1 Tuesday 30th January 2024 UK Horse Racing Speed Ratings & Tips

Tomform Tuesday 30th January 2024

There were 28 Races on Tuesday 30th January 2024 across 4 meetings. There was 7 races at Limerick, 7 races at Chepstow, 6 races at Newcastle, 8 races at Southwell, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.

Races & Results Tuesday 30th January 2024

The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.

12:50 Limerick Claiming Hurdle 21f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
1	3 1st (3) (8/1 +20%) Robinstown	8 8/1(+20%)	(3) Robinstown 8/1, Fair hurdler. Blinkered for 1st time, third of 6 in handicap chase at Musselburgh (20.3f, soft, 16/1) 25 days ago. Work to do on these terms. Potentially well enough treated here on his best form, has been labouring over fences.
2	2 2nd (2) (7/1 -180%) Decimation	7 7/1(-180%)	(2) Decimation 7/1, Winning hurdler. 22/1, fourth of 6 in novice chase at Leopardstown (21f, soft) on debut over fences when last seen in December 2022, not knocked about. First run for yard after leaving Henry De Bromhead. New stable in form and interesting if he retains all his ability. The betting may be revealing. Has questions to answer but in a different league to these rivals on his best form.
3	1 3rd (1) (4/1 +0%) Optional Mix	4 4/1(+0%)	(1) Optional Mix 4/1, Fairly useful hurdler. Course winner. Sixth of 13 in handicap chase (8/1) at Thurles (21.6f, heavy) 9 days ago. Likely contender. Had a good spell of form last season, well below her best in three runs since her return.
4	8 4th (8) (33/1 +0%) Dark Voyager	33 33/1(+0%)	(8) Dark Voyager 33/1, 16/1, twelfth of 13 in handicap at Dundalk (16f) 62 days ago. Switches from Flat to hurdles. Blinkers on for 1st time in this code. Poor on last hurdle outing. Flat winner and maiden hurdle scorer for Willie Mullins, nothing to recommend lately.
5th	4 5th (4) (10/11 +74%) Ballyadam Destiny	0.909091 10/11(+74%)	(4) Ballyadam Destiny 10/11, Fairly useful hurdler. Eleven runs since last win in 2022. Respectable sixth of 10 in handicap hurdle at Fairyhouse (24f, soft, 9/1) 17 days ago. Tongue strap back on. Enters calculations. Trainer aboard, stablemate Bal De Rio is marginally better suited by the race conditions.
6th	6 6th (6) (7/2 -56%) Bal De Rio	3.5 7/2(-56%)	(6) Bal De Rio 7/2, Fairly useful hurdler. Course winner. Latest win in hurdle at Roscommon in July. Cheekpieces back on. Second in this last year and can go one better. Four of his six hurdles wins have come in this category, second in this event last year.
9	9 \|PU\| (9) (40/1 -100%) Mr Bezi	40 40/1(-100%)	(9) Mr Bezi 40/1, 150/1, last of 6 in bumper at Navan (16f, heavy) 10 days ago. Makes hurdles debut. Significantly up in trip. A market move would be interesting. Modest form in points, has finished last in two bumpers, trainer has two stronger hopefuls.
7	7 \|PU\| (7) (150/1 -200%) Ganderstown	150 150/1(-200%)	(7) Ganderstown 150/1, Poor maiden. Eighth of 13 in maiden at Dundalk (12f, 150/1) on Flat debut 41 days ago. First run for yard after leaving Noel Meade. Poor form in bumpers and maiden hurdles for Noel Meade, fair run on the Flat last time.

LTO Selection:

Denis Hogan fields three horses and he could return to the saddle aboard a winner on BALLYADAM DESTINY. This is quite a drop in class from his last start when sixth in Fairyhouse. His runner-up berth on penultimate start at Limerick over Christmas was a more than decent effort. Optional Mix has a rating of 121 which entitles her to respect in this company. Furthermore, she has winning form at this track, so she has brighter prospects than most. Hogan's Bal De Rio has actually finished runner-up in three claiming hurdles in a row. He should run his race under Joey Sheridan who is more known for his exploits on the Flat. Decimation kept good company over flights a couple of years ago, but comes with risks having switched stables since he was last seen in December 2022.

BAL DE RIO was second in this last year and can go one place better as he sets the standard on these terms. Stablemate Ballyadam Destiny and Optional Mix are a couple of the chief dangers on form but the betting could be revealing.

The safest option may be BALLYADAM DESTINY who could have a fitness edge over stablemate Bal De Rio and Decimation

12:50 Limerick Claiming Hurdle 21f PREDICTION SIMULATION

13:00 Chepstow Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 20f - 7 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	1 1st (1) (10/3 +45%) Borodale	3.333333 10/3(+45%)	(1) Borodale 10/3, Only seventh in his first handicap at Market Rasen on Boxing Day but he showed promise in his qualifying runs and remains unexposed for an in-form stable. Still unexposed, but lacked the pace to land a telling blow on last month's handicap debut.
2	5 2nd (5) (7/1 +30%) Awesome Foursome	7 7/1(+30%)	(5) Awesome Foursome 7/1, Belatedly off the mark over timber at Perth (2½m) in September and backed that up with good second at Ludlow (3m) next time. However, needs to shrug off below-par runs last twice. Has not kicked on from his heavy-ground win in September and now has a point to prove.
3	3 3rd (3) (11/8 +31%) Out Of Focus	1.375 11/8(+31%)	(3) Out Of Focus 11/8, Bumper winner who is knocking on the door in this sphere, third of 5 to Lowry's Bar in handicap hurdle at Wincanton (15f, heavy) 42 days ago. Back up in trip and in the picture. Ran well in first two handicaps (2m/1m7f); moves back up in trip today; respected.
4	2 4th (2) (18/1 -157%) Nelson Criq	18 18/1(-157%)	(2) Nelson Criq 18/1, Has shown ability in a bumper and 2 completed starts over hurdles. Handicaps provide him with a more realistic chance of success. Yet to build upon his promising hurdle debut but still has potential; handicap debut.
5th	4 5th (4) (8/1 -100%) Ostrava Du Berlais	8 8/1(-100%)	(4) Ostrava Du Berlais 8/1, Fair maiden hurdler/chaser for Patrice Quinton in France. First sign of promise for new yard when fifth of 12 in Hereford maiden 26 days ago, weakening only late on. Interesting back in a handicap. Made low-key start to British career but recent Hereford fifth was much more encouraging.
6th	6 6th (6) (9/1 +10%) Dancing Harry	9 9/1(+10%)	(6) Dancing Harry 9/1, A fairly useful winner on Flat. Not so good over hurdles so far, sixth of 14 in handicap at Wincanton (15f, good to soft) 18 days ago. Back up in trip with a tongue strap refitted. Useful on the Flat but 0-6 over hurdles; below form this month and has stamina to prove.
8	8 \|U\| (8) (17/2 -89%) Crossbeau	8.5 17/2(-89%)	(8) Crossbeau 17/2, Modest maiden on the Flat. First form over hurdles when third of 13 on 2½m Uttoxeter handicap debut 39 days ago. Creditable third of 13 on last month's handicap debut at Uttoxeter (2m4f, heavy).

LTO Selection:

OUT OF FOCUS is still learning over hurdles but is presented with a good opportunity to gain a breakthrough success in this discipline. A winner of a bumper last February, the Evan Williams-trained gelding has been placed twice over timber since and, given this represents a drop in class, he is the pick of this bunch. Crossbeau rates the chief threat, with Awesome Foursome also considered now he steps back in trip.

OSTRAVA DU BERLAIS has taken a few runs to find her feet for Venetia Williams but there were more encouraging signs last time and she's taken to build on that promise back in a handicap. Out of Focus has been placed in both handicaps and should be thereabouts, while Olly Murphy's Borodale retains potential as an unexposed sort.

Evan Williams' OUT OF FOCUS launched his handicap career with two good runs last month and might be the answer.

13:00 Chepstow Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 20f PREDICTION SIMULATION

13:15 Newcastle Maiden (Class 5) 16f - 13 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
2	2 (2) (40/1 -21%) Hannigan's Power	40 40/1(-21%)	(2) Hannigan's Power 40/1, Milan mare. Dam, poor maiden hurdler, sister to fairly useful hurdler (2m-2¾m winner) Leave At Dawn out of hurdle/chase winner up to 2½m Hannigan's Lodger. First foal out of a maiden hurdler; stable 4-55 in bumpers recent seasons.
1	11 1st (11) (11/2 -22%) Not Now Nathaniel	5.5 11/2(-22%)	(11) Not Now Nathaniel 11/2, Nathaniel filly. Half-sister to fairly useful 7f winner Thunder Roar. Dam ran twice on Flat. Warrants consideration for a yard that has a solid record in bumpers. 12,500gns yearling; Flat bred; note the market for yard that wins its share of bumpers.
2	10 2nd (10) (10/11 +48%) Nala The Lioness	0.909091 10/11(+48%)	(10) Nala The Lioness 10/11, Related to a couple of Flat winners and found only one too good having been sent off 6/4 for her debut over C&D. Worth a chance to go one better. Favourite for C&D debut this month and would probably have won had she been that bit wiser.
3	6 3rd (6) (7/2 +36%) Silent Auction	3.5 7/2(+36%)	(6) Silent Auction 7/2, Out of a bumper winner and stepped forward from her debut when fourth at Fontwell 8 months ago. Looks more of a stayer, though. Highly tried on debut and showed more when beaten 3l on good ground at Fontwell last May.
4	7 4th (7) (15/2 -36%) Ada's Day	7.5 15/2(-36%)	(7) Ada's Day 15/2, Strong in the market before looking green when sixth at Sedgefield on debut. Clearly thought capable of better, so not ruled out with the benefit of that initial experience. Backed into 3-1 on debut at Sedgefield (soft) but never threatened on soft ground.
5th	8 5th (8) (20/1 -25%) Isabel De Clare	20 20/1(-25%)	(8) Isabel De Clare 20/1, £28,000 3-y-o, Passing Glance filly. Half-sister to fair hurdler/fairly useful chaser Pique Rock and fair hurdler Blue Beach. £28,000 3yo; half-sister to winning jumpers Blue Beach and Pique Rock.
6th	4 6th (4) (50/1 -100%) Nellie Bluesky	50 50/1(-100%)	(4) Nellie Bluesky 50/1, Bred to do well in this sphere but hasn't featured in two starts to date, seventh here last time. Others preferred. Behind a couple of these here this month and unlikely to be good enough.
7th	3 7th (3) (28/1 -40%) Loch Brandy	28 28/1(-40%)	(3) Loch Brandy 28/1, Malinas mare. Sister to fairly useful 19f hurdle winner/smart chaser Malystic, stays 19f, and half-sister to poor hurdler Misty Mani, stays 21f. Worth a market check. Well related and trainer knows the family well; worth a market check.
8th	5 8th (5) (22/1 -144%) Sholokhova	22 22/1(-144%)	(5) Sholokhova 22/1, Tongue tied and offered a bit to work on when fourth here on debut, travelling as well as any. Should sharpen up for that, so could make her presence felt. Not far behind Nala The Lioness when a promising fourth here 24 days ago.
9th	9 9th (9) (28/1 -273%) Lady Buttercup	28 28/1(-273%)	(9) Lady Buttercup 28/1, Dartmouth filly. Dam (h115), 19f-23f hurdle winner, also 2m winner who stayed 2¼m on Flat, half-sister to fair hurdler/fairly useful chaser (2m-2½m winner) Pyracantha. Merits respect if the market vibes are right. Dam 2m Flat (RPR 61) and 2m3f-2m7f hurdle winner, sister to 2m hurdle winner Toola Boola.
10th	1 10th (1) (250/1 -150%) Bettybea	250 250/1(-150%)	(1) Bettybea 250/1, Big price and failed to beat a rival on debut at Kelso 80 days ago, so hard to imagine she'll feature. 250-1 when tailed off on good to soft ground at Kelso in November.
11th	13 11th (13) (100/1 -525%) Phoenicia Better	100 100/1(-525%)	(13) Phoenicia Better 100/1, Phoenix Reach filly. Sister to 4 winners, including fairly useful hurdler Phoenix Dawn, stays 19f, and fair but temperamental hurdler/chaser Xenophon. Related to winners under both codes; Flat-geared stable is 0-8 in bumpers recent seasons.
12th	12 12th (12) (80/1 -60%) Pennine Park	80 80/1(-60%)	(12) Pennine Park 80/1, Mondialiste filly. Half-sister to 3 winners, including bumper winner/fair hurdle winner around 2m Casa No Mento. Little encouragement here on debut, however and looks up against it. Finished 11th of the 14 runners on good ground here just before Christmas.

LTO Selection:

NALA THE LIONESS must hold every chance if building on a strong runner-up effort on debut over C&D earlier in the month. Henry Brooke taking over in the saddle is a big plus, and she can uphold form with Sholokhova (fourth) from that contest, as well as seeing off Silent Auction, who improved from first to second start with a decent effort at Fontwell. Not Now Nathaniel looks the pick of Donald McCain's pair and she should be monitored for market support.

NALA THE LIONESS was a warm order in the betting when runner-up over C&D and she should improve for the experience, so she's well worth a chance to open her account at the second attempt. Donald McCain-trained newcomers Not Now Nathaniel and Lady Buttercup are dangers.

Inexperience appeared to cost NALA THE LIONESS here 24 days ago and she's taken to go one better. Not Now Nathaniel is second pick.

