18:45 Southwell Handicap (Class 4) 6f  - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	4 1st (4) (6/5 +64%) Coup De Force		1.2 6/5(+64%)																															(4) Coup De Force 6/5, C&D winner in October. Respectable fifth of 11 in handicap (5/1) at Kempton (6f) 5 days ago. Likely to be on the premises. Came up short in hat-trick bid last week; back against fillies but needs to pull out more.
2	6 2nd (6) (16/1 -45%) Daytona Lady		16 16/1(-45%)																															(6) Daytona Lady 16/1, C&D winner. 4 wins from 16 runs this year. Latest win at Wolverhampton in September. Bit below form sixth of 10 in handicap (18/1) at this C&D 27 days ago. Looks vulnerable. Conditions to suit and while only 6th over C&D latest, she still looked in form; respected.
3	8 3rd (8) (9/2 -13%) Ziggy's Queen		4.5 9/2(-13%)																															(8) Ziggy's Queen 9/2, Twelve runs since last win in 2023. 9/1 and tongue strap on for 1st time, creditable third of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 21 days ago. One to consider. Finished her race off well at Wolverhampton last time but it was a strongly run affair.
4	1 4th (1) (17/2 -89%) Kitai		8.5 17/2(-89%)																															(1) Kitai 17/2, Latest win at Goodwood in July. Fourth of 7 in handicap (15/2) at Yarmouth (6f, good to firm) 48 days ago. Enters calculations off 1 lb lower here. Usually runs in better races; repeat of Goodwood win in July would make her hard to beat.
5th	5 5th (5) (5/1 +55%) Exponista		5 5/1(+55%)																															(5) Exponista 5/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2023. 22/1, creditable seventh of 12 in handicap at this C&D 11 days ago. Others make more appeal from a win point of view. Two sound runs over C&D since blinkers went on; easy lead seems unlikely.
6th	2 6th (2) (16/1 -167%) Shallow		16 16/1(-167%)																															(2) Shallow 16/1, Lightly-raced winner. 2 wins from 3 runs this year. 3/1, last of 5 in handicap at Chelmsford City (6f). Off 6 months ahead of this first run on tapeta and she needs to raise her game. Flopped in hat-trick bid in April; absent since; not fully exposed ahead of Tapeta debut.
7th	3 7th (3) (7/1 +22%) Holy Fire		7 7/1(+22%)																															(3) Holy Fire 7/1, Thirteen runs since last win in 2023. 16/1, eleventh of 14 in handicap at Kempton (7f) 82 days ago. Cheekpieces back on and she will have every chance off this reduced mark if able to bounce back. Quiet when last seen but down in weights and dropping to 6f/return of headgear can help.
8th	7 8th (7) (20/1 -167%) Incrimination		20 20/1(-167%)																															(7) Incrimination 20/1, Sixth of 8 in handicap (14/1) at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 10 days ago, never nearer. Another who will probably find one or two too good. Not found her absolute best in 2024; well treated but she'll need a good pace back at 6f.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

18:45 Southwell Handicap (Class 4) 6f  Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

KITAI wasn't disgraced when finishing fourth in a warmer event at York in September and the handicapper might have been kind to drop her 1lb for that performance. Mick Appleby's four-year-old will appreciate this drop in grade and looks well placed to record her fifth career success. Ziggy's Queen finished a close-up third at Wolverhampton last month and should remain competitive off a 1lb lower rating, while Shallow isn't one to write off either.

A chance is taken on HOLY FIRE, who misfired at Kempton when last seen in August but she posted several decent efforts in defeat prior to that and has edged down to an attractive mark. Ziggy's Queen lost little caste in defeat when third at Wolverhampton three weeks ago and she will be a threat if able to back that up here, while Coup de Force and Kitai both make some each-way appeal.

Daytona Lady and Kitai are feared but SHALLOW retains potential after just four starts and she looked promising in the spring.

