1 Tuesday 5th March 2024 UK Horse Racing Speed Ratings & Tips

Tomform Tuesday 5th March 2024

There were 27 Races on Tuesday 5th March 2024 across 4 meetings. There was 6 races at Lingfield, 7 races at Thurles, 6 races at Newcastle, 8 races at Southwell, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.

Races & Results Tuesday 5th March 2024

The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.

14:02 Lingfield Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 20f - 4 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	1 1st (1) (Evens +67%) Ito Ditto	0 Evens(+67%)	(1) Ito Ditto Evens, Has returned much improved this term, winning 2m handicap/novice events in soft ground at Chepstow. Worked up beforehand and never a factor in the Betfair Hurdle latest and retains potential back up in trip. Front-runner who was having a good season prior to predictably struggling in the Betfair.
2	4 2nd (4) (5/1 -25%) Bataillon	5 5/1(-25%)	(4) Bataillon 5/1, Showed fair form when runner-up in a pair of minor events at Toulouse last spring but little impact in 2 runs over here for new connections, including in Wetherby handicap latest. Down 4 lb. Probably has a bigger effort in him. Quiet in two British runs but there was promise in France and it's still early days.
3	2 3rd (2) (9/1 -38%) In From The Cold	9 9/1(-38%)	(2) In From The Cold 9/1, Fairly useful Flat/hurdles winner for Gordon Elliott. Well held on third run for this yard at Chepstow (2m, heavy) 10 days ago but previous efforts were more encouraging and he's on a tempting mark. It was all very laboured when tailed off at Chepstow ten days ago (2m, heavy).
3	3 \|U\| (3) (2/1 -120%) Wolfspear	2 2/1(-120%)	(3) Wolfspear 2/1, Has improved back from a long absence, scoring again in Uttoxeter handicap over this trip last month, showing plenty of resolution in the testing conditions to get on top late in the day. Good chance again up 4 lb. Ground also heavy when winning over 2m4f at Uttoxeter and has gone up just 4lb.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

WOLFSPEAR continues to go from strength and strength and a 4lb rise for his most recent success at Uttoxeter could prove lenient as he looks to make it three wins in his four starts since returning from the sidelines. Heavy ground will hold no fears and he is readily preferred to Ito Ditto, who drops in grade having pulled up in the Betfair Hurdle at Newbury. Bataillon has yet to put it together since moving to the UK, but cannot be ruled out.

WOLFSPEAR proved all heart under Oliver Boyden as he resumed winning ways on heavy ground at Uttoxeter last month. They can go in again if in the same form up 4 lb. Ito Ditto with his sights lowered might be the danger.

Wolfspear is solid but BATAILLON will surely raise his game at some point in Britain and he's worth chancing.

14:02 Lingfield Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 20f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:20 Newcastle Handicap Chase (Class 3) 23f - 3 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	3 1st (3) (10/11 -25%) Twoshotsoftequila	0.909091 10/11(-25%)	(3) Twoshotsoftequila 10/11, Back to winning ways when taking 5-runner handicap chase at Catterick (25.2f, soft) 7 days ago. 7 lb penalty to carry now but another bold bid is on the cards. Won comfortably by 9l when dropped in grade at Catterick last week; has 7lb penalty here.
2	2 2nd (2) (9/4 -29%) Your Own Story	2.25 9/4(-29%)	(2) Your Own Story 9/4, Several creditable efforts before opening account over fences at Wetherby (30.9f) this time last year. Only narrowly failed at Haydock next time and acquitted himself well in Scottish Grand National on final start. Fairly treated on belated return from yard going well. Thorough stayer; made good progress last season but has fitness to prove after absence.
3	1 3rd (1) (7/2 +46%) Equus Dancer	3.5 7/2(+46%)	(1) Equus Dancer 7/2, Enhanced his impressive strike rate by scoring over hurdles and fences last term. Below par in Topham when last seen in April but can go well fresh and must be respected. Off since April but won twice during light campaign last season and has good record fresh.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content,

Twoshotsoftequila is respected under a penalty for winning over 3m1f at Catterick last week and can go well if he doesn't get bogged down in the mud. However, both Your Own Story and EQUUS DANCER have gone well fresh in the past and rate the pair to focus on. Of the two, the last-named is arguably the more effective over this trip and the wily 10-year-old just edges the vote in what is likely to be a tactical affair.

All 3 hold claims here but TWOSHOTSOFTEQUILA arrives on the back of a comfortable victory at Catterick and is preferred. Your Own Story gets the nod for the forecast.

This could an excellent opportunity for last week's comfortable Catterick winner TWOSHOTSOFTEQUILA to complete a quickfire double.

14:20 Newcastle Handicap Chase (Class 3) 23f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:32 Lingfield Handicap Chase (Class 4) 24f - 3 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	4 1st (4) (6/4 +45%) Fortunefavorsdbold	1.5 6/4(+45%)	(4) Fortunefavorsdbold 6/4, Fair winning hurdler in Ireland and left previous form for this yard well behind when landing a handicap chase in first-time cheekpieces at Huntingdon (23.6f, heavy) 26 days ago. Headgear worn then is retained here and big shout up 5 lb. Narrow Huntingdon winner when back up in trip and tried in cheekpieces; raised 5lb.
2	1 2nd (1) (11/8 +61%) Eureka Creek	1.375 11/8(+61%)	(1) Eureka Creek 11/8, Winning hurdler/chaser who gave best only late on when third in mares' handicap chase at Cheltenham (20.6f) in December. Not at best despite finishing runner-up at Catterick (25.2f) last month but not discounted in any case. Ran well in a deeper field at Cheltenham before possibly stretched by 3m1f latest.
3	3 3rd (3) (10/3 +17%) Eleanor Bob	3.333333 10/3(+17%)	(3) Eleanor Bob 10/3, Much improved when bagging pair of small field mares' handicap chases early in 2022. However, she's not kicked on from her reappearance effort at Haydock in November, in 2 subsequent outings. Cheekpieces reached for now. Poor the last twice but yard is back among the winners and cheekpieces are tried.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content,

An impressive winner at Taunton last week, JUNIPER is turned out again quickly under a 7lb penalty and the step up in trip can eke out further improvement as she looks to follow up on just her third start for Anthony Honeyball. That may be at the main expense of Huntingdon scorer Fortunefavorsdbold, although Eureka Creek has dropped to a mark 1lb lower than her last success so has to be taken seriously.

FORTUNEFAVORSDBOLD crucially jumped better than on her sole previous start over fences when capitalising on a much-reduced mark with a bit to spare at Huntingdon 26 days ago and a 5 lb rise in the weights shouldn't prevent her making another bold bid on that evidence. Fellow impressive last-time-out winner Juniper is also expected to play a lead role.

If the cheekpieces work for a second time then FORTUNEFAVORSDBOLD might well follow up her Huntingdon victory.

14:32 Lingfield Handicap Chase (Class 4) 24f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:40 Thurles Maiden Chase 21f - 12 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
1	6 1st (6) (11/10 +56%) Folly Master	1.1 11/10(+56%)	(6) Folly Master 11/10, Fair winner at 23f over hurdles. Career best when winning 12-runner handicap hurdle at Punchestown (23f, heavy, 16/5) 36 days ago. Makes chase debut (winning pointer). One to keep on right side. Much improved for stamina test to win over hurdles at Punchestown; respected now chasing.
2	2 2nd (2) (7/2 +42%) Brucejack	3.5 7/2(+42%)	(2) Brucejack 7/2, Fair chaser. 7/1, fourth of 6 in novice chase at Punchestown (22.7f, soft) 51 days ago. Punchestown fourth holds an experience advantage on most of these so has to be respected.
3	3 3rd (3) (14/1 -40%) Donacheady Gale	14 14/1(-40%)	(3) Donacheady Gale 14/1, Lightly-raced winner under NH rules. Fairly useful winner at 18f over hurdles. Last of 4 in minor event hurdle at Galway (20.7f, heavy, 10/3). Off over 2 years. Makes chase debut. Evidently fragile 10yo but has ability; market best guide on chase bow after long absence.
4	1 4th (1) (9/2 +36%) Bocelli's Voice	4.5 9/2(+36%)	(1) Bocelli's Voice 9/2, Fair hurdler. Creditable sixth of 10 in handicap hurdle (5/1) at Punchestown (24.9f, heavy) 13 days ago. Makes chase debut. Cheekpieces on for 1st time. Heavy ground maiden hurdle winner but held in handicaps; cheekpieces on for chase debut.
5th	10 5th (10) (22/1 -10%) Sea Road Fill	22 22/1(-10%)	(10) Sea Road Fill 22/1, Fair hurdler. Bit below form fifth of 10 in handicap hurdle (7/1) at Clonmel (20f, heavy) 54 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Makes chase debut. First run for yard after leaving E. J. O'Grady. Fair bit to find with some of these on hurdles ratings now switched to fences for new yard.
6th	11 6th (11) (33/1 +67%) Walk In The Dark	33 33/1(+67%)	(11) Walk In The Dark 33/1, Modest hurdler. 18/1 and tongue strap on for 1st time, sixteenth of 17 in handicap hurdle at Cork (19f, good to soft) 142 days ago. Makes chase debut. Failed to make impact hurdles off marks in the 90's; best watched on chasing debut.
7th	7 7th (7) (12/1 -50%) Gaspard Du Seuil	12 12/1(-50%)	(7) Gaspard Du Seuil 12/1, Fairly useful hurdler. Below form sixth of 13 in handicap hurdle at Navan (22f, good, 13/8) over 2 years ago. Makes chase debut. First run for yard after leaving Henry De Bromhead. Second in point last month. Rated 116 at his best over hurdles for Henry de Bromhead so not one to dismiss now chasing.
8th	4 8th (4) (22/1 -144%) Duffys Getaway	22 22/1(-144%)	(4) Duffys Getaway 22/1, Fair hurdler. Latest win in hurdle at Punchestown in December. Eighth of 10 in handicap hurdle at Punchestown (24.9f, heavy, 7/1) 13 days ago. Makes chase debut. Progressive staying handicap hurdler; respected on chasing debut but would prefer further.
9th	13 9th (13) (12/1 +25%) Dragon's Pass	12 12/1(+25%)	(13) Dragon's Pass 12/1, Fair hurdler. Latest win in hurdle here in November. Respectable seventh of 15 in handicap hurdle (20/1) at Navan (22f, heavy) 23 days ago. Makes chase debut. 2m4f handicap hurdle winner here in November; needs to improve for switch to fences.
9	9 \|U\| (9) (100/1 +0%) Perfect Pupil	100 100/1(+0%)	(9) Perfect Pupil 100/1, Poor hurdler. 28/1, below form ninth of 22 in handicap hurdle at Punchestown (16.7f, heavy) 65 days ago. Makes chase debut. Up in trip. Limited maiden hurdler (rated 85) and hard to see him making an immediate impact chasing.
10th	12 10th (12) (125/1 -25%) Fort Randall	125 125/1(-25%)	(12) Fort Randall 125/1, Last of 7 in novice chase (125/1) at Clonmel (20f, heavy) on debut over fences 19 days ago. Tailed off in maiden hurdles and can only be watched now switched to fences.
5	5 \|PU\| (5) (40/1 -233%) Duncarrig	40 40/1(-233%)	(5) Duncarrig 40/1, Fair hurdler. Winner in hurdle at Navan in September. 17/2, fourteenth of 15 in handicap hurdle at this course (16.2f, soft) 103 days ago. Makes chase debut. Back up in trip. Winning hurdles form on better ground so definite ground concerns here for chase debut.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

This looks a nice race for FOLLY MASTER on his chase debut. The Famous Name gelding came good in fine style when stepped up in trip over timber at Punchestown in late January and went up to a mark of 109 as a result. That means he just scrapes into this race for horses with that rating or less. As a former point-to-pointer this was always likely to be his game. Gaspard Du Seuil comes here having been placed in an 'Open' point-to-point last month and could be a danger. The Fuisse gelding also has an official mark of 109 over hurdles. Bocelli's Voice looks like another for the shortlist. He also has point-to-point experience and won a Clonmel maiden hurdle last March.

FOLLY MASTER landed a gamble in good style at Punchestown 5 weeks ago and this winning pointer can follow up on chase bow. Gaspard du Seuil and Donacheady Gale have the best form over hurdles but they need to prove they retain their ability.

