Ayr Races & Results 1 Tuesday 3rd October 2023 UK Horse Racing Speed Ratings & Tips

Ayr Races & Results Tomform Tuesday 3rd October 2023

There were 38 Races on Tuesday 3rd October 2023 across 5 meetings. There was 7 races at Sedgefield, 7 races at Galway, 9 races at Wolverhampton, 8 races at Ayr, 7 races at Southwell, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.

Races & Results Tuesday 3rd October 2023

The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.

13:42 Ayr Handicap (Class 5) 8f - 6 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	2 1st (2) (1.38/1 +77%) Tele Red	1.38 1.38/1(+77%)	(2) Tele Red 1.38/1, Latest win at York in July. 13/2, creditable sixth of 12 in handicap at Pontefract (8f, good to soft) 12 days ago. Tad to find on these terms. Scored twice in July and has remained in form since; drops back in class.
2	1 2nd (1) (7/2 -75%) Hortzadar	3.5 7/2(-75%)	(1) Hortzadar 7/2, 12/1, improved on recent efforts to win 12-runner handicap at this C&D (good to soft) 12 days ago by length from Ventura Rascal. Has good chance on form. Beat a couple of these rivals in C&D contest last month; still well treated on peak form.
3	4 3rd (4) (4/1 -20%) Hale End	4 4/1(-20%)	(4) Hale End 4/1, Winner at Hamilton in June. Creditable 1¼ lengths fifth of 12 to Hortzadar in handicap at this C&D (good to soft, 4/1) 12 days ago, finishing with running left. Looks a danger. Solid record in cheekpieces; ties in with Hortzadar and Ventura Rascal on latest effort.
4	5 4th (5) (28/1 +30%) Starshot	28 28/1(+30%)	(5) Starshot 28/1, 40/1, eighth of 11 in handicap at Redcar (8f, good) 14 days ago, slowly away. Hard to make a case for. Ordinary 3yo maiden who isn't solid on 2023 form.
5th	3 5th (3) (6/1 -50%) Ventura Rascal	6 6/1(-50%)	(3) Ventura Rascal 6/1, C&D winner. 28/1 and tongue strap on for 1st time, good length second of 12 to Hortzadar in handicap at this C&D (good to soft) 12 days ago. Finished 1l second to Hortzadar here 12 days ago; remains on workable mark; major player.
6th	7 6th (7) (8/1 +11%) Cosa Sara	8 8/1(+11%)	(7) Cosa Sara 8/1, 3-time C&D winner. Latest win here in September. Respectable fourth of 8 in handicap at Hamilton (8.3f, good to soft, 5/1) 8 days ago. Held on narrowly over 7f here on penultimate start; 4-12 at this venue.

LTO Selection:

13:42 Ayr Handicap (Class 5) 8f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

HORTZADAR had Ventura Rascal (second) and Hale End (fifth) behind when scoring by a length over C&D last month and he was put up 3lb for that effort. The eight-year-old remains well below his previous winning mark of 91 in April last year and he looks ready to strike once again. If Cosa Sara can run to the level of her penultimate start, when successful over 7f at this track, then she could also have a say.

HORTZADAR looks the pick on form judged on his recent C&D win, and gets the nod over Hale End and Cosa Sara.

The 3yo HALE END is taken to show more progress and reverse recent C&D placings with Ventura Rascal and Hortzadar.

