Southwell Races & Results Tomform Thursday 7th November 2024
There were 45 Races on Thursday 7th November 2024 across 6 meetings. There was 8 races at Southwell, 7 races at Clonmel, 7 races at Newbury, 7 races at Ludlow, 8 races at Newcastle, 8 races at Chelmsford-City, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.
Races & Results Thursday 7th November 2024
The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.
(8) Sirius White 7/1, Course winner. 18/1, wasted no time getting back to form when third of 10 in handicap at Carlisle (5.8f, good to soft) 3 months ago, suited by emphasis on stamina. Back on all-weather and not without each-way hope. All three wins on the AW but has something to prove down to 5f for the first time.
1
7
1st (7) (9/4 +68%) Fortunate Star
2.25
9/4(+68%)
(7) Fortunate Star 9/4, 8/11, again made the places without being in the same sort of form as on previous couple of starts when third of 6 in handicap at Catterick (5f, heavy) 9 days ago. This just his second all-weather start and fancied to be in the shake-up. Has dropped a long way in the weights and a player if repeating recent turf efforts.
3
2
3rd (2) (4/1 -78%) Better
4
4/1(-78%)
(2) Better 4/1, 11/1, improved on recent efforts to win 12-runner handicap at Newcastle (5f) 16 days ago, staying on to lead final 50 yds. 4 lb higher but remains well treated on old form and has easily the most experienced rider on board. 4lb higher than when winning at Newcastle last time; seemed suited by that stiffer track.
4
9
4th (9) (16/1 -33%) Victors Dream
16
16/1(-33%)
(9) Victors Dream 16/1, Winner at Brighton in June. Followed a below-par effort with an even worse one when 9¼ lengths last of 6 to Bernard Spierpoint in handicap at Brighton (5.3f, good, 4/1) 67 days ago. Others more persuasive. 1-17 but in the frame in six of 12 AW starts, including over C&D; not discounted.
5th
1
5th (1) (15/2 -25%) Bernard Spierpoint
7.5
15/2(-25%)
(1) Bernard Spierpoint 15/2, C&D winner. 3 wins from 12 runs this year. Latest win at Brighton in September. Wasn't disgraced when fourth of 10 in handicap (10/1) at Chelmsford City (5f) 12 days ago. Can make presence felt. Completed a hat-trick after rejoining this yard in August; each-way claims.
6th
5
6th (5) (10/1 -25%) Under Curfew
10
10/1(-25%)
(5) Under Curfew 10/1, Latest win at Salisbury in July. Run best excused when sixth of 8 in handicap at Wolverhampton (5.1f, 9/2) 31 days ago, keeping on when badly hampered last ½f. Has to be taken seriously. Would have finished closer with a clear run at Wolverhampton last month; a player.
7th
6
7th (6) (25/1 +50%) Lochaber
25
25/1(+50%)
(6) Lochaber 25/1, 100/1, continued out of sorts when seventh of 8 in handicap at this course (6.1f) 10 days ago. Blinkered for 1st time. 1-20 and out of the frame in all seven goes on the AW; blinkers on.
8th
3
8th (3) (9/1 +25%) Wakai Umi
9
9/1(+25%)
(3) Wakai Umi 9/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2022. 15/2, below form when fifth of 8 in handicap at Windsor (5.1f, good to firm) back in June. Looks an easy enough swerve given her profile. 131-day absence asks a question but this straight 5f should suit; may be worth chancing.
9th
11
9th (11) (33/1 -106%) Sacred Melody
33
33/1(-106%)
(11) Sacred Melody 33/1, 22/1, fared no better than previously under change of tactics when 3½ lengths eighth of 12 to Better in handicap at Newcastle (5f) 16 days ago. Handicapper gives her a chance, but more is required. Well held in seven starts including behind Better at Newcastle last time; much more needed.
10th
12
10th (12) (10/1 +38%) Restricted
10
10/1(+38%)
(12) Restricted 10/1, Remains a maiden after 18 Flat runs. Cheekpieces on for 1st time, respectable fourth of 8 in handicap (8/1) at Wolverhampton (5.1f) 45 days ago. 0-18 but likes to go forward and such tactics are suited to this C&D; could make the frame.
