15:00 York Handicap (Class 2) 8f - 19 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	9 1st (9) (40/1 -21%) Ropey Guest		40 40/1(-21%)																															(9) Ropey Guest 40/1, Resumed winning ways at Goodwood in May but turned in a rare below-par effort when fifteenth of 25 in International at Ascot 26 days ago. Still needs considering. Has often run well in big 7f handicaps, but modest strike-rate and below par last time.
2	8 2nd (8) (9/1 +36%) Point Lynas		9 9/1(+36%)																															(8) Point Lynas 9/1, Scored at Newcastle in March and has continued in good nick, ridden too aggressively when fourteenth of 30 in Royal Hunt Cup at Royal Ascot 64 days ago. Not taken lightly after a break. The form of his C&D second in May reads well and he could make a bold bid now back here.
3	17 3rd (17) (14/1 -17%) Spirit Catcher		14 14/1(-17%)																															(17) Spirit Catcher 14/1, Quirky sort who ran out an emphatic winner of 1m handicap at Ripon 5 days ago. This demands more but he's still much respected under a 6 lb penalty. Plenty in hand when winning Ripon Class 4 on Saturday; entitled to respect under penalty.
4	3 4th (3) (10/1 -18%) Sonny Liston		10 10/1(-18%)																															(3) Sonny Liston 10/1, Useful 7f winner for Charlie Hills. Yet to score for Ralph Beckett but excellent second in Ascot's Royal Hunt Cup and posted another good effort when fifth of 20 in Golden Mile at Goodwood 20 days ago. Solid claims off a 2 lb lower mark. Fine second in Royal Hunt Cup and solid fifth at Goodwood latest; might not be far away.
5th	4 5th (4) (6.5/1 -8%) Northern Express		6.5 6.5/1(-8%)																															(4) Northern Express 6.5/1, Consistent sort who has bagged Thirsk Hunt Cup and 7f handicap here this term. Good fourth of 25 in International at Ascot (7f, good to soft) 26 days ago so he can go well again eased 1 lb. Three-time course winner who has been in the form of his life this season; bang there.
6th	15 6th (15) (14/1 -40%) Dutch Decoy		14 14/1(-40%)																															(15) Dutch Decoy 14/1, Five-time 7f/1m winner in 2022. Added to his tally at Newmarket in July before recording a good third of 20 in Golden Mile at Goodwood 20 days ago. In the mix again. Admirably consistent this season and could again be in the mix.
7th	20 7th (20) (14/1 -17%) Terwada		14 14/1(-17%)																															(20) Terwada 14/1, Fast improving Tamayuz colt who made a winning start in handicaps at Newmarket (1m) last month, well on top at the finish. Highly likely there's more to come so he's a player turned out under a 6 lb penalty. Has won his last two; up in grade here but this 3yo is unexposed and progressive.
8th	6 8th (6) (10/1 +44%) Eilean Dubh		10 10/1(+44%)																															(6) Eilean Dubh 10/1, Enjoyed a fine 2022 and back to winning ways in first-time tongue tie at Hamilton (1m) in July. Well held in Golden Mile at Goodwood 20 days ago but he's very much the sort to bounce back. Soft ground excuses Goodwood run and this two-time C&D winner is not ruled out each-way.
9th	13 9th (13) (40/1 -43%) La Trinidad		40 40/1(-43%)																															(13) La Trinidad 40/1, C&D winner who also scored at Doncaster in June. Below-par fifth of 11 to Blue For You over C&D last time though so needs to bounce back. Commanding win at Doncaster in June then failed to settle here latest; each-way possible.
10th	16 10th (16) (12/1 +14%) The Gatekeeper		12 12/1(+14%)																															(16) The Gatekeeper 12/1, Dual 7f scorer at Newcastle and Newmarket early this season. Very good second in Golden Mile at Goodwood 20 days ago. Can make his presence felt again off the same mark. Second of 20 in the competitive Golden Mile at Goodwood last time and he has a chance.
11th	10 11th (10) (12/1 +45%) Orbaan		12 12/1(+45%)																															(10) Orbaan 12/1, C&D winner who wasn't disgraced when fifth of 11 in handicap at Sandown (8f, good) 4 days ago. Possibilities. 5lb lower than when good 4th in this last year but has had below-par campaign in the main.
12th	14 12th (14) (40/1 -43%) Austrian Theory		40 40/1(-43%)																															(14) Austrian Theory 40/1, Won at Epsom in June and has continued in good form, seventh of 11 in 1m handicap at Sandown 4 days ago. No forlorn hope. Made all at Epsom in June but patchy form since and only 7th of 11 at Sandown on Sunday.
13th	5 13th (5) (7/1 -17%) Akhu Najla		7 7/1(-17%)																															(5) Akhu Najla 7/1, Impressive winner of 1m Yarmouth maiden last April. Lightly raced since but he shaped well after 10 months off when fourth of 9 in 1m handicap at Ascot 26 days ago, needing stronger gallop. May do better still so he merits consideration. Unexposed 4yo who returned from absence with encouraging run at Ascot; could build on that.
14th	1 14th (1) (6.5/1 +35%) Blue For You		6.5 6.5/1(+35%)																															(1) Blue For You 6.5/1, Resumed winning ways over C&D in July but he came in only tenth of 20 in handicap at Goodwood (8f, soft) 20 days ago. Took this contest 12 months ago so no surprise if he bounced back. York brings out the best in him (won this last year) and he's firmly in calculations.
15th	18 15th (18) (28/1 -56%) Racingbreaks Ryder		28 28/1(-56%)																															(18) Racingbreaks Ryder 28/1, Completed a four-timer at Ascot (7f) in May but too free when well held in Britannia at Ascot and Golden Mile at Goodwood since. Considered now back over 7f. Looked a 3yo to follow in the spring when winning three, but heavy defeats the last twice.
16th	2 16th (2) (25/1 +0%) Escobar		25 25/1(+0%)																															(2) Escobar 25/1, Smart performance when winning 7f Ascot handicap last October. Yet to scale same heights this season but this C&D winner can't be discounted off a falling mark. 9yo who has had underwhelming campaign but went very close in this race last year.
17th	12 17th (12) (28/1 +0%) Cruyff Turn		28 28/1(+0%)																															(12) Cruyff Turn 28/1, Back to winning ways at Redcar in June and not discredited when ninth of 15 in Bunbury Cup at Newmarket since. Took this prize in 2021 so he's one for the shortlist. Good to soft ground perhaps against him in Bunbury Cup; on a handy mark & won this in 2021.
18th	11 18th (11) (16/1 -14%) Darkness		16 16/1(-14%)																															(11) Darkness 16/1, Gained a first success for this yard when landing 1m Newmarket handicap in July. Backed it up with a good fourth of 20 in Golden Mile at Goodwood 20 days ago. Should remain competitive off the same mark. 1-1 under Neil Callan and this bang-in-form 5yo could be a player.
19th	19 19th (19) (16/1 +27%) Master Richard		16 16/1(+27%)																															(19) Master Richard 16/1, Generally progressive (scored at Newcastle in May) and comes here on the back of a very good second of 9 in 7f handicap at Newmarket 12 days ago. Not discounted in first-time cheekpieces. Two-time C&D winner who was 2nd at Newmarket recently; may have more to give; headgear on.

