Ayr Races & Results 1 Thursday 4th May 2023 UK Horse Racing Speed Ratings & Tips

Ayr Races & Results Tomform Thursday 4th May 2023

There were 43 Races on Thursday 4th May 2023 across 6 meetings. There was 8 races at Salisbury, 7 races at Ayr, 7 races at Redcar, 7 races at Tipperary, 7 races at Lingfield, 7 races at Chelmsford-City, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.

Races & Results Thursday 4th May 2023

The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.

13:30 Ayr Handicap (Class 6) 8f - 6 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	5 1st (5) (3/1 +25%) Cosa Sara	3 3/1(+25%)	(5) Cosa Sara 3/1, C&D winner. Thirteen runs since last win in 2022. 12/1, twelfth of 14 in handicap at Bath (8f, soft) 27 days ago, slowly away. Should run closer to form this time. Did well in early part of last season and is back on a good mark now.
2	1 2nd (1) (3.33/1 +33%) Bulls Aye	3.33 3.33/1(+33%)	(1) Bulls Aye 3.33/1, Twelve runs since last win in 2020. Tongue strap on for first time in this code, eighth of 9 in handicap at Musselburgh (8f, good to soft, 12/1) 26 days ago. Needs to leave that effort well behind. Placed in selling handicap on AW two runs ago and too well handicapped to rule out.
3	7 3rd (7) (9/1 -13%) Oriental Lilly	9 9/1(-13%)	(7) Oriental Lilly 9/1, Course winner. Eighteen runs since last win in 2021. 28/1, respectable fourth of 11 in handicap at Newcastle (10.2f) 31 days ago, never nearer. Back down in trip and this a rare turf outing these days. Last won in 2021, and she's had several chances off basement marks on AW this year.
4	3 4th (3) (2/1 +33%) Far From A Ruby	2 2/1(+33%)	(3) Far From A Ruby 2/1, C&D winner. 40/1, fourth of 12 in handicap at Southwell (7.1f) 25 days ago. That was a step back in the right direction and she's well weighted. Returned to form on latest AW start and is 5lb lower than for last summer's C&D win.
5th	2 5th (2) (5/1 -43%) Dark Company	5 5/1(-43%)	(2) Dark Company 5/1, Untrustworthy individual. Creditable fourth of 8 in handicap at Wolverhampton (9.5f, 9/2) 19 days ago, though again failed to convince with his finishing effort. Not the force of old but ran okay in AW selling handicap last month.
6th	4 6th (4) (33/1 -136%) Class Clown	33 33/1(-136%)	(4) Class Clown 33/1, Creditable fifth of 11 in handicap (7/1) at Newcastle (7.1f). Off 18 months. First run for yard after leaving David Barron and well-being has to be taken on trust. Not firing on all cylinders for David Barron when last seen in autumn 2021.

LTO Selection:

13:30 Ayr Handicap (Class 6) 8f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.

It is difficult to predict with certainty which horse will do well based on this summary, as there is no clear standout performer. However, based on recent form and previous wins at the course, 2/1 (3) FAR FROM A RUBY and 3/1 (5) COSA SARA seem like strong contenders to finish in the top three. 3.33/1 (1) BULLS AYE could also be a consideration if he can put his recent disappointing run behind him. Ultimately, the outcome of the race will depend on many variables, including the form of each horse on the day and the conditions of the track.

DARK COMPANY wasn't disgraced when fourth at Wolverhampton on his latest outing and the five-year-old, who was dropped 1lb by the handicapper, appears to have been found a suitable opportunity to gain his first success on turf. Far From A Ruby boasts a decent record at this track and is likely to be competitive following her recent fourth at Southwell. Last year's winner Cosa Sara could easily bounce back from her return effort at Bath and is noted along with Bulls Aye.

Hard to make a compelling case for any of these but FAR FROM A RUBY took a big step in the right direction when fourth at Southwell last time and she's well weighed these days. Cosa Sara and Dark Company are probably the chief threats.

This might go to FAR FROM A RUBY, who signalled a return to form on the AW last month and won over C&D off a higher mark last year.