11th
4
11th (4) (20/1 +0%) Dunnington Lad
20
20/1(+0%)
(4) Dunnington Lad 20/1, Latest win at Ripon in August. 3/1, followed a good run with a below-par one when sixth of 7 in handicap at Musselburgh (5f, good) in August, weakening when hampered last ½f. This a rare all-weather start and will need to leave that latest effort behind. Has only beaten one rival in three starts on Tapeta so has something to prove.
12th
10
12th (10) (25/1 +38%) Lady Nagin
25
25/1(+38%)
(10) Lady Nagin 25/1, Course winner. Never-dangerous eighth of 10 in handicap (50/1) at Wolverhampton (5.1f) 2 weeks ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. 2-4 over 6f here; 3lb below last winning mark but not threatened lately; cheekpieces on.
11:40 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 5f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Having built on his eye-catching fourth at Newcastle when subsequently landing the spoils at the same venue last month, BETTER is one to keep on side at present. A 4lb higher mark looks far from insurmountable for the three-year-old and he's taken to follow up. Fortunate Star hasn't been disgraced in four outings since his last spin on the all-weather and he's feared most off a career-low mark. Bernard Spierpoint and Sirius White are others to consider.
BETTER took advantage of a reduced mark at Newcastle recently and remaining well treated on old form, Paul Midgley's 3-y-o is fancied to follow up with the experienced Simon Walker taking over in the plate. He can get the better of Under Curfew, who can have a line put through his latest effort. Bernard Spierpoint and Fortunate Star can fight out minor honours.
The choice is WAKAI UMI who has an absence to overcome, but the track should suit her style of racing and she is on a competitive mark.
(11) Jane Temple 6/5, Siyouni filly who shaped with plenty of promise when second of 14 in maiden at Kempton (11f, 8/1) on debut 36 days ago, doing well to reach that place having come from so far back in a race run at a stop-start gallop. Open to significant improvement and big player. Shaped really well when debut second at Kempton; capable of considerably better; big shout.
2
7
2nd (7) (11/4 +21%) At No Time
2.75
11/4(+21%)
(7) At No Time 11/4, Makes plenty of appeal on paper and promising start when splitting a pair of useful sorts when second of 6 in novice at Salisbury (9.9f, good to soft) on debut 55 days ago. Looks sure to build on that and she's one to consider. Promising start when second at Salisbury (1m2f); one to consider with better to come.
3
4
3rd (4) (11/1 +0%) Padesha
11
11/1(+0%)
(4) Padesha 11/1, Fair form when in the frame first 2 starts during the spring but disappointed starting out for new yard/after 4 months off when last of 6 in maiden at Yarmouth (10.1f, good) in August. Certainly not one to be giving up on making tapeta debut. Last for new yard in Yarmouth maiden in August; has something to prove after a break.
4
5
4th (5) (5/1 +0%) Steel Tiger
5
5/1(+0%)
(5) Steel Tiger 5/1, Lightly-raced gelding. 14/1, very good third of 9 in handicap at Nottingham (10.2f, heavy) 29 days ago, no extra only late on. May be sharper here given that was his first start for 4 months. Off four months before good third in Nottingham handicap latest; solid form claims.
5th
6
5th (6) (8/1 +11%) William Walton
8
8/1(+11%)
(6) William Walton 8/1, Brother to top-class winner up to 1½m Waldgeist. Low-key debut effort at Ffos Las (12f, heavy) in August but marked step forward when third of 7 in novice at Kempton (12f) 27 days ago, the penny really dropping late on. Highly likely there's further progress in the offing. Third in Kempton novice 27 days ago; brother to Arc hero Waldgeist enters calculations.
6th
3
6th (3) (28/1 -75%) Naomhi
28
28/1(-75%)
(3) Naomhi 28/1, Travelled well for a long way in AW bumper on debut and offered something to work on (fair form) in finishing midfield in pair of Flat maidens at up to 12f in recent months. Could be the type to do better when attentions switch to handicaps. Patiently-ridden fifth in 11f Kempton maiden; she needs considering with more to come.
7th
9
7th (9) (125/1 -150%) Fleeting Moment
125
125/1(-150%)
(9) Fleeting Moment 125/1, Twice-raced filly who was very easy to back but showed more than first time up when sixth of 14 in maiden at Kempton (11f) 36 days ago, keeping on without being knocked about. Another likely type for middle-distance handicaps moving forward. Sixth of 14 in 11f Kempton maiden 36 days ago; she can do better still.
