14:25 Ayr Handicap (Class 2) 6f  - 22 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	2 1st (2) (9/2 +18%) Alfa Kellenic		4.5 9/2(+18%)																															(2) Alfa Kellenic 9/2, Highly progressive 3-y-o who landed a Newcastle maiden in January and has won all 4 starts in turf handicaps since, including over this C&D on her penultimate outing. Latest success at York was over 7f but dropping back in trip won't be an issue and a 5 lb penalty may not stop her. Unbeaten in 6f and 7f handicaps, delivered late last twice; strong pace ideal back at 6f.
2	15 2nd (15) (9/1 +36%) Aramram		9 9/1(+36%)																															(15) Aramram 9/1, Winner at Nottingham in May and doubled his tally when arriving late on the scene to take a 6f handicap at Doncaster (good to soft) last weekend. More on his plate here but he escapes a penalty and his profile suggests that further progress could be forthcoming. Soft-ground winner over 6f last week; goes unpenalised; now looks open to improvement.
3	1 3rd (1) (17/2 +58%) Bergerac		8.5 17/2(+58%)																															(1) Bergerac 17/2, Resumed winning ways at Newcastle in June and has held his form well since. Wasn't beaten far when sixth in the 2022 Gold Cup won by Summerghand but finished out with the washing in this race last year (and in 2021). Others make more appeal. Sterling effort in the Gold Cup in 2022; well held in this last year; in better form now.
4	16 4th (16) (25/1 -14%) Jenever		25 25/1(-14%)																															(16) Jenever 25/1, Confirmed the promise of his York run when landing a 5f Sandown handicap in June. Solid second off this mark over the same C&D last time and while this is a tougher assignment, it wouldn't be the biggest of surprises to see this 5-y-o take a hand in the finish. Major improver since first win in early 2023; stamina tested back at 6f in this company.
5th	9 5th (9) (15/2 +0%) Kings Merchant		7.5 15/2(+0%)																															(9) Kings Merchant 15/2, Showed plenty of promise in 3 starts as a juvenile and has barely put a foot wrong this year, out of the frame just once and winning 3 times from 8 appearances so far in 2024. Overcame traffic problems when striking at Thirsk (6f, good to firm) a fortnight ago and he merits respect under a penalty. 3-4 in 6f handicaps, impressive finish latest; 2lb badly in under penalty but unexposed.
6th	5 6th (5) (17/2 +39%) Two Tribes		8.5 17/2(+39%)																															(5) Two Tribes 17/2, Likeable sort who typically gave his running when fourth in a valuable, big-field York handicap (6f, good to firm) last month. Carried his head awkwardly when last of 7 on slower ground at Ascot since but that was probably more owing to the steady gallop than underfoot conditions. Each-way chance. Sole win at 5f but he's been involved in good handicaps at both sprint trips this summer.
7th	4 7th (4) (11/2 +35%) Summerghand		5.5 11/2(+35%)																															(4) Summerghand 11/2, Admirable sprinter who has been a standing dish in big handicaps such as this over the years, enjoying arguably his finest hour when landing the Gold Cup here off 13 lb higher in 2022. Well held in that race last year and winless so far this season but there have been encouraging signs of late. Star sprint handicapper over the years, winning the Gold Cup in 2022; well treated now.
8th	10 8th (10) (22/1 -57%) Lucky Man		22 22/1(-57%)																															(10) Lucky Man 22/1, Well held in this race 12 months ago but he was a good fourth in the 2022 Gold Cup here and, given a positive ride in first-time blinkers, he snapped a losing run at Windsor (6f, good to firm) last time. Remains on a good mark and while bossing this field won't be easy, he needs a second look. 4th in the Gold Cup in 2022; front-running win at Windsor (6f, good to firm) latest.
9th	6 9th (6) (33/1 -65%) Mr Wagyu		33 33/1(-65%)																															(6) Mr Wagyu 33/1, Another grand campaigner who has been a consistent feature in valuable sprint handicaps for a number of years, including respectable efforts in the last two runnings of the Gold Cup at this meeting. Best effort so far this season when going close at Epsom in June but form has cooled off since. Not far away in the last 3 runnings of the Gold Cup but on losing run and high in weights.
10th	20 10th (20) (12/1 +40%) Rock Opera		12 12/1(+40%)																															(20) Rock Opera 12/1, Back on the scoresheet at Doncaster in June and performed well above market expectations when third in a valuable York handicap 3 starts back. However, he failed to land a blow in the Great St Wilfrid at Ripon since and will probably find this too competitive. Had some excuses since 6f win in June but still 4lb higher on course debut.
11th	19 11th (19) (80/1 -21%) Never Dark		80 80/1(-21%)																															(19) Never Dark 80/1, Made all at Nottingham in July but has found life tougher since, again finishing nearer last than first at Haydock recently. Best to look elsewhere. Often leads; multiple 5f wins but never really hacked it at 6f and faded here last year.