13:30 Ayr Handicap (Class 6) 8f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:00 Ayr Handicap (Class 5) 5f - 7 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	2 1st (2) (1.1/1 +51%) Jordan Electrics	1.1 1.1/1(+51%)	(2) Jordan Electrics 1.1/1, Course winner. First run since leaving Ewan Whillans when creditable seventh of 16 in handicap at Musselburgh (5f, soft, 16/1) 26 days ago, staying on final 1f. Entitled to be sharper with that under his belt. Well handicapped on some of last year's 6f form and ran quite well over 5f last month.
2	1 2nd (1) (2/1 -6%) Bert Kibbler	2 2/1(-6%)	(1) Bert Kibbler 2/1, Latest win at Southwell (5f) in March. 11/2, below form tenth of 16 in handicap at Musselburgh (5f, soft) 26 days ago, racing closer to pace than ideal. No surprise to see a better showing from an easing mark here. Comfortable AW winner in March; below form on turf return but this race is much easier.
3	3 3rd (3) (20/1 +39%) Shabaaby	20 20/1(+39%)	(3) Shabaaby 20/1, Latest win at Dundalk (5f) in January. However, made a low-key start for present stable, again failing to beat a rival when last of 11 in handicap at Newcastle (5f) 5 weeks ago (reportedly bled). Plenty to prove at present. Started off for stable with two underwhelming AW runs; needs to prove his wellbeing.
4	5 4th (5) (28/1 -180%) Boudica Bay	28 28/1(-180%)	(5) Boudica Bay 28/1, Proved as good as ever when bagging second success of last term at Haydock (5f) in June. Ended the campaign below her best and the betting may prove a useful guide now starting out for new yard. Nine-time 5f winner for Eric Alston; not seen since ending last season with two poor runs.
5th	6 5th (6) (10/1 +29%) Earn Your Stripes	10 10/1(+29%)	(6) Earn Your Stripes 10/1, Course winner. 12/1, ninth of 11 in handicap at Carlisle (5.8f, good). Off 8 months. Needs a couple of these to falter. Dual winner in cheekpieces last summer; off since two below-par runs last August.
6th	4 6th (4) (5.5/1 -22%) Sixcor	5.5 5.5/1(-22%)	(4) Sixcor 5.5/1, 3-time C&D winner. Creditable fourth of 11 in handicap at Pontefract (5f, good) in September, staying on to be nearest at the finish. Certainly not out of things if ready to roll on back of 7 months off. Triple C&D winner in 2022; begins the new season on fairly tough mark.
7th	7 7th (7) (50/1 -213%) Henery Hawk	50 50/1(-213%)	(7) Henery Hawk 50/1, First run since leaving David & Nicola Barron when last of 10 in handicap (80/1) at Newcastle (6f) 34 days ago, weakening over 1f out. Entitled to be sharper for that but he may need further assistance from the assessor before becoming of interest. Finished last after racing too freely over 6f on stable debut; drops back in trip here.

LTO Selection:

14:00 Ayr Handicap (Class 5) 5f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

It is difficult to predict a clear winner from this summary as many of the horses have been inconsistent in their recent form or have not raced in a while. However, based on their past performances and course experience, the top three horses that may have a good chance of finishing well are: 1. 28/1 (5) BOUDICA BAY - With nine 5f wins under her belt and a recent win at Haydock, 28/1 (5) BOUDICA BAY has proven to be a strong competitor at this distance. She may benefit from starting out with a new yard and could be a strong contender if she's fit and ready. 2. 1.1/1 (2) JORDAN ELECTRICS - This horse has shown some potential with a creditable seventh place in a recent handicap and previous course experience. With a bit more fitness under his belt, he may be able to improve and finish well in this race. 3. 5.5/1 (4) SIXCOR - With three C&D wins and a fourth place finish in a recent handicap, 5.5/1 (4) SIXCOR may be able to hold his own in this race

This represents a drop in class for JORDAN ELECTRICS, who is entitled to improve for an encouraging comeback run over this trip at Musselburgh last month. Off the same mark, he is fancied to go well, but the reopposing Bert Kibbler is another to consider now rated 2lb lower following that effort 26 days ago when he wasn't beaten too far by the selection. Sixcor makes his return to action following a decent fourth at Pontefract last September and completes the shortlist.

