17:15 Southwell (Class 4) 12f - 6 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	1 1st (1) (8/13 +55%) Miss Justice		0.615385 8/13(+55%)																															(1) Miss Justice 8/13, Did not get a clear run second beaten a length in a handicap over 10f at Sandown latest; has been narrowly denied from opening account three times now; Gosdens in form; the pick on balance of form Three 2nds this term, in 1m4f handicap last time and that's clearly the best form in this.
2	2 2nd (2) (13/2 -117%) Lalique		6.5 13/2(-117%)																															(2) Lalique 13/2, Made promising debut when winning over 11f at Kempton in April and was second back there over 12f latest; cheekpieces first time; off a short-break; could figure 1st and 2nd in her two races on Kempton AW (1m3f/1m4f); cheekpieces are enlisted.
3	3 3rd (3) (11/4 -38%) Alibey		2.75 11/4(-38%)																															(3) Alibey 11/4, Had benefited for debut experience 2l third in a maiden at Haydock most recent run; Tom Marquand rides for the first time; William Haggas in form; value selection based on balance of form Plugged on for 3rd of 5 at Haydock (1m4f, good) latest; can still improve but needs to.
4	6 4th (6) (150/1 0%) Louie's Folly		150 150/1(0%)																															(6) Louie's Folly 150/1, Poor first couple of starts; beaten by 21l at Kempton on debut and 15l at Haydock latest when outpaced; difficult to fancy from what she's displayed thus far Well beaten in 1m4f novice events at Kempton (AW; 16-1) and Haydock (good; 125-1).
5th	5 5th (5) (16/1 -60%) Lothbury		16 16/1(-60%)																															(5) Lothbury 16/1, 65,000gns Australia filly; half-sister to Tournelle, very useful at 7f, and French winner Olympic Flame; dam fair at 6f; not entirely ruled out here on debut despite lack of previous experience Australia filly who cost 65,000gns as a yearling; needs to be pretty useful on debut.
6th	4 6th (4) (200/1 -33%) Flame Dancer		200 200/1(-33%)																															(4) Flame Dancer 200/1, Has shown nothing worth really noting on first two starts, including well beaten last of eight by 38l in a maiden over 9f at Wolverhampton latest; all to do and probably best left alone in this field Best watched after heavy defeats on first two starts; hooded latest.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

17:15 Southwell (Class 4) 12f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

MISS JUSTICE has filled the runner-up spot on each of her last three starts, with the latest of those coming in a handicap at Sandown. She kept on well over 1m2f that day, so it would come as no great surprise were improvement to come now upped further in trip. Lalique ran well under a penalty at Kempton in May and she remains of interest with cheekpieces fitted for the first time. Alibey wasn't beaten far into third at Haydock last time out and is most appealing of the remainder.

Alibey and Lalique have shown they stay 1m4f but the upped-in-trip 4yo MISS JUSTICE has better form.

17:15 Southwell (Class 4) 12f PREDICTION SIMULATION

17:45 Southwell (Class 3) 12f - 5 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	1 1st (1) (5/6 +52%) The Pouncing Lion		0.833333 5/6(+52%)																															(1) The Pouncing Lion 5/6, Bit in hand when off the mark and winning a maiden on third start at Chelmsford over 10f by 3 1/4l last time; that was first run after being gelded and further progress likely; not out of it Greatly improved to win Chelmsford maiden (1m2f, AW), asserting late on and in good style.
2	5 2nd (5) (13/2 +19%) Renato		6.5 13/2(+19%)																															(5) Renato 13/2, Yet to get off the mark in five starts; appeared not to stay beaten 9l in a handicap over 1m7f at Doncaster last time; in good form prior when in the placings three consecutive starts; cheekpieces first time; may contend C&D placed; handicap debut at Doncaster was 14.5f in a hot race; cheekpieces are enlisted.
3	3 3rd (3) (4/1 +20%) Burj Zabeel		4 4/1(+20%)																															(3) Burj Zabeel 4/1, Ideally suited by trip when winning a maiden at Haydock by 2l third time out most recently; shown to be steadily progressive; Billy Loughnane booked; very likely to be in the mix Late foal who moves into handicaps with more to offer after his 1m4f Haydock maiden win.
4	4 4th (4) (14/1 +44%) Tuscan Star		14 14/1(+44%)																															(4) Tuscan Star 14/1, Raced freely beaten 9 1/2l in a handicap at York last time; in good form prior when completing a hat-trick at the start of the year, including over 11f at Kempton in February; off a short-break Latest two starts (1m4f) suggest that the improvement may have run out of steam.
5th	6 5th (6) (5/1 +23%) Hinchinbrooke		5 5/1(+23%)																															(6) Hinchinbrooke 5/1, Going probably on fast side when 4l third in a maiden over 10f at Sandown most recent run; third beaten less than a length at Newbury time before; first AW start; value selection based on balance of form Showed plenty all three starts; going beyond 1m2f may be worth a go on handicap/AW debut.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

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17:45 Southwell (Class 3) 12f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.