18:45 Southwell Handicap (Class 4) 6f  PREDICTION SIMULATION

19:15 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 16f - 12 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	6 1st (6) (5/1 -11%) Payment Plan		5 5/1(-11%)																															(6) Payment Plan 5/1, Good third of 6 in handicap (11/10) at Wolverhampton (14f) 14 days ago. Remains unexposed and shapes like he will be suited by this trip, so definite claims. Low-mileage 4yo; ran well when upped to 1m6f last month; goes even further today.
2	9 2nd (9) (12/1 -60%) Sir Joseph Swan		12 12/1(-60%)																															(9) Sir Joseph Swan 12/1, 10/3, good ½-length second of 7 to Sullivan Bay in handicap at Chelmsford City (16f) 9 days ago, clear of rest. Blinkers back on. Yet to win this year but ran big race in defeat behind Sullivan Bay last week.
3	3 3rd (3) (7/2 -5%) Sullivan Bay		3.5 7/2(-5%)																															(3) Sullivan Bay 7/2, First run since leaving Henrietta Knight, 7/4 and visored for 1st time, won 7-runner handicap at Chelmsford City (16f) 9 days ago by ½ length from Sir Joseph Swan, overcoming a slow start. Worth a chance to follow up. Won in first-time visor on recent stable debut and is probably still on a workable mark.
4	4 4th (4) (17/2 -21%) Alex The Great		8.5 17/2(-21%)																															(4) Alex The Great 17/2, 10/1 and blinkered for 1st time, respectable second of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (14f) 58 days ago. First run for yard after leaving Raphael Freire. Bought for 10,500gns since 1m6f second at Wolverhampton in September; enters calculations.
5th	11 5th (11) (66/1 -136%) Angelica Catalani		66 66/1(-136%)																															(11) Angelica Catalani 66/1, 9/1, ninth of 10 in minor event at Newcastle (10.2f). Off 94 days. Significantly up in trip. Others make more appeal. Placed over 1m4f in July but disappointing over 1m2f since; tries a new trip today.
6th	1 6th (1) (14/1 -27%) Scylla		14 14/1(-27%)																															(1) Scylla 14/1, Winner at Lingfield in July. 3½ lengths fourth of 6 to Anna of Saxony in handicap (9/2) at this C&D 27 days ago. Holding form and on better terms with that rival now. Turf winner this summer and has posted a couple decent efforts on Tapeta lately.
7th	8 7th (8) (10/1 +44%) Snapius		10 10/1(+44%)																															(8) Snapius 10/1, Ninth of 11 in handicap at Windsor (11.4f, heavy, 8/1) 21 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Makes tapeta debut. Has not shown much on his three stable starts; needs to turn a corner.
8th	5 8th (5) (10/1 +17%) Hawk Jet		10 10/1(+17%)																															(5) Hawk Jet 10/1, Fifth of 7 in handicap at Kempton (16f, 10/1) 24 days ago. Makes tapeta debut. Not discounted. Placed when back on the Flat in August but not quite in same form since and now 0-11.
9th	2 9th (2) (8/1 +27%) Lindwall		8 8/1(+27%)																															(2) Lindwall 8/1, Creditable 3¼ lengths third of 6 to Anna of Saxony in handicap (10/1) at this C&D 27 days ago, needing stronger gallop. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Largely consistent for this stable; player if cheekpieces have any positive effect.
10th	7 10th (7) (7/2 +36%) Anna Of Saxony		3.5 7/2(+36%)																															(7) Anna Of Saxony 7/2, Won 6-runner handicap at this C&D (13/2) 27 days ago. Not an obvious sort to follow up. C&D winner when upped in trip last month; only 2lb higher today; respected.
11th	10 11th (10) (100/1 0%) Kitten's Dream		100 100/1(0%)																															(10) Kitten's Dream 100/1, Unreliable sort. C&D winner. Thirty five runs since last win in 2023. 66/1, eighth of 9 in handicap at this course (14.1f) 7 days ago. Difficult ask. Regressive 7yo who was a well-beaten 66-1 shot off today's basement mark here a week ago.
12th	12 12th (12) (25/1 -14%) Balticus		25 25/1(-14%)																															(12) Balticus 25/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 150/1, eleventh of 12 in maiden at Chelmsford City (7f) 32 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Visored for 1st time. Makes handicap debut. Worth a market check. Showed no promise in his qualifying runs (7f-1m2f); worth market check on handicap debut.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

---

19:15 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 16f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.

Sullivan Bay had Sir Joseph Swan (second) half a length behind in this grade at Chelmsford on his latest outing and is expected to confirm that form to have a say. However, it may pay to side with ALEX THE GREAT, who occupied the runner-up berth over 1m6f at Wolverhampton in September and has since switched to the Tony Carroll stable. If he can back that level of performance up, he could prove tough to beat. Anna Of Saxony completes the shortlist.

SULLIVAN BAY landed a gamble on his first outing for this yard at Chelmsford recently and remains well treated, so he's preferred to Payment Plan, who should benefit from the longer trip. Sir Joseph Swan, who was second to the selection last time, is another one worthy of respect.

The suggestion is SULLIVAN BAY, who got his career back on track when scoring for his new stable at Chelmsford last week.

