Southwell Races & Results 1 Tuesday 14th January 2025 UK Horse Racing Speed Ratings & Tips

Southwell Races & Results Tomform Tuesday 14th January 2025

There were 22 Races on Tuesday 14th January 2025 across 3 meetings. There was 8 races at Southwell, 7 races at Dundalk, 7 races at Newcastle, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.

Races & Results Tuesday 14th January 2025

The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.

12:22 Southwell Handicap (Class 5) 11f - 7 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	2 1st (2) (3/1 +14%) Caramay	3 3/1(+14%)	(2) Caramay 3/1, Compiled a very good record since the cheekpieces went on, successful 4 times in 2024 and best effort yet when taking 7-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (9.5f, 7/4) 7 days ago. Merits serious consideration again turned out under a penalty. C&D winner; 4-7 on Tapeta since cheekpieces fitted; raised game again latest; penalised.
2	6 2nd (6) (4/1 +50%) Kinetic	4 4/1(+50%)	(6) Kinetic 4/1, Course winner. Four wins from 16 runs last year. Modest form in a pair of juvenile hurdles last month but she's a likely type to bounce back returned to this sphere having fallen back down to a workable mark. Won four at 1m4f (including here) in August/September but not in the same form now.
3	5 3rd (5) (11/1 -83%) Ever Hopefull	11 11/1(-83%)	(5) Ever Hopefull 11/1, Found improvement to make winning yard debut at Wolverhampton (9.5f) in December and backed that up from 3 lb higher mark when third of 11 in handicap at Newcastle (10.2f, 12/1) 13 days ago. Unexposed at this sort of trip and she's another in with a shout. Winning yard debut came over 1m1f; kept on well over 1m2f latest; should stay 1m3f.
4	7 4th (7) (20/1 -233%) Always Waving	20 20/1(-233%)	(7) Always Waving 20/1, 4-y-o filly who showed benefit of a recent run when opening her account in a C&D novice 17 days ago. That doesn't appeal as a strong race but she's in good hands and could yet have more to offer now handicapping. Had little to beat when winning C&D novice last month; may do better now handicapping.
5th	1 5th (1) (7/2 +42%) Aiming High	3.5 7/2(+42%)	(1) Aiming High 7/2, C&D winner who went without usual hood (refitted here) and shaped as if she'd come on for the run after 4 months off when fifth of 6 in handicap at this course (12.1f, 9/4) 17 days ago. Better showing anticipated now back on last winning mark. C&D winner; mixed record when fresh and well held after break latest; regular hood back on.
6th	3 6th (3) (3/1 +50%) Fleeting Moment	3 3/1(+50%)	(3) Fleeting Moment 3/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 10/1, ran best race to date when second of 6 in handicap at this course (12.1f) 17 days ago, keeping on without landing a telling blow on the winner. That may not prove her limit on the back of just 4 career starts. No match for unexposed one on 1m4f handicap debut here where Caramay was 1.5l back in 3rd.
7th	4 7th (4) (11/1 -83%) Nala The Lioness	11 11/1(-83%)	(4) Nala The Lioness 11/1, Runner-up on 3 of her 4 starts in bumpers at around 2m. Fair form in trio of quick-fire novice/maiden runs last month and whilst this switch to handicaps is in her favour, even longer trips may suit ideally. Shaped nicely enough in AW qualifying runs; looks to need improvement off opening mark.

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12:22 Southwell Handicap (Class 5) 11f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

ALWAYS WAVING stepped forward from her Wolverhampton return when scoring over C&D last month and it wouldn't be a huge surprise if Andrew Balding's filly had plenty more to offer in handicap company. Fleeting Moment was no match for a comfortable winner here last time but is open to improvement, while Nala The Lioness is likely to benefit from first-time cheekpieces.

CARAMAY has built up a solid record since the cheekpieces went on, posting her best effort yet when winning 7-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (9.5f) 7 days ago. Well proven at this sort of trip, she looks sure to give another good account and earns the vote. Always Waving, on handicap debut, and Kinetic, returned to this sphere, are others to consider in a competitive race of its type.

There should be more to come from Fleeting Moment but EVER HOPEFULL has been in good form for her new yard and gets the vote.

