1 Sunday 3rd December 2023 UK Horse Racing Speed Ratings & Tips

Tomform Sunday 3rd December 2023

There were 27 Races on Sunday 3rd December 2023 across 4 meetings. There was 7 races at Southwell, 8 races at Fairyhouse, 6 races at Carlisle, 6 races at Leicester, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.

Races & Results Sunday 3rd December 2023

The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.

11:55 Fairyhouse Handicap Chase 20f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
1	1 1st (1) (2/1 +20%) Brides Hill	2 2/1(+20%)	(1) Brides Hill 2/1, Didn't need to be at best when winning 6-runner novice chase at Listowel (20f, soft, 2/1) 74 days ago by 8 lengths from Time To Rocco, cruising clear. Makes handicap chase debut. Considered for last year's winning yard. Listed winner and impressive at Listowel; sets a very good standard and is the one to beat.
2	4 2nd (4) (11/2 -57%) Queen Jane	5.5 11/2(-57%)	(4) Queen Jane 11/2, Promising individual. Won Clonmel maiden and Limerick handicap on first 2 chase starts. Upsides when fell last in handicap chase at Punchestown (21f, good to soft) in April. Remains capable of better and leading claims on reappearance. Improving mare last season; very much respected if fit enough to do herself justice.
3	3 3rd (3) (17/2 -6%) Must Be Obeyed	8.5 17/2(-6%)	(3) Must Be Obeyed 17/2, Course winner. Latest win in chase here in January. Respectable fourth of 12 in handicap chase at Punchestown (24f, good to soft, 8/1). Off 7 months. Not seen since the Punchestown festival; best watched here over a trip on the short side.
4	6 4th (6) (6/1 +40%) Time To Rocco	6 6/1(+40%)	(6) Time To Rocco 6/1, 19½ lengths third of 4 to Minella Crooner in listed chase at Wexford (23f, heavy, 25/1) 16 days ago. Makes handicap chase debut. Well held of late; probably well handicapped on her best form but needs to bounce back.
5th	8 5th (8) (7/1 -133%) Bonnie Kellie	7 7/1(-133%)	(8) Bonnie Kellie 7/1, Career best when winning 9-runner handicap chase (10/3) at Clonmel (20.7f, heavy) 38 days ago, driven out. More will be needed up 9 lb but she still merits respect. Needs things to go her way and prone to the odd bad mistake; has the ability for all that.
6th	7 6th (7) (13/2 +35%) Optional Mix	6.5 13/2(+35%)	(7) Optional Mix 13/2, Good second of 16 in handicap hurdle (12/1) at Killarney (20f, good). Off 6 months. Switches from hurdles to chase. Touched off in a Killarney handicap hurdle in May; has run well fresh before;not dismissed.
2	2 \|PU\| (2) (8/1 +0%) Hurricane Georgie	8 8/1(+0%)	(2) Hurricane Georgie 8/1, Thirteen runs since last win in 2022. Pulled up in minor event chase at Clonmel (18.3f, heavy, 4/1) 38 days ago. Stable in flying form but others are still preferred. Fine second to Minella Indo at Punchestown before a very poor effort on heavy at Clonmel.
5	5 \|PU\| (5) (18/1 +10%) Sit Down Lucy	18 18/1(+10%)	(5) Sit Down Lucy 18/1, 50/1, seventh of 11 in handicap hurdle at Down Royal (16.9f, soft) 22 days ago. Switches from hurdles to chase. Something to find on form. Slightly improved effort over hurdles at Down Royal; others come here in better form.

LTO Selection:

QUEEN JANE may be able to score here on her return to action. The Mahler mare was progressive last season, winning her first two chase starts before falling at Punchestown when coming to fight out the finish in another competitive mares' handicap. She is just 1lb higher now and looks capable of further improvement. It was a dramatic race at Punchestown in April with Bonnie Kellie also crashing out at the final fence, leaving Indie Belle to pick up the pieces. Sam Curling's charge has already visited the winner's enclosure this season, scoring at Clonmel in October. She is 9lb worse off with Queen Jane now. Brides Hill tops the weights and was an easy winner in novice company at Listowel. She is another who has to be on the shortlist.

QUEEN JANE might be unbeaten over fences but for a last-fence fall at Punchestown in April and can make a successful return to action. Gavin Cromwell won this race last year and his Brides Hill, a winner on her Listowel reappearance in September, is feared most ahead of Bonnie Kellie.

It is hard to get away from BRIDES HILL(nap), a Listed winner last season and perhaps better than ever when bolting up at Listowel

11:55 Fairyhouse Handicap Chase 20f PREDICTION SIMULATION

12:10 Southwell Stakes (Class 4) 16f - 5 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
6	6 (6) (7/5 -9%) The Happy Chapati	1.4 7/5(-9%)	(6) The Happy Chapati 7/5, Champs Elysees gelding. Half-brother to 3 winners, including smart bumper winner/top-class hurdler The New One. Very interesting newcomer. £78,000 3yo from the same family as high-class hurdler The New One.
4	4 (4) (11/4 +17%) Matchadam	2.75 11/4(+17%)	(4) Matchadam 11/4, Picked up for £50,000 after getting on top close home in his sole point last November. 8/1 and tongue tied, showed promise when fourth of 13 in a Hereford bumper on Rules debut 6 weeks ago. Wasn't far away with a tongue-tie fitted at Hereford and that form has substance.
1	1 (1) (11/4 -22%) Caher Roes Den	2.75 11/4(-22%)	(1) Caher Roes Den 11/4, Bought for £110,000 after winning an Irish point in April. Market confidence would look highly significant for a stable which won a listed bumper at Cheltenham last month. Bought for £110,000 after winning a 16-runner Irish point; interesting.
5	5 (5) (12/1 -50%) Strong As Steel	12 12/1(-50%)	(5) Strong As Steel 12/1, Phoenix Reach colt. Brother to bumper winner/fair hurdler Samson's Reach. Newcomer from a stable with a healthy 11-48 record in bumpers in the last 5 seasons. Brother to bumper and 2m3f/2m5f hurdle winner Samson's Reach; yard does well in bumpers.
3	3 (3) (16/1 -14%) Galway Reel	16 16/1(-14%)	(3) Galway Reel 16/1, Highland Reel gelding. Half-brother to numerous winners, including high-class hurdler/useful chaser Wicklow Brave. Makes paper appeal. Half-brother to seven winners notably high-class dual-purpose performer Wicklow Brave.

LTO Selection:

Point-to-point winner Matchadam made an encouraging start to his career under Rules when fourth at Hereford, while Caher Roes Den also struck between the flags and joined the Brookhouse team for 110,000 pounds after that success back in the spring. THE HAPPY CHAPATI doesn't have the advantage of previous competitive action, but he is a 78,000-pounds half-brother to former top-class hurdler The New One so is worth chancing on debut.

An interesting opener despite the lack of numbers. The suggestion is The New One's half-brother THE HAPPY CHAPATI, although a strong market move for Ben Brookhouse point recruit Caher Roes Den would put a slightly different slant on things given that the yard has the smart Brechin Castle to compare him to. Matchadam brings some fair form to the table courtesy of his Hereford fourth.

The Happy Chapati is of obvious interest but preference is for CAHER ROES DEN, whose yard has some good bumper horses.

12:10 Southwell Stakes (Class 4) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

12:25 Fairyhouse Conditions Hurdle 16f - 10 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
7	7 (7) (6/1 +63%) Ose Partir	6 6/1(+63%)	(7) Ose Partir 6/1, 5/1 and hooded, shaped well on first run since leaving J. Boisnard when 1¼ lengths second of 10 to Kaleosun in juvenile at Galway (16.4f, heavy) on hurdling debut just over 5 weeks ago, closing all way to line under hands-and-heels riding. Seems sure to progress. Tenderly ridden second at Galway; good chance of turning the tables and getting involved.
1	1 (1) (7/4 +47%) Batman Girac	1.75 7/4(+47%)	(1) Batman Girac 7/4, Improved from debut when won 9-runner 3-y-o event at Compiegne (by 3 lengths from Kart de Thaix, driven out after leading approaching 2 out), back in April. Has since left E. Grall (€150,000) and looks sure to improve further having joined a top yard. Hooded for his Irish debut and likely to be a factor here for the champion duo.
10	10 (10) (11/2 -65%) Nara	5.5 11/2(-65%)	(10) Nara 11/2, Fairly useful form when winning listed newcomers race at Auteuil (by 8 lengths from Koko Star, asserting run-in) on hurdling debut back in April. Has since left Mme P. Butel & J-L. Beaunez and she's open to any amount of improvement. Impressive winner of a Listed fillies hurdle at Auteuil in April; could well be anything.
9	9 (9) (11/4 -46%) Kala Conti	2.75 11/4(-46%)	(9) Kala Conti 11/4, Made a winning start to her career in a hurdle at Compiegne back in May and completed a simple task on return/yard debut at Navan in 3-runner juvenile hurdle at Navan (16f, heavy) 2 weeks ago. Remains open to improvement, so she's high on the shortlist. Won a three-runner race at Navan last month in a common canter; very promising recruit.
4	4 (4) (16/1 -14%) Kaleosun	16 16/1(-14%)	(4) Kaleosun 16/1, Bumper winner in France who showed the benefit of his hurdling debut when winning 10-runner juvenile hurdle at Galway (16.4f, heavy, 5/2) just over 5 weeks ago by 1¼ lengths from Ose Partir, always holding on. Will need to improve further to take this. Should run his race, although he will do well to confirm Galway placings with Ose Partir.
2	2 (2) (16/1 +36%) Eagle Fang	16 16/1(+36%)	(2) Eagle Fang 16/1, Once raced on the Flat for Keith Dalgleish and has made a promising start over hurdles, finishing runner-up twice in juvenile events in recent weeks. Step forward required if he's to feature in this, however. Runner-up twice; worth a try in a race like this but far more needed to be a factor.
6	6 (6) (17/2 -70%) Nurburgring	8.5 17/2(-70%)	(6) Nurburgring 17/2, Useful winner at 13f on Flat. Made a winning debut in this sphere at Killarney before second of 6 in juvenile hurdle at Listowel (16f, good to soft, 8/15) 11 weeks ago (first past the post but subsequently disqualified). Can improve further. First home in both starts;could easily be more to come from him; gelded since his last run.
3	3 (3) (100/1 -525%) Hamsiyann	100 100/1(-525%)	(3) Hamsiyann 100/1, Fairly useful on Flat in France, won twice in 2023. Left Jean-Claude Rouget €250,000 in July (and gelded), so worth a second look in the betting for all this looks a tough task on hurdling debut. Clearly an interesting newcomer although chances are he will improve for this.
8	8 (8) (200/1 -100%) Superbolt	200 200/1(-100%)	(8) Superbolt 200/1, Considerately handled in maiden sole start on Flat for Joseph Patrick O'Brien. This is a stiff task on his first start over hurdles. Showed some promise in a Navan Flat maiden in October; looks to have too much to do here.
5	5 (5) (250/1 -279%) Navy Beach	250 250/1(-279%)	(5) Navy Beach 250/1, Modest maiden on Flat, stays 1¼m. Tongue tie reapplied but he looks well out of his depth on hurdling debut. Ordinary handicapper on the Flat and very much up against it on his hurdles debut.

LTO Selection:

Willie Mullins picked out BATMAN GIRAC as a potential Triumph Hurdle challenger in a recent stable tour and it looks significant that he turns out here in the same race the stable won last year with Lossiemouth. The Bathyrhon gelding was a cosy winner on his second outing over hurdles in his native France and was snapped up for 150,000 euros at the sales the following month. Gordon Elliott runs two and jockey bookings would suggest that Kala Conti is the stable first choice. The Karaktar filly won easily on her Irish debut at Navan and although it probably wasn't the strongest contest, she couldn't have done it much more impressively. Nara is another intriguing runner on her first outing for Henry de Bromhead. The Jeu St Eloi filly won a Listed hurdle on her debut at Auteuil in April.

A competitive field with stacks of potential on show and it may pay to side with NARA, who bolted up in a listed newcomers event at Auteuil back in April and is open to any amount of improvement having joined leading connections. Batman Girac was snapped up for €150,000 at the sales following a cosy success at Compiegne 7 months ago so he heads up the dangers, with the unbeaten Kala Conti and Nurburgring another couple worth keeping a very close eye on.

Preference is for KALA CONTI who had a simple task at Navan last month but did it in a half-speed and looks very promising

12:25 Fairyhouse Conditions Hurdle 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

12:35 Carlisle Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 17f - 2 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	1 (1) (9/2 +25%) Russian Virtue		4.5 9/2(+25%)																															(1) Russian Virtue 9/2, Has thrived for this yard, gaining a seventh win since December (5 hurdle, 2 Flat) when seeing off 11 rivals here (2m1f) in October. Runner-up has gone in since so he's a big player. Also engaged 2.20 Southwell. Narrow winner here in October and now 5-13 over hurdles; respected.
4	4 (4) (15/8 +77%) Jipekaa Machin		1.875 15/8(+77%)																															(4) Jipekaa Machin 15/8, A fair 2m hurdles winner who went without his usual headgear when a fading sixth of 12 in 2m4f Sedgefield handicap on his return. Can take a step forward. Drops back in trip after satisfactory seasonal debut; a possible.