All four of BERT KIBBLER's career victories have come on all weather to date but he's effective on turf and, best not judged too harshly on his latest Musselburgh run, he could be worth chancing from his easing mark. Jordan Electrics and the returning Sixcor head up the dangers.

14:00 Ayr Handicap (Class 5) 5f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:35 Ayr Maiden (Class 4) 7f - 6 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	2 1st (2) (0.83/1 -66%) Hey Lyla	0.83 0.83/1(-66%)	(2) Hey Lyla 0.83/1, Fairly useful filly. Remains a maiden after 7 Flat runs. 4/1, second of 6 in novice event at Epsom (8.5f, heavy) on return 9 days ago. Clear pick on form.
2	5 2nd (5) (8.5/1 +39%) Out Of Mischief	8.5 8.5/1(+39%)	(5) Out Of Mischief 8.5/1, Twice-raced filly. 125/1, better effort when fourth of 11 in novice event at Wolverhampton (7.2f). Off 159 days.
3	1 3rd (1) (2/1 +73%) Fleur De Mer	2 2/1(+73%)	(1) Fleur De Mer 2/1, Dark Angel filly. Half-sister to 3 winners, including 11.6f/1½m winner Lostwithiel and 1m-10.5f winner Lady Penko, both useful. 18/1, eighth of 10 in maiden at Doncaster (8f, heavy) on debut. Off 6 months.
4	6 4th (6) (9/1 -80%) Purnika	9 9/1(-80%)	(6) Purnika 9/1, Mondialiste filly. Half-sister to 5f winner Hathfa and 7.5f/1m winner Yardan. Dam unraced half-sister to very smart 6f (including Middle Park Stakes at 2 yrs) winner Shalaa. Interesting newcomer.
5th	4 5th (4) (40/1 +0%) Mrs Happy	40 40/1(+0%)	(4) Mrs Happy 40/1, Gustav Klimt filly. Dam lightly raced, out of smart winner up to 8.5f (2-y-o 5.7f winner) Katdogawn.
6th	3 6th (3) (40/1 -150%) Hold On Together	40 40/1(-150%)	(3) Hold On Together 40/1, Gustav Klimt filly. Half-sister to 1m-1¼m winner Warp Factor and 1m-9f winner Set In Stone, both useful. Dam maiden (stayed 1m), half-sister to smart sprinter Mooneista.

LTO Selection:

14:35 Ayr Maiden (Class 4) 7f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

Based on the summary, 0.83/1 (2) HEY LYLA seems like the clear pick on form and has recently performed well. For the remaining two places, 2/1 (1) FLEUR DE MER has a good pedigree with multiple winners in the family, but their debut performance was not strong. 9/1 (6) PURNIKA has an interesting pedigree and is a newcomer to watch out for. 1st place: 0.83/1 (2) HEY LYLA 2nd place: 9/1 (6) PURNIKA 3rd place: 2/1 (1) FLEUR DE MER

HEY LYLA remains a maiden after seven starts, but she continues to run well in defeat. Charlie Johnston's filly sets the standard on official ratings and must hold every chance of opening her account, providing she can run to a similar level. Purnika boasts an appealing pedigree and she merits the utmost respect on debut, while Out Of Mischief, who finished a good fourth at Wolverhampton in November, has the ability to go close too.

HEY LYLA bumped into a useful one at Epsom on her return and this represents an excellent opportunity. David O'Meara's newcomer Purnika may emerge as the biggest threat.

Charlie Johnston's filly HEY LYLA is beginning to look exposed after seven runs but she has shown some fairly useful form.

