Perth Races & Results Tomform Thursday 27th April 2023
There were 44 Races on Thursday 27th April 2023 across 6 meetings. There was 8 races at Perth, 8 races at Warwick, 7 races at Beverley, 8 races at Punchestown, 6 races at Taunton, 7 races at Chelmsford-City, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.
Races & Results Thursday 27th April 2023
The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.
(2) Poetic Music 0.91/1, Successful on 3 of her 4 bumper starts last season and made it 2-4 over hurdles when defying a penalty at Carlisle (19.3f) in February, suited by emphasis on speed up in trip. Outclassed in first-time cheekpieces (left off here) in Dawn Run subsequently but has leading claims back in calmer waters. Having a pleasing first season over hurdles until getting outclassed at Cheltenham.
2
1
2nd (1) (2.75/1 +0%) Magical Maggie
2.75
2.75/1(+0%)
(1) Magical Maggie 2.75/1, Dual bumper scorer who resumed winning ways after a 3-month break down in grade in 12-runner Ludlow novice (good to soft) 24 days ago, readily. A double penalty makes life tougher but she's respected nonetheless. Back on song when quickening away over 2m at Ludlow (soft) this month.
3
4
3rd (4) (25/1 -56%) Beauty To Behold
25
25/1(-56%)
(4) Beauty To Behold 25/1, Winning Irish pointer who showed more than previously under Rules in a first-time hood when fourth in 14-runner novice at Kelso (18.1f, good) 10 days ago, finishing with running left. That form possibly isn't worth a great deal, though. Winning pointer who perked up for the hood when fourth in a Kelso novice.
4
3
4th (3) (3.2/1 -28%) Midnight Shuffle
3.2
3.2/1(-28%)
(3) Midnight Shuffle 3.2/1, Bumper winner at Kelso in 2021 who has improved with each run over hurdles, off the mark in a Musselburgh novice in February and has shown better form in defeat both outings since, including in first-time cheekpieces on handicap debut at Kelso last time. Much respected. Ran her best race yet to finish runner-up in a valuable handicap for mares at Kelso.
5th
6
5th (6) (10/1 -11%) Donso Star
10
10/1(-11%)
(6) Donso Star 10/1, Unplaced in bumpers but showed more than first time up over hurdles when third in 8-runner maiden at Musselburgh (17.4f) 34 days ago, running on late. Possibilities if taking another step forward. Showed marked improvement to finish third at Musselburgh; each-way hopes.
6th
5
6th (5) (66/1 +34%) Bollin Matilda
66
66/1(+34%)
(5) Bollin Matilda 66/1, Has hinted at ability but will be of more interest in handicaps after this run. Has failed to finish within 20l of the principals in a bumper and two maiden hurdles.
7th
12
7th (12) (150/1 -50%) Tangiers
150
150/1(-50%)
(12) Tangiers 150/1, Raced freely when down the field in bumpers and has shown little in maiden/novice hurdles. Hooded for 1st time. Beaten out of sight when third at Musselburgh and then pulled up at Wetherby.
8th
8
8th (8) (50/1 +50%) Fllana Bay
50
50/1(+50%)
(8) Fllana Bay 50/1, Has hinted at ability on a couple of occasions but will be better off in handicaps. Low-level form so far and her third at Hexham was remote.
9th
9
9th (9) (250/1 -150%) Jean Armour
250
250/1(-150%)
(9) Jean Armour 250/1, Well held only start in bumpers at Ayr and was pulled up on hurdling debut there last time. Tongue strap on for 1st time. Never dangerous when beaten 16l in a bumper and failed to complete on her hurdling debut.
10th
11
10th (11) (250/1 -150%) Popatango
250
250/1(-150%)
(11) Popatango 250/1, €24,000 3-y-o, Getaway mare. Closely related to fairly useful hurdler Lucky Road. Dam, lightly raced in points, half-sister to top-class chaser (stayed 25f) Road To Respect. Little show in points, pulled up again last time (Nov 2022). No more than minor promise in Irish points and makes very limited appeal.
11th
10
11th (10) (300/1 -50%) Parelli Power
300
300/1(-50%)
(10) Parelli Power 300/1, Tailed off in pair of bumpers/maiden hurdles. Tailed off in all four runs divided between bumpers and maiden hurdles.
7
7
|PU| (7) (150/1 -355%) Elmley Lovett
150
150/1(-355%)
(7) Elmley Lovett 150/1, Showed little in a maiden hurdle (28/1) at Wetherby (21.2f, soft) on debut 4 weeks ago. Down in trip. 28-1 when a weakener at Wetherby (2m5f, soft).
