Ayr Races & Results 1 Monday 24th July 2023 UK Horse Racing Speed Ratings & Tips

Ayr Races & Results Tomform Monday 24th July 2023

There were 25 Races on Monday 24th July 2023 across 4 meetings. There was 6 races at Ayr, 7 races at Ballinrobe, 6 races at Beverley, 6 races at Windsor, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.

Races & Results Monday 24th July 2023

The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.

14:30 Ayr Handicap (Class 5) 13f - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	1 1st (1) (2.25/1 -236%) Golden Shot	2.25 2.25/1(-236%)	(1) Golden Shot 2.25/1, Returned from an absence to win a pair of 1¾m AW handicaps last autumn. Couldn't complete the hat-trick over 2m at Newcastle in October but he still ran well for second. Returns as an unexposed sort who should have more to offer. Likely hard to beat. Two 1m6f wins on AW last autumn; open to more progress and he's a key player on return.
2	3 2nd (3) (1.38/1 +66%) Two Auld Pals	1.38 1.38/1(+66%)	(3) Two Auld Pals 1.38/1, Off the mark at Carlisle (17f) last month and followed up at Hamilton (13f) 4 weeks later. Another good run when second back at Hamilton 9 days ago. Should go well again. Two wins and a close call in last three runs and he's respected on this drop back in grade.
3	5 3rd (5) (5.5/1 +39%) Glasses Up	5.5 5.5/1(+39%)	(5) Glasses Up 5.5/1, Several decent efforts in defeat this year, including fourth of 11 at Newcastle 23 days ago. Should figure again but it's hard to ignore the fact that he's on a losing run stretching back to July 2021. Some fair efforts this season but he's now 0-26 since his last win two years ago.
4	4 4th (4) (25/1 -25%) Excelcius	25 25/1(-25%)	(4) Excelcius 25/1, Flat/hurdle winner in Ireland for Thomas Mullins but has failed to make a significant impact over hurdles for current yard in Britain. Bit better back on the Flat at Musselburgh 3 weeks ago without suggesting he's a winner in waiting. His wins came in 2021 and he's been unplaced in all eight runs for current yard.
5th	7 5th (7) (10/1 -43%) Ghadbbaan	10 10/1(-43%)	(7) Ghadbbaan 10/1, Dual winner at up to 2m last season and has run creditably when placed on 4 of 5 outings this year. Likely to be in the shake-up. Back to form with a creditable third at Epsom and he now drops back in grade; in the mix.
6th	8 6th (8) (11/1 +21%) Lednikov	11 11/1(+21%)	(8) Lednikov 11/1, Pair of AW wins to end 2022. Has remained in form since and ought to be competitive having dipped below his last winning mark. Solid efforts on AW last twice and he should go well again back on turf.
7th	6 7th (6) (33/1 +34%) Ebony Maw	33 33/1(+34%)	(6) Ebony Maw 33/1, One win from 21 Flat runs. Seventeen runs since last win in 2020. Last of 10 in handicap at this course (1¼m, good, 18/1) 7 days ago, very slowly away. Significantly back up in trip. Record of 1-21 and he's struggled in both runs this season; others are more convincing.
8th	9 8th (9) (66/1 -32%) Go Bob Go	66 66/1(-32%)	(9) Go Bob Go 66/1, Well held sole Flat run last year. Did win over hurdles at Perth last autumn but refused to race there last week and now returns to the Flat. One of 3 runners from his stable. Overall record of 1-27 and he refused to race over hurdles last Sunday.
9th	2 9th (2) (100/1 -150%) Kondo Isami	100 100/1(-150%)	(2) Kondo Isami 100/1, Well held in 3 Flat runs on joining this yard last summer and didn't achieve much when remote fourth in a course novice hurdle in October. Absent since. Probably best watched. His last win was in May 2021 and he has quite a lot to prove back from 273 days off.

LTO Selection:

14:30 Ayr Handicap (Class 5) 13f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

Two Auld Pals found one too strong as he went in search of his hat-trick at Hamilton nine days ago, but Jim Goldie's in-form gelding merits respect raised just 1lb in the handicap. However, preference is for GOLDEN SHOT. Sir Mark Prescott's unexposed stayer hit the woodwork at Newcastle when last seen, and he looks a likely improver now switched to turf. Others to note include the consistent Ghadbbaan and Glasses Up.

