1 Sunday 15th December 2024 UK Horse Racing Speed Ratings & Tips

Tomform Sunday 15th December 2024

There were 21 Races on Sunday 15th December 2024 across 3 meetings. There was 7 races at Carlisle, 7 races at Navan, 7 races at Windsor, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.

Races & Results Sunday 15th December 2024

The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.

11:55 Carlisle Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 17f - 12 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	12 1st (12) (4/7 +7%) Wellington Arch	0.571429 4/7(+7%)	(12) Wellington Arch 4/7, Fairly useful bumper winner last season who translated that ability to hurdles at the first time of asking when second on 17f Exeter reappearance 37 days ago. Hard to beat with improvement on the cards. Bumper winner; bumped into promising type when second on hurdle debut; not ruled out.
2	9 2nd (9) (4/1 +43%) Throatlash	4 4/1(+43%)	(9) Throatlash 4/1, £30,000 after winning an Irish point in October. Respected hurdle newcomer. Point winner who brings potential to today's rules debut and could be in the mix.
3	8 3rd (8) (16/1 -167%) Tech That	16 16/1(-167%)	(8) Tech That 16/1, Runner-up in a point in May and showed plenty when beaten just over a length into fourth in a Ffos Las bumper (heavy) last month. Should have a future over hurdles. Has gone close in a point and a bumper and he's one to consider on hurdle debut.
4	4 4th (4) (100/1 -52%) Lord De Vinci	100 100/1(-52%)	(4) Lord De Vinci 100/1, Fourth both starts in Irish points in April 2023. Off for 609 days ahead of this hurdle debut. A watching brief is advised. Displayed promise in Irish points in April 2023 but absent since and may be best watched.
5th	2 5th (2) (250/1 -150%) Jersey Stream	250 250/1(-150%)	(2) Jersey Stream 250/1, Sent off at 40/1 when down the field in a Wetherby bumper in March. Best watched unless the betting hints a lot better is anticipated. His dam was a French hurdle/chase winner but he was tailed off at 40-1 in his sole bumper.
6th	1 6th (1) (250/1 -67%) Big Storm Brewing	250 250/1(-67%)	(1) Big Storm Brewing 250/1, Well held in a Perth bumper and 19f course novice hurdle 6 months apart. Tailed off on both starts, more recently when 300-1 for hurdle debut here a fortnight ago.
7th	10 7th (10) (11/1 -38%) Val Bassett	11 11/1(-38%)	(10) Val Bassett 11/1, Fair but temperamental stayer on Flat, successful on most recent outing at Newcastle last month. Showed some aptitude for hurdling when third of 6 at Cartmel in August but isn't sure to step up on that. Fair third at Cartmel in August on sole hurdle start and won on AW in October; a possible.
8th	11 8th (11) (100/1 -52%) Vampire Slayer	100 100/1(-52%)	(11) Vampire Slayer 100/1, Fair maiden on the Flat but unable to land a blow both hurdles starts and is probably one for later on. Hood fitted. Has shown ability on the Flat but 0-13 in that code and well beaten on both hurdle starts.
9th	5 9th (5) (28/1 -40%) Monsieur Le Fuzz	28 28/1(-40%)	(5) Monsieur Le Fuzz 28/1, Runner-up on second of 2 starts in Irish points. Better effort in novice hurdles for new connections when 17 lengths fourth of 6 at Market Rasen (20.5f) 10 days ago. Drops back in trip now. Point runner-up; 4th of 6 at Market Rasen on second hurdle run; needs further improvement.
10th	7 10th (7) (22/1 -10%) Sam's Falcon	22 22/1(-10%)	(7) Sam's Falcon 22/1, Showed ability when 11¼ lengths sixth of 12 to Epic West in C&D novice 26 days ago. May do better again. Yet to threaten but ran okay when sixth over C&D last time and has an each-way chance.
11th	3 11th (3) (250/1 -150%) Just Winging It	250 250/1(-150%)	(3) Just Winging It 250/1, 80/1 and tailed off in a bumper at Ayr in October. Always behind and tailed off at 80-1 on debut in an Ayr bumper in October.
12th	6 12th (6) (8/1 -23%) Old But Gold	8 8/1(-23%)	(6) Old But Gold 8/1, £80,000 purchase after finishing runner-up sole start in Irish points (Feb 2024). Subsequently had wind surgery. It'll be interesting to see what the betting makes of this one. Changed hands for £80,000 after going close in a point on debut; could have a part to play.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

WELLINGTON ARCH was no match for a short-priced favourite on his hurdling bow at Exeter, but there were positives to be taken from that performance. The O'Neills' gelding will have learned plenty and is expected to go one better with the experience under his belt. Val Bassett was a winner on the Flat at Newcastle in October and might prove to be the main threat, although Tech That shaped with promise on his sole bumper start and is another to consider.

This looks a good chance for WELLINGTON ARCH to go one better than on his hurdle debut. Donald McCain point recruit Throatlash may provide the main threat ahead of Tech That, who was a close fourth in a Ffos Las bumper last month.

Having kept on well to go close in a 3m point and a bumper, this stiff track should be ideal for TECH THAT on his hurdle debut.

11:55 Carlisle Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 17f PREDICTION SIMULATION

12:02 Navan Handicap Hurdle 16f - 13 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
1	1 1st (1) (13/8 -8%) Brave Troop	1.625 13/8(-8%)	(1) Brave Troop 13/8, Promising type. First run since leaving A. McIntyre when career best when winning 18-runner handicap hurdle at Thurles (16.2f, good, 11/4) 17 days ago, plenty in hand. Should progress. Won with a huge amount in hand at Thurles, 16lb higher now could prove equal to challenge.
2	6 2nd (6) (18/1 -64%) Lygon Lad	18 18/1(-64%)	(6) Lygon Lad 18/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Fifth of 18 in novice hurdle at Clonmel (19.4f, soft, 14/1) 12 days ago. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Should have more to offer for top yard. Three starts in maidens, most interesting run was over 2m4f at this venue, hard to assess.
3	2 3rd (2) (4/1 +11%) Portnacoo	4 4/1(+11%)	(2) Portnacoo 4/1, 3 wins from 5 runs this season. 9/4, career best when winning 7-runner handicap hurdle at Downpatrick (17.3f, good to soft) 65 days ago, pushed out. First run for yard after leaving Harry Smyth. Winner of three consecutive Downpatrick races for Harry Smyth, first start from this yard.
4	5 4th (5) (8/1 +33%) Luimneach	8 8/1(+33%)	(5) Luimneach 8/1, Unable to recover from blunder 2 out when ninth of 12 in handicap hurdle (6/1) at Punchestown (15.5f, good to soft) 30 days ago. Posted good placed efforts prior to that. Respected. Below his best at Punchestown last time, place possibility on the balance of form.
5th	12 5th (12) (5/1 +58%) Prince Quattro	5 5/1(+58%)	(12) Prince Quattro 5/1, Winner in hurdle at Limerick in November. Good 5¾ lengths third of 18 to Brave Troop in handicap hurdle (4/1) at Thurles (16.2f, good) 17 days ago. Enters calculations. Won at Limerick before third to Brave Troop at Thurles, 15lb better off now, place chance.
6th	3 6th (3) (66/1 -32%) Doctor Nightingale	66 66/1(-32%)	(3) Doctor Nightingale 66/1, Winner in hurdle at Limerick in April. Unseated rider in claiming hurdle (28/1) at Sligo (18.4f, good to soft). Off 6 months. First run for yard after leaving Gordon Elliott. Others more persuasive. Ex-Gordon Elliott, form highlighted by a Limerick maiden win on heavy, weak handicap form.
7th	4 7th (4) (11/2 -38%) Lady Bresil	5.5 11/2(-38%)	(4) Lady Bresil 11/2, Lightly-raced winner under NH rules. 7/2, good third of 8 in handicap hurdle at Punchestown (16.8f, good to soft) 21 days ago. Considered. Made a few minor errors at Punchestown when returning from a break, may do better now.
8th	9 8th (9) (28/1 +15%) Aine's Lad	28 28/1(+15%)	(9) Aine's Lad 28/1, 20/1, eleventh of 19 in handicap hurdle at this course (20.2f, good to soft) 29 days ago. Back down in trip. Easy to look elsewhere. Fair form in maidens, down the field in a 2m4f handicap hurdle at this venue in October.
9th	13 9th (13) (100/1 -52%) Drum Roll	100 100/1(-52%)	(13) Drum Roll 100/1, Fourteenth of 17 in handicap at the Curragh (10f, soft, 50/1) on IRE flat debut 54 days ago. Switches from Flat to hurdles. Poor on last hurdle outing. Plenty to find on form. Weak form in two handicap hurdles early in the season, transformation needed.
10th	7 10th (7) (25/1 -25%) Cozone	25 25/1(-25%)	(7) Cozone 25/1, 28/1, twentieth of 24 in handicap hurdle at Fairyhouse (20.2f, good) 15 days ago. Back down in trip. Needs to recapture the form that saw him finish second at Punchestown three starts ago.
11th	8 11th (8) (66/1 -32%) Torquay Road	66 66/1(-32%)	(8) Torquay Road 66/1, Twenty third of 24 in handicap hurdle at Fairyhouse (20.2f, good, 40/1) 15 days ago. Back down in trip. Sligo maiden winner in July; a long way below that level in four subsequent starts.
12th	10 12th (10) (40/1 -21%) Mary's Pride	40 40/1(-21%)	(10) Mary's Pride 40/1, Latest win in hurdle at Tipperary in July. 40/1, twenty first of 24 in handicap hurdle at Fairyhouse (20.2f, good) 15 days ago. Back down in trip. Won at Tipperary in June, has to recapture form after a series of uninspiring displays.
13th	11 13th (11) (28/1 -40%) Nathaniel's Dream	28 28/1(-40%)	(11) Nathaniel's Dream 28/1, Winner in hurdle at Galway in July 2022. 12/1, respectable seventh of 22 in handicap hurdle at this course (22f, soft), needing stiffer test. Off over 2 years. Can only watch after such a long time off. Beat a good yardstick at Galway in 2022, off for two years, 2m trip is probably inadequate.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

Smart on the Flat, BRAVE TROOP was well supported on his first start for Charles Byrnes when a facile winner at Thurles last month. The five-year-old is up markedly in the ratings but the ground is likely to be similar, which will suit him, and he's open to plenty of further improvement in this discipline. Portnacoo, formerly trained by his owner Harry Smyth, rattled up a hat-trick of victories at Downpatrick in early autumn and returns after a couple of months off to make his debut for Ross O'Sullivan. Clonmel maiden winner Lady Bresil ran creditably after seven months off when placed on handicap debut at Punchestown, while Lygon Lad drops in trip after showing promise in maidens.

BRAVE TROOP had any amount in hand when making successful handicap hurdle debut for new trainer Charles Byrnes at Thurles and even a 16 lb rise doesn't look enough to stop him with further improvement likely. Second choice is Luimneach who had an excuse at Punchestown last time and had been in good form prior to that. Lady Bresil and Gordon Elliott handicap newcomer Lygon Lad complete the shortlist.