A small but open contest in which preference is for BURJ ZABEEL. The gelded son of Kingman was able to build on a couple of promising efforts to score at Haydock last time and now pitched into handicaps from what looks a workable mark, he could repeat the dose. Golden Handshake didn't have to come out of first gear to break his maiden tag at Lingfield recently and William Haggas' charge is unlikely to be far away along with Tuscan Star, who will find this less taxing than the 0-95 he contested at York last time.

It's not an easy choice but GOLDEN HANDSHAKE, The Pouncing Lion and Burj Zabeel are preferred in that order.

17:45 Southwell (Class 3) 12f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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18:15 Southwell (Class 2) 4f - 11 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	4 1st (4) (15/2 +6%) Against The Wind		7.5 15/2(+6%)																															(4) Against The Wind 15/2, Strong run and suited by class drop scored by 2l off 86 at Thirsk three starts back; faded when 14th beaten by 8l off 94 last time; down 1lb, but this may still be a big ask Ran as if something was amiss last time; useful form otherwise this term; 1-1 on AW.
2	10 2nd (10) (16/1 -78%) Amestris		16 16/1(-78%)																															(10) Amestris 16/1, Scooted clear and looked a possible Group horse when winning 5l at Lingfield on second start; knocked on the door a couple of times since, but no wins; improved when beaten 1l second at Haydock last time; the pick on balance of form Good second in latest turf run but this is a step back up in class on AW debut.
3	8 3rd (8) (13/2 -117%) Fluorescence		6.5 13/2(-117%)																															(8) Fluorescence 13/2, Won on first starts over 6f, including course success on debut before following up at Redcar; slowly away beaten 2 1/4l off 85 over 6f at Ripon last time; tongue-tie first time; off a short-break; first time over minimal distance Has shown solid promise over 6f; should be as effective dropped to 5f; respected.
4	6 4th (6) (11/2 +8%) Showering		5.5 11/2(+8%)																															(6) Showering 11/2, Probably outclassed beaten 5 1/4l in a handicap over 6f at York last time; in good form prior with two wins and a close second in three starts; William Haggas in form; Tom Marquand back on board; in the mix This drop in trip is worth exploring; remains open to further progress; shortlisted.
5th	3 5th (3) (6/1 +40%) Kullazain		6 6/1(+40%)																															(3) Kullazain 6/1, Needed the race down the field in Sandy Lane Stakes (Group 2) over 6f at Haydock most recent; in good form prior, including 4l win over 5f at Sandown in September; off a short-break Cornwallis third; drops back in trip/class but has a fairly tough mark to overcome.
6th	7 6th (7) (9/1 +10%) Brosay		9 9/1(+10%)																															(7) Brosay 9/1, Perhaps not suited by faster ground when 11th and beaten 6l in a handicap at Ascot last time; in largely good form prior with a few seconds and a C&D success; blinkers first time Sold start over C&D resulted in win in first-time cheekpieces; switches to blinkers.
7th	5 7th (5) (6/1 +0%) Loom		6 6/1(+0%)																															(5) Loom 6/1, 2l winner on second start over 5f at Ripon last June; appeared not to stay when beaten by 7l in a handicap over 6f at York last time; dropped back in trip; value selection based on balance of form Returns to his optimum distance; ties in with Against The Wind on York form in May.
8th	2 8th (2) (28/1 +15%) Jungle Drums		28 28/1(+15%)																															(2) Jungle Drums 28/1, Three wins in seven starts, the most recent of which came over 6f at York in October; Had a couple of starts in Meydan earlier this year, but little form to note; first start back here and may need it Form dipped sharply in UAE early this year for new stable; heed the market signals.
9th	11 9th (11) (100/1 -203%) Storm Call		100 100/1(-203%)																															(11) Storm Call 100/1, Scored narrowly over 5f at Windsor second start last May; found it more challenging since; beaten 7l in a handicap at Beverley last time; generally out of form; visor first time Far from solid on her form for new yard; first-time headgear needs to help.
10th	9 10th (9) (8/1 +0%) Lexington Blitz		8 8/1(+0%)																															(9) Lexington Blitz 8/1, Back-to-back wins over 5f at Windsor and Chepstow last season, including a 5l win in the latter; out of form since; made too much use of beaten 5l in a handicap at Sandown last time; outside chance Inconsistent this term; chance partly depends on how well he takes to new surface.
11th	1 11th (1) (9/2 +44%) Mr Lightside		4.5 9/2(+44%)																															(1) Mr Lightside 9/2, Landed a double 12 months ago when winning at Redcar and Nottingham over 5f; largely poor form since; beaten 7 1/2l in a handicap at Ascot last time; cheekpieces first time; top course trainer Returns to slightly calmer waters and has possibilities if taking well to headgear.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

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18:15 Southwell (Class 2) 4f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.

