1 Tuesday 12th December 2023 UK Horse Racing Speed Ratings & Tips

Tomform Tuesday 12th December 2023

There were 37 Races on Tuesday 12th December 2023 across 5 meetings. There was 8 races at Punchestown, 7 races at Wincanton, 7 races at Ffos Las, 7 races at Fontwell, 8 races at Southwell, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.

Races & Results Tuesday 12th December 2023

The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.

12:00 Punchestown Maiden Chase 16f - 5 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
1	7 1st (7) (9/4 +25%) Spillane's Tower	2.25 9/4(+25%)	(7) Spillane's Tower 9/4, Useful hurdler. Very good fourth of 12 in novice chase at Navan (17f, heavy, 25/1) 24 days ago. Open to progress. Two solid runs over fences but may need a longer trip to maximise his potential.
2	3 2nd (3) (10/3 +17%) Firm Footings	3.333333 10/3(+17%)	(3) Firm Footings 10/3, Useful hurdler. Latest win at Sligo in October. Respectable fifth of 19 in handicap hurdle (5/1) at Naas (19.9f, soft) 30 days ago. Makes chase debut. Decent hurdler and half-brother to smart Monalee could well make a better chaser.
3	1 3rd (1) (6/1 -80%) Captain Conby	6 6/1(-80%)	(1) Captain Conby 6/1, Useful hurdler. Bit below form 18¼ lengths third of 6 to Knappers Hill in Rising Stars Novices' Chase (5/1) at Wincanton (20.2f, soft) 31 days ago. Too keen over 2m4f latest; back in trip here and no easy task conceding weight.
4	2 4th (2) (5/2 +55%) Arctic Bresil	2.5 5/2(+55%)	(2) Arctic Bresil 5/2, Thrice-raced winner over hurdles. 13/2 and tongue strap on for 1st time, fourth of 9 in novice hurdle at this course (16f, good to soft). Makes chase debut. Stiff enough task on chase debut but runs well fresh and has to be respected.
5th	4 5th (4) (13/2 -30%) Hgranca De Thaix	6.5 13/2(-30%)	(4) Hgranca De Thaix 13/2, Useful hurdler. Third of 13 in novice chase (9/2) at Fairyhouse (16.5f, soft) on debut over fences 66 days ago. Open to improvement. Okay race on chase debut at Fairyhouse in October; lot more likely needed here though.

LTO Selection:

SPILLANE'S TOWER had Arctic Bresil and Firm Footings behind him when runner-up in a good novice hurdle at the Festival here and after settling for fourth on his chasing bow at Galway, he occupied the same position in the hot beginners chase won by Facile Vega at Navan. That experience gives him an edge over fencing newcomers Arctic Bresil and Firm Footings, who could still close the gap at least. Captain Conby has claimed minor money in a couple of Graded races, though, and might be the bigger threat.

HGRANCA DE THAIX made a positive start over fences when third at Fairyhouse in October following a nine-month absence and, likely to improve with that run under his belt, he shades preference ahead of Pinkerton. The latter was placed in two quality maiden chases at the aforementioned course last month and looks a big threat, while Spillane's Tower has also show promise in this sphere and should have a part to play, too.

An interesting novice chase in which Monalee's half-brother FIRM FOOTINGS is taken to make a winning chase debut

12:00 Punchestown Maiden Chase 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

12:20 Ffos Las Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 24f - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	1 1st (1) (13/2 -8%) Ballymagroarty Boy	6.5 13/2(-8%)	(1) Ballymagroarty Boy 13/2, Sole win came in 2018 but he ran several good races in defeat last season and resumed with a pair of creditable in-frame efforts over C&D last month. Likely to give his running again. Has very modest strike-rate but is consistent and was placed over C&D on heavy last month.
2	6 2nd (6) (4/1 -33%) Balkardy	4 4/1(-33%)	(6) Balkardy 4/1, In excellent form over fences in summer 2022 and has found only one too good on all 3 starts back hurdling on return, left with too much to do and shaping well over C&D latest. Might be the answer. Second twice over C&D last month (heavy/soft) and another good run seems very likely.
3	3 3rd (3) (17/2 -21%) Front View	8.5 17/2(-21%)	(3) Front View 17/2, Useful hurdler/chaser in Ireland for Joseph O'Brien in 2020/21. Has been given a chance by the handicapper but hasn't obviously been shaping as if ready to take advantage. Could only consider if backed. Too well handicapped to rule out but needs to turn a corner.
4	2 4th (2) (12/1 -20%) Crossing The Bar	12 12/1(-20%)	(2) Crossing The Bar 12/1, Successful twice over hurdles at Plumpton (both at 25f) during second half of last season. Bit disappointing in a couple of chases in recent months and now reverts to hurdles in a bid to get back on track. Well beaten on two chases this autumn; now back to hurdling with cheekpieces fitted.
5th	8 5th (8) (4/1 +50%) Always Busy	4 4/1(+50%)	(8) Always Busy 4/1, Caused a 66/1 surprise when making his second hurdles start a winning one at Warwick (2m) last November. Hasn't been able to repeat that effort since but his mark has come down a long way as a result and 3m might suit him. Market support worth noting. Has not progressed from shock win 13 months ago; new trip today; needs to up his game.
6th	9 6th (9) (40/1 -186%) Galop Du Bosc	40 40/1(-186%)	(9) Galop Du Bosc 40/1, Lost his form towards the end of last season and fared no better on Hereford reappearance in October (final start for Tim Vaughan). Needs to have been revitalised by a change of scenery. Badly out of form over fences; back hurdling in new headgear for new stable.
7th	7 7th (7) (7/2 -5%) Jasmiwa	3.5 7/2(-5%)	(7) Jasmiwa 7/2, Dual winner on testing ground last season, including over C&D. Posted a respectable third of 6 in handicap hurdle at Chepstow (23.5f, soft) on return 6 weeks ago. 1 lb lower now and merits consideration. Soft-ground C&D winner last season; not yet fully exposed and enters calculations.
5	5 \|PU\| (5) (4/1 +0%) Minella Double	4 4/1(+0%)	(5) Minella Double 4/1, Successful on second of 2 starts in Irish points. Disappointing in bumper on Rules debut but proved a different proposition when making a winning start over hurdles at Hexham (2½m, heavy) in October. Well-held third at Aintree (2½m again) since but retains potential now handicapping at 3m. Not obviously well handicapped on form of Hexham maiden win but open to improvement.
4	4 \|PU\| (4) (28/1 +15%) Mourzouk	28 28/1(+15%)	(4) Mourzouk 28/1, Much improved when racking up a hat-trick in April/May 2022 but not seen again until down the field at Warwick last month. Entitled to come on for that outing but can only really watch this time. Won three in a row on good ground in spring 2022 but tailed off last month, after a layoff.

LTO Selection:

MINELLA DOUBLE appeals most as he takes a drop in class to make his handicap hurdle debut. A respectable third in a class 3 series qualifier at Aintree last month, that form looks solid given the winner of that race was in the process of running a big race until he unseated his rider in Grade 2 at Sandown last Friday and a bold bid is expected from Olly Murphy's gelding. Balkardy could capitalise if the step up in trip catches out the selection, while Jasmiwa completes the shortlist.

BALKARDY shaped well from too far back when runner-up over C&D last time and can deservedly get his head back in front after a trio of seconds. Minella Double strikes as a likely improver now stepping up to 3m for his handicap debut and is second choice ahead of Jasmiwa.

C&D winner JASMIWA made a satisfactory seasonal debut in October and ought to be better suited by today's slower ground.

12:20 Ffos Las Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 24f PREDICTION SIMULATION

12:30 Punchestown Maiden Chase 24f - 6 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
1	2 1st (2) (8/11 +47%) Embassy Gardens	0.727273 8/11(+47%)	(2) Embassy Gardens 8/11, Useful hurdler. 13/2, 23¾ lengths sixth of 9 to Gaelic Warrior in War of Attrition Novices' Hurdle at this course (23.8f, good to soft). Off 7 months. Makes chase debut. Rated 140 over hurdles, same mark as Cool Survivor, lacks that rival's chasing experience.
2	5 2nd (5) (9/2 +25%) Lets Go Champ	4.5 9/2(+25%)	(5) Lets Go Champ 9/2, Promising type. Useful winner at 20f over hurdles. Third of 6 in novice chase (16/1) at Navan (20f, heavy) on debut over fences 23 days ago. Open to improvement. Soundly beaten in third behind Elliott and Mullins runners on chasing debut, tough task.
3	3 3rd (3) (20/1 -233%) Grand Soir	20 20/1(-233%)	(3) Grand Soir 20/1, Fairly useful hurdler. Fairly useful winner at 25f over hurdles. 9/2, 33 lengths seventh of 10 to Maximilian in River Don Novices' Hurdle at Doncaster (24.4f, good to soft). Makes chase debut. Built to make a staying chaser though his form suggests a preference for better ground.
4	1 4th (1) (2/1 +11%) Cool Survivor	2 2/1(+11%)	(1) Cool Survivor 2/1, Useful hurdler. Below form fourth of 11 in novice chase (8/1) at this course (18.9f, soft) 17 days ago. Up in trip. Very much the one to beat. Promising second on chasing debut, no impact last time, experience and fitness are assets.
5th	4 5th (4) (250/1 -67%) Hunt Museum	250 250/1(-67%)	(4) Hunt Museum 250/1, Lightly-raced maiden under NH rules. 66/1, fell in novice chase at Tramore (21.4f, soft) on debut over fences 14 days ago. 66-1 when fell at the fourth on chasing debut at Tramore, out of his depth in this company.
6th	6 6th (6) (300/1 -50%) One Horse Army	300 300/1(-50%)	(6) One Horse Army 300/1, Modest hurdler. 250/1, pulled up in novice chase at this course (18.9f, soft) 17 days ago, tailing off early final circuit. Back up in trip. Modest handicapper over hurdles, has struggled on his first two attempts over fences.

LTO Selection:

Gordon Elliott can do little wrong at present and looks to have a solid contender in the shape of COOL SURVIVOR, whose respectable fourth-placed finish behind the high-class Gaelic Warrior over 2m3f here last month sets the standard over fences. Willie Mullins has a good line on the worth of the form with Embassy Gardens, whose current hurdles rating of 140 entitles him to the utmost respect on his chasing debut. Lets Go Champ is in the early stages of his development in this discipline and also commands respect.

Useful-hurdler COOL SURVIVOR is worth another chance to confirm the promise of his chase debut returning to a trip that will prove much more suitable. Embassy Gardens was of similar ability over timber so is an obvious threat going chasing on his return.

With the advantage of two runs over fences and race fitness COOL SURVIVOR is given slight preference over Embassy Gardens.

12:30 Punchestown Maiden Chase 24f PREDICTION SIMULATION

12:40 Fontwell Handicap Chase (Class 3) 22f - 2 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	1 1st (1) (11/10 +12%) Quel Destin		1.1 11/10(+12%)																															(1) Quel Destin 11/10, Well held on 2m Ascot reappearance but this is much less competitive and a bold show looks assured if reacting positively to a change of headgear (first-time blinkers replacing cheekpieces). Quiet comeback but on a good mark and has won on heavy; blinkers replace cheekpieces.
2	3 2nd (3) (8/11 +71%) Zhiguli		0.727273 8/11(+71%)																															(3) Zhiguli 8/11, Returned to winning ways at Sandown in March. Respectable fourth in 3m Ascot handicap on reappearance but never got in any sort of rhythm when pulled up back there since. This much easier, though. Likeable comeback at Ascot and the ground was too fast for him back there 18 days ago.

LTO Selection:

QUEL DESTIN may have been well beaten on his return at Ascot last month, but he remains a classy individual on his day, and it was only in March that he was runner-up in a premier handicap at Sandown off 2lb higher. The fact he is unbeaten over jumps on heavy ground is another plus, and he may have too much for Bennys King, who was revitalised in hunter chases last season. Zhiguli is not be to be dismissed either for the in-form Gary Moore team.

In a contest where all 3 runners need to shrug off below-par efforts last time, QUEL DESTIN is taken to leave his Ascot reappearance behind and prove too strong for Zhiguli.

None of these ran at all well last time out but ZHIGULI (nap) did have a valid excuse at Ascot where he found the ground too fast.

12:40 Fontwell Handicap Chase (Class 3) 22f PREDICTION SIMULATION

12:45 Wincanton Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 15f - 15 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	2 1st (2) (1/4 +50%) Lump Sum	0.25 1/4(+50%)	(2) Lump Sum 1/4, Looked above average in bumpers and made an impressive start to his hurdling career when winning a 2m novice at Ffos Las on the bridle. Looks capable of much better and hard to beat. Didn't always jump with fluency on h'dle debut at Ffos Las but won easily; the one to beat.
2	10 2nd (10) (9/2 +18%) Onethreefivenotout	4.5 9/2(+18%)	(10) Onethreefivenotout 9/2, Made a winning bumper debut at Worcester in October 2021 but not seen again until pulled up on Chepstow hurdle debut 6 weeks ago. Could only consider if the betting suggests a good deal better is expected this time. Bumper winner; pulled up on return from long absence but may leave that miles behind.
3	4 3rd (4) (9/1 -13%) Banteer	9 9/1(-13%)	(4) Banteer 9/1, Fairly useful in bumpers and he shaped quite well on the back of a wind op when fifth of 8 in novice hurdle (7/2) at Hereford (2½m, good) on hurdles bow 36 days ago. Potential improver now dropping in trip. Promising second on bumper debut; well beaten twice since but could get back on track.
4	16 4th (16) (100/1 -525%) Lady Balko	100 100/1(-525%)	(16) Lady Balko 100/1, Successful on her sole outing in Irish points in February but well beaten in 2 novice hurdles last month. Point winner; things could click under rules at some point, but needs big step forward.
5th	9 5th (9) (12/1 -20%) Mountain Pass	12 12/1(-20%)	(9) Mountain Pass 12/1, Has shown a fair level of ability in maidens at Doncaster and Newbury in recent weeks and place claims in a race lacking depth. Fair fifth on first two hurdle starts; towards the top of the pecking order in this field.
6th	13 6th (13) (250/1 -67%) Solstice Saint	250 250/1(-67%)	(13) Solstice Saint 250/1, Half-brother to 4 winners but hasn't shown enough in 2 bumpers and a novice hurdle to fancy his chances here. Tailed off at 150-1 on recent hurdle debut at Taunton.
7th	5 7th (5) (150/1 -355%) Benville Bridge	150 150/1(-355%)	(5) Benville Bridge 150/1, 200/1, sixth of 12 in a course bumper on debut in March 2022 and not seen since. Can only be watched. Absent since midfield finish in bumper here in March 2022; probably best watched.
8th	1 8th (1) (33/1 -230%) Afta Party	33 33/1(-230%)	(1) Afta Party 33/1, Fairly useful Flat winner for Alice Haynes and, having left Syd Hosie, left previous hurdling efforts behind when landing a novice at Newton Abbot in October. Has disappointed in a handicap at Plumpton since, though. Cheekpieces back on. Flopped last time but 50-1 winner previously; not written off in a race lacking depth.
9th	3 9th (3) (125/1 -150%) Aworkinprogress	125 125/1(-150%)	(3) Aworkinprogress 125/1, 25/1, fifth of 8 in novice hurdle at Lingfield (2m, good to soft) on NH debut 21 days ago. More one for the longer term on that evidence. Well beaten at 25-1 on last month's rules debut in Lingfield novice hurdle.
10th	15 10th (15) (150/1 -200%) Cams Girl	150 150/1(-200%)	(15) Cams Girl 150/1, Black Sam Bellamy filly. Dam lightly raced in bumpers/over hurdles, half-sister to useful hurdler/chaser (stayed 21f) Briery Queen. Likely a longer-term project. £2,000 3yo; from in-form yard and worth a market check on debut in a race lacking depth.
11th	8 11th (8) (100/1 -525%) Loverdose	100 100/1(-525%)	(8) Loverdose 100/1, Won over 2m on the Flat in France in spring 2022 but well beaten on recent Lingfield hurdle debut after a 19-month absence. Has a hood added now. French Flat winner who was tailed off on recent hurdle debut when back from long absence.
12th	6 12th (6) (250/1 -150%) Hobbs Joy	250 250/1(-150%)	(6) Hobbs Joy 250/1, Stepped up on previous form when fair third of 5 in bumper at Catterick last November, but has offered little in 3 starts over timber this season. Showed ability in Catterick bumper but has struggled on his three hurdle starts.
13th	17 13th (17) (150/1 -200%) Theweddingcanwait	150 150/1(-200%)	(17) Theweddingcanwait 150/1, Placed in a pair of Worcester bumpers this summer (for Fergal O'Brien first occasion) but has yet to offer much over hurdles. Placed in bumpers but unable to transfer that ability to her two attempts over hurdles.
14th	11 14th (11) (66/1 -164%) Plaisir Des Flos	66 66/1(-164%)	(11) Plaisir Des Flos 66/1, Showed only modest form in bumpers for Thomas Gallagher and beaten a long way in 2 hurdles for new yard in recent weeks (although did hint at promise first occasion). Not devoid of ability in bumpers but well beaten on first two hurdle starts.
15th	12 15th (12) (125/1 -279%) Renegade Arrow	125 125/1(-279%)	(12) Renegade Arrow 125/1, Perth bumper winner in September 2021. Not seen again until well held in 2 hurdles at Chepstow last month. Another who could be more one for handicaps down the line. Bumper winner but down the field on first two hurdle starts, following long absence.

LTO Selection:

LUMP SUM made quite the impression on his hurdles debut at Ffos Las last month and a 7lb penalty for that smooth success may not be enough to prevent him continuing his progression by completing a double. That may be at the main expense of Banteer, who went for a long way before fading late on when making his own hurdles bow at Hereford. The latter's stablemate, Onethreefivenotout, and Afta Party are also capable of being in the shake-up.

This looks an excellent opportunity for the promising LUMP SUM to follow up last month's Ffos Las hurdle debut success. Banteer can improve on his opening hurdle effort at Hereford and chase the selection home ahead of Mountain Pass in a race long on numbers but not depth.

This is much less competitive than the field size suggests and may well be a good opportunity for LUMP SUM to make it 2-2 over hurdles.

12:45 Wincanton Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 15f PREDICTION SIMULATION

12:52 Ffos Las Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 20f - 5 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	1 1st (1) (2/9 +56%) The Jukebox Man	0.222222 2/9(+56%)	(1) The Jukebox Man 2/9, Point winner who has made an excellent start under Rules, landing a course bumper in March and returning to win a C&D maiden on last month's hurdle debut. Looks useful and hard to beat again. Impressed over C&D on last month's hurdling debut, winning readily by 5l.
2	5 2nd (5) (50/1 -317%) House Of Stories	50 50/1(-317%)	(5) House Of Stories 50/1, Won a point in May 2021 but hasn't been seen since. A watching brief has to be the percentage call. Bought for £44,000 after Irish point win in spring 2022; not seen again since.
3	2 3rd (2) (4/1 -45%) Three Cliffs Bay	4 4/1(-45%)	(2) Three Cliffs Bay 4/1, Left hurdle debut behind when winning a 2m course novice (heavy) last month. He was helped by the runner-up making a mess of the last and he will need to raise his game to live with The Jukebox Man. Kept on strongly from off the pace to cause 25-1 surprise here (2m, heavy) last month.
4	4 4th (4) (28/1 -12%) Ghost Hunter	28 28/1(-12%)	(4) Ghost Hunter 28/1, £80,000 buy after finishing second in an Irish point in April but well beaten on his debut for new connections in a 21f Kempton novice hurdle last month. Very early days but can only watch this time. Second on Irish point debut in April but made low-key rules debut last month.
5th	6 5th (6) (20/1 -43%) Shillanavogy	20 20/1(-43%)	(6) Shillanavogy 20/1, Cost £65,000 after making the frame both starts in Irish points. Well beaten in bumper here in the spring but those point efforts suggest he could fare better now jumping over a longer trip. Made the frame in both Irish points but well beaten in course bumper in April.

