15:15 Ayr Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 16f - 14 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
4	4 (4) (4/7 +43%) Joshua Des Flos		0.571429 4/7(+43%)																															(4) Joshua Des Flos 4/7, Placed in 2 bumpers and third on all 3 starts over hurdles, the last twice over C&D. 2m is sharp enough for him but he does set a clear form standard here. Third on all three hurdling starts and this race looks easier than his latest; big player.
6	6 (6) (6/1 -50%) Myretown		6 6/1(-50%)																															(6) Myretown 6/1, £135,000 buy after winning an Irish point in April 2022. Showed plenty to work on when fourth in a Hexham bumper 6 months later. Has a 15-month absence to overcome now hurdling but he's still an interesting contender, particularly if backed. Irish point winner in 2022; only fourth when odds-on for a bumper but still has potential.
3	3 (3) (11/1 -47%) Heart Above		11 11/1(-47%)																															(3) Heart Above 11/1, Promise when placed on all 3 starts in bumpers. Something can't have been right when well held on his Musselburgh hurdle debut and he remains one who should be up to making his presence felt in races such as this. Flopped badly on recent hurdle debut but was placed in all three bumpers.
9	9 (9) (14/1 -17%) Skiddaw		14 14/1(-17%)																															(9) Skiddaw 14/1, Has shown ability in his 2 hurdle runs but is perhaps one who won't really come into his own until handicapping. Tongue tied first time. Not beaten far on hurdling debut at Kelso but safely held over C&D since.
10	10 (10) (14/1 +30%) Supreme Authority		14 14/1(+30%)																															(10) Supreme Authority 14/1, Related to plenty of winners but no obvious short-term encouragement when down the field on Leopardstown debut on Boxing Day. Well down the field on debut; connections have much stronger chance with Joshua Des Flos..
7	7 (7) (14/1 -180%) Professor Klump		14 14/1(-180%)																															(7) Professor Klump 14/1, Placed on the second of his 2 starts in points. Has failed to land a blow in 2 starts in this sphere but early days and perhaps cheekpieces will spark improvement. Not beaten far when seventh over C&D last month and can probably make further progress.
14	14 (14) (16/1 -146%) Raynbo		16 16/1(-146%)																															(14) Raynbo 16/1, Sister to bumper winner Henry Box Brown and half-sister to fairly useful hurdler Island Mahee (17f-2½m winner. Dam half-sister to useful hurdler/smart chaser Mendip Express. Joshua des Flos has to be considered the stable first string unless the betting strongly hints otherwise. Newcomer from same stable as leading form contender Joshua Des Flos.
5	5 (5) (18/1 +28%) Lucky Soldier		18 18/1(+28%)																															(5) Lucky Soldier 18/1, Promising second in a bumper here on debut in 2022 but well held since, making mistakes when a remote fifth on C&D reappearance 22 days ago. Second in course bumper in 2022 but has made low-key start to hurdling career.
11	11 (11) (33/1 +0%) Tommy Combats		33 33/1(+0%)																															(11) Tommy Combats 33/1, Bought for £21,000 after finishing third on the first of 2 starts in Irish points. More one for the longer term judged on his remote sixth on C&D hurdle debut 3 weeks ago. Showed only minor promise when 100-1 for last month's C&D (soft) rules debut.
8	8 (8) (80/1 +20%) River Ayr		80 80/1(+20%)																															(8) River Ayr 80/1, Promise when runner-up on the first of 2 course bumpers last season but well held switched to hurdles here 3 weeks ago. Can only watch. Soundly beaten when 100-1 for hurdling debut over C&D three weeks ago.
12	12 (12) (100/1 +0%) It's For You Mum		100 100/1(+0%)																															(12) It's For You Mum 100/1, Well held on her only start in bumpers and similar story on completed outing over hurdles. Hard to fancy. Failed to complete two of first three hurdle races and was soundly beaten in between.
2	2 (2) (250/1 -150%) Golden Swift		250 250/1(-150%)																															(2) Golden Swift 250/1, Down the field in a bumper and maiden hurdle here in recent weeks. Well beaten over C&D when 300-1 for hurdling debut three weeks ago..
1	1 (1) (250/1 -150%) Captain Nelson		250 250/1(-150%)																															(1) Captain Nelson 250/1, Little worthwhile form and jumping is a major issue. Showed no significant promise when a big-priced outsider for first three hurdling starts.
13	13 (13) (250/1 -150%) Midnight Alnwicky		250 250/1(-150%)																															(13) Midnight Alnwicky 250/1, 150/1 when pulled up in Carlisle novice hurdle on debut in December. Struggled when 150-1 for recent debut at Carlisle (2m1f, good to soft).

