12:45 Navan Handicap Hurdle 16f - 22 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	21 1st (21) (40/1 -60%) St Denis's Well		40 40/1(-60%)																															(21) St Denis's Well 40/1, 16/1, pulled up 2 out in handicap hurdle at Kilbeggan (24f, good to soft) 7 months ago. Significantly back down in trip. Tongue strap on 1st time. Not seen since pulling up in a Kilbeggan handicap hurdle in April; tongue-tie tried.
2	9 2nd (9) (6/1 +57%) Makfils		6 6/1(+57%)																															(9) Makfils 6/1, Remains a maiden after 17 NH runs. Below form eighth of 14 in handicap hurdle at Galway (16.6f, soft, 5/1) 69 days ago, again let down by his jumping. Below his best at Galway in September but would come into it on his previous run at Sligo.
3	20 3rd (20) (14/1 -75%) Poppy Rose		14 14/1(-75%)																															(20) Poppy Rose 14/1, 11/2, unseated rider sixth in handicap hurdle at Musselburgh (19.8f, good to soft) 8 months ago. Given a chance by the assessor. Second in a handicap hurdle at Ayr in February and not discounted on that form.
4	18 4th (18) (5/1 +50%) Brownstone		5 5/1(+50%)																															(18) Brownstone 5/1, Winner in hurdle at Fairyhouse in October. Respectable fifth of 10 in handicap hurdle (7/2) at Wexford (20f, heavy) 2 days ago, left poorly placed. Can make presence felt. A little unlucky at Thurles earlier this month before a below par run at Wexford on Friday.
5th	11 5th (11) (15/2 +0%) Maimie's Magic		7.5 15/2(+0%)																															(11) Maimie's Magic 15/2, Latest win in hurdle at Newcastle in January. 12/1, back on track when second of 8 in handicap hurdle at Perth (20.2f, good to soft), running on. Off 6 months. Back down in trip. Looks competitive on form. Good second over 2m4f at Perth in April when last seen; respected if in similar form.
6th	4 6th (4) (20/1 -43%) Upthereforthinking		20 20/1(-43%)																															(4) Upthereforthinking 20/1, 28/1, took a step back in the right direction when fourth of 9 in maiden hurdle at Galway (16.4f, heavy) 22 days ago. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Should progress. Showed ability in maiden hurdles, most recently under this rider at Galway last month.
7th	22 7th (22) (33/1 -65%) Perfect Arch		33 33/1(-65%)																															(22) Perfect Arch 33/1, Visor on for 1st time in this code, thirteenth of 15 in handicap hurdle at Downpatrick (21.3f, good to soft, 11/1) 5 months ago. First run for yard after leaving J. J. Lambe. Cheekpieces back on. Pulled-up in a point last month; others preferred.
8th	10 8th (10) (25/1 -213%) Bayou Belle		25 25/1(-213%)																															(10) Bayou Belle 25/1, 6/1, produced her best effort to date over hurdles when second of 14 in maiden hurdle at Kilbeggan (16f, good to soft) 3 months ago. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Second at Kilbeggan in August; respected on that form but would prefer better ground.
9th	3 9th (3) (12/1 -140%) In For The Night		12 12/1(-140%)																															(3) In For The Night 12/1, 7/2, wasn't in the same form as previously when seventh of 8 in handicap hurdle at Downpatrick (17.8f, soft) 44 days ago. Others more persuasive. Claims if he can bounce back to his previous form here but yet to race on ground this soft.
10th	6 10th (6) (22/1 -38%) Lodilomoco		22 22/1(-38%)																															(6) Lodilomoco 22/1, Showed a bit more than previously when fourth of 16 in maiden hurdle at Punchestown (16f, good, 18/1) 5 months ago. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Open to progress. Yet to race on ground like this but capable of getting into the shakeup if she handles it.
11th	13 11th (13) (15/2 +63%) Mo Chruinne		7.5 15/2(+63%)																															(13) Mo Chruinne 15/2, Ran a poor level sent handicapping on first outing since leaving Charles Byrnes when tenth of 16 at this course (21.6f, good to soft) 64 days ago. Back down in trip. Ground is a doubt, the trip less so, and a case can be made if he handles the surface.
