17:10 Southwell Handicap Chase (Class 4) 20f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	2 1st (2) (3.33/1 +33%) Quid Pro Quo		3.33 3.33/1(+33%)																															(2) Quid Pro Quo 3.33/1, Landed his first 2 starts over hurdles in maiden/novice events last year, before coming up short in Grade 2 contests to begin his 2022/23 campaign. Struggled over fences on his last 3 outings, but could be dangerous if bouncing back on handicap hurdle debut. RPRs of up to 132 over hurdles last summer; no chasing form yet, bleeding here latest..
2	8 2nd (8) (16/1 -14%) Cenotice		16 16/1(-14%)																															(8) Cenotice 16/1, Won 3 times in handicaps following a lengthy absence in 2021/22 but beaten just one rival in 5 starts this season, pulled up at Bangor last time. Is becoming well-treated if first-time cheekpieces can spark a revival. 11lb below his last winning mark now; not sure a return to this sort of trip is a plus..
3	6 3rd (6) (8/1 +0%) Fabrique En France		8 8/1(+0%)																															(6) Fabrique En France 8/1, Off the mark over fences in handicap at Worcester (16.5f) in June but hasn't gone on as hoped since. Some encouragement after 7 months off when third at Uttoxeter in February, though not in the same form next time. 8lb below last June's winning chase mark; almost immediately in trouble last time out..
4	5 4th (5) (4.5/1 +47%) Here We Have It		4.5 4.5/1(+47%)																															(5) Here We Have It 4.5/1, Overcome poor position to win handicap chase at this course (15.8f) in December. However, pulled up both starts since so he needs to leave his form this year behind with visor back on. Should be suited by this distance. Versatile winner at 2m; Newcastle flop latest took Rules record over 2m4f-plus to 64PP..
5th	4 5th (4) (4/1 -60%) Joly Maker		4 4/1(-60%)																															(4) Joly Maker 4/1, Reliable sort who has scored twice at Stratford (both at 19.4f) from only 3 starts in 2022/23, making a winning return from 7 months off at the beginning of the month. Strong traveller who can add another win to his tally. Stratford winner latest (heavy) despite drift to 25-1; up 4lb, but no trip/ground issues..
6th	3 6th (3) (4/1 -33%) Luckofthedraw		4 4/1(-33%)																															(3) Luckofthedraw 4/1, Successful in handicap chases at Fontwell and Huntingdon in 2021/22 and has returned to form on his last 3 starts, getting back to winning ways at Huntingdon (19.9f) in March. Possibly stretched by longer trip on latest outing, so he's respected back down in distance. Another 2m4f win last month and fair third over further since, despite errors; chance..
7th	7 7th (7) (5/1 +64%) Commander Of Ten		5 5/1(+64%)																															(7) Commander Of Ten 5/1, Has gone backwards from an encouraging seasonal/hurdling debut in the autumn, faring no better after a second wind op when well held on his handicap bow at Exeter 17 days ago. Cheekpieces on first time as he now goes chasing. Beaten 39l on handicap hurdle debut latest; may take to chasing, but others likelier..
9	9 |PU| (9) (100/1 -100%) Grow Nasa Grow		100 100/1(-100%)																															(9) Grow Nasa Grow 100/1, Four chase wins during a productive spell in 2018 but has only had the one start since, pulled up in handicap hurdle at Market Rasen back in July 2021. Off a further 22 months ahead of return to chasing. Best watched. Four-time chase winner at up to 2m6f (good); no show on only start since November 2018..

LTO Selection:

17:10 Southwell Handicap Chase (Class 4) 20f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

Based on the summary, 2.5/1 (4) JOLY MAKER Stratford and 3/1 (3) LUCKOFTHEDRAW seem to be the strongest contenders. 2.5/1 (4) JOLY MAKER Stratford has won his latest race despite being a heavy underdog and has a good track record at Stratford. On the other hand, 3/1 (3) LUCKOFTHEDRAW has been successful in handicap chases in the past and has recently returned to form. 9/1 (1) SOMEKINDOFSTAR and 8.5/1 (5) HERE WE HAVE IT could also potentially perform well, but they need to overcome recent poor form. The other horses have either not been successful in recent races or have not had enough recent performances to gauge their form accurately.

Here We Have It represents the stable who won this last year and although he won here over two miles in December, he has been pulled up on both starts since and it may be sensible to look elsewhere. JOLY MAKER is inclined to arrive late on the scene in his races, making it difficult for the handicapper to get to grips with his true ability, and following a one-length success at Stratford last time out, he arrives in good form. He may follow up off 4lb higher, while Luckofthedraw is the pick for third spot.

