13:42 Naas Maiden Hurdle 20f - 7 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	7 1st (7) (16/1 +52%) Readin Tommy Wrong		16 16/1(+52%)																															(7) Readin Tommy Wrong 16/1, Authorized gelding who was 2-2 in bumpers and though made to work harder, maintained his 100% record when successful in a Cork maiden on hurdles debut in November. Step up to 2½m ought to suit on pedigree and very good prospect for all this rates a whole lot tougher. Winner of two bumpers and a maiden hurdle but stable appears to have stronger candidates.
2	5 2nd (5) (6/4 +14%) Ile Atlantique		1.5 6/4(+14%)																															(5) Ile Atlantique 6/4, Promising type. Career best when winning 15-runner novice hurdle at Gowran (16f, heavy, 4/9) on hurdles bow 62 days ago, soon clear. Up in trip and worth considering with good deal more expected. Second to Firefox in a bumper, looked a top prospect on hurdling return, stable selected.
3	6 3rd (6) (14/1 +13%) Lecky Watson		14 14/1(+13%)																															(6) Lecky Watson 14/1, Useful bumper performer who tasted success on hurdles bow at Thurles (23f) in November and built considerably on that when second in Navan Grade 2 (20f, heavy) 5 weeks ago, keeping on despite taking a strong hold. Type to do better again. Jumping was untidy when second to a stablemate of An Tobar in 2m4f Grade 2 event at Navan.
4	4 4th (4) (15/8 -7%) Firefox		1.875 15/8(-7%)																															(4) Firefox 15/8, Useful, 3-time winner in bumpers who impressed on all fronts when making a successful switch to hurdling at Fairyhouse last month, jumping/travelling well and always having matters in hand. Well worth his place at this higher level and leading claims up in trip. Three bumper wins including defeat of Ile Atlantique, impressive maiden hurdle winner.
5th	1 5th (1) (8/1 -33%) An Tobar		8 8/1(-33%)																															(1) An Tobar 8/1, Twice-raced winner over hurdles. 5/2, 2¾ lengths third of 8 to Farren Glory in Royal Bond Novices' Hurdle at Fairyhouse (16f, soft) 40 days ago. Up in trip. Should progress. Failed to quicken when third in the Royal Bond, form is solid, extra half-mile should suit.
6th	2 6th (2) (11/1 -22%) Chapeau De Soleil		11 11/1(-22%)																															(2) Chapeau De Soleil 11/1, Promise in 2 starts in bumpers and had little fuss landing 17-runner novice at Clonmel (19.1f, heavy, 4/6) on hurdles bow 36 days ago, cruising clear. Open to significant progress. Made all under today's rider to beat modest opposition readily at Clonmel, unexposed.
7th	3 7th (3) (14/1 -27%) Croke Park		14 14/1(-27%)																															(3) Croke Park 14/1, Runner-up only start in bumpers and he arrives here having made it 2-2 over hurdles when landing 6-runner Grade 3 Monksfield Novices' Hurdle at Navan (20f, heavy, 4/6) 49 days ago by 3¼ lengths from Mel Monroe. Jumped soundly then and possibilities upped further in class. Was suited by the step up to 2m4f when landing Grade 3 Navan event, Firefox appeals more.

LTO Selection:

AN TOBAR should appreciate this extra half-mile. He won a point-to-point in runaway fashion for Denis Murphy but there was a lengthy gap before appearing on the track to take a Fairyhouse maiden hurdle in fine style. Henry de Bromhead's charge was far from disgraced when third in the Grade 1 Royal Bond at the same venue and the form of that race has been advertised since. Firefox beat Ile Atlantique in a bumper at the Fairyhouse Easter Meeting and the pair have both impressed in maiden hurdle wins this season. Riding arrangements suggest they are the stable's preferred, although Croke Park has a Grade 3 success to his name over this trip at Navan, while the remaining Mullins trio also merit plenty of respect.

FIREFOX, a useful 3-time winner in bumpers, marked himself down as one more than capable of making his mark at this level when successful on hurdles bow at Fairyhouse 6 weeks ago and earns the vote now upped in trip. Ile Atlantique, a similarly exciting prospect, may well emerge as the chief threat following his facile hurdles debut victory at Gowran. Croke Park could do best of the others in a race very much one to note.

