Southwell Races & Results Tomform Monday 15th May 2023

There were 45 Races on Monday 15th May 2023 across 6 meetings. There was 8 races at Musselburgh, 7 races at Wolverhampton, 8 races at Catterick, 7 races at Windsor, 8 races at Killarney, 7 races at Southwell, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.

Races & Results Monday 15th May 2023

The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.

17:45 Southwell Handicap Chase (Class 5) 20f - 11 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Weight Runs Age Comments
1
1st (8) Mystic Man (6.5/1 +59%)
Mystic Man

6.5/1(+59%)
(8) Mystic Man 6.5/1, Point winner who found just one too good on Rules debut in a Stratford bumper last May. Hasn't shown much in 4 starts over hurdles since (ran a moody race latest) but could do better for switch to chasing.
Pulled up on handicap hurdle debut but this point winner may do better now chasing.
2
2nd (10) Miss Antipova (11/1 -100%)
Miss Antipova

11/1(-100%)
(10) Miss Antipova 11/1, Back on track having dropped a ton in the weights when second at Ffos Las (19.4f) 5 weeks ago and claims if building on that.
Proved some ability remains and ran big race in defeat at Ffos Las last month.
3
3rd (3) Fox's Socks (3.5/1 +56%)
Fox's Socks

3.5/1(+56%)
(3) Fox's Socks 3.5/1, Winning hurdler who ran well on second start over fences at Market Rasen in December but well held at Huntingdon on Boxing Day. More needed on return.
Safely held in two of three chases in late 2022 but went close in the other; a possible.
4
4th (6) Go Fox (25/1 +24%)
Go Fox

25/1(+24%)
(6) Go Fox 25/1, Out of sorts (has shown nothing in 2 goes over fences). Potentially very well handicapped.
Out of form under all codes since winning Flat claimer just under a year ago.
5th
5th (7) Quiet Flow (4.5/1 +31%)
Quiet Flow

4.5/1(+31%)
(7) Quiet Flow 4.5/1, Runner-up twice in February (just failed over C&D first occasion) and fair shout back from a break if jumping better.
Disappointed last time but went close over C&D in February; strong claims if back on song.
|PU|
|PU| (1) Patagonia (5/1 +38%)
Patagonia

5/1(+38%)
(1) Patagonia 5/1, Went close over fences at Wetherby in March and could have a race like this in him if staying. Just one win in 6 months for yard.
Didn't fire last time but went very close two starts ago and still has low mileage.
|PU|
|PU| (2) Dime Store Cowgirl (6/1 -118%)
Dime Store Cowgirl

6/1(-118%)
(2) Dime Store Cowgirl 6/1, Hurdles winner who got back on track sent chasing when second at Wincanton last month. Return to left-handed track will suit and she should have more to offer. Can go well if staying the longer trip.
Creditable second to progressive rival on recent chasing debut; major player.
|PU|
|PU| (11) Brickadank (11/1 -83%)
Brickadank

11/1(-83%)
(11) Brickadank 11/1, Long-standing maiden but, on just his second start over fences, came closer than ever before to breaking his duck at Newcastle over this trip 4 weeks ago. Needs to build on that now.
Very very close in a modest chase last month but career strike-rate is now 0-30.
|PU|
|PU| (4) Higgs (12/1 -60%)
Higgs

12/1(-60%)
(4) Higgs 12/1, Dual hurdles winner back in 2018. Ran well on a couple of occasions over fences earlier this year but has failed to complete the last twice.
Twice ran well in refitted cheekpieces in March but two non-completions have followed.
|PU|
|PU| (9) Overtougeorge (28/1 -56%)
Overtougeorge

28/1(-56%)
(9) Overtougeorge 28/1, Going well over hurdles here when last seen but needs to improve on his previous chasing efforts and this sort of trip possibly beyond him.
Won small-field hurdle here a year ago but has uninspiring chase record; back from layoff.
|PU|
|PU| (5) Forever Des Long (50/1 +0%)
Forever Des Long

