15:05 Ayr (Class 1) 5f - 12 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	1 1st (1) (85/40 +29%) Beautiful Diamond		2.125 85/40(+29%)																															(1) Beautiful Diamond 85/40, Yard has won 2 of the last 7 runnings of this race; made plenty of use of, probably needed the run when beaten 7l in the Palace House Stakes (Group 3) over 5f at Newmarket last time. Trainer in form and returning from another break. Well beaten in May on sole run this year but 2-2 here (both Listed); key player if at best.
2	10 2nd (10) (4/1 -14%) Star Of Mehmas		4 4/1(-14%)																															(10) Star Of Mehmas 4/1, Produced her best effort to date when winning a handicap at York over 5f by a short-head last time. Suited by 5f and a sound surface, steadily progressive. 2yo Listed win here 12 months ago; defied top weight in York h'cap latest; strong claims.
3	9 3rd (9) (25/1 +0%) Rhyme Dust		25 25/1(+0%)																															(9) Rhyme Dust 25/1, Similar form to her previous start when beaten 3l in a handicap at Yarmouth last time. Suited by 6f, acts on good to soft and good to firm; in good form but more needed at this level. Listed fourth at Pontefract last month but she's down the pecking order today.
4	7 4th (7) (12/1 -60%) Magic Basma		12 12/1(-60%)																															(7) Magic Basma 12/1, Appeared to improve when upped in class, second beaten 1 1/2l in the Flying Fillies' Stakes (Listed) at Pontefract latest. Cheekpieces first time, suited by 6f, acts on good to soft and good to firm, but will probably need to improve again. Lightly raced 3yo who showed improvement when Listed runner-up at 16-1 at Pontefract.
5th	6 5th (6) (12/1 +0%) Luna A Inbhir Nis		12 12/1(+0%)																															(6) Luna A Inbhir Nis 12/1, Well backed and produced a good effort when second, beaten 5l behind a wide-margin winner in a handicap over 5f at Haydock latest. Wide draw, all form at 5f on a sound surface and arrives in very good form. 3yo with 6 wins this year; today's company demands another step forward, but it's possible.
6th	4 6th (4) (33/1 +34%) Billie Be Quick		33 33/1(+34%)																															(4) Billie Be Quick 33/1, Ran to handicap form when upped in class, beaten 7 1/2l in the Abergwaun Stakes (Listed) over 5f at Tipperary last time. Blinkers first time, wide draw. Suited by 5f but not proven at 6f; all form on yielding and good ground, could be progressing. Irish raider who has been progressive in handicaps but improvement is needed today.
7th	2 7th (2) (20/1 +20%) Sophia's Starlight		20 20/1(+20%)																															(2) Sophia's Starlight 20/1, Made too much use of when down the field in a handicap at York most recently; enjoys making it and comes off a short break. Suited by 6f, likes soft ground, better on turf but currently out of form. Below best in light campaign this term but in the mix on last autumn's soft-ground form.
8th	12 8th (12) (15/2 +17%) Stormy Impact		7.5 15/2(+17%)																															(12) Stormy Impact 15/2, Ran a bit below form when upped in grade, beaten 4 1/4l in the Flying Fillies' Stakes (Listed) at Pontefract last time. Effective at 5-6f on a sound surface; handicaps appear her level. Only fifth in Pontefract Listed last time but she's better than that and not ruled out.
9th	11 9th (11) (22/1 +33%) Stella Alpina		22 22/1(+33%)																															(11) Stella Alpina 22/1, Appeared to improve when upped in class, beaten 5l in the Abergwaun Stakes (Listed) over 5f at Tipperary last time. Effective at 5/6f, acts on any ground and remains in form. Irish raider but only sixth in Listed race at Tipperary last time; improvement is needed.
10th	8 10th (8) (12/1 +25%) Nad Alshiba Green		12 12/1(+25%)																															(8) Nad Alshiba Green 12/1, Ran to form when beaten 3l in a handicap over 5f at York last time. Suited by 5f, acts on any ground except heavy, and is in solid form. Solid 5f handicap form this term; something to find but the extra yardage could be a plus.
11th	13 11th (13) (33/1 -32%) Tiva		33 33/1(-32%)																															(13) Tiva 33/1, Yard won this last year; best run to date when enjoying a stiff finish to win a handicap at Newmarket (July) over 5f by a short-head last time. Effective at 5f, further may suit, acts on good to soft and good to firm; consistent and can improve up in trip. Arrives on hat-trick; this is a tougher test but she's very much on the up.
12th	3 12th (3) (11/2 -83%) Star Of Lady M		5.5 11/2(-83%)																															(3) Star Of Lady M 11/2, Won this race last year; needed the run when 4l third in the Beverley Bullet Sprint Stakes (Listed) over 5f last time. Wide draw, effective at 5/6f, acts on any ground, but needs to prove she retains her ability. Made all in this last year and encouraging Listed third recently on belated reappearance.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

15:05 Ayr (Class 1) 5f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.

