1 Friday 8th March 2024 UK Horse Racing Speed Ratings & Tips

Tomform Friday 8th March 2024

There were 34 Races on Friday 8th March 2024 across 5 meetings. There was 6 races at Exeter, 6 races at Leicester, 6 races at Ayr, 8 races at Newcastle, 8 races at Dundalk, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.

Races & Results Friday 8th March 2024

The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.

13:40 Exeter Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 17f - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	6 1st (6) (9/2 -29%) Pirates' Tale	4.5 9/2(-29%)	(6) Pirates' Tale 9/2, Excellent start when runner-up in a bumper at Newton Abbot in October but both subsequent runs have been disappointing, including on hurdling debut at this course last time. Too soon to write off. Finished fourth in a better race here (hurdles debut) last time; place claims.
2	4 2nd (4) (10/11 -36%) Isocrate	0.909091 10/11(-36%)	(4) Isocrate 10/11, Ex-pointer who stepped up on previous Rules efforts when second in a novice at Sandown 22 days ago. Likely to do better still and already sets the standard, so obvious claims. Went very close at Sandown last month, sticking on well; brings the best form.
3	3 3rd (3) (16/1 +84%) Can't Say	16 16/1(+84%)	(3) Can't Say 16/1, Unpromising in points and well held only outing in bumpers. Yet to make an impact over hurdles and probably more of a handicap type. Lightly raced; best effort when fifth over C&D two starts ago.
4	7 4th (7) (50/1 -213%) The Cypriot	50 50/1(-213%)	(7) The Cypriot 50/1, Modest form in 2 bumpers and sent off at long odds, offered little starting out over hurdles at Taunton 2 weeks ago. Couple of backward steps since an encouraging debut.
5th	5 5th (5) (13/2 +54%) Optimistic Joe	6.5 13/2(+54%)	(5) Optimistic Joe 13/2, £60,000 purchase after finishing third in a point last March but underwhelming so far over hurdles, pulled up at Wincanton last time. Others make more appeal. May do better yet, having raced just three times.
6th	1 6th (1) (4/1 +0%) Another Fine Mess	4 4/1(+0%)	(1) Another Fine Mess 4/1, Has an ordinary pedigree but is a good type and showed ability in bumpes. Likely to improve from his low-key hurdling debut at Newbury, so could feature in this lesser race. Has shown ability; open to improvement on second attempt over hurdles.
7th	9 7th (9) (200/1 -100%) Confused Again	200 200/1(-100%)	(9) Confused Again 200/1, Not much promise in two hurdling outings to date. Set for another struggle. Distant sixth in two races at this track.
8th	8 8th (8) (150/1 -650%) Victor Haze	150 150/1(-650%)	(8) Victor Haze 150/1, Arvico gelding. Dam (h72), maiden hurdler, half-sister to bumper winner/smart hurdler (2m-2¾m winner) Bella Haze and fairly useful hurdler (stayed 3m) Driftwood Haze. Likely to need time. From a family that has served his trainer well; market instructive on debut.
2	2 \|F\| (2) (16/1 +68%) Bredon Hill Dart	16 16/1(+68%)	(2) Bredon Hill Dart 16/1, Bettered previous efforts under Rules when fourth in a C&D novice a fortnight ago but much more required if he's to be involved in the finish. All starts at this venue, best form when fourth on two occasions.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

ISOCRATE showed a likeable attitude when just failing to get up over 2m at Sandown on just his third start under Rules last month and, easing slightly in grade, this looks to be a very winnable opening for Jonjo O'Neill's gelding. Out of a whole host of unexposed potential improvers behind the selection, Another Fine Mess may give him the most to think about after shaping with promise in a higher grade at Newbury last time out, while Pirates' Tale is also shortlist material.

ISOCRATE took a marked step forward when runner-up at Sandown 22 days ago and, with more to come, he should be able to open his account in this lesser event. Another Fine Mess is open to improvement and looks the main threat, with Pirates' Tale also not fully dismissed.

The form pick is ISOCRATE, who nearly scored at Sandown three weeks ago. Pirates' Tale is second choice.

13:40 Exeter Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 17f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:00 Ayr Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 16f - 10 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	5 1st (5) (7/4 +65%) Hombre De Guerra	1.75 7/4(+65%)	(5) Hombre De Guerra 7/4, Fair form when placed in maiden/novice hurdles at up to 20.5f here this winter. Likely he'll be in the shake-up again. Eyecatching second over C&D in November, and his last-time-out third was also promising.
2	8 2nd (8) (22/1 -57%) Tommys Law	22 22/1(-57%)	(8) Tommys Law 22/1, Runner-up twice in points but more one for the longer term judged on his performances in a Carlisle bumper and 20.5f course maiden hurdle since switching to Rules. Second in two Irish points last year but has made disappointing start to rules career.
3	4 3rd (4) (2/1 -60%) Hazy Glen	2 2/1(-60%)	(4) Hazy Glen 2/1, Bumper winner who has shown promise when runner-up on both hurdle starts, with the form of his latest 2½m Newcastle near miss boosted by the third, fourth and sixth winning since. The one to beat. Runner-up on first two hurdling starts; strong claims if coping with drop back in trip.
4	6 4th (6) (40/1 -100%) Reforme	40 40/1(-100%)	(6) Reforme 40/1, Showed a bit when fourth in a Musselburgh bumper at the turn of the year. Quickly switches to hurdles. One of 4 runners from his yard. Made quite encouraging bumper debut in January and should have a future over jumps.
5th	7 5th (7) (4/1 +27%) Ridin Solo	4 4/1(+27%)	(7) Ridin Solo 4/1, Point winner who has shown promise when runner-up over 17f at Sedgefield and Carlisle since switched to hurdles. He should be on the premises again. Irish point winner; ran well in defeat on both hurdling starts; probably won't be far away.
6th	1 6th (1) (50/1 -100%) Aldbourne	50 50/1(-100%)	(1) Aldbourne 50/1, Fair handicapper on Flat for Harry Eustace. Showed a bit when sixth of 8 on recent Newcastle hurdle debut (2m, soft) but possibly more one for handicaps in this sphere. Dual Flat winner in 2022 but made low-key stable debut at Newcastle last month.
7th	2 7th (2) (5/1 -122%) Ayiko	5 5/1(-122%)	(2) Ayiko 5/1, Won a course bumper in December. Not up to a Grade 2 bumper at the Dublin Racing Festival since but he should be up to making his presence felt in a race like this now hurdling. Impressed in course bumper in December and has a major role to play on hurdling debut.
8th	3 8th (3) (250/1 -25%) Flying Sandpiper	250 250/1(-25%)	(3) Flying Sandpiper 250/1, No promise in 2 bumpers and a novice hurdle at Kelso. Pulled up when 300-1 for last month's hurdle debut at Kelso.
9	9 \|F\| (9) (200/1 -400%) Balfour Girl	200 200/1(-400%)	(9) Balfour Girl 200/1, Jack Hobbs filly who was a remote fifth in a Perth bumper last summer. Watching brief advised now hurdling after 7 months off. Beaten about 43l when fifth of seven in good-ground course bumper last summer.
10	10 \|PU\| (10) (400/1 -300%) Suleiman Artist	400 400/1(-300%)	(10) Suleiman Artist 400/1, Modest form at best in a trio of bumpers for Nigel Twiston-Davies and remote sixth on C&D hurdle/stable debut 11 days ago. Showed minor promise in bumpers but struggled on recent stable/hurdle debut.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

AYIKO was pitched in at the deep end when finishing last in a Grade 2 bumper at the Dublin Racing Festival, having struck here the time before. Now switching his attention to hurdling, Stuart Crawford's gelding makes plenty of appeal and gets the vote to make a winning start in this sphere. Hazy Glen went close at Newcastle, but will need to handle a drop in trip. With that in mind, the main threat could prove to be Ridin Solo following his seconds at Sedgefield and Carlisle.

The form of HAZY GLEN's close second at Newcastle at the end of January has received a few boosts since and he's the one to beat dropping back in trip. Course bumper winner Ayiko is a possible threat if taking to his new discipline, while Ridin Solo and Hombre de Guerra have been placed in similar events this season and should be competitive again.

The suggestion is HAZY GLEN, who went down fighting at Newcastle last month and had a couple of next-time-out winners behind him.

14:00 Ayr Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:10 Exeter Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 17f - 7 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	1 1st (1) (2/1 -23%) Spirits Bay	2 2/1(-23%)	(1) Spirits Bay 2/1, Useful dual bumper winner last season who showed promise on first 2 hurdle starts before making the most of a good opportunity over C&D 14 days ago. His opening handicap mark looks very workable. Justified favouritism in C&D novice contest two weeks ago; still open to further progress.
2	2 2nd (2) (15/8 -7%) Donnacha	1.875 15/8(-7%)	(2) Donnacha 15/8, Winner of Chepstow novice and Warwick handicap (both 2m, soft) this season. Only mid-field in last month's Betfair Hurdle but offered enough to think he's still in form and respected back in calmer waters. Came up short in major handicap last month; consistent and steadily progressive otherwise.
3	4 3rd (4) (4/1 +38%) Moorefields	4 4/1(+38%)	(4) Moorefields 4/1, Built on debut promise when landing 16-runner 18.5f course maiden hurdle (heavy) on New Year's Day. Found out when faced with a sharper test at Taunton since but retains potential now handicapping back here. Scored at this venue two starts ago and is still an unexposed sort; interesting back here.
4	5 4th (5) (66/1 -230%) Hard Rain	66 66/1(-230%)	(5) Hard Rain 66/1, Won a Limerick handicap hurdle last summer. Placed over hurdles and fences in Ireland subsequently but well below par when last of 6 on his stable debut at Sandown 3 weeks ago. Ex-Irish 9yo; beaten long way at Sandown last month on debut for new stable.
5th	6 5th (6) (9/1 +44%) Heure De Gloire	9 9/1(+44%)	(6) Heure De Gloire 9/1, Back to winning ways in 2m Ffos Las mares' handicap at the beginning of February but hasn't reproduced that level in her 2 outings since, beaten 11 lengths when third of 4 finishers over C&D a fortnight ago. Going back against males isn't ideal, having gained all wins in mares' races.
6th	7 6th (7) (8/1 -14%) Koenigsstern	8 8/1(-14%)	(7) Koenigsstern 8/1, Dual winning pointer who has shown promise when reaching the frame on all 4 starts over hurdles this winter, showing he can be competitive in handicaps when third at Warwick on penultimate start. Consistent results over hurdles for new yard; ties in with Donnacha on penultimate effort.
3	3 \|PU\| (3) (50/1 -257%) Vernon Subutex	50 50/1(-257%)	(3) Vernon Subutex 50/1, Multiple winner in France who hasn't been seen since making a successful British debut for the David Pipe stable in a 22.5f Stratford handicap chase in May 2022. Betting perhaps the best guide on return for Sophie Leech. Absent since scoring over fences at Stratford 22 months ago on sole run for David Pipe.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

The progressive DONNACHA posted an excellent third in a competitive handicap at Cheltenham in December, before running out a game winner over 2m at Warwick on his penultimate start. After finishing down the field in the Betfair Hurdle last month, it may pay to be in a forgiving mood given Nigel Hawke's gelding races off his last winning mark and has much less on his plate. Spirits Bay is respected on his handicap debut after a cosy success over C&D last month, while Moorefields is the likely pace angle and cannot be overlooked.

Although SPIRITS BAY wasn't that impressive when landing short odds in a C&D novice a fortnight ago the form of his first 2 efforts over hurdles suggest an opening mark of 118 could underestimate him. Donnacha should find this easier than last month's Betfair Hurdle and is second choice ahead of Koenigsstern.

Topweight SPIRITS BAY is taken to build on his C&D novice win and follow up. Moorefields is second choice.

14:10 Exeter Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 17f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:20 Leicester Handicap Chase (Class 3) 23f - 1 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	2 1st (2) (2/1 -14%) Lord Of Kerak		2 2/1(-14%)																															(2) Lord Of Kerak 2/1, Fairly useful hurdles winner who has reached a similar level without tasting success over fences, twice runner-up in small-field events here since undergoing a wind op. Likely to pick up a race in this sphere before long but he has plenty on his plate against Marble Sands. Runner-up on both visits to Leicester, including over C&D (heavy) last time; 7lb 'wrong'..

LTO Selection:hiden content,

Musselburgh winner MARBLE SANDS, who was contesting Graded races in December, is presented with an obvious chance of adding to his tally as he sets out on just his fifth start over fences. Lord Of Kerak is 7lb wrong at the weights and, even though he is getting 19lb from his sole rival, it is hard to see the Olly Murphy-trained gelding coming out on top in this match race.

MARBLE SANDS made it 2-4 over fences in decisive fashion at Musselburgh last month and, following a spin on the Flat earlier this week, he should prove too strong for Lord of Kerak.

After running on the AW at Southwell on Tuesday evening, MARBLE SANDS reappears swiftly. He should be able to make it 3-5 over fences.

14:20 Leicester Handicap Chase (Class 3) 23f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:30 Ayr Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 16f - 14 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	3 1st (3) (7/4 +36%) Cancan	1.75 7/4(+36%)	(3) Cancan 7/4, C&D winner. Respectable third of 10 in handicap hurdle (9/2) at Musselburgh (15.6f, soft) 19 days ago. Arrives in better form than most and is worth taking a chance on. C&D winner in 2021 and returns here after two Musselburgh thirds last month; in the mix.
2	2 2nd (2) (9/1 +55%) Mack The Man	9 9/1(+55%)	(2) Mack The Man 9/1, Four-time winner over hurdles but mixed form in 4 starts last season and yet to fire this term. Something to prove. Ran quite well on stable debut but two lesser efforts have followed; new headgear tried.
3	4 3rd (4) (12/1 -85%) Serious Ego	12 12/1(-85%)	(4) Serious Ego 12/1, Latest win in hurdle at Hexham in November. Respectable third of 7 in handicap hurdle at Sedgefield (16.8f, heavy, 14/1) 14 days ago, barely adequate test. Not discounted. Won twice at Hexham in November but not quite at same level since; others preferred.
4	10 4th (10) (11/1 +67%) Don't Look Back	11 11/1(+67%)	(10) Don't Look Back 11/1, Fair handicapper on Flat (stays 1m) but well held completed starts in this sphere. Others make more appeal. Safely held all on three stable starts and now 0-7 over hurdles; not the obvious answer.
5th	14 5th (14) (66/1 -100%) Captain Nelson	66 66/1(-100%)	(14) Captain Nelson 66/1, Little worthwhile form and jumping is a major issue. Switches to handicapping after a break. 0-7 in novice/maiden hurdles, completing only twice and showing no significant promise.
6th	8 6th (8) (10/1 -67%) Batman For Ever	10 10/1(-67%)	(8) Batman For Ever 10/1, Fair winning hurdler/chaser at up to 2½m in France in 2021 but didn't offer much for Rebecca Menzies and tame start for this yard in handicap hurdle at Newcastle 22 days ago. Attracted support last time so not completely ruled out. Well beaten on last month's stable debut but still worth keeping an eye on in the betting.
7th	1 7th (1) (20/1 -67%) Kellie's Dream	20 20/1(-67%)	(1) Kellie's Dream 20/1, Dual hurdler winner for Andrew Slattery in Ireland. Below form on first start for this yard at Carlisle 18 days ago but could step up on that. Dual winner when trained in Ireland but made low-key stable debut last month.
8th	5 8th (5) (14/1 -40%) River Ayr	14 14/1(-40%)	(5) River Ayr 14/1, Promise in bumpers and seems to have been brought along gradually over hurdles. Could step forward now handicapping but assessor has taken no chances with opening mark. Respectable fifth in Sedgefield maiden last month; makes handicap debut today.
9th	9 9th (9) (14/1 -100%) Northern Cardinal	14 14/1(-100%)	(9) Northern Cardinal 14/1, Third in a bumper in April but has been a bit too keen to date over hurdles. Could make more of an impact if he settles better on handicap bow. Showed only minor promise in his qualifying races but might improve in handicaps.
6	6 \|F\| (6) (15/2 +25%) Skiddaw	7.5 15/2(+25%)	(6) Skiddaw 15/2, Has shown ability in his 2 completed hurdle runs. Pulled up last time but given a break ahead of this handicap debut, so worth monitoring in the betting. Well beaten in two C&D maidens this winter; needs wind op to have made a difference.
13	13 \|F\| (13) (33/1 +0%) Golden Swift	33 33/1(+0%)	(13) Golden Swift 33/1, Well held in a bumper/over hurdles. Hard to fancy despite switch to handicaps. Struggled to get competitive when a big-priced outsider for three maiden hurdles.
10th	12 10th (12) (9/1 +0%) Lifetime Adventure	9 9/1(+0%)	(12) Lifetime Adventure 9/1, Modest maiden hurdler who ran with credit when fourth at Wetherby 8 days ago. Tongue tied now but no certainty to back up latest effort. 0-9 over hurdles but ran quite well last week; back in trip with tongue-tie added today.
11th	11 11th (11) (28/1 +15%) Iolani	28 28/1(+15%)	(11) Iolani 28/1, =Veteran who arrives here on a losing run and has gone off the boil lately. Up against it. Six-time hurdle winner but not since 2021; out of form when last seen in the autumn.
12th	7 12th (7) (28/1 -460%) Sword Of Fate	28 28/1(-460%)	(7) Sword Of Fate 28/1, Front runner who capitalised on a drop in grade when scoring over fences at Perth. Decent second at Cartmel next time and shaped as if still in form last time. Not seen for 178 days and back over hurdles now, but warrants a market check. Veteran; better known as a chaser now and has fitness to prove after six-month absence.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

SERIOUS EGO was in fine form earlier in the season, with a brace of victories at Hexham in November before a couple of underwhelming performances. His most recent third at Sedgefield was a step back in the right direction and the use of Conor Rabbitt's 5lb claim gives him every chance of a decent showing. Lifetime Adventure may benefit from a first-time tongue-tie, while the consistent Cancan and handicap debutant River Ayr are others to note.