LTO Selection:

A comfortable winner over this course and distance last month, THE JUKEBOX MAN is hard to oppose in his bid to complete a hat-trick of straight wins, having breezed to victory in a bumper here on his penultimate start. As is the case with the selection, Three Cliffs Bay picks up a penalty for winning last time out and he too commands respect, with the longer trip expected to suit. Ghost Hunter is suggested as the pick of the rest.

This will probably develop into a match between last month's course winners THE JUKEBOX MAN and Three Cliffs Bay, with the former preferred.

Two of these won on the same day here one month ago. C&D winner THE JUKEBOX MAN is more persuasive than 2m winner Three Cliffs Bay.

12:52 Ffos Las Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 20f PREDICTION SIMULATION

13:00 Punchestown Maiden Hurdle 19f - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
1	2 1st (2) (5/4 +23%) Blizzard Of Oz	1.25 5/4(+23%)	(2) Blizzard Of Oz 5/4, Winner of Cork bumper in March and improved on that when second of 20 in Grade 2 event at Aintree (17f) the following month. Interesting recruit to hurdling. Quite smart sort in bumpers last season; should relish this trip on hurdles debut.
2	4 2nd (4) (5/2 +25%) Killaney King	2.5 5/2(+25%)	(4) Killaney King 5/2, Flemensfirth gelding. Half-brother to 3 winners, including useful hurdler Just Janice, stayed 23f, and fair hurdler Piaff Bubbles. Easy winner of sole start in points and trainer’s newcomers always command respect. Ready winner of point-to-point over a year ago and now debuts for Henry de Bromhead.
3	1 3rd (1) (5/1 +38%) Beau Walking	5 5/1(+38%)	(1) Beau Walking 5/1, Promising sort. 9/1, third of 16 in novice hurdle at Navan (20f, heavy) 24 days ago. May well do better. Couple of solid runs in maiden hurdles but this no easier task.
4	5 4th (5) (28/1 +15%) Kinturk Kalanisi	28 28/1(+15%)	(5) Kinturk Kalanisi 28/1, Kalanisi gelding. Dam maiden hurdler (stayed 2¾m), sister to useful hurdler (stayed 3m) Grand Theatre. Runner-up sole start in points. Point' second faces stiff task on Rules debut.
5th	3 5th (3) (7/1 -8%) Chosen Witness	7 7/1(-8%)	(3) Chosen Witness 7/1, Promising type. Tenth of 14 in novice hurdle at Naas (18.9f, soft, 8/11) on hurdles bow 30 days ago. Yard in good form. Should improve. Bitterly disappointing hurdles debut last month; Townend now prefers Blizzard Of Oz.
6th	8 6th (8) (80/1 -142%) Littlebiggie	80 80/1(-142%)	(8) Littlebiggie 80/1, Once-raced maiden. 8/1, second of 10 in bumper at Sligo (18f, good to soft) on NH debut. Off 6 months. Makes hurdles debut. Point win and bumper second were on good; more demanding conditions for hurdles debut.
7th	6 7th (6) (11/2 -22%) Rainbow Trail	5.5 11/2(-22%)	(6) Rainbow Trail 11/2, Placed in sole outing between the flags and off the mark on Rules debut when taking 10-runner bumper at Clonmel (16.4f, heavy) 33 days ago, keeping on well. Respected on hurdles bow. Point second won Cork bumper on heavy; this trip should suit now switched to hurdles.
8th	7 8th (7) (200/1 -506%) Whosmydaddy	200 200/1(-506%)	(7) Whosmydaddy 200/1, Once-raced maiden. Tenth of 11 in bumper at Ayr (16f, good, 8/1) on NH debut. Off 7 months. Makes hurdles debut. Up in trip. Points' winner but tame bumper debut in April; likely best watched on hurdles debut.
9th	9 9th (9) (300/1 -100%) Meadow Soprano	300 300/1(-100%)	(9) Meadow Soprano 300/1, Twice-raced maiden. 100/1, thirteenth of 14 in handicap at Dundalk (10.7f) on IRE flat debut 18 days ago. Switches from Flat to hurdles. Poor on last hurdle outing. Dual Flat winner in Denmark; two hurdle runs don't inspire much confidence.

LTO Selection:

An easy point-to-point winner in November last year, Killaney King is very interesting on his hurdling debut, while Rainbow Trail also represents powerful connections and the expensive purchase impressed when landing a Clonmel bumper last month after a troubled passage. However, slight preference is for BLIZZARD OF OZ, who sets the form standard with his second in a Grade 2 bumper at Aintree in the spring and the Willie Mullins-trained five-year-old could have a very bright future over obstacles.

BLIZZARD OF OZ was the best of these in bumpers and is the choice of Paul Townend on hurdles debut. He gets the nod. Rainbow Trail and Beau Walking are feared most in what should prove an informative contest.

BLIZZARD OF OZ was smart in bumpers last season and should be suited by a stamina test now sent hurdling

13:00 Punchestown Maiden Hurdle 19f PREDICTION SIMULATION

13:10 Fontwell Conditions Hurdle (Class 4) 18f - 7 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	5 1st (5) (5/1 +64%) Soigneux Bell	5 5/1(+64%)	(5) Soigneux Bell 5/1, Made a winning debut on the Flat in France in May and ran to a fair level when second in a 1¼m Epsom novice on his first run for Gary Moore. Only modest form in 2 hurdles in recent months and might be of more interest in this sphere when handicapping. Flat winner but had a quiet start over hurdles and looks best watched for now.
2	8 2nd (8) (7/2 +71%) Spiced Rum	3.5 7/2(+71%)	(8) Spiced Rum 7/2, Fair staying handicapper on Flat, improving again when wide-margin winner in very testing conditions at Bath (17f) in October. Could be up to making an impact in juvenile hurdles. Has the stamina for hurdling but it was a low-grade 2m1f Flat handicap she won at Bath.
3	1 3rd (1) (13/2 -86%) Ellerton	6.5 13/2(-86%)	(1) Ellerton 13/2, Fairly useful Flat on the Flat in France for Tim Donworth. Well beaten pitched into a Cheltenham Grade 2 on his hurdle debut but could fare a lot better with his sights lowered. French Flat winner; stiff task at Cheltenham where some early interference didn't help.
4	3 4th (3) (9/4 +10%) Karaktere D'Enfer	2.25 9/4(+10%)	(3) Karaktere D'Enfer 9/4, Close second of 11 to a useful sort in a newcomers races at Fontainebleau in March. Not beaten far when last of 3 on Doncaster British debut last month. Tongue tied first time. Looks the obvious danger to River Gold. Positives to take from both his runs and should hold every chance in this company.
4	4 \|PU\| (4) (10/3 -203%) River Gold	3.333333 10/3(-203%)	(4) River Gold 10/3, Much improved from debut when winning 11-runner claiming hurdle at Dieppe (17f, soft) in July by 9 lengths. Has joined Nicky Henderson since and is probably the one to beat on British debut. Had two runs over hurdles in France and won second time out with the minimum of fuss.
7	7 \|PU\| (7) (25/1 -56%) Queen Of Steel	25 25/1(-56%)	(7) Queen Of Steel 25/1, Poor maiden on the Flat and ran to only a similar level when second of 4 on her soft-ground C&D hurdle debut last month. Likely vulnerable to a few in this line-up. Limited Flat maiden and her second here on hurdling debut looks dodgy form.
6	6 \|PU\| (6) (80/1 +20%) Parish Star	80 80/1(+20%)	(6) Parish Star 80/1, Modest on the Flat in Ireland for Jim Bolger and similar form at best in his 2 completed starts over hurdles. Early signs question her ability to win a race of this nature.

LTO Selection:

An impressive winner of a claiming hurdle at Dieppe for previous connections in July, RIVER GOLD could be a nice recruit to the Nicky Henderson stable. This looks like another winnable contest for the three-year-old, and Karaktere D'enfer appears to be his main danger after a promising third on his domestic debut at Doncaster last month. Ellerton and recent C&D second Queen Of Steel are also open to improvement.

Nicky Henderson French recruit RIVER GOLD is probably the one to beat, particularly if the betting vibes are strong. Fellow French import Karaktere d'Enfer can give him most to do ahead of Ellerton and Spiced Rum.

Nicky Henderson's French winner RIVER GOLD probably has a good bit of potential and this looks a nice starting point in Britain.

13:10 Fontwell Conditions Hurdle (Class 4) 18f PREDICTION SIMULATION

13:15 Wincanton Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 25f - 11 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	2 1st (2) (50/1 -213%) Johnny B	50 50/1(-213%)	(2) Johnny B 50/1, Quickly struck over fences at Chepstow (3m2f) in April 2022. Yet to score in this sphere but returns on a handy mark after 13 months off and is worth monitoring in the market. Well treated on last year's best chase form but absent since pulled up last November.
2	10 2nd (10) (5/1 +80%) Ginderella	5 5/1(+80%)	(10) Ginderella 5/1, Back to somewhere near her best when fourth of 15 in handicap hurdle at Exeter (21.6f, soft, 18/1) 16 days ago. Worth trying over this longer trip but others look better treated. Fair efforts in two of her three handicaps but needs something extra now up in trip.
3	8 3rd (8) (13/2 +0%) Cooleenymore	6.5 13/2(+0%)	(8) Cooleenymore 13/2, Found improvement on return/handicap debut when runner-up at Chepstow (23.6f, heavy) last month and posted solid fourth at Ludlow (21.3f) since. Likely to be in the mix again. Has run well in her first two handicaps and she could again be thereabouts.
4	9 4th (9) (15/2 +77%) Rollo's Kingdom	7.5 15/2(+77%)	(9) Rollo's Kingdom 15/2, Modest maiden hurdler who returned with a below-form ninth of 16 in handicap hurdle at Exeter (16.7f, soft) 32 days ago. Tries significantly longer trip now but has plenty to prove at present. Lightly raced 6yo who takes a sizeable step up in trip but he's struggled in both h'caps.
5th	4 5th (4) (5/1 +17%) Awesome Foursome	5 5/1(+17%)	(4) Awesome Foursome 5/1, Belatedly off the mark over timber at Perth (20.2f) in September and backed that up with good second at Ludlow (23.8f) next time. However, needs to shrug off a poor run at Uttoxeter since. Disappointing favourite at Uttoxeter but in good form previously and not written off.
5	5 \|PU\| (5) (6/1 -20%) Sam's Amour	6 6/1(-20%)	(5) Sam's Amour 6/1, Lightly-raced maiden who has run with credit both starts in low-grade handicaps so far this campaign, third in mares' handicap hurdle at Fontwell (19.2f) latest. This longer trip may suit and she must enter calculations. Third in both handicaps and she could have more to offer now up in trip.
6	6 \|PU\| (6) (7/1 -56%) Aldsworth	7 7/1(-56%)	(6) Aldsworth 7/1, Well backed and in the process of showing improved form for new yard when falling 2 out on return at Huntingdon in October and lost little in defeat when runner-up at Hereford (25.5f, good to soft) since. Shortlisted. Runner-up at Hereford last month and this lightly raced 5yo is on the shortlist.
1	1 \|PU\| (1) (11/1 -10%) Lucky So And So	11 11/1(-10%)	(1) Lucky So And So 11/1, Promise in 3 novice hurdles at the start of 2022 but pulled up on his last two starts. Cheekpieces on for first time. Others appeal more. Won two points in the spring; pulled up over h'dles last month but may have needed the run.
3	3 \|PU\| (3) (12/1 -140%) Emotional Memories	12 12/1(-140%)	(3) Emotional Memories 12/1, Showed ability in a bumper and posted best effort in this sphere when second at Lingfield (23f, soft) last time, keeping on well. Warrants respect. Runner-up on handicap debut at Lingfield and the winner has followed up; strong claims.
7	7 \|PU\| (7) (13/2 -44%) Rajaran	6.5 13/2(-44%)	(7) Rajaran 13/2, Took a step forward, after 8 months off, when running-on fifth of 11 in novice hurdle at Plumpton (20.5f, good to soft) 36 days ago. Player off a handy mark on his handicap debut with this step up in trip also a likely plus. There's potential in his pedigree; could improve for this step up in trip on h'cap debut.
11	11 \|PU\| (11) (40/1 -300%) Spicy Nelson	40 40/1(-300%)	(11) Spicy Nelson 40/1, Offered little in bumper or a trio of starts in maiden/novice hurdles thus far. May do better now upped in trip for handicap debut, however. 2 lb out of the weights. Hasn't shown much across his four runs but goes h'capping off basement mark; check market.

LTO Selection:

ALDSWORTH has improved since joining new connections and he must hold every chance if building upon a strong runner-up effort at Hereford last time out. Soft ground may not be ideal, but he should still have enough to hold off Sam's Amour and Cooleenymore, who has claims on his penultimate effort at Chepstow when runner-up over shorter.

ALDSWORTH has upped his game for new connections this term and gets the nod in an open-looking contest. Rajaran and Sam's Amour can also make their presence felt.

Preference is for RAJARAN, who has shaped as though he will improve for the step up in trip on this first handicap outing.

13:15 Wincanton Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 25f PREDICTION SIMULATION

13:22 Ffos Las Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 16f - 11 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	9 1st (9) (7/1 +30%) Tedtwo	7 7/1(+30%)	(9) Tedtwo 7/1, Bumper winner for Brian Ellison last season. Should be up to making an impact in a race like this on hurdles bow if his new trainer has him fully primed after 8 months off. Catterick bumper winner for Brian Ellison; makes stable/hurdle debut here.
2	8 2nd (8) (33/1 -340%) Tedley	33 33/1(-340%)	(8) Tedley 33/1, Well held both bumper starts last season but more like it when third of 9 switched to hurdling at Hereford on return. Well held on heavy at Cheltenham since. 100-1 third on hurdling debut but safely held since; others look stronger.
3	4 3rd (4) (10/3 +39%) Golden De Coeur	3.333333 10/3(+39%)	(4) Golden De Coeur 10/3, Fair but winless in bumpers but successful in a couple of points earlier in the year and showed plenty making his hurdling/yard debut when second here (20f, heavy, 18/1) on return last month, no match for winner but clear of rest. Player. Dual Irish point winner; clear second over 2m4f here when back under rules last month.
4	5 4th (5) (150/1 -50%) Inebranlable	150 150/1(-50%)	(5) Inebranlable 150/1, Runner-up sole start in points but offered little in bumper/novice hurdle 11 months apart. Well beaten when 200-1 for last month's hurdling debut at Lingfield (2m3f).
5th	11 5th (11) (15/2 -15%) Tour Ovalie	7.5 15/2(-15%)	(11) Tour Ovalie 15/2, Progressive in bumpers. 11½ lengths sixth of 15 to in listed bumper at Cheltenham (16.4f, heavy) 24 days ago, left with lot to do. Makes hurdles debut. Could go well. Very respectable sixth in Cheltenham bumper last month; hurdling debut today.
3	3 \|U\| (3) (15/2 -443%) Fortunate Man	7.5 15/2(-443%)	(3) Fortunate Man 15/2, €210,000 4-y-o, Soldier of Fortune gelding. Half-brother to a point winner. Dam unraced sister to temperamental but useful hurdler/chaser (stayed 21f) Jenkins. Successful sole start in Irish points (Apr 16). Wears tongue strap. Interesting newcomer. Bought for 210,000euros soon after winning Irish point debut in April; interesting recruit.
6	6 \|U\| (6) (18/1 -29%) Pomerol George	18 18/1(-29%)	(6) Pomerol George 18/1, Third sole start in Irish points. Third at Fairyhouse only start in bumpers. Left Stuart Crawford £60,000/off 20 months, some encouragement when 4¼ lengths fourth of 11 in novice at Uttoxeter on hurdling debut. Off another 14 months since but entitled to progress. Made quite promising stable/hurdle debut in October 2022 but not seen again since.
7	7 \|PU\| (7) (5/4 +69%) Steel Ally	1.25 5/4(+69%)	(7) Steel Ally 5/4, Showed plenty when runner-up on debut in a Chepstow bumper (2m) over a year ago. Failed to build on that in 2 subsequent outings but was unlucky not to make a winning start over hurdles over C&D on return last month (landed very awkwardly at the last). Can make amends. Probably unlucky not to win over C&D on last month's hurdling debut; leading contender.
1	1 \|PU\| (1) (12/1 +14%) Another Folly	12 12/1(+14%)	(1) Another Folly 12/1, Runner-up both starts in points and much better effort under Rules when sixth of 12 in a class 2 hurdle at Compiegne (17.9f, heavy, 43/1) 32 days ago. Not taken lightly. Not beaten far on heavy ground in France last month; not ruled out each-way.
2	2 \|PU\| (2) (150/1 -355%) Aworkingman	150 150/1(-355%)	(2) Aworkingman 150/1, Kalanisi gelding. Dam unraced. Out of an unraced half-sister to two fairly useful jumpers; probably best watched.
10	10 \|PU\| (10) (400/1 -300%) Jaunty Belle	400 400/1(-300%)	(10) Jaunty Belle 400/1, Has shown nothing in 2 bumpers/maiden hurdle. Well beaten in both bumpers last season and when 150-1 for recent hurdling debut.

LTO Selection:

A 210,000-euro purchase after landing an Irish point-to-point in April, FORTUNATE MAN is yet another appealing recruit to race in the colours of JP McManus. Given the limited amount of previous winning form presented by the opposition, this son of Soldier Of Fortune looks ideally placed to make a winning debut. Another big run from The Jukebox Man in the previous race would boost the form claims held by Golden De Coeur, who chased that rival home last time out, and he looks next best ahead of recent C&D second Steel Ally.

STEEL ALLY was unlucky not to make a winning start over hurdles at this C&D on return last month, in control when a very awkward landing at the last handed the initiative to the winner, and he's taken to make amends, though market support for expensive Irish-point winner Fortunate Man would look significant. Tour Ovalie and Tedtwo showed plenty in bumpers so are also worth a second look.

Probably unlucky not to win over C&D on last month's hurdling debut, STEEL ALLY is given the verdict over Golden De Coeur.