A taking winner of the Harry Rosebery on this card last year, STAR OF MEHMAS brings the strongest recent form, having seen off the subsequent Portland winner in a valuable handicap at York last month, and has every chance of further success. Last year's impressive winner Star Of Lady M must enter calculations following a promising return when third in the Beverley Bullet, while Beautiful Diamond has gone well with cut in the ground previously. The admirable Luna A Inbhir Nis and Magic Basma cannot be ruled out either.

A chance is taken on TIVA, who has impressed when winning handicaps on her last two starts. Sophia's Starlight is feared most.

15:05 Ayr (Class 1) 5f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:40 Ayr (Class 2) 6f - 25 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	16 1st (16) (17/2 -6%) Winged Messenger		8.5 17/2(-6%)																															(16) Winged Messenger 17/2, Won by 2l off 74 at Epsom on penultimate start; ran to form when third, beaten a length off 80 last time. Effective at 5f, 6f may suit best; acts on soft and good to firm. Mark looks workable. Progressive since these cheekpieces went on and he could play a leading role.
2	7 2nd (7) (28/1 +44%) Woven		28 28/1(+44%)																															(7) Woven 28/1, Poor effort when beaten 8l in a Thirsk handicap last time; usually held up. Suited by 6f, acts on heavy and good; hostage to fortune given run style. Eyecatching 6th in the Gold Cup Trial over C&D in July; interesting if the ground is slow.
3	9 3rd (9) (3/1 +14%) Eternal Sunshine		3 3/1(+14%)																															(9) Eternal Sunshine 3/1, Ran at least to form when landing the Portland Handicap by 1/2l off 84 at Doncaster last time; top course trainer. Drawn on the wing of a large field; suited by 5/6f and a sound surface. In good form, mark still competitive despite penalty. Completed hat-trick in the Portland on Saturday and able to run off 2lb lower today.
4	14 4th (14) (22/1 -83%) Kats Bob		22 22/1(-83%)																															(14) Kats Bob 22/1, Ran to form when beaten 1 1/4l off 80 at Ripon last time. Suited by 6f, acts on any ground but struggling to score off current mark. C&D winner; five wins this year and third at Ripon on last two starts; each-way contender.
5th	3 5th (3) (11/1 -38%) Territorial Knight		11 11/1(-38%)																															(3) Territorial Knight 11/1, Won by 1/2l off 82 at Doncaster on penultimate start; ran to form up 3lb when beaten a head off 85 last time. Suited by 6f, acts on any ground and may prefer some give; in excellent form. 3yo who went close at Carlisle this month and is 3lb well in today; chance.
6th	17 6th (17) (10/3 +79%) Kelpie Grey		3.333333 10/3(+79%)																															(17) Kelpie Grey 10/3, Ran to form when beaten 1 1/4l off 79 here last time; top course trainer. Enjoys making it; effective at 7/8f, acts on any ground; in form. Consistent in defeat here this season and runner-up over C&D latest; each-way claims.
6th	20 6th (20) (20/1 +9%) Irish Nectar		20 20/1(+9%)																															(20) Irish Nectar 20/1, Messy trip but every chance and ran to form when beaten 1 1/4l off 78 at Doncaster last time. Suited by 6f, acts on soft and good; fair mark. Somewhat wayward in blinkers at Doncaster last week but nevertheless posted a close fourth.
8th	13 8th (13) (22/1 -83%) Mister Sox		22 22/1(-83%)																															(13) Mister Sox 22/1, Yard has won 2 of the last 9 runnings of this race; back to best when fourth beaten 1 1/4l off 80 last time. Effective at 6/7f, acts on good ground but suited by give; in good form. Four wins this year and fared best of those drawn in single-figure stalls at Thirsk latest.
9th	10 9th (10) (15/2 +38%) Wobwobwob		7.5 15/2(+38%)																															(10) Wobwobwob 15/2, Ran to form when beaten 3l off 81 over 7f at Chepstow last time; trainer in form. Effective at 6-7f on easy ground; has slipped in the weights and back in form. Won the Silver Cup in 2023 and runner-up on his last two starts; he's one to consider.
10th	15 10th (15) (25/1 +24%) Brooklyn Nine Nine		25 25/1(+24%)																															(15) Brooklyn Nine Nine 25/1, Won by 1/2l off 77 over 5f at Hamilton three starts back; below form last time. Suited by 5f, may be effective at 6f, acts on any ground; disappointing in last two starts. Won at Hamilton in June but down the field on last two outings; has to get back on track.
11th	25 11th (25) (50/1 +24%) Azure Zain		50 50/1(+24%)																															(25) Azure Zain 50/1, Outpaced and well held up in grade when beaten 8 1/2l in a Ripon handicap last time; wide draw. Effective at 6f on all-weather; form in and out. 6f AW novice winner but has to improve upon what he's shown in three handicaps this summer.
12th	18 12th (18) (9/1 +78%) Yaaser		9 9/1(+78%)																															(18) Yaaser 9/1, Close to form after a poor break, beaten 3l off 79 last time; top course trainer. Usually held up; effective from 6-8f, acts on good to soft and good to firm; in form. Four-time course winner over 7f/1m; strong pace will set things up nicely for him.
