There were 37 Races on Wednesday 10th May 2023 across 5 meetings. There was 8 races at Kelso, 7 races at Chester, 7 races at Fontwell, 8 races at Gowran Park, 7 races at Kempton, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.
Races & Results Wednesday 10th May 2023
The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.
(7) Lady Onyx 8/1, €52,000 yearling, Kodi Bear filly. Dam 5f winner out of useful 7f winner Dangle. Stable in good form so a newcomer to note. Second foal out of a 5f winner who is a half-sister to seven winners, in good hands.
2
2nd (8) (10/1 +38%) Neowise
10/1(+38%)
(8) Neowise 10/1, Twelfth of 13 in maiden (12/1) at Cork (7f, heavy) on debut 32 days ago. From a strong Niarchos family but made no impression first time out at Limerick last month.
3
3rd (5) (11/1 -10%) Doctor Nightingale
11/1(-10%)
(5) Doctor Nightingale 11/1, Seventh of 12 in maiden (25/1) at Bellewstown (7.8f, heavy) on debut 34 days ago, running on. Likely to improve. Not given a hard race after her chance had gone on Bellewstown debut, open to improvement.
4
4th (3) (0.83/1 +40%) Toughen Up
0.83/1(+40%)
(3) Toughen Up 0.83/1, 4/1, excellent second of 11 in maiden at Limerick (7f, soft) 18 days ago. Tongue strap on 1st time. Will take the beating if reproducing that run. Form of Limerick second has been boosted by a win for the third, will be hard to beat.
5th
5th (2) (2.25/1 -20%) Play It Again Zaam
2.25/1(-20%)
(2) Play It Again Zaam 2.25/1, Lightly-raced gelding. Excellent third of 20 in maiden (200/1) at the Curragh (7f, heavy) 46 days ago, well positioned. First run for yard after leaving Barry Fitzgerald. Booking of McDonogh a plus. Has joined Joseph O'Brien after a vastly improved run at the Curragh, should go close.
6th
6th (6) (66/1 +18%) Kinda Tiny
66/1(+18%)
(6) Kinda Tiny 66/1, Twelfth of 15 in maiden at Limerick (7f, soft, 66/1) on debut 18 days ago, very slowly away. Slowly away and never in contention on debut at Limerick, will need more experience.
7th
7th (4) (125/1 -25%) Dance The Flame
125/1(-25%)
(4) Dance The Flame 125/1, Twice-raced filly. 200/1, fourteenth of 15 in maiden at Limerick (7f, soft) 18 days ago. Has finished in front of only one rival in each of her two starts, can be ruled out.
8th
8th (9) (50/1 -52%) Pegula
50/1(-52%)
(9) Pegula 50/1, Cotai Glory filly. Half-sister to 2-y-o 5f-6f winner Fognini and 7f-8.4f winner Clotherholme. Dam maiden placed at 1m-9.5f. Half-sister to two multiple winners notably Fognini, useful at two for Archie Watson.
9th
9th (10) (33/1 -106%) Queen Mab
33/1(-106%)
(10) Queen Mab 33/1, Ninth of 11 in maiden (8/1) at this course (8f, soft) on debut 21 days ago. Only 8-1 but made no impression first time out here three weeks ago.
10th
10th (1) (125/1 -150%) Liberty Vallence
125/1(-150%)
(1) Liberty Vallence 125/1, Dick Whittington colt. Half-brother to 6f winner Arabian Cafe. Dam 1¼m-11.6f winner. Dick Whittington colt whose dam was suited by quick ground, sire won a Group 1 on soft.
LTO Selection:
13:20 Gowran Park Maiden 7f Race Speed Rating Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
Based on the summary provided, 1.38/1 (3) TOUGHEN UP seems to be the horse most likely to win, given their recent strong performance and favorable odds. For second place, 1.88/1 (2) PLAY IT AGAIN ZAAM and 33/1 (9) PEGULA could potentially be contenders, with both showing positive signs of improvement and good breeding. For third place, 10/1 (5) DOCTOR NIGHTINGALE and 5.5/1 (7) LADY ONYX could be worth considering, as they both have potential to improve and are in good hands. However, as with any horse race, there are many variables at play and nothing is certain.
This looks to be between TOUGHEN UP and Play It Again Zaam who are closely matched on official ratings. The former showed a real aptitude for soft ground when getting to within a head of the winner over the same trip in Limerick. The horse a place behind him in third came out and won a maiden at this track last week. Play It Again Zaam is only rated 1lb inferior to Toughen Up and has switched to Joseph O'Brien after a promising third in a big-field maiden on testing ground at the Curragh. Several winners have come out of that race, so he holds every chance. Johnny Murtagh's Lady Onyx is a newcomer to note. Neowise can do better on her second start.
It's a shade disconcerting that connections reach for a tongue tie on the back of TOUGHEN UP's big career-best effort at Limerick less than 3 weeks ago but that slight niggle aside, a repeat of that form will see him tough to beat. Doctor Nightingale is a sure-fire improver, with newcomer Lady Onyx one to monitor in the betting.
Slight preference is for Limerick runner-up TOUGHEN UP over Play It Again Zaam who has joined Joseph O'Brien after a Curragh third
(11) Ziggy's Phoenix 2.25/1, Confirmed promise of her debut when winning 6-runner novice event at Ripon (5f, soft) 20 days ago, pushed out. May well do better and has landed the inside stall. Soft-ground win at Ripon on second start; high in calculations granted similar going.
2
2nd (10) (3.5/1 +13%) Ziggy's Dream
3.5/1(+13%)
(10) Ziggy's Dream 3.5/1, £24,000 yearling, Inns of Court filly. Half-sister to 2-y-o 5.5f winner No More Regrets and 5f winner Seeingisbelieving. Dam 9f/9.4f winner out of useful 2-y-o 6f winner Shifting Place. Heavily backed and justified that support in 5-runner maiden at Doncaster 11 days ago. Will improve. Won going away on soft ground at Doncaster; very appealing if the surface is similar.
3
3rd (2) (5/1 +0%) Balon D'Or
5/1(+0%)
(2) Balon D'Or 5/1, Dam, 2-y-o 5f winner, sister to useful 2-y-o 6f winner Broken Stones so he's bred to be sharp and he certainly knew what was required when landing 8-runner novice at Musselburgh last month. That race has worked out well so lots to like, aside from stall 11. Form of Musselburgh win has substance; represents locally based connections; respected.
4
4th (9) (11/1 +0%) Tierney
11/1(+0%)
(9) Tierney 11/1, Foaled May 6. €50,000 foal, 115,000 gns yearling, Mehmas filly. Half-sister to 3 winners, including Spanish 7f winner El Sokhna. Highly respected on debut. 115,000gns yearling; interesting newcomer for local yard that also runs Balon D'Or.
5th
5th (1) (14/1 +44%) Myconian
14/1(+44%)
(1) Myconian 14/1, Magna Grecia colt looked sharp when winning 13-runner newcomers race at Saint-Cloud, responding to pressure when tackled. Failed badly to back that up at Musselburgh 10 days ago. Won in France on debut then held at Musselburgh; faces tougher task on these terms.
6th
6th (8) (10/1 +38%) She's Smart
10/1(+38%)
(8) She's Smart 10/1, Isn't the biggest but left debut form well behind when third at Newmarket 3 weeks ago. Repeat of that will see her involved for a yard with a fair record in this. Clear promise in both runs, finishing third at Newmarket latest; frame possibilities.
7th
7th (5) (14/1 +36%) John Steed
14/1(+36%)
(5) John Steed 14/1, Fared best of the newcomers when second of 8 in maiden at Bath (5f, soft) on debut 9 days ago, not given overly-hard time once chance of winning had gone. Expected to build on that but stall 10 isn't ideal. Promising second at Bath last week; connections won this race in 2022; shortlisted.
8th
8th (7) (25/1 +0%) Alfa Moonstone
25/1(+0%)
(7) Alfa Moonstone 25/1, Foaled March 22. 28,000 gns yearling, Havana Grey filly. Sister to 2-y-o 5f/6f winner Girl Magic and half-sister to 1¼m winner Thunor. Dam 5f winner (including at 2 yrs). 28,000gns yearling; sister to a 5f/6f 2yo winner; one of two newcomers in the field.
9th
9th (6) (9/1 -20%) Parkside Boy
9/1(-20%)
(6) Parkside Boy 9/1, Dam was a precocious type and he made the perfect start in 4-runner race at Dundalk last month. Encounters different conditions here but he's open to progress. Turned over an odds-on Ballydoyle colt at Dundalk; this Irish challenger is interesting.
10th
10th (4) (300/1 -200%) Dandy Fitz
300/1(-200%)
(4) Dandy Fitz 300/1, Dandy Man colt. Brother to 6f winner Theotherside and half-brother to 3 winners, including winner up to 7f Starboy and 7f winner Fat Gladiator. Dam winner up to 8.4f (including at 2 yrs). Little short-term promise starting out at Ripon. Trailed home last of six in the Ripon race won by Ziggy's Phoenix.
11th
11th (3) (28/1 +15%) Dan Dee Prince
28/1(+15%)
(3) Dan Dee Prince 28/1, Hails from quite a talented family and offered something to work on when third of 7 in novice event at Pontefract (5f, good to soft) on debut 16 days ago. Open to progress, but he certainly needs to. Showed ability at Pontefract but recorded only a modest RPR; others preferred.
LTO Selection:
13:30 Chester Stakes (Class 2) 5f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
A game winner on his racecourse debut over this trip at Musselburgh last month, Balon D'or can go well despite the rise in class, but JOHN STEED shades the vote. The son of Inns Of Court made a promising start to his racing career when filling the runner-up spot at Bath earlier this month and he can go one place better with improvement forthcoming. Parkside Boy and Ziggy's Phoenix add further spice to the race.
Backing any horse drawn on the outside here is risky, but BALON D'OR appeals as being the most talented of these with his debut win at Musselburgh proving to be strong form. At the forecast prices, it's well worth siding with him to overcome stall 11, with the Middleham Park duo Ziggy's Phoenix and Ziggy's Dream the main dangers.
With the weather forecast in their favour, the soft-ground winners ZIGGY'S DREAM and Ziggy's Phoenix are particularly appealing.
(9) Exit To Where 8/1, Back to winning ways in a course handicap last spring but running no more than respectably since. Will be fit from a spin over hurdles. Two of his three wins have been here, but disappointing after winning here last May.
2
2nd (1) (5.5/1 +15%) Just Don't Know
5.5/1(+15%)
(1) Just Don't Know 5.5/1, Successful twicein 2021/22 and notched second win of last season at Ayr (3m) last month, looking very much in control before his sole rival fell at the second last. Good run of form has come to a halt twice since, though. Back down in trip. Two small-field wins this year, but not been at his best in stronger races the last twice.
3
3rd (5) (7.5/1 +32%) Touch Kick
7.5/1(+32%)
(5) Touch Kick 7.5/1, Veteran whose losing run is mounting up but he found more than he often does when second of 9 from his career-low mark at Sedgefield a month ago. Not won since 2019, but a couple of decent efforts last term and not without a chance.
4
4th (8) (1.75/1 +30%) Domandlouis
1.75/1(+30%)
(8) Domandlouis 1.75/1, Winner over hurdles and now looks to be getting the hang of chasing, runner-up twice, latterly over this C&D. Same mark so should give it another good go. Yet to win over fences, but creditable efforts last two starts and is one to consider.
5th
5th (6) (8.5/1 +47%) Cosmic Outlaw
8.5/1(+47%)
(6) Cosmic Outlaw 8.5/1, Scored over hurdles at Kelso in October but hasn't reproduced that in 3 subsequent outings, falling on chase debut at Wetherby last month. Cheekpieces on first time. Point winner; winner over hurdles (3m2f) but fell third on chase debut; headgear tried.
6th
6th (3) (8/1 +11%) The Ferry Master
8/1(+11%)
(3) The Ferry Master 8/1, Progressed very well over fences during 2020/21 campaign, notably finishing fourth in that season's Scottish Grand National. Has subsequently failed to reproduce that level of form but mark continues to fall at least. C&D winner; on good mark but wasn't at his best for most of last season; others preferred.
7th
7th (2) (7.5/1 -200%) Hidden Commander
7.5/1(-200%)
(2) Hidden Commander 7.5/1, Boasts a fine strike rate over fences, having scored on 5 of his 10 chase outings. Eked out bit more improvement to land 7-runner handicap chase at Sedgefield (21.1fO but now back up in trip having failed to fire at Newcastle. Three wins last season including over C&D; seems to go on any ground; in the reckoning.
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|PU| (7) (18/1 -13%) Juge Et Parti
18/1(-13%)
(7) Juge Et Parti 18/1, Did well in handicap chases last season, winning twice over 3m. Respectable hurdling return at Wetherby but little to shout about over both sets of obstacles since. Cheekpieces back on. Won two 3m chases on soft in 2021; not at his best last term; on a good mark; place chance.
LTO Selection:
13:40 Kelso Handicap Chase (Class 4) 23f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Based on the information provided, it is difficult to confidently predict which horse will win. However, some potential contenders for the top three positions could be 2.5/1 (8) DOMANDLOUIS, 2.5/1 (2) HIDDEN COMMANDER, and 16/1 (7) JUGE ET PARTI. These horses have shown some recent success and have been competitive in their respective races. However, anything can happen in horse racing and other factors such as jockey performance and track conditions can also play a significant role in determining the outcome of the race.
DOMANDLOUIS has plenty of experience at this course and, having made steady progress since he switched to chasing, the Lucinda Russell-trained gelding looks the one to side with after a second over C&D from the same mark last month. He has lots of scope for improvement and is taken to be too progressive for the likes of Touch Kick and Margaret's Legacy, who are the pick of the opposition.
MARGARET'S LEGACY seemed to be benefit from a wind op and for the re-fitting of a tongue tie when third at Uttoxeter and now he is back in form he looks ready to cash in on this handy mark. Hidden Commander can boast an excellent strike rate and is a threat, along with Domandlouis.
In quite a tricky race HIDDEN COMMANDER, who won over C&D last May, is taken to get back to winning ways on his return from a break.
(5) Cadeau Belle 4/1, €44,000 yearling, Harry Angel filly. Half-sister to 3 winners, including useful 1m winner Global Gift and 2-y-o 7.5f winner Star of India. Stable in good form so considered newcomer. Half-sister to three winners, dam unraced half-sister to 6f Group 3 winner Do The Honours.
2
2nd (8) (2.5/1 +55%) Finsceal Go Deo
2.5/1(+55%)
(8) Finsceal Go Deo 2.5/1, Lightly-raced filly. Creditable third of 7 in maiden at Fairyhouse (6f, good, 7/1). Off 10 months. Stable in good form. Worthy of respect. Best placing when third in a small-field 6f maiden, not without a chance in a weak maiden.
3
3rd (3) (3.33/1 -48%) Alazne
3.33/1(-48%)
(3) Alazne 3.33/1, Progressive filly who posted very good second of 12 in maiden at Dundalk (10.7f) 68 days ago. Significantly down in trip and a player. Placed twice from three starts at Dundalk, has a modest rating but may be good enough here.
4
4th (9) (20/1 -43%) Hope And Innocence
20/1(-43%)
(9) Hope And Innocence 20/1, Twice-raced filly. 66/1, fifth of 13 in maiden at Dundalk (7f). Off 6 months. Yard having good spell so she's one for the shortlist. Improved from 6f Naas debut when fifth in a 7f Dundalk contest, may need more experience.
5th
5th (1) (7.5/1 +6%) At Long Last
7.5/1(+6%)
(1) At Long Last 7.5/1, Once-raced filly. Fourth of 10 in maiden at Sligo (5.7f, good to soft, 9/1) on debut 10 days ago. Up in trip. Open to improvement. Shaped as if she would improve when fourth over an extended 5f at Sligo ten days ago.
6th
6th (12) (25/1 +50%) Tiktok Time
25/1(+50%)
(12) Tiktok Time 25/1, Once-raced filly. Ninth of 15 in maiden (33/1) at Limerick (7f, soft) on debut 18 days ago. Dam is well related, ran green but showed some promise when 33-1 on debut at Limerick.
7th
7th (4) (12/1 -50%) Alessia Fernanda
12/1(-50%)
(4) Alessia Fernanda 12/1, Starspangledbanner filly. Dam once-raced half-sister to smart winner up to 11f Tha'ir. Market can guide. Stable beginning to find form after a slow start to the season, respected in a weak race.
8th
8th (6) (80/1 -21%) Curzon Queen
80/1(-21%)
(6) Curzon Queen 80/1, Twice-raced filly. Seventh of 10 in maiden at Dundalk (7f, 200/1) 29 days ago. More is needed. Towards the rear on debut at the Curragh, not much better at Dundalk last month.
9th
9th (7) (9/1 -13%) Es Vedra
9/1(-13%)
(7) Es Vedra 9/1, Dark Angel filly. Dam 2-y-o 1m winner. Not discounted on her first start. First foal out Liquid Amber a Group 3 winner for this stable who did not train on.
10th
10th (2) (300/1 -100%) Fan Na Tiobratan
300/1(-100%)
(2) Fan Na Tiobratan 300/1, Twice-raced filly. First run since leaving John Joseph Murphy when fourteenth of 15 in maiden (150/1) at this course (9.4f, good to soft) 7 days ago. Down in trip. In rear on her only start at three, similar on her debut for this stable here last week..
11th
11th (10) (200/1 -300%) Queen Of The Moon
200/1(-300%)
(10) Queen Of The Moon 200/1, Green Moon filly. Dam unraced. Others appeal more. Unraced dam out of half-sister to a couple of winners, makes limited appeal on pedigree.
12th
12th (11) (10/1 -100%) Stella Acclamata
10/1(-100%)
(11) Stella Acclamata 10/1, €42,000 yearling, Acclamation filly. Half-sister to 2-y-o 6f/7f winner American Star. Dam unraced half-sister to smart 5f/6f winner Lilbourne Lad (by Acclamation). Not ruled out. Dam is an unraced half-sister to 6f Group 2 juvenile winner Lilbourne Lad, champion booked.
LTO Selection:
13:55 Gowran Park Maiden 7f Race Speed Rating Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
Based on the summary, it is difficult to predict with certainty which horse will do well as there are many once- or twice-raced fillies with limited form. However, 2.25/1 (3) ALAZNE and 8/1 (4) ALESSIA FERNANDA are both mentioned as potentially strong contenders. Predicted finishing order: 1. 2.25/1 (3) ALAZNE 2. 8/1 (4) ALESSIA FERNANDA 3. 5.5/1 (8) FINSCEAL GO DEO
Colin Keane's statistics when riding for Michael O'Callaghan are excellent and he is an eye-catching booking for newcomer STELLA ACCLAMATA. Keane has eight winners from 20 rides for O'Callaghan across last season and the early part of this campaign. Alazne has been placed on two of her three outings over further on the Polytrack in Dundalk. She switches to rain-sodden turf now and, if as effective, ought to take plenty of beating from the best draw for her powerful stable. At Long Last came home to good effect for fourth on debut at Sligo and this longer trip looks sure to suit. Alessia Fernanda, Cadeau Belle and Es Vedra are other newcomers to keep an eye on in the market.
The market can prove a good guide but Joseph O'Brien's ALAZNE holds the edge on form so is taken to emerge on top at the chief expense of Johnny Murtagh's Harry Angel newcomer Cadeau Belle. Hope And Innocence appeals as the pick of the rest for place purposes.
The standard set by Alazne and Finsceal Go Deo is not exactly intimidating. Newcomer STELLA ACCLAMATA may be too good for them
(1) Michaela's Boy 8/1, Useful 5f winner who wasn't disgraced when fourth of 9 in conditions event at Newcastle (6f, 50/1) 33 days ago. Shortlisted back in handicap company. Turf debut win on good; improved on AW since; excuses this year; soft ground query.
1
1st (5) (12/1 -33%) Danger Alert
12/1(-33%)
(5) Danger Alert 12/1, Already a dual 5f/6f AW winner this year at Wolverhampton and Kempton. Came in last of 9 in Newcastle conditions event last time but is the sort to bounce back. Acts on soft/heavy; both wins on AW (5f/6f) but ran poorly at Newcastle on latest.
2
2nd (11) (2.75/1 +31%) Jer Batt
2.75/1(+31%)
(11) Jer Batt 2.75/1, Much improved for his current yard and he easily made it 2-3 in apprentice handicap at Musselburgh (5f, soft) 10 days ago. Escapes a penalty here so is very much the one to beat. Big step forward for new yard; unpenalised for wide-margin 5f win latest but drawn widest.
