20:05 Chelmsford Handicap (Class 6) 14f - 12 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	12 1st (12) (28/1 -75%) Tradesman		28 28/1(-75%)																															(12) Tradesman 28/1, Maiden who ran one of his better races (in refitted blinkers) when third of 9 in minor event at Yarmouth (10f) in July. However, proved disappointing back in handicap company at Lingfield (10f, heavy) 19 days ago. Bounce back called for. It's possible to argue his best form came over C&D and he's 9lb lower now; none too solid.
2	9 2nd (9) (5.5/1 +66%) Team Endeavour		5.5 5.5/1(+66%)																															(9) Team Endeavour 5.5/1, Winner at Wetherby (2m) in June. 10/1, below form sixth of 10 in handicap at Nottingham (2m, heavy) 21 days ago, seemingly unsuited by the testing conditions. However, in good hands and he remains pretty low mileage as a stayer, so better showing distinctly possible. Upped from about 1m3f to 2m for narrow win at Wetherby in June; tailed off on heavy since.
3	8 3rd (8) (14/1 +0%) Trusty Scout		14 14/1(+0%)																															(8) Trusty Scout 14/1, Infrequent winner but comes here in decent nick, finishing close-up fourth in steadily-run handicap at Catterick (12f) 16 days ago. Can give another good account back on an artificial surface. Kempton 2nd in May and close 4th at Catterick latest; worth this first attempt beyond 1m4f.
4	1 4th (1) (8.5/1 +39%) Estrela Star		8.5 8.5/1(+39%)																															(1) Estrela Star 8.5/1, 3-time C&D winner. Eighth of 10 in handicap at Newbury (13.3f, good to firm, 50/1) 42 days ago. Cheekpieces back on and return to this track rates a plus. May have needed his only start this summer (50-1, turf) and he's well handicapped.
5th	2 5th (2) (3.5/1 +22%) Geelong		3.5 3.5/1(+22%)																															(2) Geelong 3.5/1, Fifteen runs since last win in 2021. Good second of 10 in handicap (5/1) at Kempton (12f) 8 days ago, clear of rest. Can go well. Down the weights and bang there on his last three starts; should be again.
6th	7 6th (7) (2.5/1 +50%) Socialist Agenda		2.5 2.5/1(+50%)																															(7) Socialist Agenda 2.5/1, Multiple bumper winner/fairly useful hurdler who, (strong in betting) wasn't seen to best effect making handicap debut in this sphere when fifth at Wolverhampton (14f) 3 weeks ago, running on without being ideally placed. Well worth another chance from this mark. Major flat patch before finishing close up on Flat handicap debut at Wolverhampton (1m6f).
7th	10 7th (10) (18/1 -157%) Buford		18 18/1(-157%)																															(10) Buford 18/1, On a lengthy losing run but he turned in best effort of the campaign (in first-time blinkers) when runner-up at Wolverhampton (14f) 3 weeks ago, tying up late on. Fancied to be thereabouts again if headgear has desired effect once more. Sole win (27 races) was August 2021 but he went close at Wolverhampton (1m6f, AW) latest.
8th	6 8th (6) (10/1 -122%) Steel Helmet		10 10/1(-122%)																															(6) Steel Helmet 10/1, Course winner. Latest win at Wolverhampton in June. 6/1, good second of 10 in handicap at Newcastle (16.2f) 26 days ago, ridden under 3f out and keeping on well. Thereabouts again in present groove for all his mark is creeping up. 1m6f wins at Wolverhampton this May and June; close call at Newcastle on latest start.
9th	3 9th (3) (10/1 -122%) Ask Peter		10 10/1(-122%)																															(3) Ask Peter 10/1, Improved on recent efforts to win 7-runner handicap (11/1) at Hamilton (12.1f, good to soft) 10 days ago, very much having run of race. More on his plate under a penalty. Hamilton (1m4f, soft) 10 days ago saw her off the mark at 14th attempt; comparable AW form.
10th	11 10th (11) (11/1 +0%) Foursome		11 11/1(+0%)																															(11) Foursome 11/1, Remains a maiden after 19 Flat runs. 11/2, creditable fourth of 12 in handicap at Leicester (11.8f, good) 35 days ago, effort under 3f out and plugging on. 19-race maiden; this is her first go on Polytrack; most 2023 form gives her a place squeak.
11th	13 11th (13) (150/1 -275%) Ulysses		150 150/1(-275%)																															(13) Ulysses 150/1, Ninth of 11 in handicap hurdle (25/1) at Worcester (23f, good to soft) 45 days ago. Poor on last Flat outing and he's hard to warm to. Both of his wins were over hurdles; no significant impact on the Flat in recent years.
12th	4 12th (4) (100/1 -400%) Desert Glory		100 100/1(-400%)																															(4) Desert Glory 100/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 150/1, first run since leaving James Tate/gelded finished well held last of 7 in minor event at Newmarket (12f, good) 27 days ago, racing off the pace and always behind. Switch to handicaps a plus at least now but others preferred. No solid claims but going handicapping is much more realistic.

LTO Selection:

20:05 Chelmsford Handicap (Class 6) 14f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.

Geelong is likely to be up there in the market after his clear second at Kempton last week, but he can be slowly into stride which could cause problems from stall one. Therefore, the vote instead goes to BUFORD, who had the aforementioned gelding and Socialist Agenda (fifth) behind when only narrowly denied in this grade last time at Wolverhampton. Ask Peter carries 5lb extra after her Hamilton success and she isn't out of it either.

