18:45 Southwell Handicap (Class 4) 8f - 13 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	3 1st (3) (6/1 -20%) Tosen Wish		6 6/1(-20%)																															(3) Tosen Wish 6/1, Started his career promisingly and, having largely struggled in turf handicaps for present stable, he took a major step back in right direction when second at Newcastle (1m) 2 weeks ago, chasing home subsequent London Mile winner Helm Rock. Claims from 1 lb higher. Irish 4yo who posted a solid effort at Newcastle two weeks ago; still unexposed on AW.
2	6 2nd (6) (12/1 +64%) Cabinet Of Clowns		12 12/1(+64%)																															(6) Cabinet Of Clowns 12/1, Latest win at Chepstow in August. Respectable fourth of 9 in handicap (10/1) at Newbury (8f, good to firm) 15 days ago, running on. Should give another good account for all present mark demands that little bit more. In good form with blinkers fitted the last twice; could go well.
3	12 3rd (12) (5.5/1 -57%) Dionysian		5.5 5.5/1(-57%)																															(12) Dionysian 5.5/1, Creditable 2¼ lengths fifth of 13 to Billy Mill in handicap (7/2) at Newcastle (7.1f) 13 days ago, short of room 2f out and staying on final 1f. Remains one to be interested in from this sort of mark and rider takes off handy 5 lb here. Shaped nicely over 7f the last twice; 2-2 in 1m contests on AW; respected off reduced mark.
4	4 4th (4) (33/1 -65%) Fools Rush In		33 33/1(-65%)																															(4) Fools Rush In 33/1, Fifteen runs since last win in 2022. 40/1, eleventh of 12 in handicap at Chester (7.6f, good to soft) 11 days ago, slowly away and never dangerous. Tough to assess at present. Holds weak claims on overall turf form for current stable; not seen on AW since 2020.
5th	8 5th (8) (7.5/1 +58%) Hartswood		7.5 7.5/1(+58%)																															(8) Hartswood 7.5/1, Endured a disappointing 2022 but well prepared to make winning return to action at Thirsk (1m) in May. Has shaped as if in reasonable heart all 4 starts since and he's no forlorn hope from this sort of mark. Didn't get the best of runs (behind Tosen Wish) last time; not dismissed.
6th	11 6th (11) (18/1 +28%) Strongbowe		18 18/1(+28%)																															(11) Strongbowe 18/1, Latest win at Carlisle (7.8f) in July. 15/2, respectable second of 13 in handicap at Redcar (8f, good to firm) 18 days ago, going well when not clear run under 2f out and keeping on. Remains less exposed than most on AW and he's a live each-way player. Exposed 7yo who faces a difficult task in this field back on AW.
7th	10 7th (10) (6.5/1 +0%) Hat Toss		6.5 6.5/1(+0%)																															(10) Hat Toss 6.5/1, Winner at Sandown in June. Good second of 10 in handicap (10/3) at Windsor (8.1f, good to firm) 27 days ago, leading last ½f and headed near line. Building up a solid record for this yard and he enters calculations again. Went close in Racing League contest at Windsor last month; open to further progress.
8th	13 8th (13) (20/1 +29%) Star Zinc		20 20/1(+29%)																															(13) Star Zinc 20/1, Winner over C&D in June but not scaled same heights all 3 starts since, albeit best not judged too harshly on his yard debut effort when eleventh of 13 in handicap at Newcastle (1m) 2 weeks ago. C&D winner in June; out of sorts otherwise this year; revival needed.
9th	9 9th (9) (7.5/1 -7%) Billy Mill		7.5 7.5/1(-7%)																															(9) Billy Mill 7.5/1, Just touched off from easing mark at Kempton (1m) 2 starts back and confirmed promise of that run when landing 13-runner Newcastle handicap (7f) 2 weeks ago, staying on to lead final 100 yds. Expected to go well again from 3 lb higher mark. Successful in Racing League events in 2022 and on latest outing; holds solid claims.
10th	1 10th (1) (66/1 -32%) Harswell Duke		66 66/1(-32%)																															(1) Harswell Duke 66/1, Showed benefit of reappearance run when landing 22-runner Spring Mile at Doncaster in April. Seen only 3 times since, possibly still in need of the run when tenth of 11 in handicap Wolverhampton (8.6f) 6 days ago. Still, others preferred. Won this year's Spring Mile; not in anything like the same form since.
11th	5 11th (5) (9/1 +0%) Kingmania		9 9/1(+0%)																															(5) Kingmania 9/1, Proved at least as good as ever when coming from an unpromising position to make winning return/yard debut over C&D in April. Better than bare form figures suggest in trio of starts on turf subsequently and likelihood is she remains on a workable mark returned to AW. Interesting. Sole attempt on AW resulted in C&D win; interesting back here.
12th	2 12th (2) (4/1 +33%) Baltimore Boy		4 4/1(+33%)																															(2) Baltimore Boy 4/1, Well served by return to AW/fitting of a first-time visor when bouncing back to score at Kempton (1m) last month and backed that up when third in Saturday's London Mile Final back at that venue. Can go well again now he's back in the groove. Creditable third in major AW handicap at Kempton last Saturday; in the mix.
13th	7 13th (7) (40/1 -43%) Cry Havoc		40 40/1(-43%)																															(7) Cry Havoc 40/1, Dual 7f winner on AW this time last year who has confirmed herself back in better heart from an easing mark of late, staying on for sixth from a less-than-ideal position at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 6 days ago. However, others appeal a little more for win purposes. Five-time winner on Polytrack; 0-5 on Tapeta; not the percentage call.

