There were 44 Races on Thursday 27th April 2023 across 6 meetings. There was 8 races at Perth, 8 races at Warwick, 7 races at Beverley, 8 races at Punchestown, 6 races at Taunton, 7 races at Chelmsford-City, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.
Races & Results Thursday 27th April 2023
The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.
(2) Poetic Music 0.91/1, Successful on 3 of her 4 bumper starts last season and made it 2-4 over hurdles when defying a penalty at Carlisle (19.3f) in February, suited by emphasis on speed up in trip. Outclassed in first-time cheekpieces (left off here) in Dawn Run subsequently but has leading claims back in calmer waters. Having a pleasing first season over hurdles until getting outclassed at Cheltenham.
2
2nd (1) (2.75/1 +0%) Magical Maggie
2.75/1(+0%)
(1) Magical Maggie 2.75/1, Dual bumper scorer who resumed winning ways after a 3-month break down in grade in 12-runner Ludlow novice (good to soft) 24 days ago, readily. A double penalty makes life tougher but she's respected nonetheless. Back on song when quickening away over 2m at Ludlow (soft) this month.
3
3rd (4) (25/1 -56%) Beauty To Behold
25/1(-56%)
(4) Beauty To Behold 25/1, Winning Irish pointer who showed more than previously under Rules in a first-time hood when fourth in 14-runner novice at Kelso (18.1f, good) 10 days ago, finishing with running left. That form possibly isn't worth a great deal, though. Winning pointer who perked up for the hood when fourth in a Kelso novice.
4
4th (3) (3.2/1 -28%) Midnight Shuffle
3.2/1(-28%)
(3) Midnight Shuffle 3.2/1, Bumper winner at Kelso in 2021 who has improved with each run over hurdles, off the mark in a Musselburgh novice in February and has shown better form in defeat both outings since, including in first-time cheekpieces on handicap debut at Kelso last time. Much respected. Ran her best race yet to finish runner-up in a valuable handicap for mares at Kelso.
5th
5th (6) (10/1 -11%) Donso Star
10/1(-11%)
(6) Donso Star 10/1, Unplaced in bumpers but showed more than first time up over hurdles when third in 8-runner maiden at Musselburgh (17.4f) 34 days ago, running on late. Possibilities if taking another step forward. Showed marked improvement to finish third at Musselburgh; each-way hopes.
6th
6th (5) (66/1 +34%) Bollin Matilda
66/1(+34%)
(5) Bollin Matilda 66/1, Has hinted at ability but will be of more interest in handicaps after this run. Has failed to finish within 20l of the principals in a bumper and two maiden hurdles.
7th
7th (12) (150/1 -50%) Tangiers
150/1(-50%)
(12) Tangiers 150/1, Raced freely when down the field in bumpers and has shown little in maiden/novice hurdles. Hooded for 1st time. Beaten out of sight when third at Musselburgh and then pulled up at Wetherby.
8th
8th (8) (50/1 +50%) Fllana Bay
50/1(+50%)
(8) Fllana Bay 50/1, Has hinted at ability on a couple of occasions but will be better off in handicaps. Low-level form so far and her third at Hexham was remote.
9th
9th (9) (250/1 -150%) Jean Armour
250/1(-150%)
(9) Jean Armour 250/1, Well held only start in bumpers at Ayr and was pulled up on hurdling debut there last time. Tongue strap on for 1st time. Never dangerous when beaten 16l in a bumper and failed to complete on her hurdling debut.
10th
10th (11) (250/1 -150%) Popatango
250/1(-150%)
(11) Popatango 250/1, €24,000 3-y-o, Getaway mare. Closely related to fairly useful hurdler Lucky Road. Dam, lightly raced in points, half-sister to top-class chaser (stayed 25f) Road To Respect. Little show in points, pulled up again last time (Nov 2022). No more than minor promise in Irish points and makes very limited appeal.
11th
11th (10) (300/1 -50%) Parelli Power
300/1(-50%)
(10) Parelli Power 300/1, Tailed off in pair of bumpers/maiden hurdles. Tailed off in all four runs divided between bumpers and maiden hurdles.
|PU|
|PU| (7) (150/1 -355%) Elmley Lovett
150/1(-355%)
(7) Elmley Lovett 150/1, Showed little in a maiden hurdle (28/1) at Wetherby (21.2f, soft) on debut 4 weeks ago. Down in trip. 28-1 when a weakener at Wetherby (2m5f, soft).
LTO Selection:
13:30 Perth Novices Hurdle (Class 4) 16f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
It is difficult to predict with certainty which horse will do well based solely on this summary, as it does not provide enough information about the quality of the competition or other factors that could impact the outcome of the race. However, some horses that appear to have potential include 2.5/1 (3) MIDNIGHT SHUFFLE, who ran well in a valuable handicap for mares at Kelso, and 1.38/1 (2) POETIC MUSIC, who has had a successful season over hurdles and could bounce back after being outclassed at Cheltenham. 2.75/1 (1) MAGICAL MAGGIE is also worth considering despite a double penalty, as she has had success in the past and showed improvement in her most recent race. Other horses, such as 100/1 (5) BOLLIN MATILDA and 100/1 (11) POPATANGO, have not shown significant promise in their previous races and may be less likely to perform well.
MIDNIGHT SHUFFLE bounced back to form with an excellent runner-up effort in a valuable novices' handicap at Kelso last month and this looks like a winnable affair on paper. Magical Poetic Music drops in class having contested the Mares' Novice at Cheltenham and has to enter calculations, while Donso Star and Beauty To Behold could fight it out for the minor honours.
MIDNIGHT SHUFFLE underlined she's still improving when beaten only by one thrown in on her Kelso handicap debut last month and, with the performance backed up by the timefigure, she makes plenty of appeal. Poetic Music will find this much more suitable than the Dawn Run and must be feared, along with Magical Maggie.
This is a good opportunity for POETIC MUSIC to bounce back from her forgivable no-show at Cheltenham.
(7) Scene One 1.75/1, Fair maiden hurdler who arrives on the back of a creditable runner-up effort in maiden at Fontwell (19f) 23 days ago. Likely to give another good account. Back on track when second at Fontwell this month; likely contender.
