15:53 Southwell Novices Hurdle (Class 4) 16f  - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	3 1st (3) (11/4 +17%) Asian Star		2.75 11/4(+17%)																															(3) Asian Star 11/4, Shaped well when fifth in a big-field Cheltenham bumper on Rules debut in April. Failed to deliver when odds-on at Southwell the following month but that effort now looks a lot better than it did at the time and she's sure to step up on her opening third in a slowly-run race on hurdles debut. Fared okay, without excelling, on last month's hurdles debut at Newton Abbot (2m1f, good)..
2	2 2nd (2) (5/2 +44%) Mary		2.5 5/2(+44%)																															(2) Mary 5/2, Scored at Stratford in August and backed it up with a good second in 2m1f Downpatrick handicap last month. Would have gone one place better on chase debut but for a fall at the last at Worcester and he's a major player back in a novice. Progressive since winning at Stratford (2m, gd/fm) in August; unlucky over fences latest..
3	4 3rd (4) (2/1 +40%) Bellas Bridge		2 2/1(+40%)																															(4) Bellas Bridge 2/1, Successful on sole outing in Irish points and built on her encouraging Rules debut when landing a 9-runner event at Ludlow in January. Sound fifth in listed company 2 months later and she's a hurdles debutante of serious interest. Tongue tie on. Ludlow bumper winner; hurdle winners in family - may prefer further; tongue-tied; player..
4	9 4th (9) (15/2 +25%) Rockola		7.5 15/2(+25%)																															(9) Rockola 15/2, Made the frame in a couple of bumpers towards the end of last year but was in process of running below that form when unseating rider after last on hurdles debut at Wetherby in February. Strong in the betting and finished second at Hereford despite failing to settle in April. Unable to justify favouritism at Hereford (2m, soft) in April; stablemate of Irish Chorus..
5th	6 5th (6) (33/1 -32%) Red Panda		33 33/1(-32%)																															(6) Red Panda 33/1, Sir Percy filly who offered little in a brace of bumpers but fitted with a hood, she showed more when third of 9 at Warwick in May. Likely to need further than this. Some encouragement drawn from opening attempt over hurdles at Warwick (2m; third) in May..
6th	8 6th (8) (28/1 -133%) Lady Buttercup		28 28/1(-133%)																															(8) Lady Buttercup 28/1, Left previous bumper form well behind when landing 6-runner contest at Warwick last month. Was soon to very good effect on that occasion and more needed to follow up switched to obstacles. Made all at Warwick (2m, mares' bumper; 22-1) recently; Brian Hughes on for hurdles debut..
7th	10 7th (10) (80/1 -142%) Simply Belle		80 80/1(-142%)																															(10) Simply Belle 80/1, Reached the frame 3 times in bumpers but the form is only modest and she made little impact on switch to hurdling last term. Failed to kick on positively since switching to hurdles (0-2); rates as unlikely candidate.
1	1 |PU| (1) (12/1 -41%) Hola Hermosa		12 12/1(-41%)																															(1) Hola Hermosa 12/1, Minor promise only in bumpers but well prepared to make a winning hurdles debut at Worcester in July. Bare form isn't anything special and she made mistakes when third at Exeter a fortnight ago. Carries a 7lb penalty for her summer Worcester win (2m, good); fair third at Exeter since..
7	7 |PU| (7) (50/1 -52%) Ava's Angel		50 50/1(-52%)																															(7) Ava's Angel 50/1, Stoutly bred and shaped in kind in a trio of bumpers. Opposable kept to 2m for hurdles bow. Placed on Hexham debut (2m bumper) in May; failed to build on that since; hurdles debut.

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15:53 Southwell Novices Hurdle (Class 4) 16f  Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

ASIAN STAR showed enough to suggest she will be winning over timber sooner rather than later when third at Newton Abbot on her hurdling debut. The runner-up has subsequently boosted the form and Dan Skelton's mare makes plenty of appeal with improvement likely. Irish Chorus has to come into the reckoning on her second at Warwick in May and is preferred to stable companion Rockola. Lady Buttercup landed a bumper at Warwick on her reappearance and can make her presence felt now hurdling.

