14:20 Ayr Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 20f - 14 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	5 1st (5) (7/1 +56%) Adveram		7 7/1(+56%)																															(5) Adveram 7/1, Winless last term but proved consistent and signed off with a solid third of 11 in handicap hurdle at Perth (23.9f, soft, 17/2). Off 6 months but needs considering. Maiden hurdler but worth considering if ready to roll back from a break..
2	8 2nd (8) (8/1 +71%) Bathgate		8 8/1(+71%)																															(8) Bathgate 8/1, Still a maiden but he has shown some promise this season, fading late on when fifth of 11 in handicap hurdle at Kelso (20.9f, good to soft) 22 days ago. Holds good claims now back in trip off a 3 lb lower mark. Has made little impact in handicap hurdles..
3	7 3rd (7) (6/1 +50%) One Step Up		6 6/1(+50%)																															(7) One Step Up 6/1, Looked rusty after 4 months off when pulled up in handicap hurdle at Perth (20.2f, soft) 33 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time and can take a step forward in his bid for a maiden success. Pulled up latest but previous second would give him a chance; first-time cheekpieces..
4	11 4th (11) (20/1 +39%) Burgundy Man		20 20/1(+39%)																															(11) Burgundy Man 20/1, Remains winless and only eighth of 12 in handicap hurdle at Perth (16.2f, soft, 14/1) 32 days ago. Cheekpieces are reached for now. Modest maiden hurdler; the first-time cheekpieces need to spark some improvement..
5th	1 5th (1) (10/3 -33%) Caldwell		3.333333 10/3(-33%)																															(1) Caldwell 10/3, Readily won 10-runner handicap chase at Hexham (15.6f, soft, 9/2) on debut over fences 16 days ago. Back over hurdles now and looks competitive on form off just 1 lb higher mark. Reliable; won convincingly on this month's chase debut; just 1lb higher back over hurdles..
6th	12 6th (12) (20/1 -167%) Lewa House		20 20/1(-167%)																															(12) Lewa House 20/1, Not the most consistent and on a losing sequence but he has gone well off a break so claims on his seasonal return. Sole win over hurdles in 2022; ended last season with a couple of credible placed efforts.
7th	13 7th (13) (4/1 +75%) Bowler Jack		4 4/1(+75%)																															(13) Bowler Jack 4/1, Little form shown to date, cheekpieces on for his handicap debut when pulled up at Hexham (20.1f, heavy) 7 months ago. Others are preferred. Well beaten in his three maiden/novice hurdles and pulled up on handicap debut..
8th	3 8th (3) (9/1 -157%) Rickety Gate		9 9/1(-157%)																															(3) Rickety Gate 9/1, 16/5, won 11-runner handicap hurdle at Kelso (20.9f, good to soft) 22 days ago. Up 5 lb but had a bit left in the tank there so ought to be thereabouts. Back to form to win over hurdles latest after a summer break; should be competitive..
9th	6 9th (6) (12/1 +40%) Anamanda		12 12/1(+40%)																															(6) Anamanda 12/1, Lightly-raced maiden hurdler who came in only sixth of 9 on her handicap hurdle debut at Perth (16.2f, good to soft, 7/1) 165 days ago. Up in trip with more needed. 0-4 over hurdles; goes up in trip but others have more pressing claims..
10th	2 10th (2) (11/1 +8%) Grass's Jet		11 11/1(+8%)																															(2) Grass's Jet 11/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Cheekpieces on for his first run since leaving Thomas Gallagher when below form eighth of 13 in handicap hurdle (5/2) at Bangor (23.2f, good) 122 days ago. Needs to bounce back. Failed to get competitive for Thomas Gallagher and well-beaten favourite on stable debut.
11th	10 11th (10) (100/1 -203%) Billable Grant		100 100/1(-203%)																															(10) Billable Grant 100/1, 25/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, pulled up in handicap hurdle at Wexford (24f, good to soft) 95 days ago on his final run for Colin McBratney. Needs this yard switch to spark a resurgence. The change of stable needs to turn things around..
12th	4 12th (4) (25/1 -108%) Pateen		25 25/1(-108%)																															(4) Pateen 25/1, Scored at Perth in September and got back on track when third of 12 in handicap hurdle at Market Rasen (23.1f, good) 13 days ago. Not ruled out eased 1 lb. Capable veteran when in the mood; won at Perth last month..
13th	14 13th (14) (100/1 -100%) Solway Staree		100 100/1(-100%)																															(14) Solway Staree 100/1, Poor maiden hurdler who looked rusty after 12 months off when tenth of 12 in handicap hurdle at Perth (16.2f, soft, 66/1) 32 days ago. Can strip fitter now but 6 lb out of the handicap. Well held back from a lengthy absence latest and has enough to prove..
14th	9 14th (9) (50/1 -100%) Uncle Mac		50 50/1(-100%)																															(9) Uncle Mac 50/1, Modest maiden hurdler who has also offered little both runs over fences for a variety of trainers. Back hurdling with lots to prove. Back hurdling after tailing off on chase debut and pulled up behind Caldwell latest start.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