2
2nd (5) (4.5/1 +25%) Glorious Fun
4.5/1(+25%)
(5) Glorious Fun 4.5/1, Half-brother to 4 winners, including bumper winners/useful hurdlers Party Central and Craigneiche. Dam bumper winner. Likely type on paper. Well-bred newcomer from a top stable; market may guide.
3
3rd (6) (4/1 +0%) Kankin
4/1(+0%)
(6) Kankin 4/1, Showed a fair level of ability when runner-up in a brace of bumpers 25 months apart. Better effort over hurdles when a remote second over 21f here 4 weeks ago. May do better again. Tired and well held when second here last month but still enters calculations.
4
4th (8) (18/1 +45%) Doyen Queen
18/1(+45%)
(8) Doyen Queen 18/1, Dual point winner who was in decent form in modest handicaps last season but hasn't been seen since finishing second at Lingfield (23f) in December 2021. Can only be watched. Not seen since finishing second off a lowly mark at Lingfield in December 2021.
5th
5th (10) (40/1 -21%) Nickelforce
40/1(-21%)
(10) Nickelforce 40/1, Poor form in 2 juvenile events nearly 4 months apart. Beaten 30l+ in two 2m junior hurdles; needs to take a good step forward here.
6th
6th (4) (80/1 -60%) Fandabidozi
80/1(-60%)
(4) Fandabidozi 80/1, Modest staying handicapper on the Flat. Doesn't strike as an obvious type to make a winning start over hurdles. Soundly beaten in two low-grade AW handicaps last month; hurdle debut today.
7th
7th (9) (18/1 +10%) Giulietta
18/1(+10%)
(9) Giulietta 18/1, Related to some useful performers in these silks. First sign of ability when 28 lengths third of 9 at Newton Abbot (17f, soft) 19 days ago. Likely capable of better again for top stable now she's up and running. Displayed first glimmer of promise when remote third behind two useful rivals this month.
8th
8th (3) (4/1 -33%) Easy Rider
4/1(-33%)
(3) Easy Rider 4/1, Yet to better modest form in a bumper and 2 novice hurdles but with a top yard so wouldn't be a surprise to see that change before too long. Well beaten last time but this race is much easier, and his hurdle debut was promising.
9th
9th (1) (9/1 -80%) Arctic Saint
9/1(-80%)
(1) Arctic Saint 9/1, Well held on bumper debut in November but offered more when 16 lengths second on Huntingdon hurdle debut (2m, heavy) 4 months later. Up in trip now and may do better again. No match for easy winner when second on hurdle debut; needs a better performance here.
LTO Selection:
13:40 Warwick Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 19f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
It is difficult to determine which horse will do well as there is limited information provided in the summary. However, Fair maiden hurdler and 4/1 (6) KANKIN seem to have shown some level of ability in their recent races and may be contenders. 6/1 (5) GLORIOUS FUN also seems to be a promising newcomer from a top stable, but the market may guide their performance. The remaining horses have either shown poor form or lack sufficient information to make a prediction.
ARCTIC SAINT was beaten 16 lengths into second on his first start over hurdles at Huntingdon over 2m, but the five-year-old kept on well and could unlock further improvement now up in trip. He has the tongue-tie refitted, which could aid his cause even more. The main threat may be Scene One, who was only beaten two lengths in a maiden over this trip at Fontwell and he could have a say. Easy Rider and Glorious Fun are others to note.
Those with experience don't set the bar that high so a chance is taken on well-bred Dan Skelton newcomer GLORIOUS FUN, with confidence increased should the betting vibes be strong. Scene One has been placed 3 times in similar company and heads the dangers along with last month's course second Kankin.
(7) Vitarli 4/1, €18,000 yearling, Adaay filly. Dam maiden half-sister to useful 5f/6f winner Snap Shots. Second of 8 in novice event at Redcar (5f, heavy, 13/2) on debut 10 days ago. Big shout on that form. Second of eight at 13-2 on debut at Redcar and that form gives her leading claims here.
2
2nd (1) (1/1 -25%) Anfaal
1/1(-25%)
(1) Anfaal 1/1, 10,000 gns foal, 37,000 gns yearling, Dark Angel filly. Dam ran once. 7/1, third of 9 in novice event at Kempton (5f) on debut 17 days ago, green and nearest finish. Open to improvement and obvious claims. Did well to finish 3rd on debut after getting a bump at the start; firmly in calculations.
3
3rd (3) (6/1 +45%) Hooray For Hazel
6/1(+45%)
(3) Hooray For Hazel 6/1, Foaled March 17. 21,000 gns yearling, Expert Eye filly. Dam, 7f winner who stayed 1½m, half-sister to useful 1m-1¾m winner (stayed 16.5f) Eagle Court out of useful 1¼m winner Classic Remark. One to note. From powerful northern yard & could go well on debut, especially if strong in the betting.
4
4th (2) (22/1 -57%) Chat Up Line
22/1(-57%)
(2) Chat Up Line 22/1, 7,000 gns foal, James Garfield filly. Half-sister to several winners, including 1¼m winner Too Friendly and winner up to 1¼m Ay Ay, both useful. Fifth of 8 in novice event (25/1) at Redcar (5f, heavy) on debut 10 days ago, met some trouble. Open to progress. Improvement needed on second start but there's potential in her pedigree; not written off.
5th
5th (4) (7.5/1 +46%) Lyndsanda
7.5/1(+46%)
(4) Lyndsanda 7.5/1, €44,000 yearling, Dandy Man filly. Half-sister to 2-y-o 6f winner Nap Hand. Dam, 1m winner, closely related to useful winner up to 1½m (stayed 1¾m) Highgarden. Seventh of 8 in novice event at Redcar (5f, heavy, 5/2) on debut 10 days ago. Disappointing on debut but ran without right-fore shoe; could leave that run miles behind.
6th
6th (6) (20/1 -67%) Bellestarr
20/1(-67%)
(6) Bellestarr 20/1, Foaled April 9. Outstrip filly. Half-sister to 2-y-o 7f winner Lightening Gesture. Dam unraced half-sister to smart 6f winner Louis The Pious. Debut; connections also run the standard-setting Vitarli so the betting may be informative.
7th
7th (5) (12/1 +0%) Naval Flight
12/1(+0%)
(5) Naval Flight 12/1, Foaled February 13. £22,000 yearling, U S Navy Flag filly. Dam, 6f winner, half-sister to useful 6f winner Mustallib. Interesting newcomer. £22,000 yearling; bred to be speedy and he's a possible contender on debut.