8th
1
8th (1) (125/1 -400%) Comte De Loir
125
125/1(-400%)
(1) Comte De Loir 125/1, Elm Park gelding who is bred to stay well and he offered something to work on when fourth of 7 in novice at Kempton (12f) on debut 27 days ago. In good hands and he's entitled to do better. Debut fourth in 1m4f Kempton novice 27 days ago; can do better.
9th
8
9th (8) (16/1 -60%) Christian Bruce
16
16/1(-60%)
(8) Christian Bruce 16/1, Le Havre filly who has looked a work-in-progress in 2 starts to date, running green when fifth of 14 in maiden (7/2) at Carlisle (11.2f, good to soft) 57 days ago. Likely to do better again but handicaps promise to be more her thing. Advanced form with Carlisle fifth in September; open to more progress; not discounted.
10th
10
10th (10) (200/1 -300%) Inlet
200
200/1(-300%)
(10) Inlet 200/1, Once-raced filly. Tenth of 13 in maiden (11/1) at Kempton (11f) on debut, very slowly away. Off 148 days. First run for yard after leaving Sir Michael Stoute. Debut tenth at Kempton on sole run for Sir Michael Stoute in June; remains with potential.
11th
2
11th (2) (200/1 -400%) Muhib
200
200/1(-400%)
(2) Muhib 200/1, Off the bridle some way out but still showed much more than first time up when third of 9 in novice at Newcastle (10.2f) 16 days ago, headway from 2f out and never nearer. Has since left John & Thady Gosden and more needed. Improved on second run for the Gosdens; may do better still for his new yard up in trip.
12:15 Southwell Maiden (Class 5) 12f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
STEEL TIGER posted a solid third on his handicap bow off a mark of 82 at Nottingham last month and he holds leading claims back in maiden company. The son of Almanzor does have to prove his effectiveness debuting on Tapeta, but his race experience could prove crucial. Jane Temple and At No Time both finished second on their respective opening bids and, being open to improvement, they must also enter calculations.
JANE TEMPLE shaped with abundant promise when finishing runner-up on debut in a Kempton maiden (11f) 5 weeks ago, doing well to finish as close as she did in a race run at a stop-start gallop. Open to significant improvement, she's selected to come out on top, with At No Time and Steel Tiger others to consider. William Walton is another to keep an eye on.
The Gosdens' Siyouni filly JANE TEMPLE is taken to build on the considerable promise of her Kempton debut second and get off the mark.
12:15 Southwell Maiden (Class 5) 12f PREDICTION SIMULATION
(3) Fast Fred 13/8, More encouraging signs in handicaps and, well backed, posted a career-best effort when winning 14-runner handicap at Redcar (10f, heavy) 10 days ago. Well in here lining up under a penalty and obvious claims upped further in trip. Easily opened account at Redcar latest; rates a big player under a 5lb penalty here.
2
5
2nd (5) (7/2 +56%) Swinging London
3.5
7/2(+56%)
(5) Swinging London 7/2, Sole success to date came over hurdles for Olly Murphy in 2022 but ran one of better races for this yard when third of 9 in handicap at this course (11.1f) 7 days ago, plugging on. Each-way claims if building on that now. Hinted at revival when third here week ago; can make his presence felt off easing mark.
3
1
3rd (1) (10/1 +9%) The Bay Warrior
10
10/1(+9%)
(1) The Bay Warrior 10/1, Latest win over 11f here in September and not seen to best effect when fifth of 12 in handicap back at this course (11.1f, 22/1) 14 days ago, Should give another good account down 1 lb. Course winner; solid fifth here two weeks ago; he's one to consider eased 1lb.
4
6
4th (6) (18/1 -80%) Stintino Sunset
18
18/1(-80%)
(6) Stintino Sunset 18/1, Back on the scoresheet at Windsor (11.5f) in September and typically gave her running again when runner-up in handicap back at that track/trip 24 days ago. Equally as effective on all-weather and likely to be thereabouts again. Won at Windsor and good second there 24 days ago; ought to be thereabouts off same mark.
5th
9
5th (9) (16/1 +43%) The Conqueror
16
16/1(+43%)
(9) The Conqueror 16/1, 13/2, seventh of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (9.5f) 17 days ago. Back up in trip. Needs a couple of these to falter. Scored at Brighton (1m2f) in May but his more recent form is less encouraging.
