1 Wednesday 15th January 2025 UK Horse Racing Speed Ratings & Tips

Tomform Wednesday 15th January 2025

There were 35 Races on Wednesday 15th January 2025 across 5 meetings. There was 8 races at Southwell, 7 races at Clonmel, 6 races at Hereford, 6 races at Newbury, 8 races at Kempton, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.

Races & Results Wednesday 15th January 2025

The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.

12:08 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 5f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	7 1st (7) (9/2 +18%) Desert Master	4.5 9/2(+18%)	(7) Desert Master 9/2, Doubled career tally over C&D 2 weeks ago but disappointed turned out under a penalty when last of 10 in handicap at Newcastle (5f, 5/1) 5 days ago. Needs to quickly leave that behind. Best to forgive latest effort; narrowly beat Street Life over C&D the time before.
2	4 2nd (4) (4/1 +27%) Show Me Show Me	4 4/1(+27%)	(4) Show Me Show Me 4/1, Ended a long losing run under a good ride in 9-runner handicap at Newcastle (5f) 14 days ago, staying on to lead dying strides. Possibilities if arriving in same groove. Engaged 4.45 Newcastle Tuesday. Seems best suited by Newcastle in this sphere; not the percentage call.
3	6 3rd (6) (16/1 0%) It's Showtime	16 16/1(0%)	(6) It's Showtime 16/1, Sole success at Lingfield (5f turf) in May. However, largely consistent subsequently and shaped as if better for the run after 8 weeks off when eleventh of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f, 28/1) 19 days ago. Not out of things just 2 lb above last winning mark. Latest defeat took her AW record to 0-11 but this return to 5f is a plus.
4	2 4th (2) (5/4 +44%) Fortunate Star	1.25 5/4(+44%)	(2) Fortunate Star 5/4, Dual C&D winner. Three wins from 18 runs last year. Latest win here in November. 7/1, creditable second of 8 in handicap at Newcastle (6f) 5 days ago, headed late on. Likely type returned to the minimum trip. Clear second at Newcastle last Friday; scored twice over C&D in November; strong chance.
5th	9 5th (9) (20/1 -67%) Stone Of Destiny	20 20/1(-67%)	(9) Stone Of Destiny 20/1, Untrustworthy individual. C&D winner. Bit below form 4 lengths fourth of 9 to Show Me Show Me in handicap (18/1) at Newcastle (5f) 14 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Strike rate obviously tempers enthusiasm but he's never been lower in the weights. On a very handy mark but his very poor strike-rate since 2020 remains a drawback.
6th	1 6th (1) (13/2 +54%) Shalaa Asker	6.5 13/2(+54%)	(1) Shalaa Asker 13/2, Hasn't been with current yard for long, never involved when seventh of 11 in handicap at Kempton (6f) 28 days ago. Went off at a big price that day (80/1) and interesting to see if market speaks more favourably today now dropped into class 6 company. Not crying out for return to 5f but the drop to Class 6 may offset that negative.
7th	3 7th (3) (14/1 -155%) Better	14 14/1(-155%)	(3) Better 14/1, Latest win at Newcastle (5f) in October before a very good third over C&D a month later. Disappointed back at first-named venue 5 weeks ago but no surprise to see a better showing. Holds a fighting chance on his autumn form; Warren Fentiman takes off useful 7lb.
8th	5 8th (5) (25/1 -56%) So Obsessed	25 25/1(-56%)	(5) So Obsessed 25/1, Recorded four wins from 13 runs last year but not operating at best at present, only sixth of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (5.1f) 9 days ago. Something to find on form. Not in top form at present but is competitively weighted granted a resurgence.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

Although Fortunate Star edged out BETTER when he dead-heated for first over this C&D in November, the latter has an 8lb pull at the weights and, with Warren Fentiman's claim added to the mix, he has a live chance of exacting revenge for that narrow defeat. Street Life and Desert Master are closely matched on recent form, with the former appealing most of that pair based on his more proven reliability.

A dual C&D winner already this winter, FORTUNATE STAR ran another solid race before the longer trip stretched him when second at Newcastle 5 days ago. He's a player turned out quickly back at the minimum trip, with Street Life and class dropping Shalaa Asker others to consider.

In-form FORTUNATE STAR (nap) holds strong claims returned to his ideal distance. Better ties in with the selection.

12:08 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 5f PREDICTION SIMULATION

12:25 Clonmel Handicap Chase 17f - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
1	3 1st (3) (7/4 -17%) Hillsdale	1.75 7/4(-17%)	(3) Hillsdale 7/4, 11/1, career best when winning 18-runner handicap chase at Naas (16f, good to soft) 30 days ago, forging clear. Has to be taken seriously. Won by 11l on handicap chase debut last month; needs to prove himself going right-handed.
2	4 2nd (4) (85/40 +23%) Cheerful Chap	2.125 85/40(+23%)	(4) Cheerful Chap 85/40, Fairly useful winner at 21f over hurdles. Respectable third of 10 in handicap chase (7/2) at Limerick (17.7f, soft) 20 days ago. Merits consideration. 3rd at Limerick and now 7lb lower with Tiernan Power Roche taking the ride; handles soft.
3	8 3rd (8) (50/1 -25%) Love Like This	50 50/1(-25%)	(8) Love Like This 50/1, Remains a maiden after 16 NH runs. Fifteenth of 18 in handicap hurdle at Limerick (21f, soft, 66/1) 18 days ago. Switches from hurdles to chase. Second at Thurles (2m, good) in November but has been tailed off in 3 subsequent starts.
4	6 4th (6) (9/1 +44%) Chainofconsequence	9 9/1(+44%)	(6) Chainofconsequence 9/1, Unreliable sort. Bit below form sixth of 13 in handicap chase (22/1) at Thurles (18.3f, good to soft) 47 days ago, left with too much to do. Tongue strap back on. Well beaten in a pair of runs over hurdles and fences in November; looks up against it.
5th	9 5th (9) (14/1 +58%) Zolpharine	14 14/1(+58%)	(9) Zolpharine 14/1, One win from 21 NH runs. Seventeen runs since last win in 2023. Seventh of 14 in handicap chase at Thurles (25.1f, good, 25/1) 25 days ago. Significantly down in trip. Maiden hurdle winner in 2023 has been woefully out of form this term; readily passed over.
6th	1 6th (1) (8/1 -14%) Clonshire River	8 8/1(-14%)	(1) Clonshire River 8/1, 17/2, eighth of 10 in handicap chase at Navan (16f, good to soft) 31 days ago. Player back down in class. Well beaten in 3 chase starts this term but will find this easier than latest handicap.
7th	2 7th (2) (22/1 -120%) Freddie Robdal	22 22/1(-120%)	(2) Freddie Robdal 22/1, Nineteenth of 23 in handicap hurdle at Leopardstown (19.8f, good, 25/1) 18 days ago. Switches from hurdles to chase. Ran well off this mark when 4th at Thurles in November and handles a bit of cut; player.
8th	5 8th (5) (14/1 -27%) Kilashee	14 14/1(-27%)	(5) Kilashee 14/1, Course winner. 5 wins from 17 runs this season. Latest win in chase at Roscommon in September. 11/1, fifth of 7 in handicap chase at Thurles (20.8f, good) 25 days ago, going off too hard. Second in this race last year but 19lb higher now; this trip is on the sharp side for her.
9th	7 9th (7) (12/1 +25%) Kobalt St Georges	12 12/1(+25%)	(7) Kobalt St Georges 12/1, Tongue strap on for 1st time, sixteenth of 18 in handicap hurdle (22/1) at Limerick (16f, soft) 19 days ago. Makes chase debut. Tailed off in a trio of handicap hurdles; needs to improve dramatically now chasing.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

HILLSDALE won easily on his recent handicap chase debut and might defy an 11lb penalty. He was rated just 102 at his peak over hurdles and while his initial chase form was ordinary, he successfully dropped to handicap company at Naas where he won easily. He competes from a career-high rating but has just turned six, so might continue to progress. Three-time hurdle winner Cheerful Chap has run well in all his four chase runs this season and while well enough held at Limerick over Christmas, is again suited by conditions and is dependable. Freddie Robdal wasn't suited by reverting to hurdles at Leopardstown over Christmas but is better over fences, with both his wins coming at this distance.

HILLSDALE finally got his act together over fences when an impressive winner at Naas and looks capable of defying an 11 lb rise. Cheerful Chap can place again with Clonshire River also respected back down in class.

Cheerful Chap and Hillsdale have a few questions to answer and that could leave the door open for FREDDIE ROBDAL to win again

12:25 Clonmel Handicap Chase 17f PREDICTION SIMULATION

12:38 Southwell Stakes (Class 6) 5f - 11 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	2 1st (2) (4/6 +56%) Dash Gordon	0.666667 4/6(+56%)	(2) Dash Gordon 4/6, 4-y-o who was successful on final start for Alex French at Newcastle (5f) in October. Failed to justify support for new connections/after 3 months off when third of 11 in minor event back there 4 days ago but he may come on for that. Tongue strap on 1st time. Worth another chance. Still an unexposed sort on AW; warrants respect on second run for shrewd new connections.
2	9 2nd (9) (16/1 +0%) Stroxx	16 16/1(+0%)	(9) Stroxx 16/1, One win from 55 Flat runs. 33/1, sixth of 10 in handicap at Newcastle (5f) 5 days ago. Likely to come up short again on balance of recent efforts. Usual blinkers replace cheekpieces. Return to classified level may suit but his strike-rate remains poor.
3	6 3rd (6) (5/1 +64%) Magic Fluke	5 5/1(+64%)	(6) Magic Fluke 5/1, Twelve runs since last win in 2023. Fifth of 12 in minor event (14/1) at this course (6.1f) 12 days ago, no extra when headed 1f out. Task is to build on that run now. Latest effort suggests this new trip is worth exploring; could go well.
4	11 4th (11) (25/1 -25%) Ustath	25 25/1(-25%)	(11) Ustath 25/1, 3-time C&D winner. Latest win at Wolverhampton in July. However, not at best in recent months coming in last of 12 in minor event at Wolverhampton (6.1f, 18/1) 8 days ago. Reverts back to the minimum trip now. Ten-time AW winner but has a question mark over current form.
5th	5 5th (5) (10/1 +0%) Liv Lucky	10 10/1(+0%)	(5) Liv Lucky 10/1, C&D winner. Latest win here in September. Below form seventh of 12 in minor event at this course (6.1f, 10/1) 12 days ago, weakening final 1f. Pick of last year's efforts gives her claims, however. C&D winner; one of the bigger players on these terms, granted a return to form.
6th	8 6th (8) (33/1 -106%) Rajwaan	33 33/1(-106%)	(8) Rajwaan 33/1, Modest gelding. C&D winner. Tongue strap on for 1st time, ninth of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f, 20/1) 16 days ago, weakening over 1f out. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Needs a couple of these to falter. Chance partly depends on how well he responds to added cheekpieces.
7th	3 7th (3) (50/1 -150%) Enchanted Night	50 50/1(-150%)	(3) Enchanted Night 50/1, Unreliable sort. One win from 58 Flat runs. Seventh of 10 in handicap at Lingfield (6f, AW, 40/1) 55 days ago. Others make greater appeal starting out for new yard. 0-25 on AW; sold for 1,000gns since last run.
8th	1 8th (1) (100/1 -257%) Close Of Play	100 100/1(-257%)	(1) Close Of Play 100/1, 40/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, eighth of 10 in handicap at Chelmsford City (5f) in August. Tongue strap on for 1st time and she has it to prove back from an absence. The majority of her form is poor; tongue-tie applied.
9th	7 9th (7) (12/1 -20%) May Remain	12 12/1(-20%)	(7) May Remain 12/1, Modest gelding. Not seen to best effect after 4 days off when sixth of 12 in minor event at Wolverhampton (6.1f, 16/1) 8 days ago, hampered. Cheekpieces back on and he's not out of things. Needs to raise his game; cheekpieces reapplied for first time since 2022.
10th	10 10th (10) (14/1 -75%) Trulie Good	14 14/1(-75%)	(10) Trulie Good 14/1, Modest mare. C&D winner. 28/1, below form after 10 months off when sixth of 12 in minor event at this course (6.1f) 12 days ago. That ought to have blown the cobwebs away and she wouldn't have to step up a great deal to play a part here. Respected. Interesting sort, having won a similar event over C&D on most recent 5f attempt.
11th	4 11th (4) (16/1 -220%) Hi Hoh Tonto	16 16/1(-220%)	(4) Hi Hoh Tonto 16/1, Unreliable sort. Seventh of 10 in handicap (2/1) at this course (6.1f) 63 days ago, weakening final 1f. Another to have switched yards ahead of this but pick of previous form for former stable gives him a shout. Still a maiden but has possibilities returned to 5f on debut for a fourth stable.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

A winner over 5f at Newcastle in October on his penultimate start, DASH GORDON was too keen for his own good when he returned to that venue and finished third in this company on Saturday. Now with a tongue-tie added, his match-fitness topped up and Billy Loughnane booked, the four-year-old appeals most. May Remain is feared most with a first-time tongue-tie and cheekpieces combination tried, ahead of Hi Hoh Tonto.

DASH GORDON failed to justify support when third on debut for Mick Appleby at Newcastle 4 days ago, yet that was still a respectable effort on the back of a 4-month break, and he's worth another chance equipped with a tongue tie for the first time. Trulie Good, Hi Hoh Tonto and Liv Lucky may emerge as the lead threats.

Although he was a beaten favourite last Saturday, DASH GORDON looks well worth another chance. Hi Hoh Tonto is second pick.

12:38 Southwell Stakes (Class 6) 5f PREDICTION SIMULATION

12:55 Clonmel Conditions Chase 20f - 14 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
1	9 1st (9) (9/2 +50%) Milan Forth	4.5 9/2(+50%)	(9) Milan Forth 9/2, £30,000 5-y-o, Milan gelding. Dam unraced half-sister to modest hurdler/fair chaser (17f-2¾m winner) Rippon Lodge. Multiple point winner, runner-up last time (Dec 8). Wears tongue strap. Outcome was in the balance when left clear by fall of Magic Sadler two out at Moig South.
2	7 2nd (7) (5/2 +69%) Magic Sadler	2.5 5/2(+69%)	(7) Magic Sadler 5/2, Fair hurdler. Respectable sixth of 12 in handicap hurdle (14/1) at Leopardstown (24f, heavy). Makes chase debut. First run for yard after leaving Ciaran Murphy. Point winner, every chance when fell 2 out last time (Nov 24). Held a narrow lead from today's rival Milan Forth when falling two out at Moig South.
3	11 3rd (11) (11/2 -10%) West Of Carrig	5.5 11/2(-10%)	(11) West Of Carrig 11/2, Multiple point winner. Fair chaser. 11/1, first run since leaving Peter Croke when third of 16 in hunter chase at Limerick (22.6f, soft) on debut over fences 17 days ago. Three wins in points, beat Milan Forth at Curraghmore, decent hunter chase run at Limerick.
4	2 4th (2) (4/1 +47%) Fountain House	4 4/1(+47%)	(2) Fountain House 4/1, Multiple point winner, including last 3 starts (latest Nov 24). 33/1, second of 16 in novice chase at Punchestown (24.4f, good to soft) on NH debut in April. Has won four points in a row, proficient over the banks at Punchestown and Lingstown.
5th	12 5th (12) (150/1 -127%) Jollie Cosmos	150 150/1(-127%)	(12) Jollie Cosmos 150/1, Poor hurdler. Pulled up in novice chase at Tramore (22f, good to soft, 200/1) on debut over fences 150 days ago, tailing off before 3 out. Weak form over hurdles (rated 80), a maiden after nine starts in points, hard to fancy.
6th	4 6th (4) (150/1 -200%) Goodbyemick	150 150/1(-200%)	(4) Goodbyemick 150/1, Fairly Ransom gelding. Half-brother to 3 winners, including fairly useful hurdler/useful chaser Balbriggan and fairly useful 2m-3m hurdle winner Mt Leinster Gold. Maiden pointer, last of 5 finishers last time (Nov 24). Well-exposed maiden pointer, placed four times from 12 starts, others have stronger claims.
7th	1 7th (1) (25/1 -25%) Castle Croiuil	25 25/1(-25%)	(1) Castle Croiuil 25/1, Walk In The Park gelding. Dam, unraced, closely related to useful hurdler/chaser (stays 3m) Caius Marcius. Winning pointer, runner-up last time (Dec 7). Beat an experienced subsequent track winner in a point last season, fair second on return.
8th	10 8th (10) (28/1 +0%) The Last Minute	28 28/1(+0%)	(10) The Last Minute 28/1, Pour Moi gelding. Half-brother to fairly useful 19f hurdle winner Storminhome, stays easy 3m, and bumper winner Storm of Intrigue. Winning pointer, last of 7 last time (Dec 8). Wears tongue strap. Winner of a three-runner point, a leading point-to-point rider aboard but others preferred.
5	5 \|B\| (5) (125/1 -525%) Keeptheoldmanout	125 125/1(-525%)	(5) Keeptheoldmanout 125/1, Thrice-raced maiden under NH rules. Last of 9 in bumper at Sligo (18f, soft, 150/1) 14 months ago. Makes chase debut. First run for yard after leaving A. J. Martin. Off mark in points at sixth attempt (Nov 2). A fortunate maiden winner at Lisronagh, ten lengths down when the leader fell at the last.
6	6 \|F\| (6) (5/2 -54%) Lonesome Boatman	2.5 5/2(-54%)	(6) Lonesome Boatman 5/2, Multiple point winner, third last time (Nov 24). Lightly-raced hurdler for Martin Brassil. 50/1, first run since leaving Martin Brassil when third of 14 in hunter chase at Punchestown (24.7f, soft) on debut over fences. First run for yard after leaving Daniel G. Murphy. Form pick. Won all three completed starts last season, sets standard based on Punchestown third.
3	3 \|PU\| (3) (33/1 -32%) Getaway King	33 33/1(-32%)	(3) Getaway King 33/1, 22/1, seventh of 12 in bumper at Cork (19f, heavy) on NH debut in April. Makes chase debut. First run for yard after leaving John Joseph Hanlon. Successful on second of 2 starts in points (Mar 3). Main positive is the 7lb claimed by Rob James who was aboard for his point win.
8	8 \|PU\| (8) (50/1 -79%) Mickthesoldier	50 50/1(-79%)	(8) Mickthesoldier 50/1, Once-raced maiden. Last of 12 in bumper at Cork (19f, heavy, 50/1) on NH debut. Winning pointer, third last time (Dec 7): Appears held by Milan Forth and Magic Sadler on running at Moig South.
13	13 \|PU\| (13) (125/1 -681%) Kingston Coole	125 125/1(-681%)	(13) Kingston Coole 125/1, €3,500 3-y-o, £9,000 5-y-o, Kingston Hill mare. Half-sister to 1m winner Curfewed. Dam (h108) 2m hurdle winner, also 8.3f winner on Flat. Off mark in points at fifth attempt (May 3). Left clear by the fall of the favourite Townhill Lass at the last when winning at Necarne.
14	14 \|PU\| (14) (150/1 -838%) Townhill Lass	150 150/1(-838%)	(14) Townhill Lass 150/1, £5,000 5-y-o, Sans Frontieres mare. Dam unraced sister to fairly useful hurdler/smart chaser (stayed 3¼m) Thomas Patrick. Maiden pointer, every chance when fell last latest outing (May 2024). Was set to fight it out with Kingston Coole when falling at the last at Necarne.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

WEST OF CARRIG showed useful form in a similar race over Christmas and might cope better than most with dropping down to this distance. The selection showed just ordinary form over hurdles but is a three-time point-to-point winner, with his recent Limerick 2m6f form being quite strong, as prolific winner Rocky's Howya finished fourth. Milan Forth has two lengths to find with the selection on October form and while he subsequently showed good form and is just a six-year-old, has yet to race at this distance. Fountain House finished second in Punchestown's Ladies Cup last April and is noteworthy.

Multiple point winner LONESOME BOATMAN showed useful form on his chase debut/belated return to Rules when third in a hunter at Punchestown and should take the beating. West of Carrig and Fountain House are feared most.