14:35 Ayr Maiden (Class 4) 7f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:05 Ayr Handicap (Class 5) 8f - 4 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	2 1st (2) (1.75/1 +36%) Star Shield	1.75 1.75/1(+36%)	(2) Star Shield 1.75/1, C&D winner who arrives in good nick, travelling strongly when fifth of 10 in handicap at Newcastle (8f) 21 days ago and giving impression he needed a stronger gallop. Weighted to go well eased 1 lb now. C&D winner last summer and went close off this mark on AW in March; likely contender.
2	5 2nd (5) (3/1 +33%) Shine On Brendan	3 3/1(+33%)	(5) Shine On Brendan 3/1, C&D winner. Off 6 months before coming in last of 9 in handicap at Musselburgh (8f, good to soft) 26 days ago so can take a step forward here. Won five times last year but had gone off the boil by autumn, and came last on return run.
3	3 3rd (3) (3.33/1 +45%) Showmedemoney	3.33 3.33/1(+45%)	(3) Showmedemoney 3.33/1, Latest win at Newcastle in February. Respectable third of 10 to Flylikeaneagle in handicap (6/1) at Musselburgh (8f, good to soft) 26 days ago, sticking to task. Shortlisted. Unable to challenge Flylikeaneagle but still ran well when third last month.
4	1 4th (1) (3.33/1 -67%) Flylikeaneagle	3.33 3.33/1(-67%)	(1) Flylikeaneagle 3.33/1, Posted a career best when winning 10-runner handicap at Musselburgh (8f, good to soft, 13/2) 26 days ago, forging clear. Up 6 lb but this C&D scorer can't be taken lightly. Returned from rather disappointing hurdling spell with clearcut Flat win last month.

LTO Selection:

15:05 Ayr Handicap (Class 5) 8f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

Based on the summary, it is difficult to predict with certainty which horse will finish in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd place. However, 3/1 (5) SHINE ON BRENDAN and 1.75/1 (2) STAR SHIELD seem to be the most likely contenders, with both being C&D winners and arriving in good form. 3.33/1 (1) FLYLIKEANEAGLE also has potential, having recently won a handicap race at Musselburgh, but may struggle with a weight increase. 3.33/1 (3) SHOWMEDEMONEY could be a decent bet for a place, having consistently placed in recent races. Overall, the race seems quite competitive and any of these horses could place in the top three.

FLYLIKEANEAGLE struck by three lengths at Musselburgh last time on his return to the Flat, and the six-year-old gelding was raised 6lb for that effort. The quicker conditions are unlikely to trouble him and, with Brandon Wilkie claiming 7lb, he could prove very tough to beat. An interesting contender is Alpine Sierra, who makes his return to action after having a wind operation and tries a first-time tongue-tie, which could eke out improvement. Star Shield is another to note.

C&D scorer STAR SHIELD shaped as if in top form when fifth at Newcastle last time and can capitalise on a handy-looking mark at the chief expense of recent Musselburgh victor Flylikeaneagle, who can also boast a C&D win and rates a big threat. In-form Showmedemoney appeals as the pick of the rest for minor honours.

15:05 Ayr Handicap (Class 5) 8f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:40 Ayr Handicap (Class 5) 6f - 5 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	5 1st (5) (4/1 +43%) Foreseeable Future	4 4/1(+43%)	(5) Foreseeable Future 4/1, Three wins from 15 runs last year. Off 6 months, likely needed the run when seventh of 12 on 5f Catterick reappearance 22 days ago. Back to last winning mark. Made low-key seasonal debut on soft ground; might need another run or two.
2	2 2nd (2) (3.5/1 -133%) Our Absent Friends	3.5 3.5/1(-133%)	(2) Our Absent Friends 3.5/1, Successful twice over 5f at Newcastle since switching to handicaps. Remains unexposed and major player is as effective on turf. Lightly raced 5yo; dual 5f AW winner; player if this trip-and-surface combination suits.
3	4 3rd (4) (4.5/1 -13%) Thaki	4.5 4.5/1(-13%)	(4) Thaki 4.5/1, First run since leaving Jessica Macey when respectable sixth of 12 in handicap at Newcastle (6f, 17/2) 21 days ago, not ideally placed. Placed twice on AW this year and last month's stable debut was respectable; not ruled out.
4	1 4th (1) (1.75/1 +22%) Water Of Leith	1.75 1.75/1(+22%)	(1) Water Of Leith 1.75/1, C&D scorer last summer and ended 2022 with a win at Newcastle in October. Down the field in 2 comeback runs this spring but this is easier than the Musselburgh Class 2 he contested last time and he's only 1 lb above his last successful mark. Did well after rejoining Jim Goldie last year; will find this easier than recent tasks.
5th	3 5th (3) (7.5/1 +38%) Tangled	7.5 7.5/1(+38%)	(3) Tangled 7.5/1, Eighteen runs since last win in 2021, including well held on AW at Newcastle (7f/1m) for new yard on final 2 outings last year. Remains to be seen if this drop back to 6f (for first time since 2019) helps. Best known as a miler now and not seen since two below-par AW runs in November.

