There were 33 Races on Monday 6th November 2023 across 4 meetings. There was 9 races at Kempton, 8 races at Hereford, 7 races at Plumpton, 9 races at Wolverhampton, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.
Races & Results Monday 6th November 2023
The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.
(5) Masterdream 9/1, Dual winner at Worcester last year and scored on the Flat at Ffos Las (2m, good) in July. Below best at Bath (14f) in September and market best guide returned to hurdling with yard also saddling Fred Bear.
2
12
2nd (12) (4/1 +33%) Valentine Getaway
4
4/1(+33%)
(12) Valentine Getaway 4/1, Lightly-raced maiden who wasn't disgraced when fourth of 9 in handicap hurdle at Uttoxeter (19.9f, good, 5/2) 68 days ago, having run of race. Steps up in trip now and she's not out of things.
3
10
3rd (10) (11/1 -38%) Sheila Nash
11
11/1(-38%)
(10) Sheila Nash 11/1, Successful twice at Worcester (23f) during summer of 2022. Lightly raced this year and not disgraced on back of a wind op when third of 5 in handicap at Worcester 38 days ago. Fallen below last winning mark if she can build on that.
4
6
4th (6) (15/2 +53%) Fred Bear
7.5
15/2(+53%)
(6) Fred Bear 15/2, Hurdles winner who added another couple of staying handicaps on the Flat to his tally earlier this year. Creditable efforts on 2 of his 3 starts in that sphere since and latest Bath run should have put him spot on ahead of this return to timber. Engaged 1.35 Lingfield Sunday.
5th
4
5th (4) (15/2 -15%) Belles Benefit
7.5
15/2(-15%)
(4) Belles Benefit 15/2, Successful on debut for this yard at Fontwell (21.7f) last summer and largely consistent subsequently, running up to best when third of 6 in handicap at Wetherby (3m) 3 weeks ago. One of the likelier types.
6th
8
6th (8) (16/1 +36%) No Rematch
16
16/1(+36%)
(8) No Rematch 16/1, Has struggled since winning a claiming hurdle at Leicester in February and no immediate upturn re-united with this yard when eleventh of 18 in handicap at Exeter (18.5f) 2 weeks ago.
7th
1
7th (1) (11/1 -120%) Lelantos
11
11/1(-120%)
(1) Lelantos 11/1, Scored at Newton Abbot in August and running well when unseated rider last in handicap hurdle at Southwell (24.3f, good to firm) 60 days ago. Needs considering.
8th
2
8th (2) (18/1 -50%) Global Famenglory
18
18/1(-50%)
(2) Global Famenglory 18/1, Maiden but fitted with cheekpieces and found only one too good in 4-runner novice at Warwick in May. Probably needed the run when well held seventh of 8 in handicap at Fontwell (25.7f) 4 weeks ago but she needs to have come on plenty from that.
9th
7
9th (7) (5/1 +58%) Dukehill
5
5/1(+58%)
(7) Dukehill 5/1, Point winner who left handicap debut well behind when close third at Perth. However, ran a moody race in this headgear at Cartmel next time and has since left Mrs Caroline McCaldin. One to monitor closely in the betting for positive vibes.
9
9
|F| (9) (5/1 -11%) Kentford Mallard
5
5/1(-11%)
(9) Kentford Mallard 5/1, Consistent mare who built on her Fontwell run when landing 7-runner C&D handicap hurdle 3 weeks ago, produced to lead last and pushed clear. 3 lb rise fair and she ought to be thereabouts again.
10th
3
10th (3) (66/1 -32%) Pontresina
66
66/1(-32%)
(3) Pontresina 66/1, Hasn't stood much racing since joining this yard from Oliver Sherwood but he shaped as if needing first starts for 5 months at Exeter (24.2f) 2 weeks ago, weakening 3 out and pulled up last. Still, he's not the easiest to assess back over hurdles.
11th
11
11th (11) (12/1 -50%) The Longest Day
12
12/1(-50%)
(11) The Longest Day 12/1, Finally off the mark in handicap at Perth (23.9f) in August and followed up at the same C&D later that month. Not disgraced when fourth from much-inflated mark at Hexham (23.3f, heavy) in October and forecast better ground here a likely plus.
LTO Selection:
KENTFORD MALLARD has been nudged up just 3lb in the ratings for her C&D victory last month and the veteran may be able to complete a brace if in a similar mood. An improved performance is expected from The Longest Day, who appeared to be bogged down in the softer ground at Perth last time out, and Sophie Leech's charge may offer the most resistance to the selection. Dukehill makes some appeal on his stable bow too.
KENTFORD MALLARD showed the benefit of a recent run when resuming winning ways over C&D 3 weeks ago and, raised 3 lb on the back of that, it would come as no surprise to see her make another bold bid. Belles Benefit and Lelantos head up the dangers, whilst Dukehill demands market attention on debut for his new yard.
This is a belated first run over hurdles for DUKEHILL but he has gone close off a similar chase mark and his new yard is on the up.
(2) A Tickatickatiming 7/2, Fair bumper winner who left her hurdling debut form behind (settled better) when third of 9 in novice at Fontwell (17.7f, good) 31 days ago, not knocked about. Still, handicaps entitled to be more her bag. Course bumper winner who was a promising third over hurdles last time; in the mix.
2
8
2nd (8) (13/8 +28%) Goodtimecrew
1.625
13/8(+28%)
(8) Goodtimecrew 13/8, Second only start in points and perfect start under Rules when landing 18-runner Wincanton bumper (15.2f) in February. Struggled faced with more testing ground at Sandown the following month but she remains with good deal of potential now hurdling. Bumper winner who has a smart hurdler on her dam's side; interesting on hurdling debut.
3
5
3rd (5) (10/3 -21%) Country Lady
3.333333
10/3(-21%)
(5) Country Lady 10/3, Plenty to like on paper and she duly confirmed promise of her Lingfield debut effort when running out a good winner of a bumper here (17.7f) back in April. Has to be high on the shortlist now attentions switch to timber on return. Half-sister to Frodon and she won a bumper here in April; interesting on hurdling debut.
4
13
4th (13) (80/1 -186%) Tique
80
80/1(-186%)
(13) Tique 80/1, Bumper winner at the fourth attempt at Bangor in May but has been let down by her jumping both starts over hurdles, well-beaten fourth of 6 at Hereford 20 days ago. Has work to do. Flopped at Hereford (favourite) on return last month and has something to prove after that.
5th
10
5th (10) (125/1 -89%) Nathan Walker
125
125/1(-89%)
(10) Nathan Walker 125/1, Down the field in bumpers and no short-term encouragement to glean from either of her hurdle starts in recent months. Likely type for low-grade handicaps. Well held in all six starts including two over hurdles; remains best watched for now.
6th
4
6th (4) (150/1 -436%) Chief Lady
150
150/1(-436%)
(4) Chief Lady 150/1, Mahler filly. Dam unraced sister to useful chaser (stayed 25f) Just A Sting. Off mark in Irish points at second attempt (May 21) but she's probably best watched on Rules/hurdles debut. Irish point winner in May and she needs watching in market on her hurdling debut.
7th
12
7th (12) (16/1 -14%) Super Dawn
16
16/1(-14%)
(12) Super Dawn 16/1, Finally off mark in points in 2-runner race in April and offered something to work on under a positive ride when fourth on hurdles debut at Warwick (2m) 32 days ago, no extra from the last. Possible she can build on that now. 1-11 in points; showed some promise on hurdling debut but she needs to build on that.
8th
7
8th (7) (25/1 -178%) Fortuitous Favour
25
25/1(-178%)
(7) Fortuitous Favour 25/1, Narrow winner of a 12.4f Wetherby bumper on debut in December 2021. Seen only twice since but she did offer a bit when third in 5-runner mares' novice here (20.5f) on hurdles debut back in March, outpaced from 3 out. May be one for later on in this sphere. Bumper winner but well held on hurdling debut in March; bit to prove after another break.
9th
6
9th (6) (250/1 -150%) Den The Diva
250
250/1(-150%)
(6) Den The Diva 250/1, Little impact in bumper/pair of mares' novice hurdles last term. Well beaten at massive prices in a bumper and two hurdle events; can only be watched.
10th
3
10th (3) (4/1 +20%) Brave Jen
4
4/1(+20%)
(3) Brave Jen 4/1, Kayf Tara mare who has displayed promise in bumpers, matching previous best without being seen to best effect when fourth of 11 at Ludlow (15.7f) in May. Should be up to making her mark in this sphere and worth a second look on back of another wind op. Reached the frame in two of her three bumpers and should have a future over hurdles.
11th
1
11th (1) (50/1 -150%) Allegro Forte
50
50/1(-150%)
(1) Allegro Forte 50/1, Highland Reel filly who displayed promise on first of 2 starts in bumpers but she could only run to a poor level when eighth of 10 on Flat debut in a Kempton maiden (12f) back in March. Likely best watched now hurdling. Still early days but she needs a transformation on this switch to hurdling.
12th
11
12th (11) (300/1 -200%) Pepite De Amour
300
300/1(-200%)
(11) Pepite De Amour 300/1, Big prices and well held both starts in bumpers during the spring, starting to struggle when badly hampered early in the straight at Ludlow (15.7f) in May. Passed over now hurdling. Half-sister to hurdle winners but she needs major improvement on this switch to jumps.
LTO Selection:
An interesting race where Paul Nicholls sends course bumper winner Country Lady over hurdles for the first time, looking to put her Plumpton knowledge to good use. She can go well, but Nicky Henderson has decided to rely on BRAVE JEN here, following her wind surgery. She is related to plenty of winners over hurdles and is bred to do better in this sphere, so we may see her come home in front. Goodtimecrew and Fortuitous Favour are others to consider in what may prove an informative renewal.
A good winner on debut in a Wincanton bumper, GOODTIMECREW possibly found underfoot conditions against her at Sandown thereafter during the spring and she very much remains a bright prospect now hurdling on return. Country Lady, who was successful in a course bumper back in April, heads up the dangers on her respective hurdles bow. Brave Jen completes the shortlist.
Frodon's half-sister COUNTRY LADY was a brave winner of a bumper here in April and she gets the vote on this switch to hurdling.
13:07 Plumpton Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION
(12) Sammy's Guarantee 20/1, Black Sam Bellamy filly. Runner-up sole outing in point bumpers and shaped better than distance beaten suggests when midfield in 16-runner mares' novice hurdle at Ludlow (21.2f, soft) 11 days ago. Hood/tongue tie quickly applied and this should reveal more. Drifted out to 33-1 prior to finishing well beaten in a bumper at Ludlow; new headgear.
1
3
1st (3) (Evens +60%) Magic Seven
0
Evens(+60%)
(3) Magic Seven Evens, Useful form when impressively making his second start in bumpers a winning one here (16.2f) 12 months ago. Not in same form when fourth back here a month later but he returns with potential firmly intact now attentions switch to hurdling. One to consider. Course bumper winner; likely contender now raised in trip for hurdling debut.
2
6
2nd (6) (11/2 +50%) Face D'music
5.5
11/2(+50%)
(6) Face D'music 11/2, Finished third on only outing in Irish points in May and subsequently sold for £100,000. Another worth monitoring in the betting for positive vibes ahead of Rules/hurdles debut. Close third in only Irish point and he fetched £100,000 at the sales.
3
7
3rd (7) (7/1 +18%) Gentleman Jacques
7
7/1(+18%)
(7) Gentleman Jacques 7/1, Promise on first 2 starts in bumpers and step forward back from 6 months off when keeping on for third at Warwick (2m) 32 days ago. No reason why he won't make his mark over hurdles and not out of things. Needs to settle better but it was a likeable return when third in his final bumper.
4
9
4th (9) (22/1 -120%) Prairie Diamond
22
22/1(-120%)
(9) Prairie Diamond 22/1, Well backed and the confidence was justified when winning 6-runner bumper here (16.2f) in February. Entitled to be sharper for his reappearance run at Worcester (2m) in September now attentions switch to timber. Course bumper winner who had limitations exposed under a penalty; bred to make a hurdler.
5th
1
5th (1) (7/2 +13%) Banteer
3.5
7/2(+13%)
(1) Banteer 7/2, Westerner gelding who made a pleasing start when second in an Exeter bumper (16.7f) in February. Not in same form at Stratford (16.3f) in April but he's undergone wind surgery ahead of return/hurdles debut and no surpise to see him get back on track. Second in his first bumper; made a noise in the second and had wind surgery since.
6th
2
6th (2) (12/1 -85%) Kick Up A Storm
12
12/1(-85%)
(2) Kick Up A Storm 12/1, £78,000 purchase as a 3-y-o but low-key start in a Wincanton bumper 12 months ago. Shaped as if better for the run following wind op/11 months off when third in 7-runner Worcester novice hurdle 25 days ago but this should reveal more. In a top yard but not overly appealing on what he's shown thus far.
7th
4
7th (4) (50/1 -100%) Meranti
50
50/1(-100%)
(4) Meranti 50/1, Mid-field both starts over hurdles in Ireland and signed off time for Stuart Crawford with fourth-place finish in a bumper in May. No match for superior rival in 2-runner C&D novice on yard debut last month and handicaps entitled to be more his bag. Hammered by his sole rival in a match here three weeks ago.
11
11
|PU| (11) (200/1 -700%) Gladys Eva Jane
200
200/1(-700%)
(11) Gladys Eva Jane 200/1, Showed fair form in bumpers whilst looking ungenuine. First run for yard after leaving Peter Bowen for only £5,000 in August. Others achieved more in bumpers and she left Peter Bowen for £5,000.
LTO Selection:
Although MAGIC SEVEN was unable to complete a course bumper double under a 7lb penalty when finishing fourth at this venue in December, the Jonjo O'Neill-trained charge looks the one to be on if translating that ability to hurdles on his debut over timber. Banteer likely found the testing conditions against him when tailed off in a NH Flat race at Stratford in April and the five-year-old cannot be taken lightly for leading connections. Prairie Diamond also warrants a second look now entering this sphere.
MAGIC SEVEN displayed useful form when landing the second of his 3 starts in bumpers at this venue last winter and he could be the way to go now hurdling back from 10 months off. Fellow hurdles debutant Banteer may emerge as the chief threat, with Steel Ally and Gentleman Jacques a couple of others to consider.
There's no standout contender. With Sam Thomas having his string in good order a chance is taken on STEEL ALLY.
13:20 Hereford Maiden Hurdle (Class 4)
20f PREDICTION SIMULATION
(9) Island Of Skye 11/4, C&D winner. Placed for the fourth consecutive start when third of 12 in handicap (11/2) at this C&D 12 days ago. Likely contender with blinkers now the choice of headgear. C&D winner; threatening in four runs for new stable; change of headgear today.
2
6
2nd (6) (3/1 +54%) Wake Up Harry
3
3/1(+54%)
(6) Wake Up Harry 3/1, Thirteen runs since last win in 2021. Hinted at revival when eighth of 14 in handicap (22/1) at this C&D 19 days ago, despite having been caught wide. Lurks on a dangerous mark if building on his latest effort. On a dangerous mark and more promise here last month; should be winning soon.
3
3
3rd (3) (22/1 -175%) Jumeira Vision
22
22/1(-175%)
(3) Jumeira Vision 22/1, Hasn't progressed from his debut (only start for John & Thady Gosden), eighth of 11 in minor event at Southwell (7.1f, 40/1) 27 days ago. However, he could yet do better now handicapping. Faces a more realistic task now handicapping but not obviously thrown in.
4
11
4th (11) (33/1 +50%) Adaayinourlife
33
33/1(+50%)
(11) Adaayinourlife 33/1, One win from 22 Flat runs. Well below form last 2 starts, eighth of 11 in minor event (25/1) at Wolverhampton (12.2f) on his latest outing in July. Significantly back down in trip. This summer's best efforts have come over much further; opposable over 1m after a break.
5th
8
5th (8) (18/1 +55%) Roar Emotion
18
18/1(+55%)
(8) Roar Emotion 18/1, Off the mark at this C&D in January. Hasn't been in the same form since, though, in first-time cheekpieces when twelfth of 14 in handicap (28/1) at this C&D 19 days ago. Now tried with blinkers. C&D winner off 7lb higher in April; struggled badly since; new headgear now tried.
6th
7
6th (7) (10/3 +17%) Curtiz
3.333333
10/3(+17%)
(7) Curtiz 10/3, After almost a year off, shaped as if retaining his ability when fifth of 14 in handicap (6/1) at this C&D 19 days ago. Can step forward from his recent run to take advantage of his career-low mark. Promising return from a year off here last month; well handicapped; leading contender.
7th
1
7th (1) (5/1 -11%) Glory Sky
5
5/1(-11%)
(1) Glory Sky 5/1, Opened account here (7f) in May. Again ran well when fourth of 12 in handicap (4/1) at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 16 days ago, faring best of those ridden prominently. Shortlisted. 7f winner here in May; consistent rather than progressive since; each-way shout.
8th
10
8th (10) (40/1 -186%) Red Dwarf
40
40/1(-186%)
(10) Red Dwarf 40/1, Lightly-raced maiden. After 20 months off, first run since leaving Patrick Leech when last of 8 in handicap (28/1) at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 2 weeks ago. Market could be informative with her reappearance behind her. Should come on for recent return from long absence; worth a market check.
9th
4
9th (4) (33/1 -18%) Evasive Power
33
33/1(-18%)
(4) Evasive Power 33/1, Successful at Brighton in September, but not in the same form when eleventh of 14 in handicap (40/1) at this C&D 19 days ago. Others more persuasive. Followed 7f win at Brighton with modest C&D effort 19 days ago; needs a quick bounce back.
10th
2
10th (2) (28/1 -229%) Dynakite
28
28/1(-229%)
(2) Dynakite 28/1, Four-time C&D winner, with latest success here in July. Below form 16 lengths eleventh of 13 to Dourado in handicap (14/1) at Windsor (8.1f, good) later the same month. Not discounted back at this venue after a break. All four wins have come over C&D; can go well after a break; still on a handy mark.
11th
5
11th (5) (22/1 -22%) Dourado
22
22/1(-22%)
(5) Dourado 22/1, Two wins from 6 runs this year, including at this C&D on the first occasion. Soon back to form when 2½ lengths seventh of 14 in handicap (28/1) at this C&D 19 days ago. May just find others stronger. C&D winner in May and also won at Windsor in July; midfield over C&D latest; others safer.