3
3rd (3) (11/1 +31%) Kerdos
11/1(+31%)
(3) Kerdos 11/1, Landed a Haydock maiden and Windsor minor event last autumn and made pleasing return when close second in handicap at Lingfield. Saw too much daylight when only eighth in 6f Newmarket handicap last time so worth another chance. Strong finish when winning both 6f starts as 2yo; faded latest; first 5f run; wide draw.
4
4th (8) (4/1 +20%) Seantrabh
4/1(+20%)
(8) Seantrabh 4/1, Off the mark at third attempt when making all in 5f minor event at Catterick in October. Gelded and resumed with solid fourth of 13 to Democracy Dilemma in 5f handicap at Thirsk 18 days ago. Considered. Front-runs; useful 2yo; made all on soft on final start; better for reappearance; bold bid.
5th
5th (6) (10/1 +29%) Carmela
10/1(+29%)
(6) Carmela 10/1, Dual 5f winner at Yarmouth and Carlisle early last summer before posting good eighth in Queen Mary Stakes at Royal Ascot. Limitations seemingly exposed twice after though and needs to hit the ground running on her handicap debut after 7 months off. Good early 2yo form at 5f; likely to find this on the sharp side back from break.
6th
6th (10) (28/1 -12%) Betweenthesticks
28/1(-12%)
(10) Betweenthesticks 28/1, Three-time 5f winner last season who resumed from 6 months off with an encouraging fourth in 5f Nottingham handicap last month. Cheekpieces go on. Likely contender. Turf wins at about 5f on soft/good to soft; low-key return last month.
7th
7th (9) (22/1 -22%) Knebworth
22/1(-22%)
(9) Knebworth 22/1, Bagged 3 wins last year and posted respectable fourth at Lingfield (6f, AW) on his reappearance. Only ninth back on turf at Newmarket last time though so needs to get back on track. All 3 wins on Polytrack, at 5f and 6f; not yet shown the same aptitude for turf.
8th
8th (4) (3.5/1 +42%) Democracy Dilemma
3.5/1(+42%)
(4) Democracy Dilemma 3.5/1, C&D winner who posted a career best when landing 13-runner handicap at Thirsk (5f, heavy, 9/2) 18 days ago. Not taken lightly despite a 5 lb rise. Made all over C&D at this meeting last year; soft ground suited when 5f winner latest.
9th
9th (7) (66/1 -100%) Huberts Dream
66/1(-100%)
(7) Huberts Dream 66/1, Completed a hat-trick in straightforward fashion in 6f Lingfield handicap in December. Not added to the tally since, though, and yet to really prove himself on turf. Tongue strap on for 1st time. Made all in first 3 AW handicaps (7f/6f); different conditions back on turf.
10th
10th (2) (5.5/1 +8%) Squealer
5.5/1(+8%)
(2) Squealer 5.5/1, Dual 5f winner at York and Beverley in September. Signed off with a solid sixth in Cornwallis Stakes at Newmarket (5f) so he's not discounted on his handicap debut/return. Quite progressive 2yo at about 5f; lacks a run; first attempt on ground slower than good.
LTO Selection:
14:05 Chester Handicap (Class 3) 5f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
JER BATT steps up in class following a facile success over this distance at Musselburgh in an apprentice handicap last month, and he makes plenty of appeal off the same mark. The grade-dropping Squealer remains unexposed and can give the selection plenty to think about, while Democracy Dilemma has improved this year and also warrants a market check with Oisin Murphy doing the steering.
JER BATT hasn't looked back since joining David and Nicola Barron and escapes a penalty for his impressive Musselburgh success so is hard to oppose. C&D winner Democracy Dilemma appeals as the one to chase home the selection ahead of Betweenthesticks and Kerdos.
Jer Batt is way ahead of his mark but the widest draw is awkward here and preference is for soft-ground winner SEANTRABH (nap).
(3) Hoganville 12/1, Without a win for Paul Nolan in Ireland but scored 3 times for this yard between September and November, including here. Latest effort at Ayr was too bad to be true but, in any case, it could be that the handicapper now has his measure. Completed a hat-trick in the autumn; has gone backwards the last twice.
2
2nd (9) (11/1 +31%) Firth Of Forth
11/1(+31%)
(9) Firth Of Forth 11/1, Hit the crossbar twice early last year, including over this C&D. Potentially well treated judged on those efforts but needs to get back on track having offered little in 3 starts since switched to handicaps. Has achieved little since handicapping.
3
3rd (2) (2.5/1 +44%) Curley Finger
2.5/1(+44%)
(2) Curley Finger 2.5/1, Hexham novice winner last spring and stepped up on previous efforts in handicap company when scoring over 23.8f at Musselburgh (good to soft) in first-time cheekpieces on penultimate start. However, this 5 lb higher mark proved beyond him at Carlisle next time. In good form with cheekpieces applied the last twice; not ruled out.
4
4th (1) (11/1 +21%) Better Getalong
11/1(+21%)
(1) Better Getalong 11/1, Followed Carlisle success last February with a string of creditable efforts in defeat. Wasn't unduly punished back from a 5-month break at Haydock (18.9f, good to soft) and possibilities back up in trip here off 2 lb lower. Form has dipped in last two appearances, following a consistent spell.
5th
5th (6) (16/1 -100%) The Navigator
16/1(-100%)
(6) The Navigator 16/1, Notched fifth success over hurdles when accounting for 4 rivals in a 21f handicap here in September. Largely below par since, though, and others make greater appeal, for all that he's dipped to an attractive mark. Defied a higher mark here last September; not in the same form recently.
6th
6th (7) (9/1 -125%) Animore
9/1(-125%)
(7) Animore 9/1, Capitalised on the drop to a career-low mark when easily accounting for 6 rivals in a fast-ground 21.4f Ayr handicap in March. Wasn't seen to best effect over 18f here since and likely to make her presence felt back over a more suitable trip. In-form 10yo; respectable fourth here last time; should go well again.
7th
7th (8) (8/1 -7%) Split The Bill
8/1(-7%)
(8) Split The Bill 8/1, Produced his best effort yet when fourth of 14 on his handicap bow upped to 20.2f at Perth (good to soft) recently. It's possible that this 5-y-o could pull out more now faced with an even stiffer test, so he's one to consider. Made an encouraging handicap debut at Perth last month; one to consider.
8th
8th (5) (10/1 +38%) Rowdy Rustler
10/1(+38%)
(5) Rowdy Rustler 10/1, Newcastle maiden hurdle winner last February and promising second on his chase debut/reappearance there in November. However, things haven't gone to plan since and hopes pinned on return to this sphere sparking a revival. Won at Newcastle when last seen over hurdles (strong form); interesting.
|PU|
|PU| (10) (2.75/1 +45%) Warriors Story
2.75/1(+45%)
(10) Warriors Story 2.75/1, Runner-up in an Ayr handicap hurdle back from a break in October and, following a short stint over fences, he again founs just one too good back in this sphere over C&D last month. Now 17 lb above the mark of his sole success to date but he's a player nonetheless. Clear second over C&D last month; solid contender off just 3lb higher.
|PU|
|PU| (11) (80/1 -100%) Ryedale Racer
80/1(-100%)
(11) Ryedale Racer 80/1, Without a win since C&D success in February 2021 and was pulled up on debut for this yard at Hexham when last seen just over 12 months ago. Absent for just over a year; returns as a 12yo; market can guide.
LTO Selection:
14:15 Kelso Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 23f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
WARRIORS STORY is going the right way and, having been just run out of things over C&D 23 days ago, he should be more hardened to this test of stamina. The seven-year-old has built up a good rapport with Bruce Lynn and another big run can be expected from the partnership. Curley Finger has shown improvement in cheekpieces lately and is feared most, although Animore tends to go well here and is not ruled out.
It may be worth siding with SPLIT THE BILL, who took a step forward when fourth on his handicap debut at Perth 13 days ago and he promises to be suited by this further step up in trip. Fabuleux du Clos has to be respected on the back of his breakthrough success at Newcastle in March, while cases can also be made for the likes of Animore, Better Getalong and Warriors Story.
Back over hurdles, ROWDY RUSTLER may well take advantage of a handy looking mark. Warriors Story is second choice.
(6) Secret Sauce 1.2/1, Fair gelding. Good fourth of 13 in handicap at this C&D (good to soft, 5/1) 7 days ago. Stable in good form. Tongue strap on 1st time. Player at these weights. Ordinary sort but has been running well enough in handicaps to suggest a leading chance.
2
2nd (9) (7.5/1 +77%) Miss Langmore
7.5/1(+77%)
(9) Miss Langmore 7.5/1, Poor filly. 22/1, tenth of 13 in handicap at this C&D (good to soft) 7 days ago. Others appeal more. Fourth in a Bellewstown nursery, poor form this season though the stable is in form.
3
3rd (5) (7.5/1 -88%) Redshore City
7.5/1(-88%)
(5) Redshore City 7.5/1, Fair gelding. 8/1, below form seventh of 14 in handicap at Sligo (5.7f, soft) 10 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Not ruled out if back on song here. Has a big chance at this level based on his second in a similar race at Dundalk in March.
4
4th (3) (7/1 +22%) Sapristi
7/1(+22%)
(3) Sapristi 7/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Last of 8 in handicap (20/1) at Dundalk (12f) 26 days ago. Significantly down in trip. Needs a couple of these to falter. Soundly beaten in two handicap attempts over longer trips this season, 1m may suit better.
5th
5th (8) (4/1 +71%) Indian Outlaw
4/1(+71%)
(8) Indian Outlaw 4/1, Modest filly. 40/1, respectable seventh of 14 in handicap at Dundalk (7f) 26 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. In the mix. Best form at Dundalk, seems safely held by Secret Sauce on Bellewstown running..
6th
6th (7) (28/1 +15%) Tasmanian Girl
28/1(+15%)
(7) Tasmanian Girl 28/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 200/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, sixteenth of 18 in maiden at the Curragh (6f, heavy) 24 days ago. Blinkered/tongue strap on for 1st time. In rear in a maiden at the Curragh last time, held by Redshore City on Dundalk running.
7th
7th (2) (11/1 +8%) Cristo Redentor
11/1(+8%)
(2) Cristo Redentor 11/1, Twice-raced maiden. 20/1, eighth of 10 in maiden at Dundalk (7f) 29 days ago. Difficult ask. Has shown only modest ability in maiden outings at the Curragh and Dundalk.
8th
8th (1) (25/1 -285%) Marco Monaco
25/1(-285%)
(1) Marco Monaco 25/1, Fair gelding. Tenth of 11 in handicap at Naas (5.9f, heavy, 66/1) 16 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Can give a good account if shrugging off latest effort. Has failed to justify a rating of 76 in his two handicap starts since joining Tony Martin.
LTO Selection:
14:30 Gowran Park Claimer 8f Race Speed Rating Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
Based on the summary, 2/1 (6) SECRET SAUCE seems like the strongest contender with a good recent performance and a reputable stable. 4/1 (5) REDSHORE CITY also has a chance based on past performance, while 6.5/1 (1) MARCO MONACO and 14/1 (8) INDIAN OUTLAW have potential but need to bounce back from recent underwhelming performances. Therefore, my prediction for 1st place would be 2/1 (6) SECRET SAUCE, 2nd place 4/1 (5) REDSHORE CITY, and 3rd place 6.5/1 (1) MARCO MONACO.
SECRET SAUCE's best performance came in second in a handicap over a similar trip on testing ground at Bellewstown. He gets a first-time tongue-strap and Joey Sheridan takes 3lb off his back. Marco Monaco hasn't shown much in two outings this season, but this is a big drop in class for him and a better finish should be on the cards. Redshore City disappointed in a sprint at Sligo, but has prospects based on his previous two runs. He wasn't beaten far into fourth on attritional ground at Naas and filled the runner-up berth in a Dundalk claimer. Indian Outlaw has a placed run in a fillies' maiden at Naas at the end of last season in the book. She gets cheekpieces and her jockey Jack Kearney claims 7lb.
SECRET SAUCE comes here on the back of a good C&D fourth and is favoured by these weights so looks the way to go in this claimer. Indian Outlaw is also weighted to have a say and next on the list ahead of top-weight Marco Monaco.
Not much between a few of these in theory but perhaps SECRET SAUCE represents the best option by virtue of solid handicap form on turf
(6) Savethelastdance 0.73/1, Had a considerated introduction and improved appreciably to land a well-contested Leopardstown maiden 35 days ago. Stable has a terrific record in this race and she should take the beating. Form of Leopardstown success has been boosted; trainer has won this race seven times.
2
2nd (8) (6/1 +67%) There's The Door
6/1(+67%)
(8) There's The Door 6/1, Useful filly who stepped up on her juvenile form when readily landing a Doncaster handicap last month. Worth a try at this level but others probably have a bit more potential. Emphatic success in Doncaster handicap on seasonal debut, recording a useful figure.
3
3rd (4) (25/1 +0%) Ermesinde
25/1(+0%)
(4) Ermesinde 25/1, Winning debut at Lingfield in February and not disgraced despite being beaten at odds on under a penalty there 44 days ago. Faces a stiff task here, however. Both starts on AW; still unexposed but faces a much harder task on turf debut.
4
4th (1) (14/1 -17%) Sirona
14/1(-17%)
(1) Sirona 14/1, Won two of her first three starts last year and, although she was underwhelming on her final outing, she's bred to be suited by middle distances and could be seen to good effect under a positive ride at a track that often favours such tactics. Disappointing on final 2yo start but progressive otherwise; may still have more to offer.
5th
5th (2) (7/1 -17%) Ashtanga
7/1(-17%)
(2) Ashtanga 7/1, Off the mark at the second attempt in maiden at Nottingham 7 months ago, only needing to be pushed out. Pedigree suggests she will be suited by this far, so not a forlorn hope on seasonal debut. Made all for clearcut success at Nottingham last time out; open to further improvement.
6th
6th (3) (16/1 +0%) Cite D'or
16/1(+0%)
(3) Cite D'or 16/1, Useful filly who was far from discredited when third at this level at Epsom recently. Now tried in cheekpieces but others have more scope for progress. Bounced back to form with 33-1 third at Epsom; however, she's comparatively exposed.
7th
7th (9) (40/1 -43%) Wintercrack
40/1(-43%)
(9) Wintercrack 40/1, Confirmed previous encouragement to open her account at the third attempt in an 11-runner maiden at Leicester 11 days ago. Open to further improvement but this is probably too much of a step up at this stage. Made all in Leicester maiden last time; this race is much harder.
|PU|
|PU| (7) (8/1 +27%) Sisyphus Strength
8/1(+27%)
(7) Sisyphus Strength 8/1, Showed promise on debut and left that bare form behind when seeing off 8 rivals in a 1m Nottingham maiden in the autumn. Only fourth in a listed event at Newmarket when last seen 6 months ago but should make a better 3yo and the longer trip shouldn't be an issue. Fourth in Listed event at Newmarket on final 2yo run; could go well again.
LTO Selection:
14:40 Chester Listed (Class 1) 11f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.
1st: 0.63/1 (6) SAVETHELASTDANCE 2nd: 11/1 (7) SISYPHUS STRENGTH 3rd: 18/1 (8) THERE'S THE DOOR
SAVETHELASTDANCE stormed to the head of the Epsom Oaks market when making most of the running on her return to action at Leopardstown. The form of that victory has been boosted in no uncertain terms, with both the runner-up and third going in impressively since, and the daughter of Galileo can give Aidan O'Brien his eighth taste of Cheshire Oaks glory. Ashtanga could give her some competition for the lead, having made every post a winning one on the second of two juvenile appearances at Nottingham. Sirona flopped in Listed company at Pontefract but struck at that level in Germany previously.
SAVETHELASTDANCE relished the longer trip when landing a maiden at Leopardstown on just her second career outing and, with this extra distance set to bring further progress, she makes plenty of appeal. Luckin Brew is the main danger provided she sees out the longer trip, and Sirona is one of several others who can't be completely dismissed.
Promising SAVETHELASTDANCE is taken to enhance Aidan O'Brien's excellent record in this race. Sirona is feared most.
(1) Ballyporeen 0.44/1, Immediate improvement for new trainer Donald McCain when easily winning Musselburgh novice handicap and novice here. Can complete his hat-trick. 2-2 since joining Donald McCain, latest win here; good chance even with double penalty.
2
2nd (4) (2.75/1 -22%) Harper Valley
2.75/1(-22%)
(4) Harper Valley 2.75/1, Has shaped with promise when fifth in maiden hurdle at Wetherby and third in novice at Hexham last month. Can improve further. Solid claims. Third at Hexham last time; should be suited by this longer distance; respected.
3
3rd (8) (11/1 +56%) Kopa Kilana
11/1(+56%)
(8) Kopa Kilana 11/1, Bumper winner for Rebecca Menzies but beaten a long way over hurdles on next 2 starts. Seemed to excel himself starting out for a new stable when fifth in 2m2f Kelso novice last month and needs to back it up now. Finished behind Ballyporeen here last month but has frame possibilities.
4
4th (3) (28/1 +30%) Franz Josef
28/1(+30%)
(3) Franz Josef 28/1, Maiden Irish pointer who failed to beat a rival in pair of bumpers for Paul Robson. Off 6 months ahead of hurdles debut when only tenth in 2m Kelso novice in October. Has lots to find. May do better over this new trip on second attempt over hurdles.
5th
5th (2) (125/1 -89%) Bilboa River
125/1(-89%)
(2) Bilboa River 125/1, Ex-pointer who hasn't offered much under Rules, off 15 months ahead of yard debut when remote second of 5 in novice hurdle at Sedgefield (19.8f, heavy, 200/1) 26 days ago. Others appeal more. Distant second of two finishers last month on stable debut; weak claims.
6th
6th (5) (100/1 +0%) Heeztheboy
100/1(+0%)
(5) Heeztheboy 100/1, Has offered little in a bumper/two novice hurdles so far. Easy to look elsewhere. Holds weak claims on his form at about 2m.
|U|
|U| (9) (25/1 -108%) Why Not Dream
25/1(-108%)
(9) Why Not Dream 25/1, Ask mare. Closely related to a winner on Flat and half-sister to fairly useful hurdler Champagne Express. Newcomer can't be ruled out. 4,500euros foal; related to Flat/jumps winners; market helpful on debut.
|PU|
|PU| (7) (16/1 +20%) Jimmy's Jet
16/1(+20%)
(7) Jimmy's Jet 16/1, Landed an Ayr bumper on debut in October 2021, but has disappointed since. Had a breathing operation ahead of hurdles debut at Musselburgh in March when fell heavily 5th. Has it it prove. Mid-race faller on hurdles debut; has possibilities if back to form of bumper win.
|PU|
|PU| (10) (80/1 -60%) Brasingaman Bella
80/1(-60%)
(10) Brasingaman Bella 80/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 66/1, last of 6 in novice hurdle at Newcastle (20.3f, good to soft) 25 days ago. Hard to make a case for. Poor RPRs in four runs.
LTO Selection:
14:50 Kelso Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 21f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Prediction: 0.57/1 (1) BALLYPOREEN is likely to do well based on its recent form and previous win at the same course. The horses that will finish in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd are 0.57/1 (1) BALLYPOREEN, 2.25/1 (4) HARPER VALLEY, and 25/1 (8) KOPA KILANA in that order.
BALLYPOREEN is hard to ignore in his bid for a three-timer and is taken to cope with the 6lb higher mark imposed for a comfortable success registered over 2m2f here last month. He has tried this trip before, so has little to fear from the additional yardage as he bids to maintain his unbeaten status since joining Donald McCain. Harper Valley, who is unexposed over hurdles, and newcomer Why Not Dream are the pick of the rest.
BALLYPOREEN has taken his form up a level since joining Donald McCain and still looks hard to beat despite conceding upwards of 12 lb all round. Harper Valley has gone with some promise on his two starts over hurdles and appeals as the one to chase him home ahead of Rose Dobbin's newcomer Why Not Dream.
Even with a double penalty, the form standard is set by BALLYPOREEN. Harper Valley, on recent figures, is feared most.
(2) Esculenta 7.5/1, 9/2, first run since leaving John Patrick Murtagh when good second of 17 in maiden at this course (9.6f, heavy) 22 days ago. More needed. Fair maiden for Johnny Murtagh, bright start for this stable at this venue, good chance.
2
2nd (9) (5/1 +38%) Fools Glory
5/1(+38%)
(9) Fools Glory 5/1, C&D winner. Respectable fifth of 18 in handicap (20/1) at the Curragh (7f, soft) 9 days ago. Others more persuasive. Won twice last season on testing ground, coming back to form judged on Curragh fifth.