12th	8 12th (8) (25/1 +0%) Trishknowsbest		25 25/1(+0%)																															(8) Trishknowsbest 25/1, Pulled up in novice chase (9/1) at Downpatrick (17.8f, soft) 65 days ago. Switches from chase to hurdles. Plenty to prove at present. Dual hurdles winner returning from an unsuccessful spell over fences and best watched.
13th	19 13th (19) (125/1 -56%) Cramers Valley		125 125/1(-56%)																															(19) Cramers Valley 125/1, Lightly-raced maiden under NH rules. 25/1, thirteenth of 19 in handicap hurdle at Gowran (20.2f, heavy) 50 days ago. Back down in trip. Looks an easy swerve. Well beaten on his handicap debut at Gowran and hard to make a case for.
14th	2 14th (2) (5/1 +0%) Freddie Robdal		5 5/1(+0%)																															(2) Freddie Robdal 5/1, Bounced back to form when second of 11 in handicap chase at Clonmel (16.3f, heavy, 17/2) 24 days ago. Switches from chase to hurdles. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Expected to be bang there. Back over hurdles here off a 4lb lower mark; likely to be thereabouts in a winnable race.
15th	14 15th (14) (33/1 -65%) Josies Dylan		33 33/1(-65%)																															(14) Josies Dylan 33/1, Cheekpieces on for 1st time, fifth of 9 in maiden hurdle at Downpatrick (17.8f, good, 11/1) 83 days ago. Makes handicap hurdle debut and worth a second look at the betting. Unable to win a point and not much to recommend in three maiden hurdles; others preferred.
16th	16 16th (16) (50/1 -52%) Jimmy De Giant		50 50/1(-52%)																															(16) Jimmy De Giant 50/1, Lightly-raced maiden under NH rules. 33/1, twelfth of 17 in maiden hurdle at Limerick (21f, heavy) 29 days ago. Back down in trip. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Likely to improve. Has shown a little ability in three maiden hurdles but a lot more needed here.
17th	17 17th (17) (40/1 +39%) Leading Oak		40 40/1(+39%)																															(17) Leading Oak 40/1, Cheekpieces on for 1st time, seventeenth of 22 in handicap hurdle at Punchestown (20f, good, 80/1) 40 days ago. Easy to look elsewhere. Beaten 163 lengths in two handicap hurdes and makes no appeal.
18th	7 18th (7) (11/2 +61%) Golden Nugget		5.5 11/2(+61%)																															(7) Golden Nugget 11/2, Last of 7 in beginners chase at Kilbeggan (19.4f, good, 100/1) 5 months ago. Switches from chase to hurdles. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Should improve. Off since June and difficult to assess in her first handicap; others preferred.
19th	1 19th (1) (100/1 -400%) Benz		100 100/1(-400%)																															(1) Benz 100/1, Sixth of 12 in claiming hurdle (13/2) at Roscommon (20f, good to soft) back in July, going in snatches. First run for yard after leaving Gordon Elliott. Increasingly looks one to oppose. Stable debut here after beaten five lengths in a Roscommon claiming hurdle in July.
20th	5 20th (5) (28/1 -75%) Falvio		28 28/1(-75%)																															(5) Falvio 28/1, Offered little on first outing since leaving A. J. Martin after 8 months off when eleventh of 19 in handicap hurdle at Down Royal (24.1f, soft, 25/1) 9 days ago. Significantly back down in trip. Tongue strap back on. Back to a more suitable trip here but best watched on just his second run for the stable.
15	15 |PU| (15) (33/1 -313%) Mutadaawel		33 33/1(-313%)																															(15) Mutadaawel 33/1, 33/1, below form seventh of 12 in handicap hurdle at Carlisle (17.2f, soft) 31 days ago. Tongue strap on 1st time. Enters calculations back on these shores. Has run well a couple of times here over hurdles which gives some encouragement.
12	12 |PU| (12) (33/1 -32%) Knocknacree		33 33/1(-32%)																															(12) Knocknacree 33/1, Never dangerous on first run since leaving Gordon Elliott when fourteenth of 18 in maiden hurdle (22/1) at Limerick (16f, heavy) 29 days ago. Tongue strap on 1st time. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Well beaten on his stable debut in a Limerick maiden hurdle; best watched.