12:22 Southwell Handicap (Class 5) 11f PREDICTION SIMULATION

12:52 Southwell Handicap (Class 5) 6f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	1 1st (1) (10/3 -48%) Blue Lakota	3.333333 10/3(-48%)	(1) Blue Lakota 10/3, Back-to-back winner of nurseries at Newcastle/Chelmsford and unlucky not to finish closer in hat-trick bid when third at first-named venue 17 days ago, denied a run over 1f out before running on late. Definite mileage in him from revised mark on that evidence. Major improver; unlucky 3rd over 6f at Newcastle last time; solid chance on course debut.
2	5 2nd (5) (10/3 -33%) Horus	3.333333 10/3(-33%)	(5) Horus 10/3, Well backed returning from 3 months off and got off the mark with a bit in hand when winning 8-runner nursery at Lingfield (6f, AW) 14 days ago, readily asserting final 1f. Up 6 lb on the back of that and this does look a tougher assignment. Showed true colours when winning his first 6f handicap latest; up 6lb; more to come.
3	4 3rd (4) (5/2 +25%) Triple Charged	2.5 5/2(+25%)	(4) Triple Charged 5/2, Lightly-raced maiden. Off 5 months/gelded, shaped with definite encouragement when good fifth of 10 in nursery at Newcastle (6f) 17 days ago, denied a run final 1f and noted finishing with running left. One to be interested in on the back of that. Well held in first two handicaps; more promise at Newcastle (6f) latest when not clear run.
4	7 4th (7) (11/1 +8%) Psychodrama	11 11/1(+8%)	(7) Psychodrama 11/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Second of 9 in novice at Newcastle (6f, 5/1) 39 days ago, left behind by winner over 1f out. Makes handicap debut from a mark that demands improvement. Seemed to stay 6f behind impressive newcomer at Newcastle; may improve now handicapping.
5th	8 5th (8) (28/1 -12%) Flicka's Girl	28 28/1(-12%)	(8) Flicka's Girl 28/1, Debut winner at Wolverhampton back in the spring but not progressed subsequently, 4¾ lengths sixth of 8 to Horus in nursery at Lingfield (6f) 14 days ago. Others more persuasive. Plenty of experience but 6f again seemed to stretch her at Lingfield last time.
6th	3 6th (3) (22/1 -120%) Nad Alshiba Rain	22 22/1(-120%)	(3) Nad Alshiba Rain 22/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 18/1, possibly needed the run after 6 months off when sixth of 9 in novice at this course (7.1f) 35 days ago. Makes handicap debut and the market can guide. Two promising 6f runs last June; faded at 7f back from break; respected on handicap debut.
7th	2 7th (2) (4/1 +50%) Kildonan	4 4/1(+50%)	(2) Kildonan 4/1, Showed improved form when making it fifth time lucky in a C&D maiden in November. Respectable effort when seventh of 12 in nursery back here 31 days ago and he's an each-way player with first-time blinkers now enlisted. Won C&D maiden in November; had an excuse but held here next time; others more obvious.
8th	9 8th (9) (66/1 -100%) Mystical Elegance	66 66/1(-100%)	(9) Mystical Elegance 66/1, 6¾ lengths seventh of 8 to Horus in nursery (14/1) at Lingfield (6f, AW) 14 days ago. Cheekpieces reached for now but others make much more appeal. Went close over 7f last June; minor efforts in two 6f handicaps last month; up against it.

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12:52 Southwell Handicap (Class 5) 6f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

HORUS returned from a break to win on his first run for Michael Keady at Lingfield a fortnight ago and remains open to further improvement on the all-weather, despite being raised 6lb. Blue Lakota was denied a hat-trick at Newcastle when not getting a clear run at a crucial point, while another capable of a decent showing in this sprint handicap is Psychodrama.

BLUE LAKOTA was unlucky not to finish closer in his bid to land the hat-trick when third at Newcastle 17 days ago, denied a run over 1f out before running on late. He's very much of interest again and shades the vote ahead of Triple Charged, who similarly caught the eye when a couple of placings behind the selection latest. Easy Lingfield scorer Horus is another to consider.

Horus has more to come but TRIPLE CHARGED may be able to reverse Newcastle placings with Blue Lakota.