6th
10
6th (10) (18/1 -64%) Lady Birdie
18
18/1(-64%)
(10) Lady Birdie 18/1, Made the frame on 3 of her 5 starts in handicaps but seemingly had every chance when only sixth of 10 in handicap at this course (14.1f) 6 weeks ago. Drop back in trip fine but she looks to have work to do, even from this lowly mark. Still to register a victory but she comes here in decent nick; no forlorn hope.
7th
2
7th (2) (7/2 +0%) Apache Canyon
3.5
7/2(+0%)
(2) Apache Canyon 7/2, Career best when winning 7-runner handicap (11/1) at this course (11.1f) 10 days ago, keeping on gamely. Completely unexposed at this sort of trip and respected under a penalty. Off the mark in 1m3f handicap here ten days ago; not taken lightly under a 6lb penalty.
8th
4
8th (4) (12/1 +52%) Leap Year Lad
12
12/1(+52%)
(4) Leap Year Lad 12/1, Twelve runs since last win in 2023. Fifth of 11 in handicap at Nottingham (10.2f, heavy, 22/1) 14 days ago. Has work to do. On a lengthy losing run and a below-par fifth at Nottingham two weeks ago; more needed.
9th
8
9th (8) (150/1 -200%) Rogue Raider
150
150/1(-200%)
(8) Rogue Raider 150/1, Offered very little all 3 starts upon joining present stable, left behind quickly when last of 6 in handicap at Chelmsford (14f) 28 days ago. Hard to make a case for. Remains a maiden and he has failed to beat a rival on his last three starts.
12:50 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 12f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
FAST FRED ran out a comfortable winner when opening his account in a 14-runner affair over 1m2f at Redcar 10 days ago and a 5lb penalty is unlikely to prevent another bold bid. Phillip Makin's gelding is 5lb well-in and he should take all of the beating if coping with the extra two furlongs. Fellow penalised winner Apache Canyon is also heading in the right direction and the three-year-old rates as the biggest danger, ahead of Stintino Sunset.
FAST FRED showed much improved form when opening his account with ease at Redcar 10 days ago and,completely unexposed at this sort of trip, he makes plenty of appeal under a penalty. Fellow last-time-out winner Apache Canyon is next best. Stintino Sunset and The Bay Warrior complete the shortlist.
It's hard to ignore the claims of FAST FRED who is ahead of his mark under a 5lb penalty for his impressive Redcar victory.
(8) Crown's Lady 3/1, Landed second career victory when scoring here in August and arrives on back of close second of 9 in handicap over C&D 5 days ago. Shortlist material. C&D winner and beaten a nose here five days ago; holds excellent claims off the same mark.
2
2
2nd (2) (5/1 -43%) Novak
5
5/1(-43%)
(2) Novak 5/1, Ended his lengthy losing run when taking 11-runner handicap (9/2) at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 24 days ago. 3 lb rise fair and must enter calculations. Ended a long losing run in 7f Wolver handicap 24 days ago; up 3lb but can go well again.
3
7
3rd (7) (13/2 -86%) Wilde And Dandy
6.5
13/2(-86%)
(7) Wilde And Dandy 13/2, Capitalised on falling mark when taking 10-runner handicap (9/2) at Chelmsford City (7f) 26 days ago. Remains feasibly treated on old form and must enter calculations. Resumed winning ways in 7f Chelmsford h'cap latest; up 4lb but can make his presence felt.
4
4
4th (4) (3/1 +50%) Overlooked
3
3/1(+50%)
(4) Overlooked 3/1, Stepped forward from yard debut effort when good fifth of 11 in handicap at Newcastle (8f) 9 days ago. Races off same mark here and merits consideration. Still a maiden but good fifth at Newcastle nine days ago; ought to be in the shake-up.
5th
1
5th (1) (11/2 +54%) Dynamic Talent
5.5
11/2(+54%)
(1) Dynamic Talent 11/2, C&D winner. 20/1, bit below form eighth of 14 in handicap at Chelmsford City (8f) 12 days ago, slowly away. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Others preferred. C&D winner but only eighth at Chelmsford 12 days ago; more needed.
6th
6
6th (6) (18/1 -29%) King Of War
18
18/1(-29%)
(6) King Of War 18/1, Sixth of 8 in handicap at Chelmsford City (7f, 50/1) 21 days ago. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals. Without a victory in 2024 and he arrives well below par; he' s not easy to make a case for.