Brucejack has chasing experience but preference is for recent hurdles winner FOLLY MASTER (nap) on chase debut

14:40 Thurles Maiden Chase 21f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:50 Newcastle Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 20f - 5 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	2 1st (2) (1/3 +47%) Esprit Du Potier	0.333333 1/3(+47%)	(2) Esprit Du Potier 1/3, Dual bumper winner who produced a dominant display when opening his hurdle account at the third attempt in a 7-runner maiden at Ayr (20.4f) in January. Pulled up in Grade 2 River Don last time but it shouldn't be assumed we've seen the best of him as a hurdler just yet. Ready winner of Ayr maiden in January; back in calmer waters after Grade 2 defeat.
2	5 2nd (5) (6/1 -50%) Raceview Road	6 6/1(-50%)	(5) Raceview Road 6/1, Multiple point winner who shaped like a stayer when third of 8 on his only outing in bumpers (for Gerald Stephen Quinn) at Fairyhouse in November. Longer trip an obvious plus now switched to hurdling. 3-5 in Irish points and placed in a good bumper; makes stable/hurdle debut here.
3	1 3rd (1) (9/2 -80%) Chosen Templar	4.5 9/2(-80%)	(1) Chosen Templar 9/2, Bumper winner for P. O'Rourke who made a successful hurdling/stable debut in 6-runner novice hurdle (11/4) at Musselburgh (23.8f, soft) in January. Out of depth in Grade 2 River Don last time but should be able to build on his earlier form now returned to a more suitable grade. Irish bumper winner; won Musselburgh maiden on stable/hurdle debut; out of depth last time.
4	4 4th (4) (66/1 +34%) Court Case	66 66/1(+34%)	(4) Court Case 66/1, Minor promise in bumpers but has pulled up both starts over hurdles. Cheekpieces on for 1st time. Pulled up on first two hurdling attempts; needs cheekpieces to make massive difference.
3	3 \|PU\| (3) (125/1 -25%) Beechmount	125 125/1(-25%)	(3) Beechmount 125/1, Pulled up sole start in points and went with no encouragement when well held on his Rules debut at Kelso in September. Struggled to get competitive when 150-1 for 2m5f Kelso novice in September.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content,

Chosen Templar and ESPRIT DU POTIER both struggled and were eventually pulled up in a Grade 2 contest at Doncaster in January, but this is much easier and the latter makes most appeal. A ready winner on heavy ground on his penultimate start, the selection will be suited by the forecast going and may have too many guns for his old adversary. Having won a point-to-point in January, hurdling debutant Raceview Road appeals most from the rest.

ESPIRIT DU POTIER was disappointing upped in grade at Doncaster last time, but it shouldn't be assumed we've seen the best of him as a hurdler just yet and this looks a good opportunity for him to get back on track. Chosen Templar and multiple-point winner Raceview Road can battle it out for minor honours.

Chosen Templar has plenty of scope for progress but, as things stand, Ayr winner ESPRIT DU POTIER has stronger form.

14:50 Newcastle Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 20f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:02 Lingfield Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 16f - 3 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	3 1st (3) (4/6 +19%) Home Free	0.666667 4/6(+19%)	(3) Home Free 4/6, Plenty of promise when placed in a couple of bumpers last season and stepped up on his hurdling debut form when second in 9-runner novice here (19.5f, heavy) 12 days ago, not knocked about. Open to further improvement and looks the one to beat. Shouldn't mind dropping back in distance today and he just about sets the standard.
2	4 2nd (4) (5/4 +38%) Kilbarry Hill	1.25 5/4(+38%)	(4) Kilbarry Hill 5/4, Runner-up twice in Irish points and has shown fair form when placed on all 4 runs over hurdles. Likely to be thereabouts once more. Probably doesn't have a lot to find and he was second on heavy ground in a point.
3	2 3rd (2) (50/1 -52%) Dance To Fame	50 50/1(-52%)	(2) Dance To Fame 50/1, Successful on the last of 4 starts in Irish points but has offered little in 2 novice hurdles 28 months apart. Point winner but it's been a quiet start under rules in two runs some 830 days apart.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content,

HOME FREE arguably ran a career best when not beaten far over further here last month, and the drop in trip should suit as Dan Skelton's charge aims to get off the mark at the fifth time of asking. Kilbarry Hill has similar claims after a promising third at Plumpton, whereas Wee Tony has to rediscover some of his bumper form.

HOME FREE is more a chasing type on looks, but he's shown enough on both his starts over hurdles to suggest he's up to winning a race of this nature, so he's the obvious choice with further improvement on the cards. Kilbarry Hill is looking rather exposed now, so Wee Tony might be the one to give the selection most to think about.

Dan Skelton's HOME FREE has gone well in races won by good horses the last twice and this does have the look of an easier assignment.

15:02 Lingfield Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:10 Thurles Conditions Chase 25f - 10 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
1	2 1st (2) (5/1 +55%) Boss Robin	5 5/1(+55%)	(2) Boss Robin 5/1, Fair form in hunter chases. Winning pointer, including last time (Feb 11). Two wins from four starts in points no sign of progression in races in this category.
2	9 2nd (9) (7/2 +13%) Ryehill	3.5 7/2(+13%)	(9) Ryehill 7/2, Winning pointer, including by wide margin last time (Feb 4). Respected. Left clear for easy win at Belharbour after the disputing Miners Bridge fell at the last.
3	4 3rd (4) (3/1 -50%) Global Assembly	3 3/1(-50%)	(4) Global Assembly 3/1, Promising sort. 11/8 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, second of 6 in hunter chase at Fairyhouse (24.3f, heavy) 102 days ago. Open to further improvement. Winning pointer, runner-up last time (Feb 17). Leading claims. Big chance on his track form, recent points form not convincing but holds obvious chance.
4	11 4th (11) (14/1 +30%) Carrig Wells	14 14/1(+30%)	(11) Carrig Wells 14/1, Modest chaser. Winning pointer, third last time (Feb 4). Two wins and ten places from 16 points starts, has failed to find her best form this term.
5th	10 5th (10) (100/1 +0%) Ta Se Rua	100 100/1(+0%)	(10) Ta Se Rua 100/1, Modest chaser. Winning pointer, last of 4 last time (Feb 4). Only a single success from 15 starts in points, modest racecourse form, up against it.
6th	1 6th (1) (20/1 -67%) Albaquirky	20 20/1(-67%)	(1) Albaquirky 20/1, Mid-division at best in maiden hurdles. Successful sole start in points (Feb 11). Winner of a weak maiden point but he is from a top stable and should be better for the run.
7th	7 7th (7) (11/1 +45%) Lisleigh Lad	11 11/1(+45%)	(7) Lisleigh Lad 11/1, 50/1, sixth of 10 in hunter chase at Tipperary (23.8f, soft) in May. Winning pointer, including last time (Feb 25). Beat the former Galway Plate winner Early Doors last time but has been inconsistent.
8th	5 8th (5) (20/1 -25%) God Help Us	20 20/1(-25%)	(5) God Help Us 20/1, Modest maiden hurdler. Successful on last of 4 starts in points (Feb 18). Fair placed form over hurdles in 2021, recent maiden point winner against weak opposition.
9th	8 9th (8) (11/2 -38%) Miners Bridge	5.5 11/2(-38%)	(8) Miners Bridge 11/2, 5/1, unseated rider in hunter chase at Clonmel (21f, heavy) on NH debut 54 days ago. Winning pointer, every chance when fell last latest start (Feb 4). Fell at the last at Belharbour a month ago, not much between him and Ryehill on that basis.
3	3 \|PU\| (3) (11/2 +45%) Cicero Grimes	5.5 11/2(+45%)	(3) Cicero Grimes 11/2, From a cracking NH family. Successful on last of 8 starts in points (Feb 11). Tongue tied/wears cheekpieces. Maiden winner at Comea, this is more demanding, from a top yard, rider doing well.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content,

GLOBAL ASSEMBLY has some solid hunter chase form and looks good enough to land a race of this standard. The Kayf Tara gelding just lost out by half a length to Grange Island at Fairyhouse back in November and a repeat of that form would be good enough to get his head in front now. Ryehill and Miners Bridge were fighting out the finish when the latter fell at the last in a winners of one contest at Bellharbour early last month. They both look like they could be contenders here now.

GLOBAL ASSEMBLY could be another good hunter chaser for David Christie and makes all the appeal here. Ryehill has been doing plenty right in points and is respected. Boss Robin has place claims.

On racecourse form, GLOBAL ASSEMBLY has the best credentials. He gets the vote despite doubts raised by his last two runs in points

15:10 Thurles Conditions Chase 25f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:20 Newcastle Handicap Chase (Class 4) 20f - 4 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	4 1st (4) (7/2 +0%) Gipsy Lee Rose	3.5 7/2(+0%)	(4) Gipsy Lee Rose 7/2, Capitalised on a career-low mark when scoring by a whisker at Kelso in November and similar form in defeat next 2 starts. Respected. Kept on stoutly for narrow 3m2f win in November but not quite in same form again since.
2	3 2nd (3) (2/1 +64%) Torosay	2 2/1(+64%)	(3) Torosay 2/1, Lightly-raced maiden who progressed with each start over hurdles last term but hasn't taken to chasing as yet, poor third of 7 in handicap chase at this C&D (heavy) 59 days ago. Bettered disappointing chase debut when keeping on for modest third over C&D in January.
3	1 3rd (1) (5/4 -87%) So They Say	1.25 5/4(-87%)	(1) So They Say 5/4, Lightly-raced hurdler who confirmed the promise of her chase debut when winning 7-runner handicap chase at Musselburgh. Good close third there since and should make another bold bid. Low-mileage 8yo who has made good start to her chasing career; can dominate from the front.
4	2 4th (2) (11/1 -69%) Libby	11 11/1(-69%)	(2) Libby 11/1, Fair form over hurdles for Joseph O'Brien but well held on the Flat and over hurdles for this yard. Endured a haphazard start over fences when third of 4 at Carlisle last month. Seemed to run well when third of four on chasing debut but overall profile not convincing.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

A game winner at Musselburgh on her penultimate start, SO THEY SAY appears to have been presented with a straightforward task in her bid to gain a second career success over fences. The selection is open to a good deal of improvement and ought to be able to cope with dropping back down in trip in this sort of company. Gipsy Lee Rose, the only other previous winner of a chase, is feared most, although Libby is potentially well handicapped is this sphere and warrants a betting check.

SO THEY SAY has taken very well to fences and should prove hard to pass in this small field back down in trip/class. Gipsy Lee Rose is selected for the forecast.

This drop back in trip is unlikely to be a problem for SO THEY SAY, who has made a good start to her chasing career and can dominate.

15:20 Newcastle Handicap Chase (Class 4) 20f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:32 Lingfield Handicap Chase (Class 5) 22f - 5 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	2 1st (2) (9/4 +10%) Hunter Legend	2.25 9/4(+10%)	(2) Hunter Legend 9/4, Maiden hurdler but this half-brother to the yard's very smart chaser Cepage has shaped promisingly when runner-up in 2m handicaps chases at Ludlow and Leicester. Probably would have finished second again but for falling 2 out at Wetherby last month and remains of strong interest back down in class. Knocking on the door but unraced beyond 2m4f so there are concerns on the stamina front.
2	5 2nd (5) (6/1 +40%) Mister Murchan	6 6/1(+40%)	(5) Mister Murchan 6/1, Ought to have won at Fontwell last spring (idled and collared last 50 yds). Back to that level when runner-up again in December but failed to repeat that form next 2 starts, extending his losing sequence. Good run over 2m7f here last time (heavy) when only backing out of it late on.
3	3 3rd (3) (7/2 +30%) Has Troke	3.5 7/2(+30%)	(3) Has Troke 7/2, Fair winner at 19f over hurdles and similar form when twice runner-up over fences this season, albeit left behind by winner at Market Rasen 2 weeks ago. Change of headgear. Replacing cheekpieces with blinkers is a grey area but he has the form to be involved.
4	6 4th (6) (10/3 +0%) Valirann Gold	3.333333 10/3(+0%)	(6) Valirann Gold 10/3, Bounced back to something like his best to open his account for the season at Fontwell (19.5f, heavy) 3 weeks ago. 6 lb rise demands more back up in trip. Strong at the finish over 2m3f last time and gives the impression that this trip will suit.
5th	1 5th (1) (9/2 -100%) Lazy Sunday	4.5 9/2(-100%)	(1) Lazy Sunday 9/2, Completed a hat-trick in handicap chases early last year and found only one too good first 2 starts this season. Below par next 2 outings but would probably have justified strong support but for an unlucky fall 3 out here (20f) 12 days ago. Needs considering. Running well when capsizing on heavy ground here 12 days ago.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

Everything looks in place for HUNTER LEGEND to run a massive race providing a late fall at Wetherby hasn't knocked his confidence. Venetia Williams has been among the winners of late and her seven-year-old should handle the forecast bottomless ground. Lazy Sunday was still in contention when coming to grief here 12 days ago and she must be respected, while Fontwell scorer Valirann Gold adds further spice to the race off bottom weight.

HUNTER LEGEND probably would have split a pair of subsequent winners but for falling 2 out at Wetherby last month and shades the vote over Lazy Sunday, who was in the process of justifying strong support before falling 3 out here recently.

The 7yo VALIRANN GOLD stayed on best over a shorter distance at Fontwell last time and staying trips could be the making of him.