LTO Selection:
13:50 Beverley Stakes (Class 5) 5f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the summary, 3.5/1 (7) VITARLI seems to have the strongest form and is a possible contender for the race. 0.8/1 (1) ANFAAL also did well on debut and may have obvious claims. 12/1 (5) NAVAL FLIGHT and 11/1 (3) HOORAY FOR HAZEL are interesting newcomers that could also do well. 12/1 (6) BELLESTARR's performance may depend on the betting, while 14/1 (2) CHAT UP LINE and 14/1 (4) LYNDSANDA have potential to improve.
Lyndsanda (seventh), Vitarli (second) and Chat Up Line (fifth) met each other at Redcar on their racecourse debuts. The former was well supported, but, having lost a shoe heading down to post, she failed to live up to market expectations. It would be no surprise were she to post an improved effort here, however, the vote goes to ANFAAL. Tom Clover's charge made a promising debut at Kempton earlier this month, finishing third, and the Dark Angel filly is fancied to make an immediate impact now switched to the turf.
ANFAAL caught the eye with her running-on third at Kempton on debut earlier this month and is preferred to Vitarli, who also made a promising start at Redcar. Naval Flight is bred for speed and may do best of the newcomers.
Having been bumped at the start and come from a difficult position to finish third at Kempton on her debut, ANFAAL earns the vote.
(13) Kajaki 16/1, Pair of Sedgefield wins in 2022 but not at his best in 4 starts since, ending up being beaten a lot further than looked likely for most of the way at Market Rasen (20.6f, good to soft) earlier this month. Visor reapplied. Well below his best since returning from a break and stopped quickly last time.
2
2nd (5) (7.5/1 -25%) Kingston Bridge
7.5/1(-25%)
(5) Kingston Bridge 7.5/1, Bumper winner who showed a likeable attitude to get off the mark in this sphere at the second attempt at Carlisle (19.3f, soft) last month, finding plenty to get the better off one that refused to lie down. Could have more to offer now handicapping. Doubled his tally in a 2m3f soft-ground maiden at Carlisle when going away at the finish.
3
3rd (2) (9/1 +36%) Anti Bridgie
9/1(+36%)
(2) Anti Bridgie 9/1, Posted fair form in winning her first 2 starts over hurdles, latest in a 5-runner novice at Kelso (20.9f, soft, 7/2) in December. Not so good in pair of handicaps this year (had breathing operation prior to latest start) so easy enough to look elsewhere. Encouraging third at Newbury and good reason to believe she'll improve on that.
4
4th (8) (16/1 +0%) Split The Bill
16/1(+0%)
(8) Split The Bill 16/1, Just minor promise in 3 starts over hurdles so far but could have more to offer sent handicapping upped in trip. Worth a second look in the betting. Some novice promise but this mark looks no gift for his handicap debut.
5th
5th (10) (28/1 -155%) Wearelongterm
28/1(-155%)
(10) Wearelongterm 28/1, Winning pointer who failed to justify short-priced favouritism fitted with cheekpieces when fourth in a Clonmel hunter in January for Gordon Elliott. Failed to land a blow on both starts over hurdles at Carlisle but could show more on handicap debut. Third last time; still lightly raced and could improve for going into handicaps.
6th
6th (4) (12/1 +33%) Asserted
12/1(+33%)
(4) Asserted 12/1, Progressive winning novice hurdler for Joseph O'Brien in Ireland in summer 2021. Failed to land a blow on both outings for Christian Williams later that year so needs this switch of yard/first-time headgear to spark some sort of revival after 17 months off. Maiden winner in Ireland; could be on a fair mark but wellbeing is a grey area.
7th
7th (14) (7.5/1 -36%) Petite Rhapsody
7.5/1(-36%)
(14) Petite Rhapsody 7.5/1, Off the mark under this pilot over C&D last April and made frame on 4 of next 5 starts at up to 3m last summer. Reappearance effort at Hexham last month easily excused so no surprise to see a good showing with that under his belt. Heavy ground at Hexham last time wasn't really his thing; does better here.
8th
8th (7) (8.5/1 +47%) Okavango Delta
8.5/1(+47%)
(7) Okavango Delta 8.5/1, Got off the mark in first-time cheekpieces at Doncaster in November but hasn't threatened in three runs since. Visor applied and not without hope from a sliding mark. Won in first-time cheekpieces so could revive now fitted with more new headgear.
9th
9th (9) (2.75/1 +31%) Ninetofive
2.75/1(+31%)
(9) Ninetofive 2.75/1, Tongue tied and has progressed on each start over hurdles, showing much improved form despite being kept to 2m after 4 months off (had breathing operation) when runner-up at Hexham 6 weeks ago. More to come on handicap debut upped in distance. Showed the benefit of wind surgery to go close in a 2m maiden on heavy ground at Hexham.
|F|
|F| (1) (18/1 -13%) Moonlight Spirit
18/1(-13%)
(1) Moonlight Spirit 18/1, Smart stayer on Flat in 2019 for Charlie Appleby and made a winning hurdles debut at Carlisle in December 2021. Little promise in 3 subsequent starts however, so percentage call is to look elsewhere despite a tumbling mark and first-time cheekpieces applied. Questions to answer after three below-par efforts following a long absence.
10th
10th (12) (12/1 -85%) Rickety Gate
12/1(-85%)
(12) Rickety Gate 12/1, Returned in fine form in the autumn, justifying strong support at Kelso (21f) in October and following up at Musselburgh (3m) in November. Shaped as if still in good order before departing late in hat-trick bid at Doncaster in January so not discounted after a break. Thereabouts when falling three out last time and still feasibly treated by the looks.
11th
11th (3) (6.5/1 +28%) Lihyan
6.5/1(+28%)
(3) Lihyan 6.5/1, Comfortable winner of Cork maiden hurdle (17f) last summer but still to reproduce his Irish form for current yard, only mid-field on handicap debut at Doncaster (16.6f, good, 6/1) early last month. Remains early days so too soon to be writing him off. Beaten about 15l the last twice, latterly on his handicap debut.
|PU|
|PU| (11) (25/1 -108%) Loukarak
25/1(-108%)
(11) Loukarak 25/1, Fair form shown over both hurdles and fences, latest when 3½ lengths second of 4 in 3-y-o event at Dax on chasing debut 7 months ago. Interesting to see what the market makes of him on first start for this yard/in a handicap back over hurdles. Placed over hurdles and fences during a light career in France; market may guide.
|PU|
|PU| (6) (40/1 -150%) Avoid De Master
40/1(-150%)
(6) Avoid De Master 40/1, In fine form last spring, bagging handicap chases at Hexham (3m) and Market Rasen. However, he ran a shocker at Newcastle on Boxing Day and while his mark is now considerably lower, he arrives with questions to answer. Better known as a chaser these days (3-11); pulled up in the latest.