In a light 2022/23 campaign, JOLY MAKER has recorded two wins at Stratford from 3 starts and this strong-travelling type can score again on his second run back following a 7-month absence. Luckofthedraw has been in good form of late and could be the main danger, with Quid Pro Quo completing the shortlist on his handicap hurdle debut.

If anyone is going to deny Joly Maker it may be the still well-treated LUCKOFTHEDRAW, assuming the errors are kept in check.

17:10 Southwell Handicap Chase (Class 4) 20f PREDICTION SIMULATION

17:40 Southwell NH Flat Race (Class 5) 16f - 14 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	4 1st (4) (2.5/1 +17%) Call The Dance		2.5 2.5/1(+17%)																															(4) Call The Dance 2.5/1, Closely related to smart hurdler/useful chaser Thomas Campbell (bumper winner), and half-sister to numerous winners. Encouragement when fourth at Ludlow 112 days ago and there's improvement on the cards. Leading claims. Outpaced before staying on for 4th at Ludlow in January (sent off favourite); more to come.
2	12 2nd (12) (6/1 +25%) Sunday Soldier		6 6/1(+25%)																															(12) Sunday Soldier 6/1, Didn't come up to expectations for Gordon Elliott and might need this first run for 7 months on debut for a new yard. Some promise in 2 Irish runs for G Elliott last year; joined another good yard; unexposed.
3	13 3rd (13) (33/1 -65%) Jersey Gem		33 33/1(-65%)																															(13) Jersey Gem 33/1, Out of a bumper winner but will have to step up markedly from her debut over C&D if she's to make a serious impact. Nicely bred but finished a well-beaten sixth on her C&D debut 16 days ago; more required.
4	8 4th (8) (5/1 +55%) Lucky Rose		5 5/1(+55%)																															(8) Lucky Rose 5/1, Better effort (fair form) in bumpers when second of 9 at Lingfield on debut. Not disgraced when fourth over C&D last time and shouldn't be completely ruled out. Promise in two bumpers, including C&D, but improvement is needed to trouble the principals.
5th	5 5th (5) (150/1 -650%) Cotoneaster		150 150/1(-650%)																															(5) Cotoneaster 150/1, Looked in need of experience when only eighth of 10 at Cheptsow on debut. Now tongue tied but probably more one for the longer term. 7-1 for her Chepstow debut last month when finishing tailed off; tongue-tie now added.
6th	3 6th (3) (12/1 -20%) Bethpage		12 12/1(-20%)																															(3) Bethpage 12/1, Sixth of 12 in bumper (22/1) at Newbury (16.3f, good to firm) on NH debut 55 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Should take a step forward from that. Ran with a degree of promise in a useful event at Newbury on debut; plenty more to come.
7th	10 7th (10) (100/1 -150%) Mighty Duchess		100 100/1(-150%)																															(10) Mighty Duchess 100/1, Runner-up in a point but didn't give enough encouragement on Rules debut at Chepstow to make her of interest in this. Tried in a tongue tie. Promise in second Irish point; flopped on soft on rules debut; tongue-tied now; early days.
8th	2 8th (2) (20/1 +20%) Belle Saint		20 20/1(+20%)																															(2) Belle Saint 20/1, From a good family but not much encouragement when down the field at Ludlow first time out. Others are more persuasive. Tenth of 15 on Ludlow debut in January; bred to do better at some stage.
9th	14 9th (14) (3/1 +10%) Young At Heart		3 3/1(+10%)																															(14) Young At Heart 3/1, Closely related to 2 winners on Flat, including smart 1½m/1¾m winner Eagles By Day. Positive start when third at Fakenham 18 days ago and should benefit from the experience, so looks a big player. Poor track position & flashed tail repeatedly when third on Fakenham debut; can do better.
10th	9 10th (9) (12/1 -9%) Malago Rose		12 12/1(-9%)																															(9) Malago Rose 12/1, Half-sister to bumper winner and made an encouraging start when a staying-on fourth at Taunton 39 days ago. Improvement on the cards, so can't be dismissed. Kept on from well off pace to take 4th at Taunton on debut; contender back amongst mares.
11th	11 11th (11) (40/1 -21%) Spice Heaven		40 40/1(-21%)																															(11) Spice Heaven 40/1, Down the field at Warwick 163 days ago and looks set for another struggle. Didn't threaten in soft-ground bumper at Warwick in November; wind op since; can do better.
12th	6 12th (6) (18/1 +45%) Crimson Ruby		18 18/1(+45%)																															(6) Crimson Ruby 18/1, Half-sister to fair hurdler Prussia With Love, stays 23f. Down the field at Huntingdon on debut 78 days ago and will probably need more time. Couldn't land a blow at Huntingdon on debut in February; bred to do much better in time.
13th	7 13th (7) (16/1 -78%) Crystal Times		16 16/1(-78%)																															(7) Crystal Times 16/1, Related to winners but only fifth on debut at Uttoxeter 9 months ago. Not seen since and has left Neil Mulholland, so best watched unless the market speaks in her favour. Didn't live up to market billing in one run last summer; new yard today; can do better.
14th	1 14th (1) (40/1 +68%) Araglen Star		40 40/1(+68%)																															(1) Araglen Star 40/1, Signs of ability first two starts but latest effort at Hexham (4 days ago) lacked encouragement and she has something to find. Shaped okay over C&D this month but tailed off on soft at Hexham on Monday.