LTO Selection:

18:45 Southwell Handicap (Class 4) 8f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

Kingmania has only been here once, winning by half a length in April off 3lb lower, and she could surprise a few. With the Rod Millman horses in good form it was no shock to see BILLY MILL winning at Newcastle last month and, if Saffie Osborne can produce him fast and late again, an added 3lb from the handicapper may not prevent a repeat victory. Baltimore Boy was beaten a little over a length in a better race at Kempton latest and he looks a major player, along with Cry Havoc.

Overcoming a pace bias when successful on return/yard debut over C&D in the spring, KINGMANIA has largely been in better order than recent form figures suggest and, appealing as still being on a workable mark returned to all weather, it would come as no surprise to see a bold showing from James Ferguson's mare. Dionysian and Tosen Wish both arrive on the back of good efforts and are feared, with Hat Toss and Billy Mill others fancied to be in the mix.

All the signs look good for DIONYSIAN (nap), who is very interesting off his current mark back over 1m. Tosen Wish is feared most.

18:45 Southwell Handicap (Class 4) 8f PREDICTION SIMULATION

19:15 Southwell Handicap (Class 4) 6f - 14 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	2 1st (2) (6/1 +0%) Gulliver		6 6/1(+0%)																															(2) Gulliver 6/1, C&D winner. Stepped up on recent run when fifth of 12 in handicap at Thirsk (6f, good to soft, 9/1) 12 days ago, nearest finish. Can make his presence felt having eased further in the weights. Encouraging fifth at Thirsk recently when denied a clear run and he's one to consider.
2	5 2nd (5) (8.5/1 +15%) Dare To Hope		8.5 8.5/1(+15%)																															(5) Dare To Hope 8.5/1, Never a threat when seventh of 11 in handicap at Chester (5.5f, good to soft, 16/1) 11 days ago, again slowly into stride. Makes tapeta debut. Capable of getting involved if he can cut out the slow starts. Hasn't really shone in light 3yo campaign this year but the step back up to 6f could help.
3	12 3rd (12) (11/1 +39%) Jordan Electrics		11 11/1(+39%)																															(12) Jordan Electrics 11/1, Bounced back to form when winning 11-runner handicap (9/1) at Carlisle (5f, good) 12 days ago. Won off this mark earlier in the season, so he's not discounted as he goes back up in trip. Won at Carlisle recently and he's twice won back-to-back previously in his career.
4	1 4th (1) (10/1 -11%) Hierarchy		10 10/1(-11%)																															(1) Hierarchy 10/1, Fourteen runs since last win in 2021. Again very slowly away when fourth of 7 in handicap at Goodwood (5f, heavy, 12/1) 18 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Needs to break on terms if he's to take advantage of his falling mark. His slow starts are a worry but he's on a reduced mark and is capable of having a big say.
5th	11 5th (11) (14/1 +36%) Billyjoh		14 14/1(+36%)																															(11) Billyjoh 14/1, Made a winning debut at Doncaster in July. Failed to progress sent handicapping when fifth of 7 at Nottingham (6.1f, good to soft, 11/2) 29 days ago. However, it still remains early days so he could yet do better. Has shown promise and still very early days, but has to leave h'cap debut run well behind.