LTO Selection:
Dynakite has won four races and all of them came over this C&D. He can go well and could be the biggest danger to ISLAND OF SKYE, who has hit a top three-spot on all four starts for his new yard. Only been beaten a neck and half a length respectively on his last two starts, first-time blinkers may find the improvement needed for him to score. Glory Sky is another to consider for the stable who won this last year and she drops in a class following a solid fourth at Wolverhampton.
CURTIZ shaped encouragingly when not beaten far at this C&D on his recent return and, having been eased further in the weights, he could be ready to get back to winning ways. Island of Skye has been holding his form well and is feared most in first-time blinkers, ahead of Glory Sky.
Dynakite and Wake Up Harry are on the radar for a similar event but CURTIZ has been better than this level and gets the nod.
(9) West Orchard 8/1, Modest maiden hurdler. Fell first on his chasing debut at Newton Abbot in May so others are preferred. Fell at first fence on chasing debut in May and has 0-13 strike-rate over hurdles.
2
1
2nd (1) (6/1 -9%) Proper Twelve
6
6/1(-9%)
(1) Proper Twelve 6/1, Got off the mark over hurdles at Market Rasen in May. Posted an encouraging second of four on his chase debut in handicap chase at Fontwell (19.5f, good) 30 days ago. Enters calculations. Well held when second of four on chase debut but positives can be drawn from that.
3
3
3rd (3) (3/1 +10%) Divine Inspiration
3
3/1(+10%)
(3) Divine Inspiration 3/1, Irish point winner who made a promising start over fences when third of 7 in handicap chase at Wetherby (24.2f, soft) 7 months ago. Since undergone breathing surgery. Holds good claims. Third when upped to 3m for chase/handicap debut in March; may fare better over this trip.
4
2
4th (2) (9/1 -13%) Sadler's Bay
9
9/1(-13%)
(2) Sadler's Bay 9/1, Saddle slipped when an unlucky third in handicap hurdle at Warwick (25f, good to soft) 177 days ago. Much respected now going chasing. Might have been unlucky not to win over hurdles in May, and that form worked out well.
5th
6
5th (6) (12/1 -140%) Theonlywayiswessex
12
12/1(-140%)
(6) Theonlywayiswessex 12/1, Dual AW Flat winner for this yard earlier in the year. Lightly raced over hurdles and posted a good second of 6 in handicap hurdle at Bangor (16.7f, good) 62 days ago. Needs considering now starting out over fences. Went close off this mark over hurdles in September but is not bred for chasing; new trip.
6th
5
6th (5) (10/3 +39%) Haston Clermont
3.333333
10/3(+39%)
(5) Haston Clermont 10/3, Runner-up on completed start in Irish points (Nov 2021). Cost a fair bit and showed plenty to work on in Chepstow bumper but not much encouragement to glean from over hurdles. Off 6 months. Makes chase debut. Last season's hurdle form was underwhelming but fences may show him in a better light.
7th
7
7th (7) (6/1 +57%) Hilltown
6
6/1(+57%)
(7) Hilltown 6/1, Scored over hurdles at Plumpton (25f, soft) in April and not disgraced when in the frame all three runs since. Possibilities on his first go in this sphere. Course winner off 1lb higher over hurdles in April; a possible on today's chasing debut.
8th
11
8th (11) (40/1 +60%) Shirocco's Delight
40
40/1(+60%)
(11) Shirocco's Delight 40/1, Remains a maiden after 19 starts. 80/1, ninth of 12 in handicap hurdle at Plumpton (20.5f) 31 days ago. Made mistakes when pulled up on chasing debut at Taunton last term. Others preferred. 19-race maiden; pulled up on only previous chasing attempt and 5lb wrong today.
9th
4
9th (4) (40/1 -60%) Endersen
40
40/1(-60%)
(4) Endersen 40/1, Lightly-raced maiden hurdler, best run when fourth of 7 in novice hurdle at Kempton (21f, heavy) 7 months ago. No forlorn hope on his chase debut. Showed only minor promise over hurdles but switches to fences armed with point experience.
10
10
|PU| (10) (16/1 +0%) Yesnosorry
16
16/1(+0%)
(10) Yesnosorry 16/1, Runner-up over hurdles at Plumpton (15.9f) in March. Disappointing at Fontwell a month later but not one to write off now chasing on balance (dam was a dual winning pointer). Second off this lowly mark over hurdles here in March; more needed on chasing debut.
8
8
|PU| (8) (22/1 -22%) Mrs Kinsella
22
22/1(-22%)
(8) Mrs Kinsella 22/1, Some fair runs without winning over hurdles but little impact in 2 chases this autumn. A watching brief is advised. Well beaten on both chases this autumn but may be aided by refitted cheekpieces here.
LTO Selection:
Sadler's Bay remains a maiden but he ran his best race yet when third over hurdles at Warwick, beaten less than two lengths over three miles despite his saddle slipping. If he takes to fences then he could go well, but he might struggle to cope with THEONLYWAYISWESSEX. The selection ran on to be beaten a neck in a 2m hurdle at Bangor and should only improve for the step up in trip, though his ability to jump fences has to be taken on trust. Endersen and Yesnosorry are others to consider for popular local trainers.
Point-winner DIVINE INSPIRATION shaped well quickly switched to fences when third at Wetherby in the spring and looks the way to go on his seasonal return with a fair bit of improvement on the cards. Proper Twelve also made a promising start in this sphere when runner-up at Fontwell and is next on the list ahead of fencing-newcomers Sadler's Bay and Theonlywayiswessex.
The most interesting one is arguably SADLER'S BAY, who ran well when third in a Warwick hurdle in May.
(1) Baltray 8/13, Third in Limerick bumper before posting a promising second of 8 in novice at Fontwell (19.2f, good, 10/3) on hurdles bow 30 days ago. Has more to offer. The one to beat. Clear second on his switch to hurdling at Fontwell (2m3f, good) and the winner is useful.
2
9
2nd (9) (9/2 +78%) Saxons Lane
4.5
9/2(+78%)
(9) Saxons Lane 9/2, Malinas gelding who hinted at promise when seventh of 17 in bumper at Kempton (16f, heavy) on NH debut. Off 7 months ahead of his hurdles debut but he's no forlorn hope. Seventh of 17 in a soft-ground bumper at Kempton, having weakened up the straight..
3
5
3rd (5) (20/1 +39%) Uncle Mac
20
20/1(+39%)
(5) Uncle Mac 20/1, Half-brother to 4 winners, including fairly useful hurdler/useful chaser Antunes. Hinted at promise when seventh of 10 in bumper (11/1) at Huntingdon (15.8f, good to soft) 8 months ago. Makes hurdles debut on the back of a wind op and not discounted. At 11-1, he was pretty much tailed off in a Huntingdon bumper.
4
8
4th (8) (14/1 -100%) Black Occ
14
14/1(-100%)
(8) Black Occ 14/1, Point runner-up who build on his debut effort when second of 8 in novice hurdle (14/1) at Bangor (16.7f, soft) 33 days ago. May do better still. Place claims. Should be better for going up in trip but others appeal more.
5th
4
5th (4) (15/2 -67%) Saint Jaguen
7.5
15/2(-67%)
(4) Saint Jaguen 15/2, Showed ability in bumpers and made a promising hurdling debut when third of 7 in 16.5f novice at Market Rasen in June. Not in quite the same form over the same C&D 2 months later but he retains a bit of potential. Clearly no budding star but this longer trip should bring him on.
11
11
|F| (11) (250/1 -400%) Conniegetaway
250
250/1(-400%)
(11) Conniegetaway 250/1, Modest form shown in three bumpers, staying-on fifth of 8 at Uttoxeter (15.8f, good to soft) 142 days ago. Can take a step forward upped in trip for his hurdles debut. Second in a Southwell bumper that lacked any depth and ended up well beaten at Uttoxeter.
2
2
|PU| (2) (15/2 -25%) Divilskin
7.5
15/2(-25%)
(2) Divilskin 15/2, €245,000 purchase following success only start in points. Modest form at best in a couple of bumpers and pulled up in 2m Worcester novice on hurdling bow 25 days ago. Tongue strap on for 1st time. Hopes pinned on the longer trip and/or tongue-tie making a difference.
12
12
|PU| (12) (200/1 -33%) Mo Zola
200
200/1(-33%)
(12) Mo Zola 200/1, Won sole start in point bumpers but pulled up in novice hurdle at Ludlow (15.8f, soft) on NH debut 11 days ago. Hooded for 1st time. In trouble a good way out before pulling up on her switch to hurdling at Ludlow (125-1).
LTO Selection:
There were plenty of positives to be taken from BALTRAY's hurdling bow at Fontwell last month and the son of Milan is fancied to build on that runner-up effort to land the spoils here. Black Occ found only one rival too strong at Bangor in early October and the four-year-old makes more appeal than most now upped in trip. Saint Jaguen is another who may find some improvement on the rise in distance and he isn't dismissed.
BALTRAY shaped well on his debut for Emma Lavelle when runner-up at Fontwell and with improvement very much on the cards he can go one better. Bangor-second Black Occ is next on the list ahead of hurdling-newcomers Strackan and Uncle Mac.
This is probably at the mercy of BALTRAY, who may only need to reproduce his clear second at Fontwell.
13:50 Hereford Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 20f PREDICTION SIMULATION
(1) English Rose 10/11, Bred to be smart and, wearing a hood, made a winning start in good style in 11-runner maiden at Newmarket (7f, good, 9/2) in May. Off since but she's a leading contender with improvement to come. Beat an odds-on stablemate at Newmarket in May and she's a big player again on return.
2
14
2nd (14) (14/1 -75%) Torchlight
14
14/1(-75%)
(14) Torchlight 14/1, Made plenty of appeal on paper and showed promise when fourth of 5 in minor event at Yarmouth (10.1f, good to firm, 8/1) on debut 88 days ago. Can do better with that first experience behind her as she drops in trip. Faded into a well-held fourth of five at Yarmouth and she needs to leave that form behind.
3
3
3rd (3) (7/4 +50%) Twirling
1.75
7/4(+50%)
(3) Twirling 7/4, Created a good impression on debut when winning 11-runner minor event at this C&D (3/1) in January, cosily. Respected despite her absence. Won over C&D in January and that form has worked out really well; respected on return.
4
5
4th (5) (40/1 -150%) Abbey Gardens
40
40/1(-150%)
(5) Abbey Gardens 40/1, €100,000 yearling, Kodiac filly. Dam, French 11f winner, half-sister to smart French 1¼m/10.5f winner Adventure Seeker, herself dam of very smart sprinter Little Big Bear. Yard capable of readying a newcomer. Well-bred stablemate of Twirling and interesting to see how she figures in market.
5th
13
5th (13) (7/1 +18%) Throubi
7
7/1(+18%)
(13) Throubi 7/1, Raced too freely when fourth of 9 in maiden at Doncaster (1m, heavy, 3/1) on her second start last year. Off 12 months since with hood on 1st time. Remains with potential. Has leading claims on her Doncaster form last autumn; hood is added on comeback.
6th
4
6th (4) (150/1 -127%) Tayanna
150
150/1(-127%)
(4) Tayanna 150/1, Sepoy mare. Half-sister to several winners, including winner up to 9f North Star Boy and 5f-7f winner Bazaruto, both useful. Difficult ask. Refused to enter the stalls here in December 2021 and now returns as a 5yo; best watched.
7th
8
7th (8) (16/1 -100%) Flindrikin
16
16/1(-100%)
(8) Flindrikin 16/1, Frankel filly. Sister to useful 1½m winner Icykel. Dam, British/South African 5.5f-7f winner, half-sister to winning South African sprinter Viva La Var, out of South African Group 3 6f winner Viva. Noteworthy newcomer. Frankel filly who is a sister to a useful AW winner; needs close look on debut.
8th
9
8th (9) (80/1 -100%) Glimmer Of Light
80
80/1(-100%)
(9) Glimmer Of Light 80/1, Showed plenty to work on when fifth of 12 in maiden (33/1) at this course (7f) on debut 21 days ago, keeping on having been outpaced 2f out. Likely to stay further than 1m in time. Showed some ability here last month but she needs major improvement upped in trip.
9th
11
9th (11) (125/1 -279%) Realised
125
125/1(-279%)
(11) Realised 125/1, Upped in trip, showed bit more than on debut when fifth of 14 in maiden (10/1) at Windsor (8.1f, good to soft) 3 weeks ago. Needs another run for a mark. Beaten 11l in both her runs this autumn and remains best watched for now.
10th
12
10th (12) (28/1 -12%) Shiva Shakti
28
28/1(-12%)
(12) Shiva Shakti 28/1, After 6 months off, went backwards from her debut effort when fifteenth of 16 in maiden (6/1) at Newbury (10f, heavy) in April. Absent another 6 months ahead of first run for yard after leaving John & Thady Gosden. Runner-up on debut last October but tailed off in only one run since; now with new yard.
11th
7
11th (7) (200/1 -100%) Dotties Moon
200
200/1(-100%)
(7) Dotties Moon 200/1, Some encouragement amidst greenness when sixth of 14 in maiden (200/1) at Windsor (8.1f, good to soft) on debut 3 weeks ago. Much more required but she's entitled to progress from her first run. Well-held sixth on her Windsor debut last month and has plenty to find here.
12th
6
12th (6) (150/1 +0%) Daring Greatly
150
150/1(+0%)
(6) Daring Greatly 150/1, Ran to only a modest level on her first start when ninth of 12 in maiden (100/1) at this course (7f) 3 weeks ago. Looks to be up against it. 100-1 here (7f) on debut last month and never got involved before finishing ninth of 12.
13th
10
13th (10) (125/1 -213%) Moda Minx
125
125/1(-213%)
(10) Moda Minx 125/1, Buratino filly. Dam sprint maiden out of unraced sister to useful French/US 1m-9f winner Tale of Life. Has a fairly useful standard to aim at on debut. Out of a half-sister to two winners but this looks a tough starting point; best watched.
14th
2
14th (2) (28/1 -100%) Silver Leaf
28
28/1(-100%)
(2) Silver Leaf 28/1, Overcame inexperience when landing 6-runner maiden at Ffos Las (7.4f, soft, 12/1) on debut 53 days ago, hanging left but going clear last ½f. Likely to progress from that first outing. Clearcut win at Ffos Las in September and she's respected under a penalty.
LTO Selection:
Shiva Shakti disappointed at Newbury in April but has her first start for Ed Walker here and she may be better judged on a promising debut second over this trip at Yarmouth. She seems worth a market watch, but preference is for ENGLISH ROSE. A winner at Newmarket on her only start in May, she has not been seen since but that patience may pay off with a second success for the Frankel filly. Silver Leaf pulled off a 12/1 surprise at Ffos Las in January and warrants respect.
ENGLISH ROSE looked a useful prospect when getting the better of her odds-on stablemate at Newmarket in May and she can progress from that effort to provide Charlie Appleby with back-to-back wins in this race. Twirling also impressed when she made a winning debut back in January, while Torchlight can take a step forward from her first outing.
Godolphin's ENGLISH ROSE finished well to beat an odds-on rival at Newmarket on her debut in May and is open to progress on her return.
(1) Emailandy 7/1, Encouraging third of 13 in bumper at Exeter (16.7f, good to soft, 10/1) 6 months ago. Goes over hurdles now after a wind op and he's much respected for top yard.
2
2
2nd (2) (15/8 +16%) Goodwin
1.875
15/8(+16%)
(2) Goodwin 15/8, Confirmed debut promise when easily landing 9-runner bumper at Fontwell (17.7f, good) in February, suited by longer trip. Player now going hurdling with his stamina drawn out more.
3
8
3rd (8) (15/8 +53%) Avada Kedavra
1.875
15/8(+53%)
(8) Avada Kedavra 15/8, €72,000 3-y-o. Son of Milan. Dam unraced sister to smart hurdler/top-class chaser (Cheltenham Gold Cup winner, stayed 3¼m) Bobs Worth and fairly useful 2m hurdle winner Chesterfieldavenue. Fourth sole start in Irish points (Apr 9). Interesting newcomer.
4
5
4th (5) (5/1 +64%) Sprucefrontiers
5
5/1(+64%)
(5) Sprucefrontiers 5/1, Sans Frontieres gelding. Sister to point winner Pelegrine Falcon. Dam, lightly raced in bumpers, sister to fairly useful 2m chaser Tree Creeper. Last of 3 finishers sole start in Irish points, so more is needed on his hurdling bow.
5th
4
5th (4) (20/1 +20%) Rajaran
20
20/1(+20%)
(4) Rajaran 20/1, Twice-raced maiden hurdler who was pulled up in novice hurdle at Newbury (20.5f, soft, 125/1) 7 months ago. Has lots to prove.
6th
10
6th (10) (22/1 -340%) Sangiovese
22
22/1(-340%)
(10) Sangiovese 22/1, Clear second in Newton Abbot bumper in July. Not knocked about switched to hurdles when fifth of 8 in novice here (15.9f, good to soft) 14 days ago. Can take a step forward.
7th
6
7th (6) (100/1 -300%) Touch Of Thunder
100
100/1(-300%)
(6) Touch Of Thunder 100/1, Twice raced in bumpers, better effort when fifth of 8 at Worcester (16f, good to soft) 173 days ago. Makes hurdles debut with a big step forward required.
8th
7
8th (7) (250/1 -150%) Vendant
250
250/1(-150%)
(7) Vendant 250/1, Vendangeur gelding. Placed in points but showed little when eleventh of 14 in bumper at Fontwell (17.7f, soft) on NH debut. Off 9 months. Makes hurdles debut.
9th
9
9th (9) (125/1 -213%) Elpologreg
125
125/1(-213%)
(9) Elpologreg 125/1, Modest form at best in bumpers and went backwards from an encouraging hurdles debut when fifth of 8 in novice hurdle at Fontwell (19.2f, good) 26 days ago. Not ruled out if bouncing back.
3
3
|PU| (3) (8/1 +0%) Hawaii Du Mestivel
8
8/1(+0%)
(3) Hawaii Du Mestivel 8/1, £100,000 4-y-o. No Risk At All gelding. Dam French chaser (17f-3m winner). Third in an Irish point (Dec 2021). One to consider starting out in this sphere.
11
11
|PU| (11) (200/1 -300%) Grangeclare North
200
200/1(-300%)
(11) Grangeclare North 200/1, Only modest form shown in bumpers last season. Switches to hurdles back from 6 months off with lots more needed.
LTO Selection:
Avada Kedavra was a well-beaten fourth in a point-to-point at Quakerstown in April but he makes his debut over hurdles here and looks the sort to improve as he matures and strengthens. Emailandy was third in his second bumper and is worth watching on his first start following wind surgery, but GOODWIN is readily preferred in this field. He won a Fontwell bumper by eight lengths in February and looks set for a rewarding campaign over hurdles this season for the Chris Gordon stable.
