15:30 Ayr Listed (Class 1) 10f - 7 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	1 1st (1) (0.8/1 +20%) Al Husn		0.8 0.8/1(+20%)																															(1) Al Husn 0.8/1, Smart filly who won all 3 starts last season, including a red-hot valuable Newmarket fillies/mares handicap over this trip in October. Fine return in the Group 2 Dahlia there recently, taking second late on. Plenty going for her back down in grade. Improving filly who ran well in Newmarket Group 2 on seasonal debut; respected.
2	2 2nd (2) (11/1 -10%) Angels Wrath		11 11/1(-10%)																															(2) Angels Wrath 11/1, Fairly useful filly yet to add to her debut Dundalk success but ran well at the longest trip she has tackled to date when second in 9.5f Gowran listed race 3 weeks ago. Lots more on her plate here. Runner-up in Gowran Listed event last time; possibilities if building on that.
3	4 3rd (4) (22/1 +0%) Jewel In My Crown		22 22/1(+0%)																															(4) Jewel In My Crown 22/1, Hit the target in 3 handicaps at up to 11f last season and resumed with a fine effort in a competitive event at Kempton. Well beaten in the Jockey Club 3 weeks ago but this is a bit more realistic. Drops back in class but her best form remains at handicap level.
4	3 4th (3) (4/1 -14%) Crystal Caprice		4 4/1(-14%)																															(3) Crystal Caprice 4/1, Quickly developed into a useful filly last term, completing the hat-trick in a handicap at Ascot (1m) prior to finishing third in a Newmarket listed race. Easy to back and should have come on for her Nottingham return in the mud after 6 months off and should stay this trip. Could do better. Possibly didn't have ideal conditions the last twice; progressive otherwise.
5th	5 5th (5) (40/1 +0%) Madame Ambassador		40 40/1(+0%)																															(5) Madame Ambassador 40/1, Fairly useful filly who won 2 Newmarket handicaps over further last season. Not disgraced on return at Epsom but plenty to find on these terms back down in trip. Handicapper; has the worst chance at the weights in this grade.
6th	7 6th (7) (10/1 -43%) Pink Carnation		10 10/1(-43%)																															(7) Pink Carnation 10/1, Won Nottingham maiden and 9f Hamilton handicap (impressive) last season and ran really well under an enterprising ride on her return at Nottingham (Crystal Caprice in behind), drawing several lengths clear halfway and headed only late on. This is tougher. Appeared to run very well at Nottingham on reappearance but possibly flattered.
7th	6 7th (6) (6/1 +0%) Makinmedoit		6 6/1(+0%)																															(6) Makinmedoit 6/1, Won 3 times over this trip last year and ran well behind a promising filly at Lingfield when last seen in January. Just as good on turf and capable of making her presence felt back at this level. Largely progressive over 1m2f; goes well fresh; interesting on return from break.

LTO Selection:

15:30 Ayr Listed (Class 1) 10f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.

PINK CARNATION (second) had Crystal Caprice (fifth) well behind on her first start of the season in the Nottinghamshire Oaks, which was much improved form than she had shown prior, suggesting she has taken a big step forward over the winter. The daughter of Territories is fancied to cope with these quicker conditions and go one better. Al Husn will find this an easier assignment than the Dahlia at Newmarket, where she was a six-length second, and she is expected to mount another bold bid.

Roger Varian can win this again with progressive filly AL HUSN. She won a red-hot Newmarket handicap on her final start last term and resumed with a cracking effort in a Group 2 there. Back down in grade here she has obvious claims. Makinmedoit has a race like this in her and is feared most ahead of Sir Michael Stoute's Crystal Caprice.

The drop back in class gives the advantage to AL HUSN (nap). Makinmedoit, another progressive sort, is feared most.