6th	8 6th (8) (16/1 +0%) Tyger Bay		16 16/1(+0%)																															(8) Tyger Bay 16/1, Ran creditably when 2¼ lengths fifth of 13 to the reopposing Nordic Passage in Racing League handicap (40/1) at Newcastle (6f) 13 days ago. Has something to find to gain a first win of the year. Fair fifth of 13 at Newcastle a fortnight ago but needs something extra to win this.
7th	10 7th (10) (11/1 -10%) Amazonian Dream		11 11/1(-10%)																															(10) Amazonian Dream 11/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2022. However, has been in good form of late, second of 11 in handicap at Goodwood (6f, good to firm, 11/2) 8 days ago. Enters calculations as he makes his tapeta debut. Went very close at Goodwood last Tuesday and every chance he'll be bang there.
8th	6 8th (6) (14/1 +0%) Antiphon		14 14/1(+0%)																															(6) Antiphon 14/1, Found it tougher upped in grade when ninth of 13 in Racing League handicap at Newcastle (5f, 28/1) 13 days ago. Bounce back called for as he returns to this longer trip. Below par at Newcastle recently but in higher grade than this; in good form on turf prior.
9th	4 9th (4) (7.5/1 -15%) Tolstoy		7.5 7.5/1(-15%)																															(4) Tolstoy 7.5/1, Ended long losing run in 6-runner handicap at Brighton (6f, good, 10/3) 10 days ago by 4½ lengths from Mamillius. Remains on a workable mark under a penalty, but task is to be able to back up his latest effort. Easy win at Brighton ten days ago and he's effective on Tapeta; respected under penalty.
10th	9 10th (9) (4/1 +0%) Nordic Passage		4 4/1(+0%)																															(9) Nordic Passage 4/1, Confirmed previous promise when getting back to winning ways in 13-runner Racing League handicap (8/1) at Newcastle (6f) 13 days ago, readily. Remains well treated on old form and he can score again. Bang-in-form Irish challenger who won at Newcastle a fortnight ago; solid contender.
11th	7 11th (7) (80/1 -186%) Mamillius		80 80/1(-186%)																															(7) Mamillius 80/1, Successful at Lingfield in May. After a couple of below-par efforts, back to form when 4½ lengths second of 6 to Tolstoy in handicap at Brighton (6f, good, 14/1) 10 days ago, no match for the reopposing winner. Others look stronger. No match for Tolstoy when second at Brighton recently; this could prove too competitive.
12th	14 12th (14) (14/1 +44%) King Of Tonga		14 14/1(+44%)																															(14) King Of Tonga 14/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2022. Below form last 2 starts, tenth of 11 in handicap at Chester (5.5f, good to soft, 20/1) 11 days ago. Needs to get back on track. Had an excuse at Chester last time but was also soundly beaten at Beverley two starts ago.
13th	13 13th (13) (7/1 +36%) Fierce		7 7/1(+36%)																															(13) Fierce 7/1, In first-time cheekpieces, again ran well when fourth of 6 in handicap at Bath (5f, good to soft, 2/1) 25 days ago. Can give another good account with return to this longer trip to suit. Sole win came when odds-on in a maiden but he's shown some good form in handicaps also.
14th	3 14th (3) (28/1 -75%) American Star		28 28/1(-75%)																															(3) American Star 28/1, After 9 weeks off, shaped as if needing the outing on first run since leaving Ed Walker when eighth of 17 in handicap at Ripon (6f, good, 16/1) 25 days ago. Others more persuasive as he makes tapeta debut. Didn't run badly on last month's stable debut at Ripon but has to improve for that outing.