A slowly-run race counted against ASIAN STAR when she was third at Newton Abbot a month ago but that race has already worked out well and she's well worth another chance. Mary is a pretty solid opponent, while Bellas Bridge demands consideration given her ability in bumpers.

Irish Chorus and Asian Star represent top yards, but BELLAS BRIDGE has shown solid form in bumpers, so could offer a solution.

15:53 Southwell Novices Hurdle (Class 4) 16f  PREDICTION SIMULATION

16:28 Southwell Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 24f - 4 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	2 1st (2) (7/2 -27%) Holokea		3.5 7/2(-27%)																															(2) Holokea 7/2, Irish point winner who made the perfect start under Rules when landing a Worcester bumper in the summer. Proved a disappointment at Chepstow 4 months later and now upped significantly in trip for hurdle debut. Summer Worcester bumper winner (stable debut); noted switched to hurdles at suitable level.
2	4 2nd (4) (4/5 -40%) Wicked Thoughts		0.8 4/5(-40%)																															(4) Wicked Thoughts 4/5, Wide-margin winner sole outing in points and promising in bumpers last season, winning once and placed twice. Excellent claims on hurdle debut for top stable. Musselburgh bumper winner; beaten by promising type at Exeter; potential now sent hurdling.
3	3 3rd (3) (4/1 +20%) Rocket Man		4 4/1(+20%)																															(3) Rocket Man 4/1, Maxios gelding. Proved a disappointment relative to his SP when fourth of 6 on bumper debut at Warwick (2m) in May, caught out badly one the pace lifted before staying on gradually. Shaped similarly at Worcester, so markedly longer trip well worth exploring now hurdling. 82,000euros 3yo; failed to shine in bumpers; needs to improve for the switch to hurdles..
4	1 4th (1) (8/1 +68%) Get Cracking		8 8/1(+68%)																															(1) Get Cracking 8/1, Had been successful back in points since finishing a remote fourth in a bumper for M. Osborne but has offered little on both his starts over hurdles. Upped markedly in trip. Soundly beaten on both attempts over hurdles (2m-2m4f); firmly up against it again here..

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

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16:28 Southwell Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 24f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

Bumper scorer WICKED THOUGHTS is a brother to a winner over timber and Paul Nicholls' inmate looks to have strong claims of making a successful start over hurdles. Holokea landed a NH Flat race at Worcester during the summer and will have benefited from a recent outing at Chepstow. He can have a say in proceedings on his hurdling bow and makes more appeal than Rocket Man. Get Cracking has struggled in both starts over hurdles so far.

WICKED THOUGHTS laid a solid platform for hurdling in bumpers last season and this looks an excellent opportunity to get off the perfect start. Holokea proved to be a disappointment at Chepstow recently, so Rocket Man is preferred for forecast purposes.

The Musselburgh bumper winner WICKED THOUGHTS rates as a fascinating new recruit to this discipline for Paul Nicholls.