Gordon Elliort's FIREFOX gets the vote to uphold last season's bumper form with Ile Atlantique, the pick of the Mullins runners

13:42 Naas Maiden Hurdle 20f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:12 Naas Maiden Hurdle 16f - 25 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	16 1st (16) (2/9 +58%) Tullyhill		0.222222 2/9(+58%)																															(16) Tullyhill 2/9, Smart winner at 18f in bumpers. Promising second of 5 in novice hurdle at Punchestown (22f, soft, 1/8) on hurdles bow 47 days ago. Trainer going well. Has lots more to offer and is hard to oppose. One of last season's top bumper horses, fancied to make amends for Punchestown lapse.
2	9 2nd (9) (10/1 -150%) Lightkeeper		10 10/1(-150%)																															(9) Lightkeeper 10/1, €68,000 3-y-o, £25,000 5-y-o, Walk In The Park gelding. Dam (c133/h120), 17f-2½m hurdle/chase winner (stayed 4m), closely related to fairly useful hurdler/chaser (stayed 25f) Victoria Bay. Runner-up on last of 3 starts in points (Apr 2023). Considered newcomer. Demoted after a point win, will need to raise his game to trouble Tullyhill.
3	17 3rd (17) (20/1 -82%) Union Station		20 20/1(-82%)																															(17) Union Station 20/1, Leading Light gelding. Half-brother to 3 winners, including smart hurdler/chaser Ok Corral and untrustworthy but fairly useful hurdler/chaser Breaking Waves. Interesting newcomer. Half-brother to winners including the very useful OK Corral, dam is a sister to Tidal Bay.
4	23 4th (23) (18/1 +36%) Stoneyford Lady		18 18/1(+36%)																															(23) Stoneyford Lady 18/1, Valirann mare. Half-sister to useful hurdler/top-class chaser Captain Guinness and useful hurdler Brookie. Shortlisted. Of automatic interest as a half-sister to the trainer's talented chaser Captain Guinness.
5th	24 5th (24) (15/2 +66%) The Great Unknown		7.5 15/2(+66%)																															(24) The Great Unknown 15/2, Promising sort. 20/1, fifth of 26 in novice hurdle at Navan (16f, heavy) on NH debut 34 days ago. Open to improvement. Fifth in a 26-runner maiden at Navan, should improve enough to get into the money.
6th	10 6th (10) (9/1 +18%) Master Otis		9 9/1(+18%)																															(10) Master Otis 9/1, Fair hurdler. 66/1, tenth of 28 in novice hurdle at Leopardstown (16f, good to soft) on hurdles bow 17 days ago. Needs to bounce back. Became disappointing in bumpers, should improve from his recent hurdling debut.
7th	5 7th (5) (50/1 -317%) Howdoyalikeherhome		50 50/1(-317%)																															(5) Howdoyalikeherhome 50/1, Lightly-raced maiden under NH rules. Good second of 10 in novice hurdle at this course (19f, soft, 80/1) 29 days ago. In the mix. Showed massive improvement when second here last month but this is a stronger race.
8th	22 8th (22) (50/1 -25%) Stagecoach Mary		50 50/1(-25%)																															(22) Stagecoach Mary 50/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 9/1 and hooded for 1st time, first run since leaving Ian Patrick Donoghue when fifth of 16 in bumper at Thurles (15.9f, good to soft) 26 days ago. Much respected on her hurdles debut. Second on the first of three bumper runs, has ability but this is a tough introduction.
9th	7 9th (7) (200/1 -60%) John The Diva		200 200/1(-60%)																															(7) John The Diva 200/1, Once-raced maiden. Twelfth of 15 in novice hurdle (50/1) at Limerick (16f, heavy) on NH debut 15 days ago. Placed in a point in 2021, tailed off on hurdling debut at Limerick 15 days ago.
10th	21 10th (21) (25/1 +75%) Mythical Vision		25 25/1(+75%)																															(21) Mythical Vision 25/1, Once-raced maiden. Eighth of 25 in novice hurdle at Navan (16f, heavy, 40/1) on NH debut 34 days ago. Should have more to offer. Remote eighth in a 25-runner Navan maiden won by the smart Caldwell Potter, can improve.
11th	25 11th (25) (150/1 -20%) You Make Me Smile		150 150/1(-20%)																															(25) You Make Me Smile 150/1, 300/1, tenth of 14 in novice hurdle at Tramore (16.8f, heavy) 11 days ago. Limited on the Flat and in bumpers, has struggled in two outings over hurdles..
12th	2 12th (2) (250/1 +0%) Ebony Jade		250 250/1(+0%)																															(2) Ebony Jade 250/1, Thrice-raced maiden under NH rules. 200/1, twenty second of 25 in novice hurdle at Navan (16f, heavy) 34 days ago. Fourth in a six-runner bumper, tailed off in two maiden hurdle outings, safe to rule out.
