17:06 Cartmel Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 17f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	7 1st (7) (16/1 -45%) Mr Rumbalicious		16 16/1(-45%)																															(7) Mr Rumbalicious 16/1, Showed a bit of promise in juvenile hurdles in late 2022 and has been successful twice on the level since. First run since leaving Alan King and local yard has an excellent record at this track. Dual 2m AW winner; modest efforts over hurdles; possible improver on handicap/stable debut.
2	6 2nd (6) (5/1 +75%) Fathers Advice		5 5/1(+75%)																															(6) Fathers Advice 5/1, Maiden who filled runners-up spot in handicaps at Ayr/Newcastle in March (both at 2m). Subsequent efforts at Perth have been underwhelming but the handicapper has relinquished his grip a little more. 0-16 over hurdles; runner-up twice in March, but not as good since; bit to prove now.
3	2 3rd (2) (1.38/1 +8%) Nadim		1.38 1.38/1(+8%)																															(2) Nadim 1.38/1, Improved model switched to handicaps this summer, again equipped with cheekpieces when completing quick-fire hat-trick at Worcester (20f) in July. Been given more of a break ahead of this and respected back down in trip. Has improved for cheekpieces, winning last three; 3lb rise for last win; strong chance.
4	4 4th (4) (7/1 -27%) Chancer Dancer		7 7/1(-27%)																															(4) Chancer Dancer 7/1, Irish raider who bettered previous efforts when second at Hexham (20f) in June. Shaped better than bare result at Uttoxeter next time but she does need to shrug off a lesser effort at Downpatrick on her latest outing 44 days ago. 0-9; good 2nd over 2m4f in June; lesser efforts since; drop to 2m1f no concern.
5th	5 5th (5) (6.5/1 +46%) Bentham		6.5 6.5/1(+46%)																															(5) Bentham 6.5/1, Thirty one runs since last win in 2020. 7/1, couldn't build on previous promise for present yard when fourth behind Ambassador in handicap at Uttoxeter (15.7f) 4 weeks ago. Ex-Irish; fair efforts behind Ambassador at Uttoxeter on last two starts; more needed.
6th	8 6th (8) (7/1 +79%) Torbellino		7 7/1(+79%)																															(8) Torbellino 7/1, Fair handicapper on Flat who ran disappointingly in that sphere prior to another below par display in a mares' handicap hurdle at Uttoxeter (15.7f) 4 weeks ago. Needs to leave that well behind to figure. Three Flat wins at up to 1m4f; poor form in both handicap hurdles; others appeal more.
7th	3 7th (3) (12/1 -71%) Iolani		12 12/1(-71%)																															(3) Iolani 12/1, Veteran who belatedly proves he still has something to offer when third in a C&D handicap in June. Underperformed both starts on the level subsequently but since switched yards ahead of return to hurdles and bounce back not ruled out. Six-time hurdle winner; fair 3rd over C&D last time; poor on Flat since; each-way chance.
9	9 |PU| (9) (28/1 -75%) Solway Staree		28 28/1(-75%)																															(9) Solway Staree 28/1, Little show in 3 bumpers/pair of novice hurdles, well held in third at Perth (16.2f) for the latest of them 25 days ago. Goes handicapping now off a basement mark but would need to see more before becoming of interest. Modest form in bumpers and when third in two novice hurdles; may improve on h'cap debut.

LTO Selection:

17:06 Cartmel Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 17f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

NADIM continues to go from strength to strength, winning his last three starts, and he may still be ahead of the handicapper, despite an added 3lb. Mr Rumbalicious has won a couple of races on the Flat since his most recent effort over hurdles and he is of interest for his new connections, although the hat-trick seeking Ambassador may be the bigger danger with his jockey's 10lb claim.

A winner on his final start for Martin Keighley in July, AMBASSADOR picked up where he left off to make a winning debut for his present yard back at Uttoxeter 4 weeks ago, despite seemingly doing the bare minimum when hitting the front. Up only 2 lb for that success, he gets the nod to complete the hat-trick, with Nadim, who arrives in search of the 4-timer, rating the chief threat. Mr Rumbalicious, on debut for the Moffatt team, and Iolani are others to consider.

Despite having won his last three races NADIM (nap) is still on a feasible mark and is taken to complete a four-timer.