A 9-month absence for GOLDEN SHOT isn't too big a concern given he won after a similar layoff last year and he should have too much for his more exposed rivals. Two Auld Pals has had a good spell lately and is second choice ahead of Ghadbbaan.

This is a tight call between the returning Golden Shot and Jim Goldie's TWO AULD PALS but the vote goes to the latter.

14:30 Ayr Handicap (Class 5) 13f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:05 Ayr Maiden (Class 4) 5f - 6 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	4 1st (4) (0.18/1 +18%) Dorothy Lawrence	0.18 0.18/1(+18%)	(4) Dorothy Lawrence 0.18/1, Placed in listed company over 5f at York and Chantilly in recent months. Should prove very hard to beat with her sights lowered. Placed in Listed events last twice and she should be hard to beat back in a maiden.
2	1 2nd (1) (6/1 -20%) Batal Zabeel	6 6/1(-20%)	(1) Batal Zabeel 6/1, Fair form when third at York (6f) and Hamilton (5f) this summer. Can fill the forecast spot. Promising third in both his runs and this well-bred colt should have more to offer.
3	2 3rd (2) (16/1 +43%) Pilgrim	16 16/1(+43%)	(2) Pilgrim 16/1, £65,000 Havana Grey colt. Half-brother to 6f winner Crash Helmet and useful 6f/7f winner Moraawed. Dam, 2-y-o 5f winner, half-sister to smart 2-y-o 5f-6f winner Temple Meads. Makes paper appeal but bumps into a useful opponent on debut. Has plenty of speed in his pedigree but this is a tough assignment on his debut.
4	3 4th (3) (11/1 +39%) Whogoesthere	11 11/1(+39%)	(3) Whogoesthere 11/1, Placed over 5f at Hamilton and Beverley in recent weeks. Placed in both his runs but he has a lot to find with Dorothy Lawrence here.
5th	5 5th (5) (66/1 -100%) Lazareti	66 66/1(-100%)	(5) Lazareti 66/1, 15,000 gns yearling, £50,000 2-y-o, Profitable filly. Half-sister to several winners, including winner up to 6f Chagatai and 5f winner Moondyne Joe. Dam 2-y-o 5f winner. Bred to have a future. Has high standard to aim at on debut and yard is 0-13 with juveniles this year.
6th	6 6th (6) (150/1 +0%) Nana's Ancestors	150 150/1(+0%)	(6) Nana's Ancestors 150/1, Twice-raced filly. 14/1, last of 3 in novice at Hamilton (5f, good to soft) 9 days ago. Has finished last in two small-field events, with RPRs in the 30s on both occasions.

LTO Selection:

15:05 Ayr Maiden (Class 4) 5f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

DOROTHY LAWRENCE sets a clear standard on her recent exploits in Listed company and Karl Burke's filly is hard to oppose now dropped markedly in class. Both Batal Zabeel and Whogoesthere will need to improve to hold any hope of toppling the likely favourite and a bigger threat may emerge from newcomer Pilgrim. The son of Havana Grey is a half-brother to the useful Moraawed, who was rated 91 at his peak, and any market support would be interesting.

It's impossible to ignore the claims of DOROTHY LAWRENCE who has been placed at listed level on her last 2 starts and should have little difficulty getting off the mark dropped to a maiden. It should be a closer run thing for the forecast spot, with Batal Zabeel narrowly preferred to Whogoesthere. The two newcomers also make paper appeal and it would be no surprise to see them involved in the battle for minor honours too.

This looks a good opportunity for Karl Burke's useful filly DOROTHY LAWRENCE, who sets a clear standard back in a maiden.

