16:30 Down Royal 12f - 6 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	5 1st (5) (11/4 +61%) Vorfreude		2.75 11/4(+61%)																															(5) Vorfreude 11/4, Ideally suited by trip 2 1/4l third in a maiden over 12f at Leopardstown most recent run; up in trip; value selection based on balance of form Handicap debutant, consistent form in maidens, looks to be on a fair mark, don't discount.
2	7 2nd (7) (20/1 -43%) Winston Junior		20 20/1(-43%)																															(7) Winston Junior 20/1, Yard won this last year; appeared not to stay beaten 8l in a handicap over 10f at Fairyhouse last time; generally out of form; up in trip; bit to find Stayed on well on h'cap debut (1m2f), up in trip should suit, 5lb wrong but not discounted.
3	1 3rd (1) (6/5 +36%) Acapulco Bay		1.2 6/5(+36%)																															(1) Acapulco Bay 6/5, Yard has won 2 of last 5 runnings of race; did not get a clear run 3 1/2l third in King George V Cup (Listed) over 12f at Leopardstown most recent run; up in trip; threat Maiden winner last year, not beaten far in Listed latest, makes handicap debut, go well.
4	4 4th (4) (7/2 +42%) Kilmeaden		3.5 7/2(+42%)																															(4) Kilmeaden 7/2, Fourth beaten 10l in a maiden at Tipperary latest; the pick on balance of form Handicap debutant, form of 1m5f Ballinrobe second boosted at Ascot, very interesting.
5th	6 5th (6) (22/1 -57%) Sunriseontheboyne		22 22/1(-57%)																															(6) Sunriseontheboyne 22/1, Scored by a short-head off 74 over 10f at Navan penultimate start; fourth beaten 5l off 79 last time; up in trip; needs to improve Hardy sort, has won three this season at 7f-1m2f, stamina a worry and 1lb wrong.
6th	3 6th (3) (11/2 +21%) Mocking		5.5 11/2(+21%)																															(3) Mocking 11/2, Ran to form second beaten 7 1/2l in a maiden over 10f at Roscommon latest; trainer in form; up in trip; outside chance 0-6, raised 8lb for last three runs without winning but rider claims 7lb, place chance.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

In theory, Acapulco Bay should find this easier than the Group 3 and Listed races he has contested, but he must concede weight to some unexposed rivals. Precious little separated Glen To Glen and Mocking at Leopardstown back in March, although the former is also engaged at Royal Ascot. Vorfreude has kept good company in maidens, but so has KILMEADEN and his excellent Ballinrobe second to Wednesday's Queen's Vase hero Carmers means he could be really well treated off 85.

KILMEADEN gets the nod. His 1.25l second behind Queen's Vase winner Carmers at Ballinrobe suggests he could be very well treated off 85