LTO Selection:

IN FOR THE NIGHT, runner-up at this venue on his penultimate start, may be able to shed his maiden status. While the Desmond McDonogh-trained five-year-old failed to back that effort up when only seventh at Downpatrick last time, it usually pays to forgive a horse a below-par run at that unique track. With the Henry De Bromhead stable firing on all cylinders at present, recent Clonmel second Freddie Robdal has to be considered. Although that latter placed effort came over fences, the gelding is lightly raced over flights and can compete off a 4lb lower mark. Falvio showed ability for trainer Tony Martin last season without managing to get his head in front. A dual winner on the flat, he was never going to stay 3m, so his recent debut for new connections is readily forgiven.

An ultra-competitive handicap in which preference is for FREDDIE ROBDAL, who bounced back to form when runner-up at Clonmel recently and back over the hurdles for the first time in 15 months, Henry de Bromhead's 6-y-o can come out on top. Maimie's Magic got back on track when runner-up at Perth 6 months ago and she may have to settle for silver again on return, with Upthereforthinking, Brownstone and Mutadaawel just a handful of others that may get involved.

It might pay to side with MO CHRUINNE(nap). There was a bit to like about his stable debut here last time

12:45 Navan Handicap Hurdle 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

13:20 Navan Maiden Hurdle 20f - 6 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	3 1st (3) (4/6 +39%) Croke Park		0.666667 4/6(+39%)																															(3) Croke Park 4/6, Winning pointer and, after an encouraging start in bumpers, made an impressive debut over hurdles when winning 10-runner maiden at Clonmel (16.6f, heavy, 3/1) 24 days ago. Exciting prospect and can score again upped in trip. Step up in trip should suit well and is Jack Kennedy's preference; the one to beat.
2	6 2nd (6) (11/2 -10%) Mel Monroe		5.5 11/2(-10%)																															(6) Mel Monroe 11/2, Won maiden hurdle at Downpatrick in June and, after a further 4 months off, improved again when runner-up to a useful prospect in 9-runner novice at Cheltenham (19.9f, good, 7/1) 23 days ago. May do better still. Staying second in a 2m4f novice hurdle at Cheltenham last month; more needed here.
3	4 3rd (4) (7/2 -56%) Search For Glory		3.5 7/2(-56%)																															(4) Search For Glory 7/2, Highly tried as a novice and, after 7 months off, made the most of a good opportunity when easily winning 7-runner maiden hurdle at Galway (21.4f, heavy, 1/9) 3 weeks ago. Respected now that he's up and running. Staying type that acts on testing ground and not one to underestimate here.
4	5 4th (5) (16/1 -78%) Pinyon Jay		16 16/1(-78%)																															(5) Pinyon Jay 16/1, Made a winning hurdling debut at Down Royal in September. Cheekpieces on for 1st time, needed stronger gallop when 3¾ lengths third of 7 to Solitary Man in listed novice at Cork (3m, soft, 11/2) 2 weeks ago. Remains with potential. Beaten in novice company last twice at Cork but looked more straightforward; place chance.
5th	2 5th (2) (9/1 +25%) Ballystone		9 9/1(+25%)																															(2) Ballystone 9/1, Placed twice from 3 starts in bumpers before making a successful debut over hurdles in 15-runner maiden at Ballinrobe (16.2f, good, 1/2) in May. Off since but he's open to progress over this longer distance. Landed a Ballinrobe maiden hurdle in May; has a mountain to climb here though.
6th	1 6th (1) (150/1 -127%) Starman		150 150/1(-127%)																															(1) Starman 150/1, Fairly useful hurdler, with latest success in claimer at Clonmel in September. Stiff task when second of 3 in minor event at Fairyhouse (20.5f, heavy, 8/1) 12 days ago and he looks to up against it in this contest. Can travel well in his races but no chance in this company giving weight all round.

LTO Selection:

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Second season novice SEARCH FOR GLORY can show that his education last term wasn't wasted on him. Gordon Elliott's six-year-old won his first two starts in a point-to-point and bumper respectively, before switching to hurdles after Christmas. After a fair third in a well contested maiden at Leopardstown, he subsequently attained a similar placing in a Grade 3 at Clonmel. Runs at both the Cheltenham and Aintree festivals were arguably a year too soon, but he benefited from those experiences to make a winning reappearance at Galway. Stablemate Croke Park, a point-to-point winner who got off the mark over flights at Clonmel recently, rates the biggest threat. Pinyon Jay can complete the clean sweep for the Elliott team by chasing them home in third.

CROKE PARK looked an exciting prospect when making most at Clonmel on his hurdling debut, quickening clear before 2 out, and he can follow up with the promise of significantly more to come. Search For Glory was highly tried as a novice and could be the main danger after making a winning return, while Mel Monroe could also still have more to offer.

Jack Kennedy's choice CROKE PARK should be good enough, although the same owner's Search For Glory could serve it up to him