LTO Selection:

15:15 Ayr Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 16f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

Myretown was an expensive purchase and failed to justify favouritism in his only bumper start at Hexham in October 2022, but he could prove a different proposition on his return from a long absence on his hurdle debut. However, preference is for JOSHUA DES FLOS, who sets the standard with a rating of 122. The five-year-old has hit the frame in both starts over C&D and could prove tough to beat. Any market support behind the selection's stable companion, Raynbo, would also be of interest.

Plenty of runners but it's hard to make out a case for many of them. We may not see the very best of JOSHUA DES FLOS until he goes back over further but he might still have too much for today's opposition. A market move for Lucinda Russell hurdle debutant Myretown, who hasn't been seen finishing fourth in a bumper 15 months ago, would make him a possible threat. Heart Above should be a lot better than he showed on his hurdle debut and completes the shortlist.

This looks a good opportunity for JOSHUA DES FLOS, who was placed in a stronger C&D race three weeks ago.

15:15 Ayr Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:45 Ayr Handicap Chase (Class 4) 16f - 6 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
5	5 (5) (5/2 +55%) Heritier		2.5 5/2(+55%)																															(5) Heritier 5/2, Took advantage of lower hurdles mark at Uttoxeter (15.7f) in November and positive start for new yard when second back over fences at Sedgefield (19.3f) on Boxing Day. Should give another good account provided this doesn't come too soon. Won off much lower hurdle mark in November; stayed on well for close 2nd over 2m3f latest.
1	1 (1) (7/2 -5%) Escapeandevade		3.5 7/2(-5%)																															(1) Escapeandevade 7/2, Point winner who maintained his unbeaten course record when landing this race 12 months ago. However, hasn't seen his races out in trio of starts since, including when last of 4 on return at Wetherby (15f) in November. Winner of both course starts, including this race last year (off 1lb lower).
2	2 (2) (12/1 -200%) Fearless		12 12/1(-200%)																															(2) Fearless 12/1, Lightly raced on the back of success at Aintree (15.8f) last June, and returned with good placed efforts at Uttoxeter/Sedgefield in the autumn. Let down by his jumping at Haydock (16.3f) in November but better showing not ruled out with cheekpieces refitted. Retains ability since absence; below best on soft latest; might prefer good ground now.
6	6 (6) (14/1 +13%) Ardera Cross		14 14/1(+13%)																															(6) Ardera Cross 14/1, Course regular (5-time C&D winner) who ran best race for a while in refitted cheekpieces when second of 6 in handicap chase here (20.5f) 13 days ago. Still, this looks tougher back down in trip/operating from out of the weights. Eight course wins; mostly struggled in recent months and tough task from 8lb wrong.
3	3 (3) (15/8 +0%) Fia Fuinidh		1.875 15/8(+0%)																															(3) Fia Fuinidh 15/8, Made all in 2m handicap hurdle here last winter and loads of promise to glean from pair of chase efforts this time around, catching the eye when runner-up at Carlisle (2m) 16 days ago. Well worth considering. Impressed on handicap hurdle debut here last January; has taken well to fences.
4	4 (4) (15/2 -50%) Gandhi Maker		7.5 15/2(-50%)																															(4) Gandhi Maker 15/2, Dual scorer over fences early last year and quickly dispelled a lesser effort when second of 6 in handicap chase at Newcastle (16.3f) 10 days ago, running on. Should give another good account. Has won on soft; close up in latest two completions; this sharper test might not be ideal.

LTO Selection:

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15:45 Ayr Handicap Chase (Class 4) 16f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

HERITIER filled second place on his return to chasing at Sedgefield on Boxing Day and that followed a couple of good efforts over timber. The son of Fuisse could be hard to stop here from what is clearly a workable mark. That said, Gandhi Maker also hit the crossbar on his most recent outing at Newcastle and the eight-year-old should not be underestimated in this company, while Fia Fuinidh is another with strong form claims.

FIA FUINIDH again shaped well and was noted finishing with running left when runner-up over fences at Carlisle 16 days ago, beaten by a fellow improver but well clear of the remainder. He can prove his mark a lenient one, with Heritier and Fearless others to consider.

Last year's winner ESCAPEANDEVADE (nap) defends an unbeaten record on the track and has a good deal in his favour again.

15:45 Ayr Handicap Chase (Class 4) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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Racecard Key

Ths is the racecard key.

Icon	Meaning
	TomForm top stats, gold rated
	TomForm top stats silver rated
	Ran similar race before
S	TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out
T	Top Time speeed rated
	Top Racingpost rated
	At the races watchout for
	At the races top pick
	Top rated for thet statistic

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How to use Tomform

Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.

This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.

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