As long as the ground does not deteriorate, BRAVE TROOP can probably cope with the 16lb rise handed out for a comfortable Thurles win

12:02 Navan Handicap Hurdle 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

12:12 Windsor Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 20f - 4 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	2 1st (2) (15/8 +17%) Ma Shantou	1.875 15/8(+17%)	(2) Ma Shantou 15/8, Lightly-raced winner under NH rules. 1 win from 2 runs this season. Career best when winning 5-runner novice hurdle at Warwick (21f, soft, 4/5) 25 days ago, soon clear. Should progress. Solid second (form has substance) on hurdles debut, then won easily at Warwick; respected.
2	3 2nd (3) (1/2 +19%) Excello	0.5 1/2(+19%)	(3) Excello 1/2, Useful form over hurdles and fences at up to 2¾m in France. Second outing for Nicky Henderson when winning a 21f course graduation chase last December. Came unstuck in very strong Cheltenham handicaps but returned to hurdling with good second in a novice at Ascot. Should go one better. Sets a useful standard on best chase form; went close at Ascot on the return to hurdles.
3	1 3rd (1) (8/1 -33%) Illegal D'ainay	8 8/1(-33%)	(1) Illegal D'ainay 8/1, Runner-up both starts in Irish points in spring 2023 and opened his hurdling account at Plumpton in May. Solid second at Ascot next time but a couple of these rivals look more talented Has proved consistent when completing but is only third-best on ratings in this field.
4	4 4th (4) (150/1 -127%) Lyness Dancer	150 150/1(-127%)	(4) Lyness Dancer 150/1, Behind in a couple of point bumpers and similar story at Warwick on first Rules outing. Up against it on first try at hurdling. Has failed to figure in point/rules bumpers; brings the worst form.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

Although he appears a better horse over fences with two chase wins to his name, EXCELLO certainly looks more than capable of scoring in novice hurdle company. Nicky Henderson's charge posted a respectable second on his reappearance over timber at Ascot last month and any improvement is likely to make him difficult to beat. Ma Shantou is rated 11lb inferior to the selection, while also conceding 6lb, but is heading in the right direction after an easy victory at Warwick 25 days ago. The five-year-old is feared most, ahead of fellow penalised winner Illegal D'ainay.

EXCELLO is a useful chaser and, given he's getting weight from his two main rivals, a reproduction of his recent second in an Ascot noice hurdle will likely be enough for him to go one better. Ma Shantou is open to further progress as he gains experience in this sphere and Illegal d'Ainay isn't a forlorn hope.

Jump racing returns to Windsor for the first time in nearly two decades and MA SHANTOU is selected to win this opener.

12:12 Windsor Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 20f PREDICTION SIMULATION

12:25 Carlisle Handicap Chase (Class 4) 16f - 7 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	4 1st (4) (11/4 +39%) King Of Tara	2.75 11/4(+39%)	(4) King Of Tara 11/4, A fairly useful 2m novice hurdle winner who comes here on the back of a good fourth of 17 in 2m3f Chepstow handicap 23 days ago. Type to make a chaser so he must enter calculations. Soft-ground novice hurdle winner; the drop back in trip could be a plus on chase debut.
2	3 2nd (3) (11/2 -83%) Disco Annie	5.5 11/2(-83%)	(3) Disco Annie 11/2, Bagged back-to-back 17f Carlisle handicap hurdles last month before posting a solid sixth in 2m Newbury Listed hurdle 15 days ago. This Irish points runner-up is a likely player starting out over fences. Won two handicap hurdles here last month; could continue to progress now tackling fences.
3	1 3rd (1) (13/2 +19%) Cold Sobar	6.5 13/2(+19%)	(1) Cold Sobar 13/2, Winning Irish pointer who scored twice over hurdles at Newcastle in the spring of 2023. Off for 14 months since an excellent fourth in Chepstow Grade 2 novice but he can't be discounted now going chasing. Worth a market check. Point and two-time novice hurdle winner; returns from absence but interesting nevertheless.
4	5 4th (5) (5/1 +29%) Leitrim Chief	5 5/1(+29%)	(5) Leitrim Chief 5/1, Showed ability over hurdles and stepped up on his chase debut when third of 12 in a Hexham handicap (15.6f, heavy) in April. Since undergone breathing surgery and needs considering on his return. Did well to finish third at Hexham on second chase start having been hampered two out.
5th	7 5th (7) (10/3 -21%) Fia Fuinidh	3.333333 10/3(-21%)	(7) Fia Fuinidh 10/3, Yet to score over fences but he is knocking on the door, second of 6 in 2m1f Kelso handicap last month. Up 2 lb but he can go well again. 0-8 over fences but runner-up four times and could be bang there once more.
6	6 \|U\| (6) (9/1 +55%) Ballyfort	9 9/1(+55%)	(6) Ballyfort 9/1, Showed promise over hurdles but jumped left and was welll held when falling last on his chasing debut in 2m handicap at Hexham last month. Worth another chance. Placed in points and over hurdles, but well beaten when final-fence faller on chase debut.
2	2 \|PU\| (2) (12/1 -85%) Stylish Recruit	12 12/1(-85%)	(2) Stylish Recruit 12/1, Irish point winner who readily surpassed previous hurdling exploits when a game winner of a Hexham novice (16.2f) in June. Since had a wind op and much respected now attentions switch to larger obstacles. Point and novice hurdle winner who could improve for the switch to fences; handicap debut.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

Point-to-point winner STYLISH RECRUIT gained a narrow success over hurdles at Hexham in June, but chasing ought to be more his game and it would come as no surprise were Sandy Thomson's gelding to find the required improvement. Disco Annie found Listed company a step too far at Newbury, but she is of interest now sent over the larger obstacles. Market support for useful hurdler Cold Sobar would be noteworthy following a 429-day absence.

None of these can be ruled out but the vote goes to DISCO ANNIE who was runner-up in an Irish point and arrives at the top of her game over hurdles. She is taken to go in at the first time of asking in this sphere for her in-form yard ahead of fellow chasing newcomer King of Tara who brings plenty of potential too. Fia Fuinidh appeals as the pick of those with experience and can also have a say in an intriguing contest.

James Ewart's horses are running well and LEITRIM CHIEF caught the eye staying on for third at Hexham in April, after being hampered.

12:25 Carlisle Handicap Chase (Class 4) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

12:35 Navan Handicap Hurdle 20f - 15 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
1	5 1st (5) (9/2 +59%) Glen Kiln	4.5 9/2(+59%)	(5) Glen Kiln 9/2, First run since leaving David Harry Kelly when respectable sixth of 11 in handicap hurdle at Gowran (16f, good to soft, 7/1) 36 days ago. Back up in trip. Expected to be bang there. Below his best at Gowran on return but can improve from that and one to consider.
2	6 2nd (6) (7/1 +36%) Theflyingbee	7 7/1(+36%)	(6) Theflyingbee 7/1, Winner in hurdle at Bellewstown in April. Eighth of 11 in handicap hurdle (8/1) at Ballinrobe (22f, good) 93 days ago. Fine effort in the Red Mills Final at Punchestown; not as good at Ballinrobe since.
3	12 3rd (12) (14/1 -100%) Boston Rover	14 14/1(-100%)	(12) Boston Rover 14/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Excellent second of 9 in handicap hurdle at Thurles (20.2f, good, 9/1) 24 days ago. Looks competitive on form. Raised 2lb from last time but there should be more to come and has to be on the shortlist.
4	7 4th (7) (8/1 +27%) Cast A Spell	8 8/1(+27%)	(7) Cast A Spell 8/1, 21½ lengths seventh of 8 to Tounsivator in Royal Bond Novices' Hurdle (100/1) at Fairyhouse (16.5f, good) 14 days ago. Back up in trip. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Something to find on form. Won over 2m here last month; out of her depth in a Grade 2 since; this is more realistic.
5th	16 5th (16) (80/1 -142%) Whatsyourstatus	80 80/1(-142%)	(16) Whatsyourstatus 80/1, Latest win in chase at Clonmel in June 2023. Good seventh of 13 in handicap chase (66/1) at Cheltenham (29.2f, good to soft). Off 13 months. Switches from chase to hurdles. Significantly down in trip. Well beaten when last seen over hurdles in 2023 and likely best watched on return.
6th	10 6th (10) (14/1 -87%) Kinbara Firstdraft	14 14/1(-87%)	(10) Kinbara Firstdraft 14/1, 2 wins from 5 runs this season. Career best when winning 8-runner handicap hurdle at Ayr (20.4f, good to soft, 6/1) 32 days ago. Won handicaps on good ground at Perth and Ayr this year; likely needs to improve.
7th	4 7th (4) (16/1 +0%) Cut The Rope	16 16/1(+0%)	(4) Cut The Rope 16/1, 18/1, fifth of 8 in handicap hurdle at Punchestown (16.8f, good to soft) 21 days ago. Others have achieved more. Maiden over hurdles; should have improved from his return at Punchestown; one to consider.
8th	8 8th (8) (13/2 +28%) Roxhill Roise	6.5 13/2(+28%)	(8) Roxhill Roise 13/2, 1 win from 2 runs this season. 5/1, career best when winning 15-runner handicap hurdle at Tramore (21f, heavy) 19 days ago. Should remain competitive up 6 lb. Won twice at Tramore this year; likely she needs to step up off 6lb higher than last time.
9th	2 9th (2) (20/1 +0%) Routine Excellence	20 20/1(+0%)	(2) Routine Excellence 20/1, Latest win in hurdle at Bellewstown in August. Pulled up in handicap chase (9/2) at Clonmel (20.7f, good to soft) 52 days ago, pulled up before last. Switches from chase to hurdles. Poor over hurdles and fences since his last win so has questions to answer.
14	14 \|U\| (14) (7/2 +53%) Away To Milan	3.5 7/2(+53%)	(14) Away To Milan 7/2, Good third of 19 in handicap hurdle at Punchestown (19.4f, soft, 22/1) 22 days ago, faring best of those ridden prominently. Player. Back from a long absence with a fine effort at Punchestown; go close if improving on that.
10th	9 10th (9) (13/2 +54%) Well Dressed	6.5 13/2(+54%)	(9) Well Dressed 13/2, Lightly-raced maiden. 11/4, seventh of 8 in handicap hurdle at Punchestown (16.8f, good to soft) 21 days ago. Not easy to make a case for. Well fancied for comeback/handicap debut at Punchestown but disappointed; up in trip.
11th	15 11th (15) (25/1 -108%) Solo Flight	25 25/1(-108%)	(15) Solo Flight 25/1, Excellent second of 12 in handicap hurdle at Sligo (25.8f, good to soft, 10/3), clear of rest. Off 6 months. Down in trip. Merits consideration. Runner-up over 3m2f at Sligo when last seen; can go well if repeating that over this trip.
12th	11 12th (11) (16/1 -113%) Zefania	16 16/1(-113%)	(11) Zefania 16/1, Lightly-raced winner over hurdles. 1 win from 2 runs this season. 15/8, career best when winning 16-runner novice hurdle at Kilbeggan (19f, soft) 102 days ago, driven out. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Maiden hurdle winner in September needs to find more on handicap debut.
13th	3 13th (3) (66/1 +0%) Sir Bob	66 66/1(+0%)	(3) Sir Bob 66/1, C&D winner. Fourteenth of 15 in handicap hurdle (66/1) at Punchestown (24.1f, good to soft) 21 days ago, never travelling well. Won at Cork in March; has to improve loads from his comeback effort at Punchestown.
14th	13 14th (13) (66/1 -100%) Influential Lady	66 66/1(-100%)	(13) Influential Lady 66/1, Course winner. 300/1, tailed-off last of 6 to Saint Sam in Clonmel Oil Chase at Clonmel (20.8f, good to soft) 38 days ago. Switches from chase to hurdles. Out of her depth last twice; has a squeak if back to some of her better runs of this year.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

A maiden winner at Bellewstown in April, THEFLYINGBEE acquitted herself very well against some smart novices on her next start at the Punchestown Festival and may have needed the run on handicap debut in September. Her local trainer's last two runners have finished second, which augurs well for a prominent showing from the daughter of Morozov. Kinbara Firstdraft has had her last five runs in Scotland and landed a good-ground handicap over a similar trip at Ayr last month. Well Dressed had been off eight months prior to running poorly when favourite for her handicap debut at Punchestown and is surely capable of better, while Boston Rover made a good start in handicap company when runner-up at Thurles.