13:15 Newcastle Maiden (Class 5) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

13:25 Limerick Handicap Hurdle 21f - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
1	1 1st (1) (5/1 +38%) Noble Talent	5 5/1(+38%)	(1) Noble Talent 5/1, Tenth of 15 in novice hurdle (40/1) at Thurles (15.9f, good to soft) 44 days ago. Significantly back up in trip. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Placed in two bumpers, hard to fancy if judged on his last two maiden hurdle runs.
2	3 2nd (3) (10/3 +39%) Kiln Time	3.333333 10/3(+39%)	(3) Kiln Time 10/3, 3/1, pulled up in handicap hurdle at Tramore (21.6f, heavy) 29 days ago, folding quickly 3 out. First run for yard after leaving Michael J. Bowe. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Not taken lightly. Failed to do himself justice at Tramore last time, holds a leading chance on overall form.
3	7 3rd (7) (9/4 +65%) Larkfield Lusive	2.25 9/4(+65%)	(7) Larkfield Lusive 9/4, 9/1, respectable sixth of 18 in handicap hurdle at this C&D (heavy) 33 days ago. Best form when second in C&D maiden in October, weakened from the last over C&D on latest.
4	5 4th (5) (5/1 +9%) What An Ocean	5 5/1(+9%)	(5) What An Ocean 5/1, 9/1, fourth of 10 in handicap hurdle at Tramore (21.6f, heavy) 29 days ago. Good chance on her best form. Has been showing a consistent level of form but needs to find a bit extra to win.
5th	4 5th (4) (11/1 +21%) Rising Dust	11 11/1(+21%)	(4) Rising Dust 11/1, 66/1, seventh of 10 in novice chase at Cork (20f, heavy) 24 days ago. Switches from chase to hurdles. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Remote third in a 2m3f maiden here in November, last two runs have been over fences.
10	10 \|U\| (10) (12/1 +0%) Golden Symphony	12 12/1(+0%)	(10) Golden Symphony 12/1, 15/2, pulled up in handicap hurdle at Tramore (21f, soft) 63 days ago. Blinkered for 1st time. Encouraging third over 2m6f at this venue last July, blinkered now a poor run at Tramore.
8	8 \|PU\| (8) (16/1 -33%) Ennemi Public	16 16/1(-33%)	(8) Ennemi Public 16/1, One win from 34 NH runs. 9/1, respectable fourth of 14 in handicap chase at Roscommon (24.8f, soft) 175 days ago. Last four runs have been over fences and is now 0-19 in that sphere, 1-12 over hurdles.
11	11 \|PU\| (11) (18/1 -13%) Wee Jerry	18 18/1(-13%)	(11) Wee Jerry 18/1, Cheekpieces on for 1st time, last of 17 in handicap hurdle (14/1) at Naas (16f, soft) 47 days ago. Significantly back up in trip. Visor on 1st time. Tailed off over 2m at Naas last time since a pleasing run over this trip at Downpatrick.
9	9 \|PU\| (9) (22/1 -120%) Ma Hoey	22 22/1(-120%)	(9) Ma Hoey 22/1, 50/1, tenth of 14 in novice hurdle at this course (19f, heavy) 32 days ago. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Two wins and five places from nine starts in points; moderate form on the track.

LTO Selection:

ANOTHER OCANA appears to reserve his best performances for Limerick and made the breakthrough at this track last month. The 7lb rise in the weights is completely offset by the booking of claimer Jack Gilligan. Merry Moves has course form and a good claimer on board, so is more than capable of a big run as she has been placed in two of her last four races over flights. She is a long-standing maiden, but there isn't much depth to this race. A market move for Kiln Time on his first start for his new stable would be interesting based on his back form while Golden Symphony, who was placed on her last visit to this track, could respond to first-time blinkers.

Poor fare and ANOTHER OCANA might be capable of following up his win here last month. Merry Moves is an interesting alternative, while What An Ocean has a good chance on the pick of her form.

The vote goes to ANOTHER OCANA, who came good with a course win over 2m3f last time and has a 7lb claimer aboard to offset his rise

13:25 Limerick Handicap Hurdle 21f PREDICTION SIMULATION

13:35 Chepstow Conditions Hurdle (Class 4) 16f - 5 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	1 1st (1) (8/11 +47%) Castelfort	0.727273 8/11(+47%)	(1) Castelfort 8/11, Built on encouraging C&D debut second when going one better at Sandown (2m, heavy) 8 weeks later. More to come and leading claims. Battled on well to win Class 2 race at Sandown last month; leading contender.
2	7 2nd (7) (14/1 -56%) Speiriuil	14 14/1(-56%)	(7) Speiriuil 14/1, Placed on both starts in recent weeks but she was 8 lengths behind the reopposing Hill Spirit at Ludlow (2m, heavy) latterly. Placed at big odds on her first two outings and probably won't be far away.
3	4 3rd (4) (4/1 +20%) Dodger Long	4 4/1(+20%)	(4) Dodger Long 4/1, Fair form in bumpers ahead of this switch to hurdles. Could play a part if taking to this new discipline. Very respectable sixth in Listed Cheltenham bumper this month; hurdle debut today.
4	2 4th (2) (10/3 -48%) Hill Spirit	3.333333 10/3(-48%)	(2) Hill Spirit 10/3, Fair form when in the frame in 3 bumpers and made a successful start to his hurdle career in a similar race at Ludlow (2m, heavy) 25 days ago, beating the reopposing Speiriuil by 8 lengths. Likely capable of better. Delivered on bumper promise when winning by 8l on recent hurdling debut at Ludlow.
3	3 \|PU\| (3) (28/1 -331%) Alain	28 28/1(-331%)	(3) Alain 28/1, Manatee gelding. Half-brother to French 1¼m/10.5f winner A Special Line. Dam 7f winner in Germany. Would enter the reckoning if the betting speaks in his favour. Out of a Flat-winning half-sister to useful jumper All Star; market may guide.

LTO Selection:

CASTELFORT may not have beaten the highest calibre of opposition when scoring at Sandown last month, but he went about the task in a game manner and a similarly determined effort could see him brush aside the 7lb penalty. Recent Ludlow winner Hill Spirit is an obvious threat, while Dodger Long's experience gained in bumpers gives him every chance of being competitive on his hurdling bow.

This might develop into a straight fight between previous winners CASTELFORT and Hill Spirit, with the former narrowly preferred. Gary Moore newcomer Alain would come into it if the betting suggests he's fancied.

This might go to CASTELFORT, who displayed a willing attitude when landing a good prize at Sandown last month.

13:35 Chepstow Conditions Hurdle (Class 4) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

13:50 Newcastle Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 22f - 11 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	7 1st (7) (11/4 +54%) Lincoln Burrows	2.75 11/4(+54%)	(7) Lincoln Burrows 11/4, Gambled on and showed improved form to make a successful handicap debut over 2½m here last April. Best effort this term when 12 lengths third of 14 over 20.5f at Ayr 4 weeks ago, shaping as if this trip could suit. Cheekpieces also go on first time. Showed signs of revival when third at Ayr (2m4f, heavy) latest; cheekpieces go on; player..
2	8 2nd (8) (10/1 -11%) Ushuaia Dancer	10 10/1(-11%)	(8) Ushuaia Dancer 10/1, Made frame completed start in points. Has shown promise in a couple of novice hurdles this month and rates a potential improver in handicaps. Moderate early performances but there's been more encouragement lately; more needed..
3	13 3rd (13) (9/2 +18%) Glory Hights	4.5 9/2(+18%)	(13) Glory Hights 9/2, Improved when narrowly denied on 2½m course handicap debut 24 days ago, with the reopposing Scalloway Bay 8½ lengths back in third. Enters calculations. Good attitude latest, when only just held; up 5lb for that, so will need some improvement..
4	4 4th (4) (12/1 -50%) Scalloway Bay	12 12/1(-50%)	(4) Scalloway Bay 12/1, First sign of ability when third of 9 on 2½m course handicap debut (heavy) 24 days ago. Tongue strap worn on that occasion retained. Has the potential to build on that but could do with jumping better. Best effort came latest on his handicap debut here (2m4f, soft); up in trip; player..
5th	11 5th (11) (28/1 -12%) Kingston Rock	28 28/1(-12%)	(11) Kingston Rock 28/1, Poor form in bumpers/novice hurdles but handicaps provide him with a more realistic chance. Well beaten at big odds in all five starts; can only be watched..
6th	14 6th (14) (9/1 +25%) Bushmill Boy	9 9/1(+25%)	(14) Bushmill Boy 9/1, Remains a maiden after 18 starts but he has reached the frame on his last 6 outings. He's shown he can be competitive from around this mark; each-way player..
7th	2 7th (2) (66/1 -230%) Bridgetjoans	66 66/1(-230%)	(2) Bridgetjoans 66/1, Showed a bit in 3 qualifying runs before Christmas but her opening handicap mark looks tough on the face of things. Best effort came at Kelso on penultimate start; initial mark looks stiff..
8th	15 8th (15) (40/1 -60%) This Is Bob	40 40/1(-60%)	(15) This Is Bob 40/1, Little form of worth in maiden/novice hurdles but more chance now handicapping from a basement mark. First outing for 6 months. 0-4 and hasn't yet shown enough to suggest he can be competitive in this field..
9th	6 9th (6) (9/1 +18%) Ffree Pedro	9 9/1(+18%)	(6) Ffree Pedro 9/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Shaped as if needing the run after 9 months off when sixth of 9 in 2½m course handicap in December. Pulled up on Wetherby chase debut on Boxing Day and quickly reverts to hurdles. No surprise if he left his previous form this season behind; back up in trip; drops 2lb..
12	12 \|F\| (12) (5/2 +67%) Emotional Roller	2.5 5/2(+67%)	(12) Emotional Roller 5/2, Maiden Irish pointer. First sign of promise under Rules when third of 12 on 2½m Wetherby handicap debut on Boxing Day. This longer trip could suit. Considered. Better effort at Wetherby latest; the longer trip is probably a positive; each-way player..
10	10 \|PU\| (10) (28/1 -40%) Gine Sacre	28 28/1(-40%)	(10) Gine Sacre 28/1, Absent since finishing third in a 20.5f Ayr handicap in February 2022. Betting the best guide to expectations after such a long spell on sidelines. Last seen in February 2022; drops 7lb but has wellbeing to prove..

LTO Selection:

Narrowly denied on his handicap debut here earlier in the month, GLORY HIGHTS should be well suited by going back up in trip and William Maggs 3lb claim can help him get off the mark at the sixth time of asking. Secret Secret has strong claims on the form of his penultimate success at Kelso, while Lewa House has dropped to 2lb below his last winning mark. Completing the shortlist are the likes of Emotional Roller, Scalloway Bay and Theirshegoes.

EMOTIONAL ROLLER made a good start to his handicap career when third over 2½m at Wetherby on Boxing Day and there could be more to come now stepping up in trip so he's the suggestion. Ushuaia Dancer looks an interesting one for handicaps and is second choice ahead of Lewa House and Lincoln Burrows, who were second/third in the same race at Ayr at the turn of the year.

The suggestion is SCALLOWAY BAY, who has begun to show some improvement and can break his duck, now upped in trip.

13:50 Newcastle Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 22f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:00 Limerick Maiden Hurdle 16f - 10 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
1	9 1st (9) (13/8 +60%) Mag Dillane	1.625 13/8(+60%)	(9) Mag Dillane 13/8, Modest hurdler. 22/1, creditable fifth of 12 in handicap hurdle at this course (20f, heavy) 35 days ago. Claims on pick of form in this sphere. Best effort when runner-up in a C&D maiden in October, chance if finding that form again.
2	8 2nd (8) (11/1 -340%) Lep Around	11 11/1(-340%)	(8) Lep Around 11/1, Jet Away mare. Half-sister to fairly useful hurdler Our Joey and modest hurdler Innis Shannon. Easily off mark in points at third attempt (Dec 3) and worth noting if the market speaks in her favour on hurdles debut. Hood fitted. Wide-margin point winner last month, probably did not have much to beat but could go well.
3	6 3rd (6) (50/1 -52%) Ixigreczed	50 50/1(-52%)	(6) Ixigreczed 50/1, Bathyrhon mare. Runner-up on second of 3 starts in points. Last of 16 in bumper at Thurles (15.9f, good to soft, 40/1) on NH debut 44 days ago, dropping away before end of backstraight. Makes hurdles debut. Went close in a four-runner point, completely tailed off in a Thurles bumper last month.
4	1 4th (1) (10/11 +39%) Ah Fuhgeddaboudit	0.909091 10/11(+39%)	(1) Ah Fuhgeddaboudit 10/11, Fair hurdler. Creditable third of 14 in novice hurdle (9/2) at Clonmel (16.5f, heavy) 19 days ago. Should be in the thick of things. Third behind a Willie Mullins-trained pair at Clonmel, this looks like a good opportunity.
5th	5 5th (5) (200/1 -100%) Inatosha	200 200/1(-100%)	(5) Inatosha 200/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Nineteenth of 22 in novice hurdle at Cork (16f, heavy, 200/1) 24 days ago. Can only be watched. Unseated on her hurdling debut and has shown nothing in two starts since then.
6th	3 6th (3) (25/1 -257%) Dreamz	25 25/1(-257%)	(3) Dreamz 25/1, Lightly-raced maiden under NH rules. 20/1, first run since leaving Brian Nolan when ninth of 14 in novice hurdle at Clonmel (16.5f, heavy) on hurdles bow 19 days ago. Should progress. Placed in two bumpers for her previous trainer, probably needs better ground.
7th	11 7th (11) (200/1 -300%) Princess Fiadh	200 200/1(-300%)	(11) Princess Fiadh 200/1, Once-raced maiden. 50/1, last of 8 in bumper at Galway (16.7f, heavy) on NH debut 119 days ago. Makes hurdles debut. 50-1, lost ground at the start and detached throughout on her debut in a bumper at Galway.
8th	10 8th (10) (14/1 -40%) Noriska De La Mare	14 14/1(-40%)	(10) Noriska De La Mare 14/1, 28/1, twelfth of 16 in bumper at Thurles (15.9f, good to soft) 44 days ago. Makes hurdles debut. No hurdling experience and her best bumper runs have been on good ground, place chance.
9th	4 9th (4) (200/1 -100%) Flickering Ellie	200 200/1(-100%)	(4) Flickering Ellie 200/1, Twice-raced maiden. 250/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, thirteenth of 15 in novice hurdle at this C&D (heavy) 33 days ago. Pulled up on debut at Cork, tailed off at this venue on second attempt, can be ruled out.
2	2 \|F\| (2) (17/2 +66%) Chatterbox	8.5 17/2(+66%)	(2) Chatterbox 17/2, Fair maiden on the Flat. Once-raced maiden over hurdles. Eighteenth of 28 in novice hurdle at Leopardstown (16f, good to soft, 125/1) on NH debut 35 days ago. Hooded for 1st time. Placed twice from 11 outings on the Flat, betrayed her inexperience on her hurdling debut.

LTO Selection:

AH FUHGEDDABOUDIT's third place in a mares' maiden hurdle at Clonmel this month gives her every chance of getting off the mark in this company. Mag Dillane has plenty of experience to call upon and is only rated 1lb inferior to Ah Fuhgeddaboudit, so is likely to be on the premises. Lep Around showed marked improvement to score by a wide margin in her third point-to-point. A hood goes on for her track debut but, if in the same mood, she could go well. Chatterbox, Justmadeit and Noriska De La Mare are others with claims.

AH FUHGEDDABOUDIT has often been highly tried over hurdles but this is one of her easiest assignments to date and, with her experience counting for a good deal, this could be her chance to get off the mark. Mag Dillane and recent point winner Lep Around head up the dangers.