LTO Selection:

15:00 York Handicap (Class 2) 8f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.

Compensation may await POINT LYNAS, who was demoted for causing interference at this meeting last year when first past the post over course and distance. Narrowly denied here in May, the son of Iffraaj should be primed for this valuable contest, with last year's winner Blue For You and Darkness looking best placed to chase him home. Course-specialist Northern Express may be at his very best over shorter but cannot be ruled out, while the consistent Dutch Decoy and Sonny Liston are others to consider.

Plenty in with a shout in this ultra-competitive handicap but Ed Walker's unexposed 3-y-o TERWADA arrives very much on the up so gets the vote under a 6 lb penalty for his convincing Newmarket success. Lots of these bring solid big-race handicap form to the table with Northern Express, The Gatekeeper and Sonny Liston all well in the mix. Last year's victor Blue For You completes the shortlist.

York brings out the best in BLUE FOR YOU and he can win this race for the second consecutive season. Point Lynas is second choice.

15:00 York Handicap (Class 2) 8f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:35 York Group 1 (Class 1) 12f - 10 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	10 1st (10) (9/1 +25%) Warm Heart		9 9/1(+25%)																															(10) Warm Heart 9/1, Galileo filly who had Bluestocking behind her for a second time when completing a hat-trick in the Ribblesdale at Royal Ascot (1½m, good to firm). Excuses in the Irish Oaks since and type to bounce back. Won well in the Ribblesdale; failed to fire when trying to come from last in Irish Oaks.
2	2 2nd (2) (5/1 -11%) Free Wind		5 5/1(-11%)																															(2) Free Wind 5/1, Very talented mare who enhanced her fine strike rate in the Group 2 Middleton Stakes here (10f) on return. Reportedly ran flat when fifth in Hardwicke at Royal Ascot next time and easy to forgive latest run on bottomless ground. Needs considering. Rather disappointing at Royal Ascot and Goodwood; player if back to her best.
3	9 3rd (9) (3.33/1 -21%) Savethelastdance		3.33 3.33/1(-21%)																															(9) Savethelastdance 3.33/1, Rapid improver who won the Cheshire Oaks by a remarkable 22 lengths. Beaten favourite in the Oaks at Epsom next time but showed plenty of guts to win the Irish Oaks at the Curragh (soft) since. Highly respected but probably wants rain. Irish Oaks win on soft; leading chance on form but, on good to firm, could be vulnerable.
4	7 4th (7) (4/1 +11%) Bluestocking		4 4/1(+11%)																															(7) Bluestocking 4/1, Overcame inexperience to make a winning debut in Salisbury novice last autumn. Shaped well when placed behind Warm Heart in Newbury listed race/the Ribblesdale at Royal Ascot (1½m, good to firm) before collared only close home by Savethelastdance in the Irish Oaks. Sure to be in the mix again. Ribblesdale 3rd and Irish Oaks 2nd; only four races and may well play another leading role.
5th	5 5th (5) (16/1 +20%) Sea Silk Road		16 16/1(+20%)																															(5) Sea Silk Road 16/1, Better than ever when landing the Pinnacle Stakes at Haydock before good neck second of 8 to Poptronic in Lancashire Oaks there (11.8f, good to firm) 47 days ago. Bit to find at this level, however. Second in the Lancashire Oaks, heading Poptronic briefly before losing out by a neck.
6th	6 6th (6) (18/1 -29%) Stay Alert		18 18/1(-29%)																															(6) Stay Alert 18/1, Very talented when things drop right and produced a career best when runner-up in the Pretty Polly at the Curragh (10f) in July, badly hampered by the winner in the final 1f. Big shout on that form but suspicion is this trip is beyond her optimum (free-going sort). Bit to prove back at 1m4f but one of the top contenders on form after her 1m2f Gr1 second.
7th	8 7th (8) (10/1 +38%) Novakai		10 10/1(+38%)																															(8) Novakai 10/1, Runner-up in Fillies' Mile at Newmarket at 2 yrs and fine second behind subsequent Oaks winner Soul Sister in Musidora here on her comeback run. Made no impression in Prix de Diane next time but took advantage of drop in class in listed race on July Course. More needed back at this level, however. Moving up to 1m4f suited for impressive Listed win but this field demands better still.
8th	3 8th (3) (25/1 -25%) Poptronic		25 25/1(-25%)																															(3) Poptronic 25/1, Big improver in first half of 2022, completing her hat-trick in 10f Newcastle Group 3 last summer. Took form to another level when edging out Sea Silk Road in Lancashire Oaks (12/1) at Haydock (11.8f, good to firm) 47 days ago but struggled in this last year. Needs better still but respected on the back of her career best to win the Lancashire Oaks.
9th	1 9th (1) (6/1 +14%) Al Husn		6 6/1(+14%)																															(1) Al Husn 6/1, Smart filly who made it 7 wins from her last 8 starts when landing a first Group 1 in Nassau Stakes at Goodwood 3 weeks ago, having the run of the race but responding well. Stamina to prove stepping up in trip but must be respected all the same. Group 1 Nassau win at Goodwood; unraced over this far but it's worth a go on pedigree.
10th	4 10th (4) (14/1 -17%) Rosscarbery		14 14/1(-17%)																															(4) Rosscarbery 14/1, Smart mare who holds her form well but hasn't proved good enough at the top level a few times now. Extremely reliable and has shown her form this term at 1m2f-1m6f; should not be far away.

LTO Selection:

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15:35 York Group 1 (Class 1) 12f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.

SAVETHELASTDANCE has created a big impression this season and this looks like a good opportunity to follow up her success in the Irish Oaks at the Curragh last time. Aidan O'Brien's filly picked up Bluestocking late in the day on that occasion and the daughter of Galileo is fancied to confirm that form. Al Husn appears to be on an upward trajectory and is the biggest danger after comfortably claiming the Nassau Stakes at Goodwood on her latest outing, while Free Wind should also be taken seriously.

It could be worth chancing Middleton winner FREE WIND, who has had excuses on her last 2 starts and arguably has her ideal conditions here. This looks a wide-open renewal, however, with the dangers headed by the Irish Oaks 1-2, with Bluestocking taken to reverse placings with Savethelastdance on this faster ground.

Highly competitive. Savethelastdance could be vulnerable on the gound, handing the initiative to BLUESTOCKING and Al Husn.