AWAY TO MILAN made an encouraging return from an absence at Punchestown 3 weeks ago and is given a chance to build on that promise. Boston Rover made a good start to his handicap career when second at Thurles last month and is second choice ahead of last-time-out winners Kinbara First and Roxhill Rose.

Having run a cracker on return from a long absence at Punchestown last time, AWAY TO MILAN can improve from that to score.

12:35 Navan Handicap Hurdle 20f PREDICTION SIMULATION

12:45 Windsor Handicap Chase (Class 3) 16f - 5 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	3 1st (3) (9/2 +44%) Vincenzo	4.5 9/2(+44%)	(3) Vincenzo 9/2, Placed in some good maiden/novice events and made most of good opportunity at Exeter (16.7f) in April. Returned with a good third in Grade 2 Persian War at Chepstow but disappointed at Sandown since. Goes chasing now (has scope). Just 1-8 over hurdles but has posted some good efforts in defeat; chase debut today.
2	2 2nd (2) (5/2 +38%) Tedley	2.5 5/2(+38%)	(2) Tedley 5/2, Different proposition since switched to chasing, winning his first 2 starts at Uttoxeter and Wetherby. Runner-up twice since, including when good second at Newbury latest. In the mix. Began chase career with two wins and ran well in defeat on both subsequent outings.
3	4 3rd (4) (5/1 -43%) The Famous Five	5 5/1(-43%)	(4) The Famous Five 5/1, Fairly useful Flat winner in France who was going the right way over hurdles when last seen, readily landing handicaps at Leicester in January and Bangor in March. Caught the eye after 8 months off at Newton Abbot 2 weeks ago and interesting recruit to chasing. Dual hurdle winner at start of year; ran okay last month, after a break; chase debut today.
4	1 4th (1) (6/5 +4%) Helnwein	1.2 6/5(+4%)	(1) Helnwein 6/5, Useful bumper winner who won twice over hurdles last season, including on handicap bow at Sandown final start, and produced a highly promising first effort in this sphere after 7 months off when second at Warwick, looking the likely winner until the lack of a recent run told. Sure to improve. Very useful novice hurdler last season and made good start to chasing career last month.
5th	5 5th (5) (25/1 -150%) Doc Mccoy	25 25/1(-150%)	(5) Doc Mccoy 25/1, Impressive winner on sole start in points and successful start to hurdle career at Huntingdon (19.5f) on return in October. Struggled under a penalty next 2 starts, however, and opening mark looks a stiff one on chase bow. Impressed on point debut in 2022 and was a hurdle winner last season; chase debut today.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

Helnwein caught the eye on his only start over fences when second at Warwick, where he was produced from off the pace by Tom Cannon to hit the front before weakening close home. He can go well with that run under his belt but Alan King's gelding has to give 1lb to the more experienced TEDLEY, whose jockey claims a further 7lb. Two wins and two seconds over the larger obstacles proves he has the ability and that may be all he needs, while Doc McCoy might be the one to follow them home.

HELNWEIN continued his progress switched to fences when making a highly promising return at Warwick and appeals as the most likely winner. Tedley continued his good start over fences when second at Newbury and is feared most.

This looks good for HELNWEIN, who ended last season with an excellent hurdle win and bumped into a thriving mare on his chase debut.

12:45 Windsor Handicap Chase (Class 3) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

13:00 Carlisle Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 19f - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	6 1st (6) (9/2 +10%) Aire Spray	4.5 9/2(+10%)	(6) Aire Spray 9/2, Second in a Newcastle bumper last December. Poor form over hurdles since but handicaps provide him with a more realistic chance of success. Went close in a bumper last winter and shaped with promise in first two hurdles.
2	5 2nd (5) (6/1 +57%) Navigate West	6 6/1(+57%)	(5) Navigate West 6/1, Hinted at ability on the first of 2 outings in bumpers and similar story over hurdles in spring 2023. Has a long absence to overcome but worth a precautionary betting check on handicap debut with his yard back among the winners. Displayed only minor promise in three novice hurdles in spring 2023; back from long layoff.
3	4 3rd (4) (11/4 +66%) Independent Jimmy	2.75 11/4(+66%)	(4) Independent Jimmy 11/4, Fair maiden hurdler who wasn't disgraced when fourth on his 17f course handicap debut in October. The step back up in trip may help him. Just a respectable fourth on handicap debut but this move back up in trip ought to suit.
4	9 4th (9) (13/2 -63%) Deep Strato	6.5 13/2(-63%)	(9) Deep Strato 13/2, Point winner. Signs of ability in a bumper. Failed to make an impact in maiden/novice hurdles later in the season but no shock were he to take off in handicaps. Interesting runner, particularly if the betting vibes are strong. Well beaten in three novice/maiden hurdles last season; may fare better now in a handicap.
5th	10 5th (10) (40/1 -186%) Paddy The Panda	40 40/1(-186%)	(10) Paddy The Panda 40/1, Exposed as a poor maiden handicap hurdler and likely to be vulnerable again. 0-13 over hurdles and absent since two midfield finishes in autumn 2022.
6th	8 6th (8) (16/1 +36%) Perfect Arch	16 16/1(+36%)	(8) Perfect Arch 16/1, Still a maiden. Placed in handicaps on the Flat and over hurdles on joining this yard at the start of the summer but he's struggled on the Flat in more recent times. Went close off this mark in June but has lost his way since; now 0-43 under all codes.
2	2 \|PU\| (2) (6/1 -9%) Tees Comp's Clive	6 6/1(-9%)	(2) Tees Comp's Clive 6/1, Has shaped better than the bare result in his qualifying runs and there should be more to come in handicaps. Displayed promise in two 2m4f novice races here this autumn; handicap debut today.
1	1 \|PU\| (1) (9/1 -157%) Lathan	9 9/1(-157%)	(1) Lathan 9/1, Couldn't have been found a weaker maiden at Newcastle last month and would have bettered that form (looked set for second) but for falling 2 out at Wetherby just 24 hours later. Respected on handicap debut. Easily won a match last month; not easy to weigh up on this handicap debut.
7	7 \|PU\| (7) (9/1 +36%) Ballyquin Bay	9 9/1(+36%)	(7) Ballyquin Bay 9/1, Reached the frame in handicap hurdles for this yard last winter but pulled up on Ayr reappearance 7 weeks ago. Needs to have come on a lot. Ran poorly on seasonal debut and is now 0-16 over hurdles; difficult to enthuse over.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

Not the deepest of contests and preference is for LATHAN, who was still in contention when coming to grief two from home at Wetherby last month, a day after winning at Newcastle. An opening mark of 98 looks fair and he might not need much further improvement to land the spoils. Independent Jimmy kept on for fourth over 2m1f here in October and is an interesting contender now upped in trip, along with handicap debutant Deep Strato.

A chance is taken on DEEP STRATO, who is bred to be a good deal better than such a modest opening mark and more than hinted at ability last season. Newcastle maiden winner Lathan looks on a fair opening mark himself and is second choice ahead of Tees Comp's Clive, who also leaves the impression he could step up now handicapping.

Bumper runner-up AIRE SPRAY showed enough on his two hurdling starts last season to suggest he could be on a good opening mark.

13:00 Carlisle Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 19f PREDICTION SIMULATION

13:10 Navan Handicap Hurdle 25f - 18 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
1	1 1st (1) (16/1 -14%) Blaze The Way	16 16/1(-14%)	(1) Blaze The Way 16/1, Tailed-off seventh of 8 to The Yellow Clay in Monksfield Novices' Hurdle at this course (20f, good to soft, 66/1) 28 days ago. Up in trip. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Uphill task. Bumper winner, twice placed in maidens, takes a big drop in class after Grade 3 attempt.
2	2 2nd (2) (18/1 +45%) Toor Khov	18 18/1(+45%)	(2) Toor Khov 18/1, 1 win from 3 runs this season. Respectable tenth of 18 in handicap hurdle at Cork (20f, soft, 22/1) 7 days ago. Up in trip and not ruled out. Won a 3m maiden; has tended to be trip-versatile but well beaten over 2m4f last week.
3	16 3rd (16) (22/1 -120%) Plain Or Battered	22 22/1(-120%)	(16) Plain Or Battered 22/1, 1 win from 2 runs this season. Winner in hurdle at Wexford in May. 7/2, below form fifth of 12 in handicap hurdle at Wexford (24f, good to soft). Off 6 months. Won over 3m at Wexford in May, remote fifth off revised mark on final start before a break.
4	12 4th (12) (7/1 +0%) Crossing The Bar	7 7/1(+0%)	(12) Crossing The Bar 7/1, Fairly useful winner at 14f on flat. Good second of 7 in novice chase (11/8) at Thurles (25.1f, good to soft) 16 days ago. Switches to hurdles and expected to be bang there at these weights. Established staying handicap hurdler, runner-up in a beginners' chase last time, respected.
5th	10 5th (10) (25/1 -25%) Born Bright	25 25/1(-25%)	(10) Born Bright 25/1, Winner in hurdle at Fairyhouse in October. Good third of 4 in novice hurdle at Thurles (22.9f, good, 40/1) 24 days ago. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Can make presence felt. Point and maiden hurdle winner, not guaranteed to stay as well as some of these rivals.
6th	13 6th (13) (25/1 +24%) Healdsburg	25 25/1(+24%)	(13) Healdsburg 25/1, Lightly-raced maiden under NH rules. Below form sixth of 20 in novice hurdle at Tipperary (20.4f, soft, 66/1) 23 days ago. Up in trip. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Needs a couple of these to falter. Chased home potential novice star The Yellow Clay at Down Royal, struggled at Tipperary.
7th	7 7th (7) (5/2 +69%) The Story So Far	2.5 5/2(+69%)	(7) The Story So Far 5/2, Fairly useful winner at 18f in bumpers. Sixth of 9 in novice hurdle (9/1) at Sligo (25.7f, soft) 51 days ago. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Possibilities. Limerick bumper winner last Christmas, hard to assess, market may be informative.
8th	15 8th (15) (33/1 +0%) Rodney Bay	33 33/1(+0%)	(15) Rodney Bay 33/1, Respectable seventh of 14 in handicap hurdle (20/1) at Fairyhouse (23.5f, good) 33 days ago. No forlorn hope. 1-20 over hurdles placed seven times, weak form as a dual-purpose sort in four 2024 runs.
9th	9 9th (9) (11/4 +39%) Billy Lee Swagger	2.75 11/4(+39%)	(9) Billy Lee Swagger 11/4, 9/2, good second of 19 in handicap hurdle at Punchestown (19.4f, soft) 22 days ago. Up in trip. Cheekpieces on 1st time. One to consider. Consistent in the second half of last season, made an encouraging return at Punchestown.
10th	6 10th (6) (28/1 -12%) Doitforjane Sid	28 28/1(-12%)	(6) Doitforjane Sid 28/1, 2 wins from 6 runs this season. Latest win in hurdle at Sligo in October. 11/1, eleventh of 15 in handicap hurdle at Punchestown (24.1f, good to soft) 21 days ago. Went up 25lb for wins at Killarney and Sligo, down the field at Punchestown last time.
11th	3 11th (3) (16/1 -33%) Western Zara	16 16/1(-33%)	(3) Western Zara 16/1, 10/3, pulled up in handicap hurdle at Wexford (24.2f, heavy) 7 months ago. Needs to hit the ground running. Ended last season on a low new, ran well when fresh on last season's reappearance.
12th	4 12th (4) (80/1 -300%) Presenting Doyen	80 80/1(-300%)	(4) Presenting Doyen 80/1, Below-par fifth of 7 in handicap hurdle at Thurles (20.2f, good to soft) 16 days ago. Up in trip. 2024 form has not been very encouraging, stable's two other runners are more appealing.
13th	11 13th (11) (25/1 -108%) Boston Beach	25 25/1(-108%)	(11) Boston Beach 25/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 125/1, good third of 16 in novice hurdle at Listowel (18f, soft) 79 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Should progress. Handicap mark is based on three runs at up to 2m2f, an unknown quantity over this trip.
14th	18 14th (18) (28/1 +15%) Tullyhogue Fort	28 28/1(+15%)	(18) Tullyhogue Fort 28/1, 16/1, creditable fifth of 14 in handicap hurdle at Fairyhouse (20.2f, good) 33 days ago. Back up in trip. Can give a good account. Has managed a couple of respectable runs this year but others make more appeal.
15th	8 15th (8) (16/1 -14%) Where's Frankie	16 16/1(-14%)	(8) Where's Frankie 16/1, Five wins from 19 NH runs. Pulled up in handicap chase (16/1) at Fairyhouse (29.1f, heavy). Off 8 months. Switches from chase to hurdles. Better known as a chaser, won over an extended 3m4f last season, may need the run.
16th	17 16th (17) (11/1 -38%) Royal Cave	11 11/1(-38%)	(17) Royal Cave 11/1, 5/2, still in front when fell last in handicap hurdle at Fairyhouse (24f, good) 69 days ago. Must enter calculations. Held a narrow advantage when falling at the last at Fairyhouse, a leading contender.
17th	14 17th (14) (25/1 -108%) Robyndeglory	25 25/1(-108%)	(14) Robyndeglory 25/1, Fourteen runs since last win in 2023. 22/1, good third of 18 in handicap hurdle at Tipperary (24.7f, soft) 23 days ago. Considered. Five hurdles wins, showed a return to form at Tipperary on her third start for this yard.
5	5 \|PU\| (5) (20/1 -208%) Churchwarden	20 20/1(-208%)	(5) Churchwarden 20/1, 1 win from 3 runs this season. 15/8, career best when winning 6-runner handicap hurdle at Kilbeggan (19f, soft) 102 days ago. Not taken lightly stepping up in trip. Youngster made a winning handicap debut in September, tackles a new trip now.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