12:52 Southwell Handicap (Class 5) 6f PREDICTION SIMULATION

13:22 Southwell Maiden (Class 5) 7f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	1 1st (1) (7/1 -17%) Cavolo Nero	7 7/1(-17%)	(1) Cavolo Nero 7/1, 55,000 gns Make Believe gelding. Dam 2-y-o 7.4f winner who stayed 1¼m. Would enter the reckoning if the betting speaks for him. 55,000gns yearling; first foal; dam Listed-placed 7.4f 2yo winner (RPR 96); market check..
2	2 2nd (2) (1/1 +17%) Invited	1 1/1(+17%)	(2) Invited 1/1, Fairly useful form at 2yrs, second of 7 in a Salisbury maiden (6f) in July. Best not judged too harshly on his handicap debut run at York a month later and he's respected starting out for new yard/having been gelded since last seen. Placed in 4-5 starts for Richard Hannon; gelded and changed stables since; respected..
3	4 3rd (4) (6/1 +57%) Zarathos	6 6/1(+57%)	(4) Zarathos 6/1, Dark Angel gelding who has offered something to work on both starts to date, appearing to find the trip stretching him when fourth of 13 in novice at Kempton (1m) 34 days ago. Return to 7f in his favour on that evidence. Has shown minor promise in both starts but needs significant improvement to figure..
4	3 4th (3) (15/8 +17%) Midnight City	1.875 15/8(+17%)	(3) Midnight City 15/8, Lightly-raced gelding. 9/4, backed up his previous best when second of 9 in novice at this course (6.1f) 26 days ago, headed inside final 1f. Looks well up to playing a lead role again here on that evidence. Second in successive 6f starts here; each-way player but more needed to break his duck..
5th	8 5th (8) (200/1 -100%) Sandinyourshoes	200 200/1(-100%)	(8) Sandinyourshoes 200/1, Once-raced filly. Tenth of 12 in novice (100/1) at Wolverhampton (7.2f) on debut 18 days ago, always behind. Can only be watched at present. Half-sister to six winners; 100-1 on debut at Wolverhampton (7f) where never involved..
6th	7 6th (7) (80/1 -60%) Goldrush Glory	80 80/1(-60%)	(7) Goldrush Glory 80/1, Golden Horde gelding. Failed to build on the promise showed on debut here when eighth of 11 in novice at Newcastle (6f, 33/1) 17 days ago. Handicaps will be more his bag on the back of this. Possible latest start came a bit too soon but he'll need a lot of improvement to win this..
7th	5 7th (5) (125/1 -150%) Simon Montfort	125 125/1(-150%)	(5) Simon Montfort 125/1, Mayson gelding. Dam unraced from family of Oaks winner Reams of Verse. Likely outsider on racecourse debut. Fourth foal; dam unraced half-sister to two middle distance winners; gelded before debut..
8th	6 8th (6) (25/1 +38%) Flamborough Head	25 25/1(+38%)	(6) Flamborough Head 25/1, Ribchester gelding. Didn't go without promise despite not threatening in pair of turf maiden/novice events over 7f in July. Handicaps likely to see him in an even better light moving forward. Didn't show much in two 7f starts last July; more likely to be a handicap proposition..

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13:22 Southwell Maiden (Class 5) 7f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

Midnight City was just denied a first career success here over 6f last month and the extra furlong appears likely to benefit the son of Acclamation. That said, he would require a career best to stop INVITED. The pick of his form saw him finish runner-up to the smart Ancient Truth at Newmarket and a change of scenery, along with a gelding operation, might see him prove too strong for the opposition. Newcomer Cavolo Nero completes the shortlist.

The pick of INVITED's 2-y-o form gives him obvious claims now starting out for his new yard having been gelded and he's fancied to make a bold bid returning from 5 months off. Midnight City has knocked on the door of late and he's a threat, with newcomer Cavolo Nero another to note if betting vibes are positive.

Not a lot of depth to this and despite being unable to capitalise on some respectable efforts, INVITED is taken to do so this time.