12th	3 12th (3) (16/1 +20%) Paws For Thought		16 16/1(+20%)																															(3) Paws For Thought 16/1, Looked as good as ever aged six when recently registering his fifth success at Chester (7f, heavy). Versatile with regard to both ground and trip but he may find this a shade too competitive under a 5 lb penalty. Beat one home in the Gold Cup last year; Chester regular now, winning over 5f/7f this year.
13th	21 13th (21) (28/1 +15%) Curious Rover		28 28/1(+15%)																															(21) Curious Rover 28/1, Successful twice at 2 yrs and back in the groove when runner-up at York at Musselburgh (both at around 5f) in July/August. Form has dipped since, though, and he will probably find a few too good here. Fair form in less competitive races at about 5f; has more to prove now back at 6f.
14th	7 14th (7) (28/1 -27%) Grant Wood		28 28/1(-27%)																															(7) Grant Wood 28/1, Likeable type who is enjoying a good campaign, his fourth career victory coming in the Silver Trophy at Ripon last month. Far from disgraced off this 7 lb higher mark when 2 lengths fourth to Kings Merchant at Thirsk (6f, good to firm) but will certainly need to better than if he's to take this. Four wins this year, well on top at Ripon in August; not so effective off 7lb higher since.
15th	11 15th (11) (25/1 -108%) Roberto Caro		25 25/1(-108%)																															(11) Roberto Caro 25/1, Still lightly raced and made it 2-3 for this yard when accounting for 7 rivals in a handicap at Carlisle (5.8f, soft) last month. Probably has more to offer but a chunk of improvement will be needed if he's to follow up here under a penalty. 2-3 at 6f for new yard; quicker ground and better race than latest; yard won this in 2023.
16th	12 16th (12) (20/1 +20%) Admiral D		20 20/1(+20%)																															(12) Admiral D 20/1, Seventh to Summerghand in the 2022 Gold Cup and put in a good shift when third in this very race off a 1 lb higher mark 12 months ago. A reproduction of that effort would give him a real chance but this 5-y-o isn't the most genuine of types and he was safely held at York last time. Minor win record but very capable and two cracking runs at this meeting in 2022 and 2023.
17th	13 17th (13) (40/1 -21%) Emperor's Son		40 40/1(-21%)																															(13) Emperor's Son 40/1, Positive start to his career when landing a 5f Carlisle novice last June prior to coming up short in Group races at Royal Ascot and the York Ebor meeting. Retains potential given his low-mileage but this is a big ask for one so inexperienced, not to mention that he's returning from over a year off. Winning 2yo debut before well held in Group 2s last summer; off for 13 months.
18th	24 18th (24) (66/1 -164%) Be Proud		66 66/1(-164%)																															(24) Be Proud 66/1, His last 2 wins have come over this C&D, the latest off 2 lb lower in June. Second in the 2021 Bronze Cup but he was out with the washing in this race last year and recent efforts at Doncaster and Hamilton have been fair at best. Two C&D wins and close 2nd in the Bronze Cup in 2021; down the field in this last year.
19th	8 19th (8) (11/1 +56%) Rhythm N Hooves		11 11/1(+56%)																															(8) Rhythm N Hooves 11/1, Rather in-and-out this year, a mixed bag since adding to his tally at Doncaster at the end of May. Currently 1 lb below that winning mark and latest Goodwood second was a decent enough effort (final start for Archie Watson), though, so there is cause for optimism. Had his share of weight for most of the year; needs extra for change of scenery.
20th	18 20th (18) (66/1 -65%) Londoner		66 66/1(-65%)																															(18) Londoner 66/1, Formerly trained by Aidan O'Brien and stepped up on previous efforts for this yard when fourth of 12 in a typically competitive Racing League handicap at Newcastle last month. However, he wasn't in the same form at Southwell next time and others have more compelling credentials. Cheekpieces applied. Major weights drop for new yard but it's not yet made much difference; 0-12 on turf.
21st	23 21st (23) (125/1 -279%) Twelfth Knight		125 125/1(-279%)																															(23) Twelfth Knight 125/1, Appeared to take a step back in the right direction when third on penultimate start at Ripon (6f, firm) but followed that with a lesser effort over the same C&D 22 days later. Three 6f wins in 2023 but he's had a slow time of it this year and well held latest.
22nd	17 22nd (17) (25/1 +24%) Sergeant Pep		25 25/1(+24%)																															(17) Sergeant Pep 25/1, Dual winner as a 3-y-o who started this season in good order and was firmly back on track when scoring at Haydock (6f, good) in July. Didn't disgrace himself over the same C&D next time but he's probably biting off more than he can chew here in any case. Best 2024 effort when narrow winner at Haydock in July; draw excuse since; has potential.