LTO Selection:

---

17:40 Southwell NH Flat Race (Class 5) 16f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

Based on the information provided, 3/1 (4) CALL THE DANCE and 10/1 (3) BETHPAGE seem to have the best chances of performing well in their next races. 3/1 (4) CALL THE DANCE has shown promise in previous races and is closely related to successful horses, while 10/1 (3) BETHPAGE showed potential in a competitive event on debut and is expected to improve. However, other horses such as 11/1 (9) MALAGO ROSE and 11/1 (8) LUCKY ROSE cannot be completely ruled out.

Lucky Rose showed promise with a second at Lingfield and a fourth here in March, but she was beaten 16 lengths on the latter occasion and will need to do more here. Young At Heart ran well on her only start when third at Fakenham and she may prove to be the biggest danger to CALL THE DANCE. Fourth on her sole start at Ludlow, she encountered trouble in running that day and will have learned from the experience, which she could put to good use here.

CALL THE DANCE is well bred and left the impression she'd improve for her debut at Ludlow in January, so a chance is taken on her to see off Young At Heart, who also made an encouraging start. Bethpage is the pick of the remainder.

Call The Dance should be more streetwise today but BETHPAGE made a promising start in a better race at Newbury.

17:40 Southwell NH Flat Race (Class 5) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