13th	6 13th (6) (200/1 -60%) Irish Impulse		200 200/1(-60%)																															(6) Irish Impulse 200/1, Twice-raced maiden. 250/1, ninth of 24 in novice hurdle at Cork (16.8f, heavy) 33 days ago. Not disgraced in ninth in a 24-runner maiden at Cork last month, will need more experience.
14th	8 14th (8) (200/1 -150%) Lake Manzaleh		200 200/1(-150%)																															(8) Lake Manzaleh 200/1, Lightly-raced maiden under NH rules. 66/1, sixth of 9 in novice hurdle at Tramore (16f, heavy) on hurdles bow 92 days ago. First run for yard after leaving John Joseph Hanlon. Poor form in bumpers and a maiden hurdle for Shark Hanlon, tongue-tie now on stable debut.
15th	14 15th (14) (250/1 +0%) Tell Us This		250 250/1(+0%)																															(14) Tell Us This 250/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 200/1, thirteenth of 26 in novice hurdle at Navan (16f, heavy) 34 days ago. Room for improvement in his jumping, will be of more interest in handicaps in due course.
16th	20 16th (20) (250/1 +0%) Gentle Anna		250 250/1(+0%)																															(20) Gentle Anna 250/1, Twice-raced maiden. Twentieth of 24 in novice hurdle at Cork (16.8f, heavy, 200/1) 33 days ago. Promise in point-to-points for Colin Bowe, has struggled in two Cork maiden hurdle outings.
17th	12 17th (12) (50/1 -355%) Spellacy's Cross		50 50/1(-355%)																															(12) Spellacy's Cross 50/1, €75,000 3-y-o, Doyen gelding. Brother to useful multiple bumper winner Rapid Escape, and closely related to fairly useful hurdler/chaser Nicolas Chauvin. Brother to smart three-time bumper winner Rapid Escape, two ordinary runs in points.
18th	15 18th (15) (250/1 +0%) The Striker Dylan		250 250/1(+0%)																															(15) The Striker Dylan 250/1, €85,000 3-y-o, Affinisea gelding. Brother to bumper winner Just For Love. Dam unraced sister to ungenuine but very smart hurdler/top-class chaser (stayed 25f) Outlander. Market can guide. Brother to Just For Love a debut bumper winner for Willie Mullins, excellent pedigree.
19th	11 19th (11) (200/1 -150%) Royal Time		200 200/1(-150%)																															(11) Royal Time 200/1, Twice-raced maiden. Twenty second of 26 in novice hurdle at Navan (16f, heavy, 250/1) 34 days ago. Struggled on Down Royal debut and in a Navan event in which The Great Unknown was fifth.
20th	18 20th (18) (200/1 -60%) Ask Cillian		200 200/1(-60%)																															(18) Ask Cillian 200/1, Twice-raced maiden. Fourteenth of 23 in novice hurdle (150/1) at Leopardstown (16f, good to soft) 17 days ago. Unlikely to be good enough judged on outings at Cork and Leopardstown in recent months.
21st	4 21st (4) (250/1 +0%) Hatfield Hammer		250 250/1(+0%)																															(4) Hatfield Hammer 250/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 200/1, sixteenth of 18 in novice hurdle at Limerick (16f, heavy) 17 days ago. Soundly beaten in three runs over hurdles so far, makes no appeal here.
22nd	3 22nd (3) (200/1 +20%) Fernhill Fling		200 200/1(+20%)																															(3) Fernhill Fling 200/1, Thrice-raced maiden under NH rules. 150/1, twelfth of 18 in novice hurdle at Limerick (16f, heavy) 17 days ago. Mid-division in a Thurles bumper, no threat in two maiden hurdle outings; will need a mark.
23rd	13 23rd (13) (100/1 -150%) Supreme Authority		100 100/1(-150%)																															(13) Supreme Authority 100/1, Twice-raced maiden. 14/1, ninth of 14 in novice hurdle at Ayr (16f, heavy) 10 days ago. Two runs in recent weeks simply that he will struggle to make any impression here.
24th	1 24th (1) (250/1 +0%) Boston Bongo		250 250/1(+0%)																															(1) Boston Bongo 250/1, Modest maiden on the Flat, making GB/IRE jumps debut. 28/1, tenth of 12 in handicap at Bellewstown (12.1f, heavy). Modest form in four outings on the Flat, has a good German Flat pedigree, best watched.
25th	19 25th (19) (80/1 -100%) Eire Comes Tribsy		80 80/1(-100%)																															(19) Eire Comes Tribsy 80/1, Promising type. 10/3, tenth of 14 in novice hurdle at Tipperary (16f, good) on NH debut. Off 7 months. First run for yard after leaving Mrs Lorna Fowler. Likely to improve. Ran poorly at Tipperary last May when well fancied on only start for his previous trainer.