This looks like a fine opportunity for AH FUHGEDDABOUDIT (nap) who was placed behind a Willie Mullins-trained pair last time

14:00 Limerick Maiden Hurdle 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:10 Chepstow Handicap Chase (Class 5) 24f - 13 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	11 1st (11) (18/1 -29%) Twilight Glory	18 18/1(-29%)	(11) Twilight Glory 18/1, Off the mark in a handicap chase at Lingfield last February but it's been pretty much downhill all the way since, most recently pulled up back at that course in the 23.5f handicap won by Guguss Collonges. Good-ground winner of 3lb higher last February but yet to get going this season.
2	3 2nd (3) (10/3 +5%) Haston Clermont	3.333333 10/3(+5%)	(3) Haston Clermont 10/3, Runner-up sole completed start in points and shaped well on Rules debut in a bumper here. Failed to build on that in 3 hurdles starts but has proved a different proposition since switched to fences, making it 2-3 in this sphere at Wincanton (25f, heavy), and further progress is possible. Low-mileage 7yo who bids for hat-trick; this is tougher than latest race; still respected.
3	1 3rd (1) (16/1 -33%) Stellar Stream	16 16/1(-33%)	(1) Stellar Stream 16/1, Point/hurdles winner stepped forward from chase debut when finding only Haston Clermont too strong in a Lingfield handicap last month. However, whereas the re-opposing winner went on to score again next time, this 7-y-o subsequently ran no sort of a race at Exeter. Didn't fire last time but has claims if judged on second to Haston Clermont two runs ago.
4	7 4th (7) (5/1 +58%) Rouge De L'quest	5 5/1(+58%)	(7) Rouge De L'quest 5/1, Winning pointer who ran best race over hurdles when second of 4 in handicap here last March. However, he hasn't measured up to expectations in 2 starts switched to fences this season, including with cheekpieces added last time (retained here), and now has a bit to prove. Lightly raced for his age but weakened quickly in home straight in first two chases.
5th	4 5th (4) (100/1 -100%) Mortens Leam	100 100/1(-100%)	(4) Mortens Leam 100/1, Five-time winner over fences but seen out just twice (pulled up on both occasions) since latest success at Kempton back in April 2021. Best to look elsewhere. Pulled up when 100-1 last month but ran well for a long way; worth a second look.
6th	9 6th (9) (12/1 +0%) Bring The Action	12 12/1(+0%)	(9) Bring The Action 12/1, Sole success came in Wetherby handicap chase (24.2f) early in 2022 but he did show the benefit of his reappearance run over hurdles when second over fences at Doncaster (26f). However, failed to build on that next time at Wincanton where he came home 17½ lengths adrift of Twenty Twenty. On very good mark now but needs to up his game and would appeal more on better ground..
7th	12 7th (12) (66/1 -164%) School For Scandal	66 66/1(-164%)	(12) School For Scandal 66/1, Belatedly opened his account when scoring from the front at Taunton on final start of last season. Good second at Fakenham on return but well held both starts since, adding to what has become a very patchy record. Ran well on seasonal debut but two poor runs have followed and his stamina is unproven.
2	2 \|U\| (2) (10/3 +26%) Leissieres Express	3.333333 10/3(+26%)	(2) Leissieres Express 10/3, No great shakes over hurdles but has already shown himself to be more of a force in this sphere, placed at Wincanton and Exeter prior to opening his account at the latter course (24.2f, heavy) on New Year's Day. More needed up 5 lb here but he's unexposed as a chaser and may have more to give. Kept on stoutly to open account at Exeter this month and has scope for further progress.
5	5 \|PU\| (5) (11/2 -10%) Secret Plan	5.5 11/2(-10%)	(5) Secret Plan 11/2, Left hurdles debut form behind when runner-up in Taunton maiden last spring. Considerately handled when a distant second on first start over fences at Southwell (15.8f, soft) and, with better expected back up in trip with that run under his belt and Harry Cobden booked, he's one to consider. Remote second over 2m on chasing debut; ought to be better suited by today's trip.
8	8 \|PU\| (8) (11/1 -100%) Guguss Collonges	11 11/1(-100%)	(8) Guguss Collonges 11/1, Bagged his second win of the season in a 15-runner handicap chase at Lingfield (23.5f, good to soft) at the end of November. Put in a decent shift off 1 lb higher upped to 25.7f at Plumpton since and should have a part to play with this slight drop back in trip a plus. Dual chase winner in November; no surprise if he gives this a good shot from the front.
13	13 \|PU\| (13) (17/2 +29%) Via Dante	8.5 17/2(+29%)	(13) Via Dante 17/2, Little impact in varied events over hurdles but surely would have won but for departing late (in control when falling 2 out) at Newton Abbot last spring. Failed to perform to the same level on return at Market Rasen (23.9f, good to soft) but he's worth another chance. Looked unlucky not to win last April and ran well on seasonal debut on Boxing Day.
10	10 \|PU\| (10) (28/1 +30%) Galop Du Bosc	28 28/1(+30%)	(10) Galop Du Bosc 28/1, Lost his form towards end of last season and has continued on a downward spiral in 2 starts since returning to action in October, latterly beaten a long way with cheekpieces enlisted (discarded here) on debut for this yard over hurdles at Ffos Las. Blinkers refitted. Badly out of form for Tim Vaughan last year and there was no revival on stable debut.
14	14 \|PU\| (14) (50/1 -213%) Vetoncall	50 50/1(-213%)	(14) Vetoncall 50/1, Made a winning return at Fakenham last season and signed that campaign off with a creditable third in a handicap over 26.2f in April. Can evidently go well fresh so 9-month absence no great concern but he's nevertheless opposable from 5 lb out of the handicap. Placed over 3m2f here last April but not seen again since and effectively 3lb higher today.

LTO Selection:

The hat-trick chasing Haston Clermont goes on the shortlist given his current form, despite going up 6lb for a 3m1f success in a novices' handicap at Wincanton 24 days ago. However, it was a deeper race that LEISSIERES EXPRESS won over this trip at Exeter five days earlier and, as such, he shades the vote off just 5lb higher. Secret Plan and Rouge De L'quest complete the shortlist.

HASTON CLERMONT is clearly on an upward curve following victories at Lingfield and Wincanton, and a 6 lb rise for his latest success is unlikely to be enough to prevent him from completing the hat-trick. Leissieres Express boasts a similar profile and he is second choice ahead of Guguss Collonges, while Secret Plan is expected to step up on his chase debut form and can also make an impact.

Jeremy Scott's LEISSIERES EXPRESS (nap) came good at Exeter on New Year's Day and has plenty of scope for further progress.

14:10 Chepstow Handicap Chase (Class 5) 24f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:25 Newcastle Handicap Chase (Class 5) 16f - 6 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	4 1st (4) (2/1 +50%) Six One Nine	2 2/1(+50%)	(4) Six One Nine 2/1, Good record here, winning this race in 2022 and gaining his first victory since in C&D handicap 5 weeks ago, responding well under this rider. Respected again up 4 lb. Won this two years ago and secured further C&D honours just before Christmas.
2	10 2nd (10) (15/2 +38%) Fathers Advice	7.5 15/2(+38%)	(10) Fathers Advice 15/2, Several creditable efforts in defeat over hurdles, not least when going close at Cartmel last summer, but yet to better poor form over fences, held again in first-time cheekpieces at Ayr 6 weeks ago. 0-23 after weakening tamely to be remote third over 2m4f at Ayr when tried in cheekpieces.
3	6 3rd (6) (15/2 +38%) Blue Bear	7.5 15/2(+38%)	(6) Blue Bear 15/2, Offered more over hurdles at Kelso in October but hasn't built on that over fences. His jumping needs to improve. Eight-race maiden yet to be placed; beaten 30l and 15l in his two chases.
4	11 4th (11) (14/1 -17%) Brickadank	14 14/1(-17%)	(11) Brickadank 14/1, Long-standing maiden well held again at Market Rasen in first-time cheekpieces 3 weeks ago. Didn't run too badly in the new cheekpieces at Market Rasen but he remains opposable.
5th	3 5th (3) (3/1 +33%) Beat The Edge	3 3/1(+33%)	(3) Beat The Edge 3/1, Good placed efforts last 3 starts but should have won at Sedgefield on Boxing Day, turning it in once hitting the front. Risky. Again flattered to deceive last time; jockey will need to time his run to perfection.
6th	2 6th (2) (7/2 +46%) Contre Ordre	3.5 7/2(+46%)	(2) Contre Ordre 7/2, Capitalised on a career-low mark to land 17f Sedgefield handicap chase from Six One Nine in November. Not in the same form there on Boxing Day but could bounce back. Disappointing last time at Sedgefield but a contender on the form of his previous win.

LTO Selection:

A taking winner over C&D last time out, SIX ONE NINE looks the one to beat off a 4lb higher mark and he can overturn form with Contre Ordre (first) from Sedgefield last November. Micky Hammond's charge has disappointed since and it may be that Beat The Edge gives the selection the most to think, having been runner-up on his last two outings. Dakota Moirette is capable of being in the shake-up as well.

SIX ONE NINE has C&D form figures of 12241 and is taken to follow up last month's victory here. Limerick Leader and Contre Ordre may emerge as a couple of the dangers.

In a race riddled with risks, bSIX ONE NINE\p should go well in a race he won two years ago .

14:25 Newcastle Handicap Chase (Class 5) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:35 Limerick Maiden Hurdle 16f - 14 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
1	8 1st (8) (8/13 +25%) Mistergif	0.615385 8/13(+25%)	(8) Mistergif 8/13, Promising sort. 36/1, second of 12 in juvenile hurdle at Auteuil (17.4f, soft). Off 10 months. First run for yard after leaving S. Dehez. Of strong interest on debut for Willie Mullins. Picked up plenty of experience in France including over hurdles, could be hard to beat.
2	2 2nd (2) (9/1 -13%) Ballycallan King	9 9/1(-13%)	(2) Ballycallan King 9/1, Fair hurdler. Remains a maiden after 8 hurdle runs. 11/1, bit below form eleventh of 18 in handicap hurdle at Naas (19.1f, soft) 18 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Looks vulnerable. Worth considering on his C&D second in November, a nose in front of Ask The Bookie then.
3	13 3rd (13) (40/1 +20%) Wholelotofbusiness	40 40/1(+20%)	(13) Wholelotofbusiness 40/1, Once-raced maiden. Sixth of 18 in novice hurdle (100/1) at this C&D (heavy) on NH debut 35 days ago, not knocked about. Tongue strap on for 1st time. Attracted the attention of the stewards over C&D first time out, open to improvement.
4	1 4th (1) (11/1 -120%) Ask The Bookie	11 11/1(-120%)	(1) Ask The Bookie 11/1, Lightly-raced maiden under Rules. 25/1, good third of 14 in novice hurdle at this C&D (heavy) 70 days ago. Each-way shout. Only a nose behind the much shorter-priced Ballycallan King here ten weeks ago.
5th	11 5th (11) (14/1 -133%) Surf Club	14 14/1(-133%)	(11) Surf Club 14/1, Twice-raced maiden under Rules. Fifth of 14 in novice hurdle (5/1) at Clonmel (16.5f, heavy) on hurdles bow 19 days ago. One of 3 representing the Willie Mullins yard. Faded quite tamely into fifth behind short-priced stablemate at Clonmel early this month.
6th	17 6th (17) (125/1 -279%) On Your Way	125 125/1(-279%)	(17) On Your Way 125/1, Getaway gelding. RESERVE. Third reserve, half-brother to a point winner, plenty of stamina in the family.
7th	10 7th (10) (250/1 -67%) Spavango	250 250/1(-67%)	(10) Spavango 250/1, Once-raced maiden. 125/1, eleventh of 18 in novice hurdle at this C&D (heavy) on NH debut 35 days ago. Made no impression in a C&D maiden in which stablemate Wholelotofbusiness caught the eye.
8th	3 8th (3) (100/1 -150%) John The Diva	100 100/1(-150%)	(3) John The Diva 100/1, Twice-raced maiden. 200/1, ninth of 25 in novice hurdle at Naas (16f, soft) 18 days ago. Tailed off here at Christmas, much better at Naas last time but needs to find a lot more.
9th	4 9th (4) (66/1 -100%) King Of Cong	66 66/1(-100%)	(4) King Of Cong 66/1, Once-raced maiden. Sixth of 14 in novice hurdle (33/1) at Clonmel (16.5f, heavy) on NH debut 19 days ago, not knocked about. No threat when sixth on hurdling debut at Clonmel, 1/2l behind fifth-placed Surf Club.
10th	7 10th (7) (2/1 +64%) Milo Lises	2 2/1(+64%)	(7) Milo Lises 2/1, Thrice-raced maiden under Rules. 6/5, fourth of 14 in novice hurdle at Tramore (16.8f, heavy) 29 days ago. Yard also saddles Mistergif and Surf Club. Excellent display on his only bumper start, has plenty to prove after Tramore fourth.
14	14 \|PU\| (14) (125/1 -150%) Eastmore	125 125/1(-150%)	(14) Eastmore 125/1, Fairly useful maiden on the Flat. Twice-raced maiden. Thirteenth of 18 in juvenile hurdle at Punchestown (16.2f, soft, 100/1) 15 days ago. Behind throughout on hurdles debut at Leopardstown, down the field at Punchestown;.
5	5 \|PU\| (5) (200/1 -203%) Loughrask Rainbow	200 200/1(-203%)	(5) Loughrask Rainbow 200/1, Sans Frontieres gelding. Dam, failed to complete in points, out of hurdle/chase winner up to 2½m Shampooed. Pulled up on latest start between the flags. Twice placed in points, dam struggled in points but has a decent pedigree, best watched.
12	12 \|PU\| (12) (200/1 +20%) Tellmeyourtroubles	200 200/1(+20%)	(12) Tellmeyourtroubles 200/1, Twice-raced maiden. 250/1, ninth of 18 in novice hurdle at this C&D (heavy) 35 days ago, finishing tired. No show on debut in a Cork maiden hurdle, mid-field over C&D five weeks ago.
6	6 \|PU\| (6) (250/1 -400%) Mayday Games	250 250/1(-400%)	(6) Mayday Games 250/1, Kingston Hill gelding. Dam fair 19f hurdle winner. Probably best watched on debut. First foal, dam bumper/2m2f hurdle winner out of a German Flat winner.

LTO Selection:

MISTERGIF hasn't run since March but has good French form, both on the Flat and over hurdles. An 11-race maiden, he nonetheless has run well on the Flat at Longchamp and twice at top jumps venue Auteuil - finishing second on his latest start in a useful race. He handles testing conditions and today's 5lb claimer takes over from a 9lb claimer last time. Milo Lises ran really well on Punchestown Festival debut last April and while he flopped at Tramore on New Year's Day, is surely capable of far better, although needs to prove himself. Ballycallan King and Ask The Bookie were separated by a nose over C&D during Christmas and while that winner has subsequently boosted the form, Ballycallan King was twice well beaten in useful handicaps. Both horses are nonetheless capable and have place claims. Poets Cottage is a 14-race maiden who disappointed at Christmas, while Surf Club was well held at Clonmel in a race where another slow learner King Of Cong caught the eye.

If the market vibes surrounding french import MISTERGIF are upbeat the hint should be taken. He was runner-up on the second of his two starts over hurdles on the other side of the Channel and is probably capable of better. Ask The Bookie looks the main threat on the back of his solid C&D effort but Poet's Cottage also has claims. In addition to the selection, Willie Mullins also fields Milo Lises and Surf Club, with the former also worth a second look.