13:22 Southwell Maiden (Class 5) 7f PREDICTION SIMULATION

13:52 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 7f - 11 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	1 1st (1) (3/1 +67%) Soames Forsyte	3 3/1(+67%)	(1) Soames Forsyte 3/1, Course winner who has eased in weights and ran creditably when third of 12 in handicap at this course (8.1f) 17 days ago, challenging over 1f out and no extra final 100 yds. Course winner; worth a try dropping back in trip but all his better form is at around 1m..
2	10 2nd (10) (11/1 -38%) Al Shabab	11 11/1(-38%)	(10) Al Shabab 11/1, Remains a maiden after 17 Flat runs. 5/1, respectable fifth of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 7 days ago, not quicken entering straight. Others make greater appeal for win purposes. Has shown sufficient recently to suggest some each-way appeal on his first start here..
3	6 3rd (6) (12/1 +25%) King Of York	12 12/1(+25%)	(6) King Of York 12/1, C&D winner. Fifteen runs since last win in 2024. 10/1, ninth of 12 in handicap at this course (8.1f) 17 days ago, fading over 1f out. Needs to get back on track. Dual C&D winner; beaten under 2l over C&D when 5lb higher in November; not written off..
4	3 4th (3) (9/1 +10%) Reputation	9 9/1(+10%)	(3) Reputation 9/1, Veteran who got back to winning ways over C&D in November and good placed efforts both starts since, latterly when second of 8 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f, 10/1) 10 days ago. Definite claims of being in the mix again in present groove. C&D winner; not quite as good on his last two starts but is an each-way player..
5th	11 5th (11) (15/2 -36%) Urban Dandy	7.5 15/2(-36%)	(11) Urban Dandy 15/2, Course winner. Creditable second of 12 in handicap at this course (8.1f, 15/2) 25 days ago, suited by emphasis on speed. Cheekpieces back on. 6f course winner; placed here in three of his last four starts; each-way player..
6th	5 6th (5) (10/1 +9%) Ring Of Gold	10 10/1(+9%)	(5) Ring Of Gold 10/1, Twenty two runs since last win in 2022. 6/1, tenth of 12 in handicap at this course (8.1f) 17 days ago, going in snatches and never a threat. Handicapper has eased his grip a little more and he's not one to write off. Triple 7f AW winner; hasn't shown much since a summer break; handy mark if revived..
7th	2 7th (2) (7/2 -5%) Arika	3.5 7/2(-5%)	(2) Arika 7/2, Maiden who ran creditably when third of 12 in handicap at Kempton (1m) back in October. Returns with his new yard firmly amongst the winners and he's one to note. Placed in 3-12 starts; first run for a trainer whose string is in good form; market check..
8th	12 8th (12) (11/1 -57%) Shaka	11 11/1(-57%)	(12) Shaka 11/1, 7/1, career best when winning 11-runner minor event at this C&D 10 days ago, doing it with a bit to spare. More needed back in handicap company but he clearly comes here at the top of his game. C&D classified winner latest; back in a handicap so now has a bit more to prove..
9th	7 9th (7) (33/1 -50%) Anif	33 33/1(-50%)	(7) Anif 33/1, C&D winner. Below form sixth of 10 in handicap (28/1) at this course (8.1f) 11 days ago, racing off the pace and never a threat. Mark is steadily easing at least. C&D winner who can still be competitive if producing his best; each-way player..
10th	9 10th (9) (22/1 +12%) Big Narstie	22 22/1(+12%)	(9) Big Narstie 22/1, Quirky sort. C&D winner. Three wins from 17 runs last year. Eighth of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f, 10/1) 31 days ago. Needs to bounce back. Dual C&D winner; handy mark but comes into this with a bit to prove based on recent form..
11th	4 11th (4) (9/1 -13%) My Brother Mike	9 9/1(-13%)	(4) My Brother Mike 9/1, Course winner. Latest win at Wolverhampton in November. 5/1, creditable fourth of 11 in handicap back at that venue (8.6f) 24 days ago. Not out of things granted a good pace to aim at. 1m course winner; more needed dropping to this trip for the first time on his 71st start..

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13:52 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 7f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.

This looks a wide-open handicap but there is plenty to like about the chances of MY BROTHER MIKE, who scored off 3lb lower over Wolverhampton's extended mile two starts ago and has two wins at this venue to his name. Reputation landed a similar C&D contest in November and is only 2lb higher now, while Arika has slipped to a feasible mark and the drop to 7f should suit.

ARIKA's maiden status is off-putting but he starts out for a new yard going well and could be worth siding with to break his duck returning from 104 days off. Ring of Gold, who is lurking on a handy mark, and Reputation are a couple of others to consider.

This looks open and it's worth taking a chance on ARIKA, who represents the in-form Karl Burke team and may have untapped potential.