15:30 Ayr Listed (Class 1) 10f PREDICTION SIMULATION

16:00 Ayr Handicap (Class 4) 8f - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	2 1st (2) (4.5/1 -64%) Mountbatten		4.5 4.5/1(-64%)																															(2) Mountbatten 4.5/1, Career best when winning 7-runner handicap at Doncaster (7f, heavy, 10/1) 18 days ago. This low-mileage 4-y-o may have more to offer and merits plenty of respect up 3 lb. 7f winner last time; open to further progress; big player if proving as good back at 1m.
2	1 2nd (1) (6/1 -20%) Hortzadar		6 6/1(-20%)																															(1) Hortzadar 6/1, Useful handicapper at best. Good second on Ripon reappearance last month and may have found run coming too soon when only eighth of 11 at Beverley (8.5f, good to soft) a week later. Player on the Ripon form. Remains 11lb below last winning mark; possibilities if bouncing back.
3	7 3rd (7) (2.12/1 +72%) Yaaser		2.12 2.12/1(+72%)																															(7) Yaaser 2.12/1, C&D winner last summer but has yet to seriously threaten in 3 outings this year, not helped by slow starts. His mark is coming down but need to see more. Scored twice here last term; hinted at a return to form on latest start; interesting.
4	3 4th (3) (8.5/1 +15%) Ventura Rascal		8.5 8.5/1(+15%)																															(3) Ventura Rascal 8.5/1, C&D winner. Respectable fourth of 16 in handicap (16/1) at Pontefract (1m, good to soft) on reappearance 30 days ago. Claims if he can build on that. Respectable fourth in big field at Pontefract on seasonal debut; has won over C&D.
5th	5 5th (5) (5/1 -25%) Star Shield		5 5/1(-25%)																															(5) Star Shield 5/1, Something to spare when back to winning ways in a 4-runner race over C&D under Jason Watson 20 days ago. Only nudged up 2 lb but Watson partners stablemate Hortzadar. Justified favouritism in small field over C&D three weeks ago; raised only 2lb.
6th	9 6th (9) (12/1 +33%) Golden Valour		12 12/1(+33%)																															(9) Golden Valour 12/1, Temperamental sort. Twenty one runs since last win in 2020. Seventh of 8 in handicap at this course (1¼m, good to firm, 5/1) on reappearance 20 days ago. First-time visor replaces cheekpieces. 0-7 for current stable; chance depends on how well he takes to new headgear.
7th	6 7th (6) (22/1 -57%) Wadacre Grace		22 22/1(-57%)																															(6) Wadacre Grace 22/1, Pair of AW wins from the front this spring but well beaten back on turf at Musselburgh last month. Raced mainly on AW; form dipped markedly back on turf last time.
8th	8 8th (8) (22/1 -120%) Circles		22 22/1(-120%)																															(8) Circles 22/1, Pair of 7f Dundalk wins in February. 10/1, creditable fourth of 12 in handicap there (6f) 43 days ago, running on late. Significantly back up in trip. Hasn't troubled the judge in 3 previous outings on turf. Irish filly who has raced mainly on AW at Dundalk; something to prove back on turf.
9th	4 9th (4) (12/1 +14%) Flylikeaneagle		12 12/1(+14%)																															(4) Flylikeaneagle 12/1, C&D winner. Eight wins from 26 Flat runs, the latest at Musselburgh (1m) last month. Not in the same form when 8 lengths last of 4 to Star Shield over C&D since, though. Disappointing over C&D last time but has a respectable record here otherwise.

LTO Selection:

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16:00 Ayr Handicap (Class 4) 8f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

Star Shield regained the winning thread when registering a clear-cut verdict in a small-field C&D handicap, but he doesn't have nearly as much scope for improvement as MOUNTBATTEN. Archie Watson's gelding built on a decent Brighton comeback when successful at Doncaster, and the rise from 7f should see him in an even better light. Ventura Rascal and Circles are interesting, with Hortzadar, Wadacre Grace and Flylikeaneagle all better than they showed last time.

David O'Meara holds a strong hand, with HORTZADAR taken to build on his promising reappearance at the second time of asking and deny Star Shield a C&D double. Lambourn raider Mountbatten looks best of the remainder.

Back down in grade and returned to Ayr, YAASER could well come back to winning form. Mountbatten is feared most.