Third behind a prolific winner in November, LONESOME BOATMAN has strong credentials based on a fine third at the Punchestown festival

12:55 Clonmel Conditions Chase 20f PREDICTION SIMULATION

13:08 Southwell Handicap (Class 5) 11f - 11 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	8 1st (8) (4/1 +53%) The Bay Warrior	4 4/1(+53%)	(8) The Bay Warrior 4/1, C&D winner. Latest win here in September. 5/1, creditable second of 11 in handicap at this C&D 27 days ago, no match for winner. Shortlisted with a repeat. Winner of five AW races, the latest over C&D; comes here in decent form and a contender.
2	10 2nd (10) (15/2 -50%) Lightningboltzoom	7.5 15/2(-50%)	(10) Lightningboltzoom 15/2, Thrice-raced maiden. Seventh of 10 in novice (100/1) at this course (8.1f) 58 days ago. Significant step up in trip ought to suit on pedigree and switch to handicaps another positive, so one to note if strong in the betting. Unexposed; fair form in 3 runs over 1m and better unexpected up in trip on handicap debut.
3	5 3rd (5) (20/1 +0%) Risen Again	20 20/1(+0%)	(5) Risen Again 20/1, Creditable sixth of 10 in handicap (40/1) at this course (8.1f) 17 days ago, having run of race. Has raced freely on occasions so he will need to settle better now tackling this longer trip. Ex-James Ferguson; strong puller; fair 6th over 1m here last time; 1m3f not sure to suit.
4	4 4th (4) (11/1 -10%) Palazzo Persico	11 11/1(-10%)	(4) Palazzo Persico 11/1, Latest win at Chelmsford City in December. Bit below form sixth of 12 in handicap (7/1) at Wolverhampton (9.5f) 19 days ago. Consistency hasn't become his strong suit but he's unexposed at this trip if putting best foot forward. Won three on AW, latest in October (visored first time); first run at 1m3f; a possible.
5th	12 5th (12) (9/1 -20%) Harry The Haggler	9 9/1(-20%)	(12) Harry The Haggler 9/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2023. Respectable fifth of 12 in handicap at this course (8.1f, 11/4) 18 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Not taken lightly. Not won since 7f AW win in November 2023; two fair runs for this yard; stamina to prove.
6th	7 6th (7) (9/2 +50%) Night Bear	4.5 9/2(+50%)	(7) Night Bear 9/2, Course winner. 7/1, stepped up on recent run when creditable third of 11 in handicap at this course (12.1f) 17 days ago. Lines up operating from a workable mark and he ought to be competitive again. Winner over 1m4f here; good third here last time (also 1m4f); stable going well; respected.
7th	2 7th (2) (5/2 +88%) Aikhal	2.5 5/2(+88%)	(2) Aikhal 5/2, Nineteen runs since last win in 2022. 16/1, below form sixth of 13 in handicap at Newbury (12f, heavy) 81 days ago. Another who has fallen plenty in the weights if hitting the ground running back from a break. Smart performer for Aidan O'Brien; not as effective now; on a good mark; plenty to prove.
8th	6 8th (6) (18/1 -125%) Shady Bay	18 18/1(-125%)	(6) Shady Bay 18/1, Successful on handicap debut over C&D in October but couldn't quite replicate that from 3 lb higher mark when fifth of 6 in handicap (10/3) at Wolverhampton (12.2f) 37 days ago. Hood on 1st time and it remains early days at least. Unexposed; 25-1 C&D win here in October; not so good last time; hood tried; a possible.
9th	11 9th (11) (16/1 -100%) Path To Glory	16 16/1(-100%)	(11) Path To Glory 16/1, Masar filly. Didn't kick on from a promising debut second at Ripon (1m), in 2 subsequent outings on turf during the summer. However, represents a good yard and another who could benefit from this increase in trip now handicapping. Worth a second look. In the frame on all starts so far (latest on AW); interesting up in trip on h'cap debut.
10th	3 10th (3) (18/1 +36%) Bizarre Law	18 18/1(+36%)	(3) Bizarre Law 18/1, Seventeen runs since last win in 2022. 25/1, tenth of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (9.5f) 19 days ago, uncomfortable with pace and never dangerous. Not one to be interested in at present. Dual winner for Andrew Balding; bought for 5,000gns in October; not in best of form.
11th	9 11th (9) (25/1 -79%) Down To The Kid	25 25/1(-79%)	(9) Down To The Kid 25/1, Course winner. First run since leaving Alice Haynes/after 14 months off when last of 11 in handicap at this C&D (9/1) 27 days ago. Tongue strap back on and this ought to reveal more. Three wins over 1m4f here; tailed off after a break and a wind op last time.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

With his yard in good nick, one-time Group 3 winner AIKHAL, who was rated 111 at his peak for Aidan O'Brien, could be primed to strike returning to the all-weather off a mark of just 70. The Bay Warrior, a creditable second over C&D last month, is feared most off just 2lb higher. Night Bear boasts winning course form and is also noted running for another in-form yard.

NIGHT BEAR stepped up on his comeback run when third in a handicap over shorter here 17 days ago, and he's fancied to go well again from what is a workable mark. The Bay Warrior is another in-form sort who is feared along with Harry The Haggler provided he sees out this longer trip. Path To Glory is a handicap debutante to note.

This can go to NIGHT BEAR, who has won over 1m4f here and finished a good third over the same trip here last time.

13:08 Southwell Handicap (Class 5) 11f PREDICTION SIMULATION

13:15 Hereford Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 16f - 12 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	2 1st (2) (1/2 +67%) Starcrossed Lover	0.5 1/2(+67%)	(2) Starcrossed Lover 1/2, Promising individual. First run since leaving Colm Murphy and 4/1, won 11-runner novice hurdle at Windsor (16f, good to soft) 31 days ago, soon clear. Should progress further and worth a chance to defy the penalty. Looked a useful prospect in beating the odds-on favourite without much fuss at Windsor.
2	6 2nd (6) (14/1 -27%) Renoir	14 14/1(-27%)	(6) Renoir 14/1, Made an encouraging bumper debut for Ian Williams when third of 9 at Bangor in April 2023. Yet to build on that, showing only minimal encouragement on hurdling debut. Arrives on the back of a good effort on the Flat, though, and has potential in this sphere. 1m4f winner; questionable what he achieved when a remote second at Wincanton.
3	10 3rd (10) (50/1 -52%) Washington Singer	50 50/1(-52%)	(10) Washington Singer 50/1, Some encouragement when third in a bumper at Wincanton but form is ordinary and he was unable to back it up at Uttoxeter 6 months later. Hard to make a strong case for back from a short break. First bumper run was encouraging and that offers hope ahead of this hurdling debut.
4	1 4th (1) (2/1 -60%) Palacio	2 2/1(-60%)	(1) Palacio 2/1, Didn't achieve much in bumpers last season but a different proposition switched to hurdles on his reappearance, making all in a 2m Chepstow novice. Not disgraced at Cheltenham next time (went too hard) and definite player here. Went off too fast at Cheltenham last month and this is a whole lot easier.
5th	8 5th (8) (150/1 +0%) Sonic Gold	150 150/1(+0%)	(8) Sonic Gold 150/1, Runner-up sole start in points but no promise so far under Rules. Off 22 months. Has shown little promise under rules and is returning from another absence.
6th	3 6th (3) (25/1 -79%) King Ulanda	25 25/1(-79%)	(3) King Ulanda 25/1, Landed a gamble in Huntingdon bumper in May for Tom Weston but yet to build on that over hurdles. Will be of more interest in handicaps. Bumper winner; some promise over hurdles but unlikely to be winning this.
7th	4 7th (4) (50/1 -25%) Midnight View	50 50/1(-25%)	(4) Midnight View 50/1, Telescope gelding. Dam (c127/h118) 19f/21f hurdle/chase winner. Likely to need some time to get the hang of things. 6,000gns foal out of a useful 2m2f-2m5f hurdle/chase winner.
8th	13 8th (13) (16/1 +36%) Edmond	16 16/1(+36%)	(13) Edmond 16/1, Fair bumper winner for Rod Millman who has made little impact over hurdles. Bumper winner; back from an absence she's offered little in two maiden hurdles.
9th	9 9th (9) (125/1 -213%) Tracking Treasure	125 125/1(-213%)	(9) Tracking Treasure 125/1, Unplaced both starts in points and failed to beat a rival in a bumper at Fairyhouse for Mary Doyle. Hard to fancy on debut for new yard. Not beaten far in a Fairyhouse bumper but was last of the seven runners.
10th	7 10th (7) (150/1 -88%) Soldier Dan	150 150/1(-88%)	(7) Soldier Dan 150/1, Placed on 2 of 5 starts in points but has shaped like more of a handicap project so far over hurdles. 0-5 in points and comfortably held in two hurdle races following an absence.
11th	12 11th (12) (50/1 +38%) Damzon	50 50/1(+38%)	(12) Damzon 50/1, Runner-up on the second of 3 bumpers and has shown a bit of promise over hurdles but will be better off in handicaps in due course. Fair effort when unseating here last time but would have been fourth at best.
12th	11 12th (11) (200/1 -100%) Cinderello	200 200/1(-100%)	(11) Cinderello 200/1, Well held in 2 bumpers and she was beaten a long way starting out over hurdles here last month. Soundly beaten in two bumpers and suffered the same fate on her hurdling debut.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

PALACIO caused a minor surprise on his hurdling debut at Chepstow before being pitched into a better race at Cheltenham last month where he finished third after setting a decent pace. Back into calmer waters, Sam Thomas' gelding has been found an ideal opportunity to continue his progression. Starcrossed Lover has to enter calculations following his Windsor success, while Renoir appears best of the remainder.

STARCROSSED LOVER made an impressive start for this yard when easily landing a Windsor novice hurdle a month ago and, with further progress on the cards, he's fancied to edge out Palacio in a race that the pair should dominate.

Granted some controlled aggression from the front, PALACIO may have too much under the bonnet for Starcrossed Lover.

13:15 Hereford Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

13:25 Newbury Maiden Hurdle (Class 3) 16f - 14 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
12	12 (12) (250/1 -213%) Pay The Tab	250 250/1(-213%)	(12) Pay The Tab 250/1, Fair form standout effort in bumpers but took little interest when pulled on Downpatrick hurdle debut. Has left Gordon Elliott and percentage call to look elsewhere. Third in a bumper in 2023 was the standout performance from four races for Gordon Elliott.
1	2 1st (2) (5/4 +17%) Jurancon	1.25 5/4(+17%)	(2) Jurancon 5/4, Useful 2-time winner in bumpers who confirmed hurdles debut promise when opening his account in 10-runner 2m maiden at Chepstow in November. Beaten only by a promising youngster under a penalty at Exeter subsequently and definite claims in a first-time tongue strap. Turned over at 2-5 last time, below form; leading form claims on his best; tongue-tie now.
2	5 2nd (5) (9/4 +44%) Big Ginge	2.25 9/4(+44%)	(5) Big Ginge 9/4, Showed plenty of ability in trio of bumpers last season and similar story in finishing runner-up both starts in maiden/novice hurdles this winter, latterly in 14-runner contest at Hereford (16.2f) 25 days ago, clear of remainder. Significant ability in his three bumpers and runner-up in this season's two hurdle races.
3	10 3rd (10) (18/1 -29%) Old Cowboy	18 18/1(-29%)	(10) Old Cowboy 18/1, £66,000 4-y-o, Blue Bresil gelding. Dam, fairly useful 2m-21f hurdle winner (stayed 3m), closely related to useful hurdler/chase winner (stayed 23f) Princely Player and useful chaser (stayed 3¼m) Kings Temptation. Made frame both starts in points, runner-up latest (Apr 2024). Market can guide. Point 2nd; £66,000 buy; given good mention in Stable Tour; market can guide on rules debut.
4	13 4th (13) (80/1 0%) Shan't Wait	80 80/1(0%)	(13) Shan't Wait 80/1, Has hinted at promise both starts over hurdles, seventh in 2m Southwell novice 30 days ago. More one for handicaps after this. Beaten just over 20l in two maiden hurdles at Southwell (good to soft) last month.
5th	9 5th (9) (200/1 -100%) My Cullen	200 200/1(-100%)	(9) My Cullen 200/1, Shaped with some promise in a brace of bumpers but made a discouraging hurdling debut at Lingfield last month, dropping away after 3 out. Third in a bumper at Hereford, before tailing off at 40-1 in a maiden hurdle at Lingfield.
6th	1 6th (1) (9/4 -25%) Kloth Of Utopia	2.25 9/4(-25%)	(1) Kloth Of Utopia 9/4, 5-y-o gelding who displayed useful form in France, winning minor event at Auteuil (17.9f) in October. Seemed to find extended 21f trip stretching him when third on debut on these shores in 5-runner Ascot novice (21.6f) a month later and better anticipated back down in trip here. The drop in trip is an interesting move after Ascot and he has the form to be major player.
7th	6 7th (6) (200/1 -100%) Fort St Angelo	200 200/1(-100%)	(6) Fort St Angelo 200/1, Only modest form shown over hurdles thus far and fell 4th in C&D novice on latest outing 4 weeks ago. Others appeal more. Soundly beaten in his first two attempts over hurdles and fell early on latest.
8th	8 8th (8) (150/1 -50%) Low Expectations	150 150/1(-50%)	(8) Low Expectations 150/1, Promising third of 11 in a Downpatrick bumper for Paul Nolan in September but looked one for the longer term when merely closing up late on Plumpton hurdle debut 30 days ago. Hooded for both starts (Irish bumper and Plumpton novice) and looks a longer-term prospect.
9th	4 9th (4) (33/1 -175%) Bank On Frank	33 33/1(-175%)	(4) Bank On Frank 33/1, Passing Glance gelding who finished runner-up only outing in points (Feb 2023) and showed a bit when fifth of 10 in novice hurdle at Taunton (19f, good to soft) on Rules debut 16 days ago, fading from 2 out. Entitled to build on that. Second in a point in February 2023; weak 8-1, beaten 23l in novice at Taunton 16 days ago.
10th	3 10th (3) (33/1 -136%) Atomic Level	33 33/1(-136%)	(3) Atomic Level 33/1, €30,000 5-y-o, Diamond Boy gelding. Half-brother to fair hurdler Kavanaghs Cross. Dam unraced sister to useful 23f hurdle winner Senor Lombardy. This Irish points winner is respected on his debut. Won easily in October in his third Irish point and sold for 30,000euros; makes rules debut.
11th	7 11th (7) (80/1 +0%) Jorebel	80 80/1(+0%)	(7) Jorebel 80/1, Placed in Irish points but well held in a pair of C&D maiden hurdles this winter. Probably the type to do better in handicaps moving forward. In the frame in Irish points; 100-1 and 50-1, soundly beaten in two C&D maiden hurdles.
12th	11 12th (11) (80/1 -142%) Passing Pleasure	80 80/1(-142%)	(11) Passing Pleasure 80/1, Runner-up on last of 3 starts in Irish points in April but was never involved on last month's Ludlow hurdling debut. Placed in Irish points; showed ability in a novice at Ludlow but needs major improvement..
13th	14 13th (14) (300/1 -100%) Dorset Lady	300 300/1(-100%)	(14) Dorset Lady 300/1, Modest bumper performer in Ireland who made the frame once from 4 starts in maidens on the Flat. Pulled up both outings over hurdles for this yard during the summer, however. Can only be watched back from 7 months off. Modest maiden after 17 races; pulled up in her two over hurdles.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

Having won a point-to-point, two bumpers and a maiden hurdle, the versatile JURANCON has little to find to atone for his surprise defeat when turned over at odds-on at Exeter last month. The form of that race still reads well in the context of this event and, with a tongue-tie added, he can get back on the right path. Big Ginge and Kloth Of Utopia have also shown enough promise to make the shortlist.

Plenty of these look longer-term/handicap projects but JURANCON cemented the positive start he's made in this sphere when chasing home another promising sort at Exeter 6 weeks ago, and he rates a big player here with a first-time tongue strap fitted. Kloth of Utopia, dropped in trip following his Ascot third is the obvious danger, ahead of Big Ginge.

Rules newcomer Old Cowboy needs a second look but otherwise it looks to be between KLOTH OF UTOPIA, Jurancon and Big Ginge.

13:25 Newbury Maiden Hurdle (Class 3) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

13:30 Clonmel Conditions Hurdle 17f - 5 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
1	3 1st (3) (5/1 +0%) Beckett Rock	5 5/1(+0%)	(3) Beckett Rock 5/1, Twice-raced winner over hurdles. Fourth of 8 in minor event hurdle at Punchestown (16.6f, soft, 6/1) 36 days ago. Should improve. Looked potentially smart when a 15l debut winner of a Gowran maiden hurdle 14 months ago.
2	4 2nd (4) (5/6 -25%) Bunting	0.833333 5/6(-25%)	(4) Bunting 5/6, Useful hurdler who won a juvenile before finishing fourth in Grade 1 company at Leopardstown. Not seen since running on the Flat 8 months ago but sets the clear standard and looks the one to beat. Has found life tough last few starts but 135-rated hurdler sets a high bar here on return.
3	1 3rd (1) (12/1 -20%) Angostura	12 12/1(-20%)	(1) Angostura 12/1, Thrice-raced winner over hurdles. Pulled up in Hardy Eustace Novices' Hurdle (11/1) at Fairyhouse (16f, heavy) won by Mirazur West, dropping away early in straight. Off 9 months. Needs to get back on track. Gowran maiden hurdle winner has absence to overcome and race conditions against him.
4	2 4th (2) (50/1 -52%) Ballycallan King	50 50/1(-52%)	(2) Ballycallan King 50/1, Fairly useful hurdler. 22/1, fell in novice chase at Limerick (17.7f, soft) on debut over fences 20 days ago. Switches from chase to hurdles. 2m handicap hurdle winner off 108 at Limerick in April but looks up against it here.
6	6 \|F\| (6) (2/1 +60%) Got Glory	2 2/1(+60%)	(6) Got Glory 2/1, Lightly-raced winner over hurdles. Fell 2 out in Irish EBF Mares' Hurdle at Leopardstown (19.8f, good, 33/1) 17 days ago, too far out to suggest outcome. One to consider on pick of form. Second in Listed mares' novice at Punchestown but fell at Leopardstown latest; risky.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

BUNTING showed smart form last year and drops markedly in class since his most recent hurdle runs. A debut French Flat winner, he won on hurdles debut in December 2023 and while outclassed in three subsequent Grade 1s, nonetheless showed good ability and will be ready on his reappearance run. He is also ideally suited by race conditions. Byker finished second in the 2023 Fred Winter Hurdle but nonetheless lacks some of the selection's ability and hasn't run since October. The selection's stablemate Got Glory was placed at the Punchestown festival last May but burst blood vessels at that course last December and fell at Leopardstown over Christmas. She should struggle to win but has place claims.

Willie Mullins-trained pair BUNTING and Got Glory stand out on form and could have this between them, with the first named appealing as the more solid proposition. Beckett Rock has a bit to find with that pair but there's the potential for further improvement from him.