13:42 Ayr Handicap (Class 5) 8f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:12 Ayr Maiden (Class 5) 6f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	4 1st (4) (4/6 +46%) Golden Strike	0.666667 4/6(+46%)	(4) Golden Strike 4/6, Foaled April 28. €42,000 yearling, 135,000 gns 2-y-o, Calyx colt. Half-brother to winner abroad by No Nay Never. Promising type. Third of 12 in minor event at Pontefract (6f, good to soft, 18/5) on debut 12 days ago, having to pick way through. Will take the beating. Very promising debut at Pontefract, finishing strongly after a messy start; leading claims.
2	7 2nd (7) (25/1 +50%) Firebird	25 25/1(+50%)	(7) Firebird 25/1, Foaled March 21. Lope De Vega filly. Half-sister to useful 6f winner Tolstoy and 2-y-o 7f winner Balalaika. Dam unraced half-sister to smart 2-y-o 1m winner (stays 1½m) Bluestocking. Lope De Vega filly; one of three newcomers in the field; market instructive.
3	2 3rd (2) (9/2 -35%) Bona Fortuna	4.5 9/2(-35%)	(2) Bona Fortuna 9/2, Foaled March 16. 180,000 gns yearling, Mehmas colt. Brother to useful 2-y-o 5f winner Mojomaker and half-brother to winner up to 1m Swift Mover and winner up to 7f Bella Kopella. Wears tongue strap. Interesting newcomer. 180,000gns yearling; yard is having a great season with 2yos; respected newcomers.
4	8 4th (8) (7/1 -40%) Glory Hyde	7 7/1(-40%)	(8) Glory Hyde 7/1, Thrice-raced filly. Easily best effort when second of 6 in minor event (33/1) at York (6f, soft) 10 days ago. Place claims at least. Appeared to run well, albeit in an ordinary race for the course, at York last time.
5th	3 5th (3) (7/1 +50%) Etretat	7 7/1(+50%)	(3) Etretat 7/1, Twice-raced colt. 50/1, much better effort when fifth of 10 in maiden at Yarmouth (7f, good to firm) 48 days ago. Needs another step forward. Drop to sprinting is worth a shot but may find life easier in handicaps shortly.
6th	6 6th (6) (200/1 -100%) Allegro Brillante	200 200/1(-100%)	(6) Allegro Brillante 200/1, Twice-raced filly. 200/1, fifth of 8 in minor event at Carlisle (5.8f, good) 32 days ago. Not an obvious one. Has a lot to find on form.
7th	1 7th (1) (7/1 +0%) Beneath The Sand	7 7/1(+0%)	(1) Beneath The Sand 7/1, Foaled March 1. €60,000 foal, Blue Point colt. Closely related to useful winner up to 9.5f Alashar and half-brother to 7f winner Alanannda. Dam winner up to 1m (2-y-o 6.3f winner). 60,000euros foal; connections have a good record with 2yos; interesting debutant.
8th	5 8th (5) (200/1 -100%) Spyrothedragon	200 200/1(-100%)	(5) Spyrothedragon 200/1, Once-raced gelding. 33/1, last of 6 in maiden at Musselburgh (7.2f, good to soft) on debut 17 days ago, slowly away. Hard to make a case for. Unpromising debut at Musselburgh; gelded since.

LTO Selection:

14:12 Ayr Maiden (Class 5) 6f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

Inexperience at the start probably did for GOLDEN STRIKE on his debut at Pontefract 12 days ago but the manner in which he powered home to claim a close third was notable and he could be a different proposition with that experience to draw upon. Glory Hyde also catches the eye after a solid run at York last moth, while Bona Fortuna and Firebird appeal most from the newcomers.

GOLDEN STRIKE is the obvious one after a promising debut at Pontefract 12 days ago, the pick on form and sure to improve. Glory Hyde is more exposed but next best on form, while Bona Fortuna is the interesting newcomer.

The pick of the runners with experience is GOLDEN STRIKE. Bona Fortuna and Beneath The Sand are respected newcomers.