LTO Selection:

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TULLYHILL looks to have found a good opportunity to open his account over hurdles. The Martaline gelding followed up an easy bumper win at Gowran last spring by finishing second to A Dream To Share in the Grade 1 Champion bumper at the Punchestown Festival. His jumping was far from polished when long odds-on for a maiden hurdle at the same venue on his reappearance in November and hopefully he will have improved since. The Great Unknown indicated ability when fifth to Jigoro in a 26-runner Navan maiden hurdle last month, while Lightkeeper was first past the post between the flags and represents Gordon Elliott. Master Otis was runner-up twice in bumpers and far from disgraced when switched to hurdles at the Leopardstown Christmas meeting.

TULLYHILL had some smart form to his name in bumpers and rates a confident choice to build on his promising hurdling debut second at Punchestown and get off the mark in this sphere. The Great Unknown appeals as the one to chase home Willie Mullins' good prospect ahead of hurdling-newcomer Lightkeeper.

A talented bumper horse last season, TULLYHILL can atone for his unexpected defeat on hurdling debut.

14:12 Naas Maiden Hurdle 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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14:42 Naas Handicap Hurdle 16f - 21 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	14 1st (14) (11/1 +56%) Simply Shabra		11 11/1(+56%)																															(14) Simply Shabra 11/1, Remains a maiden after 18 NH runs. 28/1, twelfth of 19 in handicap hurdle at Down Royal (17f, soft) 17 days ago. Winless over hurdles and no encouraging signs from his last five runs; makes little appeal.
2	7 2nd (7) (11/4 -10%) Quornofamonday		2.75 11/4(-10%)																															(7) Quornofamonday 11/4, 11/4, good second of 16 in handicap hurdle at Fairyhouse (20.5f, heavy) 66 days ago. Back down in trip. Shortlist material. Two months off but going the right way over hurdles and the drop back in trip should suit.
3	5 3rd (5) (20/1 +0%) Joeswayornoway		20 20/1(+0%)																															(5) Joeswayornoway 20/1, Unreliable sort. Respectable fifth of 15 in handicap hurdle (33/1) at Clonmel (16.2f, heavy) 36 days ago. Tailed off on return at Gowran; signs of a return to form when fifth at Clonmel last month.
4	17 4th (17) (8/1 +50%) Chosen Shant		8 8/1(+50%)																															(17) Chosen Shant 8/1, Remains a maiden after 16 NH runs. 50/1, 3 lengths third of 17 to Cristiano Marealdo in handicap hurdle at this C&D (soft) 29 days ago, inadequate test. One to consider if taking part (engaged 3.20 Clonmel Thursday). Third here latest; going the right way for Ciaran Murphy and unlikely to be far away.
5th	3 5th (3) (25/1 -25%) Bayou Belle		25 25/1(-25%)																															(3) Bayou Belle 25/1, Below form eighth of 15 in novice hurdle (66/1) at Thurles (15.9f, good to soft) 26 days ago. More chance back in handicap. The best of her form gives her a squeak but could be coming into the race in better form.
6th	16 6th (16) (9/1 -125%) Be My Hero		9 9/1(-125%)																															(16) Be My Hero 9/1, Remains a maiden after 20 NH runs. Respectable fifth of 19 in handicap hurdle at Down Royal (17f, soft, 14/1) 17 days ago. Looks competitive on form. Engaged 3.20 Clonmel Thursday. Solid efforts last twice at Thurles and Down Royal and should be thereabouts on that form.
7th	11 7th (11) (9/2 +50%) Joker Du Chenet		4.5 9/2(+50%)																															(11) Joker Du Chenet 9/2, Respectable seventh of 19 in handicap hurdle at Down Royal (17f, soft, 10/1) 17 days ago. Stable in good form. One to consider. Ran okay in a Down Royal handicap last month; maybe better over further but should go well.
8th	8 8th (8) (8/1 -78%) Cristiano Marealdo		8 8/1(-78%)																															(8) Cristiano Marealdo 8/1, 1 win from 2 runs this season. Career best when winning 17-runner handicap hurdle (50/1) at this C&D (soft) 29 days ago, pushed out. 6 lb rise shouldn't prevent another prominent showing. Up 6lb for last month and the stable continued in terrific form over Christmas; big player.