If BUNTING runs anywhere close to his rating of 135 on his return to action, he will take all the beating under Paul Townend

13:30 Clonmel Conditions Hurdle 17f PREDICTION SIMULATION

13:38 Southwell Handicap (Class 4) 7f - 11 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	10 1st (10) (6/1 +0%) Our Havana	6 6/1(+0%)	(10) Our Havana 6/1, Lightly-raced 4-y-o who won 9-runner handicap at Newmarket (7f) last spring. Well held at York next time but produced a big effort after 7 months off when second of 11 in handicap at Newcastle (7.1f) 18 days ago, headed final 50 yds having pulled hard. One to be interested in. Solid second, despite pulling hard, at Newcastle last month on AW debut; respected.
2	8 2nd (8) (15/2 +6%) Legal Reform	7.5 15/2(+6%)	(8) Legal Reform 15/2, 3-time C&D winner who was friendless in the betting but capitalised on reduced mark when taking 12-runner handicap at this C&D (40/1) 12 days ago. A repeat gives him claims up 3 lb. Not guaranteed to follow up his C&D win, having been inconsistent of late.
3	4 3rd (4) (11/2 +45%) Lattaash	5.5 11/2(+45%)	(4) Lattaash 11/2, Winner at Wolverhampton (7f) in December. 18/5, 7¾ lengths eighth of 12 to Legal Reform in handicap at this C&D 12 days ago, taking a strong hold and weakening. Remains early days and he's a player from this mark provided he settles better. Easy task in novice event at Wolverhampton; disappointing over C&D since.
4	9 4th (9) (10/1 -43%) Eligible	10 10/1(-43%)	(9) Eligible 10/1, 3-time C&D winner. 3/1, made it 2 wins from last 3 starts in good style when taking 10-runner handicap at this course (8.1f) 17 days ago, overcoming pace bias. Of interest again up 2 lb given he won from higher mark here last winter. Latest win took his Southwell record to 5-14; may remain competitive.
5th	6 5th (6) (14/1 -65%) Enola Grey	14 14/1(-65%)	(6) Enola Grey 14/1, Course winner who resumed winning ways at Wolverhampton (7f) prior to a good second of 5 in handicap back there (8.6f) 9 days ago. Consistent mare who should give her best again for all her mark is probably about right. In-form mare but has gained last three wins against her own sex.
6th	2 6th (2) (3/1 +67%) Harvard Sound	3 3/1(+67%)	(2) Harvard Sound 3/1, Back-to-back winner of 7f maiden/novice contests in the summer before a good third on C&D handicap debut in October, finishing to good effect. Below best at Kempton (1m) a month later but he boasts a low-mileage profile and likely he can get back on the up. Non-stayer over 1m last time; progressive over 7f otherwise; remains of interest.
7th	3 7th (3) (11/1 -144%) Angel Of Antrim	11 11/1(-144%)	(3) Angel Of Antrim 11/1, Thrived since the visor went back on, bringing up the 4-timer with loads to spare in 9-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f, 15/8) 11 days ago. Assessor has reacted with a 10 lb rise but he clearly can't be dismissed lightly. Bids for a five-timer; upped in grade off a stiffer mark but he's better than ever.
8th	1 8th (1) (5/1 +41%) Pjanoo	5 5/1(+41%)	(1) Pjanoo 5/1, Eighth of 12 in handicap (4/1) at Lingfield (8f, AW) 43 days ago, headed final 100 yds. Hasn't had many goes at this trip and no surprise to see a better showing given balance of his form on artificial surfaces. Likely needs a career-best performance to defy top weight in this field.
9th	7 9th (7) (11/1 -120%) Ormolulu	11 11/1(-120%)	(7) Ormolulu 11/1, Thriving mare who produced her best effort yet when making it 3 wins from last 4 starts in 10-runner handicap at this course (6.1f) 11 days ago, another slow start not holding her back. Possibilities again back at 7f in this sort of form. Three 6f wins here of late; likely player provided she's as effective back at 7f.
10th	5 10th (5) (33/1 -136%) Encourageable	33 33/1(-136%)	(5) Encourageable 33/1, 4/1, seventh of 8 in handicap at Newcastle (8f) 25 days ago. Needs a couple of these to falter. Inconsistent sort who ran below par returned to AW last time.
11th	11 11th (11) (150/1 -275%) Three Yorkshiremen	150 150/1(-275%)	(11) Three Yorkshiremen 150/1, Opened his account for this yard at Chelmsford (10f) back in April but not in same form next 3 starts and pulled up on second start over hurdles in a Fakenham novice (2m) on New Year's Day. Has it to prove back on the level. Never figured over C&D on most recent Flat start; best to look elsewhere.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

A case can be made for a few of these so only a tentative vote goes to ANGEL OF ANTRIM. He has done nothing but improve this winter and he was impressive when coming clear of his rivals in the style of a well handicapped horse to bring up a four-timer over this trip at Wolverhampton recently. Despite a 10lb hike in the ratings, he looks the one to side with once more. Enola Grey did it well when scoring over 7f at Dunstall Park on her penultimate start and she warrants respect dropping back in trip, while Ormolulu and Lattaash are a couple of others to consider.

OUR HAVANA was strong in the betting after 7 months off and went like the best horse at the weights when runner-up at Newcastle 18 days ago, his early keenness/muddling gallop just leaving him short in the finish. He's worth siding with to confirm his mark a workable one. Course specialist Eligible arrives having landed 2 of his last 3 starts and he's feared along with the thriving Angel of Antrim. Ormolulu and Lattaash are others to consider in a competitive heat.

Lightly raced OUR HAVANA may be more settled this time and he gets the vote, ahead of Harvard Sound.

13:38 Southwell Handicap (Class 4) 7f PREDICTION SIMULATION

13:45 Hereford Handicap Chase (Class 4) 21f - 6 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	7 1st (7) (10/1 -11%) Captain Boudet	10 10/1(-11%)	(7) Captain Boudet 10/1, Made a positive return to the fray when third of 18 in 19.5f Chepstow handicap in November and ran to a similar level when sixth of 11 at Exeter (21.6f, heavy) just under 6 weeks ago. Seems to be building up to something and the switch to fences could unlock more. Tongue tie applied. Placed over hurdles; pointing background and could develop into a superior chaser.
2	5 2nd (5) (9/2 +44%) Golden De Coeur	4.5 9/2(+44%)	(5) Golden De Coeur 9/2, Fair hurdles form and bettered his inauspicious chase debut when fourth of 9 back from a 7-month break at Windsor (20.2f, good to soft) last month. Eased 3 lb since and this dual point winner is probably capable of better in this sphere. Second chase run was better and potentially well handicapped on his hurdle form.
3	6 3rd (6) (22/1 +12%) Fever Dream	22 22/1(+12%)	(6) Fever Dream 22/1, Winner over hurdles at Perth in June and followed that with a couple of respectable efforts in defeat. Yet to fire over fences but it's still early days (crying out for return to 3m). Behind Golden De Coeur the last time on good to soft and he probably wants drier ground.
4	4 4th (4) (9/2 -35%) Intimate	4.5 9/2(-35%)	(4) Intimate 9/2, Made a promising start over fences when runner-up at Sandown on return last month but was found wanting for pace even in a well-run race on testing ground when fourth of 8 in at Haydock (16.3f, heavy) since. Step up in trip sure to suit and remains with potential. Second at Sandown and conditions were extremely testing when fourth at Haydock.
3	3 \|PU\| (3) (3/1 -50%) Moodofthemoment	3 3/1(-50%)	(3) Moodofthemoment 3/1, Notched third success over fences when decisively seeing off 10 rivals in a 2½m Ludlow handicap 4 weeks ago. Another personal best needed up 8 lb but he's clearly thriving and another bold show may well be on the way. Raised 8lb for winning so well at Ludlow but still commands the utmost respect.
1	1 \|PU\| (1) (13/8 +35%) The Good Doctor	1.625 13/8(+35%)	(1) The Good Doctor 13/8, Fairly useful hurdler who looks the part for chasing and has found just one too strong on both starts in this sphere so far, going down narrowly at Newbury (16.4f, good to soft) 18 days ago. Can make amends here upped to 2½m for the first time. Excellent seconds in both his chases and probably ready for this extra yardage.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

THE GOOD DOCTOR has taken well to chasing with a brace of runner-up efforts at Warwick and Newbury last month and a step up in trip might help to get the six-year-old a first victory in this discipline. Moodofthemoment went up 8lb following a return to winning ways at Ludlow in decisive fashion, while Intimate is feared most of the remainder.

Cases can be made for most, but the vote goes to THE GOOD DOCTOR, who has found just one too strong on both starts over the larger obstacles so far but Ben Pauling's 6-y-o can make it third time lucky with this extra distance promising to suit. Moodofthemoment made it 3 wins from his last 4 starts when scoring at Ludlow 4 weeks ago so heads up the opposition, with Intimate taken to edge out Golden de Coeur for third.

Preference is for INTIMATE, who ran a race full of promise at Sandown and his heavy-ground Haydock run can be forgiven.

13:45 Hereford Handicap Chase (Class 4) 21f PREDICTION SIMULATION

13:55 Newbury Conditions Hurdle (Class 3) 16f - 7 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	6 1st (6) (11/4 +50%) Sherminator	2.75 11/4(+50%)	(6) Sherminator 11/4, Fairly useful form when second of 6 in bumper at Bangor (16.7f, heavy, 11/4) 33 days ago, staying on well. Much respected now he makes his hurdles debut. Needs some improvement but his two bumpers were promising, beaten a head last time.
2	1 2nd (1) (9/2 +18%) Star Of Guiting	4.5 9/2(+18%)	(1) Star Of Guiting 9/2, 11/2, made a winning hurdling debut in 5-runner juvenile at Exeter (16.7f, soft) 27 days ago. Likely to improve but he needs to under his penalty. 11-2 under Jamie Brace, won five-runner race at Exeter (2m, good to soft) and can improve.
3	4 3rd (4) (6/5 +4%) Laughing John	1.2 6/5(+4%)	(4) Laughing John 6/5, Postponed gelding. Closely related to fair 1¼m-1½m winner Bletchley Storm. One to take seriously on his debut for leading yard. Dam juvenile hurdle winner, with other hurdle winners close in pedigree; from a top yard.
4	5 4th (5) (9/1 +36%) Lenjoleur De Palma	9 9/1(+36%)	(5) Lenjoleur De Palma 9/1, Twice-raced maiden and fair form shown, fourth of 7 in juvenile hurdle at Warwick (16f, soft) 55 days ago. Not discounted. Minor honours on both starts; bit more is needed given the potential among today's rivals.
5th	8 5th (8) (33/1 -230%) Tabasco Time	33 33/1(-230%)	(8) Tabasco Time 33/1, Showing ability when fell last in juvenile hurdle at Cagnes-Sur-Mer (16.9f, soft) 40 days ago. Should progress now going hurdling for her new yard. Newcomer; needs a second look despite others having the advantage of experience.
6th	2 6th (2) (20/1 -43%) Vorderman	20 20/1(-43%)	(2) Vorderman 20/1, Limited impact in a brace of bumpers but caused an upset upped to 17.7f switched to hurdling at Fontwell last month. Not an obvious follow-up contender under a penalty. Others have better chances on form but there was promise in Fontwell win on hurdle debut.
7th	7 7th (7) (40/1 -100%) Highbury Hill	40 40/1(-100%)	(7) Highbury Hill 40/1, Held back by inexperience when eighth in bumper at Stratford but knew more sent hurdling when 8 lengths third to Blue Moon Lady on hurdles debut over C&D 4 weeks ago. May do better still. Considered. Staying-on, 8l third of six to Blue Moon Lady on hurdle debut at Ludlow (2m, good to soft).

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

BLUE MOON LADY might not have beaten much when she made a winning racecourse debut in a junior hurdle event at Ludlow in December. However, she went about the task in a professional enough manner to suggest she has a good chance of following up, with the fillies' allowance assisting now she takes in the boys. Fellow last-time-out winners/penalty carriers Star Of Guiting and Vorderman also warrant serious consideration.

Nicky Henderson has his string in excellent nick so his Postponed gelding LAUGHING JOHN is fancied to make a winning start in this sphere at the chief expense of Ludlow debut scorer Blue Moon Lady. Highbury Hill also has the form to play a part and appeals as the pick of the rest for minor honours.

The market moves need to be monitored closely, not least because of the presence of a Nicky Henderson-trained newcomer in LAUGHING JOHN.

13:55 Newbury Conditions Hurdle (Class 3) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:00 Clonmel Maiden Hurdle 17f - 13 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
1	7 1st (7) (11/2 -10%) Grainne A Chroi	5.5 11/2(-10%)	(7) Grainne A Chroi 11/2, Promising type. 6/1, respectable tenth of 18 in bumper at Thurles (16.1f, good) 25 days ago. Switches from bumpers to hurdles. Likely to improve. Placed in 3 of her 5 runs under rules; poor in Thurles bumper latest; each-way chance.
2	2 2nd (2) (9/2 +50%) Twentyfourcarrot	4.5 9/2(+50%)	(2) Twentyfourcarrot 9/2, Fair winner at 16f in bumpers. 3/1, pulled up in novice hurdle at Limerick (20f, soft) on hurdles bow 19 days ago, pulled up before 3 out. Needs to bounce back. RPR of bumper win nothing to shout about and she was pulled up on hurdling debut.
3	9 3rd (9) (4/7 0%) Karma D'airy	0.571429 4/7(0%)	(9) Karma D'airy 4/7, Promising sort. 68/10, second of 15 in minor event hurdle at Auteuil (17.9f, soft). Off 6 months. First run for yard after leaving Hugo Merienne. Interesting recruit for top yard. 250,000euros buy; second over hurdles at Auteuil last June, yard won 5 of last 6 runnings.
4	1 4th (1) (20/1 -186%) Beautiful Chaos	20 20/1(-186%)	(1) Beautiful Chaos 20/1, Promising individual. Fair winner at 11f on flat. Fourth of 17 in novice hurdle (40/1) at Limerick (16f, soft) 18 days ago, left with lot to do. Open to progress. Good effort when a staying-on fourth in 2m Limerick maiden hurdle; might want further.
5th	10 5th (10) (9/2 +18%) Kilbarry Ce Ce	4.5 9/2(+18%)	(10) Kilbarry Ce Ce 9/2, Lightly-raced maiden. 10/1, very good second of 15 in novice hurdle at Tramore (16.8f, heavy) 14 days ago. Well in the mix. Bounced back when runner-up at Tramore on New Year's Day; could hit the frame again.
6th	4 6th (4) (50/1 0%) Betty's Beaut	50 50/1(0%)	(4) Betty's Beaut 50/1, Once-raced maiden. 40/1 and hooded, eighth of 15 in novice hurdle at Tramore (16.8f, heavy) on NH debut 14 days ago. No show in a couple of point-to-points and never a factor on rules debut at Tramore.
7th	12 7th (12) (200/1 -100%) Set My Love Free	200 200/1(-100%)	(12) Set My Love Free 200/1, Thrice-raced maiden under NH rules. 50/1, tenth of 16 in novice hurdle at Roscommon (20f, good) on hurdles bow. Off over 2 years. First run for yard after leaving Gordon Elliott. Modest bumper promise; off the track 842 days; best watched on first start for new yard.
8th	5 8th (5) (250/1 -67%) Captain Kate	250 250/1(-67%)	(5) Captain Kate 250/1, Once-raced maiden. 200/1, tenth of 17 in novice hurdle at Limerick (16f, soft) on NH debut 18 days ago. Ran okay in a few points but well behind Beautiful Chaos on rules debut at Limerick.
9th	11 9th (11) (250/1 -150%) Midnight Fairy	250 250/1(-150%)	(11) Midnight Fairy 250/1, Once-raced maiden. 66/1, eleventh of 18 in novice hurdle at Thurles (16.1f, good) on NH debut 25 days ago. Always detached when sent off a big price on debut at Thurles last month; passed over.
10th	13 10th (13) (200/1 +0%) Stage Lady	200 200/1(+0%)	(13) Stage Lady 200/1, Lightly-raced maiden under NH rules. 200/1, fifteenth of 20 in novice hurdle at Naas (16.2f, good to soft) 30 days ago. Showed promise in a bumper on debut but nothing in four starts since; no appeal.
11th	8 11th (8) (66/1 -100%) Inches Away	66 66/1(-100%)	(8) Inches Away 66/1, Twice-raced maiden. 28 lengths sixth of 7 to Churchfield Sunset in listed bumper (100/1) at Navan (16f, good to soft) 59 days ago. Makes hurdles debut. Improvement needed on hurdling bow but interesting that Darragh O'Keeffe is booked.
12th	6 12th (6) (250/1 -25%) Goodbye Picadilly	250 250/1(-25%)	(6) Goodbye Picadilly 250/1, Once-raced maiden. Fifteenth of 18 in novice hurdle at Thurles (16.1f, good, 125/1) on NH debut 25 days ago. Big price when tailed off on debut at Thurles before Christmas and a similar story here.
13th	3 13th (3) (300/1 -50%) Barroness Park	300 300/1(-50%)	(3) Barroness Park 300/1, Once-raced maiden. Last of 14 in novice hurdle at Wexford (16.7f, good to soft, 125/1) on NH debut 161 days ago. Tailed off over hurdles at Wexford on debut when sent off 125-1; makes no appeal.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

KARMA D'AIRY debuts for new connections having shown nice ability in France and contests an ordinary maiden on her Irish start. Beaten by Another World at Auteuil last June and bought for 250,000 euros the following month, that rival subsequently attained a Listed-placing and today's selection will be ready for her reappearance on suitably soft ground. Twentyfourcarrot was an impressive 16-length winner of a Limerick bumper in November but was reported to have had blood at both nostrils when pulling up at that venue over Christmas. Kilbarry Ce Ce has place claims.

KARMA D'AIRY showed some fairly useful form over hurdles in France and is fancied to build on that and get off the mark now with the all-conquering Willie Mullins team. Tramore runner-up Kilbarry Ce Ce appeals as the one to chase her home ahead of Beautiful Chaos and Grainne A Chroi.

This should be a straightforward task for KARMA D'AIRY (nap) on her Irish debut. Kilbarry Ce Ce can follow her home

14:00 Clonmel Maiden Hurdle 17f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:08 Southwell Stakes (Class 6) 7f - 11 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	8 1st (8) (11/10 +20%) Monsieur Fantaisie	1.1 11/10(+20%)	(8) Monsieur Fantaisie 11/10, C&D winner. Creditable second of 12 in minor event at this C&D (5/2) 11 days ago, headed well inside final 1f. Has to be taken seriously. Last three 7f runs have resulted in a C&D win and two close calls; solid chance.
2	1 2nd (1) (11/1 +21%) Aspire To Glory	11 11/1(+21%)	(1) Aspire To Glory 11/1, Poor gelding. Fourteen runs since last win in 2024. 14/1 and eyeshields on for 1st time, ninth of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f) just under 3 weeks ago. Both wins over 7f on AW last winter; not in same form now; usually in aids but none today.
3	9 3rd (9) (8/1 +50%) Mr Slicker	8 8/1(+50%)	(9) Mr Slicker 8/1, 20/1, wasn't disgraced when sixth of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 19 days ago, having to weave through. Can give another good account. Multiple French AW wins; close 4th here (1m) in December; now down in grade back here.
4	3 4th (3) (13/2 +54%) Dandy Lichious	6.5 13/2(+54%)	(3) Dandy Lichious 13/2, 6/1, again showed little after 9 weeks off when eighth of 12 in minor event at this C&D 11 days ago. Hard to enthuse over. Won 7f AW claimer in Ireland last March; British form not up to much as yet, including C&D.
5th	11 5th (11) (33/1 -175%) Scarfo	33 33/1(-175%)	(11) Scarfo 33/1, Cheekpieces on for 1st time, tenth of 11 in handicap (12/1) at Chelmsford (7f) just under 6 weeks ago. First run for yard after leaving John & Sean Quinn. Betting can guide expectations. Form tailed off after 7f Wolverhampton win last July; risky for new yard.
6th	6 6th (6) (4/1 +33%) Kodebreaker	4 4/1(+33%)	(6) Kodebreaker 4/1, C&D winner. 22/1 and visored for 1st time, ran poorly when ninth of 10 in handicap at this course (8.1f) 12 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Looks competitive back in this grade. Has won over 7f and 1m here; in the doldrums of late but eligible for this level again.
7th	12 7th (12) (11/1 -57%) Tres Chic	11 11/1(-57%)	(12) Tres Chic 11/1, 18/1, failed to repeat previous effort after just 6 days off when tenth of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f) just under 3 weeks ago. Each-way claims. Three turf wins at 1m/7f; close 3rd over 1m here two starts ago; lesser run since.
8th	4 8th (4) (50/1 -257%) Dark Side Premier	50 50/1(-257%)	(4) Dark Side Premier 50/1, 16/1, fared no better in first-time tongue strap after 11 months off when ninth of 12 in handicap at this course (8.1f) 26 days ago, slowly away. Had 4 runs; always behind on 1m handicap debut here; might do better back at 7f.
9th	7 9th (7) (100/1 -300%) Lil Wade	100 100/1(-300%)	(7) Lil Wade 100/1, Remains a maiden after 22 Flat runs. 40/1 and visored for 1st time, eighth of 11 in minor event at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 8 days ago, hampered soon after start. Maiden; placed 3 times at sprint trips on AW but not obviously yearning for first go at 7f.
10th	10 10th (10) (100/1 -150%) One Moonbeam	100 100/1(-150%)	(10) One Moonbeam 100/1, Yet to show any solid form but did look rusty after 13 months off when eleventh of 12 in minor event at this course (6.1f) 12 days ago. Shown little, including on handicap debut in 2023 and this month on return from an absence.
11th	2 11th (2) (16/1 +36%) Barney's Bay	16 16/1(+36%)	(2) Barney's Bay 16/1, Course winner in 2021. 66/1, continued out of sorts when tenth of 11 in minor event at Newcastle (7.1f) 5 days ago. Has C&D form but thoroughly becalmed since back from layoff, including at this level.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

This may prove a good opportunity for MONSIEUR FANTAISIE to rediscover his shooting boots. He went down narrowly in second in a similar contest over C&D recently and a reproduction of that effort should suffice here. Mr Slicker has shown flashes of decent form in handicaps this winter and he could go well pitched into Classified company for the first time, while Kodebreaker was rated 7lb higher only three starts ago and he looks to hold solid claims on figures.