CANCAN has been holding her form well, which is more than can be said for most, so she gets the nod ahead of Serious Ego, who ran with credit last time. Northern Cardinal is probably the pick of the numerous handicap debutants.

This might go to is handicap debutant NORTHERN CARDINAL, who is of interest if judged on last spring's bumper third.

14:30 Ayr Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:40 Exeter Handicap Chase (Class 4) 19f - 6 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	3 1st (3) (5/4 +50%) Bonza Boy	1.25 5/4(+50%)	(3) Bonza Boy 5/4, Didn't kick on from a promising start over hurdles but firm step back in right direction from tumbling mark when runner-up in a C&D handicap chase 37 days ago, despite failing to keep straight at his fences. Should be thereabouts from 1 lb higher mark with a repeat. Maiden who posted an encouraging effort over C&D last time; that form is working out well.
2	5 2nd (5) (7/1 +50%) I Love You Sivola	7 7/1(+50%)	(5) I Love You Sivola 7/1, Fair hurdler/chaser in France but not a great deal of encouragement to glean from handful of starts for present stable, albeit faced with a stiff task from out of the weights when fourth at Wincanton (20f) 3 weeks ago. Well treated on best French form but British record is underwhelming.
1	1 \|PU\| (1) (4/1 -300%) Cast's Tasha	4 4/1(-300%)	(1) Cast's Tasha 4/1, Began the campaign in fine form over hurdles and value for extra when landing cramped odds on chase debut at Ffos Las (19.4f, heavy), idling late on but always having matters in hand. 6 lb rise fair on that evidence and sound claims with improvement anticipated. Justified favouritism at Ffos Las (chase debut) five weeks ago; consistent mare.
4	4 \|PU\| (4) (9/2 +63%) Dylan's Double	4.5 9/2(+63%)	(4) Dylan's Double 9/2, Shaped like a stayer upped in trip when sixth on 11 on Plumpton handicap hurdle debut/return in November. Proved to be a disappointment both outings since in that sphere, so switch to chasing needs to have positive effect now. Switch to chasing is a possible source of improvement off reduced mark.
7	7 \|PU\| (7) (11/1 +56%) My Rockstar	11 11/1(+56%)	(7) My Rockstar 11/1, Shed maiden tag from basement mark at Wincanton (20f) last spring and ended last season with a good third at Warwick upped to 3m. Shaped as if needing run on return at Taunton and subsequent Wincanton run best excused (badly hampered 4 out). No forlorn hope. Had bad luck last time; however, he's 4lb out of weights upped in grade.
6	6 \|PU\| (6) (16/1 +20%) Blue Ribbon	16 16/1(+20%)	(6) Blue Ribbon 16/1, Fair 2m hurdles winner for Dr Richard Newland in 2021. Largely struggled for present stable but did dispel a lesser effort when fifth of 13 in handicap chase at Taunton (18f) 31 days ago, staying on again late on. Return to this slightly longer trip a plus. Has C&D form but he's 0-7 for current yard and 3lb out of the weights.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

It is hard to look past the consistent CAST'S TASHA, who scored with more authority than the winning margin suggests over 2m3f at Ffos Las last month after jumping slightly right at her fences. Upped 6lb and now on a right-handed track, she should take some stopping. Bonza Boy has been nudged up just 1lb for finishing second over C&D in January and he commands attention, while better can be expected from Dylan's Double on his chasing debut.

CAST'S TASHA went through the race with plenty of zest and was ultimately value for extra when making a winning chase debut at Ffos Las 5 weeks ago and she could well be up to defying the handicapper with further progress distinctly possible. Bonza Boy, who finished a good second over C&D latest is a danger with a repeat, with My Rockstar another not out of things.

On the back of a very solid C&D effort, BONZA BOY (nap) looks poised to open his account. Moorland Rambler is second choice.

14:40 Exeter Handicap Chase (Class 4) 19f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:50 Leicester Handicap Chase (Class 5) 16f - 4 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	3 1st (3) (15/8 +44%) Royal Mer	1.875 15/8(+44%)	(3) Royal Mer 15/8, Has returned to something like his best back over fences, scoring at Ffos Las and here in recent months. Back on track when second to Noche Negra last time and drops in trip again. Course winner (2m4f) in January; runner-up to Noche Negra at Southwell last time; chance..
2	4 2nd (4) (14/1 -56%) Dancing Dani	14 14/1(-56%)	(4) Dancing Dani 14/1, Maiden under Rules and recent efforts make her hard to fancy from out of the weights. Placed over fences at Ludlow (2m) recently, but 0-18 overall and the least likely here..
3	1 3rd (1) (11/8 -52%) Noche Negra	1.375 11/8(-52%)	(1) Noche Negra 11/8, Improved on his chasing debut form to get off the mark at Catterick and supplemented that at the expense of Royal Mer in a 4-runner event at Southwell last time. Going the right way, so worth a chance to complete the hat-trick. Switches to a right-handed track and drops back in trip seeking hat-trick; strong claims..
4	2 4th (2) (10/3 -11%) It's Easy	3.333333 10/3(-11%)	(2) It's Easy 10/3, Fairly useful maiden chaser in France for David Cottin and, while his form for this stable hasn't been as good, his mark reflects that and there was more encouragement when second at Huntingdon last time. Worth considering. Ran well from this mark when runner-up at Huntingdon (2m4f, soft) latest; back in trip..

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

A third consecutive success is well within reach for the progressive NOCHE NEGRA, who seems to be getting better with each run over fences and a 5lb rise for his latest victory may not be enough to halt him today. Royal Mer, who was a close second behind the selection that day when they met over the extended 2m4f at Southwell last month, is respected but the drop back down in trip has to be a slight concern. Therefore, It's Easy is suggested as a bigger threat on this occasion.

NOCHE NEGRAN is progressive and should have the run of the race again, so he's fancied to uphold placings with old-rival Royal Mer. It's Easy is slipping in the weights and worthy of respect having stepped back in the right direction last time.

A rematch between the progressive NOCHE NEGRA and Royal Mer. Laura Morgan's charge can complete the hat-trick.

14:50 Leicester Handicap Chase (Class 5) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:00 Ayr Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 20f - 12 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	2 1st (2) (3/1 +10%) Follow Charlie	3 3/1(+10%)	(2) Follow Charlie 3/1, Chased home a next-time-out winner over 2m here on handicap debut before going one better in a 14-runner event over C&D. Shaped as if still in good form in a stronger race at Newcastle since. C&D winner in January; only fourth off new mark last month but remains of interest.
2	5 2nd (5) (25/1 -127%) Master Bricklayer	25 25/1(-127%)	(5) Master Bricklayer 25/1, First sign of promise when fifth of 9 in a 2m maiden at Kelso in December. However, looked none too keen when well held back there last time. Up in trip for handicap bow. Shaped with promise in one of his three qualifying races; up in trip for handicap debut.
3	11 3rd (11) (17/2 +39%) Lewa House	8.5 17/2(+39%)	(11) Lewa House 17/2, Inconsistent sort but would have claims on the pick of his form back down in trip/grade. Took modest second over C&D in January but never seriously involved over 3m last month.
4	8 4th (8) (10/3 -67%) Weaver's Answer	3.333333 10/3(-67%)	(8) Weaver's Answer 10/3, Improved with cheekpieces added when gaining second hurdle success at Plumpton (25f, soft) last week, drawing 17 lengths clear. Looks ahead of the handicapper turned out under a penalty but the drop back in trip may not be ideal. Won by 17l in first-time cheekpieces 11 days ago; 5lb well in under 7lb penalty here.
5th	3 5th (3) (40/1 -100%) Kilkee Royal	40 40/1(-100%)	(3) Kilkee Royal 40/1, Minor promise in his qualifying runs in Ireland and was well held kept to 2m on his handicap debut at Sedgefield in October. Needs a sizable step forward but this step up in trip will suit. Never really got involved when 33-1 for handicap debut at Sedgefield in October.
6th	10 6th (10) (7/1 +22%) Kingston Rock	7 7/1(+22%)	(10) Kingston Rock 7/1, Well held in bumpers but hasn't shaped at all badly both starts in handicaps, including behind a thrown-in rival at Carlisle (17f, heavy) last time. Not dismissed back up in trip. Ran quite well in first two handicaps (2m6f/2m1f) and has each-way claims.
7th	4 7th (4) (10/1 +0%) One Step Up	10 10/1(+0%)	(4) One Step Up 10/1, Has yet to build on his promise in novice/maiden hurdles in handicaps but it's still early days and he may have benefited from both a break and a breathing operation. Made low-key start to handicap career but January's wind op may enable improvement.
8th	1 8th (1) (16/1 +20%) City Derby	16 16/1(+20%)	(1) City Derby 16/1, Posted a number of good efforts earlier in the year but has been well below form on his last 3 outings, finding little at Carlisle latest. Back up in trip with plenty to prove. Ran well to a point in stronger race than this last time and is well handicapped now.
9th	6 9th (6) (22/1 -100%) Broomhill Road	22 22/1(-100%)	(6) Broomhill Road 22/1, Minor promise in a pair of bumpers and showed a bit more than previously over hurdles when seventh of 10 in a novice (80/1) at Taunton (19f, good to soft) 31 days ago. Wears first-time visor for handicap bow. Has not yet delivered on his bumper promise over hurdles; visored for handicap debut.
7	7 \|PU\| (7) (5/1 +33%) Beat The Retreat	5 5/1(+33%)	(7) Beat The Retreat 5/1, Showed improved form to get off the mark in 8-runner handicap hurdle at Ayr (18f, soft, 9/1) in December. Disappointing bidding to follow-up next time but bounced back to form after a 7-week break when third of 11 at Musselburgh (19.8f) 19 days ago. Placed at Musselburgh since 2m2f course win in December and not yet fully exposed.
9	9 \|PU\| (9) (14/1 +0%) Eden Mill	14 14/1(+0%)	(9) Eden Mill 14/1, Resumed with a good second at Kelso (21f, soft) in November and built on that when scoring with a good deal to spare over the same C&D next time. Found less than looked likely at Newcastle and ran even worse refitted with a tongue strap at Musselburgh 19 days ago. Bit to prove at present. Won easily at Kelso in November but form has dipped since; now has a point to prove.
13	13 \|PU\| (13) (80/1 -100%) Vive De Charnie	80 80/1(-100%)	(13) Vive De Charnie 80/1, Fair form in bumpers for Jamie Snowden but little form in various events over hurdles for current yard following 21 months off. Unexposed after only four hurdling starts but was well beaten over C&D on handicap debut.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

Broomhill Road hasn't achieved what his bumper form suggested he might be capable of in three attempts over hurdles so far. That said, the five-year-old now sports a visor for the first time on his handicap debut and it would be no surprise to see him step forward. However, WEAVER'S ANSWER is 5lb well-in under a penalty after routing the opposition at Plumpton 11 days ago and the drop in trip shouldn't be a concern. Beat The Retreat and Follow Charlie are others likely to be in the mix.

FOLLOW CHARLIE goes well at this track and shaped as if still in good form in a stronger race than he need contest at Newcastle last month, so it's reasonable to assume he can resume winning ways back in a 0-100. Weaver's Answer is much respected under a penalty for all that the drop back in trip isn't sure to suit, while Kingston Rock didn't shape at all badly behind a handicap blot last time and is another to consider.

It's worth chancing CITY DERBY, who is well handicapped on some of his early-season form and hinted at a possible revival last month.

15:00 Ayr Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 20f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:10 Exeter Handicap Chase (Class 3) 18f - 4 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	1 1st (1) (9/2 +25%) Goshen	4.5 9/2(+25%)	(1) Goshen 9/2, Very smart hurdler in his pomp but struggling to recapture his best form this term. Didn't convince in pair of chase starts last winter but does now go handicapping in this sphere from a much lower mark. Cheekpieces replace blinkers. Notoriously quirky but is talented when on song; returns to chasing off an attractive mark.
2	4 2nd (4) (7/4 +61%) Mayhem Mya	1.75 7/4(+61%)	(4) Mayhem Mya 7/4, Fairly useful hurdler who left chase debut form well behind when second in mares' listed event here in November and made most of good opportunity to land C&D mares' novice a month later. Not herself at Huntingdon since but on a potentially handy mark now handicapping. Leading claims. Solid results over C&D in November/December; interesting returned to this venue.
3	3 \|F\| (3) (4/1 -78%) Zambezi Fix	4 4/1(-78%)	(3) Zambezi Fix 4/1, Justified good support when staying on well to score over fences at Chepstow (2m, heavy) in December. Performed well to finish runner-up over fences/hurdles both starts since and no reason why he won't give another good account with forecast conditions right up his street. Generally consistent but loses points for having the worst strike-rate in this field.
2	2 \|PU\| (2) (15/8 -71%) Fine Casting	1.875 15/8(-71%)	(2) Fine Casting 15/8, Fairly useful hurdles winner who has run to a similar level in trio of starts over fences this winter, not looking well served by further drop back in trip when runner-up at Sandown (15.5f) 6 weeks ago in first-time cheekpieces. Consistent performer on the whole and this is more suitable. Respected. Consistent results since switched to fences, running well at Sandown most recently; solid.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

Although talented, Goshen failed to convince on his two previous attempts over fences and Gary Moore's charge may be worth taking on. ZAMBEZI FIX was far from disgraced when runner-up over hurdles at Chepstow last month and this switch to the larger obstacles may see the nine-year-old regaining the winning thread. December C&D scorer Mayhem Mya is feared most now pitched into handicap company, while an in-form Fine Casting isn't easily dismissed either.

MAYHEM MYA needs to shrug off a lesser effort at Huntingdon 6 weeks ago, but she comes here on a handy mark and with the return to shorter another likely plus, it would come as no surprise to see her make a bold bid. Fine Casting could be the danger.

Goshen's best hurdles form reads impressively in this context. FINE CASTING has solid claims, while Mayhem Mya is interesting.

15:10 Exeter Handicap Chase (Class 3) 18f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:20 Leicester Handicap Chase (Class 5) 20f - 6 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	3 1st (3) (7/2 +30%) Nine Nine Nine	3.5 7/2(+30%)	(3) Nine Nine Nine 7/2, Gained his breakthrough win in 2¾m course handicap in January. Creditable third over 3m at Market Rasen since, particularly as he raced keenly stepping up in trip. Ought to be in the mix again. Course winner (2m6f; from 4lb lower) in January; failed to fully stay 3m at Market Rasen..
2	1 2nd (1) (9/2 -13%) Shady B	4.5 9/2(-13%)	(1) Shady B 9/2, Runner-up final 2 starts in points last spring and minor promise in trio of starts over hurdles at around 2m this winter. Feasible to think the switch to handicaps up in trip now chasing could bring about improvement and he's one to note equipped with a first-time tongue strap. Had wind op. Runner-up in two British points last spring; shown ability over hurdles; others preferred..
4	4 \|F\| (4) (7/1 -56%) Jack Doyen	7 7/1(-56%)	(4) Jack Doyen 7/1, Scored over fences at Warwick last spring but hasn't reproduced that form since, travelling best when third of 4 over 2¾m here 10 days ago only to shirk it under pressure. One to treat with caution. Floundered late on (third of four) over 2m6f here last time; possibilities back to 2m4f..
2	2 \|PU\| (2) (6/4 -20%) Bobbi's Beauty	1.5 6/4(-20%)	(2) Bobbi's Beauty 6/4, Point winner who stepped up on her hurdle exploits when making a successful switch to fences in a C&D handicap 10 days ago, eased down to score by 3½ lengths. A 7 lb penalty doesn't look enough to stop her. Carries a 7lb penalty for her recent C&D win (chase debut); ticks plenty of boxes..
6	6 \|PU\| (6) (7/1 +42%) Scattercash	7 7/1(+42%)	(6) Scattercash 7/1, Has yet to show much under Rules, including last of 8 in a 2m Warwick handicap hurdle last May (only outing for John Groucott), but this former point winner is worth a precautionary betting check now setting out for new trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies. Debut point winner in March 2020; poor form since; first run for Nigel Twiston-Davies..
5	5 \|PU\| (5) (16/1 -60%) Higgs	16 16/1(-60%)	(5) Higgs 16/1, Remains a maiden over fences but the fact comfortably his best effort this season came over C&D provides some hope. Few positives taken from latest Market Rasen effort; placed on only other Leicester visit..

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

A winner over this course and distance 10 days ago, BOBBI'S BEAUTY has plenty going for her as she bids to overcome a 7lb penalty. Sean Bowen, who retains the ride, employed positive tactics aboard the selection en route to that comfortable success and a similarly confident display from the partnership could suffice here. Jack Doyen has snippets of form that gives him a chance, while Higgs won't need to improve much in the first-time blinkers to emerge as the best of the rest.

BOBBI'S BEAUTY made all with something to spare under Sean Bowen on her recent C&D handicap chase debut and is taken to defy a penalty. Shady B would rate a potentially dangerous opponent if the betting vibes are strong on his chase and handicap debut, while Nine Nine Nine is also respected as a recent course winner.

The safest option is the recent C&D scorer BOBBI'S BEAUTY who could prove capable of defying a 7lb penalty to make it 2-2 over fences.