The fact that MISTERGIF has merited Cheltenham entries must have some significance in the context of a maiden of this standard.

14:35 Limerick Maiden Hurdle 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:45 Chepstow Handicap Hurdle (Class 3) 20f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	1 1st (1) (6/5 +40%) Cuthbert Dibble	1.2 6/5(+40%)	(1) Cuthbert Dibble 6/5, Fairly useful hurdler who made it 2 wins from last 3 starts when landing 6-runner Ffos Las novice (20f) back in April. Absent since but he remains a good prospect back in handicaps and he's one to consider. 2-5 as a novice last season; major player if fully tuned up for this belated reappearance.
2	3 2nd (3) (10/3 +33%) Supremely West	3.333333 10/3(+33%)	(3) Supremely West 10/3, Unbeaten in bumpers and bright start over hurdles in recent months, landing novice events at Carlisle/Sedgefield. Keener than ideal when runner-up under a double penalty at Southwell last month and switch to handicaps a plus now. Triple bumper winner who is 2-4 over hurdles; enters calculations on handicap debut.
3	2 3rd (2) (15/2 -114%) Heros De Romay	7.5 15/2(-114%)	(2) Heros De Romay 15/2, Well-bred bumper winner who showed a good attitude to make a successful hurdling debut in a C&D maiden in November. Couldn't quite match that level when third under a penalty at Wincanton 24 days ago but it remains early days with him. Handicap debut. C&D winner on hurdle debut; held since but open to improvement in handicaps.
4	5 4th (5) (28/1 -75%) Bashful Boy	28 28/1(-75%)	(5) Bashful Boy 28/1, Scored at Newton Abbot in July but recent efforts not so inspiring, beaten long way out when tenth at Taunton (19f) 3 weeks ago. Still to prove himself on ground this testing. Needs to better his recent efforts and would appeal more on better ground.
8	8 \|F\| (8) (7/2 +0%) Jaminska	3.5 7/2(+0%)	(8) Jaminska 7/2, Built on her debut promise when landing a 2m juvenile at Hereford (heavy) last January. Shaped encouragingly when runner-up on handicap debut at Taunton 10 months later before running about as well as could be expected against a superior pair back there last time. Step back up in trip will suit. Good second on seasonal/handicap debut and creditable third in a Listed race since.
4	4 \|PU\| (4) (12/1 -9%) Current Mood	12 12/1(-9%)	(4) Current Mood 12/1, 3-time winner over hurdles (including here) who has been absent since finishing fourth over fences at Newbury (20.9f) 13 months ago. Market should prove a useful guide returned to timber. On a good mark for this return to hurdling but has fitness to prove after 404-day absence.
7	7 \|PU\| (7) (22/1 -38%) Totterdown	22 22/1(-38%)	(7) Totterdown 22/1, Made a winning return from a long absence at Leicester (2m, soft) in November 2022. However, unable to build on his reappearance run at Sandown when well held at Warwick (2m) 17 days ago. Steps back up in trip now. Front-running veteran; ran well on seasonal debut but reeled in pretty easily this month.
6	6 \|PU\| (6) (80/1 -142%) Jack In The Box	80 80/1(-142%)	(6) Jack In The Box 80/1, Fairly useful form over hurdles and similar form over fences for Gordon Elliott but offered little on debut for new yard at Ffos Las last month. New headgear tried returned to smaller obstacles. Ex-Irish; pulled up in a chase on stable debut; now reverts to hurdling in new headgear.

LTO Selection:

SUPREMELY WEST looks every inch a hurdler to keep on the right side of after posting two impressive victories in the north, prior to an admirable second at Southwell when bumping into a potentially useful horse. For his astute yard, he can make a successful handicap debut. Cuthbert Dibble struck at Ffos Las last April and rates as the main danger if ready to roll after almost 300 days off the track. Jaminska was third behind two in-form rivals in Listed company at Taunton and should not be dismissed lightly.

CUTHBERT DIBBLE marked himself down as a good prospect when making it 2 wins from his last 3 starts towards the back-end of last season and he could be worth chancing to defy a 9-month absence back in handicap company. Heros de Romay and low-mileage mare Jaminska are others to consider.

Lightly raced 5yo JAMINSKA began this season with two creditable runs at Taunton and remains unexposed over this sort of trip.

14:45 Chepstow Handicap Hurdle (Class 3) 20f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:00 Newcastle Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 20f - 12 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	7 1st (7) (9/4 +65%) Moon Over Mexico	2.25 9/4(+65%)	(7) Moon Over Mexico 9/4, €70,000 3-y-o, £30,000 5-y-o, Soldier of Fortune gelding. Off the mark in Irish points (dead-heated) at the third attempt in November and is worth a market check for yard whose newcomers are often fancied. Cost £30,000 after dead-heating for 1st in Irish point; no surprise if he shows up well..
2	6 2nd (6) (7/4 +65%) Hazy Glen	1.75 7/4(+65%)	(6) Hazy Glen 7/4, Winning start to his career in a Carlisle bumper in October and wasn't disgraced when mid-field in a listed event at Cheltenham next time. Also made a promising introduction to hurdles when runner-up in a Catterick maiden (19.3f, soft) last month and he's open to improvement. Under 5l second in a Catterick maiden hurdle (2m3f, soft) last month; each-way player..
3	13 3rd (13) (40/1 -100%) Pinot Rouge	40 40/1(-100%)	(13) Pinot Rouge 40/1, Half-sister to fairly useful 2m hurdle winner Advantage Point, stayed 2½m, and bumper winner/21f/23f chase winner Bushmans Pass. Winner of a maiden point on sole start to date back in November 2022 and the market should guide in terms of expectations of this mare on her Rules debut. Won sole Irish point (clear leader fell at the last) but probably best watched..
4	4 4th (4) (15/2 +46%) From The Clouds	7.5 15/2(+46%)	(4) From The Clouds 15/2, Placed all 4 completed starts in points and didn't shape badly when third of 6 on sole start under Rules to date in a Fairyhouse bumper in November 2022. However, will likely come on for the run on this hurdles debut for new connections. Showed promise in an Irish bumper; check for any market confidence; hurdling debut..
5th	10 5th (10) (11/4 +73%) Tigga Time	2.75 11/4(+73%)	(10) Tigga Time 11/4, £30,000 buy after making a successful sole start in points last spring. Showed plenty to work on when third in a Catterick bumper (15.7f, good to soft) on Rules debut and this stiffer test will be in his favour now sent hurdling. Hood applied. Third on rules debut and with some improvement on that he could get competitive..
6th	11 6th (11) (33/1 +34%) Whosmydaddy	33 33/1(+34%)	(11) Whosmydaddy 33/1, Wide-margin winner of sole start between the flags but hasn't shown much in a handful of appearances under Rules, including on debut for this yard here earlier this month. Tigga Time is the stable No 1. Restricted point winner; well beaten in a bumper and two starts over hurdles..
7th	12 7th (12) (66/1 -230%) Zuul	66 66/1(-230%)	(12) Zuul 66/1, Posted best effort from 4 starts in bumpers for Michael Appleby when third in an 8-runner contest at Stratford (16.3f, good) in August 2022 (gelded since). Subsequent absence is naturally a concern ahead of this hurdles/yard debut. Placed in a bumper; returns from a layoff for this hurdles/stable debut; best watched..
8	8 \|PU\| (8) (10/1 +50%) Red Sam	10 10/1(+50%)	(8) Red Sam 10/1, Black Sam Bellamy gelding. Half-brother to useful 19f/25f hurdle winner Ree Okka. Dam unraced half-sister to high-class hurdler/smart chaser (winner up to 25f) Identity Thief. Probably best watched on debut. Fifth foal; half-brother to point/2m3f/3m hurdle winner Ree Okka; market check on debut..
3	3 \|PU\| (3) (50/1 -150%) Court Case	50 50/1(-150%)	(3) Court Case 50/1, Third both starts in small-field bumpers but beaten a fair way on each occasion and sizeable step forward needed now switched to hurdles. Should appreciate this trip for his hurdles debut; market check suggested..
5	5 \|PU\| (5) (150/1 -500%) Happy County	150 150/1(-500%)	(5) Happy County 150/1, Didn't shape with a great deal of immediate promise when sixth in an 8-runner bumper on debut here last March. Beaten a distance on debut here in a bumper last March; needs a big step up on that..
2	2 \|PU\| (2) (150/1 -355%) Point Franklin	150 150/1(-355%)	(2) Point Franklin 150/1, Made a winning start to hurdles career in a Kelso junior event (16.2f, heavy) last January but, following a 12-month absence, he didn't show much on his recent return to action over the same C&D. One of 3 representing the Rebecca Menzies yard. Below par when returning to Kelso for his only run since winning; bit to prove after that..
9	9 \|PU\| (9) (250/1 -150%) Samillier	250 250/1(-150%)	(9) Samillier 250/1, Hard to make a case for based on what he's achieved thus far, both under Rules and between the flags. Has shown no worthwhile form in points, a bumper or two hurdle races.

LTO Selection:

FLORIDA DREAMS faced a stiff test in the Grade 1 Formby at Aintree on Boxing Day and is hard to oppose back at this less prestigious level. With a current rating of 129, he sets a decent standard and, with just a 7lb penalty to contend with for last month's win at Ayr, he's a prime contender in an otherwise ordinary novice hurdle. From The Clouds is feared most on his hurdling bow, with Rules debutant Moon Over Mexico rated a noteworthy alternative.

This step up in trip appears to be just what FLORIDA DREAMS needs and he is taken to resume winning ways having failed to land a blow in Grade 1 company last time. Tigga Time shaped well in a Catterick bumper and he is marginally preferred to Hazy Glen and point winner Moon Over Mexico for forecast purposes.

Unless something makes considerable improvement it is hard to see them being good enough to beat FLORIDA DREAMS, who can win again.

15:00 Newcastle Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 20f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:10 Limerick Handicap Hurdle 16f - 14 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
1	13 1st (13) (11/1 +8%) Brilliant Question	11 11/1(+8%)	(13) Brilliant Question 11/1, Respectable fifth of 12 in handicap hurdle (10/1) at Fairyhouse (16.1f, heavy) 45 days ago. Hasn't been beaten far the last twice over hurdles but has to find improvement.
2	5 2nd (5) (5/1 -25%) Carlas Big Jim	5 5/1(-25%)	(5) Carlas Big Jim 5/1, Creditable second of 10 in handicap hurdle (13/2) at Clonmel (20f, heavy) 19 days ago. One to consider. Runner-up last twice; is creeping up the handicap but can run well with a repeat.
3	7 3rd (7) (11/1 +21%) Go Gill Go	11 11/1(+21%)	(7) Go Gill Go 11/1, One win from 25 NH runs. Twenty one runs since last win in 2021. Fell in handicap hurdle (14/1) at Naas (16f, soft) 47 days ago. Best recent effort came over C&D and poor Clonmel run might have come too soon; chance.
4	1 4th (1) (11/1 -83%) Kellie's Dream	11 11/1(-83%)	(1) Kellie's Dream 11/1, Tongue strap on for 1st time, sixth of 10 in novice chase (16/1) at Cork (20f, heavy) on debut over fences 24 days ago. Switches from chase to hurdles. Enters calculations. Decent chase debut last time; has to find more off this mark but likely to be involved.
5th	14 5th (14) (10/1 -54%) Likable Chancer	10 10/1(-54%)	(14) Likable Chancer 10/1, One win from 40 NH runs. 9/2, respectable third of 12 in handicap chase at Thurles (20.5f, soft) 103 days ago. Back down in trip. Claims if in similar form back hurdling. Chase winner is 0-22 over hurdles; has a squeak if bringing his A-game back to this sphere.
6th	6 6th (6) (100/1 -300%) Fourleaf Shamrock	100 100/1(-300%)	(6) Fourleaf Shamrock 100/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 200/1, sixteenth of 22 in novice hurdle at Cork (16f, heavy) 24 days ago. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Jumping left a bit to be desired in maidens; still, has to be checked in the market.
7th	12 7th (12) (6/1 -33%) Tingarran Express	6 6/1(-33%)	(12) Tingarran Express 6/1, Remains a maiden after 18 NH runs. 3/1, creditable fifth of 17 in handicap hurdle at Naas (16f, soft) 47 days ago. Hood on 1st time. Merits consideration. Decent run at Naas last time when keen; has a shout if settling better in first-time hood.
8th	11 8th (11) (12/1 +52%) Thelonglad	12 12/1(+52%)	(11) Thelonglad 12/1, 14/1, below form thirteenth of 21 in handicap hurdle at Naas (16f, soft) 18 days ago. Needs a couple of these to falter. Best run when 4th in a Cork handicap in November; questions after two poor efforts.
9th	9 9th (9) (9/2 +55%) Pana To Milan	4.5 9/2(+55%)	(9) Pana To Milan 9/2, 7/1, shaped as if still in good form when eighth of 18 in handicap hurdle at Naas (19.1f, soft) 18 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Expected to be bang there. Has a chance if first-time cheekpieces can help recover her best form.
10	10 \|F\| (10) (80/1 -220%) You Make Me Smile	80 80/1(-220%)	(10) You Make Me Smile 80/1, Eleventh of 25 in novice hurdle (150/1) at Naas (16f, soft) 18 days ago. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Needs to jump better on handicap debut but worth a market check.
10th	8 10th (8) (16/1 +0%) Man River	16 16/1(+0%)	(8) Man River 16/1, 16/1, eighth of 9 in handicap hurdle at Tramore (16.8f, heavy) 29 days ago. Tailed-off at Tramore last time and has to return to his better earlier form.
11th	2 11th (2) (15/2 +32%) Flemens Intrest	7.5 15/2(+32%)	(2) Flemens Intrest 15/2, Thrice-raced maiden. 200/1, eighteenth of 24 in novice hurdle at Cork (16.8f, heavy) 51 days ago. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Likely to improve. Some ability in maidens and needs a market check dropping into handicaps.
12th	4 12th (4) (10/1 -25%) Joeswayornoway	10 10/1(-25%)	(4) Joeswayornoway 10/1, Unreliable sort. Creditable third of 21 in handicap hurdle (20/1) at Naas (16f, soft) 18 days ago. Was 3rd at Naas last time; should be involved off the same mark with a repeat.
13th	3 13th (3) (14/1 -40%) Beeverstown Place	14 14/1(-40%)	(3) Beeverstown Place 14/1, Good fourth of 12 in handicap hurdle (17/2) at Clonmel (16.5f, heavy) 19 days ago, going in snatches. Thereabouts. Good runs at Clonmel over 2m either side of a lesser run over 2m5f here; can be involved.