16:00 Ayr Handicap (Class 4) 8f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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16:30 Ayr Handicap (Class 5) 5f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	6 1st (6) (4/1 +27%) Muker		4 4/1(+27%)																															(6) Muker 4/1, Useful earlier in career. Some encouragement at second time of asking for new yard when sixth of 7 at Pontefract 3 weeks ago, keeping on when meeting trouble in the final 110yds. Dangerously well handicapped. Has become very well handicapped on peak form; third start for new yard.
2	3 2nd (3) (11/1 -22%) Mr Beaufort		11 11/1(-22%)																															(3) Mr Beaufort 11/1, Pair of wins for Tom Clover last year. Has yet to fire for new yard but it's still early days. Tongue tied first time. May prove resurgent with tongue-tie fitted and dropped back in class.
3	4 3rd (4) (2.5/1 -11%) Be Proud		2.5 2.5/1(-11%)																															(4) Be Proud 2.5/1, C&D winner. Fifteen runs since last win in 2022. 12/1, fourth of 5 in handicap at this course (6f, good) on reappearance 16 days ago. Entitled to strip fitter for the outing and well capable off this mark. Possibilities off a handy mark back over 5f; all wins at this distance.
4	1 4th (1) (7/1 -17%) Jojo Rabbit		7 7/1(-17%)																															(1) Jojo Rabbit 7/1, Now 10 lb below the mark he won off at Nottingham last summer but hasn't offered enough in 4 outings this year to suggest he's in good enough form to take advantage. This drop in grade may prompt some sort of revival; won off 10lb higher last June.
5th	5 5th (5) (16/1 -45%) Lockdown		16 16/1(-45%)																															(5) Lockdown 16/1, 6/1, below form third of 8 in handicap at Southwell (5f) when last seen in February (final run for George Baker). Tongue strap back on. Sold for just £1,000 since last run; heed market signals on debut for Irish stable.
6th	2 6th (2) (4/1 +11%) Modular Magic		4 4/1(+11%)																															(2) Modular Magic 4/1, C&D winner. Twelve runs since last win in 2021. Went close on AW in January and lost all chance start when well held later that month. Given a break ahead of this turf return. Nicely treated; goes well fresh; interesting on return from four-month layoff.
7th	7 7th (7) (11/1 +21%) Shabaaby		11 11/1(+21%)																															(7) Shabaaby 11/1, Ninth of 10 in handicap at Catterick (6f, good, 6/1) 9 days ago but had been a creditable third of 7 over C&D prior to that. Ran well over C&D two starts ago but inconsistency has become a trait.
8th	8 8th (8) (9/1 -20%) Sixcor		9 9/1(-20%)																															(8) Sixcor 9/1, Three-time C&D winner. Presumably needed the outing when sixth of 7 on C&D reappearance (good to firm) 20 days ago. Likely to make more of an impact this time. All wins over C&D but they came off lower marks in Class 6.

LTO Selection:

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16:30 Ayr Handicap (Class 5) 5f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

SHABAABY was not beaten far when third over course and distance two starts ago and his most recent effort at Catterick over 6f suggested that a return to the minimum trip would suit. Modular Magic was not at his best last time but he should not be underestimated in this company, while Lockdown has to be of some interest on his debut for new connections. The shortlist is completed by Be Proud and Mr Beaufort.

MUKER was running on when cut off towards the rail late on at Pontefract last time and might be worth chancing having dipped to a mark in the 60s. Be Proud ran quite encouragingly on his C&D reappearance a couple of weeks ago and is second choice ahead of Sixcor.

There are a few positives for MODULAR MAGIC, who gets the vote. Second choice Muker.