15:05 Ayr Maiden (Class 4) 5f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:40 Ayr Handicap (Class 6) 5f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	4 1st (4) (4.5/1 +10%) Borough	4.5 4.5/1(+10%)	(4) Borough 4.5/1, Fair maiden. Bit below form sixth of 11 in handicap (22/1) at Carlisle (5f, good) 16 days ago. Inconsistent 11-race maiden who was well held at Carlisle last time; down the list.
2	1 2nd (1) (3/1 +25%) Mistamac	3 3/1(+25%)	(1) Mistamac 3/1, Fair form when placed twice at 2. Below that level when fifth in 3 handicap starts this year but this represents a drop in class. Well-held fifth in his three handicaps this season and others are preferred.
3	8 3rd (8) (40/1 -60%) Ski Angel	40 40/1(-60%)	(8) Ski Angel 40/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Sixth of 10 in novice at Southwell (6f) 41 days ago. First run for yard after leaving John Quinn. Makes handicap debut. Could only consider if backed. Still early days but she needs to show a lot more on her handicap/stable debut.
4	5 4th (5) (50/1 -100%) Bloomin Robbery	50 50/1(-100%)	(5) Bloomin Robbery 50/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 28/1, last of 8 in handicap at Redcar (5f, good to firm) 31 days ago. First run for yard after leaving John Quinn. Others more persuasive. Has good pedigree and is still unexposed but he needs a transformation for new yard.
5th	3 5th (3) (1.1/1 -21%) Whiskey Priest	1.1 1.1/1(-21%)	(3) Whiskey Priest 1.1/1, Much improved when dead-heating on 5f Yarmouth handicap debut last week. Capable of better again and can make light of a 6 lb penalty. Improved form when dead-heating on recent handicap debut; big player again under penalty.
6th	2 6th (2) (6/1 -9%) Grandad Bob	6 6/1(-9%)	(2) Grandad Bob 6/1, Runner-up on Catterick handicap debut/reappearance (5f, heavy) in April but not in the same form at Beverley 12 weeks later. Player if back to the Catterick form. Well held latest but he looks interesting on his second at Catterick (5f, soft) in April.
7th	7 7th (7) (66/1 -32%) Mrs Happy	66 66/1(-32%)	(7) Mrs Happy 66/1, Well held in 2 Hamilton handicaps in recent weeks. Needs to raise her game considerably. Has struggled at big prices in all five runs including two sprint handicaps on slow ground.
8th	6 8th (6) (25/1 +50%) The Camacho Kid	25 25/1(+50%)	(6) The Camacho Kid 25/1, Poor form. Seventh of 8 in handicap at Ripon (6f, good to firm, 50/1) 14 days ago. Has not finished closer than 6l to a winner in his eight starts; opposable.

LTO Selection:

15:40 Ayr Handicap (Class 6) 5f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.

Whiskey Priest would be the obvious call after his dead-heat success at Yarmouth, but he has to carry a 6lb penalty here and preference is for top-weight MISTAMAC. Still a maiden after six starts, he was beaten less than four lengths in a good race at Newcastle last month and ought to go well off 3lb lower. Borough would be interesting if he doesn't pull too hard early on, and he clearly has the ability to make his presence felt.

WHISKEY PRIEST won despite still looking a little rough around the edges at Yarmouth last week and can defy a penalty with further improvement on the cards. Grandad Bob can bounce back to his Catterick form and provide the chief threat ahead of the class-dropping Mistamac.

This can go to WHISKEY PRIEST (nap), who dead-heated on his handicap debut at Yarmouth last week and is open to more improvement.