15:35 York Group 1 (Class 1) 12f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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16:10 York Listed (Class 1) 12f - 12 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
13	13 (13) (16/1 -14%) There's The Door		16 16/1(-14%)																															(13) There's The Door 16/1, Stepped up on her juvenile form when readily landing a Doncaster handicap (10.2f) in April and improved further when doubling her tally for the year in handicap at Goodwood (9.9f, heavy) just over 3 weeks ago. Back at listed level and she could well hit the frame. Similar form to so many after handicaps at 1m4f (good to soft) and 1m2f (heavy) last twice.
1	11 1st (11) (2.5/1 +50%) Sea Theme		2.5 2.5/1(+50%)																															(11) Sea Theme 2.5/1, Showed plenty of ability when a close third on debut and justified support second time up when scoring at Doncaster (11.9f, soft) 4 weeks ago, the longer trip suiting well. Open to further improvement, so she warrants plenty of respect having just her third start. Won well in a novice race at Doncaster (1m4f, soft) four weeks ago on second start.
2	4 2nd (4) (7/1 -17%) One Evening		7 7/1(-17%)																															(4) One Evening 7/1, Low-mileage filly who shaped well when runner-up in 1½m Pontefract listed race a couple of months ago, keeping on after meeting trouble. Improvement will be required to get heavily involved here but she could well find it and Ryan Moore is back on board. Last to second in a ten-runner Listed race over 1m4f at Pontefract; could still do better.
3	5 3rd (5) (16/1 +0%) Tregony		16 16/1(+0%)																															(5) Tregony 16/1, Took her record on all-weather to 4 wins from 6 starts when successful at Newcastle (10.2f) on her final outing last season and hit the frame for the second time in just 3 starts this year when third at Windsor (10f, good to firm) last week. Likely to come up short at this level. Keeping on well in 1m2f handicaps but something to prove on return to 1m4f, not least form.
4	7 4th (7) (28/1 -40%) Climate Friendly		28 28/1(-40%)																															(7) Climate Friendly 28/1, Off the mark dropped back to novice company on the Rowley Course in May and ran at least as well as ever sporting first-time cheekpieces (travelled well) when third in listed race on the July Course (12f, soft) 19 days ago. Will need to take another step forward here. 1m4f when 7th of 17 in Ribblesdale at Royal Ascot and third in Listed race at Newmarket.
5th	8 5th (8) (8/1 +50%) Lmay		8 8/1(+50%)																															(8) Lmay 8/1, Off the mark at the third attempt in a Newbury maiden in June and showed improved form despite doing plenty wrong (pulled hard/hung left) when mid-field in Ribblesdale Stakes at Royal Ascot (12f, good to firm). Unable to do better when hooded last time and looks set for another struggle. Still a bit free in never-nearer fourth when hooded in 1m4f Listed race at Newmarket.
6th	1 6th (1) (11/1 -57%) Moracana		11 11/1(-57%)																															(1) Moracana 11/1, Useful mare who was better than ever when scoring at Cork in April and has continued to progress, closing all way to line when fifth in Duke of Edinburgh Stakes at Royal Ascot (12f, good to firm) when last seen. Another step forward needed, but that is possible. It is needed but she looks capable of better judged on fifth in handicap at Royal Ascot.
7th	10 7th (10) (7/1 +13%) Scenic		7 7/1(+13%)																															(10) Scenic 7/1, Fairly useful filly who has upped her game in 3 starts this term, staying on gradually when 3 lengths third to Midnight Mile in listed race at this course (10.2f, good) last month. Step up in trip certainly worth a shot and the booking of Murphy also a positive. Improved when never-nearer third of ten in 1m2f Listed race here (good to soft) last time.
8th	9 8th (9) (9/1 +25%) Market Value		9 9/1(+25%)																															(9) Market Value 9/1, Landed 9-runner maiden at Ripon (1¼m, good to firm) in May and no disgrace in finding the thriving Sparks Fly (won again next time) too strong on her Chester handicap debut 6 weeks later. The new trip asks a different question but it's unlikely she's reached her limit after only 4 starts. Plentiful stamina on dam's side; in Listed race despite having the lowest handicap mark.
9th	12 9th (12) (7/1 +30%) Spring Fever		7 7/1(+30%)																															(12) Spring Fever 7/1, Looked a filly firmly on the up when easily winning a Newmarket handicap at the beginning of July. May have had her stamina stretched by a slightly longer trip when fading into sixth at Newbury (13f) next time and ran respectably up in grade since. Dettori up for the first time. Fifth of ten in Listed race at Newmarket (1m4f, soft) latest puts her on the premises.
10th	2 10th (2) (12/1 +0%) Makinmedoit		12 12/1(+0%)																															(2) Makinmedoit 12/1, Won 3 times last year and ran well when a close third at Lingfield in January. Ran a lot better than on return without managing to match her borderline smart all-weather form when sixth in listed event at Salisbury recently and she could well get involved. Latest start encourages another crack at this sort of trip; has some of the best form.
11th	6 11th (6) (22/1 +0%) Bright Diamond		22 22/1(+0%)																															(6) Bright Diamond 22/1, Useful at 2 (third in Prestige at Goodwood and Fillies' Mile at Newmarket). However, she was outclassed in the Oaks second run back this term and was firmly put in her place in Hoppings Fillies' Stakes at Newcastle (10.2f) just under 8 weeks ago. Best watched. 12l fifth in the Oaks at Epsom (1m4f); last when trying cheekpieces in 1m2f AW Group 3.

LTO Selection:

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16:10 York Listed (Class 1) 12f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.

SCENIC outran her huge odds to get up for third over an extended 1m2f at this track on her latest outing and she shaped as if the step up in distance would suit. The daughter of Lope De Vega has Oisin Murphy booked and she should not be underestimated. The lightly-raced Sea Theme could have any amount of improvement to come after her maiden victory at Doncaster, while Climate Friendly looks more than capable at this level and should also be considered.