LTO Selection:

CITY DERBY was runner-up over 2m4f at Perth in September and Lizzie Quinlan's charge holds leading claims if coping with this drop in trip. Jipekaa Machin is entitled to build on his reappearance at Sedgefield in October and is also likely to be in the shake-up, while Poppy Rose warrants respect after posting a respectable third in a 22-runner contest at Navan last month.

RUSSIAN VIRTUE hasn't looked back since joining Rebecca Menzies and is fancied to rack up win number 8 for the yard with the form of his latest course success having been franked. Irish challenger Poppy Rose rates the chief threat on the back of her good recent Navan third, with the consistent City Derby and last year's victor Applaus also in the mix in an open handicap.

Joker Du Chenet looks interesting but his stablemate POPPY ROSE gets the vote after her creditable third in a big field at Navan.

12:35 Carlisle Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 17f PREDICTION SIMULATION

12:40 Southwell Maiden (Class 4) 16f - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	1 (1) (Evens +0%) By The Grace	0 Evens(+0%)	(1) By The Grace Evens, Second in a course bumper on turf on her debut in May and ran to a similar level when third (Dropitlikeitshot 5 lengths back in fourth) on Lingfield's AW 6 months later. Probably the one to beat for top stable. Placed on both starts and a likely contender again here.
9	9 (9) (10/3 -11%) The Secret Pearl	3.333333 10/3(-11%)	(9) The Secret Pearl 10/3, Runner-up on her final start in Irish points and made a solid start to her Rules career when 8 lengths second of 16 at Warwick 25 days ago. Bold show likely. Made pleasing start to rules career when second of 16 at Warwick last month; good chance.
8	8 (8) (11/1 -22%) Storm Spirit	11 11/1(-22%)	(8) Storm Spirit 11/1, Went down by only a neck on her Newcastle debut in February. Disappointed at Wetherby 5 weeks later but unlikely to be far away if recapturing the debut form on her return from an 8-month break. Not seen since poor turf run in March but went close on Tapeta debut in February.
3	3 (3) (15/2 -7%) Dropitlikeitshot	7.5 15/2(-7%)	(3) Dropitlikeitshot 15/2, Pour Moir filly who is stoutly bred so it's encouraging that she could muster the speed to finish fourth of 14 in an AW bumper at Lingfield last month. This stiffer course should suit but she has 5 lengths to make up on By The Grace from Lingfield. Behind By The Grace but still made promising debut when fourth at Lingfield.
6	6 (6) (16/1 -146%) Sans Choix	16 16/1(-146%)	(6) Sans Choix 16/1, Half-sister to yard's smart Lookaway but she's only hinted at ability in a pair of Huntingdon bumpers 9 months apart. Early days, though. Not beaten far at Huntingdon in October but the form may not be reliable.
5	5 (5) (16/1 +52%) Karman Line	16 16/1(+52%)	(5) Karman Line 16/1, 22/1, well-held sixth of 8 in bumper at Fakenham on debut 3 weeks ago. Probably booked for another struggle. Well beaten at Fakenham three weeks ago and needs to take a big step forward.
7	7 (7) (20/1 -43%) Serve Your Soul	20 20/1(-43%)	(7) Serve Your Soul 20/1, Kayf Tara mare. Closely related to fair hurdler Teescomponentstrig and half-sister to fair hurdler/chaser Fenland Tiger. Dropitlikeitshot likely the stable first string unless the betting hints otherwise. Closely related to a fair 3m hurdle winner; seemingly the yard's second string.
4	4 (4) (33/1 +18%) Elyssia	33 33/1(+18%)	(4) Elyssia 33/1, 125/1, behind a couple of these when eighth of 14 in AW bumper at Lingfield on debut 19 days ago. Will need to take a big step forward. Not disgraced when midfield on debut but never looked dangerous.
2	2 (2) (100/1 +0%) Curvatious	100 100/1(+0%)	(2) Curvatious 100/1, 80/1, last of 10 on her Market Rasen debut only 10 days ago. Beaten out of sight when 80-1 for recent debut at Market Rasen.

LTO Selection:

BY THE GRACE will have given connections plenty of encouragement with her second on debut on the turf track here back in May, and confirmed that promise when again making the frame on her Lingfield return. That proved her ability to handle an artificial surface and she is taken to break through. Storm Spirit is also adept on the all-weather because she was only just denied on her Newcastle introduction prior to a less inspiring Wetherby effort. The Secret Pearl's Warwick second entitles her to lots of respect too.

This looks a decent chance for BY THE GRACE to get off the mark at the third time of asking. Warwick runner-up The Secret Pearl is feared most ahead of Dropitlikeitshot, who was 5 lengths behind the selection when fourth on her Lingfield debut.

The pick is STORM SPIRIT, who disappointed on turf in March but made a promising debut on this surface at Newcastle in February.

12:40 Southwell Maiden (Class 4) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

12:45 Leicester Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 16f - 5 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
4	4 (4) (3/1 -33%) Walk The Moon	3 3/1(-33%)	(4) Walk The Moon 3/1, Little impact on the Flat but has the pedigree for jumping and showed aptitude on hurdling debut when third in juvenile at Wetherby in October. Too free when well-held fifth at Musselburgh since. Leading claims on the Wetherby form. Ran in a decent race last time and has a definite chance on his Wetherby form.
5	5 (5) (4/1 +27%) Queen Of Steel	4 4/1(+27%)	(5) Queen Of Steel 4/1, Poor maiden on the Flat and ran to only a similar level when second of 4 on her Fontwell hurdle debut last month. Questionable what she achieved in a small field on heavy ground at Fontwell.
1	1 (1) (10/11 +0%) Ellerton	0.909091 10/11(+0%)	(1) Ellerton 10/11, Fairly useful Flat on the Flat in France for Tim Donworth. Well beaten pitched into a Cheltenham Grade 2 on his hurdle debut but could fare a lot better with his sights lowered. Engaged 11.35 Newcastle Saturday. French Flat winner; faced a stiff task on his hurdling debut at Cheltenham.
2	2 (2) (16/1 -78%) Seahouses	16 16/1(-78%)	(2) Seahouses 16/1, Fairly useful but ungenuine maiden on Flat (stays 2m) for Ralph Beckett. 11/1, seemed badly in need of the experience when distant fifth of 6 on his Huntingdon hurdle debut 4 weeks ago. Needs to have come on a lot. This is weaker than the Huntingdon hurdle won by Burdett Road he ran in four weeks ago.
3	3 (3) (20/1 +20%) The Craftymaster	20 20/1(+20%)	(3) The Craftymaster 20/1, Modest maiden on Flat, suited by increase in trip when runner-up on 2m Wolverhampton stable debut 6 weeks ago. Yard also runs Walk The Moon. Hurdle debut. Nearly won on the AW last time but that was a low-grade Class 6 handicap.

LTO Selection:

QUEEN OF STEEL only found one too good on her hurdling debut at Fontwell last month and it would be no surprise to see her go a place better here. Walk The Moon was well held at Musselburgh last time but is a player based on his effort at Wetherby prior to that, while Seahouses is the pick of the remainder.

WALK THE MOON gets the nod in the hope that he can recapture his Wetherby form. The class-dropping Ellerton would rate a major threat if showing up here rather than Newcastle on Saturday.

A weak juvenile hurdle and ELLERTON has to be of strong interest as he ran okay in a warm race at Cheltenham.

12:45 Leicester Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

12:55 Fairyhouse Handicap Chase 30f - 18 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
12	12 (12) (7/2 +13%) Call The Tune	3.5 7/2(+13%)	(12) Call The Tune 7/2, 5/2, good short-head second of 14 to Sir Bob in Cork National (28f, soft) 28 days ago, collared on line. 3 lb better off with that rival for a short-head defeat and he merits consideration. Mugged on the line by Sir Bob in the Cork Grand National; has the scope to improve on that.
2	2 (2) (7/2 +22%) Minella Crooner	3.5 7/2(+22%)	(2) Minella Crooner 7/2, 4/1, matched previous best over fences when winning 4-runner listed chase at Wexford (23f, heavy) 16 days ago by ½ length from Joyeux Machin, digging deep. Back up in trip for handicap chase debut. One to bear in mind. Wexford winner the choice of Jack Kennedy here and deserves the respect that indicates.
6	6 (6) (9/1 +10%) My Design	9 9/1(+10%)	(6) My Design 9/1, 2 wins from 5 runs this season. Career best when winning 3-runner minor event chase at Galway (23f, heavy, 85/40) 61 days ago, bit in hand. Back up in trip and rider takes off handy 5 lb. Respected. Very consistent hurdler-chaser; can be expected to be somewhere in the shake-up.
15	15 (15) (10/1 +29%) Regina Dracones	10 10/1(+29%)	(15) Regina Dracones 10/1, Course winner. 9¾ lengths third of 5 to Allegorie De Vassy in listed chase (66/1) at Clonmel (20.4f, heavy) 24 days ago, barely adequate test. No sure thing to be in same form here. Decent effort in a Listed mares chase at Clonmel last time; others preferred.
8	8 (8) (10/1 -100%) Sir Bob	10 10/1(-100%)	(8) Sir Bob 10/1, 1 win from 3 runs this season. Career best when winning 14-runner Cork National (28f, soft, 9/1) 28 days ago, by short head from Call The Tune. Claims with a repeat from 7 lb higher mark. Up 7lb for his Cork win; needs a career best at the age of 11 but it cannot be discounted.
16	16 (16) (14/1 -115%) Glenquin Castle	14 14/1(-115%)	(16) Glenquin Castle 14/1, Eight wins from 28 NH runs. Creditable 5½ lengths third of 14 to Sir Bob in handicap chase (10/1) at Cork (28f, soft) 28 days ago, in contention home turn and keeping on. Should give another good account. third to Sir Bob and Call The Tune in the Cork Grand National; could get a bit closer now.
1	1 (1) (14/1 +22%) Diol Ker	14 14/1(+22%)	(1) Diol Ker 14/1, 25/1, unseated rider in handicap chase at Navan (24f, heavy) 14 days ago, exiting at the first when in mid-division. Back up in trip. Yard having good spell. Has good chance on pick of form. Ran okay in the Cork Grand National before only getting to the first in the Troytown.
3	3 (3) (16/1 -60%) Velvet Elvis	16 16/1(-60%)	(3) Velvet Elvis 16/1, Course winner. Creditable sixth of 14 in handicap chase (16/1) at Punchestown (31f, good to soft), unable to sustain effort. Off 7 months. Pulled up in the Grand National and not really at his best at Punchestown; might need it.
4	4 (4) (17/2 +29%) Frontal Assault	8.5 17/2(+29%)	(4) Frontal Assault 17/2, 40/1, respectable fifth of 20 in handicap chase at Navan (24f, heavy) 14 days ago, barely adequate test. Stable in good form and this rates more suitable. Not quite good enough but consistent in big handicaps, latest when fifth in the Troytown.
9	9 (9) (18/1 -13%) Definite Plan	18 18/1(-13%)	(9) Definite Plan 18/1, Proving more consistent for a switch to front-running tactics, creditable fifth of 16 in handicap chase at Uttoxeter (26.1f, good) 154 days ago, finishing tired. Returns from a break with leading yard very much amongst the winners and not discounted. Last run when fifth in the Summer Cup at Uttoxeter in July; others preferred.
14	14 (14) (20/1 +29%) Fairyhill Run	20 20/1(+29%)	(14) Fairyhill Run 20/1, Unreliable individual. Seventeen runs since last win in 2021. Pulled up in handicap chase (16/1) at Cork (28f, soft) 28 days ago won by Sir Bob, headed 3 out and folding. Made the frame on each of her 2 appearances in this race previously and handicapper has given her a chance. Second at Listowel before pulled up in the Cork Grand National; others preferred.
13	13 (13) (22/1 -38%) Everglow	22 22/1(-38%)	(13) Everglow 22/1, 16/1, below form 36 lengths sixth of 14 to Sir Bob in handicap chase at Cork (28f, soft) 28 days ago, possibly needing the run on the back of 6 months off. Tongue strap back on. Others preferred but enough form in the book there for him not to be a forlorn hope.
11	11 (11) (22/1 +33%) Street Value	22 22/1(+33%)	(11) Street Value 22/1, 14/1, pulled up in handicap chase at Carlisle (26.2f, soft) 28 days ago, beaten 3 out and pulled up before last. Needs to leave that in his wake if he's to feature here. Thirt in a handicap hurdle at Clonmel in October his only completed start in a year.
17	17 (17) (25/1 -25%) The Dabbler	25 25/1(-25%)	(17) The Dabbler 25/1, Inconsistent performer. Pulled up in handicap chase (10/1) at Galway (22.5f, heavy) 35 days ago, losing place before 5 out. Significantly back up in trip. Ran no race at Galway last time and faces a tough task here; 1lb out of the handicap.
18	18 (18) (25/1 -14%) History Of Fashion	25 25/1(-14%)	(18) History Of Fashion 25/1, One win from 26 NH runs. Cheekpieces on for 1st time, fifth of 14 in handicap chase at Down Royal (24f, soft, 40/1) 22 days ago, merely passing beaten rivals. Back up in trip. Little to recommend in his last three runs; 3lb out of the handicap and up against it.
10	10 (10) (33/1 -65%) The Little Yank	33 33/1(-65%)	(10) The Little Yank 33/1, Nineteen runs since last win in 2022. Creditable 12 lengths fourth of 14 to Sir Bob in handicap chase (25/1) at Cork (28f, soft) 28 days ago, plugging on latter stages. Fair effort when fourth in the Cork Grand National; similar is the best to hope for.
5	5 (5) (33/1 -18%) Screaming Colours	33 33/1(-18%)	(5) Screaming Colours 33/1, Built up a solid record in staying handicap chases, fourth in Irish National back in 2022. Pulled up both starts last term, well held in Cork National 13 months ago. However, record fresh is a largely positive one so not one to write off back from an absence. Not much to be gleaned from two defeats in point-to-points and others look more likely.
7	7 (7) (50/1 -79%) Mister Fogpatches	50 50/1(-79%)	(7) Mister Fogpatches 50/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2021. Pulled up in handicap chase at Cheltenham (25f, good to soft, 40/1) 36 days ago, behind when pulled up 2 out. Cheekpieces back on. Tough to assess at present. No sign of his best form in his three starts this season; makes little appeal for now.