13:20 Navan Maiden Hurdle 20f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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13:55 Navan Handicap Hurdle 22f - 11 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	7 1st (7) (25/1 -25%) Dorking Cock		25 25/1(-25%)																															(7) Dorking Cock 25/1, Below form twelfth of 27 in hunter chase (33/1) at Aintree (21.1f, good). Off 7 months. Switches from chase to hurdles. Out of form in hunter chases when last seen; no runs in this sphere for nearly 3 years.
2	9 2nd (9) (12/1 +70%) Ms Agartha Yeats		12 12/1(+70%)																															(9) Ms Agartha Yeats 12/1, Twice-raced winner over hurdles. 20/1, eleventh of 17 in handicap hurdle at Punchestown (20f, good to soft) 39 days ago. Others more persuasive. 50-1 winner on debut last year; may have needed last month's return and on a fair mark.
3	6 3rd (6) (11/4 +8%) Slane Hill		2.75 11/4(+8%)																															(6) Slane Hill 11/4, 5/2, career best when winning 9-runner novice chase at Kilbeggan (22f, good to soft) on debut over fences, better placed than most. Off 7 months. Switches from chase to hurdles. Possibilities. Maiden hurdle winner; won chase bow when last seen; good mark back in this sphere if ready.
4	5 4th (5) (7/1 -8%) Jumping Jet		7 7/1(-8%)																															(5) Jumping Jet 7/1, Latest win in hurdle at Leopardstown in March. Respectable fourth of 10 in handicap hurdle (4/1) at Punchestown (23.6f, good) 161 days ago. Stable having good spell. Not taken lightly. Bumper winner who landed Leopardstown maiden hurdle in March; hasn't built on that.
5th	3 5th (3) (12/1 -33%) Miss Tempo		12 12/1(-33%)																															(3) Miss Tempo 12/1, 1 win from 2 runs this season. Pulled up in handicap hurdle (18/1) at Galway (22f, good to soft) 109 days ago, pulled up approaching last. Needs a couple of these to falter. Pulled up in hat-trick bid at Galway festival and probably wants quicker ground than this.
6th	12 6th (12) (9/1 +25%) Atacanter		9 9/1(+25%)																															(12) Atacanter 9/1, Eleventh of 14 in handicap hurdle at Fairyhouse (24f, soft, 9/1) 48 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Can give a good account if shrugging off latest effort. Promising return but it was a dismal effort on slower ground last month; cheekpieces on.
7th	8 7th (8) (20/1 -122%) Ginnets Girl		20 20/1(-122%)																															(8) Ginnets Girl 20/1, Latest win in hurdle at Kilbeggan in August. Ninth of 10 in handicap hurdle at Ballinrobe (21.8f, good to soft, 10/1) 65 days ago. Yard in good form so could bounce back. Tailed off latest but was badly hampered by faller when in rear; unproven in ground.
8th	1 8th (1) (7/1 -56%) Make Good		7 7/1(-56%)																															(1) Make Good 7/1, Second of 20 in handicap (5/1) at the Curragh (14f, heavy) 19 days ago, just failing. Switches from Flat to hurdles. Useful hurdler, so needs considering. Gr 2 win in Dec' 2020; not seen over timber since; shown he retains some ability on Flat.
9th	4 9th (4) (14/1 -87%) Global Export		14 14/1(-87%)																															(4) Global Export 14/1, Course winner. 8/1, respectable third of 9 in handicap at Galway (11.8f, heavy) 20 days ago, unsuited by drop in trip. Switches from Flat to hurdles. Significantly up in trip. Hood back on. Considered. No wins since maiden hurdle success here in March 2022 and nothing in hand from this mark.
10th	11 10th (11) (13/2 +35%) Arctic Ambition		6.5 13/2(+35%)																															(11) Arctic Ambition 13/2, Failed to stay when sixteenth of 19 in handicap chase (12/1) at Cheltenham (25f, good to soft) 23 days ago. Switches from chase to hurdles. Stable in good form. Looks competitive on form. Tailed off over fences last month; best form on quicker ground; feasibly treated though.
2	2 |PU| (2) (11/2 +0%) Gortmillish		5.5 11/2(+0%)																															(2) Gortmillish 11/2, 2 wins from 4 runs this season. Respectable seventh of 20 in handicap hurdle at Cheltenham (24f, soft, 11/1) 22 days ago. Trainer going well. In the mix. 7th at Cheltenham last month on h'cap debut; mark probably stiff enough.

LTO Selection:

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SLANE HILL makes his seasonal reappearance reverting to hurdles but likes soft ground and is rated 7lb lower in this sphere than over fences. He was progressive last winter until a February disappointment, but returned to win a Kilbeggan beginners' chase when upped in trip and remains a fraction unexposed at staying distances over hurdles. Gortmillish is race-fit, stays well and is in-form but might ideally prefer a sound surface while lightly-weighted stablemate Arctic Ambition is also suited by good ground and disappointed at Cheltenham last month. Another stablemate Jumping Jet ran well under a 7lb claimer at Punchestown in June but isn't first-string. Miss Tempo, who chased home high-class Love Envoi in a 2021 bumper, pulled up at the Galway festival but returns from a break.

Gordon Elliott holds a strong hand here and his handily-weighted ARCTIC AMBITION is fancied to resume winning ways now reverted to hurdles having failed to last home over 25f at Cheltenham last time. In-form stablemate Jumping Jet is feared most with Gortmillish taken to complete a clean sweep for the yard.

If SLANE HILL is fully tuned up for his return, he could be hard to beat having run a big race on chase debut when last seen