LTO Selection:

A chance is taken that FLEMENS INTREST can win on handicap debut, under a 4lb claimer. A brother to Scottish National winner Beshabar, and an April point-to-point winner, he might prefer a longer distance but his sixth-placing in a smart Cork maiden in November reads very well, with the seventh-placed horse now rated 121, while the eighth was placed in a recent handicap. Carlas Big Jim's chances are more evident, having run well twice recently, although he drops in distance. Joeswayornoway has won just once from 24 hurdle attempts but ran well at Naas, while Tingarran Express' rating has gradually fallen to a winnable level and she ran well twice recently. Likable Chancer is a 22-race maiden over hurdles and while he races from a lower mark to his chase rating, drops in distance. Pana To Milan has been running well.

A chance is taken on PANA TO MILAN who was better than the result in a stronger race than this at Naas last time. Carlas Big Jim and Tingarran Express are others to consider, while handicap newcomer Flemens Intrest appeals as potential improver.

Having found some consistency lately, CARLAS BIG JIM might be able to get off the mark despite creeping up the handicap.

15:10 Limerick Handicap Hurdle 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:20 Chepstow Handicap Chase (Class 3) 16f - 3 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	4 1st (4) (9/2 +44%) Midnight Ginger	4.5 9/2(+44%)	(4) Midnight Ginger 9/2, Reliable hurdler but she's come to chasing relatively late and didn't offer a great deal first time up in this sphere at Exeter a month ago. Good second over hurdles here in November but an underwhelming chasing debut followed.
2	3 2nd (3) (11/5 +45%) Zambezi Fix	2.2 11/5(+45%)	(3) Zambezi Fix 11/5, Strong in the betting returned to chasing for the first time in 19 months and belatedly got off the mark in this sphere in a punishing affair in C&D handicap (heavy) over Christmas. Solid record here but this is a bit tougher up 5 lb. Placed twice over hurdles this season then won by 5l over C&D on return to chasing.
3	2 3rd (2) (8/11 +47%) Issuing Authority	0.727273 8/11(+47%)	(2) Issuing Authority 8/11, Bumper winner who showed fairly useful form when placed all 4 starts in maiden/novice hurdles last season. Taken well to fences this time round, building on Exeter fourth when comfortably seeing off 2 rivals in 2m Haydock maiden last month. More to come from him. Wide-margin winner of small-field beginners' chase last month; must be considered here.

LTO Selection:

Zambezi Fix kept on well to win over C&D, but a 5lb rise will make life tougher and preference is for AUTHORISED SPEED. Gary Moore's charge was in front and travelling best when falling two out at Ascot on his chasing bow before finishing a disappointing third at Plumpton. His ability to bounce back must be taken on trust, but it might pay to be in a forgiving mood with him. Issuing Authority bolted up in a beginners' chase at Haydock over Christmas and rates as the main danger.

ISSUING AUTHORITY looks a promising chaser in the making and can follow up his Haydock success. Authorised Speed might be the danger if jumping better back at a more suitable trip.

He needs to jump more fluently than he did at Plumpton but AUTHORISED SPEED could still have significant potential over fences.

15:20 Chepstow Handicap Chase (Class 3) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:35 Newcastle Handicap Chase (Class 3) 23f - 6 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	7 1st (7) (13/8 +19%) Fenland Tiger	1.625 13/8(+19%)	(7) Fenland Tiger 13/8, Progressive handicap hurdler and similar story over larger obstacles, making it 2 wins from 3 starts with a career-best display at Doncaster (26f) 3 weeks ago. Unlikely he's reached his limit yet and one to consider again. Prolific in handicap hurdles and form figures of 131 in handicaps over fences, all at 3m2f.
2	9 2nd (9) (8/1 +60%) Prince Des Fichaux	8 8/1(+60%)	(9) Prince Des Fichaux 8/1, Took well to fences last term, landing 10-runner handicap chase at Ffos Las (25.3f, good to soft) in April (final start for Sam Thomas). Yet to fire in 3 starts for current yard, though, so has bit to prove. On his last winning mark but has made a quiet start for this yard.
3	1 3rd (1) (9/2 +36%) Marown	4.5 9/2(+36%)	(1) Marown 9/2, Dual winner over fences during 2020/21. Winless subsequently but returned with good runners-up efforts in 3m handicaps at Ayr this winter. No reason why he won't go well again in this groove. Runner-up in both his runs this season, going close last time; should be a factor.
4	5 4th (5) (10/3 +45%) Brayhill	3.333333 10/3(+45%)	(5) Brayhill 10/3, Low-mileage 9-y-o who was successful on return/chase debut last winter and, following another wind op, he made light of a 12-month absence to score over 20f here 38 days ago. Effective at this longer trip provided he can hold it together. First run after further wind surgery when grinding it out over 2m4f here last month.
2	2 \|PU\| (2) (9/1 +18%) Mint Condition	9 9/1(+18%)	(2) Mint Condition 9/1, Three-time hurdle winner who opened his account over fences at Haydock (22.2f) in December 2021. Acquitted himself well final 2 starts in stronger company thereafter that season but 21-month absence to overcome now starting out for new yard. Market may guide. Potentially well treated for this belated return to action after leaving Jennie Candlish.
3	3 \|PU\| (3) (17/2 -6%) Enqarde	8.5 17/2(-6%)	(3) Enqarde 17/2, Back to form after another wind operation when making a successful reappearance at Warwick. Not in same form at Haydock since, however, and headgear now applied. Below par last time but lurks on a dangerous mark and now goes in cheekpieces.

LTO Selection:

READYSTEADYBEAU had six and a half lengths to spare over the runner-up, Marown, when he bounded home at Ayr last month and is hard to oppose, despite the imposition of a 7lb higher mark. Marown holds a feasible chance of getting closer to the selection on the revised terms, but French import Jar Du Desert has been cut some slack by the handicapper and may be more of a threat on just his third start for the Nick Kent yard.

READYSTEADYBEAU looked well served by the return to positive tactics (notably jumped better) when running out a convincing winner at Ayr last month and a 7 lb rise may not be enough to prevent a bold follow-up bid. Fenland Tiger continues to improve and he's feared, with Brayhill and Marown other in-form sorts to consider.

A good handicap chase. ENQARDE has become hard to predict but he'd be a danger to all if on one of his going days in new cheekpieces.

15:35 Newcastle Handicap Chase (Class 3) 23f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:45 Limerick Handicap Hurdle 16f - 7 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
1	3 1st (3) (5/2 +38%) Mount Frisco	2.5 5/2(+38%)	(3) Mount Frisco 5/2, Fair chaser who finished a creditable third of 13 in handicap chase (9/1) at Thurles (21.6f, heavy) 9 days ago, no extra late on having gone with plenty of zest. Not out of things returned to hurdling. In fine form over fences; 10lb lower back to this discipline, so has to be considered.
2	7 2nd (7) (15/2 -88%) In The Trenches	7.5 15/2(-88%)	(7) In The Trenches 15/2, Fairly useful maiden on the Flat. Thrice-raced maiden over hurdles. 150/1, tenth of 18 in juvenile hurdle at Punchestown (16.2f, soft) 15 days ago. Should have more to offer now handicapping and worth noting if the market speaks in his favour. Respected and interesting to see any market strength for handicap debut.
3	6 3rd (6) (13/2 +59%) Jay Pee M	6.5 13/2(+59%)	(6) Jay Pee M 13/2, Lightly-raced maiden under NH rules. 100/1, respectable seventh of 22 in novice hurdle at Cork (16f, heavy) 24 days ago. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Should fare better on handicap debut and worth a market look.
4	2 4th (2) (3/1 -33%) Mitiva	3 3/1(-33%)	(2) Mitiva 3/1, 10/3 and hooded for 1st time, creditable fourth of 11 in handicap hurdle at Punchestown (20.3f, soft) 16 days ago. Return to this shorter trip may help and she's one to consider. Running well but keen over further; dropping back in trip looks helpful; taken seriously.
5th	4 5th (4) (13/2 -8%) New Barn Lane	6.5 13/2(-8%)	(4) New Barn Lane 13/2, 11/1, fourteenth of 18 in handicap hurdle at Gowran (16f, heavy) 5 days ago, dropping away after 3 out. Needs to bounce back. Two fine C&D runs but questions after finishing tailed-off at Gowran five days ago.
6th	5 6th (5) (9/2 +25%) Caoimhes Pet	4.5 9/2(+25%)	(5) Caoimhes Pet 9/2, Winner in hurdle at Killarney in October. Respectable fourth of 9 in handicap hurdle at Down Royal (17.2f, heavy, 6/1) 7 days ago. Tongue strap on 1st time. Not taken lightly. Some decent runs in defeat lately and has a chance if repeating the best of those efforts.
1	1 \|PU\| (1) (22/1 -120%) Flidais	22 22/1(-120%)	(1) Flidais 22/1, 10/1, fourth of 6 in novice hurdle at Plumpton (20.5f, soft) 71 days ago. Back down in trip returned to handicaps but consistency not her strong suit. Well beaten in a Plumpton handicap when last seen and others make more appeal.

LTO Selection:

MOUNT FRISCO showed improvement when tried over fences recently and looks a progressive five-year-old. His hurdles form was just ordinary, but he won well at this distance over fences on New Year's Day and ran well in a subsequent handicap chase. He reverts to timber rated 10lb lower than fences and is ridden by a 5lb claimer. Keen-going debut bumper winner Mitiva has been frustrating over hurdles and while her jumping has caught her out on occasions, she will be suited by again going right-handed as she shows a small tendency to jump right. Today's rider claims 5lb but she meets a potentially nicely-treated selection. Caoimhes Pet has been well held on recent runs and races in a first-time tongue-tie, while stablemate New Barn Lane disappointed on a recent run but had previously run well in two course handicaps. Flidais's best form is on a sound surface.

Successful on her only start in bumpers, MITIVA has highlighted she's capable of defying this sort of mark over hurdles in recent months, again running well when fourth at Punchestown 16 days ago. She earns the vote dropped back in trip, with Mount Frisco, following a successful stint over fences, and Caoimhes Pet heading up the dangers. In The Trenches needs monitoring in the betting for clues on his handicap bow.

Having raced keenly over further lately, while still running creditably, MITIVA will be better suited by dropping back to the minimum

15:45 Limerick Handicap Hurdle 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:55 Chepstow Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 16f - 12 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	4 1st (4) (5/2 +0%) Chosen Hero	2.5 5/2(+0%)	(4) Chosen Hero 5/2, Fair bumper winner who ran to a similar level first 2 starts over hurdles. Stiff task in listed contest last time and this more her grade. Suspect she has a race or two in this sphere in her. Cheekpieces go on. Irish point and Wetherby bumper winner; good chance on hurdle debut form; excuses since.
2	8 2nd (8) (6/4 +33%) Followango	1.5 6/4(+33%)	(8) Followango 6/4, Irish point winner barely had to come off the bridle to make a winning Rules debut in a 2m bumper at Ffos Las in November. Given a considerate introduction to hurdling when third over C&D last month, shaping well. Sure to improve. Won Irish point, then a bumper for new yard; shaped well on hurdle debut in a better race.
3	2 3rd (2) (7/2 -27%) Blue Moon Serenade	3.5 7/2(-27%)	(2) Blue Moon Serenade 7/2, Having finished well held in a bumper, showed much more after 9 months off (in first-time tongue strap) when third of 13 in mares' novice at Lingfield on her hurdles bow last month. Respected. Ran well for 3rd on hurdle debut at Lingfield; query about return to testing ground.
4	13 4th (13) (200/1 -100%) Walkinthecotswolds	200 200/1(-100%)	(13) Walkinthecotswolds 200/1, Has shown nothing in 2 bumpers/Taunton novice hurdle. A long way behind the principals in two bumpers and pulled up on hurdle debut at Taunton.
5th	12 5th (12) (15/2 -36%) Mavis Pike	7.5 15/2(-36%)	(12) Mavis Pike 15/2, Ran best race in bumpers when second past post, beaten a neck, at Newcastle when last seen in February (later disqualified due to rider contravening new whip rules). Worth a look now hurdling on return. Collared close home in an AW bumper on latest start last February; market can guide.
6th	5 6th (5) (20/1 +60%) Come On Nia	20 20/1(+60%)	(5) Come On Nia 20/1, Showed a bit more on second go over hurdles here last month and may make her mark when handicapping. Modest form in 3 course starts, a bumper and 2 maiden hurdles; handicaps soon.
7th	9 7th (9) (25/1 -178%) Janworth	25 25/1(-178%)	(9) Janworth 25/1, Half-sister to bumper winner/fairly useful hurdler Bucko's Boy. 17/2, showed some ability but very much had the run of things when third in Southwell bumper first time up in December 2022. Betting check advised on return now hurdling. Front-running 3rd in minor bumper in December 2022; likely to need the run on hurdle debut.
8th	1 8th (1) (18/1 -50%) Apples Moon	18 18/1(-50%)	(1) Apples Moon 18/1, €30,000 3-y-o from the family of very smart hurdler/chaser (2m-2¾m winner) Finian's Oscar. Hinted at ability in Warwick bumper on debut in November and should have a future over jumps. Limited response to pressure, beaten over 20l on bumper debut; may improve now hurdling.
9th	11 9th (11) (33/1 +67%) Lizzie Rey	33 33/1(+67%)	(11) Lizzie Rey 33/1, Well held in bumper/2 races over hurdles (jumped poorly). No show in a bumper and novice/maiden hurdles, the last twice at 300-1; up against it.
7	7 \|PU\| (7) (100/1 +0%) Defferella	100 100/1(+0%)	(7) Defferella 100/1, Modest maiden on the Flat and well held in 2 races over hurdles in April. Minor Flat promise; well held both hurdle starts, in a seller and a maiden last April.
6	6 \|PU\| (6) (125/1 -89%) Countess Vicky	125 125/1(-89%)	(6) Countess Vicky 125/1, Arvico mare. Dam modest 2½m hurdle winner for connections. Out of a 2m3f hurdle winner; looks best watched on belated debut.
3	3 \|PU\| (3) (200/1 -203%) Britannia Girl	200 200/1(-203%)	(3) Britannia Girl 200/1, Well beaten in 2 bumpers in the spring. Big prices, beaten hefty distances in two bumpers last spring; one to watch now hurdling.

LTO Selection:

FOLLOWANGO finished third on her hurdling bow behind two in-form opponents over C&D and can make a solid fist of trying to go two places better. Chosen Hero failed to beat a rival home in a Listed affair at Haydock, but back in calmer waters, she could be the main danger to the selection. Blue Moon Serenade ran an encouraging race to finish a surprise third at Lingfield and she holds each-way claims once more.

CHOSEN HERO could be the way to go with her sights lowered considerably and fitted with headgear. She showed plenty in a couple of mares' events before struggling in a listed contest last time and has a race like this in her. Followango and Blue Moon Serenade are feared.

This could be quite competitive if the principals run to their best but FOLLOWANGO has the least to prove under the testing conditions.