15:20 Leicester Handicap Chase (Class 5) 20f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:30 Ayr Handicap Chase (Class 4) 20f - 10 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	7 1st (7) (9/4 +18%) Artic Row	2.25 9/4(+18%)	(7) Artic Row 9/4, Justified market confidence in C&D handicap in good style in December. Made it 3-3 over obstacles at this course when getting the better of an argument with Monochromix last time and while this 7 lb higher mark demands more, he remains open to improvement as a chaser. Won over C&D both times he completed over fences, latterly last month; likely contender.
2	3 2nd (3) (11/1 -69%) High Moon	11 11/1(-69%)	(3) High Moon 11/1, Fairly useful hurdles winner who opened his account in determined fashion at Newcastle last spring. Yet to put his best foot forward this season but he is at least edging down the weights (now 3 lb below the mark he won off at Newcastle) and perhaps the addition of cheekpieces will give him a lift. 3lb below his winning chase mark but yet to strike form this season; cheekpieces now added.
3	9 3rd (9) (9/2 -29%) Coniston Clouds	4.5 9/2(-29%)	(9) Coniston Clouds 9/2, Hurdles winner last spring and promising start over fences when landing a Catterick handicap (19.2f, good to soft) on return in November. Took a nasty fall at Sedgefield next time but he's unexposed in this sphere and will be a threat provided his confidence hasn't been dented. Clearcut winner on seasonal/chase debut; fell next time but still commands respect here.
4	6 4th (6) (7/2 +22%) Monochromix	3.5 7/2(+22%)	(6) Monochromix 7/2, Form dipped following a solid reappearance effort over hurdles but got back on track switched to fences when beaten ¾-length by Artic Row over C&D (heavy) last month, the pair pulling well clear of the rest. Another bold show likely. Emerged from slump in form and ran big race in defeat over C&D on last month's chase debut.
5th	10 5th (10) (20/1 -43%) Ardera Cross	20 20/1(-43%)	(10) Ardera Cross 20/1, Nine-time course winner, the latest gained in a 6-runner handicap over 2m at the turn of the year. Didn't do a great deal wrong when fourth over C&D recently but was no match for Artic Row in the run up to Christmas and he looks vulnerable for win purposes on this occasion. Unreliable nowadays but his 2m win in January was his ninth success at this track.
6th	5 6th (5) (9/2 +0%) Leading Force	4.5 9/2(+0%)	(5) Leading Force 9/2, rish point winner who finished runner-up 4 times over hurdles last season. Also found just one too good over an inadequate trip on chase debut at Sedgefield (17f, heavy) and can be expected to build on that back up in distance here. Placed in three 2m4f hurdles this season; back up in trip after 2m1f second on chase debut.
7th	4 7th (4) (20/1 -25%) Grand Voyage	20 20/1(-25%)	(4) Grand Voyage 20/1, Off the mark at the second attempt in this sphere over C&D back in November 2022 but more miss than hit since, offering little in 4 outings so far this season. Hopes now pinned on the first-time cheekpieces sparking a return to form. Out of form over hurdles and fences this season; revival needed in first-time cheekpieces.
8th	1 8th (1) (100/1 -525%) Innovated	100 100/1(-525%)	(1) Innovated 100/1, Ended his time with Henry de Bromhead on a lesser note and has failed to complete both starts for new yard this season. Now tried in a tongue strap. Hurdle/chase winner in Ireland in 2022 but has struggled on both starts for new stable.
9th	2 9th (2) (125/1 -150%) Chameron	125 125/1(-150%)	(2) Chameron 125/1, Scored once from 5 starts for Patrick Griffin last term and pulled up all 3 starts for new connections. Won for an Irish stable last spring but has looked badly out of sorts this winter.
10th	8 10th (8) (18/1 -29%) Low Mileage	18 18/1(-29%)	(8) Low Mileage 18/1, Fairly modest maiden over hurdles/fences in Ireland and he's opposable on this debut for yard. 0-14 under all codes in Ireland; ran okay on latest outing but best watched on yard debut.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

It is difficult to look past ARTIC ROW, who has an excellent record here. The seven-year-old should be able to manage a 7lb rise and is taken to uphold form with the reopposing Monochromix (second) from their meeting over C&D last month. Consistent maiden Leading Force and Coniston Clouds, who was a comfortable winner at Catterick before coming down when sent off favourite at Sedgefield, also enter the equation.

The winning margin was less than a length when ARTIC ROW got the better of Monochromix over C&D last month but, with all due respect to the latter, Nick Alexander's charge was value for extra and he is taken to strike again. Monochromix should be in the mix once more but a bigger threat may be posed by Coniston Clouds, who looked good on his chase debut. Leading Force is also of interest, while High Moon is dangerous to discount off a reduced mark.

Having fended off a persistent threat from Monochromix here last month, ARTIC ROW (nap) could still be well treated.

15:30 Ayr Handicap Chase (Class 4) 20f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:40 Exeter Handicap Chase (Class 5) 24f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	5 1st (5) (3/1 +25%) Bampton Star	3 3/1(+25%)	(5) Bampton Star 3/1, Little to shout about following first 4 starts over hurdles but there was improvement on his handicap debut at Lingfield (23f, soft) where he chased home the bang in-form Major Fortune (winner twice again since). Will be a threat if able to build on that now tackling fences with cheekpieces added. Unexposed; solid hurdles effort at Lingfield on reappearance; interesting contender.
2	1 2nd (1) (11/4 -99%) Supervisor	2.75 11/4(-99%)	(1) Supervisor 11/4, Low-mileage 10-y-o put it all together when opening his account in a handicap chase at Ludlow (23.8f, heavy) back from a 10-month absence last week. Obvious claims under a penalty, provided the relatively quick turnaround doesn't prove to be problematic. Off the mark at Ludlow last week on return from another layoff; future mark 5lb higher.
3	4 3rd (4) (28/1 -40%) Inchagoill Lady	28 28/1(-40%)	(4) Inchagoill Lady 28/1, Placed both outings in Irish points and runner-up on second start over hurdles at Hereford last January. However, has offered little since, including on her stable/seasonal debut in November, and she's probably best watched now switched to fences on the back of another break/wind op. May improve for this switch to chasing, having shown promise in points.
4	9 4th (9) (22/1 +33%) Firefly Lane	22 22/1(+33%)	(9) Firefly Lane 22/1, Winning pointer but has achieved little so far under Rules and looks up against it from out of the weights. Largely poor form under rules; opposed.
5th	2 5th (2) (9/1 -29%) Game Socks	9 9/1(-29%)	(2) Game Socks 9/1, Off the mark at third attempt in this sphere in 6-runner handicap at Worcester (23f, good to soft) in June 2022. Hasn't really fired in 3 starts since returning from 17 months off in December but he's dangerous to completely rule out having slipped to an attractive mark. Not solid on this season's form but may revive now dropped in class off reduced mark.
8	8 \|PU\| (8) (9/1 -13%) Bignorm	9 9/1(-13%)	(8) Bignorm 9/1, Sole success from 31 career starts was gained almost 3 years ago and while his latest third off this mark at Southwell (24.3f, heavy) was a creditable effort, one suspects that he will again find one or two too good. Ran respectably last time but it's three years since his sole success.
7	7 \|PU\| (7) (11/4 +77%) Wind Tor	2.75 11/4(+77%)	(7) Wind Tor 11/4, Made the frame 4 times in staying handicap chases last spring and she clearly likes it here (form figures over this C&D read 113). Runner-up in an open point in January, so won't be found wanting fitness-wise, and this 12-y-o may well have a part to play. Probably not the force of old but the return to Exeter is a plus; 2-3 over C&D.
3	3 \|PU\| (3) (12/1 -118%) Unblinking	12 12/1(-118%)	(3) Unblinking 12/1, Gained breakthrough over fences at Hereford (25f, good) last February and while that wasn't a particularly strong contest, he has found just one too good in deeper races on 2 of his 3 subsequent starts. One for the shortlist. Unlucky at Taunton ten weeks ago, as he might have won but for a late stumble; in the mix.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

Last week's ready Ludlow scorer SUPERVISOR is 5lb well-in under a 7lb penalty. The veteran should take all of the beating if coping with a quick turnaround and he rates as the one to beat. Bampton Star was far from disgraced on his handicap bow when runner-up to a progress rival over hurdles at Lingfield last month. Jeremy Scott's gelding has a stamp of a chaser and he isn't taken lightly on his fencing debut, while Unblinking also makes some appeal.

Given that SUPERVISOR's racecourse appearances have hitherto been few and far between, it remains to be seen how well he'll cope with this relatively quick turnaround following his wide-margin Ludlow success last week. That said, the 10-y-o looked on good terms with himself that day and he makes plenty of appeal from a handicapping standpoint given that he's 5 lb 'well-in' under a penalty. Chase-debutant Bampton Star, Unblinking and Wind Tor can scrap it out for minor honours.

Supervisor is at risk of bouncing but he holds major claims otherwise. Unexposed BAMPTON STAR is an interesting alternative.

15:40 Exeter Handicap Chase (Class 5) 24f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:50 Leicester Handicap Chase (Class 5) 23f - 4 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	1 1st (1) (4/6 +19%) Montgomery	0.666667 4/6(+19%)	(1) Montgomery 4/6, Lightly-raced sort who won over hurdles for Christian Williams and made a successful chase debut for new trainer Venetia Williams at Bangor (3m, heavy) last week. Had something in hand and a 7 lb penalty may not stop him. Won well at Bangor (chase and stable debut) last week; tough to beat under a 7lb penalty..
2	4 2nd (4) (7/1 -133%) Wonder Of The Seas	7 7/1(-133%)	(4) Wonder Of The Seas 7/1, Well held in bumper/over hurdles but he has plenty of size and offered encouragement switched to fences when second in 3m Southwell handicap 19 days ago. Should have more to come in this sphere. Runner-up on chasing debut at Southwell (3m); 3lb higher, and should have more to offer..
3	2 3rd (2) (13/2 -86%) Percy Veering	6.5 13/2(-86%)	(2) Percy Veering 13/2, Much improved this season after a breathing operation, completing a handicap chase hat-trick in November/December. However, he was weakening in third when falling 2 out at Wincanton last time, suggesting the handicapper might have caught up with him. Took a tired fall at Wincanton last time; high in the weights after productive spell prior.
4	3 4th (3) (7/2 +65%) Hurricane Vichi	3.5 7/2(+65%)	(3) Hurricane Vichi 7/2, Won a bumper on Rules debut but has drawn a blank since, finishing a remote fourth on his C&D yard debut at the end of January. Can only be watched after that. Bumper winner; yet to prove worth as a chaser (0-2); more wind surgery since latest run..

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

MONTGOMERY struck by eight lengths when making his first start for the Venetia Williams stable at Bangor last week. The seven-year-old has a 7lb penalty, but should have plenty of improvement to come on only his second chase start and he looks the one to beat. Percy Veering, who fell when on a four-timer at Wincanton, could easily bounce back off a 1lb lower rating. Wonder Of The Seas makes more appeal than Hurricane Vichi in the fight for third.

Another small field but it's still a contest of some interest as MONTGOMERY and Wonder of The Seas appeal as the types to build on promising chase debuts, with the former selected to make light of a 7 lb penalty for Bangor.

Venetia Williams won this in 2022, and her Bangor scorer MONTGOMERY (nap) possesses crystal clear claims under a 7lb penalty.

15:50 Leicester Handicap Chase (Class 5) 23f PREDICTION SIMULATION

16:00 Ayr Handicap Chase (Class 5) 24f - 7 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	1 1st (1) (7/4 +22%) Whosmydaddy	1.75 7/4(+22%)	(1) Whosmydaddy 7/4, No significant impact in maiden/novice hurdles but proved a different proposition sent chasing for his handicap debut in first-time headgear, scoring in impressive fashion at Musselburgh (23.6f, soft) 19 days ago. Seems sure to progress and win more races in this sphere. Impressive when making all on chase debut at Musselburgh; 8lb higher but much respected.
2	4 2nd (4) (6/1 +14%) Euchan Falls	6 6/1(+14%)	(4) Euchan Falls 6/1, Dual winner at 20f over hurdles who made a solid start over fences but having been well supported, hasn't been on his game the last twice. Still early days for him in this sphere and heads up to 3m for the first time. Has taken a backwards step over fences the last twice; needs new trip to have an effect.
3	5 3rd (5) (12/1 -9%) Azof Des Mottes	12 12/1(-9%)	(5) Azof Des Mottes 12/1, Looked value for extra when winning 14-runner handicap chase at Kelso in April. Broke blood vessel on reappearance there in January but took a step back in the right direction when third at this venue (20.5f, heavy) since. More needed for win purposes. however. Back off his winning mark but still has stamina to prove and may prefer better ground.
4	7 4th (7) (9/2 +25%) Baron Briggs	4.5 9/2(+25%)	(7) Baron Briggs 9/2, Better efforts since undergoing a wind op, finishing third in handicaps at Kelso (17f), Musselburgh (20.3f) and over C&D on his last 3 starts. This lightly-raced 7-y-o remains unexposed over fences (and as a stayer) and needs considering in first-time headgear. Third in all three starts over fences but hasn't looked a natural jumper; cheekpieces on.
5th	2 5th (2) (6/1 +0%) Wavelength	6 6/1(+0%)	(2) Wavelength 6/1, Fair maiden hurdler in Ireland for Gavin Cromwell. Got off the mark for his new yard in handicap chase at Hexham 22 months ago and gradually been finding his feet this season, looking on the verge of a full-scale revival when third at Carlisle (24.5f, soft) last month. Has improved with each start since returning from a long absence; possibilities.
6th	8 6th (8) (5/1 +50%) Cowboy Cooper	5 5/1(+50%)	(8) Cowboy Cooper 5/1, Remains winless following 11 attempts overall but he made a positive start in this sphere when third in an 11-runner handicap at Catterick (25.2f, soft) in January. Easy to put a line through his latest effort over C&D (in need of a stiffer test) so he shouldn't be underestimated. 0-11 and finished behind a couple of these over C&D last month; bit more is needed.
3	3 \|PU\| (3) (25/1 -150%) High Roller	25 25/1(-150%)	(3) High Roller 25/1, Fared better than previously over hurdles when third of 7 in novice company at Kelso (2m) last March. Had further wind operation ahead of return/handicap debut but dropped away tamely at this track just before Christmas. Upped markedly in trip for his chase debut and probably best watched. 0-5 over hurdles; enough to prove upped in trip for his chase debut.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

An easy winner on his chasing/handicap debut at Musselburgh last month on the step up in trip, WHOSMYDADDY should have plenty more improvement forthcoming and an 8lb rise could prove lenient as he attempts to follow up. That may be at the main expense of Heritier De Sivola, who had Baron Briggs over two lengths behind him in third when runner-up over C&D last time out.

Having shown precious little previously, WHOSMYDADDY bolted up on his chasing debut at Musselburgh last month and sure to progress in this sphere, Sandy Thomson's 6-y-o is strongly fancied to defy an 8 lb rise and remain unbeaten over the larger obstacles. The main threat may emerge from Heritier de Sivola, who stopped the slide over a staying trip for the first time over fences here 3 weeks ago, while Baron Briggs and Wavelength aren't out of things, either.

This can go to WHOSMYDADDY who did it well when making a successful chase debut from the front at Musselburgh 19 days ago.

16:00 Ayr Handicap Chase (Class 5) 24f PREDICTION SIMULATION

16:10 Exeter Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 17f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	5 1st (5) (4/1 +71%) Loverdose	4 4/1(+71%)	(5) Loverdose 4/1, Won over 2m on the level in France in spring 2022. Well held in a trio of novice hurdles since returning from a long absence but his Flat form offers hope for better now switching to a low-grade handicap. Cheekpieces on for 1st time. Flat winner in France; well beaten in novice hurdles but may do better in handicaps.
2	7 2nd (7) (13/2 +59%) Queen Of Steel	6.5 13/2(+59%)	(7) Queen Of Steel 13/2, Poor maiden on the Flat and just a similar level as a hurdler. Not disgraced at Fontwell (19.2f) 23 days ago and may benefit from this drop back in trip. Return to 2m looks a plus but still seeking first win; 0-15 overall.
3	6 3rd (6) (7/2 +0%) My Granny Lily	3.5 7/2(+0%)	(6) My Granny Lily 7/2, Suited by more patient tactics when off the mark in 11-runner handicap hurdle (15/2) at Ffos Las (15.8f, heavy) 36 days ago. That race fell apart to an extent but still needs respecting in her follow-up bid from a 5 lb higher mark. Opened her account at Ffos Las last month and may build on that success.
4	3 4th (3) (8/1 -78%) Killigarth	8 8/1(-78%)	(3) Killigarth 8/1, Comfortably held in a trio of maiden hurdles although showed a bit more than previously at Uttoxeter on most recent outing and further improvement possible on handicap debut. Out of a dual hurdles winner for his stable; likely to improve now handicapping.
5th	8 5th (8) (66/1 -32%) Parish Star	66 66/1(-32%)	(8) Parish Star 66/1, Modest form on the Flat in Ireland for Jim Bolger and has made little impact on her completed starts over hurdles. Easy to oppose. Holds weak claims on form; again out of the weights.
6th	2 6th (2) (16/1 -14%) Inion Tiogair	16 16/1(-14%)	(2) Inion Tiogair 16/1, Fair bumper winner but has yet to reach that level over hurdles and has been pulled up on both her starts in handicaps. Subsequent breathing operation needs to have had a positive effect. Inconsistent since her bumper success; had wind surgery since last run.
1	1 \|PU\| (1) (13/8 -95%) Activist	1.625 13/8(-95%)	(1) Activist 13/8, Fairly useful on Flat in France and, despite going in snatches, won 6-runner handicap hurdle at Plumpton (15.9f) last month. Followed up with something in hand at Taunton (19f) 3 days later, improving and going with far more zest, and looks well in under another penalty. Bids for a quickfire hat-trick; ahead of the assessor despite carrying a double penalty.
4	4 \|PU\| (4) (66/1 -230%) Spice Heaven	66 66/1(-230%)	(4) Spice Heaven 66/1, No show in pair of bumpers for Jamie Snowden but shaped better than first time up over hurdles when fifth of 9 in C&D maiden in January. That form isn't solid, though, and she failed to repeat that effort back here last time. Makes handicap bow. Appeared to show some promise over C&D two outings back; handicap debut.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

My Granny Lily appeared to relish the drop to 2m and return to hurdles when scoring with something in hand at Ffos Las last month, and a 5lb rise in the ratings looks workable for Nigel Hawke's mare. However, ACTIVIST was a touch more impressive when completing a double at Taunton recently and the five-year-old may prove to be the better handicapped of the pair. The Kim Bailey yard seems to have turned a corner, so handicap debutant Killigarth could offer up some value.