LTO Selection:
13:30 Perth Novices Hurdle (Class 4) 16f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
It is difficult to predict with certainty which horse will do well based solely on this summary, as it does not provide enough information about the quality of the competition or other factors that could impact the outcome of the race. However, some horses that appear to have potential include 2.5/1 (3) MIDNIGHT SHUFFLE, who ran well in a valuable handicap for mares at Kelso, and 1.38/1 (2) POETIC MUSIC, who has had a successful season over hurdles and could bounce back after being outclassed at Cheltenham. 2.75/1 (1) MAGICAL MAGGIE is also worth considering despite a double penalty, as she has had success in the past and showed improvement in her most recent race. Other horses, such as 100/1 (5) BOLLIN MATILDA and 100/1 (11) POPATANGO, have not shown significant promise in their previous races and may be less likely to perform well.
MIDNIGHT SHUFFLE bounced back to form with an excellent runner-up effort in a valuable novices' handicap at Kelso last month and this looks like a winnable affair on paper. Magical Poetic Music drops in class having contested the Mares' Novice at Cheltenham and has to enter calculations, while Donso Star and Beauty To Behold could fight it out for the minor honours.
MIDNIGHT SHUFFLE underlined she's still improving when beaten only by one thrown in on her Kelso handicap debut last month and, with the performance backed up by the timefigure, she makes plenty of appeal. Poetic Music will find this much more suitable than the Dawn Run and must be feared, along with Magical Maggie.
This is a good opportunity for POETIC MUSIC to bounce back from her forgivable no-show at Cheltenham.
(13) Kajaki 16/1, Pair of Sedgefield wins in 2022 but not at his best in 4 starts since, ending up being beaten a lot further than looked likely for most of the way at Market Rasen (20.6f, good to soft) earlier this month. Visor reapplied. Well below his best since returning from a break and stopped quickly last time.
2
5
2nd (5) (7.5/1 -25%) Kingston Bridge
7.5
7.5/1(-25%)
(5) Kingston Bridge 7.5/1, Bumper winner who showed a likeable attitude to get off the mark in this sphere at the second attempt at Carlisle (19.3f, soft) last month, finding plenty to get the better off one that refused to lie down. Could have more to offer now handicapping. Doubled his tally in a 2m3f soft-ground maiden at Carlisle when going away at the finish.
3
2
3rd (2) (9/1 +36%) Anti Bridgie
9
9/1(+36%)
(2) Anti Bridgie 9/1, Posted fair form in winning her first 2 starts over hurdles, latest in a 5-runner novice at Kelso (20.9f, soft, 7/2) in December. Not so good in pair of handicaps this year (had breathing operation prior to latest start) so easy enough to look elsewhere. Encouraging third at Newbury and good reason to believe she'll improve on that.
4
8
4th (8) (16/1 +0%) Split The Bill
16
16/1(+0%)
(8) Split The Bill 16/1, Just minor promise in 3 starts over hurdles so far but could have more to offer sent handicapping upped in trip. Worth a second look in the betting. Some novice promise but this mark looks no gift for his handicap debut.
5th
10
5th (10) (28/1 -155%) Wearelongterm
28
28/1(-155%)
(10) Wearelongterm 28/1, Winning pointer who failed to justify short-priced favouritism fitted with cheekpieces when fourth in a Clonmel hunter in January for Gordon Elliott. Failed to land a blow on both starts over hurdles at Carlisle but could show more on handicap debut. Third last time; still lightly raced and could improve for going into handicaps.
6th
4
6th (4) (12/1 +33%) Asserted
12
12/1(+33%)
(4) Asserted 12/1, Progressive winning novice hurdler for Joseph O'Brien in Ireland in summer 2021. Failed to land a blow on both outings for Christian Williams later that year so needs this switch of yard/first-time headgear to spark some sort of revival after 17 months off. Maiden winner in Ireland; could be on a fair mark but wellbeing is a grey area.
7th
14
7th (14) (7.5/1 -36%) Petite Rhapsody
7.5
7.5/1(-36%)
(14) Petite Rhapsody 7.5/1, Off the mark under this pilot over C&D last April and made frame on 4 of next 5 starts at up to 3m last summer. Reappearance effort at Hexham last month easily excused so no surprise to see a good showing with that under his belt. Heavy ground at Hexham last time wasn't really his thing; does better here.
8th
7
8th (7) (8.5/1 +47%) Okavango Delta
8.5
8.5/1(+47%)
(7) Okavango Delta 8.5/1, Got off the mark in first-time cheekpieces at Doncaster in November but hasn't threatened in three runs since. Visor applied and not without hope from a sliding mark. Won in first-time cheekpieces so could revive now fitted with more new headgear.
9th
9
9th (9) (2.75/1 +31%) Ninetofive
2.75
2.75/1(+31%)
(9) Ninetofive 2.75/1, Tongue tied and has progressed on each start over hurdles, showing much improved form despite being kept to 2m after 4 months off (had breathing operation) when runner-up at Hexham 6 weeks ago. More to come on handicap debut upped in distance. Showed the benefit of wind surgery to go close in a 2m maiden on heavy ground at Hexham.