13:22 Ffos Las Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

13:30 Punchestown Handicap Hurdle 19f - 17 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
1	12 1st (12) (14/1 +44%) Petit King	14 14/1(+44%)	(12) Petit King 14/1, Fifth of 10 in novice chase at Fairyhouse (24.5f, heavy, 16/1) 35 days ago. Switches from chase to hurdles. Down in trip. Two chase runs this season, better judged on his third over hurdles at Fairyhouse in April.
2	17 2nd (17) (11/2 +45%) Morricone	5.5 11/2(+45%)	(17) Morricone 11/2, 9/1, first run since leaving Ms Margaret Mullins when creditable fourth of 16 in handicap hurdle at this course (16.5f, soft) 26 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Downpatrick winner in September, made a positive start for this yard here last month.
3	1 3rd (1) (11/1 -144%) Dancing Jeremy	11 11/1(-144%)	(1) Dancing Jeremy 11/1, Career best when winning 17-runner handicap hurdle (14/1) at this course (20f, good to soft) 62 days ago, unchallenged. Merits consideration. Made all for a wide-margin win here two months ago, possibly vulnerable under this burden.
4	5 4th (5) (9/2 +0%) Lazer Wolf	4.5 9/2(+0%)	(5) Lazer Wolf 9/2, Promising individual. 13/2, very good second of 16 in handicap hurdle at this course (16.5f, soft) 26 days ago, travelling as well as any. Expected to be bang there. Fair maiden, made a promising handicap debut here last month, Morricone and Bynx behind.
5th	13 5th (13) (11/2 +27%) American Money	5.5 11/2(+27%)	(13) American Money 11/2, Course winner. 9/1, good second of 18 in handicap hurdle at this course (20.8f, soft) 26 days ago. Not taken lightly. Won at this track last season, every chance now after second over 2m5f here last month.
6th	4 6th (4) (5/1 +9%) Ring O Roses	5 5/1(+9%)	(4) Ring O Roses 5/1, Lightly-raced winner over hurdles. Good second of 10 in handicap hurdle at Gowran (16f, heavy, 4/1) 31 days ago, clear of rest. Back up in trip. Hood on 1st time. Looks competitive on form. Ballinrobe maiden winner, two solid handicap displays, hood added after Gowran second.
7th	2 7th (2) (20/1 +39%) Hollow Sound	20 20/1(+39%)	(2) Hollow Sound 20/1, Twelve runs since last win in 2019. Pulled up in handicap hurdle at Cheltenham (20.2f, good to soft, 100/1), dropping away. Off 9 months. Bumper winner, inconsistent over hurdles, lacks the benefit of a recent outing.
8th	14 8th (14) (16/1 -14%) Dragon's Pass	16 16/1(-14%)	(14) Dragon's Pass 16/1, Latest win in hurdle at Thurles in November. 9/1, below form seventh of 15 in handicap hurdle at Thurles (20.6f, soft) 19 days ago. Thurles winner early last month, needs to rebound after sub-par display at the same venue.
9th	9 9th (9) (40/1 -21%) Privilege	40 40/1(-21%)	(9) Privilege 40/1, Blinkered for 1st time, below form fifth of 11 in novice hurdle (7/1) at Wexford (16.7f, good) 174 days ago. Plenty to find on form. Has failed to build on the promise of a second placing at Leopardstown two seasons ago.
11	11 \|B\| (11) (8/1 +27%) Downtherefordancin	8 8/1(+27%)	(11) Downtherefordancin 8/1, Cheekpieces on for 1st time, creditable ninth of 17 in handicap hurdle at Cheltenham (16.4f, soft, 14/1) 25 days ago. Down the field at Cheltenham latest, comes into the reckoning on previous course second.
15	15 \|F\| (15) (28/1 +15%) Lodilomoco	28 28/1(+15%)	(15) Lodilomoco 28/1, 22/1, below form tenth of 22 in handicap hurdle at Navan (16f, heavy) 23 days ago. Up in trip. Very hard to make a case for. None too convincing in testing conditions on handicap debut at Navan last month.
10th	6 10th (6) (16/1 -45%) Ludus	16 16/1(-45%)	(6) Ludus 16/1, Winner in hurdle at Limerick in December. Bit below form fourth of 9 in minor event hurdle at Naas (16.3f, soft, 4/1). Off 8 months. Useful last term, form featured Limerick maiden win and handicap second at this venue.
11th	10 11th (10) (10/1 +29%) Bynx	10 10/1(+29%)	(10) Bynx 10/1, 16/1, creditable fifth of 16 in handicap hurdle at this course (16.5f, soft) 26 days ago. Well beaten in Thurles race won by Dragon's Pass, behind Lazer Wolf and Morricone latest.
12th	16 12th (16) (20/1 -43%) Greenhill Damsel	20 20/1(-43%)	(16) Greenhill Damsel 20/1, 14/1, creditable third of 20 in handicap hurdle at Gowran (20f, heavy) 31 days ago. Ran well up to the point of her fall at Galway, encouraging third at Gowran on latest.
13th	7 13th (7) (28/1 +15%) Sonny May	28 28/1(+15%)	(7) Sonny May 28/1, Last of 10 in handicap hurdle at this course (16.7f, soft, 13/2) 17 days ago. Placed in a 2m3f maiden last season, tailed off at this venue on handicap/seasonal debut.
14th	8 14th (8) (50/1 -25%) Priory Park	50 50/1(-25%)	(8) Priory Park 50/1, Sixteen runs since last win in 2021. 66/1, pulled up in novice chase at Cork (21f, soft) 16 days ago, pulled up before next. Switches from chase to hurdles. Only two wins came back-to-back around this time two years ago, has become undependable.
15th	3 15th (3) (80/1 -60%) Men Of Dreams	80 80/1(-60%)	(3) Men Of Dreams 80/1, Lightly-raced winner over hurdles. 12/1, fourteenth of 16 in handicap at Gowran (9.4f, heavy) 57 days ago. Switches from Flat to hurdles. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Difficult ask. Weak form on the Flat, won a maiden hurdle in the summer, has plenty of weight here.

LTO Selection:

The Henry De Bromhead stable has had a fine start to the season and RING O ROSES looks just the type to improve for stepping up in trip after an encouraging second over shorter at Gowran Park last month. A 3lb rise for that effort seems manageable and she can get the better of recent course second American Money and Dancing Jeremy, who could hardly have been more impressive when winning from the front here in October. Lazer Wolf (second) had the eye-catching Morricone (fourth) behind when runner-up at this track last month, and both are likely to be thereabouts again.

A competitive handicap. LAZER WOLF made an encouraging start to his handicap career when second over 2m here last month and can build on that and go one better now. If Ring O Roses can brush up a little on her jumping she's likely to be a major threat under Rachael Blackmore. American Money and Dancing Jeremy are others for the shortlist.

This longer trip should suit LAZER WOLF who finished second over 2m here last month. Fourth-placed Morricone rates a serious threat

13:30 Punchestown Handicap Hurdle 19f PREDICTION SIMULATION

13:40 Fontwell Handicap Chase (Class 4) 26f - 3 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	3 1st (3) (5/6 +72%) Flintara	0.833333 5/6(+72%)	(3) Flintara 5/6, Better than ever when winning 2 of her 3 starts over hurdles last season and respectable return back over fences at Ffos Las last month. Room for improvement given hurdles form. 3m2f course winner over hurdles; pleasing third on her recent return to fences.
2	1 2nd (1) (11/4 -10%) It's Easy	2.75 11/4(-10%)	(1) It's Easy 11/4, Fairly useful maiden chaser in France for David Cottin. Much better effort for this yard when third at Lingfield 4 weeks ago and entitled to come on again. Up in trip. Tongue strap back on. Big shout eased 2 lb in weaker race. Improved third at Lingfield; unraced beyond 2m6f but could have some potential lurking.
3	4 3rd (4) (3/1 +57%) Santa Clarita	3 3/1(+57%)	(4) Santa Clarita 3/1, Fair form over hurdles/fences in France. Stepped up on yard debut when third of 7 over hurdles at Huntingdon but well held otherwise for current connections, albeit better for return when fourth of 8 in handicap chase at Leicester (22.7f, good to soft) 22 days ago. Lacked gears on good to soft over 2m6f at Leicester last time but didn't run at all badly.

LTO Selection:

Proven course form could be crucial in a contest of this nature, and that bodes well for FLINTARA, who shaped with promise at Ffos Las last month. The ground should not inconvenience this daughter of Kayf Tara, and it may be that the in-form Presenting Nelly gives her the most to think about, despite attempting a significant rise in distance. It's Easy ran with credit at Lingfield last time and may improve for going up in trip.

PRESENTING NELLY did well over hurdles and is bred to make a staying chaser, so is taken to make a winning start in this sphere. It's Easy stepped up markedly on reappearance run/yard debut when third at Lingfield and rates the main threat if seeing out the longer trip.

This trip will feel a long way under these conditions but it shouldn't faze FLINTARA who has won over 3m2f on the hurdle track here.

13:40 Fontwell Handicap Chase (Class 4) 26f PREDICTION SIMULATION

13:45 Wincanton Novices Hurdle (Class 4) 21f - 7 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	3 1st (3) (9/1 -80%) Baby Shally	9 9/1(-80%)	(3) Baby Shally 9/1, Point winner who looked in need of outing when seventh of 16 in bumper at Warwick (16f, heavy) on NH debut 34 days ago. Upped in trip on switch to hurdling and this run should reveal more. Point winner; soundly beaten in her sole bumper but she retains potential.
2	1 2nd (1) (8/11 +51%) Don't Rightly Know	0.727273 8/11(+51%)	(1) Don't Rightly Know 8/11, Back from a long absence when readily taking 6-runner novice hurdle at Exeter (23.1f, soft) 16 days ago, Looks the one to beat, despite having to concede weight all round. Returned from latest layoff with easy win at Exeter recently; leading claims on that form.
3	4 3rd (4) (11/4 +0%) Country Lady	2.75 11/4(+0%)	(4) Country Lady 11/4, Confirmed promise of her Lingfield debut effort when landing a bumper at Plumpton in April. Shaped like a stayer when third on hurdling bow at latter course last month, so should step forward now upped in trip. Bumper winner; fair third on hurdle debut and there's room for improvement in her jumping.
4	6 4th (6) (28/1 -12%) Musique De Fee	28 28/1(-12%)	(6) Musique De Fee 28/1, Ran to modest level both starts in bumpers and is likely best watched on hurdles debut here. Has displayed promise in the bumper sphere but improvement needed on hurdle debut.
5th	8 5th (8) (100/1 +0%) Seasmoke	100 100/1(+0%)	(8) Seasmoke 100/1, Runner-up on second of 2 starts in Irish points but little encouragement to be gleaned from her sixth in a novice at Ffos Las 30 days ago. Point runner-up but tailed off at 40-1 on last month's hurdle debut at Ffos Las.
5	5 \|PU\| (5) (13/2 +74%) Jersey Gem	6.5 13/2(+74%)	(5) Jersey Gem 13/2, Showed a bit more than on hurdling debut when ninth of 13 in novice at Market Rasen last month but looks more one for handicapping down the line. Third in a bumper but merely ninth on both hurdle starts and improvement is needed.
2	2 \|PU\| (2) (50/1 -213%) Astro Annie	50 50/1(-213%)	(2) Astro Annie 50/1, Schiaparelli mare. Dam, prolific point winner/3m chase winner, half-sister to fairly useful hurdler/useful chaser (stays 27f) Ridgeway Flyer. Pulled up both starts in points earlier this year and market should prove best guide to claims on Rules debut. Pulled up on both point starts; needs to be entirely different proposition on rules debut.

LTO Selection:

This can go the way of DON'T RIGHTLY KNOW, who could hardly have won any easier on just her third start at Exeter last month. The slight drop in trip should not inconvenience on this occasion and, despite incurring a 7lb winner's penalty, she is preferred to Queen Annie, who shaped with encouragement after wind surgery on her own hurdles bow at Exeter. Country Lady has the form to get involved in proceedings as well.

DON'T RIGHTLY KNOW has clearly been difficult to train but won in good style in similar conditions at Exeter last month and may be able to defy a penalty. Queen Annie and Country Lady look the obvious dangers.

The very lightly raced 8yo DON'T RIGHTLY KNOW won in fine style at Exeter recently and she is taken to follow up.

13:45 Wincanton Novices Hurdle (Class 4) 21f PREDICTION SIMULATION

13:52 Ffos Las Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 20f - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	7 1st (7) (13/2 +7%) Arctic Footprint	6.5 13/2(+7%)	(7) Arctic Footprint 13/2, On a good mark judged on form from a couple of seasons back and was sent off a well-backed favourite on return/debut for new yard at Chepstow. However, she was pulled up there and hopes pinned on subsequent wind op and the addition of a tongue strap working the oracle. Flopped on last month's stable debut but could still stage a revival for Kerry Lee.
2	5 2nd (5) (3/1 +33%) Passing Kate	3 3/1(+33%)	(5) Passing Kate 3/1, Has made a positive start for in-form yard this season, off the mark in a 6-runner Leicester handicap (15.5f, heavy) last time. 5 lb rise for the narrow success demands more but she doesn't have many miles on the clock and may be capable of better still. Battled well to open account at Leicester last month and further progress is possible.
3	4 3rd (4) (100/1 -203%) Triple Nickle	100 100/1(-203%)	(4) Triple Nickle 100/1, Fair dual-purpose performer on her day, but her sole success in this sphere was gained back in March 2021 and she was well held on return (fit from the Flat) at Taunton last month. Back from long absence with two disappointing runs; current ability hard to gauge.
4	9 4th (9) (12/1 +52%) Call Me Sainte	12 12/1(+52%)	(9) Call Me Sainte 12/1, Little form in a bumper/over hurdles to date and she needs to find improvement from somewhere. Yet to show anything more than glimmers of promise after six hurdling starts.
5th	3 5th (3) (9/1 +36%) Pageant Material	9 9/1(+36%)	(3) Pageant Material 9/1, Hit the target twice, in this sphere and over fences, at Ffos Las last season. Reappearance third in a handicap chase back here in October was encouraging but she has misfired both subsequent starts. Now tried in cheekpieces. Three-time course winner on heavy ground but needs a boost from the new headgear.
6th	6 6th (6) (6/1 +25%) Harkangel	6 6/1(+25%)	(6) Harkangel 6/1, Lightly-raced maiden hurdler who resumed from 9 months off with a respectable fourth of 14 in handicap hurdle at Sedgefield (21.2f, soft). Eased 1 lb and she's not discounted with Brian Hughes booked. Just a respectable fourth on seasonal debut but remains unexposed; a possible.
7th	1 7th (1) (15/2 -50%) Annie Day	7.5 15/2(-50%)	(1) Annie Day 15/2, Made it 2 wins from 4 starts for this yard when narrowly outpointing Giulietta at Warwick (19f, heavy) with cheekpieces refitted last month. 6 lb rise not the end of the world but it's worth noting that she was well held both starts following a successful reappearance last season. Just too strong for Guilietta when scoring on last month's seasonal debut at Warwick.
2	2 \|PU\| (2) (3/1 -117%) Giulietta	3 3/1(-117%)	(2) Giulietta 3/1, Related to some useful performers in these silks and duly improved on her handicap debut when just touched off by Annie Day at Warwick. Appeals as the type to progress further and it would be no surprise were she to turn the tables on that rival here. Ran big race in defeat behind Annie Day on last month's seasonal/handicap debut.
8	8 \|PU\| (8) (11/1 -22%) Lemon Ice	11 11/1(-22%)	(8) Lemon Ice 11/1, Just one effort of note on the level in Ireland (0-6 in that sphere) and she hasn't cut much ice in 3 starts over hurdles so far. Improvement needed now upped in trip/blinkered on handicap debut in this sphere. Cut little ice in three juvenile hurdles last season; makes handicap debut today.

LTO Selection:

GIULIETTA (second) may have a neck to find with Annie Day (first) from their clash at Warwick last month, but Dan Skelton's charge had to make up ground from towards the rear on that occasion and, with a more positive ride on this occasion, she can overturn the form. A determined winner over shorter at Leicester last month, Passing Kate is entitled to be thereabouts as well.

The one who appeals most is GIULIETTA, who was just touched off by the re-opposing Annie Day at Warwick and, armed with plenty of scope for improvement, she is confidently expected to reverse the placings with Ben Case's mare this time. Passing Kate may well build on her Leicester breakthrough success and is feared most ahead of Harkangel.

Just outbattled by Annie Day at Warwick last month, GIULIETTA (nap) has the potential to improve past her old rival here.

13:52 Ffos Las Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 20f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:00 Punchestown Maiden Hurdle 19f - 6 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
1	3 1st (3) (2/1 +50%) Jetara	2 2/1(+50%)	(3) Jetara 2/1, Fairly useful hurdler. Didn't need to be at best when winning 15-runner novice hurdle at Fairyhouse (20.2f, heavy, 4/7) 18 days ago, easily. One to consider. Strictly on Down Royal running well held by Banntown Girl, chance if excused that display.
2	1 2nd (1) (6/1 -50%) A Penny A Hundred	6 6/1(-50%)	(1) A Penny A Hundred 6/1, Twice-raced winner under Rules. 4/6, won 18-runner novice hurdle at Limerick (16f, heavy) on hurdles bow 52 days ago. Up in trip and open to further improvement. Winner of a bumper and a maiden hurdle, stable well placed to assess the opposition.
3	2 3rd (2) (7/2 -17%) Banntown Girl	3.5 7/2(-17%)	(2) Banntown Girl 7/2, Useful hurdler. Course winner. 2 wins from 5 runs this season. 8/1, respectable 4¾ lengths second of 12 to Brighterdaysahead in Gr 3 hurdle at Down Royal (16.9f, soft) 32 days ago. Sets the standard. Generally reliable and very experienced, fine effort on latest against an unbeaten mare.
4	5 4th (5) (2/1 +43%) Mel Monroe	2 2/1(+43%)	(5) Mel Monroe 2/1, Lightly-raced winner under Rules. Good 3¼ lengths second of 6 to Croke Park in Monksfield Novices' Hurdle (11/2) at Navan (20f, heavy) 23 days ago, having benefit of enterprising ride. Decent effort behind odds-on stablemate Croke Park in a 2m4f Grade 3 event at Navan.
5th	6 5th (6) (25/1 -150%) Mount Sinai	25 25/1(-150%)	(6) Mount Sinai 25/1, Thrice-raced winner under Rules. Won 16-runner novice hurdle (3/1) at Clonmel (19.5f, heavy) on hurdles bow 47 days ago, easily. Likely to improve. Paul Townend prefers A Penny A Hundred. Beaten favourite in bumpers when keen, settled better when making winning hurdling debut.
4	4 \|PU\| (4) (14/1 -133%) Mayor's Walk	14 14/1(-133%)	(4) Mayor's Walk 14/1, Twice-raced winner over hurdles. 5/1, second of 6 in minor event hurdle at Naas (16f, soft) 30 days ago. Back up in trip and may well do better. Second behind the improving Smooth Tom at Navan, should be capable of holding her own.

LTO Selection:

This has all the hallmarks of a good quality renewal, as the likes of the unbeaten A Penny A Hundred, progressive Banntown Girl and consistent Jetara all have plenty to offer. However, MEL MONROE, a commendable second in the Monksfield at Navan last time, has performed admirably in defeat in the face of two stern tests so far this season, and can make it third-time lucky with the trip and ground both looking ideal.

MAYOR'S WALK and A Penny A Hundred do not possess the same depth of form as some of these but they're both very promising fillies and look ready for this step up in class. The latter is 2-2 and isn't passed over lightly but Mayor's Walk is marginally preferred. Banntown Girl is just about the form pick and is third choice ahead of Jetara and Mel Monroe.