---

18:15 Southwell Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 20f - 13 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	4 1st (4) (6.5/1 +54%) Bertie Blue		6.5 6.5/1(+54%)																															(4) Bertie Blue 6.5/1, Showed plenty of ability in bumpers and likewise in maiden hurdles at Plumpton and Chepstow (both at around 2m4f). Shaped as if amiss when well held on handicap debut at this C&D last month, but it still remains early days. Disappointing on handicap debut here last month but he's still unexposed; not ruled out.
2	10 2nd (10) (0.91/1 +55%) White Rhino		0.91 0.91/1(+55%)																															(10) White Rhino 0.91/1, Didn't show much in maiden/novice company but has left that form behind since upped in trip/switched to handicaps, completing the hat-trick in decisive fashion at this C&D last month. Could still have to offer and he can score again. Improver who made it 3-3 in handicaps with clearcut win over C&D latest; big player.
3	8 3rd (8) (10/1 -25%) Sageburg County		10 10/1(-25%)																															(8) Sageburg County 10/1, Successful on sole outing in Irish points and took a step forward over hurdles when runner-up in maiden at Market Rasen (20.6f) last month, settling better under a more patient ride. Merits consideration on handicap debut. Unexposed handicap newcomer who was runner-up in 2m4f maiden last time; in the mix.
4	2 4th (2) (18/1 -13%) Doyouknowwhatimean		18 18/1(-13%)																															(2) Doyouknowwhatimean 18/1, Didn't kick on after a promising start in bumpers and ran to only a modest level in a trio of maiden hurdles in November, well-beaten at this course (15.8f) on his most recent outing. However, could yet do better now handicapping after 5 months off. Lightly raced 6yo who is with a top yard and needs a close look on his handicap debut.
5th	7 5th (7) (16/1 +0%) Ripper Roo		16 16/1(+0%)																															(7) Ripper Roo 16/1, Landed the odds in a maiden hurdle at Market Rasen in April 2021 but, after a lengthy layoff, showed little sent chasing on first 3 starts in 2022/23. Returned to hurdling, seemingly back on track when third of 4 in handicap at Market Rasen (23.1f) last month. Very lightly raced since his maiden win (2m4f) in 2021 and others are more convincing.
6th	16 6th (16) (50/1 +50%) Rainbow Jet		50 50/1(+50%)																															(16) Rainbow Jet 50/1, Fairly useful handicapper at best on the Flat but little form in this sphere, in cheekpieces (for first time over hurdles) when down the field in handicap at Uttoxeter at the beginning of the month. Step up in trip not enough to tempt. Has plenty to prove at this new trip and she's 7lb out of the weights.
7th	3 7th (3) (16/1 -33%) Herecomeshogan		16 16/1(-33%)																															(3) Herecomeshogan 16/1, Off the mark in a Newton Abbot maiden hurdle in August and resumed his progress when winning handicap at Exeter (18.5f) in October. After 6 months off, shaped as if better for run at Ludlow last time. Could get back on track. May have needed his reappearance run and he could resume his progress now back up in trip.
8th	5 8th (5) (25/1 -56%) Fletch		25 25/1(-56%)																															(5) Fletch 25/1, Placed on first 2 starts over hurdles before making the most of a good opportunity in a Uttoxeter novice (15.8f) in February 2021. In first-time tongue tie, fourth on his handicap bow at Perth 2 months later, but he's been off for 2 years since. Uttoxeter winner who is still unexposed but he has something to prove after two years off.
9th	11 9th (11) (16/1 +60%) Inchester D'amsyl		16 16/1(+60%)																															(11) Inchester D'amsyl 16/1, Showed a bit on first 2 starts over hurdles, not unduly punished when runner-up in novice at Huntingdon (15.8f) in February. Held when fell 3 out at Exeter last time, but could prove a different proposition now handicapping over this longer distance. Unexposed 5yo who is a possible improver upped in trip on handicap debut; market useful.
10th	12 10th (12) (6/1 +63%) Steal My Sunshine		6 6/1(+63%)																															(12) Steal My Sunshine 6/1, Some encouragement in a pair of bumpers but has yet to make much of an impact in 3 starts over hurdles so far, sixth of 14 in novice at Huntingdon (15.8f) when last seen in January. May show more now handicapping after a wind op, though. Lightly raced 6yo who has had wind surgery and is open to progress on his handicap debut.
11th	13 11th (13) (16/1 +36%) Irish Sovereign		16 16/1(+36%)																															(13) Irish Sovereign 16/1, Showed improved form in blinkers when winning handicaps at this C&D and Sedgefield in 2021/22. However, pulled up back here on his final outing of the campaign and off 12 months ahead of first run for yard after leaving Sarah Humphrey. C&D winner but he's been off for 388 days and has something to prove for new yard.
15	15 |PU| (15) (40/1 -60%) Overstate		40 40/1(-60%)																															(15) Overstate 40/1, Made a winning start for this yard on the Flat at Kempton (2m) in February. However, has gone backwards from his hurdling debut in 2 starts at Fakenham since, well beaten by his sole rival last time. Has plenty to find on handicap hurdle debut. Has struggled in this sphere and he needs a transformation on his handicap hurdle debut.
1	1 |PU| (1) (100/1 +20%) With A Start		100 100/1(+20%)																															(1) With A Start 100/1, Lightly-raced winner over hurdles who had only 2 starts on the Flat last year. After a further 10 months off, well held on first run since leaving Noel Meade when last in handicap on the level here in March. Others more persuasive back hurdling. Very lightly raced in recent years and made a low-key start for new yard on AW last month.

LTO Selection:

---

18:15 Southwell Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 20f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

2/1 (10) WHITE RHINO Improver looks like a strong contender for the race based on the summary provided. The horse has been in good form in handicaps, winning its latest race over the same course and distance as this race. Furthermore, it has shown improvement since moving up in trip and switching to handicaps, suggesting there may be more to come. All in all, 2/1 (10) WHITE RHINO Improver is a

White Rhino is likely to prove popular having completed a hat-trick over C&D last month, but there may be some value in taking on the seven-year-old, who has been hit with another 10lb rise in the ratings for that latest success. Bumper winner SWAPPED makes his handicap debut off what looks a fair mark and a wind procedure since his midfield finish at Plumpton in January may unlock enough potential to triumph here. Sageburg County and Inchester D'amsyl also make their first appearance in this sphere and any market support would make them of interest.

WHITE RHINO's form has taken off since going handicapping up in trip, recording a second C&D success when scoring comfortably here last time, and he can land the 4-timer with the promise of still more to offer. There are several interesting handicap debutants in the line-up, though, with Swapped feared most ahead of Inchester d'Amsyl and Sageburg County.

The vote goes to the highly progressive WHITE RHINO (nap), who made it 3-3 in handicaps with his comfortable win over C&D last month.