15:40 Ayr Handicap (Class 6) 5f PREDICTION SIMULATION

16:15 Ayr Handicap (Class 6) 6f - 13 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	10 1st (10) (4.5/1 -13%) See My Baby Jive	4.5 4.5/1(-13%)	(10) See My Baby Jive 4.5/1, Found the winning habit in recent starts, landing back-to-back handicaps over this C&D. 4 lb penalty to carry for latest victory but must enter calculations. Resurgent 7yo who has won over C&D in last two starts; should make another bold bid.
2	5 2nd (5) (4.5/1 +59%) Pretty Boy Floyd	4.5 4.5/1(+59%)	(5) Pretty Boy Floyd 4.5/1, Eighteen runs since last win in 2021. 28/1, eleventh of 17 in handicap at Fairyhouse (7f, good) 12 days ago. Work to do. Went close at the Curragh in May but has been disappointing since; due to run on Sunday.
3	8 3rd (8) (7.5/1 -67%) Muddy Lynn	7.5 7.5/1(-67%)	(8) Muddy Lynn 7.5/1, Career best when winning 13-runner handicap at Newcastle (6f, 15/2) 24 days ago, overcoming pace bias. 4 lb rise fair and not taken lightly. Off the mark at Newcastle last time; up 4lb but she's respected back on turf.
4	2 4th (2) (9/1 -64%) Gentle Ellen	9 9/1(-64%)	(2) Gentle Ellen 9/1, C&D winner who got back on scoreboard when taking 9-runner handicap at Carlisle (5.8f, soft, 15/2) 35 days ago. Still looks fairly treated and merits consideration. C&D winner who scored on good to soft at Carlisle last time; respected up 4lb.
5th	13 5th (13) (66/1 -230%) Genevieve	66 66/1(-230%)	(13) Genevieve 66/1, Seventh of 9 in handicap at Catterick (7f, good to firm, 33/1) 12 days ago. Yet to trouble the judge in half a dozen starts. 1 lb out of the weights. Six-race maiden who was beaten 17l at Catterick (7f, good) last time; others preferred.
6th	4 6th (4) (8.5/1 -42%) The Caltonian	8.5 8.5/1(-42%)	(4) The Caltonian 8.5/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Very good second of 9 in handicap (50/1) at this C&D (firm) 30 days ago. Just 1 lb higher here and likely has more to offer yet. Went close on his handicap debut over C&D last month and is open to more progress.
7th	6 7th (6) (7.5/1 +6%) Kraken Power	7.5 7.5/1(+6%)	(6) Kraken Power 7.5/1, Creditable fifth of 9 in handicap (12/1) at Catterick (5f, good) 5 days ago. Each-way claims. Consistent type who has run well back on turf in last three starts; shouldn't be far away.
8th	11 8th (11) (9/1 +25%) Earn Your Stripes	9 9/1(+25%)	(11) Earn Your Stripes 9/1, C&D winner. 14/1, respectable 2 lengths fourth of 12 to See My Baby Jive in handicap at this C&D (good) 7 days ago. Needs a couple of these to falter. Has run well behind See My Baby Jive over C&D last twice; should go well again.
9th	12 9th (12) (200/1 -300%) Erazmus	200 200/1(-300%)	(12) Erazmus 200/1, 15/2 and blinkered for 1st time, last of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 5 days ago. Needs a couple of these to falter. Down the field in all eight runs and he makes no appeal back on turf.
10th	3 10th (3) (8.5/1 +6%) Chookie Dunedin	8.5 8.5/1(+6%)	(3) Chookie Dunedin 8.5/1, C&D winner. 10/1, respectable third of 7 in handicap at Musselburgh (5f, good) 31 days ago. First run for yard after leaving Keith Dalgleish. Can make presence felt. Plenty of frame efforts this this year and has possibilities back up in trip for new yard.
11th	7 11th (7) (16/1 +43%) White Umbrella	16 16/1(+43%)	(7) White Umbrella 16/1, Bit below form fourth of 10 in handicap at Carlisle (5.8f, good to soft, 20/1) 11 days ago. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals. Mark is falling but she's now 0-8 in handicaps and needs to raise her game.
12th	1 12th (1) (9/1 +44%) One More Dream	9 9/1(+44%)	(1) One More Dream 9/1, Latest win at Chelmsford City in April. 12/1, ninth of 14 in handicap at Thirsk (7f, good to firm) 19 days ago. Others preferred. Five-time AW winner but he's 0-7 on turf and has finished ninth at Thirsk in last two runs.
13th	9 13th (9) (25/1 +0%) Huraiz	25 25/1(+0%)	(9) Huraiz 25/1, Twenty nine runs since last win in 2019. Fourth of 6 in handicap at Hamilton (6f, good to firm, 28/1) 46 days ago. Hard to recommend. His last win was in 2019 and he's generally struggled in last nine runs; down the list.

LTO Selection:

16:15 Ayr Handicap (Class 6) 6f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.

THE CALTONIAN stepped up markedly on what he had shown previously to run an excellent race on his handicap debut over C&D last month, and he must hold every chance if building on that effort. The hat-trick seeking See My Baby Jive can give him the most to think about, along with Carlisle scorer Gentle Ellen. Completing the shortlist are the likes of Chookie Dunedin, Earn Your Stripes and Muddy Lynn.

GENTLE ELLEN bounced back to form when scoring at Carlisle last month and remains relatively unexposed over sprint trips. She can follow up. Muddy Lynn and See My Baby Jive also arrive in fine form and rate the principal dangers.

Plenty have possibilities but the vote goes to SEE MY BABY JIVE, who has battled well to score over C&D in her last two starts.