13:52 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 7f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:22 Southwell Stakes (Class 6) 11f - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	1 1st (1) (8/13 +44%) High Court Judge	0.615385 8/13(+44%)	(1) High Court Judge 8/13, Modest gelding. 2/1, improved on recent efforts to win 8-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (12.2f) 8 days ago, overcoming pace bias. Shortlist material. 1m4f Tapeta winner latest; capable of another bold bid dropping to classified level..
2	7 2nd (7) (15/8 +12%) Rubellite	1.875 15/8(+12%)	(7) Rubellite 15/8, Modest mare. Career best when winning 12-runner minor event at Newcastle (12.4f, 11/4) 12 days ago. Should go well again in a weak race. Won a classified event at Newcastle latest; a similar effort would give her strong claims..
3	6 3rd (6) (16/1 -113%) Recorwoman	16 16/1(-113%)	(6) Recorwoman 16/1, Unreliable sort. 4/1, bit below form seventh of 14 in handicap at Redcar (10f, heavy) 78 days ago, very slowly away. Market may be informative after a break. 7f and 1m2f winner; placed once from 11 AW starts; little inspiration from any 2024 form..
4	3 4th (3) (20/1 -43%) Desejada	20 20/1(-43%)	(3) Desejada 20/1, Modest mare. 66/1, tenth of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (12.2f) 18 days ago. Needs to get back on track. Yet to show much; now in classified; need to see more before giving serious consideration..
5th	4 5th (4) (66/1 -100%) Foshan	66 66/1(-100%)	(4) Foshan 66/1, Poor gelding. Tenth of 13 in handicap hurdle at Sedgefield (19.8f, good to soft, 50/1) 19 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Poor on the Flat, 7/11 on last Flat run. Limited appeal. 0-21; returns to this code after showing little over hurdles; watch..
6th	2 6th (2) (66/1 -136%) Break Point	66 66/1(-136%)	(2) Break Point 66/1, 33/1, last of 12 in handicap at this course (8.1f) 25 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Visored for 1st time. Others make more appeal. Showed ability at three but moderate form in six starts for this trainer; plenty to prove..
7th	8 7th (8) (125/1 -89%) Exceptionality	125 125/1(-89%)	(8) Exceptionality 125/1, Remains a maiden after 16 Flat runs. Blinkered for 1st time, last of 10 in minor event at Wolverhampton (9.5f, 100/1) 10 days ago. Up against it. 16-race maiden who has yet to finish within 6l of the winner; others preferred..
8th	9 8th (9) (14/1 -17%) Nasneen	14 14/1(-17%)	(9) Nasneen 14/1, Poor filly. Visored for 1st time, below form seventh of 12 in handicap (28/1) at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 19 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Worth a market check but has a bit to prove. Placed over 5f and 1m on turf but unplaced in ten AW starts; plenty to prove..
9th	5 9th (5) (80/1 -100%) Rajawail	80 80/1(-100%)	(5) Rajawail 80/1, Poor mare. 200/1, last of 7 in handicap at Newcastle (7.1f) 68 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Hard to make any sort of case for. Second in a Beverley classified event at three; well beaten in all three starts in 2024..

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14:22 Southwell Stakes (Class 6) 11f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.

RUBELLITE comes out best on official ratings and she arrives on the back of a victory over an extended 1m at Newcastle 12 days ago, so Stella Barclay's mare looks set to make a bold bid for the double. She could have most to fear from High Court Judge, who has also already scored this year, over 1m4f at Wolverhampton, and represents an in-form yard. Recorwoman looks best of the rest.

HIGH COURT JUDGE isn't long with his current stable and did well to get up at Wolverhampton, so he takes preference over Rubellite, who also scored cosily last time. The remainder are out of form and it's likely to be fought out by that pair.

Little to choose between the last-time winners High Court Ridge and RUBELLITE, with the latter just preferred receiving 5lb.