13th	11 13th (11) (18/1 +18%) Jonny Concrete		18 18/1(+18%)																															(11) Jonny Concrete 18/1, Didn't stay after being made too much use of up in trip, beaten 7 1/2l over 7f at Thirsk last time; blinkers first time. Effective at 6/7f, acts on any ground; disappointing last two starts. In good form up to June but his progress has stalled on his last two outings.
14th	5 14th (5) (25/1 +62%) Moonstone Boy		25 25/1(+62%)																															(5) Moonstone Boy 25/1, Below par after a poor break when beaten 4l off 81 over 5f at Doncaster last time; cheekpieces first time. Suited by 5f but poor only start over 6f; acts on good ground and likes some give, mark seems stiff. Stayed on well into mid-division over 5f last Sunday; the return to 6f is worth exploring.
15th	2 15th (2) (20/1 +9%) Musical Touch		20 20/1(+9%)																															(2) Musical Touch 20/1, Well backed but ran poorly down the field in a Thirsk handicap most recently; cheekpieces first time. Suited by 6f, acts on any ground, but form has gone the wrong way. Got no run when favourite at Thirsk recently; each-way shout on this year's best form.
16th	8 16th (8) (28/1 +0%) Manila Scouse		28 28/1(+0%)																															(8) Manila Scouse 28/1, Yard has won 2 of the last 9 runnings of this race; scored by 1 1/4l off 79 at Thirsk three starts back. Ran about to form last time; wide draw; effective at 5/6f, acts on any ground, suited by give, and in pretty good form. Won at Thirsk in July and has continued in good heart but needs something extra today.
17th	22 17th (22) (66/1 -32%) Fortamour		66 66/1(-32%)																															(22) Fortamour 66/1, Made too much use of from a poor draw when beaten 7 1/4l in a Ripon handicap last time. Suited by 6f, acts on any ground; just a bit below best of late. In good form at favourite course Ripon earlier in term but this 9yo is probably vulnerable.
18th	6 18th (6) (25/1 -56%) Bright		25 25/1(-56%)																															(6) Bright 25/1, Ran roughly to form when beaten 2l off 82 over 5f at Newcastle last time. Suited by 6f, acts on a sound surface, only run with give on debut; in quite good form. Positive performances on last 2 runs; each-way chance if handling the forecast slow ground.
19th	23 19th (23) (125/1 -89%) Beyond Borders		125 125/1(-89%)																															(23) Beyond Borders 125/1, Won by 3 1/4l off 73 at Yarmouth in June; below form last time. Hood first time; wide draw; effective at 6f, acts on any ground; currently in poor form. Easily made all in small field at Yarmouth in June but no better than eighth subsequently.
20th	4 20th (4) (5/1 +50%) Mostar Dreams		5 5/1(+50%)																															(4) Mostar Dreams 5/1, Ran to form when beaten 2l off 83 last time; top course jockey and trainer combination. Effective from 5-7f, acts on any ground; in form, though mark only reasonable. A strongly run 6f in a big field could prove ideal for this progressive filly; shortlisted.
21st	1 21st (1) (40/1 -43%) Powdering		40 40/1(-43%)																															(1) Powdering 40/1, Ran to best when winning a handicap by a length off 79 at Kempton last time; effective at 6/7f, acts on soft and good. New mark looks tough enough but arrives in good heart. Won at Kempton 16 days ago for which she carries 5lb penalty; last 3 wins have come on AW.
22nd	24 22nd (24) (40/1 -186%) Top Juggler		40 40/1(-186%)																															(24) Top Juggler 40/1, Ran to form when winning a handicap by a head off 75 at Carlisle last time; wide draw. Suited by 6f, acts on good ground and likes give. New mark quite tough but largely reliable. Won on recent stable debut at Carlisle; could have more to offer for yard; not ruled out.
23rd	19 23rd (19) (50/1 +24%) Oriental Prince		50 50/1(+24%)																															(19) Oriental Prince 50/1, Ran to current form when beaten 4 1/2l in a 7f handicap at Thirsk last time; top course trainer. Wide draw; effective at 6f on good and good to firm; mark looks tough based on recent form. Six wins in the first half of the year but his more recent form has been mixed.
24th	12 24th (12) (50/1 -25%) Bosh		50 50/1(-25%)																															(12) Bosh 50/1, Made too much use of when beaten 3l off 81 at Southwell last time; visor first time. Wide draw; suited by 6f, probably acts on any ground; in and out of form. Mark has fallen 12lb this season, but he hasn't been shaping as though about to exploit it.
25th	21 25th (21) (40/1 -82%) Arabian Cobra		40 40/1(-82%)																															(21) Arabian Cobra 40/1, Well backed but disappointing on fast ground when beaten 6 1/2l in a Chester handicap last time; in good form prior. Suited by 6f, acts on heavy and good, below par on fast; can bounce back. Running well (including here) before form dipped at Chester; e-w possible if bouncing back.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