LTO Selection:
14:00 Perth Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 20f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Based on the summary, 4/1 (9) NINETOFIVE and 6.5/1 (12) RICKETY GATE seem like strong contenders. 4/1 (9) NINETOFIVE has shown improvement with wind surgery and has progressed on each start over hurdles, while 6.5/1 (12) RICKETY GATE returned in fine form in the autumn and was shaping up for a hat-trick before falling late in his last race. 16/1 (8) SPLIT THE BILL and 16/1 (1) MOONLIGHT SPIRIT may be worth considering as possible dark horses, while 16/1 (6) AVOID DE MASTER and 20/1 (13) KAJAKI seem less likely to perform well.
The in-form RICKETY GATE was still very much in contention when falling two out at Doncaster in January and he can gain compensation on this occasion. Dropping back in trip should not inconvenience him either as he looks to see off the likes of Carlisle winner Kingston Bridge, and Ninetofive, who could be dangerous on his handicap debut. Others to note include Anti Bridgie, Okavango Delta and Wearelongterm.
Several in with a squeak but NINETOFIVE showed much improved form on the back of a breathing operation when runner-up at Hexham 6 weeks ago and, with the potential forbetter to come now tackling a longer trip, Sandy Thomson's 6-y-o can make a winning start to life in handicaps. Rickety Gate was in good form when last seen in the winter so he may emerge as the main danger after a 3-month break, with Kingston Bridge and stable-switcher Asserted another couple to consider.
The mare ANTI BRIDGIE ran a solid race last time at Newbury and there's reason to believe she can step up on that form.
(10) Montregard 0.83/1, Half-brother to Protektorat and offered plenty of encouragement when third in a juvenile at Doncaster on hurdling ddebut 77 days ago. Could improve markedly, so merits consideration. Kept on for never-dangerous third on debut at Doncaster; should build on that performance.
2
2nd (1) (14/1 +58%) Democritus
14/1(+58%)
(1) Democritus 14/1, Some promise in bumpers but well beaten so far over hurdles. Probably more one for handicaps. Improved form when fourth at Wincanton last month but more is needed again here.
3
3rd (5) (1.1/1 -10%) Spago
1.1/1(-10%)
(5) Spago 1.1/1, Fair in bumpers and encouraging signs on both outings over hurdles, third in a strong race at Ascot last time. Might not need to improve to open his account. Shaped with significant promise when third in first two hurdles; good chance.
4
4th (7) (20/1 -82%) Delgany Dreamer
20/1(-82%)
(7) Delgany Dreamer 20/1, Seemed in need of experience in a bumper and, while there has been signs of ability over hurdles, he's probably not up to getting competitive in this. Not beaten far when fifth on first two hurdling starts and has each-way claims here.
5th
5th (2) (33/1 -106%) Diamond Twin
33/1(-106%)
(2) Diamond Twin 33/1, Has shaped like a stayer in bumpers/over hurdles, so there's a chance this longer trip brings a bit more out of him. Has plenty to find, however. Always towards rear in first two hurdles; low-grade handicaps beckon.
6th
6th (3) (25/1 +0%) Honneur De Sivola
25/1(+0%)
(3) Honneur De Sivola 25/1, Made frame both completed starts in Irish points and better effort over hurdles when fourth in a novice at Plumpton last time. It's still only poor form, though, and hard to fancy despite a first-time tongue strap. Beaten 40l+ in two soft-ground maiden hurdles; may fare better on this quicker surface.
7th
7th (9) (100/1 +0%) Midnightinbresil
100/1(+0%)
(9) Midnightinbresil 100/1, Well beaten in bumpers and has fared no better over hurdles. Tried in a tongue strap but hard to envisage her making an impact. Pulled up at huge odds on her first two hurdling starts; had wind surgery in January.
8th
8th (8) (150/1 -50%) Lady Plumton
150/1(-50%)
(8) Lady Plumton 150/1, From quite a good family but big price and showed nothing in a bumper at Fakenham 17 days ago. Unlikely to feature. Last of 11 when 100-1 for recent bumper debut at Fakenham.
LTO Selection:
14:10 Warwick Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 19f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
1.25/1 (10) MONTREGARD has a good chance of doing well as he has offered plenty of encouragement on his hurdling debut and is a half-brother to Protektorat. He could improve markedly, which merits consideration.
This could turn into a match between MONTREGARD and Spago, with preference for the former as he may have much more to come on only his second start. The chestnut gelding finished well over 2m at Doncaster and could relish the step up in trip. Delgany Dreamer is another stepping up in distance, which may be a positive move for the mare.
SPAGO took a step forward from his hurdling debut when third at Ascot last time and a performance of similar merit will probably be enough for him to get off the mark despite the presence of Montregard, who is open to considerable improvement. The others don't make much appeal.
The standard is set by SPAGO, who was third in a much stronger race than this at Ascot this month, and he still has potential.
(5) Le Beau Garcon 9/1, C&D winner who shaped as if needing the run after 7 months off when well held at Musselburgh (5f, soft) 19 days ago. Market check advised on second start of the year but has to leave comeback run well behind.
1
1st (9) (18/1 +45%) The Dunkirk Lads
18/1(+45%)
(9) The Dunkirk Lads 18/1, Successful from a 3 lb higher mark at Nottingham in June but below form both starts on all-weather this year. Below last winning mark and the return to turf could help, but has something to prove.
2
2nd (1) (3.5/1 +56%) Sir Titus
3.5/1(+56%)
(1) Sir Titus 3.5/1, Fairly useful handicapper who had only 4 starts for new yard in 2022 and the latest of those can easily be excused having had the worst of the draw. Went close on comeback last season. Absent since two below-par runs last summer but has a good record when fresh in the spring.