14:20 Ayr Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 20f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

CALDWELL has been very reliable in all disciplines from the summer onwards and made a successful beginning to his chasing career at Hexham. Back over the smaller obstacles, he is just 1lb higher, with the extra half-mile fancied to bring him forward even further. Rickety Gate showed the benefit of a break when justifying favouritism at Kelso and looks dangerous. Grass's Jet was well fancied on his debut for this yard at Bangor and although disappointing, it is too soon to give up on him.

This is wide open so at the likely odds it is worth siding with BATHGATE to build on earlier promise and gain a breakthrough victory off a reduced mark. Caldwell scored in good style over fences at Hexham last time and could emerge as the chief threat reverted to hurdles, although Rickety Gate, Pateen and Adveram all need considering too.

Rickety Gate is second choice but CALDWELL (nap) makes appeal having been a ready winner on soft ground on his recent chase debut.

14:20 Ayr Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 20f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:55 Ayr Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 20f - 13 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	11 1st (11) (28/1 +15%) Celestial Fashion		28 28/1(+15%)																															(11) Celestial Fashion 28/1, Opened her account in 17f conditionals handicap at Newcastle in March but well beaten next 2 starts and might need this on return with the trip looking on the stiff side. Battled well for deserved win in March but others in this field have more potential.
2	4 2nd (4) (17/2 -6%) Let's Go Joe		8.5 17/2(-6%)																															(4) Let's Go Joe 17/2, Sedgefield maiden hurdle winner who has tumbled in the weights but looked in need of the run when well backed after 4 months off/breathing operation there 4 weeks ago, weakening between the last 2. Down another 2 lb and could show more here. Shaped well before weakening at Sedgefield recently, and that run might have done him good.
3	3 3rd (3) (14/1 -40%) Malangen		14 14/1(-40%)																															(3) Malangen 14/1, Scored at Hexham in June and generally good efforts since, doing far too much too soon at Carlisle (17.2f, soft) 11 days ago. Looks vulnerable to improvers here. Built up big lead and was only headed at final flight at Carlisle recently; 2lb lower here.
4	8 4th (8) (4/1 +20%) Bridge Road		4 4/1(+20%)																															(8) Bridge Road 4/1, Clearly on a very workable mark and good placed efforts the last twice for in-form yard, finding only a progressive one too strong dropped to 2m at Uttoxeter 10 days ago. One to consider. Has modest strike-rate but ran well in defeat at Uttoxeter ten days ago; a possible.
5th	2 5th (2) (5/4 +50%) Entity Of Substanz		1.25 5/4(+50%)																															(2) Entity Of Substanz 5/4, Boasts an appealing pedigree and there's been plenty of promise over hurdles, catching the eye after 8 months off at Warwick. Back up in trip for handicap debut which will suit and likely to improve. Obvious type. Encouraging sixth in Warwick novice on seasonal debut; back up in trip for handicap debut.
6th	6 6th (6) (14/1 +30%) Be The Difference		14 14/1(+30%)																															(6) Be The Difference 14/1, A fair hurdles winner in 2021, including over C&D, but lightly raced these days and not the same force, never dangerous after another 4 months off at Kelso recently. Dual course winner in 2021; yet to strike form since returning from mammoth absence.
7th	10 7th (10) (12/1 -20%) Star Vantage		12 12/1(-20%)																															(10) Star Vantage 12/1, Maiden and last season was a write-off but he's probably not badly handicapped returning for new yard who find improvement in plenty. 0-10 over hurdles, having fallen on three of last five starts; now with new stable.
1	1 |F| (1) (66/1 -560%) Love That		66 66/1(-560%)																															(1) Love That 66/1, Point winner who has shown plenty on her 2 completed starts over hurdles. Could have more to offer now handicapping back from 5 months off. Displayed significant ability in three novice/maiden hurdles; can improve in handicaps.
9	9 |PU| (9) (12/1 +25%) March Wind		12 12/1(+25%)																															(9) March Wind 12/1, Best of those ridden close to the pace when fifth on handicap debut at Perth back in May. Returns with yard among the winners and leaves the impression she's got bigger performances in her. Just a respectable fifth on handicap debut in May but remains unexposed.
5	5 |PU| (5) (14/1 +50%) Beat The Retreat		14 14/1(+50%)																															(5) Beat The Retreat 14/1, Novice handicap hurdle winner here last Christmas but lost his way as the season ended and might need this. Course winner last December but had very mixed record afterwards; back from a break today.
7	7 |PU| (7) (18/1 -100%) Ballyquin Bay		18 18/1(-100%)																															(7) Ballyquin Bay 18/1, Fair maiden hurdler for Gordon Elliott and not disgraced in handicaps for new yard when last seen. Down another 5 lb which will help. One to note with small stable among the winners. Placed off 6lb higher last December but this 15-race maiden has been absent since March.
13	13 |PU| (13) (40/1 -233%) Flying Sandpiper		40 40/1(-233%)																															(13) Flying Sandpiper 40/1, Well beaten in bumpers/over hurdles. Work to do on handicap debut. Showed no significant promise at huge prices in three novice/maiden hurdles.
12	12 |PU| (12) (100/1 -52%) Robiola		100 100/1(-52%)																															(12) Robiola 100/1, Little promise over hurdles for current yard. Has struggled this season, most recently when 50-1 for handicap debut at Cartmel in July.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