50/1(+0%)
(5) Forever Des Long 50/1, Market Rasen hurdles winner for Philip Hobbs but ended his time with that yard on a low note and well held all 5 starts for present connections. Tries chasing now.
Hasn't shown a great deal over hurdles for this stable; now makes his chasing debut.
LTO Selection:

17:45 Southwell Handicap Chase (Class 5) 20f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

1st Place: 6.5/1 (7) QUIET FLOW 2nd Place: 8/1 (1) PATAGONIA 3rd Place: 5.5/1 (10) MISS ANTIPOVA

Narrowly denied at Newcastle last time out on just his second run over fences, BRICKADANK can gain compensation on this occasion with the slight rise in distance expected to suit. A promising second on her chase debut at Wincanton, Dime Store Cowgirl can give him the most to think about, along with Miss Antipova, who ran well at Ffos Las last month but is now winless in 17 starts.

DIME STORE COWGIRL made a good fist of it on her chasing debut 4 weeks ago and will be suited by the return to a left-handed track so she could go very well if staying. Miss Antipova and Quiet Flow are a couple of others to consider.

The vote goes to DIME STORE COWGIRL, who made a good start to her chasing career when second at Wincanton last month.


18:15 Southwell Handicap Chase (Class 4) 24f - 6 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Weight Runs Age Comments
1
1st (3) Dog Of War (12/1 -50%)
Dog Of War

12/1(-50%)
(3) Dog Of War 12/1, Triple chase winner but disappointing in 2 quick runs back from an absence in February. Has since undergone wind surgery. Would need to see market support to consider.
Current wellbeing is an issue and all his wins have come on good or quicker ground.
2
2nd (5) Jaytee (1/1 +71%)
Jaytee

1/1(+71%)
(5) Jaytee 1/1, Has been running respectably over fences of late, though was off the bridle before most in first-time cheekpieces (retained) at Wincanton on most recent outing. Brian Hughes in the saddle for the first time.
Very capable at this level if on a good day but has been below par of late..
3
3rd (2) Aviewtosea (2.5/1 -67%)
Aviewtosea

2.5/1(-67%)
(2) Aviewtosea 2.5/1, Made it 3-4 over fences when seeing off 3 rivals over this trip at Worcester last September. Could easily be more to come for his good stable and leading claims on his return to action.
Made it 3-4 over fences in September; up 5lb and absent since, but a player..
4
4th (4) Calipso Collonges (10/1 +0%)
Calipso Collonges

10/1(+0%)
(4) Calipso Collonges 10/1, Started last season with 2 decent efforts but he has questions to answer at present having pulled up on his last 2 outings.
Return of cheekpieces is a positive and he's got himself well handicapped..
5th
5th (6) Dee Star (7.5/1 -67%)
Dee Star

7.5/1(-67%)
(6) Dee Star 7.5/1, In fine form in the first half of last season, winning 3 times. Creditable second at Hexham when last seen in November. Player if ready to roll after 6 months off.
Stays 4m but is likely to have some say provided this run isn't needed..
|PU|
|PU| (1) Fire Away (12/1 -33%)
Fire Away

12/1(-33%)
(1) Fire Away 12/1, Added to his tally at Cartmel last May. Has struggled since (including remote fourth at Perth 17 days ago) but his yard has won the last 2 runnings of this race so he's worth keeping an eye on in the betting.
Essentially disappointing since winning at Cartmel a year ago..
LTO Selection:

18:15 Southwell Handicap Chase (Class 4) 24f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

Based on the summary, 1.5/1 (2) AVIEWTOSEA and 4.5/1 (6) DEE STAR seem to be the strongest contenders for first and second place, with 9/1 (1) FIRE AWAY as a potential dark horse. 10/1 (4) CALIPSO COLLONGES and 8/1 (3) DOG OF WAR seem less likely to do well in this race.

The Fergal O'Brien stable can do little wrong at present and AVIEWTOSEA must hold every chance on his return from a 245-day break. A winner of three of his last four starts, this looks like a perfect starting point for another summer campaign and he can see off the likes of Fire Away and Dee Star, who arrives with similar claims on the back of an absence.