ACTIVIST is taking off as a hurdler and looks capable of completing a quick-fire hat-trick. Killigarth showed more than previously at Uttoxeter last time and could up his game further now switched to a handicap, with Ffos Las scorer My Granny Lily also respected.

The hat-trick looks on the cards for ACTIVIST. His closest pursuers may be My Granny Lily and Killigarth.

16:10 Exeter Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 17f PREDICTION SIMULATION

16:20 Leicester Handicap Chase (Class 4) 20f - 4 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	4 1st (4) (11/4 +66%) William Cody	2.75 11/4(+66%)	(4) William Cody 11/4, Won twice over 2½m at Huntingdon in his first season chasing last term and started this campaign well. Last couple of runs have been underwhelming but can't be written off. Well held in dramatic contest at Wetherby (in cheekpieces) last time; others more obvious..
2	1 2nd (1) (10/11 +9%) Clonakilty	0.909091 10/11(+9%)	(1) Clonakilty 10/11, Scored over hurdles at Uttoxeter last season and built on an encouraging chasing debut when scoring easily in a 7-runner event at Lingfield 24 days ago. Well fancied to go in again. Suited by the extra yardage when winning with authority at Lingfield (2m4f); 7lb higher..
3	3 3rd (3) (3/1 -33%) Si Elegant	3 3/1(-33%)	(3) Si Elegant 3/1, Bought for €155,000 after finishing second in a 3-y-o hurdle on sole start in France back in September 2021. Only one creditable effort in that sphere for Christian Williams but has joined a top yard, and warrants close market inspection on chasing debut after 11 months off. Hurdles promise (runner-up at Newcastle last February); noteworthy stable & chase debutant.
2	2 \|PU\| (2) (22/1 -57%) Man Again	22 22/1(-57%)	(2) Man Again 22/1, Winning hurdler who displayed fairly useful form over fences in France but returned from an absence with a tame display at Sandown on debut for current yard. Something to prove. Won three over fences in France; in deep when pulled up on recent stable debut at Sandown..

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content,

CLONAKILTY struck in comfortable fashion by six lengths at Lingfield and the seven-year-old has been hit with a 7lb rise. Olly Murphy's gelding looks well placed to continue his progression and he can record a double. William Cody was a well-beaten second in a class 3 event at Wetherby on his latest outing but has to be respected off a 2lb lower mark. Of the remainder, Generous Day appeals most after his third at Huntingdon.

CLONKILTY was impressive at Lingfield last time and this isn't much of a race, so he's likely to follow up unless Si Elegant makes a marked step forward for a switch to chasing on debut for Venetia Williams. William Cody is a player if he can get back on track.

Despite being raised 7lb for his authoritative Lingfield win, the upwardly mobile CLONAKILTY rates as the likeliest winner.

16:20 Leicester Handicap Chase (Class 4) 20f PREDICTION SIMULATION

16:30 Ayr Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 20f - 7 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	1 1st (1) (2/7 +64%) El Elefante	0.285714 2/7(+64%)	(1) El Elefante 2/7, Made all in both bumper outings and was impressive when making a winning hurdles debut at Perth (20.2f) in September. Ran to a similar level on her next 2 starts, before finding it tough in Grade 2 last time. Leading contender back down in grade. Has held her own in some good races since easy win on hurdling debut in September.
2	2 2nd (2) (10/3 +17%) Kay Tara Tara	3.333333 10/3(+17%)	(2) Kay Tara Tara 10/3, Bumper winner on debut and made a successful start in this sphere at Huntingdon (19.6f) in October. Showed better form in defeat when third at Fontwell in December, before no match for an improver in handicap at Doncaster on her latest outing. Remains with potential. Twice in the frame since small-field maiden win in October; strong place claims, at least.
3	6 3rd (6) (80/1 -471%) Love That	80 80/1(-471%)	(6) Love That 80/1, €12,000 3-y-o, Vendangeur mare. Half-sister to fairly useful hurdler Princess Tara. Dam, bumper winner, half-sister to useful staying chasers Openide and Ballybough Gorta. Point winner at the fourth attempt, but she has a fairly useful standard to aim at on Rules debut. Finished well to win a point last month but faces fairly tough task on stable/hurdle debut.
4	5 4th (5) (200/1 -100%) Hey Mama Rock Me	200 200/1(-100%)	(5) Hey Mama Rock Me 200/1, Sister to fairly useful hurdler/useful chaser Notachance, but tailed off in a bumper and fared little better at Carlisle (17f) on her hurdling debut 18 days ago. Remains best watched upped in trip. Struggled in a bumper and on recent hurdling debut.
5th	7 5th (7) (12/1 +64%) March Wind	12 12/1(+64%)	(7) March Wind 12/1, Runner-up both outings in bumpers last year but well below that level in 2 starts over hurdles this season, though run best excused when down the field at Sedgefield (19.8f) last time (lost place after bad mistake fifth). Improvement required. Second in two bumpers last year; yet to show anything more than minor promise over hurdles.
6th	4 6th (4) (200/1 -300%) Cloneyhurke Maid	200 200/1(-300%)	(4) Cloneyhurke Maid 200/1, Tobougg mare. Half-brother to smart bumper winner/useful 2½m hurdle winner Battleford, stayed 3m, and fairly useful hurdler/chaser Stacks Mountain. Made the frame both completed starts in Irish points, but the last of those outings came back in September 2020. Second in an Irish point in 2020 but makes rules debut after a mammoth absence.
8	8 \|F\| (8) (28/1 -12%) Somebody's Fortune	28 28/1(-12%)	(8) Somebody's Fortune 28/1, Placed in points and, after 9 months off, showed a bit when mid-field at Kelso (22.7f) on her hurdling bow in January. Wasn't able to build on that effort when fifth in race won by Micks Jet at Musselburgh 19 days ago, so she needs to find more with tongue strap applied. Placed in two Irish points last spring but has made a quiet start to her rules career.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

This represents a significant drop in grade for EL ELEFANTE and a return to softer ground should also play to her strengths as she looks to return to winning ways for her in-form connections. Micks Jet is likely to pose a serious challenge following an easy success at Musselburgh last month, while Kay Tara Tara is not to be ruled out either on the rise in distance.

EL ELEFANTE faced a tough task in the Rossington Main at Doncaster last time, when she was also unsuited by the emphasis on speed, so she is taken to resume winning ways returned to this longer trip back down in grade. Micks Jet opened her hurdles account easily 19 days ago and is feared most with further improvement to come, ahead of Kay Tara Tara.

Lucinda Russell's EL ELEFANTE has held her own against smart opposition since her winning hurdle debut and gets the nod.

16:30 Ayr Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 20f PREDICTION SIMULATION

16:40 Dundalk Handicap 5f - 13 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
1	2 1st (2) (7/1 +13%) Winemaker	7 7/1(+13%)	(2) Winemaker 7/1, Seen to good effect reverting to more positive tactics when winning 13-runner handicap at this course (7f, 7/1) 3 weeks ago, all out to hold on having had the run of the race. Down in trip. In the mix from 4 lb higher. Narrow 7f winner here three weeks ago, has never run over this trip, hard to be confident.
2	12 2nd (12) (12/1 -20%) My Girl Sioux	12 12/1(-20%)	(12) My Girl Sioux 12/1, Ran well when 1¼ lengths second of 14 to Theriverrunsdeep in handicap (10/1) at this course (6f) 23 days ago. Long-standing maiden however, so best to look elsewhere for win purposes. 21-race maiden, second over 6f last time splitting Theriverrunsdeep and Phil's Dream.
3	6 3rd (6) (25/1 +0%) American In Paris	25 25/1(+0%)	(6) American In Paris 25/1, Course winner. Fared little better when sixth of 10 in handicap (40/1) at this course (6f) 37 days ago. Mark continues to tumble. Should be sharper as a result of two January outings but others make more appeal.
4	5 4th (5) (7/1 -17%) Theriverrunsdeep	7 7/1(-17%)	(5) Theriverrunsdeep 7/1, 5-time course winner. 11/2, decisively resumed winning ways back down in grade in 14-runner handicap at this course (6f) 23 days ago by 1¼ lengths from My Girl Sioux, staying on to lead 1f out. More needed up 6 lb. Overcame outside draw in 17 when beating My Girl Sioux and Phil's Dream here last time.
5th	3 5th (3) (7/1 -40%) Samrogue	7 7/1(-40%)	(3) Samrogue 7/1, 4-time C&D winner, latest in December. 10/3, ran up to best after 8 weeks off when second of 10 in handicap at this C&D 3 weeks ago, nearest at the finish. Every chance she'll be bang there again. Four-time C&D winner, good form lately winning twice this winter; holding her form well.
6th	9 6th (9) (18/1 +28%) Cuban Grey	18 18/1(+28%)	(9) Cuban Grey 18/1, Ran even worse than on yard debut when last of 11 in handicap at Newcastle (5f, 22/1) 7 days ago. Cheekpieces back on and handicapper is at least relinquishing his grip. 1-22 on AW, placed seven times, looks held by Samrogue on running here in January.
7th	4 7th (4) (8/1 +11%) Sam's Xpress	8 8/1(+11%)	(4) Sam's Xpress 8/1, C&D winner. 6/1, bit below form fifth of 10 in handicap at this C&D 3 weeks ago, doing too much too soon. Others more persuasive. Dual course winner, needs to raise his game following two fifth placings over C&D..
8th	10 8th (10) (17/2 -13%) Hero Of The Hour	8.5 17/2(-13%)	(10) Hero Of The Hour 17/2, Three wins from 12 runs last year. Not seen to best effect when 2¼ lengths fifth of 14 to Theriverrunsdeep in handicap at this course (6f, 3/1) 23 days ago, making his ground away from the main action. Solid each-way claims. Finished behind four of these rivals when fifth over 6f her last month, needs extra.
9th	8 9th (8) (10/1 +17%) Bonny Power	10 10/1(+17%)	(8) Bonny Power 10/1, C&D winner. Given a chance by the handicapper and took a big step back in the right direction when 1½ lengths third of 14 to Phil's Dream in handicap (7/1) at this C&D 6 weeks ago. One to bear in mind from 1 lb lower. C&D winner last winter, signs of a return to form when third to Phil's Dream last time.
10th	7 10th (7) (8/1 +33%) Phil's Dream	8 8/1(+33%)	(7) Phil's Dream 8/1, C&D winner in January. Creditable 1½ lengths third of 14 to Theriverrunsdeep in handicap at this course (6f, 13/2) 23 days ago. In the mix. C&D winner, solid third over 6f behind Theriverrunsdeep and My Girl Sioux last time.
11th	11 11th (11) (11/2 +15%) Below Deck	5.5 11/2(+15%)	(11) Below Deck 11/2, Respectable 2¾ lengths sixth of 14 to Theriverrunsdeep in handicap at this course (6f, 11/4) 23 days ago. Blinkers back on. Went agonisingly close over 5f on penultimate start and there's plenty to like returned to the minimum trip. 14-race maiden, has finished in the first three in five of his last seven appearances here.
12th	13 12th (13) (33/1 +18%) Maggie Thunder	33 33/1(+18%)	(13) Maggie Thunder 33/1, 3-time C&D winner. Twenty-five runs since last win in 2021. Ran below form when eleventh of 14 in handicap at this course (6f, 25/1) 52 days ago. Visor on 1st time. Three-time C&D winner, struggled on turf and at this venue during light 2023 campaign.
13th	1 13th (1) (18/1 +10%) Livingston Range	18 18/1(+10%)	(1) Livingston Range 18/1, Course winner. Ninth of 10 in handicap (9/1) at this C&D 3 weeks ago, racing closer to pace than ideal. First run for yard after leaving Leanne Breen. Course 6f winner, ran a solid race over that trip on penultimate start, new stable now.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

SAMROGUE is an in-form course-and-distance specialist who has beaten many of today's rivals already this winter. Ridden by a 5lb claimer recently, she competes from the same mark as when finishing second 21 days ago, has already beaten Maggie Thunder three times this winter and also holds Livingston Range, Cuban Grey, Bonny Power, Sam's Xpress, My Girl Sioux and Below Deck on recent form. Below Deck is closely matched with the selection on recent efforts and is now 10lb better off for a head defeat in December. However she is a 14-race maiden who disappointed over six furlongs last time. Course specialist Theriverrunsdeep beat 21-race maiden My Girl Sioux into second and Phil's Dream into third here last month but would prefer six furlongs. Winemaker won recently but drops markedly to this distance, for the first time.

Plenty of these have met before and its BELOW DECK who makes most appeal returned to the minimum trip and with blinkers tried for just a second time. Bonny Power took a big step back in the right direction when third over C&D 6 weeks ago so Eddie Lynam's filly could give the selection most to think about, with Hero of The Hour and Samrogue another couple worth considering in an open-looking sprint to kick off proceedings.

An unplaced favourite over 6f here last time BELOW DECK has a solid chance on the balance of winter form at this venue.

16:40 Dundalk Handicap 5f PREDICTION SIMULATION

16:50 Leicester Hunter Chase (Class 5) 16f - 7 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	1 1st (1) (11/10 +45%) Cap Du Mathan	1.1 11/10(+45%)	(1) Cap Du Mathan 11/10, Back-to-back winner over fences as a novice last season and encouraging start this time round when fourth in a strong Ascot handicap in November. Pulled up both starts since but obvious chance now trying his hand in a hunter chase. Classy chaser; pulled up on last two starts but this is much easier; trip and ground fine..
2	2 2nd (2) (3/1 +14%) Firak	3 3/1(+14%)	(2) Firak 3/1, Fairly useful hurdler who was successful in hunters at Warwick and Hexham last spring. Never looked justifying support back in this sphere at Haydock last time, though, and may have to settle for minor honours here. Yet to fire since returning to Dan Skelton, pulling up at Haydock (2m6f) three weeks ago..
3	4 3rd (4) (7/2 -180%) The Big Lense	3.5 7/2(-180%)	(4) The Big Lense 7/2, Winner of an Aintree handicap chase last summer and while he ran no sort of a race on hunter debut back from a break at Taunton in January, his subsequent success between the flags suggests that all is well. Major player. Winner on the Mildmay Course at Aintree (2m4f) last summer, and also in a point latest..
6	6 \|F\| (6) (12/1 -71%) Drakes Well	12 12/1(-71%)	(6) Drakes Well 12/1, Fair and consistent hurdler/chaser for David Bridgwater who got off the mark for present yard in a novices' hunter at Stratford in March 2022. However, below par next time and entitled to come on for this following an absence just short of 2 years. Stratford winner (2m5f, March 2022); runner-up in a point the following month; off since..
7	7 \|U\| (7) (25/1 -213%) Cooldine Bog	25 25/1(-213%)	(7) Cooldine Bog 25/1, Not the force of old and while he wasn't disgraced on debut for this yard in a Fakenham hunter last month, another minor role is probably the best his connections can hope for. No win since May 2019; third of five at Fakenham (80-1) recently; others stronger..
3	3 \|PU\| (3) (28/1 +15%) Tap Tap Boom	28 28/1(+15%)	(3) Tap Tap Boom 28/1, Won twice on the bounce over fences at Plumpton/Ludlow in November 2022 but well below that level since. Pulled up in a point in January and probably best watched on this hunter debut. Formerly with Alastair Ralph; pulled up in a Sheriff Hutton point (3m) in January..
5	5 \|PU\| (5) (40/1 -60%) Boughtbeforelunch	40 40/1(-60%)	(5) Boughtbeforelunch 40/1, Three-time chase winner for Paul Webber but was pulled up at Ludlow on latest start in December 2022. Probably best watched starting out for new yard on hunter debut, over a trip he is likely to find inadequate. Lost way in late 2022 and absent since; plenty to find on these unfavourable terms..

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

THE BIG LENSE got his head in front in a point-to-point last month and he is top-rated in this contest, alongside Cap Du Mathan. The 11-year-old goes for the in-form James Owen yard and he could be the one to beat. Cap Du Mathan has been pulled up in handicap company the last twice, but is expected to show a lot more in this weaker race. Firak is more than capable on his day and he completes the shortlist.

This switch to a hunter could be just the tonic for CAP DU MATHAN, who hasn't covered himself in glory the last twice but a reproduction of his reappearance effort in a strong Ascot handicap chase would make him very hard to beat. The Big Lense appeals most for forecast purposes ahead of Firak.

Having justified favouritism in the Mixed Open at Higham (point), THE BIG LENSE arrives in better form than Cap Du Mathan.