LTO Selection:

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19:15 Southwell Handicap (Class 4) 6f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

Tolstoy could hardly have been more impressive when scoring at Brighton 10 days ago but a 5lb penalty for that success just gives the edge to AMAZONIAN DREAM. Rod Millman's gelding was only narrowly denied at Goodwood last week and the four-year-old can race off the same mark here. Nordic Passage is another recent winner to note, while Hierarchy and Gulliver complete the shortlist.

NORDIC PASSAGE returned to winning ways in good style when landing a Racing League event at Newcastle 13 days ago, impressing with how he travelled through the race, so he is taken to follow up in his current form. Gulliver lurks on a dangerous mark and is feared most, while Amazonian Dream and Fierce both arrive in good heart and can be thereabouts once more.

This is more competitive than the six-runner Brighton handicap TOLSTOY won ten days ago but he did it easily and can defy a penalty.

19:15 Southwell Handicap (Class 4) 6f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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19:45 Southwell Handicap (Class 3) 16f - 11 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	8 1st (8) (22/1 -83%) Sir Chauvelin		22 22/1(-83%)																															(8) Sir Chauvelin 22/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2022. 22/1, ninth of 14 in handicap at Hamilton (12.1f, good to soft) 19 days ago. Significantly back up in trip. Struggling for form at present. Multiple winner at up to 1m7f on turf/Tapeta; retains ability but having a mixed season.
2	4 2nd (4) (12/1 -140%) Blazeon Five		12 12/1(-140%)																															(4) Blazeon Five 12/1, Course winner. Five wins from 17 Flat runs. 17/2, career best when winning 7-runner handicap at Ascot (16f, good to soft) 47 days ago, always holding on. Shortlist material. Useful record since upped to 2m, won first 3 attempts, including here; 2-3 on turf of late.
3	5 3rd (5) (3/1 +33%) Sea Stone		3 3/1(+33%)																															(5) Sea Stone 3/1, 2 wins from 3 runs this year. 6/1, career best when winning 7-runner handicap at Newmarket (14f, good to firm) 18 days ago. Makes tapeta debut. Booking of Dettori a plus. Likely to continue in form. Scopey type; 2-2 on Polytrack (1m4f and 2m); turf winner latest; first Tapeta run.
4	11 4th (11) (5.5/1 +15%) Cinnodin		5.5 5.5/1(+15%)																															(11) Cinnodin 5.5/1, Course winner. 4 wins from 7 runs this year. Creditable second of 11 in handicap at Haydock (16.2f, heavy, 10/3) 38 days ago, sticking to task. Cheekpieces on 1st time. 1 lb out of the handicap. Thorough stayer; 2-2 in AW handicaps, including 1m6f here; stout show very likely.
5th	3 5th (3) (4.5/1 +25%) Zain Nights		4.5 4.5/1(+25%)																															(3) Zain Nights 4.5/1, 7/2, career best when winning 5-runner handicap at Goodwood (16f, good) 19 days ago, keeping on well. Makes tapeta debut. Can give another good account. Unraced on Tapeta but two solid 2m runs on Polytrack; pleasing win at Goodwood latest.
6th	2 6th (2) (4/1 +11%) Diamond Bay		4 4/1(+11%)																															(2) Diamond Bay 4/1, 15/2, career best when winning 11-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (14f) 6 days ago, well ridden. More needed under a penalty. 2-2 at Wolverhampton, latest over 1m6f last week; career-high mark; first course run.
7th	9 7th (9) (6/1 +29%) Mostly Sunny		6 6/1(+29%)																															(9) Mostly Sunny 6/1, Creditable fourth of 14 in handicap (20/1) at York (16.2f, good to firm) 21 days ago, well positioned. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Player back down in class. Acts well on Tapeta; two good runs from last 3 starts but extra needed.
8th	6 8th (6) (25/1 -39%) Dark Jedi		25 25/1(-39%)																															(6) Dark Jedi 25/1, Fifth of 7 in handicap at Beverley (12.1f, good to firm, 14/1) 11 days ago, left poorly placed. Significantly back up in trip. Not taken lightly. Dropped in weights since 1m6f turf win last October; having a difficult year; 0-4 on AW.
9th	7 9th (7) (50/1 -127%) Land Of Winter		50 50/1(-127%)																															(7) Land Of Winter 50/1, Course winner. Latest win at Beverley in July. Below form tenth of 17 in handicap at Goodwood (20.4f, soft, 20/1) 40 days ago. Makes tapeta debut. Fibresand winner here; off-putting he hasn't raced on AW for nearly 4 years.
10th	10 10th (10) (16/1 +20%) Natchez Trace		16 16/1(+20%)																															(10) Natchez Trace 16/1, Course winner. Latest win here in June. Creditable seventh of 13 in handicap (12/1) at Newcastle (12.4f) 13 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Two of last 3 wins over 1m4f here; finished remote in sole run beyond that trip (1m6f).
1	1 |RR| (1) (50/1 -150%) Alright Sunshine		50 50/1(-150%)																															(1) Alright Sunshine 50/1, 10/1, good 2 lengths third of 7 to Sea Stone in handicap at Newmarket (14f, good to firm) 18 days ago, having run of race. Acts on Tapeta elsewhere; down weights; fair 3rd to Sea Stone over 1m6f on turf latest.