Several of these arrive out of sorts but that's certainly not the case for MONSIEUR FANTAISIE, who went down by just a head over C&D 11 days ago and can go one better with a repeat effort. Kodebreaker rates as an obvious danger back in grade, with Headshot and Tres Chic another couple fancied to be in the shake up.

C&D winner MONSIEUR FANTAISIE comes here at the top of his form and he is the one to beat. Headshot may be next best.

14:08 Southwell Stakes (Class 6) 7f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:15 Hereford Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 22f - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	6 1st (6) (11/10 +20%) Sole Solution	1.1 11/10(+20%)	(6) Sole Solution 11/10, Dual bumper winner who understandably shaped as if needing the run after almost 2 years off when a well-held sixth at Bangor in November. Subsequently chased home a potentially smart novice in Sixmilebridge at Leicester (20.5f, heavy) and likely to progress further. Probably beaten by a very good horse at Leicester (won easily).
2	2 2nd (2) (6/4 +14%) Buckna	1.5 6/4(+14%)	(2) Buckna 6/4, Changed hands for £350,000 after winning sole start in Irish points and shaped well when runner-up on Rules debut in a Ffos Las novice in November (15.8f, heavy). Went backwards upped in trip at Newbury subsequently but well worth another chance. £350,000 recruit; beaten fav in both his hurdles but he's up to winning a race like this.
3	1 3rd (1) (11/2 -65%) King Califet	5.5 11/2(-65%)	(1) King Califet 11/2, £110,000 Califet gelding. Dam (c111/h110), 17f-3m hurdle/chase winner, half-sister to useful hurdler (stayed 23f) Boreham Bill. Runner-up sole start in Irish points and showed clear promise for all that he ran out a very fortunate winner on his Newbury hurdles debut 4 weeks ago. Can improve. Gifted the race at Newbury after the clear leader came down at the final hurdle.
4	3 4th (3) (25/1 +24%) Gamblergo	25 25/1(+24%)	(3) Gamblergo 25/1, Successful on sole outing in Irish points but went with little promise switched to hurdles at Uttoxeter in November. Has had a breathing operation since. Had wind operation since a forgettable hurdle debut; did win a point, albeit a weak one.
5th	8 5th (8) (33/1 -106%) Tuscany	33 33/1(-106%)	(8) Tuscany 33/1, Made no impact sole outing in bumpers at Warwick last month. Significantly up in trip for hurdle bow. Hinted at some ability in a Warwick bumper, trailing the winner by 12l come the line.
6th	4 6th (4) (66/1 -100%) Johnny Boy	66 66/1(-100%)	(4) Johnny Boy 66/1, Well held in a bumper and was always behind when making his hurdles bow at Ffos Las (heavy) 56 days ago. One for the longer term. Beaten 31l in a bumper and 56l in a 2m4f maiden hurdle, both on soft ground.
7th	7 7th (7) (12/1 +25%) Strong As Steel	12 12/1(+25%)	(7) Strong As Steel 12/1, Hadn't looked much in bumpers and was never dangerous on last month's hurdling debut at Uttoxeter. Ran well in a bumper here; some positives to take from hurdling debut at Uttoxeter.
8th	9 8th (9) (200/1 +0%) Dontworrywegotthis	200 200/1(+0%)	(9) Dontworrywegotthis 200/1, Offered little only start in bumpers and has fared no better in 2 starts since switched to hurdles. Beaten over 50l in a bumper and two hurdle races at Ludlow.
9th	5 9th (5) (200/1 -33%) Poete Ardent	200 200/1(-33%)	(5) Poete Ardent 200/1, Showed nothing when pulled up in novice hurdle at Warwick (21f, soft, 300/1) on NH debut 34 days ago. 300-1 for a 2m5f maiden at Warwick and showed pretty much nothing.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

King Califet had the race presented to him on a plate when making a winning Rules debut at Newbury and he will need to have improved considerably from that performance to defy a 7lb penalty. With that in mind, BUCKNA is given the benefit of the doubt after disappointing on the same card Emma Lavelle's gelding was successful at. The five-year-old had shown a fair amount of promise at Ffos Las the time before and anything close to that makes him a big player. Johnny Boy is noted too.

BUCKNA was a bit disappointing upped in trip at Newbury last month, but he's well worth another chance based on his hurdling debut promise, a performance supported by the clock. King Califet ran out a very fortunate winner on his hurdling debut at Newbury but shaped clear second best on the day nonetheless and can be expected to improve, with Sole Solution also of firm interest.

It will be disappointing should BUCKNA not live up to his big-money transfer sooner or later. He contested a stronger race last time.

14:15 Hereford Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 22f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:25 Newbury Handicap Chase (Class 4) 23f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	5 1st (5) (7/4 +13%) Jasmin De Grugy	1.75 7/4(+13%)	(5) Jasmin De Grugy 7/4, Big improver in handicaps. Completed a hurdle hat-trick in May and extended his winning run to 4 switched to fences at Southwell (20.5f) on return in November. Even a further 11 lb rise may not stop him with further progress on the cards. Up 11lb, unproven with trip or on soft, but that's after winning chase debut in fine style.
2	4 2nd (4) (10/1 +29%) Garincha	10 10/1(+29%)	(4) Garincha 10/1, Three-time winner (at up to 20.9f) in 2022/23 who shaped as if retaining all of his ability back from 19 months off when good third at Bangor. Disappointed at Exeter since but might have found that run coming too soon. Absent 568 days before third of 15 at Bangor; tailed off latest and not proven beyond 2m5f.
3	10 3rd (10) (17/2 +29%) Phantom Getaway	8.5 17/2(+29%)	(10) Phantom Getaway 17/2, Winning Irish pointer/hurdler. No show in 3 starts over fences last season. Fared much better (had a breathing operation and tongue tied) when second at Ffos Las on return but went backwards in a big way at Ludlow since. Second at Ffos Las (3m) in November; reverted to a poor show at Ludlow six weeks ago.
4	8 4th (8) (9/1 +25%) Support Act	9 9/1(+25%)	(8) Support Act 9/1, Fairly useful bumper winner who proved a vastly different proposition to hurdling debut when dispatching a last-time-out winner with the minimum of fuss in a Doncaster novice in February. Well held on handicap bow at Cheltenham on return and now goes chasing (runner-up sole start in Irish point). Upped in trip for this chase debut and has stamina in the family; wind op looks key though.
5th	2 5th (2) (4/1 +11%) Sound And Fury	4 4/1(+11%)	(2) Sound And Fury 4/1, Lightly-raced winning pointer/hurdler. Off 12 months before coming in a staying-on third at Carlisle (24.5f, good to soft) on his debut over fences in November. Might have been fortunate to go one better at Uttoxeter last month (left in front at the last) but deserves credit for his consistency. Made the most of a rival's final-fence error at Uttoxeter; 7lb claimer is enlisted; player.
6th	1 6th (1) (8/1 +76%) Pepe Le Moko	8 8/1(+76%)	(1) Pepe Le Moko 8/1, Winless following 5 attempts over hurdles but quickly put that right sent chasing, taking 2 of his first 3 starts (at up to 20.5f). However, has yet to fire this season so bit to prove now. Headgear applied. After 3m+ in his three starts this term, he's still not come close to proving his stamina.
7th	6 7th (6) (11/2 -10%) New Order	5.5 11/2(-10%)	(6) New Order 11/2, Point winner who bettered hurdles form at the second attempt when off the mark in 9-runner handicap chase at Warwick (24f, soft, 5/1) 34 days ago, heavily eased down. May well do better again so needs considering. Came good in smooth style on chase debut at Warwick (3m, good to soft) after wind surgery.
3	3 \|PU\| (3) (28/1 +15%) Eximia	28 28/1(+15%)	(3) Eximia 28/1, Useful hurdler/chaser in France, successful 4 times in each sphere at up to around 2½m. Changed hands for €80,000 14 months ago but no show both starts for this yard 10 months apart. 10-34 when trained in France, including four chase wins; pulled up both runs in Britain.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

JASMIN DE GRUGY, who recorded a hat-trick over hurdles before he made a winning chasing debut over the extended 2m4f at Southwell in November, is progressing nicely and has a good chance of adding to his tally. An 11lb higher mark demands more of the selection but he could still be hard to beat with today's longer trip a potential source of further improvement. Sound And Fury and New Order rate the chief threats on these terms.

MOULINS CLERMONT left his chase bow/belated return well behind when second over C&D 4 weeks ago and should have more to offer in this sphere. He shades the vote over the thriving Jasmin de Grugy, who improved again when making it 4 wins in a row on chase debut at Southwell. New Order is another to consider after his easy win at Warwick.

There are questions to answer, including over this trip on soft ground, but JASMIN DE GRUGY appears to bring clearly the most potential.

14:25 Newbury Handicap Chase (Class 4) 23f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:30 Clonmel Maiden Hurdle 17f - 17 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
1	7 1st (7) (4/7 +7%) Funiculi Funicula	0.571429 4/7(+7%)	(7) Funiculi Funicula 4/7, Promising type. 18/1 and tongue strap on for 1st time, second of 14 in juvenile hurdle at Auteuil (17.9f, soft). Off 15 months. First run for yard after leaving Mlle D. Mele. Should improve and is worth chancing to make a winning start for new connections. Runner-up in a juvenile hurdle at Auteuil in October 2023, obvious chance in this company.
2	11 2nd (11) (100/1 -25%) Hitak	100 100/1(-25%)	(11) Hitak 100/1, Twice-raced maiden. First run since leaving Ellmarie Holden when pulled up in hunter chase (18/1) at Limerick (22.6f, soft) 17 days ago. Makes hurdles debut. Down in trip. Useful three-time points winner, has struggled in hunter chases, trip may be inadequate.
3	16 3rd (16) (80/1 -142%) Siege Ofjadotville	80 80/1(-142%)	(16) Siege Ofjadotville 80/1, €18,000 3-y-o, Soldier of Fortune gelding. Dam unraced half-sister to high-class hurdler (2m-19f winner) Iktitaf. Makes some appeal on paper but will probably need time. Dam is unraced half-sister to Irish Cesarewitch winner and high-class hurdler Iktitaf.
4	9 4th (9) (100/1 -100%) He Might Be Lucky	100 100/1(-100%)	(9) He Might Be Lucky 100/1, Twice-raced maiden. Pulled up in novice hurdle at Limerick (22f, soft, 300/1). Off 17 months. Down in trip. Pulled up in both maiden hurdle starts in 2023, won an ordinary maiden point last May.
5th	8 5th (8) (150/1 -50%) Glenmore River	150 150/1(-50%)	(8) Glenmore River 150/1, Once-raced maiden. 50/1, twelfth of 15 in novice hurdle at Tramore (16.8f, heavy) on NH debut 14 days ago. 50-1 when always at the back on debut at Tramore a fortnight ago.
6th	15 6th (15) (100/1 -100%) Roxboro River	100 100/1(-100%)	(15) Roxboro River 100/1, Twice-raced maiden. 66/1, fifth of 12 in novice hurdle at Fairyhouse (20f, soft) 14 days ago. Fair fifth in a 2m4f Fairyhouse maiden two weeks ago, needs to jump more tidily.
7th	4 7th (4) (25/1 -25%) Buckaway Freddie	25 25/1(-25%)	(4) Buckaway Freddie 25/1, Thrice-raced maiden under NH rules. 25/1, seventh of 15 in novice hurdle at Tramore (16.2f, heavy) on hurdles bow 50 days ago. Others preferred. Second in a small-field bumper, did not seem to handle the track at Tramore in November.
8th	3 8th (3) (150/1 -50%) Brown Boots	150 150/1(-50%)	(3) Brown Boots 150/1, Twice-raced maiden. Eighth of 17 in novice hurdle (200/1) at Limerick (16f, soft) 18 days ago. No threat in maiden hurdles at this venue and Limerick last month, safe to rule out.
9th	6 9th (6) (33/1 -32%) Dangerous Dan	33 33/1(-32%)	(6) Dangerous Dan 33/1, Youmzain gelding. Dam (b92), ran twice in bumpers, half-sister to useful hurdler/chaser (stayed 2¾m) Burn And Turn. Not an obvious sort on paper. Dam placed in a bumper, half-sister to useful jumps winner Burn And Turn.
1	1 \|F\| (1) (13/8 +28%) Addragoole	1.625 13/8(+28%)	(1) Addragoole 13/8, Fairly useful hurdler. 9/2, respectable eleventh of 19 in handicap hurdle at Leopardstown (16f, good) 20 days ago. Solid claims in a race that lacks depth. Runner-up in three bumpers and two maiden hurdle runs, worth forgiving a handicap failure.
18	18 \|F\| (18) (66/1 -164%) Tom Sarah Evelyn	66 66/1(-164%)	(18) Tom Sarah Evelyn 66/1, Thrice-raced maiden under NH rules. First run since leaving T. Gibney when pulled up in novice hurdle at Kilbeggan (19f, good to soft, 20/1) on hurdles bow 131 days ago. Placed in two bumpers in 2021, pulled up in a maiden hurdle at Kilbeggan last autumn.
10th	14 10th (14) (150/1 +0%) Rookery Woods	150 150/1(+0%)	(14) Rookery Woods 150/1, Twice-raced maiden under NH rules. Sixteenth of 17 in novice hurdle (200/1) at Limerick (16f, soft) on hurdles bow 18 days ago. Point winner in 2023, tailed off in a bumper, similar outcome over hurdles at Limerick.
11th	5 11th (5) (100/1 +0%) Comanche Moon	100 100/1(+0%)	(5) Comanche Moon 100/1, Twice-raced maiden. Eleventh of 18 in novice hurdle at Limerick (16f, soft, 150/1) 20 days ago. Beaten a long way in maidens at Cork and Limerick last month, big price both times.
12th	12 12th (12) (200/1 +20%) Kared'as De Cougny	200 200/1(+20%)	(12) Kared'as De Cougny 200/1, Lightly-raced maiden under NH rules. Thirteenth of 15 in novice hurdle at Tramore (16.8f, heavy, 66/1) 14 days ago. Second in a bumper, has plenty to prove after his first two attempts over hurdles.
13th	2 13th (2) (9/1 +25%) Battleoftheboyne	9 9/1(+25%)	(2) Battleoftheboyne 9/1, €30,000 3-y-o, Soldier of Fortune gelding. Half-brother to useful hurdler/chaser Hollow Games and fair hurdler Moyode Gold. Of obvious interest if the market speaks in his favour on debut. Half-brother to the trainer's Grade 3 hurdle winner Hollow Games also Grade 1-placed.
14th	17 14th (17) (28/1 +72%) Southgate Avenue	28 28/1(+72%)	(17) Southgate Avenue 28/1, Twice-raced maiden. 200/1, sixth of 15 in novice hurdle at Tramore (16.2f, heavy) 50 days ago, finishing with running left. Unplaced in two outings in November, will appeal more when qualified for handicaps.
10	10 \|PU\| (10) (125/1 +17%) Highland Earl	125 125/1(+17%)	(10) Highland Earl 125/1, Thrice-raced maiden under NH rules. Fourteenth of 18 in novice hurdle at Limerick (16f, soft, 150/1) on hurdles bow 20 days ago. Well beaten in two bumpers early in the season, same on hurdling debut at Limerick.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

The market is likely to revolve around FUNICULI FUNICULA. He kept on for second on his sole start in a hurdle at Auteuil in October 2023 and has subsequently joined Willie Mullins. He is already being quoted for two of the novice hurdle races at the Cheltenham Festival. The 123-rated Addragoole looks most likely to profit if Funiculi Funicula's Irish debut doesn't go to plan. He clocked up five runner-up finishes in a row (two bumpers and three maiden hurdles) before disappointing in a novice handicap hurdle at a foggy Leopardstown over Christmas. Gordon Elliott takes the wraps off Battleoftheboyne, who is a half-brother to a Grade 3 winner over flights and he should be given a market check.

FUNICULI FUNICULA hasn't been seen for 15 months since an excellent second over hurdles at Auteuil but his new yard is adept at bringing them back from lengthy absences and he's worth a chance to improve past Addragoole, who sets the standard but is more exposed. Battleoftheboyne is a notable newcomer.

Reverting to maiden company after a handicap run at Leopardstown, ADDRAGOOLE may make his experience count over Funiculi Funicula

14:30 Clonmel Maiden Hurdle 17f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:40 Southwell Stakes (Class 6) 7f - 12 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	11 1st (11) (7/2 +68%) Van Zant	3.5 7/2(+68%)	(11) Van Zant 7/2, Course winner. Returned to form from out of the blue when second of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f, 18/1) 4 days ago, sticking to task. Not ruled out. Good record here, over 1m and 7f; back to form on Saturday; bit to find on these terms.
2	9 2nd (9) (11/4 +21%) My Boy Jack	2.75 11/4(+21%)	(9) My Boy Jack 11/4, Runner-up here (6.1f) on first start of year, before left with too much to do when third of 8 in handicap (5/1) at Newcastle (6f) 5 days ago. Major player back down in grade. AW wins at Wolverhampton but rarely has an off day here; solid chance back over C&D.
3	4 3rd (4) (5/1 +23%) Evoluir	5 5/1(+23%)	(4) Evoluir 5/1, Opened account here (6.1f) in October on final start for Roger Fell. Having only second try at 7f, ran well when fourth of 12 in minor event (17/2) at this C&D 11 days ago. Could have more to offer at this trip. Won over 6f here in October; strong-finishing 4th over C&D 11 days ago; in the mix.
4	7 4th (7) (18/1 -100%) Miss Billie	18 18/1(-100%)	(7) Miss Billie 18/1, Making first start at this level, produced one of her better efforts when third of 12 in minor event (33/1) at this C&D 11 days ago. Needs to be able to back up her latest run. Maiden; exposed off lowly marks in handicaps but good 3rd from the front over C&D latest.
5th	1 5th (1) (6/1 +40%) Ajrad	6 6/1(+40%)	(1) Ajrad 6/1, Successful twice in 2024, with latest win at Chepstow in September. Low-key end to last year, fifth of 12 in handicap at this course (8.1f, 5/1) 26 days ago, but he could fare better back down in grade. Both AW wins over 7f at Lingfield; has not cut the mustard on Tapeta and has work to do.
6th	2 6th (2) (18/1 -29%) Balmy Breese	18 18/1(-29%)	(2) Balmy Breese 18/1, Remains a maiden after 18 Flat starts, but returned to form when second of 11 in minor event at Wolverhampton (6.1f, 33/1) 8 days ago. Task is now to build on his recent run. Best effort for a while when 2nd over 6f at Wolverhampton last week; query about this C&D.
7th	3 7th (3) (18/1 -140%) Coconut Bay	18 18/1(-140%)	(3) Coconut Bay 18/1, Won twice last year and back to form when third of 11 in minor event (22/1) at this C&D 11 days ago. Capable of getting involved. Two 7f wins in 2024; ups and downs in recent runs but close 3rd over C&D latest; involved.
8th	8 8th (8) (33/1 -136%) Motagally	33 33/1(-136%)	(8) Motagally 33/1, Thirty runs since last win in 2020. Has been struggling for form, again very slowly away when last of 10 in handicap at this course (6.1f, 18/1) 11 days ago. Drops in grade but has something to prove at present. Multiple sprint winner; stays 7f on a good day but solid efforts rather intermittent now.
9th	12 9th (12) (14/1 -250%) Wrath Of Hector	14 14/1(-250%)	(12) Wrath Of Hector 14/1, C&D winner whose latest success came at Yarmouth in August. Ended last year in good form on all-weather, third of 11 in handicap at Chelmsford City (7f, 11/2) 67 days ago. Not taken lightly returned to this level. Has won on both surfaces here; running well in the autumn; not far away back here.
10th	10 10th (10) (80/1 -167%) Stars Away	80 80/1(-167%)	(10) Stars Away 80/1, In first-time eyeshields, again finished down the field when ninth of 10 in handicap (66/1) at this course (6.1f) 11 days ago. Looks to be up against it. Modest form since C&D debut but at least she can slot into this grade now.
11th	6 11th (6) (6/1 +0%) Frightening	6 6/1(+0%)	(6) Frightening 6/1, From her easing mark, not discredited when sixth of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f, 10/1) 16 days ago. Merits consideration back up to 7f in a classified race for the first time. Kept on well over 6f at Wolverhampton latest; worth another go at 7f and down in class.
12th	5 12th (5) (125/1 -317%) Falcon	125 125/1(-317%)	(5) Falcon 125/1, Lost his way last year and fared no better in first-time cheekpieces when tenth of 11 in minor event (33/1) at this C&D 11 days ago. Blinkers now reached for. Very modest form in 2024 and in a C&D classified this month.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

EVOLUIR (fourth) was only a head behind Miss Billie (third) when the pair met in a similar contest here recently and the former gets the nod to reverse that form en route to victory this time. He came from a long way back to finish with a wet sail on that occasion and, provided the cards fall more favourably here, it would be no surprise if the four-year-old wound up in the winner's enclosure. This step back up to 7f can help My Boy Jack be seen to better effect.