AVIEWTOSEA progressed nicely over fences for Fergal O'Brien last summer and could take a bit of stopping if he's fully primed after his break. Dee Star is another who did very well last season and rates an obvious threat, while Fire Away has struggled lately but is well worth a betting check given Laura Morgan's good record in this race.

Fergal O'Brien's AVIEWTOSEA could quite easily make it 4-5 over fences if in good order after his break.


18:45 Southwell NH Flat Race (Class 5) 16f - 10 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Weight Runs Age Comments
1
1st (8) Hot Fizzy Lizzy (40/1 -150%)
Hot Fizzy Lizzy

40/1(-150%)
(8) Hot Fizzy Lizzy 40/1, Once-raced maiden. 14/1, sixteenth of 17 in bumper at Kempton (16f, heavy) on NH debut 58 days ago, left behind home turn. Best watched on the back of that.
In good hands but finished well down the field on debut at Kempton (soft) in March.
2
2nd (5) By The Grace (2/1 +11%)
By The Grace

2/1(+11%)
(5) By The Grace 2/1, £68,000 3-y-o, Blue Bresil filly. Half-sister to fair hurdler Maid On The Moon. Dam (h113), bumper/17f-2½m hurdle winner (stayed 23f), from family of Champion Hurdle winners Morley Street and Granville Again. Makes appeal on paper for leading yard and she's one to consider.
Out of a bumper/fair hurdle winner; with a top stable and a likely contender.
3
3rd (9) Selkirk Grace (12/1 -9%)
Selkirk Grace

12/1(-9%)
(9) Selkirk Grace 12/1, Twice-raced maiden. 11/2 and tongue strap on for 1st time, fourth of 5 in bumper at Wincanton (15.2f, soft) 29 days ago. That was her first start for 3 months and possible she'll be sharper for that here.
Not beaten far on either start but the form standard she sets here is modest.
4
4th (7) Darting Rose (7.5/1 -15%)
Darting Rose

7.5/1(-15%)
(7) Darting Rose 7.5/1, Dartmouth filly. Half-sister to numerous winners, including useful hurdler/chaser Fransham and useful hurdler Takeit Easy. Dam (h128), 2m-2½m hurdle winner, half-sister to fairly useful hurdler/chaser (2¾m-3¼m winner) Harrycone Lewis.
Half-sister to five winners (all for Pam Sly), including three useful jumpers; shortlisted.
5th
5th (10) Woolberry (1.88/1 +77%)
Woolberry

1.88/1(+77%)
(10) Woolberry 1.88/1, Jack Hobbs filly. Dam bumper winner/useful hurdler (winner up to 21f). Market should prove a useful guide ahead of racecourse bow.
First foal from a dual bumper and Listed hurdle winner; market may point the way.
6th
6th (4) Bear Ridge (125/1 -150%)
Bear Ridge

125/1(-150%)
(4) Bear Ridge 125/1, Scorpion filly. Dam (b79) bumper winner. Likely best watched on racecourse debut.
First foal from a bumper/point winner; other newcomers look more interesting.
7th
7th (2) Blue The Money (6/1 -71%)
Blue The Money

6/1(-71%)
(2) Blue The Money 6/1, Blue Bresil mare. Half-sister to numerous winners, including temperamental but useful hurdler/chaser Skint and fairly useful hurdler/chaser Brassick. Yard enjoy plenty of success in this sphere and she's a newcomer to note.
Half-sister to five bumper winners; yard does well in these races; looks the part on paper.
8th
8th (1) Anna Of Annandale (50/1 -213%)
Anna Of Annandale

50/1(-213%)
(1) Anna Of Annandale 50/1, Kingston Hill mare. Once-raced maiden. 8/1, eighth of 11 in bumper at this C&D (soft) on NH debut 33 days ago, pushed along home turn and never involved. Likely to do better further down the line.
Unable to land a telling blow when eighth of 11 over C&D last month.
9th
9th (3) Sholokhov Cocktail (6.5/1 +0%)
Sholokhov Cocktail