15:55 Chepstow Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

16:10 Newcastle Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 17f - 4 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	1 1st (1) (2/1 -6%) Ip Up	2 2/1(-6%)	(1) Ip Up 2/1, Fair hurdler/chaser in France who struck for this yard over 2m at Fakenham in November. Late blunders didn't aid her cause when chasing Atlantic Dancer home at Kelso (2¼m, heavy) last time but that was still a creditable effort and she now meets that rival on 8 lb better terms. Perhaps stretched by 2m2f on heavy when left behind by Atlantic Dancer at Kelso.
2	2 2nd (2) (11/8 +31%) Golden Glance	1.375 11/8(+31%)	(2) Golden Glance 11/8, Maiden winner at Haydock last spring and stepped up on her reappearance display when hitting the crossbar upped to 2½m in a first-time tongue strap at Aintree (heavy). 5 lb rise fair given that she pulled well clear of the third and another bold show likely. Clear claims after chasing home a Skelton improver at Aintree when clear of the rest.
3	3 3rd (3) (3/1 -84%) Atlantic Dancer	3 3/1(-84%)	(3) Atlantic Dancer 3/1, In good form last spring, bagging handicaps at Uttoxeter and Kelso. Looked better than ever when proving 10 lengths too good for Ip Up back at the latter course during the Christmas period but this 8 lb higher mark could prove to be a stumbling block. Powered clear to beat Ip Up by 10l at Kelso; an 8lb rise seems justified.
4	4 4th (4) (12/1 +52%) Rory's Story	12 12/1(+52%)	(4) Rory's Story 12/1, Showed ability in bumpers but she's failed to land a blow in 4 starts over hurdles, including on handicap bow at Ayr last time. Has shown little in her four hurdle races; a worthy outsider against in-form opposition.

LTO Selection:

ATLANTIC DANCER romped home a series qualifier at Kelso last month and an 8lb higher mark might not stop her from registering back-to-back successes. Ip Up was 10 lengths away in second in that aforementioned race and has work to do to reverse the form. With that in mind, Golden Glance rates a bigger threat after a much improved effort when tried with a first-time tongue-strap applied when she was a good second off 5lb lower at Aintree's Christmas fixture latest. She can go well with the application retained.

IP UP couldn't cope with Atlantic Dancer at Kelso but an 8 lb pull, combined with this drop back in trip and forecast better ground, could help tilt the scales in her favour this time. Atlantic Dancer will of course be dangerous if again allowed a soft lead but a bigger threat on this occasion may be posed by Golden Glance, who put in a good shift when runner-up at Aintree last month and she probably has more to offer.

Atlantic Dancer came 10l clear of IP UP (nap) at Kelso but the selection was stretched by that longer trip on heavy ground.

16:10 Newcastle Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 17f PREDICTION SIMULATION

16:20 Limerick NH Flat Race 16f - 5 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
1	2 1st (2) (9/1 -170%) The Dancing Tree	9 9/1(-170%)	(2) The Dancing Tree 9/1, €24,000 3-y-o, Pillar Coral gelding. Half-brother to bumper winner Monteip. Dam (h107), 2m hurdle winner (stayed 2½m), half-sister to fairly useful chaser (2¼m-23f winner) Sacree Tiepy. Third sole start in points (Apr 2023). Was a close 3rd in a strong point at Curraghmore last April; should take high rank.
2	5 2nd (5) (66/1 -164%) Half A Chance	66 66/1(-164%)	(5) Half A Chance 66/1, €8,000 3-y-o, Beat Hollow gelding. Brother to fairly useful 23f hurdle winner Get Rich Die Plyin, and closely related to 3 winners, including useful hurdler/smart chaser The Dutchman. By a quality sire but cost only 8,000euros as a 3yo; could run well.
3	6 3rd (6) (8/11 +71%) Olympy De Cerisy	0.727273 8/11(+71%)	(6) Olympy De Cerisy 8/11, €10,000 3-y-o, Brametot gelding. Half-brother to 2 winners on Flat, including 7.5f-10.5f winner in France Brave Shiina. Easy winner sole start in points (Oct 2023). An impressive point winner at Loughrea last October in testing ground; taken seriously.
4	3 4th (3) (5/2 +44%) Eastbank Warrior	2.5 5/2(+44%)	(3) Eastbank Warrior 5/2, €19,000 3-y-o, Westerner gelding. Dam, winning pointer, closely related to Grand National winner One For Arthur. Fell sole start in points (May 7). Was favourite for sole point start last May but fell when in the lead 4 out; not ignored.
5th	1 5th (1) (6/1 -400%) Machismo	6 6/1(-400%)	(1) Machismo 6/1, €28,000 3-y-o, Ocovango gelding. Half-brother to 3 winners, including useful hurdler/smart chaser Keeper Hill and useful hurdler Dargiannini. Won sole start in points (Dec 3). Should take all the beating. Decisive winner of a Borris House point on debut; has to be given the utmost respect.

LTO Selection:

Soft-ground point-to-point winner MACHISMO swerved Fairyhouse's soft terrain last Saturday and could be useful. A half-brother to the smart Keeper Hill, he won for today's trainer at Borris House on debut last month, has changed ownership since, and represents a yard in flying form. The Dancing Tree contested a good point-to-point on debut for Peter Flood last April, with the runner-up being smart. It is encouraging he reappears in a bumper but concedes race-fitness to the selection. Eastbank Warrior was in contention when falling on May's pointing debut and with his trainer operating at an impressive strike-rate, it was notable he was declared to run at Leopardstown last Christmas, prior to be being withdrawn with a stone bruise. Out of a half-sister to One For Arthur, he could be capable. Olympy De Cerisy won an attritional Loughrea point on debut last October, beating the only other finisher by 16 lengths, prior to failing to sell for 95,000 pounds at auction. By a French Guineas and Derby winner, he has a mostly Flat pedigree but handles testing ground. Half A Chance, an 8,000-euro three-year-old, is a half-brother to three black-type performers.

Point winners MACHISMO and Olympy de Cerisy are likely to dominate this contest, with the former marginally preferred having been picked up by top connections. The Dancing Tree hasn't achieved as much as that pair between the flags but he's bred for bumpers, so he's also respected.

Having finished just 1l behind a very smart subsequent bumper winner in a point, THE DANCING TREE can score on rules debut.

16:20 Limerick NH Flat Race 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

16:30 Chepstow NH Flat Race (Class 4) 16f - 10 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	8 1st (8) (4/1 -129%) Ski Lodge	4 4/1(-129%)	(8) Ski Lodge 4/1, Runner-up sole start in points and filled the same position over C&D on Rules debut. Sets the standard and should do better, so worth a chance to open his account. Made good start to rules career when second over C&D last month; likely contender.
2	2 2nd (2) (7/4 +42%) Bobby's Nelson	1.75 7/4(+42%)	(2) Bobby's Nelson 7/4, €21,000 3-y-o, £60,000 4-y-o, Mount Nelson gelding. Half-brother to fair hurdler Kalanisi Dubh. Runner-up sole start in Irish points (Oct 2023). One to note for in-form yard. Bought for £60,000 after very promising Irish point debut in October; interesting recruit.
3	1 3rd (1) (7/2 +46%) Barlovento	3.5 7/2(+46%)	(1) Barlovento 7/2, €72,000 Soldier of Fortune gelding. Of obvious interest on debut for a stable which does well in bumpers and market confidence behind him would look significant. 72,000euros 3yo; out of a fair hurdler; stable does very well in bumpers.
4	4 4th (4) (125/1 -213%) Brave Ruler	125 125/1(-213%)	(4) Brave Ruler 125/1, Clovis Du Berlais gelding. Dam unraced sister to fairly useful hurdler/useful chaser (winner around 2m) Parsnip Pete. Out of a sister to useful jumper Parsnip Pete; stable quiet in bumpers.
5th	9 5th (9) (9/1 -64%) The Cypriot	9 9/1(-64%)	(9) The Cypriot 9/1, €58,000 3-y-o, Jukebox Jury gelding. Offered something to work on when third of 6 in bumper over C&D (2m) on debut back in November, running green around 2f out and taking third inside final 1f. Likely he can build on that effort. Just a respectable third of six over C&D on debut; more needed today.
6th	3 6th (3) (80/1 -300%) Bollin Thou	80 80/1(-300%)	(3) Bollin Thou 80/1, Bollin Eric gelding. Half-brother to fair chaser Kayf Thou. Dam (c131/h142) 2¼m-3m hurdle/chase winner. Likely to ned time. Out of a smart jumper but stable has modest bumper strike-rate.
7th	10 7th (10) (28/1 -100%) Lady Harriett	28 28/1(-100%)	(10) Lady Harriett 28/1, Bred for longer trips and only fourth over C&D 10 months ago. Not seen since and improvement is required. Ran well for a long way when fourth in C&D mares' race last March; not seen again since.
8th	6 8th (6) (15/2 +25%) El Bandido Pancho	7.5 15/2(+25%)	(6) El Bandido Pancho 15/2, Westerner gelding. Dam, no form over hurdles/fences, sister to useful chaser (stayed 21f) Mr Medic. Out of a half-sister to useful chaser Mr Medic; probably best watched on debut.
9th	5 9th (5) (25/1 -56%) D'gesteevo	25 25/1(-56%)	(5) D'gesteevo 25/1, Schiaparelli gelding. Half-brother to fairly useful hurdler Bonza Girl. Dam (h106) 2m hurdle winner (stayed 2¾m). Half-brother to same connections' fairly useful hurdler Bonza Girl; could have a say.
10th	7 10th (7) (8/1 +33%) Oi Oi Oi	8 8/1(+33%)	(7) Oi Oi Oi 8/1, Saddler's Rock horse. Dam (b79) lightly raced in bumpers/over hurdles. Not much to go on pedigree wise but worth a market check. Pedigree doesn't leap of the page but stable has done very well in bumpers in recent years.

LTO Selection:

SKI LODGE was no match for a decent prospect over C&D last month, but the way he finished off his race offered plenty of encouragement. That form arguably sets the standard and Alan King's representative may have too much for The Cypriot, who also ran with promise over C&D on his debut back in November. Of the remainder, Barlovento and Bobby's Nelson stand out.

Ex-pointer SKI LODGE offered encouragement when second here on Rules debut and might not need to improve to go one better, acknowledging that Barlovento is a notable newcomer for a stable that does well in this sphere. Bobby's Nelson is also worthy of consideration.

Alan King's SKI LODGE was second over C&D last month and probably sets a fairly good standard of rules form.

16:30 Chepstow NH Flat Race (Class 4) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

17:00 Southwell Handicap (Class 5) 8f - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	9 1st (9) (22/1 -214%) Al Suil Eile	22 22/1(-214%)	(9) Al Suil Eile 22/1, 4-time course winner. Latest win here in December. Eighth of 11 in handicap at Chelmsford City (8f, 14/1) 9 days ago, merely passing beaten rivals. Has work to do. Can be forgiven latest defeat at Chelmsford as this is more his track.
2	4 2nd (4) (9/4 +63%) Yorkstone	2.25 9/4(+63%)	(4) Yorkstone 9/4, Career best when winning 12-runner handicap at this C&D (11/1) 39 days ago (strong form, dead-heated with Soames Forsyte). 3 lb rise looks lenient now and he looks set for another big run. Well positioned off steady pace when dead-heating with Soames Forsyte (C&D) in December.
3	5 3rd (5) (9/2 +25%) Soames Forsyte	4.5 9/2(+25%)	(5) Soames Forsyte 9/2, Dead-heated with Yorkstone over C&D then improved on that to win 7-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 18 days ago, showing good attitude. Remains well treated on his best form and got to be on the shortlist again. Strong finisher; dead-headed with Yorkstone here and followed up at Wolverhampton.
3	8 3rd (8) (11/4 +61%) King Of York	2.75 11/4(+61%)	(8) King Of York 11/4, 4/1, creditable third of 10 in handicap at this C&D 19 days ago. Last three runs here and all of them respectable; thereabouts.
5th	2 5th (2) (25/1 -456%) L'argent	25 25/1(-456%)	(2) L'argent 25/1, 22/1, fourth of 8 in handicap at Chelmsford City (7f) 12 days ago, late headway. Down another 2 lb and could have races in him. Early days with yard; ready for another go at 1m after 2l defeat over 7f at Chelmsford.
6th	6 6th (6) (18/1 -414%) Bluebottle Blue	18 18/1(-414%)	(6) Bluebottle Blue 18/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 25/1 and tongue strap on for 1st time, very good second of 9 in handicap at Newcastle (8f) 11 days ago. Has races in her for top yard. Nearly won at Newcastle when big odds; up in class off 2lb higher but has to be considered.
7th	3 7th (3) (15/2 +12%) Khathak	7.5 15/2(+12%)	(3) Khathak 15/2, Temperamental sort. Fourteen runs since last win in 2021. 14/1, creditable sixth of 11 in handicap at Newcastle (8f) 14 days ago, having run of race. Hard to fancy. 0-14 since a winning debut for Godolphin; not in bad form of late though.
8th	1 8th (1) (12/1 +14%) Create	12 12/1(+14%)	(1) Create 12/1, C&D winner. Tenth of 11 in handicap at Newcastle (8f, 17/2) 88 days ago, too free. Could be interesting from reduced mark back at this venue. Should be on a fair mark and back here (where first and second) she's respected.
9th	7 9th (7) (14/1 +0%) Conservative	14 14/1(+0%)	(7) Conservative 14/1, C&D winner. Fourteen runs since last win in 2022. Off 7 months, eighth of 10 in handicap (22/1) at this C&D 19 days ago. Won here for former yard; 0-9 for this one and dropped away here 19 days ago after a break.

LTO Selection:

BLUEBOTTLE BLUE seemed to find her level when touched off on her handicap debut at Newcastle and a 2lb rise for that narrow defeat could prove lenient as she looks to go one better. The booking of Tom Marquand is a big plus and the daughter of Zoffany gets the vote ahead of the hat-trick-seeking Soames Forsyte, who dead-heated with the reopposing Yorkstone over C&D just before Christmas.

The C&D handicap that saw YORKSTONE and Soames Forsyte share the spoils last month is proving to be strong form and that pair could come to the fore again, with Yorkstone taken to continue his improvement and make it 4 wins from his last 5 starts on the level. Bluebottle Blue is a big threat for William Haggas, while Create could bounce back returned to Southwell.

This can go to SOAMES FORSYTE who has been impressing with his recent finishing efforts.