16:30 Ayr Handicap (Class 5) 5f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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17:00 Ayr Handicap (Class 4) 10f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	1 1st (1) (3/1 +14%) Morning Sun		3 3/1(+14%)																															(1) Morning Sun 3/1, Good start for new yard, building on Redcar reappearance third when scoring over C&D (good) 16 days ago. Did that quite readily so a 6 lb rise shouldn't prevent another prominent showing. Won with something to spare over C&D recently and could take a 6lb rise in his stride.
2	7 2nd (7) (1.88/1 -7%) Theophilos		1.88 1.88/1(-7%)																															(7) Theophilos 1.88/1, 10/3, career best when winning 13-runner handicap at Tipperary (9f, good to soft) 34 days ago, readily. Not obviously well treated from his British mark but his unexposed profile provides the hope for better. Won at Tipperary latest; 11lb higher mark here but could have plenty more left in the tank.
3	3 3rd (3) (5.5/1 +15%) Innse Gall		5.5 5.5/1(+15%)																															(3) Innse Gall 5.5/1, C&D winner. Creditable fifth of 13 in handicap at Haydock (1¼m, good to firm, 5/1) 25 days ago. Respectable 5th of 13 at Haydock latest & this is less competitive; might not be far away.
4	5 4th (5) (12/1 +0%) Knightswood		12 12/1(+0%)																															(5) Knightswood 12/1, Well handicapped on his best form but hard to be confident about after finishing well held on his Musselburgh reappearance last month. Tailed off on reappearance but on a handy mark and not written off.
5th	2 5th (2) (6.5/1 +13%) Tilsitt		6.5 6.5/1(+13%)																															(2) Tilsitt 6.5/1, C&D winner. Offered more than on reappearance when 4 lengths eighth of 13 in handicap at Hamilton (1m, good, 28/1) 10 days ago, needing stiffer test. Back up in trip. Didn't run badly at Hamilton latest and now back at the scene of his last three wins.
6th	4 6th (4) (14/1 -56%) Zarabanda		14 14/1(-56%)																															(4) Zarabanda 14/1, Unexposed type who shaped better than the result when sixth of 14 on 9f Hamilton reappearance 10 days ago, keeping on after meeting trouble. Remains capable of better. Very lightly raced 4yo who could have more to offer on this second handicap start.
7th	6 7th (6) (33/1 -136%) Bringbackmemories		33 33/1(-136%)																															(6) Bringbackmemories 33/1, Won a Musselburgh juvenile hurdle at the start of the year but has failed to make a significant impact on the Flat since joining this yard. Has had wind surgery. Others arrive with more pressing claims. Wind op since last time but Flat form for this new yard has been mixed.
8th	8 8th (8) (12/1 -20%) Sophiesticate		12 12/1(-20%)																															(8) Sophiesticate 12/1, C&D winner. 12/1, good fourth of 14 in handicap at Hamilton (9f, good) 10 days ago. Enters calculations. Close fourth over 1m1f at Hamilton recently and this slightly longer trip looks a plus.

LTO Selection:

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17:00 Ayr Handicap (Class 4) 10f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

A ready winner over C&D 16 days ago, it looks best to side with the unexposed MORNING SUN. The son of Muhaarar appeared to relish the switch to front-running tactics on that occasion and a similar showing here could see him defy a 6lb rise in the handicap. Irish raider Theophilos appeals as his main danger following last month's Tipperary success, while Innse Gall heads the remainder, although Zarabanda should not be underestimated.

MORNING SUN had a bit in hand when striking at the second time of asking for the Keith Dalgleish stable here 16 days ago and can make light of a 4 lb rise. Zarabanda shaped quite encouragingly in a competitive Hamilton handicap on her recent reappearance and is feared most ahead of Irish raider Theophilos.

Irish challenger THEOPHILOS did it nicely at Tipperary last month and is taken to follow up, although Morning Sun is a danger.