6.5/1(+0%)
(3) Sholokhov Cocktail 6.5/1, Sholokhov half-sister to fair hurdler Midnight Centurion. One to note in the betting for a stable which is no stranger to bumper success. Has had wind op.
Half-sister to fair 2m5f hurdle winner Midnight Centurion; stable has good bumper record.
10th
10th (6) Conniegetaway (66/1 -100%)
Conniegetaway

66/1(-100%)
(6) Conniegetaway 66/1, Shantou filly. Sister to fair hurdler Ahead of The Posse. Dam (h112), bumper/2m hurdle winner, also 13f winner on Flat, closely related to useful hurdler/chaser (stayed 4m) Perfect Gentleman. Interesting what the market makes of her on racecourse debut.
Trainer has 0-9 bumper record but this newcomer is worth a glance in the betting.
LTO Selection:

18:45 Southwell NH Flat Race (Class 5) 16f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

Based on the summary, it is difficult to predict which horse will do well. However, some horses to consider for the top three spots are 3.5/1 (2) BLUE THE MONEY, 6.5/1 (3) SHOLOKHOV COCKTAIL, 2.25/1 (5) BY THE GRACE, 6.5/1 (7) DARTING ROSE and 8/1 (10) WOOLBERRY. These horses are either well-bred, have shown potential in their previous starts, or are newcomers with notable connections. Ultimately, the outcome of the race will depend on various factors such as the conditions, jockey, and racing luck.

A chance is taken with WOOLBERRY, who is a daughter of Woolstone One, a Listed-winning mare who was also trained by Emma Lavelle. The form of the yard is another plus and the four-year-old edges the vote over By The Grace for last year's winning connections, as well as Blue The Money, who is related to several first-time-out bumper winners. Anna Of Annandale appeals most of those with experience.

Those with experience don't set a tall standard, so newcomer BY THE GRACE, who makes appeal on paper for a leading yard, is suggested without the benefit of market clues. Fellow-debutantes Blue The Money and Sholokhov Cocktail are others worthy of note.

Nicky Henderon's necomer BY THE GRACE is out of a bumper winner and fits the bill. Blue The Money is second choice.


19:15 Southwell Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 20f - 7 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Weight Runs Age Comments
(8) Emily's Star (25/1 -257%)
Emily's Star

25/1(-257%)
(8) Emily's Star 25/1, Quite a good pedigree and offered more in this sphere when fifth of 12 in novice at Ludlow (2m, good to soft) last month. May be capable of better.
Showed promise on both hurdling starts but needs improvement over this longer trip.
1
1st (1) Cabhfuilfungi (0.57/1 +72%)
Cabhfuilfungi

0.57/1(+72%)
(1) Cabhfuilfungi 0.57/1, Modest in bumpers and a maiden hurdle for John Groucott but a different proposition for new stable, finishing second in maiden/novice events here this spring. Sets the standard for the rest to aim at.
Creditable second to useful rival over C&D last month; the one to beat.
2
2nd (5) Mountain Leopard (4.5/1 +50%)
Mountain Leopard

4.5/1(+50%)
(5) Mountain Leopard 4.5/1, Bumper winner in 2019. Fair form over hurdles in a light career since, finishing a respectable sixth of 10 in 25f Hereford handicap when last seen in January. Likely to be competitive.
Has mixed record over hurdles but can play a significant role here if all goes to plan.
3
3rd (4) Ilestdancingspirit (12/1 -60%)
Ilestdancingspirit

12/1(-60%)
(4) Ilestdancingspirit 12/1, Reached the frame in 2 bumpers at the start of the year and ought to be up to making his presence felt in a race like this now hurdling.
Made the frame in two bumpers in early part of year; now makes his hurdling debut.
4
4th (2) Hostile Hotelier (12/1 +25%)
Hostile Hotelier

12/1(+25%)
(2) Hostile Hotelier 12/1, Better effort in maiden/novice hurdles over 2m last month when fifth of 11 at Hexham 3 weeks ago. Steps up in trip now.
Made late headway for fifth over 2m three weeks ago; moves up in trip here.
5th
5th (7) Westwood Ryder (5/1 -150%)
Westwood Ryder

