16:25 Kelso Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 21f - 11 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	7 1st (7) (16/5 +64%) Rickety Gate		3.2 16/5(+64%)																															(7) Rickety Gate 16/5, C&D winner. Failed to stay over 3m2f when eighth of 9 in handicap hurdle at Perth in May so not ruled out back down in trip off a 4 lb lower mark. Merely eighth in the spring on last two starts but can go well fresh and won this in 2022.
2	10 2nd (10) (9/1 +78%) Swift Reply		9 9/1(+78%)																															(10) Swift Reply 9/1, Low-mileage maiden who came in only seventh of 11 in handicap hurdle at Perth (20.2f, soft) 11 days ago. Needs to take a big step forward. 50-1 runner-up at Sedgefield in January but form has gone the wrong way since.
3	4 3rd (4) (5/1 -43%) Theirshegoes		5 5/1(-43%)																															(4) Theirshegoes 5/1, Resumed with 2m Uttoxeter win in June but unseated rider 4 out there 52 days ago. Still enters calculations. Won over 2m at Uttoxeter in June; there can be hope she'll be fine now back up in trip.
4	2 4th (2) (7/1 -56%) Malangen		7 7/1(-56%)																															(2) Malangen 7/1, Scored at Hexham in June and holding her form well since, fifth of 9 in handicap hurdle at Perth (20.2f, soft) 11 days ago. Needs considering once more. Won in June and now just 1lb higher; didn't run badly last month; might not be far away.
5th	3 5th (3) (22/1 -57%) Be The Difference		22 22/1(-57%)																															(3) Be The Difference 22/1, A fair hurdles winner in 2021. Absent for 26 months prior to the current season and well below par both starts at Perth and Cartmel. Needs a big step forward. Check betting on third start back from long absence but others have less to prove.
6th	1 6th (1) (2/1 0%) O'grady's Hill		2 2/1(0%)																															(1) O'grady's Hill 2/1, Successful in a point in April and has shaped with promise both starts over hurdles when runner-up at Market Rasen and Uttoxeter. Interesting now going back up in trip on her handicap debut. Point winner; runner-up on all three rules starts; could have part to play on h'cap debut.
7th	11 7th (11) (80/1 -300%) Luminaries		80 80/1(-300%)																															(11) Luminaries 80/1, Little impact in various events over hurdles, cheekpieces tried when ninth at Perth (3m) in July on his final run for Neil Mulholland. Since undergone breathing surgery and significantly more is needed for his new handler. 0-9; has had wind op prior to this stable debut and a transformation is needed.
8th	5 8th (5) (11/1 -10%) Iwa		11 11/1(-10%)																															(5) Iwa 11/1, Fair hurdler/chaser in France but failed to match that form in two hurdling/chasing runs for Rose Dobbin. Needs this yard switch and subsequent wind op to spark major improvement. Yet to shine in Britain but has had wind op since last time and he won twice in France.
9	9 |F| (9) (5/1 +23%) Nastasiya		5 5/1(+23%)																															(9) Nastasiya 5/1, Remains without a win but she comes here in decent nick, fourth of 7 in handicap hurdle at Perth (23.9f, soft) 10 days ago. Ought to be in th shake-up. Went close in August 2023 but hasn't threatened on last three runs and is now 0-26.
6	6 |F| (6) (25/1 +0%) Carrarea		25 25/1(+0%)																															(6) Carrarea 25/1, On a long losing run and only eighth of 12 in handicap hurdle at Sedgefield (19.8f, good) 13 days ago. Cheekpieces are reached for now. Continues to drop down the weights but needs to raise his game in first-time cheekpieces.
8	8 |PU| (8) (22/1 +12%) Darkest Day		22 22/1(+12%)																															(8) Darkest Day 22/1, C&D winner but he arrives out of sorts, twelfth of 14 in handicap hurdle here (18.1f, good) 18 days ago. Others appeal more. Good second at Perth in June but well beaten on his last three outings.

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16:25 Kelso Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 21f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

O'GRADY'S HILL has filled the runner-up berth on all three outings under Rules and an opening mark of 99 looks workable. Harry Derham's mare will appreciate the rise in distance and she is expected be fresh following an 81-day break. Theirshegoes appeared to be finding her feet when opening her account at Uttoxeter in June and although subsequently unseating her rider at that same venue, it shouldn't prevent a prominent showing. Market support for stable debutant Iwa on this return to hurdling would be interesting.

Lots with chances. O'GRADY'S HILL is fancied to build on previous promise now stepping into handicap company for the first time and gain a first win under Rules. The consistent Malangen could emerge as the main danger to Harry Derham's mare, with the handily-weighted Rickety Gate and in-form maiden Nastasiya also in the picture.

This can go to THEIRSHEGOES, who won at Uttoxeter in June on her last completed start. O'Grady's Hill is second choice.