16:30 Down Royal 12f PREDICTION SIMULATION

17:10 Down Royal 12f - 14 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	1 1st (1) (3/1 +25%) Billie Frechette		3 3/1(+25%)																															(1) Billie Frechette 3/1, Ran to form scored by a neck off 55 over 2m at Dundalk three starts back; suited by the ground, mark up second beaten 3/4l off 107 last time over hurdles; down in trip; significant jockey booking; strong claims Won on AW off 55 in March; pleasing second over hurdles last time; leading candidate.
2	10 2nd (10) (11/8 +27%) Arcland		1.375 11/8(+27%)																															(10) Arcland 11/8, Well backed when landing a handicap by 3/4l off 40 at Navan last time; trainer in form; in the mix if getting stiff test Second over hurdles before winning over 1m5f at Navan for Cromwell; up 7lb but good chance.
3	4 3rd (4) (13/2 +35%) Jarvis Brook		6.5 13/2(+35%)																															(4) Jarvis Brook 13/2, Probably needed race down the field in a handicap over 8f at Gowran Park most recent; in good form over hurdles; longer trip a plus; each way claims Well-backed on seasonal return but well beaten; may come on from that but needs more.
4	6 4th (6) (8/1 -14%) Steps In The Sand		8 8/1(-14%)																															(6) Steps In The Sand 8/1, Ran to form beaten 4l in a handicap at Navan last time; generally out of form over hurdles prior; significant jockey booking; on fair mark; place claims Good run back on the Flat when 4l behind Arcland recently; poor over hurdles previously.
5th	8 5th (8) (33/1 +18%) Jazzy Rock		33 33/1(+18%)																															(8) Jazzy Rock 33/1, Below par down the field in a handicap over 12f at Galway most recent; in good form prior; absent for very lengthy period; up in trip; wants easier ground Absent since poor run at Galway in 2023; good second prior to that; best form on soft.
6th	15 6th (15) (20/1 +20%) Highland Bells		20 20/1(+20%)																															(15) Highland Bells 20/1, Below par down the field in a handicap at Navan most recent; out of form; opposed First reserve; unsighted in last place behind Arcland most recently; needs more.
7th	12 7th (12) (9/1 -20%) You Make Me Smile		9 9/1(-20%)																															(12) You Make Me Smile 9/1, Something in hand scored by 3l off 74 over 2m1f at Clonmel three starts back; fifth beaten 5l off 47 last time; down in trip; in good form in both codes; chance Winner on penultimate start; upped in trip and not a bad fifth last time; up 6lb since win.
8th	14 8th (14) (25/1 -56%) Applejack Poet		25 25/1(-56%)																															(14) Applejack Poet 25/1, Every chance, bit below form 23l third in a handicap hurdle over 2m at Tramore most recent run; not proven trip; beaten by well treated rival last time; unexposed in this sphere; very interesting Sole win came over hurdles two years ago; runs on the Flat nothing to shout about.
9th	2 9th (2) (80/1 -142%) Guest Star		80 80/1(-142%)																															(2) Guest Star 80/1, Yard won this last year; hampered early, never competitive down the field in a handicap hurdle over 2m2f at Sligo most recent; usually held up; not proven trip; must bounce back on flat return Sole win came at Dundalk in January; poor runs in handicaps and over hurdles since.
10th	5 10th (5) (12/1 -20%) Jawhary		12 12/1(-20%)																															(5) Jawhary 12/1, Ran to form beaten 3l off 53 over 10f at Fairyhouse last time; up in trip; threat but long losing run a concern Likely on a workable mark after staying on for third last time; return to 1m5f should suit.
11th	3 11th (3) (40/1 +20%) Stormy Jenn		40 40/1(+20%)																															(3) Stormy Jenn 40/1, Below par beaten 8 1/4l in a handicap over 10f at Fairyhouse last time; generally out of form; not proven trip; form going the wrong way in both codes Dual-purpose mare out of form in both codes; finished well behind Jawhary on recent start.
12th	7 12th (7) (66/1 -313%) Gregorina		66 66/1(-313%)																															(7) Gregorina 66/1, Probably needed race down the field in a handicap over 10f at Fairyhouse most recent; generally out of form; up in trip; easy to look elsewhere Last win off 4lb higher in 2024 but has shown little since then; needs to bounce back.
13th	9 13th (9) (66/1 -32%) Tiffany Mae		66 66/1(-32%)																															(9) Tiffany Mae 66/1, Down the field in a maiden hurdle over 2m1f at Clonmel most recent; generally out of form; cheekpieces first time; not proven trip; readily opposed Fourth last year from 13lb higher mark pick of form; poor on AW and over hurdles recently.
14th	13 14th (13) (25/1 -79%) Lightning Legs		25 25/1(-79%)																															(13) Lightning Legs 25/1, Probably needed race down the field in a handicap at Navan most recent; inconsistent; basement mark not enough to recommend Returned from break when 11l behind Arcland recently; low mileage and entitled to improve.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

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ARCLAND has been a revelation since joining the Gavin Cromwell yard and a 7lb rise for his most recent success at Navan over slightly further may not be enough to prevent him from going in again. Four lengths behind him on that occasion was Steps In The Sand (fifth), who is also open to more improvement with Shane Foley an eye-catching booking. A highly creditable third over shorter at Fairyhouse last time out, Jawhary could relish going back up in trip, while Billie Frechette has been a consistent sort of late under both codes.