15:32 Lingfield Handicap Chase (Class 5) 22f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:40 Thurles Maiden Hurdle 16f - 16 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
1	1 1st (1) (10/3 +39%) Chosen Witness	3.333333 10/3(+39%)	(1) Chosen Witness 10/3, Fair hurdler. 8/1 and tongue strap on for 1st time, below form fourth of 12 in novice hurdle at Navan (20f, heavy) 45 days ago. Surprise were he not capable of better given connections. Talented bumper performer but maiden hurdle form this term underwhelming; drops in trip.
2	4 2nd (4) (10/1 -11%) Answering	10 10/1(-11%)	(4) Answering 10/1, Modest in bumpers but better with each outing over hurdles, good second of 14 in novice hurdle at Clonmel (16.5f, heavy) 54 days ago. A repeat should see him thereabouts. Clonmel second going the right way but more likely needed here.
3	6 3rd (6) (15/8 +25%) Brave Fortune	1.875 15/8(+25%)	(6) Brave Fortune 15/8, Twice-raced maiden under NH rules (successful in points in between). 11/1, 13¾ lengths fifth of 7 to Solitary Man in listed hurdle at Cork (24f, soft) on hurdles bow 121 days ago. Significantly back down in trip and of interest in these calmer waters. Points' winner never landed a blow in Cork Listed novice hurdle; bog drop in class here.
4	15 4th (15) (5/2 +0%) Touch Me Not	2.5 5/2(+0%)	(15) Touch Me Not 5/2, £150,000 4-y-o, Malinas gelding. Clear when fell last sole start in British points last year and promising start under Rules when third of 12 in novice hurdle at Punchestown (16.1f, heavy) on NH debut 36 days ago. Likely to improve and leading claims. Debut third at Punchestown puts him among the likely leading players here.
5th	5 5th (5) (10/3 +58%) Ballycallan King	3.333333 10/3(+58%)	(5) Ballycallan King 10/3, Fair hurdler. Remains a maiden after 10 hurdle runs. 13/2, creditable fourth of 13 in novice hurdle at Fairyhouse (16f, heavy) 10 days ago. Blinkers on 1st time. Respected. Consistent enough in maidens but more needed to make the breakthrough here.
6th	19 6th (19) (100/1 -100%) Chance Another One	100 100/1(-100%)	(19) Chance Another One 100/1, Won sole start in points (May 2023). Pulled up in novice hurdle (100/1) at Navan (20f, heavy) on NH debut 45 days ago, pulled up before 3 out. Reserve 2. Point winner jumped poorly when pulled up on hurdles debut at Navan in January; reserve.
7th	14 7th (14) (80/1 -21%) The Striker Dylan	80 80/1(-21%)	(14) The Striker Dylan 80/1, Twice-raced maiden. 50/1, fourth of 12 in novice hurdle at this course (15.6f, soft) 21 days ago. Looks a likely type for low-grade handicaps moving forward on what he's showed in 2 starts to date. Beaten a fair way in both maidens, more a likely one for handicaps.
8th	16 8th (16) (22/1 -83%) Hollow Rodger	22 22/1(-83%)	(16) Hollow Rodger 22/1, Beat Hollow mare. Off mark in points at third attempt (Jan 14) and she offered something to work on starting out under Rules when fourth of 14 in novice hurdle at this course (19.8f, soft) on NH debut 21 days ago. Could build on that. Debut fourth in modest C&D maiden hurdle albeit not that fluent; much more needed.
9th	11 9th (11) (150/1 +40%) Our Chezney	150 150/1(+40%)	(11) Our Chezney 150/1, Poor hurdler. Sixth of 16 in novice hurdle (250/1) at Punchestown (16.7f, heavy) 13 days ago. Mild promise latest but easily opposed.
13	13 \|F\| (13) (200/1 +20%) Storm Ryder	200 200/1(+20%)	(13) Storm Ryder 200/1, Thrice-raced maiden under NH rules. 300/1, ninth of 16 in novice hurdle at Punchestown (16.7f, heavy) 13 days ago. Recent Punchestown run a small step in the right direction but hard to fancy here.
10th	8 10th (8) (200/1 +20%) Kilbrin Rocco	200 200/1(+20%)	(8) Kilbrin Rocco 200/1, Shirocco gelding who has finished well held both starts in maiden hurdles late last year. Tailed off twice in maidens within a week in November, easily passed over.
11th	10 11th (10) (125/1 -25%) Mywayorthehighway	125 125/1(-25%)	(10) Mywayorthehighway 125/1, Sageburg gelding. Half-brother to modest hurdler/chaser Leverock Lass. Wears tongue strap. Pulled up sole start in points (Nov 26). Pulled up on his sole point outing at Lingstown in November; tongue tied for hurdles debut.
12th	17 12th (17) (200/1 +0%) Manhattan Brook	200 200/1(+0%)	(17) Manhattan Brook 200/1, Twice-raced maiden. Tenth of 14 in novice hurdle at this course (19.8f, soft, 25/1) 21 days ago, never on terms. Can only be watched. Soundly beaten in a pair of maidens, including over C&D last month.
13th	2 13th (2) (125/1 -150%) Arthur's Victory	125 125/1(-150%)	(2) Arthur's Victory 125/1, Fair Flat winner. Once-raced maiden over hurdles. 100/1 and hooded for 1st time, seventh of 13 in novice hurdle at Punchestown (16.7f, soft) on NH debut 29 days ago. Low-grade handicaps will suit in due course. Flat winner well held on recent hurdles debut; probably wants better ground.
14th	9 14th (9) (200/1 +20%) Matagorda	200 200/1(+20%)	(9) Matagorda 200/1, Twice-raced maiden. Seventh of 12 in novice hurdle at Punchestown (16.1f, heavy, 250/1) 36 days ago. Tailed off in both maidens n January, can only be watched for now.
15th	3 15th (3) (66/1 -164%) Thebeautifulgame	66 66/1(-164%)	(3) Thebeautifulgame 66/1, Fairly useful Flat winner, making GB/IRE jumps debut. 25/1, won 14-runner handicap at Chelmsford City (10f) 44 days ago. First run for yard after leaving Tom Clover and betting should prove a useful guide as to expectations. Chelmsford winner bought for 9,000gns last month; ground concerns on hurdles debut.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

TOUCH ME NOT shaped with promise when third behind easy winner Anotherway on his debut at Punchestown in late January. The Malinas gelding is entitled to improve a bit from that initial outing and this looks like a slightly easier task now. Willie Mullins is represented by Chosen Witness and the Well Chosen gelding could be a big player here. He was well beaten when fourth in a strong contest, won by My Trump Card, at Navan last time but can be expected to get closer now. Ballycallan King has also run well in some decent maidens and he is another that has to be on the shortlist.

A £150,000 purchase from points, TOUCH ME NOT showed plenty to work on when third in a Punchestown novice 5 weeks ago and, in good hands and open to improvement, he could be the answer here. Brave Fortune will find this easier than the assignments he's faced to date and is feared, with Ballycallan King and Chosen Witness others fancied to play a part.

It could pay to side with BRAVE FORTUNE, an impressive point winner, pitched in at the deep end on hurdles debut and who drops in class

15:40 Thurles Maiden Hurdle 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:50 Newcastle Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 17f - 6 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	4 1st (4) (9/2 +10%) Polisud	4.5 9/2(+10%)	(4) Polisud 9/2, One-time fairly useful chase/hurdle winner in France. Eased plenty in weights and more encouraging signs (following wind op/refitted tongue tie) when rallying third in a C&D handicap 3 weeks ago. Task is to build on that here. 0-6 in Britain but kept on well for third over C&D last month, following a wind op.
2	6 2nd (6) (17/2 -143%) Call Me Jack	8.5 17/2(-143%)	(6) Call Me Jack 17/2, Offered little in novice/maiden hurdles but showed improved form to make a winning handicap debut at Southwell (15.8f, heavy) 16 days ago, caught out when pace lifted but finding plenty to lead dying strides. Can do better again on that evidence, with 2½m also likely to suit. Finished well to beat his three rivals on recent handicap debut; further progress possible.
3	2 3rd (2) (5/4 +9%) Geordies Dream	1.25 5/4(+9%)	(2) Geordies Dream 5/4, Fair bumper winner who is lightly raced for his age and comes here following a good second of 11 in handicap hurdle at Carlisle (17f) 4 weeks ago, no match for a well-treated sort but nicely clear of remainder. Definite claims with a repeat returned to class 5 company. Creditable second at Carlisle last month and sure to appreciate this ease in grade.
4	5 4th (5) (13/2 +7%) Wotyoudunnow Buddy	6.5 13/2(+7%)	(5) Wotyoudunnow Buddy 13/2, Promise in bumpers and left previous exploits over hurdles in his wake switched to handicaps/equipped with blinkers when second of 5 in handicap at Catterick (15.7f, soft) 2 starts back. Not in same groove back up in trip at Musselburgh 16 days ago but not one to write off. Didn't see out 2m4f last time but ran well in defeat over 1m7f on handicap debut.
5th	3 5th (3) (50/1 -100%) Monty Nevett	50 50/1(-100%)	(3) Monty Nevett 50/1, Little impact in bumpers but showed more on his second start over hurdles when a close third in novice at this C&D in May, albeit in a steadily-run race. Down the field all 3 starts since though, latterly back from 3 months off/on debut for new yard here 3 weeks ago. Placed at big odds in C&D novice last spring but has struggled in both handicaps.
6th	1 6th (1) (10/3 +26%) Beat Box	3.333333 10/3(+26%)	(1) Beat Box 10/3, 3-time winner over hurdles who has essentially performed with credit in trio of starts in handicaps this term, fourth of 9 in C&D event 3 weeks ago, despite not seeing things out fully. Rider takes off handy 7 lb and her mark is steadily easing. Lost third to Polisud in closing stages over C&D last month, but that was still a good run.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

Runner-up to a promising horse of Dan Skelton's, who ran well at Kelso on Saturday, GEORDIES DREAM just about sets the standard on form and he can get off the mark over hurdles at the sixth time of asking. Call Me Jack got up late to score at Southwell and he should have more improvement forthcoming, while Polisud shaped better here last time out after wind surgery.

GEORDIES DREAM cemented his positive start in handicaps following a lengthy absence when chasing home a well-treated sort at Carlisle 4 weeks ago and he could be the way to go operating from the same mark. Call Me Jack, a winner at Southwell 16 days ago, is less exposed than most and feared, along with Beat Box.

This looks good for lightly raced 9yo GEORDIES DREAM (nap), who bumped into a revitalised opponent when second at Carlisle last month.

15:50 Newcastle Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 17f PREDICTION SIMULATION

16:02 Lingfield Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 23f - 7 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
6	6 (6) (13/2 -86%) I'm A Starman	6.5 13/2(-86%)	(6) I'm A Starman 13/2, Gained his second win at Plumpton (25f) in as many visits on Monday. This is tougher. Successful at Plumpton in last two attempts in this grade, latest yesterday by 4l.
1	8 1st (8) (Evens +33%) Major Fortune	0 Evens(+33%)	(8) Major Fortune Evens, Proved a different proposition since he was upped in trip this term, completing a 4-timer with something in hand over C&D (heavy) 12 days ago. 6 lb higher now but looks the one to beat nonetheless. Appeared to have a nice bit in hand despite a narrow winning margin over C&D recently.
2	7 2nd (7) (33/1 -32%) Lucky So And So	33 33/1(-32%)	(7) Lucky So And So 33/1, Showed some promise in 3 novice hurdles at the start of 2022 but has failed to complete in handicaps since, unseating rider early at Huntingdon last time. Has lots to prove. Twice pulled up before departing early last time; hardly the percentage call at present.
3	4 3rd (4) (9/2 +18%) Hill Of Tara	4.5 9/2(+18%)	(4) Hill Of Tara 9/2, Much improved sent handicapping this season, winning 4 times from 6 starts, latest at Hereford (25.5f) in January. However, held in second when coming down at same course latest and needs more to overcome this career-high mark. Beaten when falling at Plumpton and he has got himself high in the weights.
4	1 4th (1) (13/2 -8%) Movethechains	6.5 13/2(-8%)	(1) Movethechains 13/2, Won 5 times over fences at this course, latest a 28.8f handicap in January. Attractively weighted, back over the smaller obstacles, and must enter calculations. Better known for chasing exploits (here) but he's of interest off a lower hurdle mark.
5	5 \|PU\| (5) (5/2 +58%) How And Ever	2.5 5/2(+58%)	(5) How And Ever 5/2, Lightly-raced gelding who made a successful handicap debut at Fontwell (21.8f, heavy, 11/4) 20 days ago, keeping on well. 6 lb rise fair and warrants respect. Front two clear when making successful handicap debut; 6lb rise fair and more to offer.
3	3 \|PU\| (3) (50/1 -150%) Carlow Farmer	50 50/1(-150%)	(3) Carlow Farmer 50/1, Not the most consistent and hasn't been seen since a poor effort at Fontwell 9 months ago. Makes first start for Anthony Charlton. Can take plenty of driving and again he raced lazily when tailed off at Fontwell last May.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

Movethechains is attractively handicapped over the smaller obstacles and must enter calculations, while How And Ever and Hill Of Tara are other names to note. However, the obvious pick is MAJOR FORTUNE, who has won his last four outings, including twice here in testing conditions. A further 6lb rise in the ratings will obviously make life a lot tougher but he looks up to the task.

MAJOR FORTUNE continues to thrive and is fancied to defy the handicapper again and land his fifth success on the spin. How And Ever and Movethechains may give him most to think about.

He only won by a neck but MAJOR FORTUNE (nap) always had matters in hand here 12 days ago and the good times can continue.