After seven months off, BILLY LEE SWAGGER shaped well on his reappearance at Punchestown and is probably still on a workable mark after a 3lb hike. He steps up markedly in trip and wouldn't want the ground to dry out too much, but is likely to go close if improving for this test of stamina. Doitforjane Sid was unable to land a blow in a Pertemps qualifier at Punchestown, but won his first two handicap starts with plenty to spare and had Crossing The Bar back in fourth when successful over this trip at Sligo in October. The latter has been in good form since joining Cian Collins, while his stablemate Robyndeglory returned to form when a fast-finishing third at Tipperary.

Lots with chances but CROSSING THE BAR rates the pick of the weights back in this sphere so edges the vote from handicapping debutants Born Bright (second choice) and Boston Beach. Billy Lee Swagger, Churchwarden and Toor Khov all need factoring into this very open handicap too.

Slight preference is for ROYAL CAVE who held a narrow lead when falling at the last at Fairyhouse

13:10 Navan Handicap Hurdle 25f PREDICTION SIMULATION

13:20 Windsor Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 16f - 11 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	8 1st (8) (4/1 +0%) Starcrossed Lover	4 4/1(+0%)	(8) Starcrossed Lover 4/1, Chased home Belloccio in a 2m Punchestown maiden hurdle on debut in May. Bit disappointing when a well-held third in a Downpatrick bumper the following month but that first run was promising. Should play a part on first outing for new trainer Neil Mulholland. Raced twice for Colm Murphy, better effort on debut; leading chance on that form.
2	11 2nd (11) (4/6 +47%) La Pinsonniere	0.666667 4/6(+47%)	(11) La Pinsonniere 4/6, Showed useful form at her best in France for Francois Nicolle last season and sets a good standard for a race like this now starting out for Nicky Henderson. Consistent five-race maiden in France and has notable form; respected on British debut.
3	4 3rd (4) (6/1 +25%) French Emperor	6 6/1(+25%)	(4) French Emperor 6/1, £76,000 recruit from the Irish pointing field who offered plenty to work on when third in a 2m Lingfield novice on his hurdle debut. Likely to improve. Has shown ability in Irish point and Lingfield novice hurdle; still open to improvement.
4	7 4th (7) (18/1 -13%) Realistic Optimism	18 18/1(-13%)	(7) Realistic Optimism 18/1, Fairly useful bumper winner in Ireland in 2022 but has performed to only a modest level in 2 hurdles for this yard since returning from a long absence. May be working his way back to form; one of the main players on Irish bumper figures.
5th	2 5th (2) (20/1 -25%) C'est Different	20 20/1(-25%)	(2) C'est Different 20/1, 17/2, faded to finish a remote sixth in a Chepstow bumper 7 weeks ago. Might strip fitter now but would need to see market support to consider now hurdling. Midfield in Chepstow bumper, seeming to need the run; may do better.
6th	6 6th (6) (18/1 -13%) Mon Kaplais	18 18/1(-13%)	(6) Mon Kaplais 18/1, Hinted at ability in maiden hurdles at Chepstow and Newbury last month whilst looking more one for the longer term. Fared better at Newbury last time and could take another step forward.
7th	5 7th (5) (66/1 -164%) High Court Judge	66 66/1(-164%)	(5) High Court Judge 66/1, With a good stable but exposed as a modest performer on the Flat so it'd be a bit of a surprise were he up to making a winning start to his hurdle career here. Recent AW Flat form is modest; brings limited potential to this code.
8th	12 8th (12) (150/1 -50%) Charles Morin	150 150/1(-50%)	(12) Charles Morin 150/1, Modest handicapper on Flat and well held in a pair of Kempton juvenile hurdles this autumn. Booked for another struggle. Comfortably held in juvenile hurdles at Kempton since switched to this code.
3	3 \|PU\| (3) (50/1 -150%) Flimsy Nosebag	50 50/1(-150%)	(3) Flimsy Nosebag 50/1, Fair form in bumpers ahead of this switch to hurdles. Mixed results in three bumpers; has ability but doesn't look entirely solid.
9	9 \|PU\| (9) (66/1 -100%) Willoughby Cleeve	66 66/1(-100%)	(9) Willoughby Cleeve 66/1, Pitched into a listed bumper on his Ascot debut last December and finished well held. Best watched unless the betting vibes are strong now switching to hurdles on return. Absent since trailing home last in Listed bumper at Ascot nearly a year ago.
1	1 \|RO\| (1) (12/1 -71%) Boston Boy	12 12/1(-71%)	(1) Boston Boy 12/1, Runner-up sole start in Irish points. Failed to see things out on his first 3 starts under Rules but this 5-y-o was still bang there when running out at the second-last in a 20.5f Leicester maiden hurdle last month. Place possibilities. Still in with a chance when running out two flights from home at Leicester last time.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

Starcrossed Lover was a promising second in a Punchestown hurdle on his Irish debut before following that up with a bumper third at Downpatrick. He looks interesting ahead of his first start for Neil Mulholland, alongside French Emperor after his close-up third at Lingfield where he was in with every chance. Both can go well, but French import LA PINSONNIERE raced and placed in far better company at home and could make a winning debut for the Nicky Henderson yard judged on that level of performance.

French-recruit LA PINSONNIERE sets the bar pretty high for a race like this and can make a winning start for the Nicky Henderson yard. French Emperor made a promising start to his hurdle career at Lingfield recently and can fight it out for minor honours with Starcrossed Lover, a new recruit for the Neil Mulholland stable, and Boston Boy.

Ex-Irish STARCROSSED LOVER (narrowly preferred) and ex-French La Pinsonniere are the biggest players on hurdles form.

13:20 Windsor Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

13:32 Carlisle Handicap Chase (Class 3) 21f - 7 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	2 1st (2) (10/3 +26%) Grandads Cottage	3.333333 10/3(+26%)	(2) Grandads Cottage 10/3, Added to his chase tally in a first-time tongue strap at Leicester in January and ended the term with a good eighth of 24 in the Topham at Aintree. Returns with yard in really good nick so he's a likely player. Below best when last seen but lightly raced for his age with creditable 3-8 chasing record.
2	4 2nd (4) (125/1 -150%) Lieutenant Command	125 125/1(-150%)	(4) Lieutenant Command 125/1, Doubled his tally over fences at Leopardstown (21f) in March 2023 but has struggled since, first run since leaving Noel Meade when pulled up at Haydock 22 days ago. Has plenty to prove. Tough task last time following an absence; question mark about how much ability he retains.
3	1 3rd (1) (4/1 -14%) Lounge Lizard	4 4/1(-14%)	(1) Lounge Lizard 4/1, Unreliable sort but he signed off last term with success in 2m4f handicap chase at Huntingdon in March. Off 9 months but not ruled out if on his A-game. Progressive last season; goes well fresh and reappears with yard in good form; player.
4	5 4th (5) (5/1 -25%) Flic Ou Voyou	5 5/1(-25%)	(5) Flic Ou Voyou 5/1, Consistent sort who bids for a hat-trick after 2m4f successes at Newcastle and here this winter. Up 6 lb but he should give another good account from the front. Made it two wins in a row when scoring over C&D last month; on softer ground today.
3	3 \|U\| (3) (11/2 +8%) Prairie Wolf	5.5 11/2(+8%)	(3) Prairie Wolf 11/2, Winner of 3 of his half-a-dozen starts switched to fences last term. Yet to fire this season, though, so others appeal more. Three wins last season and well handicapped on that form, but below par this term.
7	7 \|PU\| (7) (4/1 +20%) Marown	4 4/1(+20%)	(7) Marown 4/1, Winless since 2021 but he resumed with a good second of 4 in 2m4f handicap chase here 26 days ago. Visor replaces usual cheekpieces. Place prospects once more. On long losing sequence but often runs well and is on a competitive mark; headgear change.
6	6 \|PU\| (6) (9/2 +18%) William Of York	4.5 9/2(+18%)	(6) William Of York 9/2, Completed a hat-trick over hurdles for Dan Skelton and repeated the feat for his current yard over fences in 2m4f handicap here in April. Yard is going well so this likeable sort must enter calculations on his seasonal return. Made it 3-3 in the cheekpieces when winning over C&D in April; could continue to progress.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

This looks a tricky heat to solve so only a tentative vote goes to LOUNGE LIZARD. He finished an excellent second in a hot handicap chase at Cheltenham before going one better at Huntingdon in March. Upped 3lb, he gets the nod to pick up where he left off on his reappearance. Recent course winner Flic Ou Voyou looks a danger off 6lb higher, although there is a suspicion that he may have enjoyed the run of the race on that occasion. William Of York is also noteworthy.

This is wide open but Olly Murphy has his string in excellent nick so his GRANDADS COTTAGE is taken to make a winning return and edge out the hat-trick seeking Flic Ou Voyou. William of York is another who can have a say despite having an absence to overcome, with Marown completing the shortlist.

Topweight LOUNGE LIZARD showed improved form on his final two runs last term and can make a winning return for the in-form Henry Daly.