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14:25 Ayr Handicap (Class 2) 6f  Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.

This is wide open so only a tentative vote can be afforded to the admirable SUMMERGHAND. David O'Meara's 10-year-old has been a standing dish in these types of event down the years, and he posted yet another solid performance when sixth in the Bold Lad at the Curragh last Sunday. It's been over a year since he dead-heated for top honours at York, but that was off 13lb higher and he appears to be coming to the boil now. The ultra progressive Alfa Kellenic can play a leading role under her penalty, while the likes of Mr Wagyu, Brooklyn Nine Nine and Lucky Man round off an extensive shortlist.

As far as 4-y-o sprint handicappers go BROOKLYN NINE NINE has relatively low mileage and is appealing here on the back of a near-miss at Ascot where he was returning from a four-month break and understandably looked a shade rusty. That will have sharpened him up and a strongly-run race back at 6f could be just what the doctor ordered. The highly progressive filly Alfa Kellenic is not passed over at all lightly and is clear second choice ahead of Aramram, Kings Merchant and Lucky Man.

Granted a clear passage BROOKLYN NINE NINE looks capable of landing a nice prize Summerghand can give him most to do.

14:25 Ayr Handicap (Class 2) 6f  PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:00 Ayr Group 3 (Class 1) 6f - 13 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	11 1st (11) (16/5 +29%) Sky Majesty		3.2 16/5(+29%)																															(11) Sky Majesty 16/5, 150,000 gns yearling, Blue Point filly. Half-sister to several winners, including 5f/6f winner Angel Alexander and 5f winner Democracy Dilemma, both smart. Dam 2-y-o 5f winner. Made a winning debut more impressively than nose margin suggests at Newbury last month and open to significant progress. Picked up well to edge it at Newbury and the runner-up won at Yarmouth on Wednesday.
2	8 2nd (8) (28/1 -180%) Maw Lam		28 28/1(-180%)																															(8) Maw Lam 28/1, Useful filly who scored on her first run at Thirsk in May and better form in defeat next 4 starts, including when third in Queen Mary at Royal Ascot. Lacklustre display in in Flying Childers Stakes (22/1) at Doncaster last week but this easier. Useful filly but can start slowly, as was the case in a Group 2 last week at Doncaster.
3	3 3rd (3) (7/1 +30%) Grande Marques		7 7/1(+30%)																															(3) Grande Marques 7/1, Showed improved form to get off the mark at the fifth attempt in minor event at Navan 2 weeks ago but will find this a lot more competitive. Contested some good races and off the mark without much fuss in a small field at Navan.
4	2 4th (2) (11/2 +31%) Englemere		5.5 11/2(+31%)																															(2) Englemere 11/2, Won 5f maiden/novice events at Catterick and Carlisle in the spring. Back to winning ways with a narrow success in listed race at Newbury last month and not disgraced when fourth of 6 in Group 3 at Longchamp since. Player up in trip. Experienced and has smart form over 5f; respected with 6f expected to suit.
5th	12 5th (12) (9/2 +68%) Stormy Impact		4.5 9/2(+68%)																															(12) Stormy Impact 9/2, Study of Man filly who shaped with plenty of encouragement when second behind another promising newcomer in novice at York (6f, good to firm, 9/1) on debut in July. Only just denied in similar events at Beverley/Haydock since and she remains with potential. Similar sort of form in all three narrow defeats, the last two at odds of 2-5 and 11-10.
6th	6 6th (6) (18/1 -29%) It Ain't Two		18 18/1(-29%)																															(6) It Ain't Two 18/1, Has been kept busy this year, recording her third success from 9 starts when making all in 6-runner conditions stakes at Chester (6.1f, good to firm, 7/2). However, never involved after a slow start in Group 3 at Kempton following week and vulnerable to improvers. Exposed after ten races but she's tough; AW not ideal last time; has each-way claims.
7th	10 7th (10) (18/1 -125%) Royalty Bay		18 18/1(-125%)																															(10) Royalty Bay 18/1, Cost six figures at the Breeze-Ups and scored readily in 6f novices at Ripon and York. Advanced her form when head second of 6 to Angeal in Prix Six Perfections at Deauville (7f, good) but not in same form in Group 3 at Goodwood since. Take her latest run out of the equation and she's a strong form contender; stays further.
8th	9 8th (9) (25/1 -56%) Perfect Part		25 25/1(-56%)																															(9) Perfect Part 25/1, Shock winner of the Hilary Needler at Beverley on debut in June. Built on that at the third attempt when 3½ lengths fifth of 9 in Lowther Stakes (50/1) at York last month, suited by the step up to 6f. Not taken lightly back down in class. Improved for 6f when fifth in the Lowther and this stiffer track looks a plus.
9th	1 9th (1) (50/1 +38%) Ellaria Sand		50 50/1(+38%)																															(1) Ellaria Sand 50/1, Off the mark at the second attempt in Newbury novice. Similar form under a penalty when placed at Yarmouth next 2 starts and has since left Archie Watson. Stiff task at this level. Consistent but it's asking a lot for her to prevail on these unfavourable terms.
10th	7 10th (7) (12/1 +52%) Li Ban		12 12/1(+52%)																															(7) Li Ban 12/1, Off the mark at Thirsk in July and has run well in defeat since, 2½ lengths fifth of 10 in Sirenia Stakes (28/1) at Kempton (6f) 14 days ago. Likely to find a few too strong again, however. 1-8; just about her best run yet in an AW Group 3 latest but does look vulnerable.
11th	5 11th (5) (22/1 -10%) Handcuffed		22 22/1(-10%)																															(5) Handcuffed 22/1, Readily justified market confidence on her Newbury debut in July and better form in defeat since, though limitations were twice exposed at this level. Close 4th in a York nursery is her best form; career best needed and by some way.
12th	13 12th (13) (7/1 +13%) Town And Country		7 7/1(+13%)																															(13) Town And Country 7/1, Left debut well behind to win 9-runner maiden at Navan (5f, good to firm) 23 days ago, coming out on top in a 3-way photo. Likely to improve again but needs to. Form of her Navan win is quite strong and she finished well over that stiff 5f; respected.
13th	4 13th (4) (33/1 -136%) Guns Firing		33 33/1(-136%)																															(4) Guns Firing 33/1, 180,000 gns yearling, New Bay filly. Sister to smart winner up to 7f Jumby and half-sister to several winners, including 6f-1m winner Conflict. Dam 2-y-o 6f winner. Confirmed debut promise to win 4-runner novice at Doncaster (6f, good to firm, 7/4) 63 days ago but more needed here. Beat three rivals at Doncaster (6f, good) but did so comfortably; unexposed.

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15:00 Ayr Group 3 (Class 1) 6f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.