LTO Selection:

MINELLA CROONER is a real galloper and this kind of trip looks right up his street. The Shantou gelding won a decent little conditions race in Wexford on his return and connections expected him to improve from the run. He remains on the same mark of 144 and looks to have a nice race like this in him. Sir Bob and Call The Tune do battle again, with just a short head separating the pair in a driving finish to the Cork National early last month. Both went up 7lb after that race and there might not be a lot between them again. The mare My Design beat some higher-rated rivals in Galway and it will be interesting to see how she fares back in handicap company now.

A winner on return in listed company at Wexford 16 days ago, MINELLA CROONER has often shaped like he'd be suited by this sort of test and he could be the way to go on his handicap debut. Call The Tune and Diol Ker head up the dangers, with My Design another to consider.

Preference is for MY DESIGN, a model of consistency under both codes and could be ready to land one of these after winning at Galway

12:55 Fairyhouse Handicap Chase 30f PREDICTION SIMULATION

13:05 Carlisle Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 19f - 6 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
2	2 (2) (2/1 +86%) Beep Beep Burrow	2 2/1(+86%)	(2) Beep Beep Burrow 2/1, Started to get the hang of things late in the day when fifth of 13 in a Doncaster bumper on debut in January. Clearly not 100% when pulled up at that venue a month later and again looked like a stayer when down the field in a Hexham bumper in April. Hurdles debut. Made quite promising bumper debut but his other two bumper runs were very disappointing.
3	3 (3) (4/1 +71%) Forged Well	4 4/1(+71%)	(3) Forged Well 4/1, Jet Away gelding who was third on his completed start in Irish points. The betting should help guide to expectations. Kept on for modest third on Irish point debut in May; makes rules debut here.
4	4 (4) (9/1 +36%) Hubbel Bubbel	9 9/1(+36%)	(4) Hubbel Bubbel 9/1, Showed a bit on first of 2 starts in bumpers but shaped with a little more encouragement on return/hurdles debut when fifth of 10 in a Sedgefield maiden (19.8f) 17 days ago. Entitled to improve for that initial experience. Ran well to a point at Sedgefield last month but needs to build on that effort here.
1	1 (1) (11/8 +83%) Askmore	1.375 11/8(+83%)	(1) Askmore 11/8, Ask gelding. Half-brother to modest hurdler/fair chaser Kym Eyre. Successful on second of 2 starts in Irish points (Mar 26) but he could only run to a modest level when sixth of 12 in a course bumper (17f) 4 weeks ago. Up in trip for hurdles bow. Point winner; weakened into sixth in course bumper on rules debut; may last longer today.
8	8 (8) (18/1 +10%) Time To Upgrade	18 18/1(+10%)	(8) Time To Upgrade 18/1, Last of 4 finishers completed start in points. Best watched on hurdle debut unless the betting hints otherwise. Last of four finishers in an Irish point in March; best watched on rules debut.
6	6 (6) (50/1 +24%) Righteous Ruane	50 50/1(+24%)	(6) Righteous Ruane 50/1, Poor hurdler who is very hard to fancy on debut for new yard. Well beaten on all five hurdling starts in Ireland in spring/summer; now with new stable.

LTO Selection:

VALLEYVIEW TOMMY offered plenty to work with on his Rules debut when third at Kelso in October and any improvement from Sandy Thomson's gelding may be enough for him to open his account. Hubbel Bubbel displayed enough promise when fifth at Sedgefield last month to suggest that he can play a part in the finish too, with Askmore completing the shortlist.

Sandy Thomson holds a strong hand here with ROB ROY MACGREGOR and Valleyview Tommy looking the pair to focus on. Each displayed promise on their respective hurdling debuts recently, with the narrow vote in favour of the former who shaped as though this longer trip would suit. Hubbel Bubbel may do best of the remainder.

Course bumper winner ROB ROY MACGREGOR appears to have been found a good opportunity here.

13:05 Carlisle Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 19f PREDICTION SIMULATION

13:10 Southwell Stakes (Class 4) 16f - 14 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
11	11 (11) (5/1 -25%) Little Peter	5 5/1(-25%)	(11) Little Peter 5/1, Game winner of a Worcester bumper in September and shaped as if in need of the experience switched to hurdling 8 weeks on at Doncaster. Likely type if he takes to AW. Won a weak bumper and he was tailed off on his hurdling debut.
14	14 (14) (6/1 +25%) Riccirella	6 6/1(+25%)	(14) Riccirella 6/1, Looks a difficult ride but she caught the eye in a mares' handicap hurdle at Doncaster a fortnight ago. Ran well on completed starts in bumpers here in the summer. One to consider. It was a low-grade handicap in which she was close up 16 days ago.
8	8 (8) (9/1 -29%) Cuban Court	9 9/1(-29%)	(8) Cuban Court 9/1, Made a winning debut in 4-runner Fontwell bumper in April 2022 and showed even better form in defeat after a year off when runner-up at Doncaster. Poor since, including on hurdles bow last month, but dangerous to dismiss. Engaged 12.21 Doncaster Saturday. Ran to a respectable level when fourth at Doncaster on Saturday.
3	3 (3) (9/2 +44%) Blow Your Horn	4.5 9/2(+44%)	(3) Blow Your Horn 9/2, Fairly useful handicapper on Flat (stays 2¼m), recorded hat-trick earlier in year. Never involved on hurdles debut 12 days ago. Tailed off hurdling 12 days ago; Flat form entitles him to respect in a race like this.
9	9 (9) (9/1 +0%) Dark Mystery	9 9/1(+0%)	(9) Dark Mystery 9/1, Fairly useful 1m4f winner on Flat in 2022. Suspect he's one of the more likely ones returning here. Well held in his only hurdle; 1m4f winner and latest Flat run wasn't too bad.
4	4 (4) (10/1 -82%) Brian's Jet	10 10/1(-82%)	(4) Brian's Jet 10/1, Modest hurdler. Lacks the class of a few of these. Placed over hurdles but in fairly modest company and he remains a maiden.
6	6 (6) (13/2 -18%) Choirmaster	6.5 13/2(-18%)	(6) Choirmaster 13/2, Fairly useful on Flat and modest winning hurdler of late. Moody display at Warwick 10 weeks ago, though. Ran poorly in his latest handicap hurdle but he's usually consistent and has AW experience.
13	13 (13) (14/1 -27%) Libby	14 14/1(-27%)	(13) Libby 14/1, Fair form over hurdles for Joseph O'Brien. Well held for this yard (pulled hard over hurdles at Kelso on Thursday). Turned out again quickly and wouldn't completely dismiss in first-time tongue tie. Useful form in Ireland; suffered a heavy defeat at Kelso only four days ago.
12	12 (12) (14/1 -56%) Pistoletto	14 14/1(-56%)	(12) Pistoletto 14/1, Fair these days on the level. Well held the last twice and stamina doubts. Five-time AW winner at up to 1m4f; stamina could be stretched over this far.
1	1 (1) (16/1 -33%) Achnamara	16 16/1(-33%)	(1) Achnamara 16/1, Useful 14f winner on Flat in 2022 for Charlie & Mark Johnston. Goes on AW but has found things a struggle for a while (including over hurdles). One of four Flat defeats for this yard came in a seller.
7	7 (7) (16/1 +20%) Coco Loco	16 16/1(+20%)	(7) Coco Loco 16/1, Out of a Flat winner but pulled up in a juvenile hurdle at Wetherby on debut 9 months ago. Not seen since and hard to fancy. Has had a wind op/tongue tie goes on. Engaged 12.10 Newcastle Saturday. Jumped poorly when pulled up in a juvenile hurdle at Wetherby in February.
5	5 (5) (35/1 -75%) Chadlington Lad	35 35/1(-75%)	(5) Chadlington Lad 35/1, Modest maiden hurdler. First run for 8 months/new yard in bumpers and hard to fancy. Has had a wind op. Couldn't win for Ben Pauling and it was a small field when he was second in March.
10	10 (10) (50/1 -25%) Desert Quest	50 50/1(-25%)	(10) Desert Quest 50/1, Four-time Flat winner but at a modest level. Didn't seem to take to hurdling at Catterick last week. 50-1 when pulled up on last week's hurdling debut, having jumped poorly.
2	2 (2) (80/1 -21%) Barbarosa	80 80/1(-21%)	(2) Barbarosa 80/1, Fair handicapper at best on Flat (had a spell in Poland, won twice). No show in Kempton novice hurdle 3 weeks ago. 200-1 when pulled up in a Kempton novice hurdle 20 days ago.

LTO Selection:

Libby's official rating would give her obvious claims, but she is flattered by it if her runs since arriving from Ireland are a reliable indication of her current ability. Choirmaster, Brian's Jet and Chadlington Lad have similar marks and have experience of handicaps, but a chance is taken on DARK MYSTERY. The Ben Brookhouse-trained four-year-old showed up for a long way in a good Kempton contest last Christmas, and was last seen running fairly off a figure of 68 on the level.

Hard to get a gauge on this but LITTLE PETER was a bumper winner in September and has few miles on the clock. A big run could be on the way under Harry Cobden. Riccirella and Dark Mystery might be a couple of the other more interesting ones.

Flat form could prove of greater significance than hurdling exploits and that angle makes BLOW YOUR HORN (nap) a strong contender.

13:10 Southwell Stakes (Class 4) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

13:15 Leicester Handicap Chase (Class 5) 20f - 10 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
9	9 (9) (6/1 -33%) Cloudy Wednesday	6 6/1(-33%)	(9) Cloudy Wednesday 6/1, Got off the mark over 21f at Fakenham in February and added to his tally at Huntingdon (2½m) in May. Respectable third at Fakenham in June but peak fitness has to be taken on trust on first outing since. Has form over C&D and solid claims if resuming where he left off in June.
4	4 (4) (6/1 -33%) Barrakhov	6 6/1(-33%)	(4) Barrakhov 6/1, Hurdle winner in January 2022. Off since finishing fifth on his Worcester chase debut 13 months ago. Open to improvement in this sphere but betting perhaps the best guide given the length of the absence. Long-while absent but chase debut was promising and he's probably on a fair mark.
2	2 (2) (8/1 -33%) Cokytho	8 8/1(-33%)	(2) Cokytho 8/1, Fair chaser in France. Well held in 3 outings for Oliver Sherwood last season but no surprise were he to make more of an impact on this return for a new stable. One to keep a close eye on in the betting. Completed once in three runs for Oliver Sherwood and was beaten 18l on that occasion.
3	3 (3) (10/3 -21%) Miltiades	3.333333 10/3(-21%)	(3) Miltiades 10/3, Remains a maiden but has shown encouragement since switched to fences, making a respectable return from 8 months off when 8¾ lengths third of 10 to Supasunrise at Warwick 25 days ago. Entitled to come on for the outing and can go well. Only backed out of it late on when third to Supasunrise at Warwick.
6	6 (6) (10/3 -11%) Supasunrise	3.333333 10/3(-11%)	(6) Supasunrise 10/3, Second chase win when seeing off 9 rivals over this trip at Warwick 25 days ago, avoiding the mistakes he's sometimes prone to. Should remain competitive after a 4 lb rise. Good value for his winning margin at Warwick and has only gone up 4lb.
1	1 (1) (12/1 -20%) Out The Glen	12 12/1(-20%)	(1) Out The Glen 12/1, Dual course winner at the start of 2022. Runner-up twice at Huntingdon last spring but ran badly on return from a break there 5 weeks ago, dropping away quickly. Bled when pulled up last time; mostly consistent since sent over fences.
10	10 (10) (17/2 +47%) My Granny Lily	8.5 17/2(+47%)	(10) My Granny Lily 17/2, Competitive off this sort of mark in handicap hurdles without winning. Another creditable effort on reappearance last month and claims if taking to chasing at the first time of asking. Positively ridden before weakening into a 15l fourth at Warwick; 3lb lower.
5	5 (5) (20/1 -25%) Harry Du Berlais	20 20/1(-25%)	(5) Harry Du Berlais 20/1, Won a Market Rasen handicap chase last November but has found life tougher since, including pulling up on his last 2 starts. Tongue tie off, cheekpieces back on. Dangerous mark but he's pulled up in two runs on either side of a break.
7	7 (7) (28/1 -75%) Higgs	28 28/1(-75%)	(7) Higgs 28/1, Dual hurdles winner back in 2018. Ran well on a couple of occasions over fences at the start of 2023 but out of sorts when last seen in the spring. Been off for 6 months. Has lost his way since two competitive efforts earlier in the year.
8	8 (8) (50/1 +38%) Fama Et Gloria	50 50/1(+38%)	(8) Fama Et Gloria 50/1, Runner-up in Limerick claiming hurdle on final start for Joseph O'Brien, but well beaten all 5 starts for new yard. Remains to be seen whether a switch to fences helps. British form over hurdles is well below his achievements in Ireland.