MY BOY JACK has bounced back to form in his 2 starts this year, only narrowly denied at this course on the first occasion, so he could be ready to return to winning ways this time around. Wrath of Hector placed in handicaps on his final 3 outings in 2024 and is respected, while Frightening is also one to note dropped in grade.

His recent strong-finishing fourth over C&D was encouraging and EVOLUIR is taken to come out best, ahead of My Boy Jack.

14:40 Southwell Stakes (Class 6) 7f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:48 Hereford Handicap Hurdle (Class 3) 20f - 5 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	6 1st (6) (10/3 +5%) Jour D'evasion	3.333333 10/3(+5%)	(6) Jour D'evasion 10/3, Novice hurdle winner last season and second to smart mare at Sandown (2m) in November. Bettered that effort when second at Wincanton (15.2f, heavy) 41 days ago, chased home idling winner. Respected back up in trip. Creeping up the weights but has scope to improve for this longer trip.
2	2 2nd (2) (10/1 -43%) Santos Blue	10 10/1(-43%)	(2) Santos Blue 10/1, Likeable type who resumed progress during second half of last term, winning over 2½m in the mud at Wetherby and Uttoxeter. Should strip fitter for last month's Doncaster reappearance and must enter calculations. Won five handicaps; possibly needed his comeback race and that was encouraging.
3	3 3rd (3) (7/4 -40%) Knight Of Allen	1.75 7/4(-40%)	(3) Knight Of Allen 7/4, Lightly-raced hurdler who posted his best effort yet when creditable third of 14 in handicap (14/1) at Haydock (18.9f, soft) 53 days ago. This slightly longer trip promises to suit and he warrants plenty of respect. Good third in a valuable race on handicap debut; should have more in the locker.
4	1 4th (1) (14/1 -17%) Stolen Silver	14 14/1(-17%)	(1) Stolen Silver 14/1, Very smart chaser at his best but made early mistakes when pulled up on his Chepstow return and failed to make an impact back over hurdles at Aintree next time. Has been off a couple of months. Cheekpieces on for 1st time. Down the weights in new headgear and returning to softer ground looks a big plus.
5th	5 5th (5) (5/1 -25%) Lemoncello	5 5/1(-25%)	(5) Lemoncello 5/1, Useful recruit from France who again gave signs of finding his feet for this stable when second in 4-runner affair over C&D 25 days ago, albeit flattered by proximity to winner. One-paced second in a small field here latest; gives the impression he wants further.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

Having posted a good third in a competitive 14-runner affair on his handicap bow at Haydock in November, KNIGHT OF ALLEN looks ready to strike. A 3lb rise in the ratings looks workable for Jane Williams' gelding and this extra yardage looks likely to suit. Lemoncello lost little in defeat when runner-up to the classy Nemean Lion over C&D last time out and the six-year-old is feared most, ahead of Santos Blue.

KNIGHT OF ALLEN posted his best effort yet when third in a useful handicap at Haydock towards the end of November and, with the still longer trip sure to suit, he's an appealing candidate to notch a second career success. Santos Blue is a likeable type who should be all the better for his reappearance, while Jour d'Evasion is well worth another try at this trip given how he shaped at Wincanton.

A good handicap but the one they all have to beat is KNIGHT OF ALLEN (nap) who held his own in a strong race on handicap debut.

14:48 Hereford Handicap Hurdle (Class 3) 20f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:00 Newbury Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 16f - 10 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	4 1st (4) (7/2 +61%) Bucephalus	3.5 7/2(+61%)	(4) Bucephalus 7/2, C&D winner who got back on track when second of 14 in handicap hurdle at Chepstow (16f, good to soft) 19 days ago. Can give another good account despite a 2 lb rise. Made most when second at Chepstow (2m, soft) at Christmas, which was up with his best form.
2	11 2nd (11) (7/2 -100%) Norn Iron	3.5 7/2(-100%)	(11) Norn Iron 7/2, Showed promise in 2022/23 season for Oliver Sherwood and built on it for his new stable when second of 13 in novice at Uttoxeter (15.8f, good to soft) 101 days ago. Has more to offer now going into handicaps. Off 530 days, but 11-8, when second of 13 in maiden hurdle at Uttoxeter (2m) in October.
3	3 3rd (3) (4/1 +33%) Lightningupourdays	4 4/1(+33%)	(3) Lightningupourdays 4/1, Much improved on his handicap bow when landing 8-runner event at Uttoxeter (15.8f, soft) 36 days ago. Up 5 lb but still not taken lightly. Won in clearcut style on handicap debut at Uttoxeter (2m, soft) five weeks ago; up 5lb.
4	8 4th (8) (5/1 +38%) Dancing In Brazil	5 5/1(+38%)	(8) Dancing In Brazil 5/1, A fairly useful bumper winner and has shown similar form in this sphere, running well when all but falling 2 out at Huntingdon (2m) in April on his final run for Alan King. Interesting off a handy mark for his new yard. Won a bumper in November 2022; 0-8 since for Alan King and this doesn't look a great mark.
5th	6 5th (6) (18/1 -64%) Thereisnodoubt	18 18/1(-64%)	(6) Thereisnodoubt 18/1, Veteran returned to form when fourth at Haydock (19f, soft) last month. Considered from a falling mark. Well handicapped judged on best efforts, many of which came on heavy going; now a 12yo.
6th	2 6th (2) (33/1 -65%) Balboa	33 33/1(-65%)	(2) Balboa 33/1, Good second in 2m handicap at Chepstow on his return and pulled up at Fakenham last time after a bad early mistake. Sort to bounce back. Looks more exposed than some; made a bad mistake before pulling up on latest outing.
7th	5 7th (5) (12/1 +52%) Lively Citizen	12 12/1(+52%)	(5) Lively Citizen 12/1, Won his first race over hurdles for 2 years at Ffos Las last March. Below form both starts during the current campaign, so others more persuasive. Won on heavy in March 2024 (3lb higher today) under Harry Atkins; encouragement latest.
8th	12 8th (12) (13/2 -8%) Knight Templar	6.5 13/2(-8%)	(12) Knight Templar 13/2, Fairly useful 2m Flat winner who got off the mark in this sphere in 7-runner juvenile at Kempton (16f, good to soft) 19 days ago. Merits consideration going into handicaps. Won at Kempton (2m, good to soft); should have more to offer on this handicap hurdle debut.
9th	10 9th (10) (33/1 0%) It's A Good Name	33 33/1(0%)	(10) It's A Good Name 33/1, Fairly useful 2m1f French hurdle winner in 2022. Pulled up in 2m Stratford novice hurdle on sole run for Warren Greatrex later that year so has his fitness to prove for his new handler. Pulled up lame on sole run for Warren Greatrex and this is his first outing for 835 days.
10th	7 10th (7) (33/1 -106%) Lupus Regem	33 33/1(-106%)	(7) Lupus Regem 33/1, A fair 2m winner in 2021. Lightly raced since but tongue strap on for 1st time when a good fifth of 7 in handicap hurdle at Haydock (18.9f, heavy) 25 days ago. Needs considering. Long absence before this season and second start back was a step in the right direction.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

Now that the penny has dropped for LIGHTNINGUPOURDAYS after a comfortable success on his handicap debut at Uttoxeter, he looks more than capable of following up off 5lb higher. A promising second at Uttoxeter on his first run in 530 days when making his debut for new connections in October, Norn Iron looks a leading contender as he makes his own handicap bow. Bucephalus and Knight Templar are capable of being in the shake-up as well.

Lots with chances so at the likely odds it is worth siding with Nigel Twiston-Davies' new recruit DANCING IN BRAZIL to capitalise on a handy mark and make a winning return. Harry Derham's lightly-raced Norn Iron looks to have better days ahead now handicapping and rates a big danger, while Bucephalus, Lightningupourdays and Knight Templar need factoring in too. Thererisnodoubt completes the shortlist.

Preference is for the two handicap newcomers at the bottom of the card, with preference for the juvenile KNIGHT TEMPLAR.

15:00 Newbury Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:05 Clonmel Handicap Hurdle 17f - 15 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
1	10 1st (10) (9/1 -80%) Falcon Park	9 9/1(-80%)	(10) Falcon Park 9/1, 2 wins from 6 runs this season. 16/1, improved to win 18-runner handicap hurdle at Punchestown (16.4f, heavy) 15 days ago, pushed out. Worthy of consideration. Availed of a low mark when scoring readily at Punchestown, could still be well-treated.
2	8 2nd (8) (16/1 -129%) Robindevidastar	16 16/1(-129%)	(8) Robindevidastar 16/1, Career best when winning 18-runner handicap hurdle at Punchestown (20.2f, good to soft, 22/1) 61 days ago, digging deep. Stable having good spell. Another bold show likely. Raised 7lb for Punchestown win in November, may remain competitive in this modest grade.
3	4 3rd (4) (6/1 +25%) Moudan	6 6/1(+25%)	(4) Moudan 6/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 16/1, good fourth of 19 in handicap hurdle at Tipperary (16.5f, soft) 54 days ago. Should be involved again. Fourth at Tipperary, not guaranteed to uphold form with sixth-placed My Good Pal.
4	3 4th (3) (33/1 -200%) Gimme A Buzz	33 33/1(-200%)	(3) Gimme A Buzz 33/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Hooded for 1st time, twelfth of 19 in novice hurdle at Cork (16.2f, soft, 80/1) 33 days ago. Makes handicap hurdle debut. May well do better and is well worth monitoring in the betting. Finished behind Royal Reprobate at Cork last month, could slot into handicaps effectively.
5th	1 5th (1) (25/1 -25%) Seasett	25 25/1(-25%)	(1) Seasett 25/1, Fair winner at 8f on flat. 33/1, first run since leaving John Joseph Hanlon when fifth of 6 in handicap chase at Warwick (16.2f, soft) 34 days ago. Switches from chase to hurdles. Four-time winner, including twice over hurdles, best form last year was on a sound surface.
6th	15 6th (15) (28/1 -27%) Fernhill Fling	28 28/1(-27%)	(15) Fernhill Fling 28/1, Twentieth of 23 in handicap hurdle at Navan (16f, good to soft, 20/1) 59 days ago. Trainer going well. Others more persuasive. Third at Wexford in October represents his best form by far, hard to be confident.
7th	9 7th (9) (15/2 +25%) Le Fanu	7.5 15/2(+25%)	(9) Le Fanu 15/2, Respectable fifth of 13 in handicap hurdle (5/1) at Limerick (19.4f, good to soft) 87 days ago. Not discounted. Listowel festival fourth was quite encouraging, failed to build on that at Limerick.
8th	2 8th (2) (40/1 -900%) Royal Reprobate	40 40/1(-900%)	(2) Royal Reprobate 40/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Nineteenth of 23 in novice hurdle at Leopardstown (16f, good, 250/1) 20 days ago. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Open to progress. Second of three maiden runs was respectable, makes handicap debut for in-form trainer.
9th	12 9th (12) (17/2 +23%) Eikonix	8.5 17/2(+23%)	(12) Eikonix 17/2, Untrustworthy individual. Hooded for 1st time, very good fourth of 13 in handicap hurdle at Limerick (16f, soft, 28/1) 19 days ago. Not sure to be in the same form. Has given trouble at the start in the past, some merit in his latest effort at Limerick.
10th	13 10th (13) (11/5 +89%) My Good Pal	2.2 11/5(+89%)	(13) My Good Pal 11/5, 40/1, first run since leaving Brian Mortell when sixth of 19 in handicap hurdle at Tipperary (16.5f, soft) 54 days ago. Plenty to find on form. Needs to reverse Tipperary form with Moudan, rider's claim and yard's form are positives.
11th	6 11th (6) (14/1 -27%) Thegreenthirteen	14 14/1(-27%)	(6) Thegreenthirteen 14/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 28/1, creditable seventh of 15 in handicap hurdle at this course (16.4f, soft) 43 days ago. Worthy of some interest. Not beaten far in seventh on handicap debut at this venue, improvement on the cards now.
12th	7 12th (7) (40/1 -122%) Let Him B	40 40/1(-122%)	(7) Let Him B 40/1, Tenth of 18 in handicap hurdle (22/1) at Limerick (16f, soft) 19 days ago. Others are more appealing. Not one of the more obvious contenders unless the market suggests otherwise.
13th	5 13th (5) (7/2 +42%) No Big Deal	3.5 7/2(+42%)	(5) No Big Deal 7/2, Promising sort. Again caught the eye under considerate ride when fourth of 11 in handicap hurdle (7/1) at Limerick (16f, soft) 57 days ago. Looks ahead of this mark when it all clicks. Beaten over 20l when fourth in a 2m handicap at Limerick in November, needs to find extra.
14th	16 14th (16) (66/1 -136%) Internet Biddy	66 66/1(-136%)	(16) Internet Biddy 66/1, 35¼ lengths twelfth of 18 to Falcon Park in handicap hurdle at Punchestown (16.4f, heavy, 25/1) 15 days ago. Big price when down the field in Punchestown race won by Falcon Park, up against it.
15th	11 15th (11) (66/1 -371%) Wyoming Baby	66 66/1(-371%)	(11) Wyoming Baby 66/1, Tongue strap on for 1st time, 35¼ lengths thirteenth of 18 to Falcon Park in handicap hurdle (50/1) at Punchestown (16.4f, heavy) 15 days ago. Point winner, nothing in her hurdles form to inspire confidence, new headgear combination.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

ROBINDEVIDASTAR was tough off the front in Punchestown two months ago. He has previous placed form in Clonmel and Tiernan Power Roche's 7lb claim should keep him competitive in this grade. Falcon Park was a ready winner of an opportunity handicap hurdle in Punchestown which makes him dangerous, especially as Niall Prendergast can utilise his full 7lb claim in this race. Moudan's second run in a handicap brought about significant improvement as he finished a close fourth at Tipperary and that form has been franked. Barbaha Queen has been off for more than six months but didn't run badly when last seen in Sligo, while My Good Pal is a possible improver on his second start for Gavin Cromwell.

NO BIG DEAL has shaped better than the result on multiple occasions over hurdles and is still unexposed so, on the back of an eye-catching return, he's worth chancing if the market vibes are positive. Last-time-out winners Robindevidastar and Falcon Park are both dangers.

A hopeful vote goes to MY GOOD PAL who showed improvement at Tipperary on his stable debut and may reverse form with Moudan

15:05 Clonmel Handicap Hurdle 17f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:15 Southwell Stakes (Class 5) 6f - 10 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	11 1st (11) (7/1 -17%) Toughly	7 7/1(-17%)	(11) Toughly 7/1, Once-raced maiden. Fourth of 9 in novice at this C&D (28/1) on debut 27 days ago, caught further back than ideal. Open to improvement and could be in the mix. Showed ability in C&D event but shaped as if further may be ideally needed.
2	8 2nd (8) (40/1 -60%) Star Zia	40 40/1(-60%)	(8) Star Zia 40/1, Once-raced maiden. 18/1, sixth of 9 in novice at Newcastle (5f) on debut 37 days ago. Up in trip. Needs to improve plenty on her Newcastle effort.
3	4 3rd (4) (6/1 +63%) Cemlyn	6 6/1(+63%)	(4) Cemlyn 6/1, Twice-raced maiden. Sixth of 10 in novice (18/1) at this course (5f) 26 days ago. Back up in trip. One of the main form contenders but needs improvement to win.
4	5 4th (5) (9/2 -80%) Diamont Katie	4.5 9/2(-80%)	(5) Diamont Katie 9/2, £68,000 yearling, Acclamation filly. Half-sister to 3 winners, including useful French 6.5f/7f winner Forefront and winner up to 1¾m Taritino. Dam 2-y-o 5.5f-7.5f winner. Interesting newcomer, 1 of 2 for yard. £68,000 yearling; stable first string on jockey arrangements; interesting newcomer.
5th	9 5th (9) (1/1 +67%) Sunshine Soul	1 1/1(+67%)	(9) Sunshine Soul 1/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Respectable fourth of 11 in novice at this course (5f, 15/8), running on. Off 142 days. Back up in trip. Sets the standard but has had a few chances. Mostly consistent in four races last summer, close fourth here latest; the form pick.
6th	10 6th (10) (11/2 -65%) Suzuka	5.5 11/2(-65%)	(10) Suzuka 11/2, Promising sort. 2/1, fourth of 10 in novice at this course (7.1f) 17 days ago, left poorly placed. Should progress and looks well capable of getting involved. Has shown promise in both runs; from a good family and remains open to progress.
7th	6 7th (6) (25/1 -213%) Dream Illusion	25 25/1(-213%)	(6) Dream Illusion 25/1, 40,000 gns foal, 26,000 gns 2-y-o, Oasis Dream filly. Sister to 7f/1m winner Adwan and half-sister to 5f/6f winner Stylianekkos. Dam, 9.5f winner, half-sister to useful 6f/7f winner Nasri. Bred for speed and not discounted. 26,000gns 2yo; bred to take well to AW but seems the stable second string.
8th	3 8th (3) (200/1 -100%) California Fling	200 200/1(-100%)	(3) California Fling 200/1, Once-raced maiden. 80/1, last of 11 in novice at this C&D on debut 12 days ago. Failed to beat a rival in C&D contest 12 days ago.
9th	2 9th (2) (50/1 -25%) Adaay's Grace	50 50/1(-25%)	(2) Adaay's Grace 50/1, Adaay filly. Half-sister to 6f-7f winner One More Dream. Dam 1m winner. Wears cheekpieces. Adaay filly; cheekpieces applied; yard not noted for debut scorers.
10th	7 10th (7) (400/1 -300%) Holywell Bay	400 400/1(-300%)	(7) Holywell Bay 400/1, Twice-raced maiden. 250/1, last of 10 in maiden at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 9 days ago, hampered. Poor claims dropped further in distance.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

SUNSHINE SOUL did little wrong when finishing a close-up fourth in a competitive class 5 fillies' novice over 5f here in August and a return to 6f on her reappearance looks a positive move. George Boughey's charge should put her experience to good use and she's taken to open her account. Newcomer Diamont Katie, a half-sister to three-time winner Forefront, is a potential fly in the ointment and market support must be noted. Suzuka looks the pick of the remainder.

