20:15 Southwell Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 16f - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	1 (1) (10/1 +29%) Bobby Socks		10 10/1(+29%)																															(1) Bobby Socks 10/1, Fairy useful form when landing bumper at Newton Abbot in September but yet to add to it in this sphere, having a wind op before below form sixth of 10 in handicap at Uttoxeter (15.8f, soft) 107 days ago. Tongue strap on 1st time. Needs to bounce back. Placed in C&D maiden in November but not seen since underwhelming h'cap debut in January.
1	2 1st (2) (0.73/1 +47%) Kingfast		0.73 0.73/1(+47%)																															(2) Kingfast 0.73/1, Capitalised on a reduced mark for his current yard to land conditional jockeys' handicap at Market Rasen (16.6f, good to soft) 3 days ago. Escapes a penalty so holds leading claims off an unchanged mark, Returned to form with comfortable win on Friday and has no penalty here; obvious claims.
2	5 2nd (5) (7/1 +36%) Ez Tiger		7 7/1(+36%)																															(5) Ez Tiger 7/1, Below form sixth of 11 in handicap hurdle at Plumpton (17.8f, soft) 35 days ago. More is required if he's to gain his breakthrough success here. Placed in big field in January but hasn't built on that performance since.
3	7 3rd (7) (28/1 +58%) My Virtue		28 28/1(+58%)																															(7) My Virtue 28/1, Winning pointer but lightly-raced maiden hurdler. Only eleventh of 13 in handicap at Ludlow (21.2f, good to soft) 19 days ago so she's hard to make a case for. Fourth at big odds in Ludlow maiden in March but down the field on handicap debut there.
4	9 4th (9) (12/1 +33%) Muse Of Fire		12 12/1(+33%)																															(9) Muse Of Fire 12/1, Started well over fences for his current yard but tried in cheekpieces when pulled up in handicap chase at Bangor (17.4f, soft) 51 days ago. Has something to prove back over hurdles. Ran poorly in latest chase and it's hard to know what to expect on this hurdling return.
5th	3 5th (3) (14/1 -27%) Zoran		14 14/1(-27%)																															(3) Zoran 14/1, Still a maiden over hurldes and tried blinkered for 1st time when only ninth of 11 in handicap hurdle at Newton Abbot (18.5f, good) 10 months ago on his final run for Paul Nicholls. Needs to hit th ground running for his new handler. 0-6 over hurdles for Paul Nicholls; makes stable debut after 11-month absence.
6th	6 6th (6) (6/1 -50%) Rocambolas		6 6/1(-50%)																															(6) Rocambolas 6/1, Winning pointer who made a successful start for his new yard in 2m Uttoxeter handicap hurdle last month, more settled in a first-time hood. Form has been franked so he's not taken lightly despite a 7 lb rise with the headgear retained. Won in good style when switched back to hurdling for stable debut; can improve again.
7th	8 7th (8) (16/1 +52%) Ruby's Pearl		16 16/1(+52%)																															(8) Ruby's Pearl 16/1, Only poor form shown thus far, remote fourth of 8 in handicap hurdle at Fakenham (16f, soft) 35 days ago. Others appeal more. Ran okay on handicap debut but was beaten about 22l in the end; others look stronger.
8th	10 8th (10) (16/1 +0%) Ygritte		16 16/1(+0%)																															(10) Ygritte 16/1, In the frame on all her three runs but it's only poor form, coming in a remote fourth of 9 in juvenile hurdle at Ludlow (2m, soft) 146 days ago. Plenty more is needed now going into handicaps. Showed only minor promise in three junior hurdles but has a lowly mark for handicap debut.

LTO Selection:

20:15 Southwell Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 16f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

Based on the summary, the horse with the best chance of finishing in the top three appears to be 1.38/1 (2) KINGFAST. He has recently returned to form with a comfortable win and has no penalty in this race. The other two horses to potentially finish in the top three are 4/1 (6) ROCAMBOLAS, who won in good style in his last race and has seen his form franked, and 7/1 (4) GETAMAN, who ran very well over fences last month and must be considered now back hurdling.

KINGFAST readily got off the mark over hurdles at Market Rasen on Friday and the eight-year-old is hard to oppose here without a penalty for landing that conditional jockeys' event. Rocambolas also scored on his most recent outing but a 7lb rise will make his life harder now. Getaman is another with strong form claims, while Bobby Socks and Zoran are the pick of the remaining field.

KINGFAST looked right back on track for Fergal O'Brien when scoring at Market Rasen only three days ago and is hard to oppose as he escapes a penalty for that conditional jockeys' event. Rocambolas showed the benefit of a hood when getting off the mark at the first attempt for Ben Pauling at Uttoxeter and is next on the list. Getaman appeals as the pick of the rest for place purposes now back hurdling.

It's hard to get away from KINGFAST (nap), who looked back in prime form when winning comfortably on Friday and has the same mark here.