17:00 Southwell Handicap (Class 5) 8f PREDICTION SIMULATION

17:30 Southwell Stakes (Class 5) 8f - 7 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	6 1st (6) (1/5 +20%) Solomon	0.2 1/5(+20%)	(6) Solomon 1/5, 7/1 and hooded, shaped well when second of 10 in novice at this course (7f) on debut 25 days ago, keeping on well. Should prove very hard to beat. Beaten a short-head on debut here this month; this looks a golden opportunity.
2	2 2nd (2) (100/1 -100%) Nashid	100 100/1(-100%)	(2) Nashid 100/1, 125/1, fifth of 9 in novice at Newcastle (1m) on debut. Off 91 days. Well-held fifth on Newcastle debut in October; bred to need further.
3	5 3rd (5) (9/2 +10%) Minstrel Knight	4.5 9/2(+10%)	(5) Minstrel Knight 9/2, Promising sort. Third of 11 in C&D novice 54 days ago, nearest finish. Should progress again. Improved to finish third over C&D last month; form ordinary, but still solid place claims.
4	4 4th (4) (25/1 -108%) Calculate	25 25/1(-108%)	(4) Calculate 25/1, 25/1, ninth of 10 in novice at Kempton (1m) on debut 20 days ago. May do better. Beat one home on his Kempton debut this month; improvement will be needed.
5th	7 5th (7) (12/1 +14%) What A Night	12 12/1(+14%)	(7) What A Night 12/1, 90,000 gns Masar gelding. Half-brother to winner up to 6f Jordan Electrics and 7.5f/1m winner Ranes. Dam unraced half-sister to useful winner up to 1m La Martina. Hollie Doyle booked for debut. The only newcomer in the field and stable has very few go in first time.
6th	3 6th (3) (200/1 -700%) Blackintime	200 200/1(-700%)	(3) Blackintime 200/1, 200/1, eleventh of 12 in maiden at Kempton (6f) on debut 13 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Ran green and well held on Kempton debut; not bred for this far and needs more time.
7th	1 7th (1) (250/1 -150%) Amico Amore	250 250/1(-150%)	(1) Amico Amore 250/1, Well held in bumpers in 2022 and achieved little when remote fourth on Flat debut 3 weeks ago. Beaten around 17l on Flat debut at Kempton this month.

LTO Selection:

It is difficult to look past SOLOMON, who was unlucky not to get his head in front on debut here earlier in the month when staying on late to nearly snatch the win. William Haggas' charge should be well suited by the extra furlong as he looks to see off Minstrel Knight, who ran with promise himself over C&D last time out. A well-related son of Masar, What A Night is a newcomer to note for the David Evans team.

SOLOMON was only narrowly denied in what looked quite a good course novice on his recent 7f debut and is impossible to oppose. Minstrel Knight is the obvious to one to chase him home, although it will be interesting to see what the betting makes of the David Evans newcomer What A Night with Hollie Doyle up.

This looks a golden opportunity for SOLOMON who only went down by a short-head on his debut here this month.

17:30 Southwell Stakes (Class 5) 8f PREDICTION SIMULATION

18:00 Southwell Stakes (Class 6) 8f - 10 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	8 1st (8) (9/2 +36%) Twistaline	4.5 9/2(+36%)	(8) Twistaline 9/2, C&D winner this month and third at Chelmsford next time. Bit laboured at Wolverhampton last time but still respected back here. C&D winner this month, but beaten twice since and behind Brave Display last time.
2	9 2nd (9) (11/1 -57%) Vivency	11 11/1(-57%)	(9) Vivency 11/1, Creditable third of 8 in classified event at Wolverhampton (7f, 33/1) 15 days ago, running on. Claims if she can back it up. Ran well when third on recent Wolverhampton return, but this trip appears to stretch her.
3	6 3rd (6) (40/1 -150%) Eva Rosie	40 40/1(-150%)	(6) Eva Rosie 40/1, No impact in 3 low-grade handicaps last summer. Needs to return with an improved effort. Hasn't finished within 7l of the winner in six starts and returns from seven months off.
4	7 4th (7) (15/2 -114%) Trulie Good	7.5 15/2(-114%)	(7) Trulie Good 15/2, Maiden but arrives on the back of runner-up efforts over 5f/6f here in recent weeks. Claims if as effective over this significantly longer trip. Runner-up over 5f and 6f here this month; big question is the return to a longer trip.
5th	3 5th (3) (22/1 -120%) Channel Packet	22 22/1(-120%)	(3) Channel Packet 22/1, Thirteen runs since last win in 2022. Respectable fourth of 8 in classified event at Wolverhampton (9.5f, 11/1) 28 days ago. Was in better form this time last year; form of recent fourth is moderate.
6th	2 6th (2) (6/5 +47%) Brave Display	1.2 6/5(+47%)	(2) Brave Display 6/5, C&D winner. Fourteen runs since last win in 2023 but went close in similar company at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 11 days ago, conceding first run. Can go one better now. Beaten a neck at Wolverhampton 11 days ago; similar performance would put him right there.
7th	5 7th (5) (7/1 +13%) Equiami	7 7/1(+13%)	(5) Equiami 7/1, C&D winner in December. 16/1, seventh of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 14 days ago. Blinkers on first time. Bounce back needed. Below form the last twice, but is 2-3 over C&D; blinkers on.
8th	4 8th (4) (10/1 -25%) Ebury	10 10/1(-25%)	(4) Ebury 10/1, Two wins from 57 Flat runs. Fifty three runs since last win in 2019. Creditable third of 8 in C&D classified event (18/1) 5 days ago. Third over C&D last Thursday offers hope, but record of 2-57 hard to ignore.
9th	10 9th (10) (80/1 -142%) Wilpena Pound	80 80/1(-142%)	(10) Wilpena Pound 80/1, Poor form. Looks up against it again. Out of the frame in all 14 starts under rules and hard to fancy, even at this level.
10th	1 10th (1) (18/1 -29%) Afterlife	18 18/1(-29%)	(1) Afterlife 18/1, Twelve runs since last win in 2022. Fifth of 7 in handicap at Chelmsford (6f, 16/1) 12 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Makes tapeta debut. Out of the frame in all 12 starts since winning; little appeal despite the drop in grade.

LTO Selection:

BRAVE DISPLAY may be winless in 10 starts since joining current connections, but he returned to somewhere near his best when narrowly denied at Wolverhampton. That bodes well on his return to a track where he won last February, and it may be that Trulie Good gives him the most to think about, having been runner-up over shorter here the last twice. C&D winners this winter, Equiami and Twistaline cannot be ruled out either.

If BRAVE DISPLAY is in the same form as when narrowly denied at Wolverhampton last time he should take a bit of stopping. Twistaline has won a similar race over C&D this month and is feared most ahead of Eva Rosie, who arrives in form but has stamina to prove over this far.

The choice is C&D winner BRAVE DISPLAY who was down to this level for the first time when beaten a neck at Wolverhampton 11 days ago.

18:00 Southwell Stakes (Class 6) 8f PREDICTION SIMULATION

18:30 Southwell Handicap (Class 3) 8f - 13 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	3 1st (3) (10/3 +52%) King's Code	3.333333 10/3(+52%)	(3) King's Code 10/3, Five wins from 11 runs last year. Creditable third of 12 in handicap at Lingfield (8f, AW, 17/2) 10 days ago, better placed than most. Should give another good account. Five wins last year; first visit here, but this galloping track should suit him.
2	5 2nd (5) (9/4 +36%) Smoky Mountain	2.25 9/4(+36%)	(5) Smoky Mountain 9/4, Career best when winning 12-runner handicap (11/10) at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 23 days ago, well on top finish. Progressing well recently and well worth considering now stamina is tested a little more. Unlucky not to be bidding for a four-timer; should stay the longer trip and respected.
3	7 3rd (7) (14/1 -56%) Master Of Combat	14 14/1(-56%)	(7) Master Of Combat 14/1, Latest win at Wolverhampton in December. Respectable fifth of 9 in handicap back at that venue (9.5f, 3/1) 25 days ago, losing place 2f out before plugging on. Others preferred for win purposes. Has won three times at Wolverhampton since October, but disappointing there last time.
4	10 4th (10) (25/1 -14%) Larado	25 25/1(-14%)	(10) Larado 25/1, Fourteen runs since last win in 2022. 4 lengths sixth of 8 to Ernie's Valentine in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f, 6/1) 31 days ago. Needs a couple of these to falter. Losing run up to 14 and behind a couple of these last time; may not be taken on up front.
5th	4 5th (4) (28/1 -155%) Gincident	28 28/1(-155%)	(4) Gincident 28/1, Three wins from 10 runs last year. 5/1, respectable 1½ lengths fourth of 8 to Ernie's Valentine in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 31 days ago. Three-time Tapeta winner and placed in both visits here; bit more needed to win this.
6th	6 6th (6) (9/2 +25%) Eligible	4.5 9/2(+25%)	(6) Eligible 9/2, 4-time course winner. Career best when winning 10-runner handicap at this C&D (9/2) 19 days ago, keeping on well. Merits consideration. 4-8 around here and put up a career-best performance when winning over C&D this month.
7th	8 7th (8) (11/1 +0%) Ernie's Valentine	11 11/1(+0%)	(8) Ernie's Valentine 11/1, Latest win at Wolverhampton in December. 11/2, creditable second of 12 in handicap back at that venue (9.5f) 17 days ago, running on. Not out of things. Off the same mark as when second at Wolverhampton last time; each-way claims.
8th	11 8th (11) (18/1 -13%) Skilled Warrior	18 18/1(-13%)	(11) Skilled Warrior 18/1, Creditable fourth of 11 in handicap at Newcastle (8f, 11/1) 14 days ago, progress under 2f out and keeping on final 1f. Handicapper has afforded him a chance if he can build on that here. Still 6lb lower than when winning at Newcastle last spring, but may need a stiffer 1m.
9th	2 9th (2) (16/1 -100%) Darwell Lion	16 16/1(-100%)	(2) Darwell Lion 16/1, 40/1, respectable fourth of 12 in handicap at Lingfield (8f, AW) 10 days ago, running on. Hood on 1st time. Has improved in three starts since joining this yard; first visit here; visor on.
10th	9 10th (9) (33/1 -136%) Visibility	33 33/1(-136%)	(9) Visibility 33/1, C&D winner. Latest win here in December. Seventh of 10 in handicap (33/1) at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 11 days ago. Others more persuasive. Beaten three times since winning over C&D last month; this may be a bit too competitive.
11th	1 11th (1) (40/1 -150%) Troon	40 40/1(-150%)	(1) Troon 40/1, Lightly-raced winner. 17/2, sixth of 7 in handicap at Kempton (7f) 3 days ago, weakening inside final 1f having raced close to a sound gallop. Remains early days with him at least. Encouraging stable debut at Newcastle but only beat one home at Kempton on Saturday.
12th	12 12th (12) (9/1 -13%) Goldsmith	9 9/1(-13%)	(12) Goldsmith 9/1, C&D winner. Latest win here in January. Fourth of 6 in handicap at Lingfield (8f, AW, 6/5) 15 days ago, keener than ideal and forced wide home turn. Remains on a workable mark and he's one to consider here. Won over C&D this month, but modest at Lingfield four days later; shortlisted back here.
13th	13 13th (13) (28/1 -40%) Shaw Park	28 28/1(-40%)	(13) Shaw Park 28/1, Creditable third of 7 in handicap at Newcastle (7.1f, 7/2) 11 days ago, pushed along 2f out and running on. Return to 1m a plus on that evidence. In the frame five times, but held by Eligible on previous C&D running and now 0-8.

LTO Selection:

This step up to a mile should suit the progressive SMOKY MOUNTAIN and he gets the nod to show his rivals the way home, having been nudged up 5lb for winning with more authority than the official margin suggested at Wolverhampton. King's Code lost nothing in defeat when third at Lingfield and he can make the frame again off an unchanged mark. Gincident showed a bit more last time and if he can settle better in the early part of the race, he has claims.

Several in-form sorts in opposition with the narrow vote in favour of ELIGIBLE. He enhanced his already excellent course record when successful over C&D 3 weeks ago and a 3 lb rise shouldn't prevent him going close again. Goldsmith and Smoky Mountain are others to consider, with Ernie's Valentine also in the mix dropped back in trip.

The vote goes to ELIGIBLE who is 4-8 at the track and who put up a career-best effort when winning over C&D this month.

18:30 Southwell Handicap (Class 3) 8f PREDICTION SIMULATION

19:00 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 7f - 11 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	10 1st (10) (7/1 +13%) Lady In Havana	7 7/1(+13%)	(10) Lady In Havana 7/1, Winner here in December. 5/2, creditable third of 9 in handicap back at this course (6.1f) 12 days ago. Step up in trip worth exploring on balance. All runs at sprint distances, winning a 6f course handicap in December; stamina to prove.
2	7 2nd (7) (10/3 +45%) Berrygate	3.333333 10/3(+45%)	(7) Berrygate 10/3, Thrice-raced maiden. Third of 12 in minor event (7/2) at Newcastle (6f) 22 days ago, no extra final 100 yds having failed to settle. Remains the type to do better now handicapping. Placed in her three qualifying runs and appeals as the type to pay her way in handicaps.
3	4 3rd (4) (16/1 -100%) Eastern Dream	16 16/1(-100%)	(4) Eastern Dream 16/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Sixth of 8 in minor event (12/1) at this course (6.1f) 24 days ago. Hood on 1st time. Makes handicap debut. Lightly raced but looks risky with a hood applied for handicap debut.
4	8 4th (8) (16/1 +0%) Haya Taal	16 16/1(+0%)	(8) Haya Taal 16/1, Remains a maiden after 9 Flat runs. Seventh of 12 in maiden at Kempton (6f, 28/1) 13 days ago, weakening final 1f having forced a good pace. Not dismissed out of hand with a visor now enlisted. 0-9; only seventh behind Rhasidat at Kempton before finishing seventh in a low-key maiden.
5th	1 5th (1) (40/1 -300%) Yeah Nah	40 40/1(-300%)	(1) Yeah Nah 40/1, 14/1, fourth of 5 in handicap at Newcastle (8f) 11 days ago, effort 2f out, not quicken last ½f. Mark has eased a little more but others more persuasive. 0-6 since debut win; her mark is dropping and she's into a Class 6 this time.
6th	2 6th (2) (6/1 +25%) Keen Interest	6 6/1(+25%)	(2) Keen Interest 6/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 5/1, bit below form fifth of 9 in handicap at this course (6.1f) 12 days ago, pushed along 2f out and making late headway. Further progress not ruled out for powerful yard. Got going too late here last time and returning to 7f can only help.
7th	5 7th (5) (22/1 -83%) Love Yours	22 22/1(-83%)	(5) Love Yours 22/1, 25/1, good third of 7 in handicap at Newcastle (7.1f) 22 days ago, pushed along 3f out and making late headway. No surprise to see her in the mix again. They went hard up front when staying on from off the pace to be a length away at Newcastle.
8th	3 8th (3) (80/1 -142%) Legal Beat	80 80/1(-142%)	(3) Legal Beat 80/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 25/1 and hooded for 1st time, below form eighth of 13 in maiden at Windsor (6f, good) in August, weakening over 1f out. Needs to get back on track now handicapping on the back of a break. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Hasn't progressed from a promising debut and she's up in trip for handicap debut.
9th	9 9th (9) (13/8 +28%) Floating Voter	1.625 13/8(+28%)	(9) Floating Voter 13/8, Lightly-raced winner. 4/1 and blinkered for 1st time, career best when winning 12-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 10 days ago. Shortlist material. Good value for his winning margin at Wolverhampton when successful on handicap debut.
10th	6 10th (6) (13/2 -44%) Rhasidat	6.5 13/2(-44%)	(6) Rhasidat 13/2, First run since leaving Adrian McGuinness when 11/1, career best when winning 11-runner handicap at Kempton (7f) 20 days ago, staying on to lead close home. Possible she can do better still for her new yard and worth considering. Doubled her tally on debut for this yard with last-gasp success over this far at Kempton.
11th	11 11th (11) (100/1 -400%) Angel Of Gold	100 100/1(-400%)	(11) Angel Of Gold 100/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 25/1, 5½ lengths eighth of 12 to Floating Voter in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 10 days ago, plugging on. More needed with cheekpieces now on 1st time. Never dangerous behind Floating Voter when 25-1 for handicap debut at Wolverhampton.