SUZUKA shaped well from a poor position when fourth here on debut and she should have benefited from the experience, so she gets the nod over Diamont Katie, who looks an interesting newcomer on paper for a top yard. Sunshine Soul has the best form but is potentially vulnerable with her level already established.

Form choice SUNSHINE SOUL is taken to get off the mark. Suzuka and Diamont Katie complete the shortlist.

15:15 Southwell Stakes (Class 5) 6f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:23 Hereford Handicap Chase (Class 4) 19f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
5	5 (5) (3/1 +10%) Bobbi's Beauty	3 3/1(+10%)	(5) Bobbi's Beauty 3/1, With reappearance run behind her, showed much improved form when running out a convincing winner at Lingfield (16f, good to soft) in December. Record now stands at 2 from 4 in chases and she can add to her tally with more still to offer. Improving mare who won easily last time and the one to beat despite an 8lb rise.
1	1 1st (1) (7/2 -5%) I Shut That D'or	3.5 7/2(-5%)	(1) I Shut That D'or 7/2, Has been rejuvenated by the switch to front-running tactics, making it 2 wins from his last 3 starts with a bold-jumping display at Plumpton (19.8f, good to soft) 30 days ago. Capable of another bold bid in his current form. Won well at Plumpton and a big leap at the last suggested he had a bit left in the tank.
2	3 2nd (3) (10/3 +33%) Zestful Hope	3.333333 10/3(+33%)	(3) Zestful Hope 10/3, Fair handicap hurdler/chaser who went agonisingly close to getting off the mark in this sphere at Uttoxeter in November. Ran to similar level when third at Ludlow (20f, soft) last time and he can give another good account. 3-4 at Hereford as opposed to 0-23 at other courses; returns in fairly good form.
3	7 3rd (7) (10/1 -11%) Jikala	10 10/1(-11%)	(7) Jikala 10/1, French import who was successful in juvenile hurdle here in March 2023. Some encouragement after 20 month-absence when sixth of 8 in handicap at Leicester (22.7f) on chase debut in December, but never a threat back at Leicester (20.1f) 18 days ago. Course winner over hurdles but few positives to take from her first two chases.
4	4 4th (4) (3/1 +33%) Another Folly	3 3/1(+33%)	(4) Another Folly 3/1, Fair form over hurdles and has matched that level sent chasing this season, bumping into an improver but finishing clear of the rest when second of 9 in handicap at Wincanton (20.2f, soft) in December. Not taken lightly. No match for the winner in his last two races but shouldn't too far away.
5th	6 5th (6) (16/1 -33%) River Robe	16 16/1(-33%)	(6) River Robe 16/1, Yet to score for current yard but showed more than previously over fences when fourth in handicap at Ludlow (20f, soft) 4 weeks ago, a bad mistake 2 out probably costing her third. Task is now to build on latest effort. Can probably pick up a handicap over fences but does appear to have a blunder in her.
6th	2 6th (2) (9/1 +36%) Tilly Toughnut	9 9/1(+36%)	(2) Tilly Toughnut 9/1, Much improved when making a successful handicap hurdle debut at Exeter (16.7f, heavy) in February last year. However, wasn't able to repeat that effort in her 2 subsequent outings and off 9 months ahead of chase debut. Bred for fences but returns from a lengthy break with something to prove.
8	8 \|U\| (8) (10/1 -25%) Johnny Mac	10 10/1(-25%)	(8) Johnny Mac 10/1, Completed a hat-trick for current yard a year ago, including a win at this course (16f), but yet to fire so far this season, in first-time cheekpieces when well held at Warwick (16.2f, soft) 15 days ago. Others more persuasive at present. Cold this season and this new headgear combination did nothing for him last time.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

I Shut That D'or arrives in fine fettle having regained the winning thread at Plumpton last month and he must enter calculations. However, a 6lb rise in the ratings does demand more of Joe Tizzard's charge and ANOTHER FOLLY is slightly more appealing. The six-year-old has performed with credit on all three starts over fences this season and a reproduction of his latest second at Wincanton might be good enough. Zestful Hope is also noted.

BOBBI'S BEAUTY stepped forward from her return when scoring in good style at Lingfield in December and, after only 4 starts in chases, she can build on that effort to follow up. Another Folly has shown promise over fences this season and is respected, with I Shut That d'Or also in the mix.

The improving BOBBI'S BEAUTY was authoratitive at Lingfield in making it 2-4 over fences and she can deal with an 8lb rise.

15:23 Hereford Handicap Chase (Class 4) 19f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:35 Newbury Conditions Chase (Class 1) 23f - 5 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	3 1st (3) (3.75/1 +17%) Don't Rightly Know	3.75 3.75/1(+17%)	(3) Don't Rightly Know 3.75/1, Lightly-raced 10-y-o who was consistent rather than progressive over hurdles but this point winner took a big step forward when making a winning chase bow at Exeter on return last month, jumping superbly from the front. Not taken lightly up in class with more to come. 10l win from the front on chase debut at Exeter (3m, good to soft) but fair bit to find.
2	2 2nd (2) (11/4 -10%) Apple Away	2.75 11/4(-10%)	(2) Apple Away 11/4, Wide-margin winner on second start over fences last season and back on the up when successful in listed mares chase at Perth in April. Shaped as if better for the run at Kelso on return before unsuited by the emphasis on speed at Market Rasen 7 weeks ago. Worth another chance. Slightly underwhelming in her two runs this season but a slog today will suit.
3	1 3rd (1) (9/2 -50%) Fantastic Lady	4.5 9/2(-50%)	(1) Fantastic Lady 9/2, Better than ever when landing Grade 2 Oaksey Chase at Sandown (22.8f, good) on final start last season. All the better for return when runner-up in a similar event to this at Doncaster last month and should go well again back up in trip. Experienced 10yo chaser; her peak efforts over slightly shorter set the standard.
4	5 4th (5) (14/1 +30%) Smiling Getaway	14 14/1(+30%)	(5) Smiling Getaway 14/1, Winning pointer/hurdler who improved again to make a successful chasing debut at Ffos Las in October. Struggled in listed company at Warwick next time, however, and this race looks even better. First chase start was better than second; move up in trip needs to prompt big improvement.
5th	4 5th (4) (11/4 +21%) Lady Balko	2.75 11/4(+21%)	(4) Lady Balko 11/4, Progressive hurdler last season and has continued the upgrade switched to fences this term, completing hat-trick of handicap wins at Hereford last month, well on top finish. Should hold her own in this better company, particularly with further improvement still on the cards. Hat-trick in handicap chases; latest performance puts her in serious contention for this.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

The Nicky Henderson stable can do little wrong at present and this appeals as a perfect opportunity for FANTASTIC LADY to regain the winning thread after a promising second over shorter at Doncaster last time out. Going back up in trip should suit, and she is preferred to the capable Apple Away and Lady Balko, who is upped in grade as she goes in search of a four-timer.

DON'T RIGHTLY KNOW has been fast tracked to listed company after proving to be an absolute natural on her first go over fences at Exeter last month and she can justify her connections' confidence. The thriving Lady Balko is feared most in what looks a competitive event despite the small field.

Apple Away's rather lacklustre show in November may hand the initiative to LADY BALKO who has been transformed over fences.

15:35 Newbury Conditions Chase (Class 1) 23f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:40 Clonmel Handicap Hurdle 20f - 11 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
1	7 1st (7) (7/1 +30%) Bossofthebus	7 7/1(+30%)	(7) Bossofthebus 7/1, 3/1, first run since leaving P. Tobin when good seventh of 16 in handicap hurdle at Sligo (20.3f, soft) 82 days ago, untidy 2 out and weakening. May need to drop further in the weights before becoming of interest. Well-backed fav' on debut for this yard at Sligo but never got involved; still early days.
2	1 2nd (1) (15/2 +38%) Elusive Guy	7.5 15/2(+38%)	(1) Elusive Guy 15/2, Creditable sixth of 18 in handicap hurdle (16/1) at Limerick (19f, soft) 17 days ago. Should come forward from that given it was his first start for 10 weeks. Not a bad effort when sixth of 18 at Limerick at Christmas; possibilities from 2lb lower.
3	4 3rd (4) (11/2 -10%) Coffeys Forge	5.5 11/2(-10%)	(4) Coffeys Forge 11/2, Modest maiden who was gambled on but ultimately tired having been ridden too aggressively when eleventh of 14 in novice hurdle at Limerick (18.7f, soft, 2/1) 57 days ago. Made a very interesting yard switch ahead of this and market confidence behind him again would look significant. Tailed off at Limerick; first run for Gordon Elliott so improvement could be on the way.
4	3 4th (3) (13/2 -95%) Doyen For A Drink	6.5 13/2(-95%)	(3) Doyen For A Drink 13/2, Winner in hurdle at Cartmel in August. 9/1, fell in handicap hurdle at Limerick (20f, soft) 19 days ago, yet to be asked for effort fully when falling 2 out. Worth siding with to confirm promise of that run here. Was in front and travelling well when falling two out over 2m4f at Limerick when last seen.
5th	5 5th (5) (9/2 +72%) Misty Milan	4.5 9/2(+72%)	(5) Misty Milan 9/2, Lightly-raced maiden. 25/1, twelfth of 19 in handicap hurdle at Tipperary (16f, good to soft). Off 8 months. Up in trip. Surprise were she not capable of better for shrewd yard. Maiden in 5 starts who failed to raise her profile on handicap debut at Tipperary in April.
6th	12 6th (12) (9/4 +81%) Johnny Cakes	2.25 9/4(+81%)	(12) Johnny Cakes 9/4, 9/2, tenth of 15 in handicap hurdle at this course (19.4f, soft) 43 days ago, beaten early in the straight. Rider takes off a handy 7 lb. Couldn't quicken here latest but 8lb lower here and can't be discounted for in-form stable.
7th	8 7th (8) (12/1 -33%) Castlehill Boy	12 12/1(-33%)	(8) Castlehill Boy 12/1, Creditable sixth of 15 in handicap hurdle (20/1) at this course (19.4f, soft) 43 days ago. May be sharper now given that was his first start for 7 months. Closely matched with some of these rivals on C&D 6th last month but 10yo is still a maiden.
8th	2 8th (2) (20/1 -150%) Mount Shenshan	20 20/1(-150%)	(2) Mount Shenshan 20/1, Shantou gelding who showed some promise in bumpers and steadily progressive in this sphere, fourth of 13 in novice hurdle at Ballinrobe (22.4f, soft, 11/2) 142 days ago. Hood back on and there ought to be better to come now handicapping. Fair opening mark and Danny Mullins has deserted Ardfert Mary to ride her; good chance.
9th	11 9th (11) (16/1 -78%) Ardfert Mary	16 16/1(-78%)	(11) Ardfert Mary 16/1, Remains a maiden after 17 NH runs. Fifth of 12 in handicap chase at Tramore (22.8f, heavy, 17/2) 14 days ago, headway around 3 out but not sustain effort. Type to bounce back returned to hurdles over this shorter trip. Low-grade maiden hurdler; Danny Mullins has jumped ship; can run well without threatening.
10	10 \|PU\| (10) (40/1 -60%) Rorkes Drift	40 40/1(-60%)	(10) Rorkes Drift 40/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 40/1, ninth of 14 in novice hurdle at this course (16.4f, soft) 43 days ago. Up in trip. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Well beaten in 5 maiden hurdles, including when fifth and beaten 67l behind Salvator Mundi.
6	6 \|PU\| (6) (66/1 -230%) Not So Simple	66 66/1(-230%)	(6) Not So Simple 66/1, Veteran who was off over 2 years and went with no encouragement when eighth of 11 in handicap hurdle at Limerick (20f, soft, 100/1) 19 days ago, beaten long way out. Best watched at present. Has won 3 handicap hurdles but was never sighted on return from an 835-day absence latest.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

DOYEN FOR A DRINK departed at the penultimate flight when travelling well in the lead at Limerick last month. She encounters similar trip and ground, so should be heavily involved. Coffeys Forge has been out of form but has joined Gordon Elliott, who is well able to reinvigorate new recruits. Peter Smithers takes 7lb off top-weight Elusive Guy's back and his sixth in a slightly better class of race at Limerick over Christmas gives him a chance. Mount Shenshan drops back in trip after a fourth-placed effort at Ballinrobe in the summer and she isn't out of it on her handicap debut.

DOYEN FOR A DRINK was in the process of showing improved form when falling 2 out at Limerick 19 days ago (going best at the time) and she's fancied to confirm the promise of that run and double her career tally. Mount Shenshan has improved gradually and could yet have more to offer now handicapping. Coffeys Forge on debut for Gordon Elliott and Donegal Danny complete the shortlist.

DOYEN FOR A DRINK probably would have won at Limerick last month but for a fall two from home and she can gain compensation

15:40 Clonmel Handicap Hurdle 20f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:50 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 6f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	8 1st (8) (10/1 -11%) Yoshimi	10 10/1(-11%)	(8) Yoshimi 10/1, Latest win at Wolverhampton in December. Respectable third of 8 in handicap (9/1) at Newcastle (6f) 13 days ago. Merits respect from a good draw. Ran respectably over 6f last time but all wins remain at 7f.
2	9 2nd (9) (9/2 -64%) Bomb Squad	4.5 9/2(-64%)	(9) Bomb Squad 9/2, Won 10-runner handicap at this C&D (10/1) 11 days ago. Did well to edge ahead late having met trouble and is worth a chance to complete the hat-trick. Two wins since being partnered by Cieren Fallon, latest over C&D; respected.
3	7 3rd (7) (7/1 +22%) Arc Shadowfax	7 7/1(+22%)	(7) Arc Shadowfax 7/1, 10/1 and visored for 1st time, good fourth of 12 in handicap at this C&D 36 days ago, left poorly placed. Potentially well treated if he can build on that. Steadily finding his form (at this venue) for new stable; possibilities.
4	1 4th (1) (5/1 +17%) Call Glory	5 5/1(+17%)	(1) Call Glory 5/1, Sixteen runs since last win in 2023. 7/2, eighth of 11 in handicap at this C&D 55 days ago. Could bounce back quickly. Penultimate effort gives him a fighting chance; still well treated on historical data.
5th	4 5th (4) (7/2 -5%) Bellagio Man	3.5 7/2(-5%)	(4) Bellagio Man 7/2, C&D winner. Latest win at Newcastle in December. Creditable second of 12 in handicap at Newcastle (6f, 11/1) 14 days ago. Solid claims. 4-42 on AW; ran creditably on New Year's Day; this in-form 7yo holds solid claims.
6th	3 6th (3) (7/1 +13%) Bibendum	7 7/1(+13%)	(3) Bibendum 7/1, 11/2 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, eighth of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 60 days ago. Needs to bounce back. Maiden who holds place possibilities on the pick of his autumn AW efforts.
7th	5 7th (5) (4/1 +33%) Rusheen Boy	4 4/1(+33%)	(5) Rusheen Boy 4/1, C&D winner. 17/2, creditable second of 13 in handicap at Kempton (7f) 28 days ago, having run of race. Should give another good account. Has form figures of 112 over C&D (0-10 elsewhere) and looks interesting back here.
8th	6 8th (6) (25/1 -79%) Sir Rodneyredblood	25 25/1(-79%)	(6) Sir Rodneyredblood 25/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Lingfield in August. 16/1, below form sixth of 11 in handicap at Kempton (6f) 28 days ago. Others have achieved more of late. 14-time AW scorer, mostly on Polytrack; has never won on Tapeta.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

The hat-trick seeking Bomb Squad warrants respect after scoring at Wolverhampton and at this track within the past month. A 2lb rise for the seven-year-old's latest C&D triumph looks surmountable, but BELLAGIO MAN is slightly more compelling. Antony Brittain's charge arrives on the back of a solid second at Newcastle a fortnight ago and he may prove to be the better handicapped of the pair off just 1lb higher. Rusheen Boy and Yoshimi are also worth a closer look.

BOMB SQUAD has struck up a good partnership with Cieren Fallon lately and had more in hand than the bare result when scoring narrowly over C&D last time, so he's worth a chance to complete the hat-trick at the possible expense of Bellagio Man, who also arrives at the top of his game. Rusheen Boy is another one worthy of respect.

The return to Southwell swings the vote in favour of RUSHEEN BOY, ahead of hat-trick seeker Bomb Squad.

15:50 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 6f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:58 Hereford Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 16f - 11 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	1 1st (1) (7/1 -100%) Chief Sunday	7 7/1(-100%)	(1) Chief Sunday 7/1, Left previous form behind when winning 3-runner event at Market Rasen (16.6f, soft) on handicap debut 49 days ago, driven out. Likely to do better again, so merits plenty of respect. Won a three-runner handicap with a bit up his sleeve at Market Rasen; improving.
2	8 2nd (8) (11/4 +54%) Lanesborough	2.75 11/4(+54%)	(8) Lanesborough 11/4, Placed both starts in Irish points and looks a likely improver switched to handicaps after three quiet runs over hurdles. Worth a market check. Some promise in novices; this could be his level now sent handicapping in a Class 4.
3	9 3rd (9) (25/1 -25%) Voix De Bocelli	25 25/1(-25%)	(9) Voix De Bocelli 25/1, Fair form in France for Francois Nicolle but boasts a mixed record under various codes for present stable. Not disgraced at Wincanton last time but more is required. 0-8 as a hurdler after going down by 14l in a handicap at Wincanton; others preferred.
4	4 4th (4) (11/1 -47%) Activist	11 11/1(-47%)	(4) Activist 11/1, Latest win in hurdle at Leicester in November. 9/2, sixth of 9 in handicap hurdle at Leicester (15.5f, heavy) 45 days ago. Blinkers back on but isn't the most reliable. Has never been the easiest to predict but very capable of having some say.
5th	5 5th (5) (13/8 +51%) Double Dragon	1.625 13/8(+51%)	(5) Double Dragon 13/8, Stepped up on hurdle debut third when taking a 2m Ffos Las maiden (good) in May and firmly back on track when an excellent second at Wincanton on return. Looks the one to beat if he's in the same form. Respectable efforts in both handicaps and Chad Bament takes away 10lb this time.
6th	2 6th (2) (7/1 +0%) Thankyourluckystar	7 7/1(+0%)	(2) Thankyourluckystar 7/1, Resumed winning ways at Worcester (2½m, good to soft) in June and backed it up with a good third at Southwell 5 months later. Latest effort best excused and the drop back to 2m could be in his favour. Dual handicap winner; 2m5f may have stretched him at Ludlow last time.
7th	11 7th (11) (125/1 -257%) Miss Pearl	125 125/1(-257%)	(11) Miss Pearl 125/1, Found to be lame after finishing fourth of 6 in novice hurdle at Uttoxeter (15.8f, good to soft) back in July 2023. Up in distance for her return which should suit but a long absence to overcome so might be best to look elsewhere. 9yo mare who is an eight-race maiden and has been absent for 546 days.
8th	6 8th (6) (28/1 -100%) Falco Des Pins	28 28/1(-100%)	(6) Falco Des Pins 28/1, Ex-French performer who was steadily progressive last season, best effort yet when second of in juvenile hurdle at Angers (16.9f) in March. Yet to fire for current yard and arrives with something to prove. Pulled up and tailed off in 2m4f/2m5f handicaps for this yard.
9th	3 9th (3) (28/1 -27%) Monsant	28 28/1(-27%)	(3) Monsant 28/1, Definite promise (fair form) on first 2 starts in maiden hurdles during 2023. Hasn't kicked on from that positive start so far this season, including on debut for this yard at Wincanton a month ago. Has a bit to prove. Has shown ability but has offered little in his two handicaps.
7	7 \|U\| (7) (12/1 +0%) Casi Crudo	12 12/1(+0%)	(7) Casi Crudo 12/1, Juvenile hurdle winner in December 2022. Generally consistent subsequently and entitled to need his return from 13 months off at Ascot last month. Could get back on track. Capable off this mark on old form; quiet reappearance was in a handicap at Ascot.
10th	10 10th (10) (100/1 -525%) Dartman	100 100/1(-525%)	(10) Dartman 100/1, Fair maiden handicapper on Flat and signs of aptitude over hurdles. May strip fitter for sixth in C&D novice last month and opening mark could be lenient. Maiden who has flattered to deceive under both codes; handicap debut over hurdles.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

DOUBLE DRAGON built on his fourth-placed handicap debut effort at Wincanton when finishing second at that same course on Boxing Day. A 2lb higher mark may prove inconsequential for Anthony Honeyball's five-year-old, with Chad Bament's 10lb claim in the plate a big positive. The biggest threat is last-time-out winner Chief Sunday, while Thankyourluckystar could go well from the front dropping in trip.