14:22 Southwell Stakes (Class 6) 11f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:52 Southwell Stakes (Class 6) 11f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
5	5 (5) (50/1 0%) Kitten's Dream	50 50/1(0%)	(5) Kitten's Dream 50/1, Unreliable type. Course winner. Thirty eight runs since last win in 2023. 100/1, last of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (14f) 24 days ago. Down in trip. Beat no more than one home in his last five starts and today's trip looks short enough.
1	8 1st (8) (5/2 -33%) Letmeseethecolts	2.5 5/2(-33%)	(8) Letmeseethecolts 5/2, Modest filly. 10/1, creditable third of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (12.2f) 18 days ago, making effort earlier than ideal. Has to be taken seriously in a thin event. Two runs since returning from over six months off in December are hard to fault.
2	2 2nd (2) (11/8 +39%) Busby	1.375 11/8(+39%)	(2) Busby 11/8, Modest gelding. Course winner. Latest win here in December. Creditable second of 12 in minor event at Newcastle (12.4f, 3/1) 12 days ago. Leading claims. This veteran has turned things around since a visor went on; heavily involved.
3	1 3rd (1) (16/1 -33%) Back From Dubai	16 16/1(-33%)	(1) Back From Dubai 16/1, 5-time course winner. Fifteen runs since last win in 2023. 40/1, ninth of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 59 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Rejoined yard after leaving Kevin Frost. Worth monitoring in the betting. Tackles much longer trip than he's used to on first start back for previous yard.
4	7 4th (7) (4/1 +38%) Storm Asset	4 4/1(+38%)	(7) Storm Asset 4/1, Modest gelding. Twenty two runs since last win in 2023. Creditable fifth of 9 in handicap (20/1) at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 18 days ago, left with too much to do. Back up in trip. Not dismissed. Seemed to shape better than it looked on paper 18 days ago (visibility reduced by fog).
5th	6 5th (6) (18/1 -125%) Stand Free	18 18/1(-125%)	(6) Stand Free 18/1, Modest mare. Latest win at Newcastle in August. Respectable eighth of 13 in handicap at this course (8.1f, 16/1). Off 141 days. Significantly back up in trip. Can't be dismissed on return. Never been the easiest to predict but could be rusty back from 141 days off here.
6th	4 6th (4) (66/1 -100%) Gimcrack Warrior	66 66/1(-100%)	(4) Gimcrack Warrior 66/1, 28/1, tenth of 12 in handicap at this course (8.1f) 25 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Hard to make a solid case for. Yet to get within 8l of winning and has plenty to prove going beyond 1m for the first time.
7th	3 7th (3) (11/1 +0%) Damoiseau	11 11/1(+0%)	(3) Damoiseau 11/1, Unreliable sort. 12/1, eighth of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 24 days ago. Back up in trip. Others make more appeal. 0-25 and couldn't build on fair return following wind surgery last time.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

14:52 Southwell Stakes (Class 6) 11f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.

The application of a visor has spark notable improvement in BUSBY, who narrowly failed to follow up a victory over 1m4f here when runner-up at Newcastle off his revised mark. Philip Kirby's gelding should go well on his return to this venue, while although he has give Letmeseethecolts 2lb despite the latter being rated 1lb higher and Brian Ellison's filly has been threatening to score. Back From Dubai and Stand Free are not out of it either.

Having scored here in December, BUSBY was just worn down late at Newcastle 12 days ago, and he's worth a chance to get back to winning ways in a race that lacks depth. Letmeseethecolts is the only one of the opponents to arrive in form, so she's the main threat, although market support for Back From Dubai would be significant.

The veteran Busby has another big run in him if the visor continues to work but the much less exposed LETMESEETHECOLTS is preferred.