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15:40 Ayr (Class 2) 6f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.

Having bagged a nice pot when completing a hat-trick in the Portland at Doncaster last weekend, ETERNAL SUNSHINE ticks plenty of the right boxes. Jim Goldie's mare is racing off a 2lb lower mark and will take plenty of stopping if performing to a similar level. Dangers are aplenty, headed by stablemate Kelpie Grey, who arrives on the back of a solid second over C&D. Fellow in-form rivals Top Juggler, Wobwobwob and Mostar Dreams are others of interest.

It is hard to get away from the thriving ETERNAL SUNSHINE (nap), who can run off 2lb lower than when winning the Portland on Saturday.

15:40 Ayr (Class 2) 6f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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16:15 Ayr (Class 5) 8f - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	2 1st (2) (5/1 0%) Penelope's Sister		5 5/1(0%)																															(2) Penelope's Sister 5/1, Yard took this race last year; below form in an apprentice event latest but had been in good form before; top course trainer; effective from 8f to 12f on good to soft and good to firm; very likeable, though handicapper may have caught up. A well-held third here on Thursday and the previous Haydock run was nothing special.
2	12 2nd (12) (18/1 -13%) Uncle Liam		18 18/1(-13%)																															(12) Uncle Liam 18/1, Yard landed this race last year; easily best effort when beaten a nose off 45 at Hamilton last time; from a top course trainer; effective at 8f on good to soft; must back up only good run of career. Best run yet when nosed out over a similar trip at Hamilton (good to soft).
3	8 3rd (8) (16/1 +60%) Precious Spartan		16 16/1(+60%)																															(8) Precious Spartan 16/1, Won by 3/4l off 65 at Ripon in August; poor effort when stepped up to 12f last time; best suited by 1m and a sound surface, doesn't stay further; could bounce back dropped in trip. Returning to 1m from further is a good thing but all his best form is on drier ground.
4	5 4th (5) (13/2 -86%) Keats House		6.5 13/2(-86%)																															(5) Keats House 13/2, Well backed and probably produced best effort when winning a handicap by 2 1/4l off 61 at Musselburgh last time; effective at 1m on good to soft and sound surfaces; consistent type on a workable mark. First run on ground slower than good when a clearcut winner at Musselburgh.
5th	11 5th (11) (13/2 -63%) Golden Valour		6.5 13/2(-63%)																															(11) Golden Valour 13/2, Well backed and ran to form when winning a handicap by 3l off 49 at Musselburgh last time; effective at 7/8f on good to soft and good to firm; may have been flattered in apprentice race but still on a good mark. Regular here and escapes a penalty for last weekend's win at Musselburgh.
6th	6 6th (6) (14/1 +30%) Lovely Spirit		14 14/1(+30%)																															(6) Lovely Spirit 14/1, Below form when beaten 5l in a Musselburgh handicap last time; suited by 7f and a forgiving surface, may not stay further; has been out of form in 2025. Well beaten in her last four races and perhaps better at 7f than 1m.
7th	9 7th (9) (4/1 +50%) Little Ted		4 4/1(+50%)																															(9) Little Ted 4/1, Ran to form when third, beaten a length off 57 last time; acts over 8-10f on good to soft and good to firm; in form and still well treated on past performances. Consistent; runner-up to one in form here on Thursday and that was at 7f; better at 1m.
8th	3 8th (3) (4/1 -33%) Atmosphere		4 4/1(-33%)																															(3) Atmosphere 4/1, Ran to form in cheekpieces when third, beaten 4 1/4l off 70 last time; trainer in form; suited by 1m and handles any going; in solid form though mark looks quite stiff. Given a bit to do before staying on into third on soft ground at Sandown.
9th	7 9th (7) (12/1 -33%) Lovette		12 12/1(-33%)																															(7) Lovette 12/1, Probably ran to form when beaten 3l off 66 at Carlisle last time; effective at 1m, handles soft and good ground; mark may be a bit stiff. Lightly raced and best form yet in handicaps when third at Carlisle (1m, soft).