13:55 Navan Handicap Hurdle 22f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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14:30 Navan Handicap Chase 24f - 21 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
22	22 (22) (250/1 -56%) Cavalry Master		250 250/1(-56%)																															(22) Cavalry Master 250/1, Six wins from 19 NH runs. Ninth of 14 in handicap chase (50/1) at Cork (28f, soft) 14 days ago. Yard having good spell but others are preferred. Tailed off in 2 starts since joining this yard after a lengthy absence and 2lb wrong here.
1	2 1st (2) (20/1 +9%) Coko Beach		20 20/1(+9%)																															(2) Coko Beach 20/1, C&D winner. Good 2¾ lengths third of 12 to Gevrey in handicap chase at Limerick (24f, heavy, 20/1) 28 days ago. Stable in good form. Not ruled out. As good as ever when 3rd in Munster National but vulnerable to better treated sorts.
2	12 2nd (12) (4/1 +60%) Limerick Lace		4 4/1(+60%)																															(12) Limerick Lace 4/1, 1 win from 1 run this season. 9/4, won 5-runner minor event chase at Clonmel (18.3f, heavy) 24 days ago, readily. Significantly up in trip. Can make her presence felt. Progressive and arguably career best on return; stamina to prove but no issue on pedigree.
3	14 3rd (14) (28/1 +30%) Fakir D'alene		28 28/1(+30%)																															(14) Fakir D'alene 28/1, Latest win in chase at Thurles in January 2022. 22/1, brought down first in handicap chase at Fairyhouse (29.2f, good to soft). Off 19 months. Market can guide. 2nd in a point last month; not seen under rules since April 2022 and looks risky.
4	18 4th (18) (22/1 +0%) Dunboyne		22 22/1(+0%)																															(18) Dunboyne 22/1, Blinkered for 1st time, pulled up in handicap chase at Aintree (34.3f, good, 50/1), pulled up circuit out. Off 7 months. Significantly down in trip. Stable having good spell. Unreliable type. Didn't run a race in the National; this test will suit better but tough on return.
5th	16 5th (16) (40/1 -233%) Frontal Assault		40 40/1(-233%)																															(16) Frontal Assault 40/1, Respectable 11 lengths seventh of 12 to Gevrey in handicap chase (13/2) at Limerick (24f, heavy) 28 days ago. Stable having good spell. No forlorn hope. Won beginners' last year but this sort of mark has looked tough since; may want it quicker.
6th	15 6th (15) (14/1 +22%) Watch House Cross		14 14/1(+22%)																															(15) Watch House Cross 14/1, 2 wins from 4 runs this season. 14¼ lengths third of 5 to Sharjah in Like A Butterfly Novices' Chase at Tipperary (20.1f, soft, 13/2) 49 days ago. Makes handicap chase debut. Possibilities. Won twice in summer but stamina to prove up in trip here; particularly on heavy.
7th	4 7th (4) (9/2 +10%) Thedevilscoachman		4.5 9/2(+10%)																															(4) Thedevilscoachman 9/2, Latest win in chase at Limerick in March. Pulled up in handicap chase at Fairyhouse (29f, soft, 7/1), pulled up last. Off 7 months. Shaped like he didn't stay when pulled up in Irish National; interesting down in trip.
8th	21 8th (21) (40/1 -21%) Royal Thief		40 40/1(-21%)																															(21) Royal Thief 40/1, 6/1, first run since leaving Henry De Bromhead when below form eighth of 14 in handicap chase at Cork (28f, soft) 14 days ago. Stable in good form. Blinkers on 1st time, tongue strap on 1st time. Won Punchestown h'cap chase in January; nothing since and comeback was devoid of promise.
9th	3 9th (3) (10/1 -18%) Run Wild Fred		10 10/1(-18%)																															(3) Run Wild Fred 10/1, C&D winner. 14/1, shaped well when 5¾ lengths fifth of 12 to Gevrey in handicap chase at Limerick (24f, heavy) 28 days ago. Trainer going well. Player. Encouraging return behind Gevrey; fairly treated on best form; may want it a bit quicker.
19	19 |B| (19) (10/1 +0%) Largy Debut		10 10/1(+0%)																															(19) Largy Debut 10/1, Good 2¼ lengths second of 12 to Gevrey in handicap chase at Limerick (24f, heavy, 11/2) 28 days ago. Twelve runs since last win in 2021. Consistent; 2nd to Gevrey last month but needs to build on that in deeper race.
1	1 |F| (1) (12/1 +14%) Farouk D'alene		12 12/1(+14%)																															(1) Farouk D'alene 12/1, C&D winner. Running well when fell 2 out in Brown Advisory Novices' Chase (Broadway) (9/2) at Cheltenham (24.4f, soft) in March 2022. Market can guide on comeback run. Running well when last seen in 2022's Brown Advisory before coming down but off 613 days.
7	7 |F| (7) (25/1 +11%) Diol Ker		25 25/1(+11%)																															(7) Diol Ker 25/1, First run since leaving Noel Meade when respectable fifth of 14 in handicap chase (14/1) at Cork (28f, soft) 14 days ago. Stable in good form. Enters calculations. Narrowly denied in valuable h'cap last Christmas; struggled since; needed his return.
10th	17 10th (17) (20/1 +9%) Defi Bleu		20 20/1(+9%)																															(17) Defi Bleu 20/1, 14/1, still close up when unseated rider 5 out in handicap chase at Limerick (24f, heavy) 28 days ago won by Gevrey. Yard in good form. Needs considering. Well held 8th in this last year in similar conditions; unseated on this year's return.
11th	20 11th (20) (50/1 -52%) Punitive		50 50/1(-52%)																															(20) Punitive 50/1, Latest win in chase at Fairyhouse in December. 50/1, fell 16th in handicap chase at Fairyhouse (29f, soft). Off 7 months. Yard in good form. Not one to dismiss. Strong stayer but lost his way at end of last term and tough ask on his return here.
8	8 |PU| (8) (7/1 -17%) Hollow Games		7 7/1(-17%)																															(8) Hollow Games 7/1, Promising third of 22 in handicap chase at Galway (22.5f, good to soft, 9/1) 109 days ago, finishing with running left. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Has to be taken seriously stepping up in trip. 3rd in Galway Plate when last seen; unexposed at this trip; tries first-time cheekpieces.
6	6 |PU| (6) (8/1 +11%) Ain't That A Shame		8 8/1(+11%)																															(6) Ain't That A Shame 8/1, Latest win in chase at Gowran in March. 8/1, respectable ninth of 17 in handicap chase at Listowel (24f, soft) 60 days ago. In the mix. Didn't stay when well punted for National; low-key return but could be on a good mark.
5	5 |PU| (5) (16/1 -60%) Gevrey		16 16/1(-60%)																															(5) Gevrey 16/1, Career best when winning 12-runner handicap chase at Limerick (24f, heavy, 6/1) 28 days ago by 2¼ lengths from Largy Debut, travelling strongly. Yard in good form. Ought to be in the shake-up. Stayed on best to land last month's Munster National; this looks tougher and he's up 8lb.
9	9 |PU| (9) (28/1 -133%) Macs Charm		28 28/1(-133%)																															(9) Macs Charm 28/1, 7/1, career best when winning 12-runner handicap chase at Fairyhouse (24.6f, soft), driven out. Off 7 months. Not ruled out. Beaten 6l by Ain't That A Shame before Fairyhouse h'cap win; 6lb rise fine; respected.
13	13 |PU| (13) (66/1 -200%) Tullybeg		66 66/1(-200%)																															(13) Tullybeg 66/1, 2 wins from 3 runs this season. 4/1, won 6-runner minor event hurdle at Down Royal (24f, good to soft) 79 days ago. Switches from hurdles to chase. Stable in good form. Can go well again. Won Listed chase at Ballinrobe and won over hurdles latest but not well treated.
11	11 |PU| (11) (66/1 -32%) Epson Du Houx		66 66/1(-32%)																															(11) Epson Du Houx 66/1, 13/2, first run since leaving Henry De Bromhead when eighth of 10 in handicap chase at Cork (17.6f, good to soft) 35 days ago. Stable in good form. Shortlisted. Struggled with his jumping in National and low-key return at Cork; mark fine but risky.