JAWHARY has been dropping down the handicap and showed signs he may be capable of exploiting his mark when third recently

17:10 Down Royal 12f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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17:40 Down Royal 12f - 6 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	6 1st (6) (13/8 +64%) Light Up The Dark		1.625 13/8(+64%)																															(6) Light Up The Dark 13/8, Below par well beaten in a maiden at Tipperary latest; top course trainer; much more to come judged on Listed bumper win; probably one for handicaps 2-2 in bumpers on sft-hvy (incl' Listed), no show in two Flat starts, may need it softer.
2	2 2nd (2) (11/1 -120%) Boxing Great		11 11/1(-120%)																															(2) Boxing Great 11/1, Improved from debut fourth beaten 2l in a maiden over 11f at Dundalk latest; returning from long layoff; tongue-tie first time; step up in trip a plus; contender Promise both starts for former yard, lacks a recent run, tongue tie goes on, watch market.
3	3 3rd (3) (5/2 +29%) First Ascent		2.5 5/2(+29%)																															(3) First Ascent 5/2, Ran to form second beaten a nose in a maiden over 10f here latest beating useful bumper performer; steadily progressive; up in trip; can get off the mark Improved for each run, narrowly denied here over 10.5f latest, go close if he stays.
4	1 4th (1) (15/2 -114%) Arctic Bresil		7.5 15/2(-114%)																															(1) Arctic Bresil 15/2, Yard won this last year; may have found ground a bit quick comfortably held in the Rated Hurdle over 2m1f at Wexford last time; generally out of form; back in trip; useful jumper at best but best watched on flat debut Lost form over jumps, 8yo now makes belated Flat debut, has stamina but others preferred.
5th	4 5th (4) (8/1 +20%) Astelia		8 8/1(+20%)																															(4) Astelia 8/1, Second beaten 5l in a maiden hurdle over 2m at Listowel latest; inconsistent; not proven trip; squeak Promise in 2022, decent hurdles run after layoff, go well if this doesn't come too soon.
6th	7 6th (7) (9/2 -13%) Stariam		4.5 9/2(-13%)																															(7) Stariam 9/2, Well treated at weights a length third in a handicap over 12f at Roscommon most recent run; back to form that day; may contend Front runner, second in this last year, beaten off 69 in h'cap after break, place chance.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

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First Ascent showed a good attitude when just touched off here on his third career start and is entitled to be in the mix once again. However, it wouldn't be a huge surprise if the fifth from that contest, COLPE CROSS, proved capable of reversing the form. The daughter of Le Havre finished her race off well on that debut and the step up in trip should yield improvement. Boxing Great and Arctic Bresil head the remainder.

COLPE CROSS wasn't that far behind First Ascent on her debut and she may be able to reverse that form over this longer trip

17:40 Down Royal 12f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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Racecard Key

Ths is the racecard key.

Icon	Meaning
	TomForm top stats, gold rated
	TomForm top stats silver rated
	Ran similar race before
S	TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out
T	Top Time speeed rated
	Top Racingpost rated
	At the races watchout for
	At the races top pick
	Top rated for thet statistic

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How to use Tomform

Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.

This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.

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About U.K Horse Racing

Horse racing is a popular and historic sport in the UK, with a tradition dating back centuries. It is a multi-billion pound industry that attracts millions of spectators each year and generates significant economic activity.

There are two main types of horse racing in the UK: flat racing and jump racing. Flat racing is run on a level course and is typically shorter in distance, while jump racing involves horses jumping over obstacles and is generally longer in distance. Both types of racing are popular with spectators and bettors, and they take place at various racetracks throughout the country.

The most famous horse racing event in the UK is the Grand National, which is held annually at Aintree Racecourse in Liverpool. It is a jump racing event that is known for its challenging course and has become a national institution in the UK. Other notable horse racing events in the UK include the Derby, held at Epsom Downs Racecourse in Surrey, and the Royal Ascot, held at Ascot Racecourse in Berkshire.

Horse racing in the UK is regulated by the British Horseracing Authority (BHA), which sets rules and standards for the industry. It is responsible for the welfare of racehorses and the safety of jockeys and trainers, as well as ensuring fair and transparent racing practices.

In addition to its economic and cultural importance, horse racing in the UK also plays a significant role in the breeding and training of thoroughbred horses. Many of the world's top thoroughbreds are bred and trained in the UK, and the industry plays a vital role in the preservation and promotion of the breed.

Overall, horse racing is an integral part of British culture and a major contributor to the country's economy. It is a thrilling and exciting sport that continues to attract a loyal following and generate significant interest from spectators and bettors around the world.

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