Royalty Bay brings plenty of experience into this contest and filled the runner-up spot in Group 3 company at Deauville on her penultimate start, so she has to be taken seriously. However, it may pay to side with the once-raced SKY MAJESTY. William Haggas's juvenile had the perfect introduction when picking her way through the field to score at Newbury last month and she would have learned a great deal from that experience. The daughter of Blue Point possesses bundles of speed in her pedigree and can take this step up in her stride. Guns Firing and Town And Country appeal most of the remainder.

None of these fillies has reached a useful level yet but SKY MAJESTY is bred to be smart and she looked potentially as good herself when winning a Newbury maiden more comfortably than the bare margin suggests last month. Maw Lam was below par in the Flying Childers last week but she's a player on the pick of her form, while Perfect Part may have more to offer over this trip after her decent fifth in the Lowther at York.

Sky Majesty is promising but TOWN AND COUNTRY picked up well to prevail over Navan's stiff 5f. Englemere is solid.

15:00 Ayr Group 3 (Class 1) 6f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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15:35 Ayr Handicap (Class 2) 6f - 25 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	7 1st (7) (20/1 -43%) Lethal Levi		20 20/1(-43%)																															(7) Lethal Levi 20/1, Revived by blinkers this summer, making all for second time over 6f at Newbury last month. In the frame in the Wokingham at Royal Ascot (6f) and Bunbury Cup at Newmarket (7f) in between so he ought to be thereabouts. Has done well since blinkered but whether he can dominate this field remains to be seen.
2	10 2nd (10) (66/1 -100%) Silky Wilkie		66 66/1(-100%)																															(10) Silky Wilkie 66/1, It's now 20 starts since his last win in 2023 but he arrives in good nick, not best drawn when eighth of 22 in Portland at Doncaster 7 days ago. Shortlisted with visor added. Losing run stands at 20; recent efforts not his best; opposable despite new headgear.
3	4 3rd (4) (40/1 -100%) Korker		40 40/1(-100%)																															(4) Korker 40/1, Dual winner last autumn but his issues at the stalls have stopped him fulfilling his full potential, doing well to finish third in 6f York listed event 13 days ago having typically missed the break. No forlorn hope. Habitual slow starter; running well at York of late but the stiffer test could stretch him.
4	19 4th (19) (28/1 +30%) Aramis Grey		28 28/1(+30%)																															(19) Aramis Grey 28/1, Her losing run is mounting up but she arrives in good form, third of 16 in handicap at Windsor (6f) 40 days ago. Likely to give another good account. Tough and consistent mare but not sure she's handicapped to win this.
5th	8 5th (8) (16/1 -33%) Jordan Electrics		16 16/1(-33%)																															(8) Jordan Electrics 16/1, Is enjoying a phenomenal summer, especially at Hamilton, making it 5 wins in a row at the track last month. Very good second of 22 in handicap at York (5.4f, good to firm) last time so must enter calculations again. Seven wins this year and latest York second another fine performance; needs consideration.
6th	1 6th (1) (25/1 +24%) Commanche Falls		25 25/1(+24%)																															(1) Commanche Falls 25/1, Has yet to score in 2024 but comes here in decent nick, a never-nearer fourth of 7 to Democracy Dilemma in listed race at Beverley (5f, good to firm) 21 days ago. This C&D winner needs considering back up in trip. Stable stalwart, 2nd here in 2022 off 2lb higher; good 3rd at the Ebor meeting; vulnerable.
7th	9 7th (9) (11/1 +8%) Mostabshir		11 11/1(+8%)																															(9) Mostabshir 11/1, Smart handicapper who performed with credit dropped to a sprint trip for the first time when fourth of 25 in Stewards' Cup at Goodwood last month. Not taken lightly eased 1 lb. Coped well with 6f when fourth in the Stewards' Cup; this track could prove a better fit.
8th	2 8th (2) (50/1 -213%) Northern Express		50 50/1(-213%)																															(2) Northern Express 50/1, A real credit to connections who resumed winning ways in first-time cheekieces in 18-runner Ascot handicap (7f) in July. This course winner should be thereabouts after a break with headgear again sported. Fine front-running win at Ascot in July (7f); unexposed in this headgear; 6f the concern.
9th	20 9th (20) (28/1 +15%) Dare To Hope		28 28/1(+15%)																															(20) Dare To Hope 28/1, Built on earlier promise to land Great St Wilfrid at Ripon in August but ridden more forcefully when a below-par seventh of 19 in handicap at York (6f) since. No surprise to see him bounce back here. Beat Ramazan in the Great St Wilfrid; no excuses when only seventh at York last time.
10th	24 10th (24) (12/1 +40%) Strike Red		12 12/1(+40%)																															(24) Strike Red 12/1, Yet to strike this season but he comes here in good order, not ideally drawn when ninth of 25 in handicap at the Curragh (6f) 6 days ago. One to consider. York 2nd last month brings him into the reckoning; below best at this meeting in 2021/22.
11th	6 11th (6) (14/1 +13%) Room Service		14 14/1(+13%)																															(6) Room Service 14/1, Low-mileage sort who resumed progress on just his second handicap start at Pontefract (6f) in July. Since undergone breathing surgery and he's an interesting contender for a yard with excellent record in this event. Unexposed 3yo; plenty to spare at Pontefract in July; wind op since; best form on soft.
12th	18 12th (18) (40/1 -264%) Billyjoh		40 40/1(-264%)																															(18) Billyjoh 40/1, Back-to-back winner on AW in February and has remained in excellent order since until coming in only 16th at York last time. The sort to bounce back though. String of good runs in deep handicaps this season; not well drawn latest; one to consider.