16:50 Leicester Hunter Chase (Class 5) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

17:00 Newcastle Handicap (Class 6) 10f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	6 1st (6) (13/2 +13%) Prince Achille	6.5 13/2(+13%)	(6) Prince Achille 13/2, C&D winner. Latest win here in September. Bit below form sixth of 10 in handicap at this C&D (10/1) 17 days ago, shaping as if better for the run following 5 months off. Not entirely dismissed. May have needed his recent comeback here but will need to improve somewhat on that.
2	4 2nd (4) (11/1 -83%) We Still Believe	11 11/1(-83%)	(4) We Still Believe 11/1, 3-time winner on Flat last season (twice over C&D). Made frame on 2 of his 3 starts over hurdles since the turn of the year and no surprise to see him give a good account returned to this sphere. Should be happy back on the AW minus the visor; fair claims of adding to his two C&D wins.
3	2 3rd (2) (14/1 -65%) Very Classy	14 14/1(-65%)	(2) Very Classy 14/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Fourth of 8 in minor event (50/1) at this course (8f) 71 days ago. Longer trip ought to suit on pedigree now handicapping but would need to see market support to make her of interest. Trainer 4-8 so far in 2024 but that's the only positive; would want to see good support.
4	7 4th (7) (4/1 +20%) Lochnaver	4 4/1(+20%)	(7) Lochnaver 4/1, C&D winner. Latest win here in November. 17/2, respectable fifth of 12 in handicap at this course (8f) 7 days ago. Merits consideration back at this more suitable trip. Didn't have the race run to suit down to 1m here last Friday; should do much better.
5th	5 5th (5) (10/3 +52%) Isle Of Wolves	3.333333 10/3(+52%)	(5) Isle Of Wolves 10/3, Twenty six runs since last win in 2019. Creditable fourth of 10 in handicap (10/3) at this C&D 17 days ago, no extra only late on. Should be thereabouts again for all losing run tempers enthusiasm. Not much other pace in here and there's no obvious reason he won't go well once more.
6th	3 6th (3) (5/2 +38%) Mass Consumption	2.5 5/2(+38%)	(3) Mass Consumption 5/2, Maiden who has got back on track equipped with a visor in recent weeks, good third of 10 in handicap at this C&D (7/1) 17 days ago, staying on to be nearest at the finish. Can make presence felt with mark steadily easing. Claims on latest third but is still to win and it's unlikely he'd want a tactical affair.
7th	1 7th (1) (12/1 -118%) Bay Of Naples	12 12/1(-118%)	(1) Bay Of Naples 12/1, Ended long losing run at Leicester (10f, soft) in September and remained in form since, creditable third of 8 in handicap at Wolverhampton (12.2f, 13/2) 48 days ago. Drop back in trip will hold no fears and one of the likelier players. Wants a good test over this shorter trip but should go well again if things fall right.
8th	8 8th (8) (14/1 -17%) Great Colaci	14 14/1(-17%)	(8) Great Colaci 14/1, Veteran, 9-time course winner. Latest win here in February. Seventh of 10 in handicap (17/2) at this C&D 17 days ago, meeting some trouble around 2f out and never dangerous. May find a few too good again. Well held behind four of these back into handicap company latest; others are stronger.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

A chance can be taken on VERY CLASSY, who showed signs of promise across her three qualifying runs last year. The daughter of Muhaarar looks to have been found a suitable opportunity now pitched into handicaps, with the step up from a mile an added positive. Bay Of Naples appeals as a live candidate having posted a number of creditable efforts recently, while Lochnaver, who is back on a competitive mark, should not be underestimated either.

Having highlighted her turn may not be far away when runner-up over C&D on her penultimate start LOCHNAVER may not have been so well served by the drop back to 1m back here 7 days ago and operating from her last winning mark, she earns the vote. Mass Consumption has got back on track equipped with a visor of late and along with Isle of Wolves, heads up the dangers.

Preference is for WE STILL BELIEVE, who has Jason Hart (5-14 for the yard) up. Lochnaver is another with claims.

17:00 Newcastle Handicap (Class 6) 10f PREDICTION SIMULATION

17:15 Dundalk Claimer 7f - 14 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
1	9 1st (9) (13/8 +46%) Dandy Lichious	1.625 13/8(+46%)	(9) Dandy Lichious 13/8, Fair gelding who ran best race for present yard when second of 14 in handicap at this course (8f, 28/1) 7 days ago, leading briefly final 1f and keeping on. Player with a repeat dropped in grade/trip. Much improved last Friday when second in a 1m handicap, capable of getting in the mix.
2	4 2nd (4) (20/1 -150%) Masonbrook Meadow	20 20/1(-150%)	(4) Masonbrook Meadow 20/1, Fair filly. 16/1, bit below form seventh of 14 in nursery at this C&D 79 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Not out of things back from a break/eased in class. Managed a few fair runs in nurseries at this venue, not without a chance at these weights.
3	3 3rd (3) (7/1 +0%) Cool Dan	7 7/1(+0%)	(3) Cool Dan 7/1, Fair gelding. 20/1, creditable fifth of 14 in maiden at this course (6f) 7 days ago. Blinkers back on. Respected. Solid runs in defeat at this track, booking of Colin Keane is noteworthy, should go well.
4	2 4th (2) (9/2 +44%) Posh Maisie	4.5 9/2(+44%)	(2) Posh Maisie 9/2, Dandy Man filly who again showed fair form when third of 8 in maiden at this C&D 23 days ago, no extra only late on. Needs to pull out more but she remains less exposed than most. Unexposed filly, can be given a big chance with Rory Mulligan taking off 10lb.
5th	6 5th (6) (100/1 -100%) Turn Up The Beat	100 100/1(-100%)	(6) Turn Up The Beat 100/1, Once-raced maiden. Last of 13 in maiden at this course (8f, 25/1) on debut 35 days ago. Last of 13 in a 1m maiden here five weeks ago after a slow start, unlikely to feature.
6th	11 6th (11) (33/1 -106%) Dark Blue Diamond	33 33/1(-106%)	(11) Dark Blue Diamond 33/1, Twice-raced maiden. 40/1, seventh of 13 in maiden at this course (8f) 21 days ago, never better than midfield. More needed. Showed some promise in a C&D maiden on debut, no improvement over 1m three weeks ago.
7th	8 7th (8) (50/1 +0%) Ciantov	50 50/1(+0%)	(8) Ciantov 50/1, Well held both starts in maidens as a 2-y-o and he can only be watched back from 8 months off. Soundly beaten in two sprint maidens on turf last year, has been gelded, does not appeal..
8th	14 8th (14) (66/1 -32%) Xaustdwithpleasure	66 66/1(-32%)	(14) Xaustdwithpleasure 66/1, Offered little both starts in sprint maidens during second half of last year and he can only be watched back from 3 months off. Hood on 1st time. In good hands but showed nothing in two outings in sprint maidens at two, hooded now.
9th	13 9th (13) (33/1 +18%) Go On Go On Uhavit	33 33/1(+18%)	(13) Go On Go On Uhavit 33/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Tenth of 14 in handicap at this course (8f, 66/1) 7 days ago. Others make more appeal. Modest form at two, finished behind Bacio when down the field in a 1m handicap last Friday.
10th	1 10th (1) (7/2 -40%) Bruce Lightning	3.5 7/2(-40%)	(1) Bruce Lightning 7/2, Fairly useful gelding. 7/1, career best when winning 7-runner handicap at this course (6f) 21 days ago, headed final 1f and rallying. Rates a likely player down in grade. Made almost over 6f here three weeks ago, extra furlong should not be a problem.
11th	12 11th (12) (18/1 -50%) Laser Sharp	18 18/1(-50%)	(12) Laser Sharp 18/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Below form fifth of 9 in minor event at Lingfield (7f, AW, 9/1) 44 days ago. First run for yard after leaving Andrew Balding. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Hints of ability in four races for Andrew Balding, had a run in January, of some interest.
12th	10 12th (10) (33/1 -106%) Hispanolita	33 33/1(-106%)	(10) Hispanolita 33/1, Modest filly. 4¾ lengths sixth of 7 to Bruce Lightning in handicap at this course (6f, 16/1) 21 days ago. Visor on 1st time, tongue strap back on. Ordinary form last season; looks held by Bruce Lightning on running here three weeks ago.
13th	5 13th (5) (33/1 -32%) Iberian Queen	33 33/1(-32%)	(5) Iberian Queen 33/1, Twice-raced maiden. 33/1, sixth of 8 in maiden at this course (5f) 37 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Not a likely contender based on the evidence of two 5f starts at this venue.
14th	7 14th (7) (25/1 +38%) Bacio	25 25/1(+38%)	(7) Bacio 25/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 50/1, seventh of 14 in handicap at this course (8f) 7 days ago, not knocked about. Good deal more needed even allowing for the drop in grade. Soundly beaten in three maiden runs, only mild promise in a handicap on latest, stiff task.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

POSH MAISIE's weight burden is eased by a 10lb claimer and she appears slightly better than this grade. Slowly away when running nicely on debut, that race has seen the third, fourth and fifth-placed horses score subsequently while the form of last month's distance runner-up effort was boosted by the runner-up winning afterwards. Bruce Lightning won a six-furlong handicap recently but has form at this distance. He might lack the selection's potential but should get involved. Dandy Lichious showed better form over a mile here last week and can figure under a light weight while similarly weighted and visored Hispanolita made her reappearance following 100 days off when beaten by Bruce Lightning recently and is 5lb better off. Cool Dan is a 10-race maiden but has some form while Masonbrook Meadow has been disappointing.

DANDY LICHIOUS ran his best race to date for his present yard when runner-up over 1m here 7 days ago and, with sound claims on these terms down in grade, he can come out on top. Bruce Lightning, a game winner over 6f 3 weeks ago, rates the lead threat. Cool Dan and Masonbrook Meadow complete the shortlist.

The twice-raced POSH MAISIE (nap) is interesting in a race of this standard having shown notable improvement when third here last month.

17:15 Dundalk Claimer 7f PREDICTION SIMULATION

17:30 Newcastle Handicap (Class 5) 6f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	2 1st (2) (4/1 -20%) Westmorian	4 4/1(-20%)	(2) Westmorian 4/1, C&D winner who ran creditably when third of 8 in C&D handicap (11/4) 20 days ago, clear of rest. Remains below last winning mark and must enter calculations. Back to form when a close 3rd over C&D last month; that looks solid form; strong contender.
2	1 2nd (1) (2/1 +40%) One More Dream	2 2/1(+40%)	(1) One More Dream 2/1, Confirmed return to form when winning 12-runner handicap at this course (7.1f) 5 days ago, cosily. Excellent claims under 5-lb penalty. Back in form since returned to Class 5 and won well over 7f here on Sunday; solid claims.
3	5 3rd (5) (9/1 -38%) Dandys Derriere	9 9/1(-38%)	(5) Dandys Derriere 9/1, C&D winner who again ran creditably to hit the frame at Southwell (6.1f, 9/1) 32 days ago. Should remain competitive. In good order following a wind op and no obvious reason why he wouldn't go well again.
4	7 4th (7) (5/1 +58%) Secret Road	5 5/1(+58%)	(7) Secret Road 5/1, C&D winner in November but was below form when seventh of 12 in handicap (17/2) at this C&D 24 days ago. Player if bouncing back. C&D winner in November; some solid runs since but others bring more pressing claims.
5th	3 5th (3) (9/2 +0%) Blackjack	4.5 9/2(+0%)	(3) Blackjack 9/2, C&D winner who scored at Chelmsford City in February and ran at least as well in defeat in 5-runner affair there (7f) 15 days ago. Should go well again. Been in good form since returning from a break; return to 6f no problem; one to consider.
6th	4 6th (4) (15/2 -25%) Athollblair Boy	7.5 15/2(-25%)	(4) Athollblair Boy 15/2, Veteran who followed up from last time in 6-runner handicap at this C&D (9/2) 15 days ago, driven out. Merits respect in hat-trick bid. Loves it here and thriving at present but upped in class and needs more in hat-trick bid.
7th	9 7th (9) (22/1 -120%) Global Humor	22 22/1(-120%)	(9) Global Humor 22/1, C&D winner in February and shaped as if still in good form when third of 8 in handicap (4/1) at this course (7.1f) 20 days ago, needing stronger gallop. Good efforts here the last twice but up in class today and may come up short.
8th	8 8th (8) (100/1 -203%) Hailey Ya Mal	100 100/1(-203%)	(8) Hailey Ya Mal 100/1, Lightly-raced maiden who was well held on handicap debut at Southwell (7.1f, 40/1) 32 days ago. Has work to do. Well-beaten 40-1 shot on last month's handicap debut (7f); too much to prove for now.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

Athollblair Boy completed a C&D double when winning here last month and he merits respect from a 3lb raised mark, but preference is for ONE MORE DREAM. John and Sean Quinn's charge was, ultimately, a comfortable victor over 7f on Sunday having been short of room approaching the two-furlong marker. The drop in trip is expected to pose no problem and, with the promising Gianluca Sanna negating the 5lb penalty incurred for that success, he can repeat the dose. Others to note include Dandys Derriere and Westmorian.

ONE MORE DREAM resumed winning ways in cosy fashion here last week and is selected to follow up under a penalty. Secret Road won't be far away if bouncing back from a lesser effort, while Blackjack arrives in top form and must be feared, also.

Plenty of possibles but the form of WESTMORIAN's latest C&D third looks strong and he can gain a second win at Newcastle.

17:30 Newcastle Handicap (Class 5) 6f PREDICTION SIMULATION

17:45 Dundalk Handicap 8f - 14 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
1	8 1st (8) (6/1 +25%) Hurricane Helen	6 6/1(+25%)	(8) Hurricane Helen 6/1, Unreliable type. C&D winner. Creditable third of 14 in handicap at this C&D (14/1) 28 days ago, despite not clear run. C&D winner in December, closely matched with Ten To Ten on running here four weeks ago.
2	13 2nd (13) (33/1 -136%) Suityourselfboss	33 33/1(-136%)	(13) Suityourselfboss 33/1, Cheekpieces on for 1st time, good 1½ lengths third of 14 to Gatsby Cap in handicap (25/1) at this C&D 56 days ago. 12-race maiden comes into the reckoning following third behind Gatsby Cap in January.
3	2 3rd (2) (10/1 -11%) River Derwent	10 10/1(-11%)	(2) River Derwent 10/1, Resumed winning ways in 7f handicap here in January and followed up in 14-runner claimer (7f) 35 days ago. First run for yard after leaving R. Donohoe. Has gone up 9lb for two 7f wins but may remain competitive on first run for this stable.
4	12 4th (12) (10/1 +9%) Atbay	10 10/1(+9%)	(12) Atbay 10/1, Modest maiden who ran below form when seventh of 14 in handicap (7/2) at Bellewstown (7.9f, good to soft). Off 8 months but merits consideration on the pick of his form. Lacks a recent run, moderate form at this venue, showed some promise on turf last season.
5th	4 5th (4) (3/1 +45%) Ferrybank	3 3/1(+45%)	(4) Ferrybank 3/1, Ended a long losing run in 14-runner handicap at this C&D 42 days ago, driven out. Remains well treated on old form following a 7 lb rise. Enhanced a solid record at this venue with win six weeks ago, further progress is possible.
6th	6 6th (6) (4/1 +33%) Pascalia	4 4/1(+33%)	(6) Pascalia 4/1, Took advantage of a much-reduced mark when winning 14-runner handicap at this course (7f) 14 days ago, by length from Bucky Larson, pushed out. 6 lb rise shouldn't prevent another bold bid if turning up in similar form. C&D winner on first visit, faces a rematch with the experienced runner-up Bucky Larson.
7th	3 7th (3) (14/1 -115%) Bucky Larson	14 14/1(-115%)	(3) Bucky Larson 14/1, 3-time C&D winner. Fifteen runs since last win in 2022. 7/2, creditable length second of 14 to Pascalia in handicap at this course (7f) 14 days ago. Can give another good account. Not without a chance of reversing recent 7f form with Pascalia on these altered terms.
8th	11 8th (11) (8/1 +20%) Ten To Ten	8 8/1(+20%)	(11) Ten To Ten 8/1, Backed up previous effort when second of 14 in handicap at this C&D (12/1) 28 days ago. Produced massive improvement here in December, showed that was not a fluke last month.
9th	1 9th (1) (25/1 -56%) Dutch Glory	25 25/1(-56%)	(1) Dutch Glory 25/1, 4/1, below form when 3¾ lengths seventh of 14 to River Derwent in claimer at this course (7f) 35 days ago, slowly away. First run for yard after leaving Ross O'Sullivan. Needs to bounce back. Not beaten far in three 7f races since December, a bit more is needed here on stable debut.
10th	9 10th (9) (20/1 -25%) Super Cub	20 20/1(-25%)	(9) Super Cub 20/1, One win from 32 Flat runs and ran poorly when twelfth of 14 in handicap at this course (5f). Off 126 days. Significantly back up in trip and has claims on the pick of his form. Rejoined yard after leaving PhilipM.Byrne. 5f winner in Britain in 2021, now back with the trainer for whom he has best Irish form.
11th	5 11th (5) (150/1 -275%) Chopsticks	150 150/1(-275%)	(5) Chopsticks 150/1, Lightly-raced maiden who failed to switch to a handicap when eighth of 14 at this course (12f) 28 days ago. Significantly down in trip. Tongue strap on for 1st time. Ordinary maiden form, huge price when down the field in his first handicap, tongue-tie on.
12th	10 12th (10) (66/1 -230%) Manhattan Dandy	66 66/1(-230%)	(10) Manhattan Dandy 66/1, Latest win at Bellewstown in September. 6/1, run best excused when eighth of 16 in handicap at Galway (7f, heavy), going off too hard. Off 130 days. Best form on turf has been in testing conditions, 0-13 record on AW is a negative.
13th	7 13th (7) (14/1 -75%) Gatsby Cap	14 14/1(-75%)	(7) Gatsby Cap 14/1, 3-time C&D winner. 14/1, improved on recent efforts to win 14-runner handicap at this C&D 28 days ago, driven out. 4 lb higher and should continue in form. Has doubled his score at this track by winning two of his last three races; good chance.
14th	14 14th (14) (22/1 -10%) Saoirses Lulaby	22 22/1(-10%)	(14) Saoirses Lulaby 22/1, 11/1, creditable third of 14 in handicap at this course (7f) 79 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Made the frame in three of her four starts here last year, needs to find a bit extra now.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

FERRYBANK won with a little in hand when able to compete from a career-low rating in January and might cope with a 7lb hike. He is drawn wide in 15 but is ideally suited by this course-and-distance. Pascalia won on her all-weather debut following a 170-day absence last month and has been raised 6lb. She remains somewhat unexposed as a four-year-old and can progress further but the runner-up in that recent race, today's rival Bucky Larson, was beaten eight lengths by the selection in January. In-form six-time winner Gatsby Cap is climbing back up the ratings and beat Suityourselfboss into third here in January. Ten To Ten is a 10-race maiden and finished ahead of five-time winner Hurricane Helen here recently. River Derwent was raised 9lb for his recent claimer success and debuts from a new yard.