LTO Selection:

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Gordon Elliott looks set to run a record 15 horses in one race here and perhaps his GEVREY can win. Initially largely untested over staying distances, he improved to finish second in April's Irish National and while 8lb higher than when winning the recent Munster National, might continue to progress. He beat Largy Debut and stablemate Coko Beach into second and third respectively at Limerick. Ain't That A Shame finished second to last year's winner The Big Dog in the 2022 Munster National, is closely matched with Macs Charm on Gowran-form last March and might improve from his Kerry National reappearance run. Run Wild Fred finished fifth to the selection in the recent Munster National and having won the 2021 renewal of this race as a novice, is clearly suited by conditions. Thedevilscoachman was pulled up in April's Irish National but is a smart type on his day and stays this distance. Limerick Lace has more on her plate than when winning at Clonmel but is ridden by a 5lb claimer.

Gordon Elliott saddles over half the field here and his well-weighted HOLLOW GAMES is fancied to lead his mighty contingent home on the back of his promising Galway third. Stablemate Run Wild Fred can boast a C&D win and is next on the list ahead of other Elliott inmates in the shape of Gevrey, Coko Beach and Tullybeg.

The ground will really play into the strengths of AIN'T THAT A SHAME who has had excuses on his last 2 runs but this test should suit

14:30 Navan Handicap Chase 24f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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15:05 Navan Maiden Chase 20f - 6 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	1 1st (1) (9/4 +44%) American Mike		2.25 9/4(+44%)																															(1) American Mike 9/4, Useful hurdler. 13/2, 14¼ lengths fourth of 6 to Hercule Du Seuil in Hardy Eustace Novices' Hurdle at Fairyhouse (16f, good to soft). Ex-pointer with the scope to make a better chaser, so makes plenty of appeal. Looked like a top prospect in bumper days but didn't kick on over timber.
2	2 2nd (2) (8/11 -9%) Fact To File		0.727273 8/11(-9%)																															(2) Fact To File 8/11, Smart winner at 20f in bumpers. 16/5, 1¼ lengths second of 21 to A Dream To Share in Champion Bumper at Cheltenham (16.4f, soft). Off 8 months. Winning pointer and notable that connections go straight to chasing. Point and bumper winner; 2nd to A Dream To Share last twice incl' Champion bumper.
3	4 3rd (4) (16/1 -33%) Lets Go Champ		16 16/1(-33%)																															(4) Lets Go Champ 16/1, Useful winner at 20f over hurdles. 14/1, very good second of 25 in handicap hurdle at Punchestown (23.6f, good to soft). Off 6 months. Notable chasing debutant. Will probably need to improve for chasing to have say; Blackmore prefers Spirit Of Legend.
4	7 4th (7) (9/1 +18%) Spirit Of Legend		9 9/1(+18%)																															(7) Spirit Of Legend 9/1, Useful hurdler. Below form thirteenth of 21 in handicap hurdle (25/1) at Cheltenham (20.2f, good to soft), unable to sustain effort. Off 8 months. Makes chase debut. Maiden hurdle winner at this meeting last year; lost his way a little but has a squeak.
5th	3 5th (3) (12/1 -85%) Landrake		12 12/1(-85%)																															(3) Landrake 12/1, Useful hurdler. Good second of 5 in novice hurdle at this course (22f, heavy, 9/4). Off 8 months. Makes chase debut. Doesn't make as much appeal as his stablemate but still deserves respect. Useful novice hurdler and could improve for a fence; just about best of these over timber.
6	6 |PU| (6) (250/1 -150%) Quickbuck		250 250/1(-150%)																															(6) Quickbuck 250/1, 80/1, thirteenth of 15 in handicap hurdle at Sligo (17.8f, good to soft) 101 days ago. Makes chase debut. Has really struggled for form since leaving Nicky Henderson and hard to make a case for.

LTO Selection:

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High-class FACT TO FILE follows the same path taken by his trainer's Florida Pearl and Missed That in going straight from bumpers to fences. The only horse to beat him last season was A Dream To Share and while this route is somewhat unorthodox, he is a mature six-year-old point-to-point winner. American Mike himself finished second in a Cheltenham Festival Bumper, in 2022, and while his novice hurdle-season was underwhelming, has the size to make a better chaser, although might struggle to beat the selection. Stablemate Landrake was rated 135 over hurdles and debuts over fences on reappearance. Spirit Of Legend and stablemate Lets Go Champ were similarly rated over hurdles but need to improve to win this while My Immortal didn't run last season, despite being a non-runner last December and February.