LTO Selection:

SUPASUNRISE returned to winning ways over this trip at Warwick just under a month ago and is hard to oppose off just a 4lb higher mark. Miltiades was third in that contest and Henry Daly's gelding could get closer to the selection here as that was his first start for 172 days. Cloudy Wednesday edges out Barrakhov to be best of the rest.

MILTIADES was behind Supasunrise at Warwick last month but that was Henry Daly's charge first outing for 8 months so he's entitled to come on for the outing and a 5 lb swing in the weights might be enough for him to turn the tables on his old rival. Cokytho failed to trouble the judge in Britain last season but is fairly treated on his French form and might make more of an impact having switched yards ahead of his reappearance.

Henry Daly's MILTIADES was eased on the run-in when third to Supasunrise at Warwick and has a chance of reversing those placings.

13:15 Leicester Handicap Chase (Class 5) 20f PREDICTION SIMULATION

13:25 Fairyhouse Novices Hurdle 16f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
1	1 (1) (5/2 +17%) An Tobar	2.5 5/2(+17%)	(1) An Tobar 5/2, Highly promising individual. 8/13, won 14-runner novice hurdle at this C&D (heavy) on NH debut 26 days ago, plenty in hand. Open to significant improvement. Highly-regarded point winner, met setback last season, started brightly with C&D win.
2	2 (2) (6/1 +57%) Bialystok	6 6/1(+57%)	(2) Bialystok 6/1, Useful hurdler. 11/4, respectable 2¾ lengths second of 6 to Williamstowndancer in Joe Mac Novices' Hurdle at Tipperary (16.2f, soft) 63 days ago. Form pick. Won a Punchestown festival handicap, subsequent form has exposed limitations.
6	6 (6) (7/1 +72%) Horantzau D'airy	7 7/1(+72%)	(6) Horantzau D'airy 7/1, Useful hurdler. Winner in hurdle at Punchestown in May. 4/9, creditable second of 6 in minor event hurdle at Sligo (17.5f, soft) 37 days ago. Useful form in handicaps, 134-rated gelding needs more to be competitive at this level.
5	5 (5) (9/1 -38%) Fascile Mode	9 9/1(-38%)	(5) Fascile Mode 9/1, Lightly-raced winner under NH rules. Career best when winning 15-runner novice hurdle (1/2) at Punchestown (16.2f, good to soft) on hurdles bow 53 days ago, easily. More to come. Solid bumper form, survived a mistake three out when landing the odds on hurdling debut.
3	3 (3) (9/2 -100%) Encanto Bruno	4.5 9/2(-100%)	(3) Encanto Bruno 9/2, Useful hurdler. First run since leaving John McConnell when career best when winning 9-runner novice hurdle (11/4) at Cheltenham (19.9f, good) 37 days ago, plenty in hand. Should progress. Can make presence felt. Cheltenham winner last month on first start for this stable, might prefer better ground.
4	4 (4) (11/2 +15%) Farren Glory	5.5 11/2(+15%)	(4) Farren Glory 11/2, Thrice-raced winner under NH rules. 1 win from 1 run this season. Won 17-runner novice hurdle (13/8) at Clonmel (19.4f, heavy) 24 days ago, comfortably. Should improve. Riding plans suggest he is the stable selected, big step up in class after maiden win.
8	8 (8) (12/1 -60%) What's Up Darling	12 12/1(-60%)	(8) What's Up Darling 12/1, Lightly-raced winner under NH rules. Career best when winning 6-runner For Auction Novices' Hurdle (15/8) at Navan (16f, heavy) 15 days ago by neck from Dee Capo, all out. Likely to improve. Battled well to beat a shorter-priced stablemate in a recent Grade 3 contest at Navan.
7	7 (7) (12/1 +25%) King Of Kingsfield	12 12/1(+25%)	(7) King Of Kingsfield 12/1, Lightly-raced winner under NH rules. 8/11, respectable second of 22 in novice hurdle at Naas (16f, soft) 21 days ago. Twice beaten at odds-on in maiden hurdles including over C&D, plenty to prove as a result.

LTO Selection:

AN TOBAR looked very smart when making a winning 'track' debut over C&D last month and can confirm that impression. The Gentlewave gelding, a point-to-point winner in January 2022, met with a 'little bit of a setback', forcing him to miss last season, and connections will be keen to make up for lost time. Encanto Bruno was impressive on his first start for Gavin Cromwell at Cheltenham in late October and that looks strong form. Softer ground now is a question mark for the Mahler gelding. Gordon Elliott runs three and Farren Glory would appear to be the number one hope on jockey bookings. The Fame And Glory gelding was impressive when taking his maiden hurdle at Clonmel last month. He was free enough that day and it's interesting to see him dropped in trip now.

AN TOBAR looked a highly exciting prospect when making a winning debut in a C&D maiden with plenty in hand and can take this step up in class in his stride. Encanto Bruno resumed progress when making a winning debut for this yard at Cheltenham in impressive fashion and is next best ahead of Farren Glory, who looks the pick of Gordon Elliott's trio.

Not a particularly strong race for a Grade 1. Impressive C&D maiden winner AN TOBAR may be equal to the challenge

13:25 Fairyhouse Novices Hurdle 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

13:35 Carlisle Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 17f - 3 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
5	5 (5) (5/4 +91%) Ivegotdapower	1.25 5/4(+91%)	(5) Ivegotdapower 5/4, Winning Irish pointer but (11/1) last of 9 in novice hurdle at Doncaster (16.6f, good) on NH debut 16 days ago. In good hands but lots more is required. Dual Irish point winner in spring but well beaten on recent hurdling debut.
6	6 (6) (8/13 +96%) Marty McFly	0.615385 8/13(+96%)	(6) Marty McFly 8/13, Dead-heated in an Irish point last year and showed fair form when in the frame both starts in bumpers for Patrick Neville. Well held on his hurdling bow at Ayr last month but may still do better. Made the frame in two spring bumpers; may have needed last month's hurdle run.
7	7 (7) (10/11 +64%) Wal Buck's	0.909091 10/11(+64%)	(7) Wal Buck's 10/11, Fourth sole outing in Irish points and given a considerate introduction when fifth of 12 in bumper here 28 days ago. Much respected now going over hurdles. Fourth in good Irish point in February; should improve upon his low-key bumper debut.

LTO Selection:

Marty Mcfly only finished seventh on his opening bid over timber at Ayr last month and sets just a modest standard of those with hurdling experience. With that in mind, it may be worth taking a chance on Irish point winner FLAUBERT. Donald McCain's charge ran out a wide-margin winner between the flags in May and he may have too much class for these rivals. Wal Buck's is another to consider.

FLAUBERT is in very good hands and appeals on paper too so Donald McCain's newcomer is taken to go in at the first time of asking and supplement his Irish point success. Fellow debutant Wal Buck's should be all the better for a recent bumper fifth here and rates the main danger ahead of Marty McFly, who could be one more for the future but needs considering if the market vibes are positive.

The suggestion is FLAUBERT, who joined Donald McCain after an impressive Irish point win in the spring.

13:35 Carlisle Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 17f PREDICTION SIMULATION

13:45 Southwell Stakes (Class 4) 16f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
8	8 (8) (8/15 -6%) Supremely West	0.533333 8/15(-6%)	(8) Supremely West 8/15, Unbeaten in bumpers and bright start over hurdles in recent months, making it 2 wins from last 3 starts in a Sedgefield novice (19.8f) 24 days ago. Looks hard to oppose reverting back to bumper company. 3-3 in bumpers and 2-3 over hurdles; stands out as the one to beat.
2	2 (2) (11/2 +0%) Filanderer	5.5 11/2(+0%)	(2) Filanderer 11/2, Warwick bumper winner who hasn't progressed over hurdles, well held in big-field Exeter handicap (16.7f) on his latest start 23 days ago. That was his first start for 6 months but he does need to settle better. 0-7 over hurdles but interesting now back in a bumper having won one in 2021.
4	4 (4) (11/1 -47%) Minella Choice	11 11/1(-47%)	(4) Minella Choice 11/1, Lightly-raced maiden who was well backed and ran best race yet when third on handicap hurdle debut at Market Rasen (20.6f) back in April. Claims of hitting the frame on return in a race lacking depth. Solid efforts when third over hurdles in the spring; could give a good account.
1	1 (1) (11/1 -22%) Ez Tiger	11 11/1(-22%)	(1) Ez Tiger 11/1, Benefited from chasing a strong pace when opening hurdles account here (15.8f) in July. Good second next time and yet to be asked for his effort when falling 2 out at Hereford (16.2f) 6 weeks ago. However, he may have to settle for a minor role back in this sphere. Running well over hurdles this season but at a modest level; something to find.
5	5 (5) (12/1 +40%) Moro Rock	12 12/1(+40%)	(5) Moro Rock 12/1, Modest form in bumpers and ran to a similar level on first of 2 starts in novice/maiden hurdles this summer. Likely he'll find a few too good back in this sphere. Lightly raced 6yo who has shown some ability, but improvement is needed to figure today.
7	7 (7) (16/1 +0%) Rhodia	16 16/1(+0%)	(7) Rhodia 16/1, Runner-up on 2 of his 4 starts in bumpers but not gone on from initial promise over hurdles, only sixth of 9 in handicap at Market Rasen (18.6f) in September. Undergone wind surgery ahead of this. Hasn't threatened over hurdles but was runner-up in two bumpers; not ruled out each-way.
3	3 (3) (25/1 -25%) Jimmy Boy	25 25/1(-25%)	(3) Jimmy Boy 25/1, Fair maiden hurdler who has run some way below that level in a couple of starts for present yard in recent months. Visor needs to have positive effect now. Displayed ability in Ireland in the summer but tailed off on first two runs for this yard.
6	6 (6) (80/1 -21%) Passengerontheship	80 80/1(-21%)	(6) Passengerontheship 80/1, Placed in an Irish point, but low-key start in trio of quick-fire maiden/novice hurdle runs of late. Low-grade handicaps in that sphere will be more his bag. Third in Irish 4yo maiden point in May but well beaten at big odds on his three rules runs.

LTO Selection:

SUPREMELY WEST has been a very progressive sort under Rules, winning five of his six appearances, and Dr Richard Newland's charge ticks plenty of the right boxes competing on these terms. Minella Choice is rated 18lb inferior to the selection over hurdles but the seven-year-old appears the chief threat, ahead of Jimmy Boy, who may be perked up by the application of a first-time visor.

Unbeaten in 3 starts in bumpers, SUPREMELY WEST has continued the good work over hurdles, making it 2 wins from 3 starts in that sphere at Sedgefield 24 days ago. This looks a good opportunity for him to enhance his already impressive strike rate. Filanderer and Minella Choice may give him most to think about.

The stand-out candidate is SUPREMELY WEST, who was 3-3 in bumpers last season and has comfortably won novice hurdles the last twice.