SOCIALIST AGENDA wasn't seen to best effect when well backed and fifth making his handicap debut in this sphere at Wolverhampton 3 weeks ago, not ideally placed off a modest tempo, and he's worth chancing to take a step forward given his exploits in bumpers/over hurdles. Geelong is proving consistent and is feared, with Bath scorer Big Jimbo and Steel Helmet completing the shortlist.

20:05 Chelmsford Handicap (Class 6) 14f PREDICTION SIMULATION

20:35 Chelmsford Handicap (Class 6) 6f - 10 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	12 1st (12) (3.33/1 -33%) The Waiting Game		3.33 3.33/1(-33%)																															(12) The Waiting Game 3.33/1, Due Diligence filly who justified good support and relished the drop back to sprinting when winning C&D minor event 9 days ago, making all and winning readily. That was a thin race but that may not prove her limit at this sort of trip. Ran away with a classified event over C&D nine days ago, but harder to dominate this field.
2	13 2nd (13) (22/1 +45%) Starjik		22 22/1(+45%)																															(13) Starjik 22/1, C&D winner. Twelve runs since last win in 2022. Last of 13 in handicap (14/1) at Newcastle (7.1f) 55 days ago (reportedly bled). Something to find on form. 5lb lower than when winning over C&D last autumn; capable of making an impact on best form.
3	1 3rd (1) (20/1 -25%) Profit Given		20 20/1(-25%)																															(1) Profit Given 20/1, Maiden. 3½ lengths fifth of 6 to Fiscal Policy in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f, 11/1) 7 days ago, soon off bridle and unable to land a blow. Visor reached for now. Hasn't built on early promise since handicapping; visor goes on.
4	9 4th (9) (33/1 -371%) Big Time Maybe		33 33/1(-371%)																															(9) Big Time Maybe 33/1, Latest win at Brighton in May. Fourth of 6 in handicap (2/1) at Lingfield (5f, AW) 63 days ago, no extra last ½f. Likely he'll face competition on the front end here. Won over 6f at Wolverhampton a year ago but his other ten successes have been at 5f.
5th	10 5th (10) (12/1 +40%) Last Date		12 12/1(+40%)																															(10) Last Date 12/1, C&D winner. Fourteen runs since last win in 2021. Shaped as if better for the run on back of 12 months off when seventh of 15 in minor event at Leicester (6f, good, 8/1) 35 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Not taken lightly. All three wins have come here; should be better for recent return but may need 7f now.
6th	6 6th (6) (4/1 +33%) Mostallim		4 4/1(+33%)																															(6) Mostallim 4/1, C&D winner. Latest win here in July. 10/11, bit below form fourth of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 20 days ago, challenging widest of all and keeping on. Return to this trip won't inconvenience him. Twice beaten since easily winning a C&D apprentice handicap; new mark has now kicked in.
7th	5 7th (5) (5/1 -43%) Fiscal Policy		5 5/1(-43%)																															(5) Fiscal Policy 5/1, Course winner who is enjoying a good season and found a little more progress for fitting of blinkers when narrowly landing Wolverhampton apprentice handicap (6f) 7 days ago. Fancied to be thereabouts again from same mark. C&D winner who escapes a penalty for recent Wolverhampton success; shortlisted.
8th	8 8th (8) (18/1 +45%) Street Parade		18 18/1(+45%)																															(8) Street Parade 18/1, Course winner. 18/1, seventh of 9 in handicap at Salisbury (5f, good) 26 days ago, never on terms. Others make greater appeal. 1-18 on AW; 5lb below last winning mark, but looks best at 5f.
9th	3 9th (3) (10/1 +17%) Got No Dollars		10 10/1(+17%)																															(3) Got No Dollars 10/1, C&D winner. Thirteen runs since last win in 2022. Second of 4 in handicap (15/2) at Yarmouth (6f, good to firm) 14 days ago. Return to AW rates a likely plus and he's now 2 lb below his last winning mark. Dual C&D winner, but losing run is mounting up and he's drawn wider than ideal.
10th	4 10th (4) (3/1 +63%) Jungle Run		3 3/1(+63%)																															(4) Jungle Run 3/1, C&D winner. Latest win here in May. Eighth of 9 in handicap at Newmarket (6f, good to firm, 16/1) 20 days ago, weakening final 1f. Better showing anticipated returned to AW for all he's yet to defy a mark this high. Record over C&D reads 311, the two wins gained by healthy margins; much respected.

LTO Selection:

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20:35 Chelmsford Handicap (Class 6) 6f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.

The Waiting Game attracted strong market support over C&D last time, and she duly obliged by banging out of stall three and making all in a classified stakes event. She merits consideration again, but preference is for FISCAL POLICY, who just got up at the death at Wolverhampton last week and, providing the quick turnaround doesn't pose him any problems, he could be tough to stop. Oriental Spirit is another to note.

Having been strong in the betting, THE WAITING GAME justified good support when winning with a good deal to spare in a C&D minor event 9 days ago and she could just be worth chancing to build on that returned to handicaps under a penalty. Oriental Spirit is lurking on a dangerous mark and remains low-mileage on AW, so he's feared, with Mostallim and Fiscal Policy also in the mix.

20:35 Chelmsford Handicap (Class 6) 6f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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Racecard Key

Ths is the racecard key.

Icon	Meaning
	TomForm top stats, gold rated
	TomForm top stats silver rated
	Ran similar race before
S	TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out
T	Top Time speeed rated
	Top Racingpost rated
	At the races watchout for
	At the races top pick
	Top rated for thet statistic

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How to use Tomform

Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.

This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.

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