1
1
|F| (1) (18/1 -13%) Moonlight Spirit
18
18/1(-13%)
(1) Moonlight Spirit 18/1, Smart stayer on Flat in 2019 for Charlie Appleby and made a winning hurdles debut at Carlisle in December 2021. Little promise in 3 subsequent starts however, so percentage call is to look elsewhere despite a tumbling mark and first-time cheekpieces applied. Questions to answer after three below-par efforts following a long absence.
10th
12
10th (12) (12/1 -85%) Rickety Gate
12
12/1(-85%)
(12) Rickety Gate 12/1, Returned in fine form in the autumn, justifying strong support at Kelso (21f) in October and following up at Musselburgh (3m) in November. Shaped as if still in good order before departing late in hat-trick bid at Doncaster in January so not discounted after a break. Thereabouts when falling three out last time and still feasibly treated by the looks.
11th
3
11th (3) (6.5/1 +28%) Lihyan
6.5
6.5/1(+28%)
(3) Lihyan 6.5/1, Comfortable winner of Cork maiden hurdle (17f) last summer but still to reproduce his Irish form for current yard, only mid-field on handicap debut at Doncaster (16.6f, good, 6/1) early last month. Remains early days so too soon to be writing him off. Beaten about 15l the last twice, latterly on his handicap debut.
11
11
|PU| (11) (25/1 -108%) Loukarak
25
25/1(-108%)
(11) Loukarak 25/1, Fair form shown over both hurdles and fences, latest when 3½ lengths second of 4 in 3-y-o event at Dax on chasing debut 7 months ago. Interesting to see what the market makes of him on first start for this yard/in a handicap back over hurdles. Placed over hurdles and fences during a light career in France; market may guide.
6
6
|PU| (6) (40/1 -150%) Avoid De Master
40
40/1(-150%)
(6) Avoid De Master 40/1, In fine form last spring, bagging handicap chases at Hexham (3m) and Market Rasen. However, he ran a shocker at Newcastle on Boxing Day and while his mark is now considerably lower, he arrives with questions to answer. Better known as a chaser these days (3-11); pulled up in the latest.
LTO Selection:
14:00 Perth Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 20f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Based on the summary, 4/1 (9) NINETOFIVE and 6.5/1 (12) RICKETY GATE seem like strong contenders. 4/1 (9) NINETOFIVE has shown improvement with wind surgery and has progressed on each start over hurdles, while 6.5/1 (12) RICKETY GATE returned in fine form in the autumn and was shaping up for a hat-trick before falling late in his last race. 16/1 (8) SPLIT THE BILL and 16/1 (1) MOONLIGHT SPIRIT may be worth considering as possible dark horses, while 16/1 (6) AVOID DE MASTER and 20/1 (13) KAJAKI seem less likely to perform well.
The in-form RICKETY GATE was still very much in contention when falling two out at Doncaster in January and he can gain compensation on this occasion. Dropping back in trip should not inconvenience him either as he looks to see off the likes of Carlisle winner Kingston Bridge, and Ninetofive, who could be dangerous on his handicap debut. Others to note include Anti Bridgie, Okavango Delta and Wearelongterm.
Several in with a squeak but NINETOFIVE showed much improved form on the back of a breathing operation when runner-up at Hexham 6 weeks ago and, with the potential forbetter to come now tackling a longer trip, Sandy Thomson's 6-y-o can make a winning start to life in handicaps. Rickety Gate was in good form when last seen in the winter so he may emerge as the main danger after a 3-month break, with Kingston Bridge and stable-switcher Asserted another couple to consider.
The mare ANTI BRIDGIE ran a solid race last time at Newbury and there's reason to believe she can step up on that form.
(7) Victory Echo 5.5/1, Now 7 lb below last winning mark and produced his best effort for a while when third in a 6-runner Musselburgh (20.3f, good to soft) handicap last month. Failed to back that up at Carlisle since, however. Has finished third and nowhere in his three runs since returning to fences.
2
3
2nd (3) (9/1 -125%) Flying Verse
9
9/1(-125%)
(3) Flying Verse 9/1, Has hardly proved reliable this season but had a good spell over fences recording back-to-back wins at Stratford (22.6f) and Musselburgh (31.5f) in October/November. Resumed winning ways at Doncaster last month but only sixth off revised mark in similar event at Wincanton since. Poor last time; goes without Ned Fox's claim here and he'll need to be right on it.