LTO Selection:

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19:45 Southwell Handicap (Class 3) 16f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.

DIAMOND BAY had plenty in hand when scoring at Wolverhampton last week and the five-year-old is hard to oppose as a result, despite a 5lb penalty. That said, the hat-trick seeking Sea Stone could give him plenty to think about, while similar comments apply to the consistent Cinnodin. Others who merit places on the shortlist are Mostly Sunny and Blazeon Five.

BLAZEON FIVE took her form to another level when edging out a subsequent winner at Ascot, pulling well clear of the rest, and she can defy a 3 lb rise at a track she's proven at. The progressive Sea Stone is the obvious threat as he bids to maintain his unbeaten record on AW, with Mostly Sunny another to consider back down in class.

Plenty of in-form stayers and course winner CINNODIN is marginally preferred to up-and-coming Sea Stone.

19:45 Southwell Handicap (Class 3) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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20:15 Southwell Handicap (Class 3) 5f - 14 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	6 1st (6) (12/1 +14%) Thunder Moor		12 12/1(+14%)																															(6) Thunder Moor 12/1, Ran creditably when 1¾ lengths fifth of 13 to Show Me Show Me in handicap (14/1) at Windsor (5.1f, good to firm) 27 days ago, though may have his work cut out trying to overcome his high draw on all-weather debut. Has run well in defeat on two of last three starts and might not be far away on AW debut.
2	3 2nd (3) (11/1 -83%) May Sonic		11 11/1(-83%)																															(3) May Sonic 11/1, C&D winner. 18/1, respectable second of 9 in handicap at Newbury (5.2f, good) 25 days ago. Has slipped back to last winning mark and can give a good account again. Ran well on turf last time and won off this mark over C&D in January; respected back here.
3	8 3rd (8) (8/1 +11%) Sporting Hero		8 8/1(+11%)																															(8) Sporting Hero 8/1, Won 2 of 3 starts in his juvenile campaign but hasn't looked especially well treated in a pair of handicaps this year. Remains low mileage but others are preferred on his return from 116-day absence/gelding op. Lightly raced 3yo who has been gelded since last time; return to AW could be a big plus.
4	4 4th (4) (12/1 -85%) Lil Guff		12 12/1(-85%)																															(4) Lil Guff 12/1, Latest win at Sandown in June. 9/4, good short-head second of 14 in handicap at Sandown (5f, good to firm) 24 days ago. Arrives in fine form though has a less-than-ideal draw to overcome. Has gone close on turf the last twice; in the mix if good form continues on Tapeta debut.
5th	13 5th (13) (20/1 +0%) Night On Earth		20 20/1(+0%)																															(13) Night On Earth 20/1, Benefited from a good position and ran better than for a while when sixth of 11 in handicap at Chester (5.5f, good to soft) 11 days ago but has something to find on the bulk of his recent efforts. Has dropped down weights & return to AW may be a plus, but hard to be confident in claims.
6th	5 6th (5) (5.5/1 +39%) Manila Scouse		5.5 5.5/1(+39%)																															(5) Manila Scouse 5.5/1, Reliable sort won at both Haydock and Chepstow in August. Poorly drawn when fifteenth of 20 in handicap (13/2) at York (5.4f, good to firm) 21 days ago and it would be no surprise if he's able to make a greater impact here. Disappointing at York in hat-trick bid but fast ground maybe not ideal; progressive prior.
