16:30 Ascot Handicap (Class 2) 6f - 10 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	3 1st (3) (4/1 +47%) Holkham Bay		4 4/1(+47%)																															(3) Holkham Bay 4/1, Is enjoying a very good year and scored at York and here in June. Posted a solid seventh of 22 in Portland at Doncaster last time so can't be ruled out. Close seventh in the Portland; needs bigger run today but he excelled here in August.
2	8 2nd (8) (17/2 -31%) Garfield Shadow		8.5 17/2(-31%)																															(8) Garfield Shadow 17/2, Enhanced his good strike rate from the front at Chester (6f) in July and ran a cracker when third of 17 in handicap at Leopardstown (7f, good) 20 days ago. Can go well again nudged up 1 lb. Won at Chester in July and close 3rd the next twice; this 3yo may still have more to offer.
3	6 3rd (6) (14/1 -100%) Ferrous		14 14/1(-100%)																															(6) Ferrous 14/1, Has taken his form up a level this term, going in at Wolverhampton and Kempton. Fair fifth of 12 back at Kempton (6f) 27 days ago so he can't be discounted. Back to form with AW fifth last month (denied a clear run) and might not be far away.
4	7 4th (7) (66/1 -65%) Wodao		66 66/1(-65%)																															(7) Wodao 66/1, Listed winner in Ireland for Donnacha O'Brien but he failed to build on a good Goodwood third for his new yard in the Portland at Doncaster, no impression and well held. Needs to take a big step forward. Well beaten in the Portland but showed spark previously; well served by testing ground.
5th	1 5th (1) (11/1 -83%) Commanche Falls		11 11/1(-83%)																															(1) Commanche Falls 11/1, Has yet to score in 2024 but comes here in decent nick, first home in his group when sixth of 25 in Ayr Gold Cup 13 days ago. Cheekpieces replace blinkers and in the mix once more. Creditable sixth of 25 in the Ayr Gold Cup a fortnight ago and could be in the mix.
6th	5 6th (5) (10/1 -67%) Baradar		10 10/1(-67%)																															(5) Baradar 10/1, Course winner who got back on track in first-time blinkers when fourth of 11 in handicap at Ripon (6f, good to soft) 6 days ago. Must enter calculations. Close fourth in these blinkers at Ripon last Saturday and may be able to build on that.
7th	10 7th (10) (14/1 -40%) Palmar Bay		14 14/1(-40%)																															(10) Palmar Bay 14/1, Back to winning ways at Windsor in July but he came in last of 16 in handicap there (6f, good to firm) 53 days ago. Has a bit to prove now. Flopped in August last time but won prior to that and this 3yo retains potential.
8th	4 8th (4) (4/1 -20%) Rohaan		4 4/1(-20%)																															(4) Rohaan 4/1, Smart sprinter and a 5-time C&D winner, including in this 12 months ago. Failed to confirm earlier promise when nineteenth of 25 in Ayr Gold Cup last time out but he's worth another chance back here. Inconsistent this year but has a good record here and won this race last season.
9th	9 9th (9) (14/1 +0%) Wobwobwob		14 14/1(+0%)																															(9) Wobwobwob 14/1, Scored at Thirsk in May and comes here in good nick, seventh of 12 in handicap (6/1) at Haydock (6f, heavy) 6 days ago when doing too much too soon. Needs considering. Soundly beaten at Haydock last Saturday but on a competitive mark and not discounted.
10th	2 10th (2) (11/4 +45%) Never So Brave		2.75 11/4(+45%)																															(2) Never So Brave 11/4, Dual 7f winner in early summer and took his form up a notch when second of 5 in handicap at Chelmsford City (7f, 10/11) 43 days ago. Firmly in the picture with this return to 6f likely to suit. 3yo with two wins this year (7f/7.5f); could be suited by sprinting.

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16:30 Ascot Handicap (Class 2) 6f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.

ROHAAN may have disappointed in the Ayr Gold Cup last time out, but he is better judged on his penultimate effort when a fast-finishing third over C&D. The son of Mayson is now 8lb lower than his success in the race last year and is on a dangerous mark. Garfield Shadow, who came from off the pace when a promising third in a valuable handicap over 7f on Irish Champions weekend, is likely to enter calculations, while Never So Brave and Baradar cannot be ruled out either.

This is wide open but Richard Fahey's GARFIELD SHADOW signalled he's ready to go in again when a fine third at Leopardstown last time so edges the vote. Never So Brave promises to be suited by this drop back to 6f and could emerge as the main danger, although handily-weighted duo Rohaan and Baradar can also have a say. Top-weight Commanche Falls completes the shortlist.

Last year's winner ROHAAN has a good record here and, having dropped to an attractive mark, can land back-to-back runnings.