3
3rd (8) (6.5/1 -8%) Princess Karine
6.5/1(-8%)
(8) Princess Karine 6.5/1, Looked unlucky not to win when third of 11 in handicap at Newcastle (5f) on reappearance 27 days ago, keeping on after not clear run over 1f out. Clearly on a fair mark and one to consider. Reappeared with very close third on AW and this lightly raced 4yo could have more to offer.
4
4th (4) (3.5/1 +22%) Dandy Dinmont
3.5/1(+22%)
(4) Dandy Dinmont 3.5/1, Latest win at Newcastle in October and good efforts all 3 starts since, including back on turf when third of 16 over C&D last week. Should remain competitive. Third of 16 over C&D last Wednesday and this in-form 4yo holds solid claims.
5th
5th (2) (5.5/1 +0%) Beattie Is Back
5.5/1(+0%)
(2) Beattie Is Back 5.5/1, Resumed winning ways with a career best at Wolverhampton in December and ran at least as well in defeat under a penalty at Newcastle (7.1f) next time. Drop in trip is a major concern, though. Improved form over 7f on AW last December; remains to be seen whether 5f will suit.
6th
6th (3) (12/1 -20%) May Blossom
12/1(-20%)
(3) May Blossom 12/1, Successful 3 times in 2022, including over C&D. Possibly unsuited by testing ground when below form at Leicester on final outing and ran well on reappearance last season, so can't be dismissed with handy 5-lb claimer up. Three wins last year and has good record here; not ruled out but visor absent on return.
7th
7th (6) (22/1 -38%) Soul Seeker
22/1(-38%)
(6) Soul Seeker 22/1, Last of 5 in handicap at Wolverhampton (5.1f, 17/2) 22 days ago. Tongue strap back on and can make presence felt back on turf. AW may not be his thing; could play leading role off reduced mark now back on grass.
8th
8th (7) (2.75/1 +0%) Ventura Flame
2.75/1(+0%)
(7) Ventura Flame 2.75/1, Ran well after 6 months off when second of 16 in handicap (7/1) at this C&D (good to soft) last week. Won this corresponding event in 2021 and needs taking seriously. Won this two years ago and second of 16 over C&D on reappearance; key player.
LTO Selection:
14:20 Beverley Handicap (Class 4) 5f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Based on the summary, 2.75/1 (7) VENTURA FLAME and 4.5/1 (4) DANDY DINMONT seem to be the strongest contenders, both having recent solid performances over the same course and distance. 6/1 (8) PRINCESS KARINE also looks promising with a close third on her reappearance, while 16/1 (6) SOUL SEEKER may also be a contender if he can perform on grass. The other horses have some concerns such as a drop in trip, needing to leave a poor run behind, or having something to prove.
VENTURA FLAME was no match for an impressive winner when finishing second over C&D eight days ago, but she remains on a fair mark and could go one better down in class. The six-year-old had Dandy Dinmont (third) in behind that day and he's another who looks set to go well. The relatively unexposed Le Beau Garcon has been eased in the handicap and should not be underestimated, while Beattie Is Back merits respect too.
VENTURA FLAME has an excellent course record (won this race in 2021) and usually comes to hand early, so she's the percentage call to go one better than on her reappearance last week. Soul Seeker is interesting back on turf, with Princess Karine completing the shortlist in an open sprint handicap.
(7) Victory Echo 5.5/1, Now 7 lb below last winning mark and produced his best effort for a while when third in a 6-runner Musselburgh (20.3f, good to soft) handicap last month. Failed to back that up at Carlisle since, however. Has finished third and nowhere in his three runs since returning to fences.
2
2nd (3) (9/1 -125%) Flying Verse
9/1(-125%)
(3) Flying Verse 9/1, Has hardly proved reliable this season but had a good spell over fences recording back-to-back wins at Stratford (22.6f) and Musselburgh (31.5f) in October/November. Resumed winning ways at Doncaster last month but only sixth off revised mark in similar event at Wincanton since. Poor last time; goes without Ned Fox's claim here and he'll need to be right on it.
3
3rd (2) (18/1 -200%) Smuggler's Blues
18/1(-200%)
(2) Smuggler's Blues 18/1, Snapped a losing run in first-time cheekpieces at Warwick last winter and would've gone close but for falling at the second-last at Wincanton in December. However, disappointed next 2 starts so needs to bounce back in a change of headgear. Unpredictable and tries blinkers, but he's slipped back to his last winning mark.
4
4th (4) (1.5/1 +33%) Caboy
1.5/1(+33%)
(4) Caboy 1.5/1, Snapped a losing sequence stretching back to 2018 in 7-runner handicap chase at Wetherby under this rider. Decent second at Newcastle since and of interest taking on fellow veterans for the first time. Long time since he ran over this far but he comes here at the top of his game.
5th
5th (6) (50/1 -127%) Wolfcatcher
50/1(-127%)
(6) Wolfcatcher 50/1, Winless since 2018 and showed nothing after 17 months off at Musselburgh in February. Change of headgear. Failed to show any of his old spark when pulled up at Musselburgh after a long absence.
6th
6th (5) (4.5/1 +44%) Knocknamona
4.5/1(+44%)
(5) Knocknamona 4.5/1, Resumed winning ways at Newcastle in January and followed up at Carlisle a month later. Failed to land a blow next 2 starts but belated return to this longer trip could suit. Player. Has struggled the last twice after edging up the weights; has been running over shorter.
|PU|
|PU| (1) (3.33/1 -11%) Niceandeasy
3.33/1(-11%)
(1) Niceandeasy 3.33/1, Took well to fences last season, winning brace of small-field handicaps. Looked rusty when fifth on return at Carlisle (26f) in October and has been let down by jumping since. Drop back down in class should help. Jumping let him down when a well-held fourth of six finishers at Newcastle.
LTO Selection:
14:30 Perth Handicap Chase (Class 4) 24f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
2.25/1 (4) CABOY may do well based on the summary as he is coming in at the top of his game, having snapped a losing sequence and finishing decently in his recent races. 3/1 (1) NICEANDEASY and 8/1 (5) KNOCKNAMONA also have some potential based on their past successes and the drop in class/return to longer trip respectively. 4/1 (3) FLYING VERSE and 22/1 (6) WOLFCATCHER may not be as reliable options based on recent inconsistencies and poor performances. 6/1 (2) SMUGGLER'S BLUES is described as unpredictable but has potential if he bounces back with a change of headgear. 16/1 (7) VICTORY ECHO has not been performing strongly in his recent races.