3
2
3rd (2) (18/1 -200%) Smuggler's Blues
18
18/1(-200%)
(2) Smuggler's Blues 18/1, Snapped a losing run in first-time cheekpieces at Warwick last winter and would've gone close but for falling at the second-last at Wincanton in December. However, disappointed next 2 starts so needs to bounce back in a change of headgear. Unpredictable and tries blinkers, but he's slipped back to his last winning mark.
4
4
4th (4) (1.5/1 +33%) Caboy
1.5
1.5/1(+33%)
(4) Caboy 1.5/1, Snapped a losing sequence stretching back to 2018 in 7-runner handicap chase at Wetherby under this rider. Decent second at Newcastle since and of interest taking on fellow veterans for the first time. Long time since he ran over this far but he comes here at the top of his game.
5th
6
5th (6) (50/1 -127%) Wolfcatcher
50
50/1(-127%)
(6) Wolfcatcher 50/1, Winless since 2018 and showed nothing after 17 months off at Musselburgh in February. Change of headgear. Failed to show any of his old spark when pulled up at Musselburgh after a long absence.
6th
5
6th (5) (4.5/1 +44%) Knocknamona
4.5
4.5/1(+44%)
(5) Knocknamona 4.5/1, Resumed winning ways at Newcastle in January and followed up at Carlisle a month later. Failed to land a blow next 2 starts but belated return to this longer trip could suit. Player. Has struggled the last twice after edging up the weights; has been running over shorter.
1
1
|PU| (1) (3.33/1 -11%) Niceandeasy
3.33
3.33/1(-11%)
(1) Niceandeasy 3.33/1, Took well to fences last season, winning brace of small-field handicaps. Looked rusty when fifth on return at Carlisle (26f) in October and has been let down by jumping since. Drop back down in class should help. Jumping let him down when a well-held fourth of six finishers at Newcastle.
LTO Selection:
14:30 Perth Handicap Chase (Class 4) 24f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
2.25/1 (4) CABOY may do well based on the summary as he is coming in at the top of his game, having snapped a losing sequence and finishing decently in his recent races. 3/1 (1) NICEANDEASY and 8/1 (5) KNOCKNAMONA also have some potential based on their past successes and the drop in class/return to longer trip respectively. 4/1 (3) FLYING VERSE and 22/1 (6) WOLFCATCHER may not be as reliable options based on recent inconsistencies and poor performances. 6/1 (2) SMUGGLER'S BLUES is described as unpredictable but has potential if he bounces back with a change of headgear. 16/1 (7) VICTORY ECHO has not been performing strongly in his recent races.
A tentative vote goes to CABOY, who has not been outside the first two in his last four starts and has the potential to improve for going up in trip. A mark of 97 still looks manageable, and he may have too much for the capable Niceandeasy, who is 2lb lower than his last winning. Flying Verse and Smuggler's Blues, who sports first-time blinkers, appear best of the remainder.
This longer trip should prove more suitable for KNOCKNAMONA nowadays so he could be the answer. Caboy has been holding his form well and rates the biggest threat, while the drop back in class should help Niceandeasy.
It's been a long time since CABOY ran over this far but the rise in distance shouldn't present a problem and he's the safest option.
(4) Caius Marcius 20/1, Very durable veteran campaigner who ended last year in fine fettle, making it 3 wins from last 4 starts at Doncaster (24.4f) in November. Returns to action with yard going along nicely so certainly no forlorn hope re-united with Brian Hughes. Made it 3-3 since stepped up to 3m when digging deep at Doncaster; shorter trip no bother.
2
3
2nd (3) (0.57/1 +37%) Snake Roll
0.57
0.57/1(+37%)
(3) Snake Roll 0.57/1, Wide-margin winner of maiden/novice hurdles during second half of last year and he ran right up to his best when third in Kelso Grade 2 in March, rallying well flat to take a place on line. Very much of interest stepping back up in trip on handicap debut. Third in a 2m2f Grade 2 at Kelso last time and that's strong form; looks well handicapped..
3
5
3rd (5) (7.5/1 +25%) Glentruan
7.5
7.5/1(+25%)
(5) Glentruan 7.5/1, Dual hurdles winner who bounced back to form when runner-up at Catterick (19.3f) in February, ridden before last and running on. Not in same form at Ayr (20.5f) later that month but a 2-month break may have perked him up. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Could have some say should the application of cheekpieces help in any way.
4
2
4th (2) (3.5/1 +0%) Rafferty's Return
3.5
3.5/1(+0%)
(2) Rafferty's Return 3.5/1, Scored twice as a novice and all the better for his reappearance effort when digging deep to land Wetherby handicap (21.2f) on Boxing Day. Similar form with brace of in-the-frame efforts next 2 starts but not in same form under change of tactics at Uttoxeter (20f) latest. Better expected. Having a decent season before running flat at Uttoxeter; had a break since then.