13:32 Carlisle Handicap Chase (Class 3) 21f PREDICTION SIMULATION

13:45 Navan Handicap Chase 16f - 10 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
1	2 1st (2) (10/1 -122%) Midnight It Is	10 10/1(-122%)	(2) Midnight It Is 10/1, Career best when winning 10-runner handicap chase (5/1) at Fairyhouse (17.3f, heavy), keeping on well. Off 10 months. Can make presence felt. Helps to give Gavin Cromwell a strong hand although Money Heist is a little more appealing.
2	4 2nd (4) (33/1 -288%) Folly Master	33 33/1(-288%)	(4) Folly Master 33/1, Latest win in chase at Thurles in March. Evens, running below form when fell in handicap chase at Limerick (24.6f, heavy). Off 8 months. Significantly back down in trip. Trip is probably too short since his wins last season were obtained over 2m7f and 2m5f.
3	9 3rd (9) (7/2 +36%) Cheerful Chap	3.5 7/2(+36%)	(9) Cheerful Chap 7/2, Fairly useful winner at 21f over hurdles. 9/2, very good second of 12 in handicap chase at Clonmel (18.3f, soft) 12 days ago. Has good chance on form. A 117-rated hurdler, 13lb lower over fences, second in a recent novice handicap at Clonmel.
4	1 4th (1) (5/1 +38%) Dont Go Yet	5 5/1(+38%)	(1) Dont Go Yet 5/1, Course winner. Creditable fifth of 10 in handicap chase (12/1) at Fairyhouse (17f, good) 15 days ago. Ran in a stronger race at Fairyhouse last time, must jump better but holds definite chance.
5th	8 5th (8) (13/2 +41%) Clonbury Bridge	6.5 13/2(+41%)	(8) Clonbury Bridge 13/2, 28/1, creditable tenth of 16 in handicap hurdle at Cheltenham (21f, good to soft) 30 days ago. Switches from hurdles to chase. Down in trip. Good run over fences at Clonmel before a moderate run over hurdles at Cheltenham last time.
6th	3 6th (3) (4/1 +20%) Money Heist	4 4/1(+20%)	(3) Money Heist 4/1, Career best when winning 10-runner handicap chase (7/4) at Clonmel (16.5f, heavy), readily. Off 11 months. Should progress. Is 2-2 in handicap chases last winter, probably capable of further improvement this term.
7th	5 7th (5) (33/1 -18%) Starman	33 33/1(-18%)	(5) Starman 33/1, 22/1, fifth of 7 in handicap hurdle at Chepstow (16f, good to soft) 65 days ago. Switches from hurdles to chase. Makes handicap chase debut. Three-time hurdles scorer, three nondescript runs over fences, others preferred.
8th	6 8th (6) (17/2 +29%) Clonshire River	8.5 17/2(+29%)	(6) Clonshire River 17/2, 20/1, third of 4 in novice chase at Naas (16f, good to soft) 35 days ago. Makes handicap chase debut. Point winner in 2021, runner-up three times in maiden hurdles; ordinary chase form so far.
9th	7 9th (7) (8/1 0%) Someone's Wish	8 8/1(0%)	(7) Someone's Wish 8/1, Winner in chase at Downpatrick in September. Cheekpieces on for 1st time, good second of 8 in handicap chase (2/1) at Thurles (16.6f, good) 24 days ago. Youngster has taken well to chasing and and has fair prospects following Thurles second.
10th	10 10th (10) (9/1 +50%) A Great Buzz	9 9/1(+50%)	(10) A Great Buzz 9/1, Unseated rider in handicap chase at Galway (22.5f, heavy, 18/1) on debut over fences 49 days ago. Back down in trip. Tongue strap on for 1st time. Best hurdles run was over 2m4f, unseated in a 2m6f event on chase debut, 2m hardly ideal.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

DONT GO YET would prefer a softer surface, but he ran very well on yielding ground at Fairyhouse and now drops in grade. His jumping was a little ragged last time and an improvement in that department will see him in with a good chance of registering a second success at this venue. Money Heist is on a hat-trick after winning his first two handicap chases on testing ground, but he has been off since January. Someone's Wish has run well in three chase starts since landing a beginners' contest at Downpatrick, while Cheerful Chap was second to a well-treated rival at Clonmel and should progress from that first start in over six months.

CHEERFUL CHAP was unlucky to bump into a handicap blot at Clonmel on his return 12 days ago and remains unexposed as a chaser. The progressive Money Heist is the obvious threat as he bids for the hat-trick on return, with his stablemate Midnight It Is completing the shortlist.

Course winner DONT GO YET is dropped in class with good prospects after running creditably in a Listed handicap chase at Fairyhouse.

13:45 Navan Handicap Chase 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

13:55 Windsor Handicap Chase (Class 3) 24f - 5 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	3 1st (3) (6/1 -71%) Ballycamus	6 6/1(-71%)	(3) Ballycamus 6/1, Made a successful debut over fences at Chepstow a year ago and added to his tally at Warwick the following month. Some good efforts in defeat since and better for return third at Warwick last month. In the mix. Largely consistent; respectable third at Warwick most recently; solid claims.
2	5 2nd (5) (7/2 +68%) Minella Blueway	3.5 7/2(+68%)	(5) Minella Blueway 7/2, Winning Irish pointer who got off the mark under Rules when easily landing Chepstow maiden hurdle (19.5f) in December. Well held switched to fences both starts this season, however. Modest efforts since switched to chasing; well treated on best hurdles form.
3	4 3rd (4) (4/1 0%) Jeffery's Cross	4 4/1(0%)	(4) Jeffery's Cross 4/1, Low-mileage 8-y-o who took his form up a notch when gaining a first win over fences in 14-runner handicap at Haydock in April 2023. Below form next time and not seen since (off 19 months) but worth monitoring in the betting on return. Fighting chance, provided his consistency is maintained on return from layoff.
4	2 4th (2) (4/5 +47%) Tanganyika	0.8 4/5(+47%)	(2) Tanganyika 4/5, Enjoyed a good season over hurdles, scoring at Bangor and at Newbury. Decent start to chasing when fifth at Bangor on return and entitled to progress. Big shout in this weaker race. Ran promisingly over 2m4f on chase debut; return to 3m looks ideal; interesting.
5th	1 5th (1) (28/1 -75%) Cap Du Nord	28 28/1(-75%)	(1) Cap Du Nord 28/1, Resumed winning ways at Perth in July. Below par since, however, so easy enough to look elsewhere (6 of his 9 chase wins have come in February or March). Registered his most recent win off this mark in July; out of form since.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

JEFFERY'S CROSS has been absent since finishing second at odds-on in May 2023, but with the Skelton team in such good form it may be worth risking his race fitness as he returns to action off 3lb lower in the handicap. He won a better race at Haydock in April 2023 and a repeat of that may be enough here. Cap Du Nord's last success was off this mark in July and he could go close despite the burden of top-weight, while Ballycamus wasn't beaten far at Warwick and could also go well back up in trip.

TANGANYIKA shaped well in a stronger race than this on his chase bow/comeback at Bangor and gets the vote with improvement on the cards. The reliable Ballycamus can follow the selection home.

With improvement on the cards back up in distance, TANGANYIKA (nap) is particularly interesting. Jeffery's Cross is second choice.

13:55 Windsor Handicap Chase (Class 3) 24f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:07 Carlisle Handicap Hurdle (Class 2) 25f - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	4 1st (4) (10/1 +0%) Shallow River	10 10/1(+0%)	(4) Shallow River 10/1, Gained reward for a string of good efforts in handicap hurdles when staying on to lead close home at Exeter (23.1f) in February and not disgraced in deeper contest at Cheltenham 2 months later. Shaped as if amiss on first start for current yard at Newton Abbot on reappearance. Needs to bounce back. May have needed his stable debut in October; good case can be made on last winter's form.
2	2 2nd (2) (9/4 +44%) D Art D Art	2.25 9/4(+44%)	(2) D Art D Art 9/4, Career best when winning 11-runner handicap hurdle at Punchestown (20f, good, 6/1) in October. Far from disgraced when third of 23 in a handicap hurdle (10/1) at Navan (22.4f, good to soft) 28 days ago, shaping as though this step up in trip would suit. Claims here. Progressive Irish raider for whom this step up in trip could unlock further improvement.
3	1 3rd (1) (15/2 -125%) Gwennie May Boy	7.5 15/2(-125%)	(1) Gwennie May Boy 15/2, Made it 3-3 for Dan Skelton with a useful performance to land a competitive staying handicap at the Aintree Grand National meeting in April, earning a further 11 lb rise for that victory, Fell at 4th flight on comeback run. Dangerous to dismiss but could be one for bigger targets down the line. Made it 3-3 for yard at Aintree's National meeting; early fall on reappearance; respected.
4	5 4th (5) (10/1 +29%) Gold In The Rivers	10 10/1(+29%)	(5) Gold In The Rivers 10/1, Maiden hurdle winner in Ireland and ran well at Down Royal when last seen in May. Dropped back to the minimum trip starting out for new yard (£40,000 buy from Gordon Elliott) and could never land a blow. This test should be more to his liking and better expected. Below par on yard debut but this unexposed 5yo retains potential now back at staying trip.
5th	10 5th (10) (8/1 +43%) Shoeshine Boy	8 8/1(+43%)	(10) Shoeshine Boy 8/1, Shaded a tight finish on his 23f Hexham reappearance in October. He had hard race that day and possible paid the price for those exertions at Ayr 43 days ago (finished 3rd of 6 but well beaten). Freshened up and should enjoy this greater stamina test back on more testing ground. C&D winner who has won three times this year; good ground perhaps not ideal last time.
6th	8 6th (8) (66/1 -32%) Fonzerelli	66 66/1(-32%)	(8) Fonzerelli 66/1, Listed winner over hurdles back in 2022 but it was far from happy days on her return to the track off a 2-year absence, sent off at 100/1, finishing well beat at Ayr in April. A concern that she hasn't been seen since and question marks as to whether she is the force of old. Won Listed mares' novice hurdle in March 2022; tailed off this April after a long absence.
7th	7 7th (7) (18/5 +28%) Icare Allen	3.6 18/5(+28%)	(7) Icare Allen 18/5, Shaped better than bare result when 7th of 11 at Uttoxeter (20f) at the beginning of November. Took advantage of falling handicap mark when returning to that venue (upped in trip to 3m), winning with something in hand when well-backed 3 weeks ago. Still well handicapped on the best of his form. Capitalised on reduced mark at Uttoxeter three weeks ago and he's firmly in calculations.
8th	6 8th (6) (14/1 -75%) Feivel	14 14/1(-75%)	(6) Feivel 14/1, Twice a winner over hurdles last season but pulled up on final start. Ran a stormer in the Southern National but jumped left throughout. He will enjoy this stamina test and is likely to make a bold bid from the front if jumping straighter. Two hurdle wins early this year; reappeared with good 2nd over fences; can make a bold bid.
9	9 \|PU\| (9) (4/1 +38%) Scarlet O'tara	4 4/1(+38%)	(9) Scarlet O'tara 4/1, Defied a penalty at the second time of asking in 5-runner novice hurdle at Perth (20.2f, soft) at Perth in September, winning readily. Relished the step up in trip on handicap debut, scoring decisvely at Ascot (23.5f) last month. Progressive sort and should be in the mix here. Progressive mare who won on handicap debut at Ascot; could take an 8lb rise in her stride.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

This step up in trip could be the making of D ART D ART, who caught the eye when a staying-on third over an extended 2m6f at Navan and he looks the one to side with, despite a 7lb higher mark. Gwennie May Boy only got as far as the fourth on his seasonal reappearance at Haydock, but he was progressive last season and it will be no surprise if he is able to make his presence felt off a career-high mark. Icare Allen is also a key player.

ICARE ALLEN is still well-handicapped on the best of his form and he is taken to follow up his victory at Uttoxeter last month. Interesting Irish challenger D Art D Art and Gwennie May Boy can give the selection most to think about, while the progressive Scarlet O'Tara is also respected.

The step up in trip could prompt further improvement from the 5yo Irish raider D ART D ART (nap) and he can hit the target.