20:15 Southwell Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

20:45 Southwell Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 16f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
8	8 (8) (5.5/1 +21%) Mcgowan's Pass		5.5 5.5/1(+21%)																															(8) Mcgowan's Pass 5.5/1, Without a victory since early 2020 but evidently retains plenty of enthusiasm aged 12, posting creditable efforts in defeat at Wetherby and Newcastle the last twice. Trip/ground fine and down to a career-low mark, he has to enter calculations. 12yo; ended last season with two good efforts on slow ground but hasn't won since 2020.
1	5 1st (5) (3.6/1 -8%) Tarahumara		3.6 3.6/1(-8%)																															(5) Tarahumara 3.6/1, Built on promising hurdling bow when easily taking 14-runner novice at Chepstow (2m, good) in April of last year. Failed to meet expectations (later found to have bled) on chase debut at Uttoxeter in February (since undergone a wind op) and claims if able to get back on track returned to hurdles. Very lightly raced 7yo; disappointing on chase/handicap debut but still has potential.
2	2 2nd (2) (4/1 +11%) Elham Valley		4 4/1(+11%)																															(2) Elham Valley 4/1, Bagged handicaps at Warwick and Newton Abbot last year. Returned to form following a string of below par performances when runner-up off this mark at Kempton (Too Friendly 5 lengths adrift in third) last time and claims if able to back that effort up here. Back in good form when second at Kempton last month and this C&D also suits.
3	1 3rd (1) (1.88/1 +37%) Too Friendly		1.88 1.88/1(+37%)																															(1) Too Friendly 1.88/1, Won 2 juvenile hurdles last season (also fifth in Fred Winter) and several creditable efforts in higher-grade handicaps than this during the present campaign. Shaped better than the distance beaten when third on debut for new yard at Kempton (2m, heavy) and he's high on the shortlist. Finished last three races weakly, most recently after looking likely winner on yard debut.
4	9 4th (9) (8/1 +20%) Karannelle		8 8/1(+20%)																															(9) Karannelle 8/1, Enjoyed a productive spell last summer, landing back-to-back handicaps and ending the year with runners-up efforts at Newton Abbot over 16.7f on good/good to firm. Has gone well fresh previously and usual hood refitted ahead but she could do with the ground drying it. In good form last summer but has fitness to prove after absence; best on good ground.
5th	6 5th (6) (3.5/1 +65%) Restandbethankful		3.5 3.5/1(+65%)																															(6) Restandbethankful 3.5/1, Scored 3 times over timber for Olly Murphy in 2021. Failed to strike following a half-a-dozen chase starts and well held back in this sphere at Ayr last month, albeit he was partnered by an inexperienced jockey (first ride under Rules) that day and better can be expected with Brian Hughes up here. Dropped out rather tamely after running well for a long way on both stable starts.
6th	7 6th (7) (66/1 -65%) With A Start		66 66/1(-65%)																															(7) With A Start 66/1, Maiden hurdle winner for Noel Meade back in July 2020 but largely struggled since and was pulled up on hurdles debut for this yard over 20.4f here recently. Has struggled on both stable starts (Flat/hurdle) and has too much to prove.
7th	4 7th (4) (22/1 -340%) Toronet		22 22/1(-340%)																															(4) Toronet 22/1, Winner of a claiming hurdle at Fontainebleau (17.6f, soft) when last seen in February (subsequently claimed from Julien Phelippon for €19,999). Hard to weigh up starting out for new connections here and percentage call is to look elsewhere. Has joined Laura Morgan since winning a slow-ground claimer in France in February.

LTO Selection:

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20:45 Southwell Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 16f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

Based on the summary, the horses that are most likely to do well are Enjoyed, 4.5/1 (2) ELHAM VALLEY, and 3/1 (1) TOO FRIENDLY. However, it is impossible to accurately predict the exact finishing order of the horses.

ELHAM VALLEY bounced back to form when second over this trip at Kempton three weeks ago and he arguably sets the standard off the same mark here. That said, Toronet has to be respected on his UK debut having won his final start in France earlier in the year. Karannelle should not be underestimated, while Too Friendly and Mcgowan's Pass could also go well.

TOO FRIENDLY ultimately did too much too soon when third starting out for his new yard at Kempton 3 weeks ago and, if delivered later in the piece by Aidan Coleman here, the 5-y-o could be the answer. Tarahumara will be a threat if able to get back on track returned to this sphere on the back of a wind operation, while Sea The Clouds is also accorded respect.

A pretty solid option is ELHAM VALLEY, who kept on well for second off today's mark at Kempton last month and also has form over C&D.

20:45 Southwell Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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Racecard Key

Ths is the racecard key.

Icon	Meaning
	TomForm top stats, gold rated
	TomForm top stats silver rated
	Ran similar race before
S	TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out
T	Top Time speeed rated
	Top Racingpost rated
	At the races watchout for
	At the races top pick
	Top rated for thet statistic

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How to use Tomform

Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.

This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.

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