The market should reveal plenty but Chris Gordon's GOODWIN looked a good prospect when easily landing a Fontwell bumper last term and can make a winning start over hurdles. Both Avada Kedavra and Emailandy are in excellent hands and bring potential to this sphere so rate obvious threats along with Gary Moore's progressive type Sangiovese.
The most obvious answer is GOODWIN, who created a pretty good impression when striding clear to win a Fontwell bumper in February.
14:07 Plumpton Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 20f PREDICTION SIMULATION
(4) Shirocco's Dream 9/2, Made winning start over fences at Huntingdon (23.6f) in February and got back on track when second in handicap chase at Ffos Las (23.8f, soft) final run. Back from 6 months off after a wind op so enters calculations. Solid start to chasing last season, running up to her best the final time.
2
9
2nd (9) (10/3 +79%) Do You Think
3.333333
10/3(+79%)
(9) Do You Think 10/3, Running well (in second) when unseated rider 3 out in 3m handicap chase at Ffos Las in May. Took this event 12 months ago so she's not taken lightly after a break. Won this 12 months ago on her chase debut off the very same mark; yard in form.
3
3
3rd (3) (11/1 +31%) Whatsdastory
11
11/1(+31%)
(3) Whatsdastory 11/1, Course winner but he produced a laboured effort when fifth of 6 in handicap chase at Ludlow (20f, good) 176 days ago. Up in trip. Others appeal more. Returns on a competitive mark and won't mind returning to a longer distance.
4
7
4th (7) (7/1 +18%) My Girl Katie
7
7/1(+18%)
(7) My Girl Katie 7/1, Fair form over hurdles last season but she beat only one on her chasing bwo in 3m Chepstow handicap 24 days ago. This point winner shouldn't be written off yet. Competitive in handicap hurdles; ground was perhaps too soft on recent chase debut.
5th
2
5th (2) (10/1 +38%) Aimee De Sivola
10
10/1(+38%)
(2) Aimee De Sivola 10/1, Fair winner at 26f over hurdles but he's yet to convince as a chaser, only fourth of 5 in novice chase (40/1) at Worcester (23f, soft) 38 days ago. Cheekpieces back on with work to do. It was a warm novice in which she returned at Worcester in September.
6th
5
6th (5) (5/1 +38%) Porter In The Park
5
5/1(+38%)
(5) Porter In The Park 5/1, Irish point winner who scored over hurdles at Huntingdon (20.7f) in January. Pulled up in handicap chase at Wincanton (20.2f, soft) on debut over fences 18 days ago though. Quiet chase debut but similar story on last season's return before doing well over hurdles.
11
11
|PU| (11) (10/3 +45%) Harry's Hottie
3.333333
10/3(+45%)
(11) Harry's Hottie 10/3, Fair 25f winning hurdler for Harry Whittington last season. Shaped encouragingly on yard/chasing debut when fourth of 9 in handicap at Ffos Las (21.5f, good to soft) 22 days ago. Not ruled out with better to come. Won off 6lb higher over hurdles; did well to be 4th on chase debut after one bad misake.
10
10
|PU| (10) (18/1 +28%) Sadie Hill
18
18/1(+28%)
(10) Sadie Hill 18/1, A fair winning hurdler but she's offered little on her two previous runs over fences. Others appeal more. Only a remote third when unseating three out here 13 days ago when a 16-1 chance.
LTO Selection:
KRAQUELINE made his chasing bow a winning one when appearing to score with something in hand at Wincanton last Sunday. The Martaline mare looks more than capable of defying a 7lb penalty and the longer trip should hold no fears. The progressive Lazy Sunday was thwarted in her bid to land a four-timer when second at the aforementioned Somerset venue in April, but the nine-year-old is unexposed over this far and there could be more improvement to come. Fellow seasonal debutant Head And Heart is another to note representing a yard in fine form.
KRAQUELINE proved a differennt proposition sent chasing when going in at Wincanton last week and can make light of her 7 lb penalty with this return to further also looking a positive. Harry's Hottie made a promising start in this sphere too when fourth at Ffos Las for Jamie Snowden so must enter calculations along with the returning duo Lazy Sunday and Head And Heart.
This is competitive but KRAQUELINE did everything right when she impressed on last week's chase debut.
(6) Royal Power 5/4, Very green when posting a promising fifth of 11 in minor event at this course (7f) on debut 21 days ago, needing stiffer test. Sure to progress upped to 1m. Player. Made promising late headway for fifth on debut; ought to be more streetwise today.
2
4
2nd (4) (14/1 -27%) Modern Times
14
14/1(-27%)
(4) Modern Times 14/1, 7/1, fourth of 6 in maiden at Redcar (7f, good to firm) on debut 40 days ago, well positioned. Should improve. Shaped with promise before fading into fourth of six at Redcar (7f) six weeks ago.
3
10
3rd (10) (28/1 -75%) Incensed
28
28/1(-75%)
(10) Incensed 28/1, Foaled March 31. Ulysses filly. Sister to winner abroad. Dam unraced half-sister to very smart winner up to 2¼m Desert Skyline out of smart 10.5f-12.5f winner Diamond Tango. Yard can ready them so she's worth a market check. Has a lot of stamina in her pedigree; interesting to see how she fares.
4
5
4th (5) (14/1 +13%) Morawig
14
14/1(+13%)
(5) Morawig 14/1, 6/1, seventh of 10 in minor event at Salisbury (8f, heavy) on debut 32 days ago. Needs to build on it. Made a lot of the running before weakening on soft-ground debut; can improve.
5th
1
5th (1) (13/2 -30%) Cool Legend
6.5
13/2(-30%)
(1) Cool Legend 13/2, Foaled February 5. €410,000 yearling, Sea The Stars colt. Brother to useful winner up to 1¼m Sisyphus Strength and half-brother to 3 winners, including smart winner up to 9f Chilean. Interesting newcomer. Well-bred colt who cost 410,000euros as a yearling; makes very obvious appeal on paper.
6th
9
6th (9) (28/1 -133%) Blue Akoya
28
28/1(-133%)
(9) Blue Akoya 28/1, Encouraging fifth of 8 in minor event (17/2) at Leicester (8.2f, good) on debut 27 days ago. Should have more to offer. In the mix. Raced a bit too freely and was just a respectable fifth of eight on Leicester debut (1m).
7th
8
7th (8) (14/1 -17%) Yeomanry
14
14/1(-17%)
(8) Yeomanry 14/1, 28/1, seventh of 11 in minor event at Wolverhampton (8.6f) on debut 13 days ago. Likely to improve. Never really looked dangerous on debut but stuck to his task and wasn't beaten far.
8th
7
8th (7) (50/1 -150%) Spartan Warrior
50
50/1(-150%)
(7) Spartan Warrior 50/1, Foaled March 4. 50,000 gns yearling, Saxon Warrior colt. Half-brother to 1m-11f winner Silky Warrior. Market can guide. 50,000gns yearling; out of a useful 1m2f winner; market may guide.
9th
3
9th (3) (5/2 +50%) Lucentio
2.5
5/2(+50%)
(3) Lucentio 5/2, Promising fourth of 12 in minor event at Yarmouth (7f, soft, 11/2) on debut 21 days ago. This Too Darn Holt colt can do better so needs considering. With a top stable and made quite pleasing debut when keeping-on fourth at Yarmouth.
10th
2
10th (2) (40/1 +0%) East India Dock
40
40/1(+0%)
(2) East India Dock 40/1, 33/1, tenth of 12 in minor event at Newmarket (8f, good to soft) on debut 12 days ago. Always behind (albeit on soft ground) when 33-1 for recent Newmarket debut (1m).
LTO Selection:
With precious little form to work with, it may pay to side with debut fourth LUCENTIO, who caught the eye at Yarmouth on ground that may have been too soft for him. He ran on well over the seven furlongs there and should appreciate the step up to a mile. Royal Power is an obvious alternative with the Charlie Appleby string in good form and he looked the sort to improve for his debut fifth here last month, while Spartan Warrior is in interesting newcomer for Ollie Sangster, who is having an excellent season.
Charlie Appleby's Frankel colt ROYA POWER shaped well amidst greenness when a debut fifth here and with this longer trip sure to suit he can take a sizeable step forward to get off the mark. William Haggas' newcomer Cool Legend appeals on paper and could emege as the chief threat ahead of Lucentio and Blue Akoya who both look to have more to offer.
Well-bred colt ROYAL POWER was learning on the job before keeping on well for fifth here last month and is likely to improve.
14:30 Kempton Maiden (Class 4) 8f PREDICTION SIMULATION
(6) Forever William 14/1, Responded well when narrowly prevailing in 19f Taunton handicap in January. Off since pulling up at Wincanton in March but gone well fresh before and could bounce back on reappearance. Gained hard-fought win off this mark in January; absent since poor run in April.
2
8
2nd (8) (11/1 +21%) Monjules
11
11/1(+21%)
(8) Monjules 11/1, Progressive for this yard last season, winning 3 handicap hurdles. Given a break since his below-form third at Newton Abbot in May. Could go on to even better things this term. Did well for new stable last season (three wins) but current mark demands further progress.
3
5
3rd (5) (10/3 +17%) Mr Freedom
3.333333
10/3(+17%)
(5) Mr Freedom 10/3, Likeable type who followed 4 wins over hurdles last season with a hat-trick on the Flat this summer. Ran really well again back over timber after a break when runner-up at Fontwell (conceded first run) last month and looks sure to be in the mix again. Three Flat wins this year; clear second to progressive rival on return to hurdling.
4
9
4th (9) (11/1 -22%) Burrows Park
11
11/1(-22%)
(9) Burrows Park 11/1, Landed 23f handicap hurdle in the mud at Exeter in January. Found very competitive handicaps all too much for him in the spring but this veteran has been given a big chance by the handicapper ahead of this reappearance. Has his quirks and is hard to predict but makes seasonal debut from a dangerous mark.
5th
3
5th (3) (9/2 -29%) Pyramid Place
4.5
9/2(-29%)
(3) Pyramid Place 9/2, Proved better than ever when landing the traditionally strong Silver Trophy at Chepstow (19.5f, heavy) 23 days ago. Raised 7 lb but should have a part to play if in similar form. Landed valuable prize at Chepstow last month and is now 7-25 over hurdles; respected.
6th
7
6th (7) (3/1 +40%) Western General
3
3/1(+40%)
(7) Western General 3/1, Progressive, winning 18.5f Newton Abbot maiden when last seen in April. Should have more to offer this season and major player if fully primed for this reappearance. Came good in Newton Abbot maiden in April and is open to improvement this season.
7th
2
7th (2) (4/1 -14%) Lord Baddesley
4
4/1(-14%)
(2) Lord Baddesley 4/1, Won this race 12 months ago. Made a creditable return to action over fences here a fortnight ago and should make a bold bid to defend his crown. Won this by over 9l last year and ran well over fences here last month; major player.
4
4
|PU| (4) (14/1 -87%) Casa Loupi
14
14/1(-87%)
(4) Casa Loupi 14/1, Fairly useful hurdler back in 2021 and returned from a long absence with a promising display on the Flat at Nottingham in May. Looks nicely treated back over timber and is worth monitoring in the market. Dual novice winner in 2021; placed on Flat in May, after long absence; market may guide.
LTO Selection:
Pyramid Place went in by just over three lengths at Chepstow last month and has to be considered off 7lb higher, but conditions could be very different this time around. Therefore, the vote goes to MR FREEDOM, who put in a bold display to finish second in a class 2 event at Fontwell last time and the four-year-old ought to go close off only a 2lb higher mark now eased in grade. Lord Baddesley looks the best of the rest after his third at Plumpton.
There should be more to come from the low-mileage WESTERN GENERAL this season and Sean Bowen's mount can see off last year's winner Lord Baddesley, who looks sure to give a good account of himself after a solid reappearance effort over fences here last month. Silver Trophy hero Pyramid Place is another likely to have a say.
Quirky veteran BURROWS PARK comes here fresh and will be hard to beat off his current mark if in the right mood.
(1) Bonttay 15/8, Triple bumper winner who added 2 more wins over hurdles last season, latterly in handicap company at Kelso (2m, soft) in March. Likely she can go on to even better things this term. Likeable mare but has to concede weight to some progressive rivals.
2
4
2nd (4) (3/1 +25%) Puffin Bay
3
3/1(+25%)
(4) Puffin Bay 3/1, Made a winning start for new trainer Harry Derham at Wincanton last seen in April. Raised 5 lb for that but strong chance she'll have more to offer for this stable. Winning debut for this yard when last seen, doing it readily off 5lb lower.
3
9
3rd (9) (9/2 +50%) Georgi Girl
4.5
9/2(+50%)
(9) Georgi Girl 9/2, Fair winner in 2m juvenile hurdles last season. Her opening mark demands improvement but she is unexposed. Highly encouraging juvenile runs last season and goes handicapping off a lenient mark.
4
5
4th (5) (15/2 +25%) Hiconic
7.5
15/2(+25%)
(5) Hiconic 15/2, Took advantage of reduced mark when winning handicaps at Warwick and Worcester (both 2m) at the start of the current season and ran to similar level when runner-up the last twice. Ought to go well again. Bumped into one last time; returns to a mares' race and this mark isn't beyond her.
5th
2
5th (2) (33/1 +34%) Kingston Sunflower
33
33/1(+34%)
(2) Kingston Sunflower 33/1, Completed a hat-trick in novice hurdles at this sort of trip for Fergal O'Brien last autumn but pulled up on Wincanton handicap debut for new stable last month. Can only watch after that. Progressive front-runner last season; recent return at Wincanton poses questions.
6th
6
6th (6) (16/1 +11%) Addosh
16
16/1(+11%)
(6) Addosh 16/1, Now 6 lb lower than when scoring at Southwell in summer 2022 but she needs to shrug off a poor run at Market Rasen last time. It was a competitive Class 2 in which she struggled at Market Rasen most recently.
3
3
|F| (3) (11/1 +8%) Simply Red
11
11/1(+8%)
(3) Simply Red 11/1, Enhanced excellent Bangor record with 2 more wins there last month, the latter under today's pilot Charlie Maggs. Respectable sixth of 11 at Market Rasen (2m, good) last month but it underlines she needs more from her current mark. Again keen last time and couldn't get away with it in a Class 2 handicap.
7
7
|PU| (7) (11/1 +8%) Ooh Betty
11
11/1(+8%)
(7) Ooh Betty 11/1, Won maiden/novice hurdles in May and shaped better than the result when third of 5 at Ludlow (21f) 5 months later, weakening as if the run was needed. Drops back in trip now. Went close in a handicap in April but she was 16lb lower then.
8
8
|PU| (8) (18/1 -29%) Princess T
18
18/1(-29%)
(8) Princess T 18/1, Won over hurdles on Jersey in July but more miss than hit since (mostly on the Flat), including back in this sphere at Market Rasen latest. Easy winner of this last year off the same mark; below par of late but can bounce back.
12
12
|PU| (12) (66/1 -100%) Karannelle
66
66/1(-100%)
(12) Karannelle 66/1, Thirteen runs since last win in 2022. Best race of this campaign when narrowly denied at Newton Abbot (17f) in September but well beaten at Worcester since. Consistent but she's hard to win with (3-46) and will do well to win this.
LTO Selection:
BONTTAY went in by over two lengths on her handicap bow when last seen in March and she was given an 8lb rise for that display. The daughter of Westerner should have more to come and she can make a winning return to action. The main danger appears to be Ooh Betty, who could have blown the cobwebs off after a 136-day break at Ludlow last time and should put in a much better bid with Harry Cobden booked. Puffin Bay completes the shortlist after her victory at Wincanton in April.
This looks a competitive race of its type. There should be more to come from BONTTAY this season so she gets the nod, but similar comments apply to Puffin Bay and Jaminska, while Hiconic arrives at the top of her game and is also respected.
There's good reason to believe that GEORGI GIRL might be on a lenient mark for her handicap debut.
(5) Markoon 11/2, Once-raced colt. Fifth of 6 in maiden at Newmarket (7f, good to firm, 6/1) on debut 38 days ago. Looked badly in need of the experience on that occasion and should do better in time. Well bred but ran to a modest level at Newmarket in September (7f); improvement required.
2
6
2nd (6) (4/6 +33%) Midair
0.666667
4/6(+33%)
(6) Midair 4/6, Promising type. Second of 9 in maiden at Goodwood (8f, good to firm, 7/1) 62 days ago, suited by increase in trip. This well-bred colt remains open to improvement and is very much the one to beat. Good 2nd at Goodwood (front 2 clear) over 1m in September; leading claims & more to come.
3
9
3rd (9) (16/1 -60%) Kate The Cook
16
16/1(-60%)
(9) Kate The Cook 16/1, Foaled March 8. Time Test filly. Dam, 1¼m-1¾m winner, half-sister to useful winner up to 1¼m Opera Baron. Yard enjoying a fine season with its 2-y-os and this filly is one to monitor closely in the betting. Dam a useful 1m2f/1m6f winner (RPR 96); yard having fine year; takes on males on debut.
4
8
4th (8) (8/1 -14%) Regimental Code
8
8/1(-14%)
(8) Regimental Code 8/1, Foaled March 9. American Pharoah colt. Dam, US 5.5f winner, half-sister to useful 2-y-o 6f winner American Apple (by American Pharoah). Of obvious interest on debut given that yard he represents, and the market should offer clues with regard to expectations. Good US pedigree; betting usually a good guide with newcomers from this yard.
5th
7
5th (7) (66/1 -230%) Rakki
66
66/1(-230%)
(7) Rakki 66/1, Once-raced gelding. Seventh of 10 in minor event (18/1) at this course (7f) on debut 21 days ago. Likely to be seen in a better light in middle distance handicaps next season. Half-brother to a St Leger winner; promising start here over 7f; longer-term prospect.
6th
4
6th (4) (11/2 +8%) Lord Of Love
5.5
11/2(+8%)
(4) Lord Of Love 11/2, Foaled February 21. Dubawi colt. Dam, winner up to 10.5f (2-y-o 1m winner), half-sister to very smart/ungenuine winner up to 1m (stayed 10.5f) King of Comedy. Respected newcomer from a top yard and the market should be revealing. His brother won on AW recently; dam won French Oaks; of obvious interest on paper.