As a battle-hardened performer who has prospered this season BANNTOWN GIRL may have the resources to beat A Penny A Hundred

14:00 Punchestown Maiden Hurdle 19f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:10 Fontwell Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 22f - 10 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	2 1st (2) (11/8 +21%) Herakles Westwood	1.375 11/8(+21%)	(2) Herakles Westwood 11/8, Fair form in bumpers and much improved over hurdles when landing 13-runner handicap at Lingfield (19.5f, good to soft) 12 days ago, forging clear from last. A 9 lb rise doesn't look enough to stop him with further progress likely. Short in the market for both his handicaps and was merely pushed out to collect the latest.
2	4 2nd (4) (7/1 -133%) Talimar Pearl	7 7/1(-133%)	(4) Talimar Pearl 7/1, Runner-up in handicaps at Newton Abbot 917f) and Warwick (19f) in the spring. Contender if resuming in similar form. Off since May but that was his best run yet when going close in a 2m3f handicap at Warwick.
3	1 3rd (1) (12/1 +25%) Bertie B	12 12/1(+25%)	(1) Bertie B 12/1, Bumper winner but he's yet to better modest form over hurdles. This season's 2 runs disappointing and needs first-time cheekpieces to help spark a revival. Can be keen; most effective performances have come on good ground.
4	8 4th (8) (10/1 -25%) Fortuitous Favour	10 10/1(-25%)	(8) Fortuitous Favour 10/1, Beaten upwards of 21 lengths in all 3 hurdle starts but a bumper win at the start of his career marks him down as a potential improver in handicaps. Another to check out in the betting. Hopes rest on step up in trip (could suit on pedigree) and the fitting of a tongue-strap.
5th	3 5th (3) (8/1 +0%) Bombay Sapphire	8 8/1(+0%)	(3) Bombay Sapphire 8/1, Fair bumper winner in Ireland. Reached the frame in novices in first 2 outings over hurdles. Disappointed when making a quick switch to handicaps at Exeter in April. Still early days and a wind op since last seen might make a difference. Maiden over hurdles; has had wind surgery and she won her bumper on heavy ground.
6th	6 6th (6) (25/1 +24%) Ipso Falco	25 25/1(+24%)	(6) Ipso Falco 25/1, Poor form in bumpers/over hurdles, faring no better switched to handicap company last time. Nothing positive to report so far and he was 25-1 when tailed off on his handicap debut.
7th	7 7th (7) (16/1 -100%) Letmetellusomethin	16 16/1(-100%)	(7) Letmetellusomethin 16/1, Signs of ability in bumpers and while he has failed to make an impact in a trio of novice hurdles, improvement may well be forthcoming now that he goes down the handicap route. Cheekpieces added. One to monitor closely in the betting. No more than minor promise over hurdles but this his first time outside of novice company.
9	9 \|PU\| (9) (4/1 +43%) Inspector Lynley	4 4/1(+43%)	(9) Inspector Lynley 4/1, Still a maiden but he arrives in decent nick, fifth of 11 in handicap hurdle at Hereford 56 days ago. Cheekpieces go on for the first time. 0-10 but hasn't been too far away in his completed handicaps and now gets cheekpieces.
5	5 \|PU\| (5) (14/1 -40%) The Cox Express	14 14/1(-40%)	(5) The Cox Express 14/1, Won Warwick bumper in January for Tom Lacey. Disappointing in 3 hurdles since (last 2 for this yard) but it wouldn't be a surprise to see him fare a lot better now handicapping. One to note in the betting. Won his bumper on heavy, albeit a weak one; tailed off in all three hurdles runs.
10	10 \|PU\| (10) (100/1 +33%) Crookbarrow	100 100/1(+33%)	(10) Crookbarrow 100/1, Yet to show much, pulling up on Lingfield handicap debut 12 days ago. Has accomplished very little under rules, including a handicap 12 days ago.

LTO Selection:

HERAKLES WESTWOOD was a ready winner at Lingfield 12 days ago and, assuming the quick turnaround isn't an issue, he is fancied to cope with a 9lb hike in the ratings. Talimar Pearl looks the pick of the opposition based on a couple of improved efforts of late, while Inspector Lynley is dangerous to ignore from the bottom of the handicap with first-time cheekpieces applied.

The manner in which HERAKLES WESTWOOD forged clear in the closing stages at Lingfield recently suggests even a 9 lb rise may not stop him with the longer trip here promising to see him in an even better light. Talimar Pearl was runner-up twice in the spring and should go well if resuming in similar form. The likes of The Cox Express, Letmetellusomethin and Fortuitous Favour are potential improvers in handicappers and need monitoring in the betting.

Conditions are a concern for HERAKLES WESTWOOD but connections knew the score when declaring and he won nicely at Lingfield.

14:10 Fontwell Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 22f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:15 Wincanton Handicap Chase (Class 4) 25f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	2 1st (2) (4/1 -100%) Take Your Time	4 4/1(-100%)	(2) Take Your Time 4/1, :Lost his way over hurdles after back-to-back victories in 2021/22, but switched to chasing (had won his sole start in points) he got back on track when winning handicap at Newton Abbot (25.8f, heavy) in October. Up just 3 lb and he should have more to offer. Won on chase debut at Newton Abbot in October and could have more to offer over fences.
2	6 2nd (6) (9/2 +50%) Great Name That	4.5 9/2(+50%)	(6) Great Name That 9/2, Winner of sole start between the flags and while he didn't show much starting out under Rules in an Irish bumper, he was placed all 4 starts switched to hurdles last season. Failed to make an impact on return/chase debut following a wind op at Exeter, though, and now tried in cheekpieces. Soundly beaten on chase debut but this unexposed 6yo retains potential; interesting.
3	4 3rd (4) (9/1 -64%) Striking A Pose	9 9/1(-64%)	(4) Striking A Pose 9/1, Dual hurdles winner who also scored on his chase debut at Exeter (19.2f) back in November 2021. However, hasn't been able to add to his tally since and, after 5 months off, ran no sort of race at this C&D in October. Wind op needs to help spark a return to form. Pulled up last time but has dropped down the weights and a wind op may do the trick.
4	3 4th (3) (13/2 -30%) Raddon Top	6.5 13/2(-30%)	(3) Raddon Top 13/2, Landed hat-trick of handicap hurdles at Exeter at the start of 2022 and off the mark over fences at the same course (24.3f, heavy) early this year. Returned to form when runner-up there over hurdles on his reappearance and will be a danger to all if able to build on that back in this sphere. Ran well on reappearance at Exeter; not ruled out but Exeter is his favourite course.
5th	1 5th (1) (3/1 -33%) King Turgeon	3 3/1(-33%)	(1) King Turgeon 3/1, Ex-French gelding got off the mark on second start for this yard at Fontwell in March. Showed plenty of stamina and resolution when adding to his tally at Exeter (24.2f, soft) last month and while more is needed up 7 lb here, he needs considering. Won at Exeter three weeks ago and this 5yo could have more left in the tank.
6th	8 6th (8) (22/1 +56%) Putdecashonthedash	22 22/1(+56%)	(8) Putdecashonthedash 22/1, Signed off 2021/22 on a winning note at Plumpton but he rarely stands much racing and well held both starts this season. Continues to drop down the weights but it's been a very long time since he ran well.
7	7 \|PU\| (7) (4/1 +27%) Ede'iffs Elton	4 4/1(+27%)	(7) Ede'iffs Elton 4/1, All 3 career wins over fences at this course and, after 8 months off, he took a step back in the right direction when fourth of 12 here (20.2f, soft) last month. Interesting contender as he goes back up in trip with usual cheekpieces reapplied. Encouraging fourth over 2m4f here on reappearance; all wins have come here over 3m1f/3m2f.
5	5 \|PU\| (5) (20/1 +20%) Nearly Perfect	20 20/1(+20%)	(5) Nearly Perfect 20/1, Three-time winner in staying chases back in 2020 but after a lengthy absence has gone the wrong way since, well beaten all 3 starts over fences earlier this year. Little encouragement over hurdles at Uttoxeter in June, so has enough to prove after 6 months off. Has tumbled down the weights but for good reason and he needs to turn things around.

LTO Selection:

KING TURGEON has a good record over fences and, having now proven he handles a good test of stamina by winning on good to soft over 3m at Exeter 22 days ago, a 7lb higher mark might not be enough to prevent him from backing up that success now tackling an additional furlong. Take Your Time is another with a solid chance on these terms and, having previously won under Bryony Frost, he warrants plenty of respect now reunited with that rider. Nearly Perfect and Ede'iffs Elton complete the shortlist.

TAKE YOUR TIME jumped with aplomb when making a winning chase debut at Newton Abbot and, with the promise of better to come from him in this sphere and well treated based on his peak hurdles' form, he is taken to follow up. Raddon Top put in a good shift on his seasonal reappearance over hurdles at Exeter and will be a threat if able to back that up now returned to the larger obstacles. Recent Exeter winner King Turgeon is third choice ahead of Ede'iffs Elton.

Point winner GREAT NAME THAT should be capable of much better than he showed on his chase debut and he earns the vote.

14:15 Wincanton Handicap Chase (Class 4) 25f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:22 Ffos Las Handicap Chase (Class 3) 19f - 6 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	5 1st (5) (14/1 -115%) Carbon King	14 14/1(-115%)	(5) Carbon King 14/1, Progressive when winning 3 handicap hurdles in Ireland for Declan Queally last season but well beaten in 2 starts for current yard, so plenty to prove back over fences. Eased in grade for this return to chasing but has quite a bit to prove.
2	3 2nd (3) (3/1 +14%) Fine Casting	3 3/1(+14%)	(3) Fine Casting 3/1, Bagged his third success over hurdles when taking 19f Haydock handicap a year ago and ran a cracker when fourth of 16 in the Imperial Cup at Sandown in March. Disappointed there final start but type to bounce back. Off 7 months. Makes chase debut. Useful hurdler who has won here on heavy ground; on good mark for seasonal/chase debut.
3	1 3rd (1) (7/4 -17%) The King Of Ryhope	1.75 7/4(-17%)	(1) The King Of Ryhope 7/4, Low-mileage 7-y-o who displayed fairly useful form over hurdles last term and improved to make a winning return/handicap chase debut at Chepstow (19.5f) in October, seeing off a resilient rival (pair clear). Underfoot conditions fine and big player with more to come. Made winning chase/handicap debut at Chepstow in October and can make further progress.
6	6 \|U\| (6) (8/1 +27%) Lubeat Foras	8 8/1(+27%)	(6) Lubeat Foras 8/1, Point and Sedgefield bumper winner. With another different yard and shaped well second time up over hurdles at Doncaster (20.8f) in January 2022. Not in same form at Ffos Las following month and off since (22 months). Makes chase debut. Point/bumper winner; placed in all three hurdles; makes chase/handicap debut after layoff.
2	2 \|PU\| (2) (5/2 +25%) Knowsley Road	2.5 5/2(+25%)	(2) Knowsley Road 5/2, Progressive over hurdles prior to a blip final start. Runner-up in an Irish point but low-key start to chasing career at Newbury on return. Should leave that form behind in due course. Useful novice hurdler last season; disappointed on chase debut but remains a good prospect.
4	4 \|PU\| (4) (33/1 -200%) Jack In The Box	33 33/1(-200%)	(4) Jack In The Box 33/1, Fairly useful form over hurdles and similar form over fences for Gordon Elliott (sold for £24,000 in January). Off 11 months and headgear on 1st time. Third over fences for Gordon Elliott on Boxing Day; makes stable debut after 332-day break.

LTO Selection:

After a promising novice campaign over hurdles, including when third in the Prestige at Haydock in February, THE KING OF RYHOPE made a perfect start to his career over the larger obstacles when scoring at Chepstow. The seven-year-old should be up to overcoming a 7lb rise here and he is preferred to Jack In The Box, who is an intriguing recruit to the Bernard Llewellyn stable. Fine Casting and Knowsley Road cannot be ruled out either.

THE KING OF RYHOPE jumped well when making a winning chase bow/reappearance at Chepstow 6 weeks ago and can defy a 7 lb rise with that form proving to be rock solid. Fine Casting did well over hurdles last season and is on a workable mark if taking to chasing at the first attempt on return, so is feared most.

The most obvious answer is THE KING OF RYHOPE, who made a very good start to his chasing career at Chepstow.

14:22 Ffos Las Handicap Chase (Class 3) 19f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:30 Punchestown Conditions Hurdle 17f - 6 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
1	2 1st (2) (4/5 +57%) Elixir D'ainay	0.8 4/5(+57%)	(2) Elixir D'ainay 4/5, Winner in hurdle at Naas in November 2019. 16/1, fell in Supreme Novices' Hurdle at Cheltenham (16.4f, soft) won by Shishkin, would have run well if completing. Off over 3 years. Market should prove best guide to claims on return. Smart novice hurdler four seasons ago, hard to know what to expect after prolonged absence.
2	6 2nd (6) (14/1 -100%) Whimsy	14 14/1(-100%)	(6) Whimsy 14/1, Twice-raced maiden over hurdles. 10/1, third of 16 in novice hurdle at Thurles (16.5f, good to soft) 12 days ago. Not out of things. Two Flat wins on quick ground for in Britain, two fair hurdle runs, seems to handle soft.
3	4 3rd (4) (9/4 +0%) Tactical Affair	2.25 9/4(+0%)	(4) Tactical Affair 9/4, Made a winning start over hurdles when taking 13-runner novice (5/2) at Cork (16f, heavy) on hurdles bow 16 days ago. Likely more to come yet. Bright display on hurdling debut, has the advantage of race fitness over the Mullins pair.
4	3 4th (3) (9/2 -64%) Micro Manage	4.5 9/2(-64%)	(3) Micro Manage 9/2, Useful hurdler. 7/1, creditable fifth of 13 in handicap at the Curragh (14f, good). Off 18 months. Switches from Flat to hurdles. Yard in good form. Must enter calculations. Useful on Flat, a shade frustrating over hurdles, not off for as long as Elixir D'Ainay.
5th	1 5th (1) (50/1 -52%) Action Motion	50 50/1(-52%)	(1) Action Motion 50/1, Tongue strap on for 1st time, fifth of 14 in handicap at Dundalk (10.7f, 14/1) 11 days ago. Switches from Flat to hurdles. Rejoined yard after leaving Miss Shauna Larkin. Poor on last hurdle run. Found handicaps too demanding after winning a maiden hurdle at Cork in January, tough task.
6th	5 6th (5) (66/1 -32%) Cruisin Susan	66 66/1(-32%)	(5) Cruisin Susan 66/1, Modest hurdler. 16/1, creditable third of 16 in handicap hurdle at Tramore (21f, soft) 14 days ago. Back down in trip. Looks up against it. Modest overall form, ran well in her grade when third in a recent handicap at Tramore.

LTO Selection:

The market may prove informative with regards to the chances of the Willie Mullins-trained duo, with Micro Manage and Elixir D'Ainay both returning from a lengthy spell on the sidelines. The latter mixed it with the best novices around in early 2020 and could be a cut above these if picking up where he left off, but the vote goes to the match-fit TACTICAL AFFAIR. Gordon Elliott's four-year-old only just hung on to make a successful hurdling bow at Cork 16 days ago but has scope for plenty of improvement and represents an in-form yard.

There should be more to come from last month's Cork winner TACTICAL AFFAIR and he may be able to follow up. The Willie Mullins pair, Elixir D'Ainay and Micro Manage are both returning from long absences but are feared most nonetheless.

Given the relatively short duration of his absence, MICRO MANAGE may beat stablemate Elixir D'Ainay, not seen since March 2020

14:30 Punchestown Conditions Hurdle 17f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:40 Fontwell Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 19f - 7 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	1 1st (1) (4/1 +11%) Easy To Follow	4 4/1(+11%)	(1) Easy To Follow 4/1, Rather had run of race when making successful debut over hurdles in 7-runner novice at Uttoxeter (19.9f, heavy) 24 days ago. However, likely has more to offer yet and holds solid claims. It was never in much doubt at Uttoxeter and she's heading in the right direction.
2	4 2nd (4) (33/1 -136%) Batwomen	33 33/1(-136%)	(4) Batwomen 33/1, Fair performer in bumpers, posting respectable fifth on return at Huntingdon (15.8f, good to soft, 12/1) 43 days ago. Upped in trip for hurdling debut and can't be discounted. Perhaps flattered when finishing closer at Huntingdon as they went no pace.
3	2 3rd (2) (9/4 +18%) Kay Tara Tara	2.25 9/4(+18%)	(2) Kay Tara Tara 9/4, Above-average bumper performer who made a comfortable winning start in this sphere in novice at Huntingdon (19.6f, good) 56 days ago. Open to improvement and will be a player if handling slower conditions here. Bumper winner who won a small-field event on hurdling debut; should progress further.
4	3 4th (3) (11/4 +50%) Ask Lileen	2.75 11/4(+50%)	(3) Ask Lileen 11/4, £30,000 5-y-o, Soldier of Fortune mare. Won at third time of asking in points last year and has since joined shrewd yard. Worth monitoring in market on hurdles bow. Wears tongue strap. Absent since point win in early 2022 but she beat a Grade 1 winner that day.
5th	6 5th (6) (40/1 -60%) Jalisco Star	40 40/1(-60%)	(6) Jalisco Star 40/1, Placed both starts in Irish points but went backwards from Rules debut in bumper at this course when last seen in May and is best watched on hurdles bow for new connections. Down the field in both her bumpers and has since changed hands for £9,000.
6th	7 6th (7) (9/1 +36%) Step It Out Goldie	9 9/1(+36%)	(7) Step It Out Goldie 9/1, Showed ability in Irish bumper earlier this year but looked one for longer term when fourth of 9 in novice at this course (17.7f, soft) on hurdles/yard debut 23 days ago. Only 11-2 for a 2m1f novice hurdle here and perhaps needed the race in that 30l defeat.
5	5 \|F\| (5) (10/3 +33%) Bethka	3.333333 10/3(+33%)	(5) Bethka 10/3, Showed fair form when placed twice from 3 starts in bumpers and better effort over hurdles when fourth in Market Rasen novice (20.6f, good to soft) last time. Tongue strap is on and there's likely more to come. Behind Stuti at Market Rasen and gives the impression that she's going to stay further.

LTO Selection:

The two recent winners, Kay Tara Tara and EASY TO FOLLOW look the pair to focus on, with the latter edging preference as the one with the slightly more proven stamina, given his background in point-to-points. Both carry 7lb penalties, which creates some hope for any supporters of Bethka, who may find some improvement now that a tongue strap is applied.

Preference is for BETHKA, who shaped better than the bare result at Market Rasen last month and remains open to improvement. Stuti and Easy To Follow rate the principal dangers.

Uttoxeter winner EASY TO FOLLOW may be able to defy her penalty on ground she may handle better than some of her rivals.