13th	3 13th (3) (14/1 -40%) Ramazan		14 14/1(-40%)																															(3) Ramazan 14/1, Runner-up in this 12 months ago and he comes here on the back of a very good second of 17 to Dare To Hope in Great St Wilfrid at Ripon 35 days ago, first home in his group. A player once more. Second here 12 months ago; pipped by Dare To Hope at Ripon latest; rock solid to run well.
14th	22 14th (22) (35/1 -40%) King's Lynn		35 35/1(-40%)																															(22) King's Lynn 35/1, It's now 21 starts since his last win in 2022 but he is knocking on the door, second of 9 in handicap at Doncaster (6.5f) 6 days ago. Possibilities. On a losing run and although he retains significant ability, this looks too demanding.
15th	12 15th (12) (80/1 -60%) Coachello		80 80/1(-60%)																															(12) Coachello 80/1, Smart ex-Irish 6f/7f scorer who has shown some promise for his new yard, set lot to do when 12th in 6f York handicap last time. Possibilities off a reduced mark. Not fired in three runs for new yard and looks up against it once more.
16th	16 16th (16) (11/4 +66%) American Affair		2.75 11/4(+66%)																															(16) American Affair 11/4, Most progressive sprinter who garnered his third victory of 2024 in Portland at Doncaster a week ago, doing extremely well to get up on line having been badly hampered 2f out. Big shout under a 5 lb penalty. Making giant strides this year and overcame trouble to win the Portland; can do better yet.
17th	13 17th (13) (28/1 -40%) Pilgrim		28 28/1(-40%)																															(13) Pilgrim 28/1, Much improved this summer and he impressively landed Palace of Holyrood House Handicap at Royal Ascot in June. Poorly drawn when 15th at York (5.4f, good to firm) since so remains one to consider. Drawn on the wrong side at York latest; progressing well beforehand and still low mileage.
18th	25 18th (25) (33/1 +50%) Tinto		33 33/1(+50%)																															(25) Tinto 33/1, Improved on recent efforts under more patient tactics to win 9-runner handicap at Thirsk (6f) 22 days ago. Carries 5 lb penallty but still needs considering. Two Thirsk wins this year; second in Silver Cup 12 months ago; this looks too competitive.
19th	17 19th (17) (9/1 +25%) Rohaan		9 9/1(+25%)																															(17) Rohaan 9/1, Smart sprinter who scored at Ascot last autumn. Hasn't hit the same heights this season but he caught the eye when third of 7 there two weeks ago, caught further back than ideal. Merits serious consideration off a potentially very handy mark. On a good mark and last two runs can both be upgraded; each-way claims.
20th	15 20th (15) (40/1 -100%) Aleezdancer		40 40/1(-100%)																															(15) Aleezdancer 40/1, Capitalised on a falling mark to notch a sixth success at York (6f) in May but he beat only one in 6f Epsom handicap on Derby Day. Needs to bounce back and suspect he needs rain to come. York win in May brings him into it but the drying ground doesn't look ideal.
21st	11 21st (11) (40/1 +0%) Fivethousandtoone		40 40/1(+0%)																															(11) Fivethousandtoone 40/1, Improved for the application of a visor when landing back-to-back AW handicaps earlier in the year. However, highly tried since and has often struggled. Needs to take a step forward. Better on AW now but he ran far better than the final position suggests in York G2 latest.
22nd	23 22nd (23) (18/1 +0%) Sergeant Wilko		18 18/1(+0%)																															(23) Sergeant Wilko 18/1, Improving sprinter who completed his hat-trick in 7-runner handicap at Goodwood (6f, good to soft) 27 days ago. Carries a 5 lb penalty but this game front-runner demands plenty of respect once again. Front-runner; 4-4 in 6f handicaps this year; may do better yet but slower ground preferred.
23rd	21 23rd (21) (28/1 +15%) Jehangeer		28 28/1(+15%)																															(21) Jehangeer 28/1, Resumed winning ways at Thirsk in July but below that level since, ninth of 19 in handicap at York (6f, good to firm) 28 days ago. This C&D scorer needs to take a step forward. C&D win as a 2yo; quiet since a Thirsk win in July; others look much safer.
24th	5 24th (5) (15/2 +53%) Orazio		7.5 15/2(+53%)																															(5) Orazio 15/2, Good third in Wokingham at Royal Ascot, but weakened quickly final 1f when last of 18 in International Stakes back there 50 days ago. Only 11th when favourite for this 12 months ago but he's capable of getting involved back down in trip after a break. Wokingham third was a fine effort; 7f too far since but he's 3lb higher than at Ascot.
25th	14 25th (14) (25/1 -25%) Glenfinnan		25 25/1(-25%)																															(14) Glenfinnan 25/1, Is enjoying a very good season for his new yard and he bagged a second success at Sandown (7f) three weeks ago. Not discounted under a 5 lb penalty. Two wins for new yard this year but not easily recommended under a penalty.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

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15:35 Ayr Handicap (Class 2) 6f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.

Ramazan produced a huge effort to take the silver medal home in last year's renewal and boasts leading claims once again off a 5lb higher mark after his second in the Great St Wilfrid at Ripon last time. However, the vote goes to ROOM SERVICE. Kevin Ryan's colt was worth a lot more than the winning margin suggests on his handicap debut at Pontefract in July and has since undergone wind surgery. The son of Kodi Bear should be able to make full use of his hold-up tactics and might swoop past his rivals when it matters. Sergeant Wilko and American Affair are others to keep an eye on.