18:15 Southwell Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 20f PREDICTION SIMULATION

---

18:50 Southwell Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 20f - 6 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	4 1st (4) (1.25/1 +17%) Thanksforthehelp		1.25 1.25/1(+17%)																															(4) Thanksforthehelp 1.25/1, Had wind op and cheekpieces on when off the mark comfortably in handicap hurdle at Chepstow (23.6f) in February. Sent off favourite for Pertemps Final at Cheltenham next time when finishing mid-field, though shaped better than result. Leading contender. Beaten favourite in the Pertemps Final; sets a clear standard on his February success.
2	5 2nd (5) (16/1 +11%) Cabhfuilfungi		16 16/1(+11%)																															(5) Cabhfuilfungi 16/1, Modest form in bumpers and offered little sent hurdling on final start in 2021/22. However, after a year off, showed more on his first outing since leaving John Groucott when third in maiden here (15.8f) 16 days ago. Needs more again back up in trip. Placed in maiden hurdle here 16 days ago but that form is only modest.
3	1 3rd (1) (2.25/1 +25%) Amrons Sage		2.25 2.25/1(+25%)																															(1) Amrons Sage 2.25/1, Won sole outing in Irish points and runner-up on first 2 starts in novice hurdles. On second start in a handicap, confirmed previous promise when successful at Ludlow (21.1f) last month, coping well with emphasis on speed. Open to further improvement. Opened his rules account in Ludlow handicap last month; may well build on that win.
4	3 4th (3) (5.5/1 -38%) Richhill		5.5 5.5/1(-38%)																															(3) Richhill 5.5/1, Irish point winner who finished third on hurdling debut. After 3 months off (had wind op), built on that effort when making all in maiden at this C&D in January and ran well under a penalty when second at Kelso (16.2f) the following month. Back up in trip. Ten-week absence looks a plus, as he was fresh when making all over C&D in January.
5th	2 5th (2) (5/1 +29%) Gentle Frank		5 5/1(+29%)																															(2) Gentle Frank 5/1, Runner-up completed start in points and shaped encouragingly in maiden hurdles before opening account in novice at Doncaster (19.4f) 55 days ago. Won easily there despite racing freely/not jumping fluently, so he should still have more to offer. Off the mark in similar event at Doncaster six weeks ago, easily beating three rivals.
6	6 |PU| (6) (200/1 +20%) Remember Ally		200 200/1(+20%)																															(6) Remember Ally 200/1, Having been tailed off in a bumper in December, fared no better on hurdling debut (with tongue tie applied) when pulled up in novice at Huntingdon 12 days ago. Makes little appeal. Has easily the worst chance on form.

LTO Selection:

---

18:50 Southwell Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 20f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

Based on the summary provided, it appears that

THANKSFORTHEHELP was unable to justify favouritism when finishing midfield in the Pertemps Final at the Cheltenham Festival last month, but David Pipe's inmate is of strong interest now returned to novice company and looks to have been found a good opportunity to return to winning ways. Amrons Sage recorded a first success under Rules when winning a handicap hurdle at Ludlow last time and warrants respect, despite having 8lb to find on the ratings with the selection, while Richhill makes most appeal of the remainder.

THANKSFORTHEHELP shaped better than the result in the Pertemps Final at Cheltenham last month, unable to sustain his effort, and he can resume winning ways back in novice company. The 6-y-o can see off the challenge of the improving Amrons Sage, while Gentle Frank could also have further progress to come.

Thanksforthehelp holds leading claims provided he copes with the drop back to a sharp 2m4f. A solid alternative is RICHHILL.

18:50 Southwell Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 20f PREDICTION SIMULATION