14:12 Ayr Maiden (Class 5) 6f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:47 Ayr Handicap (Class 4) 10f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	1 1st (1) (8/1 -45%) Hartswood	8 8/1(-45%)	(1) Hartswood 8/1, Latest win at Thirsk in May. Creditable fifth of 13 in handicap (15/2) at Southwell (8.1f) 20 days ago. Up in trip. Needs considering. Engaged Hamilton 4.10 Monday. Questionable whether he can defy top weight over this trip on forecast slow ground.
2	2 2nd (2) (4.5/1 -13%) Stressfree	4.5 4.5/1(-13%)	(2) Stressfree 4.5/1, Fair ex-French 9f winner. Changed hands for 45,000euros and first run for new yard when encouraging fourth of 6 in handicap at Redcar (10f, good) on UK debut 14 days ago. Can build on it now. Soft-ground winner in France; not beaten far on British debut; still unexposed.
3	7 3rd (7) (5/1 +17%) Ayr Poet	5 5/1(+17%)	(7) Ayr Poet 5/1, 5-time course winner. 3 wins from 10 runs this year. 7/2, good third of 5 in handicap at Hamilton (12.1f, good to soft) 8 days ago. Can give another good account. Successful three times at Ayr during this consistent 2023 season; solid claims.
4	4 4th (4) (7/1 +22%) Tilsitt	7 7/1(+22%)	(4) Tilsitt 7/1, C&D winner. 12/1, creditable fifth of 9 in handicap at this course (13.1f, good) 10 days ago. Back down in trip. Fourteen runs since last win in 2022. Has a fighting chance, having finished second off 7lb higher in this race last year.
5th	6 5th (6) (8/1 +11%) Glasses Up	8 8/1(+11%)	(6) Glasses Up 8/1, 6-time C&D winner. Latest win here in August. 7/1, good seventh of 9 in handicap at this course (13.1f, good) 10 days ago. Back down in trip. In the mix. Multiple winner at Ayr, though has a modest strike-rate in last three years.
6th	3 6th (3) (17/2 +47%) Bashful	8.5 17/2(+47%)	(3) Bashful 17/2, 3 wins from 8 runs this year. Latest win at Hamilton in July. Below form fourth of 8 in handicap at Chester (12.3f, soft, 5/1) 17 days ago. Not taken lightly if shrugging off latest effort. Had a long spell of consistent form; last two efforts represent a dip.
7th	8 7th (8) (2/1 +20%) Star Start	2 2/1(+20%)	(8) Star Start 2/1, Gained his third win this year in 10-runner apprentice handicap at Beverley (9.9f, heavy) 7 days ago. Had a bit in hand there and escapes a penalty so he rates a big player. Consistent this term; avoids a penalty for last week's Class 6 win at Beverley.
8th	5 8th (5) (28/1 -273%) Montevideo	28 28/1(-273%)	(5) Montevideo 28/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Respectable second of 5 in minor event at Lingfield (10f, AW, 5/1) 17 days ago, flattered by proximity. Makes handicap debut with more needed. Switch to handicap level may suit but it's not totally clear whether she's well treated.

LTO Selection:

14:47 Ayr Handicap (Class 4) 10f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

Course specialist Ayr Poet returns to a more suitable trip after a near-miss over 1m4f at Hamilton last week and should go well off a 2lb lower mark, but the progressive STAR START is just preferred. The penny has really dropped for the Rebecca Menzies-trained gelding, who made it two wins from his last three starts when scoring over this trip at Beverley last week and he escapes a penalty for that apprentice handicap success. Montevideo is respected on her handicap debut.

STAR START is enjoying a very good season and fancied to bag a fourth win given he escapes a penalty for his cosy apprentices' success at Beverley a week ago. Multiple C&D scorer Glasses Up is always to be feared round here and next on the list ahead of fellow course specialist Ayr Poet.

Last year's runner-up TILSITT is favourably handicapped and may well prove capable of going one better. Star Start is feared most.