FLUORESCENCE won two of her three starts over 6f but lost her unbeaten record when second at Ripon most recently, where she led at the furlong pole before weakening close home. Tactically adaptable, she may even try to make all over this shorter trip wearing a first-time tongue-tie. Showering is another who could be better suited by the trip after his ninth at York and he could go close under Tom Marquand, while Amestris showed signs of a return to her best when second at Haydock and is another to consider.

Returned to this C&D with new headgear applied, BROSAY may be the answer. Fluorescence and Showering complete the shortlist.

18:15 Southwell (Class 2) 4f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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18:45 Southwell (Class 5) 16f - 14 Run Class & Speed Card

Info	Form		Odds	Key Rating	Tips	Win %	Place %	Betfair Place %	Dist Win %	Dist Place %	Dist Betfair Place %	Ability Rating	Horse Pace	Prediction	A.I Rating	Movement	ATR Speed	Form Plus	Class Runs	Speed Runs	Speed at Distance	LTO Speed	Top Speed	WSR	TF Rating	Course	Going	Distance	Timespeed	OR	Weight	Runs	Age	Comments
1	3 1st (3) (11/1 +8%) Dino Bellagio		11 11/1(+8%)																															(3) Dino Bellagio 11/1, Last win came over 16.5f at Doncaster in January 2023; rather unsuccessful over jumps; improved third start in this sphere when 5 1/2l third in a maiden over 11f at Hamilton most recent run Bumper winner; has shown enough lately to be of interest on this Flat handicap/AW debut.
2	2 2nd (2) (11/2 +39%) Spiced Rum		5.5 11/2(+39%)																															(2) Spiced Rum 11/2, Opened account in this sphere at Bath in October 2023; solid jumps campaign in 2024, including two wins over hurdles; good return to flat when second at Wolverhampton but below form beaten 9l in a handicap over 12f at Newcastle last time; in-form David Egan booked Both runs for new yard were 1m4f; could prove more potent with this step back up in trip.
3	5 3rd (5) (8/1 -129%) Captain Potter		8 8/1(-129%)																															(5) Captain Potter 8/1, Back to winning ways when well backed and justifying favouritism when landing a handicap by 6l off 60 over 2m2f at Pontefract last time; should go well based on that again despite 6lb rise Won well at Pontefract (2m2f) latest start but going back up 6lb may present a challenge.
4	6 4th (6) (3/1 +14%) Letmebetheboss		3 3/1(+14%)																															(6) Letmebetheboss 3/1, Won comfortably here by 3l over 14f penultimate start and followed up when winning going away landing a handicap by 3 1/2l off 58 at Kempton last time; probably more to come and the pick on form On a hat-trick; up another 7lb but he could have a fair bit more to offer as a stayer.
5th	14 5th (14) (18/1 -29%) Chillhi		18 18/1(-29%)																															(14) Chillhi 18/1, Lengthy spell without a win; 6l second at Newmarket (July) penultimate start; beaten 10l in a handicap over 11f at Carlisle last time; fifth start for James Owen; need to find a fair bit No joy yet for James Owen; also less convincing here, in blinkers and over 2m on Flat.
6th	4 6th (4) (9/1 +36%) Golden Flame		9 9/1(+36%)																															(4) Golden Flame 9/1, On a lengthy losing streak that's now over 20 runs and dates back to September 2021; Eighth beaten 3l off 67 over 12f at Newcastle last time; enjoys making it; still dropping weights but hard to recommend Solid sequence, particularly at 2m and including over C&D, but his three wins were in 2021.
7th	13 7th (13) (12/1 +14%) Trojan Sun		12 12/1(+14%)																															(13) Trojan Sun 12/1, Well backed when scored by 1 1/2l off 56 over 1m6f at Musselburgh in May; failed to justify favouritism when a disappointing sixth beaten 8l off 60 last time; unlikely to be well supported this time Sixth of eight when favourite at Chester last time is pretty off-putting; makes AW debut.
8th	11 8th (11) (11/1 -10%) Flamingo Rose		11 11/1(-10%)																															(11) Flamingo Rose 11/1, First run since February 2022 when landing a handicap by 3l off 57 at Lingfield on Tuesday; set to be turned out again quickly after long layoff; value selection based on balance of form Won smoothly at Lingfield (2m, turf) after 1,241-day absence; it's five days this time.
9th	9 9th (9) (33/1 +0%) Grand Duchess Olga		33 33/1(+0%)																															(9) Grand Duchess Olga 33/1, Widest home turn, but ran about to best scored by a neck off 59 over 1m6f at Wolverhampton three starts back; fair efforts placing both times since, including third beaten 6l off 61 last time Pretty consistent but unraced here and probably too exposed to deal with all these rivals.
10th	7 10th (7) (25/1 +24%) Haliphon		25 25/1(+24%)																															(7) Haliphon 25/1, Most recent win came over 11.5f at Haydock in an amateur race in September 2024; below par beaten 8l in a handicap over 12f at Newcastle last time; couple of decent efforts before that; outsider Last of 11 latest outing, making it 0-11 on AW and his 2m record is far from solid either.
11th	1 11th (1) (10/1 -43%) Endless Whisper		10 10/1(-43%)																															(1) Endless Whisper 10/1, Yet to get off the mark in five starts, but shown solid improvement when second last couple of starts; did not get a clear run beaten 3 1/4l off 68 over 12f at Doncaster last time; could go close again Emerged from off pace for 2nd in smallish fields at Doncaster (1m4f) in her two handicaps.
12th	12 12th (12) (12/1 +25%) Young Endless		12 12/1(+25%)																															(12) Young Endless 12/1, Travelled well when scored by 1 1/4l off 56 over 16.5f at Wolverhampton penultimate start; sixth beaten 17l off 61 last time; Rossa Ryan won on board here twice; former C&D winner; contender Won at Wolverhampton (2m) ten days before his heavy defeat at Newmarket; 3-8 at Southwell.
13th	10 13th (10) (28/1 -75%) Queensland Boy		28 28/1(-75%)																															(10) Queensland Boy 28/1, Recent double scorer; won by 4l over 16.5f three starts ago; still well treated at weights when scored by 4l off 54 over 16f at Lingfield penultimate start; couldn't complete hat-trick when seventh beaten 21l off 62 last time Twice won well over 2m before running a shocker in hat-trick bid four weeks ago.
14th	8 14th (8) (12/1 +14%) Nowhere		12 12/1(+14%)																															(8) Nowhere 12/1, Failed to open account in 11 starts to date; poor when raced freely well beaten last of eight in a handicap over 11f at Windsor latest; trainer in form; probably best left alone here 11-race maiden, all on AW except when well beaten on turf latest; moves up from 1m4f.

LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

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18:45 Southwell (Class 5) 16f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

Letmebetheboss is looking for a hat-trick after wins at Southwell and Kempton but an added 7lb from the handicapper means he may have to settle for a place here. Flamingo Rose won easily enough on her first start in over three years at Lingfield earlier in the week and she can also go well carrying a 4lb penalty, but CAPTAIN POTTER gets the nod. The five-year-old gelding won by an eased down six lengths over 2m2f at Pontefract three weeks ago and although upped 6lb for that, he drops in class looking to follow up.

There may be dangers lurking but LETMEBETHEBOSS (nap) left a strong impression with the way he won his last two outings.

18:45 Southwell (Class 5) 16f PREDICTION SIMULATION

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Racecard Key

Ths is the racecard key.

Icon	Meaning
	TomForm top stats, gold rated
	TomForm top stats silver rated
	Ran similar race before
S	TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out
T	Top Time speeed rated
	Top Racingpost rated
	At the races watchout for
	At the races top pick
	Top rated for thet statistic

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How to use Tomform

Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.

This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.

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About U.K Horse Racing

Horse racing is a popular and historic sport in the UK, with a tradition dating back centuries. It is a multi-billion pound industry that attracts millions of spectators each year and generates significant economic activity.

There are two main types of horse racing in the UK: flat racing and jump racing. Flat racing is run on a level course and is typically shorter in distance, while jump racing involves horses jumping over obstacles and is generally longer in distance. Both types of racing are popular with spectators and bettors, and they take place at various racetracks throughout the country.

The most famous horse racing event in the UK is the Grand National, which is held annually at Aintree Racecourse in Liverpool. It is a jump racing event that is known for its challenging course and has become a national institution in the UK. Other notable horse racing events in the UK include the Derby, held at Epsom Downs Racecourse in Surrey, and the Royal Ascot, held at Ascot Racecourse in Berkshire.

Horse racing in the UK is regulated by the British Horseracing Authority (BHA), which sets rules and standards for the industry. It is responsible for the welfare of racehorses and the safety of jockeys and trainers, as well as ensuring fair and transparent racing practices.

In addition to its economic and cultural importance, horse racing in the UK also plays a significant role in the breeding and training of thoroughbred horses. Many of the world's top thoroughbreds are bred and trained in the UK, and the industry plays a vital role in the preservation and promotion of the breed.

Overall, horse racing is an integral part of British culture and a major contributor to the country's economy. It is a thrilling and exciting sport that continues to attract a loyal following and generate significant interest from spectators and bettors around the world.

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