15:52 Southwell (Class 5) 8f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	5 1st (5) (14/1 -65%) Arctic Grey		14 14/1(-65%)																															(5) Arctic Grey 14/1, 80,000gns Dark Angel colt; half-brother to Appellant, useful at 6f as 2yo; dam useful at 6f; this trip looks at limit of stamina on pedigree, but unquestionably nicely bred newcomer 80,000gns yearling; dam a well-related 6f winner; tackles a smart opponent on debut.
2	4 2nd (4) (2/7 +54%) Nebras		0.285714 2/7(+54%)																															(4) Nebras 2/7, Won a Newmarket maiden on debut and though well beaten 7th of 8 in the Futurity (G1, 8f) at Doncaster was not disgraced; this is a massive drop in class and should be very hard to beat despite being seasonal debut Newmarket maiden winner on debut; seventh in Group 1 three weeks later; golden opportunity.
3	6 3rd (6) (5/1 -11%) Rogue Millions		5 5/1(-11%)																															(6) Rogue Millions 5/1, 130,000gns Dubawi colt; half-brother to Grey Nyle, moderate at 12f; dam high-class at 9f; breeding suggests a bit further may suit, but good yard and one to keep an eye on in the market 130,000gns yearling; dam a Group 2 winner; entered in the Derby; check the betting.
4	8 4th (8) (12/1 -50%) Typhoon Dancer		12 12/1(-50%)																															(8) Typhoon Dancer 12/1, Ghaiyyath colt; half-brother to Excel Power, very smart at 8f; dam poor at 7f; from a good yard that can have them ready first time; would need a market move to encourage support Bred to be useful on AW but this isn't an easy starting point.
5th	7 5th (7) (20/1 +29%) San Munoz		20 20/1(+29%)																															(7) San Munoz 20/1, Couple of fair efforts, latterly eaten 9 1/2l in a novice at Newcastle over a mile; needs to improve markedly to win this Some promise in two runs last autumn but plenty more needed to take this; has been gelded.
6th	2 6th (2) (14/1 +0%) Man Of Desert		14 14/1(+0%)																															(2) Man Of Desert 14/1, Missed break, but ran promisingly beaten 5l in a well-contested maiden at Ffos Las only start in July as 2yo; returning from long layoff; may need the run, but clearly open to improvement Half-brother to a Derby winner; shaped nicely on sole 3yo run; each-way shout.
7th	1 7th (1) (100/1 -150%) Blackwaterfoot		100 100/1(-150%)																															(1) Blackwaterfoot 100/1, Couple of solid efforts and probably needed race beaten 9 1/4l in a novice over 9f at Wolverhampton on reappearance in February; off a short-break and more needed, but can improve Some promise in two AW runs but improvement necessary if he's to make a significant impact.
8th	3 8th (3) (150/1 -20%) Waiting For Tom		150 150/1(-20%)																															(3) Waiting For Tom 150/1, Two very poor efforts as a juvenile over further; drop in trip contrary to stout pedigree and has it all to prove off a long break Two heavy defeats over further last September; can't be recommended.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

15:52 Southwell (Class 5) 8f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

NEBRAS landed a useful maiden at Newmarket before being thrust in at the deep end in the Futurity at Doncaster, where he finished down the field but was by no means disgraced. The Dubawi colt has been off since but he sets a lofty standard to aim at and might not need to be at his best to make a successful reappearance. Rogue Millions cost 130,000gns as a yearling and makes plenty of appeal, especially given that he holds an entry for the Derby. Arctic Grey is another to consider.

Some well-related newcomers on show but they will have their work cut out to beat the exciting prospect NEBRAS.