14:52 Southwell Stakes (Class 6) 11f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:22 Southwell Handicap (Class 5) 16f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	7 1st (7) (11/2 +15%) At Vimeiro	5.5 11/2(+15%)	(7) At Vimeiro 11/2, Creditable fourth of 8 in handicap (2/1) at Wolverhampton (12.2f) 15 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Worthy of respect. Big weights drop but not yet got it together in handicaps; stamina query upped to 2m.
2	6 2nd (6) (85/40 +67%) Comte De Loir	2.125 85/40(+67%)	(6) Comte De Loir 85/40, Thrice-raced maiden. Fifth of 12 in maiden (28/1) at Wolverhampton (12.2f) 29 days ago, never nearer. Likely improver upped markedly in trip for handicap debut. Promise in 1m4f qualifying runs; check the market now handicapping over new trip.
3	5 3rd (5) (2/1 +27%) Dance Time	2 2/1(+27%)	(5) Dance Time 2/1, Won 7-runner handicap (5/2) at this C&D 17 days ago, readily. Still not fully exposed as a stayer and is worth a chance to go in again. Improved since upped to 2m, winning 2 out of 3 attempts and quite cosy over C&D latest.
4	1 4th (1) (40/1 -21%) Illucidate	40 40/1(-21%)	(1) Illucidate 40/1, Last of 4 in handicap (14/1) at Newcastle (12.4f) 6 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Cheekpieces on 1st time on the Flat. Others more persuasive. 1m4f winner in France; fairly promising 4th on AW debut; tailed off last week.
5th	4 5th (4) (33/1 -65%) Saligo Bay	33 33/1(-65%)	(4) Saligo Bay 33/1, 12/1, first run since leaving Gary & Josh Moore when sixth of 7 in handicap at Wolverhampton (14f) 10 days ago, not knocked about. Hard to back with much confidence unless there's market strength behind him. Well treated but soundly beaten in all three AW handicaps, including for new yard latest.
6th	9 6th (9) (80/1 -21%) Quercus Robur	80 80/1(-21%)	(9) Quercus Robur 80/1, 33/1, last of 6 in handicap at Newcastle (16.2f) 13 days ago. Struggling for form and hard to fancy. Two 2m wins at Newcastle in early 2023 but finished remote there since back from absence.
7th	8 7th (8) (16/1 +52%) Vinny's Dream	16 16/1(+52%)	(8) Vinny's Dream 16/1, Lightly-raced maiden on Flat. Tenth of 11 in handicap at Kempton (12f, 33/1) 27 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Makes tapeta debut. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Has ability but soundly beaten in two Polytrack handicaps at 2m and 1m4f; Tapeta debut.
8th	3 8th (3) (4/1 +11%) Two Auld Pals	4 4/1(+11%)	(3) Two Auld Pals 4/1, 5/1, fifth of 8 in handicap hurdle at Doncaster (16.6f, good to soft) 32 days ago. Ran well on last outing in this sphere and is well treated on best form, so of interest. Four turf wins; promising AW debut on Wolverhampton Tapeta (2m; 2lb lower); likely player.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

15:22 Southwell Handicap (Class 5) 16f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

DANCE TIME scored by just over a length over track and trip on her latest outing and a 2lb rise might prove to be on the lenient side. David Loughnane's five-year-old has lots in her favour and she will prove very difficult to beat. Haaland finished a close-up third at Kempton six days ago and this drop in grade will aid her cause. Of the remainder, handicap debutante Comte De Loir makes the most appeal.

DANCE TIME is building up an excellent record over this trip and, having had something to spare over C&D late in December, she may well be up to defying a small rise. Haaland and Two Auld Pals are both serious dangers.

Two Auld Pals and Dance Time (next best) are respected but narrow preference is for HAALAND after two good runs for this yard.