14:40 Fontwell Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 19f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:45 Wincanton Handicap Hurdle (Class 3) 15f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	4 1st (4) (7/2 +65%) Aurigny Mill	3.5 7/2(+65%)	(4) Aurigny Mill 7/2, Left previous efforts well behind to get off the mark in 14-runner novice at Taunton in March. Shaped as if needing the run when fifth of 10 in handicap hurdle at Sandown (16f, soft, 11/1) on return last month and he's entitled to go closer now from workable-looking mark. Unexposed 6yo who could improve for last month's handicap/seasonal debut at Sandown.
2	5 2nd (5) (10/1 +9%) No No Tonic	10 10/1(+9%)	(5) No No Tonic 10/1, Dual winner here last term, including over this trip, and bounced back to form after a spell in the doldrums when third of 14 in handicap hurdle at Taunton (19f, good to soft) 26 days ago, coming clear with a pair of less-exposed rivals. Respected. Three wins here last year and back on song when third at Taunton last time; could go well.
3	8 3rd (8) (9/4 +0%) Him Malaya	2.25 9/4(+0%)	(8) Him Malaya 9/4, Off the mark when landing 9-runner handicap hurdle over C&D (soft) under this pilot 19 days ago. 5 lb rise fair and expected to be bang there. Had something to spare over C&D and this unexposed 4yo could take a 5lb rise in his stride.
4	2 4th (2) (10/1 +9%) Celtic Art	10 10/1(+9%)	(2) Celtic Art 10/1, Useful winner on Flat who bagged third success in this sphere when scoring at Lingfield (16f) last month. Found company too hot at Newbury latest and better expected dropped back in grade here. Won at Lingfield last month but tailed off at Newbury just ten days ago.
5th	3 5th (3) (16/1 -146%) Prince Quali	16 16/1(-146%)	(3) Prince Quali 16/1, Fair chaser in France, winning amateur riders minor event at Auteuil in 2021/22. Missed all of last season and left David Cottin for €10,000 in February. Joined a good yard but watching brief advised on UK debut. Wears hood. Makes stable debut after absence but he showed plenty of promise in France; watch betting.
6th	1 6th (1) (17/2 -113%) Sizing Pottsie	8.5 17/2(-113%)	(1) Sizing Pottsie 17/2, Smart chaser for Jessica Harrington in 2021/22 and, on his first run after a wind op, showed more than previously for this yard when second of 5 in handicap hurdle at Uttoxeter (15.8f, heavy) 24 days ago. Sound claims again. Close second of five on reappearance and every chance he'll be in the mix once more.
7th	6 7th (6) (15/2 +32%) Despereaux	7.5 15/2(+32%)	(6) Despereaux 15/2, Off the mark at Huntingdon on his second start before defying a penalty at Taunton in March. Failed to come on significantly for his comeback when fifth of 6 in handicap hurdle at Lingfield (16f, good to soft) 28 days ago and others appeal more. Hasn't run badly this autumn in two handicaps but he has to raise his game today.
8th	7 8th (7) (5/1 -25%) Great Ocean	5 5/1(-25%)	(7) Great Ocean 5/1, C&D winner who bounced back to best when taking 13-runner handicap hurdle at Hereford (19.7f, good, 4/1) last month. Remains well treated on old form. Won at Hereford recently; drops back down in trip today but still entitled to respect.

LTO Selection:

HIM MALAYA responded well for Olive Nicholls when they landed a conditional riders' race here last month and, now able to utilise the jockey's 7lb claim, another big run can be expected off a 5lb higher mark. Fellow last-time-out winner Great Ocean has a similar profile and is respected with Joe Anderson retaining the ride after they successfully teamed up at Hereford 13 days ago off a 6lb lower rating. Sizing Pottsie and the unexposed Aurigny Mill complete the shortlist.

HIM MALAYA won a shade cosily here last month and is fancied to follow up. Great Ocean and No No Tonic should also go well.

The Paul Nicholls-trained 4yo HIM MALAYA (nap) did it nicely over C&D three weeks ago and is taken to defy a 5lb rise.

14:45 Wincanton Handicap Hurdle (Class 3) 15f PREDICTION SIMULATION

14:52 Ffos Las Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 16f - 10 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	3 1st (3) (5/1 +58%) Milldam	5 5/1(+58%)	(3) Milldam 5/1, Fairly useful hurdler who opened his account on the back of a breathing operation/9 weeks off in 2m maiden at Huntingdon in March. However, he has failed to build on that in 3 subsequent starts. Has lost his way since Huntingdon maiden win in March; others preferred.
2	8 2nd (8) (4/1 +47%) Out Of Focus	4 4/1(+47%)	(8) Out Of Focus 4/1, Successful at Hereford on the second of 2 starts in bumpers and showed plenty to work on making his hurdling debut after 3 months off when second at Uttoxeter in May. Safely held both starts since but may well take a step forward now pitched into a handicap. Soundly beaten in two maidens this autumn but was placed on hurdling debut in May.
3	9 3rd (9) (11/2 -22%) Port Or Starboard	5.5 11/2(-22%)	(9) Port Or Starboard 11/2, Fair maiden on Flat who showed a good attitude to get off the mark in this sphere at Exeter in March. Has held his form well since and no reason to think he won't be on the premises once more. Has modest strike-rate but ran well when placed off today's mark last month.
4	1 4th (1) (9/2 -13%) John Betjeman	4.5 9/2(-13%)	(1) John Betjeman 9/2, Bounced back quickly from a lesser run at Wincanton when second of 13 at Kempton (2m, good to soft) last month. Remains on a fair mark and this multiple C&D winner is very much one to consider with an able conditional aboard. Three-time C&D winner; returns after good second at Kempton last month; respected.
5th	2 5th (2) (9/4 -50%) Grain D'oudairies	2.25 9/4(-50%)	(2) Grain D'oudairies 9/4, Made a winning hurdles debut at Bangor last November and doubled his tally when accounting for 4 rivals in a handicap at Uttoxeter (15.8f, heavy) 24 days ago. Up just 1 lb and further improvement may be forthcoming. Nudged up only 1lb for last month's heavy-ground win and remains lightly raced; big player.
6th	6 6th (6) (22/1 -10%) Max's Champ	22 22/1(-10%)	(6) Max's Champ 22/1, Point winner in March 2022 and best effort under Rules when runner-up in a maiden hurdle at Hereford (19.7f, good to soft) in April. However, well held both starts switched to handicaps this season and he needs to get back on track. Soundly beaten on both starts last month and now has questions to answer.
7th	5 7th (5) (100/1 -400%) Ileny Royale	100 100/1(-400%)	(5) Ileny Royale 100/1, Placed twice from 4 starts in minor events for Gabriel Leenders in France. That form is hard to quantify and only fourth between the flags last month, so the percentage call is to look elsewhere. Placed twice over hurdles in France; ran okay in a point on recent stable debut.
8th	7 8th (7) (25/1 -233%) Uno Mas	25 25/1(-233%)	(7) Uno Mas 25/1, Five-time winner in 2021 and ability remains intact judged on what he's shown in handicap hurdles at Aintree and Uttoxeter (both at around 3m) since returning from a 19-month absence. Could have a part to play if coping with this drop back in trip. Back from long absence with two decent efforts but probably wants better ground than this.
9th	10 9th (10) (80/1 -60%) Tiger Voice	80 80/1(-60%)	(10) Tiger Voice 80/1, Winning hurdler/chaser for Henry de Bromhead in Ireland but hasn't shown much for present connections and yard saddles a more appealing candidate in Port Or Starboard. Has plummeted down the weights and been very disappointing for new stable.
4	4 \|PU\| (4) (16/1 +20%) Interne De Sivola	16 16/1(+20%)	(4) Interne De Sivola 16/1, Dual juvenile hurdle winner for Nick Williams during 2021/22 campaign but appears to have gone the wrong way since. Lost his way over fences last season and there has been no revival back over hurdles.

LTO Selection:

GRAIN D'OUDAIRIES was all out to defeat a higher-rated rival at Uttoxeter last month but, given he was only nudged up 1lb for that narrow success, he has a live chance of following up here. The consistent John Betjeman rates as the biggest threat to the selection, with William Maggs' 7lb claim a handy asset, while the prolific Uno Mas and lightly-weighted Port Or Starboard are a couple of others to consider.

There should be more to come from the unexposed GRAIN D'OUDAIRIES, who appeared to have a bit left up his sleeve when scoring at Uttoxeter last month. He gets the nod ahead of John Betjeman, who clearly likes it round here (form figures at Ffos Las read 1312212) and a reproduction of his latest effort at Kempton would put him firmly in the picture. Out of Focus is respected now handicapping, while Port Or Starboard also enters calculations.

Nudged up only 1lb for his recent Uttoxeter success, GRAIN D'OUDAIRIES could still have quite a bit more to offer.

14:52 Ffos Las Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:00 Punchestown Handicap Hurdle 24f - 22 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
1	11 1st (11) (11/2 -83%) Duffys Getaway	5.5 11/2(-83%)	(11) Duffys Getaway 11/2, 4/1, career best when winning 15-runner handicap hurdle at Fairyhouse (23.8f, heavy) 35 days ago by 7½ lengths from Kiln Time. Has to be taken seriously. Fairyhouse win over Kiln Time looks good and meets that rival on same terms here.
2	12 2nd (12) (18/1 -29%) Spice Diva	18 18/1(-29%)	(12) Spice Diva 18/1, Promising sort. Still very much in the mix when hampered and unseated rider on handicap bow (9/1) at Down Royal (24.1f, soft) 32 days ago. Not taken lightly. Wasn't out of it when unseating three out on handicap debut so not one to readily rule out.
3	2 3rd (2) (17/2 +39%) Lizlucky	8.5 17/2(+39%)	(2) Lizlucky 17/2, Respectable fifth of 15 in handicap hurdle (20/1) at Thurles (20.6f, soft) 19 days ago. Last month's Thurles comeback not without promise and should come on for it.
4	16 4th (16) (15/2 +25%) Mahler Appeal	7.5 15/2(+25%)	(16) Mahler Appeal 15/2, Creditable 11½ lengths third of 15 to Duffys Getaway in handicap hurdle (5/1) at Fairyhouse (23.8f, heavy) 35 days ago. Fairyhouse comeback third to Duffys Getaway augurs well; each-way claims.
5th	7 5th (7) (6/1 -9%) Kiln Time	6 6/1(-9%)	(7) Kiln Time 6/1, Promising sort. 1 win from 3 runs this season. 11/2, good second of 16 in handicap hurdle at Tramore (21f, soft) 14 days ago, running on. Enters calculations. Fine form since returning from long absence; 9lb higher but could find more returned to 3m.
6th	3 6th (3) (17/2 +15%) No Fussing	8.5 17/2(+15%)	(3) No Fussing 17/2, 8/1, creditable third of 14 in handicap hurdle at Thurles (23f, soft) 54 days ago, helped by being held up in strongly-run race. Looks competitive on form. Thurles run suggests she has good chance of seeing this trip out and one to consider.
7th	4 7th (4) (11/1 +21%) Storm Mahler	11 11/1(+21%)	(4) Storm Mahler 11/1, 1 win from 3 runs this season. Latest win in hurdle at Ballinrobe in August. Sixth of 7 in handicap hurdle at Clonmel (24.2f, heavy, 3/1) 47 days ago. Very disappointing the last twice and questions to answer now.
8th	9 8th (9) (18/1 -29%) Merry Moves	18 18/1(-29%)	(9) Merry Moves 18/1, 12/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, third of 14 in handicap hurdle at Fairyhouse (23.5f, heavy) 18 days ago. Recent Fairyhouse third over this trip encouraging; one to consider.
9th	10 9th (10) (11/1 +56%) Sarah's Soldier	11 11/1(+56%)	(10) Sarah's Soldier 11/1, Temperamental sort. Creditable sixth of 18 in handicap hurdle (25/1) at this course (20.8f, soft) 26 days ago. Best form on better ground; could struggle to see this out in the conditions.
10th	15 10th (15) (28/1 +58%) I'm For Home	28 28/1(+58%)	(15) I'm For Home 28/1, 80/1, good eighth of 19 in handicap hurdle at Down Royal (24.1f, soft) 32 days ago. Easy to look elsewhere. Two handicap efforts suggest he remains opposable.
11th	21 11th (21) (10/1 +50%) Well Loved	10 10/1(+50%)	(21) Well Loved 10/1, 11/2, respectable seventh of 14 in handicap hurdle at Limerick (21f, heavy) 52 days ago. Bit too fresh on Limerick return so not one to rule out with rider's claim a positive.
12th	14 12th (14) (28/1 -155%) Ella Rose	28 28/1(-155%)	(14) Ella Rose 28/1, Very good second of 20 in handicap hurdle at Gowran (20f, heavy, 40/1) 31 days ago. Can make presence felt. Gowran second a big improvement but 3m here could test her stamina.
13th	8 13th (8) (66/1 -100%) Johnny Cakes	66 66/1(-100%)	(8) Johnny Cakes 66/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Sixth of 12 in novice hurdle at Wexford (20f, heavy, 250/1) 25 days ago. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Wexford run encouraging; could have more to offer upped in trip here on handicap debut.
14th	6 14th (6) (33/1 +0%) Colleen Danu	33 33/1(+0%)	(6) Colleen Danu 33/1, Blinkered for 1st time, eleventh of 14 in novice hurdle at Thurles (23f, soft, 11/1) 19 days ago. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Dropped out quickly in first-time blinkers at Thurles; headgear left off for handicap bow.
15th	20 15th (20) (18/1 +73%) Wanchu Bach	18 18/1(+73%)	(20) Wanchu Bach 18/1, 40/1, fourteenth of 16 in handicap chase at Down Royal (20f, good to soft). Off 22 months. Switches from chase to hurdles. First run for yard after leaving Kieran Purcell. Back from another long absence for third trainer and can only be watched.
16th	22 16th (22) (18/1 +10%) Oldtown To Emly	18 18/1(+10%)	(22) Oldtown To Emly 18/1, Good fourth of 13 in handicap hurdle (14/1) at Limerick (24.4f, heavy) 21 days ago. More encouraging over this trip at Limerick latest, more needed though; reserve.
17th	13 17th (13) (80/1 -100%) True Or False	80 80/1(-100%)	(13) True Or False 80/1, 80/1, fifth of 13 in novice hurdle at Thurles (16.5f, good to soft) 12 days ago. Significantly back up in trip. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Should improve. Back up in trip for handicap debut but others preferred.
18th	19 18th (19) (25/1 -56%) Seangoell	25 25/1(-56%)	(19) Seangoell 25/1, One win from 27 NH runs. Twenty runs since last win in 2021. Fourth of 7 in handicap chase at Clonmel (22.8f, heavy, 13/8). Off 8 months. Switches from chase to hurdles. Others more persuasive. Likes it heavy but absent since April and may need this.
17	17 \|PU\| (17) (18/1 -50%) Elle Dorado Rock	18 18/1(-50%)	(17) Elle Dorado Rock 18/1, Respectable fifth of 12 in handicap (9/2) at Sligo (13.1f, soft). Off 7 months. Switches from Flat to hurdles. Tongue strap back on. Pulled up on last hurdle outing. Modest maiden under both codes; likely to need this comeback run.
1	1 \|PU\| (1) (25/1 +0%) Tom Kelly	25 25/1(+0%)	(1) Tom Kelly 25/1, Seventh of 9 in novice hurdle (20/1) at Thurles (23f, soft) 40 days ago. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Plenty to find on form. Bits and pieces of form but doesn't appeal as likely to make immediate impact in handicaps.
18	18 \|PU\| (18) (28/1 +58%) Our Jervis	28 28/1(+58%)	(18) Our Jervis 28/1, Below form tenth of 19 in handicap hurdle (50/1) at Down Royal (24.1f, soft) 32 days ago. Entitled to come on from recent comeback run but still opposable.
5	5 \|PU\| (5) (50/1 -52%) Ounce Of Gold	50 50/1(-52%)	(5) Ounce Of Gold 50/1, 16/1, pulled up in handicap hurdle at Ballinrobe (21.8f, good to soft) 88 days ago, behind when pulled up after 2 out. C&D second in June but lifeless run afterwards at Ballinrobe raises doubts.

LTO Selection:

It is difficult to look past DUFFYS GETAWAY, who was an impressive winner on his return over slightly further at Fairyhouse last month. The six-year-old has similar conditions again, and he can overcome a 9lb rise, while upholding form with the progressive Kiln Time (second), who has won at Wexford and been second at Tramore since. Merry Moves bounced back to form with a solid placed effort at Fairyhouse last month and she also needs considering. Completing the shortlist are the likes of Lizlucky, Mahler Appeal and No Fussing.

DUFFYS GETAWAY justified market confidence back form a break when beating Kiln Time (winner since) at Fairyhouse 5 weeks ago and remains of interest. Kiln Time has continued to improve since so may emerge as the main threat again, while Spice Diva was still very much in the mix when exiting the race through no fault of her own on handicap bow at Down Royal last month.

Much improved over this trip at Fairyhouse last month, DUFFYS GETAWAY (nap) can defy a 9lb rise and confirm form with Kiln Time

15:00 Punchestown Handicap Hurdle 24f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:10 Fontwell Handicap Chase (Class 4) 20f - 5 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	3 1st (3) (9/2 +25%) Good Friday Fairy	4.5 9/2(+25%)	(3) Good Friday Fairy 9/2, Steadily progressive over hurdles, off the mark at Chepstow in April, and jumped pretty well when third on chase debut back from a break at Ffos Las (2m, heavy) last month. Couldn't be sure that this step back up in trip will be in his favour, though. Gave it a good go from the front on chase debut; should appreciate this longer trip.
5	5 \|R\| (5) (4/6 +67%) Aviles	0.666667 4/6(+67%)	(5) Aviles 4/6, Fair ex-French hurdler who found just one too good all 4 starts in juvenile/maiden hurdles last term. Again runner-up when going agonisingly close on return/chase debut at Fontwell (19.5f, soft), a race he probably would've won but for a bad mistake 2 out. Solid chance. Unlucky to remain a maiden and just missed out on chase debut after a late mistake.
4	4 \|PU\| (4) (4/1 -33%) Grizzly James	4 4/1(-33%)	(4) Grizzly James 4/1, Fairly useful ex-French hurdles winner who took advantage of reduced mark when scoring at Hereford in April. Set to follow up when falling 2 out at Chepstow later that month. Off since but remains of interest for in-form yard. Signed off last season in good form and appeals as the type with more to offer.
7	7 \|PU\| (7) (9/1 -38%) Casa Tall	9 9/1(-38%)	(7) Casa Tall 9/1, Three-time winner over fences in 2021. Has been a while since he last troubled the judge but has slipped a long way in the weights and shaped as though a revival may be imminent on debut for new yard at Carlisle in October. Well handicapped on best form and wasn't beaten too far after a break on stable debut.
1	1 \|PU\| (1) (100/1 -400%) Mortens Leam	100 100/1(-400%)	(1) Mortens Leam 100/1, Five-time winner over fences but offered little on return from 21 months off at Fontwell on Boxing Day and has plenty to prove now returning from another absence. Pulled up here last Boxing Day after a long layoff and now returns from another.

LTO Selection:

The Gary Moore stable has clicked into gear of late and this looks like an ideal opportunity for AVILES to finally get off the mark, having been denied by the narrowest of margins on his chase debut over C&D last month. Grizzly James returns from a 241-day break, having looked as though he may win at Chepstow in April before falling two out, while Good Friday Fairy open to improvement after a promising chasing bow at Ffos Las.

AVILES was likely to have made a winning chase/handicap bow but for a drastic late error over this C&D on return last month and is fancied to make amends at the main expense of Grizzly James, who was also looking the likely winner when falling 2 out at Chepstow when last seen in the spring.

A few with chances but AVILES is just plain unfortunate to still be a maiden and this could be his lucky day.