16:25 Kelso Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 21f PREDICTION SIMULATION

17:00 Kelso Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 21f  - 11 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	4 1st (4) (10/3 -21%) Double Powerful		3.333333 10/3(-21%)																															(4) Double Powerful 10/3, Lightly raced 5yo who hit a steep upward curve towards the end of last season, signing off with two ready successes. Returns with his yard in excellent form, so worth a chance to complete the hat-trick. Up another 10lb but he looked capable of better when winning his last two starts last term.
2	5 2nd (5) (25/1 +0%) Starlyte		25 25/1(+0%)																															(5) Starlyte 25/1, On a losing run and has pulled up on her last 3 starts. Bounce back needed. 2-24 over hurdles, both wins in 2022; second in June but pulled up all three starts since.
3	3 3rd (3) (4/1 -14%) Summergrounds		4 4/1(-14%)																															(3) Summergrounds 4/1, Winner in hurdle at Market Rasen in May. Has posted a couple of creditable efforts since and is likely to be on the premises again. Won in May and creditable places both starts since; considered.
4	2 4th (2) (9/1 -125%) Dalileo		9 9/1(-125%)																															(2) Dalileo 9/1, Added to an excellent course record when second of 10 in handicap hurdle at Perth (20.2f, soft) 11 days ago, travelling with purpose. His chance doesn't look to be too far away. Running creditably at Perth this summer; respectable 4th of six in division of this 2023.
5th	6 5th (6) (22/1 -120%) Bathgate		22 22/1(-120%)																															(6) Bathgate 22/1, Offered little in bumpers but more promising signs when reaching the frame in a couple of maiden hurdles for Tom Weston this spring. Probably needed the run on both outings for this yard and he's still unexposed. Down the field for yard in handicaps at Cartmel (2m1f; 33-1) and Stratford (2m2f; 22-1).
6th	9 6th (9) (10/1 -43%) Iolani		10 10/1(-43%)																															(9) Iolani 10/1, Veteran who scored at Cartmel in May and arrives on the back of a couple of respectable efforts. Others look better treated, though. Veteran; second here on penultimate outing shows he must still be considered.
7th	8 7th (8) (5/1 +50%) Pooch		5 5/1(+50%)																															(8) Pooch 5/1, First run since leaving Harriet Dickin when respectable ninth of 16 in handicap hurdle (14/1) at Stratford (22f, good) 40 days ago. May do better for this yard and can't be dismissed. Second run for this yard and after wind surgery; none of his form matches up to this mark.
7	7 |PU| (7) (7/2 +83%) Captain Marco		3.5 7/2(+83%)																															(7) Captain Marco 7/2, Has merely hinted at ability thus far, down the field when last seen at Exeter five months ago for Mitchell Hunt. Hard to make a solid case for unless the market speaks in his favour. Heavy defeats over hurdles all five starts for Mitchell Hunt; back down in trip on return.
1	1 |PU| (1) (14/1 -40%) Looking Splendid		14 14/1(-40%)																															(1) Looking Splendid 14/1, Didn't show much in bumpers but there have been signs of ability over hurdles and he could do better switched to handicaps after 5 months off. No better than fifth after three bumpers and three runs at about this trip over hurdles.
10	10 |PU| (10) (22/1 -120%) Local Drama		22 22/1(-120%)																															(10) Local Drama 22/1, Runner-up on the second of his 2 starts so, while he's showed next to nothing under Rules, he's worth a market check on handicap debut after 8 months off. Nothing solid to recommend him but very early days and he needs a check on handicap debut.
11	11 |PU| (11) (150/1 -127%) Ivynator		150 150/1(-127%)																															(11) Ivynator 150/1, One-time fairly useful Flat performer but yet to get anywhere near that form over hurdles. Hard to make any sort of case for. Fair AW Flat winner but that was nearly four years ago; out of form this year.

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17:00 Kelso Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 21f  Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

Double Powerful scored with something up his sleeve when completing a brace at Market Rasen in March. A 10lb hike in the ratings shouldn't prevent another bold bid from the five-year-old but, at the forecast prices, it could be worth taking a punt on CAPTAIN MARCO. Tim Vaughan's new recruit makes the long journey north and he looks just the type to benefit from a summer on his back. Summergrounds and Dalileo are also noted.

DOUBLE POWERFUL was improving fast when last seen and he comes back from 6 months off for an in-form stable, so he's preferred to Dalileo, who ran with credit at Perth recently. Summergrounds is also likely to give a good account.

The most likely winner on 2024 evidence appears to be DOUBLE POWERFUL and the most likely to chase him home is Summergrounds.

17:00 Kelso Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 21f  PREDICTION SIMULATION

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Racecard Key

Ths is the racecard key.

Icon	Meaning
	TomForm top stats, gold rated
	TomForm top stats silver rated
	Ran similar race before
S	TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out
T	Top Time speeed rated
	Top Racingpost rated
	At the races watchout for
	At the races top pick
	Top rated for thet statistic

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How to use Tomform

Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.

This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.

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