19:15 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

---

19:45 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 6f - 11 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	3 1st (3) (6/1 -50%) Willolarupi		6 6/1(-50%)																															(3) Willolarupi 6/1, Winner at Beverley in August. 11/2, creditable third of 10 in handicap at Pontefract (5f, heavy) 14 days ago. Back up in trip. Makes tapeta debut. Merits consideration. Been in good order on turf but yet to convince at 6f and this is his AW debut.
2	7 2nd (7) (5/1 +23%) Carlton And Co		5 5/1(+23%)																															(7) Carlton And Co 5/1, Latest win at Leicester in July. Good second of 8 in handicap (10/1) at Newcastle (6f) 31 days ago, clear of rest. Should give another good account. In good form on turf and AW in recent starts; should remain competitive.
3	8 3rd (8) (20/1 +43%) Caesars Pearl		20 20/1(+43%)																															(8) Caesars Pearl 20/1, Tenth of 13 in handicap at Thirsk (5f, good to firm, 40/1). Off 150 days. Back up in trip. Hard to make a case for. Drops in class but she's returning from another break and has too much to prove for now.
4	9 4th (9) (40/1 -122%) Snow Berry		40 40/1(-122%)																															(9) Snow Berry 40/1, Unreliable sort. 3 wins from 8 runs this year. Latest win at Bath in September. Seventh of 10 in handicap (22/1) at Yarmouth (6f, good to soft) 28 days ago. Three turf wins this summer but below par the last twice & yet to show comparable AW form.
5th	4 5th (4) (33/1 0%) Doddie's Impact		33 33/1(0%)																															(4) Doddie's Impact 33/1, First run since leaving Lawney Hill when tenth of 12 in handicap (66/1) at Redcar (5f, soft) 17 days ago. Back up in trip. Makes tapeta debut. Poor form since winning last year's Brocklesby; too much to prove for comfort.
6th	2 6th (2) (9/4 +72%) Oso Rapido		2.25 9/4(+72%)																															(2) Oso Rapido 9/4, Seventeen runs since last win in 2023. Seventh of 10 in handicap (5/1) at Redcar (6f, heavy) 7 days ago. Needs to get back on track. Yet to win in 2024 and he needs to bounce back from a modest run at Redcar last week.
7th	6 7th (6) (16/1 -146%) Formby		16 16/1(-146%)																															(6) Formby 16/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 11/2 and hooded for 1st time, second of 6 in novice at Newcastle (6f) 34 days ago, very slowly away. Makes handicap debut. Still learning and can do better switched to handicaps. Unexposed handicap debutant who has shown promise, including on AW; one to consider.
8th	11 8th (11) (28/1 -12%) Lil Wade		28 28/1(-12%)																															(11) Lil Wade 28/1, Remains a maiden after 17 Flat runs. Bit below form fifth of 10 in handicap at this course (5f, 25/1) 7 days ago. Back up in trip. Others preferred. 0-17 and it would be a surprise if there weren't a few stronger in this field.
9th	10 9th (10) (33/1 -83%) Bomb Squad		33 33/1(-83%)																															(10) Bomb Squad 33/1, C&D winner. 18/1, last of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 16 days ago. Not shone in two runs back from layoff; type to come good again at some point this winter.
10th	5 10th (5) (7/2 -17%) Prince Of Bel Lir		3.5 7/2(-17%)																															(5) Prince Of Bel Lir 7/2, Very good second of 10 in handicap (11/4) at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 16 days ago. Capable of going one better from a handy mark. Went close (front two clear) at Wolverhampton latest; still well treated; strong claims.
11th	1 11th (1) (6/1 -9%) Kodi Red		6 6/1(-9%)																															(1) Kodi Red 6/1, Won 9-runner handicap (11/1) at Chelmsford City (6f) 4 days ago, always holding on. Carries penalty. Still potentially well treated on his best efforts, so definite player if in the same form. Game win at Chelmsford four days ago but not an obvious type to defy a penalty.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

---

19:45 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 6f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.

Kodi Red makes a quick reappearance after winning at Chelmsford four days ago, but he carries a 5lb penalty for that success and PRINCE OF BEL LIR makes more appeal. The latter finished clear of the rest when runner-up at Wolverhampton last time and looks set to strike with Kaiya Fraser's claim negating a 3lb rise. Carlton And Co may well launch another challenge from the front having found only one too good at Newcastle, while Formby should be noted on his handicap debut.

PRINCE OF BEL LIR bounced back to form last time having slipped to an appealing mark and, having found only one too good, he's fancied to make amends in what looks quite a competitive race for the grade. Willolarupi and Formby head the dangers.

Formby and Carlton And Co can go well but PRINCE OF BEL LIR (nap) looks ready to strike after a good run at Wolverhampton.