15:10 Fontwell Handicap Chase (Class 4) 20f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:15 Wincanton Handicap Chase (Class 5) 20f - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	9 1st (9) (11/1 -100%) Sherborne	11 11/1(-100%)	(9) Sherborne 11/1, Landed a double over hurdles during the spring and first form over fences when runner-up in a handicap chase at Exeter (17.5f, soft) in October. Better than bare result at Kempton next time and no surprise to see him involved in the finish here. Hurdle wins at 2m4f and 2m5f in May; not obviously ahead of his mark in 2 chase runs since.
2	7 2nd (7) (16/1 -33%) Has Troke	16 16/1(-33%)	(7) Has Troke 16/1, Fair hurdler who was more miss than hit last season and never landed a blow at Lingfield on chase bow/return. Cheekpieces refitted. Won 2m3f novice hurdle; never involved on chase debut after layoff but can improve.
3	5 3rd (5) (4/1 +43%) Kingofthewest	4 4/1(+43%)	(5) Kingofthewest 4/1, Dual hurdles winner who is entitled to come on for his reappearance/chase debut fourth at Taunton (18.2f, good to soft) last month. 2 lb lowe now and merits respect in what looks a winnable race. Dual hurdle winner; just a mildly encouraging chase debut; now down in class.
5th	2 5th (2) (11/1 +67%) King Of Brazil	11 11/1(+67%)	(2) King Of Brazil 11/1, Modest form in bumpers but much better signs over hurdles, confirming debut promise when landing 2m novice at Warwick in March. Signed off with a poor run, however, and hasn't shown much in 2 starts switched to fences this season. Tongue strap added. Hurdle winner over 2m in March (soft); no marked promise in 2 chase starts; tongue-tie on.
6th	8 6th (8) (9/1 -80%) Chankaya	9 9/1(-80%)	(8) Chankaya 9/1, Fair form at best on the Flat and runner-up twice from half-a-dozen starts over hurdles, including in a 13-runner handicap here (19.8f, soft) last time. Possibilities if he takes to fences at the first attempt. Solid run against unexposed rival over 2m4f here latest; up 6lb for chase debut.
7th	11 7th (11) (5/1 +44%) Bonza Boy	5 5/1(+44%)	(11) Bonza Boy 5/1, Didn't kick on from a promising reappearance over hurdles last season. Positives to glean from his efforts over fences at Chepstow and Warwick but improvement will be needed if he's to make it third time lucky in this sphere. Mild promise on chase debut; jumped right on return; can do better going this way round.
4	4 \|PU\| (4) (7/2 +30%) Kraqueline	3.5 7/2(+30%)	(4) Kraqueline 7/2, Fair maiden hurdler who took her form up a level when winning 9-runner handicap chase here (20.2f, soft) on debut over fences in October. This 8 lb higher mark proved beyond her at Warwick next time, though. Cosy C&D winner on chase debut; struggled in higher grade since; this is less competitive.
3	3 \|PU\| (3) (13/2 +19%) Hot Rod Lincoln	6.5 13/2(+19%)	(3) Hot Rod Lincoln 13/2, Successful on sole outing in Irish points and was getting his act together over hurdles towards the end of last season, opening his account in a novice at Fontwell in May. However, disappointing start in this sphere on return at Warwick. Won Irish point/maiden hurdle; pulled up on chase debut but too soon to write off.
12	12 \|PU\| (12) (22/1 +12%) Pencil	22 22/1(+12%)	(12) Pencil 22/1, Appeared to take a step forward when placed on third start over fences at Bangor in October but has failed to build on that in 2 subsequent starts. 8 lb 'wrong' at the weights. Not gone on from 3rd in 2m1f chase in October; yet to complete at trips beyond 2m2f.

LTO Selection:

SHERBORNE has held his form well and, given he has scope to develop further as a chaser, looks worth chancing in a wide-open handicap, especially with regular partner Brendan Powell back in the saddle. King Of Brazil is one to monitor closely in the betting sporting a first-time tongue-tie, while Kingofthewest (fourth) is noteworthy given the form of his chasing debut was subsequently boosted by the third home winning at Ludlow earlier this month. Chasing debutant Chankaya ris also considered, having gone close over hurdles here last time.

The vote goes to KINGOFTHEWEST, who should be all the better for his chase debut fourth at Taunton following a seven-month absence and this step back up in trip is a potentially good move. Sherborne probably would've finished closer but for a stumble at the third-last at Kempton last time and he is next on the list ahead of Moytier.

A case can be made for a few but HOT ROD LINCOLN remains with potential and it may be worth overlooking his low-key chase debut.

15:15 Wincanton Handicap Chase (Class 5) 20f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:22 Ffos Las Handicap Chase (Class 4) 22f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	2 1st (2) (5/2 +29%) James Jet	2.5 5/2(+29%)	(2) James Jet 5/2, Winning pointer who was progressive over hurdles, making a winning handicap bow at Uttoxeter on return last month. Should have more to offer still now going chasing. Rallied gamely to win on recent handicap hurdle debut; quickly switched to fences here.
2	4 2nd (4) (6/1 -50%) Gazette Bourgeoise	6 6/1(-50%)	(4) Gazette Bourgeoise 6/1, Scored twice over hurdles but not as good over fences last season, well held last 2 starts. Dropped to a career-low mark and back down in class at least. Off 7 months. Tongue strap on 1st time. Didn't run badly at Cheltenham in April and resumes on a tempting mark.
3	5 3rd (5) (3/1 +67%) Inflexible	3 3/1(+67%)	(5) Inflexible 3/1, Performed with credit both outings in France and fair form over hurdles so far for current stable. Let down by jumping back over fences at Warwick on comeback but return to further will suit. Ex-French 5yo; still low mileage but was well beaten on last month's British chase debut.
4	3 4th (3) (10/1 -67%) Margaret's Legacy	10 10/1(-67%)	(3) Margaret's Legacy 10/1, Fairly useful form over hurdles/fences in France but let down by jumping 3 of 4 starts for this yard, including on return. Becoming well treated at least. Placed off 3lb higher at end of last term and will find this easier than reappearance task.
5th	7 5th (7) (4/1 -45%) Boston Joe	4 4/1(-45%)	(7) Boston Joe 4/1, Better than ever after 14 months off when easily winning at Wincanton despite a typically erratic round of jumping. Improved again when second here (19.4f, heavy) 3 weeks ago, clear of rest. Big shout. Followed October's convincing win with a clear second here last month; good chance.
8	8 \|PU\| (8) (8/1 -78%) Frankie Faulkner	8 8/1(-78%)	(8) Frankie Faulkner 8/1, Dual winner in points who got off the mark over hurdles in maiden at Newton Abbot in July. Some improvement switched to fences/handicaps since though well held here last time. Needs to bounce back. A unlucky loser at Newton Abbot in September but not in same form since.
1	1 \|PU\| (1) (22/1 -57%) Ballinsker	22 22/1(-57%)	(1) Ballinsker 22/1, Recorded a third win over fences at Chepstow in April but well held last 2 starts after 5 months off, including back over hurdles 3 weeks ago. Cheekpieces back on. Won off 1lb higher in April but below form lately and probably wants better ground.
6	6 \|PU\| (6) (50/1 -52%) Orange Diamond	50 50/1(-52%)	(6) Orange Diamond 50/1, Fairly useful handicap hurdler in France. Pulled up both starts over fences for this yard, however. Significantly up in trip. Has performed poorly in 2m handicap chases on both starts for current stable.

LTO Selection:

James Jet showed the benefit of wind surgery when getting up late to score at Uttoxeter 24 days ago and looks a big player here. However, a 9lb rise for a head success looks a little harsh and he is taken on with the potentially more progressive BOSTON JOE, who didn't jump too fluently on his last two starts but still managed a win and a resectable second-placed finish. Frankie Faulkner looks the more appealing of Evan Williams' two entrants on these terms and he could pick up the bronze medal.

BOSTON JOE is clearly an improved model this season and remains of interest having pulled clear with the winner here 3 weeks ago. Winning pointer James Jet was progressive over hurdles so is a likely threat on chase bow, while Gazette Bourgeoise and Margaret's Legacy are both becoming well handicapped.

Rebeeca Curtis's BOSTON JOE followed his emphatic Wincanton win with a big run in defeat here three weeks ago and might be the answer.

15:22 Ffos Las Handicap Chase (Class 4) 22f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:30 Punchestown NH Flat Race 17f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds
1	2 1st (2) (4/5 +20%) Kish Bank	0.8 4/5(+20%)	(2) Kish Bank 4/5, Easy winner on point debut last month. Likely hard to beat on Rules debut for top connections. Unchallenged winner of Tinahely point last month; obvious interest now switching to track.
2	3 2nd (3) (12/1 +0%) Seatoit	12 12/1(+0%)	(3) Seatoit 12/1, Once-raced maiden. Fourth of 11 in bumper (12/1) at Thurles (16.1f, soft) on NH debut 40 days ago. Staying-on fourth at Thurles last month a promising start but more likely required here.
3	1 3rd (1) (14/1 +36%) A Tipp For Gold	14 14/1(+36%)	(1) A Tipp For Gold 14/1, Once-raced maiden. 8/1, ninth of 11 in bumper at Thurles (16.1f, soft) on NH debut 40 days ago. Too keen on recent Thurles debut; interesting jockey booking now.
4	5 4th (5) (9/2 +44%) Slieve Carran	4.5 9/2(+44%)	(5) Slieve Carran 9/2, Twice-raced maiden. Hooded for 1st time, second of 11 in bumper (16/1) at Thurles (16.1f, soft) 40 days ago. Thurles second going the right way; should be thereabouts.
5th	4 5th (4) (200/1 -614%) Jassur Des Brosses	200 200/1(-614%)	(4) Jassur Des Brosses 200/1, Once-raced maiden. 14/1, last of 9 in bumper at Galway (16.4f, heavy) on NH debut 45 days ago. Last of 9 on Galway debut in October; probably the stable second-choice on jockey bookings.
6th	7 6th (7) (8/1 +20%) Royal Cave	8 8/1(+20%)	(7) Royal Cave 8/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 25/1, good fifth of 16 in bumper at Galway (16f, heavy) 44 days ago, running on late. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Fair standard of form, including on heavy at Galway; cheekpieces fitted and more required.
7th	6 7th (6) (7/2 +0%) Ufouria	3.5 7/2(+0%)	(6) Ufouria 7/2, Once-raced maiden. Second of 9 in bumper (12/1) at Limerick (16f, heavy) on NH debut 52 days ago. Should go well again. Limerick debut second a likely major player here on ground she handles.
8th	8 8th (8) (28/1 -12%) Wearonthegold	28 28/1(-12%)	(8) Wearonthegold 28/1, €3,000 3-y-o, Milan mare. Dam unraced. The betting should help guide to expectations with this newcomer. Newcomer best watched unless market suggests otherwise.

LTO Selection:

KISH BANK's dam was a useful hurdler and this four-year-old could be pretty decent himself judged on his facile success between the flags last month. Gordon Elliott's charge is likely to be a warm order on his debut under Rules and looks the one to beat, although Ufouria may be no pushover. She ran up to the highly-promising Only By Night on her debut at Limerick in October and Paul Nolan's mare gets a handy 7lb from the selection. Slieve Carran had Seatoit (fourth) and A Tipp For Gold (ninth) in arrears when second at Thurles last month and could prove best of the remainder.

KISH BANK makes a quick switch to a bumper on the back of his ready point win last month and will likely take plenty of stopping for the Gordon Elliott team. Paul Nolan's Limerick runner-up Ufouria can fill the forecast spot ahead of Royal Cave.

Not a strong bumper for the venue and point-to-point winner KISH BANK could be well up to making a winning start under Rules

15:30 Punchestown NH Flat Race 17f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:40 Fontwell Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 18f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
4	4 (4) (7/1 +22%) Ray's The One	7 7/1(+22%)	(4) Ray's The One 7/1, Both of his wins over hurdles have been registered over C&D, including this race 12 months ago. Has slipped back to the winning mark but he's not the most consistent, both in this sphere and on the Flat, and one or two of these are more appealing. Soft-ground winner here in the past but current wellbeing looks an issue.
2	2 (2) (10/11 +39%) He's A Latchico	0.909091 10/11(+39%)	(2) He's A Latchico 10/11, Duly left novice form behind switched to handicaps during the summer, scoring twice at up to 19f on good/good to firm here (also scored on the Flat in July). Proved that he handles slow ground after all when a solid second at Sandown (2m, heavy) on Saturday. Big player. Outstayed after travelling the best at Sandown on Friday and this looks easier.
1	1 1st (1) (7/2 +22%) Thirtyfour Thirty	3.5 7/2(+22%)	(1) Thirtyfour Thirty 7/2, Fairly useful bumper winner for Nigel Twiston-Davies in the summer. Best of his three runs over hurdles when fourth of 9 in a Wincanton novice (21.4f, soft) 19 days ago but improvement needed back down in trip for this handicap debut. Respectable bumper form on good ground; hasn't hit the same heights over hurdles.
2	8 2nd (8) (2/1 +71%) Smart Casual	2 2/1(+71%)	(8) Smart Casual 2/1, Bumper run wasn't devoid of promise and hinted at ability in maiden/novice company last season. Failed to take a step forward when pulled up on return/handicap debut at Stratford (18.7f, heavy) but entitled to come on for that run and this 5-y-o is likely capable of better. Lightly raced; pulled up on his handicap debut at Stratford last month when an 11-1 chance.
3	5 3rd (5) (6/1 +76%) Highlander Casseul	6 6/1(+76%)	(5) Highlander Casseul 6/1, Fair ex-Irish maiden hurdler but has offered little in 3 starts for present connections. Ex-Irish maiden who has finished tailed off in three 2m4f handicaps for his current yard.
4	7 4th (7) (11/4 +0%) What's My Line	2.75 11/4(+0%)	(7) What's My Line 11/4, Off the mark over hurdles in a 21.7f handicap here last October and back to form on second run following a wind op when scoring at Lingfield (2m, good to soft) 3 weeks ago. Remains to be seen if he can back that up but will be a threat if able to do so off this 4 lb higher mark. Overcame some interference to win going away at Lingfield; softer ground is a grey area.
5th	3 5th (3) (8/1 +33%) Play By The Rules	8 8/1(+33%)	(3) Play By The Rules 8/1, Aided by first-time cheekpieces when decisively taking 13-runner handicap hurdle at Taunton (19f, heavy) in March. Followed that with a good second at Hereford next time but his reappearance effort last month wasn't overly inspiring. First and second in first two handicaps; struggled on return but in a higher grade.
6th	6 6th (6) (20/1 +60%) Leading The Way	20 20/1(+60%)	(6) Leading The Way 20/1, Winless following 9 attempts over hurdles for Gillian Scott in Ireland and recent debut for this yard at Lingfield resulted in a heavy defeat. Visor applied. Placed once on heavy in Ireland; 100-1 when tailed off on recent stable debut.

LTO Selection:

Turned out again quickly after a strong runner-up effort at Sandown last Friday, HE'S A LATCHICO should appreciate going up in trip, as well as a return to his favourite track where he is unbeaten. Another course winner What's My Line must also enter calculations after a determined success at Lingfield on his seasonal debut. Thirtyfour Thirty is another to note making his handicap debut off what could be a lenient mark.

The case for HE'S A LATCHICO is a pretty compelling one, given that he's 2-2 over C&D and found just one too good off this mark in a stronger race at Sandown on Saturday. What's My Line also has winning form here and looks the main danger on the back of his recent Lingfield success. Smart Casual is probably capable of better than he has shown thus far and is most interesting of the remainder.

This looks a weak race and easier than the one in which HE'S A LATCHICO looked all over the winner for a long way at Sandown on Friday.

15:40 Fontwell Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 18f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:45 Wincanton NH Flat Race (Class 5) 15f - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	2 1st (2) (11/2 +45%) Crest Of Fortune	5.5 11/2(+45%)	(2) Crest Of Fortune 11/2, £45,000 Doyen gelding. Closely related to fair hurdler/fairly useful chaser Allo Allo, and half-brother to 2 winners, including bumper winner Pour Les Filles. Onoe of 4 newcomers from a stable which does well in bumpers the betting should help to separate them. Appeals on pedigree; one of four entered for a trainer who is 21% in bumpers (five years)..
2	5 2nd (5) (11/1 -144%) Dodger Long	11 11/1(-144%)	(5) Dodger Long 11/1, Related to a couple of winners and has shown a fair level of ability making the frame in bumpers at Exeter (trained by Milton Harris) and Huntingdon (for Syd Hosie) this autumn. Should be in the mix again. Promising; longer trip may help elicit some improvement; not ruled out..
3	9 3rd (9) (15/8 +87%) Oakley's Way	1.875 15/8(+87%)	(9) Oakley's Way 15/8, €55,000 Walk In The Park gelding. Half-brother to 3 winners, including top-class 2m chaser Special Tiara and useful hurdler Accidental Rebel. Dam unraced. Another first-timer from the yard who is bred for the job. Half-brother to three winners, including Special Tiara; interesting runner; market check..
4	7 4th (7) (13/2 -160%) Hill Spirit	6.5 13/2(-160%)	(7) Hill Spirit 13/2, Placed at Huntingdon and Newcastle in recent months. This might be his day. Looks capable of picking up one of these but will again find this competitive..
5th	6 5th (6) (12/1 +0%) Grenadier Jed	12 12/1(+0%)	(6) Grenadier Jed 12/1, Frontiersman gelding. Half-brother to bumper winner Montenay. Dam, 1¼m winner, half-sister to fairly useful chaser (3m-25f winner) Graduation Night. Another debutant to keep an eye on in the betting. Half-brother to bumper winner Montenay; trainer 0-9 in bumpers over five seasons..
6th	1 6th (1) (7/1 -155%) Lightning Flash	7 7/1(-155%)	(1) Lightning Flash 7/1, Made a winning debut at Ludlow (2m, soft) last month. Should go well despite his 7 lb penalty. Ready winner on debut; 7lb claimer negates his penalty and he looks a big player again..
7th	8 7th (8) (20/1 +60%) Infantryman	20 20/1(+60%)	(8) Infantryman 20/1, 8,000 gns Lope De Vega gelding. Dam 9.5f winner. Best watched unless the betting strongly hints otherwise. 200,000euros yearling, 8,000gns 3yo; first foal; dam French 9.5f winner..
8th	10 8th (10) (80/1 -60%) Sea Victory	80 80/1(-60%)	(10) Sea Victory 80/1, £13,000 Sea The Moon gelding. Half-brother to 11f winner Ring Fenced. Dam 1¼m winner who stayed 1½m. Wears tongue strap for debut. Stable 0-15 in bumpers in the last 5 seasons. £13,000 3yo; third foal; half-brother to 1m3f AW winner Ring Fenced; dam 1m2f winner..
9th	4 9th (4) (4/1 +11%) Dark Material	4 4/1(+11%)	(4) Dark Material 4/1, Jack Hobbs gelding. Half-brother to useful bumper winner The Kemble Brewery. Dam (h79), maiden hurdler, sister to useful hurdler/smart chaser (stayed 3m) Warriors Tale. Makes paper appeal and Sam Twiston-Davies takes the ride. Half-brother to dual bumper winner The Kemble Brewery; market check suggested..

LTO Selection:

Placed on each of his first two starts over shorter, the step up in trip can work the oracle for HILL SPIRIT as he looks to get off the mark. A 7lb penalty for a taking success on debut at Ludlow will make life tougher for Lightning Flash, while Dodger Long is of interest as well on his first run for new connections. Crest Of Fortune looks to be the pick of the newcomers for a stable that know how to ready one.

HILL SPIRIT has shown fair form when placed in similar company in recent months and is taken to make the most of the weight he receives from previous-winner Lightning Flash. Anthony Honeyball, who has a healthy strike-rate in bumpers, runs 4 newcomers and a market move for one or more would also bring them into the reckoning.

With 7lb claimed and therefore negating his penalty, the ready Ludlow winner LIGHTNING FLASH looks capable of a repeat.