14:47 Ayr Handicap (Class 4) 10f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:22 Ayr Handicap (Class 3) 7f - 7 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	2 1st (2) (13/2 +28%) Sirona	6.5 13/2(+28%)	(2) Sirona 13/2, 20/1, creditable fifth of 9 in handicap at this course (8f, good) 10 days ago. Engaged 3.40 Hamilton Monday. Interesting back down in trip, having been progressive at about 7f last term.
2	3 2nd (3) (5/2 +0%) Autumn Festival	2.5 5/2(+0%)	(3) Autumn Festival 5/2, Eight wins from 27 Flat runs. 13/2 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, won 7-runner handicap at Beverley (7.4f, heavy) 7 days ago. Carries penalty. Expected to be bang there. Took well to first-time cheekpieces at Beverley last week; warrants respect.
3	5 3rd (5) (6/1 +57%) On A Session	6 6/1(+57%)	(5) On A Session 6/1, 20/1, 4¼ lengths seventh of 12 to Master Zoffany in handicap at Chester (7.6f, good to soft) 31 days ago, left poorly placed. Not discounted at longer odds. Useful on his day but has proved inconsistent this year.
4	4 4th (4) (6/1 +25%) Abduction	6 6/1(+25%)	(4) Abduction 6/1, 3-time C&D winner. Latest win here in August. 20/1, twenty first of 25 in handicap at this course (6f, good) 10 days ago. Back up in trip. Respected with course form. Has a record of 3-4 over C&D, including a win in this contest last year.
5th	6 5th (6) (9/1 -50%) Rock Melody	9 9/1(-50%)	(6) Rock Melody 9/1, Creditable third of 6 in handicap at Hamilton (6f, good to soft, 9/4) 9 days ago. Not discounted. 7f winner as a 2yo but her two wins this term came over 5f.
6th	7 6th (7) (8/1 -33%) William Dewhirst	8 8/1(-33%)	(7) William Dewhirst 8/1, 9/2, career best when winning 9-runner handicap at Carlisle (6.9f, soft) 20 days ago. Has a bit to find off new mark. Suited by step up to 7f at Carlisle last month; open to further progress.
7th	1 7th (1) (10/3 -21%) Master Zoffany	3.333333 10/3(-21%)	(1) Master Zoffany 10/3, 10/1, won 12-runner handicap at Chester (7.6f, good to soft) 31 days ago. Up 5 lb but still one to consider. Has to overcome a career-high mark and a course that may not be suitable.

LTO Selection:

15:22 Ayr Handicap (Class 3) 7f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.

Master Zoffany has to be respected following his win at Chester a month ago, while similar comments apply to William Dewhirst and Autumn Festival following their recent victories. That said, preference is for ABDUCTION, whose recent effort in the Silver Cup at this venue can easily be forgiven. Prior to that, the five-year-old was not disgraced in a valuable race over 7f at Ascot and a reproduction of that form would give him a big chance.

AUTUMN FESTIVAL looks well treated under a penalty for his Beverley success, and can get the better of Master Zoffany and On A Session.

Beverley scorer AUTUMN FESTIVAL (nap) looks capable of defying the 5lb penalty judged on peak form. Abduction is feared most.