LTO Selection:

15:40 Ayr Handicap (Class 5) 6f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

Based on the information provided, it is difficult to confidently predict which horse will do well. However, 1.75/1 (1) WATER OF LEITH and 3.5/1 (2) OUR ABSENT FRIENDS seem to have a higher chance of performing well as they have recent wins and are only slightly above their successful marks. 7.5/1 (3) TANGLED may struggle with the drop back to 6f, and 4/1 (5) FORESEEABLE FUTURE may need another run or two to reach peak fitness. 4.5/1 (4) THAKI also remains unproven on turf. Therefore, our prediction for the top three finishers would be 1.75/1 (1) WATER OF LEITH in first place, 3.5/1 (2) OUR ABSENT FRIENDS in second place, and 4.5/1 (4) THAKI in third place.

OUR ABSENT FRIENDS has been in excellent form on the all-weather and a mere 2lb rise for his most recent success at Newcastle may not be enough to stop him going in again. Stepping back up in trip looks like another plus and he can see off the capable Water Of Leith and Thaki, who performed well on his first start for new connections last month.

It's unlikely OUR ABSENT FRIENDS will have reached his limit after only 3 handicap starts and he could take a bit of stopping if proving as effective on turf. Water of Leith should find this a lot easier than the big-field Musselburgh Class 2 he ran in last time and has a good record here so he's feared most.

Topweight WATER OF LEITH has made a quiet start to this season but contests a much easier race today and is given the verdict.

15:40 Ayr Handicap (Class 5) 6f PREDICTION SIMULATION

16:10 Ayr Handicap (Class 6) 10f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	8 1st (8) (7/1 +50%) Royal Countess	7 7/1(+50%)	(8) Royal Countess 7/1, C&D winner. Seventeen runs since last win in 2021. 12/1, bit below form seventh of 13 in handicap at Redcar (10f, good to soft). Off 6 months. Others preferred. Course regular with modest strike-rate; out of form when last seen in the autumn.
2	6 2nd (6) (5.5/1 +8%) Flying Moon	5.5 5.5/1(+8%)	(6) Flying Moon 5.5/1, 3-time C&D winner. Eighth of 11 in handicap at this C&D (heavy, 12/1), merely passing beaten rivals. Off 7 months. Likely to need the run. Triple C&D winner in 2022; out of form in the autumn but has pretty good record when fresh.
3	2 3rd (2) (4/1 -33%) Berry Edge	4 4/1(-33%)	(2) Berry Edge 4/1, Eighth of 12 in handicap at Newcastle (10.2f, 10/3), slowly away. Off 6 months. Down in grade and shortlist material. Off since below-par AW run in October but placed four times on turf last year.
4	3 4th (3) (3.5/1 +0%) Graces Quest	3.5 3.5/1(+0%)	(3) Graces Quest 3.5/1, Bit below form fifth of 14 in handicap at this course (13.1f, good, 8/1). Off 7 months. Consistent in the main last year and looks the more likely of the Jim Goldie-trained pair. Makes plenty of appeal. Two wins last season; resumes on a workable mark but would appeal more over further.
5th	4 5th (4) (12/1 +40%) My Macho Man	12 12/1(+40%)	(4) My Macho Man 12/1, Lightly-raced winner on Flat. Blinkered for 1st time, shaped as if still in form when fifth of 10 in handicap hurdle (6/1) at Perth (16.2f, good to soft) 7 days ago. Tongue strap on 1st time on the Flat. Can't be ruled out. Placed off lowly hurdle mark in March but looks opposable on first Flat start since 2020.
6th	1 6th (1) (6.5/1 +28%) Kalahari Prince	6.5 6.5/1(+28%)	(1) Kalahari Prince 6.5/1, 11/1, last of 11 in handicap at Beverley (9.9f, good to soft) 7 days ago. Visor on 1st time. Not easy to make a case for. Three poor runs since win in October, the last two for new stable last month; new headgear.
7th	5 7th (5) (5/1 +17%) Golden Valour	5 5/1(+17%)	(5) Golden Valour 5/1, Temperamental sort. Twenty runs since last win in 2020. 11/2, creditable fourth of 12 in handicap at Newcastle (10.2f). Off 6 months. Respected. Signed off with fairly good AW run in October but hasn't won since 2020; others preferred.
8th	7 8th (7) (16/1 -88%) Lochnaver	16 16/1(-88%)	(7) Lochnaver 16/1, Sixth of 9 in handicap (8/1) at Newcastle (12.4f), doing too much too soon. Off 6 months. Not discounted for all that she might strip fitter for the run. Twice maiden all at Hamilton last year (1m3f/1m4f); may find 1m2f here inadequate.

