16:18 Ayr Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 24f - 16 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
11	11 (11) (7/1 -17%) Gypsey's Secret		7 7/1(-17%)																															(11) Gypsey's Secret 7/1, Still a maiden but she comes here in excellent heart, runner-up over C&D 12 days ago when conceding first run to the winner. Another bold showing is on the cards. Confirmed January's novice hurdle third no fluke when second in C&D handicap since; player.
1	14 1st (14) (12/1 +52%) Better Be Definite		12 12/1(+52%)																															(14) Better Be Definite 12/1, Only ninth of 12 in handicap hurdle at Sedgefield (19.8f, heavy) 57 days ago. Up in trip with more required if he's to get off the mark. Weakened quickly on 2m4f handicap debut latest and remains to be seen if 3m suits.
2	3 2nd (3) (4/1 +33%) Artic Mann		4 4/1(+33%)																															(3) Artic Mann 4/1, Returned from a long absence with a creditable second at Kelso (20.9f) in October and has run creditably all 3 outings since. Likely to remain competitive. In frame all starts since returning from long absence, latest over C&D; thereabouts again.
3	15 3rd (15) (50/1 +50%) Iturgeon Du Breuil		50 50/1(+50%)																															(15) Iturgeon Du Breuil 50/1, Placed in Irish point in May but has offered little encouragement in a trio of Carlisle novice hurdles this winter. Lots more is needed now handicapping with cheekpieces added. No show in novice hurdles but more chance now handicapping at low level in headgear.
4	10 4th (10) (28/1 -12%) Ebendi		28 28/1(-12%)																															(10) Ebendi 28/1, Fairly useful Flat performer for Joseph O'Brien. Nowhere near that level over hurdles and offered little after 7 months off when eighth at Sedgefield last time. Hard to warm to. Third at Perth last summer but well held at Sedgefield last month on first outing since.
5th	8 5th (8) (10/1 +44%) Lahardaun		10 10/1(+44%)																															(8) Lahardaun 10/1, Placed on both of his completed starts in Irish points but only modest form at best in his three runs over hurdles. Needs this switch to handicaps to spark improvement. No threat in three qualifying runs but more chance in handicaps; one to note in betting.
6th	12 6th (12) (12/1 +25%) Bollin Matilda		12 12/1(+25%)																															(12) Bollin Matilda 12/1, Poor maiden hurdler who turned in a below-par fifth in 25f Catterick handicap in January. More is needed after a break. Better when third at Carlisle (2m3f) in December but well held up in trip since.
7th	2 7th (2) (11/1 -83%) Sanosuke		11 11/1(-83%)																															(2) Sanosuke 11/1, Fair on the Flat in Ireland and he got off the mark in this sphere when seeing off 10 rivals over 23.8f here in November. Good third of 9 over C&D after a 6 lb rise last time so he's one for the shortlist. In good form with win and third over 3m at Musselburgh before Christmas; headgear off.
8th	16 8th (16) (16/1 +0%) Howzat Hiris		16 16/1(+0%)																															(16) Howzat Hiris 16/1, Opened her account in 3m Newcastle handicap last March but well below par on her last two runs at Catterick and Sedgefield this year. Others more persuasive. Back-to-form second at Market Rasen in December but well held twice since.
9th	13 9th (13) (11/1 +56%) Dequall		11 11/1(+56%)																															(13) Dequall 11/1, Seventeen runs since his last win in 2021 and only eighth of 15 in handicap hurdle at Doncaster (24.4f, soft) 59 days ago. Others appeal more. Third on comeback run in October but well held three times since.
9	9 |F| (9) (200/1 -300%) Hell On Earth		200 200/1(-300%)																															(9) Hell On Earth 200/1, Remains a maiden after 25 runs. 40/1, pulled up in handicap chase at Hexham (15.6f, heavy) 122 days ago. Significantly back up in trip. Tongue strap on for 1st time. Well treated on old Irish form but pulled up all three runs for new yard; tongue-tie added.
10th	5 10th (5) (11/2 +54%) Aazza		5.5 11/2(+54%)																															(5) Aazza 11/2, Successful at Doncaster last January and largely in good form since, fourth of 12 in handicap hurdle there 41 days ago, In the picture once more off a 2 lb lower mark. Well treated on peak form and latest Doncaster fourth was a bit more encouraging.
11th	7 11th (7) (28/1 +44%) Toombridge		28 28/1(+44%)																															(7) Toombridge 28/1, Runner-up in an Irish point but was probably flattered by his proximity to the principals in a falsely-run race at Newcastle last April and has offered little all three starts this season. Improved fourth in novice last spring but has struggled in three runs this season.
12th	4 12th (4) (18/1 +28%) Grosvenor Court		18 18/1(+28%)																															(4) Grosvenor Court 18/1, Lost his way when with Alan King and no signs of an upturn in his fortunes in his 2 outings for this yard. Tongue tied first time. Decent for Alan King but no show in hurdle/chase for new yard after absence; tongue-tie on.
13th	1 13th (1) (18/1 -50%) Rowdy Rustler		18 18/1(-50%)																															(1) Rowdy Rustler 18/1, Maiden hurdle winner here in February 2022 and good second on chase debut back here on return last season. However, he's been below par since. Not that convincing but better last time and in a 0-110 for first time.
6	6 |PU| (6) (4/1 +43%) Clovis Boy		4 4/1(+43%)																															(6) Clovis Boy 4/1, Got off the mark at Hexham in November and posted a good fourth of 10 in handicap hurdle at Wetherby (24.1f, heavy) 44 days ago. Can give another good account. 2m4f win in December and proved he stays 3m when fourth at Wetherby latest; considered.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

16:18 Ayr Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 24f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

A chance can be taken on LAHARDAUN, who showed signs of promise across his three qualifying runs. An opening mark of 88 looks more than fair and, with the step up in trip likely to suit, it would come as no surprise if he improved markedly on his handicap debut. Clovis Boy has improved since turning his attentions to handicaps and is likely to prove popular, along with Sanosuke, who finished third at Musselburgh last time having scored there the start before.