15:22 Ayr Handicap (Class 3) 7f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:57 Ayr Handicap (Class 6) 7f - 12 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	1 1st (1) (3.5/1 -5%) Kalganov	3.5 3.5/1(-5%)	(1) Kalganov 3.5/1, 10/3, won 12-runner handicap at Redcar (7f, good to firm) 6 days ago. Of plenty of interest again under a penalty. Close second over C&D 12 days ago, then won at Redcar; in-form 4yo who is respected.
2	5 2nd (5) (2.25/1 -20%) Jkr Cobbler	2.25 2.25/1(-20%)	(5) Jkr Cobbler 2.25/1, 3-time C&D winner. 4 wins from 14 runs this year. Latest win here in August. 10/3, creditable third of 11 in handicap at this C&D (good to soft) 12 days ago. Has to be taken seriously. Close third (head behind Kalganov) here 12 days ago when bidding for Ayr four-timer.
3	12 3rd (12) (6.5/1 +35%) Rogue Force	6.5 6.5/1(+35%)	(12) Rogue Force 6.5/1, Fifteen runs since last win in 2022. Ninth of 13 in handicap at this course (8f, good to soft, 28/1) 11 days ago, not clear run. Can't be completely written off. Has hinted at a return to form the last twice; possibilities off a greatly reduced mark.
4	6 4th (6) (7.5/1 +46%) Tremendous Times	7.5 7.5/1(+46%)	(6) Tremendous Times 7.5/1, 16/1, tenth of 13 in handicap at this course (8f, good to soft) 11 days ago. Dropped back in trip and isn't one to fully rule out. Still a maiden and has something to prove dropped back further in trip.
5th	2 5th (2) (18/1 -112%) Code Purple	18 18/1(-112%)	(2) Code Purple 18/1, Latest win at Redcar in April. 11/1, respectable sixth of 11 in handicap at Newcastle (7.1f) 25 days ago, slowly away. Worth considering. Two 7f wins in the spring; below par since but this drop back in class may suit.
6th	4 6th (4) (22/1 -38%) Water Of Leith	22 22/1(-38%)	(4) Water Of Leith 22/1, Course winner. Last of 4 in handicap at Musselburgh (5f, soft, 10/1) 16 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Now below last winning mark but operating below best lately. Revival is not guaranteed over 7f, having raced mostly at shorter.
7th	11 7th (11) (4/1 +75%) Spartakos	4 4/1(+75%)	(11) Spartakos 4/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Musselburgh in September. Did enough to think he's still in form when fifth of 9 in handicap (7/2) at Catterick (7f, heavy) 10 days ago. Needs a couple of these to falter. Has his limitations and all wins remain off lower marks.
8th	9 8th (9) (40/1 -186%) Kraken Power	40 40/1(-186%)	(9) Kraken Power 40/1, Fourteenth of 20 in handicap at this course (5f, good to soft, 18/1) 12 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Not a guaranteed stayer and has a bit to prove. Has something to prove back at 7f (raced mainly over shorter).
9th	3 9th (3) (16/1 -14%) Rory	16 16/1(-14%)	(3) Rory 16/1, Unreliable sort. Course winner. Twenty runs since last win in 2022. 8/1, seventh of 11 in handicap at this C&D (good to soft) 12 days ago. Hard to win with. Needs to bounce back from a modest effort over C&D 12 days ago.
10th	8 10th (8) (40/1 -82%) Keep Me Stable	40 40/1(-82%)	(8) Keep Me Stable 40/1, Last of 11 in handicap (12/1) at this C&D (good to soft) 12 days ago. Hard to make a solid case for on the back of that effort. Latest effort (well behind two of these rivals) tempers enthusiasm.
11th	10 11th (10) (50/1 +0%) Burning The Bails	50 50/1(+0%)	(10) Burning The Bails 50/1, 40/1 and visored for 1st time, seventh of 8 in handicap at Musselburgh (8f, soft) 16 days ago. Hard to fancy. Poor results since joining current yard and switched to handicaps.
12th	7 12th (7) (80/1 -264%) New Tycoon	80 80/1(-264%)	(7) New Tycoon 80/1, 18/1, respectable fifth of 12 in handicap at Catterick (7f, good) 69 days ago. First run for yard after leaving James Horton. Others have achieved more. 0-6 for James Horton; sold for 1,000gns last month; needs to learn to settle.

LTO Selection:

15:57 Ayr Handicap (Class 6) 7f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.

KALGANOV (second) had Jkr Cobbler (third) behind over C&D on his penultimate start before following up that effort with victory at Redcar. The son of Gutaifan looks to have been found another golden opportunity to strike. As for the latter, he recorded a hat-trick prior to his defeat last time and can get involved once again. Of the remainder, New Tycoon makes the most appeal on his first start for the Liam Bailey yard.

JKR COBBLER has enjoyed a fruitful second half of the season at this track and he's fancied to add another win on the back of a good effort here 12 days ago. Last-time-out winner Kalganov is a big player and Code Purple can't be ruled out.

Jkr Cobbler and Kalganov are leading players on current form but an interesting alternative is ROGUE FORCE.