3
3rd (1) (3.5/1 +42%) Miramis
3.5/1(+42%)
(1) Miramis 3.5/1, Course winner. 5/2, first run since leaving Ms Sheila Lavery when fifth of 7 in handicap at Sligo (10.6f, soft) 10 days ago. Back down in trip. Wins have come over 7f and 1m1f, did not seem to stay extended 1m2f on stable debut.
4
4th (3) (4.5/1 -13%) Vadiana
4.5/1(-13%)
(3) Vadiana 4.5/1, Lightly-raced winner. Career best when winning 14-runner maiden at Dundalk (8f, 9/2), keeping on well. Off 140 days. First run for yard after leaving Tracey Collins. Makes handicap debut. Showed ability over shorter trips on turf before winning a 1m Dundalk maiden last December.
5th
5th (5) (5.5/1 +39%) My Minervina
5.5/1(+39%)
(5) My Minervina 5.5/1, First run since leaving Mrs J. Harrington when fifth of 6 in handicap at Southwell (8.1f, 6/1) 26 days ago. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals. Won three races for Jessica Harrington, made low-key debut for this yard on AW in Britain.
6th
6th (6) (3.33/1 +33%) La Dame Blanche
3.33/1(+33%)
(6) La Dame Blanche 3.33/1, C&D winner. Creditable third of 7 in handicap at Sligo (10.6f, soft, 4/1) 10 days ago. Back down in trip. Can make presence felt. C&D maiden winner last May, good run over 7f here on penultimate start, definite chance.
7th
7th (8) (16/1 -129%) Ellabella
16/1(-129%)
(8) Ellabella 16/1, 5/1, career best when winning 13-runner handicap at Dundalk (8f) 47 days ago, driven out. This is more demanding. Five wins from 15 races at Dundalk including on latest, up 5lb, 0-10 on turf, never placed.
8th
8th (4) (14/1 -17%) Silken Ladder
14/1(-17%)
(4) Silken Ladder 14/1, Course winner. Eighth of 10 in handicap at Cork (6f, good, 18/1). Off 7 months. Significantly back up in trip. Hood back on. Has good chance on pick of form. Won twice last summer including over 7f at this venue, found 6f inadequate on final start.
LTO Selection:
15:05 Gowran Park Handicap 8f Race Speed Rating Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
ESCULENTA showed plenty on seasonal reappearance at this track last month. She was ultimately caught close home by a strong-staying National-Hunt mare, but took plenty of credit from that placed run over an extended 1m1f. She had some smart efforts last season, particularly when placed twice in maidens won by very smart horses. Vadiana is still to prove that she wants testing ground, but was a comfortable winner on the Polytrack at Dundalk when last seen in December. Winners have come out of that race. Miramis wasn't at her best in fifth over an extended 1m2f at Sligo and can get involved dropping back to a mile. Conor Stone-Walsh's 7lb claim helps her cause. My Minervina should be sharper after a spin around Southwell after almost six months off. The ground doesn't look to be in Ellabella's favour.
SILKEN LADDER ended last season on a low-key note but she could be worth chancing back here, having bagged a 7f handicap on her latest visit to this course last June. Relatively unexposed, Vadiana is feared on her reappearance/debut for new yard following her decisive maiden success at Dundalk in December. La Dame Blanche also enters calculations.
Placed in six of her 12 races ESCULENTA may open her account after a good first run for her new trainer at this venue
(2) Arrest 0.91/1, Most progressive juvenile who scored twice over 1m before head second to Dubai Mile (Adelaide River 6 lengths back in third) in Criterium de Saint-Cloud on final start. This son of Frankel should stay 1½m and looks the one to beat on his seasonal return. Ahead of Adelaide River in Group 1 at Saint-Cloud on final 2yo run; sets a smart standard.
2
2nd (1) (2.25/1 +36%) Adelaide River
2.25/1(+36%)
(1) Adelaide River 2.25/1, Winning debut on AW last summer and placed 3 times at Group level in the autumn, although he was 6 lengths adrift of the reopposing Arrest in Criterium de Saint-Cloud on final start. Top Irish stable has outstanding record in this. Behind Arrest at Saint-Cloud but can do better; trainer has won this race ten times.
3
3rd (5) (6/1 -20%) Hadrianus
6/1(-20%)
(5) Hadrianus 6/1, AW maiden winner in Decmber who was much improved when ¾-length second of 5 to Epictetus in 1¼m Epsom listed race on his reappearance 15 days ago. This longer trip should play to his strengths. Looks capable of even better. Good second in the Blue Riband Trial at Epsom on reappearance; should improve further.
4
4th (3) (16/1 +0%) Duke Of Oxford
16/1(+0%)
(3) Duke Of Oxford 16/1, Winner of 2 AW novices this spring, looking very useful when scoring by a wide margin over this trip at Wolverhampton last month. Takes a jump in class now switching to the turf but he's an exciting prospect. Successful in a couple of AW novice events; promising but this race is much harder.
5th
5th (4) (14/1 +65%) Galactic Jack
14/1(+65%)
(4) Galactic Jack 14/1, Goodwood maiden winner last autumn but his limitations have seemingly been exposed at Group 3/listed level at Newmarket since. The step up to 1½m needs to spark big improvement. Limitations have been somewhat exposed in two runs since Goodwood win.
LTO Selection:
15:15 Chester Group 3 (Class 1) 12f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.
1st Place: 0.73/1 (2) ARREST 2nd Place: 5/1 (5) HADRIANUS 3rd Place: 3.5/1 (1) ADELAIDE RIVER
Aidan O'Brien has a remarkable record at this prestigious three-day fixture and relies on Adelaide River (third) in his bid to land this Group 3 for the eleventh time. However, the son of Australia has six lengths to make up on ARREST (second) based on their encounter in last year's Criterium de Saint-Cloud and, with Frankie Dettori booked, the John & Thady Gosden colt looks the one to side with. Hadrianus heads the remainder.
ARREST went close at Group 1 level on his final 2-y-o start and sets a good standard for the rest to aim at. Hadrianus shaped well behind another good prospect from the Gosden stable on his recent reappearance and may provide a bigger threat to the selection than Aidan O'Brien's Adelaide River.
The rematch between Arrest and Adelaide River could be a close one. An interesting alternative to that pair is HADRIANUS.
(1) Balkalin 4.5/1, Opened his account at the thirteenth attempt as a hurdler in 2m course novice in October. Best run since when third of 15 in Hexham handicap on recent return from a break. Claims if he can back that up. Won here in October; creditable third at Hexham (back from break) last month.
2
2nd (2) (9/1 -29%) Boomslang
9/1(-29%)
(2) Boomslang 9/1, Has shown ability in bumpers/novice hurdles and, in good hands, is one who could go on to better things in handicaps. One to note in the betting back from 104 days off. Looks a likely improver now handicapping and back up in distance; interesting.
3
3rd (10) (6.5/1 +35%) Dr Shirocco
6.5/1(+35%)
(10) Dr Shirocco 6.5/1, Remains a maiden after 23 runs but did finished runner-up 3 times over fences at Mussleburgh over the winter. Also a creditable fourth back hurdling at Carlisle (19f) last month but below par at Perth since. Has some encouraging form but he's now 0-23 under rules.
4
4th (3) (2.5/1 +25%) Castletown
2.5/1(+25%)
(3) Castletown 2.5/1, Chase winner here last May and this consistent sort reached the frame on all 8 subsequent starts last season, the latest when second in a 20.5f handicap hurdle at last month's Ayr Scottish Grand National meeting. Sure to be thereabouts again. Very consistent since last spring, most recently second at Ayr; solid contender.
5th
5th (9) (16/1 +36%) Follow Your Fire
16/1(+36%)
(9) Follow Your Fire 16/1, Has lost his way over fences lately and needs a return to hurdling to spark an upturn in his fortunes. The fact his stable is among the winners provides some hope. Generally out of sorts since last success; reverts to hurdles from fences.
6th
6th (5) (22/1 -38%) Shantou's Temple
22/1(-38%)
(5) Shantou's Temple 22/1, Unplaced in bumpers for Tim Reed and comfortably held in maiden/novice hurdles for current stable. Handicaps provide him with a more realistic chance but his mark isn't obviously generous. Pedigree suggests he should have something to offer off this modest opening mark.
7th
7th (11) (18/1 +28%) Diamant Sur Canape
18/1(+28%)
(11) Diamant Sur Canape 18/1, Well held in bumper and little to shout about in 5 starts in this sphere, including recent course stable debuit. More chance now handicapping but still a tough one to make a case for. Handicap debutant who holds weak claims on form.
8th
8th (13) (125/1 -279%) Rocco Molly
125/1(-279%)
(13) Rocco Molly 125/1, Well held in a bumper/3 hurdles in the first half of last season. Has had wind surgery ahead of this handicap debut/first outing in 7 months. Could only consider if backed. Handicap debutant who has poor form claims; 6lb out of weights.
|B|
|B| (8) (11/1 -10%) Melchoir
11/1(-10%)
(8) Melchoir 11/1, Poor form, although he wasn't beaten far when fifth of 9 in a course handicap last month and has few convictions than the majority of these. Not beaten far here last month; possibilities if building on that effort.
|F|
|F| (7) (7/1 -8%) Just Call Me Al
7/1(-8%)
(7) Just Call Me Al 7/1, Won 3 times in 2021/22 season. Has found life a lot harder since but he ran a bit better back from wind surgery last month and is dangerously well handicapped. Current mark reflects recent form; well handicapped on his winning form.
|U|
|U| (4) (10/1 +29%) Agilulf
10/1(+29%)
(4) Agilulf 10/1, Modest maiden, beaten 20 lengths when fourth of 12 in Sedgefield handicap in March. Needs to find some improvement from somewhere. Has frame possibilities but needs improvement to get off the mark.
|PU|
|PU| (12) (14/1 +0%) Brave Bairn
14/1(+0%)
(12) Brave Bairn 14/1, Modest at best in four hurdling runs for Nick Alexander. Better effort for new yard when third of 5 in 17f Carlisle handicap in March and this step back up in trip should suit. Encouraging third at Carlisle last time; may improve again.
LTO Selection:
15:25 Kelso Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 21f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the summary provided, it is difficult to confidently predict which horse will do well. However, some horses worth considering for the top three spots are: 7/1 (2) BOOMSLANG, 14/1 (12) BRAVE BAIRN, 5/1 (1) BALKALIN, 3.33/1 (3) CASTLETOWN, and 6.5/1 (7) JUST CALL ME AL.
CASTLETOWN posted another solid effort in defeat when finishing runner-up at Ayr recently and, now eased in grade, the veteran could return to winning ways. Balkalin made a promising return to action when a never-nearer third at Hexham last month and a similar performance should see him in the mix once again. Boomslang may have more to offer now entering handicaps and any market support for the six-year-old would be worth noting.
In a race where very few arrive with compelling claims a chance is taken on JUST CALL ME AL who offered a bit more back from wind surgery last time and has dipped to a mark he should be capable of winning from if retaining anything like his old ability. The consistent Castletown is sure to be thereabouts again. Rebecca Menzies handicap newcomer Boomslang would also come into it if the betting suggests he's fancied.
Preference is for likely improver BOOMSLANG (nap), ahead of fellow handicap debutant Shantou's Temple.
(2) A Shin Undine 8.5/1, 9/1, good second of 16 in handicap at Cork (8f, good to soft) 19 days ago, clear of rest. Can make presence felt. Back to near best at Cork latest but this softer ground may not play to her strengths.
2
2nd (10) (7/1 +42%) Narlita
7/1(+42%)
(10) Narlita 7/1, 12/1 and hooded for 1st time, creditable fourth of 16 in handicap at this course (8f, heavy) 22 days ago. Recent C&D fourth down to a competitive mark and handles ground so considered.
3
3rd (17) (10/1 +70%) Selective Power
10/1(+70%)
(17) Selective Power 10/1, First run since leaving Edward Lynam when bit below form seventh of 15 in handicap (22/1) at Leopardstown (9f, heavy) 35 days ago. Never landed a blow on yard debut at Leopardstown last month (heavy); best watched for now.
4
4th (14) (4/1 +67%) Halla Ban
4/1(+67%)
(14) Halla Ban 4/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 22/1, fifth of 10 in maiden at Naas (8f, heavy) 45 days ago. Stable having good spell. Makes handicap debut. Could have more to offer entering handicaps although opening mark appears on the high side.
5th
5th (4) (22/1 -267%) Celtic Revival
22/1(-267%)
(4) Celtic Revival 22/1, 3 wins from 6 runs this year. Latest win at Dundalk in March. 11/2, creditable third of 14 in handicap at Dundalk (12f) 29 days ago, running on. Back down in trip. Hood back on. Most progressive last winter on AW but legitimate ground concerns on turf return.
6th
6th (16) (6/1 +50%) Chimeric
6/1(+50%)
(16) Chimeric 6/1, One win from 32 Flat runs. Winner at Newcastle in February. 14/1, good fifth of 17 in handicap at this course (9.6f, heavy) 22 days ago. Respected under Keane. Newcastle winner made encouraging turf return here last month; Keane now takes over.
7th
7th (7) (16/1 +60%) General Idea
16/1(+60%)
(7) General Idea 16/1, 33/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, tenth of 14 in handicap at Dundalk (10.7f) 26 days ago. Tongue strap back on. Yet to show much for current yard on AW; tongue now added to cheekpieces worn last time.
8th
8th (5) (7/1 +56%) Lucky Queen
7/1(+56%)
(5) Lucky Queen 7/1, Below form ninth of 16 in handicap (16/1) at this course (7f, soft) 21 days ago, doing too much too soon. Significantly back up in trip. Others more persuasive. Better for last month's comeback here when ridden by 10lb claimer over inadequate trip.
9th
9th (18) (11/1 +67%) Must B Art
11/1(+67%)
(18) Must B Art 11/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Eleventh of 14 in handicap at Down Royal (10.3f, good to soft, 18/1), finding little. Off 7 months. RESERVE. Maiden absent since September; down to a nice mark but may need this; reserve.
10th
10th (3) (22/1 -300%) St Cianans Fire
22/1(-300%)
(3) St Cianans Fire 22/1, Three wins in productive 2022. Run of good form came to a halt at Dundalk in December but could bounce back after a break. Considered. Runs well fresh and has some form on softer ground so don't rule out.
11th
11th (12) (25/1 -150%) Hello Power
25/1(-150%)
(12) Hello Power 25/1, First run since leaving G. O'Leary when tenth of 14 in handicap (11/1) at Naas (8f, heavy) 16 days ago. Enters calculations. Recent comeback run leaves plenty to work on.
12th
12th (9) (22/1 -22%) Deluca Chop
22/1(-22%)
(9) Deluca Chop 22/1, Winner at Dundalk in February. Bit below form eighth of 13 in handicap at Tipperary (9f, good to soft, 50/1) 20 days ago, slowly away. Did well in the circumstances at Tipperary after blowing the start; don't rule out.
13th
13th (8) (16/1 -33%) Danesfort
16/1(-33%)
(8) Danesfort 16/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 40/1, fifth of 13 in maiden at Galway (7f, good to soft). Off 9 months. Significantly back up in trip. Makes handicap debut. Open to progress. Lightly raced 4yo an unknown quantity and likely improver now entering handicaps.
14th
14th (15) (8/1 -33%) Lily Like
8/1(-33%)
(15) Lily Like 8/1, Remains a maiden after 20 Flat runs. Creditable third of 12 in handicap (13/2) at Dundalk (7f) 26 days ago. Significantly back up in trip. Big player under Billy Lee. Encouraging Dundalk comeback run but this stamina test could be beyond her.
15th
15th (6) (80/1 -21%) Ten To Ten
80/1(-21%)
(6) Ten To Ten 80/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 28/1, last of 14 in handicap at Bellewstown (7.8f, heavy) 34 days ago, slowly away. Up in trip. Difficult ask. Soundly beaten on last month's handicap debut at Bellewstown on heavy; can only be watched.
16th
16th (1) (50/1 +24%) River Derwent
50/1(+24%)
(1) River Derwent 50/1, Thirteen runs since last win in 2021. Twelfth of 14 in handicap at Dundalk (10.7f, 100/1) 82 days ago. Ex Joseph O'Brien but has shown precious little since leaving that yard.
17th
17th (11) (25/1 -25%) Boadicea Belle
25/1(-25%)
(11) Boadicea Belle 25/1, 18/1, twenty second of 24 in handicap at the Curragh (6f, soft) 9 days ago. Significantly back up in trip. Has work to do. Likes decent ground, best watched under these conditions.
LTO Selection:
15:40 Gowran Park Handicap 10f Race Speed Rating Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
Predicted horses to finish in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd: 7/1 (2) A SHIN UNDINE, 12/1 (16) CHIMERIC, and 66/1 (1) RIVER DERWENT.
There are ground concerns for several of these horses. NARLITA has posted two solid placed efforts since switching to Harry Rogers and could have more to offer. Her third in Bellewstown was franked when the winner scored again while she had two subsequent winners behind her when finishing fourth over 1m at this track. Lucky Queen will relish plenty of juice in the ground. She is entitled to improve from her comeback run over 7f here last month. She was in very good form between August and October last season. A Shin Undine kept on for second over 1m in Cork and the third home has since gone in at this venue. She may not want the ground to get much slower, though. Hello Power makes a second start for her new stable and isn't out of contention.
Although LILY LIKE has yet to win she's been given a chance by the handicapper and her Dundalk reappearance third was encouraging. Billy Lee retains the ride and she can prove too strong for the likes of recent Cork second A Shin Undine, John McConnell's St Cianans Fire and Chimeric, the mount of Colin Keane.
Preference is for LUCKY QUEEN, all the better for her recent comeback run over an inadequate trip and on whom Gavin Ryan takes over
(4) Commander Straker 7/1, Off the mark at the third attempt in 5f Bath novice last May and fair third in the Woodcote at the Epsom Derby meeting on next start. Not seen since then but still worth a precautionary betting check now handicapping for the first time on return. Useful 2yo; off since last June but his connections target this meeting..
(5) (14/1 +13%) King's Crown
14/1(+13%)
(5) King's Crown 14/1, Won Thirsk maiden last May. Hasn't troubled the judge since but reappearance fifth of 14 at Newcastle does show he's trained on. Dropped only 1lb for his 4l defeat in a Newmarket handicap and others might be better in..
(6) (16/1 +0%) She's Centimental
16/1(+0%)
(6) She's Centimental 16/1, Progressive, taking record to 3-4 when striking on 6f Wolverhampton handicap debut/reappearance 29 days ago. The front 2 were nicely clear and she's likely still well treated after a 5 lb rise. The stumbling block is stall 13. On the upgrade but might do well to bring up the four-timer drawn wide on turf debut..
1
1st (11) (11/1 +21%) Radio Goo Goo
11/1(+21%)
(11) Radio Goo Goo 11/1, Finally opened her account when making all in 6f Wolverhampton novice in March. Respectable fifth of 12 in 6f Lingfield handicap since. This front-runner is well drawn to attack from stall 1. Effective on grass but unproven on a slow surface; others preferred despite good draw..
2
2nd (12) (22/1 -57%) Winter Crown
22/1(-57%)
(12) Winter Crown 22/1, Positive start for this yard, winning AW novice then second in Musselburgh handicap (both 5f). Likely capable of better again but he's been handed the outside stall here. Bumped into one at Musselburgh; can win more races but has a rotten draw here..
3
3rd (8) (2/1 +20%) Royal Dress
2/1(+20%)
(8) Royal Dress 2/1, Improved again to make it fourth time lucky in 6f Doncaster novice on reappearance 12 days ago. Has the services of Ryan Moore now handicapping for the first time and she's well drawn in 3. Major player. Could easily be well treated for this handicap debut and the draw has been kind..
4
4th (14) (22/1 -100%) Tasever
22/1(-100%)
(14) Tasever 22/1, Fair maiden. Good 4 lengths second second of 8 in handicap at Beverley (5f, soft) on reappearance 9 days ago. Return to 6f in his favour. Could figure from the 4 box. Squeezed out at the start before running on encouragingly at Beverley; back to 6f here..
5th
5th (2) (5/1 +33%) California Gem
5/1(+33%)
(2) California Gem 5/1, Three wins from 9 runs last year and returned with solid third of 7 in handicap at Pontefract (6f, heavy) 29 days ago. Cheekpieces now applied and likely to be in the mix again from a handy draw. Well drawn for one who can lead and ability to cope with conditions will count for a lot..