LTO Selection:

16:10 Ayr Handicap (Class 6) 10f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.

Based on the summary, the horse that seems most likely to do well and finish in the top three is 3.33/1 (3) GRACES QUEST. It had two wins last season and is consistent in the main. The other two horses that could potentially finish in the top three are 5.5/1 (6) FLYING MOON, who has a good record when fresh and has won at this C&D three times before, and 4/1 (2) BERRY EDGE, who is down in grade and has placed four times on turf last year. Therefore, the predicted order of finish is: 1. 3.33/1 (3) GRACES QUEST 2. 5.5/1 (6) FLYING MOON 3. 4/1 (2) BERRY EDGE

Kalahari Prince hasn't shown much in two starts this season, but that may all change with the application of a first-time visor potentially making a difference. Graces Quest was a consistent performer last season and she has to be of interest, despite dropping in trip. The vote, though, goes to BERRY EDGE. He was knocking on the door on several occasions in 2022 and this may be the time to catch him as he returns from a break.

GRACES QUEST wasn't at her best when last seen 7 months ago but she had a positive 2022 overall and could get back on track on seasonal debut. Berry Edge is a danger dropping back in grade and My Macho Man is worthy of interest returning to this sphere after a spell over hurdles.

16:10 Ayr Handicap (Class 6) 10f PREDICTION SIMULATION

16:40 Ayr Handicap (Class 5) 7f - 7 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	1 1st (1) (2.5/1 +17%) Judgment Call	2.5 2.5/1(+17%)	(1) Judgment Call 2.5/1, C&D winner who posted respectable fourth of 10 in handicap (5/1) at Musselburgh (8f, good to soft) on return 26 days ago. Entitled to build on that. Dual 7f winner last summer (once here) and ran well over 1m on last month's reappearance.
2	5 2nd (5) (5.5/1 +21%) Novak	5.5 5.5/1(+21%)	(5) Novak 5.5/1, Finished runner-up in a couple of 7.1f handicaps at Newcastle the last twice and remains fairly treated on return to turf. Enters calculations. Second on consecutive 7f AW starts in March and should be fine back on turf.
3	2 3rd (2) (4.5/1 -13%) Classy Al	4.5 4.5/1(-13%)	(2) Classy Al 4.5/1, Scored 3 times at this course, latest over this trip in September, and improved on that when good second of 11 in handicap here (6f) when last seen 7 months ago. Back up in trip. Not taken lightly on return. Won three times here last season (6f-7f); returns from absence on career-high mark.
4	3 4th (3) (4/1 +27%) Lilikoi	4 4/1(+27%)	(3) Lilikoi 4/1, Returned to winning ways at Newcastle (7.1f) in January and made the frame all 3 starts since, latest when fourth of 11 in handicap (5/1) at Southwell (7.1f) 51 days ago, nearest finish. Warrants respect. In good form on AW and was placed twice under Gianluca Sanna on turf last year; a player.
5th	7 5th (7) (6.5/1 +13%) Merricourt	6.5 6.5/1(+13%)	(7) Merricourt 6.5/1, C&D winner. 100/1, eleventh of 12 in handicap at Newcastle (6f) 21 days ago, not knocked about. Back up in trip. Cheekpieces back on. Something to find on form. Well beaten on both AW starts this year but won this race off 2lb higher 12 months ago.
6th	4 6th (4) (11/1 -83%) Rogue Force	11 11/1(-83%)	(4) Rogue Force 11/1, Three-time winner (at up to 8f) on AW for Tom Clover and posted respectable fourth on final start for yard at Kempton (7f) in March. Nicely treated on debut for new stable and is an interesting contender. Hood back on. Bought for 9,000gns after respectable AW run in March; given a chance by the handicapper.
7th	8 7th (8) (10/1 -11%) Global Humor	10 10/1(-11%)	(8) Global Humor 10/1, Unreliable sort. C&D winner. 50/1, fourteenth of 16 in handicap at Musselburgh (5f, soft) 26 days ago. Significantly back up in trip. Needs a couple of these to falter. Failed to win last year but is on a good mark and might have needed last month's run.