A tentative vote goes to CABOY, who has not been outside the first two in his last four starts and has the potential to improve for going up in trip. A mark of 97 still looks manageable, and he may have too much for the capable Niceandeasy, who is 2lb lower than his last winning. Flying Verse and Smuggler's Blues, who sports first-time blinkers, appear best of the remainder.
This longer trip should prove more suitable for KNOCKNAMONA nowadays so he could be the answer. Caboy has been holding his form well and rates the biggest threat, while the drop back in class should help Niceandeasy.
It's been a long time since CABOY ran over this far but the rise in distance shouldn't present a problem and he's the safest option.
(3) My Bad Lucy 4.5/1, Point winner who left his previous chase efforts behind when landing a 7-runner Doncaster handicap (3m, good) in February. Wasn't disgraced over the same C&D next time and he's not a forlorn hope. Game winner from the front two starts ago and gave another good account last time.
2
2nd (15) (20/1 +20%) Dorado Dollar
20/1(+20%)
(15) Dorado Dollar 20/1, Poor maiden who looks set for another struggle from out of the handicap. Pulled up in two chases this year and now 0-29 under all codes.
3
3rd (8) (4.5/1 -13%) My Rockstar
4.5/1(-13%)
(8) My Rockstar 4.5/1, Poor over hurdles last term but has fared better switched to fences this season, making it third time lucky in this sphere with a narrow success at Wincanton (20.2f, good to soft). 4 lb rise fair enough and leading claims. Just held on to open account over 2m4f at Wincanton this month; moves up in trip today.
4
4th (10) (16/1 +36%) Entre Deux
16/1(+36%)
(10) Entre Deux 16/1, Runner-up off a 10 lb higher mark at Fontwell on final run of last season but he has snown next to nothing in 3 appearances since returning to action in January. Has struggled on all three starts this season and is very difficult to enthuse over.
5th
5th (6) (10/1 +0%) Williamdeconqueror
10/1(+0%)
(6) Williamdeconqueror 10/1, Modest form at best over hurdles in 2020/21 season. Little impact first 2 starts in this sphere since returning from a lengthy absence but latest effort in first-time cheekpieces (retained) at Sedgefield (27f, heavy) was more encouraging. Battled on for modest second on heavy ground this month; needs to build on that run here.
6th
6th (2) (12/1 -50%) Spotty Dog
12/1(-50%)
(2) Spotty Dog 12/1, All the sharper for his reappearance when getting off the mark in a Huntingdon handicap in January and went in again back there in March. Failed to fire last time but each-way chance if he puts his best foot forward here. Dual 2m7f winner at Huntingdon this year but ran very poorly there last month.
7th
7th (1) (8.5/1 -21%) Harry Du Berlais
8.5/1(-21%)
(1) Harry Du Berlais 8.5/1, Irish point winner who left hurdling form behind when runner-up in a handicap at Bangor on chasing debut last spring and went one better at Market Rasen (23.9f) on return in November. However, disappointing both starts since and needs to get back on track here following a second wind op. Twice safely held since finishing well to snatch Market Rasen win in November.
8th
8th (9) (11/1 +45%) Voice Of Hope
11/1(+45%)
(9) Voice Of Hope 11/1, Winning hurdler in Ireland and posted best effort since joining this yard when chasing home Spotty Dog in a handicap chase Huntingdon (23.6f, soft) last month. Safely held at Hereford since but merits respect all the same. Second off much reduced mark two starts ago but generally very disappointing for this yard.
9th
9th (5) (14/1 -17%) Adamhill
14/1(-17%)
(5) Adamhill 14/1, There were positives to take from his chase debut fifth at Leicester but took a step in the wrong direction next time. Poor back hurdling following a wind op at Chepstow recently and needs to get back on track returned to fences here in a first-time visor. Made quite promising chase/handicap debut in February but hasn't fired since.
10th
10th (7) (12/1 +0%) R Bernard
12/1(+0%)
(7) R Bernard 12/1, Improved when narrowly denied in a 3m Wetherby handicap hurdle last March but failed to repeat that on return at Worcester. Pulled up on subsequent chase debut at Huntingdon (race won by Spotty Dog) and since undergone a wind op. Pulled up on chasing debut in January and now 0-8; comes here with questions to answer.
11th
11th (16) (40/1 +39%) Kilfords Queen
40/1(+39%)
(16) Kilfords Queen 40/1, Little form under Rules, again well beaten at Plumpton recently, and she's 8 lb 'wrong' at the weights. Unable to get seriously competitive in three chases this season; 8lb out of the weights.
12th
12th (11) (10/1 +29%) Dysania
10/1(+29%)
(11) Dysania 10/1, Remains a maiden following 14 starts overall and now finds himself with a bit to prove having been pulled up the last twice. Began year with three good runs in cheekpieces but looked out of sorts on last two outings.
|PU|
|PU| (4) (6/1 +57%) Unblinking
6/1(+57%)
(4) Unblinking 6/1, Opened chase account at the fourth attempt at Hereford (25.2f, good) in February but that was a weak race and he was beaten a fair way at Ffos Las the following month. Big player if judged on Hereford win in February; wasn't in same form last month.
|PU|
|PU| (13) (22/1 +45%) Pour Une Raison
22/1(+45%)
(13) Pour Une Raison 22/1, Dual handicap hurdle winner in 2020/21 but has struggled for form since. 3 lb out of handicap. Has been out of form for a good while and is yet to complete a chase.
|PU|
|PU| (14) (28/1 +0%) Clondaw Robin
28/1(+0%)
(14) Clondaw Robin 28/1, Yet to score over fences (0-17) and likely to come up short once again, unless this step up in trip works the oracle. Won off lowly mark over hurdles in 2019 but is 0-17 over fences, and has stamina to prove.
LTO Selection:
14:40 Warwick Handicap Chase (Class 5) 24f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the summary, 4/1 (8) MY ROCKSTAR looks like the strongest contender as they have held on to open account over 2m4f at Wincanton this month, and have fared better switched to fences this season with a narrow success at Wincanton. They also have leading claims and a fair 4 lb rise.