15:45 Wincanton NH Flat Race (Class 5) 15f PREDICTION SIMULATION

17:00 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 8f - 11 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	10 1st (10) (17/2 +29%) Jazzy Angel	8.5 17/2(+29%)	(10) Jazzy Angel 17/2, Thrice-raced maiden. Sixth of 9 in minor event at Newmarket (7f, good to soft, 50/1) 48 days ago. May do better now sent handicapping. Showed nothing more than minor promise in her three 7f qualifying races; nursery debut.
2	4 2nd (4) (11/1 +31%) Finn Ironside	11 11/1(+31%)	(4) Finn Ironside 11/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 80/1, ninth of 12 in minor event at Chelmsford City (6f) 33 days ago. Significantly back up in trip. Makes tapeta/handicap debut. Unable to land a significant blow in four maiden/novice races; may do better in handicaps.
3	2 3rd (2) (5/1 +9%) Moreginplease	5 5/1(+9%)	(2) Moreginplease 5/1, Making all-weather debut, ran creditably when third of 8 in nursery at Lingfield (1m, AW, 11/2) 41 days ago, no extra final 100 yds. 1 lb lower now and warrants respect. Placed at Lingfield when upped to 1m for last month's AW debut; 1lb lower here.
4	6 4th (6) (9/4 +44%) Likeashadow	2.25 9/4(+44%)	(6) Likeashadow 9/4, Back-to-back winner at Newcastle before creditable third of 7 in nursery (9/2) at same course (8f) 23 days ago, left poorly placed. Booking of Murphy a plus. Shortlisted. Dual nursery winner at Newcastle this autumn; good third off today's mark there last time.
5th	1 5th (1) (14/1 -40%) Morindoo	14 14/1(-40%)	(1) Morindoo 14/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 4/1, last of 8 in maiden at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 24 days ago, slowly away. Doesn't look especially well treated on handicap debut. Has claims if judged on second of her three qualifying runs; well beaten since, though.
6th	11 6th (11) (3/1 +10%) Bradman	3 3/1(+10%)	(11) Bradman 3/1, Lightly-raced maiden who met trouble in running when fourth of 12 in nursery at Wolverhampton (8.6f, 10/11) 20 days ago. Big player off same mark here. Fourth in two 8.6f Wolverhampton nurseries last month; still has a bigger run in him.
7th	12 7th (12) (40/1 -60%) Goldmine Girl	40 40/1(-60%)	(12) Goldmine Girl 40/1, Cheekpieces on for 1st time, respectable fifth of 11 in nursery at Wolverhampton (7.2f, 22/1) 17 days ago, slowly away. Others more persuasive. Consistent in recent months but needs to find extra to get a win on the board.
8th	8 8th (8) (33/1 -136%) Keep My Secret	33 33/1(-136%)	(8) Keep My Secret 33/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Eighth of 12 in minor event at Chelmsford City (7f, 40/1) 31 days ago. Improvement required on handicap debut. Beaten about 5l in three maiden/novice races; should have more to offer in handicaps.
9th	3 9th (3) (9/1 +0%) Fly Pass	9 9/1(+0%)	(3) Fly Pass 9/1, Sixth of 7 in nursery at Newcastle (8f, 12/1) 23 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Still looking for first success. Stayed on for third when upped to 1m last month and refitted cheekpieces might help here.
10th	5 10th (5) (28/1 -300%) Nominal Event	28 28/1(-300%)	(5) Nominal Event 28/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 11/4, second of 7 in minor event at Catterick (7f, soft) 69 days ago, flattered by proximity. Makes handicap debut. More required. Made the frame in all three qualifying races; up in trip for nursery/AW debut.
11th	7 11th (7) (22/1 +12%) Storm Alice	22 22/1(+12%)	(7) Storm Alice 22/1, Winner at Chepstow in September. 28/1, fifth of 8 in nursery at Wolverhampton (9.5f) 46 days ago. Visor on 1st time. Needs a couple of these to falter. Two lesser efforts have followed her Chepstow win in September; visor added here.

LTO Selection:

Likeashadow and Storm Alice have both proven they have the wherewithal to win a race and each commands respect in this wide-open nursery, especially the former who went close off this mark in a higher grade last time. However, MOREGINPLEASE arguably boasts slightly stronger form and, given she is unexposed on the all-weather, this could be a good time to catch the John Ryan-trained filly.

BRADMAN is still low mileage and hasn't been seen to best effect in either of his nursery starts. He can open his account. Likeashadow and Moreginplease head the list of dangers.

The suggestion is nursery debutante KEEP MY SECRET, who moves up in trip after three encouraging qualifying runs.

17:00 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 8f PREDICTION SIMULATION

17:30 Southwell Stakes (Class 5) 7f - 11 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	6 1st (6) (5/4 +55%) Sir Les Patterson	1.25 5/4(+55%)	(6) Sir Les Patterson 5/4, 85,000 gns Zoustar colt. Half-brother to 5f winner Harmony Rose. Dam, Italian winner up to 6f (2-y-o 5f winner), half-sister to smart winner up to 7f Society Power. Third of 12 in novice at Kempton (8f, 11/1) on debut 27 days ago. Open to improvement. Raced prominently and hung around to be third behind a Godolphin odds-on shot at Kempton.
2	3 2nd (3) (2/1 +0%) First Alliance	2 2/1(+0%)	(3) First Alliance 2/1, Foaled March 23. 500,000 gns yearling, Dubawi colt. Dam, winner up to 1m (German 1000 Guineas and 2-y-o 6f/7f winner), half-sister to very smart winner up to 1m Major Cadeaux. Likely type. 500,000gns yearling and has an entry in next year's Irish 2,000 Guineas.
2	1 2nd (1) (10/1 -82%) Alhather	10 10/1(-82%)	(1) Alhather 10/1, Foaled February 26. €92,000 foal, 160,000 gns yearling, Kodiac colt. Dam 7f winner out of useful 1m winner (stayed 1½m) Be My Queen. One for shortlist on debut given connections. 160,000gns yearling; smart pedigree and he would be appealing if strong in the betting.
4	4 4th (4) (4/1 +33%) Luas	4 4/1(+33%)	(4) Luas 4/1, 52,000 gns Dark Angel colt. Dam unraced half-sister to very smart 5f (including Prix de l'Abbaye de Longchamp) winner Wizz Kid out of useful 6.7f winner Lidanski. Much better effort when fourth of 14 in novice (20/1) at Newmarket (6f, good), running on. Off 137 days. Respected. Ran well behind a good horse at Newmarket in July; gelded in the meantime.
5th	2 5th (2) (33/1 -32%) Beat The Clock	33 33/1(-32%)	(2) Beat The Clock 33/1, 67,000 gns foal, 130,000 gns yearling, €50,000 2-y-o, Time Test gelding. Dam 1m winner. Eleventh of 13 in novice at Newmarket (7f, soft, 100/1) on debut 39 days ago. 100-1 when finishing down the field in a 7f heavy-ground maiden at Newmarket last month.
6th	7 6th (7) (100/1 -525%) Teddy Brown	100 100/1(-525%)	(7) Teddy Brown 100/1, Foaled May 2. 4,000 gns yearling, Coach House colt. Closely related to 5f winner Displaying Amber. Dam unraced. Wears cheekpieces. 4,000gns yearling; best watched with cheekpieces on from the outset.
7th	5 7th (5) (80/1 -400%) Pagliacci	80 80/1(-400%)	(5) Pagliacci 80/1, Foaled March 6. Gleneagles gelding. Brother to 2-y-o 1¼m winner Top Brass. Dam, 1¼m-1¾m (Lillie Langtry Stakes) winner, half-sister to useful performer up to 1¼m Drumbeat. Already gelded and, unless strong in the betting, appeals as one for further down the line.
8th	10 8th (10) (33/1 -267%) Prom Queen	33 33/1(-267%)	(10) Prom Queen 33/1, Foaled April 17. 17,000 gns foal, 85,000 gns yearling, Ribchester filly. Half-sister to useful 5f winner Wonderwork and 2-y-o 7f winner Spacer. Dam, 2-y-o 5f winner, half-sister to smart winner up to 8.6f Party Boss. One to note. Market informative with the owners also running First Alliance, who dons the first silks.
9th	9 9th (9) (22/1 -144%) Bella Umbria	22 22/1(-144%)	(9) Bella Umbria 22/1, Twice-raced maiden. Sixth of 12 in novice (7/1) at this C&D 18 days ago. RPRs in the 60s in 7f novices at Kempton and here; unlikely to be good enough.
10th	8 10th (8) (200/1 -203%) Tip Top Tank	200 200/1(-203%)	(8) Tip Top Tank 200/1, Pastoral Pursuits gelding. Half-brother to 2-y-o 5f winner Big Ace and 1m-1¼m winner Little Ted. Dam, maiden (stayed 1m), half-sister to useful 5f-7f winner Inhalation. Fourteenth of 15 in novice at York (6f, heavy, 80/1) on debut 60 days ago. Related to winners from this yard but made a quiet start at huge odds at York (6f, soft).
11th	11 11th (11) (150/1 -127%) Sally Anne's Dream	150 150/1(-127%)	(11) Sally Anne's Dream 150/1, Foaled April 2. Wusool filly. Dam, winner up to 6f (2-y-o 5f winner), sister to 5f/6f winner Ingleby Lady and winner up to 6f Ahern (both useful). Third foal; dam prolific 5f-6f winner (including 2yo/AW; RPR 92); not the obvious answer.

LTO Selection:

Several of these are noteworthy for future reference, not least FIRST ALLIANCE, a 500,000gns yearling whose pedigree makes for good reading, given he is introduced at such a modest level. A son of Dubawi, he runs for a yard with a highly impressive strike-rate with its two-year-olds and this colt, an Irish 2000 Guineas entrant, rates a most intriguing newcomer. Prom Queen and Alhather are other expensive newcomers to note, while Sir Les Patterson makes most appeal from those with experience.

SIR LES PATTERSON showed plenty to work on when third at Kempton and can put that experience to good use up against some interesting newcomers, notably First Alliance and Alhather.

A difficult race to approach without the benefit of market vibes, as the newcomers are interesting. SIR LES PATTERSON ran a nice debut.

17:30 Southwell Stakes (Class 5) 7f PREDICTION SIMULATION

18:00 Southwell Stakes (Class 5) 7f - 10 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	5 1st (5) (15/8 -25%) Night Raider	1.875 15/8(-25%)	(5) Night Raider 15/8, Foaled March 6. 155,000 gns foal, Dark Angel colt. Half-brother to very smart 5f-7f winner Far Above and 6f winner Dubai Dawn. Dam 7f winner. A newcomer to take very seriously. Half-brother to two winners, the best being Far Above (5f-7f including Group 3; RPR 113)..
2	4 2nd (4) (2/1 +11%) Midnight's Dream	2 2/1(+11%)	(4) Midnight's Dream 2/1, Foaled April 14. 125,000 gns yearling, Cappella Sansevero colt. Half-brother to smart 5f/5.7f winner White Lavender and 6f winner Dark Kestrel. Trainer’s newcomers command respect and a player on paper. Half-brother to two winners including White Lavender (5f and 5.7f including Group 3)..
3	8 3rd (8) (4/1 -20%) Danielle	4 4/1(-20%)	(8) Danielle 4/1, Foaled April 13. Cracksman filly. Closely related to very smart 1½m-2½m winner Courage Mon Ami and half-sister to several winners, including 11f/1½m winner Lion's Pride. Dam 1½m winner. Interesting newcomer for all she'll probably come into her own over further. Closely related to 1m4f-2m4f winner Courage Mon Ami (including AW/Group 1 Gold Cup)..
4	10 4th (10) (33/1 -65%) The Real McKay	33 33/1(-65%)	(10) The Real McKay 33/1, Twice-raced maiden. 40/1, fourth of 8 in maiden at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 24 days ago. Needs more. The best chance on form but that sets a modest standard; surely vulnerable to newcomers.
5th	2 5th (2) (15/2 +25%) Eastern Dream	7.5 15/2(+25%)	(2) Eastern Dream 15/2, :40,000 gns Oasis Dream colt. Closely related to smart 7f/1m winner Montatham and half-brother to 3 winners, including useful 2-y-o 5f/6f winners Troubador and Ernie's Valentine. Tenth of 12 in maiden at Wolverhampton (7.2f, 11/2) on debut 28 days ago. Evidently thought capable better. 11-2, raced freely and weakened at Wolverhampton (7f); interesting if settling better..
6th	7 6th (7) (16/1 +0%) Solar Bentley	16 16/1(+0%)	(7) Solar Bentley 16/1, Foal March 17. 27,000 gns foal, 26,000 gns yearling, Phoenix of Spain gelding. Closely related to useful winner up to 1½m Yabass and half-brother to several winners, including useful winner up to 8.3f Canary Row.10/1, sixth of 11 in minor event at Newcastle (7.1f) on debut 28 days ago, never nearer. 10-1 on debut at Newcastle (7f, Tapeta) where he was slowly away and never involved..
7th	6 7th (6) (14/1 +58%) Noble Consort	14 14/1(+58%)	(6) Noble Consort 14/1, Foa April 21. Too Darn Hot half-brother to 6f winner Good Queen Bess and 12.4f winner Seeola. Dam maiden (stayed 1¼m), half-sister to top-class winner up to 1½m Golden Horn. Last of 8 in maiden (28/1) at Newcastle (6f) on debut 31 days ago. 28-1 on debut at Newcastle (6f, Tapeta) where he blew the start and trailed in last..
8th	1 8th (1) (250/1 -279%) Coramento	250 250/1(-279%)	(1) Coramento 250/1, Foaled May 21. Portamento gelding. Dam 12.4f winner. First foal; dam 12.5f AW winner (RPR 63) out of a fairly useful 6f 2yo winner.
9th	9 9th (9) (300/1 -275%) Queen Roslyn	300 300/1(-275%)	(9) Queen Roslyn 300/1, Twice-raced maiden. 50/1, last of 9 in maiden at Newcastle (6f) 42 days ago. Big prices and well beaten on both soft going and Tapeta..
10th	3 10th (3) (50/1 -257%) Magic Rascal	50 50/1(-257%)	(3) Magic Rascal 50/1, Twice-raced maiden. 80/1, eighth of 10 in minor event at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 19 days ago. Finished last on debut and made no improvement on that form at Wolverhampton..

LTO Selection:

NIGHT RAIDER, a half-brother to Group 3 winning sprinter Far Above, makes plenty of appeal on paper. A draw in stall two is a handy advantage and this son of Dark Angel is a most interesting debutant for Karl Burke. Danielle, a close relative of Courage Mon Ami, who was a first-time-out winner for the same stable last year, heads the list of dangers, while Midnight's Dream is another newcomer to consider.

Tricky, with those with previous experience needing improvement from out of the blue and 3 very interesting newcomers in opposition. MIDNIGHT'S DREAM makes obvious appeal on paper, closely followed by Night Raider and Danielle, so the market might guide.

With the Gosden runners in good form and her eyecatching pedigree, it would be no surprise to see DANIELLE make a winning debut.

18:00 Southwell Stakes (Class 5) 7f PREDICTION SIMULATION

18:30 Southwell Handicap (Class 5) 6f - 12 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	1 1st (1) (9/2 +10%) Snash	4.5 9/2(+10%)	(1) Snash 9/2, Latest win at Newcastle in October. 9/2, excuses when last of 11 in handicap at Newcastle (6f) 27 days ago. Can bounce back. Good record on AW and follow-up bid last time can be forgiven.
2	7 2nd (7) (4/1 +43%) Secret Road	4 4/1(+43%)	(7) Secret Road 4/1, 12/1, improved on recent efforts to win 10-runner handicap at Newcastle (6f) 27 days ago by ½ length from Thaki, having run of race. Not an obvious one to follow up. Had run of the race out in front when beating Thaki last time and follow-up looks tricky.
3	6 3rd (6) (16/1 +0%) Jeans Maite	16 16/1(+0%)	(6) Jeans Maite 16/1, 4-time course winner. 33/1, sixth of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (5.1f) 24 days ago. This front-runner is drawn wide and hasn't run over this far for a while.
4	4 4th (4) (9/1 -13%) Em Jay Kay	9 9/1(-13%)	(4) Em Jay Kay 9/1, C&D winner. 25/1, creditable fourth of 11 in handicap at Chelmsford City (6f) 26 days ago, running on. Respected. Recorded his joint-best RPR last time but yard is quiet at the minute.
5th	8 5th (8) (13/2 +7%) Kats Bob	6.5 13/2(+7%)	(8) Kats Bob 13/2, Latest win at Newcastle in October. 13/2, good second of 10 in handicap at Newcastle (6f) 32 days ago. Not taken lightly. Raised 2lb for short-head defeat last time but is a solid option.
6th	2 6th (2) (4/1 +27%) Phoenix Beach	4 4/1(+27%)	(2) Phoenix Beach 4/1, C&D winner. Improved on recent efforts to win 12-runner handicap at Newcastle (6f, 9/2) 23 days ago. Player. Lot to like and Ryan Sexton could easily make it 2-2 on him.
7th	3 7th (3) (12/1 -380%) Bankrupt	12 12/1(-380%)	(3) Bankrupt 12/1, 5 wins from 11 runs this year. Career best when winning 10-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (5.1f, 13/8) 20 days ago, readily. Expected to be bang there again. Drawn widest but could easily secure a five-timer with latest win his most decisive.
8th	9 8th (9) (10/1 +29%) Thaki	10 10/1(+29%)	(9) Thaki 10/1, Latest win at Ayr in August. Respectable fifth of 12 in handicap (12/1) at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 19 days ago. This 6yo is of interest having shown his best form this year, including penultimate start.
9th	12 9th (12) (50/1 -100%) Midnightattheoasis	50 50/1(-100%)	(12) Midnightattheoasis 50/1, C&D winner. 66/1, eighth of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 8 days ago, not ideally placed. Down the field when sent off 40-1 and 66-1 for new yard on last two starts.
10th	10 10th (10) (66/1 +0%) Giogiobbo	66 66/1(+0%)	(10) Giogiobbo 66/1, Course winner. 100/1, last of 11 in handicap at this course (5f) 18 days ago. Back up in trip. Twice well beaten since returning last month from 451 days off; best to look elsewhere.
11th	5 11th (5) (9/1 +44%) Absolutelyflawless	9 9/1(+44%)	(5) Absolutelyflawless 9/1, Course winner. 11/1, seventh of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 8 days ago, hampered. Mostly disappointing of late; just keeping on when hampered at Wolverhampton last week.
12th	11 12th (11) (28/1 -273%) Bingley Crocker	28 28/1(-273%)	(11) Bingley Crocker 28/1, Lightly-raced maiden on Flat. Down in trip. Makes tapeta debut. First run for yard after leaving Ben Pauling. Fair on the Flat, good on last Flat outing. Disappointed on hurdles bow last time. Back sprinting starting out for third different trainer; pulled up over hurdles last time.

LTO Selection:

Chelsea Banham has worked wonders with Bankrupt and a fifth straight success cannot be ruled out given his resurgent recent form. However, he is 5lb higher and it could be a good time to switch allegiance to SECRET ROAD, who is unexposed on the all-weather. Having made all to win at Newcastle last time, he is ideally berthed in stall three to launch a bold attempt at following up off 4lb higher. Newcastle second Thaki also enters the reckoning, along with Kats Bob.

BANKRUPT remains one to keep on the right side of given the manner he completed the 4-timer at Wolverhampton 3 weeks ago. Kats Bob and Phoenix Beach head the dangers.

Having landed some nice bets at Newcastle before being caught out by racing on a wing there last time, SNASH is the call.