16:02 Lingfield Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 23f PREDICTION SIMULATION

16:10 Thurles Handicap Hurdle 16f - 13 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
1	12 1st (12) (4/1 +0%) Pana To Milan	4 4/1(+0%)	(12) Pana To Milan 4/1, Modest winner at 22f in chases. 12/1, career best when winning 12-runner handicap chase at this course (22.1f, soft) 12 days ago, kept up to work. Switches from chase to hurdles. Back down in trip. 2m6f chase winner here last month; back in trip here off 10lb lower hurdles mark.
2	3 2nd (3) (7/1 +0%) Jay Pee M	7 7/1(+0%)	(3) Jay Pee M 7/1, Good third of 7 in handicap hurdle (13/2) at Limerick (16f, heavy) 35 days ago. Live each-way chance. Handicap debut run encouraging; could well have more to offer.
3	5 3rd (5) (16/1 -14%) Dontdooddson	16 16/1(-14%)	(5) Dontdooddson 16/1, Fifteen runs since last win in 2021. Pulled up in handicap hurdle at Punchestown (16.7f, heavy, 9/1) 65 days ago, dropping away from 3 out. Placed form last year would give him a shout but pulled up last time so questions.
4	13 4th (13) (9/1 +36%) Navy Waves	9 9/1(+36%)	(13) Navy Waves 9/1, C&D winner. Respectable 16¾ lengths eighth of 14 to Smallcraftwarning in handicap hurdle (12/1) at this course (16.4f, soft) 12 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Encouraging C&D run last month but still has a fair bit to find with a couple of these.
5th	8 5th (8) (9/1 +10%) Mullins Cross	9 9/1(+10%)	(8) Mullins Cross 9/1, Latest win in hurdle at Bangor in December. Creditable 10¾ lengths fourth of 14 to Smallcraftwarning in handicap hurdle at this course (16.4f, soft, 8/1) 12 days ago. C&D fourth to Smallcraftwarning; senior rider takes over here and worth a look.
6th	1 6th (1) (7/2 +30%) Smallcraftwarning	3.5 7/2(+30%)	(1) Smallcraftwarning 7/2, 40/1, won 14-runner handicap hurdle at this course (16.4f, soft) 12 days ago, driven out. Merits consideration. Shock C&D winner last month; questionable if he can back that up off 7lb higher.
7th	14 7th (14) (5/1 +85%) Thelonglad	5 5/1(+85%)	(14) Thelonglad 5/1, 12/1, below form eighth of 14 in handicap hurdle at Limerick (16f, heavy) 35 days ago. Opposable. Cork fourth on return hasn't been built on.
8th	20 8th (20) (28/1 +44%) Jonny Mansie	28 28/1(+44%)	(20) Jonny Mansie 28/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 125/1, thirteenth of 15 in novice hurdle at Kilbeggan (19f, good) 179 days ago. Makes handicap hurdle debut. May well do better. RESERVE. Shown very little in four maidens, hard to make a case for on handicap debut; reserve.
9th	15 9th (15) (66/1 -65%) On The Banks	66 66/1(-65%)	(15) On The Banks 66/1, Pulled up in handicap hurdle at this course (22.4f, soft, 50/1) 21 days ago, tailed off when pulled up after 4 out. Back down in trip. Poor run of form in handicaps, impossible to be confident in despite declining mark.
10th	7 10th (7) (40/1 -100%) Getaway Erin	40 40/1(-100%)	(7) Getaway Erin 40/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 125/1, third of 6 in novice hurdle at Gowran (20.2f, heavy) 40 days ago. Tongue strap on 1st time for this handicap debut and she's open to improvement. Maiden form not progressive, probably best watched on handicap debut.
11th	17 11th (17) (18/1 +64%) Max Time	18 18/1(+64%)	(17) Max Time 18/1, Remains a maiden after 18 NH runs. Below form seventh of 14 in handicap hurdle (66/1) at Fairyhouse (20f, heavy) 41 days ago. Unplaced in 18 starts, mildly encouraging at Fairyhouse last time but remains opposable.
12th	11 12th (11) (22/1 -57%) Glencourt Valley	22 22/1(-57%)	(11) Glencourt Valley 22/1, 5/1, respectable seventh of 17 in handicap hurdle at Cork (19f, good to soft) 142 days ago, running on. Others preferred. Opening two handicap efforts not without promise but back from a break and may need this.
2	2 \|PU\| (2) (10/1 +38%) He Picked Us	10 10/1(+38%)	(2) He Picked Us 10/1, 66/1, thirteenth of 15 in handicap hurdle at this course (16.2f, soft) 103 days ago. Tongue strap on for 1st time. Struggling so far in handicaps; handicapper relenting and tongue tie now tried.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

PANA TO MILAN put it all together to win over fences in Thurles last month and could follow up over the smaller obstacles. This is a significant drop in trip, however, she has back form over this distance. Furthermore, she competes off a lower hurdle rating in comparison to her chase mark. Smallcraftwarning sprang a 40/1 surprise over a similar trip in a higher grade, so could be up to defying a 7lb rise in the weights. Depeche Mo hit a bit of form in the autumn in being placed in Wexford and Fairyhouse. He has run well off a break before and Niall Moore's 7lb claim has him on an attractive mark. He wouldn't want the ground too deep, though. Dontdooddson is capable on a going day, but was pulled up when last seen in Punchestown.

DEPECHE MO remains a maiden following 14 attempts over hurdles but he arrives here on the back of a couple of solid efforts in defeat and this could be the day when he finally gets his head in front. The 6-y-o may have most to fear from Pana To Milan, who is 0-11 herself in this sphere but she won well off a 2 lb higher chase mark here last time. Recent C&D scorer Smallcraftwarning is also firmly in calculations, while Getaway Erin may well leave her previous form behind now handicapping.

Preference is for DEPECHE MO, absent since his Fairyhouse second in October but who runs well fresh and looks nicely weighted

16:10 Thurles Handicap Hurdle 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

16:20 Newcastle Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 20f - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
10	10 (10) (10/3 -21%) Glory Hights	3.333333 10/3(-21%)	(10) Glory Hights 10/3, Upped his game switched to handicap company here in January, going close over this C&D prior to finishing a decent third tried over 2¾m next time (re-opposing Scalloway Bay 10 lengths back in fourth). Dropping back in trip looks a good move and he's a key player. Close second over C&D on handicap debut in January and again ran well over 2m6f last time.
9	9 (9) (4/1 +56%) Greenhill Gardens	4 4/1(+56%)	(9) Greenhill Gardens 4/1, Showed a bit in 2 bumpers and both completed outings in novice hurdles. However, handed a stiff enough opening mark and was ultimately well held in fourth on handicap debut over this C&D in December. Beaten about 24l over C&D on handicap debut but the form has worked out well.
3	3 (3) (13/2 +35%) Didnt Ask	6.5 13/2(+35%)	(3) Didnt Ask 13/2, Won the first of his 2 starts in points but hasn't cut a great deal of ice in 3 starts over hurdles, left in a remote second at the last when runner-up at Ayr (19.5f, heavy) 3 weeks ago. Sizeable step forward needed now venturing into handicap territory. Improved form when remote second in Ayr maiden last month; handicap debut today.
6	6 (6) (13/2 -44%) Ballyquin Bay	6.5 13/2(-44%)	(6) Ballyquin Bay 13/2, Fair maiden hurdler for Gordon Elliott and has made the frame on each of his last 3 starts, including when third over 17f here on penultimate appearance. Hard to be sure what his optimum trip and record stands at 0-15 over hurdles but he's a player nonetheless. 0-15 over hurdles now but on a good mark and has conditions to suit; can't be ruled out.
5	5 (5) (15/2 -50%) Scalloway Bay	7.5 15/2(-50%)	(5) Scalloway Bay 15/2, Better efforts switched to handicaps here the last twice, latterly coming home in fourth in an 11-runner contest upped to 2¾m. This drop back in trip shouldn't be an issue and he's one to consider in an open-looking race. Made the frame here in first two handicaps (2m4f/2m6f) and enters calculations.
2	2 (2) (15/2 -7%) Askmore	7.5 15/2(-7%)	(2) Askmore 15/2, Successful in points and fair second on hurdles debut at Carlisle (19.3f, heavy) in December. Below par in 2 outings over 2m since but could resume his progression now stepping back up in trip for this handicap debut. Second on hurdling debut but well beaten twice since; has point to prove on handicap debut.
1	1 (1) (9/1 -100%) Ballyvaughan Bay	9 9/1(-100%)	(1) Ballyvaughan Bay 9/1, Probably produced just about his best effort yet when third in a 9-runner Lingfield maiden (19.5f, heavy) 12 days ago. May well do better now pitched into a handicap but improvement certainly is needed. Placed in two of his three qualifying races and open to improvement in handicaps.
7	7 (7) (14/1 +13%) Knacker Trapper	14 14/1(+13%)	(7) Knacker Trapper 14/1, Modest in bumpers and similar standard in this sphere to date, failing to improve for the switch to handicap company when beaten a long way upped to 3m at Wetherby last time. Well beaten over 3m on handicap debut but may benefit from this drop back in trip.
8	8 (8) (18/1 -13%) Line In The Sand	18 18/1(-13%)	(8) Line In The Sand 18/1, Left previous Rules form well behind when hitting the crossbar on handicap debut at Sedgefield (21.2f, soft) in November. Has failed by some way to reproduce that level of form in 2 subsequent starts and needs to get back on track following a wind op. 50-1 second on handicap debut but two lesser efforts have followed; had wind op in January.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

Narrowly denied over C&D on his penultimate start, GLORY HIGHTS since ran well over further and this looks like as good an opportunity as any to break the maiden tag. Ballyquin Bay ran with credit when placed here in December and should be suited by the rise in distance, while Ballyvaughan Bay has solid form too and must be a leading contender.

The vote goes to GLORY HIGHTS, who has acquitted himself well in handicaps here the last twice and this represents a good opportunity for the 8-y-o to get his head in front. Scalloway Bay was behind the selection on both occasions and there's no real reason to believe that he will turn the tables this time. Still, he is second choice ahead of Askmore.

The pick is GREENHILL GARDENS, who was a respectable fourth in a C&D race dominated by two very well-handicapped rivals in December.

16:20 Newcastle Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 20f PREDICTION SIMULATION

16:32 Lingfield Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 16f - 4 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
2	2 (2) (5/6 +34%) Pickanumber	0.833333 5/6(+34%)	(2) Pickanumber 5/6, Gradual race-by-race progress in maiden hurdles for Peter Croke in Ireland last summer, and raised his game when landing a Catterick novice (15.7f, soft) on debut for new yard. Mark for this handicap debut doesn't look prohibitive and he looks set for a leading role. Well backed for yard debut (1m7f, heavy), won convincingly; mark unchanged; handicap debut.
1	1 (1) (11/10 +12%) Copper Cove	1.1 11/10(+12%)	(1) Copper Cove 11/10, Bumper winner who improved when opening his hurdles account at the seventh attempt under Benjamin Macey at Fontwell (17.7f, heavy). This 7 lb higher mark looks manageable and, with similar conditions forecast, another bold show is on the cards. Improved hurdle form when Fontwell winner latest (2m1f, heavy); up 7lb; improve.
3	3 (3) (18/1 -300%) Schelem	18 18/1(-300%)	(3) Schelem 18/1, Winner of a juvenile event on debut in France back in September 2020 but didn't show much starting out for this yard at Ascot 2 years later (sent off at 80/1). Too soon to write him off and reasonable to expect better now handicapping but further 15-month absence is naturally a concern. Ready hurdle winner in France in 2020; well held on British debut in late 2022; off since.
4	4 (4) (80/1 -220%) Grooveur	80 80/1(-220%)	(4) Grooveur 80/1, Ludlow novice winner for Alastair Ralph in March 2021 but offered little when returning from a lengthy absence over this C&D for new yard 12 days ago. Won 2m5f novice hurdle in 2021; beaten long way over C&D on return from an absence.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content,

Schelem is an interesting runner on only his third career outing, but this could develop into a match between last-time-out winners COPPER COVE and Pickanumber. The former benefits from the 10lb claim of Ben Macey, who impressed when recording his first career victory aboard the seven-year-old at Fontwell last month, and he shades the verdict ahead of Olly Murphy's Catterick scorer.

The profiles of COPPER COVE and Pickanumber are not dissimilar and, unless Schelem leaves his British debut effort a long way behind back from a 15-month absence, it's likely that they will have the finish between them. There's not much in it, with marginal preference for Copper Cove, who has quickly struck up a good relationship with conditional Benjamin Macey and appears to be on an upward curve.

This surely lies between the in-form pair COPPER COVE and Pickanumber and preference for the former is only marginal.