13:45 Southwell Stakes (Class 4) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

13:50 Leicester Maiden Hurdle (Class 3) 20f - 7 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	1 (1) (7/4 +7%) Thank You Blue	1.75 7/4(+7%)	(1) Thank You Blue 7/4, Placed in 2 bumpers for Sam Thomas 11 months apart. Off a further 10 months before making a winning start over hurdles for new stable at Sedgefield (17f, soft) 24 days ago. Up in trip. Should go well again. Sedgefield win has been franked and strong chance despite his penalty.
4	4 (4) (8/1 +20%) Samourai One	8 8/1(+20%)	(4) Samourai One 8/1, Modest form in bumpers and well-beaten seventh in novice hurdles a year apart. Had two long absences since showing ability in bumpers two winters ago; quiet return.
2	2 (2) (9/4 +0%) Jemura	2.25 9/4(+0%)	(2) Jemura 9/4, Promise in sole point. Only modest form in 2 bumpers and folded tamely when 29 lengths fourth on Kempton hurdle debut in May. However, he retains potential for his top stable and it's possible he'll pack more punch at the finish after wind surgery. The two bumpers and a Kempton maiden hurdle he's contested were won by useful horses.
7	7 (7) (10/3 -11%) Ottoline	3.333333 10/3(-11%)	(7) Ottoline 10/3, Sister to fairly useful hurdler/useful chaser Yalltari. Placed in 2 of her 3 bumpers and offered something to work on when fifth of 10 on her 19.5f Chepstow hurdle debut in March. Should be more to come on her return for a stable in cracking form. Placed in bumpers; quiet hurdle debut but retains potential and this is a weak race.
5	5 (5) (16/1 -100%) Shillanavogy	16 16/1(-100%)	(5) Shillanavogy 16/1, Cost £65,000 after making the frame both starts in Irish points. Well beaten in Ffos Las bumper in the spring but those point efforts suggest he could fare better now jumping over a longer trip. Placed in a point; poor in a bumper but hood is now removed and he may do better.
6	6 (6) (50/1 -100%) The Breadman	50 50/1(-100%)	(6) The Breadman 50/1, Half-brother to 4 winners, including useful hurdler/chaser The Jam Man. Dam Italian 1¼m winner. This is quite a belated debut but he's worth a betting check. Well related but can only be watched on this belated debut.
3	3 (3) (80/1 -100%) Parliament	80 80/1(-100%)	(3) Parliament 80/1, Fair winner on Flat in France in 2022 but off for 512 days prior to finishing down the field on his Warwick hurdle debut 26 days ago. Entitled to come on for the outing. Useful Flat winner in France; didn't show much at Warwick but can come on for that run.

LTO Selection:

THANK YOU BLUE won well on his hurdling debut at Sedgefield last month and the son of Blue Bresil clearly sets the standard here, despite having to carry a 6lb penalty. Jemura was disappointing at Kempton when last seen in May but should not be underestimated on his return following a wind operation. Ottoline will need to improve to score but she merits consideration.

It might be worth taking a chance that wind surgery has had a positive effect on JEMURA. Sedgefield winner Thank You Blue rates an obvious danger, while Ottoline could leave March's Chepstow hurdle debut behind with the Venetia Williams stable continuing in fine form.

Thank You Blue had his Sedgefield form franked this week but he may struggle to concede a penalty to JEMURA.

13:50 Leicester Maiden Hurdle (Class 3) 20f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:00 Fairyhouse Novices Chase 20f - 5 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
3	3 (3) (5/4 +29%) Letsbeclearaboutit	1.25 5/4(+29%)	(3) Letsbeclearaboutit 5/4, Promising type. 2 wins from 2 runs this season. 5/4, career best when winning 7-runner Gr 3 chase at Cork (20f, soft) 28 days ago by 10 lengths from Mighty Tom, cruising clear. Should progress again and complete hat-trick. Good credentials for this having won his first two start over fences at Gowran and Cork.
2	2 (2) (11/1 -29%) I Am Maximus	11 11/1(-29%)	(2) I Am Maximus 11/1, Smart chaser. Career best when winning 27-runner handicap chase at this course (29f, soft, 8/1). Off 7 months. Stable having good spell. Should continue to give a good account. Hero of the 3m5f Irish Grand National at this venue, this trip may prove inadequate.
5	5 (5) (11/4 +31%) Sharjah	2.75 11/4(+31%)	(5) Sharjah 11/4, Very smart winner at 16f over hurdles. Career best when winning 5-runner Like A Butterfly Novices' Chase (8/15) at Tipperary (20.1f, soft) 63 days ago by 12 lengths from Captain Conby, easily. Much respected. Top-class hurdler, a latecomer to chasing, has adapted really well in the circumstances.
1	1 (1) (11/4 -22%) Found A Fifty	2.75 11/4(-22%)	(1) Found A Fifty 11/4, Smart chaser. Career best when winning 9-runner novice chase at Down Royal (19.6f, soft, 8/13) on debut over fences 23 days ago, easing clear. Should have more to offer. Made all for a handsome win on chasing debut, stable has an excellent record in this race.
4	4 (4) (28/1 -133%) Perceval Legallois	28 28/1(-133%)	(4) Perceval Legallois 28/1, Useful hurdler. 1 win from 2 runs this season. Latest win in chase at Galway in October. Running well fell in Gr 3 chase at Cork (20f, soft) 28 days ago won by Letsbeclearaboutit, yet to be asked for effort when fell 3 out. Won in good style at Galway, fell three out in Cork event won by Letsbeclearaboutit.

LTO Selection:

LETSBECLEARABOUTIT has won both chase runs easily. Fourth in two Grade 1 hurdles last term, he steps up from his recent Grade 3 win but such was the manner of that easy success, he can progress further at this same distance. Six-time Grade 1-winning hurdler Sharjah won well at Galway and in a Tipperary Grade 3 in October. He lacks the size of the selection and is a late-comer to chasing aged 10, but nonetheless is high-class. Found A Fifty comfortably beat Colonel Mustard on his Down Royal chase debut and while he can progress, had nonetheless previously failed in two Grade 1 hurdles. Perceval Legallois, a 135-rated hurdler, was being niggled along when falling behind the selection at Cork and would prefer further. I Am Maximus won April's Irish National at this course and while a high-class stayer, his customary left-jumping tendency is a negative over this inadequate distance and he lacks race-fitness.

LETSBECLEARABOUTIT created an excellent impression when making it 2 from 2 over fences in a Grade 3 at Cork and can complete the hat-trick. Sharjah s doing plenty to justify his late-career switch to chasing and is feared most ahead of Found A Fifty, who looked a natural over fences when making a winning debut in this sphere at Down Royal on his return.

Gordon Elliott's FOUND A FIFTY won decisively on his chasing debut at Down Royal and may enhance the stable's fine record in this race

14:00 Fairyhouse Novices Chase 20f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:10 Carlisle Handicap Hurdle (Class 3) 25f - 3 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
4	4 (4) (3/1 +70%) Palm Beach	3 3/1(+70%)	(4) Palm Beach 3/1, Hasn't made much of an impact in handicaps for this yard and work to do from 4 lb out of the weights. Significantly up in trip. Tongue strap back on after wind op. Lost his way last season and has been absent since June.
3	3 (3) (6/5 +52%) Court Dreaming	1.2 6/5(+52%)	(3) Court Dreaming 6/5, Back on track (in a race he won last year) returned to fences when fourth here 45 days ago. 1 lb lower back over hurdles now so needs considering. Kept on for fourth over fences here in October but tends to race lazily nowadays.
2	2 (2) (7/4 -40%) Barbados Buck's	1.75 7/4(-40%)	(2) Barbados Buck's 7/4, Back on track following a wind op last term when posting three solid placed efforts for Paul Nicholls. Proved he retains his ability on first outing this yard when fourth at Ayr on return 4 weeks ago and entitled to come on for that. Gave good account when fourth on last month's seasonal/stable debut; respected.

LTO Selection:

AILIE ROSE was set some stiff assignments last season, but still made great strides and picked up a nice pot at the Irish National meeting. This is her first appearance since struggling at the Punchestown Festival, but she faces an altogether different test and is capable of successfully conceding weight all round. Barbados Buck's made a pleasing start for Daragh Bourke when fourth at Ayr and looks a bigger threat than Court Dreaming.

COURT DREAMING ran well back from a break when fourth over fences here in October and is now only 1 lb higher than for his C&D win last year. Barbados Buck's made a positive start for this yard when fourth at Ayr and is next best.

The one with least to prove is BARBADOS BUCK'S (nap), who ran well on last month's stable debut at Ayr.

14:10 Carlisle Handicap Hurdle (Class 3) 25f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:20 Southwell Stakes (Class 4) 16f - 10 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
5	5 (5) (4/1 -45%) Whizz Kid	4 4/1(-45%)	(5) Whizz Kid 4/1, Resumed with 2m hurdles success at Wetherby but below-form fourth of 11 in handicap hurdle at Newbury (16.3f, good to soft) 24 days ago. Makes bumper debut. Sort to bounce back. Very useful on the Flat when trained in Germany and a useful handicap hurdler now.
8	8 (8) (7/1 -27%) Magical Maggie	7 7/1(-27%)	(8) Magical Maggie 7/1, Progressing well when bagging her third win in this sphere on her handicap debut at Cartmel (17.2f) in May but off since a below-par third of four at Newton Abbot following month. No surprise to see her get back on track. Dual bumper winner; in good form over hurdles when last seen in spring; not ruled out.
3	3 (3) (9/2 +25%) Russian Virtue	4.5 9/2(+25%)	(3) Russian Virtue 9/2, Has thrived for this yard, gaining a seventh win since December (5 hurdle, 2 Flat) when seeing off 11 rivals at Carlisle (2m1f) in October. Player on his bumper debut. Also engaged 12.35 Carlisle. Dual 1m2f Flat winner on this surface and scored over hurdles on latest start in October.
4	4 (4) (11/4 +17%) Sarsons Risk	2.75 11/4(+17%)	(4) Sarsons Risk 11/4, Fairly useful Flat/hurdles winner who returned from 6 months off with an encouraging fifth of 10 in Flat handicap at Newcastle (16.2f) 16 days ago, nearest finish having suffered a poor run 2f out. Big shout on bumper bow. Ran well in Class 4 Flat handicap on this surface last month; strong claims in this.
1	1 (1) (13/2 +28%) Kiss My Face	6.5 13/2(+28%)	(1) Kiss My Face 13/2, Winning hurdler who arrives on the back of a good second of 11 in Flat handicap here (14.1f) 9 days ago. Considered now switched to bumpers. Not favoured by today's weights but is very well suited by this C&D.
10	10 (10) (14/1 -75%) Show No Fear	14 14/1(-75%)	(10) Show No Fear 14/1, Runner-up in a Killarney juvenile maiden in the summer and shaped well for this yard when runner-up on the Flat at Newcastle. Pulled up in the mud in Hexham handicap hurdle last time but could bounce back under these different conditions. Second in Flat handicap on this surface last month but others in this field look stronger.
2	2 (2) (14/1 -56%) Polyphonic	14 14/1(-56%)	(2) Polyphonic 14/1, Fairly useful Flat/hurdles winner. Bounced back quickly from a poor run at Kempton when third of 5 at Uttoxeter (2m, heavy) 15 days ago. In the mix. Engaged 1.11 Bangor Saturday. Also engaged 2.25 Leicester Sunday. Just fair form over hurdles over the last year or so but his Flat form gives him a squeak.
6	6 (6) (30/1 -40%) Bella Bluesky	30 30/1(-40%)	(6) Bella Bluesky 30/1, It's now 11 runs since her last win in 2022 and she came in a below-form sixth of 11 in handicap hurdle at Kelso (20.9f, soft) 22 days ago. Cheekpieces are reached for now. Has slipped to a lowly hurdle mark this year and has been out of sorts lately.
7	7 (7) (40/1 -186%) Eventful	40 40/1(-186%)	(7) Eventful 40/1, Scored over hurdles here (2m) last November but has struggled since, beating only one at Huntingdon in May. Lots more is needed on her seasonal return/bumper bow. Not seen since disappointing run in low-grade handicap hurdle in May.
9	9 (9) (40/1 +0%) Virtuoso	40 40/1(+0%)	(9) Virtuoso 40/1, A fair 14f winner on Flat for Andrew Balding. Changed hands for 14,000 gns and well held all four starts over hurdles, tried in cheekpieces once. Hard to make a case for. Flat winner in 2022 but struggled off lowly mark on recent handicap hurdle debut.

LTO Selection:

WHIZZ KID shaped far better than the beaten distance suggested when fourth at Newbury last month and the seven-year-old looks to have been found a suitable opportunity to regain the winning thread. Sarsons Risk is a useful performer on the Flat and may give the selection most to think about, ahead of the upwardly-mobile Russian Virtue, who was last seen springing a surprise in a handicap hurdle at Carlisle in October.

A case can be made for a few of these but SARSONS RISK made a promising return when fifth on the Flat at Newcastle recently and this fairly useful Flat/hurdles scorer can make a winning debut in this sphere now. Rebecca Menzies holds a strong hand and her duo Russian Virtue and Show No Fear can both have a say along with Brian Ellison's Kiss My Face.

Preference is for SARSONS RISK, who returned from a break with a very encouraging run in a 2m Flat handicap on this surface last month.