7th	11 7th (11) (4/1 +33%) Angle Land		4 4/1(+33%)																															(11) Angle Land 4/1, C&D winner. 3 wins from 13 runs this year. Latest win at Goodwood in May. 15/2, returned to form when second of 7 in handicap there (5f, heavy) 18 days ago. Remains on last winning mark and can go well again. Back to form at Goodwood latest and she has a good record over C&D; firmly in calculations.
8th	2 8th (2) (18/1 +18%) Strong Power		18 18/1(+18%)																															(2) Strong Power 18/1, Fifteen runs since last win in 2022. Ninth of 13 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f, 33/1) 6 days ago. Looks a bit too high in the weights at present. Didn't run badly last week on second stable start but needs something extra to land this.
9th	9 9th (9) (18/1 -100%) Never Dark		18 18/1(-100%)																															(9) Never Dark 18/1, Bounced back to form when making all in 7-runner handicap at Hamilton (5f, good to soft) 19 days ago. 2 lb rise fair and having proved game to score there, is one for the shortlist. Made all at Hamilton last month and also effective over this C&D; could be thereabouts.
10th	7 10th (7) (10/1 +38%) Safari Dream		10 10/1(+38%)																															(7) Safari Dream 10/1, Back on track after an 11-week break when seventh of 12 in handicap at Sandown (5f, good) 11 days ago but another step forward is probably required here if he's to make a greater impact this time. Returned from break with fair midfield run at Sandown and could build on that today.
11th	1 11th (1) (4.5/1 +18%) Michaela's Boy		4.5 4.5/1(+18%)																															(1) Michaela's Boy 4.5/1, Front-runner finished second in 16-runner premier handicap at the Curragh in June and wasn't disgraced when tenth of 20 in handicap at York (5.4f, good to firm) 21 days ago. Holds sound place claims. Mid-division at York latest; could make a bold bid now back down in trip and in grade.
12th	14 12th (14) (28/1 -40%) Show Me Show Me		28 28/1(-40%)																															(14) Show Me Show Me 28/1, Won at Beverley and Windsor (beat Lil Guff) in August but stalled in his hat-trick bid when only ninth of 11 at Carlisle (5f, good, 6/1) 12 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Still potentially well treated if able to bounce back. Disappointing at Carlisle latest but prior to that was 2-2 in this visor; not written off.
13th	10 13th (10) (20/1 -43%) Faustus		20 20/1(-43%)																															(10) Faustus 20/1, Latest win at Brighton in August. Raced too freely when fifth of 7 in handicap (5/1) at Goodwood (5f, heavy) 18 days ago, and though his previous outings this summer would put him in the mix, he'll likely need to improve to overcome the widest draw. In good form prior to last time, when he may have gone off to hard; not ruled out.
12	12 |RR| (12) (33/1 -18%) Pockley		33 33/1(-18%)																															(12) Pockley 33/1, Latest win at Newcastle in March. Given a considerate return from a 5-month absence when down the field there 13 days ago. Likely to be sharper for the run now and merits market check. Just 1lb above last winning mark and could improve for recent return to action.

LTO Selection:

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20:15 Southwell Handicap (Class 3) 5f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.

SPORTING HERO hasn't kicked on as expected following the promise of his novice victories as a juvenile. Gelded since his latest run, the son of Bobby's Kitten is given a chance to return to form, especially back on the all-weather with him being unbeaten on an artificial surface. Manila Scouse was progressing nicely until disappointing at York's Ebor meeting. The four-year-old has every chance to leave that performance behind him. Lil Guff, May Sonic and Never Dark complete the shortlist.