15:52 Southwell (Class 5) 8f PREDICTION SIMULATION

16:27 Southwell (Class 6) 7f - 5 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	2 1st (2) (6/4 +57%) Threatening		1.5 6/4(+57%)																															(2) Threatening 6/4, Hung under pressure and looked unenthusiastic when fourth beaten 5 1/2l in a novice at Lingfield latest; off a short-break; threat on basis of form of second start, but bit to prove Open to progress now handicapping, but may not come into his own until tackling further.
2	1 2nd (1) (11/2 -57%) Enchanted Way		5.5 11/2(-57%)																															(1) Enchanted Way 11/2, In very good form and only beaten a length off 65 at Wolverhampton last time; looks likely to run a similar race and threaten In the frame in five of her six starts; should go well again.
3	3 3rd (3) (9/1 -50%) Dr Ali		9 9/1(-50%)																															(3) Dr Ali 9/1, Weak in the market and bit below usual level last time beaten 3 1/4l off 63 over 6f at Newcastle; effective at 7f and handicapped to be in the mix In the frame in all three starts for this yard, but may be better over 6f.
4	4 4th (4) (11/1 -10%) We've Got This		11 11/1(-10%)																															(4) We've Got This 11/1, Reasonably consistent since going into handicaps running just a fraction below stiffish official marks; nice type that may rate more highly, but back from a break here and while the assessor is relenting it is perhaps too little Makes her debut for her new yard after five months off; market should be informative.
5th	5 5th (5) (6/4 -9%) Adelaide Bay		1.5 6/4(-9%)																															(5) Adelaide Bay 6/4, Drew clear takingly when winning a handicap by 3 1/4l off 49 at Chelmsford on seasonal debut; first time on Tapeta; up 8lb, but looks progressive type and will take all the beating Won well on his recent return at Chelmsford; 8lb higher but is capable of more.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

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16:27 Southwell (Class 6) 7f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.

ADELAIDE BAY impressed on his seasonal return at Chelmsford recently and with talented apprentice Warren Fentiman easing the blow of a subsequent 8lb rise with his 5lb claim, the son of New Bay can double his tally. Threatening goes handicapping with the potential to do much better and he merits respect, along with Enchanted Way, who could get an easy lead in this field.

Preference is for ADELAIDE BAY who is 8lb higher than for his successful Chelmsford reappearance but looks capable of even better.