DOUBLE DRAGON returned in top form when second in a 15-runner contest at Wincanton in December and, with a conditional taking off a useful 10 lb, he's worth a chance to go one better at the possible expense of Chief Sunday, who was successful at Market Rasen last time. Thankyourluckystar should benefit from the drop back in trip, so he's another to consider.

A chance is taken on LANESBOROUGH, who was placed in points and his qualifying runs haven't been devoid of promise.

15:58 Hereford Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

16:08 Newbury Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 24f - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	2 1st (2) (9/4 +44%) Keable	2.25 9/4(+44%)	(2) Keable 9/4, Very lightly raced for his age and built on previous promise in no uncertain terms when comfortably taking 11-runner handicap at Exeter (21.6f, heavy) on New Year's Day. Assessor had his say ahead of this but respected nevertheless. Seemed to stay 3m two starts ago; broke the ice with 16l win at Exeter (near 2m6f, soft).
2	7 2nd (7) (15/2 -25%) Job	7.5 15/2(-25%)	(7) Job 15/2, Lightly-raced 6-y-o who found some improvement making a quick switch to handicaps/upped in trip when off the mark in 6-runner contest at Southwell (24.3f) 4 weeks ago. Feasible to think there's more to come given his unexposed profile and he's another meriting consideration. Showed stamina is a strength when he won handicap debut at Southwell (3m1f, good to soft).
3	1 3rd (1) (10/3 +44%) Prophesea	3.333333 10/3(+44%)	(1) Prophesea 10/3, Point/bumper winner who has progressed with each start in this sphere, scoring with more than bare margins imply in 13-runner Wincanton novice (19.8f, soft) 4 weeks ago. Likely he can progress further now handicapping, with this longer trip expected to suit. 2m4f Wincanton win last time out; makes handicap debut and this move up in trip will help.
4	5 4th (5) (25/1 -150%) Phillapa Sue	25 25/1(-150%)	(5) Phillapa Sue 25/1, Struggled on first two starts of this season but returned to form when second of 10 in a handicap hurdle (12/1) at Doncaster (24.4f, good to soft) 33 days ago, travelled smoothly and only bettered by an unexposed horse. That was a big step in the right direction and should go well again. Acts on heavy; well capable of getting seriously involved if this is one of her good days.
5th	4 5th (4) (7/1 +7%) James Jet	7 7/1(+7%)	(4) James Jet 7/1, Winning pointer who showed benefit of a wind op when landing handicaps over hurdles/fences at the end of 2023. Struggled on next 3 starts but back on song when second in chase at Southwell (3m) in May (final start for Warren Greatrex). Gone well fresh before and respected for new yard after wind op. Acts on heavy; 2nd when upped to 3m1f on good in May; wind op soon after; left W Greatrex.
6th	3 6th (3) (6/1 +63%) Toonagh Warrior	6 6/1(+63%)	(3) Toonagh Warrior 6/1, Won a 2m Wetherby novice last winter and similar form when placed in brace of Southwell handicaps at up to this trip with cheekpieces fitted this winter. Speed test back at 2m against him when seventh of 18 in handicap hurdle (14/1) at Ascot 26 days ago and this rates more suitable. Back up in trip, needing career best; acts on soft, more to prove after two runs on heavy.
7th	9 7th (9) (15/2 -88%) Geturguccion	7.5 15/2(-88%)	(9) Geturguccion 15/2, Runner-up on first of 2 starts in bumpers and fair form in finishing runner up in pair of novice/maiden contests during second half of last year. Makes a quick switch to handicaps from a potentially lenient opening mark and she's respected up in trip. This trip for handicap debut is plausible and her latest form has been boosted.
8th	6 8th (6) (40/1 -60%) Fontana Ellissi	40 40/1(-60%)	(6) Fontana Ellissi 40/1, Runner-up twice at Cheltenham in late 2022. Not disgraced in 2 runs back from 13 months off last winter but off a further year ahead of this reappearance. Mark has eased though, and the betting can guide. Back from another year off and has plenty to prove on soft or heavy ground.
8	8 \|PU\| (8) (14/1 -180%) Valens Bruyee	14 14/1(-180%)	(8) Valens Bruyee 14/1, A two-time winner over hurdles last season who offered little in 2 chase tries during the autumn but much more like it returned to this sphere/in cheekpieces when second of 7 in handicap hurdle at Ffos Las (20f, heavy) 27 days ago. Still unexposed at this trip. Pipped at Ffos Las (2m4f, heavy) latest when having a second go in these cheekpieces.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

KEABLE got off the mark in impressive fashion at Exeter earlier in the month, and an 11lb hike for that success may not be enough to prevent him from landing the double over further. A determined winner last time out over 2m4f at Wincanton, Prophesea can follow him home, while narrow Doncaster second Phillapa Sue and Job, who largely made all when scoring at Southwell most recently, are also respected.

An intriguing finale with the narrow vote in favour of low-mileage 6-y-o GETURGUCCION. Alan King's mare makes a quick switch to handicaps having finished runner-up both starts in this sphere to date and appeals as being potentially well treated now her stamina is tested further. Last-time-out winners Keable, Job and Prophesea head up the dangers in that order.

Keable deserves plenty of enthusiasm but PROPHESEA (nap) may well find the improvement he needs with today's step up in trip.

16:08 Newbury Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 24f PREDICTION SIMULATION

16:25 Kempton Handicap (Class 6) 6f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	4 1st (4) (4/1 +11%) Big Bard	4 4/1(+11%)	(4) Big Bard 4/1, Latest win at Lingfield in July. Well backed when sixth of 12 in handicap at this C&D 42 days ago. Interesting to see if the market support comes again now just 2 lb above his latest winning mark. Fair sixth of 12 over C&D last month on second run after a break and he's in with a chance.
2	2 2nd (2) (4/1 +11%) Mccauley's Tavern	4 4/1(+11%)	(2) Mccauley's Tavern 4/1, Dual C&D winner. Well held last 2 starts but has good record around here and has dipped below last winning mark. Down the field the last twice but on Tapeta; his two wins have come over this C&D.
3	3 3rd (3) (11/1 +31%) El Hibri	11 11/1(+31%)	(3) El Hibri 11/1, C&D winner. Three wins from 16 runs last year. Tenth of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f, 20/1) 19 days ago. C&D winner; 4lb lower than when scoring last May but unable to get competitive since.
4	6 4th (6) (11/1 -144%) Under Curfew	11 11/1(-144%)	(6) Under Curfew 11/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2024. 28/1, creditable fifth of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 4 days ago. Close fifth at Wolverhampton on Saturday and he could be in the mix.
5th	1 5th (1) (13/8 +35%) Collusion	1.625 13/8(+35%)	(1) Collusion 13/8, First run since leaving James Tate when respectable fourth of 12 in handicap (22/1) at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 19 days ago, nearest finish. Makes polytrack debut. Looks competitive on form. Fair fourth at Wolverhampton, which was a lot better than most of these managed last time.
6th	5 6th (5) (25/1 -25%) Dan Dee Prince	25 25/1(-25%)	(5) Dan Dee Prince 25/1, Seventh of 9 in handicap (40/1) at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 11 days ago. Visored for 1st time. The drop back to 6f may suit this headstrong sort but a return to form is needed.
7th	7 7th (7) (14/1 -17%) Heartrate	14 14/1(-17%)	(7) Heartrate 14/1, Fifteen runs since last win in 2023. Eleventh of 12 in handicap at Southwell (6.1f, 9/1) 18 days ago. On losing sequence & well beaten latest, but in good form previously and could bounce back.
8th	8 8th (8) (9/1 -20%) Don't Fight It	9 9/1(-20%)	(8) Don't Fight It 9/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2022. Blinkered for 1st time, creditable third of 12 in handicap (25/1) at this C&D. Off 105 days. Close third over C&D last time; bang there if reproducing that form after 105-day break.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

An eye-catcher on his first run for new connections when slowly away and running on late for fourth at Wolverhampton last month, COLLUSION is open to improvement and he may be able to break the maiden tag at the seventh time of asking. Not beaten far when third over C&D in October, Don't Fight It is a key player, as well as Under Curfew, who is capable on his day.

It could be worth chancing MCCAULEY'S TAVERN, who goes well around here and has now dipped below his last winning mark. Collusion made a decent start for this yard when fourth at Wolverhampton and is next best ahead of Big Bard.

Tapeta does not appear to suit MCCAULEY'S TAVERN and this two-time C&D winner earns the vote now back here.

16:25 Kempton Handicap (Class 6) 6f PREDICTION SIMULATION

17:00 Kempton Stakes (Class 5) 6f - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	2 1st (2) (7/1 -40%) Coul Angel	7 7/1(-40%)	(2) Coul Angel 7/1, Twice-raced maiden. Third of 11 in novice (2/1) at Southwell (6.1f) 12 days ago. Remains open to progress. Slow starts on both outings but has made the frame each time and is open to improvement.
2	4 2nd (4) (9/1 +0%) Leadenhall Street	9 9/1(+0%)	(4) Leadenhall Street 9/1, Twice-raced maiden. Hooded for 1st time, fifth of 12 in novice at Wolverhampton (7.2f, 16/1) 19 days ago. Encouraging fifth over 7f at Wolverhampton; today's drop back to 6f may be the right move.
3	8 3rd (8) (11/1 -300%) Cressida Wildes	11 11/1(-300%)	(8) Cressida Wildes 11/1, Fairly useful filly. Fourth of 6 in nursery at Newcastle (5f, 20/1) 53 days ago. Makes polytrack debut. Sets the standard back in a novice. 0-7 but ran well in Newcastle handicap last time and holds leading form claims.
4	1 4th (1) (2/1 +64%) Cherry Cobbler	2 2/1(+64%)	(1) Cherry Cobbler 2/1, 55,000 gns yearling, Zoustar gelding. Half-brother to useful 5f winner Great State and 2-y-o 6f winner Showhound. Dam, 2-y-o 5f winner, half-sister to smart winner up to 1m Chil The Kite. 14/1, third of 13 in novice at this course (8f) on debut 35 days ago. Down in trip. May well do better. Travelled well when third over 1m here on debut and could be suited by sprinting.
5th	3 5th (3) (11/2 -38%) Invincible Melody	5.5 11/2(-38%)	(3) Invincible Melody 11/2, Better for debut when fourth of 11 in novice at Southwell (6.1f, 9/1) 12 days ago, nearest finish. Open to further improvement. Fair fourth at Southwell recently and this 145,000gns yearling could continue to progress.
6th	5 6th (5) (4/1 +11%) Macedonian	4 4/1(+11%)	(5) Macedonian 4/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 4/1, fifth of 11 in novice at Southwell (6.1f) 12 days ago. Two lesser runs have followed last August's promising debut but he's not discounted.
7th	7 7th (7) (33/1 +0%) Thurso	33 33/1(+0%)	(7) Thurso 33/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Eighth of 12 in novice (33/1) at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 19 days ago. Cheekpieces on for 1st time. Has shown some ability but improvement is needed if he's to feature.
8th	6 8th (6) (6/1 +25%) Pinmoney	6 6/1(+25%)	(6) Pinmoney 6/1, Pinatubo colt. Dam lightly-raced sister to smart 8.3f-1½m winner (stayed 2½m) Sheikhzayedroad. Newcomer to note. Dam from good family; there's a suspicion this Pinatubo newcomer will prefer a longer trip.
9th	9 9th (9) (300/1 -200%) Pipkin	300 300/1(-200%)	(9) Pipkin 300/1, Twice-raced maiden. Last of 9 in novice at Lingfield (7f, AW, 200/1) 15 days ago. Massive odds and well beaten on her first two starts (6f/7f, AW).

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

CRESSIDA WILDES may have gone closer at Newcastle last time out if not for an awkward start. Going back up in trip looks like a good move for the daughter of Showcasing and she is narrowly preferred to Cherry Cobbler, who was a promising third over 1m here on debut last month. Coul Angel had Invincible Melody (fourth) behind when third at Southwell most recently and both are likely to enter the reckoning.

CRESSIDA WILDES sets a decent standard back in a novice and this looks a good opportunity for her to finally break her duck. Cherry Cobbler showed speed when third on her debut over 1m here 5 weeks ago and improvement can be expected down in trip, while Pinmoney has a nice pedigree and is a newcomer to note.

Preference is for CHERRY COBBLER, who has a speedy pedigree and travelled well when third over 1m here on last month's debut.

17:00 Kempton Stakes (Class 5) 6f PREDICTION SIMULATION

17:30 Kempton Maiden (Class 5) 8f - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	8 1st (8) (5/6 +39%) Purple Rainbow	0.833333 5/6(+39%)	(8) Purple Rainbow 5/6, Night of Thunder filly. Half-sister to smart 1½m-13.3f winner Perfect Alibi. Dam, 1½m-1¾m winner, half-sister to smart 1¼m-1½m winner Bold Sniper. Second of 12 in novice at Wolverhampton (7.2f, 3/1) on debut 19 days ago, no match for winner. Should progress. Respected for all that debut second can be knocked and 1m could be a bare minimum.
2	3 2nd (3) (17/2 -6%) Blue Wonder	8.5 17/2(-6%)	(3) Blue Wonder 17/2, €62,000 foal, 120,000 gns yearling, Blue Point filly. Half-sister to useful French 9.5f winner Corando and 1m/9f winner Alyara. Dam 11.6f/1½m winner who stayed 14.6f. One to note. 120,000gns yearling; trainer just 8% in maiden/novice contests last five years.
3	2 3rd (2) (15/8 +0%) Arabian Leopard	1.875 15/8(+0%)	(2) Arabian Leopard 15/8, 150,000 gns 2-y-o, Ghaiyyath filly. Dam, 2-y-o 5f winner (runner-up in Curragh Stakes). Twice-raced maiden. Fourth of 14 in novice at this course (7f, 6/1) 42 days ago, slowly away. Remains open to improvement. Fourth here six weeks ago can probably be marked up a bit; chance.
4	6 4th (6) (5/1 -43%) Mehmas Shy Angel	5 5/1(-43%)	(6) Mehmas Shy Angel 5/1, Twice-raced filly. Third of 9 in novice at Wolverhampton (7.2f, 7/4) 26 days ago. Form pick. Didn't build on debut effort but still looked green and tonight's extra furlong could help.
5th	1 5th (1) (16/1 +52%) Penny's Spirit	16 16/1(+52%)	(1) Penny's Spirit 16/1, Invincible Spirit filly. Closely related to 5f-6f winner Fiscal Policy and half-sister to 2-y-o 5f winner Dittander and 7f-8.6f winner Black Medick. Fourth of 10 in novice at Wolverhampton (8.6f, 200/1) on debut 53 days ago, left with too much to do. Late headway to grab modest fourth on debut; has to give 20lb away to the 3yos here.
6th	7 6th (7) (150/1 -127%) Passo Stelvio	150 150/1(-127%)	(7) Passo Stelvio 150/1, 12,000 gns yearling, Masar filly. Half-sister to 7f winner Juantorena. Dam French 9f-1½m winner. 125/1 and hooded, tenth of 14 in novice at this C&D on debut 35 days ago, very slowly away. No immediate promise when 125-1 tenth of 14 on debut over C&D five weeks ago.
7th	5 7th (5) (40/1 -21%) Lordsbridge Havana	40 40/1(-21%)	(5) Lordsbridge Havana 40/1, Twice-raced filly. 50/1, fifth of 9 in novice at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 26 days ago. Behind Mehmas Shy Angel latest; probably needs this further rise in trip to extract more.
8th	9 8th (9) (250/1 -279%) Time After Time	250 250/1(-279%)	(9) Time After Time 250/1, Time Test filly. Dam 1m winner. Tenth of 11 in maiden (28/1) at Wolverhampton (8.6f) on debut 32 days ago. More time is surely needed given she beat just one home on debut 32 days ago.
9th	4 9th (4) (250/1 -400%) Filligris	250 250/1(-400%)	(4) Filligris 250/1, Twice-raced filly. Ninth of 11 in maiden (100/1) at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 32 days ago. Down the field both starts at two.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

Hailing from a family that trainer William Haggas has had success with, PURPLE RAINBOW made a perfectly respectable start to her career when beaten only a length on debut at Wolverhampton over 7f last month. Stepping up in trip should bring about improvement and she may have too much for Arabian Leopard, who was promising fourth over shorter here on her most recent outing. Less than two lengths behind her in that contest was Mehmas Shy Angel (seventh), who since showed plenty of promise when finishing placed at Wolverhampton.

ARABIAN LEOPARD again showed promise 4 months on from her debut when fourth here 6 weeks ago and she gets the nod in an ordinary maiden. Purple Rainbow made a decent start to her career when second at Wolverhampton and is an obvious threat along with form-pick Mehmas Shy Angel.

The eye is drawn to Purple Rainbow but ARABIAN LEOPARD, who has achieved more in RPR terms, could be too speedy for her.

17:30 Kempton Maiden (Class 5) 8f PREDICTION SIMULATION

18:00 Kempton Maiden (Class 5) 8f - 7 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
3	3 (3) (11/1 -10%) I'll Give It A Go	11 11/1(-10%)	(3) I'll Give It A Go 11/1, Ulysses filly. Closely related to 1½m winner George Bancroft. Dam maiden (stayed 1¼m), half-sister to 1¼m winner Posteritas. In-form yard can ready one and she's got to be worth a look. Respected trainer has fair strike-rate in maidens; one to note in the betting.
1	8 1st (8) (4/1 +11%) Sorbus	4 4/1(+11%)	(8) Sorbus 4/1, Night of Thunder filly. Closely related to 1½m winner Deciduous and half-sister to 2-y-o 7.6f winner Little Rollright. 9/1 and tongue strap on, fourth of 10 in novice at Southwell (7.1f) on debut 17 days ago. Should improve. Looked green on debut, so should improve, and this extra furlong will likely help.
2	7 2nd (7) (66/1 -267%) Selenic	66 66/1(-267%)	(7) Selenic 66/1, Sea The Moon filly. Half-sister to useful winner up to 1½m Pita Pinta from the family of smart 9.5f-1½m winner (stayed 1¾m) La de Two. One to note on debut. Yard pretty quiet but market check needed.
3	5 3rd (5) (5/2 +9%) Mystery Of Love	2.5 5/2(+9%)	(5) Mystery Of Love 5/2, Twice-raced filly. Third of 9 in novice at Southwell (7.1f, 7/1) 36 days ago, needing stiffer test and still green. Should have more to offer still. Doesn't look the finished article and should relish this extra furlong.
4	6 4th (6) (5/6 +24%) Only One Blue	0.833333 5/6(+24%)	(6) Only One Blue 5/6, Sales price increased appreciably as a 2-y-o and well backed when second of 12 in novice at Southwell (8.1f, 11/8) on debut 18 days ago, keeping on. Should improve and good shout. Surely involved having gone close to justifying favouritism on debut.
5th	4 5th (4) (25/1 -39%) Lady Odette	25 25/1(-39%)	(4) Lady Odette 25/1, €80,000 yearling, Churchill filly. Dam, 2-y-o 6f winner, half-sister to Cornwallis Stakes winner Electric Waves. Likely type on paper. 80,000euros yearling; trainer had plenty of success in maiden/novice contests.
6th	1 6th (1) (300/1 -355%) Onlyriversrunfree	300 300/1(-355%)	(1) Onlyriversrunfree 300/1, 24,000 gns foal, Cracksman filly. Dam maiden (stayed 7f) half-sister to useful 1m-1¼m winner Zarabanda. 150/1, ninth of 11 in novice at Southwell (8.1f) on debut 17 days ago. Beat just two home when sent off 150-1 for debut at Southwell last month (1m).

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content,

ONLY ONE BLUE shaped with plenty of promise to finish second on her debut at Southwell last month. Richard Hannon's three-year-old could have any amount of improvement to come and can go one better. Mystery Of Love improved on her debut eighth to make the frame over 7f at Southwell last time and she will appreciate this step up in trip. Any market confidence behind newcomer Lady Odette would be interesting too.