NEVER DARK has only been nudged up the weights for last month's front-running Hamilton win and he's fancied to follow up for the in-form Iain Jardine yard. Angle Land remains on his last winning mark and bounced back to form at Newcastle last time, so also makes appeal with Dettori on board, whilst Michaela's Boy has been competing in stiffer company and is another who could give a bold bid from the front.

The return to AW could be a major plus for the very lightly raced 3yo SPORTING HERO, who has been gelded since his last run in May.

20:15 Southwell Handicap (Class 3) 5f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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20:45 Southwell Handicap (Class 2) 12f - 12 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	10 1st (10) (4/1 +33%) Valsad		4 4/1(+33%)																															(10) Valsad 4/1, 11/1, got back on the up when second of 13 in handicap at Newbury (12f, good) 25 days ago, going down only narrowly to a progressive 3-y-o. Makes tapeta debut. Shortlist material. Close second at Newbury last time; has low mileage and may do better still; in the mix.
2	7 2nd (7) (10/1 +17%) Graignes		10 10/1(+17%)																															(7) Graignes 10/1, 2 wins from 5 runs this year, latest at Sandown in August. 10/1, undone by a 9 lb rise in the weights when third of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (9.5f) 6 days ago. Up in trip. Hood on 1st time. Expected to give another good account. In good form over shorter distances this season; something to prove back at 1m4f.
3	9 3rd (9) (4.5/1 +10%) Regal Empire		4.5 4.5/1(+10%)																															(9) Regal Empire 4.5/1, Dual course winner earlier this year. 13/2, career best when winning 10-runner handicap at Ascot (12f, good) 32 days ago, suited by step back up in trip. Improving all the time recently and has to be taken seriously back at this venue. Rallied tenaciously in the Shergar Cup Classic; 2-3 at Southwell; respected back here.
4	4 4th (4) (7.5/1 +0%) Star Harbour		7.5 7.5/1(+0%)																															(4) Star Harbour 7.5/1, Latest win at Chepstow in August. 5/1, shaped as if still in good form when sixth of 12 in handicap at Windsor (10f, good to firm) 27 days ago, finishing with running left after snatched up over 1f out. Back up in trip. Makes tapeta debut. Irish 5yo who brings Racing League form but has a question to answer back up in trip.
5th	11 5th (11) (80/1 -142%) The Thunderer		80 80/1(-142%)																															(11) The Thunderer 80/1, Latest win at Chester in June. Eighth of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (14f, 33/1) 6 days ago, not ideally placed. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Never figured in Racing League event last week and all wins remain in Class 5.
6th	3 6th (3) (5/1 -50%) Scampi		5 5/1(-50%)																															(3) Scampi 5/1, Latest win at Ascot in August. 14/1, shaped as if still in good form when tenth of 22 in handicap at York (13.8f, good to firm) 18 days ago, travelling better than most. Could well feature having his first all-weather start of the year. Non-stayer over 1m6f in the Ebor; has useful 1m4f form this term and remains of interest.
7th	8 7th (8) (5.5/1 +21%) Onesmoothoperator		5.5 5.5/1(+21%)																															(8) Onesmoothoperator 5.5/1, Course winner. Fifteen runs since last win in 2021. 15/2, bounced back to form when second of 13 in handicap at Newcastle (10.2f) 13 days ago, no match for winner. Ran well in Racing League event at Newcastle a fortnight ago; last win came at this venue.
8th	12 8th (12) (40/1 -21%) Protected Guest		40 40/1(-21%)																															(12) Protected Guest 40/1, Unreliable sort. C&D winner. Sixteen runs since last win in 2022. Last of 7 in handicap at Ascot (12f, good to soft, 66/1) 47 days ago, turning it in. Dropped 3 lb but can only be watched given the concerns about his attitude. Well exposed 8yo who is on a 16-race losing sequence; opposed.
9th	1 9th (1) (16/1 -45%) Enemy		16 16/1(-45%)																															(1) Enemy 16/1, 50/1, ran better than for a while when third of 14 in handicap at Haydock (14f, good to firm) 4 days ago. Makes tapeta debut and would be no certainty to reproduce that form here. Placed in notable 1m6f event at Haydock last Saturday; won at Meydan on sole 1m4f attempt.
10th	2 10th (2) (33/1 -106%) Percy Shelley		33 33/1(-106%)																															(2) Percy Shelley 33/1, Useful performer who was successful in 2022 in maiden at Longchamp, and minor events at same course and at Chantilly. 14/10, last of 6 to Aude in minor event at Saint-Cloud on reappearance back in March and has since left S. Wattel (€25,000). Makes handicap/all-weather bow. Form dipped on final French run; market instructive on British debut.
11th	6 11th (6) (6.5/1 +54%) Saratoga Gold		6.5 6.5/1(+54%)																															(6) Saratoga Gold 6.5/1, 80/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, found things too competitive from his current mark when fifteenth of 22 in handicap at York (13.8f, good to firm) 18 days ago. Makes tapeta debut. Useful performance to win by 7l at Kempton when last seen on AW; interesting.
12th	5 12th (5) (33/1 -106%) Soto Sizzler		33 33/1(-106%)																															(5) Soto Sizzler 33/1, 12/1, turned in his best effort of the season when second of 4 in handicap at Goodwood (12f, soft) 17 days ago. Makes tapeta debut. Task is to now back that up given he hasn't been the most consistent in recent years. Ran respectably last time but now returns to a deeper field; inconsistent this year.