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

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16:15 Ayr (Class 5) 8f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

With both the sire and dam having won on heavy ground, KEATS HOUSE should not be inconvenienced by soft ground and he can follow up under a 6lb penalty for his comfortable victory at Musselburgh on Monday. A consistent sort throughout the summer and a respectable third at Sandown most recently, Atmosphere can give the selection most to think about, along with another recent Musselburgh winner Golden Valour, who is 4lb well-in on this occasion.

Richard Spencer's ATMOSPHERE came from a long way behind to take third at Sandown and he has greater upside than many in here.

16:15 Ayr (Class 5) 8f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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16:45 Ayr (Class 5) 8f - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	7 1st (7) (9/1 +10%) Cisco Disco		9 9/1(+10%)																															(7) Cisco Disco 9/1, Ground likely too fast when below form last time on good to firm, having won a handicap by 3 1/4l off 54 here the run before. Effective at 8-10f and acts on soft and good. Form is very in and out. Recent course winner but inconsistent and probably wants better ground.
2	8 2nd (8) (11/1 -10%) We've Got This		11 11/1(-10%)																															(8) We've Got This 11/1, A bit keen but ran to form when second, beaten a length, off 63 last time up in trip. Returns from a short break. Effective from 7f to 8f, acts on good to soft and good to firm, and is steadily progressing. In form but was some way behind Dwindling Funds when fourth here on Thursday.
3	6 3rd (6) (5/6 +75%) Dwindling Funds		0.833333 5/6(+75%)																															(6) Dwindling Funds 5/6, Yard won this race last year. Keen but improved when dropped in trip, landing a handicap by a head off 59 here last time. Represents a top course trainer, effective at 8-10f and looks progressive. Continues his progressive year with a battling success over 7f here on Thursday.
4	2 4th (2) (4/1 -33%) Native Honey		4 4/1(-33%)																															(2) Native Honey 4/1, Yard won this race last year. Returned to form when landing a handicap by a neck off 67 over 7f here last time. Strong course jockey/trainer partnership. Effective from 7f to 8f and acts on soft and good ground. Took advantage of a career-low mark to gain his first success at Ayr (7f, good) last month.
5th	3 5th (3) (9/1 -100%) Thats My Boy Luke		9 9/1(-100%)																															(3) Thats My Boy Luke 9/1, Scored a handicap win by a nose off 63 at Ripon last time. Suited by 1m and may not stay 10f, ideally wants a sound surface. In form but current mark looks stiff. A winner on good to firm latest; 2lb higher and drying conditions will help.
6th	10 6th (10) (100/1 +0%) Liberty Flame		100 100/1(+0%)																															(10) Liberty Flame 100/1, Ran poorly when down the field in a 6f handicap at Hamilton last time. A moderate hurdler with very little worthwhile Flat form. 12 defeats include bumpers, hurdles and Flat races; in poor form.
7th	11 7th (11) (22/1 -175%) Desert Dream		22 22/1(-175%)																															(11) Desert Dream 22/1, Ran to form when beaten a head off 46 over 7f at Catterick last time. Effective at 7f, handles any ground and likes Catterick. Fairly treated but erratic. Second last time but finds it hard to follow one good run with another.
8th	5 8th (5) (16/1 -78%) Mister Invincible		16 16/1(-78%)																															(5) Mister Invincible 16/1, Ran to current level when beaten 3l off 67 over 7f at Newcastle last time. Effective at 6/7f and handles a sound surface, but his mark looks stiff based on recent runs. Not progressing in handicaps, despite making the frame at Newcastle last week (7f).
9th	4 9th (4) (40/1 -21%) Bint Al Karama		40 40/1(-21%)																															(4) Bint Al Karama 40/1, Ran poorly when beaten 10l in a handicap at Carlisle last time. Effective at 8/9f and acts on good to soft and good ground but currently out of form. Won a seller in October but no worthwhile form in five handicaps since then.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