7th
5
7th (5) (25/1 -79%) Heretic
25
25/1(-79%)
(5) Heretic 25/1, 50/1, first run since leaving Hugo Palmer when respectable seventh of 12 in handicap at this C&D 21 days ago. Others more persuasive. Not discredited for new yard after 21 months off when C&D seventh latest; can do better.
8th
9
8th (9) (33/1 -18%) Theotherside
33
33/1(-18%)
(9) Theotherside 33/1, Twenty two runs since last win in 2021. 25/1, sixth of 9 in handicap at this C&D 5 days ago. Something to find on form. It's now 22 starts since her last victory and she was a below-par C&D sixth five days ago.
9th
3
9th (3) (100/1 -203%) Beautiful Dawn
100
100/1(-203%)
(3) Beautiful Dawn 100/1, 2 wins from 5 runs this year. 80/1, last of 8 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 13 days ago. Best watched. Has failed to beat a rival in three outings for her current yard; easy to look elsewhere.
13:25 Southwell Handicap (Class 5) 7f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Wilde And Dandy bounced back to form when scoring at Chelmsford on his most recent start and he is likely to be on the premises off 4lb higher. However, CROWN'S LADY gets the nod. Craig Lidster's three-year-old was denied by the narrowest of margins over track and trip five days ago and competes off the same rating. Provided she can back that performance up, she could be the one to beat. Last-time-out winner Novak completes the shortlist.
CROWN'S LADY has struck up a good relationship with William Pyle and the pair were only narrowly chinned here last week. They can gain compensation. Novak and Wilde And Dandy can also make their presence felt.
Craig Lidster's C&D winner CROWN'S LADY can race off the same mark as when a close second here last time out so looks the way to go.
(6) Caledonian 13/2, Fair efforts on first 2 outings but needs to bounce back from a poor run at Redcar 43 days ago. Makes handicap debut. Promise in first two starts on turf, but disappointing last time; makes nursery/AW debut.
2
7
2nd (7) (6/1 -118%) Hot To Dot
6
6/1(-118%)
(7) Hot To Dot 6/1, Promising individual who made a winning debut at Pontefract in April and left her recent poor run behind when second of 10 in nursery (18/1) at Newcastle (7.1f) 9 days ago, conceding first run. Likely more to come yet. 4lb well in after her neck defeat at Newcastle nine days ago; high on list.
3
1
3rd (1) (5/4 +75%) Qaseem
1.25
5/4(+75%)
(1) Qaseem 5/4, Winner at Haydock in August. Creditable second of 9 in novice at Newcastle (7.1f, 7/2) 23 days ago. Not taken lightly. Second under a penalty in a Newcastle novice last time; much respected back in a nursery.
4
4
4th (4) (4/1 +47%) Sunshine State
4
4/1(+47%)
(4) Sunshine State 4/1, Lightly-raced winner. Winner at Chelmsford City in June. 5/1, good third of 9 in nursery at Ayr (7.2f, good to firm) 48 days ago, caught further back than ideal. Merits consideration on tapeta debut. Has run well in two of her three nurseries and is 1-1 on the AW; considered.
5th
8
5th (8) (22/1 -238%) Harswell Ruby
22
22/1(-238%)
(8) Harswell Ruby 22/1, Lightly-raced maiden who upped her game when second of 11 on nursery debut at this course (6.1f, 11/2) 17 days ago. Hood now added for first time. Likely contender. Close second on nursery debut here (6f) last month but still has stamina to prove; hood on.
6th
2
6th (2) (8/1 -60%) Del Ray
8
8/1(-60%)
(2) Del Ray 8/1, Found improvement when close second of 7 on nursery debut at Newcastle (7.1f) 34 days ago. Just 1 lb higher now and is one for shortlist. Beaten a neck on nursery debut at Newcastle last month, hanging right late on; respected.
7th
3
7th (3) (12/1 +0%) Scatter Penny
12
12/1(+0%)
(3) Scatter Penny 12/1, Lightly-raced winner. 2 wins from 4 runs this year. Tongue strap on for 1st time, sixth of 9 in nursery (7/2) at Ayr (7.2f, good to firm) 48 days ago. Makes tapeta debut. Others preferred. Won her first two starts and not disgraced in either nursery, but has stamina to prove.