16:15 Ayr Handicap (Class 6) 6f PREDICTION SIMULATION

16:50 Ayr Handicap (Class 6) 7f - 10 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	7 1st (7) (2.75/1 -22%) Jkr Cobbler	2.75 2.75/1(-22%)	(7) Jkr Cobbler 2.75/1, Returned to winning ways when landing 11-runner handicap over C&D (good) 7 days ago by neck from Darbucks. Things will be tougher under 5 lb penalty but he must enter calculations. Swooped late to beat Darbucks over C&D last Monday and he's respected under a penalty.
2	8 2nd (8) (5.5/1 +8%) Banner Road	5.5 5.5/1(+8%)	(8) Banner Road 5.5/1, Career best when winning 12-runner minor event at this course (8f) earlier this month. Wasn't in quite same under a penalty at Hamilton since but warrants respect. Won over 1m here 15 days ago but she didn't match that at Hamilton last time; needs more.
3	5 3rd (5) (1.5/1 +45%) Darbucks	1.5 1.5/1(+45%)	(5) Darbucks 1.5/1, Posted his best effort of 2023 when neck second of 11 to Jkr Cobbler in handicap over C&D (good) 7 days ago. Races off same mark and is one for shortlist. Went close behind Jkr Cobbler over C&D last Monday; key player off same mark.
4	6 4th (6) (14/1 -17%) Turbo Command	14 14/1(-17%)	(6) Turbo Command 14/1, Latest win at Southwell in April. Below form sixth of 15 in handicap (28/1) at Hamilton (6f, good) 25 days ago, never nearer. Needs a couple of these to falter. Two AW wins in the spring but well held back on turf in last three runs; others preferred.
5th	1 5th (1) (20/1 +0%) Guest List	20 20/1(+0%)	(1) Guest List 20/1, Twelve runs since last win in 2021. Below form ninth of 15 in handicap at Hamilton (6f, good, 20/1) 25 days ago. Others more persuasive. 0-12 since her 2yo win and has plenty to prove on this step back up in trip.
6th	2 6th (2) (7/1 +22%) Asmund	7 7/1(+22%)	(2) Asmund 7/1, Confirmed return to form when creditable third of 9 in handicap at Catterick (7f, good to firm, 11/2) 12 days ago. Ought to go well again. Triple 7f winner who has run well to finish third in his last two starts; respected.
7th	3 7th (3) (100/1 -100%) Butterfly Island	100 100/1(-100%)	(3) Butterfly Island 100/1, Maiden. Last of 6 in handicap at Hamilton (8.3f, good to firm, 25/1) 33 days ago. Hard to fancy. Still a maiden after 20 starts and has struggled for new yard this year; no appeal.
8th	9 8th (9) (28/1 -300%) Bride Tree	28 28/1(-300%)	(9) Bride Tree 28/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Cheekpieces on for 1st time, first run since leaving Adrian McGuinness when good fourth of 16 in handicap (100/1) at Fairyhouse (7f, good) 12 days ago. Claims if building on that. Still unexposed and was promising fourth on recent stable debut; dangerous back up in trip.
9th	4 9th (4) (14/1 -17%) Fanzone	14 14/1(-17%)	(4) Fanzone 14/1, One win from 24 Flat runs. Fourteen runs since last win in 2022. 14/1, tenth of 14 in handicap at Newcastle (8f) 25 days ago. Visor on 1st time. Others preferred. Has record of 1-24 and he's been well below form in last two starts; visor is now tried.
10th	10 10th (10) (100/1 -52%) Nazca	100 100/1(-52%)	(10) Nazca 100/1, 150/1, 12 lengths eleventh of 12 to Banner Road in minor event at this course (8f, good) 15 days ago. Readily opposed. Has never finished better than fifth and was well beaten behind Banner Road here latest.

LTO Selection:

16:50 Ayr Handicap (Class 6) 7f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.

Darbucks is likely to prove popular after being collared late on by reopposing rival Jkr Cobbler over C&D last Monday and Christopher Kellett's charge is fancied to turn the tables now 5lb better off with the latter. A chance, however, could be taken on TURBO COMMAND, who offered more encouragement when staying on into sixth over 6f at Hamilton last month. The six-year-old enjoys a 3lb drop in the ratings and could offer a touch of value now returned to 7f.

This can go to DARBUCKS, who has dropped to a handy mark and returned to form when runner-up here last week. Jkr Cobbler won that contest and ought to make a bold follow-up bid, whilst Banner Road is also respected.