---

19:25 Southwell Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 24f - 13 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	15 1st (15) (3.33/1 +33%) Whataboutyeh		3.33 3.33/1(+33%)																															(15) Whataboutyeh 3.33/1, Irish point winner at the third attempt but well beaten in 3 novice hurdles. Upped markedly in trip for handicap debut and tongue tie goes on. Interesting to see a market move. First return to 3m since pointing days looks a plus on pedigree; improvement likely..
2	1 2nd (1) (18/1 -80%) Montmartin		18 18/1(-80%)																															(1) Montmartin 18/1, Cost a fair bit and showed first form over hurdles when a running-on third at Wetherby (2m) 4 weeks ago. Handicaps over longer trip will see him in a better light now and he's one to consider. Should pay his way in handicaps from here on, if not necessarily over quite as far as 3m..
3	3 3rd (3) (8.5/1 -42%) Royal Lake		8.5 8.5/1(-42%)																															(3) Royal Lake 8.5/1, Attracted support and took advantage of a reduced mark refitted with cheekpieces in 10-runner Fontwell handicap (21.8f) earlier this month. Remains on a favourable weight up 4 lb and can go well again. 4lb raise for breakthrough Fontwell win (2m6f, soft) isn't unfair; may yet make a stayer..
4	9 4th (9) (4.5/1 +44%) Perfect Man		4.5 4.5/1(+44%)																															(9) Perfect Man 4.5/1, Losing run stetches back to 2020 but he has a very lowly mark. Well backed but held behind Tiny Tantrum starting out for this yard at Stratford 4 weeks ago. Tongue tie back on. Last handicap win came off 47lb higher in 2020; flopped on his recent stable debut..
5th	4 5th (4) (8.5/1 -55%) Can't Beat History		8.5 8.5/1(-55%)																															(4) Can't Beat History 8.5/1, Second in an Irish bumper last spring and showed more than previously over hurdles switched to a handicap when runner-up in 13-runner event at Doncaster (19.4f) 2 months ago, just failing. Longer trip should suit but he could do with settling down. Beaten a head on handicap debut latest; 3lb rise looks fair, longer trip a likely plus..
6th	6 6th (6) (28/1 -27%) Just Call Me Al		28 28/1(-27%)																															(6) Just Call Me Al 28/1, Won 3 times last season but form has gone the wrong way during the current campaign and he's hard to warm to at present, despite slipping to an attractive mark. Has had a breathing operation. Mark never lower, and still lightly raced over stayers' trips; not discounted lightly..
7th	2 7th (2) (7.5/1 +17%) Hillfinch		7.5 7.5/1(+17%)																															(2) Hillfinch 7.5/1, In good form, winning mares' handicap hurdle at Huntingdon and going close over C&D a fortnight ago (just failed having edged left away from the whip close home). More needed raised 3 lb. Huntingdon win and C&D second since stepped up to 3m-plus; back up 3lb but good claims..
8th	10 8th (10) (10/1 +44%) The Skiffle King		10 10/1(+44%)																															(10) The Skiffle King 10/1, Equipped with first-time cheekpieces when getting off the mark in 10-runner handicap over further here in February. Good third at Huntingdon next time but struggled in the mud at Market Rasen latest. 3m2f winner here three runs ago (good); slow ground to blame last time; place claims..
9th	11 9th (11) (8/1 +33%) Robber's Bridge		8 8/1(+33%)																															(11) Robber's Bridge 8/1, Took a big step forward when second at Wincanton (21.4f) last month, unlucky to bump into a well-punted one. Nudged up just 1 lb and headgear goes back on. Near-4l second at Wincanton latest; uncertain the return to 3m rates a plus; hood returns..
10th	12 10th (12) (11/1 +39%) Storm Force One		11 11/1(+39%)																															(12) Storm Force One 11/1, Again well backed and ran creditably at Wetherby last time but remains a long-standing maiden. Nearest finish at Wetherby the last twice; won't fail for stamina, but 0-24 overall..
8	8 |PU| (8) (16/1 -33%) On The Bandwagon		16 16/1(-33%)																															(8) On The Bandwagon 16/1, Remains winless but caught the eye in first-time cheekpieces in conditionals/amateurs staying handicap back over hurdles at Warwick 9 weeks ago, racing wide for a long way. One to note. Ran okay in a 3m2f hurdle last time until stamina gave out; return to shorter makes sense..
5	5 |PU| (5) (33/1 +18%) Robeam		33 33/1(+18%)																															(5) Robeam 33/1, Won small-field C&D handicap 11 months ago but out of sorts in more recent times (including on the level). C&D scorer off 9lb lower last May (good); short of his best on the Flat the last twice..
14	14 |PU| (14) (33/1 +34%) Cheer's Delboy		33 33/1(+34%)																															(14) Cheer's Delboy 33/1, Some decent bits and pieces of form to his name and should have come on for his run here earlier this month, his first since October. This is tough, though. Glimmer more over C&D last September, but hasn't built on that since; 0-23 overall..

LTO Selection:

---

19:25 Southwell Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 24f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

9/1 (2) HILLFINCH and 10/1 (1) MONTMARTIN are the most likely to do well based on the summary. Both have recent wins or close finishes in handicaps and have been raised in the weights but still have good claims.