14:00 Southwell Handicap (Class 4) 7f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
DEL RAY was just touched off by a neck into second on her nursery debut at Newcastle last month and goes off a 1lb higher mark. Archie Watson's juvenile has lots in her favour to go one better, with her main threat possibly being Sunshine State, who made the frame at Ayr in this grade last time and should go well. Qaseem looks best of the rest.
Preference is for HOT TO DOT, who got back on the up at Newcastle last week and remains with potential. Del Ray and Harswell Ruby are feared most.
It's hard to oppose HOT TO DOT (nap) who is 4lb well in after having gone so close at Newcastle nine days ago.
(1) Addison Grey 1/1, Foaled March 7. £60,000 yearling, Havana Grey colt. Half-brother to winner up to 1m Lunarscape and 2-y-o 5f winner Fengari. Dam 6f winner. Noteworthy newcomer in a maiden lacking a great deal of depth. Should handle the AW on pedigree; wouldn't need to be anything special to make an impact.
2
2
2nd (2) (11/4 -10%) Midnight City
2.75
11/4(-10%)
(2) Midnight City 11/4, Fair form on first 2 starts at Newmarket/York in August but not in same form when nineteenth of 20 in valuable sales race at Doncaster (6.5f, good) a month later. Gelded since however, and no surprise to see him get back on track. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Out of the frame in three starts on turf but has faced some stiff tasks; cheekpieces on.
3
4
3rd (4) (11/2 -38%) Kodi Fire
5.5
11/2(-38%)
(4) Kodi Fire 11/2, Kodi Bear colt who matched previous best having gone from the front when fifth of 12 in maiden at Kempton (7f) 15 days ago. Claims of making the frame. Ran well on second start and found 7f too far last time; shortlisted back in trip.
4
5
4th (5) (5/1 -50%) War Supremo
5
5/1(-50%)
(5) War Supremo 5/1, Foaled March 4. Churchill gelding. Dam, placed at 1¼m-2m, closely related to smart 1½m winner (stayed 15.5f) Glaring. Noteworthy newcomer. Wears tongue strap. Enough in his pedigree to suggest he should play a part; tongue-tie on.
5th
7
5th (7) (80/1 -567%) Sweet Cicely
80
80/1(-567%)
(7) Sweet Cicely 80/1, Twice-raced filly. Stepped up a little on debut when fourth of 9 in maiden (18/1) at Newcastle (6f) 9 days ago, progress 1f out under hands-and-heels ride. Another likely type for handicaps on the back of this. Improved from her debut when fourth at Newcastle nine days ago, but may need further.
6th
6
6th (6) (100/1 -100%) Alfa Kalori
100
100/1(-100%)
(6) Alfa Kalori 100/1, £30,000 2-y-o, Kodi Bear filly. Well held in pair of novice/maiden events 4 months apart and she can only be watched at present. Well held in first two starts; nurseries may provide better opportunities after this.
7th
3
7th (3) (150/1 -355%) Hashtagnotions
150
150/1(-355%)
(3) Hashtagnotions 150/1, Twice-raced colt. Eighth of 9 in maiden at Ripon (5f, good to firm, 12/1) in May, always behind. Absent since and will at least have low-grade handicaps as an option after this. Well held in two starts over 5f on turf/Tapeta in the spring; returns from six months off.
14:35 Southwell Maiden (Class 5) 6f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
A chance can be taken on newcomer ADDISON GREY, who is related to plenty of winners and changed hands for 60,000gns in April. The son of Havana Grey has lots of speed in his pedigree and can make a winning debut. Sweet Cicely took a step forward from her debut effort to finish fourth at Newcastle last time and she could get into contention, while Kodi Fire is another to consider.
The betting will prove useful in assessing the newcomers, but MIDNIGHT CITY showed definite promise on 2 of his 3 starts to date so, having been gelded ahead of this, he's one to consider back in calmer waters with cheekpieces now reached for. Addison Grey and War Supremo are the debutants to note.
The vote goes to MIDNIGHT CITY who contested the big sales races at York and Doncaster, going down by only just over 3l in the first.
14:35 Southwell Maiden (Class 5) 6f PREDICTION SIMULATION
(3) Lady Of Spain 7/4, Promising individual. 8/13, won 10-runner novice at Wolverhampton (8.6f), cosily. Off 7 months. Makes handicap debut. Expected to be bang there. Unbeaten in two Wolverhampton novices; off another eight months, but still unexposed.