An open if slightly substandard renewal on paper which can go the way of MODAARA, who was a wide-margin winner on return at Kempton and, having disappointed in a Group 3 at Haydock last time, Roger Varian's 4-y-o can get back on the up now dropped in class. Makinmedoit took a step forward without managing to match her borderline smart all-weather form at Salisbury last week, so she heads up the dangers, with Sea Theme and One Evening rounding off the shortlist.

Very open. SCENIC is a 3yo to take seriously, ready for the step up in trip judged on her third in a 1m2f York Listed contest last time.

16:10 York Listed (Class 1) 12f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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16:45 York Handicap (Class 2) 7f - 20 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	4 1st (4) (7/1 +42%) Gushing Gold		7 7/1(+42%)																															(4) Gushing Gold 7/1, Blue Point filly. Yet to get her head in front but has made the frame on 3 of her 4 starts to date, running up to best when third in novice company at Kempton (7f) 8 days ago. Remains early days, including at 7f, but this mark demands some progress. Placed 3 times in novice/maiden events but opening mark demands improvement.
2	15 2nd (15) (20/1 -67%) Lexington Belle		20 20/1(-67%)																															(15) Lexington Belle 20/1, Improved model switched to nurseries/fitted with cheekpieces, supplementing her ready Thirsk success when edging ahead late on at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 6 days ago. This looks a whole lot more demanding upped markedly in grade for hat-trick bid. Winner of two nurseries already this month but effectively 14lb higher in hat-trick bid.
3	3 3rd (3) (25/1 -39%) Inishfallen		25 25/1(-39%)																															(3) Inishfallen 25/1, Progressive son of Exceed And Excel who built on debut to land Kempton maiden (6f) in June. Stepped up a little more when fifth in 9-runner listed event at Newbury (6f) since and switch to nurseries rates a likely plus now tackling 7f for the first time. Hard to argue he looks well treated but has advanced RPR with each start; first run at 7f.
4	18 4th (18) (40/1 -43%) Dark Encounter		40 40/1(-43%)																															(18) Dark Encounter 40/1, Promising effort when second of 13 in novice event at Redcar (6f, good to firm) on debut in June and having pulled too hard at Ayr next time, he likely found the test too much at Sandown (7f, heavy) 3 weeks ago. Could bounce back switched to nurseries back on a quicker surface. Second on debut but comfortably held twice since ahead of this switch to handicaps.
5th	1 5th (1) (12/1 +40%) Soldier's Gold		12 12/1(+40%)																															(1) Soldier's Gold 12/1, Soldier's Call colt with a progressive profile, building on his Carlisle novice victory with an authoritative nursery debut success at Ascot (6f) last month. Seemed to find Group 2 company too hot at Goodwood latest but this more suitable. Not up to Goodwood Group 2 latest but ready winner of Ascot nursery prior to that.
6th	2 6th (2) (18/1 +28%) Balon D'Or		18 18/1(+28%)																															(2) Balon D'Or 18/1, Bred to be sharp and certainly knew what was required when landing novice at Musselburgh (5f, soft) on debut in April. Matched rather than built on that in handful of starts since, midfield in 13-runner Goodwood nursery (7f) 3 weeks ago. Current mark demands more. Looks quite exposed and well-held seventh on 7f Goodwood nursery debut latest.
7th	16 7th (16) (22/1 -83%) Straight A		22 22/1(-83%)																															(16) Straight A 22/1, Noted finishing to good effect when midfield on debut at Leicester (6f) and he duly built on that when landing 6-runner Yarmouth novice (6f) in June, leading final 1f and well on top finish. Had soft ground as a plausible excuse at Doncaster since. Handicap debut. Emphatic win on second start; possibly unsuited by soft ground since; retains potential.
8th	5 8th (5) (3/1 +45%) Aragon Castle		3 3/1(+45%)																															(5) Aragon Castle 3/1, Sales price increased to 120,000 gns as a yearling and left debut run well behind with tongue strap applied when winning 7f Epsom maiden by 3 lengths from a subsequent winner. Similar form when second at Chester (7f) since and likely there's more to come now handicapping. Good shout. Going the right way and respected for leading stable that won this in 2021.
9th	9 9th (9) (28/1 -27%) Bigbertiebassett		28 28/1(-27%)																															(9) Bigbertiebassett 28/1, Proved easy to back but produced a solid first effort when second at Newbury (6.5f) and built on that to score at Doncaster (7f) late in June. Never featured at listed level/faced with softer ground at Ascot (7f) last month and more needed now entering handicaps. 7f novice win; well held but travelled well long way in Listed latest; retains potential.