5th
1
5th (1) (33/1 -136%) Blue Sari
33
33/1(-136%)
(1) Blue Sari 33/1, Confirmed plenty of ability remains when second in minor event hurdle at Clonmel (16.7f) in January but ran poorly (reportedly bled) when pulled up at Leopardstown (3m) the following month. Has since left Willie Mullins and betting may be a useful guide to expectations here. Risky having bled in the past but could beat these should the wheels stay on.
6
6
|PU| (6) (16/1 +0%) Zumbi
16
16/1(+0%)
(6) Zumbi 16/1, Third only start in bumpers and fair form when off the mark on hurdles debut at Cartmel (22f) back in May. Went the wrong way in 2 subsequent starts in novice company but he could well get back on track now handicapping returning from 8 months off. Market may prove a useful guide. Goes handicapping on the back of a lengthy absence; risks attached.
LTO Selection:
15:00 Perth Handicap Hurdle (Class 3) 20f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
5.5/1 (4) CAIUS MARCIUS is likely to do well based on the summary as the horse has a good track record, recently won at Doncaster and is returning to action with a yard going along nicely. The other horses have some potential but also have risks and uncertainties attached to them.
Caius Marcius won by a length over 3m at Doncaster last time and has been raised 3lb for that effort, which might not be enough to prevent him from going very close. However, the vote goes to the Lucinda Russell-trained SNAKE ROLL, who has contested Grade 2 company the last twice and wasn't beaten far into third in the latest of those outings at Kelso. The son of Jet Away now contests a handicap for the first time and could go well off what could prove to be a workable opening mark. Rafferty's Return completes the shortlist.
SNAKE ROLL's profile over hurdles is very much a positive one and, having shaped like this step back up in trip would suit when third in Grade 2 company at Kelso in March, he could well be the way to go now handicapping in this sphere. Glentruan has become somewhat hit-and-miss but is capable from this mark and feared. Veteran Caius Marcius completes the shortlist.
Lucinda Russell's SNAKE ROLL (nap) was beaten under 8l in a Grade 2 at Kelso that now looks very strong form.
(1) Whistleinthedark 1/1, Much improved since switched to fences, making it 3 from 3 in this sphere when scoring at Kempton last time. Every chance he'll complete the four-timer in a weak race for the grade. Front two clear when winning at Kempton and every chance of defying a 4lb rise.
2
2
2nd (2) (3/1 -9%) Riders Onthe Storm
3
3/1(-9%)
(2) Riders Onthe Storm 3/1, High-class chaser in his pomp who capitalised on sliding mark in the Old Roan Chase at Aintree (2½m, good to soft) on return. However, his record in recent years is very patchy and he hasn't really fired since. Very smart on his day and potentially well handicapped but he's so hard to predict.
3
4
3rd (4) (3.33/1 +33%) Cornerstone Lad
3.33
3.33/1(+33%)
(4) Cornerstone Lad 3.33/1, Smart hurdler who opened his chase account at Wetherby last January. Hit and miss this season but can make his presence felt if back on his game. Unproven over this distance. 1-13 over fences but has run a number of good races in defeat; rain brings him into it..
4
3
4th (3) (9/1 +0%) Kapcorse
9
9/1(+0%)
(3) Kapcorse 9/1, Clearly fragile and failed to beat a rival on first start since leaving Paul Nicholls at Newbury a month ago. Something to prove. Well handicapped but with questions to answer at the minute.
LTO Selection:
15:30 Perth Handicap Chase (Class 2) 20f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
Based on the summary, 0.8/1 (1) WHISTLEINTHEDARK is likely to do well as they have won their last three races and there is a weak race for the grade. 2.75/1 (2) RIDERS ONTHE STORM is said to be potentially well handicapped but hard to predict and has a patchy record in recent years. 5/1 (4) CORNERSTONE LAD has run good races in defeat but is unproven over this distance. 9/1 (3) KAPCORSE is described as well handicapped but with questions to answer at the minute and something to prove.
WHISTLEINTHEDARK landed the hat-trick on his most recent outing at Kempton when maintaining his unbeaten record over fences. With the likelihood of more to come in this sphere, he can prove too strong for the opposition. The main threat is likely to come from Riders Onthe Storm, who continues to drop in the weights and has champion jockey Brian Hughes booked. Cornerstone Lad would have claims based on his penultimate second at Haydock.
WHISTLEINTHEDARK has been highly progressive since switched to fences and he's fancied to stretch his unbeaten run over fences to four. Cornerstone Lad is the obvious danger as the other pair both have questions to answer.
The one most likely to give his true running is WHISTLEINTHEDARK and he's taken to complete a four-timer.
(5) Burbank 33/1, Classy chaser on his day but appears to be very much in decline judged on what he's shown in 3 appearances this season. Looks set for another struggle on what will be his first run in this sphere for over 2 years. Has pulled up in three handicap chases since his return from a year off.