16:32 Lingfield Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

16:40 Thurles Maiden Hurdle 21f - 13 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
8	8 (8) (5/4 +75%) Tell Us This	1.25 5/4(+75%)	(8) Tell Us This 5/4, Highly promising type. 250/1, fifteenth of 25 in novice hurdle at Naas (16f, soft) 53 days ago. Up in trip. Should do much betterat some point. Mid-division in four maidens at 2m; upped in trip and drops in class so don't rule out.
12	12 (12) (10/3 +5%) Sainte Baol	3.333333 10/3(+5%)	(12) Sainte Baol 10/3, Thrice-raced maiden under NH rules. Seventh of 11 in novice hurdle at Punchestown (20f, heavy, 16/1) 36 days ago. Points' winner underwhelming so far hurdling but drops in grade here.
3	3 (3) (11/2 +31%) John The Diva	5.5 11/2(+31%)	(3) John The Diva 11/2, Lightly-raced maiden. Creditable fourth of 14 in handicap hurdle (16/1) at Punchestown (20.2f, heavy) 13 days ago. Player. Fair handicap debut recently; back in maiden company here with place prospects.
1	1 (1) (7/1 -75%) Balally Park	7 7/1(-75%)	(1) Balally Park 7/1, Lightly-raced maiden under NH rules. 7/2, bit below form fifth of 14 in novice hurdle at Limerick (19f, heavy) 67 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Worth another chance. Definite promise without being a convincing finisher; cheekpieces now tried.
2	2 (2) (14/1 -40%) Jeronimo De L'ouch	14 14/1(-40%)	(2) Jeronimo De L'ouch 14/1, Lightly-raced maiden under NH rules. Ninth of 14 in novice hurdle at Limerick (19f, heavy, 7/1) 67 days ago. Encouraging hurdles bow at Naas in December, ensuing Limerick race may have come too soon.
10	10 (10) (14/1 -27%) West Clare	14 14/1(-27%)	(10) West Clare 14/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Fourth of 12 in bumper at Listowel (20f, good, 10/3). Off 17 months. Makes hurdles debut. Progressive in 3 bumpers in 2022 but long absence obvious concern on hurdles debut.
14	14 (14) (20/1 +20%) Gentle Anna	20 20/1(+20%)	(14) Gentle Anna 20/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Sixteenth of 25 in novice hurdle at Naas (16f, soft, 250/1) 53 days ago. Up in trip. Promise in points for Colin Bowe but 3 maiden hurdle runs this term disappointing; reserve.
6	6 (6) (28/1 -250%) Malton Groove	28 28/1(-250%)	(6) Malton Groove 28/1, Fair hurdler. First run since leaving Gordon Elliott when last of 6 in novice chase (150/1) at Gowran (20f, heavy) 17 days ago. Switches from chase to hurdles. Hood on 1st time. Initial hurdles promise hasn't materialised; back from chasing.
7	7 (7) (40/1 +60%) Rodney	40 40/1(+60%)	(7) Rodney 40/1, Lightly-raced maiden under NH rules. Tenth of 11 in bumper (50/1) at this course (15.6f, soft) 21 days ago. Switches from bumpers to hurdles. Significantly up in trip. Some ability in bumpers and a Limerick maiden hurdle but loads more needed.
4	4 (4) (50/1 -317%) Leis Fein	50 50/1(-317%)	(4) Leis Fein 50/1, Modest hurdler. 125/1, fourth of 6 in novice hurdle at this course (23.6f, soft) 12 days ago. Tailed off on recent comeback run here (3m); hard to fancy.
11	11 (11) (50/1 -25%) Bee Bright	50 50/1(-25%)	(11) Bee Bright 50/1, Thrice-raced maiden under NH rules. Sixth of 8 in novice hurdle (50/1) at Punchestown (22.4f, heavy) 13 days ago. Two runs in maiden hurdles haven't amounted to much; handicaps more likely her forte.
9	9 (9) (100/1 -150%) Tellmeyourtroubles	100 100/1(-150%)	(9) Tellmeyourtroubles 100/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Pulled up in novice hurdle at Limerick (16f, heavy, 200/1) 35 days ago, pulled up. Up in trip. Three maiden runs haven't amounted to much, very hard to fancy.
13	13 (13) (150/1 -50%) Venturi Effect	150 150/1(-50%)	(13) Venturi Effect 150/1, Thrice-raced maiden under NH rules. Fifth of 6 in novice hurdle (125/1) at this course (23.6f, soft) 12 days ago. Beaten long way in two maidens, handicaps more her thing down the road.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

BALALLY PARK showed ability in fourth at Wexford and in fifth at Limerick which gives him bright prospects in a weak race. Trip and ground look ideal for him, and first-time cheekpieces could elicit some improvement. Sainte Baol represents a powerful stable and ought to be heavily involved as it was a decent mares' maiden hurdle that she finished seventh in at Punchestown in January. She is a former wide-margin winner of a point-to-point. John The Diva showed a bit more in fourth at Punchestown which gives him a shot at prize money.

BALALLY PARK wasn't seen to best effect at Limerick last time and is worth another chance to build on his Wexford form. Sainte Baol and John The Diva head the dangers.

A maiden which probably won't take much winning and MALTON GROOVE could take the beating on his old form in a first-time hood

16:40 Thurles Maiden Hurdle 21f PREDICTION SIMULATION

16:50 Newcastle NH Flat Race (Class 5) 17f - 12 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
8	8 (8) (3/1 -20%) Lawrenny	3 3/1(-20%)	(8) Lawrenny 3/1, Improved from debut when second on heavy ground at Sedgefield 7 weeks ago, again looking a staying type. This could be a slog so he might be bang there. Sound effort when second of 11 at Sedgefield in January; sets the form standard.
5	5 (5) (16/5 +77%) Fiery Dawn	3.2 16/5(+77%)	(5) Fiery Dawn 16/5, Lawman gelding. Brother to fair hurdler Battle of Wills, stayed 2½m, and half-brother to 3 winners, including fair hurdler Mezajy. Dam 2-y-o 7f winner. One to note on debut. Brother to useful Flat/2m hurdle winner Battle Of Wills; well worth a glance in the market.
1	1 (1) (10/3 +58%) Battle Born Lad	3.333333 10/3(+58%)	(1) Battle Born Lad 10/3, Califet gelding. Half-brother to bumper winner/modest hurdler Dillarchie. 1 of 2 newcomers for yard. Half-brother to a bumper winner; stable does well in these races (17% strike-rate).
6	6 (6) (15/2 -88%) Forest Blaze	7.5 15/2(-88%)	(6) Forest Blaze 15/2, 15,000 gns 3-y-o, Kapgarde gelding. Half-brother to 3 winners, including fairly useful hurdler Jante Law and bumper winner Pixie Loc. 1 of 2 newcomers for stable. Out of a useful jumper; Brian Hughes booked for debut; yard does well in bumpers.
7	7 (7) (10/1 +0%) Indian Poet	10 10/1(+0%)	(7) Indian Poet 10/1, €7,000 3-y-o, Urban Poet gelding. Half-brother to fairly useful 1m winner Bold Captain. Dam 2m hurdle winner, also 1½m winner on Flat. Newcomer to note for good yard. 7,000euros 3yo; out of a Flat/hurdle winner; a possible on debut.
13	13 (13) (10/1 -150%) Long Time Listener	10 10/1(-150%)	(13) Long Time Listener 10/1, Telescope gelding. Dam, fair 17f-3m hurdle winner, half-sister to useful hurdler (stays 2½m) Theatre Legend out of 19f/2½m hurdle winner Theatre Belle. Point bumper winner last month. One to note. Beat four rivals to make winning debut in a point bumper last month.
11	11 (11) (20/1 -100%) Myfavouritesister	20 20/1(-100%)	(11) Myfavouritesister 20/1, €10,000 3-y-o, Soldier of Fortune mare. Closely related to yard's stable star, useful 3m hurdle winner/high-class staying chaser The Real Whacker. Suspect she'll be a stayer but she's got to be respected on debut. Closely related to stable's high-class chaser The Real Whacker; market may guide.
10	10 (10) (22/1 -175%) Away She Goes	22 22/1(-175%)	(10) Away She Goes 22/1, 5,000 gns 4-y-o, Mahler mare. Half-sister to 2 winners on Flat, including useful 7f/1m winner Beauchamp Bagenal. Well backed but failed to meet expectations on debut at Catterick 6 weeks ago, seeming in need of the experience. This is a deeper race now. Made low-key debut at Catterick but yard does pretty well in bumpers; improvement possible.
12	12 (12) (28/1 -180%) Fast Fred	28 28/1(-180%)	(12) Fast Fred 28/1, Outstrip gelding. Half-brother to 11f winner in Poland Saxon Way. Dam 1½m winner. Out of a fair 1m4f Flat winner; rare runner under jumps rules for his Flat stable.
2	2 (2) (33/1 -106%) Blacksammhor	33 33/1(-106%)	(2) Blacksammhor 33/1, Black Sam Bellamy gelding. Dam maiden hurdler (stayed 2½m). Dam came third in bumper/2m3f hurdle; stable just 2-66 in bumpers during last five seasons.
3	3 (3) (66/1 +34%) Charizord	66 66/1(+34%)	(3) Charizord 66/1, From the family of useful hurdler/chaser (stayed 3m) Shannon Bridge. Showed nothing in Naas bumper for Harry Smyth 12 months ago. Detached throughout when 150-1 for debut at Naas just over a year ago; now with new stable.
4	4 (4) (150/1 -127%) Do Ye Wanna	150 150/1(-127%)	(4) Do Ye Wanna 150/1, Half-brother to fairly useful hurdler Mr Utah. 33/1, well held in Sedgefield bumper on debut 53 days ago. Likely to need more time. Nearly 40l behind Lawrenny when 33-1 for Sedgefield debut in January.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content,

This can go the way of LAWRENNY, who showed improvement from first to second start when a highly encouraging runner-up at Sedgefield last time. That form looks the best on show and he should have too much for NH debutant Long Time Listener, who was a good winner of a point-to-point last month. Forest Blaze looks the pick of the two Mark Walford-trained newcomers, while Away She Goes may improve on her debut run.

LAWRENNY was keeping on at the finish in similar conditions at Sedgefield 7 weeks ago and with the good chance this could become a slog on the ground he can make his experience count and strike. Point-winner Long Time Listener, Indian Poet and Fiery Dawn are three interesting newcomers and the betting could be revealing.

There aren't many appealing options in this bumper but LAWRENNY posted a sound effort when second at Sedgefield in January.

16:50 Newcastle NH Flat Race (Class 5) 17f PREDICTION SIMULATION

17:00 Southwell Stakes (Class 4) 5f - 5 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
4	4 (4) (Evens -49%) Orchard Park	0 Evens(-49%)	(4) Orchard Park Evens, 90,000 gns Showcasing filly. Sister to 2-y-o 6f winner Project Black and half-sister to 3 winners, including useful pair Union Rose and Lady Aria. 14/1, third (1¼ lengths behind Moonstone Boy) of 7 in maiden over C&D on debut 10 days ago, slowly away. Will improve and big shout. Just behind Moonstone Boy over C&D on recent debut but ought to have learned from that.
3	3 (3) (Evens +20%) Moonstone Boy	0 Evens(+20%)	(3) Moonstone Boy Evens, Fairly useful form. 9/4, good second of 7 in maiden at this C&D 10 days ago after 8 months off. Should go close again. Placed on all four 2yo starts and kept on well for second over C&D last week; big player.
1	1 (1) (22/1 -38%) Kipp Kelly	22 22/1(-38%)	(1) Kipp Kelly 22/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Sixth of 7 in maiden at this C&D (200/1) 10 days ago. Not beaten far when sixth of seven over C&D recently but needs to improve again.
5	5 (5) (25/1 +0%) Unforgettable Fire	25 25/1(+0%)	(5) Unforgettable Fire 25/1, £48,000 yearling, Phoenix of Spain filly. Half-sister to useful winner up to 7f Dark Thirty. Dam winner up to 1¼m (2-y-o 7f winner). Last of 5 in novice at Chelmsford City (7f, 22/1) on debut. Off 105 days. Down in trip. Hooded for 1st time. 22-1, dropped out tamely and was well beaten on debut at Chelmsford (5f) in November.
2	2 (2) (40/1 -400%) Kodenza	40 40/1(-400%)	(2) Kodenza 40/1, 36,000 gns yearling, Kodiac gelding. Closely related to 5f winner Valentine Blues and half-brother to useful 5f winner Celsius. Dam unraced half-sister to smart 6f winner Shanghai Glory. Closely related to a fair 5f AW winner; has fairly good standard to reach on debut.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content,

The consistent MOONSTONE BOY (second) fared best of the trio who clashed over C&D 10 days ago and is taken to confirm the form en route to gaining an overdue first career success. Orchard Park (third) showed her inexperience when finishing a length and a quarter behind the selection, but warrants serious thought given she is at least entitled to be wiser this time. Kipp Kelly (sixth) has something to find, but could still be best of the rest.

ORCHARD PARK was very green when third over C&D on debut 10 days ago and can find the required improvement to beat the more exposed Moonstone Boy, who finished 1¼ lengths in front of the selection that day.

After a promising debut over C&D ten days ago, ORCHARD PARK can improve past Moonstone Boy.