SUPER CUB has dropped a long way in the weights and could be worth chancing in an open race on his first start back with his former yard. Last-time-out winner Pascalia and in the in-form Bucky Larson are a couple of potential threats.

This looks very open. PASCALIA appeals as one of the less exposed runners and may supplement her recent 7f win over Bucky Larson

17:45 Dundalk Handicap 8f PREDICTION SIMULATION

18:00 Newcastle Handicap (Class 5) 6f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	6 1st (6) (4/1 -45%) Nazca	4 4/1(-45%)	(6) Nazca 4/1, C&D winner who got back on the up when second of 8 in C&D handicap 15 days ago, clear of rest. Must enter the reckoning. Had fine winter & bounced back from two quiet runs to go close here latest; 2lb higher now.
2	5 2nd (5) (11/2 -83%) Blazing Son	5.5 11/2(-83%)	(5) Blazing Son 11/2, C&D winner who ran below form at Redcar when last seen in October but has gone well fresh before and can't be dismissed. Fine record on AW and well treated on 2023 best; interesting back from a break.
3	7 3rd (7) (10/1 +17%) Burj Malinka	10 10/1(+17%)	(7) Burj Malinka 10/1, Latest win at Hamilton in September. Too free after 4 months off when only seventh of 8 over C&D 15 days ago. Probably needed his reappearance and he's handicapped to go well; contender.
4	3 4th (3) (2/1 +56%) Novak	2 2/1(+56%)	(3) Novak 2/1, Course winner who again ran respectably when fourth of 12 in handicap at this course (7.1f, 17/2) 5 days ago. Stiff 6f should suit and he's probaby in better form than his figures suggest; shortlisted.
5th	4 5th (4) (16/1 -100%) Ballyare	16 16/1(-100%)	(4) Ballyare 16/1, Course winner who followed a below-par effort with an even worse one when fifth of 8 in handicap at this C&D 20 days ago. Others preferred. Down to a good mark and a strong early pace would aid his cause.
6th	2 6th (2) (7/2 -17%) Bobby Joe Leg	3.5 7/2(-17%)	(2) Bobby Joe Leg 7/2, Completed a 4-timer in likeable fashion last month and bounced back to his best when second of 12 in handicap at this course (7.1f) last week. Big shout. Thriving veteran who is 2lb well in; has first 6f run since August 2019 but not discounted.
7th	1 7th (1) (16/1 -167%) Vixey	16 16/1(-167%)	(1) Vixey 16/1, 7/4, good second of 9 in handicap at Carlisle (6.9f, good). Off 6 months. First run for yard after leaving Chris Fairhurst and could go well. Progressed for C Fairhurst last year; more to come but has absence to defy on stable debut.
8th	8 8th (8) (66/1 -136%) Sound Of Iona	66 66/1(-136%)	(8) Sound Of Iona 66/1, Fifteen runs since last win in 2022. Eighth of 10 in handicap (28/1) at this course (5f). Off 126 days. Had a bleak 2023 but dropped 27lb in the weights; may need this reappearance.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

NAZCA finished an agonising narrow second over C&D under Tommie Jakes last time out, but he is fancied to go one better from a 2lb higher mark. Bobby Joe Leg continued his rich vein of form when also occupying the runner-up berth one week ago and must be respected, while the unexposed Vixey, who starts out for a new yard on the back of a 190-day absence, can also enter the reckoning.

BLAZING SON has slipped below his last winning mark and, having run well fresh before, a chance is taken on him to bounce back to form. Nazca and likeable veteran Bobby Joe Leg are feared most.

Blazing Son has plenty to recommend him but he's back from a break and BURJ MALINKA, who has had a recent run, may be the answer.

18:00 Newcastle Handicap (Class 5) 6f PREDICTION SIMULATION

18:15 Dundalk Maiden 8f - 13 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
1	2 1st (2) (1/3 +80%) Al Mudhaffar	0.333333 1/3(+80%)	(2) Al Mudhaffar 1/3, Promising type. 4/5, second of 13 in maiden at this C&D on debut 21 days ago. Likely to improve. Turned over when odds over for C&D debut but stuck to his task well; major player.
2	7 2nd (7) (12/1 +64%) Natural Ruler	12 12/1(+64%)	(7) Natural Ruler 12/1, Twice-raced colt. Seventh of 10 in maiden at the Curragh (7f, heavy, 33/1). Off 166 days. Some promise on Curragh debut when beaten 7l; lesser runs since; one for h'caps.
3	5 3rd (5) (9/1 +44%) Hoover Dam	9 9/1(+44%)	(5) Hoover Dam 9/1, Lightly-raced colt. Creditable fourth of 14 in maiden (4/1) at this course (6f) 7 days ago. Significantly back up in trip. Creditable runs here including C&D 2nd in January; hasn't built on that since; back to 1m.
4	12 4th (12) (100/1 +33%) Jlow	100 100/1(+33%)	(12) Jlow 100/1, Once-raced filly. 40/1, seventeenth of 19 in maiden at the Curragh (8f, heavy) on debut. Off 166 days. 40-1 for her debut when only beating two home in 19-runner Curragh maiden.
5th	15 5th (15) (150/1 +0%) Albion Power	150 150/1(+0%)	(15) Albion Power 150/1, Once-raced colt. 40/1, twelfth of 14 in maiden at this course (7f) on debut 42 days ago. RESERVE. Well held 12th of 14 over 7f here on debut (SP 40-1); best watched; reserve.
6th	14 6th (14) (50/1 -150%) Spunog	50 50/1(-150%)	(14) Spunog 50/1, Once-raced filly. Fourth of 14 in maiden at this C&D (125/1) on debut 14 days ago. Beaten 3l when 4th over C&D latest, outrunning 125-1; this is tougher but can improve.
7th	11 7th (11) (18/1 -64%) Chinois	18 18/1(-64%)	(11) Chinois 18/1, Once-raced filly. Fifth of 9 in maiden (9/2) at this course (10.7f) on debut 7 days ago. Down in trip. Open to improvement. Beaten 6l in maiden here last week; didn't give impression shorter trip was answer.
8th	6 8th (6) (33/1 -50%) Latin	33 33/1(-50%)	(6) Latin 33/1, Promising sort. Fifth of 11 in maiden (6/1) at the Curragh (6f, soft). Off 167 days. Significantly up in trip. First run for yard after leaving Aidan O'Brien. Should have more to offer. Promise in 3 starts for Aidan O'Brien without threatening; new yard; best watched.
9th	4 9th (4) (8/1 +68%) George Smiley	8 8/1(+68%)	(4) George Smiley 8/1, Ten Sovereigns gelding. Half-brother to several winners, including useful 2-y-o 6f winner Take Me With You, third in Albany Stakes. Needs keeping an eye on in the betting. Ten Sovereigns gelding; half-brother to 4 winners but poor draw for debut; already gelded.
10th	1 10th (1) (25/1 -108%) Action Plan	25 25/1(-108%)	(1) Action Plan 25/1, Lightly-raced gelding. Cheekpieces on for 1st time, very good second of 8 in nursery at Carlisle (6.9f, good, 7/2). Off 6 months. Makes polytrack debut. First run for yard after leaving Karl Burke. Career best when narrowly denied at Carlisle last time; trip may stretch him on return.
11th	13 11th (13) (300/1 -100%) Layoftheland	300 300/1(-100%)	(13) Layoftheland 300/1, Twice-raced filly. 100/1, seventh of 8 in maiden at this course (7f) 23 days ago. Shown nothing at big prices in two runs so far, including here latest.
12th	9 12th (9) (150/1 +0%) Star Sailor	150 150/1(+0%)	(9) Star Sailor 150/1, Once-raced gelding. 40/1, eleventh of 14 in maiden at this course (7f) on debut. Off 107 days. Well held on debut over 7f here; off 107 days and others preferred.
13th	10 13th (10) (20/1 -43%) Ashikita	20 20/1(-43%)	(10) Ashikita 20/1, Camelot filly. Dam, 1¼m winner, half-sister to useful 1m-9.4f winner Ashraf out of close relative of top-class winner up to 1½m Azamour. Interesting debutante. Camelot filly; dam 1m2f winner (RPR 73) and likely to need further than this.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

AL MUDHAFFAR was well touted when finishing second to a promising type on debut last month. The first three finishers were newcomers with today's rival and 73-rated Hoover Dam finishing a well beaten fourth but added substance to the race. Sir Sagacious himself ran very well when showing greenness on debut in a winners' race last month. He received 6lb from the now 86-rated winner then and while he steps up a furlong, should give the selection a real race. UK import Action Plan debuts for new connections following a break while Currumbin was well held in a promising maiden race in January. Ashikita's grandam was a half-sister to Azamour but has plenty on her plate here. Chinois ran well in a recent maiden and can progress while Spunog also ran well on debut. Latin is best watched on his return.

The fact that AL MUDHAFFAR was sent off at odds on for his C&D debut suggests he's well regarded by his powerful stable and he's preferred to fellow course debut runner-up Sir Sagacious. The selection's stablemate Chinois should also build on last week's opening effort here, while Dermot Weld's Ashikita is a newcomer to monitor in the betting.

A few of these made promising debuts here, notably SIR SAGACIOUS who looked green but did well to finish 2nd; he should appreciate 1m

18:15 Dundalk Maiden 8f PREDICTION SIMULATION

18:30 Newcastle Maiden (Class 4) 7f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	9 1st (9) (66/1 -32%) Thursday's Child	66 66/1(-32%)	(9) Thursday's Child 66/1, 20,000 gns Harry Angel filly. Dam, 1m-1¼m winner, half-sister to useful winner up to 11f Rosy Blush out of useful winner up to 10.4f (2-y-o 7f-1m winner) Sweet Lilly. A watching brief is advised on debut. Stable not a noted source of winning newcomers and looks one for later on.
2	7 2nd (7) (4/1 -60%) Star Jasmine	4 4/1(-60%)	(7) Star Jasmine 4/1, Churchill filly who cost 400,000 gns as a yearling and is a sister to 2-y-o 1m winner River Thames. Interesting newcomer. Stable gets plenty of winning newcomers and the market should indicate what is expected.
3	2 3rd (2) (9/4 +0%) Absolute Star	2.25 9/4(+0%)	(2) Absolute Star 9/4, Promising sort. Second of 9 in C&D maiden on debut 52 days ago, keeping on not knocked about. Can be expected to improve and leading claims. Runner-up on her debut over C&D in January; major player.
4	5 4th (5) (9/1 +25%) Maritime Lady	9 9/1(+25%)	(5) Maritime Lady 9/1, 33/1, held back by inexperience when fifth of 11 in maiden at Southwell (7f) on debut 22 days ago, never nearer. May do better. Promising fifth on Southwell debut and form has been franked; interesting.
5th	4 5th (4) (13/2 +19%) Kindest Nation	6.5 13/2(+19%)	(4) Kindest Nation 13/2, £22,000 Sioux Nation filly. Dam unraced. Newcomer to note in the betting. Stable does have winners first time out and worth a market check.
6th	8 6th (8) (7/2 +61%) Star Of Kilfrush	3.5 7/2(+61%)	(8) Star Of Kilfrush 7/2, 20/1. sixth of 10 in novice at Wolverhampton (7f) on debut 39 days ago. Open to progress. Green when sixth on her Wolverhampton debut; well bred and should improve.
7th	6 7th (6) (5/1 +9%) Sneaky Girl	5 5/1(+9%)	(6) Sneaky Girl 5/1, Holy Roman Emperor filly. Half-sister to very smart 7f-1¼m winner Lady Bowthorpe, smart winner up to 7f Speak In Colours and useful winner up to 1m Pretty In Grey. Makes obvious paper appeal and respected if the betting vibes are strong. Stable doesn't have that many go in first time but pedigree makes a market check crucial.
8th	1 8th (1) (200/1 -100%) Emer Elysees	200 200/1(-100%)	(1) Emer Elysees 200/1, Modest form in bumpers in Ireland but well held in 2 Flat runs this winter (trained by Barry Fitzgerald on first occasion). A little promise in a couple of Irish bumpers but nothing in two starts on the Flat.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content,

A highly encouraging second on her debut over C&D in January, ABSOLUTE STAR must hold every chance of breaking the maiden tag granted normal improvement. Another open to progress is Heavenly Fire, who shaped well first time out at Lingfield when not getting a clear run and staying on well late in the day. A costly purchase at the sales for an esteemed owner, Star Jasmine must be monitored for market support on debut.

ABSOLUTE STAR made an encouraging start to her career when second over C&D in January and is the percentage call with improvement likely, although a strong market move for well-bred newcomers Star Jasmine and/or Sneaky Girl would put a slightly different slant on things.

A chance is taken with MARITIME LADY who belied her 33-1 odds when a close fifth on her Southwell debut. The form has been franked.

18:30 Newcastle Maiden (Class 4) 7f PREDICTION SIMULATION

18:45 Dundalk Stakes 8f - 6 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
1	4 1st (4) (5/1 +0%) Real Appeal	5 5/1(+0%)	(4) Real Appeal 5/1, Useful course winner. 14¾ lengths ninth of 10 to Zarinsk in Minstrel Stakes at Leopardstown (7.2f, good to soft, 40/1). Off 7 months. Has shown a good standard overall, can go well when fresh so holds a leading chance.
2	2 2nd (2) (9/2 -64%) Freescape	4.5 9/2(-64%)	(2) Freescape 9/2, Smart gelding. 7-time course winner. Latest win here in December. Good third of 8 in handicap at this C&D (6/1) 14 days ago. Leading claims. Seven-time course winner, seemed to find this trip a bit sharp here a fortnight ago.
3	6 3rd (6) (9/2 +25%) Hodd's Girl	4.5 9/2(+25%)	(6) Hodd's Girl 9/2, Seven-time course winner, the latest over 7f in January. 9/2, creditable fourth of 8 in handicap at this C&D 14 days ago. Rarely competes over this trip and may struggle to reverse recent C&D form with Freescape.
4	3 4th (3) (10/1 -33%) Howyoulikethat	10 10/1(-33%)	(3) Howyoulikethat 10/1, Useful 3-time C&D winner. 33/1, 10¾ lengths twelfth of 13 to Piz Badile in Diamond Stakes at this course (10.7f). Off 161 days. Back down in trip. Useful course form, has often run well in good company, decent chance at these weights.
5th	5 5th (5) (6/4 +55%) Wigmore Street	1.5 6/4(+55%)	(5) Wigmore Street 6/4, Looked very promising when comfortably seeing off 2 useful sorts in a 13-runner novice at Kempton (8f) for Simon & Ed Crisford in December 2022. It's taken a while to get him back to the track but joined another good stable and it'll be very interesting to see what the betting makes of him. Won a 1m race at Kempton in December 2022 on his only start for the Crisfords, interesting.
6th	1 6th (1) (17/2 +53%) Cristal Clere	8.5 17/2(+53%)	(1) Cristal Clere 17/2, Three wins from 10 runs last year. 14/1, below form eighth of 18 in handicap at Leopardstown (12f, heavy), left with lot to do. Off 138 days. Significantly back down in trip. Good form on heavy, acts on this track but others are better suited by the race conditions.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

WIGMORE STREET has a 445-day layoff to overcome but looked smart in winning a juvenile winners' race on debut at Kempton in December 2022. He seemed well suited by the all-weather when scooting impressively clear of a subsequently Listed-placed rival then and it is encouraging he is retained by his same owner. Top adjusted-rated runner Howyoulikethat is a three-time course-and-distance winner and was placed at Listed level last August. He hasn't run since being well beaten here in September and is vulnerable to a smart type on reappearance. Real Appeal won his only previous all-weather start – here in January 2023, but his best form has been achieved on turf and is best watched returning from a long layoff, ahead of the turf season. Seven-time all-weather winner Freescape ran well over course-and-distance last month but his recent wins have been over longer distances, which might be more suitable nowadays.

A very useful conditions event. FREESCAPE shaped well from a lofty mark in handicap company over C&D last time and can notch yet another course win. Wigmore Street has presumably had the odd issue but was very impressive on his Kempton debut 14 months ago and is a potentially dangerous opponent should the betting vibes be strong on his return for new trainer Joseph O'Brien.