6th
6th (9) (9/1 +18%) Kessaar Power
9/1(+18%)
(9) Kessaar Power 9/1, Drew a blank in 6 outings for Stan Moore at 2 but different proposition for new yard, winning 6f handicaps at Chelmsford and Yarmouth this spring. Respected now bidding for the hat-trick. Hat-trick seeker; 4lb higher in a loftier grade here and could have been better drawn..
7th
7th (1) (10/1 +17%) Frankness
10/1(+17%)
(1) Frankness 10/1, Frankel filly who landed a pair of novice events over 7f here last summer. Not up to pattern level in her 2 subsequent outings but retains potential with her sights lowered. Raced keenly in the 7f Nell Gwyn on reappearance and now tries sprinting. Draw could have been kinder. Dual course winner making handicap/sprinting debut; stall 12 spells danger..
8th
8th (3) (5.5/1 +31%) Lakota Blue
5.5/1(+31%)
(3) Lakota Blue 5.5/1, Dual scorer at 2 and all the sharper for his reappearance when adding to his tally at Ripon (6f, heavy) 11 days ago. Should remain competitive up 4 lb . High in the weights following a 4lb rise but should give his running..
9th
9th (7) (20/1 +20%) Minnesota Lad
20/1(+20%)
(7) Minnesota Lad 20/1, Scored in maiden company at Beverley last summer but didn't make a significant impact in 2 handicaps later in the year. First run for 6 months. Others are more obvious. Well held in both his nurseries; could be open to some improvement now gelded..
10th
10th (13) (150/1 -127%) Corinthian Kid
150/1(-127%)
(13) Corinthian Kid 150/1, Fair performer at 2 for Jonathan Portman, winning 6f Windsor maiden and placed in handicaps on AW. Well beaten in 2 comeback runs on AW at the start of the year, though, and now with a new yard. Others are much more obvious. Form dipped through the winter and she changed hands for only £2,500; opposable..
11th
11th (10) (50/1 -100%) Macho Mania
50/1(-100%)
(10) Macho Mania 50/1, Promise when runner-up in 6f novices on first 2 starts. Below par at Wolverhampton on third start but could get back on track now handicapping for local yard which won this race last year. Also visored first time. Draw not ideal. Needs checking in the market with a visor added for handicap debut..
LTO Selection:
15:45 Chester Handicap (Class 3) 6f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
1st: 7.5/1 (2) CALIFORNIA GEM 2nd: 2.5/1 (8) ROYAL DRESS 3rd: 8/1 (3) LAKOTA BLUE
COMMANDER STRAKER is taken to handle the idiosyncrasies of the task ahead and appeals most from stall five. The son of Kodi Bear impressed when making all in a decent novice stakes at Bath on his penultimate start and could well have a lot more to offer now he steps into handicap company after a respectable third-placed finish in the Woodcote at Epsom. Royal Dress and Lakota Blue head the list of dangers.
ROYAL DRESS should have more to offer on the back of her comfortable Doncaster reappearance success and, from a handy inside stall, can strike on handicap debut under Ryan Moore. Kessaar Power is likely to go well as he bids to make it 3-3 for new trainer Kevin Philippart de Foy. Well-drawn pair California Gem and Radio Goo Goo are others to consider.
The suggestion is TASEVER, who was always on the back foot after getting squeezed out early on his reappearance but he ran on strongly.
(12) Farne Island 14/1, First form when runner-up at Newcastle (20.3f, soft) in March but failed to build on that over the same C&D since and now tried in cheekpieces. Best run came on heavy ground two starts back; thereabouts if repeating that form..
2
2nd (3) (5/1 +58%) Jimmy Rabbitte
5/1(+58%)
(3) Jimmy Rabbitte 5/1, Hasn't shown a great deal of spark since returning from a lengthy absence in November and it's easy enough to look elsewhere. Four-time winner but 0-8 since changing yards and lacked consistency last season..
3
3rd (4) (2.25/1 +18%) Eloi Du Puy
2.25/1(+18%)
(4) Eloi Du Puy 2.25/1, Fair form on the first of 2 starts in bumpers (both at this course) and has stepped up on maiden/novice form switched to handicaps the last twice, latterly third of 12 at Newcastle (20.3f, heavy). Down 2 lb and should have a part to play. Heavy ground perhaps counted against him when racing freely on his first try over this far.
4
4th (1) (6.5/1 -8%) Wearelongterm
6.5/1(-8%)
(1) Wearelongterm 6.5/1, Winning pointer who showed more than on previous starts for this yard when fifth on recent handicap debut at Perth (20.2f, good to soft). 3 lb lower here but shapes as though a stiffer test would be ideal. Beaten just under 10l at Perth (2m4f, good to soft) and that was in a higher grade..
5th
5th (8) (66/1 -32%) Melvich Bay
66/1(-32%)
(8) Melvich Bay 66/1, Failed to kick on following a promising start in bumpers and showed little in trio of novice/maiden hurdles spread over 11 months. Failed to raise her game on handicap bow at Doncaster (reportedly broke a blood vessel) and she's hard to warm to. Modest so far over hurdles and was 66-1 when a remote sixth on her handicap debut..
6th
6th (7) (11/1 -83%) Balranald
11/1(-83%)
(7) Balranald 11/1, Successful over fences at Sedgefield in winter 2021. Winless following 21 attempts in this sphere and while he returned to form when second of 7 in 19f Carlisle handicap hurdle last time, it remains to be seen if he'll be able to back that up. Best effort for a long time when narrowly beaten at Carlisle last month..
7th
7th (10) (11/1 -38%) Baby Jane
11/1(-38%)
(10) Baby Jane 11/1, Maiden hurdler who went close in a handicap hurdle at Catterick (25.3f, good to soft) following a 14-month absence last January. However, she was pulled up when returning from a similar spell of inactivity at Wetherby last month. Returning from a long absence when pulled up last month..
8th
8th (9) (6/1 +70%) Prospect House
6/1(+70%)
(9) Prospect House 6/1, Yet to show any worthwhile form, both between the flags and under Rules, and big step forward needed here now handicapping in first-time cheekpieces following a wind op. Modest maiden but wind surgery and the addition of cheekpieces may help..
9th
9th (11) (20/1 +29%) Snowed In
20/1(+29%)
(11) Snowed In 20/1, Veteran who hasn't tasted success since early 2021 and while his latest third of 10 at Catterick (19.3f, good) in February represented his best effort for a while, the percentage call is to look elsewhere in search of the likely winner. A 14yo now and not surprisingly finds it hard to get his head in front..
|PU|
|PU| (5) (9/1 -157%) Game Beaaa
9/1(-157%)
(5) Game Beaaa 9/1, Exceeded expectations when runner-up on first start over hurdles at Tramore last summer. Best effort since joining this yard when third in a 12-runner Doncaster handicap (19.4f, good) in November (absent since/has undergone a wind op) and each-way chance if fully tuned-up. Possibly flattered by Doncaster third but still respected; had a wind op since then..
|PU|
|PU| (2) (14/1 -56%) Red Missile
14/1(-56%)
(2) Red Missile 14/1, Back to winning ways from the front in 5-runner Musselburgh handicap (19.8f) in January, and went close over 3m there the following month. However, commensurate with his patchy profile, he has performed poorly the last twice. Hard to predict and pulled up the last twice, but big run in him if on a going day..
|PU|
|PU| (6) (25/1 +24%) Out For The Count
25/1(+24%)
(6) Out For The Count 25/1, Soundly beaten in 2 Irish bumpers for Philip Fenton and yet to make an impact for current yard. At odds of 40-1, he finished tailed off on his handicap debut at Uttoxeter..
|PU|
|PU| (13) (80/1 +20%) Big Arthur
80/1(+20%)
(13) Big Arthur 80/1, Poor maiden who looks set for another struggle from 7 lb out of the handicap. Hard to make any form claims and especially with him 7lb out of the weights..
LTO Selection:
16:00 Kelso Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 21f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
It is difficult to predict which horse will do well based on this summary, as most of the horses have inconsistent form or have not shown strong performances in their recent races. However, based on past performances, 28/1 (11) SNOWED IN, 3.5/1 (5) GAME BEAAA, and 2.75/1 (4) ELOI DU PUY may have a chance of finishing in the top three.
Balranald returned to form when second at Carlisle last month and another bold bid could be on the cards racing off the same mark. However, preference is for WEARELONGTERM, who caught the eye with a fifth-placed finish on his handicap debut at Perth recently. A 3lb drop in the ratings, combined with an ease in class, may prove the tonic for a first success over hurdles. Eloi Du Puy and Game Beaaa also enter the reckoning in an open event.
The vote goes to ELOI DU PUY, who has shown more encouraging signs since venturing down the handicap route and this 5-y-o has more going for him than most of these. Game Beaaa will be a threat under Brian Hughes if the recent wind op has had the desired effect and Balranald is third choice, despite some doubts as to whether he will build on his latest effort.
Dianne Sayer's Irish import WEARELONGTERM didn't run at all badly on his handicap debut in a higher grade at Perth.
(2) You Owe Me Money 3.33/1, 1 win from 2 runs this year. 5/1, improved on recent efforts to win 16-runner handicap at this course (8f, good to soft) 7 days ago by ¾ length from Shona Mea, driven out. Should go well again. Deserved win here a week ago but on 4lb worse terms may not confirm form with Shona Mea.
2
2nd (11) (16/1 +36%) Khafaaq
16/1(+36%)
(11) Khafaaq 16/1, Course winner. Sixteen runs since last win in 2021. 18/1, 14 lengths fifteenth of 16 to You Owe Me Money in handicap at this course (8f, good to soft) 7 days ago. Blinkers back on. Never sighted here a week ago behind You Owe Me Money (1m); this trip stretches him.
3
3rd (8) (3.33/1 +72%) Kodiac Prince
3.33/1(+72%)
(8) Kodiac Prince 3.33/1, Course winner. 10/1, creditable fifth of 13 in handicap at Tipperary (9f, good to soft) 20 days ago. Booking of Lee a plus. Not discounted. Shaped quite well on seasonal debut at Tipperary and Billy Lee now takes over; contender..
4
4th (14) (14/1 -75%) Supreme Law
14/1(-75%)
(14) Supreme Law 14/1, Creditable fourth of 14 in handicap at Dundalk (12f, 10/1) 29 days ago. Down in trip. Shortlist material. Better form on AW, ran poorly on soft last September.
5th
5th (20) (5/1 +64%) Gemini Man
5/1(+64%)
(20) Gemini Man 5/1, 15/2 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, creditable fourth of 13 in handicap at Tipperary (9f, good to soft) 20 days ago, not clear run. Visor back on. RESERVE. Tipperary comeback run encouraging; place claims if getting a run; reserve.
6th
6th (10) (18/1 +10%) Wild Shot
18/1(+10%)
(10) Wild Shot 18/1, Unseated rider in handicap hurdle at Punchestown (16.2f, good to soft, 40/1) 13 days ago. Significantly down in trip. Fair on the all weather, creditable on last Flat outing. Primarily an AW performer; ideally wants better ground.
7th
7th (3) (25/1 -25%) Darkened
25/1(-25%)
(3) Darkened 25/1, Fifth of 8 in handicap hurdle (50/1) at Ballinrobe (17.4f, soft) 26 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Fair on the Flat, poor on last Flat outing. Fit from hurdling so has his chance and ground no problem.
8th
8th (16) (28/1 +15%) Lofoten
28/1(+15%)
(16) Lofoten 28/1, 12/1, eleventh of 17 in handicap at this course (9.6f, heavy) 22 days ago. Tongue strap on 1st time, cheekpieces on 1st time. Others make more appeal. Recent form poor and headgear combination now tried.
9th
9th (6) (6.5/1 +35%) Brewel Hill
6.5/1(+35%)
(6) Brewel Hill 6.5/1, Good second of 17 in handicap at this C&D (good to soft, 11/2). Off 7 months. First run for yard after leaving Gearoid Patrick Brouder. Hood back on, tongue strap back on. Claims if he's fully tuned up. Fine C&D form last year for previous yard including on soft; lacks a recent run though.
10th
10th (13) (22/1 -38%) Dark Street
22/1(-38%)
(13) Dark Street 22/1, Winner at Dundalk in December. Respectable sixth of 14 in handicap (15/2) at Dundalk (10.7f) 26 days ago, left poorly placed. Enters calculations. AW winner yet to convince on this easier ground.
11th
11th (5) (50/1 -25%) The Shootlist
50/1(-25%)
(5) The Shootlist 50/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Eighth of 16 in maiden (33/1) at Limerick (8f, soft) 18 days ago. Makes handicap debut. Opening mark looks plenty high but encouraging jockey booking.
12th
12th (15) (12/1 +40%) All Blues
12/1(+40%)
(15) All Blues 12/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 10/3 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, seventh of 9 in minor event at Bath (8f, good to soft) 19 days ago. Makes handicap debut. Plenty to find on form. Potential improver back on softer ground for handicap debut.
13th
13th (7) (25/1 +0%) Whatharm
25/1(+0%)
(7) Whatharm 25/1, Course winner. Seventeen runs since last win in 2021. 14/1, twelfth of 16 in handicap at this course (7f, soft) 21 days ago. Significantly back up in trip. Something to prove at present. On a long losing run and last month's run here was poor.
14th
14th (12) (18/1 +28%) Out On Friday
18/1(+28%)
(12) Out On Friday 18/1, C&D winner. Eleventh of 15 in handicap (11/1) at Leopardstown (9f, heavy) 35 days ago. Dropped to a handy mark. Last month's comeback run at Leopardstown leaves him with plenty to find.
LTO Selection:
16:15 Gowran Park Handicap 10f Race Speed Rating Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
Based on the summary, the horses that could potentially finish in the top 3 are 12/1 (8) KODIAC PRINCE, 5/1 (9) SHONA MEA, and 3.5/1 (2) YOU OWE ME MONEY. 12/1 (8) KODIAC PRINCE has shaped up well on their seasonal debut and has a good jockey taking over, while 5/1 (9) SHONA MEA has a chance of reversing their form with 3.5/1 (2) YOU OWE ME MONEY, and 3.5/1 (2) YOU OWE ME MONEY itself is a recent winner and has performed well this year.
MISS ABBY JOOLS is interesting on this switch to turf. Since her last run on grass, she has appeared six times on the Polytrack in Dundalk and accrued two wins and three places. Adam Caffrey was successful on her at the end of March and he claims 7lb again. On her second ever start, she handled testing ground when fourth in Roscommon. You Owe Me Money has long threatened a victory and it came over a mile at this racetrack last week. She has to rate a danger. Shona Mea is a former C&D winner who has been placed on her last couple of starts here. She has the widest draw, though, and wouldn't welcome more rain. Brewel Hill has been off since September and has changed stables, but has form in the book that merits respect.
MISS ABBY JOOLS was better than ever when scoring at Dundalk 40 days ago and she's still not fully exposed, so she gets the tentative vote in a competitive race for the grade. Shona Mea is a big threat, particularly if a wide draw proves advantageous (which can be the case at this track), and You Owe Me Money who beat the latter mentioned at this course last time, is another one to consider.
Second here a week ago over 1m, SHONA MEA is taken to reverse form with her conqueror You Owe Me Money over this longer trip
(1) Amleto 3.5/1, Left debut effort behind when fourth of 14 in minor event (18/1) at Kempton (8f) in November. Bred to appreciate this longer trip and merits consideration on return. Gelded since last seen. A work in progress at two and now gelded; could yet be quite smart..
2
2nd (6) (80/1 -60%) Paddy The Squire
80/1(-60%)
(6) Paddy The Squire 80/1, Posted promising fourth at Southwell on racecourse bow in January. May have been unsuited by testing conditions when well beaten at Doncaster since but has plenty to find on form nonetheless. Had wind operation. Encouraging debut but tailed off on heavy last time and had a wind op since..
3
3rd (8) (1.2/1 +40%) Shadow Dance
1.2/1(+40%)
(8) Shadow Dance 1.2/1, Made plenty of appeal on paper and duly posted promising second of 5 in minor event (11/2) at Windsor (10f, heavy) on debut 16 days ago, running on. Should have more to offer and is shortlisted. Stayed on nicely from off the pace to be second of five runners at Windsor (1m2f, soft)..
4
4th (3) (8.5/1 +39%) Gifted Angel
8.5/1(+39%)
(3) Gifted Angel 8.5/1, Respectable efforts both starts this term, latest when third of 8 in handicap at Epsom (8.5f, heavy) 15 days ago. Lacks potential of some of his rivals here, though. Exposed maiden who is now 0-11 and was no better for the visor fitted at Epsom (1m, soft)..
5th
5th (7) (3.33/1 +67%) Scintillante
3.33/1(+67%)
(7) Scintillante 3.33/1, Scopey sort who acquitted himself well in both starts last year, latest when third of 14 in minor event at Kempton (8f) in November. Type to do better in 2023. Showed more in second run as a juvenile when a never-dangerous third over 1m at Kempton..
6th
6th (10) (100/1 +0%) Twoforthegutter
100/1(+0%)
(10) Twoforthegutter 100/1, No impact on Nottingham maiden debut 7 months ago and faces a stiff task on reappearance here. Gelded since last seen. Gelded since finishing tailed off over Nottingham's extended 1m (soft) last October..
7th
7th (2) (9/1 +10%) El Jasor
9/1(+10%)
(2) El Jasor 9/1, Much improved on second start last month, keeping on well when second of 7 in minor event at Windsor (10f, heavy) 23 days ago. Likely more to come yet. Very green in one run last season and showed plenty more at Windsor (1m2f, soft)..
8th
8th (9) (40/1 +60%) Trickytrickytricky
40/1(+60%)
(9) Trickytrickytricky 40/1, €40,000 yearling, Fast Company gelding. Half-brother to several winners, including smart 1¼m-13.3f winner Kings Fete and useful 6f-9f winner Gymkhana. Dam 1¼m-1½m winner. Faces a stiff task on debut. Big ask to win around here first time out..
LTO Selection:
16:20 Chester Maiden (Class 3) 10f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
Based on the summary, it is difficult to confidently predict which horse will finish in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd place. However, some horses to consider as potential contenders are 2/1 (8) SHADOW DANCE, 2/1 (11) VAGUELY ROYAL, 9/1 (1) AMLETO, 10/1 (2) EL JASOR, and 8/1 (4) LUNATICK. 14/1 (5) MUIR WOOD may also be a strong competitor but may need to run his best race yet to contend. 50/1 (6) PADDY THE SQUIRE and 100/1 (9) TRICKYTRICKYTRICKY are less likely to be in the top three based on their recent form and pedigree. 100/1 (10) TWOFORTHEGUTTER is also unlikely to contend given his lack of impact in his maiden debut and the stiff task he faces on reappearance.
VAGUELY ROYAL made a promising debut at Yarmouth last September, when he finished third over 1m. A step up in trip should suit the son of Galileo and he may be the answer to this maiden. Shadow Dance, who hit the woodwork at Windsor last month, must feature prominently in calculations. El Jasor occupied the same position there 23 days ago and is another to be interested in.
Plenty of potential improvers here, including SHADOW DANCE, who should have learnt plenty from last month's encouraging Windsor debut. He gets the nod. Vaguely Royal and Amleto are feared most in a race which should throw up plenty of future winners.
Roger Varian's SHADOW DANCE has the benefit of a recent run and that Windsor effort was full of positives.
(4) Bollingerandkrug 0.83/1, Found improvement when opening chase account over C&D in March and shaped better than bare result when second in follow-up bid here (17.1f, soft) 3 weeks later. Big player. Goes well here and perhaps soft ground counted against him the final time..
2
2nd (3) (6/1 +8%) Cedar Hill
6/1(+8%)
(3) Cedar Hill 6/1, Four-time winner over this C&D and latest success at Musselburgh in February 2022 was gained off a 7 lb higher mark. Below par in 3 starts following a creditable reappearance third at Ayr but will be a threat if able to bounce back. Restricted to four runs since his 2nd in this last year and looks out of touch..
3
3rd (2) (12/1 -20%) Cracking Destiny
12/1(-20%)
(2) Cracking Destiny 12/1, Below best when last seen at Uttoxeter 10 months ago but has dropped to a lenient mark and can go well fresh. Market check advised on return. Had wind operation. Quiet last season but is very well handicapped and has undergone a wind operation..