2
8
2nd (8) (7/2 +59%) Unassuming
3.5
7/2(+59%)
(8) Unassuming 7/2, C&D winner. 2 wins from 5 runs this year. Latest win here in September. 4/7, fifth of 8 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 13 days ago. Not one to write off. Won twice over C&D before disappointing at Wolverhampton; could bounce back returned here.
3
6
3rd (6) (16/1 +20%) Eleftheria
16
16/1(+20%)
(6) Eleftheria 16/1, Latest win at Kempton in June. Seventh of 8 in handicap at Kempton (7f, 5/1) 48 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Others are more appealing. Back off last winning mark but faces some unexposed and progressive types; cheekpieces on.
4
7
4th (7) (14/1 -65%) Climate Action
14
14/1(-65%)
(7) Climate Action 14/1, 18/1, career best when winning 11-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 13 days ago. Not long with this yard and may do better again. 4lb higher than when off the mark at Wolverhampton last time; may have more to offer.
5th
2
5th (2) (15/2 -25%) Lady Of Arabia
7.5
15/2(-25%)
(2) Lady Of Arabia 15/2, 11/4, career best when winning 8-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 33 days ago, overcoming pace bias. Excellent AW record and should go well again. Bids for a hat-trick after two wins at Wolverhampton; up another 4lb, but hard to rule out.
6th
1
6th (1) (11/2 -22%) Race The Wind
5.5
11/2(-22%)
(1) Race The Wind 11/2, Doubled her tally in a 10-runner novice at Wolverhampton (7.2f, 11/8), bit in hand. Off 9 months since Bids for a hat-trick on handicap debut after another 283 days off, but proven fresh.
7th
5
7th (5) (12/1 -140%) Magic Dream
12
12/1(-140%)
(5) Magic Dream 12/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Second of 7 in novice at Wolverhampton (9.5f, 9/4) 14 days ago. Makes handicap debut. Unlikely to have reached her limit. Runner-up in two of her four starts, but this looks a warm event on handicap debut.
8th
4
8th (4) (11/1 +67%) Nocturnal
11
11/1(+67%)
(4) Nocturnal 11/1, 12/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, eighth of 10 in handicap at Newmarket (8f, soft) 15 days ago. Others are more persuasive. Held in warm handicaps on turf since winning an AW novice but this also looks competitive.
15:10 Southwell Handicap (Class 4) 8f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Magic Dream has the benefit of a recent outing compared to her stable companion RACE THE WIND, who makes her first appearance since winning under a penalty in novice company at Wolverhampton in January. The latter has also shaped as though stepping up to a mile would bring about further progression and she is expected to defy her absence. The unbeaten Lady Of Spain and hat-trick seeking Lady Of Arabia are others to note.
LADY OF SPAIN made an emphatic debut and, while she had to work a bit harder to maintain her unbeaten record under a penalty at Wolverhampton 7 months ago, she is a useful prospect who appears to have been handed a lenient mark, so she's marginally preferred to Race The Wind, who is also back from an absence. Lady of Arabia has a prolific AW record and ranks as a danger to the pair.
Another chance is given to UNASSUMING who was disappointing at Wolverhampton last time, but was 2-2 over this C&D prior to that.
(7) Jersey Rocs 33/1, Eleventh of 12 in handicap at this C&D (66/1) 42 days ago. Blinkered for 1st time. Needs blinkers to perk him up. Promising debut at Ripon in August last year but nowhere near that form since.
2
1
2nd (1) (5/1 +33%) Love Your Work
5
5/1(+33%)
(1) Love Your Work 5/1, 5-time C&D winner. Creditable fourth of 14 in handicap at Chelmsford City (10f, 20/1) 21 days ago. Unlikely to be far away. Seven course wins including three on Tapeta; 1lb below last winning mark; shortlisted.
3
4
3rd (4) (16/1 -78%) Retraction
16
16/1(-78%)
(4) Retraction 16/1, Fifth of 8 in handicap (10/3) at Newcastle (7.1f) 16 days ago. Holding form well at present but others have more compelling win claims. 0-10 despite a falling mark and others are more compelling.