14:07 Carlisle Handicap Hurdle (Class 2) 25f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:20 Navan Handicap Chase 20f - 12 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
1	6 1st (6) (10/11 +55%) Individualiste	0.909091 10/11(+55%)	(6) Individualiste 10/11, Promising type. 1 win from 3 runs this season. Didn't need to be at best when winning 7-runner novice chase at Thurles (25.1f, good to soft, 2/1) 16 days ago, easily. Has to be taken seriously. Won a 3m1f Thurles beginners' event readily, shorter trip is not a major negative.
2	3 2nd (3) (12/1 +64%) A Wave Of The Sea	12 12/1(+64%)	(3) A Wave Of The Sea 12/1, Twenty three runs since last win in 2022. 66/1, thirteenth of 23 in handicap hurdle at this course (22.4f, good to soft) 28 days ago. Switches from hurdles to chase. Useful sort for Joseph O'Brien, lost his way during a spell in Britain, needs a revival.
3	9 3rd (9) (12/1 +25%) Mighty Oak Lad	12 12/1(+25%)	(9) Mighty Oak Lad 12/1, Fair winner at 24f over hurdles. 20/1, eighth of 12 in handicap chase at Clonmel (18.3f, soft) 12 days ago. Won a 3m handicap hurdle last season, should be better for a recent comeback over shorter.
4	11 4th (11) (12/1 -20%) Dawn Escape	12 12/1(-20%)	(11) Dawn Escape 12/1, Very good fourth of 13 in novice chase at Tramore (21.4f, heavy, 50/1) 19 days ago, finishing with running left. Makes handicap chase debut. Not taken lightly. Point winner in May, shaped quite well at Tramore on the most recent of three chase starts.
5th	10 5th (10) (12/1 0%) Don't Talk	12 12/1(0%)	(10) Don't Talk 12/1, Fair winner at 21f over hurdles. Eleventh of 12 in handicap chase (18/1) at Clonmel (18.3f, soft) 12 days ago, not knocked about. Went close at Down Royal on final start last season, never involved on his recent return.
6th	8 6th (8) (20/1 -100%) Room To Roam	20 20/1(-100%)	(8) Room To Roam 20/1, Two wins from 52 NH runs. Fourth of 7 in handicap chase at Thurles (22.4f, good, 17/2) 17 days ago. Often runs well but a hard horse to win with, 2-52 record over jumps is off-putting.
7th	2 7th (2) (14/1 -40%) Valsorpresa	14 14/1(-40%)	(2) Valsorpresa 14/1, Cheekpieces on for 1st time, sixth of 9 in handicap chase (7/1) at Down Royal (24f, good to soft) 43 days ago. Placed at Perth in his first chase, two lesser displays since then over contrasting trips.
8th	1 8th (1) (16/1 -45%) Happy Dreams	16 16/1(-45%)	(1) Happy Dreams 16/1, Fell in handicap chase (12/1) at Wexford (19.7f, heavy) 49 days ago. Gained the most recent of four chase wins at Limerick last Christmas, faller on latest.
5	5 \|PU\| (5) (17/2 -13%) Andys Flame	8.5 17/2(-13%)	(5) Andys Flame 17/2, Fair winner at 19f over hurdles. Seventh of 10 in handicap chase at Naas (20f, good to soft, 9/2) 35 days ago. Looks competitive on form. Reported to be blowing hard after failing to run to expectations here five weeks ago.
7	7 \|PU\| (7) (20/1 -264%) Soloman Lane	20 20/1(-264%)	(7) Soloman Lane 20/1, 9/4, didn't need to improve to win 8-runner handicap chase at Leopardstown (21.5f, heavy). Off 9 months. Enters calculations. Signed off last season with a Leopardstown win in March, placed first time out last season.
4	4 \|PU\| (4) (22/1 -38%) Handsworth	22 22/1(-38%)	(4) Handsworth 22/1, Course winner. 12/1, fifteenth of 19 in handicap hurdle at Tipperary (16.5f, soft) 23 days ago, never travelling well. Switches from hurdles to chase. Up in trip. Won this event three years ago, returned from a long absence with a hurdles run last month.
12	12 \|PU\| (12) (40/1 +0%) A Year Older	40 40/1(+0%)	(12) A Year Older 40/1, Ninth of 14 in handicap hurdle at Fairyhouse (23.5f, good, 33/1) 33 days ago. Makes chase debut. Weak form in handicap hurdles, no chasing experience, massive improvement needed.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

INDIVIDUALISTE won twice over hurdles for Paul Nicholls and has steadily improved in three chase outings since joining Gavin Cromwell. He looked a strong stayer when successful over 3m1f at Thurles last time and this galloping track will play to his strength. Soloman Lane won over 2m5f at Leopardstown last spring and it will be interesting to see if the market speaks in his favour after a break, while Valsorpresa ran too freely at Down Royal last month and will appreciate this drop in distance. Point-to-point winner Dawn Escape showed some promise at Tramore and now tackles handicap company for the first time.

INDIVIDUALISTE opened his chasing account with ease at Thurles last time and looks on a good mark back in a handicap. Soloman Lane can go well fresh and won at Leopardstown when last seen in March, so is next best ahead of Dawn Escape, who may do better now handicapping.

Twice successful as a hurdler over shorter trips than this, INDIVIDUALISTE gets the vote to back up a 3m1f Thurles beginners' win

14:20 Navan Handicap Chase 20f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:30 Windsor Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 16f - 7 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	4 1st (4) (3/1 +0%) Asian Spice	3 3/1(+0%)	(4) Asian Spice 3/1, Proved better than ever when gaining the third Exeter success of her career in 18.5f handicap in November. That form has been boosted since and she must enter calculations again with Harry Cobden who is 1 from 1 on this horse taking over in the saddle. All wins at Exeter but has a respectable chance, assuming she takes to Windsor.
2	7 2nd (7) (6/4 +73%) Bellbird	1.5 6/4(+73%)	(7) Bellbird 6/4, Fair maiden on the Flat in France. Scored for current yard at Ludlow (2m) in May and back to form when second at Bangor in September. Her penultimate run is forgivable and was last seen 42 days ago chasing home well-treated Harry Derham horse (Carlisle, Second of 10). That form reads well here. Ran very well at Carlisle most recently, beating all bar a subsequent scorer; good chance.
3	2 3rd (2) (18/1 -125%) Little Soiree	18 18/1(-125%)	(2) Little Soiree 18/1, Runner-up twice for Willie Mullins but showed little for Paul Nolan. More encouragement on debut for this yard in a 2m Kempton novice during the spring (in a share of third and keeping on when falling at last). Pitched into listed company on return 15 days ago (8th of 9), this is more her level. Stiff task in Listed grade last time (second run for new yard); this is more realistic.
4	6 4th (6) (11/1 +8%) Hedera Park	11 11/1(+8%)	(6) Hedera Park 11/1, Benefitted from a patient ride when winning 18-runner handicap hurdle at Chepstow (19.4f, good to soft) in November and ran at least as well under a penalty when third at Taunton (19f, good) the following week. Poor run on softer ground at Ffos Las 6 days later but race likely came too soon for her. Has something to prove back over 2m, having looked best at 2m3f/2m4f.
5th	3 5th (3) (11/2 -57%) Saisissante	5.5 11/2(-57%)	(3) Saisissante 11/2, Landed juvenile hurdle at Ludlow (15.8f, soft) in November 2023 and ran a respectable third at Newbury the following month. Blinkers discarded for comeback run 18 days ago but shaped encouragingly after a year off (raced keenly 3/8 at Hereford). Blinkers off again but remains of strong interest. Has progressive RPRs over hurdles; could take another step forward and is one to consider.
6th	5 6th (5) (4/1 +67%) Mavis Pike	4 4/1(+67%)	(5) Mavis Pike 4/1, Built on previous promise when making all on handicap debut at Fakenham (2m, good) in October. Not in the same form when a well-held third under a penalty at Fontwell the following week (17.5f). Back in distance now and this looks a tougher race. Successful at Fakenham and placed at Fontwell since switched to handicaps; unexposed.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

ASIAN SPICE stripped fitter for her satisfactory reappearance fourth when winning readily over an extended 2m2f at Exeter last month. Jimmy Frost's mare was well in command on that occasion and she gets the vote to go in again off 6lb higher under Harry Cobden. Little Soiree was outclassed in a Listed race over an extended 2m at Newbury on her seasonal return last month, but she must enter calculations easing in grade on her handicap debut. Bellbird is respected most out of the remainder.

SAISISSANTE can record her second success over hurdles, having posted a likeable comeback effort at Hereford 18 days ago. Bellbird ran well at Carlisle last time out, and she can chase home the selection ahead of Asian Spice, with Harry Cobden an eyecatching jockey booking.

On the back of a solid effort, BELLBIRD could well record her first handicap win. Saisissante is second pick.

14:30 Windsor Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:42 Carlisle Handicap Chase (Class 5) 26f - 7 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	8 1st (8) (9/4 +44%) Croagh Patrick	2.25 9/4(+44%)	(8) Croagh Patrick 9/4, On a long losing run but stopped the slide in a change of headgear when ¼ lengths second of 13 to Gipsy Lee Rose over C&D 2 weeks ago. Claims off 1 lb higher. It's a long time since he won but he ran well when second over C&D a fortnight ago.
2	6 2nd (6) (7/2 +0%) Gipsy Lee Rose	3.5 7/2(+0%)	(6) Gipsy Lee Rose 7/2, Hit the target twice last season, taking a small-field 2½m Newcastle handicap (heavy) in March. All the better for return when winning over C&D 14 days ago by 3¼ lengths from Croagh Patrick and needs considering up 5 lb. Made all over C&D a fortnight ago and can make another bold bid up 5lb.
3	3 3rd (3) (6/1 +14%) Whosmydaddy	6 6/1(+14%)	(3) Whosmydaddy 6/1, No significant impact in maiden/novice hurdles but proved a different proposition sent handicap chasing in headgear when winning over 3m at Musselburgh and Ayr. Came up short in his hat-trick bid at Hexham, however, and ran badly at Wetherby on return. Has left Sandy Thomson. Won on first two handicap/chase starts but pulled up only 18 days ago; has changed yards.
4	2 4th (2) (10/3 +33%) Largy Train	3.333333 10/3(+33%)	(2) Largy Train 10/3, Completed a hat-trick in 6-runner handicap chase (6/4) at Carlisle (20.9f, soft) 1in March but winning run came to an end at Kelso following month. Off 8 months. Up in trip. 2m5f win here in March completed hat-trick; hasn't shone over staying trips in the past.
5th	5 5th (5) (8/1 +60%) Uptown Harry	8 8/1(+60%)	(5) Uptown Harry 8/1, Regular here who capitalised on falling mark over 24.5f in March. Well held since, however, including both starts this term. His last two wins have come here but he's struggled here on both outings this season.
6th	4 6th (4) (40/1 0%) C'est Quelqu'un	40 40/1(0%)	(4) C'est Quelqu'un 40/1, Recorded back-to-back handicap chase wins for Gordon Elliott last season but form has gone the wrong way since, including both starts for this yard. Pulled up on final two runs for Gordon Elliott & no return to form since joining this yard.
7	7 \|PU\| (7) (17/2 +47%) One For Dan	8.5 17/2(+47%)	(7) One For Dan 17/2, Irish point winner but little form over hurdles/in handicap chases. Won a point in Ireland in March 2023 but struggled back under rules subsequently last year.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

The key to this race could be the recent clash here between GIPSY LEE ROSE (first) and Croagh Patrick (second), with the latter 4lb better off for a three-and-a-quarter-length defeat. Nick Alexander's mare is still taken to come out on top again and it may be that Rock Of Star gives her the most to think about, despite falling when well fancied on his stable debut here in October.

ROCK OF STAR was strong in the betting starting out for this yard when falling at the 11th here on his comeback in October so is worth another chance. Gipsy Lee Rose and Croagh Patrick were first and second in a similar event over C&D 2 weeks ago so also need considering.

The 10yo mare GIPSY LEE ROSE made it three wins from her last six starts when making all over C&D a fortnight ago and can follow up.