14:20 Southwell Stakes (Class 4) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:25 Leicester Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 16f - 7 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	1 (1) (5/2 -25%) Sizing Pottsie	2.5 5/2(-25%)	(1) Sizing Pottsie 5/2, Smart chaser for Jessica Harrington in 2021/22 and on his first run after a wind op, showed more than previously for this yard when second of 5 in handicap hurdle at Uttoxeter (15.8f, heavy) 15 days ago. Sound claims again. After wind surgery he was second to a well-backed unexposed winner at Uttoxeter.
5	5 (5) (5/2 +17%) Risk D'Argent	2.5 5/2(+17%)	(5) Risk D'Argent 5/2, Winning hurdler who reappeared with a good second of 17 at Warwick last month. A 3 lb rise looks fair enough given he was 11 lengths clear of the third. Leading player. Pleasing return at Warwick but not consistent and that tempers enthusiasm.
2	2 (2) (11/2 +8%) Colonial Empire	5.5 11/2(+8%)	(2) Colonial Empire 11/2, Progressive last season, winning 3 times, including over C&D. Also scored at Taunton (16.5f) on final outing last term and ran creditably with a recent run under his belt to finish third of 9 in handicap hurdle (15/2) at Musselburgh (15.6f, good to soft) 25 days ago. Place claims again. Suspicion that he's on a tough mark but can still go well, as he did last time.
3	3 (3) (11/1 -57%) Transatlantic	11 11/1(-57%)	(3) Transatlantic 11/1, Dual Flat winner in France got off the mark in this sphere in 2m Huntingdon novice hurdle on final outing for Gary Moore in April 2022. Shaped as if needing the run in handicap hurdle at Ayr (16f, good, 11/2) 29 days ago. Others possess more solid profiles. Engaged 1.11 Bangor Saturday. Had a hard race when a remote third at Bangor on Saturday.
6	6 (6) (14/1 -56%) Polyphonic	14 14/1(-56%)	(6) Polyphonic 14/1, Fairly useful form in juvenile company for Milton Harris last season and soon bounced back to form on third outing for this yard when third of 5 in handicap hurdle at Uttoxeter (15.8f, heavy) 15 days ago. Engaged 1.11 Bangor Saturday. Also engaged 2.20 Southwell. Looks held by Sizing Pottsie and he finished tailed off at Bangor on Saturday.
7	7 (7) (15/2 -25%) Icarat	7.5 15/2(-25%)	(7) Icarat 15/2, Fair form in French bumpers for Nick Littmoden. Best effort in maiden/novice hurdles for new yard in the spring when fourth of 9 at Ffos Las in April. Interesting now handicapping for the first time (had breathing operation) with his stable in very good form. Engaged 1.11 Bangor Saturday. Has ability but didn't show much of it when beaten a long way out at Bangor on Saturday.
4	4 (4) (17/2 -42%) Thunderclap	8.5 17/2(-42%)	(4) Thunderclap 17/2, Fairly useful handicapper on Flat and made steady progress in this sphere last season, winning a Sedgefield maiden in April. His opening handicap hurdle mark looks workable if he's ready to roll. Engaged 1.11 Bangor Saturday. Dropped out tamely when a remote fifth on his handicap debut at Bangor on Saturday..

LTO Selection:

SIZING POTTSIE finished a close-up second on his return to action at Uttoxeter last month and he rates as the one to beat off the same mark. C&D winner Colonial Empire returned to form with a solid third at Musselburgh and the six-year-old is feared most, with Risk D'Argent likely to be in the shake-up too.

An interesting heat, with Alastair Ralph's RISK D'ARGENT fancied to build on his good second at Warwick and snap a losing streak stretching back 2 years. Thunderclap signed off last season with victory at Sedgefield and merits plenty of respect alongside fellow handicap newcomer Icarat.

David Pipe's SIZING POTTSIE may have bumped into one at Uttoxeter and that was a good effort back from wind surgery.

14:25 Leicester Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:35 Fairyhouse Conditions Hurdle 20f - 5 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
3	3 (3) (2/1 +15%) Teahupoo	2 2/1(+15%)	(3) Teahupoo 2/1, High-class hurdler, won this last year. Just respectable efforts at Cheltenham/Punchestown Festivals but fine record fresh and good chance if it becomes testing. Won here from Klassical Dream and Honeysuckle last year, boasts a good record when fresh.
2	2 (2) (4/5 -19%) Impaire Et Passe	0.8 4/5(-19%)	(2) Impaire Et Passe 4/5, Bags of speed but plenty of stamina too. Unbeaten over hurdles last term, including victories in the Ballymore at Cheltenham and Grade 1 Champion Novice at Punchestown. More to come and could be top class. Unbeaten as a novice, first taste of senior action now, strong chance over a suitable trip.
5	5 (5) (7/1 +50%) Ashroe Diamond	7 7/1(+50%)	(5) Ashroe Diamond 7/1, Produced a mighty performance when winning the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Novices' Championship Final at this course (20.4f, good to soft, 2/1) by 5 lengths from Whatcouldhavebeen when last seen. That form worked out, she goes well fresh and unwise to dismiss. Won Grade 1 novice mares' event over C&D in April, tough challenge against the geldings.
4	4 (4) (20/1 -11%) Zanahiyr	20 20/1(-11%)	(4) Zanahiyr 20/1, Very smart hurdler who resumed with victory in 3-runner minor event at Punchestown. No match for Bob Olinger at Navan 15 days ago but did win the 2020 Grade 1 Juvenile impressively on his only other start here. Has regularly fallen short at Grade 1 level while running many fine races in defeat.
1	1 (1) (22/1 -38%) Buddy One	22 22/1(-38%)	(1) Buddy One 22/1, As progressive as they come, clearly no sluggard but finding still more improvement for the step up to 3m when winning 15-runner handicap hurdle at Cheltenham 15 days ago. C&D winner but some feat if he were to take this on these terms. Prospering lately in staying handicaps at Galway and Cheltenham, vulnerable at this level.

LTO Selection:

Connections of last year's winner TEAHUPOO will have a follow-up bid firmly in their sights and perhaps he can defeat Impaire Et Passe. The selection was the first horse to beat Honeysuckle when winning this race last year and while ultimately he is a stayer, he is high-class and will be ready on reappearance. Impaire Et Passe fits the mould of a Willie Mullins-trained horse with monstrous ability, but reappears in a race which his champion trainer has 'only' won three times. He impressively won at the Cheltenham and Punchestown Festivals last season but, in contrast to the selection, might have an eye to later targets this season. Ashroe Diamond is already a Fairyhouse specialist and while thoroughly dependable, faces a tougher task than the Grade 1 she won against her own sex here in April. Zanahiyr is race-fit and in form but is vulnerable to top-class rivals, while Buddy One is thoroughly progressive and consistent but steps out of handicap company.

IMPAIRE ET PASSE is hugely exciting and may emerge as the main threat to Constitution Hill's dominance over hurdles this term. He can take this, although expect last year's winner Teahupoo to put up a stiff fight. Ashroe Diamond probably shouldn't be dismissed either after her impressive win here in April.

Last year's winner TEAHUPOO has a good record when fresh and is a viable alternative to unbeaten Ballymore winner Impaire Et Passe

14:35 Fairyhouse Conditions Hurdle 20f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:45 Carlisle Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 19f - 7 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
9	9 (9) (3/1 +79%) Begoodtoyourself	3 3/1(+79%)	(9) Begoodtoyourself 3/1, Limitations have long been exposed but he at least ran up to his recent best when fifth of 13 in handicap hurdle (50/1) at Uttoxeter (23.3f, good to soft) 81 days ago. Out of the handicap but may be able to reach the frame in a weak contest. Didn't run badly on latest outing but is 4lb wrong here and has very modest strike-rate.
7	7 (7) (5/1 +58%) Living's Boy An Co	5 5/1(+58%)	(7) Living's Boy An Co 5/1, Off the mark in emphatic fashion over fences at Market Rasen last October but little to write home about since, including when returned to this sphere at Aintree in June. Won a chase in autumn 2022 but was not in the same form when last seen in spring.
4	4 (4) (6/1 -140%) Barney Stinson	6 6/1(-140%)	(4) Barney Stinson 6/1, Tumbled in the weights for this yard but was holding his own at this kind of level in summer 2022, running well to be second in a 6-runner handicap at Perth (23.9f, good, 7/1) when last seen. 16-month absence is a concern but he's a player if retaining all ability. Consistent in spring/summer 2022 but has fitness to prove after long absence.
1	1 (1) (6/4 +0%) Hostile Hotelier	1.5 6/4(+0%)	(1) Hostile Hotelier 6/4, Justified strong support to make a successful switch to handicaps in 5-runner event at Hexham (16.2f, heavy) 11 days ago. Return to this trip rates as a positive and he should go close again from 5 lb higher mark. Improved to make winning handicap debut 11 days ago; should have more to offer.
3	3 (3) (11/1 -38%) Dance Thief	11 11/1(-38%)	(3) Dance Thief 11/1, Point winner has showed modest form across 4 hurdles outings at Perth to date, though looked rather summed up by his mark when fifth of 9 in handicap (20.2f, good) 162 days ago. Still unexposed under rules but made just a respectable handicap debut in June.
8	8 (8) (20/1 +0%) Boyneside	20 20/1(+0%)	(8) Boyneside 20/1, Well held on sole bumper outing and hasn't fared any better hurdling. Plenty more required now handicapping. Well beaten at bug digit odds in a bumper and three maiden/novice hurdles; handicap debut.
5	5 (5) (22/1 -175%) Gun Merchant	22 22/1(-175%)	(5) Gun Merchant 22/1, Winner over fences at Newcastle in late-2021 but seen only sparingly since, brushed aside quickly when last of 6 at Perth when last out. Goes back hurdling after 17-month absence. Inconsistent and regressive 10yo; absent since disappointing chase run last summer.

LTO Selection:

HOSTILE HOTELIER attracted plenty of market support ahead of his handicap debut and justified it with a determined display over 2m at Hexham. The way he stuck to his guns strongly suggested that this trip can help spark further improvement and that was his first run since May, which should also help bring him forward. Barney Stinson would be feared more were it not for his 16-month absence, so Dance Thief is put forward as the one for forecast backers.

A weak contest which should go the way of HOSTILE HOTELIER, who made a winning start in handicap company at Hexham last month and promises to find the extra couple of furlongs here to his benefit. Barney Stinson has been off the track for 16 months but would pose a serious threat if returning in top form, with the low-mileage Dance Thief a modest pick for third.

The most obvious answer is HOSTILE HOTELIER, who moves back up in trip after winning over 2m on his recent handicap debut.

14:45 Carlisle Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 19f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:55 Southwell Stakes (Class 4) 16f - 5 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
2	2 (2) (4/5 -10%) Captain Morgs	0.8 4/5(-10%)	(2) Captain Morgs 4/5, Unreliable type but useful over jumps on his day and a serious player in this company. Highly talented hurdler/chaser who was a good second over fences four weeks ago; player.
1	1 (1) (8/1 +11%) Anglers Crag	8 8/1(+11%)	(1) Anglers Crag 8/1, Point winner who made a successful start for David Pipe in Leicester novice hurdle in February 2022. Hasn't kicked on from that since and added to a patchy record at Wetherby (24.2f, soft) 8 months ago. Has since moved yards (had wind op). Below best last term but useful bumper form early in career.
5	5 (5) (11/4 -69%) Top Ville Ben	2.75 11/4(-69%)	(5) Top Ville Ben 11/4, Not the force of old but looked full of zest only for his race to end with a horrible experience at Aintree on return, falling heavily and then colliding with 2 horses in his wake. No obstacles to deal with here, however, and mostly taking on inferior sorts back in a bumper. 11yo who showed as recently as March that he retains considerable spark; could go well.
4	4 (4) (12/1 +25%) Punxsutawney Phil	12 12/1(+25%)	(4) Punxsutawney Phil 12/1, Just fair over jumps though was a winner on the AW on the Flat a year ago so may do better than official ratings suggest. 2-time Tapeta winner elsewhere but his current form is a concern regarding today's claims.
3	3 (3) (33/1 +50%) Go Fox	33 33/1(+50%)	(3) Go Fox 33/1, Took advantage of a much-reduced mark when successful at Fakenham in June and followed up at Stratford (17f) 16 days later. Generally poor efforts since, though, and likely to be outclassed here. Engaged 2.06 Doncaster Saturday. Two-time Flat winner; two chase wins this June but has struggled since; others preferred.

LTO Selection:

CAPTAIN MORGS bounced back to form when second over fences at Huntingdon a month ago and Nicky Henderson's gelding is hard to oppose in a race of this nature. Punxsutawney Phil won a bumper on Tapeta on his debut at Newcastle back in 2021 and he should not be underestimated as a result, while Top Ville Ben completes the shortlist.

TOP VILLE BEN and Captain Morgs are much the best of these over jumps, with preference for the more reliable former despite his bad Aintree experience 5 weeks ago.

The Nicky Henderson-trained CAPTAIN MORGS is a useful hurdler and chaser, and he earns the vote.