2
7
2nd (7) (2.5/1 +44%) Shoeshine Boy
2.5
2.5/1(+44%)
(7) Shoeshine Boy 2.5/1, Ended last season on a winning note and again came good in the month of April when getting his head back in front at Carlisle (25f, good) 19 days ago. Clearly no issues stamina-wise but this looks more demanding. It was a weaker race he won at Carlisle and likely to need more off 3lb higher.
3
2
3rd (2) (2.75/1 +8%) Castle Rushen
2.75
2.75/1(+8%)
(2) Castle Rushen 2.75/1, Things haven't worked out for him over fences this season but returned to this sphere with a creditable effort in first-time cheekpieces at Newcastle (20.3f, soft), for all that his jumping wasn't foot perfect. Now tried in a visor and shapes as though this stamina test will be right up his street. Ran well returned to hurdles last time; should be bang there if taking to the new visor.
4
6
4th (6) (3.5/1 -17%) Miss Milano
3.5
3.5/1(-17%)
(6) Miss Milano 3.5/1, Endured a winless campaign during her first season in training last term but has won each of her 3 starts this time round, the latest at Doncaster (24.4f, good to soft) where she was returning from a 4-month break. More needed up 6 lb here but merits respect all the same. Won by 17l at Doncaster and the handicapper didn't go overboard with a 6lb rise.
5th
3
5th (3) (7.5/1 -88%) Grove Road
7.5
7.5/1(-88%)
(3) Grove Road 7.5/1, Sedgefield bumper winner on Rules debut/sole start last season and made it 2-2 over hurdles when landing a Hereford novice upped to 25.5f in December. However, turned over when odds on for a match at Hexham last month and more needed now pitched into a handicap. Only defeat came at the hands of an improver; competitive mark for his handicap debut.
4
4
|F| (4) (5/1 -11%) Salvino
5
5/1(-11%)
(4) Salvino 5/1, Winning pointer who got off the mark over hurdles in a 23f Kelso novice in November. Hasn't done a great deal wrong since, most recently finishing fifth of 12 in a Class 2 handicap back at Kelso (21f, soft), and moving back up in trip here will be no bad thing. Performed well in the majority of his five handicaps, beaten under 2l in three of them.
1
1
|PU| (1) (40/1 -60%) Alfa Mix
40
40/1(-60%)
(1) Alfa Mix 40/1, Dual hurdles scorer in Ireland in 2019 but winless since and ran no sort of a race in a handicap chase on debut for new yard at Wetherby. Hard to know what to expect of him back in this sphere (last seen over hurdles back in March 2020). Could be happier back over hurdles (2-7) and potentially on a perfectly fair mark.
LTO Selection:
16:05 Perth Handicap Hurdle (Class 3) 27f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
3/1 (6) MISS MILANO seems to be the most promising horse based on the summary. She has won all three of her starts this season, including a 17l victory at Doncaster, and her 6lb rise in handicap doesn't seem to have affected her too much. The other horses have either been struggling or have variables that make it hard to predict their performance, such as 3/1 (2) CASTLE RUSHEN trying a new visor and 25/1 (1) ALFA MIX returning to hurdles after running in handicap chases.
MISS MILANO returned from a break to hose up by 17 lengths at Doncaster over 3m and the daughter of Milan was leniently put up 6lb for that effort. This is a step up in class, but, considering the manner of that victory, it is likely she could prove tough to beat once more. The connections of Castle Rushen will be hoping a change in headgear to a first-time visor may bring out further improvement, while Salvino will appreciate the drop in class.
While he could do with brushing up on his jumping technique, CASTLE RUSHEN is nevertheless appealing having put in a good shift back in this sphere at Newcastle last time. He goes off the same mark here and both this step up in trip and the addition of more severe headgear (sports a first-time visor) are potentially positive factors. Stablemate Miss Milano is 3-3 this season and needs considering but Salvino, who looks pretty solid overall, is feared most.
(3) Duyfken 4/1, Fair form on the Flat in France and posted best effort in this sphere when second of 13 in juvenile handicap at Musselburgh (17.4f, good to soft) 34 days ago. Likely contender. Second of 13 at Musselburgh (2m1f, good to soft) five weeks ago on handicap hurdle debut.
2
9
2nd (9) (9/1 -29%) Darkest Day
9
9/1(-29%)
(9) Darkest Day 9/1, Back to winning ways when making all at Wetherby (16f, good to soft) 52 days ago, always holding on. 4 lb higher now but must enter calculations. Back up 4lb but old form was a fair bit better and there was more in the tank last time.