17:06 Cartmel Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 17f PREDICTION SIMULATION

17:36 Cartmel Handicap Hurdle (Class 2) 25f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	8 1st (8) (3.5/1 +56%) Our Sam		3.5 3.5/1(+56%)																															(8) Our Sam 3.5/1, Carlisle winner back from a break in February. Only fourth behind Aramax over C&D on penultimate start but bettered that when narrowly prevailing back here (good to soft) last time and shouldn't be far away. Two wins in 2023, the latest over C&D; 2lb wrong so 6lb higher here; each-way claims.
2	6 2nd (6) (6/1 -33%) Mr Yeats		6 6/1(-33%)																															(6) Mr Yeats 6/1, Won a trio of handicap hurdles last season and has returned in good form this year, placed on all but one of his 5 starts since resuming at the end of May. Trip/ground no problem and likely to be on the premises once more. Three wins last year and in good form having finished 2nd on last three starts; chance.
3	3 3rd (3) (4/1 +27%) Judicial Law		4 4/1(+27%)																															(3) Judicial Law 4/1, Returned to form when winning a Worcester handicap in May and followed up at Huntingdon 15 days later. Failed in his hat-trick bid over 2¾m here (heavy) last month but that was still a creditable effort and he needs considering. Progressive; two wins on good ground in May; third on testing ground here latest; chance.
4	1 4th (1) (2.5/1 -25%) Aramax		2.5 2.5/1(-25%)																															(1) Aramax 2.5/1, Winner of the Fred Winter at the 2020 Cheltenham Festival and gained a first hurdle success since then when comfortably scoring over C&D in May. Followed up at (23.3f, good) since and, though up another 5 lb, he needs considering. Ex-Irish; has won last two (first wins for over two years); back up a total of 11lb.
5th	2 5th (2) (12/1 -50%) Francky Du Berlais		12 12/1(-50%)																															(2) Francky Du Berlais 12/1, Eye-catching third in a 21.4f handicap chase at Market Rasen in June and shaped better than the bare result over the same C&D next time. Resumes in this sphere on a potentially handy mark and couldn't rule out. Prolific winner; reverts to hurdles off a good mark after below-par chase run last time.
6th	7 6th (7) (9/1 +25%) Hoganville		9 9/1(+25%)																															(7) Hoganville 9/1, Has done well in handicap hurdles for this yard, scoring for a fourth time at Kelso (22.7f, good to soft) in May. Easy to forgive a rare below-par effort last time and he has to enter calculations. Kelso winner in May; may have needed the run when behind Mr Yeats last time; interesting.
5	5 |PU| (5) (9/1 -50%) Alqamar		9 9/1(-50%)																															(5) Alqamar 9/1, Completed a four-timer in 2021, with 3 wins here (all at 17.2f). Out of luck since and while he continues to slide down the weights (now 14 lb below last winning mark), others make more appeal. Not won since four-timer in 2021; three fair runs this year; could go well off good mark.
4	4 |PU| (4) (40/1 -60%) Dallas Des Pictons		40 40/1(-60%)																															(4) Dallas Des Pictons 40/1, Useful hurdler/chaser at his best but appears to be on the decline judged on what he's shown in 4 starts since returning from a break/wind op in March. Ex-Gordon Elliott; below par after a wind op this year; plenty to prove back from a break.

LTO Selection:

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17:36 Cartmel Handicap Hurdle (Class 2) 25f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.

Alqamar likes it at this venue with three wins to his name here but he has never been tried over this far, which has to be a big concern. With that in mind, it seems sensible to side with C&D winner ARAMAX, who arrives here unbeaten this season. Judicial Law ran well when third last month and will be better suited by this extended trip.

HOGANVILLE is pretty reliable on the whole, so it's probably safe to assume that his latest display at Stratford was simply a case of a 'bad day at the office'. He remains on a fair mark, 3 lb higher than for his Kelso success during the spring, and is taken to regain the winning thread here. Judicial Law and Mr Yeats are both in good form and merit respect, while the hat-trick seeking Aramax is another to consider.

This can go to JUDICIAL LAW, who won his first two races this term and ran creditably on unsuitably heavy ground last time.

17:36 Cartmel Handicap Hurdle (Class 2) 25f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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Racecard Key

Ths is the racecard key.

Icon	Meaning
	TomForm top stats, gold rated
	TomForm top stats silver rated
	Ran similar race before
S	TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out
T	Top Time speeed rated
	Top Racingpost rated
	At the races watchout for
	At the races top pick
	Top rated for thet statistic

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How to use Tomform

Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.

This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.

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