LTO Selection:

BERRYGATE has performed admirably in defeat on her first three career starts, and she may be able to make her handicap debut a winning one. Floating Voter clearly benefited from the application of blinkers on his own handicap bow when tasting Wolverhampton success, and he is feared most in his bid to double up. Rhasidat was making her first start for this stable when scoring narrowly at Kempton a few weeks ago, but a 4lb rise will make life tougher for her.

FLOATING VOTER was much shorter in the betting and showed improved form to make a winning handicap debut (in blinkers) at Wolverhampton 10 days ago, doing well to come out on top having come off a very modest pace. He could yet have more to offer and gets the narrow vote to follow up. Fellow last-time-out winner Rhasidat and Berrygate head up the dangers, with Keen Interest also not one to give up on.

There was no shortage of confidence behind FLOATING VOTER at Wolverhampton and he duly prevailed with a bit in hand.

19:00 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 7f PREDICTION SIMULATION

19:30 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 6f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
5	5 (5) (7/2 +30%) Kath's Toyboy	3.5 7/2(+30%)	(5) Kath's Toyboy 7/2, Course winner. Bit below form seventh of 12 in handicap at Newcastle (6f, 11/1) 11 days ago. Would be a danger to all if on-song. Not quite on his game of late but temptingly treated relative to form here last spring.
1	4 1st (4) (2/1 -14%) Back Tomorrow	2 2/1(-14%)	(4) Back Tomorrow 2/1, C&D winne in December. Respectable second of 8 in handicap at Kempton (6f, 4/1) 13 days ago, no match for winner. Major player. Lightly raced; C&D winner on AW debut; race didn't pan out so well last time; solid.
2	3 2nd (3) (22/1 -57%) Zargun	22 22/1(-57%)	(3) Zargun 22/1, One win from 30 Flat runs, which was gained back in 2021. Fifth of 8 in handicap (50/1) at this C&D 12 days ago and looks set for another struggle. Has not beaten many rivals since returning in September from absence; right down weights.
3	2 3rd (2) (9/4 +36%) Revolucion	2.25 9/4(+36%)	(2) Revolucion 9/4, Winner at Wolverhampton in December. Bit below form fifth of 9 in handicap (4/1) at that course (7.2f) 25 days ago. Couldn't rule out. Unraced here; a win and close 2nd from five 6f Tapeta handicaps elsewhere; not ruled out.
4	7 4th (7) (25/1 -400%) Eldeyaar	25 25/1(-400%)	(7) Eldeyaar 25/1, Latest win at Catterick in September. 16/1, last of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 14 days ago. Needs to bounce back. Effective over C&D but both AW wins at Wolverhampton; well held on Tapeta since turf wins.
5th	1 5th (1) (22/1 -300%) Inanna	22 22/1(-300%)	(1) Inanna 22/1, Seventeen runs since last win in 2022. Blinkered for 1st time, ninth of 10 in handicap at this course (5f, 40/1) 19 days ago. Back up in trip and will be a threat off this reduced mark if able to bounce back. Good late work over 5f here in December; not as good latest; return to 6f can suit.
6th	6 6th (6) (11/2 +66%) Porfin	5.5 11/2(+66%)	(6) Porfin 11/2, Latest win at Newmarket in August. 18/1, seventh of 9 in handicap at Chelmsford City (6f) 40 days ago. Opposable. Out of sorts since turf 2nd in August; on a good mark now though and has C&D form.
7th	8 7th (8) (50/1 -355%) Pierrefonds	50 50/1(-355%)	(8) Pierrefonds 50/1, Lightly-raced maiden on Flat. 300/1, ninth of 12 in maiden at Kempton (6f) 13 days ago. Hard to warm to now handicapping. Likely better than shown in qualifying events at 7f and 6f; check market on handicap debut.

LTO Selection:

The combination of a drop in trip and class can help REVOLUCION get back to winning ways. Joseph Parr's charge didn't have a lot of luck when fifth over 7f at Wolverhampton and, dropped 1lb, he should be there or thereabouts at the line. Back Tomorrow rates as the main danger, racing off the same mark as when a creditable second at Kempton. Zargun is likely to be one of those forcing the pace in the early stages, but he will need to put some disappointing efforts behind him.

It could be worth chancing INANNA, who has failed to make much of an impact since going close at Yarmouth in September but she has slipped to an attractive mark and dips into 0-65 company for the first time here. Back Tomorrow hit the crossbar off this mark at Kempton recently and is feared most, while Revolucion should have a part to play, too.

Some of these are well treated again but BACK TOMORROW looks the most solid option on her handicap form this winter.

19:30 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 6f PREDICTION SIMULATION

20:00 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 6f - 5 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	6 1st (6) (10/11 +64%) El Hibri	0.909091 10/11(+64%)	(6) El Hibri 10/11, C&D winner. Latest win here in January. 9/2, good fourth of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 4 days ago. Looks competitive on form. C&D winner this month; back to form when fourth at Wolverhampton last Friday; solid claims.
2	2 2nd (2) (11/4 +31%) Asadjumeirah	2.75 11/4(+31%)	(2) Asadjumeirah 11/4, Thirty two runs since last win in 2022. 10/1, creditable fourth of 12 in handicap at Newcastle (6f) 11 days ago. One to consider for all he's hard to win with. Losing run now up to 32 despite a sliding mark; another placing may be his best hope.
3	4 3rd (4) (5/1 +64%) Midnightattheoasis	5 5/1(+64%)	(4) Midnightattheoasis 5/1, C&D winner. 40/1, last of 6 in handicap at Chelmsford City (5f) 17 days ago. Back up in trip. Others more persuasive. C&D winner, but well held in four starts since returning for this yard in November.
4	1 4th (1) (8/1 -100%) Sarah's Verse	8 8/1(-100%)	(1) Sarah's Verse 8/1, Fifteen runs since last win in 2023. Creditable fifth of 11 in handicap (18/1) at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 18 days ago, not ideally placed. Well capable of getting involved in a weak race. In a Class 6 for the first time since April 2021, but record of 1-20 on AW is a concern.
5th	5 5th (5) (22/1 -83%) Buraback	22 22/1(-83%)	(5) Buraback 22/1, 2/1, last of 5 in handicap at Leicester (8.2f, heavy), slowly away. Off 8 months. Down in trip. First run for yard after leaving Michael Appleby. Others more persuasive. Makes his debut for another new stable after nine months off; watch market.

LTO Selection:

Given he last tasted success in April 2022, ASADJUMEIRAH has undoubtedly been costly to follow and is not for the faint-hearted. However, it's also worth remembering he is a previous Tapeta winner (Newcastle) and is a very tempting proposition from 20lb below that last winning all-weather mark. After hinting at a revival when fourth in similar company recently, the Antony Brittain-trained gelding shades the vote over Sarah's Verse and South Dakota Sioux.

SARAH'S VERSE is well treated and looked back in form when a staying-on fifth at Wolverhampton last time, so she's worth a chance to take this provided the pace is sound. El Hibri and Asadjumeirah are the only other two to arrive in form, and both are respected.

Preference is for C&D winner EL HIBRI (nap) who bounced back from his Newcastle blip with a solid fourth at Wolverhampton on Friday.

20:00 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 6f PREDICTION SIMULATION

20:30 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 11f - 11 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	9 1st (9) (5/1 +50%) Rose Light	5 5/1(+50%)	(9) Rose Light 5/1, Remains a maiden after 16 Flat runs. 13/2, creditable fifth of 11 in handicap at Newcastle (10.2f) 22 days ago. More will be needed if she's to finally open her account but she's an each-way player all the same. Well treated on some of her AW efforts last year, but now 0-16; needs a resurgence.
2	11 2nd (11) (11/1 -57%) Trusty Scout	11 11/1(-57%)	(11) Trusty Scout 11/1, Latest win at Kempton in November. Seventh of 10 in handicap (5/2) at Wolverhampton (12.2f) 17 days ago, left poorly placed. In good form prior to that and he has to enter calculations. Not at his best last time, but consistent on the AW prior to that; considered..
3	5 3rd (5) (5/1 +0%) Tables Turned	5 5/1(+0%)	(5) Tables Turned 5/1, Good third of 10 in handicap at Chelmsford City (10f, 12/1) 12 days ago, running on. Will be in the mix if able to perform to a similar level now switched to tapeta. 0-11, but has shown ability on Polytrack; each-way claims if as effective on Tapeta.
4	6 4th (6) (8/1 +20%) Elterwater	8 8/1(+20%)	(6) Elterwater 8/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Fourth of 6 in handicap (9/2) at Wolverhampton (9.5f). Off 8 months and she's probably worth taking on. Unplaced in five starts and back from a lengthy absence; bred to be suited by the trip.
5th	12 5th (12) (13/2 +19%) Defence Treaty	6.5 13/2(+19%)	(12) Defence Treaty 13/2, C&D winner. Creditable fifth of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (14f, 25/1) 25 days ago. Back down in trip and this 8-y-o is probably worth taking on. Won over C&D off 4lb higher last February; didn't fare badly on recent return; interesting.
6th	7 6th (7) (14/1 +0%) Calshot Spit	14 14/1(+0%)	(7) Calshot Spit 14/1, Lightly-raced maiden on Flat. Good sixth of 10 in handicap at Chelmsford City (10f, 66/1) 12 days ago. Needs to raise his game. Would have gone closer with a clearer run last time, but not bred for this far.
7th	8 7th (8) (18/1 -125%) Hazel Bear	18 18/1(-125%)	(8) Hazel Bear 18/1, Good neck second of 8 to Distinction in handicap (25/1) at Wolverhampton (9.5f) 15 days ago, nearest finish. 1 lb better off with that rival now and she shouldn't be far away. Just beaten by Distinction at Chelmsford last time; her stamina is also open to question.
8th	10 8th (10) (9/2 +72%) Global Tycoon	4.5 9/2(+72%)	(10) Global Tycoon 9/2, Latest win at Wolverhampton in October. Bit below form sixth of 11 in handicap there (12.2f, 7/1) 77 days ago. Others make more appeal. Won at Wolverhampton in October, but didn't repeat the form there next time; off 11 weeks.
9th	3 9th (3) (9/1 -80%) Distinction	9 9/1(-80%)	(3) Distinction 9/1, Won 8-runner handicap (16/1) at Wolverhampton (9.5f) 15 days ago by neck from Hazel Bear. 3 lb rise could be enough to anchor him here. Has won two of his last four starts, stamina still unproven but he comes into this in form.
10th	4 10th (4) (25/1 -400%) Femme Patronne	25 25/1(-400%)	(4) Femme Patronne 25/1, Lightly-raced maiden on Flat. 16/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, good second of 6 in handicap at Newcastle (10.2f) 13 days ago. Possibilities if able to build on that effort. Runner-up in both bumpers and went close on the Flat at Newcastle last time; unexposed.
11th	2 11th (2) (7/1 +13%) Scarborough Castle	7 7/1(+13%)	(2) Scarborough Castle 7/1, Course winner. 10/3, seventh of 8 in handicap at this course (14.1f) 19 days ago, unable to sustain effort. That wasn't one of his better efforts but this drop back in trip may help and he'll be a threat if he puts his best foot forward. Back off last his winning mark, but he needs to improve on his last two efforts.

LTO Selection:

Distinction (winner) and HAZEL BEAR (runner-up) stayed on powerfully to dispute a tight finish at Wolverhampton and, while the former held on gamely that day, Jamie Osborne's filly was finishing the better of the two and can reverse the form on 2lb better terms. The margins will be tight, which also creates hope for Come On John, who wasn't beaten far in a slightly better race last time. Scarborough Castle, already a dual course winner, completes the shortlist.

This looks wide open and the percentage call is TABLES TURNED, who posted his best effort for a while when third off this reduced mark over 1¼m at Chelmsford and the slightly stiffer test here will help. It's best to overlook Trusty Scout's latest effort and, in good order prior to that, he looks dangerous. Scarborough Castle is next on the list, while Femme Patronne and Rose Light are others to consider.

It may be worth taking a chance with DEFENCE TREATY who has dropped 4lb lower than when winning easily over C&D in February last year.

20:30 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 11f PREDICTION SIMULATION

Racecard Key

Ths is the racecard key.

Icon	Meaning
	TomForm top stats, gold rated
	TomForm top stats silver rated
	Ran similar race before
S	TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out
T	Top Time speeed rated
	Top Racingpost rated
	At the races watchout for
	At the races top pick
	Top rated for thet statistic

How to use Tomform

Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.

This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.

About U.K Horse Racing

Horse racing is a popular and historic sport in the UK, with a tradition dating back centuries. It is a multi-billion pound industry that attracts millions of spectators each year and generates significant economic activity.

There are two main types of horse racing in the UK: flat racing and jump racing. Flat racing is run on a level course and is typically shorter in distance, while jump racing involves horses jumping over obstacles and is generally longer in distance. Both types of racing are popular with spectators and bettors, and they take place at various racetracks throughout the country.

The most famous horse racing event in the UK is the Grand National, which is held annually at Aintree Racecourse in Liverpool. It is a jump racing event that is known for its challenging course and has become a national institution in the UK. Other notable horse racing events in the UK include the Derby, held at Epsom Downs Racecourse in Surrey, and the Royal Ascot, held at Ascot Racecourse in Berkshire.

Horse racing in the UK is regulated by the British Horseracing Authority (BHA), which sets rules and standards for the industry. It is responsible for the welfare of racehorses and the safety of jockeys and trainers, as well as ensuring fair and transparent racing practices.

In addition to its economic and cultural importance, horse racing in the UK also plays a significant role in the breeding and training of thoroughbred horses. Many of the world's top thoroughbreds are bred and trained in the UK, and the industry plays a vital role in the preservation and promotion of the breed.

Overall, horse racing is an integral part of British culture and a major contributor to the country's economy. It is a thrilling and exciting sport that continues to attract a loyal following and generate significant interest from spectators and bettors around the world.

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