16:28 Southwell Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 24f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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17:00 Southwell Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 16f - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	3 1st (3) (9/4 +0%) Goblet Of Fire		2.25 9/4(+0%)																															(3) Goblet Of Fire 9/4, Landed a juvenile maiden at Hereford (16.2f) in February prior to a good fourth in Bangor handicap (16.6f) in May. In rude health on the Flat subsequently, winning 3 of his 5 starts since and he appeals as being on a workable mark returned to this sphere. Interesting. Progressive on Flat since June (form 11312); could be nicely weighted off a mark of 108..
2	2 2nd (2) (13/2 +28%) Forget The Way		6.5 13/2(+28%)																															(2) Forget The Way 13/2, Has just the one win to his name but went close to adding to his tally at Worcester (2m) in June. Creditable efforts on the whole over fences/hurdles since but the assessor looks to have him about right on balance. Cheekpieces added to usual tongue tie. Beaten a short-head off this mark at Worcester (2m) in June; latest run okay; cheekpieces..
3	4 3rd (4) (4/1 +33%) Jeudidee		4 4/1(+33%)																															(4) Jeudidee 4/1, Bumper/hurdles winner and has shown promise on 2 of his 3 starts over fences in recent months. Hood worn last time is discarded now returned to timber and no surprise to see a decent showing having slipped to a career-low mark. Various mishaps since trying hand over fences; fairly treated returning to hurdles; place?.
4	8 4th (8) (12/1 +25%) Jack The Savage		12 12/1(+25%)																															(8) Jack The Savage 12/1, Bumper winner who opened his account following wind surgery/equipped with a hood at Huntingdon (15.8f) 12 months ago. Exploits mixed since, including when well beaten on the level at Salisbury (14.2f) 3 weeks ago. Mark has eased a little more at least. Rated 7lb lower than when scoring at Huntingdon (2m) last October; poor Flat run recently..
5th	5 5th (5) (7/1 +13%) Ascension Day		7 7/1(+13%)																															(5) Ascension Day 7/1, Improver switched to handicaps, twice a runner-up prior to shaping as if still in good form upped in trip when fourth of 14 at Worcester (20f) back in July. Another who commands respect stepping back down in trip. Tongue tie discarded. Runner-up in three of last four starts, only just denied over C&D (good) in May; respected.
6th	1 6th (1) (9/2 +18%) Toonagh Warrior		4.5 9/2(+18%)																															(1) Toonagh Warrior 9/2, Wetherby novice scorer (2m, heavy) 11 months ago who largely acquitted himself well in handicaps thereafter, keeping on for fourth at Kempton (2m) in April. Commands respect on the back of a 6-month lay off. Reliable since winning at Wetherby last November; eases in grade on seasonal reappearance..
7th	9 7th (9) (14/1 -27%) Prospect House		14 14/1(-27%)																															(9) Prospect House 14/1, Had bit in hand when opening his account at Market Rasen (18.6f) last summer and shaped as if needing the run after 12 months off when fifth of 9 in handicap at that venue 25 days ago. Entitled to be sharper now and Brian Hughes again in the plate. Off the mark at Market Rasen (2m2f, good) in September 2023; scarcely seen since..
8th	6 8th (6) (28/1 -100%) John Betjeman		28 28/1(-100%)																															(6) John Betjeman 28/1, Losing run stretches back to spring of last year and absent since finishing down the field in handicap on the Flat at Bath (17.1f) in June. Needs to hit the ground running back from 4 months off. Yet to win away from Ffos Las; "stopped quickly" when last seen on Flat at Bath in June..
7	7 |PU| (7) (25/1 -79%) Clear The Runway		25 25/1(-79%)																															(7) Clear The Runway 25/1, Prolific winner over fences/hurdles back in 2022 but struggled for form largely campaigned over hurdles last season. Better signs first 2 starts this summer and whilst he disappointed at Sedgefield last month, that was his first start for 3 months. One to keep an eye on. Prolific in 2022; has struggled for 18 months or so now, though; risky proposition..

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

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17:00 Southwell Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 16f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

Goblet Of Fire has registered three victories on the all-weather since his respectable fourth at Bangor in May and Nicky Henderson's charge must enter calculations. However, TOONAGH WARRIOR has posted several creditable efforts in defeat since his Wetherby triumph in November last year and he may offer slightly more value on his return to action. Ascension Day also makes some appeal now back at 2m.

GOBLET OF FIRE has improved further on the Flat since last seen over hurdles and Nicky Henderson's 4-y-o makes plenty of appeal returned to this sphere from what could well prove a lenient mark. Jeudidee and Ascension Day head up the dangers, along with Toonagh Warrior who isn't out of things on his seasonal bow.

The 4yo GOBLET OF FIRE (nap) has thrived for Nicky Henderson and could be thrown-in from a mark of 108.