15:57 Ayr Handicap (Class 6) 7f PREDICTION SIMULATION

16:32 Ayr Handicap (Class 6) 7f - 10 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	1 1st (1) (11/4 +21%) Alpine Sierra	2.75 11/4(+21%)	(1) Alpine Sierra 11/4, Course winner. 9/2, creditable fifth of 13 in handicap at this course (8f, good to soft) 11 days ago. Dropped to a handy mark and last couple of efforts have been more encouraging. Sole attempt in Class 6 resulted in 1m win here; major player if coping with return to 7f.
2	9 2nd (9) (5/2 +44%) Darbucks	2.5 5/2(+44%)	(9) Darbucks 5/2, Twelve runs since last win in 2022. 10/3, creditable second of 8 in handicap at Carlisle (7.8f, soft) 20 days ago. Deserves respect. Consistent form since July includes two placed efforts over C&D; solid claims.
3	3 3rd (3) (5/1 +9%) First Greyed	5 5/1(+9%)	(3) First Greyed 5/1, Latest win at Beverley in August. Bit below form sixth of 15 in handicap (7/1) at Thirsk (7f, soft) 15 days ago, left poorly placed. Best not judged on latest effort and had been in good order previously. Recent Class 5 form suggests he cannot be dismissed on this first Class 6 attempt.
4	8 4th (8) (7/1 +30%) Global Humor	7 7/1(+30%)	(8) Global Humor 7/1, Unreliable individual. 3-time C&D winner. Latest win here in June. Looked unlucky when fourth of 11 in handicap at this C&D (good to soft, 18/1) 12 days ago, finishing well after not clear run. Makes appeal despite his quirks. Met traffic issues on his way to finishing fourth over C&D 12 days ago; not ruled out.
5th	10 5th (10) (18/1 -13%) Zebra Star	18 18/1(-13%)	(10) Zebra Star 18/1, 18/1, ninth of 13 in handicap at this course (8f, good to soft) 11 days ago. Appears to have lost her form for the time being. Below best over 1m2f and 1m here for new yard; 2yo win came at this trip.
6th	2 6th (2) (6/1 +25%) Monhammer	6 6/1(+25%)	(2) Monhammer 6/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Musselburgh in July. Respectable fourth of 11 in handicap (10/3) at this C&D (good to soft) 12 days ago. Likely to be on the premises. Worthy of respect, having won a division of this contest (off 5lb lower) last year.
7th	12 7th (12) (22/1 +12%) Genevieve	22 22/1(+12%)	(12) Genevieve 22/1, Respectable fifth of 12 in handicap at Hamilton (6f, good to soft, 18/1) 8 days ago. Hard to fancy. Now 0-12 and still has no placed form.
8th	5 8th (5) (20/1 -186%) Pallas Lord	20 20/1(-186%)	(5) Pallas Lord 20/1, Thirteen runs since last win in 2022. 13/8, last of 5 in handicap at Newcastle (10.2f). Off 147 days. Back down in trip. Seemed to have gone off the boil but break may have helped. 2-2 in 7f events on soft ground; interesting granted that surface.
9th	6 9th (6) (80/1 -21%) Flash Bulb	80 80/1(-21%)	(6) Flash Bulb 80/1, Eleventh of 12 in handicap (100/1) at this course (8f, good) 78 days ago. Not easy to make a case for. Holds weak claims on form; had a second wind surgery since last run.
10th	4 10th (4) (33/1 -18%) Gordonstoun	33 33/1(-18%)	(4) Gordonstoun 33/1, 33/1, eighth of 11 in handicap at this C&D (good to soft) 12 days ago. Something to prove at the moment. Has achieved little in two outings this term, latest over C&D.

LTO Selection:

16:32 Ayr Handicap (Class 6) 7f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.

The consistent MONHAMMER is a specialist at this intermediate trip and, as a previous C&D winner, he ticks the right boxes given his proven versatility with regard to the ground. David Allan also knows how to get a good tune out of the selection and he could be the one to beat today. Alpine Sierra and First Greyed are a couple of others with respectable course form, while Purple Martini still has relatively low mileage and can figure off just 2lb above his last winning mark.