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14:55 Ayr Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 20f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

Bridge Road has been edging closer to the winner's enclosure, although his strike-rate is moderate and a 1lb rise for his Uttoxeter second does him no favours. Love That and March Wind ran respectably on the same Perth card back in May, while Celestial Fashion's best form puts her in with a shout, but a chance is taken on ENTITY OF SUBSTANZ. Dan Skelton's five-year-old is related to some smart performers and an initial mark of 96 is there to be exploited.

There could be plenty more to come from ENTITY OF SUBSTANZ now he goes handicapping and he makes the most appeal. Bridge Road has been running well from his reduced mark and has to be respected, while Ballyquin Bay could find a race near to hand.

The pick is ENTITY OF SUBSTANZ, who did not live up to his pedigree in his qualifying races but can improve in handicaps.

14:55 Ayr Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 20f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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15:28 Ayr Handicap Chase (Class 4) 16f - 7 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	2 1st (2) (10/11 +44%) Home Free		0.909091 10/11(+44%)																															(2) Home Free 10/11, Scored over hurdles in 2m heavy-ground novice at Lingfield in March and made an encouraging start over fences when second at Hexham in May. Went one better on returning from 5 months off (had wind op and tongue tied) at Uttoxeter recently and appeals as one who can rack up a sequence. Won cosily by a neck at Uttoxeter this month and remains unexposed over fences.
2	4 2nd (4) (10/1 +9%) Thistle Ask		10 10/1(+9%)																															(4) Thistle Ask 10/1, Showed improved form when winning 9-runner novice hurdle at this course (16f, good) back in March 2023, making no mistake with any potential threats barely raising a gallop. Makes return/chase debut and watching brief advised unless the betting suggests otherwise (has had a wind op). Wide-margin maiden hurdle winner here in March 2023; makes chase debut after long absence.
3	6 3rd (6) (11/2 -10%) Travail D'orfevre		5.5 11/2(-10%)																															(6) Travail D'orfevre 11/2, Made a winning return at Carlisle (15.9f, soft) last October and proved most consistent thereafter, runner-up all bare one starts last season, including when last seen at Perth (20.1f, soft) 6 months ago. Every chance he'll be in the mix given his record fresh. Very consistent last season (including over C&D) and ought to be on the premises again.
4	5 4th (5) (7/1 -100%) Rattling Road		7 7/1(-100%)																															(5) Rattling Road 7/1, Won an Irish point in April 2022. Progressed on his first 3 outings over hurdles earlier this year but proved somewhat disappointing, especially as the longer trip was expected to suit when well held at Perth (20.2f, soft) 6 months ago. Makes chase/handicap debut (has had a wind op). Placed in 15-runner novice hurdle last season and open to improvement in handicap chases.
5th	1 5th (1) (6/1 +14%) Carcaci Castle		6 6/1(+14%)																															(1) Carcaci Castle 6/1, Bounced back to his best reverted to fences when winning a 6-runner handicap at Hexham in June and shaped as if still in good form bidding to follow up when third at Cartmel (17.3f, soft) the following month, just not quite seeing things out back up in trip. Can feature on return. Still on workable mark after Hexham win in June and versatile ground-wise; shortlisted.
6th	7 6th (7) (40/1 -21%) Ardera Cross		40 40/1(-21%)																															(7) Ardera Cross 40/1, Veteran who added a ninth course success to his tally over C&D in January. Similar form on 2 of his 4 starts since and ran no sort of race from 9 lb out of the handicap away from his beloved Ayr at Carlisle (15.9f, heavy) when last seen 6 months ago. Best watched. Very unreliable nowadays but this nine-time course winner returns on a workable mark.
7th	3 7th (3) (40/1 -300%) Captain Ivan		40 40/1(-300%)																															(3) Captain Ivan 40/1, Has won 3 of his last 5 starts, following up his Southwell success with another victory at Perth (16f, good) back in June 2023. Ran respectably but looked too high in the weights when third at Worcester the following month and has switched yards ahead of his return. Dual chase winner in early part of last season but makes stable debut after long absence.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