4
4th (6) (5.5/1 +54%) Duty Calls
5.5/1(+54%)
(6) Duty Calls 5.5/1, Seen to good advantage (held up in a strongly-run race) when scoring over C&D in March but unable to land a blow over hurdles at Carlisle latest and has plenty on his plate from 10 lb out of the handicap here. Saw it out stronger than Bollingerandkrug over C&D in March; hurdling last time..
5th
5th (1) (4.5/1 -80%) Geromino
4.5/1(-80%)
(1) Geromino 4.5/1, Made most of good opportunities to bag 4 small-field chase events (at up to 20.3f) last summer prior to finding Tommy's Oscar too strong in a match at Carlisle in October. Remains fairly treated and should be straighter for recent return over hurdles at Aintree. Forgiven latest hurdle run at Aintree; a player on the best of last season's chase form..
LTO Selection:
16:30 Kelso Handicap Chase (Class 3) 17f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
Based on the summary, 1.38/1 (4) BOLLINGERANDKRUG seems to be the horse with the best chance of finishing in the top three. The horse has had recent success over the C&D and has shown improvement in its last few starts. 2.5/1 (1) GEROMINO and 6.5/1 (3) CEDAR HILL are also potential contenders, but 10/1 (2) CRACKING DESTINY and 12/1 (6) DUTY CALLS may struggle given their recent form or handicap disadvantage. Therefore, the predicted order of finish is: 1) 1.38/1 (4) BOLLINGERANDKRUG, 2) 2.5/1 (1) GEROMINO, 3) 6.5/1 (3) CEDAR HILL.
GEROMINO was a progressive novice chaser last season and his recent return over hurdles should have put him spot on for this switch back to fences. Donald McCain's inmate races off the same mark as his last success at Warwick in September and he could have too much class for these rivals. The in-form Bollingerandkrug appears the chief threat, while Cracking Destiny's tumbling mark also makes him one to be wary of.
There should be more to come from BOLLINGERANDKRUG, who shaped like the best horse at the weights when runner-up over C&D last time and still looks feasibly treated. Geromino may provide the chief threat.
On the back of a wind operation, it would be no surprise to see the well-handicapped CRACKING DESTINY run his best race for a while.
(5) Ranko Express 8/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Thirteenth of 15 in maiden at this course (9.6f, heavy, 40/1) 22 days ago. Makes handicap debut. Nothing progressive in maidens, hard to see him making an immediate impact in handicaps.
2
2nd (11) (14/1 +72%) Water Mint
14/1(+72%)
(11) Water Mint 14/1, 22/1, below form eighth of 13 in handicap at this course (8f, good to soft) 7 days ago, merely passing beaten rivals. Needs a couple of these to falter. Well held in both handicaps here recently; 7lb wrong here.
3
3rd (8) (7/1 -17%) Glyde Ranger
7/1(-17%)
(8) Glyde Ranger 7/1, Very good third of 8 in handicap at Dundalk (12f, 16/1) 26 days ago. Down in trip. Dundalk third encouraging but earlier Navan run on heavy wasn't.
4
4th (2) (10/1 +9%) Upepo
10/1(+9%)
(2) Upepo 10/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Creditable fourth of 8 in handicap (13/2) at Sligo (10.6f, soft) 10 days ago, left poorly placed. Blinkers on 1st time. Others more persuasive. Sligo comeback run encouraging; blinkers now fitted and worth considering.
5th
5th (7) (3.5/1 -5%) Not Even Maybe
3.5/1(-5%)
(7) Not Even Maybe 3.5/1, Very good second of 13 in handicap (11/2) at this course (8f, good to soft) 7 days ago, clear of rest. Looks competitive on form. Clear second over 1m a week ago, staying on strongly; up 5lb but rider uses full claim.
6th
6th (4) (11/1 -10%) Sneddy Eddie
11/1(-10%)
(4) Sneddy Eddie 11/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 125/1, sixth of 13 in maiden at Cork (7f, heavy) 32 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Makes handicap debut. Unlikely type to make an immediate impact in handicaps.
7th
7th (6) (18/1 +10%) Where R U Now Bob
18/1(+10%)
(6) Where R U Now Bob 18/1, Winner at Dundalk in January. Thirteenth of 14 in handicap (16/1) at Dundalk (7f) 26 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Cheekpieces back on. AW winner takes a big jump in trip here and first try on soft ground.
8th
8th (1) (3.33/1 -104%) Slaney Tide
3.33/1(-104%)
(1) Slaney Tide 3.33/1, 10/3, very good second of 13 in handicap at Tipperary (9f, good to soft) 20 days ago. Trainer going well. Likely to continue in form. Just denied over similar trip at Tipperary; 4lb higher now but respected.
9th
9th (3) (4/1 +84%) Ifitwasme
4/1(+84%)
(3) Ifitwasme 4/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Seventh of 15 in maiden (100/1) at this course (9.6f, heavy) 22 days ago. Makes handicap debut. All the better for last month's C&D comeback run and Billy Lee now takes over.
LTO Selection:
16:50 Gowran Park Handicap 10f Race Speed Rating Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
Based on form, 1.63/1 (1) SLANEY TIDE and 3.33/1 (7) NOT EVEN MAYBE seem to be the strongest contenders for the top three positions. So, the prediction for the first, second, and third position are: 1. 1.63/1 (1) SLANEY TIDE 2. 3.33/1 (7) NOT EVEN MAYBE 3. 6/1 (8) GLYDE RANGER
NOT EVEN MAYBE has a bit to find with Slaney Tide on their run at Tipperary, but may find the improvement necessary. Since finishing fourth to Slaney Side's second in Tipperary, Not Even Maybe ran a cracker to be beaten half a length into second over 1m at this track. Slaney Tide was only pipped by a head in that aforementioned race at Tipperary last month. She is likely to race prominently again. Upepo kept on for fourth in Sligo and could improve in first-time blinkers.
SLANEY TIDE was just touched off at Tipperary last month and a 4 lb rise for that effort looks fair given that she pulled nicely clear of the rest. Jim Bolger's charge is taken to open her account at the twelfth time of asking, perhaps at the chief expense of Not Even Maybe, who was fourth in the same Tipperary handicap and subsequently went close over a mile here. Glyde Ranger and Upepo both make each-way appeal.
Clear of the remainder when second here last week, NOT EVEN MAYBE (nap) kept on strongly then so this trip should be within her compass
(2) Hodler 8.5/1, Progressive form as a 3-y-o, winning 3 times over 7f and runner-up on final 2 starts of that campaign at Epsom and Newmarket. Perhaps shouldn't be judged too harshly on what he's shown so far this season but likely to find one or two too good all the same. Improved in 7f handicaps last year and has won on soft; not yet back to peak form in 2023.
2
2nd (4) (7/1 +42%) Gorak
7/1(+42%)
(4) Gorak 7/1, Hit the crossbar twice on the AW earlier this year prior to resuming winning ways at Doncaster (7f, heavy) last month. Excuses next time but latest odds-on reverse at Leicester isn't so easy to forgive and looks vulnerable now new mark has kicked in. Impressive over 7f on soft in April; stiffer weights task now but unexposed on soft.
3
3rd (8) (4/1 -14%) Paws For Thought
4/1(-14%)
(8) Paws For Thought 4/1, Made a winning reappearance here in 2021 and nearly repeated the dose on return last season when nailed on the line in this corresponding race. Resumes on a 3 lb lower mark this time round and he's high on the shortlist. Good record here; touched off on reappearance in this race last year (soft); now 3lb lower.
4
4th (9) (7/1 -40%) Broken Spear
7/1(-40%)
(9) Broken Spear 7/1, Winless last year but made a timely return to form when narrowly outpointed by an in-form rival (pair clear) at Leicester (6f, heavy) recently. Landed this off 5 lb higher in 2021 (and fourth in last year's renewal) and should go well from the plum draw if breaking on terms. Often slowly away; won this in 2021; never involved when 4th in 2022; capable of a big run.
5th
5th (1) (6.5/1 -30%) Another Batt
6.5/1(-30%)
(1) Another Batt 6.5/1, Drew a blank last season but generally acquitted himself well and shaped as though his turn could be near when keeping on into fourth in a 13-runner Ripon handicap (1m, heavy) recently. Encountered traffic problems that day and while stall 11 isn't ideal, he's not ruled out off this career-low mark. Course winner with strong handicap form on soft; well handicapped; could go very well.
6th
6th (7) (10/1 +55%) Maysong
10/1(+55%)
(7) Maysong 10/1, Consistent sort who was better than ever when resuming winning ways at Redcar (1m, heavy) last month. By no means disgraced when third off this mark in a higher-grade Leicester handicap last time but stall 13 could prove to be a stumbling block. In very good form at 1m; stiff task latest; this tight 7f asks a different question.
7th
7th (5) (33/1 -136%) Roundhay Park
33/1(-136%)
(5) Roundhay Park 33/1, Returned to form when striking at Pontefract in October and duly left low-key reappearance well behind when adding to his tally at Catterick (6f, soft) a fortnight ago. Has C&D winning form, too, but 7 lb rise for latest success may be enough to anchor him. In form; C&D winner off this mark in 2021 but rarely convinced over 7f since.
8th
8th (3) (10/1 -25%) Roman Dragon
10/1(-25%)
(3) Roman Dragon 10/1, All 3 career wins have been registered over 6f at this course, the latest off this mark last July. Appears to be pretty versatile ground-wise, stays this trip and goes well fresh but, on the downside, he's drawn widest of all. One of 3 representing the Hugo Palmer yard. All three wins at 6f here, including on soft; has C&D form; conserving energy a challenge.
9th
9th (10) (25/1 -56%) Roudemental
25/1(-56%)
(10) Roudemental 25/1, Largely creditable efforts on the AW during the winter and solid third of 10 at Newcastle (1m) in March. Good run of form came to a halt without usual tongue strap (refitted here) returned to turf at Doncaster last time and could do with the ground drying out (best turf form on good/good to firm). Sole turf win on good to firm; ground query and something to prove in first 7f handicap.
10th
10th (13) (6.5/1 +59%) Devasboy
6.5/1(+59%)
(13) Devasboy 6.5/1, Won twice for the Johnston team last year and not far off that level when runner-up at Windsor (1m, heavy) on penultimate start. However, nearer last than first at Ascot subsequently and likely to come up short once more. A win and a close 2nd from three course runs at about 7f; can go well back here.
11th
11th (11) (14/1 -17%) Mellys Flyer
14/1(-17%)
(11) Mellys Flyer 14/1, Got his head back in front at Wolverhampton (6f) on penultimate start but too free when only fifth of 7 off this 4 lb higher mark at Lingfield (AW) last week. Booking of Andrea Atzeni is a positive but others make more appeal all the same. Won over 7f in 2021 but trip stretches him; missed this race last because of soft ground.
12th
12th (6) (22/1 -22%) Oso Rapido
22/1(-22%)
(6) Oso Rapido 22/1, Rather up-and-down last season, his sole success of a busy 2022 campaign gained off this mark at Catterick (6f, good to firm) in July. Ought to strip fitter following recent reappearance spin over 5.5f at Wetherby but others make more appeal from a win point of view. Won 7f handicaps on good/good to firm; best form at 6f these days; ground query.
14th
14th (14) (22/1 -38%) He's A Gentleman
22/1(-38%)
(14) He's A Gentleman 22/1, Belatedly opened his account off this mark at Lingfield (1m, AW) in September. However, ended 2020 on a downer and again below par on recent reappearance at Chelmsford, plus his record on turf stands at 0-10. Made all off this mark on AW in September; first run in 7f turf handicap; surface query.
LTO Selection:
16:55 Chester Handicap (Class 4) 7f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
1st: 3.5/1 (8) PAWS FOR THOUGHT 2nd: 5/1 (1) ANOTHER BATT 3rd: 5/1 (9) BROKEN SPEAR
BROKEN SPEAR attracted significant market support when filling the runner-up spot at Leicester 11 days ago. Tony Coyle's gelding would appear to have been primed with this contest in mind, having won it off a 5lb higher mark in 2021, and it would be no surprise were he to get back to winning ways. Another Batt is handicapped to go well and he must be considered despite the burden of top-weight. Roundhay Park might not be far away either.
PAWS FOR THOUGHT makes plenty of appeal off a mark 3 lb lower than when caught in the shadow of the post in this race 12 months ago. The 5-y-o signed off last season with a creditable effort in first-time cheekpieces (retained) at Catterick, he goes well fresh/at this course (has won twice here) and, all in all, has plenty going for him. Broken Spear won this in 2021 and looks primed for another bold show having returned to form at Leicester recently, while Another Batt is also shortlisted.
Last year's runner-up Paws For Thought is dangerous but DEVASBOY also likes it here and showed signs of a revival of late.
(2) Time Leader 0.29/1, Winning pointer for this yard and he continued the good work when a smooth winner on hunter debut at Leicester (22.5f). Easily followed up at Stratford and back on track when fifth in the Foxhunters' at Aintree last time. Should take all the beating. Dual hunter chase winner; good 6l-fifth in Aintree Foxhunters last time; the one to beat.
2
2nd (1) (5.5/1 -38%) Hermann Clermont
5.5/1(-38%)
(1) Hermann Clermont 5.5/1, Fairly useful form when winning a brace of small-field 3m Perth handicaps over fences for Gordon Elliott last summer. Failed to complete both starts in points but good enough to be a player if finds some of his best form on hunter debut. Useful for Gordon Elliott; has a bit to prove after being pulled up in a point last time.
3
3rd (5) (12/1 +0%) Shaughnessy
12/1(+0%)
(5) Shaughnessy 12/1, Bumper winner but a maiden hurdler/chaser and likewise in points, runner-up last time. Needs to improve. Bumper winner; hasn't won in points or under rules but second in a hunter chase in March.
4
4th (3) (20/1 +0%) Garbanzo
20/1(+0%)
(3) Garbanzo 20/1, Fair hurdler for Dr Richard Newland and better than result on hunter debut at this course 11 months ago. Winner between the flags (unseated last time), and can't be completely dismissed. Won 4 on the Flat; only point win was a 3-runner race, but good 2nd in Feb; this tougher.
5th
5th (4) (22/1 -10%) Royal Chant
22/1(-10%)
(4) Royal Chant 22/1, Multiple point winner but pulled up in that sphere last time and his Rules form isn't good enough to make him of interest in this. Has won nine of his 30 points; has never been quite as effective over regulation fences.
LTO Selection:
17:02 Kelso Hunter Chase (Class 4) 22f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
1st: 0.44/1 (2) TIME LEADER 2nd: 20/1 (3) GARBANZO 3rd: 4/1 (1) HERMANN CLERMONT
TIME LEADER outran odds of 80/1 to fill fifth place in the Foxhunters at Aintree a month ago and a reproduction of that level of form would give him a big chance in this company. Shaughnessy was second in a similar event at Musselburgh in March and cannot be discounted, while Hermann Clermont is a player based on his form under Rules.
TIME LEADER has already won twice this year and a repeat of the sort of form he showed at Aintree should be enough for him to land this lesser contest. Hermann Clermont looks the biggest threat on form and Garbanzo is the best of the remaining trio.
This can go to TIME LEADER who has won two hunter chases this year and was a creditable fifth at Aintree last time.
(6) Mullinaree 2.75/1, In the frame on first 5 attempts over hurdles and now chases a C&D hat-trick following a brace of small-field wins under this rider. No reason why he won't go well again. Won both starts over C&D since hood added to tongue-tie; can pull out a bit more yet.
2
2nd (5) (3/1 +33%) Mothill
3/1(+33%)
(5) Mothill 3/1, Won first 2 starts this term and far from disgraced since, finding only a progressive rival too strong at Chepstow last month. Stays this far and he's one to consider. Good efforts in 2m handicaps of late; stays this trip; plenty to like.
3
3rd (2) (3.33/1 -11%) Astromachia
3.33/1(-11%)
(2) Astromachia 3.33/1, Useful handicapper on Flat and bright start over hurdles following lengthy absence, landing Uttoxeter maiden (2m) in January and he showed a willing attitude when doubling tally here (17.7f) last month. 2 lb rise very fair and return to this trip will help. Did well to win over 2m1f here last month when quite badly hampered; up 2lb; solid.
4
4th (7) (33/1 -83%) Clearance
33/1(-83%)
(7) Clearance 33/1, Attracted support and took advantage of much-reduced mark at Newton Abbot in June. Ran no more than respectably in 2 outings there in July and limited impact on the level more recently. Up in trip. Pulled up on latest hurdle start and well adrift on the AW in February; off since.
5th
5th (1) (6.5/1 +0%) Fifty Ball
6.5/1(+0%)
(1) Fifty Ball 6.5/1, Won at Ascot off 7 lb higher last spring and most encouraging run of this season when fifth of 14 there (21.5f) last month. Must cast aside a heavy defeat at Kempton but this is slightly easier with cheekpieces reached for. Well handicapped on most recent win last March but had a slow winter and pulled up latest.
|PU|
|PU| (3) (4/1 +56%) Ucanaver
4/1(+56%)
(3) Ucanaver 4/1, Won a pair of mares' novice hurdles in 2021/22 but failed to take to chasing on her first 2 outings this season. Much more like it when placed twice returned to timber but most disappointing at Chepstow in March. Both novice wins on good to soft; two good handicap runs (2m/3m) but lesser effort latest.
LTO Selection:
17:10 Fontwell Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 19f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
The application of a hood has appeared to make all the difference to MULLINAREE, who is two from two since it's fitting. With both of those successes coming over C&D, a further 3lb rise in the handicap is unlikely to scupper another bold bid and he edges the vote over last month's track scorer Astromachia. Mothill remains in good form and he should not be underestimated either.
Quite a few to consider, with ASTROMACHIA just about the most persuasive option with his Flat form suggesting he can improve the return to this longer trip. Mullinaree has struck up a good partnership with Bradley Harris here in recent weeks and he's a threat, along with Mothill.
Mullinaree is progressing and can be a threat but ASTROMACHIA did well to beat an in-form rival here last time and is preferred.
(8) Sequoiaspirit 16/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2021. 16/1, below form eleventh of 23 in handicap at the Curragh (14f, heavy). Off 6 months. Back to a potentially lenient mark. Has run well fresh but others preferred on balance.
2
2nd (14) (11/1 +8%) Bolero
11/1(+8%)
(14) Bolero 11/1, Remains a maiden after 17 Flat runs. 13/2, bit below form fourth of 16 in handicap at Bellewstown (14.3f, heavy) 34 days ago. Others more persuasive. Encouraging Bellewstown comeback run puts her in the mix here.
3
3rd (1) (6/1 -50%) Douglas Dc
6/1(-50%)
(1) Douglas Dc 6/1, Fairly useful winner at 16f over hurdles. Posted best effort in this sphere, in first-time cheekpieces, when second of 12 in maiden at Bellewstown (12f, heavy) 34 days ago. Likely contender on switch to handicapping. Bellewstown comeback second reads well; one to consider on handicap debut.
4
4th (13) (3/1 +14%) Ellaat
3/1(+14%)
(13) Ellaat 3/1, First run since leaving Noel C. Kelly when respectable fifth of 12 in handicap at this course (13.7f, soft, 10/3) 21 days ago. Tongue strap on 1st time. Not out of things. Attracted stewards attention over C&D last month; more expected of now.
5th
5th (11) (3.5/1 +71%) Bigz Belief
3.5/1(+71%)
(11) Bigz Belief 3.5/1, Bit below form sixth of 13 in handicap at Tipperary (9f, good to soft, 3/1) 20 days ago, unsuited by drop in trip. Significantly up in trip. Can make presence felt. Ran a cracker here last month, Tipperary run 2 days later probably too soon.
6th
6th (7) (14/1 -56%) Barometer
14/1(-56%)
(7) Barometer 14/1, Tenth of 15 in handicap (6/1) at Limerick (11.2f, soft) 18 days ago, inadequate test. Back up in trip. Others more persuasive. Expected to improve for Limerick comeback run; acts on soft and could go close.
7th
7th (12) (14/1 -40%) Foreign Policy
14/1(-40%)
(12) Foreign Policy 14/1, 9/2 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, ninth of 11 in handicap at Dundalk (16f) 40 days ago. Others more persuasive. Some Dundalk promise; first encounter with soft ground here.
8th
8th (6) (66/1 -100%) Mountain Fox
66/1(-100%)
(6) Mountain Fox 66/1, C&D winner. Two wins from 47 Flat runs. 33/1, ninth of 14 in handicap at Thurles (16f, soft), merely passing beaten rivals. Off 7 months. Others preferred. Veteran best watched on seasonal return on ground softer than he likes.