16:30 Ascot Handicap (Class 2) 6f PREDICTION SIMULATION

17:05 Ascot Stakes (Class 3) 8f - 11 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	8 1st (8) (6/1 -20%) Ebt's Guard		6 6/1(-20%)																															(8) Ebt's Guard 6/1, Sole success from 16 starts was gained in a Thirsk maiden in June but he has posted any number of a creditable efforts in defeat either side of that. Shaped better than the distance beaten in the Cambridgeshire at Newmarket last weekend and, with conditions here no problem, he's a big player. Creditable sixth in the Cambridgeshire and leading claims if this doesn't come too soon.
2	11 2nd (11) (4/1 -100%) Tareefa		4 4/1(-100%)																															(11) Tareefa 4/1, Well-bred filly who confirmed debut promise when scoring in comfortable fashion at Newmarket in June. Followed up in a Haydock novice (1m, soft) the following month and while that form is nothing special, she is in good hands and further progress seems likely. 3yo; novice wins the last twice; could be significantly better than today's grade.
3	10 3rd (10) (7/2 +68%) Monkey Island		3.5 7/2(+68%)																															(10) Monkey Island 7/2, Caused an 80/1 upset in Newbury novice on return and, following a lesser effort at the Royal meeting in June, he has since acquitted himself well in a trio of 7f/1m handicaps on good/good to firm. Conditions here will be unlike anything he's previously encountered, which is a concern. Solid efforts when third at Newmarket the last twice; unraced on slow ground.
4	6 4th (6) (15/2 +6%) Thunder Roar		7.5 15/2(+6%)																															(6) Thunder Roar 15/2, Successful 3 times from 16 starts and went close to adding another to his tally last week in a Haydock handicap (7.2f, heavy). By no means the pick of these at the weights but, on the upside, he's consistent and clearly relishes testing conditions. Would be better off if this was a h'cap but he went very close on heavy at Haydock latest.
5th	12 5th (12) (8/1 -23%) Thyer		8 8/1(-23%)																															(12) Thyer 8/1, Showed plenty in 2 starts for Andrew Balding at 2 yrs and, having been gelded, he narrowly prevailed on his belated reappearance/debut for new yard under a penalty at Windsor (1m, good) 18 days ago. May well have more to offer but this is a much tougher assignment. Two novice wins from his three starts; could have plenty more to offer; one to consider.
6th	4 6th (4) (12/1 -85%) Pearl Eye		12 12/1(-85%)																															(4) Pearl Eye 12/1, Made a winning reappearance over a mile at Pontefract in May and returned to form following a brief lull when going close at Chester (7.6f, soft) last month, a race he almost certainly would've won but for traffic problems around a furlong out. Strongly considered. Returned to form on soft ground at Chester three weeks ago; could be in the shake-up.
7th	7 7th (7) (11/1 -10%) Aquacell		11 11/1(-10%)																															(7) Aquacell 11/1, Overcame inexperience to make a winning debut at Chelmsford (7f) in Apri and she hasn't done much wrong in 5 subsequent appearances, most recently finding just one too good in a 1m Newmarket handicap (good). Unraced on ground slower than good to soft. Lightly raced 3yo; runner-up at Newmarket latest; something to find today but progressive.
8th	3 8th (3) (40/1 -43%) Imperial Fighter		40 40/1(-43%)																															(3) Imperial Fighter 40/1, Third in the Irish 2000 Guineas in 2022 but hasn't come close to matching that form since, particularly in his 3 runs for new connections this year. Third in the Irish 2,000 Guineas in 2022 but has struggled this season.
9th	1 9th (1) (18/1 +28%) Accidental Agent		18 18/1(+28%)																															(1) Accidental Agent 18/1, Smart performer in his pomp (winner of the Queen Anne at the 2018 Royal meeting) but it's been over 2 years since he last got his head in front, and he failed to build on his fairly encouraging belated reappearance effort when down the field at Sandown last time. 10yo; merely 8th on both runs this year but showed spark on first occasion; not discounted.
10th	2 10th (2) (28/1 -27%) Dashing Roger		28 28/1(-27%)																															(2) Dashing Roger 28/1, Signed off last season with a pair of wins in the mud but his efforts during the spring lacked spark and it's easy enough to look elsewhere on this occasion. Patchy form in the spring and absent since, but two heavy-ground wins last autumn.
11th	5 11th (5) (150/1 +25%) Taskheer		150 150/1(+25%)																															(5) Taskheer 150/1, Winner of 3 of his 4 starts (all low-grade handicaps) in what turned out to be a truncated 2023 campaign. Faces a very tall order on these terms, particularly on the back of a 17-month absence. Progressive in spring 2023 but absent since and faces a tough task at today's weights.

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17:05 Ascot Stakes (Class 3) 8f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.

Closely related to Group 1 winner Nezwaah, TAREEFA has progressed nicely by scoring on her last two starts. As long as she handles the ground, William Haggas' charge is taken to see off the likes of Thyer, who was a determined winner at Windsor on his first start for new connections, and Ebt's Guard. Completing the shortlist are the likes of Aquacell, Dashing Roger and Monkey Island.

PEARL EYE pulled clear of the rest when an unlucky loser at Chester recently and, granted better luck-in-running, the 4-y-o may well gain compensation here with conditions no problem. Next on the list is Ebt's Guard, who is just about the pick at the weights and he ran well for a long way in the Cambridgeshire on Saturday. The unexposed Tareefa has to be feared, too, while Monkey Island could have a part to play if handling the ground and Thunder Road is not without each-way hope.

The well-bred TAREEFA (nap) could prove to be quite a bit better than this grade and gets the nod ahead of fellow 3yo Ebt's Guard.

17:05 Ascot Stakes (Class 3) 8f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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Racecard Key

Ths is the racecard key.

Icon	Meaning
	TomForm top stats, gold rated
	TomForm top stats silver rated
	Ran similar race before
S	TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out
T	Top Time speeed rated
	Top Racingpost rated
	At the races watchout for
	At the races top pick
	Top rated for thet statistic

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How to use Tomform

Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.

This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.

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