9th	13 9th (13) (25/1 +11%) Silent Flight		25 25/1(+11%)																															(13) Silent Flight 25/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 10/1, fourth of 16 in handicap hurdle at Thurles (15.8f, good to soft). Off 14 months. Betting should guide after lay-off. Fourth in a 2m contest at Thurles 14 months ago; off since but a contender if fit enough.
10th	6 10th (6) (20/1 +39%) Astrophysicist		20 20/1(+39%)																															(6) Astrophysicist 20/1, Remains a maiden after 17 NH runs. Modest winner at 10f on flat. Ninth of 13 in handicap at Dundalk (16f, 20/1) 44 days ago, hampered. Switches from Flat to hurdles. Poor on last chase run. Improved effort in a 1m4f handicap at Dundalk in November; form makes him more interesting.
11th	2 11th (2) (50/1 -52%) Breakintheclouds		50 50/1(-52%)																															(2) Breakintheclouds 50/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Fourteenth of 28 in novice hurdle at Leopardstown (16f, good to soft, 200/1) 17 days ago. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Not disgraced in two starts in maiden hurdles last month; could outrun his likely odds.
12th	18 12th (18) (50/1 -52%) Masterstonemason		50 50/1(-52%)																															(18) Masterstonemason 50/1, Two wins from 42 NH runs. Pulled up in handicap chase (66/1) at Navan (20.4f, heavy) 26 days ago, struggling long way out. Switches from chase to hurdles. Back down in trip. Poor form over hurdles and fences for some time; makes no appeal here.
13th	15 13th (15) (14/1 -17%) Thelonglad		14 14/1(-17%)																															(15) Thelonglad 14/1, Tenth of 20 in handicap hurdle at Cork (20f, heavy, 12/1) 33 days ago. Others more persuasive. Cork fourth on handicap debut; stable in good form over Christmas and capable of a big run.
14th	20 14th (20) (16/1 -100%) O'faolains Glory		16 16/1(-100%)																															(20) O'faolains Glory 16/1, Respectable sixth of 12 in handicap hurdle (8/1) at Thurles (15.9f, soft) 85 days ago. First run for yard after leaving N. Dooly. Debuts for Ian Donoghue here and has an each-way chance over possibly her best trip.
15th	4 15th (4) (50/1 -52%) Boola Boola		50 50/1(-52%)																															(4) Boola Boola 50/1, 28/1, pulled up in handicap hurdle at Punchestown (16.7f, heavy) 12 days ago, struggling when not fluent 3 out. Returned from five months off when pulled up in a Punchestown handicap hurdle last week.
16th	21 16th (21) (50/1 -25%) Red Finch		50 50/1(-25%)																															(21) Red Finch 50/1, 14/1, pulled up in handicap hurdle at Listowel (24f, soft) 112 days ago, pulled up before 2 out. Significantly down in trip. Back to 2m here after being pulled up over 3m at Listowel when last seen; others preferred.
17th	1 17th (1) (40/1 -43%) Moulane West		40 40/1(-43%)																															(1) Moulane West 40/1, One win from 21 NH runs. Seventeen runs since last win in 2021. 66/1, unseated rider in handicap hurdle at Down Royal (17f, soft) 17 days ago. First flight unseat at Down Royal a couple of weeks ago; makes little appeal.
18th	10 18th (10) (80/1 -186%) Without Exception		80 80/1(-186%)																															(10) Without Exception 80/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Twenty first of 26 in novice hurdle (250/1) at Navan (16f, heavy) 34 days ago. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Little apparent chance on the evidence of four maiden hurdle outings.
19th	19 19th (19) (66/1 -100%) Monoxide		66 66/1(-100%)																															(19) Monoxide 66/1, Remains a maiden after 34 NH runs. Sixth of 8 in handicap hurdle at Uttoxeter (19.9f, heavy, 28/1) 47 days ago. Blinkers back on. Well beaten last twice over hurdles; not a forlorn hope if putting his best foot forward.
20th	12 20th (12) (66/1 -136%) Keeptellinemnuttin		66 66/1(-136%)																															(12) Keeptellinemnuttin 66/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Seventeenth of 22 in handicap hurdle at Punchestown (16.7f, heavy, 50/1) 12 days ago. Not much to recommend on the Flat and over hurdles; tailed off at Punchestown last week.
21st	9 21st (9) (11/1 -22%) Sarah's Soldier		11 11/1(-22%)																															(9) Sarah's Soldier 11/1, Temperamental sort. Respectable ninth of 22 in handicap hurdle (11/1) at Punchestown (23.9f, heavy) 31 days ago. Significantly back down in trip. Did not appear to see out 3m at Punchestown last month; big drop back in trip here.