Upped markedly in trip for his handicap debut, it would be no surprise to see Montmartin take his form to a new level, but HILLFINCH edges the vote. Stuart Edmunds' mare has displayed significant progress since stepping up to 3m and having bumped into an improver when narrowly denied over C&D 16 days ago, she can go one better today. Recent Stratford scorer Tiny Tantrum must enter calculations, along with Just Call Me Al, who is well treated on his best form and hinted at a return to form when finishing a creditable fourth at Catterick last time.

MONTMARTIN is just the type to leave his previous form behind now handicapping upped markedly in trip and he gets the vote. Royal Lake opened his account at Fontwell earlier this month and can go well again up 4 lb. Stratford-winner Tiny Tantrum and On The Bandwagon are also considered.

Back on track after treatment for ulcers, ROYAL LAKE can defy a 4lb rise at the chief expense of Can't Beat History.

19:25 Southwell Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 24f PREDICTION SIMULATION

---

20:00 Southwell Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 16f - 14 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	16 1st (16) (6/1 +45%) Well Done Dani		6 6/1(+45%)																															(16) Well Done Dani 6/1, Arrives in good form, prominent long way when pulled up in 2m4f handicap hurdle at Uttoxeter in December. Has since had a wind op and not ruled out back down in trip. Not seen since poor 2m4f run in December but placed in three 2m handicaps beforehand.
2	3 2nd (3) (12/1 -100%) Fort De L'ocean		12 12/1(-100%)																															(3) Fort De L'ocean 12/1, Fair winning hurdler/chaser for Oliver Greenall but off 16 months since posting a creditable fourth in handicap hurdle at Plumpton for new yard. Has his fitness to prove. Ran quite well on stable debut in December 2021 but not seen again since.
3	6 3rd (6) (28/1 -27%) For Three		28 28/1(-27%)																															(6) For Three 28/1, Successful twice for James Ewart in summer of 2021 but he's yet to fire in 6 runs for his current yard this term. Not firing on all cylinders this season but today's return to good ground will suit.
4	5 4th (5) (5.5/1 +39%) Red Vision		5.5 5.5/1(+39%)																															(5) Red Vision 5.5/1, Winner of a pair of novice hurdles last March. Took a step back in the right direction when fifth of 8 in handicap hurdle at Uttoxeter (15.8f, heavy) 27 days ago. That form is working out really well so he holds good claims off a falling mark. Took step back in right direction this month but still has something to prove.
5th	13 5th (13) (10/1 +0%) Chemical Warfare		10 10/1(+0%)																															(13) Chemical Warfare 10/1, Good second in 2m handicap chase at Newcastle in January but pulled up at Sedgefield 14 days ago. More is needed back in this sphere if he is to shed his maiden tag. Second to progressive rival in a chase in January and had excuse when pulled up last time.
6th	10 6th (10) (33/1 -32%) She Has Notions		33 33/1(-32%)																															(10) She Has Notions 33/1, Made a solid start when third in a novice hurdle at Kilbeggan for John Halley in July but little impact all 3 runs since for current yard. Others make more appeal. Unexposed after only four runs but absent since low-key handicap debut in December 2021.
7th	14 7th (14) (4.5/1 +47%) Bushmill Boy		4.5 4.5/1(+47%)																															(14) Bushmill Boy 4.5/1, Yet to score over hurdles but arrives in decent nick, fourth of 16 in handicap hurdle here (20.4f, good to soft) 53 days ago. Back down in trip and can make presence felt. 0-9 over hurdles but recent efforts suggest he can make his presence felt.
8th	4 8th (4) (80/1 +0%) Forever Des Long		80 80/1(+0%)																															(4) Forever Des Long 80/1, Market Rasen winner for Philip Hobbs last spring but ended his time with that yard on a low note and well held all 4 starts for present connections, tongue strap applied at Taunton last time. Others are preferred. Very well handicapped on old form but hasn't shown a great deal for current stable.
9th	15 9th (15) (11/1 +78%) Phoebus Lescribaa		11 11/1(+78%)																															(15) Phoebus Lescribaa 11/1, Unreliable type and off 7 months before being pulled up in handicap hurdle here (20.4f) 79 days ago. Blinkers back on now though so this C&D winner is no forlorn hope. Regressive veteran with modest strike-rate; struggled here on latest outing in February.
9	9 |F| (9) (6/1 +25%) Aristobulus		6 6/1(+25%)																															(9) Aristobulus 6/1, Made a successful stable debut on AW Flat in January and in the frame all four runs since, third of 7 on his handicap hurdle debut at Ludlow (2m) 25 days ago. Enters calculations. Third on this month's handicap debut and may still have a bigger run in him.
12	12 |F| (12) (40/1 +39%) Rhyme Scheme		40 40/1(+39%)																															(12) Rhyme Scheme 40/1, Regressive on the Flat and has yet to better modest form over hurdles. Pulled up in handicap hurdle at Fakenham (16f, soft) 18 days ago so hard to make a case for. Has very modest hurdling record but getting back on decent ground will aid her cause.
2	2 |U| (2) (12/1 -85%) Mutual Respect		12 12/1(-85%)																															(2) Mutual Respect 12/1, Remains a maiden after 17 runs and below-form fifth of 15 in handicap hurdle at Exeter (16.7f, good to soft) 49 days ago. Others appeal more. Very much in contention before falling two starts ago but hurdle record is now 0-13.
10th	1 10th (1) (16/1 -146%) Scarpered		16 16/1(-146%)																															(1) Scarpered 16/1, Caught the eye under considerate handling when 5th on hurdles debut at Ludlow (2m) but poor efforts at Ffos Las and Plumpton since. Lots more to do now handicapping. Soundly beaten on all three hurdling starts but open to improvement in handicaps.
11	11 |PU| (11) (8.5/1 -13%) Dance At Night		8.5 8.5/1(-13%)																															(11) Dance At Night 8.5/1, Fairly useful on the Flat (stays 1¼m) for Andrew Balding. Yet to match that form over hurdles, though, fourth of 12 in handicap hurdle at Huntingdon (15.8f, good to soft) 64 days ago. More is needed. Decent effort when fourth at Huntingdon last time; can improve if/when he learns to settle.