Not nearly so competitive as the numbers suggest and GYPSEY'S SECRET looks to have been found an excellent opportunity to go one better than over C&D recently and gain her breakthrough success. Aazza is proving a reliable sort and can have a say too off an easing mark, with Arctic Mann, Clovis Boy and Bowler Jack all not discounted either.

The suggestion in an open affair is Lucinda Russell's CLOVIS BOY, who is less exposed than most of these, particularly at this trip.

16:18 Ayr Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 24f PREDICTION SIMULATION

16:53 Ayr NH Flat Race (Class 5) 16f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	3 1st (3) (4/1 +33%) Kingston James		4 4/1(+33%)																															(3) Kingston James 4/1, £30,000 4-y-o, Kingston Hill gelding. Half-brother to 3 winners, including fairly useful hurdler/useful chaser Theo and fair hurdler Captain Lob, stays 2½m. Won completed start in points (Nov 2023), so strikes as a notable Rules newcomer. Bought for £30,000 after winning a 2m4f British point and should have a future.
2	7 2nd (7) (9/2 -80%) Step Out		4.5 9/2(-80%)																															(7) Step Out 9/2, Bettered debut form when fourth of 5 in a bumper at Fairyhouse last time and tongue tie applied now, so could do better still. Fourth at Fairyhouse in a race won by Champion Bumper contender Romeo Coolio.
3	5 3rd (5) (10/1 +38%) Saracen Beau		10 10/1(+38%)																															(5) Saracen Beau 10/1, €19,000 3-y-o, Mount Nelson gelding. Half-brother to unreliable but fairly useful hurdler/chaser Dreamsoftheatre and fair hurdler/chaser Definitly Grey. One to consider on debut for stable with solid bumper record. Half-brother to prolific 2m6f-3m2f hurdle/chase winner Dreamsoftheatre.
4	10 4th (10) (9/1 +36%) Madame Bluebelle		9 9/1(+36%)																															(10) Madame Bluebelle 9/1, Blue Bresil mare. Dam (c83/h99), 2m-2½m hurdle winner, half-sister to useful hurdler/smart chaser (stayed 3m) Junction Fourteen. Worth a market check. Dam 2m-2m4f hurdle winner; stable has done well in bumpers this season.
5th	6 5th (6) (33/1 -106%) Saratoga Steve		33 33/1(-106%)																															(6) Saratoga Steve 33/1, Related to three winners but didn't cost much and only beat one of the seven home at Musselburgh first time out. Was too free to do himself justice when beating one home at Musselburgh (soft).
6th	9 6th (9) (6/5 +26%) Yakaleo		1.2 6/5(+26%)																															(9) Yakaleo 6/5, Out of a winning hurdler/chaser and offered plenty of encouragement when third at Musselburgh a couple of months ago. Stable has a good record in this sphere and he sets the standard, so makes plenty of appeal. Strong in the betting at 9-4 when close up on good to soft at Musselburgh.
7th	8 7th (8) (16/1 -33%) Theatre Chief		16 16/1(-33%)																															(8) Theatre Chief 16/1, Dartmouth gelding. Dam (h107), placed in French hurdles, half-sister to smart hurdler/top-class chaser (stayed 3¼m) Sizing John. From a good family, so worthy of interest if the market speaks in his favour. Dam placed French 2m/2m1f hurdles; related to winners and one to note in the betting.
8th	4 8th (4) (200/1 -300%) Posh Et Noir		200 200/1(-300%)																															(4) Posh Et Noir 200/1, Failed to beat a rival over C&D 80 days ago and is likely to struggle again. Led early but was tailed off when 40-1 for debut on soft ground here in December.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content,

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16:53 Ayr NH Flat Race (Class 5) 16f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

The vote goes to YAKALEO, who shaped with significant promise when finishing third on his racecourse debut at Musselburgh in December. Nicky Richards' charge might not want ground conditions to deteriorate too much, though, having been withdrawn on account of soft ground at Kelso last month, but he ought to hold every chance if lining up. Irish raider Step Out has shown ability and is respected with a first-time tongue-tie applied, while point-to-point winner Kingston James is another to consider.

YAKALEO sets the standard on his third at Musselburgh first time out and he's likely to have benefited from that initial experience, so he gets the nod ahead of point-winner Kingston James. Saracen Beau, a stablemate of the winner, also makes some appeal on paper.

There's a lot to like about Fairyhouse fourth STEP OUT who represents a yard with an excellent record in bumpers at this track.

16:53 Ayr NH Flat Race (Class 5) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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Racecard Key

Ths is the racecard key.

Icon	Meaning
	TomForm top stats, gold rated
	TomForm top stats silver rated
	Ran similar race before
S	TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out
T	Top Time speeed rated
	Top Racingpost rated
	At the races watchout for
	At the races top pick
	Top rated for thet statistic

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How to use Tomform

Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.

This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.

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