14:42 Carlisle Handicap Chase (Class 5) 26f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:55 Navan Handicap Chase 24f - 12 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
1	9 1st (9) (3/1 +57%) Verdant Place	3 3/1(+57%)	(9) Verdant Place 3/1, 7/1, good fifth of 11 in handicap chase at Punchestown (21.3f, soft) 22 days ago. Looks competitive on form. Hurdle winner is yet to win over fences but not a bad Punchestown return; possibilities.
2	6 2nd (6) (80/1 -142%) Salmanino	80 80/1(-142%)	(6) Salmanino 80/1, 33/1, pulled up in handicap chase at Fairyhouse (24.6f, heavy) 8 months ago. Has work to do. Pulled-up on last two starts and can only be watched after another absence.
3	4 3rd (4) (17/2 -42%) Shajak	8.5 17/2(-42%)	(4) Shajak 17/2, Useful winner at 12f on flat. Blinkers on for 1st time in this code, unseated rider 9th in handicap chase (9/2) at Fairyhouse (21.5f, good) 15 days ago. Can make presence felt if brushing up his jumping. Was 2.75l behind Potters Party at Down Royal but jumping frailties cost him last time.
4	8 4th (8) (12/1 +25%) Casey West	12 12/1(+25%)	(8) Casey West 12/1, Winner in chase at Clonmel in January. Respectable seventh of 12 in handicap chase (20/1) at Kilbeggan (20.4f, good). Off 7 months and needs to hit the ground running. Hunter chase winner was well beaten in a banks race and regulation handicap since.
5th	3 5th (3) (11/2 -22%) Potters Party	5.5 11/2(-22%)	(3) Potters Party 11/2, Right back on song after 6 months when runner-up in handicap chase at Down Royal (24f, good to soft) 43 days ago, conceding first run to winner. Winner has gone in again so big shout. A fine 2nd on return at Down Royal and if improving from that has a big chance up 3lb.
6th	12 6th (12) (10/3 +44%) Pipers Boreen	3.333333 10/3(+44%)	(12) Pipers Boreen 10/3, Fair winner at 24f over hurdles. 9/4, good second of 13 in novice chase at Tramore (21.4f, heavy) 19 days ago, just failing. Can go well again. Went close in testing ground at Galway and Tramore lately; this might be too lively.
7th	1 7th (1) (5/1 +17%) Tyre Kicker	5 5/1(+17%)	(1) Tyre Kicker 5/1, 17/2, below form eighth of 18 in handicap chase at this course (24.2f, good to soft) 28 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Can give a good account if shrugging off latest effort. Just denied at Galway but was well below form in the Troytown over C&D since.
8th	2 8th (2) (14/1 -155%) Invictus Machin	14 14/1(-155%)	(2) Invictus Machin 14/1, 1 win from 2 runs this season. Career best when winning 14-runner handicap chase (12/1) at Kilbeggan (25.4f, good to soft) 114 days ago. Not taken lightly in his current mood. Off the mark over fences at Kilbeggan in August; needs more up 8lb after an absence.
9th	11 9th (11) (25/1 -25%) Temptationinmilan	25 25/1(-25%)	(11) Temptationinmilan 25/1, C&D winner. Fifteen runs since last win in 2023. 9/1, creditable sixth of 15 in handicap hurdle at Sligo (25.7f, soft) 51 days ago. Switches from hurdles to chase. Ought to be in the shake-up. Two chase wins incl' over C&D; needs to do more than recent chase starts.
5	5 \|F\| (5) (33/1 +0%) Ringdufferin	33 33/1(+0%)	(5) Ringdufferin 33/1, Fairly useful winner at 24f over hurdles. Pulled up in novice chase at Kilbeggan (25.4f, good to soft, 28/1) 156 days ago, labouring over circuit out. Makes handicap chase debut. Could bounce back. Good run on chase debut but was poor twice since and has to do better after a break.
13	13 \|U\| (13) (14/1 +44%) Donnrua Dream	14 14/1(+44%)	(13) Donnrua Dream 14/1, Creditable fifth of 11 in handicap hurdle (12/1) at Limerick (21f, soft) 26 days ago. Switches from hurdles to chase and not dismissed. Pulled-up when last seen over fences and well beaten over hurdles since; others preferred.
10th	14 10th (14) (28/1 +15%) Danny The Fence	28 28/1(+15%)	(14) Danny The Fence 28/1, Modest winner at 24f over hurdles. Tenth of 12 in handicap chase (25/1) at Clonmel (18.3f, soft) 12 days ago. Can give a good account if shrugging off latest effort. Hurdle winner was well beaten on return at Clonmel and has to improve loads.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

POTTERS PARTY ran well on his return at Down Royal early last month and can bag another win over fences now. The Mahler gelding chased home History Of Fashion and the form got a boost with the winner going on to land the Porterstown Handicap Chase at Fairyhouse. He had Shajak back in third at Down Royal and can confirm the placings. Invictus Machin also runs in the JP McManus colours and could be a danger. The Coastal Path gelding came good over fences at Kilbeggan back in August and, despite an 8lb hike, he still looks on a competitive mark.

POTTERS PARTY signalled he is ready to go in again when an excellent second at Down Royal so looks the way to go. The handily-weighted Verdant Place heads the list of dangers, although the likes of Pipers Boreen, Temptationinmilan and Shajak all enter calculations in this competitive handicap.

Runner-up on return at Down Royal to a rival who has franked the form since, POTTERS PARTY can go one better today.

14:55 Navan Handicap Chase 24f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:05 Windsor Handicap Chase (Class 4) 20f - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	1 1st (1) (11/8 +45%) Hasthing	1.375 11/8(+45%)	(1) Hasthing 11/8, Smart in bumpers and bright start over hurdles last winter, winning first 2 starts in novice company. Well backed, could only manage sixth in EBF Final on handicap debut at Sandown in March but encouraging chasing debut at Chepstow on return. Looks the one to beat. 2-4 over hurdles last season and can build upon last month's promising chase debut.
2	3 2nd (3) (4/1 -33%) Duhallow Tommy	4 4/1(-33%)	(3) Duhallow Tommy 4/1, Proved to be a different proposition switched to fences following a wind op last term, winning 3 times (at up to 19.8f). Returned with a solid showing at Fontwell and is likely to be thereabouts again. Took very well to chasing in early part of this year and is still unexposed over this trip.
3	4 3rd (4) (11/2 -22%) Zertakt	5.5 11/2(-22%)	(4) Zertakt 11/2, Low-mileage sort who landed 3 of his 6 starts in France. Lightly raced for this yard and only third of 4 on chasing debut 8 months ago but returns with stable firing on all cylinders. Safely held on both British starts (hurdle/chase) but it would be foolish to write him off.
4	6 4th (6) (14/1 -27%) Golden De Coeur	14 14/1(-27%)	(6) Golden De Coeur 14/1, Fair form over hurdles but inauspicious start to chasing when pulled up in a handicap at Stratford 7 months ago. Can't be completely written off, though. Dual point winner; quite promising in maiden hurdles; pulled up on chase/handicap debut.
5th	5 5th (5) (16/1 -88%) Reilly	16 16/1(-88%)	(5) Reilly 16/1, Fair winner over hurdles who showed better form on his first go at chasing. Below form subsequently and hasn't been seen for 22 months, so market could be informative. Ran well in two of his three chases in 2022-23 season; returns from long absence here.
6th	7 6th (7) (15/2 +17%) Abingworth	7.5 15/2(+17%)	(7) Abingworth 15/2, A dual chase scorer (up to 2m4f) last term but brought down 6th in handicap chase at Huntingdon on return. Jumping let him down at Sandown last time but this is easier. Dual chase winner last season; ran okay last month but has a tendency to make errors.
7th	2 7th (2) (28/1 +0%) Alto Alto	28 28/1(+0%)	(2) Alto Alto 28/1, Four-time winner at Plumpton but hasn't returned in top form and others are more appealing. Might be perked up by refitted cheekpieces but others have much less to prove.
8th	9 8th (9) (8/1 +33%) Fever Dream	8 8/1(+33%)	(9) Fever Dream 8/1, Winner over hurdles at Perth in June and followed that with a couple of respectable efforts in defeat. Yet to fire over fences but it's still early days. Winning hurdler; left poor chase debut behind when very respectable fourth last month.
8	8 \|PU\| (8) (50/1 -257%) No Tackle	50 50/1(-257%)	(8) No Tackle 50/1, Only second run for his current yard when getting off the mark over fences at Leicester (22.7f, heavy) in January. Not at best when last seen, though, and may need this. Ready winner at Leicester in January but has not really built on that success since.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

REILLY hasn't been seen since running with credit in fourth over 3m at Kempton in February 2023, but he looks to have been given a chance by the handicapper on his return to the track. Having gone well fresh before, Dan Skelton's charge gets the nod to land the spoils off what appears to be a more than manageable mark. Duhallow Tommy wasn't disgraced when third in a slightly deeper race over an extended 2m3f at Fontwell in October and commands respect eased 1lb with his sights lowered, while Hasthing is also considered.

HASTHING should improve for his chasing debut and bumper form gives him the potential for a good bit more progress yet, so he's preferred to the reliable Duhallow Tommy. Zertakt is well handicapped on his French form and returns with his stable going well, so he's not without hope.

Topweight HASTHING was a promising novice hurdler last season and can build upon last month's encouraging chase debut.

15:05 Windsor Handicap Chase (Class 4) 20f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:15 Carlisle NH Flat Race (Class 5) 17f - 10 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	10 1st (10) (12/1 -50%) Smile Back	12 12/1(-50%)	(10) Smile Back 12/1, £30,000 4-y-o, Workforce filly. Sister to point/bumper winner The Gambler, and half-sister to 3 winners, including fair hurdler/chaser Shortcross Storm. Won sole start in Irish points (May 18). Notable Rules debutant. Bought for £30,000 after winning Irish point; certainly brings potential to bumper debut.
2	4 2nd (4) (4/1 +43%) Gintime	4 4/1(+43%)	(4) Gintime 4/1, €9,000 3-y-o, Mount Nelson filly. Dam (h116), bumper/2m-23f hurdle winner, half-sister to bumper winner/prolific winning hurdler (stayed 21f) Airlie Beach. Makes plenty of appeal on paper and is worth taking a chance on. Dam was talented; in-form trainer does well in bumpers and she's one to consider on debut.
3	2 3rd (2) (3/1 +33%) Crying Lightning	3 3/1(+33%)	(2) Crying Lightning 3/1, Dam unraced half-sister to useful hurdler/chaser (stayed 21f) Guitar Pete. Showed something to work on when ninth of 12 in listed contest at Cheltenham on debut and should step forward in these calmer waters. Not devoid of promise when handed tough Listed task on debut; could play a leading role.
4	8 4th (8) (15/2 +46%) Madame Bluebelle	7.5 15/2(+46%)	(8) Madame Bluebelle 15/2, Shaped like a stayer first time up when fourth of 8 in bumper at Ayr but not in the same form at Cheltenham next time. Others make more appeal. Yet to threaten but the stiff track is a positive and she's not ruled out; has had wind op.
5th	6 5th (6) (22/1 -83%) Lady Fortune	22 22/1(-83%)	(6) Lady Fortune 22/1, £20,000 4-y-o, Soldier of Fortune filly. Half-sister to fair hurdler Innisfree Lass. Likely to come good further down the line. £20,000 4yo; pedigree suggests this newcomer will need a longer trip.
6th	7 6th (7) (10/1 -54%) Little Wren	10 10/1(-54%)	(7) Little Wren 10/1, Walk In The Park filly. Dam unraced half-sister to high-class hurdler (stayed 3m) Prince of Scars out of useful 2m/17f hurdle winner Spirit Leader. Wears hood. Worthy of interest on debut. Dam from classy family; trainer is 2-5 at Carlisle; interesting newcomer.
7th	5 7th (5) (33/1 -32%) High As Hope	33 33/1(-32%)	(5) High As Hope 33/1, Runner-up in a point but only seventh when 40/1 for a bumper here on Rules debut. Needs to do more. Point runner-up but soundly beaten here on last month's rules debut.
8th	1 8th (1) (150/1 -127%) Border Queen	150 150/1(-127%)	(1) Border Queen 150/1, Half-sister to 3 winners but didn't show much at Wetherby first time out. Hard to fancy. Half-sister to three winners but tailed off at 22-1 on recent debut at Wetherby.
9th	9 9th (9) (2/1 +20%) Oh Clare	2 2/1(+20%)	(9) Oh Clare 2/1, Related to winners and started well when fourth here first time out. Should have learned from that and is open to improvement, so strong player. Promising fourth on last month's debut here and the form has a solid look to it.
10th	3 10th (3) (28/1 -180%) Desirable Walk	28 28/1(-180%)	(3) Desirable Walk 28/1, £20,000 3-y-o. Walk In The Park filly. Dam (c127/h120) 2m-2¾m hurdle/chase winner. Would enter the reckoning if the betting vibes are strong. First foal; dam useful 2m-2m5f hurdle/chase winner; may be one for further down the line.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

A promising fourth on debut here when only weakening late in the piece, OH CLARE is likely to have plenty of improvement forthcoming and this appeals as an ideal opportunity to get off the mark. Down the field in a Listed bumper at Cheltenham first time out, Crying Lightning should appreciate this drop in grade, while the well-related Gintime could be the pick of the newcomers for the in-form Nicky Richards team. Little Wren and Smile Back can be monitored for market support as well.