My Rockstar just held on to win by a nose over 2m4f last time at Wincanton and was put up 4lb for that success. With that in mind, the vote goes to SPOTTY DOG, who beat the reopposing Voice Of Hope (second) last month at Huntingdon. The son of Sixties Icon is 2lb worse off at the weights with his rival this time around but, considering the manner of his victory that day, he can confirm that form. Williamdeconqueror and Harry Du Berlais are others of interest.
MY ROCKSTAR didn't have much in hand when opening his chase account at Wincanton but a 4 lb rise looks fair given that the first two pulled well clear of the rest. The 7-y-o may well follow up here with this step up in trip a potentially good move. An on-song Spotty Dog would have a chance but My Bad Lucy may pose a bigger threat.
(1) Sea Flawless 0.57/1, Sea The Stars filly who impressively landed the odds in 6-runner minor event at Newcastle (10.2f) in February but met her match in attempting to concede a penalty to one that has won again since at Lingfield (12f, AW, 4/6) earlier this month. Should go close. Won on debut in February and bumped into classy prospect at Lingfield last time.
2
2nd (4) (4/1 -60%) Liseo
4/1(-60%)
(4) Liseo 4/1, Below his best back on all-weather when third of 5 in maiden at Chelmsford City (10f, 10/11) when last seen 9 months ago. In top hands so he's one to look out for on return. Absent since disappointing run last July but leading claims judged on earlier promise.
3
3rd (6) (11/1 -57%) Umax
11/1(-57%)
(6) Umax 11/1, Was an expensive yearling and showed a lot more over a much longer trip on first start for this yard when third of 7 in minor event at Kempton (12f, 3/1) 78 days ago, slowly away. Further progress anticipated provided he stands his racing. Close third at Kempton in February on belated second start and could have more to offer.
4
4th (5) (12/1 +0%) Mr Cuddihy
12/1(+0%)
(5) Mr Cuddihy 12/1, Gleneagles gelding who shaped with promise amidst greenness when fifth of 11 in minor event at Kempton (11f) on 16 months ago. First run for yard after leaving David Simcock 40,000 gns and while his debut form has worked out well, he may need this. Promise in 2021 on sole start; check betting on yard debut but others are more compelling.
5th
5th (3) (8.5/1 +23%) Evident
8.5/1(+23%)
(3) Evident 8.5/1, $320,000 yearling, Not This Time colt. Half-brother to 2 minor winners in North America by Parading. Dam US 5f winner from a very good US family. This is a belated debut but he cost $320,000 in 2020 so he has to be of interest.
LTO Selection:
14:50 Beverley Stakes (Class 5) 10f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
1.38/1 (1) SEA FLAWLESS and 7/1 (6) UMAX are both likely to do well based on their recent performances and potential for further progress. 2.5/1 (4) LISEO and 8/1 (2) AULD TOON LOON may also be in the mix for a place, while 11/1 (3) EVIDENT is an intriguing debutant with an impressive price tag. 12/1 (5) MR CUDDIHY may need this run and is not as compelling as the others.
William Haggas sends just the one up from his Newmarket base in the form of SEA FLAWLESS, and she would appear to hold leading claims. The Sea The Stars filly made a striking debut when winning at Newcastle in February and she lost nothing in defeat when finishing second to the Andrew Balding-trained Old Harrovian last time. The switch to turf should be in her favour and she can repel the likely challenge of Liseo. Umax defied a lengthy absence to finish a good third at Kempton 78 days ago and he remains open to further improvement.
This can go the way of SEA FLAWLESS, who made an impressive winning debut at Newcastle and found only the now smart Old Harrovian too strong when attempting to follow up under a penalty at Lingfield earlier this month. She can regain the winning thread at the expense of Liseo, who finished runner-up twice last year and could well have a say on reappearance. Evident is an interesting newcomer so he completes the shortlist.
Newcastle winner SEA FLAWLESS bumped into an exciting prospect at Lingfield this month and is taken to return to winning ways.
(4) Caius Marcius 20/1, Very durable veteran campaigner who ended last year in fine fettle, making it 3 wins from last 4 starts at Doncaster (24.4f) in November. Returns to action with yard going along nicely so certainly no forlorn hope re-united with Brian Hughes. Made it 3-3 since stepped up to 3m when digging deep at Doncaster; shorter trip no bother.
2
2nd (3) (0.57/1 +37%) Snake Roll
0.57/1(+37%)
(3) Snake Roll 0.57/1, Wide-margin winner of maiden/novice hurdles during second half of last year and he ran right up to his best when third in Kelso Grade 2 in March, rallying well flat to take a place on line. Very much of interest stepping back up in trip on handicap debut. Third in a 2m2f Grade 2 at Kelso last time and that's strong form; looks well handicapped..
3
3rd (5) (7.5/1 +25%) Glentruan
7.5/1(+25%)
(5) Glentruan 7.5/1, Dual hurdles winner who bounced back to form when runner-up at Catterick (19.3f) in February, ridden before last and running on. Not in same form at Ayr (20.5f) later that month but a 2-month break may have perked him up. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Could have some say should the application of cheekpieces help in any way.
4
4th (2) (3.5/1 +0%) Rafferty's Return
3.5/1(+0%)
(2) Rafferty's Return 3.5/1, Scored twice as a novice and all the better for his reappearance effort when digging deep to land Wetherby handicap (21.2f) on Boxing Day. Similar form with brace of in-the-frame efforts next 2 starts but not in same form under change of tactics at Uttoxeter (20f) latest. Better expected. Having a decent season before running flat at Uttoxeter; had a break since then.
5th
5th (1) (33/1 -136%) Blue Sari
33/1(-136%)
(1) Blue Sari 33/1, Confirmed plenty of ability remains when second in minor event hurdle at Clonmel (16.7f) in January but ran poorly (reportedly bled) when pulled up at Leopardstown (3m) the following month. Has since left Willie Mullins and betting may be a useful guide to expectations here. Risky having bled in the past but could beat these should the wheels stay on.
|PU|
|PU| (6) (16/1 +0%) Zumbi
16/1(+0%)
(6) Zumbi 16/1, Third only start in bumpers and fair form when off the mark on hurdles debut at Cartmel (22f) back in May. Went the wrong way in 2 subsequent starts in novice company but he could well get back on track now handicapping returning from 8 months off. Market may prove a useful guide. Goes handicapping on the back of a lengthy absence; risks attached.