AZANIYA and Only One Blue are closely matched on their Southwell meeting and can come to the fore, with Azaniya fancied to come out on top having looked unlucky not to finish a bit closer there. The three newcomers, Lady Odette, I'll Give It A Go and Selenic, are all interesting.

Moving up to 1m could make enough of a difference to see MYSTERY OF LOVE get off the mark.

18:00 Kempton Maiden (Class 5) 8f PREDICTION SIMULATION

18:30 Kempton Handicap (Class 6) 8f - 14 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	8 1st (8) (7/2 +22%) Stella Hogan	3.5 7/2(+22%)	(8) Stella Hogan 7/2, Course winner. Thirteen runs since last win in 2023. Below form fourth of 10 in handicap at Newcastle (8f, 15/8) 53 days ago. Hood on 1st time and cheekpieces back on with more needed. Sole win on this track; reasonable to expect more from her today for newish connections.
2	12 2nd (12) (9/2 -50%) Cherry King	4.5 9/2(-50%)	(12) Cherry King 9/2, 10/11, creditable second of 9 in minor event at Wolverhampton (9.5f) 11 days ago, no match for winner. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Needs considering. Tad disappointing he's still a maiden but the addition of cheekpieces could help.
3	2 3rd (2) (28/1 -12%) Card Shark	28 28/1(-12%)	(2) Card Shark 28/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Last of 11 in maiden (150/1) at Newbury (10f, good). Off 8 months. Makes handicap debut. Soundly beaten in two completions for this yard; handicap debut after 243 days off.
4	5 4th (5) (22/1 -38%) Ballybaymoonshiner	22 22/1(-38%)	(5) Ballybaymoonshiner 22/1, Course winner. Two wins from 6 runs last year. 12/1, last of 13 in handicap at Chelmsford City (6f) 27 days ago, slowly away. Significantly back up in trip. Can make presence felt if back on his A-game. Has the look of a 7f specialist and is passed over.
5th	7 5th (7) (8/1 +33%) Morindoo	8 8/1(+33%)	(7) Morindoo 8/1, Respectable seventh of 13 in handicap at Chelmsford City (10f, 66/1) 34 days ago, racing closer to pace than ideal. One to consider. Disappointing maiden; Tom Marquand returning to the saddle is at least a positive.
6th	3 6th (3) (5/1 +38%) Bo Taifan	5 5/1(+38%)	(3) Bo Taifan 5/1, Back to his best of late, a good third of 12 in handicap at Chelmsford City (8f) 27 days ago. Player off an unchanged mark with that form working out well. Form has solid look to it; should settle okay in this maximum field and come home well.
7th	6 7th (6) (11/2 -10%) United Force	5.5 11/2(-10%)	(6) United Force 11/2, Three wins from 15 runs last year. Won 11-runner handicap (6/1) at Southwell (8.1f) 33 days ago, better placed than most. Can give another good account. Two wins under Marco Ghiani but he might find this a tad too competitive.
8th	9 8th (9) (8/1 +80%) Nasim	8 8/1(+80%)	(9) Nasim 8/1, Twenty two runs since last win in 2023. 25/1, below form seventh of 13 in handicap at this course (11f) 28 days ago. Back down in trip. Cheekpieces back on. Others more persuasive. No win for nearly two years but returning to 1m could see him do better than of late.
9th	11 9th (11) (33/1 -32%) Liege	33 33/1(-32%)	(11) Liege 33/1, Below form fifth of 9 in minor event (7/1) at Chelmsford City (8f) 6 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Doesn't look the most straightforward but perhaps a strongly run 1m is what he needs.
10th	1 10th (1) (11/1 0%) Sam's Hope	11 11/1(0%)	(1) Sam's Hope 11/1, Course winner. 33/1, respectable sixth of 12 in handicap at Southwell (6.1f) 18 days ago. Significantly back up in trip. Uphill task at these weights though. Claims if building on her sixth over an inadequate 6f last time, now dropping into a 0-55.
11th	14 11th (14) (100/1 -150%) Moorgate	100 100/1(-150%)	(14) Moorgate 100/1, One win from 25 Flat runs. Eleven runs since last win in 2023. Eleventh of 12 in handicap (33/1) at Lingfield (6f, AW) 24 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Hard to see him excelling under these conditions.
12th	10 12th (10) (50/1 -100%) Beauen Arrows	50 50/1(-100%)	(10) Beauen Arrows 50/1, Remains a maiden after 20 Flat runs. Twelfth of 13 in novice (125/1) at this course (7f). Off 9 months. Hard to see belated first win coming upped to 1m for the first time off a 273-day break.
13th	4 13th (4) (9/1 +44%) Genta	9 9/1(+44%)	(4) Genta 9/1, 18/1, respectable fifth of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (9.5f) 25 days ago. Much respected on his polytrack debut. Some positives in handicaps; returning to 1m looks a smart move but others appeal more.
14th	13 14th (13) (40/1 -60%) Tea Leaf Ted	40 40/1(-60%)	(13) Tea Leaf Ted 40/1, Respectable seventh of 12 in handicap at Chelmsford City (8f, 14/1) 27 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Others have achieved more. 0-12; getting to or near the front early won't be easy from the widest stall.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

Cherry King has run with credit by producing a pair of seconds, despite failing to justify favouritism on each of his last two starts in classified stakes, and has to be respected now that he steps back into the handicap ranks. However, the vote goes to UNITED FORCE, who struck in this grade at Southwell last month and the handicapper might have been kind to only put him up 3lb. With a repeat of that display, he will prove hard to beat. Bo Taifan completes the shortlist.

Not as competitive as the numbers suggest and this could go the way of BO TAIFAN who posted a good recent third at Chelmsford City and can race off the same mark here (form been franked). United Force is feared most on the back of his Southwell success with Cherry King and Morindoo also in the mix.

He's been running well in defeat behind horses who have been enjoying purple patches so BO TAIFAN (nap) is the pick.

18:30 Kempton Handicap (Class 6) 8f PREDICTION SIMULATION

19:00 Kempton Handicap (Class 5) 8f - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	2 1st (2) (4/1 +60%) Gaiety Musical	4 4/1(+60%)	(2) Gaiety Musical 4/1, 17/2, below form sixth of 11 in handicap at Southwell (6.1f) 17 days ago. Significantly back up in trip. Others more persuasive. Has been running over 6f and not easy to assess how she'll fare back over 1m.
2	1 2nd (1) (6/1 +25%) Top Of The Class	6 6/1(+25%)	(1) Top Of The Class 6/1, C&D winner. Two wins from 6 runs last year. Latest win here in August. Below form sixth of 10 in handicap (5/1) at this C&D 117 days ago. Sort to bounce back. Bled from the nose in September but not impossible to see this dual C&D winner bounce back.
3	3 3rd (3) (11/4 +54%) Next Trick	2.75 11/4(+54%)	(3) Next Trick 11/4, 14/1, respectable eighth of 15 in handicap at Gowran (8.3f, heavy) 86 days ago, left poorly placed. Makes polytrack debut. First run for yard after leaving Dermot Weld and needs considering. Very interesting on the pick of Irish form for Dermot Weld; changed hands for 70,000gns.
4	9 4th (9) (22/1 +45%) Ashford Hill	22 22/1(+45%)	(9) Ashford Hill 22/1, Winner at Lingfield in November. Seventh of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f, 25/1) 19 days ago so needs to get back on track. Unable to reproduce form of shock 7f win; needs to settle better than last time.
5th	5 5th (5) (4/1 -45%) Midsummer Music	4 4/1(-45%)	(5) Midsummer Music 4/1, 5/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, landed 9-runner handicap at this C&D 42 days ago. Not taken lightly in her current mood. Some kind of chance raised just 3lb for breakthrough C&D win if cheekpieces work again.
6th	6 6th (6) (17/2 -155%) Prefer The Sister	8.5 17/2(-155%)	(6) Prefer The Sister 17/2, 18/1, career best when winning 13-runner handicap at this course (7f) 28 days ago, pushed out. Getting better with each recent run. Likely player. 6lb rise for breakthrough win in a weak race might pose a problem.
7th	8 7th (8) (11/2 -10%) Help Me Rhonda	5.5 11/2(-10%)	(8) Help Me Rhonda 11/2, Advanced her form on just her third run for current yard when getting off the mark in 14-runner handicap at this C&D 96 days ago. Can do better still. Big shout. Claims if turning up in the same form as C&D win in October now 2lb higher.
8th	4 8th (4) (40/1 -100%) Heart Of The City	40 40/1(-100%)	(4) Heart Of The City 40/1, 66/1 and blinkered for 1st time, seventh of 8 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 82 days ago. Makes polytrack debut with work to do. Promising debut but a weak finisher in all three handicaps (6f-1m).
9th	7 9th (7) (28/1 -40%) Zepparella	28 28/1(-40%)	(7) Zepparella 28/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Tenth of 11 in novice at Southwell (8.1f, 28/1) 17 days ago. Makes handicap debut. Others have achieved more. Just one run of note but has time to do better and switching to handicaps should help.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

Midsummer Music got her head in front for the first time over track and trip last month and will be looking to back up that success off 3lb higher. However, with that form not working out, PREFER THE SISTER gets the nod. Matt Crawley's five-year-old outran big odds to score in ready style over 7f here last time and this step back up in distance shouldn't pose her any problems. She can record a double, while last-time-out C&D scorer Help Me Rhonda is another to note.

HELP ME RHONDA gave off good vibrations when opening her account for James Fanshawe over C&D last time and with that form working out well she can make light of a 2 lb weights rise and follow up. Prefer The Sister heads the dangers on the back of her recent course victory, although Midsummer Music, Next Trick and Top Of The Class can also have a say.

None of these are bombproof but NEXT TRICK, starting out for Archie Watson, looks worth chancing.

19:00 Kempton Handicap (Class 5) 8f PREDICTION SIMULATION

19:30 Kempton Handicap (Class 5) 7f - 11 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	1 1st (1) (6/1 -50%) Sweet Fantastic	6 6/1(-50%)	(1) Sweet Fantastic 6/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 9/1, good third of 12 in nursery at Lingfield (7f, AW) 42 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Getting better with each recent run. Close third on handicap debut at Lingfield and he's a leading contender; cheekpieces added.
2	13 2nd (13) (10/1 -11%) Arlecchino's Rex	10 10/1(-11%)	(13) Arlecchino's Rex 10/1, Lightly-raced winner at Wolverhampton in November. 7/2, respectable fourth of 11 in nursery at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 20 days ago. Makes polytrack debut. Merits consideration. Won on handicap debut and fair fourth next time; further improvement can't be ruled out.
3	10 3rd (10) (13/2 +19%) Panama Black	6.5 13/2(+19%)	(10) Panama Black 13/2, Thrice-raced maiden. Good fourth of 11 in maiden (14/1) at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 30 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Makes handicap debut. Needs considering. Encouraging fourth at Wolverhampton when wide early; one to consider on handicap debut.
4	2 4th (2) (16/1 -100%) Montrachet Girl	16 16/1(-100%)	(2) Montrachet Girl 16/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Hooded for 1st time, below form fourth of 10 in novice at this course (6f, 12/1). Off 112 days. First run for yard after leaving Eve Johnson Houghton with more requird on yard/handicap debut. Needs to get back on track on stable debut but could be on a handy opening mark.
5th	7 5th (7) (16/1 -33%) Ant Colony	16 16/1(-33%)	(7) Ant Colony 16/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Respectable second of 9 in novice at Lingfield (6f, good to soft, 13/2). Off 6 months. Makes polytrack/handicap debut and needs to hit the ground running. Absent since last July but has shown promise and his trainer's horses are running well.
6th	8 6th (8) (10/3 +67%) Azoozi	3.333333 10/3(+67%)	(8) Azoozi 10/3, Thrice-raced maiden. Patiently-ridden fifth of 10 in novice at Newcastle (8f, 25/1) 43 days ago. Makes handicap debut. Open to a fair bit of progress. Interesting. Improvement needed on handicap debut but there's potential in his pedigree; watch betting.
7th	3 7th (3) (50/1 -257%) Mini Mac	50 50/1(-257%)	(3) Mini Mac 50/1, Lightly-raced winner at Brighton in October. 40/1, creditable fourth of 9 in novice at Southwell (6.1f) 27 days ago. Can give a good account. Won at Brighton in October on his second start but unable to progress subsequently.
8th	4 8th (4) (11/1 +0%) Dapper Gee Gee	11 11/1(+0%)	(4) Dapper Gee Gee 11/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Eighth of 11 in maiden (6/1) at Brighton (8f, good to soft). Off 99 days. Makes handicap debut. Must improve. Close second on debut last August; disappointing since but check market on handicap debut.
9th	11 9th (11) (22/1 -57%) Bad Habits	22 22/1(-57%)	(11) Bad Habits 22/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Seventh of 10 in novice at Wolverhampton (6.1f, 125/1) 58 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Makes handicap debut. No forlorn hope. Could play a major role on handicap debut, especially if he's strong in the betting.
10th	6 10th (6) (15/2 -67%) Choreographic	7.5 15/2(-67%)	(6) Choreographic 15/2, Lightly-raced maiden. Creditable third of 5 in handicap at Southwell (7.1f, 16/1) 11 days ago. Not ruled out. Needs to produce more than in her two handicaps but could take step forward at some stage.
11th	9 11th (9) (7/2 +65%) Reporter	3.5 7/2(+65%)	(9) Reporter 7/2, 4/1, last of 7 in nursery at Southwell (6.1f) 17 days ago. Enters calculations if shrugging off latest effort. Close second on handicap debut at Newcastle but disappointing at Southwell last time.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

In what looks a trappy affair on paper, a tentative vote goes to SWEET FANTASTIC. He has been knocking on the door and now gets first-time cheekpieces and Hollie Doyle in the saddle. Choreographic shaped with promise when third behind two useful types in a Southwell handicap recently and she is not dismissed off 1lb lower. George Boughey's inmates can often find chunks of improvement for a switch to handicapping, and his Bad Habits must be monitored in the market.

This is wide open so it could be worth siding with John Butler's AZOOZI to take a sizeable step forward on his handicap bow and get off the mark. The handily-weighted Sweet Fantastic is next on the list and rates a big threat with Panama Black, Mini Mac and Choreographic also well in the mix.

Top of the list is the George Boughey-trained BAD HABITS, who goes handicapping in first-time cheekpieces having been gelded.

19:30 Kempton Handicap (Class 5) 7f PREDICTION SIMULATION

20:00 Kempton Handicap (Class 6) 12f - 10 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	5 1st (5) (9/1 +50%) Bruce Banner	9 9/1(+50%)	(5) Bruce Banner 9/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 40/1, eighth of 11 in nursery at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 53 days ago, finishing well. Not discounted now stepped up in trip. His dam stayed this far but moving up from 7f to 1m4f in one hit isn't an obvious move.
2	3 2nd (3) (10/3 +49%) Gemmari	3.333333 10/3(+49%)	(3) Gemmari 10/3, Promising sort. 200/1, seventh of 13 in maiden at this course (11f) 28 days ago, slowly away. Makes handicap debut. Very much one to consider with more to come. Connections have done very well out of his dam; step up now switched to handicaps.
3	2 3rd (2) (7/1 -75%) Rosco Rogers	7 7/1(-75%)	(2) Rosco Rogers 7/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 22/1, good second of 11 in nursery at Wolverhampton (9.5f) 44 days ago. Up in trip. Makes polytrack debut. Looks competitive on form. Narrow defeat on nursery debut; suspect he has more on his plate this time.
4	9 4th (9) (10/1 +9%) Spaceage Love Song	10 10/1(+9%)	(9) Spaceage Love Song 10/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 10/3 and visored for 1st time, fair sixth of 8 in nursery at Chelmsford City (10f) 69 days ago. Needs to build on it. Bit more competitive, but proved disappointing, since upped in trip/handicapping.
5th	4 5th (4) (7/2 -40%) Gray Rainbow	3.5 7/2(-40%)	(4) Gray Rainbow 7/2, Masar filly has shown some promise, coming in sixth of 12 in novice (50/1) at Southwell (8.1f) 18 days ago. Capable of better now upped in trip with cheekpieces added for her handicap bow. Player. Key player upped 4f in trip, fitted with cheekpieces and switched to handicaps.
6th	1 6th (1) (28/1 -133%) Aroof	28 28/1(-133%)	(1) Aroof 28/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 150/1, last of 9 in novice at Southwell (8.1f) 32 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Makes handicap debut. Rise in trip and switch to handicaps ought to see him in a better light.
7th	7 7th (7) (11/2 -10%) No Release	5.5 11/2(-10%)	(7) No Release 11/2, Good second of 10 in nursery (5/1) at Chelmsford City (8f) 34 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Can give another good account. Main concern is how he'll settle going beyond 1m2f for the first time in headgear switch.
8th	6 8th (6) (10/3 +67%) Abstract Art	3.333333 10/3(+67%)	(6) Abstract Art 10/3, Creditable third of 6 in handicap (20/1) at Wolverhampton (9.5f) 4 days ago. Up in trip and in the picture. Fair efforts the last twice but probably needs new trip to bring out more.
9th	8 9th (8) (125/1 -213%) Just Dawned On Me	125 125/1(-213%)	(8) Just Dawned On Me 125/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 80/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, last of 10 in nursery at Chelmsford City (8f) 34 days ago. Lots more is required. Soundly beaten all four starts at up to 8.6f; cheekpieces made no difference latest.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

ROSCO ROGERS didn't cut much ice in his three qualifying runs, but he lost little in defeat when going down narrowly in second on his handicap debut over an extended 1m1f at Wolverhampton last month. Stepping up in trip off 2lb higher, he gets the vote to atone for that near-miss. This step up in trip coupled with the application of cheekpieces could see No Release go well, and he is respected most out of the remainder, while Abstract Art is another for the shortlist.

A few offer potential to improve here, not least James Owen's GRAY RAINBOW who is bred to be well suited by this first go over 1m4f and can get off the mark. Fellow handicap debutant Gemmari also has better days ahead of him and rates the main danger, although Rosco Rogers, Bruce Banner and Abstract Art merit consideration too.

This could rest between handicap newcomers GEMMARI and Gray Rainbow. Gemmari can provide dam Gravitation with yet another winner.

20:00 Kempton Handicap (Class 6) 12f PREDICTION SIMULATION

Racecard Key

Ths is the racecard key.

Icon	Meaning
	TomForm top stats, gold rated
	TomForm top stats silver rated
	Ran similar race before
S	TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out
T	Top Time speeed rated
	Top Racingpost rated
	At the races watchout for
	At the races top pick
	Top rated for thet statistic

How to use Tomform

Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.

This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.

About U.K Horse Racing

Horse racing is a popular and historic sport in the UK, with a tradition dating back centuries. It is a multi-billion pound industry that attracts millions of spectators each year and generates significant economic activity.

There are two main types of horse racing in the UK: flat racing and jump racing. Flat racing is run on a level course and is typically shorter in distance, while jump racing involves horses jumping over obstacles and is generally longer in distance. Both types of racing are popular with spectators and bettors, and they take place at various racetracks throughout the country.

The most famous horse racing event in the UK is the Grand National, which is held annually at Aintree Racecourse in Liverpool. It is a jump racing event that is known for its challenging course and has become a national institution in the UK. Other notable horse racing events in the UK include the Derby, held at Epsom Downs Racecourse in Surrey, and the Royal Ascot, held at Ascot Racecourse in Berkshire.

Horse racing in the UK is regulated by the British Horseracing Authority (BHA), which sets rules and standards for the industry. It is responsible for the welfare of racehorses and the safety of jockeys and trainers, as well as ensuring fair and transparent racing practices.

In addition to its economic and cultural importance, horse racing in the UK also plays a significant role in the breeding and training of thoroughbred horses. Many of the world's top thoroughbreds are bred and trained in the UK, and the industry plays a vital role in the preservation and promotion of the breed.

Overall, horse racing is an integral part of British culture and a major contributor to the country's economy. It is a thrilling and exciting sport that continues to attract a loyal following and generate significant interest from spectators and bettors around the world.

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