GINTIME is bred to go well in this sphere and, if sufficiently clued up, could be capable of getting the better of Oh Clare, who is the clear pick of those with experience. Crying Lightning should find this easier than her debut in a listed race, so she's also considered.

The attractively bred 4yo OH CLARE made a positive start to her career when fourth over C&D last month and that form reads well.

15:15 Carlisle NH Flat Race (Class 5) 17f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:25 Navan NH Flat Race 16f - 5 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
1	5 1st (5) (4/5 +47%) Kalypso'chance	0.8 4/5(+47%)	(5) Kalypso'chance 4/5, Won sole start in British points (Apr 20) 9/4, won 9-runner bumper at Punchestown (16.8f, good to soft) on NH debut 21 days ago, impressively. Sets the benchmark with improvement on the way. Ran away with a Punchestown bumper and the champion amateur is on board; maximum respect.
2	3 2nd (3) (3/1 +57%) Heads Up	3 3/1(+57%)	(3) Heads Up 3/1, Won 8-runner bumper (4/1) at Punchestown (16.7f, soft) 22 days ago, forging clear. Going the right way and has room for more. Wide-margin winner at Punchestown last time and has to be given plenty of respect.
3	1 3rd (1) (9/4 +25%) Classical Creek	2.25 9/4(+25%)	(1) Classical Creek 9/4, Won 7-runner bumper (2/9) at Down Royal (16.9f, good to soft) on NH debut 43 days ago, readily. Point form gives him scope for better still and he's a definite player. Point and bumper winner; has to step up on that form in this grade but could do so.
4	4 4th (4) (25/1 +38%) Jerry From Kerry	25 25/1(+38%)	(4) Jerry From Kerry 25/1, Lightly-raced winner in bumpers. 6/1, 40 lengths fifth of 8 to Heads Up in bumper at Punchestown (16.7f, soft) 22 days ago. Needs more. Beaten 6l by Friary Road and 40l by Heads Up in Punchestown winners' bumpers lately.
5th	2 5th (2) (10/1 +17%) Friary Road	10 10/1(+17%)	(2) Friary Road 10/1, 6/1, won 7-runner bumper at Punchestown (16.3f, good) 60 days ago by 3 lengths from Whinney Hill, helped by being held up in strongly-run race. Worth place in this grade. Two bumper wins; is worth his place in this line-up but will have to find more.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

Gordon Elliott obviously has a strong hand in this and it will be interesting to see if all the Gigginstown horses turn up. Kalypso'chance was impressive first time out at Punchestown three weeks ago and was installed as an early ante-post favourite for Cheltenham. It's noteworthy, though, that Harry Swan was jocked up early on for CLASSICAL CREEK and the Walk In The Park gelding may prove the one. He won cosily enough on his 'track' debut at Down Royal having been well touted coming into that race. Friary Road has a victory over Whinney Hill and Jerry From Kerry in the bag and is another who has to come into calculations.

Gigginstown has a strong hand in this with point winners KALYPSO'CHANCE and Classical Creek both having made impressive Rules debuts. They're likely to fight it out, with the former taken to prevail, although a case can be made for the others.

KALYPSO'CHANCE was very impressive when running away with a Punchestown bumper and has the champion amateur aboard today.

15:25 Navan NH Flat Race 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:40 Windsor Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 20f - 13 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	10 1st (10) (9/4 -13%) Loverdose	2.25 9/4(-13%)	(10) Loverdose 9/4, French Flat winner who is improving over hurdles, just failing in his hat-trick bid in 2m3f Chepstow handicap last month having lost ground with error 2 out. Up 7 lb but he can gain compensation. Has form figures of 112 since switched to handicaps; may still have more to offer.
2	2 2nd (2) (15/2 +32%) Onewaywest	7.5 15/2(+32%)	(2) Onewaywest 15/2, Lightly-raced maiden hurdler. Off 11 months since taking a heavy fall at the eighth in handicap hurdle at Wetherby (19.7f, heavy) but not discounted with yard going well. Still open to progress in handicaps and looks interesting on return from absence.
3	3 3rd (3) (11/1 +45%) Blue Hop	11 11/1(+45%)	(3) Blue Hop 11/1, Failed to take to fences in 3 starts last season but not disgraced back in this sphere when sixth of 17 in 2m3f Chepstow handicap 23 days ago. Possibilities. Ran encouragingly returned to hurdles on reappearance; may build on that effort.
4	9 4th (9) (9/2 +36%) Old Time Chaser	4.5 9/2(+36%)	(9) Old Time Chaser 9/2, Lightly-raced hurdler who looked rusty after 6 months off when fourth of 11 in novice at Bangor (16.7f, soft) 32 days ago. Can take a step forward now going into handicaps. Could be capable of significant improvement now handicapping; one to consider.
5th	11 5th (11) (33/1 +0%) Walkinthewoods	33 33/1(+0%)	(11) Walkinthewoods 33/1, It's now 11 runs since his last win in 2023 and he had a wind op before posting a below-form ninth of 15 in handicap hurdle at Chepstow (19.4f, good to soft) 47 days ago. Others appeal more. Well treated on best form but has been badly out of sorts since April.
6th	5 6th (5) (9/1 -13%) Poncho	9 9/1(-13%)	(5) Poncho 9/1, A fair hurdler who comes here on the back of success in 2m Flat handicap at Lingfield 12 days ago. Not taken lightly in his current mood off a reduced mark. Won off 70 on latest Flat start; good chance if transferring that form back to hurdles.
7th	6 7th (6) (25/1 +24%) King Of The Lake	25 25/1(+24%)	(6) King Of The Lake 25/1, Runner-up on 6 of his first 7 starts over hurdles but well below best both runs this term at Exeter and Ascot. Needs to take a big step forward. Previously a consistent maiden but has lost his form.
8th	7 8th (7) (22/1 -10%) Calshot Spit	22 22/1(-10%)	(7) Calshot Spit 22/1, Successful twice on the Flat in summer and also landed a 2m1f Fontwell handicap hurdle in September. Recorded a solid third of 6 back there last time so needs considering. New trip may have positive effect as he stays well on the Flat.
9th	1 9th (1) (16/1 -45%) Douglas Dc	16 16/1(-45%)	(1) Douglas Dc 16/1, On a long losing run but he comes here in good nick, third of 5 in handicap hurdle at Huntingdon (15.8f, good) 33 days ago. Back up in trip and in the mix once more. Currently in a consistent vein of form but has something to prove back up in trip.
10th	4 10th (4) (11/2 -10%) Fourtowns	5.5 11/2(-10%)	(4) Fourtowns 11/2, Still to register a victory but he posted a good second of 7 in handicap hurdle at Uttoxeter (19.9f, good to soft) 29 days ago. Can go well again nudged up 1 lb. Largely consistent maiden; creditable second at Uttoxeter most recently; in the mix.
11th	8 11th (8) (50/1 +24%) Reforme	50 50/1(+24%)	(8) Reforme 50/1, Fair form when reaching the frame on his first 2 outings over hurdles for Lucinda Russell but came in a well-held seventh in 2m3f Taunton handicap on yard debut last month. Has a bit to prove. Modest effort in Taunton handicap for new stable but may do better.
12th	13 12th (13) (18/1 +10%) Rubies Or Gold	18 18/1(+10%)	(13) Rubies Or Gold 18/1, Still a maiden and tried in cheekpieces when sixth of 9 in handicap hurdle at Ascot (24.4f, good to soft) 22 days ago. Tongue strap back on. Not an easy ride. Better was seemingly expected last time, only to seem a non-stayer over 3m.
13th	12 13th (12) (33/1 -65%) Kolisi	33 33/1(-65%)	(12) Kolisi 33/1, Runner-up twice in 2m handicap hurdles in June 2023 but off 16 months and well held on Flat and in 2m Warwick handicap hurdle this autumn. Lots to prove at present. Nicely weighted on best form but needs to prove he retains peak ability.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

ONEWAYWEST hit the woodwork on both hurdle starts before coming to grief four from home when still in with a shout on his handicap debut over an extended 2m3f at Wetherby last December. Off the same mark, Ben Pauling's unexposed five-year-old is taken to gain a well-deserved breakthrough victory here. Loverdose was last seen finishing runner-up at Chepstow last month and looks the main danger to the selection, despite a 7lb rise in the ratings. Douglas Dc completes the shortlist.

Plenty are in with a shout but it's still hard to side against Robert Walford's progressive LOVERDOSE who is fancied to gain compenastion for his excellent Chepstow second last time out when scuppered by a late error. Both Fourtowns and Poncho are weighted to have a say and must enter calculations, while others to consider include Onewaywest, Douglas DC and Calshot Spit.

A chance is taken on ONEWAYWEST, who has been absent for almost a year but is very interesting judged on his penultimate effort.

15:40 Windsor Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 20f PREDICTION SIMULATION

Racecard Key

Ths is the racecard key.

Icon	Meaning
	TomForm top stats, gold rated
	TomForm top stats silver rated
	Ran similar race before
S	TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out
T	Top Time speeed rated
	Top Racingpost rated
	At the races watchout for
	At the races top pick
	Top rated for thet statistic

How to use Tomform

Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.

This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.

About U.K Horse Racing

Horse racing is a popular and historic sport in the UK, with a tradition dating back centuries. It is a multi-billion pound industry that attracts millions of spectators each year and generates significant economic activity.

There are two main types of horse racing in the UK: flat racing and jump racing. Flat racing is run on a level course and is typically shorter in distance, while jump racing involves horses jumping over obstacles and is generally longer in distance. Both types of racing are popular with spectators and bettors, and they take place at various racetracks throughout the country.

The most famous horse racing event in the UK is the Grand National, which is held annually at Aintree Racecourse in Liverpool. It is a jump racing event that is known for its challenging course and has become a national institution in the UK. Other notable horse racing events in the UK include the Derby, held at Epsom Downs Racecourse in Surrey, and the Royal Ascot, held at Ascot Racecourse in Berkshire.

Horse racing in the UK is regulated by the British Horseracing Authority (BHA), which sets rules and standards for the industry. It is responsible for the welfare of racehorses and the safety of jockeys and trainers, as well as ensuring fair and transparent racing practices.

In addition to its economic and cultural importance, horse racing in the UK also plays a significant role in the breeding and training of thoroughbred horses. Many of the world's top thoroughbreds are bred and trained in the UK, and the industry plays a vital role in the preservation and promotion of the breed.

Overall, horse racing is an integral part of British culture and a major contributor to the country's economy. It is a thrilling and exciting sport that continues to attract a loyal following and generate significant interest from spectators and bettors around the world.

Top