5/1(-150%)
(7) Westwood Ryder 5/1, Failed to land the odds but offered plenty when runner-up in a bumper at Huntingdon in May 2021. Absent since (has had wind surgery) but still has time on his side and it'll be very interesting to see how much strength there is behind him in the betting.
Not seen since promising bumper debut two years ago; could still have a good future.
6th
6th (6) Try The Money (150/1 -127%)
Try The Money

150/1(-127%)
(6) Try The Money 150/1, No impact in a couple of attempts over timber and looks one for handicaps down the line.
Always towards rear in two 2m Chepstow hurdles last month; tries a new trip here.
LTO Selection:

19:15 Southwell Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 20f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

1st: 2/1 (1) CABHFUILFUNGI 2nd: 9/1 (5) MOUNTAIN LEOPARD 3rd: 7.5/1 (4) ILESTDANCINGSPIRIT

The once-raced WESTWOOD RYDER hasn't been seen since he posted a respectable effort to finish second in a bumper at Huntingdon in May 2021, but the winner of that race went on to score twice over hurdles and the form looks solid. He's has a wind problem addressed since then and, given he has the benefit of Nicky Henderson's expert tutelage, he is taken to justify exactly why he has been kept in training. Cabhfuilfungi is a clear second choice, while Ilestdancingspirit also offers some appeal.

CABHFUILFUNGI gets the vote on the back of 2 placed efforts here last month, although a strong market move for the returning Nicky Henderson hurdle debutant Westwood Ryder would put a slightly different slant on things. Mountain Leopard is another likely to be in the shake-up.

Westwood Ryder looks interesting but a much safer option is CABHFUILFUNGI, who ran very well in defeat over C&D last month.


19:45 Southwell Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 20f - 7 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Weight Runs Age Comments
1
1st (4) Blue Shark (4/1 +20%)
Blue Shark

4/1(+20%)
(4) Blue Shark 4/1, Different proposition tackling trips at around 2½m, bringing up the 5-timer at Huntingdon in February. Not in same form when fourth at Exeter (23.1f) the following month but been freshened up since and not taken lightly.
Won five in a row last season; held last time but further progress remains possible.
2
2nd (1) Chti Balko (7.5/1 -15%)
Chti Balko

7.5/1(-15%)
(1) Chti Balko 7.5/1, Returned to form when second of 10 in handicap hurdle at Catterick (19.3f, soft) in January. Below that level over shorter trip at Wetherby since but remains fairly treated and is one for the shortlist.
Ended last season with two decent efforts but does not want the ground to dry out here.
3
3rd (7) Baghdad Central (6/1 +14%)
Baghdad Central

6/1(+14%)
(7) Baghdad Central 6/1, Off the mark when taking 7-runner handicap hurdle at Carlisle (19.3f, good) 37 days ago, finding extra. This is tougher but he must enter calculations.
Held on well to open account at Carlisle last month and is open to further progress.
4
4th (3) Midnight Jewel (6.5/1 -86%)
Midnight Jewel

6.5/1(-86%)
(3) Midnight Jewel 6.5/1, Consistent performer who scored in this sphere (20f) last summer before going on to win 2 of his 5 starts over fences. Can go well fresh and must enter calculations on return.
Did very well over fences last summer/autumn; back from break; wants good ground.
5th
5th (6) Marajman (3.5/1 +56%)
Marajman

3.5/1(+56%)
(6) Marajman 3.5/1, Won this event off much higher mark 12 months ago but not scored since and needs to bounce back from a poor effort in Wetherby seller last month. Visor on first time.
Comes with risk but was second off 13lb higher over C&D in January and can't be ruled out.
6th
6th (5) Lifetime Legend (10/1 +0%)
Lifetime Legend

10/1(+0%)
(5) Lifetime Legend 10/1, Built on early promise to get off the mark in 19f female jockeys' event at Catterick in February. However, rather gone backwards since and bit to prove now. Tongue strap back on.
Belatedly off the mark in January but two lesser efforts have followed; not convincing.
|F|
|F| (2) Barony Legends (3.33/1 +49%)
Barony Legends