This is wide open as usual but AMERICAN AFFAIR did remarkably well to land the Portland at Doncaster last week having suffered a poor run and can make light of a 5 lb penalty. The handily-weighted Rohaan hinted at a revival when an eye-catching Ascot third last time and could emerge as the main danger to Jim Goldie's much improved sprinter. Last year's runner-up Ramazan can also have a say along with Northern Express, Jordan Electrics and Room Service in an ultra competitive Ayr Gold Cup.

Jim Goldie's pair Jordan Electrics and American Affair are big dangers but ROOM SERVICE (nap) still has Group-race aspirations.

15:35 Ayr Handicap (Class 2) 6f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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16:10 Ayr Handicap (Class 4) 7f - 11 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	11 1st (11) (10/1 -43%) Jenni		10 10/1(-43%)																															(11) Jenni 10/1, Has made the frame on several occasions this year, leaving behind a lesser effort when runner-up in handicap at Musselburgh (7.1f, good to firm) a week ago. Upped in grade as she looks for her first win, but she remains unexposed at this trip. No match for the winner when tried over 7f last week at Musselburgh.
2	2 2nd (2) (9/4 +44%) Al Muqdad		2.25 9/4(+44%)																															(2) Al Muqdad 9/4, Improved performer this year, winning 4 times in handicaps including twice at this C&D. Unsuited by way the race developed at Thirsk (7f, good to firm) a fortnight ago, so no surprise to see him bounce back with cheekpieces applied. Possibilities if getting a strong pace to chase, his ideal scenario.
3	3 3rd (3) (8/1 -78%) The Caltonian		8 8/1(-78%)																															(3) The Caltonian 8/1, Dual winner on all-weather at the start of the year and arrives in good heart, getting going too late dropped back in trip when fifth of 13 at Southwell (5f) last time. Merits consideration returned to 7f from his lower mark on turf. Running well on turf prior to further good efforts off his higher AW mark.
4	8 4th (8) (11/1 +21%) Wreck It Ryley		11 11/1(+21%)																															(8) Wreck It Ryley 11/1, Gained reward for several near misses earlier in the campaign when successful at Ripon (6f, good to firm) at the end of August, scoring with a bit in hand. However, he needs to shrug off a poor effort at York 13 days ago. Ripon winner who then got restless in the stalls when last at York; could bounce back.
5th	1 5th (1) (9/2 +25%) Redarna		4.5 9/2(+25%)																															(1) Redarna 9/2, Six-time C&D winner who capitalised on his falling mark when making all at Carlisle (7.8f) last month. Creditable fifth of 9 back at Carlisle (6.9f, good to soft) last time and he could be thereabouts returned to this venue. Exposed 15-time winner; below best the last time and has a lot of weight to carry.
6th	7 6th (7) (7/1 -17%) Prairie Falcon		7 7/1(-17%)																															(7) Prairie Falcon 7/1, Last win came in nursery at this meeting back in 2022. Usually held up and he never landed a blow when seventh of 11 at Thirsk (7f, good to firm) on his latest outing. Needs things to drop right with cheekpieces now the choice of headgear. Good mark; penultimate run encouraging; cheekpieces fitted after lesser latest effort.
7th	10 7th (10) (7/1 +42%) Yaaser		7 7/1(+42%)																															(10) Yaaser 7/1, C&D winner. Eleven runs since last win in 2023. 12/1, eleventh of 13 in handicap at this course (8f, good) 2 days ago. Something to find on form. Engaged 4.45 here Friday. Had not been having the best of seasons before coming from rear to win here (1m) on Friday.
8th	6 8th (6) (16/1 -60%) Tierney		16 16/1(-60%)																															(6) Tierney 16/1, Gave a good account in listed race at Carlisle in June and backed that up when second in a Leicester handicap (7f, good to firm) the following month. Below form at Newbury last time, though, and has something to find with visor reached for. Inconsistent but she's capable should the visor trigger a positive response.
9th	5 9th (5) (33/1 -136%) Craven		33 33/1(-136%)																															(5) Craven 33/1, Bounced back to his best when getting up late for success at York in July. However, has failed to repeat that effort both starts since, well held at Thirsk (7f, good to firm) earlier this month. Blinkers now replace the usual visor. Twice flopped since his York success and the visor is now replaced by blinkers.
10th	12 10th (12) (80/1 -220%) Chiefman		80 80/1(-220%)																															(12) Chiefman 80/1, Winner on handicap/seasonal debut at Newcastle in March but hasn't kicked on since. Making his first start since leaving Archie Watson, finished last of 6 at this course (10f, good to firm) when last seen in July. Others preferred back down in trip. Hard to trust after a quiet stable debut, and especially at this shorter trip.
4	4 |RR| (4) (16/1 -100%) Judgment Call		16 16/1(-100%)																															(4) Judgment Call 16/1, Struggled for consistency this year but one of his better races when edged out late on at Carlisle in August. Ran respectably making a rare start on all-weather when sixth of 14 at Southwell (7.1f) 23 days ago and he's capable of getting involved. Neck away at Carlisle before performing respectably when 100-1 on the AW.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

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16:10 Ayr Handicap (Class 4) 7f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

Jenni bounced back to form when hitting the crossbar at Musselburgh last week and she should give a good account off 1lb higher. However, she may come out second best to TIERNEY, who ran too bad to be true when finishing down the field at Newbury last time and is better judged on her runner-up effort at Leicester prior to that display. If she can reproduce that level of form, she could be the one to beat in a first-time visor. Wreck It Ryley completes the shortlist.