17:00 Southwell Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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17:33 Southwell Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 20f - 12 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
3	3 (3) (12/1 0%) Grass's Jet		12 12/1(0%)																															(3) Grass's Jet 12/1, Lightly-raced maiden who in first-time cheekpieces, failed to meet expectations on debut for new yard (sold £21,000) after 7 months off when eighth of 13 in handicap hurdle at Bangor (23.2f, good) in June. Others more convincing. Beaten a distance when favourite on first start for this yard; drops 2lb; bit to prove..
1	5 1st (5) (2/1 +11%) Queens Venture		2 2/1(+11%)																															(5) Queens Venture 2/1, Westerner filly who looked to have been let-in lightly after just 2 starts over hurdles and duly made a mockery of her opening mark in 12-runner handicap at Market Rasen (23.1f, good) last week, quickening clear before 2 out. Plenty more to come and will be hard to beat under a penalty. Easy winner last week; returns to shorter but has plenty going for her under a penalty..
2	7 2nd (7) (5/1 +38%) Just Chasing May		5 5/1(+38%)																															(7) Just Chasing May 5/1, Looked one to follow in opening his account in thoroughly dominant fashion in 13-runner handicap at Uttoxeter (19.9f, good to soft) when last seen in June, leading approaching 3 out the asserting quickly. With more improvement in the pipeline, he's a definite player on return. Up 12lb for easy Uttoxeter win; 10lb claimer helps negate that; remains of interest..
3	12 3rd (12) (18/1 +10%) Lenebane		18 18/1(+10%)																															(12) Lenebane 18/1, Remains a maiden, but with a visor refitted she fared better from her reduced mark on both starts at Market Rasen this summer. Entirely possible she needed the run at Perth (20.2f, soft) 4 weeks ago and now has Brian Hughes taking over in the saddle. Well beaten latest but an each-way player if performing to the level she did before that..
4	2 4th (2) (6/1 +50%) Court Cian		6 6/1(+50%)																															(2) Court Cian 6/1, Given a considerate return from a 4-month break back hurdling for his first outing since leaving M. Kehoe when fifth of 11 in novice at Bangor (19.6f, good) just under 7 weeks ago. Has been handed a tricky opening mark but there could be more to come. Bumper second and point winner; improvement is required off his opening mark..
5th	10 5th (10) (12/1 +40%) Zuul		12 12/1(+40%)																															(10) Zuul 12/1, Showed the benefit of a recent run and seemed to stay the longer trip when 2¼ lengths fourth of 12 to Queens Venture in handicap at Market Rasen (23.1f, good) last week. Hard to see him turning the tables with that rival but could well make the frame. Unable to make an impact from similar marks on his two starts since a break; more needed..
6th	9 6th (9) (33/1 +34%) Mademewhatiam		33 33/1(+34%)																															(9) Mademewhatiam 33/1, Little encouragement to glean in novice/handicap hurdles. Has rejoined former yard and a first-time tongue tie applied but hard to enthuse over. Unplaced in seven starts; tongue-tie tried; plenty to prove on his return to this stable..
7th	11 7th (11) (11/1 +45%) Gone In Sixty		11 11/1(+45%)																															(11) Gone In Sixty 11/1, Long-standing maiden who shaped like a non-stayer upped in trip when only seventh at Fontwell (25.8f, good) last time. More required. Below par latest but is an each-way player back down in trip, if he can shrug that off..
8th	1 8th (1) (13/2 -8%) Fashionelle		6.5 13/2(-8%)																															(1) Fashionelle 13/2, Off the mark at Worcester last month, proving a different proposition under a more positive ride. Ran at least as well under a penalty when finding only an unexposed sort too strong at Warwick (19f, good) just over 4 weeks ago and should be bang there again. 2m4f hurdle winner; probably needs improvement to defy another rise but not ruled out..
4	4 |PU| (4) (12/1 -41%) Stuti		12 12/1(-41%)																															(4) Stuti 12/1, Course bumper winner who made an encouraging start in this sphere when third of 13 in 20.6f novice at Market Rasen last November. Close to form but again found a couple too good when last seen at Hexham (20.1f, good) 4 months ago and now heads down the handicap route. Third in four of her five hurdles and unable to better her bumper form; each-way player..
6	6 |PU| (6) (20/1 +20%) Spitfire Bridge		20 20/1(+20%)																															(6) Spitfire Bridge 20/1, Showed ability in bumpers and looked a work-in-progress in trio of maiden hurdles to date this summer. Fit from Flat but failed to find the necessary improvement contesting his first handicap over hurdles at Huntingdon (19.6f, good) recently so more required to open his account. Looked in need of a favour from the handicapper on his recent handicap debut..
8	8 |PU| (8) (33/1 -230%) Lord Warburton		33 33/1(-230%)																															(8) Lord Warburton 33/1, Modest at best on the Flat (stays 1½m) but and made a successful handicap hurdle debut from 13 lb out of the weights with the same visor/tongue strap combination fitted in 9-runner event at Market Rasen (18.6f, good to firm) last month. Needs to prove that was no fluke. Up 6lb for his 33-1 win at Market Rasen (2m2f, good) and now has to back it up; respected..