17:00 Ayr Handicap (Class 4) 10f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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17:30 Ayr Handicap (Class 6) 8f - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
4	4 (4) (28/1 -155%) Esticky End		28 28/1(-155%)																															(4) Esticky End 28/1, Ended 2022 out of sorts but did notch a pair of turf wins last May, including on reappearance, and it would be no surprise to see him stage a revival. One to keep a close eye on in the market. Goes well fresh; needs a close look on return from ten-month absence.
1	9 1st (9) (2.75/1 +8%) Hostelry		2.75 2.75/1(+8%)																															(9) Hostelry 2.75/1, One win from 33 Flat runs. 4/1, creditable second of 8 in handicap at Musselburgh (9f, good) 9 days ago. Expected to be bang there. Sole win came off 3lb higher; creditable second at Musselburgh last time; in the mix.
2	7 2nd (7) (3.33/1 +52%) Bulls Aye		3.33 3.33/1(+52%)																															(7) Bulls Aye 3.33/1, Tricky customer but he has run well to be placed on 3 of last 4 starts. Losing run mounting up, though. Engaged 6.30 here Tuesday. Placed twice in a row this month then didn't enjoy a clear run here yesterday.
3	1 3rd (1) (4.5/1 +0%) Shine On Brendan		4.5 4.5/1(+0%)																															(1) Shine On Brendan 4.5/1, C&D winner. 9/4, creditable second of 5 in handicap at Hamilton (8.3f, good) 17 days ago, having run of race from front. Can play a prominent role again. Creditable second the last twice; threatening to regain the winning thread; respected.
4	2 4th (2) (7.5/1 +25%) Super Stars		7.5 7.5/1(+25%)																															(2) Super Stars 7.5/1, Fit from hurdling and placed off higher marks on the Flat last year. Not discounted. 0-12 on Flat and all of his place form is over further than 1m.
5th	6 5th (6) (11/1 +31%) Big Dream		11 11/1(+31%)																															(6) Big Dream 11/1, 18/1 and cheekpieces on first time, last of 14 in handicap at Dundalk (7f) in January, ridden too aggressively. Off 138 days. Far from consistent since sole win but current mark is workable.
6th	3 6th (3) (25/1 -150%) Rogue Force		25 25/1(-150%)																															(3) Rogue Force 25/1, 11/1, first run since leaving Tom Clover when sixth of 7 in handicap at this course (7f, good to firm) 20 days ago. Needs to leave that behind. Turf record isn't solid but this drop in class may help; second run for new yard.
7th	10 7th (10) (14/1 +44%) Retirement Beckons		14 14/1(+44%)																															(10) Retirement Beckons 14/1, C&D winner but hasn't beaten a rival in 2 comeback outings at Hamilton in recent weeks. Can only watch at present. Suited by Ayr but has a question mark over current form.
8th	5 8th (5) (7/1 +13%) Engles Rock		7 7/1(+13%)																															(5) Engles Rock 7/1, Dual C&D winner last year. Twelfth of 14 in handicap (11/1) at Wetherby (1m, good to soft) 24 days ago, not ideally placed. Back on a winning mark. Interesting back at Ayr having gained last two wins over C&D (including off 2lb higher).

LTO Selection:

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17:30 Ayr Handicap (Class 6) 8f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.

Successful over C&D last July, SHINE ON BRENDAN has been knocking on the door of late with a pair of runner-up efforts and this looks like an ideal opportunity for him to get back to winning ways. Hostelry arrives with similar claims and can give him the most to think about, along with Rogue Force, who has dropped down to a very attractive mark.

HOSTELRY goes off the same mark as when second at Musselburgh at the beginning of last week and may be up to going one better now. Shine On Brendan is another who arrives on the back of a creditable runner-up effort in recent days and should figure again. The returning Esticky End won on his 2022 reappearance and is another to consider, particularly if the betting vibes are strong.

Judged on his last two efforts SHINE ON BRENDAN looks a particularly solid option. Hostelry is second choice.

17:30 Ayr Handicap (Class 6) 8f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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Racecard Key

Ths is the racecard key.

Icon	Meaning
	TomForm top stats, gold rated
	TomForm top stats silver rated
	Ran similar race before
S	TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out
T	Top Time speeed rated
	Top Racingpost rated
	At the races watchout for
	At the races top pick
	Top rated for thet statistic

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How to use Tomform

Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.

This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.

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About U.K Horse Racing

Horse racing is a popular and historic sport in the UK, with a tradition dating back centuries. It is a multi-billion pound industry that attracts millions of spectators each year and generates significant economic activity.

There are two main types of horse racing in the UK: flat racing and jump racing. Flat racing is run on a level course and is typically shorter in distance, while jump racing involves horses jumping over obstacles and is generally longer in distance. Both types of racing are popular with spectators and bettors, and they take place at various racetracks throughout the country.

The most famous horse racing event in the UK is the Grand National, which is held annually at Aintree Racecourse in Liverpool. It is a jump racing event that is known for its challenging course and has become a national institution in the UK. Other notable horse racing events in the UK include the Derby, held at Epsom Downs Racecourse in Surrey, and the Royal Ascot, held at Ascot Racecourse in Berkshire.

Horse racing in the UK is regulated by the British Horseracing Authority (BHA), which sets rules and standards for the industry. It is responsible for the welfare of racehorses and the safety of jockeys and trainers, as well as ensuring fair and transparent racing practices.

In addition to its economic and cultural importance, horse racing in the UK also plays a significant role in the breeding and training of thoroughbred horses. Many of the world's top thoroughbreds are bred and trained in the UK, and the industry plays a vital role in the preservation and promotion of the breed.

Overall, horse racing is an integral part of British culture and a major contributor to the country's economy. It is a thrilling and exciting sport that continues to attract a loyal following and generate significant interest from spectators and bettors around the world.

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