19:45 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 6f PREDICTION SIMULATION

---

20:15 Southwell Handicap (Class 5) 12f  - 7 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	1 1st (1) (11/2 +0%) Melek Alreeh		5.5 11/2(+0%)																															(1) Melek Alreeh 11/2, C&D winner. Bit below form eighth of 13 in handicap (17/2) at Kempton (11f) 40 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Shaped as if still in good order last time and can't be ruled out. Won over C&D in March but he's been laboured since; needs a major revival back on AW.
2	6 2nd (6) (16/1 -45%) Thrilling Dream		16 16/1(-45%)																															(6) Thrilling Dream 16/1, 3 wins from 9 runs this year. Latest win at Leicester in July. 18/1, ninth of 14 in handicap at Nottingham (14f, heavy) 11 days ago. Makes tapeta debut. Not easy to make a case for. Had excuse on soft 11 days ago but he's untried on Tapeta and others are preferred.
3	3 3rd (3) (5/1 +44%) Desert Emperor		5 5/1(+44%)																															(3) Desert Emperor 5/1, Fifteen runs since last win in 2021. Ninth of 12 in handicap at this C&D (22/1) 67 days ago, finding little. Others more persuasive. All of his wins were at the end of 2021 and he's been well held on Tapeta in last two runs.
4	7 4th (7) (8/1 +60%) Western Stars		8 8/1(+60%)																															(7) Western Stars 8/1, Latest win at Newbury in July. 28/1, ninth of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (12.2f) 11 days ago. On dangerous mark in suitable conditions but he needs to get back on track.
5th	5 5th (5) (6/1 -80%) Kinetic		6 6/1(-80%)																															(5) Kinetic 6/1, C&D winner. 4 wins from 13 runs this year. Latest win here in September. Fifth of 8 in handicap (5/2) at Newcastle (12.4f) 31 days ago. Probably found the race coming too soon last time and had been progressive prior to that. Four wins since August; didn't fire latest but it's still hard to rule out more progress.
6th	2 6th (2) (10/3 +5%) Met Office		3.333333 10/3(+5%)																															(2) Met Office 10/3, 66/1, fourth of 13 in handicap at Kempton (12f) 24 days ago. Down the weights and, having returned to form, he's worthy of interest. Hard to predict but he's on a workable mark and was an eyecatcher at Kempton last time.
7th	4 7th (4) (11/4 -10%) Alrazeen		2.75 11/4(-10%)																															(4) Alrazeen 11/4, Course winner. 15/2, very good second of 7 in handicap at Wolverhampton (16.6f) 10 days ago. Back down in trip. Blinkers on 1st time. Considered despite the drop back in trip. Back on track with near miss at Wolverhampton (2m) latest and he's respected back in trip.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

---

20:15 Southwell Handicap (Class 5) 12f  Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

A winner at Wolverhampton in November 2023, MET OFFICE has returned to a winning mark and caught the eye finishing strongly for fourth at Kempton last time. That effort suggests his turn is not far away and John Butler's inmate may edge affairs. Melek Alreeh returns to this venue for the first time since scoring here in March and can have a say in the outcome, while Thrilling Dream drops back in distance with a shout having landed a double at Leicester in July.

MET OFFICE has tumbled in the weights and looked back in form last time, so he's worth taking a chance on. Kinetic could resume progress and looks appealing, with Alrazeen completing the shortlist.

Preference is for the versatile ALRAZEEN, who got back on track with a near miss behind a well-backed rival at Wolverhampton latest.

20:15 Southwell Handicap (Class 5) 12f  PREDICTION SIMULATION

---

Racecard Key

Ths is the racecard key.

Icon	Meaning
	TomForm top stats, gold rated
	TomForm top stats silver rated
	Ran similar race before
S	TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out
T	Top Time speeed rated
	Top Racingpost rated
	At the races watchout for
	At the races top pick
	Top rated for thet statistic

---

How to use Tomform

Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.

This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.

---

About U.K Horse Racing

Horse racing is a popular and historic sport in the UK, with a tradition dating back centuries. It is a multi-billion pound industry that attracts millions of spectators each year and generates significant economic activity.

There are two main types of horse racing in the UK: flat racing and jump racing. Flat racing is run on a level course and is typically shorter in distance, while jump racing involves horses jumping over obstacles and is generally longer in distance. Both types of racing are popular with spectators and bettors, and they take place at various racetracks throughout the country.

The most famous horse racing event in the UK is the Grand National, which is held annually at Aintree Racecourse in Liverpool. It is a jump racing event that is known for its challenging course and has become a national institution in the UK. Other notable horse racing events in the UK include the Derby, held at Epsom Downs Racecourse in Surrey, and the Royal Ascot, held at Ascot Racecourse in Berkshire.

Horse racing in the UK is regulated by the British Horseracing Authority (BHA), which sets rules and standards for the industry. It is responsible for the welfare of racehorses and the safety of jockeys and trainers, as well as ensuring fair and transparent racing practices.

In addition to its economic and cultural importance, horse racing in the UK also plays a significant role in the breeding and training of thoroughbred horses. Many of the world's top thoroughbreds are bred and trained in the UK, and the industry plays a vital role in the preservation and promotion of the breed.

Overall, horse racing is an integral part of British culture and a major contributor to the country's economy. It is a thrilling and exciting sport that continues to attract a loyal following and generate significant interest from spectators and bettors around the world.

---

Top