3.33/1(+49%)
(2) Barony Legends 3.33/1, Took a step back in the right direction when third of 8 in Bangor handicap (19.6f, soft) in March. May not have stayed longer trip when fifth at this course (24.3f) since but overall record is off-putting.
Hasn't fired since retuned to hurdling, albeit 3m may have stretched him here last time.
LTO Selection:

19:45 Southwell Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 20f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

1st: 5/1 (4) BLUE SHARK 2nd: 8/1 (6) MARAJMAN 3rd: 7/1 (7) BAGHDAD CENTRAL

Several of these arrive in good form and while Chti Balko is dangerously well-handicapped on his past exploits over hurdles, and Midnight Jewel is highly respected as he reverts to timber off just 4lb higher than his last success in this discipline, the vote goes to BLUE SHARK. Having enjoyed a highly-profitable period since last November, dropping back in trip is very much in his favour and he is worth forgiving a lacklustre effort over 2m7f at Exeter last time.

MIDNIGHT JEWEL boasts an excellent strike rate and has won returning from a break before. He can repeat the feat here. Chti Balko and Blue Shark rate the principal dangers.

There is risk attached to MARAJMAN but he's very well suited by this C&D and has become too well handicapped to resist.


20:15 Southwell Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 16f - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Weight Runs Age Comments
(1) Bobby Socks (10/1 +29%)
Bobby Socks

10/1(+29%)
(1) Bobby Socks 10/1, Fairy useful form when landing bumper at Newton Abbot in September but yet to add to it in this sphere, having a wind op before below form sixth of 10 in handicap at Uttoxeter (15.8f, soft) 107 days ago. Tongue strap on 1st time. Needs to bounce back.
Placed in C&D maiden in November but not seen since underwhelming h'cap debut in January.
1
1st (2) Kingfast (0.73/1 +47%)
Kingfast

0.73/1(+47%)
(2) Kingfast 0.73/1, Capitalised on a reduced mark for his current yard to land conditional jockeys' handicap at Market Rasen (16.6f, good to soft) 3 days ago. Escapes a penalty so holds leading claims off an unchanged mark,
Returned to form with comfortable win on Friday and has no penalty here; obvious claims.
2
2nd (5) Ez Tiger (7/1 +36%)
Ez Tiger

7/1(+36%)
(5) Ez Tiger 7/1, Below form sixth of 11 in handicap hurdle at Plumpton (17.8f, soft) 35 days ago. More is required if he's to gain his breakthrough success here.
Placed in big field in January but hasn't built on that performance since.
3
3rd (7) My Virtue (28/1 +58%)
My Virtue

28/1(+58%)
(7) My Virtue 28/1, Winning pointer but lightly-raced maiden hurdler. Only eleventh of 13 in handicap at Ludlow (21.2f, good to soft) 19 days ago so she's hard to make a case for.
Fourth at big odds in Ludlow maiden in March but down the field on handicap debut there.
4
4th (9) Muse Of Fire (12/1 +33%)
Muse Of Fire

12/1(+33%)
(9) Muse Of Fire 12/1, Started well over fences for his current yard but tried in cheekpieces when pulled up in handicap chase at Bangor (17.4f, soft) 51 days ago. Has something to prove back over hurdles.
Ran poorly in latest chase and it's hard to know what to expect on this hurdling return.
5th
5th (3) Zoran (14/1 -27%)
Zoran

14/1(-27%)
(3) Zoran 14/1, Still a maiden over hurldes and tried blinkered for 1st time when only ninth of 11 in handicap hurdle at Newton Abbot (18.5f, good) 10 months ago on his final run for Paul Nicholls. Needs to hit th ground running for his new handler.
0-6 over hurdles for Paul Nicholls; makes stable debut after 11-month absence.
6th
6th (6) Rocambolas (6/1 -50%)
Rocambolas

6/1(-50%)
(6) Rocambolas 6/1, Winning pointer who made a successful start for his new yard in 2m Uttoxeter handicap hurdle last month, more settled in a first-time hood. Form has been franked so he's not taken lightly despite a 7 lb rise with the headgear retained.
Won in good style when switched back to hurdling for stable debut; can improve again.
7th
7th (8) Ruby's Pearl (16/1 +52%)
Ruby's Pearl