14:55 Southwell Stakes (Class 4) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:00 Leicester Handicap Chase (Class 4) 23f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
8	8 (8) (4/1 -14%) Brandisova	4 4/1(-14%)	(8) Brandisova 4/1, Off the mark over hurdles at Fakenham in February and bettered that when following up in this sphere at the same course (3m, soft) next time. Decent placed efforts both starts since, including at Lingfield on return, and should go well again. Excellent return when only tiring late on; bit to prove right-handed but chance otherwise.
1	1 (1) (5/2 +17%) Ballycamus	2.5 5/2(+17%)	(1) Ballycamus 5/2, Doubled his career tally when scoring at Newbury (24.2f, soft) in March, seeming to relish the emphasis on stamina. Shaped encouragingly when placed both starts this term and will make a chaser (Irish point winner). Matched his best hurdling RPR last time; should be every bit as good over fences.
4	4 (4) (7/2 -40%) Special Acceptance	3.5 7/2(-40%)	(4) Special Acceptance 7/2, Plummeted down the weights and posted best effort for some time when second at Haydock (25.6f, good to firm) in April. Backed that up when filling same spot at Huntingdon on return and must enter calculations. Responded well for pressure to close on the winner in a veterans' race at Huntingdon.
2	2 (2) (7/1 +7%) Inflexible	7 7/1(+7%)	(2) Inflexible 7/1, Performed with credit both outings in France and fair form over hurdles so far for current stable. Let down by jumping back over fences at Warwick on comeback but return to further will suit. Disappointed on return to fences at Warwick and is not progressing.
6	6 (6) (8/1 -33%) Val Dancer	8 8/1(-33%)	(6) Val Dancer 8/1, Runner-up in a bumper and made second hurdles start a winning one at Bangor (19.6f. heavy) a year ago. Didn't fire subsequently and made just a satisfactory start to life over fences when third at Ludlow on return. Headgear applied. His third at Ludlow on chasing debut (2m4f, good to soft) was a 21l defeat.
7	7 (7) (9/1 +10%) Has Troke	9 9/1(+10%)	(7) Has Troke 9/1, Fair hurdler who was more miss than hit last season and never landed a blow at Lingfield on chase bow/return. Never remotely dangerous on chase debut and may need the cheekpieces back on.
5	5 (5) (16/1 -14%) Aviewtosea	16 16/1(-14%)	(5) Aviewtosea 16/1, Patchy form over both hurdles and fences this season and ran a moody race at Market Rasen 10 days ago. Others more solid. Third at Stratford in October but has been very flat in his two subsequent runs.
3	3 (3) (40/1 +0%) Mortens Leam	40 40/1(+0%)	(3) Mortens Leam 40/1, Five-time winner over fences but offered little on return from 21 months off at Fontwell on Boxing Day and has plenty to prove now returning from another absence. Getting long in the tooth now and was pulled up last December after a long layoff.

LTO Selection:

BALLYCAMUS lost little in defeat when finding only Benign Dictator too strong at Warwick last month. A 2lb rise may not be enough to prevent him from opening his account at the first attempt over fences. Special Acceptance should put his experience in this discipline to good effect and is a viable alternative, while it's too early to write off the lightly-raced Inflexible.

BALLYCAMUS has shaped well on both his starts back from a break this season and this Irish point winner remains of interest now going chasing with his yard remaining in fine form. Brandisova and Special Acceptance are feared most having made promising reappearances at Lingfield and Huntingdon respectively.

Preference is for BALLYCAMUS, who matched his best hurdles RPR last time and there's reason to believe he might be better over fences.

15:00 Leicester Handicap Chase (Class 4) 23f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:10 Fairyhouse Handicap Hurdle 16f - 19 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
9	9 (9) (3/1 +33%) Foxy Girl	3 3/1(+33%)	(9) Foxy Girl 3/1, 9/4 and hooded for 1st time, promising third of 11 to Magic Tricks on her handicap bow at Down Royal (16.9f, soft) 22 days ago, running on having been caught further back than ideal. Stable in good form. Expected to be bang there. Promising seasonal debut, could reverse form with Magic Tricks and The Model Kingdom.
7	7 (7) (7/2 +36%) The Model Kingdom	3.5 7/2(+36%)	(7) The Model Kingdom 7/2, Good 2 lengths second of 11 to Magic Tricks in handicap hurdle (2/1) at Down Royal (16.9f, soft) 22 days ago, not ideally placed. Not taken lightly. Second at Down Royal, renews rivalry with winner and second, not certain to beat either.
10	10 (10) (8/1 -14%) Flamborough	8 8/1(-14%)	(10) Flamborough 8/1, 7/4, career best when winning 18-runner novice hurdle at Cork (16f, soft) 28 days ago, staying on well. Improving all the time recently so he's firmly in the picture. Similar chance to Common Practice on Listowel form, better form than that rival since then.
13	13 (13) (10/1 -25%) Conyers Hill	10 10/1(-25%)	(13) Conyers Hill 10/1, 2 wins from 4 runs this season. Career best when winning 12-runner handicap hurdle at Cork (16f, soft, 10/3) 28 days ago, driven out. Shortlisted. Won on handicap debut at Cork four weeks ago, 8lb rise for a head success seems harsh.
11	11 (11) (11/1 +21%) Media Naranja	11 11/1(+21%)	(11) Media Naranja 11/1, 1 win from 3 runs this season. Creditable 12¾ lengths third of 7 to Irish Point in Jezki Hurdle at Down Royal (16.9f, soft, 20/1) 23 days ago. Yard in good form. Not ruled out. Ran as well as could have been expected when third to a talented stablemate at Down Royal.
19	19 (19) (12/1 +25%) My Gaffer	12 12/1(+25%)	(19) My Gaffer 12/1, 11/1, 13 lengths fourth of 6 to What's Up Darling in For Auction Novices' Hurdle at Navan (16f, heavy) 15 days ago. Can give a good account. Set a stiff task last time in a Grade 3 contest, same story from 3lb out of the handicap..
6	6 (6) (14/1 +13%) Common Practice	14 14/1(+13%)	(6) Common Practice 14/1, Below form ninth of 19 in handicap hurdle at Naas (19.9f, soft, 16/1) 21 days ago, not knocked about. Tongue strap on 1st time. Enters calculations if back on his A-game. Third in Lartigue at Listowel in first-time cheekpieces; tongue-tie added after Naas run.
1	1 (1) (15/2 -7%) Magic Tricks	7.5 15/2(-7%)	(1) Magic Tricks 15/2, 1 win from 3 runs this season. 5/1, career best when winning 11-runner handicap hurdle at Down Royal (16.9f, soft) 22 days ago by 2 lengths from The Model Kingdom, driven out. Trainer going well. In the mix. Beat today's rivals The Model Kingdom and Foxy Girl at Down Royal, may be involved again.
12	12 (12) (16/1 -146%) Ted Hastings	16 16/1(-146%)	(12) Ted Hastings 16/1, Off 4 months before posting a good third of 15 in handicap hurdle at Galway (16f, heavy, 11/1) 35 days ago, running on. Trainer going well. Another bold show likely. A staying-on third in a 2m handicap hurdle at Galway with Hey Johnny and My Gaffer behind.
2	2 (2) (20/1 -67%) Coeur Sublime	20 20/1(-67%)	(2) Coeur Sublime 20/1, Good second of 11 in minor event (7/4) at the Curragh (12f, heavy) 33 days ago, running on. Switches from Flat to hurdles. Trainer going well. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Ought to be in the shake-up. Never at his best when set stiff tasks over fences last winter, fit from Flat action now.
14	14 (14) (25/1 -25%) Morning Soldier	25 25/1(-25%)	(14) Morning Soldier 25/1, Fourth of 6 in minor event hurdle at Naas (16f, soft, 33/1) 21 days ago, faring best of those held up. Possibilities. Now 0-8 over hurdles, struggled in the Lartigue at Listowel on handicap debut.
4	4 (4) (28/1 -40%) Jeff Kidder	28 28/1(-40%)	(4) Jeff Kidder 28/1, C&D winner. Non-staying fourth of 6 in minor event hurdle (5/2) at Down Royal (24f, good to soft) 93 days ago. Significantly back down in trip and not ruled out. Star juvenile in 2021, a long way below his best over three different trips this term.
3	3 (3) (33/1 +0%) Anna Bunina	33 33/1(+0%)	(3) Anna Bunina 33/1, Well-beaten fourth of 7 to Magical Zoe in listed mares event at Gowran (16f, heavy, 5/1) 65 days ago. Needs to bounce back. Well below her best in conditions races the last twice, questions to answer at present.
18	18 (18) (33/1 +18%) Hey Johnny	33 33/1(+18%)	(18) Hey Johnny 33/1, Pulled up in handicap hurdle at Cheltenham (16.4f, heavy, 50/1) 14 days ago, behind when blundered 2 out. Tongue strap on 1st time. 50-1 when pulled up in the Greatwood at Cheltenham, 3lb out of the handicap.
5	5 (5) (40/1 -100%) Royal Eagle	40 40/1(-100%)	(5) Royal Eagle 40/1, 14/1, below form eleventh of 18 in handicap hurdle at Cheltenham (16.4f, good) 37 days ago. Yard in good form. Can give a good account if shrugging off latest effort. Three handicap wins since May going up two stone in the process, progress stalled latest.
8	8 (8) (40/1 -60%) Sir Allen	40 40/1(-60%)	(8) Sir Allen 40/1, 38¼ lengths fifth of 7 to Irish Point in Jezki Hurdle at Down Royal (16.9f, soft, 25/1) 23 days ago. Others more persuasive. Jumping was ragged when a remote fifth in Down Royal race in which Media Naranja was third.
15	15 (15) (40/1 -21%) By Your Side	40 40/1(-21%)	(15) By Your Side 40/1, Winner in hurdle at Naas in March. 18/1, eleventh of 14 in handicap hurdle at Galway (16.7f, soft) 119 days ago. Trainer going well so could easily bounce back. Reliable sort in the second half of last season, his rider's 5lb claim is an asset.
16	16 (16) (66/1 -100%) Little Mixup	66 66/1(-100%)	(16) Little Mixup 66/1, 28/1, twelfth of 16 in handicap hurdle at this course (16.4f, soft). Off 7 months and has his first run for yard since leaving Denis Hogan. Market can guide. Progressive in the second half of last season, lacks the advantage of a recent outing.
17	17 (17) (66/1 -65%) Cozone	66 66/1(-65%)	(17) Cozone 66/1, Winner in hurdle at Listowel in September. 66/1, below form eleventh of 19 in handicap hurdle at Naas (19.9f, soft) 21 days ago. Needs a couple of these to falter. Engaged 7.00 Dundalk Friday. Listowel winner, struggled off revised mark at Naas; in action at Dundalk on Friday.

LTO Selection:

FOXY GIRL ran well on recent handicap hurdle debut and might turn placings with two rivals and win. A capable keen-goer, she was anchored in rear at Down Royal and having finished nicely despite making a late mistake, should improve experience-wise and is 5lb better off with winner Magic Tricks and 1lb with runner-up The Model Kingdom - who both had a race-fitness edge. Media Naranja was defeated in one previous handicap and while raised 5lb for a recent Grade 3 placing, her rider claims 5lb. Her stablemate Ted Hastings ran well at Galway in October, while Flamborough won a recent maiden and has handicap experience. Conyers Hill faces a tougher task than when winning at Cork, while Coeur Sublime is in form from the Flat but his previous hurdle race was in December 2020. Jeff Kidder is a dual C&D winner but needs to return to form, while Royal Eagle was well beaten at Cheltenham. Common Practice runs in a first-time tongue-tie and was beaten 25 lengths at Naas.

Plenty are in with a shout. FOXY GIRL shaped well on her first go in handicaps when a running-on third at Down Royal and can build on that here to gain her second hurdling success. Ted Hastings figures on a handy mark and could emerge as the chief threat to Henry de Bromhead's low-mileage mare, although a solid case can also be made for The Model Kingdom, Magic Tricks, Flamborough and Conyers Hill.

Down Royal third FOXY GIRL has good prospects of turning the tables on the winner Magic Tricks and runner-up The Model Kingdom

15:10 Fairyhouse Handicap Hurdle 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:20 Carlisle NH Flat Race (Class 5) 17f - 2 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
6	6 (6) (1/5 +95%) Sea God		0.2 1/5(+95%)																															(6) Sea God 1/5, £26,000 3-y-o, £50,000 4-y-o, Sea Moon gelding. Half-brother to bumper/fairly useful 2½m hurdle winner Turn Turk. Dam unraced half-sister to top-class chaser (2½m-3¼m winner) Celestial Gold and high-class hurdler (stayed 3m) Fiveforthree. Successful sole start in British points (Mar 5). British point winner who has joined good Irish yard; firmly in calculations on rules debut.
2	2 (2) (7/2 +86%) Bogleyburn		3.5 7/2(+86%)																															(2) Bogleyburn 7/2, Shirocco gelding who made little appeal on paper and ran to only a modest level when ninth of 15 in bumper at Ayr (16f, good) last month. Easy enough to look elsewhere. 33-1, didn't run badly on last month's debut at Ayr but others have achieved more.

LTO Selection:

Malicash was a length and a position ahead of Al Kalila when third at Kelso, but they come up against some interesting newcomers to this discipline. Sea God and Tigga Time both won their sole starts between the flags and sold for 50,000 pounds and 30,000 pounds respectively. However, WALK ON QUEST changed hands for a six-figure sum after finishing runner-up in an Irish point-to-point, where a recent maiden hurdle winner was just behind him.

A few in with a squeak but AL KALILA took a step forward from his debut effort when fourth at Kelso just over 3 weeks ago and with further progress on the cards, he's taken to make it third time lucky at the expense of Walk On Quest, who finished runner-up on his sole start in Irish points but represents a yard going great guns. Malicash and Tigga Time can do battle for minor honours.