10th	19 10th (19) (20/1 -67%) Keep Warm		20 20/1(-67%)																															(19) Keep Warm 20/1, Lightning Spear gelding who displayed promise in novice/maiden company and stepped up further switched to handicaps/equipped with a visor, again strong at the finish when beating a pair of next-time-out winners at Pontefract (6f) 5 weeks ago. Unexposed at 7f and not underestimated. Two 6f Pontefract wins in July; this is a rise in grade but should stay 7f; not discounted.
11th	6 11th (6) (7.5/1 -25%) Expert Choice		7.5 7.5/1(-25%)																															(6) Expert Choice 7.5/1, Expert Eye colt. Runner-up first 2 starts and found some progress tackling soft ground when registering smooth success in Beverley minor event (7.4f) at the start of the month. Goes handicapping in a hot event but likely he can do better again for his good yard. Promising, easily winning novice at Beverley latest; more to come but draw not ideal.
12th	17 12th (17) (11/1 -10%) Blue Collar		11 11/1(-10%)																															(17) Blue Collar 11/1, Ran best race to date without looking suited by the drop back in trip when fourth in a Newmarket maiden (6f) 13 days ago, keeping on without getting on terms. Looks sure to be suited by return to 7f now handicapping. Caught the eye dropped to 6f latest and open to progress back at 7f for nursery debut.
13th	12 13th (12) (22/1 +0%) Matloob		22 22/1(+0%)																															(12) Matloob 22/1, Left opening exploits in his wake when coming from off the pace to land 11-runner Wolverhampton novice (5.1f) in June. Easy to back and shade disappointing on nursery debut at Windsor (5.1f) since but he remains with potential up in trip. AW novice win but below that level in three turf runs; something to prove up 2f in trip.
14th	11 14th (11) (66/1 -200%) Misemerald		66 66/1(-200%)																															(11) Misemerald 66/1, Zoffany filly who is yet to finish out of the frame, bagging maiden/novice events at Beverley/Ayr before a sound second under a penalty at latter-named venue 17 days ago. However, opening mark demands further progress in this deep nursery. Progressive, winning twice; outside stall could be tricky to overcome, though.
15th	13 15th (13) (14/1 -40%) Gamraan		14 14/1(-40%)																															(13) Gamraan 14/1, Lightly-raced maiden who clearly benefited from the step back up in trip and posted best effort yet when second of 13 in nursery at Goodwood (7f, soft) 3 weeks ago, no match for the winner. Yard continue in form and good showing not ruled out from 2 lb higher mark. Improved second in 7f nursery at Glorious Goodwood; respected with the yard going well.
16th	8 16th (8) (22/1 +12%) Barg		22 22/1(+12%)																															(8) Barg 22/1, Bult on Thirsk debut effort when running out a facile winner in novice company at Ripon (6f) in June. Struggled in stronger company since though, well held in Ascot listed event (7f) 26 days ago. Switch to handicaps a plus at least and he should be suited by this sort of trip. Feasibly treated if cheekpieces help him recapture form of Ripon win in June.
17th	7 17th (7) (22/1 -10%) Rednblue Sovereign		22 22/1(-10%)																															(7) Rednblue Sovereign 22/1, Consistent sort who put experience to good use when off the mark at fifth attempt in novice company at Epsom (7f) 21 days ago, closed down final 100 yds and just holding on. Opening mark demands improvement if he's to follow up, though. Fifth start when making all at Epsom (7f) latest; runner-up won on Saturday; drawn wide.
18th	10 18th (10) (6.5/1 +35%) Lincoln Legacy		6.5 6.5/1(+35%)																															(10) Lincoln Legacy 6.5/1, Footstepsinthesand filly who was ridden more patiently and gained second win from 4 starts in a Newmarket nursery (7f) 5 days ago, quickening well out wide. No surprise to see her go well again under a penalty. Back on the up with 7f Newmarket nursery win; should be competitive under penalty.
19th	14 19th (14) (16/1 -60%) Ajwadi		16 16/1(-60%)																															(14) Ajwadi 16/1, Fair form when midfield first 2 starts and much improved when off the mark in a Pontefract maiden (6f) 15 days ago, close up on rail and ultimately pulling clear with a newcomer. 1 of 3 for in-form local yard and needs respecting. Progressive, winning 6f maiden latest; one of three solid contenders for in-form stable.
20th	20 20th (20) (80/1 -21%) Nelson Rose		80 80/1(-21%)																															(20) Nelson Rose 80/1, Ran best race to date switched to turf when second of 7 in an Epsom maiden (7f) in July but seemingly had her limitations exposed in couple of starts subsequently and others make much more appeal now she goes handicapping from out of the weights. Second in 7f maiden in July but below par twice since and outsider on nursery debut.