ALPINE SIERRA has become well treated and his last two runs have indicated that he's back in reasonable form, so he's worth chancing in an open-looking race. Global Humor is a danger having shaped well over C&D last time and Darbucks is likely to be involved again.

Off a handy mark, ALPINE SIERRA may prove the answer back in this grade. Purple Martini is second choice.

16:32 Ayr Handicap (Class 6) 7f PREDICTION SIMULATION

17:07 Ayr Handicap (Class 4) 6f - 6 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	7 1st (7) (18/5 +45%) Sacred Falls	3.6 18/5(+45%)	(7) Sacred Falls 18/5, 3/1, creditable second of 7 in handicap at Hamilton (6f, good to soft) 8 days ago. Should be thereabouts again provided the race doesn't come too soon. Runner-up on her last four runs and might not be entirely straightforward.
2	5 2nd (5) (4/1 +11%) Mereside Diva	4 4/1(+11%)	(5) Mereside Diva 4/1, Latest win at Nottingham in May. Respectable sixth of 13 in handicap (18/1) at Redcar (6f, good) 14 days ago, nearest finish. Not discounted. May have needed after a break two weeks ago and she's fine on soft.
3	3 3rd (3) (12/1 -60%) Impressor	12 12/1(-60%)	(3) Impressor 12/1, C&D winner. 4 wins from 12 runs this year. Latest win at Hamilton in August. Second of 4 in handicap (6/5) at Hamilton (5f, good to soft) 50 days ago. Merits plenty of respect. 4lb above last winning mark but has plenty in his favour otherwise.
4	1 4th (1) (6/1 +50%) Judgment Call	6 6/1(+50%)	(1) Judgment Call 6/1, Course winner. Latest win at Musselburgh in August. Last of 9 in handicap at this course (8f, good, 12/1) 10 days ago. Down in trip. Others are more persuasive. Two-time course winner but over shorter and this is a belated first run over 6f.
5th	2 5th (2) (2/1 +9%) Cold Stare	2 2/1(+9%)	(2) Cold Stare 2/1, Won 12-runner handicap at this course (7.2f, good, 4/1) 10 days ago. Good shout again. Went close in the Bronze Cup over C&D before snapping his losing run over 7f.
6th	6 6th (6) (11/2 +31%) Black Friday	5.5 11/2(+31%)	(6) Black Friday 11/2, 3-time C&D winner. Latest win here in August. Good third of 12 in handicap (8/1) at this course (8f, good to soft) 12 days ago. Back down in trip. Deserves respect. Ran well over 1m last time but better known for his form over shorter.

LTO Selection:

17:07 Ayr Handicap (Class 4) 6f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

The three-year-olds Sacred Falls and Mereside Diva command respect given they're probably not done improving yet, while Impressor arrives in excellent nick and Cold Stare wasn't winning out of turn here over 7f last time. He had Jordan Electrics (third) behind when finishing a close-up second in the Bronze Cup, but this could be all about BLACK FRIDAY. He is versatile in regards to trip and has won four times at this track, three of which have come over this trip.

COLD STARE has been in good order for a while and has only gone up 2 lb for his recent success over 7f here, so he's worth a chance to go in again. Most of the others can have a case made for them but Jordan Electrics appeals as the chief threat.

David O'Meara's COLD STARE deserved his return to winning ways last time over 7f. He has good form over C&D.