A four-time winner this season, AL MUQDAD was left on the back foot after a slow start at Thirsk 2 weeks ago, so he is worth forgiving his latest run with cheekpieces now added. He is taken to land a third C&D success, while The Caltonian made the frame here 3 times during the summer and could be the main danger. Redarna also enters calculations.

There should be a good pace on and that will suit PRAIRIE FALCON who ran a positive penultimate race and now has cheekpieces fitted.

16:10 Ayr Handicap (Class 4) 7f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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16:40 Ayr Handicap (Class 4) 7f - 11 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	3 1st (3) (4/1 +0%) Desert Falcon		4 4/1(+0%)																															(3) Desert Falcon 4/1, Dual winner for Sir Mark Prescott last year who got on the scoreboard for current yard when taking 11-runner handicap at Thirsk (7f, good to firm) 2 weeks ago. 4 lb rise fair and should go well again. Travelled well before asserting a Thirsk a fortnight ago and could still be well treated.
2	2 2nd (2) (7/1 +13%) Mereside Diva		7 7/1(+13%)																															(2) Mereside Diva 7/1, Improved for step up to 7f this season, winning handicaps at Haydock and Thirsk, but he's been below form more recently and has something to prove at present. Dual 7f winner in the spring but has suffered a dip in form lately.
3	6 3rd (6) (20/1 -100%) Chuzzlewit		20 20/1(-100%)																															(6) Chuzzlewit 20/1, C&D winner in 2022 and back on scoreboard at Newcastle in March. Not much to write home about more recently, though, and others hold stronger claims. Cheekpieces back on. Not firing on all cylinders since AW win in March; headgear switch may perk him up.
4	9 4th (9) (50/1 -100%) Detective		50 50/1(-100%)																															(9) Detective 50/1, Ended long losing run at Carlisle (6.9f) last month but not been in same form either start since and makes limited appeal. Best known as a Carlisle specialist; comes here after two poor runs there.
5th	11 5th (11) (5/1 +38%) Pals Battalion		5 5/1(+38%)																															(11) Pals Battalion 5/1, Back to somewhere near best form when second of 12 in handicap at Leicester (6f, soft) 11 days ago. Just 1 lb higher now and could be dangerous if staying this longer trip. Good second over 6f recently; not sure to be suited by 7f but still enters calculations.
6th	10 6th (10) (33/1 -32%) Starliner		33 33/1(-32%)																															(10) Starliner 33/1, Won a maiden in Ireland last year but yet to make an impact in 4 starts for current connections. Unplaced all four starts for current stable; may settle better with blinkers now removed.
7th	4 7th (4) (14/1 -75%) Abruzzo Mia		14 14/1(-75%)																															(4) Abruzzo Mia 14/1, Back to winning ways at Thirsk over this trip in July and wasn't disgraced in follow-up bid at Carlisle last month. Others look better treated, though. Kept on gamely for Thirsk win in July but probably needs to pull out even more here.
9th	12 9th (12) (11/1 -10%) Alpine Sierra		11 11/1(-10%)																															(12) Alpine Sierra 11/1, Now 2 lb below his C&D winnIng mark from last October but has yet to score this term and arrives on back of disappointing run at Carlisle 10 days ago. Yet to win this season but is suited by this C&D and has slipped to a workable mark.
10th	5 10th (5) (16/1 -129%) Modern Times		16 16/1(-129%)																															(5) Modern Times 16/1, Ran poorly over shorter trip at York latest but had posted his best effort for this yard when second of 8 in handicap at Thirsk (7f) previously and is not out of things. Recent 6f run probably best overlooked; contender if judged on last month's 7f second.
11th	7 11th (7) (9/1 -50%) Vince Le Prince		9 9/1(-50%)																															(7) Vince Le Prince 9/1, Dual winner (both 7f) earlier this term who found further improvement when 1½ lengths third of 11 to Desert Falcon in handicap at Thirsk (7f, good to firm) 14 days ago. Likely contender. Dual 7f winner this summer; placed off today's mark recently; in the mix again.
12th	8 12th (8) (8/1 +11%) Cloudy Skye		8 8/1(+11%)																															(8) Cloudy Skye 8/1, Found improvement when getting off the mark at Pontefract (8f) in July and ran to similar level when creditable third of 10 at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 12 days ago. Should give another good account. Placed off this mark since 1m win in July; contender if suited by this drop back in trip.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

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16:40 Ayr Handicap (Class 4) 7f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

After showing a likeable attitude when scoring over 7f at Thirsk earlier this month, DESERT FALCON can follow up. Julie Camacho's charge has been raised 4lb for that near-length success, and Oisin McSweeney's 3lb claim can help to carry much of that burden. The reopposing Vince Le Prince (third) is likely pose the most significant questions to the selection being 1lb better off, while Mereside Diva won off a 3lb lower mark at Thirsk in June and a return to form would see her considered.

Preference is for DESERT FALCON, who registered his first victory for Julie Camacho at Thirsk a fortnight ago and remains fairly treated on old form. Vince Le Prince and Abduction head the list of dangers.

The suggestion is DESERT FALCON, who came good for Julie Camacho with a pretty convincing win at Thirsk a fortnight ago.