LTO Selection:

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16:45 York Handicap (Class 2) 7f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.

Many are open to improvement, not least Barg, who drops in class and can progress on his nursery debut. Expert Choice is also high on the shortlist after his comfortable success at Beverley 23 days ago and, along with his stablemate Gamraan, he is noted as a progressive type. However, ARAGON CASTLE won with plenty in hand at Epsom on his penultimate start and, having performed well in defeat at Chester last time, his high cruising speed will be a crucial factor.

Impressive when defeating a subsequent winner at Epsom, ARAGON CASTLE lost little caste in defeat faced with much softer ground when runner-up at Chester 18 days ago and, back on a faster surface, he makes plenty of appeal having his first start in handicaps. Richard Fahey launches a three-pronged attack with Expert Choice fancied most. The hat-trick seeking Keep Warm looks ready for the step up to 7f and along with Blue Collar and Lincoln Legacy, completes the shortlist.

The history of this race suggests it may pay to narrow this down to those drawn ten and lower, the vote going to Goodwood second GAMRAAN

16:45 York Handicap (Class 2) 7f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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17:20 York Handicap (Class 2) 7f - 18 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	18 1st (18) (5/1 +38%) Nigiri		5 5/1(+38%)																															(18) Nigiri 5/1, Progressive filly who arrives on the hat-trick having scored with a good deal to spare at Haydock last time. Still looks comfortably ahead of the assessor, so worth chancing. Looked better the further she went in handicaps at 7f and 1m; first run on good to firm.
2	19 2nd (19) (28/1 -75%) Coco Jamboo		28 28/1(-75%)																															(19) Coco Jamboo 28/1, Fairly useful sort who has been holding her form well this year, nearest at the finish when third at Haydock last time. Will need everything to drop right, however. Won 7f Newmarket handicap as 2yo; pulls hard; others likely to finish better back at 7f.
3	14 3rd (14) (8/1 +33%) Naomi Lapaglia		8 8/1(+33%)																															(14) Naomi Lapaglia 8/1, Impressive winning debut in novice at Kempton in November. Firmly back on track to score in a handicap at Newmarket last time and merits respect again. Winning handicap debut over 7f; up 3lb and has potential for more.
4	17 4th (17) (20/1 -25%) Peony		20 20/1(-25%)																															(17) Peony 20/1, Backed up her Wolverhampton maiden success with victory in 6-runner handicap at Haydock in June. Lesser showing at Newmarket since but can't be completely dismissed. Progressive at 6f until down the field in July; needs to prove stamina for truly run 7f.
5th	3 5th (3) (33/1 -65%) Nizaaka		33 33/1(-65%)																															(3) Nizaaka 33/1, Back to best when second to Ropey Guest at Goodwood (7f, good to firm) in May but not in anything like the same form when last of 6 at Newmarket since. Probably best to look elsewhere. Hat-trick over 7f at Newmarket in 2022; not yet recovered poise this year; off since June.
6th	9 6th (9) (11/1 +21%) Candle Of Hope		11 11/1(+21%)																															(9) Candle Of Hope 11/1, Fairly useful filly who shaped very well when fifth in Sandringham at Royal Ascot in June, faring best of those ridden prominently. Not disgraced at Goodwood since and isn't one to be writing off. Creditable 5th of 29 in the Sandringham (1m); return to 7f on fast ground can suit.
7th	13 7th (13) (28/1 -75%) Rock Melody		28 28/1(-75%)																															(13) Rock Melody 28/1, Has won twice over 5f at Musselburgh this summer and has remained in form since, not seen to best effect when only sixth at Ascot last time. Can't be ruled out. Suited by sprint trips and a weak finisher more often than not at 7f.