British maiden point winner SEA GOD has his first run for Irish trainer John McConnell and gets the nod ahead of Walk On Quest.

15:20 Carlisle NH Flat Race (Class 5) 17f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:25 Southwell Stakes (Class 4) 16f - 7 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
5	5 (5) (Evens +44%) Grozni	0 Evens(+44%)	(5) Grozni Evens, Bumper winner who was a fairly useful hurdler/chaser for previous yard. In good form when last seen in the summer and big shout in this field. Won over fences on final run for Charles Byrnes; has won a bumper too; leading claims.
6	6 (6) (8/1 -78%) Homme D'un Soir	8 8/1(-78%)	(6) Homme D'un Soir 8/1, Pretty useful for Stuart Crawford though let down by jumping both starts for previous yard. Bumper winner on his debut so not taken lightly back in this sphere. Useful in his prime but his form has become patchy and he has something to prove.
2	2 (2) (9/1 -11%) Boomslang	9 9/1(-11%)	(2) Boomslang 9/1, Placed both starts in bumpers and fair form over hurdles, though was pulled up when last seen in June. Needs a couple of these to underperform if he's to win but he's been placed in bumpers.
1	1 (1) (10/3 -56%) Baron De Midleton	3.333333 10/3(-56%)	(1) Baron De Midleton 10/3, Three small-field chase wins in blinkers last season. Shaped as if better for his recent return over hurdles at Carlisle. Likely player in this company. Return to form needed but he's a useful campaigner; has run well in one of these before.
3	3 (3) (14/1 +14%) Elleon	14 14/1(+14%)	(3) Elleon 14/1, Yet to win over jumps but often placed and was a bumper winner 4 years ago. Consistent in handicap chases over the last 12 months but likely up against it today.
7	7 (7) (16/1 -67%) Malina Jamila	16 16/1(-67%)	(7) Malina Jamila 16/1, Listed bumper winner at Huntingdon and also won a hurdle there last May. No show last 3 starts, however. Listed bumper winner in December 2021 but her form has gone the wrong way over hurdles.
4	4 (4) (28/1 -75%) Gms Prince	28 28/1(-75%)	(4) Gms Prince 28/1, Fair form over hurdles and not disgraced back from a long absence when fourth at Stratford. Returned from long absence with fair run over hurdles but 0-9 and others have better form.

LTO Selection:

GROZNI accounted for a useful rival when winning a bumper at Market Rasen back in May 2021 and he has gone on to have a successful career over hurdles and fences subsequently. The seven-year-old could make a successful debut for these connections, although Baron De Midleton and Gms Prince are more than capable of giving him plenty to think about.

There isn't much between GROZNI, Baron de Midleton and Homme d'un Soir on their best form over jumps with the first named perhaps the most solid option starting out for James Owen.

Bumper winner GROZNI posted a career-best performance when winning over fences in August and can follow up on his stable debut.

15:25 Southwell Stakes (Class 4) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:30 Leicester Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 20f - 7 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
5	5 (5) (6/1 -20%) Harkangel	6 6/1(-20%)	(5) Harkangel 6/1, Lightly-raced maiden hurdler who resumed from 9 months off with a solid fourth of 14 in handicap hurdle at Sedgefield (21.2f, soft) 24 days ago. Big shout eased 1 lb with that run under her belt. 5yo who has a lowly mark and has shown some promise during light career.
1	1 (1) (6/1 -20%) Ostrava Du Berlais	6 6/1(-20%)	(1) Ostrava Du Berlais 6/1, Fair maiden hurdler/chaser for Patrice Quinton in France. Changed hands for €30,000 in November 2022 but pulled up in Wincanton handicap 22 days ago starting out for her new yard after a 13-month absence. Market check advised on second run for in-form yard, but was pulled up on stable debut.
4	4 (4) (7/2 +13%) Bushtucker Park	3.5 7/2(+13%)	(4) Bushtucker Park 7/2, Lightly-raced maiden who shaped well when third of 10 to Annie Day in handicap hurdle at Warwick (19f, heavy) 25 days ago, left with too much to do. Expected to be bang there. Engaged 2.56 Bangor Saturday. Fair third on reappearance; disappointing at Bangor yesterday but can't be written off.
6	6 (6) (7/1 +13%) Catlin	7 7/1(+13%)	(6) Catlin 7/1, Scored over fences at Newcastle last November but failed to fire on her final 2 starts last term. Reverts to hurdles on return and needs to put her best foot forward. All three of her wins have come in 2m7f chases at Newcastle; this is a different scenario.
7	7 (7) (12/1 -50%) Sindabella	12 12/1(-50%)	(7) Sindabella 12/1, Arrives below form, cheekpieces back on/had a wind op before pulled up (reportedly lame) in Market Rasen handicap in June. More is required. Form has gone the wrong way but she's dropped down the weights and is not written off.
3	3 (3) (15/8 -15%) Annie Day	1.875 15/8(-15%)	(3) Annie Day 15/8, Made a winning return from 9 months off in 10-runner handicap hurdle at Warwick (19f, heavy) 25 days ago. Failed to go on from a successful start last season though so needs to back it up now. Won on reappearance; may be best caught fresh but leading claims if repeating that form.
2	2 (2) (20/1 -67%) Dazzling Dove	20 20/1(-67%)	(2) Dazzling Dove 20/1, Still a maiden but she made a positive start for new connections until beating only one in Fontwell handicap in April. No surprise to see her get back on track on her reappearance. Tailed off in April when last seen but had previously run well on first 2 starts for yard.

LTO Selection:

ANNIE DAY was given a fine ride when landing the spoils on her reappearance at Warwick last month and Ben Case's mare looks more than capable of completing a double off 6lb higher in the ratings. Harkangel displayed enough ability with her fourth-placed finish at Sedgefield to suggest that she can get involved at this level. Despite being just out of the handicap, Sindabella lurks on an attractive mark and is also worth a second look.

A tight-knit handicap in which marginal preference is for HARKANGEL who should be all the better for her recent Sedgefield fourth after an absence and remains with few miles on the clock. The reliable Dazzling Dove could emerge as the main threat on her seasonal return, although Bushtucker Park and Annie Day need factoring in too.

Having pulled well clear with the runner-up when winning on her reappearance at Warwick last month, ANNIE DAY (nap) can follow up.

15:30 Leicester Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 20f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:40 Fairyhouse NH Flat Race 16f - 10 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
11	11 (11) (Evens +47%) Undeniable Alibi	0 Evens(+47%)	(11) Undeniable Alibi Evens, €170,000 3-y-o, brother to very smart hurdler/useful chaser in France Saint Firmin (17f-21f winner), and half-brother to 2 winners, including fairly useful French hurdler Foreign Flower (2¼m/19f winner, by Poliglote). Easy winner sole start in points (Feb 12). Lots to like. Could well be a quality performer on point evidence and surprising if he did not go close.
9	9 (9) (2/1 +11%) Petit Secret	2 2/1(+11%)	(9) Petit Secret 2/1, Half-brother to 5 winners, including useful hurdler Analifet (2m winner, by Califet), stayed 2½m, and French 2¼m chase winner Grace Feline (by Balko). Every chance when fell 2 out sole outing in points (Mar 25). Obvious appeal. Fell in a point-to-point in March; obviously a big player here on debut for Willie Mullins.
3	3 (3) (4/1 -60%) Bleu De Vassy	4 4/1(-60%)	(3) Bleu De Vassy 4/1, €235,000 4-y-o, Cokoriko gelding. Dam unraced half-sister to smart hurdler (2m winner) Ivan Grozny. Runner-up sole start in points. Second of 9 in bumper (4/5) at Sligo (18f, soft) 37 days ago. Respected. Should improve for his Sligo run but he will need to; one of two for the stable here.
2	2 (2) (16/1 +52%) Ballysax Hank	16 16/1(+52%)	(2) Ballysax Hank 16/1, Twice-raced maiden. 23¾ lengths tenth of 12 to Brechin Castle in listed bumper (50/1) at Cheltenham (16.4f, heavy) 14 days ago. Clearly has abillity but likely needs to improve to play a hand here; interesting runner.
1	1 (1) (25/1 -108%) Al Gasparo	25 25/1(-108%)	(1) Al Gasparo 25/1, €80,000 4-y-o half-brother to fairly useful French hurdler/useful chaser Virgo Celestin (17f-2¾m winner, by No Risk At All). Successful on second of 2 starts in points (Mar 26). Tongue tied. Did enough to win a point at Loughrea in March; one of two for the stable here.
12	12 (12) (33/1 -175%) Skyville	33 33/1(-175%)	(12) Skyville 33/1, Fast Company filly. Half-sister to bumper winner/useful hurdler Dixie Lee. Dam French 2¼m hurdle winner. Home-bred Fast Company filly and could well be capable of a big run here on debut.
7	7 (7) (33/1 +0%) Ma Shantou	33 33/1(+0%)	(7) Ma Shantou 33/1, Shantou gelding. Brother to fair 19f hurdle winner Giacosa. Dam 2¼m hurdle winner in France. Mostly French pedigree and best watched, although worth a market check too.
5	5 (5) (40/1 -21%) His Nibs	40 40/1(-21%)	(5) His Nibs 40/1, Fourth of 9 in bumper (33/1) at Sligo (18f, soft) on NH debut 37 days ago. First run for yard after leaving Peter John Flood. Debuts for Gavin Cromwell here and no surprise should he improve a good deal from Sligo.
10	10 (10) (125/1 -525%) Torquay Road	125 125/1(-525%)	(10) Torquay Road 125/1, €35,000 3-y-o, No Risk At All gelding. Half-brother to a point winner. Mostly French racing pedigree with a mix of speed and stamina; best watched on debut.
4	4 (4) (200/1 -203%) Fascinating Story	200 200/1(-203%)	(4) Fascinating Story 200/1, Twice-raced maiden. 100/1, thirteenth of 18 in novice hurdle at Limerick (16f, heavy) 43 days ago. Makes bumpers debut. Hooded for 1st time. Soundly beaten in two maiden hurdles and makes no appeal here.

LTO Selection:

PETIT SECRET was in contention when falling on point-to-point debut and has joined Willie Mullins, who raced his Grade 1-placed half-sister Analifet. A sibling to four black-type performers, he fell at the second-last when debuting for Pat Doyle at Lisronagh and could be smart. Bleu De Vassy was beaten by a well-backed winner at Sligo in October (His Nibs finished fourth) and is experienced, with his rider claiming 5lb. Stablemate Undeniable Alibi, a 170,000-euro three-year-old purchase, won readily on Punchestown point-to-point debut for Colin Bowe and has also joined top connections. That pointing form is just ordinary but he was the clear winner and it is encouraging connections run in a bumper. Skyville is a half-sister to black-type bumper winner Dixie Lee, with Finny Maguire riding her instead of tongue-tied stablemate Al Gasparo, on whom he won a Loughrea point-to-point for Ciaran Murphy last March. Fascinating Story, interestingly, derails from hurdling and could improve in a first-time hood.

BLEU DE VASSY might be able to make his experience tell having finished a good second at Sligo, although stablemate Undeniable Alibi and Petit Secret are obvious dangers first time up in this sphere.

The one to be on could be the Elliott runner UNDENIABLE ALIBI, impressive point winner for Colin Bowe in February at Punchestown

15:40 Fairyhouse NH Flat Race 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

Racecard Key

Ths is the racecard key.

Icon	Meaning
	TomForm top stats, gold rated
	TomForm top stats silver rated
	Ran similar race before
S	TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out
T	Top Time speeed rated
	Top Racingpost rated
	At the races watchout for
	At the races top pick
	Top rated for thet statistic

How to use Tomform

Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.

This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.

About U.K Horse Racing

Horse racing is a popular and historic sport in the UK, with a tradition dating back centuries. It is a multi-billion pound industry that attracts millions of spectators each year and generates significant economic activity.

There are two main types of horse racing in the UK: flat racing and jump racing. Flat racing is run on a level course and is typically shorter in distance, while jump racing involves horses jumping over obstacles and is generally longer in distance. Both types of racing are popular with spectators and bettors, and they take place at various racetracks throughout the country.

The most famous horse racing event in the UK is the Grand National, which is held annually at Aintree Racecourse in Liverpool. It is a jump racing event that is known for its challenging course and has become a national institution in the UK. Other notable horse racing events in the UK include the Derby, held at Epsom Downs Racecourse in Surrey, and the Royal Ascot, held at Ascot Racecourse in Berkshire.

Horse racing in the UK is regulated by the British Horseracing Authority (BHA), which sets rules and standards for the industry. It is responsible for the welfare of racehorses and the safety of jockeys and trainers, as well as ensuring fair and transparent racing practices.

In addition to its economic and cultural importance, horse racing in the UK also plays a significant role in the breeding and training of thoroughbred horses. Many of the world's top thoroughbreds are bred and trained in the UK, and the industry plays a vital role in the preservation and promotion of the breed.

Overall, horse racing is an integral part of British culture and a major contributor to the country's economy. It is a thrilling and exciting sport that continues to attract a loyal following and generate significant interest from spectators and bettors around the world.

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