7th
3
7th (3) (33/1 +0%) Lennox
33
33/1(+0%)
(3) Lennox 33/1, Foaled March 6. €28,000 foal, €72,000 yearling, Muhaarar colt. Dam, 13.3f winner, half-sister to very smart winner up to 7f (stayed 1m) James Garfield out of useful 2-y-o 6f/7f winner Whazzat. Entitled to come on for the run. 72,000euros yearling; dam a 1m5f AW winner from a good family; betting to guide on debut.
8th
2
8th (2) (18/1 +10%) Easy Dancer
18
18/1(+10%)
(2) Easy Dancer 18/1, Foaled April 12. Saxon Warrior colt. Half-brother to useful 1¼m-1½m winner Highland Rocker. Dam, 7f-1½m winner, half-sister to useful 1m winner Dynamic. Likely type on paper and interesting to see what the market has to say. Half-brother to 1m2f/1m4f winner Highland Rocker (RPR 99); dam also useful; check betting.
9th
1
9th (1) (25/1 +38%) Caprelo
25
25/1(+38%)
(1) Caprelo 25/1, Once-raced colt. 20/1, sixth of 7 in minor event at Goodwood (9f, soft) on debut 22 days ago. Probably more one for the longer term. Goodwood 6th (1m1f, soft) not without hope; yard's 2yos often improve markedly for a run.
LTO Selection:
MIDAIR improved on his debut effort at Newmarket to finish second at Goodwood last time and the son of Frankel should have plenty more to come, so he looks the one to beat. The main threat may be Lord Of Love, who is related to plenty of winners and represents powerful connections on his racecourse debut. Any market support would further add to the confidence behind him, while Markoon should improve from his debut effort at Newmarket when fifth and he completes the shortlist.
It may well be a case of third time lucky for MIDAIR, who is bred to be smart and duly left his debut form behind when chasing home an odds-on shot upped to this trip in a maiden at Goodwood, in turn pulling clear of the rest. The others with experience all appear to be long-term projects and it's likely that one of the newcomers will emerge as the main danger, with Lord of Love and Regimental Code the most appealing of them on paper.
Caprelo looks a likely big improver but MIDAIR sets a good standard and he's open to further progress himself.
15:00 Kempton Maiden (Class 4) 8f PREDICTION SIMULATION
(10) Blade Runner 11/2, Winner of 3 of his first 4 starts over fences (all at this track) and, following a couple of spins over hurdles, he produced a career-best when making a winning reappearance in a Chepstow handicap chase (23.6f, heavy) last month. Now 6 lb higher in a tougher race, but he's a big player all the same. 4-5 over fences and three of those wins came at this track; respected.
2
5
2nd (5) (25/1 +38%) I See You Well
25
25/1(+38%)
(5) I See You Well 25/1, Winner of 8 of his 36 starts over fences, the latest in a 6-runner Sandown handicap (3m, good to soft) last December. Reproduction of that form would give him a chance off this mark (2 lb lower than for that success), but mixed bag since and recent reappearance at Exeter wasn't encouraging. Now 2lb lower than for last win but has something to prove and seems best in small fields.
3
13
3rd (13) (4/1 +33%) Midnight Mary
4
4/1(+33%)
(13) Midnight Mary 4/1, Fair winning hurdler who performed well over fences last season, winning at Wetherby before a series of decent efforts in defeat. Stamina probably stretched over 29f at Fakenham on latest start in May and she's not without hope back down in trip here. Still has potential in this sphere and she looks interesting back in trip on return.
4
9
4th (9) (10/1 +29%) Dom Of Mary
10
10/1(+29%)
(9) Dom Of Mary 10/1, Off the mark over fences in Stratford in April, ridden more positively than usual and jumped well. However, not for the first time he didn't look straightforward when fifth of 11 at Uttoxeter the following month. Likely to find one or two too good back from a 6-month break. Still lightly raced over fences but he needs to find more progress on his return.
5th
12
5th (12) (11/4 +54%) Island Run
2.75
11/4(+54%)
(12) Island Run 11/4, Back to winning ways in a handicap hurdle at Wincanton in March and ended last season with a good effort at Kempton. Started this campaign with another solid display in defeat, going close on his chase debut back at Kempton (3m, good), and he has to enter calculations. Kicked off his chase career with a close call at Kempton last month; respected up 2lb.
6th
2
6th (2) (15/2 -25%) Kayf Hernando
7.5
15/2(-25%)
(2) Kayf Hernando 15/2, Stepped forward from his chasing debut when winning at Taunton last November. Improved again when landing a Southwell (24.3f, soft) handicap on latest start in April, making it 2-4 in this sphere. Since undergone a wind op and more needed up 5 lb here, but couldn't rule out further progress. Record of 2-4 over fences and he's open to more progress this season; respected on return.
7th
6
7th (6) (20/1 -100%) Tip Top Mountain
20
20/1(-100%)
(6) Tip Top Mountain 20/1, Enhanced good strike rate over fences (and made it 2-3 here) when landing a 4-runner C&D handicap (soft) on latest start in April. 5 lb rise fair enough and should make his presence felt if ready to roll (won on his seasonal reappearance last season), but this demands a clear personal best. Made it 6-13 over fences when scoring over C&D in final run last term; shortlisted.
8th
7
8th (7) (16/1 -60%) Ballinsker
16
16/1(-60%)
(7) Ballinsker 16/1, Resumed winning ways upped to 3m at Chepstow during the spring, travelling well throughout and jumped with aplomb. Step up to 3¼m may have stretched him at Newton Abbot when last seen in May but, in any case, he looks vulnerable off his present mark in a race this competitive. Triple chase winner but he is exposed in this sphere and has some work to do on return.
9th
11
9th (11) (14/1 -40%) Wake Up Early
14
14/1(-40%)
(11) Wake Up Early 14/1, Recorded third win for this yard at Sedgefield (27f, heavy) in March and placed both starts since, including when a clear second to a progressive type on recent reappearance at Wincanton (25f, soft). Nudged up 3 lb, but that is negated by Cillin Leonard's claim and he has an each-way chance. Four-time chase winner who should go well again but others look stronger.
10th
4
10th (4) (28/1 -12%) Up The Straight
28
28/1(-12%)
(4) Up The Straight 28/1, Bagged a 2½m Sandown handicap chase off a 5 lb higher mark in April 2022, but rather hit-and-miss since. Well held at Fontwell on his reappearance last month and while he's entitled to come on for that (looked rusty), others make more appeal. All of his wins have been at shorter trips and was tailed off on his return last month.
11th
1
11th (1) (9/1 +25%) Wouldubewell
9
9/1(+25%)
(1) Wouldubewell 9/1, Successful twice between the flags and won once from a handful of runs over hurdles. Made it 3-9 over fences when landing a Wincanton handicap (25f, good to soft) on final run of last term. That, like her other 2 chase wins, was in a small field, but she's only gone up 3 lb and goes well fresh. Ended last season with a win and has claims if she can pick up where she left off.
12th
8
12th (8) (14/1 +22%) Sublime Heights
14
14/1(+22%)
(8) Sublime Heights 14/1, Winner of 3 handicap chases in cheekpieces/visor at up to to 25.7f here last term, the latest off 6 lb lower in February. Blinkered when running poorly on return at Stratford (22.6f, good to soft) last month and visor now refitted (also sports a first-time tongue strap). Others look more solid. Three chase wins here but he was pulled up last month and needs to bounce back after that.
LTO Selection:
KAYF HERNANDO took care of his nearest rival by over two lengths when scoring at Southwell in April and he was given a 5lb rise for that victory. The seven-year-old makes his return to action after undergoing wind surgery and he could be the one to beat. Wouldubewell was an easy 12-length winner at Wincanton in the spring and she should have her say off a 3lb higher rating, while Blade Runner is another to consider after his success at Chepstow.
There may well be more to come from BLADE RUNNER, who produced his best effort yet when making a winning reappearance at Chepstow. His record now stands at 4-5 over fences (and 3-5 overall at this course) and this is likely to be a strongly-run affair, which will play to his strengths. Midnight Mary is a solid mare and she is feared most ahead of Island Run, who made a positive start over fences when going close at Kempton. Wouldubewell is also worth considering, along with Kayf Hernando.
Plenty have claims but the vote goes to BLADE RUNNER, who is 4-5 over fences and his first three chase wins came at this track.
(6) School Days Over 9/2, Looked a useful prospect in bumpers, winning at Market Rasen on debut before an excellent second in Cheltenham listed event. Has failed to match that level of form over hurdles, but he was placed in a couple of Irish points and may be seen in a better light now switched to fences. Useful bumper/hurdle form; placed in both points; chase/handicap debut.
2
1
2nd (1) (4/1 +0%) Bagheera Ginge
4
4/1(+0%)
(1) Bagheera Ginge 4/1, Winner of 2 of his 5 starts over hurdles last year and given a well-judged ride from the front when opening chase account at the seventh attempt at Warwick (2½m, good) last month. Hard to grumble with a 4 lb rise and he should make another bold bid. 4lb higher in a deeper race but he's the only one of these with chasing experience.
3
10
3rd (10) (14/1 +0%) Up For Appeal
14
14/1(+0%)
(10) Up For Appeal 14/1, Fair form in bumpers when in Ireland. Stepped up on previous hurdling efforts to score at Stratford (16.3f, good) in August, but no further progress when only third of 6 at Worcester since. Improvement needed now upped in trip for this chase debut. Will need to be a better chaser than hurdler to win this on his first attempt.
4
8
4th (8) (8/1 +43%) No No Tango
8
8/1(+43%)
(8) No No Tango 8/1, Fair form in maiden/novice hurdles and made the frame all 3 starts in handicap company. Has undergone a wind op since latest start in March and could have a part to play for in-form yard if his jumping holds up now switched to the larger obstacles. Remained a maiden over hurdles but ran well in all three handicaps.
5th
4
5th (4) (4/1 +53%) Dream In The Park
4
4/1(+53%)
(4) Dream In The Park 4/1, Improved when switched to handicaps over hurdles last term, back-to-back winner at around 19f at Stratford and Ascot last October. Well below par at Fontwell on latest start on Boxing Day, but will be a threat if all is well and, of course, his jumping passes the test now tackling fences. Goes chasing off a perfectly good mark and has a pointing background.
6th
2
6th (2) (4/1 +27%) Sporting Mike
4
4/1(+27%)
(2) Sporting Mike 4/1, Point winner who achieved a fairly useful level of form over hurdles last season, winner of a Stratford handicap 12 months ago and solid second in a Bangor novice (23f, good to firm) on latest start in April. Should be in the mix if taking to fences, particularly if the ground is good or firmer. Consistent hurdler and a winning pointer who should be every bit as effective over fences.
5
5
|PU| (5) (9/2 +50%) Hermes Boy
4.5
9/2(+50%)
(5) Hermes Boy 9/2, Looked a horse to follow when landing an Exeter novice in December 2021, and twice made the frame in handicaps off higher marks at Sandown and Uttoxeter last December. However, well below par all 3 starts since the turn of the year and hard to know what to expect of him on this chase debut. Chase newcomer and this mark is very fair on flashes of his form.
LTO Selection:
Bagheera Ginge got off the mark over fences at the seventh time of asking at Warwick in October and a 4lb rise in the ratings shouldn't prevent another bold bid. Preference, however, is for chasing debutant SCHOOL DAYS OVER, who boasts a pointing background. The Fergal O'Brien-trained gelding has displayed enough ability over hurdles to suggest that his current mark isn't beyond him in this sphere. Strapping six-year-old Big Blue Moon warrants closer inspection now tackling larger obstacles.
Arguably the one with the greatest potential is PIMLICO POINT, who was a winner of his sole point start and there's substance to the form of his Chepstow hurdles debut success. He was reported to have suffered with a breathing problem when disappointing on his latest appearance and, having since undergone a wind op, he may well get back on track now switched to fences. Bagheera Ginge, the only one of these with experience over fences and a winner last time, is feared most ahead of Sporting Mike.
Kerry Lee's PIMLICO POINT is temptingly treated on the form of his novice hurdle win and he might be the answer to an open chase.
(3) Lion's Pride 10/3, Lightly-raced winner. Course winner in July. Bit below form 7 lengths third of 6 to Tregony in listed race at Newmarket (12f, good to firm, 5/2) 38 days ago. Still early days and he merits respect back on the AW. Course win (1m3f) in July is strong form; not fully exposed and he is of some interest.
2
4
2nd (4) (4/9 +34%) Measured Time
0.444444
4/9(+34%)
(4) Measured Time 4/9, Course winner. 3 wins from 3 runs. Won 5-runner handicap (8/15) at Newmarket (10f, good to firm) 73 days ago, soon clear. Remains a colt of serious potential and likely to take this step up in class in his stride. 3-3, winning two over 1m here before easy h'cap win at Newmarket; should stay; big chance.
3
1
3rd (1) (14/1 -40%) Belloccio
14
14/1(-40%)
(1) Belloccio 14/1, Smart gelding. C&D winner. 50/1, 6½ lengths fourth of 7 to Bay Bridge in September Stakes at this C&D 58 days ago. May prove vulnerable under a penalty against the 3-y-os. These are his conditions but he's taking on some promising 3yos; tactical race a worry.
4
2
4th (2) (10/1 -67%) Blanchland
10
10/1(-67%)
(2) Blanchland 10/1, Smart colt. Career best when winning 12-runner handicap at Newcastle (12.4f, 18/1) 20 days ago. Well worth his place back in listed company and, provided that he proves equally effective on polytrack, he won't go down without a fight. Group 3-placed at two; back to form with 1m4f handicap win latest; more to come.
LTO Selection:
MEASURED TIME has a perfect record after three starts and he has been sent off favourite for each of those victories. The son of Frankel is now rated 101 after going up 10lb for a smooth victory on his handicap bow at Newmarket last time but he could improve further for this step up in trip and he is a confident selection. C&D winner Belloccio could put up the biggest fight as this is an easier assignment than his fourth behind Bay Bridge in a Group 3 in September. Lion's Pride can beat Blanchland home for third after his third at Listed level last time.
The unbeaten MEASURED TIME is an exciting prospect judged on what he's shown in winning a couple of 1m novice events here and, most recently, a Newmarket handicap over 1¼m. He looks more than ready for this step up in class/trip and is taken to continue his ascent. Blanchland got back on track and made it 2-2 on the all-weather when landing a Newcastle handicap recently, and he gets the nod ahead of Lion's Pride for forecast purposes.
The unbeaten MEASURED TIME faces a stiffer test of his credentials at this level but he's looked hugely promising and can make it 4-4.
(8) West End Boy 8/13, Left last season's novice efforts well behind when making a successful handicap debut at Wincanton (2m, soft) 8 days ago. That was a conditional jockeys' event so he escapes a penalty here. His claims are obvious. Won comfortably by 10l on recent handicap debut and escapes a penalty here.
2
3
2nd (3) (6/1 +14%) Parc D'Amour
6
6/1(+14%)
(3) Parc D'Amour 6/1, Bumper winner who has run to a fair level over hurdles without getting his head in front, performing creditably back from 5 months off when third of 6 at Huntingdon (2m) last month. Tongue tied first time here. Tends to race too freely but has made the frame on five of his six hurdling starts.
3
2
3rd (2) (20/1 -150%) Spartan Army
20
20/1(-150%)
(2) Spartan Army 20/1, Fairly useful juvenile hurdler last season, winning twice. Arrives fit from a run on the Flat last month but his opening handicap mark in this sphere isn't obviously generous. 2-5 as a juvenile hurdler last season and could still have more to offer.
4
7
4th (7) (16/1 -14%) Tara Iti
16
16/1(-14%)
(7) Tara Iti 16/1, Recorded a career best when winning 7-runner handicap hurdle at Fontwell in June. First outing since then when unseating 3 out in a C&D handicap 14 days ago, shaken up and still off the pace at the time. On back foot when unseating rider here last month and remains on career-high mark.
5th
1
5th (1) (18/1 -29%) Hecouldbetheone
18
18/1(-29%)
(1) Hecouldbetheone 18/1, Won novice hurdles at Fontwell and here (20.5f) for Gary Moore in 2021/22 but has been absent for 19 months ahead of this handicap debut for new trainer Chris Gordon. Betting perhaps the best guide to expectations given the length of the lay-off. Promising novice for Gary Moore in 2021-22; makes stable/handicap debut after long layoff.
6th
5
6th (5) (10/3 -48%) Western Soldier
3.333333
10/3(-48%)
(5) Western Soldier 10/3, Useful on the Flat in Germany. Struck at the second time of asking over hurdles in a C&D novice last month and has plenty of scope from this opening hurdle mark judged on his Flat ability. Smart on the Flat; easy winner of recent C&D maiden; could be on very lenient mark.
7th
6
7th (6) (200/1 -400%) Sniper Point
200
200/1(-400%)
(6) Sniper Point 200/1, Showed fairly useful form when winning 17f claiming hurdle at Cagner-Sur-Mer on final start for Hugo Merienn in January but well below that level in 2 novice hurdles for this yard in the spring. Has plenty to prove on reappearance. Won in France in January; both British runs towards end of last season were underwhelming.
LTO Selection:
WEST END BOY took a big step forward when winning easily on his handicap debut at Wincanton eight days ago and the son of Westerner is extremely hard to oppose as he does not have to carry a penalty for that conditional jockeys' handicap success. Western Soldier also arrives here on the back of an impressive victory and he should not be discounted, while Parc d'Amour is another to note.
It's tough to ignore the claims of WEST END BOY, who escapes a penalty for his ready handicap debut success at Wincanton recently and Freddie Gingell can use his full 7 lb allowance this time. C&D novice winner Western Solo is comfortably the most interesting of the remainder as an opening handicap hurdle mark of 106 is lenient based on the level of form he attained on the Flat in Germany.
A talented Flat racer when trained in Germany, WESTERN SOLDIER (nap) won a recent C&D maiden hurdle with considerable ease.
(8) Molly's Third Man 33/1, Didn't offer enough in 2 bumpers in the spring to suggest she's likely to strike on hurdling debut. Beaten 40l and 17l in his two bumpers on good to soft ground.
1
1
1st (1) (8/15 +34%) Fiveonefive
0.533333
8/15(+34%)
(1) Fiveonefive 8/15, Much improved switched to handicaps, making up considerable ground to double his tally at Cartmel (17f) in July. Shaped as if still in top form when 10 lengths third in Welsh Champion Hurdle at Ffos Las last time and a bold show looks assured back in a handicap. Dual handicap winner who returns to novice company in a race lacking depth.
2
7
2nd (7) (11/4 -22%) Johnny Blue
2.75
11/4(-22%)
(7) Johnny Blue 11/4, Overcame greenness to make a winning bumper debut at Worcester in June. Muich respected now hurdling for his top stable. The second has won since but it was still an ordinary bumper he won during the summer.