8th	12 8th (12) (18/1 -13%) International Girl		18 18/1(-13%)																															(12) International Girl 18/1, Dual winner last season (including over C&D) who has acquitted herself well this term, another creditable showing when second at Pontefract last time. Should give another good account. Respectable 6f runs in defeat this year; not especially eye-catching for return to 7f.
9th	4 9th (4) (5/1 +9%) Sophia's Starlight		5 5/1(+9%)																															(4) Sophia's Starlight 5/1, Progressive sort who added to a highly productive campaign when landing a competitive event at Ripon 5 days ago. Likeable type who could do better still, so very much one to consider. Sealed reputation by winning big 6f Ripon handicap; more to do back at 7f under penalty.
10th	7 10th (7) (4/1 +0%) Unequal Love		4 4/1(+0%)																															(7) Unequal Love 4/1, Steadily progressive since her debut, completing hat-trick with something to spare in a 3-runner contest at Haydock last time. Run of this race should suit her, so there's probably even more to come. Making great strides; looked ahead of her mark when winning 7f handicap debut; up 5lb.
11th	11 11th (11) (33/1 -32%) Cuban Breeze		33 33/1(-32%)																															(11) Cuban Breeze 33/1, Hasn't won for over a year and hasn't been threatening to snap that run lately, acknowledging her latest effort at Windsor was a creditable one. Visor goes back on. Prolific winning sprinter; winless in less competitive races this year; first 7f run.
12th	16 12th (16) (28/1 -12%) Mottisfont		28 28/1(-12%)																															(16) Mottisfont 28/1, Running creditably prior to a blip when ninth at Goodwood last time. Others look better treated. Not found her level in handicaps at 1m and 6f but this trip can suit better.
13th	1 13th (1) (10/1 -25%) Farhh To Shy		10 10/1(-25%)																															(1) Farhh To Shy 10/1, Confirmed previous encouragement to capitalise on a reduced mark with something to spare at Yarmouth last time. Remains on a fair mark and should go well again. Suited by return to 7f when clear winner latest; tough to give weight to unexposed rivals.
14th	20 14th (20) (66/1 -164%) Misty Blues		66 66/1(-164%)																															(20) Misty Blues 66/1, Fairly useful performer as a juvenile, ending campaign with solid fifth in 2-Y-O Trophy at Redcar. However, little encouragement so far this term. Useful handicap form as 2yo but well below best this year; now goes in cheekpieces.
15th	15 15th (15) (33/1 -32%) Dubai Jemila		33 33/1(-32%)																															(15) Dubai Jemila 33/1, Expensive breeze-up acquisition who opened her account at the second time of asking in a novice at Ayr (7.2f) a year ago. Disappointing since and looks up against it once more. Won 7f novice as 2yo; hard to assess on this year's form but return to 7f should suit.
16th	5 16th (5) (18/1 +10%) Espressoo		18 18/1(+10%)																															(5) Espressoo 18/1, Matched pick of her 3-y-o form to make winning reappearance at Ayr (7.2f) in May and produced her best effort yet when second in Pontefract listed next time. Went off too hard at Goodwood, so not a forlorn hope. Often leads; three 7f wins, latest in May when 5lb lower; no easy task today.
17th	8 17th (8) (8.5/1 -6%) Royal Dress		8.5 8.5/1(-6%)																															(8) Royal Dress 8.5/1, Largely campaigned as a sprinter but she found some improvement for the step up to 7f when running out a comfortable winner at Haydock in July. Backed it up with a solid showing at Goodwood and may well be on the premises once more. Improved at 7f (heavy) and 1m (good to soft); up 3lb for latest 4th; still has scope.
18th	10 18th (10) (18/1 -29%) Eximious		18 18/1(-29%)																															(10) Eximious 18/1, Salisbury maiden winner last September. In good form this term and could be marked up for her third at Wolverhampton a week ago. Likely to be thereabouts. 7f on fast ground suited on reappearance; needs extra to keep pace with improvers.