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

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17:33 Southwell Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 20f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

QUEENS VENTURE justified strong support in the market when making a winning handicap bow at Market Rasen last week. Dan Skelton's filly scored with plenty in hand and she is sure to take the world of beating under a 7lb penalty. Fashionelle is in form and a potential improver back up to the distance of her Worcester triumph. She may serve the most resistance to the selection, ahead of last-time-out Uttoxeter winner Just Chasing May.

QUEENS VENTURE made a mockery of an opening mark of 91 at Market Rasen last week and with plenty more to offer, Dan Skelton's 4-y-o is strongly fancied to follow up under a penalty. Just Chasing May looked one to follow in opening his account in thoroughly dominant fashion at Uttoxeter in the summer, so he heads up the dangers on return, with Fashionelle and Stuti another couple worth considering, too.

Having won with plenty in hand when stepped up in trip on her handicap debut, QUEENS VENTURE is taken to successfully defy a penalty.

17:33 Southwell Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 20f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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Racecard Key

Ths is the racecard key.

Icon	Meaning
	TomForm top stats, gold rated
	TomForm top stats silver rated
	Ran similar race before
S	TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out
T	Top Time speeed rated
	Top Racingpost rated
	At the races watchout for
	At the races top pick
	Top rated for thet statistic

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How to use Tomform

Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.

This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.

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About U.K Horse Racing

Horse racing is a popular and historic sport in the UK, with a tradition dating back centuries. It is a multi-billion pound industry that attracts millions of spectators each year and generates significant economic activity.

There are two main types of horse racing in the UK: flat racing and jump racing. Flat racing is run on a level course and is typically shorter in distance, while jump racing involves horses jumping over obstacles and is generally longer in distance. Both types of racing are popular with spectators and bettors, and they take place at various racetracks throughout the country.

The most famous horse racing event in the UK is the Grand National, which is held annually at Aintree Racecourse in Liverpool. It is a jump racing event that is known for its challenging course and has become a national institution in the UK. Other notable horse racing events in the UK include the Derby, held at Epsom Downs Racecourse in Surrey, and the Royal Ascot, held at Ascot Racecourse in Berkshire.

Horse racing in the UK is regulated by the British Horseracing Authority (BHA), which sets rules and standards for the industry. It is responsible for the welfare of racehorses and the safety of jockeys and trainers, as well as ensuring fair and transparent racing practices.

In addition to its economic and cultural importance, horse racing in the UK also plays a significant role in the breeding and training of thoroughbred horses. Many of the world's top thoroughbreds are bred and trained in the UK, and the industry plays a vital role in the preservation and promotion of the breed.

Overall, horse racing is an integral part of British culture and a major contributor to the country's economy. It is a thrilling and exciting sport that continues to attract a loyal following and generate significant interest from spectators and bettors around the world.

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