This has the makings of a really strong beginners chase and, while AMERICAN MIKE gets the nod given his scope to improve in this discipline, he faces stern opposition in the form of Fact To File. Lets Go Champ has also achieved plenty over hurdles and appeals as the type to make a better chaser, so he's another one to consider.

Champion Bumper runner-up FACT TO FILE has a decent French jumps pedigree and it's probably telling he goes straight over fences

15:05 Navan Maiden Chase 20f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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15:40 Navan NH Flat Race 16f - 10 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	3 1st (3) (5/4 +50%) Only By Night		1.25 5/4(+50%)																															(3) Only By Night 5/4, First run since leaving Jonjo O'Neill when won 9-runner bumper at Limerick (16f, heavy, 9/4) 29 days ago, travelling strongly. Likely to do better still, so worth considering. Point winner; shaped okay in Warwick bumper on heavy; similar conditions here will help.
2	7 2nd (7) (20/1 -25%) Mongibello		20 20/1(-25%)																															(7) Mongibello 20/1, £16,000 3-y-o, Authorized mare. Half-sister to 2 winners on Flat, including 6f 2-y-o winner in Poland Mary Mont. Third sole start in points. Stayed on for third in a point and likely to be unsuited by this drop in trip on rules bow.
3	9 3rd (9) (9/4 -125%) Qualimita		2.25 9/4(-125%)																															(9) Qualimita 9/4, €500,000 4-y-o, Muhtathir filly. Dam unraced half-sister to smart hurdler (stayed 2½m) Colonel Mustard. Successful sole start in points (Apr 21). Likely to make a winning start. Won 13-runner point in good style but more of a staying prospect; second-string.
4	4 4th (4) (11/1 -22%) Tarnova		11 11/1(-22%)																															(4) Tarnova 11/1, 40/1, won 17-runner bumper at Punchestown (16.6f, good) on NH debut 40 days ago, well on top finish. Worth a go at this level. Gutsy performance when winning at 40-1 on debut but very different ground here.
5th	10 5th (10) (16/1 +20%) Theflyingbee		16 16/1(+20%)																															(10) Theflyingbee 16/1, Twice-raced maiden. 9/2, third of 14 in bumper at Galway (16.6f, soft) 69 days ago. Tongue strap on 1st time. Not beaten far in either bumper start so far; promising sort but needs to settle better.
6th	1 6th (1) (7/1 +22%) Roedora		7 7/1(+22%)																															(1) Roedora 7/1, 2 wins from 3 runs this season. 9/4, won 12-runner bumper at Down Royal (16.9f, good to soft) 79 days ago. Potentiall vulnerable in this company, though. Won 2 of her 3 starts and more to come; yet to experience testing ground; concedes weight.
7th	6 7th (6) (100/1 -52%) Miss Gherkin		100 100/1(-52%)																															(6) Miss Gherkin 100/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 40/1, 49 lengths last of 13 to Junta Marvel in EBF (Mares) INH Flat Race at Punchestown (16.3f, good to soft), weakening quickly. Off 6 months. Tailed off in mares' Gr 3 when last seen; bit of promise previously but tough ask here.
8th	5 8th (5) (9/1 +0%) Disco Dancer		9 9/1(+0%)																															(5) Disco Dancer 9/1, €115,000 3-y-o, Snow Sky filly. Half-sister to bumper winner/smart hurdler Hillcrest and fair hurdler Bold Record. Dam (c132/h139) 2¼m/19f hurdle/chase winner, also 2m winner on Flat. Deserves respect based on pedigree/connections. Snow Sky filly; 115,000eur 3yo; half-sister to heavy ground lover Hillcrest; one to note.
9th	2 9th (2) (150/1 -500%) Cast A Spell		150 150/1(-500%)																															(2) Cast A Spell 150/1, Winner in bumper at Southwell in June. Switches from hurdles to bumpers. Rejoined yard after leaving Gary Moore. Visor on 1st time. Won Southwell bumper for Gary Moore before pulling up when an even money fav.
10th	8 10th (8) (100/1 +0%) Pebble Bleu		100 100/1(+0%)																															(8) Pebble Bleu 100/1, Thrice-raced maiden under NH rules. Twelfth of 18 in novice hurdle (50/1) at Cork (20f, soft) 14 days ago. Switches from hurdles to bumpers. Distant 5th at Clonmel was promising but tailed off since and plenty to find regardless.