17:00 Southwell Stakes (Class 4) 5f PREDICTION SIMULATION

17:10 Thurles Handicap Hurdle 24f - 7 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
3	3 (3) (11/10 +51%) Linden Arden	1.1 11/10(+51%)	(3) Linden Arden 11/10, 1 win from 2 runs this season. Career best when winning 7-runner novice hurdle at Punchestown (19.9f, soft, 8/11) 29 days ago, unchallenged. Further progress likely. Comfortable maiden winner at Punchestown, raised 12lb but may continue to make progress.
6	6 (6) (3/1 +25%) Native Speaker	3 3/1(+25%)	(6) Native Speaker 3/1, Promising sort. 9/2, creditable second of 8 in novice hurdle at Limerick (21f, heavy) 68 days ago, no match for winner. Big player on handicap debut. Point winner, twice runner-up in maidens, not without a chance on his handicap debut.
8	8 (8) (4/1 +67%) Ishan	4 4/1(+67%)	(8) Ishan 4/1, 2 wins from 6 runs this season. Latest win in hurdle at Limerick in December. 20/1, respectable eleventh of 22 in handicap hurdle at Leopardstown (24.3f, soft) 31 days ago. Two wins from his last four starts, handed an extra 8lb for Limerick, may be a bit high.
10	10 (10) (7/1 +30%) Power Hour	7 7/1(+30%)	(10) Power Hour 7/1, 13/2, creditable fourth of 12 in handicap hurdle at Punchestown (22.8f, heavy) 16 days ago. Each-way shout. Has been showing consistent form, holds a solid each-way chance in a race of this standard.
9	9 (9) (10/1 +29%) Rowdy Romeo	10 10/1(+29%)	(9) Rowdy Romeo 10/1, Creditable second of 6 in novice hurdle (11/8) at Hexham (20.1f, heavy) 83 days ago. More will be needed if he's to go one better here. Fifth behind good yardstick Harvard Guy at Navan, form of his Hexham second is weak.
7	7 (7) (33/1 -106%) Insouciant Dallier	33 33/1(-106%)	(7) Insouciant Dallier 33/1, Lightly-raced maiden under Rules. 12/1 and tongue strap on for 1st time, seventh of 10 in novice hurdle at Punchestown (22.9f, soft) 50 days ago. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Some fair form to his credit, soundly beaten on his last two maiden hurdle attempts..
11	11 (11) (80/1 -100%) Ballycairn	80 80/1(-100%)	(11) Ballycairn 80/1, Fairly useful winner at 20f in bumpers. First run since leaving Mrs Denise Foster when last of 12 in novice hurdle at Down Royal (20.2f, soft, 200/1) 70 days ago. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Tailed off at Down Royal at Christmas on first run after long layoff, best watched for now.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

Former point-to-point winner NATIVE SPEAKER catches the eye on handicap hurdle debut. He was a somewhat remote second in maiden hurdles at Punchestown and Limerick, but the horses that beat him are smart and have both followed up. The Punchestown winner subsequently landed a Grade 2 novice hurdle. Shannon Royale won a Punchestown maiden hurdle in November by a whopping 24 lengths and the horse in second is now a leading contender for the Supreme Novices' Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival. He disappointed on his next appearance in Navan, but got back to work when a close second in Punchestown. He has to give plenty of weight away, but is a big player. Linden Arden is markedly up in trip for Willie Mullins, but was an easy winner in Punchestown and should have plenty to offer while Ishan didn't run at the Dublin Racing Festival and is a solid stayer.

NATIVE SPEAKER and Linden Arden both have relatively low mileage and could be the pair to concentrate on. The latter is accorded the utmost respect on the back of his all-the-way Punchestown success last month but preference is for Native Speaker, who has chased home borderline smart novices the last twice and this former point winner promises to be suited by this stiffer test now pitched into a handicap. West Is Awake is third choice ahead of Power Hour and Shannon Royale.

There is a good chance that Linden Arden will continue to prosper, However, POWER HOUR is put forward as an each-way option

17:10 Thurles Handicap Hurdle 24f PREDICTION SIMULATION

17:30 Southwell Stakes (Class 4) 12f - 12 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
8	8 (8) (7/4 +75%) Secret Squirrel	1.75 7/4(+75%)	(8) Secret Squirrel 7/4, Won both starts in bumpers. Fairly useful winning form over hurdles, runner-up again last time. Useful in bumpers/hurdles; dam won an AW bumper; market useful.
12	12 (12) (5/2 -25%) Eleanor Cross	2.5 5/2(-25%)	(12) Eleanor Cross 5/2, Fairly useful filly. 13/8, very good nose second of 10 in handicap at Kempton (11f) 13 days ago, needing stiffer test. Makes tapeta debut. Sets a solid standard. Short head behind Caustic on penultimate outing and 6lb better off; shouldn't be far away.
2	2 (2) (9/2 -80%) Caustic	4.5 9/2(-80%)	(2) Caustic 9/2, Runner-up in 2 bumpers and confirmed Flat debut promise when winning 7-runner novice at Lingfield (12f, AW) 29 days ago by nose from Eleanor Cross. 6 lb worse off with winner here but he's open to improvement. Showed ability before narrowly beating Eleanor Cross at Lingfield; could confirm the form.
4	4 (4) (7/1 -27%) Marble Sands	7 7/1(-27%)	(4) Marble Sands 7/1, Bumper winner. Useful hurdler and smart form over fences this season, successful in novice handicap at Musselburgh last month. Interesting Flat debutant. Smart performer over jumps and won over fences last month; market interesting.
3	3 (3) (10/1 +29%) Little Peter	10 10/1(+29%)	(3) Little Peter 10/1, Fair bumper winner who produced a promising first effort in this sphere when second of 9 in novice at Southwell (11.1f, 66/1) on Flat debut in December. However, below that form when fourth at Kempton (11f, 6/1) 55 days ago. Bumper winner and in the frame in both starts on AW; a bit to find with Caustic on form.
1	1 (1) (11/1 +8%) Cannon Rock	11 11/1(+8%)	(1) Cannon Rock 11/1, Twice-raced winner. Cheekpieces on for 1st time, won 9-runner maiden at Newmarket (10f, good to soft, 9/2). Up in trip. Sold from Charlie Appleby 16,000 gns and looks vulnerable under a penalty after 16 months off. Turf winner for Charlie Appleby in October 2022; market instructive on stable debut.
9	9 (9) (50/1 -456%) Emaculate Soldier	50 50/1(-456%)	(9) Emaculate Soldier 50/1, €92,000 yearling, €350,000 2-y-o, Sea The Moon colt. Brother to useful French/German winner up to 1¼m Enjoy The Moon. Dam 1m winner. 9/1, fifth of 6 in novice at Lingfield (8f, AW) on debut. Off 10 months. Significantly up in trip. Tongue strap on. Subsequently gelded and should improve. Well held on debut last spring but should enjoy the longer trip on pedigree; tongue-tie on.
5	5 (5) (66/1 -313%) Mr Zippi	66 66/1(-313%)	(5) Mr Zippi 66/1, Dual bumper winner, well held in better grade last time. Flat debut. Won two small-field bumpers last year, but well beaten in a Listed bumper in December.
7	7 (7) (150/1 -838%) Rotten Row	150 150/1(-838%)	(7) Rotten Row 150/1, 11/2, not seen to best effect on belated debut when 12½ lengths fourth of 7 to Uxmal in maiden at Tramore in September, left poorly placed. Has left Anthony Mullins. Fairly useful hurdler/chaser, fourth in claimer last time. Headgear applied. Bumper/hurdles/chase winner in Ireland; watch market on stable/AW debut; new headgear.
11	11 (11) (150/1 -650%) Storm Spirit	150 150/1(-650%)	(11) Storm Spirit 150/1, Placed in 2 of 3 bumpers (modest form, looked less than straightforward). 66/1, similar form when fifth of 8 in maiden at Newcastle (10.2f) on Flat debut 12 days ago. Placed in two of three bumpers and some ability on Flat debut, but looks one for handicaps.
6	6 (6) (150/1 -355%) Ridge Hill	150 150/1(-355%)	(6) Ridge Hill 150/1, In the frame in 2 bumpers but well held both starts on the Flat. A long way behind a couple of these at Lingfield last month; look elsewhere.
10	10 (10) (250/1 -279%) Royal Observatory	250 250/1(-279%)	(10) Royal Observatory 250/1, Mid-division on first of 2 starts in bumpers. Well held in two soft-ground bumpers this year (tailed off last time); little appeal.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

CAUSTIC showed tenacity when winning a similar race over this trip at Lingfield early last month and is fancied to cope with the penalty. Cannon Rock, who left Godolphin for just 16,000gns last September, is the only other winner on the Flat in the race and commands respect on debut for new connections, despite returning from a lengthy absence. Eleanor Cross was a close second to the selection at Lingfield and is a must for consideration on the revised terms.

ELEANOR CROSS was again only just denied at Kempton 2 weeks ago and this looks a good opportunity for her to go one better back up in trip. Caustic is 6 lb worse off having beaten the selection at Lingfield but this son of Galileo is open to further improvement and may pose the biggest threat again.

Despite being 6lb worse off with Eleanor Cross after beating her narrowly last time, CAUSTIC is taken to confirm the form.

17:30 Southwell Stakes (Class 4) 12f PREDICTION SIMULATION

17:40 Thurles NH Flat Race 16f - 7 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
11	11 (11) (11/10 +45%) Red Hugh	1.1 11/10(+45%)	(11) Red Hugh 11/10, £23,000 5-y-o, Shantou gelding. Dam placed over hurdles, 7f-8.4f winner on Flat, half-sister to useful hurdler/smart chaser (stayed 2½m) Noble Alan. Point winner back from 11 months off and got to be respected for these connections. Form of point win is appealing, might prefer better ground but has to be taken seriously.
6	6 (6) (10/3 +45%) Eastbank Warrior	3.333333 10/3(+45%)	(6) Eastbank Warrior 10/3, Fell in a point and just fourth of 5 in bumper at Limerick (16f, heavy, 5/2) on NH debut 35 days ago. May have been unsuited by the slow gallop at Limerick, not much between him and Machismo.
2	2 (2) (5/1 +50%) Blaze The Way	5 5/1(+50%)	(2) Blaze The Way 5/1, Half-brother to useful hurdler Enniscoffey Oscar. Third of 8 in bumper at Leopardstown (20f, heavy, 12/1) on NH debut 69 days ago. That is usually a good race and he can improve. Finished 25l behind the runner-up when third on debut at Leopardstown, open to improvement.
8	8 (8) (5/1 +0%) Machismo	5 5/1(+0%)	(8) Machismo 5/1, €28,000 half-brother to 3 winners, including useful hurdler/smart chaser Keeper Hill and useful hurdler Dargiannini. Winning pointer, found the lack of pace against him when last of 5 in bumper at Limerick (16f, heavy, 6/1) 35 days ago. Could do better this time. Point winner, in common with Eastbank Warrior probably unsuited by slow gallop at Limerick.
1	1 (1) (12/1 +14%) Barton Snow	12 12/1(+14%)	(1) Barton Snow 12/1, Modest hurdler. Hooded for 1st time, good eighth of 14 in novice hurdle (80/1) at Navan (15.7f, heavy) 23 days ago. Switches from hurdles to bumpers. Winning pointer, placed in two of his seven bumper starts, might prefer better ground.
3	3 (3) (100/1 -100%) Brooklyn Bridge	100 100/1(-100%)	(3) Brooklyn Bridge 100/1, Once-raced maiden. 40/1, last of 8 in bumper at Punchestown (15.9f, heavy) on NH debut 16 days ago. Big price when last of eight on his recent debut at Punchestown, unlikely to feature.
5	5 (5) (150/1 -355%) Dream Shaper	150 150/1(-355%)	(5) Dream Shaper 150/1, Remains a maiden. Sixth of 8 in bumper at Punchestown (15.9f, heavy, 150/1) 16 days ago. Unplaced in seven bumper attempts, nothing to suggest he could feature.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content,

RED HUGH's best point-to-point form is on much better ground, however, testing going isn't a negative for progeny of his sire so he is taken to graduate to the track with a win. Barry Connell's newcomer Net Boy has to be given a market check. He made 60,000 euro at the Land Rover Sale and is related to a five-time winner in Britain. Machismo was successful 'between the flags' last December yet was easy to back when last of five on track debut at Limerick in January. There is likely to be much more to come from him. Eastbank Warrior fell when leading his point-to-point and was only 5/2 for his racecourse debut in Limerick where he finished fourth (a head in front of Machismo). There could be improvement in him.

A thin bumper that could be fought out by newcomers NET BOY and Red Hugh, with Barry Connell's charge chanced before market clues. Machismo wasn't seen to best effect at Limerick and could do better in this bigger field.