16/1(+52%)
(8) Ruby's Pearl 16/1, Only poor form shown thus far, remote fourth of 8 in handicap hurdle at Fakenham (16f, soft) 35 days ago. Others appeal more.
Ran okay on handicap debut but was beaten about 22l in the end; others look stronger.
8th
8th (10) Ygritte (16/1 +0%)
Ygritte

16/1(+0%)
(10) Ygritte 16/1, In the frame on all her three runs but it's only poor form, coming in a remote fourth of 9 in juvenile hurdle at Ludlow (2m, soft) 146 days ago. Plenty more is needed now going into handicaps.
Showed only minor promise in three junior hurdles but has a lowly mark for handicap debut.
LTO Selection:

20:15 Southwell Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 16f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

Based on the summary, the horse with the best chance of finishing in the top three appears to be 1.38/1 (2) KINGFAST. He has recently returned to form with a comfortable win and has no penalty in this race. The other two horses to potentially finish in the top three are 4/1 (6) ROCAMBOLAS, who won in good style in his last race and has seen his form franked, and 7/1 (4) GETAMAN, who ran very well over fences last month and must be considered now back hurdling.

KINGFAST readily got off the mark over hurdles at Market Rasen on Friday and the eight-year-old is hard to oppose here without a penalty for landing that conditional jockeys' event. Rocambolas also scored on his most recent outing but a 7lb rise will make his life harder now. Getaman is another with strong form claims, while Bobby Socks and Zoran are the pick of the remaining field.

KINGFAST looked right back on track for Fergal O'Brien when scoring at Market Rasen only three days ago and is hard to oppose as he escapes a penalty for that conditional jockeys' event. Rocambolas showed the benefit of a hood when getting off the mark at the first attempt for Ben Pauling at Uttoxeter and is next on the list. Getaman appeals as the pick of the rest for place purposes now back hurdling.

It's hard to get away from KINGFAST (nap), who looked back in prime form when winning comfortably on Friday and has the same mark here.


20:45 Southwell Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 16f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Weight Runs Age Comments
(8) Mcgowan's Pass (5.5/1 +21%)
Mcgowan's Pass

5.5/1(+21%)
(8) Mcgowan's Pass 5.5/1, Without a victory since early 2020 but evidently retains plenty of enthusiasm aged 12, posting creditable efforts in defeat at Wetherby and Newcastle the last twice. Trip/ground fine and down to a career-low mark, he has to enter calculations.
12yo; ended last season with two good efforts on slow ground but hasn't won since 2020.
1
1st (5) Tarahumara (3.6/1 -8%)
Tarahumara

3.6/1(-8%)
(5) Tarahumara 3.6/1, Built on promising hurdling bow when easily taking 14-runner novice at Chepstow (2m, good) in April of last year. Failed to meet expectations (later found to have bled) on chase debut at Uttoxeter in February (since undergone a wind op) and claims if able to get back on track returned to hurdles.
Very lightly raced 7yo; disappointing on chase/handicap debut but still has potential.
2
2nd (2) Elham Valley (4/1 +11%)
Elham Valley

4/1(+11%)
(2) Elham Valley 4/1, Bagged handicaps at Warwick and Newton Abbot last year. Returned to form following a string of below par performances when runner-up off this mark at Kempton (Too Friendly 5 lengths adrift in third) last time and claims if able to back that effort up here.
Back in good form when second at Kempton last month and this C&D also suits.
3
3rd (1) Too Friendly (1.88/1 +37%)
Too Friendly

1.88/1(+37%)
(1) Too Friendly 1.88/1, Won 2 juvenile hurdles last season (also fifth in Fred Winter) and several creditable efforts in higher-grade handicaps than this during the present campaign. Shaped better than the distance beaten when third on debut for new yard at Kempton (2m, heavy) and he's high on the shortlist.
Finished last three races weakly, most recently after looking likely winner on yard debut.
4
4th (9) Karannelle (8/1 +20%)
Karannelle