3
9
3rd (9) (20/1 +20%) Muskoka
20
20/1(+20%)
(9) Muskoka 20/1, Closely related to 3 winners and showed a fair level of ability in bumpers earlier in the year. One to note in the betting now hurdling after 6 months off. Finished closer in each of his bumpers, last time going down by about 10l at Huntingdon.
4
11
4th (11) (10/1 -11%) Omaha Wish
10
10/1(-11%)
(11) Omaha Wish 10/1, Point winner who was third on the first of 2 starts in bumpers and filled the same position on last month's hurdle debut after a break, albeit she again looked a bit ungainly under pressure. Improved on her bumper efforts when third in a small-field novice hurdle at Bangor.
5th
6
5th (6) (100/1 -150%) Grandmaster Flash
100
100/1(-150%)
(6) Grandmaster Flash 100/1, Fairly useful stayer at best on the Flat but below that level of late. This quite a belated hurdle debut. High mileage on the Flat with a record of 3-22 on the AW and 0-15 on turf.
6th
4
6th (4) (125/1 -25%) Deadlock
125
125/1(-25%)
(4) Deadlock 125/1, Fair form on Flat but last of 4 in novice at Aintree on hurdle debut in May and well held on return at Ludlow 11 days ago. Beaten 16l in a 1m4f AW maiden for this yard and it's been a quiet start over hurdles.
7th
13
7th (13) (250/1 -67%) Tara Vango
250
250/1(-67%)
(13) Tara Vango 250/1, 66/1 and hooded, last of 6 in bumper at Uttoxeter (2m, good to soft) on debut 101 days ago. Makes hurdles debut. 66-1 for a Uttoxeter bumper in July and he finished a tailed-off last of six.
2
2
|PU| (2) (8/1 +50%) Gaius
8
8/1(+50%)
(2) Gaius 8/1, :Fairly useful Flat winner for Richard Hannon and off the mark over hurdles in a 2m Worcester maiden in June. Well-held sixth in a handicap there last time, though, and likely vulnerable under a penalty back in a novice. Worcester winner during the summer who looks vulnerable with his penalty.
3
3
|PU| (3) (150/1 -50%) Beau Nash
150
150/1(-50%)
(3) Beau Nash 150/1, AW Flat winner for the Gosden stable in 2020 but well held in 3 comeback runs for this yard. Outsider on hurdle debut. Impossible to fancy on what he's shown in three Flat starts for this yard.
LTO Selection:
The 125-rated FIVEONEFIVE brings some solid handicap hurdle form to this novice contest and the son of Dylan Thomas is taken to concede 12lb to chief rival Johnny Blue. Nicky Henderson's gelding showed a willing attitude when prevailing by a neck on his debut in a bumper at Worcester in June, which should stand him in good stead going forward. Omaha Wish may prove more competitive once receiving a mark. Nevertheless, the five-year-old may fill the remaining place now returning to 2m.
FIVEONEFIVE brings some quite useful handicap form into this novice and is the percentage call, although market confidence behind Nicky Henderson bumper winner Johnny Blue would put a slightly different slant on things.
Denis O'Regan bids to complete the full set of winners on British and Irish racecourses and FIVEONEFIVE (nap) looks just the ticket.
15:50 Hereford Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION
(1) Max Mayhem 4/1, Made winning start for current yard at this C&D in April. However, followed good run with a below-par one when eighth of 10 in handicap at Ascot (12f, good, 6/1) 86 days ago. Could bounce back returned to all-weather. Won good C&D h'cap in April; mixed in 1m4f turf handicaps since; could rate higher on AW.
2
6
2nd (6) (16/1 +0%) Andaleep
16
16/1(+0%)
(6) Andaleep 16/1, Better than ever when scoring at York in July. Step back in right direction when sixth of 13 in handicap at this C&D (22/1) 40 days ago, caught too far back. Interesting contender racing off his lower mark on all-weather. Much lower mark on AW than turf but he's 0-17 in this sphere; others are more appealing.
3
4
3rd (4) (6/1 +25%) Capital Theory
6
6/1(+25%)
(4) Capital Theory 6/1, Back to best when winning at Ayr in September and ran respectably when sixth of 12 in handicap (11/1) at Newcastle (12.4f) 20 days ago. Can give his running again. Four AW wins at other tracks; turf win in September was followed by midfield finish latest.
4
8
4th (8) (10/1 -43%) Liseo
10
10/1(-43%)
(8) Liseo 10/1, Off the mark at Chelmsford City in September and backed up that effort when fourth of 9 in handicap (14/1) at Windsor (10f, good to soft) 3 weeks ago. Could be thereabouts once more. AW winner in September (1m2f) and ran well enough on turf latest; improvement required.
5th
11
5th (11) (15/2 +32%) Jack Sparowe
7.5
15/2(+32%)
(11) Jack Sparowe 15/2, Two wins from 5 runs this year, including at this C&D in September. Shaped as if still in form when third of 10 in handicap at Bath (10.2f, soft, 11/4) 35 days ago, but will need to resume progress as he goes up in grade. C&D win in September can be upgraded & should win more races; 3lb out of the weights here.
6th
7
6th (7) (33/1 -136%) Maso Bastie
33
33/1(-136%)
(7) Maso Bastie 33/1, Made a winning reappearance at Nottingham in May. However, well-beaten twelfth of 13 in handicap at this C&D (5/1) 40 days ago. Blinkers applied as he makes first run for yard after leaving James Fanshawe. Won 2 of his 7 runs for J Fanshawe; sold 37,000gns since latest start; new headgear today.
7th
10
7th (10) (28/1 -133%) Duke Of Oxford
28
28/1(-133%)
(10) Duke Of Oxford 28/1, Failed to build on promise of previous run when ninth of 12 in handicap (4/1) at this course (12f) 19 days ago, finding little. Tongue strap now fitted. Won first two starts but subsequent efforts more miss than hit; now tried in a tongue-tie.
8th
12
8th (12) (12/1 +0%) Wadacre Gomez
12
12/1(+0%)
(12) Wadacre Gomez 12/1, Made all at Chelmsford City in August and has run well both starts since, fourth of 13 in handicap (5/2) at this course (12f) 12 days ago. Tougher ask to repeat the same tactics in this contest, though. No obvious reason he'd reverse C&D form with Jack Sparowe & even that wouldn't be enough.
9th
9
9th (9) (6/1 +40%) Tenerife Sunshine
6
6/1(+40%)
(9) Tenerife Sunshine 6/1, Made a winning return at this C&D in August. Excuses both starts since, unsuited by conditions when eighth of 11 in handicap at York (13.8f, heavy, 16/1) 24 days ago. Back down in trip with visor on 1st time. Beat Maso Bastie over C&D on belated reappearance; less good on turf since; visored now.
10th
2
10th (2) (4/1 +0%) Graignes
4
4/1(+0%)
(2) Graignes 4/1, C&D winner in June. Shaped better than result when fifteenth of 34 in Cambridgeshire (80/1) at Newmarket (9f, good to firm) 37 days ago, not ideally placed. Had been in good form previously so he's a major player. Fair run in the Cambridgeshire; unexposed & progressive on AW; W Buick 1-1 on him.
11th
3
11th (3) (10/1 +17%) Savvy Knight
10
10/1(+17%)
(3) Savvy Knight 10/1, Successful here (12f) in June. Left a below-par effort on turf behind when fifth of 7 in handicap (7/1) at Newcastle (12.4f) 35 days ago. Will need to build on his latest effort as he goes back up in grade. Conditions no problem and feasibly weighted on this year's best; easy lead unlikely today.
12th
5
12th (5) (18/1 -112%) Civil Law
18
18/1(-112%)
(5) Civil Law 18/1, Unproven on testing ground but not discredited when fifth of 7 in handicap at Newbury (10f, heavy, 25/1) 45 days ago. Could go well back on all-weather having dropped to 2 lb below his last winning mark. Not beaten far on last AW run but form dipped on turf latest; others stronger for the win.
LTO Selection:
GRAIGNES is a previous C&D winner who finished in midfield in the Cambridgeshire at Newmarket in September and, based on his last effort on the all-weather at Southwell earlier that month, he looks feasibly treated. William Buick is an eye-catching booking and he could return to winning ways. The main threat appears to be Capital Theory, who was dropped 1lb for his sixth at Newcastle on his latest outing and should go well. Of the remainder, top-weight Max Mayhem makes the most appeal.
The series final can go the way of GRAIGNES, who had been holding his form well prior to racing in the unfavoured far-side group in the Cambridgeshire last time. He is taken to see off the challenge of Liseo, who can give another good account back on all-weather, while C&D winner Max Mayhem is another to consider returned to polytrack.
Jack Sparowe can go well despite being out of the weights but MAX MAYHEM impressed here in the spring and can defy top weight.
(6) Baddesley 11/2, Off the mark over hurdles at seventh attempt when making virtually in a C&D handicap last November. Creditable third in a first-time visor (omitted here) back here during the spring and it was in a stronger race than this that he struggled at Market Rasen next time. Unreliable and has fitness to prove but runs this track well; can't be ruled out.
2
3
2nd (3) (10/3 +17%) Copshill Lad
3.333333
10/3(+17%)
(3) Copshill Lad 10/3, Yet to really build on the promise of his impressive bumper success, but he has shown a fair level of ability in this sphere. Reappearance third in a handicap at Exeter (18.5f, good) was creditable and he merits respect off 1 lb lower here. 0-6 over hurdles but ran well last month, after a break, and this slower ground will suit.
3
5
3rd (5) (22/1 +21%) Ragamuffin
22
22/1(+21%)
(5) Ragamuffin 22/1, Three-time chase winner in 2022 and posted easily his best effort so far this year when runner-up in a handicap hurdle at Worcester (2½m, good to soft) in August. Failed to build on that both subsequent starts, though, and needs to bounce back. Didn't fire at Sedgefield last month and is probably best suited by good ground.
4
4
4th (4) (22/1 +12%) Poker Master
22
22/1(+12%)
(4) Poker Master 22/1, Won 3 on the bounce during 2021/22 campaign and progressed again on first 2 starts of last season, landing back-to-back 20.7f handicaps at Huntingdon. However, returns to action with a point to prove having failed to fire at Ffos Las when last seen during the spring. Won five times in 2022 but absent since a poor run in February.
5th
2
5th (2) (13/2 -44%) Heross Du Seuil
6.5
13/2(-44%)
(2) Heross Du Seuil 13/2, Left first 3 runs for this yard behind when successful at Uttoxeter (2½m, soft) in September and backed it up when narrowly denied at Southwell last month. Wasn't disgraced at Carlisle since, but it could be that the handicapper now has his measure. Back in good form this autumn, albeit had pretty hard race when fifth last time.
6th
10
6th (10) (7/1 +7%) Dylan's Double
7
7/1(+7%)
(10) Dylan's Double 7/1, Shaped well on hurdles debut in an Exeter novice in January. Failed to build on that in 2 subsequent starts, but it would be no surprise were he to take a step forward now upped in trip for this handicap debut. Watch the betting. Showed only minor promise in 2m novice/maiden hurdles; possible improver on handicap debut.
7th
1
7th (1) (9/2 -50%) Godot
4.5
9/2(-50%)
(1) Godot 9/2, Opened hurdles account in C&D maiden during the spring and improved when following up in a Kempton handicap (21f, good to soft) in May. Resumes on just a 3 lb higher mark and, with further improvement on the cards, he's high on the shortlist. Signed off with two wins in spring (one over C&D); obvious contender if still in same form.
8th
11
8th (11) (12/1 +0%) Executive Pool
12
12/1(+0%)
(11) Executive Pool 12/1, Fair Flat winner who got off the mark in this sphere in 2m Hereford handicap in April. Not disgraced when fifth here (15.9f, good to firm) following month, but will need to have improved during the summer if he's to make a winning return in this contest. Got his act together at Hereford in April but off since lesser effort here in May.
9th
8
9th (8) (22/1 +45%) Pilbara
22
22/1(+45%)
(8) Pilbara 22/1, Twice successful in this sphere for Emmet Mullins on the other side of the Irish Sea in 2020. Sole win for this yard was gained off a significantly higher mark over fences at Fontwell in October 2021, but it's been a struggle since and he needs to bounce back in a major way. Well handicapped on old form but never really got going last season; back from break.
10th
9
10th (9) (18/1 +55%) Highlander Casseul
18
18/1(+55%)
(9) Highlander Casseul 18/1, Fair ex-Irish maiden hurdler, but safely held both starts for present yard and it's easy enough to look elsewhere. Ex-Irish maiden; well beaten in two 2m4f handicap hurdles for new stable this season.
7
7
|PU| (7) (15/2 -25%) Beat The Heat
7.5
15/2(-25%)
(7) Beat The Heat 15/2, Bagged 3 handicap hurdles at Fontwell in 2022 and, fit from the Flat (winner at Bath at the end of August), he put in a good shift when third of 12 back there (19.2f, good) last month. Needs to raise his game touch in order to take this, but he's one to consider nonetheless. Won three times at Fontwell in 2022 and was good third off 1lb higher there last month.
LTO Selection:
The hat-trick seeking Godot has to be of interest on his return to action but marginal preference is for COPSHILL LAD. Milton Harris' gelding caught the eye when staying on over 2m2f at Exeter last month and he should benefit from this extra couple of furlongs. Beat The Heat is another with strong form claims in a race of this nature, while Dylan's Double should not be discounted on his handicap bow.
The vote goes to GODOT, who got his act together with back-to-back wins during the spring and, with the prospect of better to come from this 6-y-o, he makes plenty of appeal. Fellow C&D winner Baddesley has something of a patchy record, but he's certainly capable of a bold show off this mark and is next on the list ahead of Copshill Lad and interesting handicap debutant Dylan's Double. Beat The Heat is also worthy of a mention in what looks a pretty competitive heat.
He's yet to win over hurdles but COPSHILL LAD is a big player if judged on how well he ran before falling at Fakenham in May.
(10) Jukebox D'eddy 14/1, Improved effort over hurdles when going close on 2m Wetherby handicap debut (good to soft) in March. Not in the same form next 2 starts, though, and improvement needed now that his attention is turned to the larger obstacles. Best run over hurdles when 2nd at Wetherby in March, but not so good since; chase debut.
1
4
1st (4) (11/2 +35%) Extraordinary Man
5.5
11/2(+35%)
(4) Extraordinary Man 11/2, Fair maiden over hurdles who offered some promise initially over fences, second in a 3-runner affair on chase debut at Leicester in February. Hasn't made much of an impact since, though, including back over hurdles the last twice. 0-15; not run to his best this year (failed to finish on both starts over fences).
2
5
2nd (5) (11/1 +8%) Abaya Du Mathan
11
11/1(+8%)
(5) Abaya Du Mathan 11/1, Dual winner of 19.4f handicap chases for David Pipe at Ffos Las this year, the latest a decisive all-the-way success on good ground in June. Now 3 lb below that winning mark, but with good reason (well below par in 4 subsequent starts) and needs to get back on track for new yard here. Eight chase wins (last in June); sold £4,000 since; headgear switch; chance on yard debut.
3
1
3rd (1) (15/2 +63%) Moytier
7.5
15/2(+63%)
(1) Moytier 15/2, Produced much his best effort on these shores when second in a 6-runner Warwick maiden hurdle (19f, good to firm) in May. However, well held back in handicap company on return at Wincanton and he's opposable on this chase debut. Placed three times over hurdles at up to 2m3f; goes chasing after a low-key comeback run.
4
11
4th (11) (8/1 +43%) Cobbs Corner
8
8/1(+43%)
(11) Cobbs Corner 8/1, Improved again when getting off the mark in handicap hurdle Fakenham last October, but that wasn't a particularly strong race and he signed off last season on a downer. Opposable on chase debut. Won novice handicap hurdle last autumn but not been out since February; chase debut.
5th
9
5th (9) (10/3 -48%) Gone In Sixty
3.333333
10/3(-48%)
(9) Gone In Sixty 10/3, Remains a maiden, but he is going the right way over fences, judged on his near miss in a handicap at Fontwell (17.8f, good) where he pulled well clear of the rest. 3 lb rise fair and likely to make a bold bid to go one better here. 0-16, but placed eight times; good claims having run creditably all three starts chasing.
6th
6
6th (6) (28/1 -180%) My Little Toni
28
28/1(-180%)
(6) My Little Toni 28/1, Sole success over hurdles came in a 3-runner Sedgefield novice last September, but she has failed to build on that since and performed to a poor level on last month's chase debut. Fair hurdler who was a fair fifth of 7 on chase debut last month (pulled hard); a possible.
7th
12
7th (12) (3/1 +45%) Pencil
3
3/1(+45%)
(12) Pencil 3/1, Failed to trouble the judge over hurdles and on first 2 starts in this sphere. However, better effort when third in a 9-runner Bangor handicap chase (17.4f, soft) on return last month and should be in the mix off the same mark here. Maiden; creditable third in Bangor novice handicap chase last time; one with a chance.
8th
2
8th (2) (8/1 +0%) Herecomeshogan
8
8/1(+0%)
(2) Herecomeshogan 8/1, Dual hurdles winner at 18.5f last year, but not been in same form since and poor effort on sole completed start in this sphere to date. Dual hurdle winner in 2022 but rather disappointing since including on both chase starts.
9th
7
9th (7) (66/1 -164%) Great Threat
66
66/1(-164%)
(7) Great Threat 66/1, Showed fair form at best in 2 hurdle/chase starts in France, but he was struggling a long way out and eventually tailed off on recent British debut over hurdles at Newton Abbot. Ex-French; 3rd over fences in July but tailed off in novice hurdle (heavy) on stable debut.
10th
8
10th (8) (11/1 +31%) Bertie's Bandana
11
11/1(+31%)
(8) Bertie's Bandana 11/1, Poor maiden hurdler and hopes firmly pinned on the switch to fences sparking significant improvement back from an 8-month absence. Modest hurdler, including in three handicaps; needs to improve for this switch to fences.
LTO Selection:
Gone In Sixty posted his best effort over fences when a close-up second at Fontwell last month and the six-year-old is likely to be in the shake-up once more off only 3lb higher in the handicap. PENCIL, however, just edges the vote after a promising third on his seasonal bow at Bangor last time out. Nicky Martin's gelding competes off the same rating in this contest and a breakthrough victory could be on the horizon, while Extraordinary Man and Fanfan Du Seuil could also feature prominently.