A slow gallop was probably not ideal for two of these at Limerick last time, EASTBANK WARRIOR may uphold form with Machismo

17:40 Thurles NH Flat Race 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

18:00 Southwell Handicap (Class 3) 8f - 10 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
2	2 (2) (5/2 +44%) Tropez Power	2.5 5/2(+44%)	(2) Tropez Power 5/2, C&D winner. Respectable fifth of 12 in handicap (11/1) at Lingfield (8f, AW) 45 days ago, needing stronger gallop. Not out of things from this sort of mark, particularly granted a good pace to aim at. Record over C&D reads 131; seems likely to get the solid pace he needs; interesting.
1	1 (1) (10/3 +52%) Assessment	3.333333 10/3(+52%)	(1) Assessment 10/3, Low-mileage 5-y-o who displayed useful form when winning 2 of his first 4 starts for Sir Michael Stoute prior to being pulled up at Sandown (1m) last May (went wrong after 3f). Acquired by new connections for 30,000 gns in October and definitely worth considering back from 9 months off. Makes stable debut after another long absence, but has a fine record fresh; watch market.
3	3 (3) (4/1 -14%) Borgi	4 4/1(-14%)	(3) Borgi 4/1, Course winner. Latest win at Wolverhampton in January. 11/1, good second of 9 in handicap at Lingfield (8f, AW) 15 days ago. Taken well to the drop back to 1m and likely to continue in form. Course winner over 7f; only just lost out to a progressive rival last time and shortlisted.
6	6 (6) (6/1 -33%) Leap Day	6 6/1(-33%)	(6) Leap Day 6/1, Shed maiden tag over C&D in December and remained in form since, good second of 12 in handicap (9/2) at Newcastle (7.1f) 21 days ago, clear of rest. Expected to give another good account up in grade. C&D novice winner in December and narrowly beaten the last twice, but up another 3lb.
4	4 (4) (7/1 -17%) Gincident	7 7/1(-17%)	(4) Gincident 7/1, Three wins from 10 runs last year. Creditable fifth of 13 in handicap at this C&D (28/1) 35 days ago. Handicapper has given him a chance but he could do with settling better. Three wins on Tapeta last winter; worth a second look back off his last winning mark.
5	5 (5) (7/1 -56%) Master Of Combat	7 7/1(-56%)	(5) Master Of Combat 7/1, Three wins from 11 runs last year. 7/1, eighth of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (9.5f) 25 days ago. Present mark doesn't look beyond him on pick of his AW form this winter. Seen more often at Wolverhampton but has run well over C&D; each-way claims.
7	7 (7) (28/1 -40%) Perseverants	28 28/1(-40%)	(7) Perseverants 28/1, Eleventh of 12 in handicap at this C&D (28/1) 10 days ago, possibly in need of the run following 10 months off. Still, others more persuasive. 1lb below last winning mark but well beaten on his return over C&D ten days ago.
9	9 (9) (40/1 -186%) Life On The Rocks	40 40/1(-186%)	(9) Life On The Rocks 40/1, Successful over 1¼m as a 4-y-o. Missed whole of last season and couldn't get involved from a poor position on return from 18 months off when seventh of 8 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f, 17/2) 18 days ago. This should reveal more. 3lb below sole winning mark, but well held on return from mammoth absence last month.
8	8 (8) (100/1 -150%) Vecchio	100 100/1(-150%)	(8) Vecchio 100/1, First run since leaving Freddie & Martyn Meade when last of 8 in handicap (33/1) at Newcastle (7.1f) 40 days ago, weakening 2f out. That was his first start for 7 months and this ought to reveal more. Yard also saddle Perseverants. 0-7 and failed to beat a rival on his stable/AW debut in January; look elsewhere.
10	10 (10) (125/1 -150%) Three Yorkshiremen	125 125/1(-150%)	(10) Three Yorkshiremen 125/1, Successful over 1m for Richard Fahey last summer and solid start for new yard when runner-up over hurdles at Musselburgh (15.5f) in November. However, proved disappointing in 2 starts on the level since. Others preferred despite easing mark. 1-15 and has beaten just one rival in two starts on Polytrack; others preferred.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

LEAP DAY has held his form well since scoring over C&D at the end of 2023 and, off just 4lb higher, the Tim Easterby-trained gelding is a highly appealing option. Borgi, a good second in a deeper race at Lingfield, rates a threat to all based on his potential to improve again. Tropez Power is another previous C&D winner who cannot be ruled out on his debut run for the Quinn yard. Master Of Combat has each-way appeal.

ASSESSMENT has been absent since being pulled up at Sandown last spring but he'd previously looked one to keep firmly on side and this low-mileage 5-y-o could be worth chancing to make a winning return (has gone well fresh) on debut for Archie Watson. Leap Day is running consistently well and feared, along with Tropez Power and Borgi.

The vote goes to TROPEZ POWER (nap) whose record over C&D reads 131 and who should get the solid pace he requires.

18:00 Southwell Handicap (Class 3) 8f PREDICTION SIMULATION

18:30 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 8f - 12 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
3	3 (3) (5/2 +9%) Perfect Swiss	2.5 5/2(+9%)	(3) Perfect Swiss 5/2, Resumed winning ways, in first-time blinkers, when taking 9-runner handicap at this course (7.1f) 19 days ago. Just 2 lb higher now and is one for shortlist. 7f course winner in first-time blinkers last month and probably better suited by 1m.
6	6 (6) (5/2 +50%) Daafy	2.5 5/2(+50%)	(6) Daafy 5/2, 5-time course winner, latest in January. Posted another creditable effort when third of 8 in handicap here (7.1f) 7 days ago. Visor back on. Enters calculations. Placed twice since last month's 7f course win and 1m also suits; probably in the mix again.
5	5 (5) (4/1 -14%) King Of Speed	4 4/1(-14%)	(5) King Of Speed 4/1, Back on scoreboard when narrowly taking 7-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 22 days ago. Just 2 lb higher now and not taken lightly. Suited by step up to 8.6f when scoring at Wolverhampton last month; major player.
2	2 (2) (5/1 +0%) Candy Warhol	5 5/1(+0%)	(2) Candy Warhol 5/1, Confirmed return to form when good second of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 28 days ago. Remains fairly treated and must enter calculations. Went very close over 7f at Wolverhampton last month and should be fine back at 1m.
12	12 (12) (14/1 -40%) Spring Romance	14 14/1(-40%)	(12) Spring Romance 14/1, 5/1, bit below form sixth of 12 in handicap at this course (6.1f) 7 days ago, never nearer. Significantly back up in trip. Visor on 1st time, tongue strap back on. Needs a couple of these to falter. Placed twice over 7f last month but 1m is not ideal, and his last win was in March 2021.
4	4 (4) (16/1 -33%) The Follower	16 16/1(-33%)	(4) The Follower 16/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 100/1, seventh of 10 in minor event at Newcastle (7.1f) 32 days ago. Improvement required on handicap debut. Soundly beaten in three novices but might get more competitive in this low-grade handicap.
8	8 (8) (18/1 -13%) Amaysmont	18 18/1(-13%)	(8) Amaysmont 18/1, Seventeen runs since last win in 2022. 15/2, seventh of 8 in handicap at Newcastle (8f) 24 days ago. Work to do. Ran quite well over 7f here two starts ago but overall profile not persuasive.
1	1 (1) (28/1 +15%) Kessaar Power	28 28/1(+15%)	(1) Kessaar Power 28/1, Fifteen runs since last win in 2023. Seventh of 8 in handicap (50/1) at Lingfield (8f, AW) 11 days ago. Makes limited appeal. Out of form in recent weeks and did not convince stamina-wise when upped to 1m 11 days ago.
11	11 (11) (28/1 -300%) Mintnthat	28 28/1(-300%)	(11) Mintnthat 28/1, 16/1, first run since leaving Iain Jardine when seventh of 11 in handicap at this course (11.1f) 7 days ago. Visor back on. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals. Dual 1m winner for Iain Jardine in January; well beaten over 1m3f here on stable debut.
10	10 (10) (50/1 -52%) Ciara Storm	50 50/1(-52%)	(10) Ciara Storm 50/1, Eighth of 9 in handicap (50/1) at Wolverhampton (9.5f) 15 days ago. Still looking for first success. Nine-race maiden; close fifth at 200-1 in December but but well beaten twice since.
9	9 (9) (66/1 -230%) Mickey Mongoose	66 66/1(-230%)	(9) Mickey Mongoose 66/1, 200/1, seventh of 9 in handicap at this C&D 19 days ago, having run of race. Hard to fancy. Turf winner last June but has become disappointing since.
7	7 (7) (80/1 -220%) Art Collection	80 80/1(-220%)	(7) Art Collection 80/1, Latest win at Chantilly in October. Ninth of 12 in handicap at Kempton (6f, 66/1) 16 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Others preferred. Soundly beaten on both starts since returning to Britain, and not yet proven over 1m.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

KING OF SPEED did it well when getting up late to triumph at Wolverhampton last month and with the form of that race having been well boosted since, he can follow up off a mere 2lb higher mark. Stepping up in trip after winning over 7f here, Perfect Swiss looks to be a danger, along with Candy Warhol, who was denied by the narrowest of margins at Wolverhampton.

Preference is for PERFECT SWISS, who was perked up by the addition of blinkers when scoring here last month and remains nicely treated on old form. King of Speed and Daafy should also go well.

Former sprinter KING OF SPEED kept on well to win when upped to 8.6f last month and remains unexposed at around 1m.

18:30 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 8f PREDICTION SIMULATION

19:00 Southwell Handicap (Class 5) 16f - 10 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
9	9 (9) (10/3 +33%) Eagle's Realm	3.333333 10/3(+33%)	(9) Eagle's Realm 10/3, Fourth win in 5 starts in 8-runner handicap at this C&D 29 days ago. This is tougher but no surprise to see him on the premises again. Record since returning to the AW reads 11121, his last two wins coming here; major player.
10	10 (10) (7/2 -40%) The Craftymaster	3.5 7/2(-40%)	(10) The Craftymaster 7/2, On a roll and brought up the 5-timer under this rider in 6-runner handicap (18/5) at Lingfield (15.8f) 23 days ago, kept up to work. First run at Southwell but no telling when his winning spree will end and he's got to top the shortlist again. Bids for a sixth straight win; high on the list provided he is as effective around here.
8	8 (8) (9/2 +18%) De Vega's Warrior	4.5 9/2(+18%)	(8) De Vega's Warrior 9/2, Remains a maiden after 22 Flat runs. Creditable second of 9 in handicap (13/2) at Kempton (16f) 13 days ago, well positioned. Others more persuasive for the win. Running well lately, including a couple of narrow defeats, but is now 0-22.
1	1 (1) (9/2 +50%) Award Dancer	4.5 9/2(+50%)	(1) Award Dancer 9/2, Latest win at Redcar in October. 11/1, creditable fourth of 13 in handicap at this course (16.5f) 10 days ago. Respected back down in class. Fourth in all three starts since returning from wind surgery; bit more needed for the win.
4	4 (4) (15/2 +17%) Military Tycoon	7.5 15/2(+17%)	(4) Military Tycoon 15/2, 25/1, seventh of 12 in novice hurdle at Plumpton (15.9f, soft) 22 days ago. Fairly useful on the Flat, career best when winning on last Flat run for previous yard in October (under this rider). Still unexposed over this sort of trip and one to consider. Back on the Flat after two poor efforts over hurdles; has run well on Tapeta; shortlisted.
2	2 (2) (9/1 +0%) Caldwell	9 9/1(+0%)	(2) Caldwell 9/1, Latest win here in February. Ninth of 12 in handicap at this course (12.1f, 10/1) 10 days ago. Significantly back up in trip and this is more his level. Inconsistent since returning to the AW, but two course wins included one over this trip.
3	3 (3) (16/1 -146%) Tradesman	16 16/1(-146%)	(3) Tradesman 16/1, Four wins from 12 runs last year. Latest win at Chelmsford City in November. 5/1, creditable second of 8 in handicap at Chelmsford City (14f) 82 days ago. Nudged up another 2 lb but was still thriving before Christmas. Respected. Won four of his last six starts, but all on Polytrack and his Tapeta form doesn't match up.
7	7 (7) (20/1 -43%) Bulldog Spirit	20 20/1(-43%)	(7) Bulldog Spirit 20/1, Latest win at Doncaster in June. Off 148 days. Significantly up in trip (stamina to prove). First run for yard after leaving Charlie Johnston. Up to this trip for the first time on stable debut after five months off; watch market.
5	5 (5) (33/1 -200%) Champagne City	33 33/1(-200%)	(5) Champagne City 33/1, 150/1, third of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (9.5f) 77 days ago. Significantly back up in trip. Merits consideration. Ran well over a trip short of his best at Wolverhampton last time; each-way claims again.
6	6 (6) (50/1 -257%) Pianissimo	50 50/1(-257%)	(6) Pianissimo 50/1, Fair staying handicapper. Been off 12 months (sold from Jo Davis €14,000 in September and back with former trainer). On a tempting mark if ready to go and interesting to see any strength behind him in the betting. No win since the end of 2019; back with his former trainer after a year off; watch market.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

A comfortable winner over C&D last time out, EAGLE'S REALM has developed quite an affinity for Southwell this winter and a 4lb rise for that most recent success may not be enough to stop him making it five victories in his last six starts. That may be at the main expense of another winning machine in The Craftymaster, and Tradesman, who has been flying at Chelmsford and now goes back up in trip.

Some thriving stayers here, not least THE CRAFTYMASTER, who can make it 6 wins in a row if carrying on the good work on his first visit to Southwell. Eagle's Realm, seeking a fifth win in 6 starts, Tradesman and Award Dancer are live threats.

Thi can go to the bang-in-form EAGLE'S REALM who has gained his last two wins at this venue, the latest over this trip last month.