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16:45 Ayr (Class 5) 8f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

NATIVE HONEY cosily got off the mark over 7f at this track last month and a 3lb rise might underestimate his authority that day. The son of Dawn Approach shouldn't have any issues with this extra furlong and will prove to be a tough nut to crack. Mister Invincible bounced back to form when making the frame at Newcastle recently and with Danny Tudhope back on board, he has to be respected. Thats My Boy Luke is another to note.

The 3yo NATIVE HONEY exploited a reduced mark last time and may follow up as conditions won't bother him.

16:45 Ayr (Class 5) 8f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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17:20 Ayr (Class 5) 13f - 13 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	14 1st (14) (10/1 +75%) Just Dottie		10 10/1(+75%)																															(14) Just Dottie 10/1, Ran to form over hurdles at Perth last time; has no measurable Flat form; impossible to recommend. Winning hurdler; very lightly raced on the Flat and could do with drier ground.
2	9 2nd (9) (9/2 +25%) Trojan Sun		4.5 9/2(+25%)																															(9) Trojan Sun 9/2, Ran to form when third, beaten 3l off 63 last time; from a top course trainer; stays 2m+, acts on any going; generally consistent. Becoming frustrating but recent efforts give him definite each-way claims.
3	1 3rd (1) (15/2 +32%) Valley Of Flowers		7.5 15/2(+32%)																															(1) Valley Of Flowers 15/2, Won this in 2022 and 2023; ran to form when fourth, beaten 4 1/4l in a 12f handicap at Thirsk last time; usually held up; effective 12-16f, acts on any ground; consistent sort. Won this in 2022 and 2023; returns for another crack in reasonable form.
4	6 4th (6) (11/2 +61%) Perseus Way		5.5 11/2(+61%)																															(6) Perseus Way 11/2, Scored by a short-head off 63 at Hamilton on his penultimate start and backed that up last time; formerly useful hurdler, stays well on the Flat, suited by cut; on a workable mark. Beat some of these at Hamilton but was below par at Musselburgh last weekend.
5th	2 5th (2) (33/1 -175%) Flickering Halo		33 33/1(-175%)																															(2) Flickering Halo 33/1, Made too much use of, beaten 8 1/4l in a 12f handicap at Thirsk last time; effective 10-12f, acts on good and good to firm; inconsistent but capable off this mark. Has the form to feature but has mostly steered clear of slow ground.
6th	5 6th (5) (8/1 +20%) Billy No Mates		8 8/1(+20%)																															(5) Billy No Mates 8/1, Ran to form when beaten 1/2l off 64 at Hamilton last time; effective 12-14f, goes well with plenty of give; not the force of old but dropping in the weights. Bang there at Hamilton (1m5f, good to soft) last time in the race won by Perseus Way.
7th	7 7th (7) (16/1 -100%) Annandale		16 16/1(-100%)																															(7) Annandale 16/1, Ran to form when landing a handicap by 3/4l off 62 here last time; from a top course trainer; effective 10-14f, acts on good to soft and good to firm; on a fair mark. A winner here last month on good to firm; opposable on his form on slower ground.
8th	11 8th (11) (11/1 -38%) Sophiesticate		11 11/1(-38%)																															(11) Sophiesticate 11/1, Ran to form up in trip when landing a 12f handicap by 2l off 60 at Musselburgh last time; from a top course trainer; acts on soft and good to firm; generally consistent at 10f, gets 12f, still on a workable mark. Recent Musselburgh winner but well held here on Thursday and prefers drier ground.
9th	13 9th (13) (7/1 +0%) Ebony Maw		7 7/1(+0%)																															(13) Ebony Maw 7/1, Ran to form when beaten 1/2l off 59 at Hamilton last time; wears blinkers for the first time; enjoys making the running; effective 13-17f, acts on good and with cut; on a workable mark. Has course form, handles soft ground and ran well last time; tries blinkers.
10th	12 10th (12) (22/1 -83%) Elemental Eye		22 22/1(-83%)																															(12) Elemental Eye 22/1, Made too much use of when sixth, beaten 9l off 62 last time; suited by 14f+, acts on good to soft and good to firm; usually consistent. An assured stayer as his sole win came over 2m on good to soft at Redcar in July.
11th	3 11th (3) (25/1 -56%) Two Auld Pals		25 25/1(-56%)																															(3) Two Auld Pals 25/1, A bit below form when down the field in a 1m6f handicap at Haydock most recently; effective 13-16f, acts on any going; poor in last two starts. Could be happier than some on this ground and he has run well here in the past.
12th	8 12th (8) (28/1 -100%) Glasses Up		28 28/1(-100%)																															(8) Glasses Up 28/1, Ran to form though trip was sharp, beaten 2l off 64 over 9f at Carlisle last time; effective 9-13f, acts on good to soft and good to firm; now back below his last winning mark and best at Ayr. Hat-trick here earlier in the year; a worry that soft ground has found him out in the past.
13th	4 13th (4) (5/1 -11%) Alnayef		5 5/1(-11%)																															(4) Alnayef 5/1, Produced probably his best effort when beaten a short-head off 67 at Hamilton last time; strong course jockey/trainer combination; effective 11-13f, acts on good to soft and a sound surface; inconsistent maiden but on a good mark now. Threw it away with some late wandering at Hamilton (1m5f, good to soft); respected.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