LTO Selection:

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17:20 York Handicap (Class 2) 7f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.

UNEQUAL LOVE has done very little wrong since making her debut in June, and a 5lb rise for her most recent success at Haydock could prove lenient as she looks to land the four-timer. Turned out again quickly under a 6lb penalty after a career-best effort to land the Great St. Wilfrid at Ripon on Saturday, Sophia's Starlight looks to be her main danger ahead of taking Newmarket winner Naomi Lapaglia. Completing the shortlist are the likes of Back See Daa, Eximious and Nigiri.

NIGIRI has had plenty in hand when landing both her handicap starts and she's fancied to complete the hat-trick at the possible expense of Unequal Love, another 3-y-o who arrives on a roll. The likeable Sophia's Starlight is also high on the shortlist.

Some of these fillies are far from exposed, not least UNEQUAL LOVE who has been making great strides of late and can do better yet.

17:20 York Handicap (Class 2) 7f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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Racecard Key

Ths is the racecard key.

Icon	Meaning
	TomForm top stats, gold rated
	TomForm top stats silver rated
	Ran similar race before
S	TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out
T	Top Time speeed rated
	Top Racingpost rated
	At the races watchout for
	At the races top pick
	Top rated for thet statistic

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How to use Tomform

Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.

This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.

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About U.K Horse Racing

Horse racing is a popular and historic sport in the UK, with a tradition dating back centuries. It is a multi-billion pound industry that attracts millions of spectators each year and generates significant economic activity.

There are two main types of horse racing in the UK: flat racing and jump racing. Flat racing is run on a level course and is typically shorter in distance, while jump racing involves horses jumping over obstacles and is generally longer in distance. Both types of racing are popular with spectators and bettors, and they take place at various racetracks throughout the country.

The most famous horse racing event in the UK is the Grand National, which is held annually at Aintree Racecourse in Liverpool. It is a jump racing event that is known for its challenging course and has become a national institution in the UK. Other notable horse racing events in the UK include the Derby, held at Epsom Downs Racecourse in Surrey, and the Royal Ascot, held at Ascot Racecourse in Berkshire.

Horse racing in the UK is regulated by the British Horseracing Authority (BHA), which sets rules and standards for the industry. It is responsible for the welfare of racehorses and the safety of jockeys and trainers, as well as ensuring fair and transparent racing practices.

In addition to its economic and cultural importance, horse racing in the UK also plays a significant role in the breeding and training of thoroughbred horses. Many of the world's top thoroughbreds are bred and trained in the UK, and the industry plays a vital role in the preservation and promotion of the breed.

Overall, horse racing is an integral part of British culture and a major contributor to the country's economy. It is a thrilling and exciting sport that continues to attract a loyal following and generate significant interest from spectators and bettors around the world.

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