16:27 Southwell (Class 6) 7f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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17:02 Southwell (Class 6) 7f - 13 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	2 1st (2) (7/2 +0%) King Sharja		3.5 7/2(+0%)																															(2) King Sharja 7/2, Good effort on seasonal debut when beaten a neck off 57 here last time; C&D suit and only up a pound; could come on for the run and should be thereabouts Finished a neck behind Thanks Dad on is reappearance over C&D; may reverse the form.
2	8 2nd (8) (8/1 -33%) Aspire To Glory		8 8/1(-33%)																															(8) Aspire To Glory 8/1, Hung left under pressure, but game when landing a handicap by 1/2l off 50 at Newcastle last time; up 2lb, remains a contender Has won two of his last three starts; a player from 2lb higher.
3	5 3rd (5) (9/1 +10%) Al Suil Eile		9 9/1(+10%)																															(5) Al Suil Eile 9/1, Game when scored by a short-head off 56 over 8f here three starts back; course specialist; visor first time after below par turf run last time; can bounce back and figure Has won seven times here including twice on Fibresand, but looks best over 1m; visor on.
4	11 4th (11) (20/1 0%) Barney's Bay		20 20/1(0%)																															(11) Barney's Bay 20/1, Blindfold off late last time, couple of fair efforts prior to that; not the most generous mark, but minor place chance Inconsistent and has become very hard to win with (3-50).
5th	6 5th (6) (5/1 +9%) Al Baahy		5 5/1(+9%)																															(6) Al Baahy 5/1, Better effort if still below best when beaten 3l off 57 at Wolverhampton last time; good jockey booking; can go well in poor race Has become expensive to follow and a record of 1-38 is hardly inspiring.
6th	1 6th (1) (6/1 +14%) Arc Shadowfax		6 6/1(+14%)																															(1) Arc Shadowfax 6/1, Well backed 4 1/4l third in a handicap over 6f at Newcastle most recent run and generally in quite good form; usually held up; questionable whether gets 7f, but competitive weight Running with credit lately but still to prove his stamina over this far.
7th	3 7th (3) (8/1 +33%) Rusheen Boy		8 8/1(+33%)																															(3) Rusheen Boy 8/1, Below form last three starts since 2 1/2l 2nd off 63 at Kempton in December; needs a return to form to figure 0-11 since winning twice over 6f here at the end of 2023 and is still 4lb higher.
8th	10 8th (10) (25/1 +0%) Balmy Breese		25 25/1(+0%)																															(10) Balmy Breese 25/1, Below par beaten 7 1/2l in a handicap over 6f here last time; in good form prior; usually held up; up in trip, but stays and can figure if recapturing form In the frame in a few 0-50 classified events at Wolverhampton this year, but is 0-27.
9th	7 9th (7) (10/1 -11%) Lady In Havana		10 10/1(-11%)																															(7) Lady In Havana 10/1, Did not get a clear run fourth beaten 5 1/4l in a handicap over 6f here latest when may have needed race off a short-break; usually held up so traffic is an issue; well handicapped on old form, but not recent runs 6lb below last winning mark and caught the eye on her recent return here; respected.
10th	12 10th (12) (50/1 -25%) Tilsworth Max		50 50/1(-25%)																															(12) Tilsworth Max 50/1, Raced freely beaten 7 1/2l in a classified race over 9f at Wolverhampton last time; down in trip; stiff mark 0-14 under rules and doesn't look a winner waiting to happen.
11th	4 11th (4) (9/2 +10%) Thanks Dad		4.5 9/2(+10%)																															(4) Thanks Dad 9/2, Game when landing a handicap by a neck off 56 here last time; up 2lb, but C&D suit and can go well in a race where few are in any sort of form Held off King Sharja when getting off the mark over C&D last time; frame material.
12th	9 12th (9) (28/1 -40%) Royal Justice		28 28/1(-40%)																															(9) Royal Justice 28/1, Raced freely beaten 6l in a handicap here last time; ran better previous start on reappearance and needs a return to that level to contend and more to win 0-8 and has been well held in three visits here; look elsewhere.
13th	13 13th (13) (100/1 -100%) Rainbow Mirage		100 100/1(-100%)																															(13) Rainbow Mirage 100/1, No worthwhile form for a long time and can only be watched until showing some Has won seven races, including four on the AW, but losing run up to 21.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

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17:02 Southwell (Class 6) 7f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.

Seven carer wins at Southwell make Al Suil Eile a force to reckon with here and if he takes to a first-time visor, he could be the surprise package in this line-up. Rusheen Boy is coming down the handicap and is heading towards a mark he can go well from, but KING SHARJA could be the one. A neck second on his first start since October here last month, an added 1lb may not be enough to stop another bold effort.

The attractively weighted C&D winner LADY IN HAVANA may prove the answer, having caught the eye on her recent return over 6f here.