4
6
4th (6) (11/4 +31%) Jalaybee
2.75
11/4(+31%)
(6) Jalaybee 11/4, C&D winner. Winner here in October. 10/3, creditable third of 7 in handicap at this C&D 7 days ago. Deserves respected. First and third in last two starts over C&D; may get a better pace to aim at this time.
5th
9
5th (9) (14/1 +30%) Imola
14
14/1(+30%)
(9) Imola 14/1, 4/1, fourth of 6 in handicap at Nottingham (10.2f, heavy) 14 days ago. Back down in trip. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Others more persuasive. 0-10; off a fair mark but well held in both starts since joining this yard; cheekpieces on.
6th
5
6th (5) (9/2 +31%) King Of York
4.5
9/2(+31%)
(5) King Of York 9/2, Course winner. Good second of 8 in handicap (11/5) at this course (7.1f) 5 days ago. Should be on the premises again. Just 2-37, but has plenty of form at this track and was second here last Saturday.
7th
3
7th (3) (11/4 +0%) First Dynasty
2.75
11/4(+0%)
(3) First Dynasty 11/4, 9/2 and blinkered for 1st time, won 10-runner handicap at this C&D 30 days ago, always holding on. Worth a chance to follow up. Made all over C&D last month and respected off 3lb higher, especially if leading again.
8th
2
8th (2) (12/1 -20%) Gunsight
12
12/1(-20%)
(2) Gunsight 12/1, 22/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, first run since leaving Michael O'Meara when below form seventh of 12 in handicap at Nottingham (8.3f, heavy) 14 days ago. Makes tapeta debut. Blinkers back on. Stable is in good order and he merits respect. 0-13 and needs the new surface to bring about improvement.
9th
8
9th (8) (25/1 -150%) Mickey Mongoose
25
25/1(-150%)
(8) Mickey Mongoose 25/1, C&D winner. 28/1, sixth of 12 in handicap at this C&D 10 days ago. Becoming well treated and latest effort was a step back in the right direction. 1lb lower than for C&D win in March and not beaten far here ten days ago; still needs more.
10th
10
10th (10) (33/1 -83%) Masham Moor
33
33/1(-83%)
(10) Masham Moor 33/1, C&D winner. 18/1, respectable fifth of 14 in handicap at Newcastle (8f). Off 133 days. Likely to strip fitter for it. Off the same mark as for the latest of two wins over C&D but he has no great record fresh.
15:45 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 8f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
JALAYBEE's form has stepped up a level since being switched to the all-weather here on his recent starts and the three-year-old gets the vote in what looks to be a winnable contest on paper. First Dynasty benefited from front-running tactics when winning over C&D last month and he is respected off a 3lb higher mark. King Of York and Retraction complete the shortlist.
FIRST DYNASTY reacted well to first-time blinkers when scoring here a month ago and, if the headgear has the same effect, he can go in again. Jalaybee and King of York look the chief threats, although a few others arrive in form.
The vote goes to FIRST DYNASTY who did it well when making all over C&D last month.
Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.
This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.
About U.K Horse Racing
Horse racing is a popular and historic sport in the UK, with a tradition dating back centuries. It is a multi-billion pound industry that attracts millions of spectators each year and generates significant economic activity.
There are two main types of horse racing in the UK: flat racing and jump racing. Flat racing is run on a level course and is typically shorter in distance, while jump racing involves horses jumping over obstacles and is generally longer in distance. Both types of racing are popular with spectators and bettors, and they take place at various racetracks throughout the country.
The most famous horse racing event in the UK is the Grand National, which is held annually at Aintree Racecourse in Liverpool. It is a jump racing event that is known for its challenging course and has become a national institution in the UK. Other notable horse racing events in the UK include the Derby, held at Epsom Downs Racecourse in Surrey, and the Royal Ascot, held at Ascot Racecourse in Berkshire.
Horse racing in the UK is regulated by the British Horseracing Authority (BHA), which sets rules and standards for the industry. It is responsible for the welfare of racehorses and the safety of jockeys and trainers, as well as ensuring fair and transparent racing practices.
In addition to its economic and cultural importance, horse racing in the UK also plays a significant role in the breeding and training of thoroughbred horses. Many of the world's top thoroughbreds are bred and trained in the UK, and the industry plays a vital role in the preservation and promotion of the breed.
Overall, horse racing is an integral part of British culture and a major contributor to the country's economy. It is a thrilling and exciting sport that continues to attract a loyal following and generate significant interest from spectators and bettors around the world.
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