9th
9th (9) (14/1 +50%) Mojazaffah
14/1(+50%)
(9) Mojazaffah 14/1, Lightly-raced maiden. First run since leaving Marco Botti when below form seventh of 16 in handicap (11/1) at Bellewstown (14.3f, heavy) 34 days ago. Tongue strap on 1st time. Makes limited appeal. Uninspiring Irish debut at Bellewstown; tongue tie now fitted.
10th
10th (3) (66/1 -313%) Sean Says
66/1(-313%)
(3) Sean Says 66/1, Lightly-raced maiden on Flat. Modest winner at 25f in chases. Below form fourth of 8 in handicap chase at Clonmel (22.8f, heavy, 13/2) 34 days ago. Fair on the Flat, poor on last Flat outing. Mostly hurdling of late; 0-5 on the Flat and of limited appeal off current mark.
11th
11th (4) (33/1 -106%) Belgoprince
33/1(-106%)
(4) Belgoprince 33/1, 12/1, fourteenth of 19 in handicap at Navan (13f, heavy) 18 days ago. Others preferred. Entitled to come on for recent comeback run after long absence; worth a market check.
12th
12th (2) (12/1 -33%) Star Official
12/1(-33%)
(2) Star Official 12/1, Returned to form when good third of 19 in handicap at Navan (13f, heavy) 18 days ago. Just 1 lb higher now and should go well again. Very encouraging comeback effort at Navan last month in testing conditions augurs well.
13th
13th (15) (150/1 -50%) Griseo
150/1(-50%)
(15) Griseo 150/1, First run since leaving John McConnell when twelfth of 17 in handicap (80/1) at this course (9.6f, heavy) 22 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Hard to fancy. Needs to improve markedly on underwhelming yard debut here last month.
14th
14th (5) (5.5/1 +39%) Queen Of Seduction
5.5/1(+39%)
(5) Queen Of Seduction 5.5/1, Creditable fourth of 18 in handicap (16/1) at the Curragh (12f, soft). Off 6 months. Warrants respect on return to action. Series of solid runs on softish ground last autumn; yard going well so one to consider.
15th
15th (10) (50/1 -150%) Oranmore
50/1(-150%)
(10) Oranmore 50/1, Creditable fifth of 14 in handicap at Dundalk (12f, 17/2) 47 days ago. Looks competitive on form. Fair AW form but turf form on soft moderate so hard to be confident in.
LTO Selection:
17:25 Gowran Park Handicap 14f Race Speed Rating Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
It is difficult to predict with certainty which horse will do well based on this summary, but some contenders for the top three spots could be 12/1 (11) BIGZ BELIEF, 9/1 (2) STAR OFFICIAL, and 20/1 (10) ORANMORE. However, it ultimately depends on the individual performance of each horse on the day of the race.
This trip is going to take plenty of getting on rain-soaked ground, so preference is for hurdle-winner DOUGLAS DC. He ran a decent race in second over 1m4f at Bellewstown behind an odds-on favourite. Jack Kearney claims 7lb which puts him on an appealing mark. Belgoprince is better than his unplaced seasonal reappearance at Navan. He has a victory over 1m6f at Navan in the formbook. Star Official outran his 33/1 odds when third over a staying trip in Navan. Deep ground holds no fears for him. Queen Of Seduction is up in trip on seasonal bow after being placed on her last three starts. Ellaat and Bolero are among the best of the rest.
DOUGLAS DC was returning from 5 months off when runner-up at Bellewstown and figures off a handy mark on his handicap debut in this sphere. He can land the spoils. Star Official and Queen of Seduction head the list of dangers.
A competitive handicap in which a chance is taken on BAROMETER coming on plenty for a recent comeback run
(9) Cracking Rhapsody 50/1, Half-brother to fairly useful hurdler/useful chaser Cracking Destiny, but not enough encouragement in his debut over C&D to make him of serious interest in this.2 Never dangerous when 10l away on good ground here last month but could improve on that..
1
1st (5) (20/1 +33%) St Cuthbert's Cave
20/1(+33%)
(5) St Cuthbert's Cave 20/1, £22,000 3-y-o, Court Cave gelding. Dam unraced. Hard to fancy unless strong in the betting. £22,000 3yo; 2nd foal; dam unraced half-sister to 2m-2m5f hurdle/chase winner Whitsundays..
2
2nd (1) (50/1 -25%) Breizh River
50/1(-25%)
(1) Breizh River 50/1, Down the field at Market Rasen on debut and unlikely to make an impact 160 days on. Beaten about 49l in Market Rasen bumper (good to soft; 11-1) on debut last December..
3
3rd (11) (3/1 +33%) Shengai Enki
3/1(+33%)
(11) Shengai Enki 3/1, Showed more than on debut when eighth in a competitive affair at Punchestown last month. This doesn't look as strong and he's likely to be involved. Bettered debut run when eighth of 22 at Punchestown a fortnight ago; considered.
4
4th (10) (7/1 -8%) Lemoine
7/1(-8%)
(10) Lemoine 7/1, Black Sam Bellamy gelding who has finished third at Ayr on first two outings. Has been off 162 days but this stiffer track should play to his strengths. Thirds at Aintree and Ayr were encouraging and has each-way claims..
5th
5th (2) (14/1 -56%) Edgewell
14/1(-56%)
(2) Edgewell 14/1, Well Chosen gelding who stepped up on his debut when third over C&D recently and could make an even bigger impression with another improved effort. Outpaced but kept on well to make the frame on good ground here three weeks ago..
6th
6th (13) (22/1 -144%) Perfect Poli
22/1(-144%)
(13) Perfect Poli 22/1, £25,000 3-y-o, Dunaden mare. Half-sister to fairly useful hurdler Brampton Belle. 25/1 but made a solid start when fourth at Wetherby on debut. Likely to improve from that, so worthy of respect. Raced freely but still finished fourth of 13 at Wetherby (soft) and only beaten about 12l..
7th
7th (7) (14/1 -17%) Wotyoudunnow Buddy
14/1(-17%)
(7) Wotyoudunnow Buddy 14/1, Showed something on first two starts last year, third at Carlisle when last seen 164 days ago. Could get involved if there's enough emphasis on stamina. One-paced on good and soft ground, keeping on without troubling the principals..
8th
8th (4) (16/1 +36%) Run Resdev Run
16/1(+36%)
(4) Run Resdev Run 16/1, Cityscape gelding. Dam 11.6f-13f winner who stayed 2m. Tongue tied for debut, and worth monitoring in the betting. Newcomer from a yard not noted for bumper winners..
9th
9th (3) (2.25/1 -13%) Indian Louis
2.25/1(-13%)
(3) Indian Louis 2.25/1, £70,000 5-y-o, Mahler gelding. Dam (c113/h121) 19f-21f hurdle/chase winner. Successful both completed starts in Irish points (latest Jan 29). Looks the one to beat on Rules debut. Irish point form nothing special but has joined a respected yard to go under rules..
10th
10th (6) (14/1 +13%) The Back Braes
14/1(+13%)
(6) The Back Braes 14/1, Mustameet gelding. Dam unraced sister to fairly useful hurdler/useful chaser (stayed 25f) Katachenko. Might not have enough pace for this sort of test. Second foal; dam unraced sister to useful 1m7f-2m3f hurdle/chase winner Katachenko..
11th
11th (8) (80/1 -60%) Arthur Lilley
80/1(-60%)
(8) Arthur Lilley 80/1, (Production):€2,500 3-y-o: half-brother to fair chaser Harry The Lemmon (3m winner, by Milan): dam, well beaten in bumper, sister to fairly useful hurdler (21f-2¾m winner) Dreamy Sweeney. 2,500euros 3yo; 13th foal; half-brother to 3m hunter chase winner Harry The Lemmon..
12th
12th (12) (7/1 +50%) Wolfburg
7/1(+50%)
(12) Wolfburg 7/1, €8,500 3-y-o, Sageburg gelding. Dam unraced half-sister to fairly useful 19f-21f hurdle winner Theme Tune. Not discounted. Trainer 6-35 in bumpers the last five seasons and he saddles two newcomers here..
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
1st - 2/1 (3) INDIAN LOUIS 2nd - 9/1 (2) EDGEWELL 3rd - 6.5/1 (10) LEMOINE
LEMOINE has shown promise on both previous starts and his third-placed finish at Ayr last time suggests that he is the one to beat here. That said, Perfect Poli and Wotyoudunnow Buddy are others with valid form claims. Indian Louis won twice between the flags earlier in the year and has to be of some interest on his Rules bow having been bought for 70,000 pounds in February.
INDIAN LOUIS has already won two points and has joined an excellent stable, so he's fancied to make a successful start. Shengai Enki should find this race a lot easier than the one he contested at Punchestown last time, so he's considered the biggest danger, although Lemoine should be on the premises if tuned up after 5 months off.
There's no standout candidate and preference is for SHENGAI ENKI who was eighth in a big field at Punchestown.
(6) Hot Rod Lincoln 0.53/1, Successful on sole outing in Irish points and disappointed both outings after finishing fourth in maiden hurdle at Chepstow (19.4f) on Rules bow. Back on track when third on handicap debut at Sandown 3 months ago and every chance he can open his account back in maiden company. Very respectable third on handicap debut at Sandown, form that has worked out well.
2
2nd (9) (3.5/1 +46%) Shandancer
3.5/1(+46%)
(9) Shandancer 3.5/1, Fair bumper performer in Ireland and respectable fifth on handicap debut in this sphere at Huntingdon (20.6f) in January. Failed to reproduce that level of form fitted with cheekpieces/tongue strap on both subsequent outings though, and has had a breathing operation since last seen. Didn't fire last time but showed some fair form beforehand; should be on the premises.
3
3rd (10) (22/1 +0%) Tzunami
22/1(+0%)
(10) Tzunami 22/1, Showed modest form in bumpers during 2020/21 campaign and showed his first form over hurdles when a well-beaten runner-up at this course (19.2f, good to firm) 19 days ago. Task is now backing that up. Kept on for 80-1 second here last month and might snatch another minor proze today.
4
4th (7) (66/1 -65%) Jet Of Dreams
66/1(-65%)
(7) Jet Of Dreams 66/1, Cosily won sole start in Irish points but no show in 2 bumpers/maiden hurdle. Had a breathing operation since but can only be watched. Won on Irish point debut in 2022 but has made very underwhelming start to rules career.
5th
5th (1) (7/1 -100%) Amalfi Bay
7/1(-100%)
(1) Amalfi Bay 7/1, Fair handicapper on the Flat but was only seen a handful of times in 2022 and finished tailed-off last at Haydock when last seen 7 months ago. Has since switched yards and he's not dismissed now starting out in this sphere with a tongue strap applied. Fair on the Flat; can play a significant role here if he takes to hurdling for new stable.
6th
6th (11) (200/1 -100%) Glorious Mist
200/1(-100%)
(11) Glorious Mist 200/1, Fame And Glory mare. Dam, modest maiden hurdler, half-sister to fairly useful hurdle winner/useful chaser (stayed 3¼m) Rath An Iuir. Maiden pointer, pulled up last time (Feb 5). 0-8 in Irish points, having completed on only three occasions; makes rules debut today.
7th
7th (5) (10/1 -11%) Ferret Jeeter
10/1(-11%)
(5) Ferret Jeeter 10/1, Half-brother to 3 winners and made a solid start when runner-up at Fontwell in August. Possibly amiss given how he shaped at Worcester 6 weeks later and not one to dismiss starting out over hurdles. Off since poor bumper run in October but last summer's debut was quite promising.
8th
8th (4) (150/1 +0%) Engaging Sam
150/1(+0%)
(4) Engaging Sam 150/1, No show in bumpers/maiden hurdles so can only be watched. Well beaten at triple-digit odds in four bumpers and two maiden hurdles.
9th
9th (2) (33/1 -230%) Blazing Hartingo
33/1(-230%)
(2) Blazing Hartingo 33/1, 11,000 gns 5-y-o, Mores Wells gelding. Closely related to fairly useful 21 hurdle winner Holly Hartingo. Dam point winner. Runner-up completed start in points, pulled up latest (Apr 22). Second on Irish point debut but failed to complete two subsequent British points.
|PU|
|PU| (8) (150/1 -127%) Kayf Burren
150/1(-127%)
(8) Kayf Burren 150/1, Kayf Tara gelding who made an unpromising start to his career when pulled up in maiden hurdle at Plumpton (15.9f, soft) 17 days ago. Struggled when 40-1 for last month's debut at Plumpton (2m); moves up in trip here.
|PU|
|PU| (3) (200/1 -150%) Crookbarrow
200/1(-150%)
(3) Crookbarrow 200/1, Shirocco gelding who had been runner-up in a point bumper but was in trouble a long way out in bumper at Huntingdon (15.8f, soft) last month. Tough to see him featuring on hurdles bow. Second in a point bumper but struggled when 100-1 for a rules bumper; hurdle debut today.
LTO Selection:
17:45 Fontwell Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 22f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Based on the summary, it is difficult to predict with certainty which horse will do well. However, 1.2/1 (6) HOT ROD LINCOLN seems to have a better chance as he has already performed well on his handicap debut and has a form that has worked out well. He is expected to do well in maiden company. For the second place, 3.5/1 (1) AMALFI BAY could be a contender if he is able to take well to hurdling for his new stable and perform at his previous level on the flat. For the third place, 8/1 (5) FERRET JEETER could be a possibility as he made a solid start in his debut and can possibly overcome his poor run in October.
Hot Rod Lincoln sets the standard with an official rating of 109 but while he merits respect, a chance is taken on AMALFI BAY. Now in the care of Anthony Honeyball, the five-year-old achieved a peak rating of 77 when campaigned on the Flat. On that evidence, he's likely to be good enough, although he will need to prove he can perform in this sphere. Shandancer can chase them home.
HOT ROD LINCOLN got firmly back on track when third on handicap debut at Sandown in February and Harry Fry's lightly-raced 7-y-o is fancied to open his account back in maiden company. Anthony Honeyball trained the winner of last year's renewal, and his pair of hurdling debutants, Amalfi Bay and Ferret Jeeter, could be the ones to give the selection most to think about, with Shandancer rounding off the shortlist on the back of a breathing operation.
This could be a good opportunity for HOT ROD LINCOLN, who got back in the groove with a good third in a Sandown handicap in February.
(5) Heed The Call 2/1, Soldier's Call filly. 9/4, fourth of 8 in minor event at Bath (5f, good to soft) on debut 19 days ago. Should be in mix again. Favourite on her Bath debut last month; faster surface should suit; shortlisted.
2
2nd (9) (3.33/1 +58%) Sparklight
3.33/1(+58%)
(9) Sparklight 3.33/1, Foaled April 4. Cable Bay filly. Dam, runner-up at 6f at 2 yrs, half-sister to Bentinck Stakes winner Bygone Days (very smart) and smart 5f-7f winner Dungannon. One of the more interesting newcomers on paper. April foal who holds no notable entries; yard has made a good start with 2yos this spring.
3
3rd (3) (4/1 -129%) Qandil
4/1(-129%)
(3) Qandil 4/1, Churchill filly. Still green when third of 8 in minor event at Ripon (5f, heavy) 11 days ago. Likely to improve and sets a decent standard. Two solid efforts on turf; sets the standard and will have no excuses from handy stall 2.
4
4th (7) (8/1 +43%) Profitable Dreams
8/1(+43%)
(7) Profitable Dreams 8/1, Foaled March 26. €8,500 yearling, Profitable filly. Dam, 7f winner, half-sister to smart 1¼m winner (stayed 1½m) Izdiham. Speedily-bred is worth market check on debut. Yard has made a bright start with 2yos and she's worth tracking in the market.
5th
5th (4) (4.5/1 +68%) Forever A Diamond
4.5/1(+68%)
(4) Forever A Diamond 4.5/1, Foaled April 25. Cappella Sansevero filly. Half-sister to several winners, including winner up to 1m Freedom And Wheat and 5f winner Foxtrot Knight. Yard 1-16 with 2yo debutant in last 12 months. Mixed bag on pedigree, so interesting to see if market speaks favourably. Late foal from a yard not especially noted for juveniles; is likely best watched.
6th
6th (10) (33/1 +67%) Tejesueno
33/1(+67%)
(10) Tejesueno 33/1, Coach House filly. 50/1, tenth of 11 in minor event at Windsor (5.1f, heavy) on debut 16 days ago. Needs to leave that effort well behind. Only just turned two and offered little on her debut at a big price.
7th
7th (6) (150/1 -355%) Land Of Magic
150/1(-355%)
(6) Land Of Magic 150/1, Foaled May 7. 6,000 gns yearling, Land Force filly. Half-sister to several winners, including useful 7f-1¼m winner Dommersen and winner up to 11f Nebulla. Dam 1m winner in Britain/US. Others make more appeal on paper. 6,000gns yearling who only hit her second birthday over the weekend; not an obvious type.
8th
8th (8) (12/1 +45%) Silver Chaparral
12/1(+45%)
(8) Silver Chaparral 12/1, Foaled March 7. 17,000 gns yearling, Bungle Inthejungle filly. Dam, 6f-7f winner, half-sister to useful 6f winner Dark Mischief. 17,000gns yearling who holds a few sales race entries; dam improved with time.
LTO Selection:
18:00 Kempton Stakes (Class 4) 5f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Based on the summary, 1.75/1 (3) QANDIL and 2.25/1 (5) HEED THE CALL are likely to do well and are contenders for 1st and 2nd place. As for 3rd place, 14/1 (7) PROFITABLE DREAMS and 8/1 (9) SPARKLIGHT are worth considering as they come from yards that have had success with 2-year-olds and have decent pedigrees.
QANDIL has shown plenty in both career starts to suggest she can break her maiden at the third time of asking. Richard Hannon's filly makes her Polytrack debut and will be tough to beat if transferring her turf form to the all-weather. Heed The Call is entitled to build on a fair fourth when sent off favourite for her racecourse debut at Bath and she is feared most. Profitable Dreams is an interesting newcomer to note.
QANDIL still appeals as the type to better a pair of third-placed efforts and she sets the standard here. Heed The Call is also entitled to get in the mix after an encouraging debut, with Profitable Dreams perhaps most appealing of the newcomers.
Sparklight is a likely looking newcomer but HEED THE CALL should be happier switched to this faster surface and gets the nod.
(8) Bellamy's Grey 33/1, Just the one victory to his name under Rules and was well held again back over hurdles at Exeter (23.1f, good to soft) 19 days ago. 4 lb out of the weights. Has modest 1-29 strike-rate under rules and tends to race lazily nowadays.
1
1st (5) (0.67/1 +51%) Doctor Foley
0.67/1(+51%)
(5) Doctor Foley 0.67/1, Placed on second of 2 starts in Irish points and as the market predicted, he proved a different proposition sent chasing in a tongue tie when winning 9-runner handicap chase at Bangor (24f, good to firm) 18 days ago. Sure to have more to offer so looks the one to beat. Off the mark when upped to 3m for chase/handicap debut; can improve again.
2
2nd (4) (16/1 +20%) Unblinking
16/1(+20%)
(4) Unblinking 16/1, Opened chase account at the fourth attempt in a weak race at Hereford (25.2f, good) in February but has been well beaten on both subsequent starts. Plenty to prove all of a sudden. Big player if judged on Hereford win in February but was lacklustre a fortnight ago.
3
3rd (9) (40/1 +0%) Auld Sod
40/1(+0%)
(9) Auld Sod 40/1, Course winner on return in 2020/21 and only other victory came in handicap chase at Ffos Las (23.8f) in June 2021 when trained by Philip Hobbs. Has been out of sorts for some time now so can't be recommended. Soundly beaten in all four starts last season and hopes of a revival are beginning to fade.
4
4th (10) (7/1 +79%) Passing Secrets
7/1(+79%)
(10) Passing Secrets 7/1, Runner-up 4 times over fences in 2021/22 but suffered heavy defeats first 5 starts last term. However, he offered a glimmer a hope when fifth at Bangor in March but needs to back that up back over the larger obstacles. Hinted at possible return to form over hurdles last time but still has a lot to prove.