LTO Selection:

---

20:00 Southwell Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 16f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

9/1 (5) RED VISION is likely to do well based on the summary. Although he hasn't won a hurdle race yet, he has won two novice hurdles last March and took a step back in the right direction with a good fifth in a handicap hurdle at Uttoxeter (15.8f, heavy) 27 days ago. This form is also working out really well and he holds good claims off a falling mark.

ARISTOBULUS achieved a peak rating of 82 when trained on the Flat, and he's shown signs of ability in this sphere. Far from disgraced on his handicap debut 25 days ago, the gelded son of Adaay was dropped 1lb for that effort and he wouldn't need to improve much further to record a first hurdles success today. Dance At Night merits a place on the shortlist, as does Scarpered, who remains capable of better for his leading trainer. Eventful is another to consider.

Not nearly so competitive as the numbers suggest. RED VISION hinted at a revival when fifth at Uttoxeter last time and with that form working out really well he looks the way to go off a handy-looking mark. Aristobulus is holding his form well for Stuart Edmunds and is next on the list ahead of in-form maiden Bushmill Boy.

Preference if for ARISTOBULUS, who probably didn't have the race run to suit when third on his recent handicap hurdle debut.

20:00 Southwell Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

---

Racecard Key

Ths is the racecard key.

Icon	Meaning
	TomForm top stats, gold rated
	TomForm top stats silver rated
	Ran similar race before
S	TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out
T	Top Time speeed rated
	Top Racingpost rated
	At the races watchout for
	At the races top pick
	Top rated for thet statistic

---

How to use Tomform

Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.

This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.

---

About U.K Horse Racing

Horse racing is a popular and historic sport in the UK, with a tradition dating back centuries. It is a multi-billion pound industry that attracts millions of spectators each year and generates significant economic activity.

There are two main types of horse racing in the UK: flat racing and jump racing. Flat racing is run on a level course and is typically shorter in distance, while jump racing involves horses jumping over obstacles and is generally longer in distance. Both types of racing are popular with spectators and bettors, and they take place at various racetracks throughout the country.

The most famous horse racing event in the UK is the Grand National, which is held annually at Aintree Racecourse in Liverpool. It is a jump racing event that is known for its challenging course and has become a national institution in the UK. Other notable horse racing events in the UK include the Derby, held at Epsom Downs Racecourse in Surrey, and the Royal Ascot, held at Ascot Racecourse in Berkshire.

Horse racing in the UK is regulated by the British Horseracing Authority (BHA), which sets rules and standards for the industry. It is responsible for the welfare of racehorses and the safety of jockeys and trainers, as well as ensuring fair and transparent racing practices.

In addition to its economic and cultural importance, horse racing in the UK also plays a significant role in the breeding and training of thoroughbred horses. Many of the world's top thoroughbreds are bred and trained in the UK, and the industry plays a vital role in the preservation and promotion of the breed.

Overall, horse racing is an integral part of British culture and a major contributor to the country's economy. It is a thrilling and exciting sport that continues to attract a loyal following and generate significant interest from spectators and bettors around the world.

---

Top