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15:28 Ayr Handicap Chase (Class 4) 16f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

A winner at Uttoxeter on his seasonal return recently, there should be more to come from HOME FREE and Dan Skelton's gelding is taken to defy a 4lb rise in the handicap en route to further success. An ease in grade will do no harm to the chances of Carcaci Castle, who looks the main danger, while Travail D'Orfevre, an admirably consistent type over fences, could have a say too.

HOME FREE opened his chase account a shade cosily at Uttoxeter earlier this month and, appealing as one who can rack up a sequence, Dan Skelton's 6-y-o is fancied to go in again at the expense of the ultra-consistent Travail d'Orfevre, who won on reappearance last season and hit the crossbar on 5 of his 6 subsequent starts. Carcaci Castle can edge out stable-switcher Captain Ivan for third.

There is more to come from lightly raced 6yo HOME FREE, who was always doing enough to hold on at Uttoxeter three weeks ago.

15:28 Ayr Handicap Chase (Class 4) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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16:03 Ayr NH Flat Race (Class 5) 16f - 7 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	3 1st (3) (10/11 +39%) Dalston Lad		0.909091 10/11(+39%)																															(3) Dalston Lad 10/11, €115,000 4-y-o, Ocovango gelding. Half-brother to 3 winners, including fairly useful hurdler/useful chaser Gone Platinum and fairly useful 21f hurdle winner Myretown. Won sole start in Irish points (Apr 21) and he's a very interesting bumper debutant for leading yard. 115,000euros buy after winning an Irish point in April; obvious contender for top stable..
2	2 2nd (2) (6/1 -200%) Bespoke Tailor		6 6/1(-200%)																															(2) Bespoke Tailor 6/1, €6,000 Malinas gelding. Promising start when runner-up in a Perth bumper (16.2f, soft) back in April, every chance final 1f and held only late on. Looks up to playing his part on that evidence with progress distinctly possible. Only just denied by a three-time bumper winner in April; merits serious consideration..
3	7 3rd (7) (12/1 -20%) Stride On		12 12/1(-20%)																															(7) Stride On 12/1, €44,000 3-y-o, Walk In The Park gelding. Brother to fairly useful hurdler Kiltealy Park, and half-brother to fair hurdler Wait Here, stayed 2½m. Market should prove a useful guide starting out for very good yard. Out of half-sister to smart Mistanoora; may be one for further down the line..
4	1 4th (1) (40/1 -300%) Fujita Scale		40 40/1(-300%)																															(1) Fujita Scale 40/1, Snow Sky gelding. Ran in void race at Kelso in April but showed some ability when fourth of 10 in bumper at Sedgefield (16.8f) a month later, running green and fading final 100 yds. Entitled to do better with that run under his belt. Showed ability when fourth at Sedgefield in May; entitled to improve and respected.
5th	4 5th (4) (9/4 +59%) Dinofromberlais		2.25 9/4(+59%)																															(4) Dinofromberlais 9/4, €72,000 3-y-o, Doctor Dino half-brother to 3 winners, including prolific French hurdle/chase winner up to 19f Athena du Berlais and fairly useful 2½m hurdle winner Ladybank. Unplaced both starts in Irish points but makes debut for yard no stranger to success in this sphere. One to note. Showed promise on second start in an Irish point and respected on debut for Olly Murphy..
6th	6 6th (6) (80/1 -21%) Just Winging It		80 80/1(-21%)																															(6) Just Winging It 80/1, €12,000 3-y-o, Jet Away gelding. Brother to fairly useful hurdler/chaser Eureka Creek, stays 25f. Dam unraced sister to fairly useful hurdler/chaser (stayed 2½m) Tevere. Yard 0-36 with their bumper representatives in last 5 seasons. Out of sister to useful Tevere; looks up against it on debut..
7th	5 7th (5) (20/1 -43%) Elusive Warrior		20 20/1(-43%)																															(5) Elusive Warrior 20/1, €30,000 3-y-o, Elusive Pimpernel gelding. Dam unraced half-sister to fairly useful hurdler/smart chaser (barely stayed 2¾m) Go Roger Go and fairly useful hurdler/fair chaser (stayed 3m) Dead Sound. Yard 10-53 with their runners in this sphere in recent seasons. 30,000euros 3yo, best watched on debut unless market says otherwise..