This is a hard race to assess but REAL APPEAL has won twice when fresh and is slightly preferred to the race-fit Freescape

18:45 Dundalk Stakes 8f PREDICTION SIMULATION

19:00 Newcastle Handicap (Class 6) 5f - 11 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	12 1st (12) (25/1 -79%) Latin Five	25 25/1(-79%)	(12) Latin Five 25/1, 10/1, fifth of 8 in handicap at this C&D 29 days ago. Should strip fitter for that return, so no surprise if he's back on his game. Has form over C&D & should be sharper for last month's return; others still look stronger.
2	10 2nd (10) (9/2 -29%) Phoenix Star	4.5 9/2(-29%)	(10) Phoenix Star 9/2, 4-time C&D winner. Won 10-runner handicap (6/4) at this C&D 15 days ago by ¾ length from Elzaal. Can make presence felt. Loves it here and won well 15 days ago; no banker to confirm placings with Elzaal though.
3	2 3rd (2) (25/1 +0%) Saaheq	25 25/1(+0%)	(2) Saaheq 25/1, 16/1, last of 10 in handicap at this C&D. Off 126 days. Ended last season out of sorts, so hard to make a solid case for after break. On a good mark and won't mind conditions but he'll need to be cherry-ripe after a break.
4	7 4th (7) (5/2 +38%) Elzaal	2.5 5/2(+38%)	(7) Elzaal 5/2, 5-time C&D winner. Four wins from 15 runs last year. Eleven runs since last win in 2023. Good ¾-length second of 10 to Phoenix Star in handicap at this C&D (9/2) 15 days ago, running on. Should go well again. Conditions to suit and ran well after a break here 15 days ago; more appealing than most.
5th	8 5th (8) (7/2 +65%) Warminster	3.5 7/2(+65%)	(8) Warminster 7/2, One win from 22 Flat runs. Nineteen runs since last win in 2023. Respectable third of 8 in handicap at this course (6f, 17/2) 15 days ago. Not taken lightly. Held his form for new yard this winter but today's drop in trip isn't sure to suit.
6th	5 6th (5) (7/1 +13%) Rogue De Vega	7 7/1(+13%)	(5) Rogue De Vega 7/1, Hooded for 1st time, creditable fourth of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (5.1f, 40/1) 11 days ago, not clear run. Becoming well treated and shaped nicely last time. More encouragement when 4th at Wolverhampton 11 days ago; stiffer test should suit.
7th	11 7th (11) (18/1 +45%) Mews House	18 18/1(+45%)	(11) Mews House 18/1, 7¾ lengths seventh of 10 to Phoenix Star in handicap (40/1) at this C&D 15 days ago. Dropped right away in a couple of C&D runs last month; others come here in better form.
8th	1 8th (1) (9/1 -64%) Alafdhal	9 9/1(-64%)	(1) Alafdhal 9/1, Latest win at Kempton in February. 5/2, good third of 9 in handicap at Chelmsford City (5f) 8 days ago. Bang in form and should be on the premises again. In good form and went close off this mark at Chelmsford eight days ago.
9th	4 9th (4) (12/1 +0%) Blazing Hot	12 12/1(+0%)	(4) Blazing Hot 12/1, 3-time C&D winner. 28/1, respectable third of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 21 days ago, faring best of those held up. Can get involved if the race pans out ideally. 5f win at Southwell in January and placed over 6f latest; consistency not his forte.
10th	9 10th (9) (22/1 -10%) Sixcor	22 22/1(-10%)	(9) Sixcor 22/1, Latest win at Wolverhampton in November. 10/1, 9 lengths eighth of 10 to Phoenix Star in handicap at this C&D 15 days ago. Needs to bounce back. Down the field in two C&D runs this year; others look safer.
11th	3 11th (3) (25/1 +0%) Indian Sounds	25 25/1(+0%)	(3) Indian Sounds 25/1, Below form sixth of 10 in handicap (33/1) at this C&D. Off 158 days. Likely to need the run. Capable at this level but his record fresh doesn't suggest today will be the day.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

The key to this race looks to be the recent clash over C&D between PHOENIX STAR (first) and Elzaal (second), with the former taken to uphold that form, despite being 5lb worse off at the weights for less then a length. Jessica Macey's charge rarely runs a bad race here and should have too much for the likes of Alafdhal and Southwell winner Water Of Leith.

WATER OF LEITH defied a reduced mark with something to spare at Southwell last time and he remains with plenty of handicapping scope, so a chance is taken on him to follow up. Phoenix Star and Alafdhal also arrive at the top of their game and should feature.

Elzaal can reverse recent C&D placings with Phoenix Star but ROGUE DE VEGA could have more to offer in a hood.

19:00 Newcastle Handicap (Class 6) 5f PREDICTION SIMULATION

19:15 Dundalk Handicap 8f - 12 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
1	9 1st (9) (2/1 +40%) Super Over	2 2/1(+40%)	(9) Super Over 2/1, C&D winner. Creditable third of 12 in handicap (7/2) at this course (7f) 7 days ago, no extra final 100 yds. Visor back on and he could just be worth chancing. All 3 wins have come on AW; on a losing run but running well in defeat of late; pace angle.
2	6 2nd (6) (25/1 -25%) Brains	25 25/1(-25%)	(6) Brains 25/1, C&D winner. Three wins from 13 runs last year. Last of 8 in handicap (16/1) at this C&D 14 days ago. Needs a couple of these to falter. 11-time AW winner incl' C&D; last 2 wins have come in claimers; poor form of late.
3	3 3rd (3) (6/1 +8%) Not Forgotten	6 6/1(+8%)	(3) Not Forgotten 6/1, Rewarded for consistency when landing C&D maiden in November. Lines up here following a respectable fifth of 14 in a C&D handicap 4 weeks ago and he's one to bear in mind with cheekpieces now enlisted. Landed C&D maiden in November; lesser efforts since; cheekpieces may help though.
4	11 4th (11) (22/1 -83%) Rampage	22 22/1(-83%)	(11) Rampage 22/1, Latest win at Galway in September. 9/1, below form eleventh of 19 in handicap at the Curragh (8f, soft) in October, weakening over 1f out. Market should guide on return/polytrack debut. Both wins on turf; hasn't shown anything on AW; off 153 days and may be prep for turf.
5th	5 5th (5) (5/2 +72%) Shoot To Kill	2.5 5/2(+72%)	(5) Shoot To Kill 5/2, Latest win at Lingfield in September. Good second of 12 in handicap (9/1) at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 61 days ago, no match for winner. First run for yard after leaving Robyn Brisland and worth noting if the market speaks in his favour. 4-time Polytrack winner who was beaten 1l on final start in Britain; form worked out okay.
6th	7 6th (7) (9/1 -50%) Little Keilee	9 9/1(-50%)	(7) Little Keilee 9/1, Latest win here (7f) in December. 9/2, respectable third of 7 in handicap at this course (7f) 37 days ago, headed final 1f and no extra. Should give another good account from 1 lb lower mark. Consistent on AW this winter; 7f winner in December; stays 1m but others on better marks.
7th	12 7th (12) (12/1 +0%) Rockbury Lad	12 12/1(+0%)	(12) Rockbury Lad 12/1, Finally shed maiden tag over C&D in September. Good efforts on 2 of his 4 starts since but didn't find a great deal when seventh of 14 in handicap at this C&D in December. Likely type to bounce back returning from a break. C&D winner in September but that's only win in 22 starts and hasn't built on it; hood on.
8th	8 8th (8) (50/1 -100%) Sirjack Thomas	50 50/1(-100%)	(8) Sirjack Thomas 50/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2023. 25/1, bit below form fifth of 22 in handicap at the Curragh (7f, heavy), unable to sustain effort. Off 124 days. 7-time turf winner back below last winning mark; suspicion this is prep for turf campaign.
9th	13 9th (13) (18/1 +28%) El Bello	18 18/1(+28%)	(13) El Bello 18/1, Back-to-back winner here (at 7f) in November. However, operating below best upon joining present stable, only tenth of 13 in handicap at this course (7f) 21 days ago. All wins have come at 7f and has lost his way a bit of late, return to 1m unlikely to help.
10th	2 10th (2) (50/1 -52%) Inigo Jones	50 50/1(-52%)	(2) Inigo Jones 50/1, First run since leaving Alice Haynes when tenth of 14 in claimer (12/1) at this course (12f) 86 days ago. Significantly down in trip. Tongue strap on for 1st time, cheekpieces on for 1st time. Struggled in claimer on yard debut and may need this; new headgear combo.
11th	4 11th (4) (10/1 +0%) Ransom	10 10/1(+0%)	(4) Ransom 10/1, 3-time C&D winner. Latest win here in February. 7/1, first run since leaving Denis Hogan when tenth of 12 in handicap at this course (7f) 7 days ago. Hood on 1st time. 3-time C&D winner; latest in claimer; well held on yard debut over 7f latest; hood on.
12th	1 12th (1) (50/1 -52%) Point Gellibrand	50 50/1(-52%)	(1) Point Gellibrand 50/1, Useful for Joseph O'Brien in 2022. Very lightly-raced since but did at least show more than on return when second of 3 in minor event at this course (7f, 9/1) 49 days ago. Return to handicaps rates a plus from further reduced mark. Ran as well as could be expected in 3-runner 7f race latest but on a tough mark at present.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

Four of SKONTONOVSKI's eight wins have been over course-and-distance and he ran well over a furlong-shorter last month. He has been running well this winter, and while beaten half a length by Little Keilee in December, is 3lb better off. Little Keilee has also been running well, although her best form is over seven furlongs and finished behind Brains in January. Twelve-time winner Brains had returned to form in that race but is hit-and-miss and disappointed twice recently. Super Over ran well behind two in-form rivals last week and should run his usual race while Not Forgotten is tried in first-time cheekpieces. Shoot To Kill is a stablemate of the selection's and debuts for new connections. A face-fit eight-time winner, he is well suited by this distance and the all-weather but his rivals are well versed around Dundalk. Rockbury Lad runs in a first-time hood.

SUPER OVER has been displaying more encouraging signs from his reduced mark in handicaps in recent weeks, and with a switch of headgear potentially putting an extra edge on him, he could just be worth chancing back up at 1m. Shoot To Kill, on debut for his new yard, and Not Forgotten head up the dangers, with Little keilee also respected.

SKONTONOVSKI wasn't beaten far when staying on best over seven furlongs here last time and this race should set up well for him

19:15 Dundalk Handicap 8f PREDICTION SIMULATION

19:30 Newcastle Handicap (Class 4) 8f - 11 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	12 1st (12) (9/2 +18%) Danielsflyer	4.5 9/2(+18%)	(12) Danielsflyer 9/2, 4-time course winner. Won 12-runner handicap (15/2) at this C&D 7 days ago, readily. Carries penalty. Can make presence felt again. This stronger as he chases a hat-trick under a penalty but nothing arrives in better form.
2	4 2nd (4) (4/1 +50%) Lahab	4 4/1(+50%)	(4) Lahab 4/1, Lightly-raced winner. One win from 2 runs last year. First run since leaving Andrew Balding when very good third of 9 in handicap at this course (6f, 12/1) 52 days ago. Step back up in trip should suit and he has more to offer. Fair debut for his new yard here (6f); has to settle better than in one previous try at 1m.
3	10 3rd (10) (16/1 -167%) Star Shield	16 16/1(-167%)	(10) Star Shield 16/1, 3-time C&D winner. Three wins from 15 runs last year. Latest win here in December. 6/1, good third of 8 in handicap at Lingfield (8f, AW) 14 days ago. Others look better treated. Landed a third C&D win off a mark just 1lb lower late last year; rarely disappoints here.
4	1 4th (1) (28/1 -40%) Paris Lights	28 28/1(-40%)	(1) Paris Lights 28/1, 25/1, ninth of 11 in novice hurdle at Sedgefield (16.8f, heavy) on NH debut 30 days ago. Fairly useful on the Flat, bit below form on last Flat outing. Must improve. Fair comeback for his new yard before not taking to hurdles; this trip is a bare minimum.
5th	2 5th (2) (4/1 +33%) Hartswood	4 4/1(+33%)	(2) Hartswood 4/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Ayr in October. 18/1, respectable sixth of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 61 days ago, left poorly placed. Can get involved if things drop right. Back on his last successful mark (turf) and has won over C&D; has a fair bit in his favour.
6th	7 6th (7) (16/1 +36%) Gainsbourg	16 16/1(+36%)	(7) Gainsbourg 16/1, Respectable fifth of 12 in handicap at this C&D (150/1) 20 days ago. Needs to up his game. Has done his winning on turf in late summer/autumn and never off a mark this high.
7th	3 7th (3) (17/2 -70%) Torchlight	8.5 17/2(-70%)	(3) Torchlight 17/2, Lightly-raced maiden. Tongue strap on for 1st time, first run since leaving John & Thady Gosden when sixth of 9 in handicap (25/1) at Lingfield (7f, AW) 7 days ago, finishing with running left. Should benefit from this step up in trip, so one to note. Promise in the tongue-tie for her new yard last Friday; that gave something to build on.
8th	5 8th (5) (9/1 +25%) Hortzadar	9 9/1(+25%)	(5) Hortzadar 9/1, C&D winner. Latest win here in November. Eighth of 12 in handicap (10/1) at this C&D 20 days ago. Others make more appeal. Hold-up performer; won over C&D off this mark four months ago; remains capable.
9th	6 9th (6) (15/2 +70%) King Sharja	7.5 15/2(+70%)	(6) King Sharja 15/2, Thrice-raced maiden. Third of 11 in minor event at Salisbury (9.9f, good to firm, 14/1). Off 9 months. First run for yard after leaving Richard Hannon. Makes handicap debut. More required. Has been gelded and the market could be informative on his handicap and stable debut.
10th	9 10th (9) (6/1 -20%) Enola Grey	6 6/1(-20%)	(9) Enola Grey 6/1, C&D winner. 4/1, good second of 8 in handicap at Lingfield (8f, AW) 14 days ago, just failing. Bound to remain competitive. Habitual slow-starter who won twice over C&D late last year; ought to go well once more.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

Turned out again quickly after a taking success over C&D last Friday, Danielsflyer is bound to be popular under a 4lb penalty, but preference instead is for the less-exposed TORCHLIGHT. An eye-catcher when making late headway on her first start for new connections at Lingfield, the daughter of Invincible Spirit should appreciate the drop in grade and going back up to a mile. Enola Grey and Lahab have the form to get involved in proceedings as well.

TORCHLIGHT caught the eye from a poor position on her first outing for George Boughey and, up in trip, she's likely to take a step forward, so she takes marginal preference over Lahab, who started well for Grant Tuer here last time. Hat-trick seeker Danielsflyer is another one to consider.

This can go to HARTSWOOD, who's gone well fresh before and returns on his last winning mark. Danielsflyer is another to consider.

19:30 Newcastle Handicap (Class 4) 8f PREDICTION SIMULATION

19:45 Dundalk Handicap 11f - 14 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
1	6 1st (6) (9/2 +31%) Highland King	4.5 9/2(+31%)	(6) Highland King 9/2, Remains a maiden after 16 Flat runs. 14/1, creditable third of 14 in handicap at this C&D 21 days ago, running on. Cheekpieces back on. Needs a couple of these to falter. One of his better recent runs when 3rd over C&D 3 weeks ago; now 0-17.
2	2 2nd (2) (10/3 -11%) Moondharrig	3.333333 10/3(-11%)	(2) Moondharrig 10/3, Career best when winning 14-runner handicap (10/3) at this C&D 35 days ago, keeping on well. Progressing recently. Improved since h'capping; bids for C&D hat-trick and form of latest win looks rock solid.
3	1 3rd (1) (9/2 +18%) Picpoul	4.5 9/2(+18%)	(1) Picpoul 9/2, C&D winner. Latest win here in December. Good second of 14 in handicap (16/5) at this course (12f) 7 days ago. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals. C&D winner; back to form when beaten a neck latest; 3lb rise looks a bit harsh.
4	11 4th (11) (14/1 -115%) Anjah	14 14/1(-115%)	(11) Anjah 14/1, Remains a maiden after 29 Flat runs. 10/1, good third of 14 in handicap at this course (12f) 23 days ago. Has good chance on form. 0-29 but not beaten far in last couple of starts and jockey's 4lb claim will help.
5th	8 5th (8) (16/1 +20%) Power Drive	16 16/1(+20%)	(8) Power Drive 16/1, 5-time course winner. Eighteen runs since last win in 2022. Respectable seventh of 14 in handicap at this course (12f, 20/1) 23 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Merits consideration. 5-time course winner but on a long losing run and couldn't build on some promise latest.
6th	4 6th (4) (14/1 +13%) Snag It	14 14/1(+13%)	(4) Snag It 14/1, C&D winner. Latest win here in November. Respectable sixth of 12 in claimer (9/1) at this course (8f) 21 days ago. Significantly back up in trip. Others more persuasive. Gained first win in C&D h'cap on yard debut; mixed bag since; tough mark and wide draw.
7th	5 7th (5) (18/1 -125%) Hale Bopp	18 18/1(-125%)	(5) Hale Bopp 18/1, Course winner. Good third of 14 in handicap at this course (8f, 9/1) 28 days ago. Significantly back up in trip. Can make presence felt. All 5 wins at 7f/1m and has failed to get competitive in four previous C&D events.
8th	9 8th (9) (12/1 +0%) Wonder Spirit	12 12/1(+0%)	(9) Wonder Spirit 12/1, C&D winner. One win from 24 Flat runs. 20/1, good second of 14 in handicap at this course (8f) 28 days ago. Significantly back up in trip. Hood back on. C&D winner; went close to winning over 1m here last month; further will suit.
9th	13 9th (13) (80/1 -142%) Just Another Eagle	80 80/1(-142%)	(13) Just Another Eagle 80/1, Fourth of 16 in handicap at Gowran (9.4f, heavy, 28/1), running on. Off 144 days. Makes polytrack debut. Hood on 1st time. Must improve. One of her better runs when 4th latest but this is tough after five-month break.
10th	12 10th (12) (50/1 -25%) Designer Cailin	50 50/1(-25%)	(12) Designer Cailin 50/1, Course winner. Two wins from 43 Flat runs. Twenty six runs since last win in 2021. Ninth of 14 in handicap (28/1) at this C&D. Off 98 days. Needs a couple of these to falter. Lost her way around here since the turf season and drawn wide after 98 days off.
11th	3 11th (3) (15/2 +25%) Pinball Wizard	7.5 15/2(+25%)	(3) Pinball Wizard 15/2, Creditable third of 13 in handicap (5/1) at this course (12f) 77 days ago. Consistent this winter; creeping up h'cap without winning; may not have stayed 1m4f latest.
12th	7 12th (7) (10/1 +0%) Don't Look Now	10 10/1(+0%)	(7) Don't Look Now 10/1, 7/1, good third of 14 in handicap at this C&D 35 days ago. Needs a couple of these to falter. Unexposed and beaten less than 1l in 3 h'cap starts over C&D; wide draw this time.
13th	10 13th (10) (25/1 +24%) Miss Heartbreak	25 25/1(+24%)	(10) Miss Heartbreak 25/1, 28/1, creditable 3¾ lengths third of 14 to Picpoul in handicap at this C&D 86 days ago. Career best when 3rd over C&D 86 days ago but nudged up 1lb.
14th	14 14th (14) (33/1 +0%) Wojood	33 33/1(+0%)	(14) Wojood 33/1, C&D winner. Tenth of 14 in handicap at this course (12f, 16/1) 23 days ago. Something to find on form. C&D winner but the losing run is mounting up and no signs of a revival at this venue.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

HIGHLAND KING's rating has fallen and he finished third from a career-low mark recently. He is a 17-race maiden but looks to have found his level, with the form of his recent run being boosted by winner Wrecking Ball Paul and the sixth-placed horse both scoring subsequently. Don't Look Now is a six-race maiden who is drawn wide in 16 but is progressive. She finished narrowly behind Snag It here last month but is open to more progression than that five-time winner. She was beaten a head by Moondharrig (which won subsequently) in January but now enjoys a 17lb swing at the weights. Snag It was beaten in a recent claimer but will be much better suited by reverting back up in distance. Twenty-nine-race maiden Anjah finished fourth with Power Drive finishing fifth to the selection recently while Wonder Spirit's only win came over this course-and-distance and he ran well over a mile last month. Picpoul finished ahead of Miss Heartbreak here in December while Hale Bopp has been running well recently.

