14:37 Kelso (Class 2) 17f - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	1 (1) (3/1 +33%) Matata		3 3/1(+33%)																															(1) Matata 3/1, All but fell late and tired up the hill when finishing a 17l third in the Shloer Chase (Grade 2) over 2m at Cheltenham last time. Enjoys making the running, effective at 2m, acts on any going, and needs to dominate. Went close in this last year and ran really in Cheltenham Grade 2 last time; major player.
5	5 (5) (10/3 +33%) Nells Son		3.333333 10/3(+33%)																															(5) Nells Son 10/3, Won this race last year off same mark. Not given a hard time and likely needed the run when beaten 7l in a handicap hurdle over 2m4f at Carlisle last time, probably a prep for chasing. Looks the market's pick with drop back in trip a plus. Runs off the same mark as when winning this last year and he's high on the list.
3	3 (3) (7/2 +22%) Saint Segal		3.5 7/2(+22%)																															(3) Saint Segal 7/2, Scored by 5l off 144 over 2m3f at Chepstow on his penultimate start, then improved again when second beaten 7l off 148 last time. Trainer in form; effective between 2m and 2½m, acts on soft and good to firm; hugely progressive. Runner-up in the Haldon Gold Cup and this progressive 7yo is entitled to respect.
7	7 (7) (5/1 +17%) Traprain Law		5 5/1(+17%)																															(7) Traprain Law 5/1, Outpaced but ran to form when fourth beaten 13l in a handicap chase over 2m at Cheltenham last time. Enjoys making the running, effective at 2m, and acts on any ground. Three-time course winner who has dropped to a dangerous mark and is in with a chance.
4	4 (4) (15/2 -25%) The Other Mozzie		7.5 15/2(-25%)																															(4) The Other Mozzie 15/2, Up in trip and didn't stay on soft ground when well beaten in the Paddy Power Gold Cup Handicap Chase over 2m4f at Cheltenham last time. Effective at 2m, suited by a sound surface, acts on good to soft; needs a drop back in trip. Ran well before fading into 7th in Paddy Power Gold Cup; in calculations back down in trip.
6	6 (6) (9/1 +36%) Tommy's Oscar		9 9/1(+36%)																															(6) Tommy's Oscar 9/1, Struggled under a big weight and was comfortably held in the bet365 Handicap Chase over 2m3f at Wetherby last time. Cheekpieces on for the first time; effective at 2m; a generally consistent veteran. 13lb lower than when third in this last year but this 10yo has looked regressive of late.
2	2 (2) (14/1 -75%) Unexpected Party		14 14/1(-75%)																															(2) Unexpected Party 14/1, Ran to form, just flattening out up the hill behind a less exposed rival when second beaten 5l in a graduation chase over 2m at Carlisle last time. Effective at 2m, acts on soft and good ground, and remains consistent. Second in the Grand Annual in March and also at Carlisle last month; might not be far away.
8	8 (8) (16/1 -45%) Hombre De Guerra		16 16/1(-45%)																															(8) Hombre De Guerra 16/1, Landed a handicap by 3/4l off 122 at Ayr on his penultimate start. Outpaced, outclassed, and needed the run when fourth in a graduation chase at Carlisle last time. Effective around 2m, acts on soft; likely to do better back in grade. 2-2 in handicap chases (both 2m on soft at Ayr) and this unexposed 7yo could go well.
9	9 (9) (50/1 -25%) Aeros Luck		50 50/1(-25%)																															(9) Aeros Luck 50/1, Made a poor stable debut when comfortably held in a handicap chase here last time. Effective at 2m on good ground; had a busy summer in Ireland and looks on a stiff mark for his new yard. No return to form on stable debut in October; hopes pinned on wind op prompting revival.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

14:37 Kelso (Class 2) 17f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.