LTO Selection:

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QUORNOFAMONDAY was second in a point-to-point for Claire O'Connell and has progressed in handicap hurdles this season. The Philip Dempsey-trained gelding didn't enjoy the clearest of passages when a close third at Gowran before making costly mistakes at the final two flights when caught close home by Glenabo Bridge at Fairyhouse last time. Cristiano Marealdo caused a 50/1 shock over C&D last month and is taken to go well, while any market moves for Breakintheclouds or the long-time absentee Silent Flight would be interesting.

QUORNOFAMONDAY would surely have won with better jumps at the final 2 flights at Fairyhouse last time and can gain compensation now. Cristiano Marealdo rates an obvious danger on the back of last month's C&D success. Joker du Chenet is an unexposed sort who could yet have a bigger performance in him and also makes the shortlist. Chosen Shant would need considering if showing up here rather than at Clonmel on Thursday.

Preference is for QUORNOFAMONDAY, an improved performer on his last two starts, with the drop back to 2m likely to suit

14:42 Naas Handicap Hurdle 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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15:12 Naas Handicap Hurdle 19f - 18 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	4 1st (4) (6/1 -20%) American Money		6 6/1(-20%)																															(4) American Money 6/1, 11/2, creditable fifth of 17 in handicap hurdle at Punchestown (19.2f, heavy) 31 days ago. Merits respect. Could be better going right-handed but in decent form and should not be far away.
2	10 2nd (10) (16/1 -78%) Circus Act		16 16/1(-78%)																															(10) Circus Act 16/1, Cheekpieces on for 1st time, very good second of 13 in handicap at Dundalk (16f, 14/1) 44 days ago. Switches from Flat to hurdles. Blinkers on 1st time. Not dismissed. Back to form when runner-up in a Dundalk handicap in November; worth a look in blinkers.
3	5 3rd (5) (10/1 -82%) Pride Of Place		10 10/1(-82%)																															(5) Pride Of Place 10/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 18/1, eighth of 10 in handicap hurdle at Cork (16.8f, heavy) 33 days ago. Should improve and is worth monitoring in the betting. No impression on his handicap debut at Cork last month but could well be capable of better.
4	17 4th (17) (13/2 +46%) Junot		6.5 13/2(+46%)																															(17) Junot 13/2, Creditable third of 15 in handicap hurdle (16/1) at Naas (16f, soft) 29 days ago. Considered. Two good runs; good chance of getting into the frame here if suited by the step up in trip.
5th	9 5th (9) (12/1 -33%) Butty O Brien		12 12/1(-33%)																															(9) Butty O Brien 12/1, 14/1, career best when winning 16-runner handicap hurdle at Navan (20f, heavy) 26 days ago, rallying. Should give another good account. Gamely landed a handicap hurdle at Navan last month; up just 4lb for that; claims.
6th	6 6th (6) (15/2 +38%) Politicise		7.5 15/2(+38%)																															(6) Politicise 15/2, Twenty two runs since last win in 2020. Tongue strap on for 1st time, third of 21 in handicap hurdle at Leopardstown (20f, heavy, 66/1) 15 days ago. Claims if he can build on that. Fine third in a 2m4f handicap hurdle at Leopardstown; will go close with a reproduction.
7th	8 7th (8) (33/1 -106%) Young Darleen		33 33/1(-106%)																															(8) Young Darleen 33/1, Below form fourth of 15 in novice hurdle (13/8) at Kilbeggan (18.3f, good to soft). Off 7 months. Hood on 1st time. Likely to need the run. Off since June; hooded here and probably best watched but worth a market check.
8th	18 8th (18) (7/1 +61%) Pana To Milan		7 7/1(+61%)																															(18) Pana To Milan 7/1, 11/1, creditable fifth of 16 in handicap chase at Naas (16f, soft) 29 days ago. Switches from chase to hurdles. Not taken lightly. Two good chase runs; same hurdles mark; could go well with trip and ground in her favour.
9th	11 9th (11) (10/1 -67%) Crafty Gael		10 10/1(-67%)																															(11) Crafty Gael 10/1, 85/40, creditable third of 13 in handicap hurdle at Downpatrick (17.3f, good) 152 days ago. Enters calculations. Not really proven over the trip and probably best watched on his first outing since August.
15	15 |U| (15) (50/1 +24%) Road To The Weir		50 50/1(+24%)																															(15) Road To The Weir 50/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Ninth of 15 in novice hurdle at Galway (16.6f, soft, 80/1) 123 days ago. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Not a bad run at Galway last time; probably best watched but worth a market check.
10th	3 10th (3) (17/2 +58%) Elusive Guy		8.5 17/2(+58%)																															(3) Elusive Guy 17/2, Bit below form eighth of 17 in handicap hurdle at Navan (20f, heavy, 16/1) 55 days ago. Couple of runs on Flat before mid-division in a Navan handicap hurdle; others preferred.
11th	2 11th (2) (11/1 +31%) Ballycallan King		11 11/1(+31%)																															(2) Ballycallan King 11/1, Bit below form thirteenth of 23 in handicap hurdle (28/1) at Leopardstown (16f, good to soft) 17 days ago. Others preferred. Never got involved in a novice handicap hurdle at Leopardstown; capable of better.
12th	14 12th (14) (6/1 -140%) Poppy Rose		6 6/1(-140%)																															(14) Poppy Rose 6/1, Creditable second of 17 in handicap hurdle at Naas (16f, soft, 2/1) 29 days ago. Stable having good spell. One to bear in mind. Several decent efforts in defeat; not totally proven over the trip but still a player.
13th	13 13th (13) (100/1 -25%) Tony's Pet		100 100/1(-25%)																															(13) Tony's Pet 100/1, First run since leaving Barry Connell when pulled up in handicap hurdle at Fairyhouse (23.5f, heavy, 40/1) 49 days ago, tailing off soon after 4 out. New headgear tried today but very hard to fancy on what he has shown so far.
14th	7 14th (7) (12/1 +40%) Grivei		12 12/1(+40%)																															(7) Grivei 12/1, Excellent ninth of 15 in novice hurdle at Limerick (16f, heavy, 25/1) 15 days ago. Tongue strap on 1st time. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Very hard to make a case for. Hard to assess; first-time tongue-tie will need to bring about considerable improvement.
15th	12 15th (12) (150/1 -50%) Sundrenched		150 150/1(-50%)																															(12) Sundrenched 150/1, Tailed-off fifteenth of 16 to Butty O Brien in handicap hurdle at Navan (20f, heavy, 125/1) 26 days ago. Others preferred. Ran terribly in two handicap hurdles last month and makes no appeal.
16th	16 16th (16) (100/1 -52%) Zanjabeel		100 100/1(-52%)																															(16) Zanjabeel 100/1, Twelve runs since last win in 2018. 66/1, tenth of 17 in handicap hurdle at Down Royal (24f, good to soft) 133 days ago. Down in trip. More required. One time Grade 1 winning hurdler in America but poor form in Ireland and makes no appeal.
17th	1 17th (1) (33/1 +34%) I Don't Get It		33 33/1(+34%)																															(1) I Don't Get It 33/1, 7/1, seventh of 13 in handicap chase at Down Royal (20f, soft) 17 days ago. Switches from chase to hurdles. Blinkers back on. Out of form since coming back in November, including over fences at Down Royal last time.