LTO Selection:

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QUALIMITA was bought for a cool 500,000 euros following her impressive Fairyhouse point-to-point win for Colin Bowe last April and debuts for leading connections. That form is nothing special despite the runner-up being bumper-placed subsequently, but she sauntered to a 30-length victory and it is notable she contests a Listed bumper first time out. Only By Night also won effortlessly and impressively on heavy ground at Limerick last month, when conceding weight to the lesser placed-horses. She seems progressive and while open to further improvement, her Warwick defeat last February is nonetheless a small concern and also concedes 4lb to the selection. Roedara is a dual winner and while capable, faces a tougher task on differing ground than when winning at Down Royal and has top weight. Tarnova was a surprise debut winner last month and steps up in grade while Disco Dancer, a 115,000-euro store, runs in a first-time tongue-tie. Mongibello ran well behind two subsequent racecourse winners on Oldtown point-to-point debut last February.

QUALIMITA cost half a million euros on the back of a ready point success and, given her handler has felt it necessary to go for listed success immediately, she's clearly held in high regard. Only By Night and Tarnova are both above-average types who give the selection something to aim at.

This can go the way of ONLY BY NIGHT who bolted up in similar ground on yard debut last month and she can come on for that run

15:40 Navan NH Flat Race 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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Racecard Key

Ths is the racecard key.

Icon	Meaning
	TomForm top stats, gold rated
	TomForm top stats silver rated
	Ran similar race before
S	TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out
T	Top Time speeed rated
	Top Racingpost rated
	At the races watchout for
	At the races top pick
	Top rated for thet statistic

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How to use Tomform

Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.

This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.

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About U.K Horse Racing

Horse racing is a popular and historic sport in the UK, with a tradition dating back centuries. It is a multi-billion pound industry that attracts millions of spectators each year and generates significant economic activity.

There are two main types of horse racing in the UK: flat racing and jump racing. Flat racing is run on a level course and is typically shorter in distance, while jump racing involves horses jumping over obstacles and is generally longer in distance. Both types of racing are popular with spectators and bettors, and they take place at various racetracks throughout the country.

The most famous horse racing event in the UK is the Grand National, which is held annually at Aintree Racecourse in Liverpool. It is a jump racing event that is known for its challenging course and has become a national institution in the UK. Other notable horse racing events in the UK include the Derby, held at Epsom Downs Racecourse in Surrey, and the Royal Ascot, held at Ascot Racecourse in Berkshire.

Horse racing in the UK is regulated by the British Horseracing Authority (BHA), which sets rules and standards for the industry. It is responsible for the welfare of racehorses and the safety of jockeys and trainers, as well as ensuring fair and transparent racing practices.

In addition to its economic and cultural importance, horse racing in the UK also plays a significant role in the breeding and training of thoroughbred horses. Many of the world's top thoroughbreds are bred and trained in the UK, and the industry plays a vital role in the preservation and promotion of the breed.

Overall, horse racing is an integral part of British culture and a major contributor to the country's economy. It is a thrilling and exciting sport that continues to attract a loyal following and generate significant interest from spectators and bettors around the world.

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