5th
5th (2) (5.5/1 +21%) Felton Bellevue
5.5/1(+21%)
(2) Felton Bellevue 5.5/1, Modest maiden hurdler who has bettered that level over fences, winning handicap chases at Hereford and Market Rasen in early-2022. Mixed record last campaign though, only 15¼ lengths fifth of 14 to Doyens De Ante at Chepstow (26.2f, good) 12 days ago. Just a respectable fifth last time but has claims if judged on close second in February.
|F|
|F| (7) (28/1 +30%) Allardyce
28/1(+30%)
(7) Allardyce 28/1, Losing run stretches back to early-2020 and has been pulled up on his last 3 outings (latest over hurdles). Looks opposable again. High-mileage 11yo who has looked out of sorts and been pulled up on all three runs in 2023.
|PU|
|PU| (3) (9/1 +36%) Mister Tickle
9/1(+36%)
(3) Mister Tickle 9/1, Completed a hat-trick over fences during second half of 2021 (twice over C&D) but he is hard to recommend based on what he showed last season. Ran quite well two starts ago but is usually very unenthusiastic nowadays.
|PU|
|PU| (1) (14/1 -56%) Uallrightharry
14/1(-56%)
(1) Uallrightharry 14/1, Got his head in front for the first time since October 2019 when scoring in decisive fashion at Plumpton in December and similar form when third at Kempton (24f, heavy) in March. However, he ran a shocker at former track last month so tough to support on that evidence. Won at Plumpton during the winter but this 11yo has become very hard to predict.
LTO Selection:
18:15 Fontwell Handicap Chase (Class 5) 26f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
1st: 1.38/1 (5) DOCTOR FOLEY 2nd: 2.5/1 (6) DOYENS DE ANTE 3rd: 7/1 (2) FELTON BELLEVUE
DOCTOR FOLEY was a comfortable winner at Bangor on his fencing debut last month, and Anthony Honeyball's unexposed six-year-old is expected to prove too strong once more with further improvement likely. Recent Chepstow scorer Doyens De Ante ought to be in the thick of things again, while Mister Tickle, who finds himself 14lb below his last winning mark, cannot be ruled out.
DOCTOR FOLEY proved a different proposition sent chasing when scoring in decisive fashion at Bangor last month and, with further improvement on the cards, Anthony Honeyball's 6-y-o is likely to take some stopping in his follow up bid. Doyens de Ante looks the obvious threat having seen out the longer trip thoroughly when opening his account at Chepstow 12 days ago, with Felton Bellevue seemingly best of the remainder.
Unexposed 6yo DOCTOR FOLEY (nap) won readily when switched to fences for last month's handicap debut and probably still has potential.
(1) Modaara 0.44/1, Opened account in good style when winning 9-runner minor event at Chelmsford City (1m2f, 5/6) in October, drawing clear final 1f. Can follow up on her return with plenty more to come. Well-related filly; won easily at Chelmsford when last seen and still has scope for better.
2
2nd (6) (3.5/1 +30%) Wodhooh
3.5/1(+30%)
(6) Wodhooh 3.5/1, After 5 months off, still needed experience when fifth of 16 in maiden at Newbury (1m2f, heavy) 19 days ago, not unduly punished. Remains capable of better. The stiffer test again may help, back on a faster surface, but it needs to.
3
3rd (3) (40/1 -100%) Pop The Champagne
40/1(-100%)
(3) Pop The Champagne 40/1, Completed 4-timer in novice hurdles in 2022/23. Shaped better than result when eighth of 12 in handicap hurdle at Worcester (2m4f, good to soft, 7/1) when last seen 7 months ago. Makes Flat debut with tongue tie retained. Won four over hurdles last summer; may be one for handicaps down the line; market useful.
4
4th (5) (5/1 -50%) Polar Princess
5/1(-50%)
(5) Polar Princess 5/1, Ran to similar level as on debut (still green) when second of 4 in minor event at Wolverhampton (12.2f, 5/4) 15 days ago. Can give her running again. Half-sister to six winners; open to improvement; gets a lot of weight from Modaara.
5th
5th (2) (125/1 -213%) My Chiquita
125/1(-213%)
(2) My Chiquita 125/1, After 7 months off, matched debut form on first run since leaving Ian Williams when sixth of 7 in maiden at this course (1m3f, 22/1) 21 days ago. Needs to find more upped further in trip. Low-grade handicaps are probably in her near future; likely to find this beyond her.
6th
6th (4) (125/1 -89%) Star For A Day
125/1(-89%)
(4) Star For A Day 125/1, 22/1 and hooded, too free when seventh of 11 in bumper at Fakenham (2m, soft) on debut 30 days ago. Best watched having her first start on the level. Didn't see out 2m on her soft-ground bumper debut a month ago; do well to get involved.
LTO Selection:
18:30 Kempton Stakes (Class 5) 12f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the information provided, 0.62/1 (1) MODAARA seems like the strongest contender and could potentially win this race. The horses that may finish in 2nd and 3rd place could be 3.33/1 (5) POLAR PRINCESS and 5/1 (6) WODHOOH, respectively. However, it is important to note that horse racing is unpredictable, and these predictions are not guaranteed to be accurate.
Even though she has to shoulder a 7lb penalty following a facile success over 1m2f at Chelmsford back in October, MODAARA could be the one to side with. A full-sister to globetrotting star Benbatl, Roger Varian's four-year-old has been given a speculative entry in the Hardwicke so must be showing all the right signs at home. Polar Princess has offered encouragement at this circuit and Wolverhampton, and receives a weight-for-age allowance so has to be considered dangerous. Wodhooh heads the remainder on her return to the all-weather.
MODAARA drew clear in the style of a useful prospect when off the mark at Chelmsford in October and she can make a winning return to action with further improvement to come. Polar Princess could be the one to give the selection most to think about, with Wodhooh the pick of the remainder.
The well-related Modaara has potential but is conceding nearly two stone to POLAR PRINCESS, who's also open to improvement.
(1) Sirobbie 4/1, Scored over 25f at Huntingdon last May but he's been largely below par since, including down the field at Haydock last month. Six-time hurdle winner; below par on last two starts but down in grade and on handy mark.
2
2nd (6) (1.62/1 +35%) Royal Lake
1.62/1(+35%)
(6) Royal Lake 1.62/1, Attracted support and took advantage of a reduced mark refitted with cheekpieces in 2¾m course handicap last month. Creditable 2 lengths third of 13 over 3m at Southwell since. Should go well again. Course winner; up 2lb and again in trip; likely to need further improvement..
3
3rd (3) (3/1 -9%) Blade Runner
3/1(-9%)
(3) Blade Runner 3/1, Made it 3 from 4 over fences when landing 4-runner handicap at Plumpton (28.5f, good to soft) in November. Off 5 months, typically raced in snatches but performed respectably when third back hurdling at Warwick 6 weeks ago. Third on return to hurdles latest; drops 2lb; less testing ground a positive; contender..
4
4th (2) (4/1 -20%) Lanspark
4/1(-20%)
(2) Lanspark 4/1, Dual winner for the Tizzard stable at the beginning of 2022. Drawn a blank since but he made a solid start for his new stable when second at Huntingdon (25f) in first-time cheekpieces (retained) 24 days ago. Thereabouts with a repeat. Again plugged on for second at Huntingdon; extra furlong looks positive; player..
5th
5th (5) (12/1 +14%) Sandy Boy
12/1(+14%)
(5) Sandy Boy 12/1, Successful twice over fences in 2021 but has lost his way since, showing temperament with it. It remains to be seen whether a return to hurdles perks his interest. Well below par since returning from an absence and looks best watched..
6th
6th (7) (66/1 -32%) Itsaboutime
66/1(-32%)
(7) Itsaboutime 66/1, Caused a shock when making a winning return from lengthy absence in Exeter handicap back in spring 2021 but well beaten in just 3 outings since. Easy to look elsewhere from 6 lb out of the weights. A 13yo now and well beaten on his recent return from an absence..
LTO Selection:
18:45 Fontwell Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 26f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Based on the summary, the horses that are most likely to do well are 2.5/1 (6) ROYAL LAKE, 3.33/1 (2) LANSPARK, and 2.75/1 (3) BLADE RUNNER. 2.5/1 (6) ROYAL LAKE has won on the course before, attracted support, and performed well in a recent race. 3.33/1 (2) LANSPARK has been consistently finishing in second place and made a good start for his new stable. 2.75/1 (3) BLADE RUNNER has recently won a handicap race and performed respectably in his last hurdle race. 40/1 (7) ITSABOUTIME is unlikely to do well as he is out of the weights and has been well beaten in recent outings. 14/1 (5) SANDY BOY has also been well below par since his return from absence. 4/1 (1) SIROBBIE has been largely below par lately despite being a six-time hurdle winner.
LANSPARK finished a promising second on his stable debut for Robbie Llewellyn at Huntingdon and with improvement a distinct possibility, he could go one place better off the same mark. Blade Runner would have likely finished closer on his return from a winter break at Warwick but for making some jumping errors and he's feared most if cutting out the mistakes. Royal Lake also arrives in good heart and completes the shortlist.
ROYAL LAKE's recent Southwell third appeals as solid form and he can add to last month's course success. Lanspark made a solid start for the Robbie Llewellyn yard when second at Huntingdon and is feared most ahead of Blade Runner.
Sirobbie drops in class but BLADE RUNNER may be able to exploit his current mark.
(1) Four Adaay 1.25/1, Good second of 6 in handicap (10/3) at Windsor (5.1f, soft) 9 days ago. Has to be taken seriously. Would have made more appeal over 5f but she's 2-2 on Polytrack and in good form.
2
2nd (3) (8.5/1 -21%) Starsong
8.5/1(-21%)
(3) Starsong 8.5/1, Latest win at Chelmsford City in February. Very little went her way when sixth of 8 in handicap (9/2) at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 44 days ago. Blinkers on 1st time. Place claims. Not as good the past twice and the addition of blinkers to the usual hood needs to help.
3
3rd (2) (3.33/1 -33%) Trois Vallees
3.33/1(-33%)
(2) Trois Vallees 3.33/1, Shaped as if needing run on first outing since leaving James Tate when fourth of 5 in handicap at Yarmouth (5.2f, soft) 15 days ago. Makes polytrack debut. Respected stepped back up to 6f. Lacked the speed for 5f on her return and should do better on her Polytrack debut; player.
4
4th (7) (4/1 +20%) Tea Garden
4/1(+20%)
(7) Tea Garden 4/1, Better than result when fifth of 8 in handicap (5/2) at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 8 days ago, making ground from rear when meeting trouble repeatedly inside final 2f. Could go close here with smoother passage. Can miss the kick and will need to be much sharper running in a sprint for the first time.
5th
5th (4) (9/1 +10%) Luna Queen
9/1(+10%)
(4) Luna Queen 9/1, Latest win at Lingfield in April and respectably at Yarmouth on following outing. Below form last 2 starts though, despite market strength last time. Player if able to bounce back. Usually ridden patiently; will want a good test back down to 6f, which isn't guaranteed.
6th
6th (5) (20/1 +50%) Company Minx
20/1(+50%)
(5) Company Minx 20/1, C&D winner. Sprang back to form from out of blue to win here in April but failed to back that up when last of 7 in handicap at Chelmsford City (6f) 6 days ago. Others preferred. Not as good as she was and is wildly inconsistent; hard to know what to expect in truth.
LTO Selection:
19:00 Kempton Handicap (Class 5) 6f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the summary, 1.75/1 (1) FOUR ADAAY seems to be in good form and has a good track record on Polytrack, making her a strong contender for 1st place. 5/1 (7) TEA GARDEN also has potential if she can avoid trouble and have a smoother run, putting her in the running for 2nd or 3rd place. 2.5/1 (2) TROIS VALLEES and 10/1 (4) LUNA QUEEN could be dark horses, with 2.5/1 (2) TROIS VALLEES expected to perform better on Polytrack and 10/1 (4) LUNA QUEEN needing a good test back down to 6f. However, both of them will need to improve on their recent form to make it into the top three. 40/1 (5) COMPANY MINX and 6.5/1 (3) STARSONG seem to be less likely to do well, with inconsistency and recent poor performances, respectively.
FOUR ADAAY arrives following a close-up second over 5f at Windsor and has to be of interest on her return to the Polytrack. She is now rated 5lb below her last winning mark and, with scope to progress on an artificial surface, she can defy top weight. Connections of Starsong reach for first-time blinkers following two disappointing runs, but she is a key player based on the pick of her all-weather form. Trois Vallees can improve from her comeback fourth at Yarmouth and completes the shortlist.
FOUR ADAAY bounced back to form with the benefit of a run under her belt at Windsor last time and she appeals as the most solid option in this contest. Trois Vallees can be expected to come on for her return back at a more appropriate trip, with Tea Garden appealing as best of the rest.
The extra furlong is the worry with Four Adaay and preference is for TROIS VALLEES who's entitled to have come on for her comeback.
(7) Sir Rock 9/1, Irish point winner but he offered little on his yard/handicap debut when pulled up over 2m3f here 53 days ago. Plenty more is required. Ran poorly (albeit on heavy ground) on stable debut; tricky to weigh up at present.
2
2nd (10) (14/1 +44%) Coconut Twist
14/1(+44%)
(10) Coconut Twist 14/1, Unplaced in points and just poor form to date in this sphere, only 11th in handicap hurdle at Exeter (18.5f) 19 days ago. Hard to warm to. Worth a crack at today's trip but is 0-7 over hurdles and makes only limited appeal.
3
3rd (4) (6.5/1 +59%) Celtic Fortune
6.5/1(+59%)
(4) Celtic Fortune 6.5/1, Lightly-raced maiden who came in only ninth of 11 in handicap hurdle at Taunton 92 days ago. Others more persuasive. Unable to land a significant blow on handicap debut in February; improvement needed here.
4
4th (12) (14/1 -40%) Abbeyhill
14/1(-40%)
(12) Abbeyhill 14/1, Winning pointer but well beaten in bumper/over hurdles. It's easy to look elsewhere. No significant promise in novice hurdles but has better chance to get competitive here.
5th
5th (6) (5/1 +0%) Forest Jump
5/1(+0%)
(6) Forest Jump 5/1, Fair performer in bumpers and left previous hurdles exploits in his wake when third at Plumpton in February. This return to further rates a plus on that evidence. Shortlisted. Form of his Plumpton third in February reads well; up in trip today; good chance.
6th
6th (11) (11/1 +39%) Hesbehindyou
11/1(+39%)
(11) Hesbehindyou 11/1, Still a maiden and he came in a below form seventh of 13 in handicap hurdle at Plumpton (25f) 72 days ago. Others appeal more. Second over C&D on Boxing Day but this year's form has been underwhelming.
7th
7th (2) (2.75/1 -10%) Doyen For Money
2.75/1(-10%)
(2) Doyen For Money 2.75/1, Promising sort who got off the mark fitted with a tongue strap in 11-runner handicap hurdle at Plumpton (20.5f, soft) 17 days ago. Has more to offer. Big shout despite a 4 lb rise in the weights. Improved to win on recent handicap debut and could easily have more to offer; big player.
8th
8th (1) (11/1 -120%) Rebel Intentions
11/1(-120%)
(1) Rebel Intentions 11/1, Hinted at promise in bumpers and showed fair form over hurdles last season. Hinted at a revival when seventh at Ascot last time so not ruled out now after a wind op. Didn't see his race out after threatening last time but wind op might have helped.
|PU|
|PU| (5) (12/1 +40%) Electric Annie
12/1(+40%)
(5) Electric Annie 12/1, Dual hurdles winner for Jack Barber in 2021/22. Yet to scale same heights for present yard, though, running poorly in cheekpieces/tongue tie at Exeter latest. Switches back to hurdling after heavy defeat over fences last month; others less risky.
|PU|
|PU| (9) (14/1 -17%) Bolberry Down
14/1(-17%)
(9) Bolberry Down 14/1, Pulled up in 3 handicap hurdles but fared better on the back of breathing surgery (also first-time cheekpieces) when runner-up in handicap here 19 days ago. Needs to back it up. Pulled up in first three handicaps but, after a wind op, was second here last month.
|PU|
|PU| (8) (16/1 -78%) Doyen Queen
16/1(-78%)
(8) Doyen Queen 16/1, Dual point winner who returned from 16 months off with an encouraging fourth of 9 in novice hurdle at Warwick (19f, good to soft) 13 days ago. Needs considering. Returned from long absence with pleasing run last month; forecast rain a big plus.
|PU|
|PU| (3) (40/1 +39%) Noah's Light
40/1(+39%)
(3) Noah's Light 40/1, Lightly-raced ex-Irish winner over hurdles but litltle promise in four runs for his current yard, having breathing surgery before well-held seventh here last time. Has plenty to prove. Latest run was a step in the right direction, but he still has a lot to prove.
LTO Selection:
19:15 Fontwell Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 22f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
DOYEN FOR MONEY took a big step forward when winning on his handicap debut at Plumpton and is hard to oppose off only 4lb higher. Doyen Queen was far from disgraced in fourth on her belated return in a maiden hurdle at Warwick and she isn't taken lightly now back in the handicap ranks. Forest Jump has been shaping as if this stiffer test could unlock some potential and he also warrants consideration.
DOYEN FOR MONEY showed the benefit of a tongue tie when opening his account at Plumpton and can make light of a 4 lb weight rise in a handicap where plenty arrive with a question mark against them. Rebel Intentions took a step back in the right direction when seventh at Ascot last time and is feared most, with Forest Jump also in the mix now his stamina is drawn out more.
Preference is for FOREST JUMP, who still has low mileage and has been dropped 3lb since finishing third in a warm race in February.
(4) Clipsham Gold 1.75/1, 1 win from 2 runs this year. Latest win at Wolverhampton in March. Creditable fourth of 10 in handicap at this C&D (3/1) 21 days ago. Should go well again. Ran well off her revised mark over C&D three weeks ago and looks set to get involved again.
2
2nd (6) (5.5/1 -22%) Adela Of Champagne
5.5/1(-22%)
(6) Adela Of Champagne 5.5/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 14/1, seventh of 9 in minor event at this C&D. Off 6 months. Uphill task. LOoked quirky last year and seems to have been allotted stiff mark. Enters handicap company unexposed; still has potential and is interesting on comeback.
3
3rd (1) (3.33/1 +17%) Mogwai
3.33/1(+17%)
(1) Mogwai 3.33/1, Fair form in French minor events and a maiden in 2021 and early-2022 for P. Sogorb. Has a 15-month absence to overcome, but looks to have been allotted a fair opening mark and also has the benefit of a good-value claimer on board. Interesting. Ex-French; the market will show what new connections make of her opening mark.
4
4th (3) (4.5/1 +31%) Sid's Annie
4.5/1(+31%)
(3) Sid's Annie 4.5/1, Quirky sort. C&D winner. Latest win at Southwell in March. Last of 8 in deeper race there 36 days ago. Not discounted back in this company. Previous C&D winner; the handicapper knows where he is but she should fare better.
5th
5th (2) (6.5/1 +0%) Melody Cher
6.5/1(+0%)
(2) Melody Cher 6.5/1, Formerly trained by Sir Michael Stoute, she matched her best form for when fifth at Wolverhampton on yard debut in March but couldn't get involved after missing the break here 23 days ago. Others make more appeal for win purposes. Bit more here latest, following a slow start, and has claims going back up in trip again.
6th
6th (5) (14/1 -115%) Shalfa
14/1(-115%)
(5) Shalfa 14/1, Good third of 11 in handicap at Yarmouth (7f, good to firm, 15/2) when last. Off 8 months. First run for yard after leaving Marco Botti. Looks on fair mark if ready to roll for new yard. No headgear tonight back from a break for her new yard; has a bit to prove.
7th
7th (7) (28/1 -27%) Runner Bean
28/1(-27%)
(7) Runner Bean 28/1, Fourth of 7 in handicap at this course (6f) 35 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Improvement necessary to land a blow here. Most racing in sprints; will need to settle better if she's to stay 1m.
LTO Selection:
19:30 Kempton Handicap (Class 5) 8f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the summary, the horse that is most likely to do well and potentially win is 2.75/1 (4) CLIPSHAM GOLD, followed by 6.5/1 (5) SHALFA and 4/1 (1) MOGWAI. Therefore, the predicted order of finish would be: 1st place - 2.75/1 (4) CLIPSHAM GOLD, 2nd place - 6.5/1 (5) SHALFA, 3rd place - 4/1 (1) MOGWAI. However, as this is just a prediction based on limited information, actual race results may vary.
SID'S ANNIE failed to make an impact in a warm 0-85 contest at Southwell last time out but she drops in class and, from a workable mark, is fancied to regain the winning thread. Clipsham Gold was far from disgraced when finishing a good fourth over C&D three weeks ago. She is one to consider, as is Adela Of Champagne, who ought to be capable of better on this handicap bow.
MOGWAI showed enough ability in 4 starts in France to suggest she should be capable of competing from this sort of mark, and having joined an in-form yard, could be underestimated on her British debut. The in-form Clipsham Gold is a very solid proposition and should go well again, whilst Shalfa is also worth a market check after leaving Marco Botti.