LTO Selection:

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POLITICISE won the valuable Lartigue Hurdle at Listowel back in 2020 and held a career high rating in the mid-130s. The Camelot gelding is bidding to end a long losing run but has been placed on a number of occasions since including at the recent Leopardstown Christmas Festival when third to Music Of Tara. A reproduction of that form should see him go close. Butty O Brien just came out best in a tight finish at Navan last time while others to consider include American Money, Crafty Gael and Circus Act. Junot steps up in trip after being placed here just before Christmas while stablemate Pana To Milan reverts from fences and also has a significant jockey booking.

POPPY ROSE has returned in good heart and, while she couldn't quite justify strong support when second at Naas last time, she's worth a chance to go one better this time. Fellow in-form pair Crafty Gael and Butty O'Brien should also be involved.

A sporting selection is given to CIRCUS ACT, who returned to form in a Flat handicap at Dundalk in November and is tried in blinkers

15:12 Naas Handicap Hurdle 19f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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15:47 Naas NH Flat Race 16f - 14 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	7 1st (7) (10/3 -21%) Shuttle Diplomacy		3.333333 10/3(-21%)																															(7) Shuttle Diplomacy 10/3, Dschingis Secret gelding. Dam, lightly raced on Flat in France, half-sister to fairly useful hurdler/smart chaser (stayed 25f) De Boitron. Stable has done well with its bumper runners with the champion amateur booked.
2	9 2nd (9) (9/2 +0%) Wartime Leader		4.5 9/2(+0%)																															(9) Wartime Leader 9/2, Churchill gelding. Closely related to a winner on Flat and half-brother to 2 winners, including bumper winner Kottayam. Dam smart winner up to 1¼m. Shouldn't lack for speed on debut if pedigree is a guide. Well-bred gelding that cost 200,000Gns as a yearling; very intriguing here.
3	3 3rd (3) (17/2 +29%) Colcannon		8.5 17/2(+29%)																															(3) Colcannon 17/2, Berkshire gelding. Dam (h128), bumper/2m-2½m hurdle winner, also 2m winner who stayed 2¼m on Flat, sister to useful hurdler/chase winner (stayed 3m) Sixshooter. Home-bred and stoutly-bred newcomer; others possibly more likely but not one to dismiss.
4	4 4th (4) (17/2 +39%) Frogman		8.5 17/2(+39%)																															(4) Frogman 17/2, €17,000 3-y-o, Ol' Man River gelding. Dam maiden on Flat. Nice mixture of speed and stamina in his pedigree; stable won this two years ago.
5th	13 5th (13) (14/1 +65%) Paudie's Wings		14 14/1(+65%)																															(13) Paudie's Wings 14/1, Wings of Eagles filly. Dam (c117), 2½m/21f hurdle/chase winner (stayed 25f), half-sister to bumper winner/fairly useful hurdler (stays 23f) Ajp Kingdom. Daughter of Wings Of Eagles from a stable that won this race twice in the last ten years.
6th	14 6th (14) (25/1 -56%) Rose Boum		25 25/1(-56%)																															(14) Rose Boum 25/1, €10,000 3-y-o, Buck's Boum filly. Dam French 2¼m chase winner out of bumper winner/fairly useful hurdler (21f winner) Queen Poline. Stable won the race last year and this one commands automatic respect.
7th	5 7th (5) (14/1 +22%) Kaikoura		14 14/1(+22%)																															(5) Kaikoura 14/1, €80,000 3-y-o, Beaumec De Houelle gelding. Half-brother to fairly useful 17f hurdle winner Invictus Machin. Makes appeal on paper. French-bred newcomer and bred to do well over further; attractive rider booking.
8th	6 8th (6) (8/1 +43%) King In Love		8 8/1(+43%)																															(6) King In Love 8/1, €14,000 3-y-o, Choeur Du Nord gelding. Dam maiden on Flat in France. Mostly Flat pedigree and best watched unless the market suggests otherwise.
9th	10 9th (10) (22/1 +67%) Zazir		22 22/1(+67%)																															(10) Zazir 22/1, €2,500 3-y-o, Kingman gelding. Half-brother to 1½m/13f winner in France Zaniyka. Dam 1¼m-1½m winner. From a typical middle-distance Aga Khan family and the rider booking is an attractive one.
10th	8 10th (8) (33/1 -50%) Squire Darlin		33 33/1(-50%)																															(8) Squire Darlin 33/1, Workforce gelding. Dam (h93) ran twice over hurdles. Home-bred newcomer and likely to be suited by the ground; best watched on debut though.
11th	1 11th (1) (18/1 +18%) Balovale		18 18/1(+18%)																															(1) Balovale 18/1, Zambezi Sun gelding. Half-brother to numerous winners, including fair hurdler/fairly useful chaser Commandant and fairly useful hurdler/fair chaser Harvey's Quay. Wears hood. Dam won a bumper and over hurdles. Home-bred son of Zambezi Sun and related to plenty of stable winners; hooded for his debut.
12th	11 12th (11) (22/1 +0%) I'm Flattered		22 22/1(+0%)																															(11) I'm Flattered 22/1, Churchill filly. Dam fairly useful 1¼m winner on Flat. Quite a speedily-bred newcomer by Churchill; best watched unless the market says otherwise.
13th	2 13th (2) (12/1 +14%) Call Back Tuesday		12 12/1(+14%)																															(2) Call Back Tuesday 12/1, Fast Company gelding. Half-brother to useful 5f-6f winner Aleef. Dam ran once on Flat. Flat-bred newcomer by Fast Company and probably best watched on debut.
14th	12 14th (12) (9/1 -260%) Kelley Kapowski		9 9/1(-260%)																															(12) Kelley Kapowski 9/1, Elusive Pimpernel filly. Closely related to 2 winners on Flat, including useful 6f-1m winner Elusive Time and half-sister to a winner. Dam maiden on Flat (stayed 6f). Makes plenty of appeal on paper for leading yard. Newcomer by Elusive Pimpernel much respected from these quarters; likely to head market.