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content,

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16:03 Ayr NH Flat Race (Class 5) 16f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

Olly Murphy has an excellent record in these types of contests so Dinofromberlais, who showed only moderate form in the pointing sphere, could well step forward on this Rules debut. However, the vote goes to DALSTON LAD. The Ocovango gelding fetched 115,000 euros at the sales in May and the half-brother to useful performer Gone Platinum looks sure to go well at the first time of asking under Rules. Stride On is another to consider.

The pair with previous form don't set a tall standard so this could go to a newcomer in the shape of DALSTON LAD. Successful on his only start in points, he appeals on paper now starting out for the Skelton team and it would come as no surprise to see him firmly in the mix. Bespoke Tailor, a promising second at Perth back in the spring, and another Rules newcomer Dinofromberlais head up the dangers in the finale.

Bespoke Tailor isn't passed over lightly but preference is for Irish point winner DALSTON LAD on debut for Dan Skelton.

16:03 Ayr NH Flat Race (Class 5) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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Racecard Key

Ths is the racecard key.

Icon	Meaning
	TomForm top stats, gold rated
	TomForm top stats silver rated
	Ran similar race before
S	TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out
T	Top Time speeed rated
	Top Racingpost rated
	At the races watchout for
	At the races top pick
	Top rated for thet statistic

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How to use Tomform

Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.

This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.

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About U.K Horse Racing

Horse racing is a popular and historic sport in the UK, with a tradition dating back centuries. It is a multi-billion pound industry that attracts millions of spectators each year and generates significant economic activity.

There are two main types of horse racing in the UK: flat racing and jump racing. Flat racing is run on a level course and is typically shorter in distance, while jump racing involves horses jumping over obstacles and is generally longer in distance. Both types of racing are popular with spectators and bettors, and they take place at various racetracks throughout the country.

The most famous horse racing event in the UK is the Grand National, which is held annually at Aintree Racecourse in Liverpool. It is a jump racing event that is known for its challenging course and has become a national institution in the UK. Other notable horse racing events in the UK include the Derby, held at Epsom Downs Racecourse in Surrey, and the Royal Ascot, held at Ascot Racecourse in Berkshire.

Horse racing in the UK is regulated by the British Horseracing Authority (BHA), which sets rules and standards for the industry. It is responsible for the welfare of racehorses and the safety of jockeys and trainers, as well as ensuring fair and transparent racing practices.

In addition to its economic and cultural importance, horse racing in the UK also plays a significant role in the breeding and training of thoroughbred horses. Many of the world's top thoroughbreds are bred and trained in the UK, and the industry plays a vital role in the preservation and promotion of the breed.

Overall, horse racing is an integral part of British culture and a major contributor to the country's economy. It is a thrilling and exciting sport that continues to attract a loyal following and generate significant interest from spectators and bettors around the world.

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