This looks like a good opportunity for GONE IN SIXTY, who went down narrowly at Fontwell last month, and a mere reproduction of that would probably be good enough to see him home in front here. Fanfan du Seuil has slipped to a dangerous mark and will be a threat if ready to roll back in this sphere following an 11-month absence, while Pencil is also accorded respect on the back of an improved effort at Bangor.
Eight-time chase winner ABAYA DU MATHAN makes his debut for Gary Hanmer and is taken to beat Pencil and Gone In Sixty.
(7) English Spirit 2/1, C&D winner. 10/1, eighth of 11 in handicap at Lingfield (1¼m) 10 days ago. Back on a good mark but needs to stage a revival. Both wins have been here, latest in March; below par last time but could bounce back.
2
3
2nd (3) (10/3 +5%) Hey Lyla
3.333333
10/3(+5%)
(3) Hey Lyla 10/3, Back to winning ways in 8-runner handicap at Chelmsford (1m) 9 days ago. Should remain competitive after a 3 lb rise. Inconsistent; back to form to win at Chelmsford last time; 3lb higher; chance on that form.
3
2
3rd (2) (5/1 +69%) Equion
5
5/1(+69%)
(2) Equion 5/1, C&D winner in June and went in again at Nottingham in August. Below form fifth of 14 in handicap (10/1) at Windsor (1m, heavy) 14 days ago. Two wins this year including over C&D; below par the last twice but could bounce back.
4
8
4th (8) (50/1 -150%) Blue Hero
50
50/1(-150%)
(8) Blue Hero 50/1, Four wins at Bath this summer but recent efforts disappointing. Dual turf winner in July but mainly disappointing since (including here); 0-15 on the AW.
5th
1
5th (1) (13/2 +59%) Masqool
6.5
13/2(+59%)
(1) Masqool 13/2, C&D winner. Latest win at Nottingham in May. 8/1, below form fifth of 10 in handicap at Bath (1¼m, soft) 35 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Well beaten last time (heavy) but two fair efforts on AW prior to that; a possible.
6th
9
6th (9) (14/1 +13%) Masterpainter
14
14/1(+13%)
(9) Masterpainter 14/1, 18/1, good third of 10 in handicap at Southwell (1m) 39 days ago, never nearer. One to consider. 1m winner on turf last season; creditable third on Tapeta on AW debut; could go well.
7th
10
7th (10) (100/1 -300%) Olympic Quest
100
100/1(-300%)
(10) Olympic Quest 100/1, Fair form at up to 1m for Clive Cox. Has left that yard since finishing fifth of 8 over 6f here in May. Watching brief is the percentage call. Fair form for Clive Cox although sold for just 1,000gns in July; makes her stable debut.
8th
4
8th (4) (10/1 -150%) Green Power
10
10/1(-150%)
(4) Green Power 10/1, In good form at Kempton last month, winning then second (both 1m). Also effective on the surface here. Should go well again. Back from a break with 2 good runs at Kempton last month; 7lb higher than last win; chance.
9th
11
9th (11) (100/1 -100%) Flame Of Kodiac
100
100/1(-100%)
(11) Flame Of Kodiac 100/1, C&D winner for the Gosden stable in March but has failed to reproduce that since, including 2 outings for this yard. C&D winner for the Gosdens in March; disappointing since including both runs for this yard.
10th
5
10th (5) (12/1 -380%) Eagle Eyed Tom
12
12/1(-380%)
(5) Eagle Eyed Tom 12/1, Improved to make his second handicap start a winning one at Beverley (8.5f) in August (final start for Charlie Hills). Unexposed now setting out for new trainer Ian Williams. Big player. In good form when last seen out in August; hood tried on debut for new yard; chance.
11th
6
11th (6) (11/1 +45%) Eagle One
11
11/1(+45%)
(6) Eagle One 11/1, Course winner. Thirteen runs since last win in 2021. Respectable seventh of 12 in handicap (18/1) at Kempton (1½m) 26 days ago, needing stronger gallop. Down significantly in trip. His two wins have been over 1m4f and 1m6f; fair 3rd over 1m4f here in June; trip a concern.
LTO Selection:
Eagle Eyed Tom struck by just over a length at Beverley when last seen in August and he has to be respected on his first start for the Ian Williams stable, despite a 5lb hike. However, preference is for HEY LYLA, who got up to score by half a length at Chelmsford last month and she was only given a 3lb rise for that success, which may not be enough to prevent the double. Masterpainter finished a fair third at Southwell last time and is another to note.
Beverley-winner EAGLE EYED TOM stands out as an unexposed sort in this field and is taken to strike at the first time of asking for Ian Williams. Green Power arrives at the top of his game and is second choice ahead of Masterpainter.
The in-form GREEN POWER is taken to win his second race of the year with Eagle Eyed Tom and Masterpainter likely dangers.
(4) Mount Athos 7/4, Dual C&D winner. Step back in right direction when fourth of 9 in handicap at Thirsk (7f, good to soft, 4/1) 66 days ago. Not taken lightly back at this venue having been gelded since his last outing. Front-runner; 2-2 over C&D; gelded since last seen; may not have reached his ceiling yet.
2
6
2nd (6) (6/1 +14%) Aratus
6
6/1(+14%)
(6) Aratus 6/1, Won at this C&D on sole start on all-weather. After 13 months off (had another wind op), looked hard ride when tenth of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f, 2/1) 10 days ago. Hood now reached for. Couldn't reward heavy support on his return 10 days ago; hood a good move; dangerous mark.
3
1
3rd (1) (13/2 +7%) Juan Les Pins
6.5
13/2(+7%)
(1) Juan Les Pins 13/2, Course winner whose latest success came at Nottingham in June. As good as ever on his last 2 starts, 1¼ lengths fourth of 10 to Annaf in Bengough Stakes at Ascot (6f, good to firm, 12/1) a month ago. Enters calculations. Improved again in recent months; lofty mark as a consequence and just 1-17 over this trip.
4
7
4th (7) (7/1 +30%) Larado
7
7/1(+30%)
(7) Larado 7/1, Ran up to best under an enterprising ride when second of 10 in handicap at this course (1m, 50/1) 12 days ago, though hung badly left home turn. Faces tougher task from 2 lb out of the weights. Ran well over 1m here 12 days ago (blew the home turn); 4lb higher and needs more.
5th
3
5th (3) (3/1 +25%) Tacarib Bay
3
3/1(+25%)
(3) Tacarib Bay 3/1, Raced freely when seventeenth of 20 in Golden Mile Handicap at Goodwood (1m, soft, 8/1) in August. Remains lightly raced on all-weather and could be ready to return to winning ways back down in trip. Ascot sixth in July (easy winner of his group) makes him of some interest in this field.
6th
5
6th (5) (14/1 +0%) Stone Soldier
14
14/1(+0%)
(5) Stone Soldier 14/1, C&D winner. After 12 months off, ran well making his first start since leaving Archie Watson when second of 11 in handicap at Chester (7f, soft, 10/1) 52 days ago. Could build on his reappearance run back on all-weather. C&D winner for James Given; promising start for new yard in September; higher AW mark.
7th
2
7th (2) (22/1 -120%) Lord Of The Lodge
22
22/1(-120%)
(2) Lord Of The Lodge 22/1, Run best excused when fifth of 8 in handicap (12/1) at Newcastle (7.1f) in July, doing too much too soon. Remains 2 lb above his last winning mark, though, as he returns from 4 months off (has been gelded). Useful front-runner on AW; can go well fresh and he has the ability to feature.
LTO Selection:
STONE SOLDIER filled second place on his belated seasonal return at Chester in September and it would be no surprise to see him go one better with the benefit of that outing. Tacarib Bay has been highly tried this season and it would be no surprise to see him go well in a race of this nature, while Mount Athos and Larado are others to note.
Back up in trip, TACARIB BAY raced too freely when running below-par at the Goodwood Festival when last seen, but returned to 7f/all-weather he can bounce back to land a first success of the year. Mount Athos has won both of his starts at this C&D and is respected on the back of a gelding operation, with Juan Les Pins the pick of the remainder.
A good-quality handicap in which TACARIB BAY (nap) may finally be able to exploit what looks a manageable mark.
(3) Flatley 5/1, Course winner. Respectable fourth of 11 in handicap at this course (7f, 7/2) 34 days ago, never nearer. Up in trip. Only win was over 7f here; good second on only previous run over C&D; worth considering.
2
2
2nd (2) (15/2 -50%) Al Baahy
7.5
15/2(-50%)
(2) Al Baahy 15/2, One win from 21 Flat runs. Winner at Wetherby in May. 7/2 and cheekpieces on first time, respectable third of 8 in handicap at Lingfield (7f) 11 days ago. Back up in trip. Respected. 7f turf winner in May and some fair runs since including on the AW; first run at 1m plus.
3
5
3rd (5) (11/2 -22%) Wadacre Grace
5.5
11/2(-22%)
(5) Wadacre Grace 11/2, Third win of the year when holding on gamely at Kempton (1m) 12 days ago. Should remain very competitive after only a 2 lb nudge. All four wins on the AW, the latest at Kempton 12 days ago; capable of going well again.
4
9
4th (9) (16/1 -60%) Harbour Vision
16
16/1(-60%)
(9) Harbour Vision 16/1, Three-time C&D winner, snapping a losing run dating back to last autumn when edging ahead near the finish here 16 days ago. Respected up 2 lb. Back to form to win over C&D last time (tongue tie back on); chance off 2lb higher mark.
5th
1
5th (1) (15/2 -15%) King Triton
7.5
15/2(-15%)
(1) King Triton 15/2, Has largely struggled in recent times, a switch to tapeta failing to spark an uplift last time. Hard to be confident about but this is a drop in class and he's one to note in the betting. Only win was on turf in 2021; mixed form since but below par recently; others stronger.
6th
11
6th (11) (100/1 -257%) National Health
100
100/1(-257%)
(11) National Health 100/1, No impact in 4 Flat starts this autumn but that could change now handicapping for the first time. One to keep an eye on in the betting. Ordinary form so far (11l fourth in a Leicester seller two runs back); others preferred.
7th
8
7th (8) (9/2 +44%) Maid In London
4.5
9/2(+44%)
(8) Maid In London 9/2, C&D winner. Creditable fourth at Newcastle in July but ran poorly back from a short break at Kempton in September. Has a first-time visor replacing cheekpieces back from another 8 weeks off. Bit disappointing since C&D novice win in June; new headgear; bit to prove.
8th
7
8th (7) (17/2 +39%) Beau Vintage
8.5
17/2(+39%)
(7) Beau Vintage 17/2, Fair maiden. 40/1, bit below form fifth of 14 in handicap at Kempton (1m) 84 days ago, better placed than most. Has wind surgery since. Best form was when a close 2nd with headgear over C&D in June; first run after a wind op.
9th
10
9th (10) (66/1 -136%) Sea In The Dark
66
66/1(-136%)
(10) Sea In The Dark 66/1, Good second on 1m Thirsk handicap debut/reappearance in May but little show either outing since. Switches to AW for the first time in a bid to get back on track. Maiden; signs of promise but tailed off on latest start (heavy); first run on AW.
10th
4
10th (4) (3/1 +25%) Reidh
3
3/1(+25%)
(4) Reidh 3/1, 5/1, creditable fifth of 12 in handicap at this course (7f) 13 days ago, nearest finish. Step back up in trip could suit. On the shortlist. 0-8; fair run over 7f on AW debut here when shaping as though this longer trip would suit.
11th
6
11th (6) (100/1 -203%) Jade Country
100
100/1(-203%)
(6) Jade Country 100/1, Last of 10 in handicap (40/1) at Kempton (7f) 26 days ago. Up in trip. Hard to be confident about at present. Not the best of strike-rates; needs to bounce back from a disappointing AW run last time.
LTO Selection:
Wadacre Grace was successful by a head over a mile at Kempton last month and she is likely to be thereabouts off only 2lb higher, but marginal preference is for recent C&D winner HARBOUR VISION. The son of Harbour Watch was only put up 2lb for that display and a repeat performance may suffice in this company. Flatley may be best of the rest as he takes a step back up in distance.
WADACRE GRACE has a handy draw for one who often leads and a 2 lb rise for Kempton may not prevent her going in again. Fellow last-time-out scorer Harbour Vision heads the dangers along with Al Baahy and Reidh.
Having returned to winning ways over C&D last time, HARBOUR VISION can follow up off this 2lb higher mark.
(10) Folk Star 6/1, C&D winner in September. Fourth of 6 in handicap (7/2) at Southwell (1½m) 39 days ago. Should be in the shake-up. Two 3rds and a C&D win from 3 Kempton visits; progress stalled latest but yard going well.
2
1
2nd (1) (11/2 +39%) Haseefah
5.5
11/2(+39%)
(1) Haseefah 11/2, Fifth of 8 in handicap (16/1) at Goodwood (1¾m, soft) 40 days ago. Down in trip. Handicapper on top this year but today's drop in class could see her in a better light.
3
7
3rd (7) (11/4 +45%) Miss Dolly Rocker
2.75
11/4(+45%)
(7) Miss Dolly Rocker 11/4, Winner at Nottingham in July. Very good second of 10 in handicap at Bath (1¼m, soft, 5/1) 35 days ago. Big player. Promise in both course runs; career best when second at Bath latest; solid candidate.
4
5
4th (5) (9/2 +10%) Warren Hill
4.5
9/2(+10%)
(5) Warren Hill 9/2, Winner at Nottingham (1¼m) in August. Third next time and possibly unsuited by heavy ground when well beaten back at Nottingham latest. One to consider. Ready win at Nottingham in Aug; soft ground excuses latest low-key run; not fully exposed.
5th
6
5th (6) (18/1 +28%) Gentle Whinny
18
18/1(+28%)
(6) Gentle Whinny 18/1, Lightly-raced winner. Fourth of 6 in handicap at Salisbury (1¼m, firm, 7/1). Off 146 days. Makes polytrack debut. 1m novice winner as a 2yo; yet to shine in two handicaps this year; upped in trip today.
6th
2
6th (2) (18/1 -50%) Thebeautifulgame
18
18/1(-50%)
(2) Thebeautifulgame 18/1, 7/1, fifth of 6 in handicap at Chester (1¼m, heavy) 37 days ago, possibly unsuited by conditions. Claims on her Sandown third prior to that, Could improve for this new trip and she's on a fair mark if that is the case.
7th
11
7th (11) (14/1 +0%) Showy
14
14/1(+0%)
(11) Showy 14/1, Fair form. 7/2, creditable fifth of 10 in handicap at Windsor (11.5f, good to firm) 28 days ago. Makes polytrack debut. 0-6 but shown promise; didn't get home over 11.5f latest; still has potential; AW debut.
8th
3
8th (3) (20/1 -43%) Now Then Wendy
20
20/1(-43%)
(3) Now Then Wendy 20/1, Won a 1½m Southwell novice in January. Off 9 months, may have needed the run when eighth of 9 in handicap at Windsor (1¼m, good to soft, 50/1) 21 days ago. Should strip fitter now. Unexposed mare who could benefit from a return to AW; perhaps sharper for latest run too.
9th
4
9th (4) (18/1 -260%) Miss Dynamic
18
18/1(-260%)
(4) Miss Dynamic 18/1, 1m maiden winner at 2. This a very belated reappearance but she does have unexposed potential on this handicap debut. 1m win as a 2yo; bred to stay well but has a 430-day absence to overcome; handicap debut.
10th
8
10th (8) (14/1 -40%) Arenas Del Tiempo
14
14/1(-40%)
(8) Arenas Del Tiempo 14/1, Sixteen runs since last win in 2021. 6/1, creditable third of 10 in handicap at Windsor (11.5f, good to firm) 28 days ago. Respected. Over two years since last of her three wins; twice placed this autumn but others stronger.
11th
9
11th (9) (8/1 -23%) Orange Martini
8
8/1(-23%)
(9) Orange Martini 8/1, Creditable fifth of 10 in handicap at Windsor (1¼m, heavy, 5/1) 14 days ago. Makes polytrack debut. 0-7 but has shown promise and the switch to AW could prove beneficial; considered.
LTO Selection:
Soft ground was a valid excuse for WARREN HILL's poor performance at Nottingham last time and she can be given another chance here based on her narrow defeat off this mark the time before. The consistent Miss Dolly Rocker is likely to be in the mix once again and could prove to be the main threat, ahead of Arenas Del Tiempo and Miss Dynamic.
MISS DOLLY ROCKER has yet to finish out of the first 3 and gets the nod to land a second career success now returning to AW for the first time this year. Warren Hill, who had testing ground as an excuse for a poor run last time, and Arenas Del Tiempo are others to consider, while Miss Dynamic is one to note in the betting on her belated return to action.
Lots of possibles but ORANGE MARTINI could benefit from a switch to AW and today's longer trip.
(1) Rogue Soldier 11/10, Lightly-raced gelding. 6/1, very good third of 11 in handicap at Kempton (7f) 75 days ago, pulling clear with another pair of improvers. Not out of things now stamina is tested a little more. Went close behind two subsequent winners at Kempton latest; key player back up in trip.
2
8
2nd (8) (33/1 +34%) Catrake Force
33
33/1(+34%)
(8) Catrake Force 33/1, £16,000 yearling, Unfortunately filly. Dam unraced half-sister to winner up to 8.5f (minor US stakes) Maid For Music. Market should guide on debut. Withdrawn after getting upset in the stalls at Pontefract but was only 6-1 at the time.
3
5
3rd (5) (5/2 +38%) Meleki
2.5
5/2(+38%)
(5) Meleki 5/2, Muhaarar filly. Dam smart winner up to 1m (including at 2 yrs). Offered something to work on whilst being found wanting for know-how when fifth of 12 in a C&D novice on debut 16 days ago, running green early in straight and keeping on. Likely to improve. Shaped with promise over C&D last month and looks a likely improver on her second start.
4
3
4th (3) (66/1 +34%) Artavian
66
66/1(+34%)
(3) Artavian 66/1, Twice-raced gelding. Eighth of 14 in maiden at Windsor (8.1f, good to soft, 100/1) 21 days ago, struggling over 3f out. Low-grade handicaps entitled to be more his bag. Down the field at big prices in both runs and minor handicaps will be more suitable.
5th
7
5th (7) (25/1 -178%) Pourquoi
25
25/1(-178%)
(7) Pourquoi 25/1, Lightly-raced filly. 4/1, shaped a good deal better than distance beaten suggests when last of 5 in minor event at Lingfield (10f, AW) 51 days ago, reportedly losing her action entering final 1f. Remains the type to do better but handicaps/over further may suit ideally. Sets standard on debut form but she's not gone on from that and was pulled up last time.