LTO Selection:

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SHUTTLE DIPLOMACY appeared to be well-fancied before this meeting was cancelled last Sunday and Patrick Mullins is again booked. The selection hails from a family that has produced Flat and jumps winners in France and the yard was in winning form at Cork last weekend. Wartime Leader fetched 200,000gns as a yearling and is a half-brother to three winners including Invite, who scored at Listed level. Colcannon is from a family that Noel Meade knows well having enjoyed success with the dam and also her sister Sixshooter, while Kelley Kapowski, a half-sister to a number of winners in Scandinavia and Italy, represents Gordon Elliott. Frogman and Paudie's Wings also attracted some betting interest last Sunday morning while Rose Boum represents the yard that won this last year.

A field of newcomers and before market clues it seems prudent to stick with KELLEY KAPOWSKI for the Gordon Elliott team. Shuttle Diplomacy and Kaikoura also make appeal on paper.

There is no more intriguing runner than expensively bought yearling WARTIME LEADER and he might just be good enough

15:47 Naas NH Flat Race 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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Racecard Key

Ths is the racecard key.

Icon	Meaning
	TomForm top stats, gold rated
	TomForm top stats silver rated
	Ran similar race before
S	TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out
T	Top Time speeed rated
	Top Racingpost rated
	At the races watchout for
	At the races top pick
	Top rated for thet statistic

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How to use Tomform

Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.

This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.

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About U.K Horse Racing

Horse racing is a popular and historic sport in the UK, with a tradition dating back centuries. It is a multi-billion pound industry that attracts millions of spectators each year and generates significant economic activity.

There are two main types of horse racing in the UK: flat racing and jump racing. Flat racing is run on a level course and is typically shorter in distance, while jump racing involves horses jumping over obstacles and is generally longer in distance. Both types of racing are popular with spectators and bettors, and they take place at various racetracks throughout the country.

The most famous horse racing event in the UK is the Grand National, which is held annually at Aintree Racecourse in Liverpool. It is a jump racing event that is known for its challenging course and has become a national institution in the UK. Other notable horse racing events in the UK include the Derby, held at Epsom Downs Racecourse in Surrey, and the Royal Ascot, held at Ascot Racecourse in Berkshire.

Horse racing in the UK is regulated by the British Horseracing Authority (BHA), which sets rules and standards for the industry. It is responsible for the welfare of racehorses and the safety of jockeys and trainers, as well as ensuring fair and transparent racing practices.

In addition to its economic and cultural importance, horse racing in the UK also plays a significant role in the breeding and training of thoroughbred horses. Many of the world's top thoroughbreds are bred and trained in the UK, and the industry plays a vital role in the preservation and promotion of the breed.

Overall, horse racing is an integral part of British culture and a major contributor to the country's economy. It is a thrilling and exciting sport that continues to attract a loyal following and generate significant interest from spectators and bettors around the world.

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