15:22 Southwell Handicap (Class 5) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:55 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 8f - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	6 1st (6) (11/4 +31%) Charlatan	2.75 11/4(+31%)	(6) Charlatan 11/4, Three wins from 13 runs last year. Respectable second of 12 in handicap at this C&D (3/1) 25 days ago. Not taken lightly. Got right back on track when a C&D second 25 days ago; can go well again off same mark.
2	7 2nd (7) (7/4 +13%) Marinakis	1.75 7/4(+13%)	(7) Marinakis 7/4, 5/2, landed a gamble in 9-runner minor event at Chelmsford City (8f) 5 days ago. Unexposed over this sort of trip and appeals as the sort to go well again. First win at Chelmsford five days ago; not taken lightly under a 5lb penalty here.
3	3 3rd (3) (11/1 +0%) Balqaa	11 11/1(+0%)	(3) Balqaa 11/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Newcastle in September. Better than result when fourth of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (9.5f, 14/1) 24 days ago, left with too much to do. Remains in form and can't be ruled out. Arrives in good nick; this C&D scorer must enter calculations once more.
4	9 4th (9) (10/1 +55%) True Nation	10 10/1(+55%)	(9) True Nation 10/1, Latest win at Musselburgh in October. 22/1, good fourth of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (9.5f) 15 days ago. Not ruled out. In good form, fourth in 9.5f Wolverhampton handicap 15 days ago; one for the shortlist.
5th	1 5th (1) (4/1 -45%) Retraction	4 4/1(-45%)	(1) Retraction 4/1, Good third of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f, 9/4) 31 days ago, caught further back than ideal. Shaping up well but does need things to drop right. Didn't enjoy rub of the green when third at Wolver last time; merits serious consideration.
6th	4 6th (4) (14/1 -56%) Impeach	14 14/1(-56%)	(4) Impeach 14/1, Fourteen runs since last win in 2023. Bit below form fifth of 11 in handicap (14/1) at Newcastle (7.1f) 12 days ago. Others look more appealing. Solid fifth for his new yard at Newcastle 12 days ago; ought to be thereabouts.
7th	5 7th (5) (28/1 -75%) Fifty Sent	28 28/1(-75%)	(5) Fifty Sent 28/1, One win from 25 Flat runs. First run since leaving Michael Dods when bit below form sixth of 10 in handicap at Newcastle (10.2f, 33/1) 12 days ago. Back down in trip. Needs to step up on stable debut. Shaped as if run was needed on yard debut when sixth at Newcastle; can build on that.
8th	10 8th (10) (200/1 -100%) Cherry Tree Dawn	200 200/1(-100%)	(10) Cherry Tree Dawn 200/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 150/1, last of 8 in handicap at Beverley (7.4f, good to firm). Off 153 days. Makes tapeta debut. Blinkered for 1st time. Others preferred. Yet to offer any form of note; blinkered for her Tapeta debut with lots to prove.
9th	8 9th (8) (22/1 -57%) Twistaline	22 22/1(-57%)	(8) Twistaline 22/1, C&D winner. 17/2, creditable second of 11 in minor event at this course (7.1f) 10 days ago. Could be on the premises again. Back to form when second of 11 in 7f classified event here ten days ago; considered.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

15:55 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 8f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.

Marinakis shed his maiden tag in a classified stakes at Chelmsford last week and should mount a bold bid back in the handicap ranks, despite his 5lb penalty. However, the vote goes to RETRACTION, who has made the frame on each of his last three starts, including over C&D three starts ago. Ruth Carr's five-year-old goes off the same mark as his most recent third at Wolverhampton and could be rewarded for his consistency. Charlatan is another to keep an eye on.

MARINAKIS is unexposed over this distance and, having justified strong support last week at Chelmsford, he's worth a chance to go in again for all that Retraction looks a big player having shaped well at Wolverhampton a month ago. Charlatan is another one to consider.

Plenty are in with a shout but RETRACTION (nap) is taken to build on his very good Wolverhampton third and gain a deserved first win.

15:55 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 8f PREDICTION SIMULATION

Racecard Key

Ths is the racecard key.

Icon	Meaning
	TomForm top stats, gold rated
	TomForm top stats silver rated
	Ran similar race before
S	TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out
T	Top Time speeed rated
	Top Racingpost rated
	At the races watchout for
	At the races top pick
	Top rated for thet statistic

How to use Tomform

Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.

This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.

About U.K Horse Racing

Horse racing is a popular and historic sport in the UK, with a tradition dating back centuries. It is a multi-billion pound industry that attracts millions of spectators each year and generates significant economic activity.

There are two main types of horse racing in the UK: flat racing and jump racing. Flat racing is run on a level course and is typically shorter in distance, while jump racing involves horses jumping over obstacles and is generally longer in distance. Both types of racing are popular with spectators and bettors, and they take place at various racetracks throughout the country.

The most famous horse racing event in the UK is the Grand National, which is held annually at Aintree Racecourse in Liverpool. It is a jump racing event that is known for its challenging course and has become a national institution in the UK. Other notable horse racing events in the UK include the Derby, held at Epsom Downs Racecourse in Surrey, and the Royal Ascot, held at Ascot Racecourse in Berkshire.

Horse racing in the UK is regulated by the British Horseracing Authority (BHA), which sets rules and standards for the industry. It is responsible for the welfare of racehorses and the safety of jockeys and trainers, as well as ensuring fair and transparent racing practices.

In addition to its economic and cultural importance, horse racing in the UK also plays a significant role in the breeding and training of thoroughbred horses. Many of the world's top thoroughbreds are bred and trained in the UK, and the industry plays a vital role in the preservation and promotion of the breed.

Overall, horse racing is an integral part of British culture and a major contributor to the country's economy. It is a thrilling and exciting sport that continues to attract a loyal following and generate significant interest from spectators and bettors around the world.

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