17:07 Ayr Handicap (Class 4) 6f PREDICTION SIMULATION

17:37 Ayr Handicap (Class 6) 15f - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	1 1st (1) (4/1 +33%) Clansman	4 4/1(+33%)	(1) Clansman 4/1, Course winner. 10/1, good second of 10 in handicap at this course (13.1f, good to soft) 11 days ago. Goes well with cut in the ground and likely to put up another bold showing. Capable handicapper when the mud is flying and ran well on latest visit here.
2	9 2nd (9) (12/1 -41%) Lady Bracken	12 12/1(-41%)	(9) Lady Bracken 12/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Good sixth of 10 in handicap (25/1) at Redcar (14f, good) 14 days ago. Can't be ruled out. 0-5; more is needed and conditions are a grey area.
3	8 3rd (8) (3.33/1 -21%) Cantalupo Bella	3.33 3.33/1(-21%)	(8) Cantalupo Bella 3.33/1, 12/1, good second of 10 in handicap at Nottingham (16f, heavy) 61 days ago, clear of rest. Shortlist material. Off since early August but bumped into a sharp improver on that final start.
4	6 4th (6) (4.5/1 +63%) Aighear	4.5 4.5/1(+63%)	(6) Aighear 4.5/1, C&D winner. 7/1, fifth of 7 in handicap at Hamilton (12.1f, good to soft) 9 days ago, slowly away. Back up in trip. Can make presence felt if things drop right. Narrow winner of this 12 months ago off 1lb higher; returns in decent nick.
5th	2 5th (2) (22/1 -38%) Heatherdown Hero	22 22/1(-38%)	(2) Heatherdown Hero 22/1, 14/1, sixth of 7 in handicap at Hamilton (12.1f, good to soft) 9 days ago, needing stronger gallop. Up in trip. Needs to bounce back. 1-20 overall and hasn't fired in two 1m4f handicaps since returning from a break.
6th	3 6th (3) (15/2 -7%) Dancing Cloud	7.5 15/2(-7%)	(3) Dancing Cloud 15/2, 9/1, sixth of 7 in handicap at Hamilton (13.1f, soft) 80 days ago. Possibly found that race coming too soon and is likely to be back on his game after a break. Didn't look at home on soft ground when below par when last seen at Hamilton in July.
7th	4 7th (4) (3/1 -9%) Michael's Pledge	3 3/1(-9%)	(4) Michael's Pledge 3/1, 11/8, creditable third of 6 in handicap at Thirsk (14f, good to soft) 24 days ago, clear of rest. Has been shaping up well lately and could gain some reward for his consistency here. Running well but he's still to win a race and can take plenty of driving.
8th	5 8th (5) (18/1 -13%) Crystal Guard	18 18/1(-13%)	(5) Crystal Guard 18/1, Seventh of 10 in handicap (20/1) at this course (13.1f, good to soft) 11 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Others more persuasive. He was well behind Clansman over 1m5f on good to soft here 11 days ago.
9th	7 9th (7) (80/1 -60%) Pammi	80 80/1(-60%)	(7) Pammi 80/1, Twenty seven runs since last win in 2018. Didn't need to improve to win 6-runner handicap hurdle at Perth (23.9f, good to soft, 10/3) 22 days ago, holding on gamely. Not a forlorn hope back in this sphere off a basement mark. Won her final start, a 3m soft-ground handicap hurdle at Perth; opposable on Flat.

LTO Selection:

17:37 Ayr Handicap (Class 6) 15f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.

Michael's Pledge has been threatening to score and it would be no surprise to see him finally get off the mark here, but he may have to play second fiddle again, this time to AIGHEAR. Despite some good efforts in defeat this summer, Jim Goldie's mare returns off a 1lb lower mark than when she won this race 12 months ago and she should relish the step back up in trip. Cantalupo Bella separated a couple of subsequent winners when second over 2m at Newbury last time and is another to note.

MICHAEL'S PLEDGE has been in good order for a while and can open his account. Cantalupo Bella and Clansman also arrive on the back of solid efforts and should be on the premises.

The only obvious negative for CANTALUPO BELLA is an absence of two months. She was clear of the rest behind an improver last time.

17:37 Ayr Handicap (Class 6) 15f PREDICTION SIMULATION

Racecard Key

Ths is the racecard key.

Icon	Meaning
	TomForm top stats, gold rated
	TomForm top stats silver rated
	Ran similar race before
S	TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out
T	Top Time speeed rated
	Top Racingpost rated
	At the races watchout for
	At the races top pick
	Top rated for thet statistic

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