18:30 Southwell Handicap (Class 5) 6f PREDICTION SIMULATION

19:00 Southwell Handicap (Class 3) 8f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
3	3 (3) (2/1 +33%) Roarin' Success	2 2/1(+33%)	(3) Roarin' Success 2/1, Back from 3 months off when good third of 8 in handicap (9/2) at Kempton (7f) 27 days ago. Return to longer trip a plus and is a big player. Ran well when third at Kempton last time on return from another break; has won on Tapeta.
1	1 1st (1) (4/1 +0%) Wild Side	4 4/1(+0%)	(1) Wild Side 4/1, 3 wins from 7 runs this year. Latest win at Redcar in June. Cheekpieces on for 1st time, sixth of 8 in handicap (5/1) at Kempton (7f) 27 days ago. Makes tapeta debut. Others more persuasive. Form of Kempton 2nd on penultmate start is working out well, but a lesser effort last time.
2	8 2nd (8) (2/1 +60%) Enola Grey	2 2/1(+60%)	(8) Enola Grey 2/1, Found some improvement for new yard, latest when creditable second of 10 in handicap (3/1) at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 20 days ago, left with lot to do. 2 lb higher (1 lb out of the weights) now but another bold bid is on the cards. Runner-up in four of last five starts; latest form franked and stable won this last year.
3	5 3rd (5) (11/1 -22%) Finery	11 11/1(-22%)	(5) Finery 11/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Chelmsford City in August. Fifth of 6 in handicap (4/1) at Chelmsford City (8f). Off 101 days. Others have achieved more. Often a front-runner; three course wins but a bit more is needed to defy this mark.
4	4 4th (4) (6/1 -71%) Achillea	6 6/1(-71%)	(4) Achillea 6/1, Resumed progress when winning 7-runner handicap at Lingfield (8f, AW, 9/2) 17 days ago. 3 lb rise fair and warrants respect. 3lb higher than when winning at Lingfield last time; should have the race run to suit.
5th	7 5th (7) (20/1 -82%) Lady Mojito	20 20/1(-82%)	(7) Lady Mojito 20/1, 7/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, bit below form seventh of 13 in handicap at Kempton (8f) 6 days ago. Makes tapeta debut. Visor on 1st time. Others preferred. Out of the frame in last five starts, including two on Polytrack; visor goes on.
6th	2 6th (2) (13/2 +28%) Yorkshire Lady	6.5 13/2(+28%)	(2) Yorkshire Lady 13/2, Last of 7 in handicap at Chelmsford City (10f, 20/1) 33 days ago, unsuited by emphasis on speed. Others more appealing. Seventh in three starts on the AW; a long time since she has raced over a trip this short.
7th	6 7th (6) (9/2 +63%) Hey Lyla	4.5 9/2(+63%)	(6) Hey Lyla 9/2, Latest win at Chelmsford City in October. 13/2, below form sixth of 10 in handicap at Newcastle (8f) 27 days ago. Needs a couple of these to falter. Usually a front-runner; not at her best at Newcastle last time and now another 1lb higher.

LTO Selection:

ROARIN' SUCCESS is still of low mileage and, having gone some way to proving that a below par performance at Goodwood on her penultimate start was a blip when a good third at Kempton last month, she is an attractive proposition off the same mark here. Wild Side (sixth) was just over a length behind the selection that day and could feasibly get closer tonight, while Lingfield winner Achillea and Hey Lyla also enter calculations.

ROARIN' SUCCESS ran a cracker on her return from a break at Kempton last month and will appreciate the step back up in trip here. She can resume winning ways. Enola Grey and Achillea can also make their presence felt.

Preference is for ENOLA GREY whose latest Wolverhampton second was franked by the winner there on Sunday. The yard won this last year.

19:00 Southwell Handicap (Class 3) 8f PREDICTION SIMULATION

19:30 Southwell Handicap (Class 3) 5f - 13 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	2 1st (2) (13/2 -30%) Bergerac	6.5 13/2(-30%)	(2) Bergerac 13/2, 4/1, improved on recent efforts to win 11-runner handicap at Newcastle (5f) 25 days ago, keeping on well. Has good chance on form. Second and first on Newcastle AW of late and has fair chance up 5lb.
2	6 2nd (6) (9/2 +68%) Hiya Maite	4.5 9/2(+68%)	(6) Hiya Maite 9/2, C&D winner. Latest win at Beverley in June. Respectable second of 7 in handicap at Nottingham (5f, soft, 7/1) 55 days ago. Not taken lightly. Won four of last 13 starts; goes well fresh and is considered.
3	8 3rd (8) (11/1 +21%) Crimson Sand	11 11/1(+21%)	(8) Crimson Sand 11/1, Fifteen runs since last win in 2021. Creditable length third of 9 to Blind Beggar in handicap at Chelmsford City (5f, 4/1) 33 days ago, slowly away. Makes tapeta debut and improvement needed. Doesn't have much to find with Blind Beggar on Chelmsford running 33 days ago.
4	10 4th (10) (7/1 +0%) Khabib	7 7/1(+0%)	(10) Khabib 7/1, Improved on recent efforts to win 11-runner handicap (11/4) at this course (5f) 18 days ago, staying on well. Enters calculations up 4 lb. Form figures over C&D read 12231 but stall 1 may not be ideal.
5th	1 5th (1) (18/1 -260%) Lord Riddiford	18 18/1(-260%)	(1) Lord Riddiford 18/1, Latest win at Goodwood in August. Creditable second of 7 in handicap at Wolverhampton (5.1f, 4/1) 19 days ago. Likely to be in the mix. Plenty of ticks, including recent form and middle draw.
6th	7 6th (7) (16/1 -113%) Strong Johnson	16 16/1(-113%)	(7) Strong Johnson 16/1, Three wins from 17 runs this year. Latest win at Newcastle in November. 16/1, creditable second of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (5.1f) 20 days ago. Each-way shout. In good form on Tapeta of late and has a squeak.
7th	12 7th (12) (8/1 -7%) Castan	8 8/1(-7%)	(12) Castan 8/1, Latest win at Newcastle in October. Good neck second of 9 to Strong Johnson in handicap (9/2) at Newcastle (5f) 35 days ago. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals. Form figures of 212 on AW (all Newcastle) and should again go well if taking to this place.
8th	9 8th (9) (9/2 +40%) Conquistador	4.5 9/2(+40%)	(9) Conquistador 9/2, 9/2, seventh of 10 in handicap at Kempton (6f) 57 days ago. First run for yard after leaving George Boughey. Needs a couple of these to falter. Some appeal given new connections are super shrewd and Oisin Murphy rides.
9th	5 9th (5) (7/1 +18%) Blind Beggar	7 7/1(+18%)	(5) Blind Beggar 7/1, Course winner. 3 wins from 10 runs this year. 9/2, career best when winning 9-runner handicap at Chelmsford City (5f) 33 days ago. 2 lb rise fair and he merits respect. Could easily make it 5-12 for Mick Appleby and 2-2 here.
10th	4 10th (4) (20/1 -11%) Above	20 20/1(-11%)	(4) Above 20/1, Latest win at Newmarket in August. Fifth of 8 in handicap at Chelmsford City (6f, 14/1) 21 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Has work to do. Rather in and out but first run here could go well if the mood takes him.
11th	11 11th (11) (10/1 +17%) Jenever	10 10/1(+17%)	(11) Jenever 10/1, Course winner. 4 wins from 12 runs this year. Latest win at Newcastle in November. Good third of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (5.1f, 9/4) 24 days ago. Place possibilities. Big improver this year; may not be done with; regular rider Lewis Edmunds is on Hiya Maite.
12th	13 12th (13) (80/1 -220%) Zargun	80 80/1(-220%)	(13) Zargun 80/1, One win from 26 Flat runs. Sixteen runs since last win in 2021. Tenth of 11 in handicap (22/1) at Leicester (5f, good) 63 days ago. Others preferred. Just 1-26 in Britain and no sign he's about to capitalise on plummeting mark.
13th	3 13th (3) (25/1 -194%) The Bell Conductor	25 25/1(-194%)	(3) The Bell Conductor 25/1, Three-time C&D winner. Five wins from 19 Flat runs. Tenth of 13 in handicap (10/1) at Musselburgh (5f, soft). Off 8 months ahead of this debut for new yard and probably best watched. Probably best watched starting out for new yard off 248-day break.

LTO Selection:

The in-form BERGERAC (second) won with something in hand over this trip at Newcastle 25 days ago and a 5lb higher mark may not be enough to prevent the Kevin Ryan-trained gelding from following up. Fellow joint-top weight Lord Riddiford (third), an old rival of the selection, is dangerous to ignore, given he has won off a higher mark in the past and doesn't have much to find with the selection based on their encounter (also at Newcastle) in early November. Strong Johnson and Castan are others in with a chance.

Several to consider in this competitive handicap, with BERGERAC topping the list. He travelled fluently when making all for a cosy success at Newcastle last month and he remains on a good mark following a 5 lb rise. Khabib got his head back in front over C&D recently and he has to be respected, while fellow last-time-out winner Blind Beggar and Lord Riddiford are others to consider.

Perhaps BLIND BEGGAR can make it 5-12 for Mick Appleby and 2-2 here. He recorded a personal best last time.

19:30 Southwell Handicap (Class 3) 5f PREDICTION SIMULATION

20:00 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 14f - 12 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	9 1st (9) (11/4 +45%) Savvy Brilliance	2.75 11/4(+45%)	(9) Savvy Brilliance 11/4, Career best when winning 10-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (12.2f, 3/1) 29 days ago. 2 lb nudge fair enough and should make his presence felt. 2lb higher than when off the mark at Wolverhampton last time and form boosted; respected.
2	7 2nd (7) (9/2 +18%) Barrel Aged	4.5 9/2(+18%)	(7) Barrel Aged 9/2, Promising type. Fourth of 8 in minor event (18/1) at Wolverhampton (12.2f) 24 days ago. Open to improvement now handicapping. Has shown ability in all three starts; no surprise if he shows even more now handicapping.
3	5 3rd (5) (25/1 -456%) Socially Shady	25 25/1(-456%)	(5) Socially Shady 25/1, Unreliable type. Good third of 9 in handicap (9/2) at Chelmsford City (16f) 68 days ago. Still, others are more persuasive from a win point of view. Not the most prolific, but 1lb below last winning mark and latest 3rd is working out well.
4	6 4th (6) (16/1 +0%) Eloped	16 16/1(+0%)	(6) Eloped 16/1, First run since leaving Hugo Palmer when ninth of 12 in handicap at Chelmsford City (10f, 20/1) 21 days ago. Significantly back up in trip and tongue strap back on. Looks vulnerable. Wolverhampton winner but well held on stable debut last time; still has stamina to prove.
5th	10 5th (10) (8/1 +6%) Kiss My Face	8 8/1(+6%)	(10) Kiss My Face 8/1, Course winner. 3 wins from 8 runs this year. Good second of 11 in handicap (15/2) at this C&D 18 days ago. Couldn't rule out. Completed a four-timer earlier in the year and close second over C&D last time; a player.
6th	2 6th (2) (9/2 +31%) Doublethetrouble	4.5 9/2(+31%)	(2) Doublethetrouble 9/2, Remains a maiden after 19 Flat runs. 11/2, good second of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (14f) 46 days ago. One to consider. 0-23 Flat/hurdles but second in his last four starts and latest form is working out well.
7th	1 7th (1) (66/1 -164%) Punxsutawney Phil	66 66/1(-164%)	(1) Punxsutawney Phil 66/1, 12/1, seventh of 8 in handicap hurdle at Sedgefield (19.8f, heavy) 26 days ago. Latest effort in this sphere was poor and he's opposable. Form under both codes since the summer has been modest; best watched for now.
8th	12 8th (12) (9/1 -13%) Super Stars	9 9/1(-13%)	(12) Super Stars 9/1, Remains a maiden after 18 Flat runs. Creditable fourth of 11 in handicap at Newcastle (12.4f, 7/2) 27 days ago. Place possibilities. Has run with credit to finish fourth at Newcastle in his last two starts, but is now 0-22.
9th	11 9th (11) (14/1 -155%) Natacata	14 14/1(-155%)	(11) Natacata 14/1, 11/2, first run since leaving Sir Mark Prescott Bt when respectable sixth of 10 in handicap at Chelmsford City (16f) 21 days ago. Jockey she was partnered by the day picked up a 10-day ban for, in the view of the stewards, failing to ask for real, timely or substantial effort. Player. 0-11 but has ability; latest effort caught the attention of the stewards; could go well.
10th	4 10th (4) (9/1 +36%) Beggarman	9 9/1(+36%)	(4) Beggarman 9/1, Fourteen runs since last win in 2022. Tenth of 11 in handicap (14/1) at Catterick (15.9f, heavy) 42 days ago, possibly amiss. Has work to do. Three wins on Polytrack, the latest in May last year; others look more solid.
11th	8 11th (8) (10/1 -33%) Rubeus	10 10/1(-33%)	(8) Rubeus 10/1, First run since leaving Mrs A. Malzard when second of 11 in handicap (80/1) at Wolverhampton (14f) on UK debut 8 days ago. Has to be taken seriously. Only just beaten on stable debut at Wolverhampton eight days ago and winner has won again.
12th	3 12th (3) (80/1 -60%) Libby	80 80/1(-60%)	(3) Libby 80/1, 12/1, below form sixth of 11 in novice hurdle at Kelso (16.2f, heavy) 13 days ago, pulling hard. Tongue strap on for 1st time, cheekpieces on for 1st time in this code. Poor on last Flat run. 0-17 Flat/hurdles and well beaten in three starts for this yard; tongue-tie goes on.

LTO Selection:

SAVVY BRILLIANCE recorded a taking success from a subsequent winner at Wolverhampton last time and there could be more to come from the son of Cracksman now up in distance. Runner-up on each of his last four starts, including around here, Doublethetrouble is entitled to be thereabouts again, as well as Kiss My Face, who has an excellent record at this venue.

Though she's an 11-race maiden, NATACATA has posted several creditable efforts in defeat and a line can be drawn through her effort on debut for this yard at Chelmsford where she encountered traffic problems at a crucial stage. Jane Chapple-Hyam's representative is taken to open her account here. Savvy Brilliance and handicap-debutant Barrel Aged rate the main dangers, though Rubeus is also of strong interest on the back of his recent near miss at Wolverhampton.

The vote goes to RUBEUS who has the same mark as when beaten a neck by a subsequent winner on stable debut at Wolverhampton last time.

20:00 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 14f PREDICTION SIMULATION

20:30 Southwell Handicap (Class 5) 12f - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form	Odds	Comments
1	3 1st (3) (9/4 +68%) Heathen	2.25 9/4(+68%)	(3) Heathen 9/4, Ninth of 11 in handicap at Lingfield (12f, AW, 5/1) 68 days ago, badly hampered. First run for yard after leaving Ed Dunlop. Work to do. Dual 1m4f Tapeta winner who is back on his last winning mark; not ruled out; market check..
2	1 2nd (1) (12/1 +0%) Sid's Annie	12 12/1(+0%)	(1) Sid's Annie 12/1, Unreliable individual. Course winner. 4 wins from 16 runs this year. Creditable 2¼ lengths fourth of 8 to Bohemian Breeze in handicap at Wolverhampton (12.2f, 10/1) 19 days ago, missing break. Each-way claims. Put a couple of lesser efforts behind her at Wolverhampton latest; each-way player..
3	5 3rd (5) (9/4 +10%) Bohemian Breeze	2.25 9/4(+10%)	(5) Bohemian Breeze 9/4, Scored for third time this year when taking 8-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (12.2f, 7/2) 19 days ago. Just 2 lb higher now and holds strong claims. Raced prominently to produce a career best and win comfortably latest; up 2lb; big player..
4	8 4th (8) (7/1 -75%) Le Rouge Chinois	7 7/1(-75%)	(8) Le Rouge Chinois 7/1, Made good start for current yard at Newcastle in October and back to that sort of form when third of 10 in handicap (10/1) at Wolverhampton (12.2f) 8 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Enters calculations. Good effort latest but found a couple too good; cheekpieces go on; should be thereabouts..
5th	2 5th (2) (12/1 -118%) Percy Willis	12 12/1(-118%)	(2) Percy Willis 12/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Newcastle in October. 11/4, creditable fifth of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (12.2f) 24 days ago, needing stronger gallop. Merits consideration. C&D winner who had no excuses at Wolverhampton latest; each-way player if bouncing back..
6th	6 6th (6) (17/2 +39%) Now Then Wendy	8.5 17/2(+39%)	(6) Now Then Wendy 17/2, C&D winner. 12/1, sixth of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (14f) 17 days ago. Others more persuasive. C&D novice winner; not ruled out each-way, back down in trip and at this track..
7th	9 7th (9) (22/1 -57%) Pledge Of Honour	22 22/1(-57%)	(9) Pledge Of Honour 22/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2022. Respectable fifth of 10 in handicap (14/1) at Chelmsford City (16f) 21 days ago, hampered. Back down in trip. Not out of things. Yet to fully convince he gets this far and may just have stamina limitations exposed..
8th	7 8th (7) (12/1 +0%) St Just In Time	12 12/1(+0%)	(7) St Just In Time 12/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Creditable eighth of 13 in handicap (14/1) at Kempton (11f) 34 days ago. Makes tapeta debut. Others more appealing. Showed a bit more spark latest; drops 3lb; still early days and not written off..
9th	10 9th (10) (20/1 -67%) Femme Patronne	20 20/1(-67%)	(10) Femme Patronne 20/1, Thrice-raced maiden on Flat. 66/1, fifth of 11 in minor event at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 29 days ago, not knocked about. Significantly back up in trip. Worth a check in market on handicap debut. Not devoid of promise in this sphere but initial mark is not an obviously lenient one..

LTO Selection:

BOHEMIAN BREEZE has been in terrific form of late and a fourth win in seven starts could be in the offing for the son of Galileo as he looks to follow up on a relatively straightforward success at Wolverhampton last month. The booking of Oisin Murphy is another plus as he looks to get the better of the capable Percy Willis, and the unexposed Le Rouge Chinois.

Preference is for EVENING STORY, who is still feasibly treated and can be forgiven her latest run over a shorter trip at Newcastle. Le Rouge Chinois and Bohemian Breeze should also go well.

With a handy draw to help him race prominently again, the improving BOHEMIAN BREEZE (nap) is taken to pick up a fourth career win.

20:30 Southwell Handicap (Class 5) 12f PREDICTION SIMULATION

Racecard Key

Ths is the racecard key.

Icon	Meaning
	TomForm top stats, gold rated
	TomForm top stats silver rated
	Ran similar race before
S	TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out
T	Top Time speeed rated
	Top Racingpost rated
	At the races watchout for
	At the races top pick
	Top rated for thet statistic

How to use Tomform

Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.

This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.

About U.K Horse Racing

Horse racing is a popular and historic sport in the UK, with a tradition dating back centuries. It is a multi-billion pound industry that attracts millions of spectators each year and generates significant economic activity.

There are two main types of horse racing in the UK: flat racing and jump racing. Flat racing is run on a level course and is typically shorter in distance, while jump racing involves horses jumping over obstacles and is generally longer in distance. Both types of racing are popular with spectators and bettors, and they take place at various racetracks throughout the country.

The most famous horse racing event in the UK is the Grand National, which is held annually at Aintree Racecourse in Liverpool. It is a jump racing event that is known for its challenging course and has become a national institution in the UK. Other notable horse racing events in the UK include the Derby, held at Epsom Downs Racecourse in Surrey, and the Royal Ascot, held at Ascot Racecourse in Berkshire.

Horse racing in the UK is regulated by the British Horseracing Authority (BHA), which sets rules and standards for the industry. It is responsible for the welfare of racehorses and the safety of jockeys and trainers, as well as ensuring fair and transparent racing practices.

In addition to its economic and cultural importance, horse racing in the UK also plays a significant role in the breeding and training of thoroughbred horses. Many of the world's top thoroughbreds are bred and trained in the UK, and the industry plays a vital role in the preservation and promotion of the breed.

Overall, horse racing is an integral part of British culture and a major contributor to the country's economy. It is a thrilling and exciting sport that continues to attract a loyal following and generate significant interest from spectators and bettors around the world.

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