8/1(+20%)
(9) Karannelle 8/1, Enjoyed a productive spell last summer, landing back-to-back handicaps and ending the year with runners-up efforts at Newton Abbot over 16.7f on good/good to firm. Has gone well fresh previously and usual hood refitted ahead but she could do with the ground drying it.
In good form last summer but has fitness to prove after absence; best on good ground.
5th
5th (6) Restandbethankful (3.5/1 +65%)
Restandbethankful

3.5/1(+65%)
(6) Restandbethankful 3.5/1, Scored 3 times over timber for Olly Murphy in 2021. Failed to strike following a half-a-dozen chase starts and well held back in this sphere at Ayr last month, albeit he was partnered by an inexperienced jockey (first ride under Rules) that day and better can be expected with Brian Hughes up here.
Dropped out rather tamely after running well for a long way on both stable starts.
6th
6th (7) With A Start (66/1 -65%)
With A Start

66/1(-65%)
(7) With A Start 66/1, Maiden hurdle winner for Noel Meade back in July 2020 but largely struggled since and was pulled up on hurdles debut for this yard over 20.4f here recently.
Has struggled on both stable starts (Flat/hurdle) and has too much to prove.
7th
7th (4) Toronet (22/1 -340%)
Toronet

22/1(-340%)
(4) Toronet 22/1, Winner of a claiming hurdle at Fontainebleau (17.6f, soft) when last seen in February (subsequently claimed from Julien Phelippon for €19,999). Hard to weigh up starting out for new connections here and percentage call is to look elsewhere.
Has joined Laura Morgan since winning a slow-ground claimer in France in February.
LTO Selection:

20:45 Southwell Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 16f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

Based on the summary, the horses that are most likely to do well are Enjoyed, 4.5/1 (2) ELHAM VALLEY, and 3/1 (1) TOO FRIENDLY. However, it is impossible to accurately predict the exact finishing order of the horses.

ELHAM VALLEY bounced back to form when second over this trip at Kempton three weeks ago and he arguably sets the standard off the same mark here. That said, Toronet has to be respected on his UK debut having won his final start in France earlier in the year. Karannelle should not be underestimated, while Too Friendly and Mcgowan's Pass could also go well.

TOO FRIENDLY ultimately did too much too soon when third starting out for his new yard at Kempton 3 weeks ago and, if delivered later in the piece by Aidan Coleman here, the 5-y-o could be the answer. Tarahumara will be a threat if able to get back on track returned to this sphere on the back of a wind operation, while Sea The Clouds is also accorded respect.

A pretty solid option is ELHAM VALLEY, who kept on well for second off today's mark at Kempton last month and also has form over C&D.


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This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.


About U.K Horse Racing

Horse racing is a popular and historic sport in the UK, with a tradition dating back centuries. It is a multi-billion pound industry that attracts millions of spectators each year and generates significant economic activity.

There are two main types of horse racing in the UK: flat racing and jump racing. Flat racing is run on a level course and is typically shorter in distance, while jump racing involves horses jumping over obstacles and is generally longer in distance. Both types of racing are popular with spectators and bettors, and they take place at various racetracks throughout the country.

The most famous horse racing event in the UK is the Grand National, which is held annually at Aintree Racecourse in Liverpool. It is a jump racing event that is known for its challenging course and has become a national institution in the UK. Other notable horse racing events in the UK include the Derby, held at Epsom Downs Racecourse in Surrey, and the Royal Ascot, held at Ascot Racecourse in Berkshire.

Horse racing in the UK is regulated by the British Horseracing Authority (BHA), which sets rules and standards for the industry. It is responsible for the welfare of racehorses and the safety of jockeys and trainers, as well as ensuring fair and transparent racing practices.

In addition to its economic and cultural importance, horse racing in the UK also plays a significant role in the breeding and training of thoroughbred horses. Many of the world's top thoroughbreds are bred and trained in the UK, and the industry plays a vital role in the preservation and promotion of the breed.

Overall, horse racing is an integral part of British culture and a major contributor to the country's economy. It is a thrilling and exciting sport that continues to attract a loyal following and generate significant interest from spectators and bettors around the world.


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