16:40 Ayr Handicap (Class 4) 7f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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17:15 Ayr Handicap (Class 3) 13f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	1 1st (1) (9/4 -13%) Kihavah		2.25 9/4(-13%)																															(1) Kihavah 9/4, Thrived last summer and has carried on the good work this year, runner-up in Summer Handicap Hurdle at Market Rasen in July before an excellent second of 20 to Magical Zoe in the Ebor at York (1¾m, good to firm) 4 weeks ago. Leading player. Runner-up in the Ebor last month and he won on his last visit to Ayr; solid claims.
2	3 2nd (3) (11/4 +80%) Euchen Glen		2.75 11/4(+80%)																															(3) Euchen Glen 11/4, Admirable veteran who is still capable of very useful form, including a win over C&D in June. Not quite in on his game at Haydock last time but return to this track is well in his favour. 11yo; below best last time but some bright moments this season and has a fine record here.
3	8 3rd (8) (13/2 +46%) Kitsune Power		6.5 13/2(+46%)																															(8) Kitsune Power 13/2, Latest win at Thirsk in June. Creditable second of 7 in handicap at Catterick (13.9f, good to soft, 16/5) 11 days ago. Should give another good account. Won at Thirsk in June and runner-up at Catterick recently; might not be far away.
4	7 4th (7) (11/1 -83%) Cool Party		11 11/1(-83%)																															(7) Cool Party 11/1, Fairly useful 4yo who only needed to return to form to make a winning return at Southwell 5 months ago. Not seen since and rise probably enough to stop him. Won on Southwell AW in April; absent since but he's capable when fresh; not ruled out.
5th	4 5th (4) (11/2 -38%) Fiver Friday		5.5 11/2(-38%)																															(4) Fiver Friday 11/2, Enjoying a fine season and resumed winning ways in a race run to suit at Naas last time. No reason why she won't give her running again and is well worth respecting. Three wins this year at 1m1f-10.3f; progressive; leading player if seeing out the trip.
6th	6 6th (6) (17/2 -42%) La Pulga		8.5 17/2(-42%)																															(6) La Pulga 17/2, Career best when winning 5-runner handicap (13/8) at Thirsk (12f, good to firm) 14 days ago, very much having run of race. Will likely face competition for the lead and likely vulnerable after a rise. Enjoyed run of race when posting easy win at Thirsk but a 4lb rise isn't harsh.
7th	2 7th (2) (66/1 -164%) Chichester		66 66/1(-164%)																															(2) Chichester 66/1, Course winner. Smart performer at his best for Keith Dalgleish. Not so good in three runs for Charlie Johnston and he's yet to threaten for present stable. Continues to drop down the weights but he's struggled on his three starts this season.
8th	5 8th (5) (11/1 -175%) Mountain Road		11 11/1(-175%)																															(5) Mountain Road 11/1, Signed off for David Simcock with a double, again having a bit to spare at Chelmsford 76 days ago. Back on turf and interesting to see if the market speaks in his favour starting out for a shrewd yard. Won final two outings for David Simcock; brings improving profile to stable debut.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

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17:15 Ayr Handicap (Class 3) 13f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.

A host of in-form rivals line up in this heat, with the slight preference being MOUNTAIN ROAD, who arrives here seeking a hat-trick after wins at Newmarket and most recently at Chelmsford. Making his first appearance for Jim Goldie, he will have to defy a further 3lb rise for a half-length victory, which is negated by his rider's claim. Kihavah ran a big race when second in the Ebor at York last month and a repeat of that effort would see him in the thick of it, while Fiver Friday is an Irish raider to note.

Ebor runner-up KIHAVAH should find this much less competitive and, with a performance of similar merit, he'll be tough to beat. Fiver Friday is a big threat on the back of a third success of the season at Naas, while the veteran Euchen Glen should benefit from a return to this track.

C&D winner KIHAVAH was runner-up in the hugely competitive Ebor last month and can go one better today. Euchen Glen is a danger.

17:15 Ayr Handicap (Class 3) 13f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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Racecard Key

Ths is the racecard key.

Icon	Meaning
	TomForm top stats, gold rated
	TomForm top stats silver rated
	Ran similar race before
S	TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out
T	Top Time speeed rated
	Top Racingpost rated
	At the races watchout for
	At the races top pick
	Top rated for thet statistic

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How to use Tomform

Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.

This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.

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About U.K Horse Racing

Horse racing is a popular and historic sport in the UK, with a tradition dating back centuries. It is a multi-billion pound industry that attracts millions of spectators each year and generates significant economic activity.

There are two main types of horse racing in the UK: flat racing and jump racing. Flat racing is run on a level course and is typically shorter in distance, while jump racing involves horses jumping over obstacles and is generally longer in distance. Both types of racing are popular with spectators and bettors, and they take place at various racetracks throughout the country.

The most famous horse racing event in the UK is the Grand National, which is held annually at Aintree Racecourse in Liverpool. It is a jump racing event that is known for its challenging course and has become a national institution in the UK. Other notable horse racing events in the UK include the Derby, held at Epsom Downs Racecourse in Surrey, and the Royal Ascot, held at Ascot Racecourse in Berkshire.

Horse racing in the UK is regulated by the British Horseracing Authority (BHA), which sets rules and standards for the industry. It is responsible for the welfare of racehorses and the safety of jockeys and trainers, as well as ensuring fair and transparent racing practices.

In addition to its economic and cultural importance, horse racing in the UK also plays a significant role in the breeding and training of thoroughbred horses. Many of the world's top thoroughbreds are bred and trained in the UK, and the industry plays a vital role in the preservation and promotion of the breed.

Overall, horse racing is an integral part of British culture and a major contributor to the country's economy. It is a thrilling and exciting sport that continues to attract a loyal following and generate significant interest from spectators and bettors around the world.

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