19:00 Southwell Handicap (Class 5) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

19:30 Southwell Handicap (Class 4) 11f - 10 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
3	3 (3) (11/8 +61%) Bringbackmemories	1.375 11/8(+61%)	(3) Bringbackmemories 11/8, Course winner. Latest win here in January. 3/1, creditable third of 9 in handicap at this C&D 42 days ago. Enters calculations. Has run well here the last twice, winning over 1m4f and then third over this trip; player.
5	5 (5) (7/2 +53%) Ninth Life	3.5 7/2(+53%)	(5) Ninth Life 7/2, Winner on stable debut at Lingfield (10f) in December. However, not able to replicate that level either outing since, never on terms when sixth of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (9.5f) 25 days ago. Stamina tested a little more now. Twice held since winning at Lingfield, but the return to a longer trip may help.
1	1 (1) (11/2 +31%) Isle Of Sark	5.5 11/2(+31%)	(1) Isle Of Sark 11/2, Fourteen runs since last win in 2020. 10/1, respectable sixth of 13 in handicap at Newcastle (12.4f). Off 6 months and market should guide as to expectations. 0-14 since his successful debut in Ireland as a 2yo; others make greater appeal.
8	8 (8) (8/1 -45%) Tiger Beetle	8 8/1(-45%)	(8) Tiger Beetle 8/1, 7/2, respectable sixth of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (9.5f) 22 days ago, unable land a blow having been left poorly placed. Lines up here back on last winning mark but this sort of trip does look on the limit of his stamina. Back off last winning mark; has run well over 1m4f on turf; each-way shout.
7	7 (7) (8/1 +33%) Southern Voyage	8 8/1(+33%)	(7) Southern Voyage 8/1, 40/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, seventh of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (9.5f) 18 days ago. Mark is easing all the time but he needs to show more before becoming of interest. Nothing since winning at Newcastle in September 2022; down in class but enough to prove.
10	10 (10) (16/1 -256%) Fox Flame	16 16/1(-256%)	(10) Fox Flame 16/1, Course winner. Three wins from 17 runs last year. Good third of 8 in handicap at Kempton (12f, 13/2) 20 days ago, doing best of those from off the pace. Lines up here 3 lb below last winning mark if she can build on that effort. Won over 1m4f here last year and ran well the last twice; may prefer further but respected.
9	9 (9) (18/1 -227%) Absolute Queen	18 18/1(-227%)	(9) Absolute Queen 18/1, 14/1, ninth of 14 in juvenile hurdle at Hereford (16.2f, soft) on NH debut 20 days ago, not seeing things out. Had been largely consistent previously on the level and whilst her mark looks about right on balance, no surprise to see her thereabouts. Off same mark as when placed in three consecutive starts in the autumn; each-way claims.
2	2 (2) (33/1 -65%) Signora Bellissima	33 33/1(-65%)	(2) Signora Bellissima 33/1, 4-y-o filly who found some improvement when doubling career tally in first-time blinkers at Navan (1m) last summer. Well held final starts for Johnny Murtagh and steps back up significantly in trip having changed hands for 6,000 gns in December. Betting may unearth some clues. Stable/AW debut after four months off; sister to an AW winner in Italy; market revealing.
6	6 (6) (40/1 -150%) Golden Delite	40 40/1(-150%)	(6) Golden Delite 40/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 20/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, last of 9 in handicap at Kempton (12f) 34 days ago, shaken up over 2f out and no response. That was his first start for 5 months and this should reveal more. Ran well on second start for Jane Chapple-Hyam, but not matched it for this yard.
4	4 (4) (50/1 -733%) Parish Councillor	50 50/1(-733%)	(4) Parish Councillor 50/1, Showed improved form when off the mark at second attempt in a Newcastle novice (1m) 13 months ago. Well held back from 10 months off under a penalty at that venue in December and he needs to leave that well behind now handicapping/upped in trip. Newcastle winner a year ago, but poor there in December; plenty to prove on handicap debut.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

Not beaten far into third over C&D last time out and a winner here on his penultimate outing, BRINGBACKMEMORIES looks the one to beat on just his fourth all-weather start. Parish Councillor's most recent run when favourite at Newcastle was too bad to be true and better can be expected on his handicap debut. Fox Flame and Tiger Beetle have the form to get involved in proceedings as well.

A winner here in January, BRINGBACKMEMORIES again ran well when third over C&D 42 days ago and, re-united with his regular pilot, he looks sure to go well again. Tiger Beetle still needs to conclusively prove he wants this far but comes here on a workable mark and is respected. Absolute Queen may do best of the others.

Preference is for BRINGBACKMEMORIES who won over 1m4f here in January and ran well when third over C&D last time.

19:30 Southwell Handicap (Class 4) 11f PREDICTION SIMULATION

20:00 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 14f - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
5	5 (5) (7/4 +56%) Young Endless	1.75 7/4(+56%)	(5) Young Endless 7/4, 7/1, creditable third of 8 in handicap at this course (16.5f) 29 days ago. 1 lb lower now and he should be on the premises. Third behind in-form types in two of his three starts for this yard; still unexposed.
1	1 (1) (9/4 -80%) Destinado	2.25 9/4(-80%)	(1) Destinado 9/4, 3/1, improved on recent efforts to win 10-runner handicap at this course (11.1f) 7 days ago. 0-9 when tried over trips in excess of 1½m but he did go close over 13.3f at Chelmsford last spring and is an obvious player under a penalty. 4-7 for the stable; this trip looks as far as he wants but still a major player.
4	4 (4) (9/2 +10%) Socialist Agenda	4.5 9/2(+10%)	(4) Socialist Agenda 9/2, Blinkered for 1st time, creditable third of 12 in minor event (7/1) at this course (12.1f) 29 days ago. Not without each-way hope. Losing run of 17, but ran well last time and form has been franked; shortlisted.
3	3 (3) (6/1 +14%) Billy Bathgate	6 6/1(+14%)	(3) Billy Bathgate 6/1, One win from 23 Flat runs. 17/2, respectable fifth of 10 in handicap at this course (11.1f) 19 days ago, doing too much too soon. Back up in trip and can make his presence felt. Has run well a few times, including over C&D, but a record of 1-32 is hard to ignore.
2	2 (2) (10/1 -33%) Basilette	10 10/1(-33%)	(2) Basilette 10/1, 25/1, creditable seventh of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (12.2f) 25 days ago. Looks vulnerable from a win point of view. Bumper winner who is 0-6 on the Flat, but this longer trip may suit her.
7	7 (7) (22/1 -83%) Sociologist	22 22/1(-83%)	(7) Sociologist 22/1, Course winner. Creditable fourth of 11 in handicap (18/1) at this course (11.1f) 7 days ago, ridden too aggressively. Not certain to benefit from this step back up in trip. Best race for a while when fourth here seven days ago, but 0-23 over this trip and further.
6	6 (6) (50/1 -150%) King Athelstan	50 50/1(-150%)	(6) King Athelstan 50/1, Course winner. 33/1, tenth of 12 in minor event at this course (12.1f) 29 days ago. Others more persuasive. Won over 1m4f here a year ago but form has regressed badly since; best watched.
9	9 (9) (80/1 -142%) Northern Rose	80 80/1(-142%)	(9) Northern Rose 80/1, Lightly-raced maiden on Flat. Last of 10 in handicap hurdle at Market Rasen (16.6f, good to soft, 25/1) 28 days ago. Tongue strap on for 1st time. Best to look elsewhere. Nothing in ten starts under both codes for four different trainers; tongue-tie on.
8	8 (8) (100/1 -300%) Tiger Touch	100 100/1(-300%)	(8) Tiger Touch 100/1, Sixteen runs since last win in 2020. Eighth of 11 in handicap (125/1) at this course (11.1f) 7 days ago. Up in trip and he looks set for another struggle. Little in 11 outings since arriving in this country; loads to prove up another 3f in trip.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

SOCIALIST AGENDA looks worth another go at this trip, having kept on well for third over two furlongs shorter here last month. The form of that race has worked out well and he may be able to break his Flat duck, ahead of the likes of recent course winner Destinado and Young Endless, who has offered encouragement since joining the Sam Thomas team.

Despite some reservations regarding the suitability of this trip, DESTINADO has to be the call under a 5 lb penalty following his decisive victory here last week. Young Endless hasn't been with his present yard for long and a reproduction of his latest effort over 16.5f here would give him a chance, while Billy Bathgate and Socialist Agenda are also shortlisted.

The choice is YOUNG ENDLESS who has finished third behind thriving sorts in two of his three starts since joining this yard.

20:00 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 14f PREDICTION SIMULATION

20:30 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 14f - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	1 (1) (6/4 +25%) Louisiana Bay	1.5 6/4(+25%)	(1) Louisiana Bay 6/4, Respectable fourth of 10 in handicap (11/4) at Newcastle (12.4f) 17 days ago. Record stands at 0-10 but has been knocking on the door and she's high on the shortlist here. Ten-race maiden; more needed if she is to break her duck, though this isn't a strong race.
3	3 (3) (5/2 -53%) Stolen Encounter	2.5 5/2(-53%)	(3) Stolen Encounter 5/2, Good second of 6 in handicap (6/5) at Chelmsford City (14f) 12 days ago. Low mileage for a 4-y-o and, unexposed over this trip, he should be bang there if responding well to the first-time blinkers. Runner-up the last twice and unexposed, but may face competition for the lead; blinkers on.
2	2 (2) (5/1 +29%) Prince Abu	5 5/1(+29%)	(2) Prince Abu 5/1, C&D winner. Eighteen runs since last win in 2022. Eighth of 10 in handicap at this C&D (11/1) 42 days ago, not ideally placed. Others make more appeal. Three-time winner who lurks on a dangerous mark, 9lb lower than when last successful.
6	6 (6) (11/2 +0%) Midnight Shimmer	5.5 11/2(+0%)	(6) Midnight Shimmer 11/2, Lightly-raced maiden. 20/1, good third of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (14f) 11 days ago, well positioned. Live each-way chance. Lightly raced 6yo after five starts; ran well in two Wolverhampton handicaps; respected.
4	4 (4) (22/1 -83%) Fandabidozi	22 22/1(-83%)	(4) Fandabidozi 22/1, One win from 28 Flat runs. 7/1, eighth of 10 in minor event at Wolverhampton (12.2f) 22 days ago. Looks vulnerable. Fourth on return to the Flat last month, but held nine days later; losing run up to 33.
9	9 (9) (25/1 -150%) Reign Of Thunder	25 25/1(-150%)	(9) Reign Of Thunder 25/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Hooded for 1st time/cheekpieces on for 1st time, second of 4 in handicap at Lingfield (15.8f, AW, 40/1) 11 days ago. Place possibilities. Not sure what he achieved when second of four on handicap debut; still unexposed, though.
8	8 (8) (33/1 -136%) Broctune Azure	33 33/1(-136%)	(8) Broctune Azure 33/1, Creditable sixth of 10 in handicap at Newcastle (12.4f, 50/1) 17 days ago but no more than an each-way squeak here. 0-8; shaped as though this sort of trip might suit last time.
5	5 (5) (40/1 -100%) Sugarpiehoneybunch	40 40/1(-100%)	(5) Sugarpiehoneybunch 40/1, Ninth of 12 in minor event at this course (12.1f, 40/1) 29 days ago and it's probably best to look elsewhere. Won twice on soft ground last April but has lost her way since; still has stamina to prove.
7	7 (7) (100/1 -203%) Buford	100 100/1(-203%)	(7) Buford 100/1, One win from 29 Flat runs. 80/1, last of 6 in handicap at Chelmsford City (14f) 12 days ago, missing break. Readily passed over. 1-31 and poor in all three starts since returning in January; easily passed over.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

Runner-up on his last two starts, including when favourite over this distance at Chelmsford last time out, STOLEN ENCOUNTER looks as though he is ready to get off the mark and this may well be the time. Louisiana Bay is open to improvement on the step up in trip, with Oisin Murphy back in the saddle. Midnight Shimmer hasn't gone badly since returning from a long absence in January and is another to consider.

A deserved first taste of success beckons for STOLEN ENCOUNTER, who has improved switched to handicaps with cheekpieces enlisted on his last three starts, most recently finishing a clear second upped to this trip at Chelmsford. The addition of more severe headgear could help eke out a little more from this lightly-raced 4-y-o. Louisiana Bay also deserves to get her head in front and she is feared most ahead of Midnight Shimmer.

It may be worth taking a chance with three-time course winner PRINCE ABU who has dropped to an inviting mark.

20:30 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 14f PREDICTION SIMULATION

Racecard Key

Ths is the racecard key.

Icon	Meaning
	TomForm top stats, gold rated
	TomForm top stats silver rated
	Ran similar race before
S	TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out
T	Top Time speeed rated
	Top Racingpost rated
	At the races watchout for
	At the races top pick
	Top rated for thet statistic

How to use Tomform

Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.

This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.

About U.K Horse Racing

Horse racing is a popular and historic sport in the UK, with a tradition dating back centuries. It is a multi-billion pound industry that attracts millions of spectators each year and generates significant economic activity.

There are two main types of horse racing in the UK: flat racing and jump racing. Flat racing is run on a level course and is typically shorter in distance, while jump racing involves horses jumping over obstacles and is generally longer in distance. Both types of racing are popular with spectators and bettors, and they take place at various racetracks throughout the country.

The most famous horse racing event in the UK is the Grand National, which is held annually at Aintree Racecourse in Liverpool. It is a jump racing event that is known for its challenging course and has become a national institution in the UK. Other notable horse racing events in the UK include the Derby, held at Epsom Downs Racecourse in Surrey, and the Royal Ascot, held at Ascot Racecourse in Berkshire.

Horse racing in the UK is regulated by the British Horseracing Authority (BHA), which sets rules and standards for the industry. It is responsible for the welfare of racehorses and the safety of jockeys and trainers, as well as ensuring fair and transparent racing practices.

In addition to its economic and cultural importance, horse racing in the UK also plays a significant role in the breeding and training of thoroughbred horses. Many of the world's top thoroughbreds are bred and trained in the UK, and the industry plays a vital role in the preservation and promotion of the breed.

Overall, horse racing is an integral part of British culture and a major contributor to the country's economy. It is a thrilling and exciting sport that continues to attract a loyal following and generate significant interest from spectators and bettors around the world.

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