LTO Selection:

16:40 Ayr Handicap (Class 5) 7f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

1st: 4.5/1 (3) LILIKOI 2nd: 3.33/1 (1) JUDGMENT CALL 3rd: 5.5/1 (5) NOVAK

All three of CLASSY AL's career wins have come at this track and this looks like another ideal opportunity returning from a 210-day break. Conditions look to be in his favour and he is narrowly preferred to the consistent Novak and Judgment Call, who ran a fine race on his return at Musselburgh last month and he is entitled to improve for that reappearance.

ROGUE FORCE acquitted himself well at Kempton last time and figures off a handy mark on debut for new connections here. He gets the nod. Classy Al and Novak rate the principal dangers.

The suggestion is LILIKOI, won began the year in good form on the AW and has a capable 7lb claimer enlisted for her turf return.

16:40 Ayr Handicap (Class 5) 7f PREDICTION SIMULATION

Racecard Key

Ths is the racecard key.

Icon	Meaning
	TomForm top stats, gold rated
	TomForm top stats silver rated
	Ran similar race before
S	TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out
T	Top Time speeed rated
	Top Racingpost rated
	At the races watchout for
	At the races top pick
	Top rated for thet statistic

How to use Tomform

Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.

This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.

About U.K Horse Racing

Horse racing is a popular and historic sport in the UK, with a tradition dating back centuries. It is a multi-billion pound industry that attracts millions of spectators each year and generates significant economic activity.

There are two main types of horse racing in the UK: flat racing and jump racing. Flat racing is run on a level course and is typically shorter in distance, while jump racing involves horses jumping over obstacles and is generally longer in distance. Both types of racing are popular with spectators and bettors, and they take place at various racetracks throughout the country.

The most famous horse racing event in the UK is the Grand National, which is held annually at Aintree Racecourse in Liverpool. It is a jump racing event that is known for its challenging course and has become a national institution in the UK. Other notable horse racing events in the UK include the Derby, held at Epsom Downs Racecourse in Surrey, and the Royal Ascot, held at Ascot Racecourse in Berkshire.

Horse racing in the UK is regulated by the British Horseracing Authority (BHA), which sets rules and standards for the industry. It is responsible for the welfare of racehorses and the safety of jockeys and trainers, as well as ensuring fair and transparent racing practices.

In addition to its economic and cultural importance, horse racing in the UK also plays a significant role in the breeding and training of thoroughbred horses. Many of the world's top thoroughbreds are bred and trained in the UK, and the industry plays a vital role in the preservation and promotion of the breed.

Overall, horse racing is an integral part of British culture and a major contributor to the country's economy. It is a thrilling and exciting sport that continues to attract a loyal following and generate significant interest from spectators and bettors around the world.

Top