Ex-French Mogwai is a possible but ADELA OF CHAMPAGNE showed enough last year to suggest she can feature off a workable mark.
(5) Pawpaw 4.5/1, Winning hurdler who improved for a change of headgear when opening account over fences at Hereford (20.9f) in March. Failed to stay longer trip when third at Plumpton (25.7f) latest and must enter calculations. Visor back on. Responded well to pressure when winning two starts ago but others appeal more.
2
2nd (6) (14/1 -75%) Heneryetta Bay
14/1(-75%)
(6) Heneryetta Bay 14/1, No real impact in a trio of starts over timber but won her sole start in Irish points and is worth monitoring in the market, sent handicapping on chase debut. Point winner who shaped with promise in two maiden hurdles towards end of last season.
3
3rd (2) (2.5/1 -33%) Ballybeen
2.5/1(-33%)
(2) Ballybeen 2.5/1, Modest maiden hurdler but already a better chaser, finishing runner-up on all 3 starts in this sphere, latest in 6-runner handicap at Chepstow (19.4f, good to soft) last month. Likely to go well again. Clear second to revitalised subsequent winner last month; commands respect here.
4
4th (7) (7.5/1 -7%) Alberic
7.5/1(-7%)
(7) Alberic 7.5/1, Scored over hurdles and fences in early 2022 but not been in same form since. Offered a little more when fourth of 6 at this course (19.5f, good to firm) latest but percentage call is to look elsewhere. Seemed to have emerged from a spell of very poor form when fourth here last month.
5th
5th (3) (50/1 -127%) Big 'n Better
50/1(-127%)
(3) Big 'n Better 50/1, Improved on his fair hurdles form as he made a winning debut in this discipline over C&D when last seen in May 2021. Could have more to offer in this sphere if all is well. Made all over C&D on chasing debut in May 2021 but not seen again since.
|F|
|F| (4) (4.5/1 -13%) I Giorni
4.5/1(-13%)
(4) I Giorni 4.5/1, Point winner who got off the mark over hurdles at Hereford (16.2f) in March and backed that up with solid second of 10 in handicap at same course (19.7f, good to soft) 34 days ago. Big player on chase debut. Won on handicap hurdle debut in March and looks interesting on today's chasing debut.
|PU|
|PU| (8) (8/1 +68%) An Marcach
8/1(+68%)
(8) An Marcach 8/1, One win from 36 NH runs. Yet to score for current yard and makes limited appeal back from 3 months off here. Has very modest strike-rate and was out of form when last seen in the winter.
|PU|
|PU| (1) (8.5/1 +39%) Twenty Twenty
8.5/1(+39%)
(1) Twenty Twenty 8.5/1, Won 3-runner Kempton handicap (24f) in spring of last year and ran to similar level when placed over same C&D the following month. However, hampered and fell at first fence on recent return from year off and this run should reveal more. Missed almost all of last season and fell at first fence on recent reappearance.
|PU|
|PU| (9) (12/1 +0%) Oscar Asche
12/1(+0%)
(9) Oscar Asche 12/1, Fair hurdler for Rebecca Curtis but record was a patchy one and has offered little in 3 outings for new yard following a lengthy absence, including back over the larger obstacles here last month. 2 lb out of the handicap. Soundly beaten on all three starts since returning from long absence this year.
LTO Selection:
19:45 Fontwell Handicap Chase (Class 5) 22f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the summary provided, the horse that is predicted to do well and is likely to finish in the top three is 1.88/1 (2) BALLYBEEN, who has already shown promising performances in the chasing sphere. The second and third place horses cannot be accurately predicted based on the information provided.
Twenty Twenty came to grief at the first on his comeback at Kempton last week, but there will be plenty who keep the faith, especially considering he has dropped to his last winning mark. Even so, BALLYBEEN has been knocking on the door of late and finished a decent second behind Sainte Doctor at Chepstow last month. Now eased in class, he gets the nod to take full advantage. Pawpaw also warrants a market check.
Irish point winner I GIORNI has been in good form over timber and looks fairly treated on her chasing bow. She is taken to score. Pawpaw and Ballybeen rate the principal dangers.
After running commendably well in defeat in his first three chases, BALLYBEEN is taken to get a much deserved win on the board.
(1) Lir Speciale 2.5/1, Made it 3 wins from his last 5 starts when successful in 13-runner handicap at this C&D (7/2) in October, improving further for the step up in trip. Respected on his return from 7 months off. Had rivals well strung out when closing 2022 with C&D win; is open to further improvement.
2
2nd (6) (4.5/1 -29%) Satin Snake
4.5/1(-29%)
(6) Satin Snake 4.5/1, Three-time C&D winner, with his latest success here in February. 17/2, ran well under change of tactics when second of 8 in handicap at this C&D 7 days ago, collared post. Can give another good account. Record over C&D stands at 312112 following last Wednesday's near-miss; should go well.
3
3rd (5) (33/1 -50%) Soar Above
33/1(-50%)
(5) Soar Above 33/1, Three-time C&D winner. Unproven on the ground when well-beaten third of 4 in handicap at Leicester (7f, heavy, 40/1) 26 days ago. Others still more persuasive. Eight-time course winner who hasn't achieved much in two runs back from a break.
4
4th (2) (0.8/1 +54%) Hickory
0.8/1(+54%)
(2) Hickory 0.8/1, Successful at this C&D on both starts last year. 5/4, not seen to best effect when fourth of 11 in handicap at Southwell (7.1f) 76 days ago, not ideally placed. Can get back to winning ways. Things didn't pan out his way latest; yard has been banging in the winners; shortlisted.
5th
5th (4) (28/1 -40%) American Star
28/1(-40%)
(4) American Star 28/1, Below form at this course on both starts so far this year, fifth of 6 in handicap over C&D (80/1) 35 days ago. Blinkers on 1st time, but has something to prove at present. Headgear will need to make a difference; may need more help from the handicapper.
6th
6th (3) (40/1 -371%) Cry Havoc
40/1(-371%)
(3) Cry Havoc 40/1, Course winner. Bidding for a hat-trick, ran below form when sixth of 8 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f, 15/2) in November. Could get back on track after a break. Not much wiggle room off this mark following a couple of wins last autumn.
LTO Selection:
20:00 Kempton Handicap (Class 3) 7f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
Based on the summary, the horses that are most likely to perform well and finish in the top three are: 1. 3.5/1 (6) SATIN SNAKE 2. 1.75/1 (2) HICKORY 3. 1.63/1 (1) LIR SPECIALE
HICKORY relinquished his unbeaten record at Southwell in February, but he lost nothing in defeat and the lightly-raced son of Free Eagle is fancied to resume his progress following a short break. Lir Speciale appeared to relish a step up in trip when winning over C&D and he merits respect on his return to action as a first-time gelding. Soar Above can also make his presence felt from a declining handicap mark.
HICKORY remains lightly raced for his age, winning at this C&D on both of his 2 starts in 2022, and he remains with potential having not been ideally placed at Southwell last time. The 5-y-o can get the better of Lir Speciale who ended last year with success at this C&D, while Satin Snake can also give another good account.
Two potential improvers in Lir Speciale and HICKORY (nap), the vote going to the latter who didn't have things fall his way latest.
(4) Mays Hill 3.5/1, Made an encouraging start to her career when third in an AW bumper at Lingfield just before Christmas but failed to build on it when only seventh (Stuti and Bethpage both ahead of her) at Newbury since. Might well bounce back after a short break. Found Newbury bumper too hot last time but was placed at Lingfield on debut; a player here.
2
2nd (1) (6/1 -9%) Bluella Bresil
6/1(-9%)
(1) Bluella Bresil 6/1, Blue Bresil mare. Dam (c118/h96) 19f-21f chase winner. Stable has a solid record in this sphere, so worthy of interest if the market speaks in her favour. First foal from a fair Flat/chase winner; stable does pretty well in bumpers.
3
3rd (7) (5.5/1 +73%) Whispering Gold
5.5/1(+73%)
(7) Whispering Gold 5.5/1, Just modest form to date, so will need to up her game if she's to be involved in the finish. Showed some promise on debut and will find this easier than her last two assignments.
4
4th (10) (2.75/1 +80%) Silent Auction
2.75/1(+80%)
(10) Silent Auction 2.75/1, Out of a bumper winner but only offered a glimmer of ability when twelfth of 19 at Newbury first time out. Unlikely to feature. Well beaten in valuable Newbury race on debut but trainer has very good bumper record.
5th
5th (5) (11/1 -100%) Sassy Miss Margot
11/1(-100%)
(5) Sassy Miss Margot 11/1, £3,000 4-y-o, Schiaparelli mare. Dam winning pointer. Noteworthy newcomer and well worth monitoring in the betting. Pedigree doesn't leap of the page but stable has excellent 25% bumper strike-rate.
6th
6th (9) (6.5/1 +46%) Lucky Punch
6.5/1(+46%)
(9) Lucky Punch 6.5/1, Yorgunnabelucky filly. Dam (h110) 2m-25f hurdle winner. Third sole start in point bumpers (Apr 1). One to consider. Stayed on for third in a point bumper last month; probably faces tougher task here.
7th
7th (2) (8.5/1 -240%) Callin Baton Rouge
8.5/1(-240%)
(2) Callin Baton Rouge 8.5/1, £30,000 5-y-o, Westerner mare. Dam unraced. Runner-up sole start in Irish points (Feb 5). Makes plenty of appeal on Rules debut. Bought for £30,000 after going close on Irish point debut in February; likely contender.
8th
8th (3) (16/1 +43%) Jalisco Star
16/1(+43%)
(3) Jalisco Star 16/1, Placed both starts in Irish points but didn't show enough at Plumpton on Rules debut to make her of serious interest in this. Placed in two Irish points in the winter but made low-key bumper debut last month.
9th
9th (6) (80/1 -60%) Westmill
80/1(-60%)
(6) Westmill 80/1, Westerner mare. Half-sister to 3¼m chase winner Ballintara. Likely to need more time and distance, so others make more appeal. Sister to a point winner; probably best watched on debut.
|PU|
|PU| (8) (66/1 +34%) Elecktra
66/1(+34%)
(8) Elecktra 66/1, Limited encouragement in two outings to date and faces an uphill task back from 5 months off. Well down the field on her two starts in November.
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the summary, the horses that have the best chance of finishing in the top three are 5.5/1 (1) BLUELLA BRESIL, 2.5/1 (2) CALLIN BATON ROUGE, and 2.5/1 (4) MAYS HILL. 5.5/1 (1) BLUELLA BRESIL has a solid record and could do well if the market speaks in her favor. Similarly, 2.5/1 (2) CALLIN BATON ROUGE is a likely contender with a strong performance on Irish point debut. 2.5/1 (4) MAYS HILL has also shown promise, with an encouraging start to her career and a possible rebound after a short break. 12/1 (9) LUCKY PUNCH is worth considering as well, having placed third in a recent point bumper.
Only narrowly denied in a point-to-point in February, CALLIN BATON ROUGE has since changed hands for 30,000 pounds and can make both a winning stable and Rules bow for Warren Greatrex here. Sassy Miss Margot should come into her own over further and when faced with an obstacle, but is an interesting newcomer for Milton Harris. Lucky Punch, third between the flags last month, can also get involved.
CALLIN BATON ROUGE was second on her only start between the flags and this looks a good opportunity for her to make a successful switch to Rules. Mays Hill is the clear pick of those with experience in this discipline and she ranks as the main threat ahead of Bluella Bresil.
Nothing really stands out but MAYS HILL was not disgraced at Newbury on her second start and can hopefully build upon her debut third.
(4) Vasilissa 1.62/1, C&D winner. Winner here in April. 4/1, seventh of 15 in handicap at Doncaster (7f, heavy) 12 days ago, not knocked about having stumbled. That run easy to ignore so she's expected to be bang there. Latest turf effort can be ignored (clipped heels 2f out); should do much better.
2
2nd (13) (14/1 -40%) No News
14/1(-40%)
(13) No News 14/1, Respectable third of 7 in handicap (11/2) at Yarmouth (6f, heavy) 25 days ago. Limit now looks established. Plenty of chances for Richard Hughes and current yard; some way down the pecking order.
3
3rd (1) (7.5/1 -67%) Fayasel
7.5/1(-67%)
(1) Fayasel 7.5/1, Winner at Wolverhampton in March. 16/1, creditable fourth of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 35 days ago. Can give another good account for all stall 14 could be an issue. Better since upped to this trip; stall 14 may mean he has to drop in again.
4
4th (7) (16/1 -45%) Captain Wentworth
16/1(-45%)
(7) Captain Wentworth 16/1, 9/1, eleventh of 12 in handicap at Doncaster (6f, soft) 11 days ago. Soft ground perhaps an excuse and he's back on the AW. Soft ground may have been behind his latest effort; will need the breaks from stall 12.
5th
5th (8) (12/1 +14%) More Than A Grey
12/1(+14%)
(8) More Than A Grey 12/1, 11/1 and cheekpieces on for first time, ninth of 12 in handicap at Doncaster (6f, soft) 11 days ago. Better expected returned to the AW. Hasn't gone on; tongue-tie comes off for this first venture beyond sprint distances.
6th
6th (10) (7.5/1 +53%) Freetodream
7.5/1(+53%)
(10) Freetodream 7.5/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Cheekpieces on for first time, eighth of 11 in nursery at Newbury (7f, good, 50/1). Off 8 months. Must improve. Well held in four runs last summer; has since been gelded and needs marked improvement.
7th
7th (6) (12/1 +0%) Twilight Dancer
12/1(+0%)
(6) Twilight Dancer 12/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Sixth of 8 in handicap (11/2) at Southwell (6.1f) 36 days ago. Not taken lightly on efforts prior to that. Below par on her handicap debut a month ago and needs to find a deal more back up to 7f.
8th
8th (12) (66/1 -100%) Musterion
66/1(-100%)
(12) Musterion 66/1, Below form sixth of 10 in minor event at this course (6f, 100/1) 23 days ago. Makes handicap debut. Needs to bounce back but still worth a market check. Yard also saddle Captain Wentworth; the market will be the best guide.
9th
9th (5) (40/1 -150%) Havechatma
40/1(-150%)
(5) Havechatma 40/1, Respectable fifth of 10 in minor event at Chelmsford City (7f, 20/1). Off 6 months. Missed the break a few times and didn't progress last backend; needs to have improved.
10th
10th (9) (8/1 -33%) King Kraken
8/1(-33%)
(9) King Kraken 8/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 80/1, last of 8 in minor event at Newmarket (7f, good). Off 10 months and handicaps more suitable. Big prices, well held in three runs last summer; this is more realistic; watch the market.
11th
11th (3) (28/1 -75%) Nibras Rainbow
28/1(-75%)
(3) Nibras Rainbow 28/1, Eleventh of 15 in handicap (16/1) at Doncaster (7f, heavy) 12 days ago. Visor back on. Hasn't always looked the easiest and has run poorly in her two starts back.
12th
12th (2) (5.5/1 +8%) Gwendolina
5.5/1(+8%)
(2) Gwendolina 5.5/1, Winner at Lingfield in January. Good third of 8 in handicap (9/2) at this course (8f) 23 days ago. Pulled quite hard on that occasion so return to 7f could suit. Better with each start and high on the shortlist back down from 1m.
13th
13th (11) (66/1 -230%) Earthy Mangold
66/1(-230%)
(11) Earthy Mangold 66/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 66/1, twelfth of 13 in minor event at Wolverhampton (6.1f), slowly away. Off 6 months. First run for yard after leaving Joseph Parr. Hood on first time. Makes handicap debut. Worth a market check going in a first-time hood for her new yard.
LTO Selection:
20:30 Kempton Handicap (Class 6) 7f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
It is difficult to predict with certainty which horse will do well based on this summary. However, some horses that may have a chance of finishing in the top three are 25/1 (14) REGAL GLORY (winner at Lingfield in December), 6/1 (2) GWENDOLINA (winner at Lingfield in January, good third in handicap at this course 23 days ago), and 5/1 (4) VASILISSA (C&D winner, winner here in April, seventh of 15 in handicap at Doncaster 12 days ago but not knocked about having stumbled).
GWENDOLINA was possibly a little too keen when she was run out of things over 1m here last month and may be able to atone for that near-miss now she drops back a furlong. Clive Cox's filly runs off the same mark and having won over the trip at Lingfield on her penultimate start, she has a lot going for her. C&D winner Vasilissa is respected back on a synthetic surface and rates chief among the opposition, although Captain Wentworth also enters calculations.
This has an open feel to it but VASILISSA had an obvious excuse at Doncaster 12 days ago and, now back at the scene of her sole success, she looks to have a few things in her favour from a handy stall. Fayasel hasn't fared as well in the draw department so Gwendolina is feared most.
Vasilissa is respected but GWENDOLINA just shades it, with the drop back from 1m in her favour.
(2) Donald Llewellyn 3.5/1, Has won twice here from 4 runs this year, successful over C&D in April. Evens, disappointing when 11¾ lengths sixth of 7 to Anisoptera in handicap again at this C&D 21 days ago. Bounce back called for. Maybe he found the rise in the weights beyond him latest but capable of much better.
2
2nd (1) (1.62/1 +64%) Anisoptera
1.62/1(+64%)
(1) Anisoptera 1.62/1, Three-time C&D winner, including on her penultimate outing. Having a rare run on turf, seemed unsuited by conditions when eighth of 11 in handicap at Goodwood (2m, heavy, 20/1) 4 days ago. Can get back on track. Happier back here, having sunk in the mud at Goodwood over the weekend; is one to consider.
3
3rd (5) (7.5/1 +17%) Tying The Knot
7.5/1(+17%)
(5) Tying The Knot 7.5/1, Fit from hurdling and with cheekpieces on for 1st time, not discredited when 6¾ lengths sixth of 13 to Devizes in handicap (28/1) at this course (1m4f) 28 days ago. Improvement required up in trip. Well held back on the Flat behind Devizes here a month ago; is 8lb better off tonight.
4
4th (3) (6/1 +0%) Social City
6/1(+0%)
(3) Social City 6/1, Fifteen runs since last win in 2020 but has finished in the frame on his last 3 starts, 6¾ lengths third of 7 to Anisoptera in handicap at this C&D (11/2) 21 days ago. Can give his running again. On a long losing run and isn't as good now but arrives in fair form; holds claims.
5th
5th (8) (4.5/1 +55%) Iconic Mover
4.5/1(+55%)
(8) Iconic Mover 4.5/1, After 7 months off, creditable third of 10 in handicap at Brighton (11.9f, good, 12/1) 8 days ago. Shortlisted with return to this longer distance to suit. Ran well on his comeback but is a longstanding maiden; Devizes looks his yard's best shout.
6th
6th (6) (25/1 -25%) Soldier In Action
25/1(-25%)
(6) Soldier In Action 25/1, One-time smart handicapper (C&D winner) but little form in recent years, 10½ lengths fifth of 7 to Anisoptera in handicap at this C&D (33/1) 21 days ago. Pulled hard and hung left when behind three of tonight's rivals over C&D three weeks ago.
7th
7th (7) (14/1 -40%) Young Endless
14/1(-40%)
(7) Young Endless 14/1, After 9 months off, cheekpieces on for 1st time, failed to improve when tenth of 11 on handicap debut (7/2) at Wolverhampton (16.6f) 15 days ago. Others preferred. Came in for support on his handicap debut recently; has some potential still.
LTO Selection:
21:00 Kempton Handicap (Class 6) 16f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
1st - 3/1 (4) DEVIZES 2nd - 4.5/1 (1) ANISOPTERA 3rd - 6/1 (3) SOCIAL CITY
Donald Llewellyn and Social City have sound claims, while Iconic Mover is interesting from the foot of the handicap but he is 0-17 in all races so far, which has to be a concern. This might be best left to previous C&D winner ANISOPTERA, who is taken to be seen in a much better light back on the all-weather after finishing down the field in testing conditions at Goodwood on Saturday.
After 14 months off, DEVIZES looked at least as good as ever when successful here last month and he can score again back up in trip if taking up this engagement. The main danger could be three-time C&D winner Anisoptera, who can quickly get back on track having seemed unsuited by testing conditions on her latest outing. Iconic Mover completes the shortlist.
Anisoptera should be happier back on Polytrack, but the well-related YOUNG ENDLESS is given another chance.
Racecard Key
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Meaning
TomForm top stats, gold rated
TomForm top stats silver rated
Ran similar race before
S
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T
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At the races top pick
Top rated for thet statistic
How to use Tomform
Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.
This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.
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