3
10
3rd (10) (4.5/1 +25%) El Jefe
4.5
4.5/1(+25%)
(10) El Jefe 4.5/1, Been operating below his best this season but shaped better than distance beaten at Sedgefield latest and is too well handicapped to dismiss. Tongue strap back on. Needs to better this season's form but he has been finishing closer with each run.
4
5
4th (5) (14/1 +50%) Just Dottie
14
14/1(+50%)
(5) Just Dottie 14/1, Yet to trouble the judge in 4 starts to date, including on handicap debut at Wetherby last month. Still early days, though. More was needed to make an impact on handicap debut last time and it was not forthcoming.
5th
11
5th (11) (6/1 +40%) My Macho Man
6
6/1(+40%)
(11) My Macho Man 6/1, Yet to score after 22 attempts over hurdles but he arrives in good nick, third in 2m Ayr handicap last month. Could make his presence felt in first-time blinkers. 0-22 hurdling; recent runs give a place chance, however; cheekpieces replaced by blinkers.
6th
12
6th (12) (8.5/1 +47%) More To Follow
8.5
8.5/1(+47%)
(12) More To Follow 8.5/1, Has yet to achieve much, including in handicaps on last 3 outings. Readily opposed from 3 lb out of the weights. Going handicapping on last three starts has not greatly boosted his fortunes.
7th
7
7th (7) (25/1 +38%) Ingleby Mackenzie
25
25/1(+38%)
(7) Ingleby Mackenzie 25/1, Fair handicap chaser in Ireland for Henry de Bromhead but yet to threaten for new yard, beaten a long way at Carlisle over timber earlier this month. There's been no revival on his six starts for this stable; well down the weights.
8th
8
8th (8) (9/1 +50%) Jack Yeats
9
9/1(+50%)
(8) Jack Yeats 9/1, Modest strike rate on the Flat and winless following 14 attempts over hurdles. Let down by jumping on chase debut in October and best watched back over the smaller obstacles here. Pulled up early on chase debut in October latest; place chance on hurdles form last summer.
9th
2
9th (2) (4.5/1 -29%) Thistlebuffs
4.5
4.5/1(-29%)
(2) Thistlebuffs 4.5/1, Run with credit both starts thus far, latest when fourth of 9 in novice hurdle at Wetherby (16f, soft) 27 days ago. Tongue strap now added for handicap debut and remains open to improvement. Tongue tied for this handicap debut; at such early stage of career, should bring potential.
10th
4
10th (4) (16/1 -129%) Jackhammer
16
16/1(-129%)
(4) Jackhammer 16/1, Won pair of handicaps here last year before scoring on level at Carlisle. However, not been at same level in either code since and makes limited appeal. 2-3 here and won this race last year; four months off before latest start (66-1).
LTO Selection:
16:40 Perth Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 16f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
It is difficult to determine which horse will do well based on this summary as each horse has varying levels of potential and form. However, 4/1 (3) DUYFKEN and 7/1 (9) DARKEST DAY seem to be the strongest contenders based on their recent performances and potential for improvement. 7/1 (4) JACKHAMMER may also have a chance due to their past success at this course, but their recent form is not as strong.
DUYFKEN was possibly a bit too keen in the early stages when he was edged out in a series final at Musselburgh last month, but a more settled approach could be enough for him to take full advantage of this drop in class. Bruce Lynn knows the selection well and his 3lb claim is a handy asset. The unexposed Thistlebuffs could have more to give with a tongue-tie now applied, while recent Wetherby winner Darkest Day is also feared off just 4lb higher.
There should be more to come from THISTLEBUFFS, who has acquitted himself well in a couple of novices and starts handicapping on a feasible mark. Duyfken and El Jefe head the list of dangers.
(10) Magic Mike 8/1, Made frame second start in points and Irish bumper efforts for John Halley also weren't devoid of promise. Yet to better poor form over jumps for his current yard, racing too freely without his usual hood (back on now) when 12½ lengths third of 8 in 2m Newcastle handicap latest. Newcastle 3rd (2m1f, heavy) latest was closest finish under rules, in his second handicap.
2
6
2nd (6) (20/1 +0%) Pateen
20
20/1(+0%)
(6) Pateen 20/1, Back to winning ways at Market Rasen in July but operating below his best at present and others more likely. Veteran who may well have needed the race when 40-1 in a series final on latest start.
3
7
3rd (7) (5.5/1 -267%) Sanitiser
5.5
5.5/1(-267%)
(7) Sanitiser 5.5/1, Useful handicapper on Flat for Paul & Oliver Cole. Below that level in juvenile hurdles for current yard but that Flat ability marks him down as one who could go on to better things in handicaps. Gets the vote. Handicap hurdle debut means he can't be dismissed, particularly given his useful Flat form.