While MOONDHARRIG clearly has more on his plate following an 8 lb rise for the latest of his two C&D victories since the turn of the year, it's equally clear that he is on an upward curve and the 4-y-o is taken to complete the hat-trick. Long-standing maiden Anjah has performed with plenty of credit the last twice and should be on the premises once again, while top-weight Picpoul, Hale Bopp and Wonder Spirit are others to consider.

This can go the way of WONDER SPIRIT who is a C&D winner and he was only narrowly denied over an insufficient 1m latest

19:45 Dundalk Handicap 11f PREDICTION SIMULATION

20:00 Newcastle Handicap (Class 6) 7f - 11 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	3 1st (3) (20/1 -67%) Turbo Command	20 20/1(-67%)	(3) Turbo Command 20/1, Three wins from 15 runs last year, the latest at Southwell in December. 13/2, 4¾ lengths fifth of 8 to To The Bar in handicap at this C&D 20 days ago. Others have achieved more. Three-time winner over this trip at Southwell, but placed just once in seven visits here.
2	10 2nd (10) (10/3 +26%) Saisons D'or	3.333333 10/3(+26%)	(10) Saisons D'or 10/3, Three-time C&D winner. Good second of 9 in handicap (8/1) at this C&D 20 days ago. Entitled to come on for that given that it was his first run for 4 months, and he's high on the shortlist. Triple C&D winner; well treated and has a fine record on second start back from a break.
3	8 3rd (8) (5/1 +38%) Eleven Eleven	5 5/1(+38%)	(8) Eleven Eleven 5/1, Four-time course winner. Latest win here in February. Respectable 4 lengths fourth of 8 to To The Bar in handicap at this C&D (11/8) 20 days ago. Likely to find one or two too good. Made all over C&D last month but held nine days later; more needed.
4	9 4th (9) (4/1 +11%) Pallas Lord	4 4/1(+11%)	(9) Pallas Lord 4/1, Six-time course winner. 15/8, won 8-runner handicap at this course (8f) 17 days ago, digging deep. Needs more up 3 lb but he's on a roll and has to enter calculations. Form since tongue-tie went on in December reads 2212111; dual C&D winner; much respected.
5th	6 5th (6) (10/1 -25%) Laura's Breeze	10 10/1(-25%)	(6) Laura's Breeze 10/1, Winner at Wolverhampton in November. Below form fourth of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f, 7/2) 52 days ago, missing break. First run for yard after leaving Ed Dunlop and claims if on-song. Consistent though just 1-15; frame material again if maintaining her form for her new yard.
6th	1 6th (1) (16/1 -78%) Plink	16 16/1(-78%)	(1) Plink 16/1, Good second of 12 in handicap at this C&D (14/1) 90 days ago, suited by way race developed. Up 2 lb for that and looks vulnerable back from a 3-month break. Second over C&D last time, but has a three-month absence and 2lb rise to overcome.
7th	2 7th (2) (10/1 +38%) Mr Squires	10 10/1(+38%)	(2) Mr Squires 10/1, 13/2, tenth of 11 in handicap at Southwell (7.1f) 45 days ago, possibly amiss. Others make more appeal. Running well prior to bombing out at Southwell in January; has something to prove.
8th	4 8th (4) (9/1 -29%) Devasboy	9 9/1(-29%)	(4) Devasboy 9/1, C&D winner. Twenty-three runs since last win in 2022. 11/2, good second of 9 in handicap at Southwell (8.1f) 22 days ago. Place possibilities. Losing run up to 23; all three wins have come at around 7f, but he may prefer 1m now.
9th	12 9th (12) (66/1 -100%) Stormy Pearl	66 66/1(-100%)	(12) Stormy Pearl 66/1, 66/1, first run since leaving Rebecca Menzies when a below-par seventh of 12 in handicap at this course (6f) 64 days ago. Best to look elsewhere. Back off last winning mark but showed little on stable debut; plenty to prove up in trip.
10th	11 10th (11) (33/1 -65%) Captain Cooper	33 33/1(-65%)	(11) Captain Cooper 33/1, C&D winner. Thirteen runs since last win in 2021. Seventh of 8 in handicap (6/1) at Southwell (7.1f) 10 days ago, running on. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Sole win in 16 starts came over C&D; excuses in two starts since returning for this yard.
11th	5 11th (5) (11/2 +0%) To The Bar	5.5 11/2(+0%)	(5) To The Bar 11/2, Improved on recent efforts to win 8-runner handicap (9/1) at this C&D 20 days ago, well positioned. 2 lb nudge fair enough and likely to be in the thick of things once again. Ended a 14-race losing run over C&D last time; still looks fairly treated on old form.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

Three of the four recent course successes posted by Pallas Lord came over a mile and while he did scrap his way to a C&D success in an apprentice handicap on his penultimate start, this looks a deeper test for the Donald Whillans-trained gelding. With that in mind, TO THE BAR earns the nod as he bids to follow up last month's C&D success from just 2lb higher. Rated 96 at his peak, the selection is too well treated to ignore on the back of that return to form. Devasboy and Eleven Eleven complete the shortlist.

SAISONS D'OR pulled nicely clear of the rest when runner-up in the first division of a C&D handicap last month and, likely to be a bit sharper this time, he could be the answer. To The Bar landed the second division of the same handicap and he is feared most ahead of Laura's Breeze and the in-form Pallas Lord.

This can go to triple C&D winner SAISONS D'OR who remains well treated and has a great record on his second start back from an absence.

20:00 Newcastle Handicap (Class 6) 7f PREDICTION SIMULATION

20:15 Dundalk Handicap 12f - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
1	6 1st (6) (17/2 -70%) Satono Chevalier	8.5 17/2(-70%)	(6) Satono Chevalier 17/2, C&D winner. Respectable 6½ lengths fourth of 9 to War Correspondent in handicap (11/4) at this C&D 35 days ago. Should be thereabouts again. Both wins have come over C&D; signs the handicapper has him at present though.
2	1 2nd (1) (11/1 +21%) Star Harbour	11 11/1(+21%)	(1) Star Harbour 11/1, Latest win at Bellewstown in September. 11/2, 8¼ lengths sixth of 9 to War Correspondent in handicap at this C&D 35 days ago. Went close over C&D in October but been below form in 2 runs since winter break.
3	9 3rd (9) (11/4 +39%) Palace Rock	2.75 11/4(+39%)	(9) Palace Rock 11/4, C&D winner. 2/1, good second of 11 in handicap at this C&D 14 days ago. Arrives in top form and expected to put up another bold showing. 2nd here last 2 Flat starts; 2lb rise not ideal for latest but not ruled out; cheekpieces.
4	4 4th (4) (7/1 -56%) Yokkell	7 7/1(-56%)	(4) Yokkell 7/1, Three wins from 11 runs last year. 4/1, career best when winning 9-runner handicap at this course (10.7f) 23 days ago. Likely to be on the premises again. Won 3 of last 5 starts for new yard and good value for winning margin latest; up 4lb.
5th	5 5th (5) (3/1 +85%) Esquiline	3 3/1(+85%)	(5) Esquiline 3/1, Fifth of 6 in handicap at Listowel (14.2f, soft, 11/4). Off 171 days. Makes polytrack debut. Others more persuasive. Won maiden at Bellewstown last summer; soft possibly against her since; off 171 days.
6th	2 6th (2) (5/1 +17%) War Correspondent	5 5/1(+17%)	(2) War Correspondent 5/1, Untrustworthy individual. 7/1, career best when winning 9-runner handicap at this C&D 35 days ago by 5 lengths from Yokkell, easily. Not an obvious sort to follow up. C&D winner latest; hit with 9lb rise; unlikely to get away with slipping the field again.
7th	7 7th (7) (14/1 -75%) Impero	14 14/1(-75%)	(7) Impero 14/1, Unreliable type. Respectable second of 7 in handicap (10/3) at this course (16f) 28 days ago, no match for winner. Back down in trip. 0-18; running well in defeat here of late; respected back down in trip despite poor record.
8th	8 8th (8) (40/1 +0%) Cape Bridgewater	40 40/1(+0%)	(8) Cape Bridgewater 40/1, 40/1, well-beaten last of 9 to War Correspondent in handicap at this C&D 35 days ago. First run for yard after leaving D. J. Bunyan & G. O'Leary. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Something to find on form. Won Tipperary maiden last year but shown nothing since leaving A O'Brien; cheekpieces on.
9th	10 9th (10) (15/2 +6%) John Alexander	7.5 15/2(+6%)	(10) John Alexander 15/2, C&D winner. Creditable third of 13 in handicap (7/2) at this C&D 56 days ago, not ideally placed. Down the weights and looked back in form last time, so worth taking a chance on. Sole win came over C&D; signs of return to form this winter; below last winning h'cap mark.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

PALACE ROCK is just 2lb higher than when finishing second over course-and-distance a fortnight ago. Ideally suited by this distance, he is dependable, defeated below-par War Correspondent six lengths in December and is now 10lb better off. War Correspondent has been hit with - in effect, a 9lb hike (as his rider was 2lb overweight) for winning in fine style over course-and-distance last month although he should again run well. He defeated today's rival Yokkell then (with Satono Chevalier in fourth), with that mare boosting the form by winning subsequently, although she too competes from a career high mark. John Alexander was ninth behind Yokkell in December but ran well when finishing third and behind the selection in January. Impero has been running well but is an 18-race maiden. Firstman defeated the selection by three-quarters-of-a-length here in December 2022 (prior to controversially losing a race) but is 9lb worse off and hasn't run since June.

JOHN ALEXANDER has dropped to an appealing mark and caught the eye from a poor position last time, so he's worth taking a chance on in an open race. Palace Rock has been knocking on the door and is unlikely to be far away, while Satono Chevailer is likely to give his running again.

YOKKELL is clearly thriving since joining her new yard and won in good style last time; a 4lb rise looks fine

20:15 Dundalk Handicap 12f PREDICTION SIMULATION

20:30 Newcastle Handicap (Class 6) 8f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	4 1st (4) (4/1 -20%) Big Narstie	4 4/1(-20%)	(4) Big Narstie 4/1, Latest win at Wolverhampton in January. 6/5, respectable third of 7 in handicap at Lingfield (8f, AW) 14 days ago. This consistent type can be expected to give another good account. Three-time 7f winner who's proven consistent since the blinkers went on; leading claims.
2	5 2nd (5) (3/1 -9%) Ledger	3 3/1(-9%)	(5) Ledger 3/1, C&D winner. Latest win here in February. Creditable third of 9 in minor event at this C&D (5/2) 7 days ago. Will need to improve for the fitting of blinkers if he's to emerge on top. Two C&D wins since coming over from Ireland; player switched from cheekpieces to blinkers.
3	8 3rd (8) (33/1 +0%) Candy Eye	33 33/1(+0%)	(8) Candy Eye 33/1, Ninth of 10 in handicap at this course (5f, 22/1) 15 days ago. Significantly up in trip and looks set for another struggle. Poor maiden; the big step up in trip looks more in hope than expectation.
4	1 4th (1) (4/1 -45%) Sienna Breeze	4 4/1(-45%)	(1) Sienna Breeze 4/1, Improved on recent efforts to win 8-runner handicap at Southwell (7.1f, 7/1) 10 days ago, conceding first run. Obvious claims. Comes with risks, as she can blow the start and/or pull hard, but she has to be considered.
5th	3 5th (3) (11/4 +17%) Marie's Jewel	2.75 11/4(+17%)	(3) Marie's Jewel 11/4, Very good second of 9 in handicap at this course (7.1f, 18/1) 24 days ago, nearest finish. Reproduction of that effort would give him a fighting chance. First signs of spark latest; threatens to be suited by going 1m and is shortlisted.
6th	6 6th (6) (11/1 +8%) Key Look	11 11/1(+8%)	(6) Key Look 11/1, Course winner. Latest win here in November. Sixth of 8 in handicap (8/1) at this C&D 64 days ago. Others more persuasive. Most wins, including twice here, have come over 7f; can miss the break and/or pull hard.
7th	7 7th (7) (17/2 +47%) Damoiseau	8.5 17/2(+47%)	(7) Damoiseau 17/2, Seventh of 9 in handicap (33/1) at Southwell (6.1f) 22 days ago. Significantly up in trip and he's hard to warm to. Handicapper quick to ease off; stamina a question mark on pedigree (related to sprinters).
8th	2 8th (2) (40/1 -60%) Shotley Royale	40 40/1(-60%)	(2) Shotley Royale 40/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Last of 12 in handicap at this course (6f, 80/1). Off 140 days and now moves significantly up in trip. Others preferred. Goes beyond 6f for the first time (is related mainly to sprinters); watch the market.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

Sienna Breeze scored over 7f at Southwell 10 days ago but stepping up in trip and a 5lb penalty puts the mare at a disadvantage under top-weight this time. Therefore, LEDGER, a winner over course and distance in a classified event on his penultimate start, may be the way to go. A close third over C&D since, combining cheekpieces with a tongue-strap seems to have revitalised the selection and another big run is expected with the headgear now switched to blinkers. Marie's Jewel and Big Narstie complete the shortlist.

Though SIENNA BREEZE isn't technically well-in under a penalty, she is the most appealing all the same on the back of her recent Southwell success. The consistent Big Narstie looks nailed-on for another leading role, while this step up in trip should suit Marie's Jewel and she is also shortlisted.

A few have stamina to prove and others have risks attached, leaving this looking good for MARIE'S JEWEL (nap). Ledger is next best.

20:30 Newcastle Handicap (Class 6) 8f PREDICTION SIMULATION

Racecard Key

Ths is the racecard key.

Icon	Meaning
	TomForm top stats, gold rated
	TomForm top stats silver rated
	Ran similar race before
S	TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out
T	Top Time speeed rated
	Top Racingpost rated
	At the races watchout for
	At the races top pick
	Top rated for thet statistic

How to use Tomform

Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.

This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.

About U.K Horse Racing

Horse racing is a popular and historic sport in the UK, with a tradition dating back centuries. It is a multi-billion pound industry that attracts millions of spectators each year and generates significant economic activity.

There are two main types of horse racing in the UK: flat racing and jump racing. Flat racing is run on a level course and is typically shorter in distance, while jump racing involves horses jumping over obstacles and is generally longer in distance. Both types of racing are popular with spectators and bettors, and they take place at various racetracks throughout the country.

The most famous horse racing event in the UK is the Grand National, which is held annually at Aintree Racecourse in Liverpool. It is a jump racing event that is known for its challenging course and has become a national institution in the UK. Other notable horse racing events in the UK include the Derby, held at Epsom Downs Racecourse in Surrey, and the Royal Ascot, held at Ascot Racecourse in Berkshire.

Horse racing in the UK is regulated by the British Horseracing Authority (BHA), which sets rules and standards for the industry. It is responsible for the welfare of racehorses and the safety of jockeys and trainers, as well as ensuring fair and transparent racing practices.

In addition to its economic and cultural importance, horse racing in the UK also plays a significant role in the breeding and training of thoroughbred horses. Many of the world's top thoroughbreds are bred and trained in the UK, and the industry plays a vital role in the preservation and promotion of the breed.

Overall, horse racing is an integral part of British culture and a major contributor to the country's economy. It is a thrilling and exciting sport that continues to attract a loyal following and generate significant interest from spectators and bettors around the world.

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