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17:20 Ayr (Class 5) 13f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

Annandale regained the winning thread over track and trip and is likely to be on the premises, but the vote goes to his stable companion ALNAYEF. The Jim Goldie-trained four-year-old finished a short head in second at Hamilton behind Perseus Way at the start of the month and is 1lb better off. The race was at his mercy that day before wandering around when hitting the front so with a more patient ride, he can strike. Fleur De Mer completes the shortlist.

Marginal preference is for FLEUR DE MER who narrowly missed out on the AW last week and she won't be fazed by the conditions.

17:20 Ayr (Class 5) 13f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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Racecard Key

Ths is the racecard key.

Icon	Meaning
	TomForm top stats, gold rated
	TomForm top stats silver rated
	Ran similar race before
S	TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out
T	Top Time speeed rated
	Top Racingpost rated
	At the races watchout for
	At the races top pick
	Top rated for thet statistic

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How to use Tomform

Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.

This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.

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About U.K Horse Racing

Horse racing is a popular and historic sport in the UK, with a tradition dating back centuries. It is a multi-billion pound industry that attracts millions of spectators each year and generates significant economic activity.

There are two main types of horse racing in the UK: flat racing and jump racing. Flat racing is run on a level course and is typically shorter in distance, while jump racing involves horses jumping over obstacles and is generally longer in distance. Both types of racing are popular with spectators and bettors, and they take place at various racetracks throughout the country.

The most famous horse racing event in the UK is the Grand National, which is held annually at Aintree Racecourse in Liverpool. It is a jump racing event that is known for its challenging course and has become a national institution in the UK. Other notable horse racing events in the UK include the Derby, held at Epsom Downs Racecourse in Surrey, and the Royal Ascot, held at Ascot Racecourse in Berkshire.

Horse racing in the UK is regulated by the British Horseracing Authority (BHA), which sets rules and standards for the industry. It is responsible for the welfare of racehorses and the safety of jockeys and trainers, as well as ensuring fair and transparent racing practices.

In addition to its economic and cultural importance, horse racing in the UK also plays a significant role in the breeding and training of thoroughbred horses. Many of the world's top thoroughbreds are bred and trained in the UK, and the industry plays a vital role in the preservation and promotion of the breed.

Overall, horse racing is an integral part of British culture and a major contributor to the country's economy. It is a thrilling and exciting sport that continues to attract a loyal following and generate significant interest from spectators and bettors around the world.

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