4
2
4th (2) (5.5/1 +0%) Leopolds Rock
5.5
5.5/1(+0%)
(2) Leopolds Rock 5.5/1, Reached a fair level on the Flat over the winter and has scored twice over hurdles under Brian Hughes in the first half of this season. Fit from a couple of AW runs last month and respected with Hughes up again. May have needed the two Flat runs after his winter break; 6lb above his last winning mark.
5th
8
5th (8) (6/1 +45%) Derracrin
6
6/1(+45%)
(8) Derracrin 6/1, Still a maiden. One of his better efforts when fourth of 11 in handicap at Carlisle (17f) 19 days ago but he'll need more if he's to get off the mark here. 0-13; absent 177 days before latest start and he did give some encouragement.
6th
4
6th (4) (2.5/1 +55%) Fathers Advice
2.5
2.5/1(+55%)
(4) Fathers Advice 2.5/1, Down in the weights and back on track when runner-up at Ayr and Newcastle last month. Ought to be very competitive again. 2nd on last two starts; also second in this race last year but his overall score is 0-15.
7th
5
7th (5) (5/1 +0%) Artic Row
5
5/1(+0%)
(5) Artic Row 5/1, Justified strong support when winning 8-runner event on handicap debut at Ayr (2m, good to firm; Fathers Advice second) last month. Bit disapponting at Carlisle on his completed start since but it's still early days. Considered seriously judged on first two handicaps but disappointing at Carlisle latest.
8th
3
8th (3) (16/1 +60%) Coolkill
16
16/1(+60%)
(3) Coolkill 16/1, Novice hurdle winner in April 2021 but has struggled in a light handicap career since, pulling up at Carlisle in February. First-time cheekpieces need to have a positive effect. Won C&D novice two years ago; subsequent form leaves a lot to be desired; cheekpieces now.
9th
11
9th (11) (33/1 +67%) Big Arthur
33
33/1(+67%)
(11) Big Arthur 33/1, Poor maiden who has been off since weakening quickly on his 20.5f Ayr handicap debut at the turn of the year. Drops back in trip now. Lacks worthwhile form, albeit after just one handicap (pulled up at 2m4f on heavy latest).
10th
9
10th (9) (20/1 +50%) Celestial Fashion
20
20/1(+50%)
(9) Celestial Fashion 20/1, First impact over hurdles when returning from wind surgery to finish second of 12 on 17f Carlisle handicap debut last month but not in anything like the same form at Newcastle since. Wind op before runner-up on handicap debut; failed to shine over 2m4f on heavy 12 days ago.
11th
1
11th (1) (80/1 -21%) Stand Staunch
80
80/1(-21%)
(1) Stand Staunch 80/1, Ran to a fair level when making the frame both completed starts over hurdles for Joseph O'Brien but has pulled up on all 3 outings for this yard. Remains to be seen if a second wind op and a first-time hedgear combination sparks a revival. Pulled up last three starts; two wind operations; tongue-tie and cheekpieces are added.
LTO Selection:
17:13 Perth Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 16f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the information provided, the horse that is predicted to do well is the one referred to as
SANITISER, who has won off 86 on the Flat, has shown an aptitude for this discipline since switching codes and offers strong appeal in race of this nature. This marks a slight drop in class for the gelding and he may have too much toe for the likes of Leopolds Rock and Derracrin, who both warrant respect judged on the pick of their previous hurdles form.
SANITISER is potentially very well treated judged on Flat ability so he's taken to make a winning handicap hurdle debut. Fathers Advice, twice a runner-up last month, and Leopolds Rock, who has a good record when partnered by Brian Hughes, head the dangers.
Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.
This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.
About U.K Horse Racing
Horse racing is a popular and historic sport in the UK, with a tradition dating back centuries. It is a multi-billion pound industry that attracts millions of spectators each year and generates significant economic activity.
There are two main types of horse racing in the UK: flat racing and jump racing. Flat racing is run on a level course and is typically shorter in distance, while jump racing involves horses jumping over obstacles and is generally longer in distance. Both types of racing are popular with spectators and bettors, and they take place at various racetracks throughout the country.
The most famous horse racing event in the UK is the Grand National, which is held annually at Aintree Racecourse in Liverpool. It is a jump racing event that is known for its challenging course and has become a national institution in the UK. Other notable horse racing events in the UK include the Derby, held at Epsom Downs Racecourse in Surrey, and the Royal Ascot, held at Ascot Racecourse in Berkshire.
Horse racing in the UK is regulated by the British Horseracing Authority (BHA), which sets rules and standards for the industry. It is responsible for the welfare of racehorses and the safety of jockeys and trainers, as well as ensuring fair and transparent racing practices.
In addition to its economic and cultural importance, horse racing in the UK also plays a significant role in the breeding and training of thoroughbred horses. Many of the world's top thoroughbreds are bred and trained in the UK, and the industry plays a vital role in the preservation and promotion of the breed.
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