6th
4
6th (4) (9/2 -226%) Bluebottle Blue
4.5
9/2(-226%)
(4) Bluebottle Blue 9/2, 40,000 gns yearling, Zoffany filly. Offered something to work on when third of 14 in maiden (6/1) at Windsor (8.1f, good to soft) on debut 21 days ago, running on. In excellent hands and she's entitled to improve. Promising third behind impressive winner at Windsor and she's open to progress up in trip.
7th
2
7th (2) (16/1 +36%) On The Cards
16
16/1(+36%)
(2) On The Cards 16/1, €22,000 yearling, Attendu gelding. Half-brother to useful French 11f/1½m winner Natsukashi. Dam, 1¼m winner, sister to 9f Prix Jean Prat winner Rouvres and smart 7f US Grade 3 winner Right One. Betting should prove a useful guide. Half-brother to a Listed-placed 1m3f/1m4f winner; needs watching in market on debut.
8th
6
8th (6) (9/1 -13%) Alta Comedia
9
9/1(-13%)
(6) Alta Comedia 9/1, Bobby's Kitten filly who was held back by inexperience but offered something to work on when fifth of 10 in minor event at Lingfield (10f, AW, 10/1) on debut in March. Absent since but she's open to improvement. Showed ability at Lingfield in March but she needs major improvement on her return.
LTO Selection:
BLUEBOTTLE BLUE shaped with promise on debut to finish third behind a promising type in Doha and she should have learned a great deal from that experience. The three-year-old could have plenty more to come and she looks the one to beat. Alta Comedia wasn't disgraced in fifth on her first start at Lingfield and she can also take a step forward to have a say. Any market support for On The Cards on debut should be noted.
BLUEBOTTLE BLUE offered something to work on first time up when third in a Windsor maiden 3 weeks ago, and with progress anticipated, she can build on that here and come out on top. Melekialong ought to have derived plenty from her debut effort also and is feared, along with Rogue Solider and Pourquoi.
The William Haggas-trained BLUEBOTTLE BLUE made a promising start at Windsor and looks a likely improver over this longer trip.
17:30 Wolverhampton Maiden (Class 5) 10f PREDICTION SIMULATION
(3) Dark Side Thunder 11/4, Course winner. Five wins from 16 Flat runs. Creditable third of 11 in handicap at this course (6f, 4/1) 26 days ago. keeping on final 1f having been forced wider than ideal. Remains unexposed at this trip. All wins over 6f but stays this far and was keeping on late over 6f here last month.
2
12
2nd (12) (13/2 +19%) Chifa
6.5
13/2(+19%)
(12) Chifa 13/2, 3 wins from 9 runs this year. Latest win at Wolverhampton in October. 9/2, respectable fifth of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 16 days ago, forced to switch/hampered and finishing with running left. Has to be taken seriously. Well suited by a well-run 7f; no luck in running at Wolverhampton latest; still in form.
3
5
3rd (5) (80/1 -220%) Maysan
80
80/1(-220%)
(5) Maysan 80/1, Fairly useful performer in France, winner of an 8-runner handicap at Lyon Parilly (6.7f, good to soft) in June. However, friendless in betting and below best when tenth of 13 in handicap at Salisbury (6f) on debut for new yard 32 days ago. 7f winner in France in June; low-key stable/British debut last month; risky for now.
4
9
4th (9) (9/2 +0%) Epic Express
4.5
9/2(+0%)
(9) Epic Express 9/2, Course winner. 14/1, good second of 12 in handicap at this C&D 19 days ago, running on. Merits consideration. 6f turf winner in May; unlucky when 2nd over C&D latest; set to go well once more.
5th
6
5th (6) (8/1 -14%) Lady Mojito
8
8/1(-14%)
(6) Lady Mojito 8/1, Respectable fifth of 9 in handicap at Musselburgh (7.2f, good to soft, 6/1) 21 days ago. Makes polytrack debut. Not taken lightly. Easy winner of a 7f novice last autumn; 0-6 this year; drops in class and switches to AW.
6th
7
6th (7) (11/1 -22%) Dutch Kingdom
11
11/1(-22%)
(7) Dutch Kingdom 11/1, Course winner. 22/1, last of 10 in handicap at Epsom (8.5f, good) 70 days ago, weakening over 1f out. Very best efforts to date have come on AW and he's operating 4 lb below last winning mark. Had wind op. 1m win here off 4lb higher in March; struggled on turf since; had wind op; could revive.
7th
10
7th (10) (66/1 -230%) Reputation
66
66/1(-230%)
(10) Reputation 66/1, Last of 12 in handicap (80/1) at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 13 days ago. Needs to leave recent exploits well behind if he's to figure here. Veteran who hasn't found his form in four runs back from a year off.
8th
1
8th (1) (10/1 +0%) Spacer
10
10/1(+0%)
(1) Spacer 10/1, Thirteen runs since last win in 2021. Respectable fifth of 10 in handicap (13/2) at Wolverhampton (7.2f) when last seen in January, hampering his chance by not settling. Absent since and market best guide here from easing mark. Yet to win a handicap; absent since January and he's landed the widest stall; opposable.
9th
8
9th (8) (80/1 -220%) Many A Year
80
80/1(-220%)
(8) Many A Year 80/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Last of 13 in handicap (20/1) at this C&D 58 days ago, dropping away over 2f out. First run for yard after leaving Brian Meehan. Hood on 1st time. Twice a runner-up for B Meehan but well beaten on h'cap debut; sold 1,500gns last month.
10th
11
10th (11) (11/2 +15%) Unsung Hero
5.5
11/2(+15%)
(11) Unsung Hero 11/2, Dual C&D winner. 33/1, produced best effort of present campaign equipped with first-time blinkers when fourth of 10 in handicap at Newcastle (6f) 38 days ago. Well drawn if he can back that up returned to this venue. Two C&D wins last September; signs of a revival in blinkers latest; well drawn to attack.
11th
2
11th (2) (17/2 +15%) Smalleytime
8.5
17/2(+15%)
(2) Smalleytime 17/2, Winner at Salisbury (6f) in July. 28/1, twelfth of 13 in handicap at York (7f, heavy) 24 days ago, weakening before 2f with conditions a plausible excuse. Remains early days with him and better showing anticipated back on AW. 6f novice win on turf; drops in class today & the ground excuses latest effort; unexposed.
12th
4
12th (4) (16/1 -167%) Optiva Star
16
16/1(-167%)
(4) Optiva Star 16/1, Rattled off quick-fire hat-trick at Brighton (1m) in September and ran another cracker when runner-up back at that venue (1m, heavy) 18 days ago, headed close home. Needs to translate his recent improvement on turf back on AW. In fine form at Brighton in recent months, winning three; drawn wide back on AW.
LTO Selection:
Optiva Star has to be considered given his outstanding form in recent months, but marginal preference is for EPIC EXPRESS. The five-year-old made the frame twice over C&D last month and he merits the utmost respect off just 1lb higher than when a close second on the most recent of those occasions. The shortlist is completed by Dark Side Thunder and Chifa.
EPIC EXPRESS again found only an unexposed 3-y-o too strong over C&D on his latest outing 3 weeks ago and, from a handy draw, he could well be up to coming out on top with his rider taking off a handy 7 lb here. Chifa, who wasn't seen to best effect at Wolverhampton recently, is a threat from a handy draw, with Dark Side Thunder and Smalleytime completing the shortlist.
Both Chifa and EPIC EXPRESS ran into traffic problems on their latest start and the latter can gain compensation this afternoon.
(9) Say You'll Never 14/1, Foaled February 18. €35,000 yearling, Oasis Dream filly. Dam, 1½m winner, sister to high-class 7f/1m winner Creachadoir and half-sister to top-class winner up to 13f Youmzain. 35,000euros yearling; smart pedigree but it points to longer trips suiting.
1
1
1st (1) (5/4 +29%) Bella Bisbee
1.25
5/4(+29%)
(1) Bella Bisbee 5/4, Promising sort. 16/1, second of 12 in minor event at Chelmsford City (6f) on debut 9 days ago, forced to switch and running on. Big player with improvement expected. Three siblings won on this track; highly promising 6f debut 2nd at Chelmsford; good claims.
2
3
2nd (3) (9/4 +10%) Cervaro Della Sala
2.25
9/4(+10%)
(3) Cervaro Della Sala 9/4, Twice-raced filly. 5/4, third of 11 in maiden at this C&D 28 days ago, headed final 1f. Should give another good account for all her draw out wide makes things a little tricky. Speedy free-goer; made the running both 6f starts, placed each time but vulnerable late.
3
2
3rd (2) (13/2 -8%) Berrygate
6.5
13/2(-8%)
(2) Berrygate 13/2, Foaled April 22. 23,000 gns yearling, Gregorian filly. Dam sprint maiden half-sister to very smart winner up to 6f Alben Star. Market should prove a useful guide on debut. 23,000gns yearling; useful sprint pedigree; yard's AW winner in 2023 won on debut.
4
4
4th (4) (150/1 -127%) Come On You Spurs
150
150/1(-127%)
(4) Come On You Spurs 150/1, 24,000 gns yearling, Zoffany filly. Hooded, last of 11 in minor event (33/1) at this C&D on debut 16 days ago, very slowly away and always behind. 33-1, looked an awkward ride when last of 11 on debut over C&D; one to watch for now.
5th
5
5th (5) (22/1 -83%) Impelling
22
22/1(-83%)
(5) Impelling 22/1, Foaled January 27. 40,000 gns foal, Kodiac filly. Dam, 2-y-o 6f winner who stayed 1m, half-sister to useful 4f-7f winner Gamgoom. Betting should prove a useful guide on racecourse bow. 40,000gns foal; bred to sprint but yard not yet had a 2yo winner on the AW.
6th
11
6th (11) (150/1 -127%) Nina Hermosa
150
150/1(-127%)
(11) Nina Hermosa 150/1, Mayson filly. Last of 9 in minor event at Haydock (6f, good to soft, 40/1) on debut in July, racing freely and weakening under 2f out. Hood goes on now and she's best watched. Tailed off on 6f Haydock debut; withdrawn after getting loose before start next time.
7th
12
7th (12) (66/1 +0%) One Moonbeam
66
66/1(+0%)
(12) One Moonbeam 66/1, Once-raced filly. Eleventh of 15 in minor event at Windsor (6f, good to soft, 100/1) on debut 21 days ago. Well held on 6f turf debut but a sibling was a dual AW winner so might fare better now.
8th
10
8th (10) (125/1 -525%) Dark Enigma
125
125/1(-525%)
(10) Dark Enigma 125/1, Once-raced filly. 150/1, twelfth of 13 in maiden at Dundalk (7f) on debut 38 days ago, weakening over 1f out. Needs to leave that in her wake if she's to figure here. 150-1 for 7f Dundalk debut, dropped right out in the closing stages; 6f should suit better.
9th
8
9th (8) (11/1 -38%) Nad Alshiba Queen
11
11/1(-38%)
(8) Nad Alshiba Queen 11/1, Foaled April 9. €36,000 foal, 25,000 gns yearling, Dark Angel filly. Half-sister to several winners, including smart 11f-17f winner Amade and useful 7f-1m winner Nakuti. Dam maiden (stayed 7f). 25,000gns yearling; dam bred winners from 5f to 2m1f, including at Group/Graded level.
10th
7
10th (7) (6/1 +57%) Little Siskin
6
6/1(+57%)
(7) Little Siskin 6/1, Once-raced filly. Ninth of 12 in minor event at Yarmouth (6f, good to soft, 33/1) on debut 47 days ago, slowly into stride and making little impression. Passed over drawn widest of all. 33-1, never threatened on 6f turf debut but showed signs of ability in a much better race.
11th
6
11th (6) (250/1 -279%) Lammas Park
250
250/1(-279%)
(6) Lammas Park 250/1, 21,000 gns yearling, Advertise filly. 80/1, last of 12 in minor event at Chelmsford City (6f) on debut 9 days ago, very slowly away. Useful sprinters in pedigree but 80-1 for 6f debut at Chelmsford and always well behind.
LTO Selection:
Cervaro Della Sala has an experience edge after two placed starts, with a debut second at Kempton followed by a third over C&D when letting favourite-backers down and beaten over two lengths after pulling too hard early on. She can go well again, but BELLA BISBEE was an unlucky loser when second at Chelmsford first time out and may make amends now. Only beaten a neck despite a slow start and a blocked run, she can only improve for the experience and she is taken to go one better this evening. Newcomers Nad Alshiba Queen and Say You'll Never are ones to watch for future reference.
BELLA BISBEE made a very promising start when runner-up on debut in a Chelmsford novice over this trip 9 days ago, looking a shade unfortunate not to prevail having been short of room at a crucial stage. Open to improvement, she can confirm the promise of that effort and go one place better. Cervaro Della Sala has made the frame on both starts to date and rates the lead threat, whilst Say You'll Never and Nad Alshiba Queen are a couple of newcomers to note.
The strongest claims are held by BELLA BISBEE who was easy to back but nevertheless ran a screamer on her Chelmsford debut.
18:00 Wolverhampton Maiden (Class 5) 6f PREDICTION SIMULATION
(5) Ecclesiastical 3/1, 3 wins from 16 runs this year. Latest win at Thirsk in August. 5/1, creditable second of 9 in handicap at this course (5.1f) 10 days ago, left poorly placed. Player. Kept on for second over 5f here ten days ago; stays 6f but 0-16 at the trip.
2
1
2nd (1) (10/1 +17%) Cooperation
10
10/1(+17%)
(1) Cooperation 10/1, First run since leaving Mike Murphy & Michael Keady when last of 11 in handicap (40/1) at Kempton (6f) 26 days ago. Lots more is needed. Has the ability to feature off this mark and he's better drawn today than on stable debut.
3
10
3rd (10) (10/1 +17%) Ultramarine
10
10/1(+17%)
(10) Ultramarine 10/1, Remains a maiden after 18 Flat runs. 15/2, tenth of 14 in handicap at Bath (5.7f, soft) 19 days ago. Others more persuasive. Exposed 18-race maiden; only run to form once for new yard; others are more appealing.
4
6
4th (6) (8/1 -14%) Sarah's Verse
8
8/1(-14%)
(6) Sarah's Verse 8/1, C&D winner. Respectable third of 14 in handicap at Bath (5.7f, soft, 13/2) 19 days ago. Not taken lightly. Several good runs since her Bath win on Good Friday; C&D winner; one to take seriously.
5th
11
5th (11) (80/1 -21%) Beylerbeyi
80
80/1(-21%)
(11) Beylerbeyi 80/1, 100/1, last of 9 in handicap at Doncaster (7f, heavy) 9 days ago. Hard to warm to. 6.5f winner in France; yet to sparkle for new yard but his Chester run in September was ok.
6th
7
6th (7) (15/2 +25%) El Hombre
7.5
15/2(+25%)
(7) El Hombre 15/2, 3-time C&D winner. 9/1, respectable fifth of 11 in handicap at this C&D 30 days ago. Needs considering. Should be at peak fitness after two runs back from a summer break; one to consider.
7th
8
7th (8) (28/1 +15%) Vape
28
28/1(+15%)
(8) Vape 28/1, 6/1, last of 5 in handicap at Ffos Las (6f, good to soft) 53 days ago. Has work to do. Out of sorts on his last three runs but down to a good mark as a result; potential reviver.
8th
4
8th (4) (10/1 +17%) Tartan Skirt
10
10/1(+17%)
(4) Tartan Skirt 10/1, 16/1, eighth of 12 in handicap at this course (7.2f) 13 days ago. Blinkers back on with more needed. Down in the weights and well drawn for a prominent racer; type to come good soon.
9th
12
9th (12) (100/1 -52%) Dynamite Katie
100
100/1(-52%)
(12) Dynamite Katie 100/1, 80/1, last of 12 in handicap at this course (7.2f) 16 days ago. Others appeal more. Struggled at big prices for current yard; drop to 6f might help but easy enough to swerve.
10th
3
10th (3) (9/1 +25%) Dyed In The Wool
9
9/1(+25%)
(3) Dyed In The Wool 9/1, Fourteenth of 16 in handicap (66/1) at York (7f, good). Off 100 days with work to do. Won a Newcastle handicap off this mark in January; struggled twice in summer; gelded since.
11th
9
11th (9) (3/1 +25%) Phoenix Beach
3
3/1(+25%)
(9) Phoenix Beach 3/1, 16/5, respectable third of 9 in handicap at this course (5.1f) 10 days ago. One for the shortlist. Back to form after wind op, placed over 5f here last twice; return to 6f a plus; wide draw.
12th
2
12th (2) (11/1 -100%) Bang On The Bell
11
11/1(-100%)
(2) Bang On The Bell 11/1, 4-time course winner. 3 wins from 12 runs this year. 5/1, creditable second of 7 in handicap at Sandown (5f, soft) 47 days ago. Back up in trip. Can make presence felt. Conditions to suit and in good form on turf; has the widest stall to overcome.
LTO Selection:
Three and four-year-olds have won all five runnings of this race and that may continue if PHOENIX BEACH makes the most of a return to six furlongs. His last two starts here over shorter have seen him finish second and third respectively, suggesting the time is right to step back up in trip and his sole victory came at this distance. Ecclesiastical may be the best of the older horses after his second here last month and his last win came off just 1lb lower in August, while Bang On The Bell has won here four times and could also get involved.
ECCLESIASTICAL didn't enjoy the rub of the green when runner-up here last time and can go one better now off an unchanged mark. 3-time C&D winner El Hombre heads the list of dangers, although Phoenix Beach, Bang On The Bell and Sarah's Verse need factoring into this competitive handicap too.
A trappy race in which SARAH'S VERSE is marginally preferred to El Hombre and Tartan Skirt.
(3) Virtual Hug 10/1, Remains a maiden after 21 Flat runs. 12/1, creditable sixth of 12 in handicap at this course (9.5f) 4 days ago. Significantly back up in trip. Others remain more persuasive. Stamina query on 1m5f/1m6f form in Ireland; unconvincing back up in trip.
2
2
2nd (2) (9/4 +32%) Bear Claws
2.25
9/4(+32%)
(2) Bear Claws 9/4, Fair ex-Irish winner who has made a good start for his new yard, third of 10 in handicap (15/8) over C&D 28 days ago when faring best of those held up. Big shout eased 1 lb. Beaten favourite both starts for new yard here; quite encouraging 3rd over C&D last time.