LTO Selection:

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20:45 Southwell Handicap (Class 2) 12f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.

SCAMPI didn't quite get home in the Ebor on his latest start and the drop back to 1m4f, which saw him succeed the time before at the Shergar Cup, presents him with a solid opportunity to add another valuable prize to his CV. Regal Empire also won on the same card at Ascot and makes plenty of appeal in his bid for a third course victory. Soto Sizzler has dropped to a fair mark and is respected, while any market support for UK debutant Percy Shelley would make him of considerable interest.

A fiercely competitive concluding contest to Racing League 2023 and the one who makes most appeal is VALSAD, who went down only narrowly to a progressive 3-y-o at Newbury last month and provided he takes to the surface (makes all-weather debut), Harry & Roger Charlton's charge can double his tally. Regal Empire won twice at this track earlier in the year and arriving on the back of Shergar Cup success, he rates the main danger. Onesmoothoperator and Scampi round off the shortlist.

Progressive 3yo REGAL EMPIRE is taken to follow up his Ascot success. Onesmoothoperator is second choice.

20:45 Southwell Handicap (Class 2) 12f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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Racecard Key

Ths is the racecard key.

Icon	Meaning
	TomForm top stats, gold rated
	TomForm top stats silver rated
	Ran similar race before
S	TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out
T	Top Time speeed rated
	Top Racingpost rated
	At the races watchout for
	At the races top pick
	Top rated for thet statistic

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How to use Tomform

Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.

This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.

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About U.K Horse Racing

Horse racing is a popular and historic sport in the UK, with a tradition dating back centuries. It is a multi-billion pound industry that attracts millions of spectators each year and generates significant economic activity.

There are two main types of horse racing in the UK: flat racing and jump racing. Flat racing is run on a level course and is typically shorter in distance, while jump racing involves horses jumping over obstacles and is generally longer in distance. Both types of racing are popular with spectators and bettors, and they take place at various racetracks throughout the country.

The most famous horse racing event in the UK is the Grand National, which is held annually at Aintree Racecourse in Liverpool. It is a jump racing event that is known for its challenging course and has become a national institution in the UK. Other notable horse racing events in the UK include the Derby, held at Epsom Downs Racecourse in Surrey, and the Royal Ascot, held at Ascot Racecourse in Berkshire.

Horse racing in the UK is regulated by the British Horseracing Authority (BHA), which sets rules and standards for the industry. It is responsible for the welfare of racehorses and the safety of jockeys and trainers, as well as ensuring fair and transparent racing practices.

In addition to its economic and cultural importance, horse racing in the UK also plays a significant role in the breeding and training of thoroughbred horses. Many of the world's top thoroughbreds are bred and trained in the UK, and the industry plays a vital role in the preservation and promotion of the breed.

Overall, horse racing is an integral part of British culture and a major contributor to the country's economy. It is a thrilling and exciting sport that continues to attract a loyal following and generate significant interest from spectators and bettors around the world.

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