
50/1(+0%)
(20) Aclaim To Fame 50/1, Eighth of 12 in minor event at Newcastle (7.1f, 40/1) 44 days ago. Return to 6f should be in her favour; promise on slow ground; not out of it.
LTO Selection:
19:40 Thirsk Handicap (Class 6) 6f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
STORMY PEARL took a step back in the right direction on her return to turf when runner-up over C&D last week after a couple of spins on the all-weather earlier in the year. She has gone up 2lb, but won off 1lb higher at Hamilton last July and gets the vote to go one better. Langholm went close on his first run of the season at Catterick and is capable of another decent showing, while Yazaman and Enderman complete the shortlist.
STORMY PEARL caught the eye when runner-up on her third start for this yard over C&D 11 days ago and looks ready to strike. Langholm made a creditable return when second at Catterick and is potentially on a handy mark if building on that, with the rejuvenated Smalleytime another to consider.
Langholm can go well but MC'S WAG ran her best race on the one occasion she's faced slow turf and could still have more to offer.
(1) Uncle Dick 10/3, 3-time C&D winner. Three wins from 9 runs last year. Suffered a poor run when last of 8 in handicap (4/1) at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 40 days ago so he merits serious consideration off a lenient mark. Three C&D wins last season and he had no luck on AW last time; interesting back on turf.
(8) (5/1 +0%) Oh So Audacious
5/1(+0%)
(8) Oh So Audacious 5/1, C&D winner. Two wins from 6 runs last year. Last of 9 in handicap at Windsor (8.1f, heavy, 2/1). Off 180 days with work to do. Has patchy record but she won twice last season including over C&D; watch market on return.
(6) (6/1 +0%) Edmund Ironside
6/1(+0%)
(6) Edmund Ironside 6/1, One win from 22 Flat runs but he posted a solid fifth of 9 in handicap (9/2) at Wolverhampton (9.5f) 28 days ago. Cheekpieces refitted and can make presence felt back in handicap company. Plenty of good efforts this year but his form cooled last time and he's now 1-22.
(12) (17/2 -6%) Cap D'antibes
17/2(-6%)
(12) Cap D'antibes 17/2, Thirteen runs since last win in 2022. 17/2, respectable fourth of 8 in minor event at Southwell (8.1f) 37 days ago. One for the shortlist. 0-13 on turf but he's well handicapped on a piece of C&D form last spring; not ruled out.
(10) (9/1 +18%) Kodi Noir
9/1(+18%)
(10) Kodi Noir 9/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2023. Fifth of 14 in handicap at Lingfield (7f, AW, 14/1) 10 days ago, left poorly placed. Unreliable sort. On dangerous mark but losing run is mounting up and he's hasn't fired for his new yard.
(11) (12/1 -9%) Reformed Character
12/1(-9%)
(11) Reformed Character 12/1, Fair fifth of 8 in handicap (17/2) at Southwell (8.1f) 8 days ago. Remains a maiden after 22 Flat runs, though. Several fair efforts for his current yard but he faded last time and is now 0-22.
(2) (14/1 -40%) Chico Dulce
14/1(-40%)
(2) Chico Dulce 14/1, Creditable fourth of 9 in handicap at Kempton (7f, 11/1) 45 days ago. Shortlisted. Not beaten far in two AW handicaps this year and he's still unexposed; could be dangerous.
(4) (14/1 -17%) James Park Woods
14/1(-17%)
(4) James Park Woods 14/1, One win from 32 Flat runs. 12/1, seventh of 10 in handicap hurdle at Uttoxeter (15.8f, good to soft). Off 18 months. Down in trip. Twenty two runs since last win in 2019. Sole win was in 2019 and his last run was 566 days ago; best watched on comeback.
(14) (16/1 -33%) He's Our Star
16/1(-33%)
(14) He's Our Star 16/1, C&D winner. 22/1, below form fourth of 8 in minor event at Kempton (8f) 52 days ago, merely closing up late. Needs to get back on track. Won here last August but he's not matched that form since; opposable.
(9) (16/1 -14%) The Game Is Up
16/1(-14%)
(9) The Game Is Up 16/1, Winner at Lingfield in February. Eighth of 12 in handicap at Kempton (8f, 25/1) 49 days ago, hampered. Not ruled out. Off the mark at Lingfield in February but she failed to back that up at Kempton last month.
(7) (16/1 +0%) Star Of Sussex
16/1(+0%)
(7) Star Of Sussex 16/1, Cheekpieces on for 1st time, tenth of 12 in handicap at Kempton (8f, 11/1) 49 days ago. First run for yard after leaving Gary Moore. Hood on 1st time. 11-race maiden and he needs a transformation back on turf for new yard; first-time hood..
(13) (25/1 -25%) Letter Of The Law
25/1(-25%)
(13) Letter Of The Law 25/1, C&D winner. Twelve runs since last win in 2023. Off 5 months before a below-form fifth of 11 in minor event (100/1) at Southwell (8.1f) 25 days ago. Blinkers back on so no forlorn hope. Well treated on his win here last May but he needs a revival; blinkers back on.