4yo DARBUCKS was only just caught by Jkr Cobbler over C&D last week and may well be able to turn the tables on these revised terms.

16:50 Ayr Handicap (Class 6) 7f PREDICTION SIMULATION

17:25 Ayr Handicap (Class 5) 8f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	7 1st (7) (10/1 +17%) Gainsbourg	10 10/1(+17%)	(7) Gainsbourg 10/1, Eighth of 10 in handicap (33/1) at Carlisle (7.8f, good to soft) 26 days ago. Blinkers on 1st time. Uphill task. On reduced mark but he needs to turn things around in new headgear.
2	9 2nd (9) (1.5/1 +33%) Ayr Poet	1.5 1.5/1(+33%)	(9) Ayr Poet 1.5/1, C&D winner who arrives on back of close second of 10 in handicap at this course (10f, good, 8/1) 7 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Holds strong claims. Went very close off this mark here (1m2f) last week; major player again back in trip.
3	4 3rd (4) (4/1 +20%) Archduke Ferdinand	4 4/1(+20%)	(4) Archduke Ferdinand 4/1, Bagged his first win in UK when narrowly taking 11-runner handicap at Musselburgh (8f, good to firm) 21 days ago, just holding on. Since joined new yard and remains fairly treated. Only 1lb higher than for Musselburgh win and has claims if he can back that up; new yard.
4	1 4th (1) (3.5/1 +22%) Star Shield	3.5 3.5/1(+22%)	(1) Star Shield 3.5/1, C&D winner. 8/1, creditable 1½ lengths fifth of 11 to Archduke Ferdinand in handicap at Musselburgh (8f, good to firm) 21 days ago. One of likelier contenders. Won this last year and he's also been successful in two of his last four runs; respected.
5th	8 5th (8) (12/1 +14%) Zumaaty	12 12/1(+14%)	(8) Zumaaty 12/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Wolverhampton in February. 6/1, last of 9 in handicap at Carlisle (9f, good to soft) 16 days ago. Others preferred. Hard to predict but his turf win came over C&D and he's not ruled out back at this track.
6th	5 6th (5) (18/1 +10%) Showmedemoney	18 18/1(+10%)	(5) Showmedemoney 18/1, Latest win at Ripon in May. 14/1, 9 lengths last of 11 to Archduke Ferdinand in handicap at Musselburgh (8f, good to firm) 21 days ago. Needs a couple of these to falter. Has failed to beat a rival in last two starts and needs to bounce back near best.
7th	6 7th (6) (33/1 -106%) Wadacre Grace	33 33/1(-106%)	(6) Wadacre Grace 33/1, Latest win at Newcastle in April. Fourth of 6 in handicap (10/1) at Hamilton (8.3f, good to firm) 33 days ago. Plenty to find on form. Two AW wins in the spring but things have not gone well back on turf in last four runs.
8th	2 8th (2) (10/1 -67%) Irish Flame	10 10/1(-67%)	(2) Irish Flame 10/1, Lightly-raced winner. 9/2, fifth of 8 in handicap at Newcastle (10.2f) 33 days ago. Back down in trip. Not out of things. Newcastle winner who is still unexposed and could resume his progress back at this trip.

LTO Selection:

17:25 Ayr Handicap (Class 5) 8f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

A narrow winner at Musselburgh on his final start for Tracey Waggott three weeks ago, ARCHDUKE FERDINAND looks more than capable of defying a subsequent 1lb rise in the handicap and he is fancied to repeat the dose. Ayr Poet seldom runs poorly around here and must be respected in receipt of weight all round, while Star Shield ought to feature following a string of solid performances. Irish Flame remains unexposed and must also be noted.

AYR POET has improved with each outing this term and figures off a handy mark. He gets the nod in the finale. Star Shield and Archduke Ferdinand can also make their presence felt.

Dual course winner AYR POET had a near miss here last Monday and is a major player again if he can repeat that form back in trip.

17:25 Ayr Handicap (Class 5) 8f PREDICTION SIMULATION

Racecard Key

Ths is the racecard key.

Icon	Meaning
	TomForm top stats, gold rated
	TomForm top stats silver rated
	Ran similar race before
S	TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out
T	Top Time speeed rated
	Top Racingpost rated
	At the races watchout for
	At the races top pick
	Top rated for thet statistic

How to use Tomform

Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.

This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.

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