MATATA stepped forward considerably from his return to action when chasing L'Eau du Sud in the Shloer at Cheltenham until a jolting error at the final fence saw him lose second to Jonbon. The seven-year-old was runner-up to Nells Son in this contest last year before following up in a Windsor handicap off a 2lb higher mark and, despite being 3lb worse off this time around with Nicky Richards' gelding, he has every chance of getting back to winning ways. Saint Segal was runner-up in the Haldon Gold Cup behind a hugely progressive rival and commands respect, while dropping back in trip may benefit The Other Mozzie.

Strong cases can be made for a few but last year's runner-up MATATA is the class act in the race and his mark shouldn't be beyond him.

14:37 Kelso (Class 2) 17f PREDICTION SIMULATION

15:15 Kelso (Class 3) 16f - 6 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
2	2 (2) (6/5 +31%) Spectacularsunrise		1.2 6/5(+31%)																															(2) Spectacularsunrise 6/5, Quickened clear readily and improved when winning a novice hurdle over 2m1f at Bangor-on-Dee by 12l last time. Effective at 2m, acts on good to soft; progressing and should stay a bit further in time. Second hurdles start when winning a 13-runner novice at Bangor (2m, good) by 12l at 10-11.
1	1 (1) (9/2 +10%) Gibbs Island		4.5 9/2(+10%)																															(1) Gibbs Island 9/2, Won by 5 1/2l off 132 at Chepstow on his penultimate start; unsuited by the way the race developed when 11th beaten 30l off 140 last time. Effective at 2m and acts on soft and good ground; highly tried as a juvenile, current mark looks high. Heavy defeat three weeks ago was in a major handicap; he could rebound at this lower level.
3	3 (3) (9/2 +36%) Static		4.5 9/2(+36%)																															(3) Static 9/2, Had a bit too much to do at a sharp track but returned to form when beaten 2 1/2l off 118 at Huntingdon last time. Effective at 2m and needs plenty of cut; a fair mark on his best juvenile form and could build on that revival. Needs to find a bit extra but he mounted a strong finish last time to give some hope.
6	6 (6) (11/2 -38%) Heart Above		5.5 11/2(-38%)																															(6) Heart Above 11/2, Improved again when stepped up in trip at his favoured venue, landing a handicap by 3 1/2l off 105 over 2m5f here last time. Effective from 2m to 2 1/2m; consistent and goes particularly well at Kelso. In the form of his life with two wins and a second this autumn, all at this track.
5	5 (5) (9/1 -50%) Bel Amigo		9 9/1(-50%)																															(5) Bel Amigo 9/1, Did plenty early and set it up for a closer when second beaten 11l in a 2m1f handicap hurdle at Carlisle last time. Returns from a short break; effective from 2m to 2 1/2m and looks fairly treated on his novice form. While not disgraced in handicaps last three starts, he needs better than that.
4	4 (4) (20/1 +29%) Admiralty House		20 20/1(+29%)																															(4) Admiralty House 20/1, Needed the run when finishing down the field in a handicap hurdle over 2m1f at Carlisle most recently. Effective at 2m; form can be in and out. Although tailed off on yard debut, that was without his usual hood which now returns.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

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15:15 Kelso (Class 3) 16f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.

SPECTACULARSUNRISE built on the promise of his hurdling bow when scoring in taking fashion at Bangor in October and an opening mark of 122 appears to be more than fair on handicap debut. Heart Above arrives seeking a third win at the track from his last four starts but the drop in trip may not be to his strengths. Therefore, the biggest threat might come from Static after his recent third at Huntingdon.

Preference is for the potential of handicap new boy SPECTACULARSUNRISE but it's not an easy race to weigh up.

15:15 Kelso (Class 3) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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Racecard Key

Ths is the racecard key.

Icon	Meaning
	TomForm top stats, gold rated
	TomForm top stats silver rated
	Ran similar race before
S	TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out
T	Top Time speeed rated
	Top Racingpost rated
	At the races watchout for
	At the races top pick
	Top rated for thet statistic

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How to use Tomform

Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.

This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.

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