(5) (25/1 +0%) Rivas Rob Roy
25/1(+0%)
(5) Rivas Rob Roy 25/1, 3-time C&D winner. Four wins from 12 runs last year. Tenth of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f, 50/1) 21 days ago so needs to bounce back. Three C&D wins last summer but he needs a major revival on this return to turf.
(3) (50/1 -25%) Beautiful Surprise
50/1(-25%)
(3) Beautiful Surprise 50/1, 40/1 and tongue strap on for 1st time, eleventh of 12 in handicap at Kempton (6f) 62 days ago. Significantly up in trip. 0-15 since her debut win in 2021 and has plenty to prove back up in trip.
LTO Selection:
19:50 Brighton Handicap (Class 6) 8f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
OH SO AUDACIOUS signed off an otherwise excellent 2023 campaign on a low point at Windsor but that effort is best forgotten and she is fancied to make a successful comeback, with drying ground in her favour. Uncle Dick's most recent form figures hardly inspire, but his Brighton record reads three victories from four attempts so he has to be feared. Chico Dulce has offered some encouragement since joining his current yard and is another to consider.
UNCLE DICK didn't enjoy the rub of the green when last at Wolverhampton and is fancied to capitalise on an attractive mark and bag a fourth C&D victory. Edmund Ironside is weighted to go well and rates next best on his return to handicaps, with Cap d'Antibes and Chico Dulce also in the mix.
Top of the list is UNCLE DICK, who won three times over C&D last season and didn't get any luck at Wolverhampton last month.
(1) Quercine 13/8, Thrice-raced winner. Cheekpieces on first time, won 8-runner maiden at Southwell (5f, 9/4) on reappearance 75 days ago, just holding on. Makes handicap and turf debut. Likely to go well. Improved with each of her AW runs this winter, winning at Southwell (5f) latest; unexposed.
(4) (2/1 +0%) Wichahpi
2/1(+0%)
(4) Wichahpi 2/1, Latest win at Leicester in October. 5/2, good second of 8 in handicap at Catterick (5f, heavy) on reappearance 17 days ago. Leading claims. Two 6f wins on slow ground in 2023; promising return this month; should remain competitive.
(2) (6/1 +0%) Ninety Nine
6/1(+0%)
(2) Ninety Nine 6/1, Maiden winner at Richard Fahey last June. Also third in C&D handicap in October but well held in 2 AW handicaps for new yard to end 2023. Bounce back needed after break. Hamilton win as a 2yo & also ran well over C&D; well held on AW for new yard; could revive.
(3) (7/1 +0%) Cypriot Diaspora
7/1(+0%)
(3) Cypriot Diaspora 7/1, 12/1, caught wide when eighth of 10 in handicap at Southwell (6f) on reappearance 25 days ago. Easy to ignore that and could be sharper with the run behind her. 6f win as a 2yo; sharper for last month's return; promise on soft; one to consider.
(5) (10/1 +0%) Emerald Army
10/1(+0%)
(5) Emerald Army 10/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 22/1, eighth of 12 in novice at Beverley (5f, heavy) when last seen in September. Makes handicap debut on return. Check the betting. One effort of note as a 2yo; gelded over the winter; can do better now handicapping.
(6) (16/1 +0%) Yiengaa
16/1(+0%)
(6) Yiengaa 16/1, 12/1, respectable fourth of 8 in handicap at Catterick (5f, heavy) 17 days ago. No significant progress since switched to handicaps and comes here with enough to prove.
LTO Selection:
20:00 Nottingham Handicap (Class 6) 5f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Quercine makes her handicap debut on the back of a maiden success at Southwell and there could be more to come from the lightly-raced filly, but her ability to act on turf must be taken on trust and slight preference is for WICHAHPI. The penny appeared to drop for Bryan Smart's charge with victories at Thirsk and Leicester last autumn and she should come on from her seasonal debut, when second off 1lb higher in the mud at Catterick. Cypriot Diaspora is creeping back down the ratings and could prove best of the rest.
WICHAHPI made a good return to action when second at Catterick last week and can go one better now. Southwell maiden winner Quercine is feared most ahead of Cypriot Diaspora.
Ninety Nine is well treated and will appreciate the return to turf but CYPRIOT DIASPORA has had excuses since her Leicester win.
Racecard Key
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Meaning
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How to use Tomform
Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.
This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.
About U.K Horse Racing
Horse racing is a popular and historic sport in the UK, with a tradition dating back centuries. It is a multi-billion pound industry that attracts millions of spectators each year and generates significant economic activity.
There are two main types of horse racing in the UK: flat racing and jump racing. Flat racing is run on a level course and is typically shorter in distance, while jump racing involves horses jumping over obstacles and is generally longer in distance. Both types of racing are popular with spectators and bettors, and they take place at various racetracks throughout the country.
The most famous horse racing event in the UK is the Grand National, which is held annually at Aintree Racecourse in Liverpool. It is a jump racing event that is known for its challenging course and has become a national institution in the UK. Other notable horse racing events in the UK include the Derby, held at Epsom Downs Racecourse in Surrey, and the Royal Ascot, held at Ascot Racecourse in Berkshire.
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