17:02 Southwell (Class 6) 7f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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17:37 Southwell (Class 5) 6f - 7 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	2 1st (2) (5/4 +23%) Jesse Luc		1.25 5/4(+23%)																															(2) Jesse Luc 5/4, Well backed when scored by 2l off 61 at Chelmsford three starts back and similar form when backed again beaten 1/2l off 66 last time; can get winning thread back here Four wins this year and placed over C&D the last twice; big player with Rossa Ryan booked.
2	5 2nd (5) (17/2 -70%) Sibyl Charm		8.5 17/2(-70%)																															(5) Sibyl Charm 17/2, Did not get a clear run beaten 6 1/2l in a handicap over 7f at Newcastle last time when well backed; in good form prior; found little when gaps came over 7f last time and drop back to 6f helpful; first run after a wind operation Not built on February's promising 3rd in two runs since; wind surgery since latest; chance.
3	3 3rd (3) (11/4 +63%) Swiss Ace		2.75 11/4(+63%)																															(3) Swiss Ace 11/4, In good form prior to racing freely when well beaten in a handicap over 7f at Redcar back on turf latest; return to AW a plus, but drop to 6f is a concern despite good efforts over trip back in 2022 Should be well treated but he has been underperforming of late; best at 7f too.
4	7 4th (7) (11/2 +31%) Profit Street		5.5 11/2(+31%)																															(7) Profit Street 11/2, Out of sorts of late and below par again when beaten 6l in a handicap at Newcastle last time; nicely treated at weights on best form mark having gradually fallen from a 68, but hard to fancy given recent efforts On a dangerous mark but it's been a mixed bag this winter and others look safer.
5th	8 5th (8) (40/1 -43%) Madame Fenella		40 40/1(-43%)																															(8) Madame Fenella 40/1, Raced freely probably needing race when beaten 6l in a handicap at Newcastle on reappearance; form fell away in 2024 and needs to prove has not regressed permanently Perhaps needed the run when last seen in February; others have more pressing claims.
6th	1 6th (1) (12/1 -9%) Rambuso Creek		12 12/1(-9%)																															(1) Rambuso Creek 12/1, Beaten 3/4l off 70 in a Southwell handicap before a break, but poor twice since return; needs to find form to have a chance; risky Yet to fire for current stable but has lots of ability and return of headgear is a plus.
7th	6 7th (6) (10/1 -54%) Yoshimi		10 10/1(-54%)																															(6) Yoshimi 10/1, Idled in front when landing a handicap by a short-head off 60 here last time; off a short-break, but in good form and open to a little improvement; can go close Three AW wins since October, the latest over C&D; 2lb higher; yard also runs Rambuso Creek.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

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17:37 Southwell (Class 5) 6f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

Yoshimi steps up a class after a narrow C&D win last time out under an excellent ride from Andrea Pinna and he can go well off just 2lb higher, but he is up against the ultra-consistent JESSE LUC. The five-year-old has won four of his last seven starts and although he does need a career best off this rating, he keeps on pulling out all the stops. Sibyl Charm and Profit Street are others to consider.

This is especially trappy. Jesse Luc is solid but Mattice and RAMBUSO CREEK may prove better handicapped.

17:37 Southwell (Class 5) 6f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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Racecard Key

Ths is the racecard key.

Icon	Meaning
	TomForm top stats, gold rated
	TomForm top stats silver rated
	Ran similar race before
S	TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out
T	Top Time speeed rated
	Top Racingpost rated
	At the races watchout for
	At the races top pick
	Top rated for thet statistic

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How to use Tomform

Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.

This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.

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About U.K Horse Racing

Horse racing is a popular and historic sport in the UK, with a tradition dating back centuries. It is a multi-billion pound industry that attracts millions of spectators each year and generates significant economic activity.

There are two main types of horse racing in the UK: flat racing and jump racing. Flat racing is run on a level course and is typically shorter in distance, while jump racing involves horses jumping over obstacles and is generally longer in distance. Both types of racing are popular with spectators and bettors, and they take place at various racetracks throughout the country.

The most famous horse racing event in the UK is the Grand National, which is held annually at Aintree Racecourse in Liverpool. It is a jump racing event that is known for its challenging course and has become a national institution in the UK. Other notable horse racing events in the UK include the Derby, held at Epsom Downs Racecourse in Surrey, and the Royal Ascot, held at Ascot Racecourse in Berkshire.

Horse racing in the UK is regulated by the British Horseracing Authority (BHA), which sets rules and standards for the industry. It is responsible for the welfare of racehorses and the safety of jockeys and trainers, as well as ensuring fair and transparent racing practices.

In addition to its economic and cultural importance, horse racing in the UK also plays a significant role in the breeding and training of thoroughbred horses. Many of the world's top thoroughbreds are bred and trained in the UK, and the industry plays a vital role in the preservation and promotion of the breed.

Overall, horse racing is an integral part of British culture and a major contributor to the country's economy. It is a thrilling and exciting sport that continues to attract a loyal following and generate significant interest from spectators and bettors around the world.

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