3
7
3rd (7) (4/1 +11%) Mini Mildred
4
4/1(+11%)
(7) Mini Mildred 4/1, Creditable third of 11 in handicap at this course (12.2f, 17/2) 30 days ago, running on. One for the shortlist. Staying-on 3rd over 1m4f on AW debut here; looks sure to appreciate step up in trip.
4
1
4th (1) (12/1 +25%) Ambassador
12
12/1(+25%)
(1) Ambassador 12/1, Creditable fourth of 12 in handicap hurdle at Sedgefield (16.8f, good to soft) 26 days ago. Visor on for 1st time in this code and not ruled out. Last of 10 in sole AW staying handicap (January) but 2-4 over hurdles for new yard since.
5th
9
5th (9) (150/1 -200%) Bateau Bay
150
150/1(-200%)
(9) Bateau Bay 150/1, Last of 11 in handicap (40/1) at Newcastle (12.4f) 24 days ago. Has work to do. Seen little action and needs vast improvement for the step up to 1m6f.
6th
11
6th (11) (25/1 -39%) Queenmambo
25
25/1(-39%)
(11) Queenmambo 25/1, Returned to form when sixth of 12 in handicap (14/1) at Lingfield (12f, AW) 10 days ago. Needs to back it up. Mixed at 1m4f but ran well latest start and worth another go at 1m6f.
7th
6
7th (6) (11/2 +0%) Alioski
5.5
11/2(+0%)
(6) Alioski 11/2, In good form on the Flat and failed to get home when tenth of 14 in handicap hurdle at Uttoxeter (23.3f, soft, 8/1) 48 days ago. Can give a good account back in this sphere. Won over 1m4f on Southwell AW last November; fair staying run over 2m in August.
8th
8
8th (8) (15/2 -7%) Gerrots
7.5
15/2(-7%)
(8) Gerrots 15/2, Remains a maiden after 17 Flat runs. First run since leaving John Wainwright when good second of 10 in handicap (17/2) at this C&D 28 days ago. Can make his presence felt again. Not yet in front after 20 runs; seemed to stay 1m6f on debut for new yard; on the premises.
9th
5
9th (5) (9/2 -13%) Philos
4.5
9/2(-13%)
(5) Philos 9/2, Course winner. Latest win at Lingfield in June. Good third of 8 in handicap at Chelmsford City (13.3f, 9/1) 65 days ago, having run of race. Needs considering. Two 1m4f wins in May and June; good 3rd over about 1m5f in September; off since.
LTO Selection:
PHILOS is the only Wolverhampton winner in this line-up, and he could go close if he repeats his recent Chelmsford run when beaten a length into third over a fraction shorter. He races off the same mark now and looks all set to get involved with a clear run, with Ambassador an interesting rival. He has won three times over hurdles since his last run on the Flat and won't lack for stamina. Alioski and Gerrots also warrant consideration but have no margin for error off their current marks.
BEAR CLAWS has started out well for Alastair Ralph and this fair ex-Irish winner is weighted to open his account for his new yard here. Alioski rates the chief threat reverted to this sphere, although both Gerrots and Philos can have a say too in an open handicap.
Bear Claws should have a race in him at this trip but MINI MILDRED (nap) shaped well on her AW debut and can improve for 1m6f.
(6) Met Office 50/1, Hooded for 1st time, last of 13 in handicap (100/1) at Kempton (11f) 40 days ago, folding 3f out. Plenty to prove at present. Two wins in France in 2020; stood little racing since and comes here with plenty to prove.
2
8
2nd (8) (8/1 -45%) Percy Willis
8
8/1(-45%)
(8) Percy Willis 8/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Newcastle in October. Good second of 11 in handicap back at that venue (12.4f, 5/1) 7 days ago. Has good chance on form. C&D winner who has returned from an absence in good order; close 2nd last week; respected.
3
2
3rd (2) (11/2 +8%) Way Of Life
5.5
11/2(+8%)
(2) Way Of Life 11/2, C&D winner. Eleven runs since last win in 2022. Creditable second of 9 in handicap (6/1) at this C&D 28 days ago, leading inside final 1f and headed near line. Should go well again. Conditions to suit and he comes here in form; edging up the weights but should go well.
4
3
4th (3) (6/1 -33%) Miss Bluebelle
6
6/1(-33%)
(3) Miss Bluebelle 6/1, Course winner. Latest win at Bath in August. Ninth of 12 in handicap (10/1) at Goodwood (9f, soft) 40 days ago, conditions offering a plausible excuse. Overall profile in handicaps is a progressive one and she's not dismissed lightly now upped in trip. Course winner; impressed at Bath (good time) in Aug; soft ground excuses latest; new trip.
5th
5
5th (5) (16/5 +42%) Percy Jones
3.2
16/5(+42%)
(5) Percy Jones 16/5, C&D winner. Latest win here in August. 8/1, creditable fifth of 11 in handicap at this course (14f) 60 days ago. Ease back down in grade rates a likely plus. Both wins have come here in small fields; fair fifth latest; this might be too competitive.
6th
7
6th (7) (10/1 +29%) Piecederesistance
10
10/1(+29%)
(7) Piecederesistance 10/1, Creditable fifth of 15 in handicap at Newmarket (9f, good, 9/1) 44 days ago. Significantly back up in trip. Makes tapeta debut. Hood on 1st time. Two turf wins have come over shorter; hooded first time; stamina not proven yet.
7th
4
7th (4) (3/1 +40%) Stonking
3
3/1(+40%)
(4) Stonking 3/1, C&D winner. 4/1, career best when winning 8-runner handicap at Newbury (12f, good to soft) in July, coming in for a fine front-running ride. Remains less exposed than most and he's not out of things back from a break. C&D win a year ago; absent since easy front-running win at Newbury in July; this is harder.
8th
10
8th (10) (9/1 -20%) Further Measure
9
9/1(-20%)
(10) Further Measure 9/1, C&D winner. Latest win here in June. 25/1, below form seventh of 12 in handicap at York (16.2f, soft) 44 days ago, seemingly not getting home in a well-run race. Drops back in trip now but his mark is probably about right. Two wins here in June; quiet last time but previous placed efforts give him claims.
9th
1
9th (1) (14/1 -40%) Dark Pine
14
14/1(-40%)
(1) Dark Pine 14/1, Course winner. Sixteen runs since last win in 2021. Respectable sixth of 12 in handicap at Kempton (12f, 40/1) 19 days ago. Others more persuasive. Losing run stretches back to May 2021; drops into a 0-80 but far from a solid option.
10th
9
10th (9) (40/1 -60%) Victory March
40
40/1(-60%)
(9) Victory March 40/1, Multiple course winner who proved largely consistent on AW earlier this year, shaping as if still in form when third at Southwell 7 months ago. Possible this will bring him on but interesting what the market makes of him. Ended 2022 in fine form but returns from a 220-day absence and likely best watched.
11th
11
11th (11) (80/1 -186%) Ten Ten Twenty
80
80/1(-186%)
(11) Ten Ten Twenty 80/1, 6/1, below form sixth of 15 in handicap hurdle at Exeter (16.7f, good) 25 days ago, a less-than-fluent round of jumping not helping. This his first start back on the level for 2 years and he's not the easiest to weigh up. Placed over hurdles in September but recorded RPR of just 80 on that occasion; opposable.
LTO Selection:
STONKING was an impressive winner when making all at Newbury in late July and the four-year-old should take some catching if able to dictate the pace once more. Heather Main's charge does have a 7lb rise in the ratings to overcome, though, and that brings the in-form Percy Willis into calculations. The gelded son of Sir Percy looks capable of landing a race of this nature and isn't taken lightly. Way Of Life shouldn't be far behind either.
MISS BLUEBELLE had excuses on her latest outing at Goodwood 6 weeks ago and, boasting a steadily progressive profile previously, she could be worth siding with to get back on the up now tackling this trip for the first time. The in-form Percy Willis and Stonking head up the dangers, with Way of Life another in the mix.
Way Of Life and Percy Willis should be involved but it could be worth chancing MISS BLUEBELLE's stamina now upped to 1m4f.
(3) Come On John 10/1, Course winner. 33/1, bit below form seventh of 12 in handicap at Chelmsford City (10f) 32 days ago, finishing with running left. Has good chance on pick of form. Has won here and didn't get any luck at Chelmsford last time; interesting.
2
2
2nd (2) (7/1 -100%) Sun Festival
7
7/1(-100%)
(2) Sun Festival 7/1, C&D winner. 3 wins from 18 runs this year. Latest win at Chelmsford City in September. Good second of 13 in handicap (11/4) at Chelmsford City (10f) 37 days ago. Enters calculations. Has won three of his last seven starts and went close at Chelmsford latest; respected.
3
9
3rd (9) (9/2 +72%) Aeroplane Mode
4.5
9/2(+72%)
(9) Aeroplane Mode 9/2, 18/1, seventh of 11 in handicap at this course (8.6f) 16 days ago. Others preferred. Made some late gains here (8.6f) last time and is a possible improver back up in trip.
4
11
4th (11) (10/1 +17%) Coconut Bay
10
10/1(+17%)
(11) Coconut Bay 10/1, One win from 22 Flat runs. Sixteen runs since last win in 2022. 15/2, good third of 10 in handicap at this course (8.6f) 10 days ago. Place possibilities. Did best of the closers when third here last time and has possibilities back up in trip.
5th
4
5th (4) (15/8 +46%) Fast Affair
1.875
15/8(+46%)
(4) Fast Affair 15/8, Career best when winning 12-runner handicap (6/1) at this C&D 14 days ago, running on. Shade more needed up 3 lb, but couldn't rule out all the same. Off the mark over C&D last time and she's open to more progress; respected up 3lb.
6th
6
6th (6) (25/1 -79%) Black Smoke
25
25/1(-79%)
(6) Black Smoke 25/1, Winner at Lingfield in August. 16/1, ninth of 11 in handicap at Southwell (12.1f) 27 days ago. Down in trip and cheekpieces back on. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals. Won at Lingfield (1m2f, soft) in August but he's lost his way in last two runs.
7th
1
7th (1) (9/2 +18%) Ermin Street
4.5
9/2(+18%)
(1) Ermin Street 9/2, Twelve runs since last win in 2022. 9/1 and blinkered for 1st time, fifth of 6 in handicap at Brighton (9.9f, good). Off 118 days and cheekpieces on 1st time. Has undergone a wind op. Can make presence felt. 0-12 in handicaps and well held last three runs; cheekpieces now go on after wind surgery.
8th
8
8th (8) (8/1 -78%) Portoro
8
8/1(-78%)
(8) Portoro 8/1, Winner at Salisbury in July. 8/1, bit below form fifth of 12 in handicap at Kempton (12f) 19 days ago, not clear run. Back down in trip and makes tapeta debut. Not without hope. Has not come up to scratch in last three runs and needs to get back near best.
9th
12
9th (12) (80/1 -60%) Big Muddy
80
80/1(-60%)
(12) Big Muddy 80/1, Unreliable type. 33/1, respectable sixth of 10 in handicap at this course (8.6f) 34 days ago, merely passing beaten rivals. Plenty to find on form. 15-race maiden who has been well beaten in three runs for new yard this year.
10th
7
10th (7) (80/1 -142%) Ard Mhacha
80
80/1(-142%)
(7) Ard Mhacha 80/1, Below form sixth of 11 in claimer (20/1) at Killarney (8.2f, good). Off 110 days ahead of this tapeta debut/first run for yard after leaving Adrian McGuinness. Every chance if back to best. Nine-race maiden who has something to prove at this new trip for new yard.
LTO Selection:
FAST AFFAIR improved for the step up in trip when opening her account over C&D in late October. A 3lb rise in the handicap for James Fanshawe's filly doesn't appear insurmountable and a double could be on the cards. Sun Festival arrives in fine fettle and he may give the most resistance to the selection, ahead of Coconut Bay, who should appreciate a return to this trip having stayed on into third over an extended mile at this venue last time out.
SUN FESTIVAL registered his third success of the year when striking at Chelmsford in September and did little wrong when finding one too good at the same course next time. He looks the most solid option. Come On John has slipped to a workable mark and, having caught the eye last time, he looks dangerous, while Ermin Street will also be a threat if he puts his best foot forward now tried in cheekpieces following a wind op. Fast Affair completes the shortlist.
The vote goes to SUN FESTIVAL who has form figures of 21313412 since June. Recent C&D winner Fast Affair is feared most.
(5) Laura's Breeze 2/1, 10/3, creditable second of 12 in handicap at Kempton (7f) 5 days ago. Makes tapeta debut and bold show likely if she takes to this surface. 0-9 but capable of winning races at this level judged on her last three starts.
2
6
2nd (6) (6/1 +0%) Sir Titan
6
6/1(+0%)
(6) Sir Titan 6/1, C&D winner. Nineteen runs since last win in 2021. Creditable second of 8 in handicap (22/1) at this C&D 14 days ago, having run of race. Looks competitive on form. Chased home an odds-on shot over C&D latest; well drawn to attack; should be involved.
3
9
3rd (9) (28/1 +44%) Brave Display
28
28/1(+44%)
(9) Brave Display 28/1, C&D winner. 150/1, first run since leaving Phil McEntee when eighth of 11 in handicap at this C&D 11 days ago, left poorly placed. Readily passed over. Encouraging late headway in a race not run to suit on recent stable debut; better expected.
4
12
4th (12) (80/1 +20%) College Wizard
80
80/1(+20%)
(12) College Wizard 80/1, Seventh of 10 in handicap at this course (8.6f, 80/1) 10 days ago. Blinkers on 1st time. Uphill task. Nine-race maiden; drops in trip in new headgear but easy to have reservations.
5th
4
5th (4) (14/1 -100%) Split Elevens
14
14/1(-100%)
(4) Split Elevens 14/1, Unreliable sort. C&D winner. Ninth of 10 in handicap (6/1) at Yarmouth (7f, soft) 46 days ago. Likely to find one or two too good. C&D winner and handicapped to go well; outside stall dents any real enthusiasm here though.
6th
2
6th (2) (16/1 +36%) Daafy
16
16/1(+36%)
(2) Daafy 16/1, Fourteen runs since last win in 2022. Respectable fifth of 17 in handicap at Doncaster (7f, heavy, 20/1), running on. Off 6 months. Enters calculations. Four-time Southwell winner; mark not impossible but might come on for this.
7th
11
7th (11) (100/1 -300%) Say Grace
100
100/1(-300%)
(11) Say Grace 100/1, C&D winner. Seventeen runs since last win in 2022. Tenth of 11 in handicap at this course (8.6f, 50/1) 16 days ago. Easy enough to look elsewhere. Conditions fine but out of sorts this year and she's got a tricky draw to overcome.
8th
1
8th (1) (7/4 +50%) Wilde And Dandy
1.75
7/4(+50%)
(1) Wilde And Dandy 7/4, Career best when winning 9-runner handicap (11/1) at Chelmsford City (7f) 4 days ago. This is more demanding under a penalty. 2nd run for new yard was a winning one at Chelmsford last week; more needed under penalty.
9th
3
9th (3) (9/1 +44%) Vortigan
9
9/1(+44%)
(3) Vortigan 9/1, 28/1, bit below form seventh of 12 in handicap at this C&D 42 days ago. Visor back on. Others more persuasive. 0-12 but has shown promise; Paul Mulrennan takes over for the first time; not ruled out.
10th
10
10th (10) (28/1 +15%) Higher Law
28
28/1(+15%)
(10) Higher Law 28/1, Below form fifth of 10 in handicap (22/1) at Chelmsford City (7f) 18 days ago. Tongue strap back on and likely to come up short once again. Nine-race maiden; snippets of promise and the returning tongue-tie may help; considered.
11th
8
11th (8) (14/1 -211%) My Boy Jack
14
14/1(-211%)
(8) My Boy Jack 14/1, First run since leaving Kevin Philippart De Foy when cheekpieces on for 1st time, won 12-runner handicap at this course (6.1f, 6/1) 14 days ago, suited by way race developed. 2 lb rise fair and he's one to consider. Got up late to win over 6f here on recent stable debut; stays 7f; 2lb rise manageable.
12th
7
12th (7) (66/1 -164%) Frieze Frame
66
66/1(-164%)
(7) Frieze Frame 66/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Ninth of 11 in handicap (40/1) at this course (8.6f) 16 days ago. Difficult ask. Peak effort flatters her and she was well held on handicap debut; down in trip today.
LTO Selection:
Split Elevens has won here twice, including a C&D success off this mark in January, and although he finished a poor ninth at Yarmouth in September, he seems better suited to the all-weather. Sir Titan is also a C&D winner and finished a solid second here last month, but WILDE AND DANDY is taken to follow up his Chelmsford success under a penalty tonight. He pounced late on under Marco Ghiani that day and if the same tactics are applied here, the drop in class may see him win for the third time.
LAURA'S BREEZE went agonisingly close to opening her account at Kempton last week and, turned out again quickly off the same mark from a good draw and with Billy Loughnane booked, she is taken to get the job done this time. Sir Titan gave it a good shot when runner-up over C&D a fortnight ago and should be on the premises once more. Daafy is of interest back on the all-weather, while last-time-out winners My Boy Jack and, to a lesser extent, Wilde And Dandy are also likely to have a say.
Laura's Breeze holds leading claims but the veteran BRAVE DISPLAY could step forward from an encouraging stable debut.
Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.
This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.
About U.K Horse Racing
Horse racing is a popular and historic sport in the UK, with a tradition dating back centuries. It is a multi-billion pound industry that attracts millions of spectators each year and generates significant economic activity.
There are two main types of horse racing in the UK: flat racing and jump racing. Flat racing is run on a level course and is typically shorter in distance, while jump racing involves horses jumping over obstacles and is generally longer in distance. Both types of racing are popular with spectators and bettors, and they take place at various racetracks throughout the country.
The most famous horse racing event in the UK is the Grand National, which is held annually at Aintree Racecourse in Liverpool. It is a jump racing event that is known for its challenging course and has become a national institution in the UK. Other notable horse racing events in the UK include the Derby, held at Epsom Downs Racecourse in Surrey, and the Royal Ascot, held at Ascot Racecourse in Berkshire.
Horse racing in the UK is regulated by the British Horseracing Authority (BHA), which sets rules and standards for the industry. It is responsible for the welfare of racehorses and the safety of jockeys and trainers, as well as ensuring fair and transparent racing practices.
In addition to its economic and cultural importance, horse racing in the UK also plays a significant role in the breeding and training of thoroughbred horses. Many of the world's top thoroughbreds are bred and trained in the UK, and the industry plays a vital role in the preservation and promotion of the breed.
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