LTO Selection:
15:00 Perth Handicap Hurdle (Class 3) 20f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
5.5/1 (4) CAIUS MARCIUS is likely to do well based on the summary as the horse has a good track record, recently won at Doncaster and is returning to action with a yard going along nicely. The other horses have some potential but also have risks and uncertainties attached to them.
Caius Marcius won by a length over 3m at Doncaster last time and has been raised 3lb for that effort, which might not be enough to prevent him from going very close. However, the vote goes to the Lucinda Russell-trained SNAKE ROLL, who has contested Grade 2 company the last twice and wasn't beaten far into third in the latest of those outings at Kelso. The son of Jet Away now contests a handicap for the first time and could go well off what could prove to be a workable opening mark. Rafferty's Return completes the shortlist.
SNAKE ROLL's profile over hurdles is very much a positive one and, having shaped like this step back up in trip would suit when third in Grade 2 company at Kelso in March, he could well be the way to go now handicapping in this sphere. Glentruan has become somewhat hit-and-miss but is capable from this mark and feared. Veteran Caius Marcius completes the shortlist.
Lucinda Russell's SNAKE ROLL (nap) was beaten under 8l in a Grade 2 at Kelso that now looks very strong form.
(7) King Alexander 3.33/1, Impressive start to his career when landing a 2m bumper here (good) in September. Fair efforts at best in maiden/novice company but he's in top hands and the market should be revealing now handicapping on the back of a wind op. Course bumper winner; improved form on latest hurdling start; handicap debut today.
2
2nd (6) (5/1 +9%) Maclaine
5/1(+9%)
(6) Maclaine 5/1, Made most of a good opportunity to get off the mark in a Fontwell novice in November. Failed to land a blow on handicap debut next time but bettered that following a wind op when third of 13 at Exeter (16.7f, heavy) recently and he's high on the shortlist. Good third over 2m at Exeter this month and could have untapped potential over this trip.
3
3rd (14) (8.5/1 +29%) Artistic Choice
8.5/1(+29%)
(14) Artistic Choice 8.5/1, Fairly useful maiden on the level who made a winning start over hurdles at Catterick in November. Added to his tally in 2m Huntingdon handicap last month but subsequent Newbury effort left much to be desired. Fairly useful Flat-racer who is 2-6 over hurdles; no surprise if he features.
4
4th (9) (6.5/1 +28%) Spring Meadow
6.5/1(+28%)
(9) Spring Meadow 6.5/1, Doncaster bumper winner and fair form when off the mark on hurdles bow at Ffos Las in October. Has found life tougher since, though, and he needs to find improvement from somewhere. Hasn't progressed from his winning hurdle debut in the autumn; others preferred.
5th
5th (8) (7.5/1 -15%) The Plimsoll Line
7.5/1(-15%)
(8) The Plimsoll Line 7.5/1, Opened his account in a 2m maiden here last spring and built on that when runner-up on Chepstow handicap debut (19.4f, good to soft) in October. Conditions may have been too testing for him at Sandown back from a break last month and he's not one to write off. Didn't get home on soft ground last month; better judged on earlier Chepstow second.
6th
6th (1) (33/1 -106%) Fat Sam
33/1(-106%)
(1) Fat Sam 33/1, Winner of a Ffos Las novice in this sphere and a Newton Abbot handicap chase last summer. However, temperament issues surfaced here when last season in the autumn and he's opposable back hurdling following a 6-month absence. Dual chase winner in early part of season; reverts to hurdling after 203-day absence.
7th
7th (5) (9/1 +25%) Bucko's Boy
9/1(+25%)
(5) Bucko's Boy 9/1, Bolted up at Newton Abbot last summer but he was put in his place off a similar mark to this at Fontwell (17.7f, good) when last seen in September. Wide-margin winner last summer but absent since below-par run in the autumn.
8th
8th (13) (22/1 -38%) The Grey Falco
22/1(-38%)
(13) The Grey Falco 22/1, Won over hurdles at Haydock last winter but largely struggled since, both in this sphere and in handicap chases. Now tried in a tongue strap. Pulled up in two of his three chases for this yard but is back hurdling on a good mark.
9th
9th (12) (66/1 +0%) Floating Rock
66/1(+0%)
(12) Floating Rock 66/1, Pair of chase wins in the summer and made the most of a good opportunity in selling hurdle at Stratford (18.7f) in October (final start for Mark Walford). No show back in handicap company since. Well beaten on both stable starts and has a lot to prove at present.
|F|
|F| (3) (11/1 +0%) Bashful Boy
11/1(+0%)
(3) Bashful Boy 11/1, Won at Market Rasen last summer and been in top form on the AW Flat in recent months. Still in contention when exiting 3 out back in this sphere at Haydock (15.6f, good to firm) recently and he remains on a workable mark. Won on the Flat in February and is on a good mark over hurdles; must be considered.
10th
10th (4) (6/1 +63%) Everything'Sontick
6/1(+63%)
(4) Everything'Sontick 6/1, Winner of a 19.5f Chepstow maiden hurdle last season and decent second in a Plumpton handicap back from 13 months off in March. However, subsequent effort at Market Rasen represented a step in the wrong direction. Raced too freely over 2m7f last time; second over 2m4f on handicap debut two runs back.
11th
11th (2) (28/1 -12%) Doctor Parnassus
28/1(-12%)
(2) Doctor Parnassus 28/1, Dual winner early last year but has barely beaten a rival home in 4 starts this season and hopes now pinned on the fitting of cheekpieces sparking a revival. Has become very disappointing this season; cheekpieces tried today.
|PU|
|PU| (11) (150/1 -127%) Let's Have Another
150/1(-127%)
(11) Let's Have Another 150/1, Lightly raced 7-y-o who gained second success in small-field Market Rasen novice in October. However, more miss than hit since, including on recent debut for new yard, and he's hard to warm to. Struggled on recent stable debut; drops back from 3m1f today; not the obvious answer.
LTO Selection:
15:15 Warwick Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 19f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
5.5/1 (6) MACLAINE is the most likely horse to do well in this race. He recently finished third in a race at Exeter after a wind operation, which suggests he is in good form. The summary also mentions that he could have untapped potential over the longer distance of this race. Additionally, his previous win in a Fontwell novice shows he has the ability to win at this level.
KING ALEXANDER, who won a bumper here on his racecourse bow last year, could have more to give on his first start since undergoing wind surgery. He's a half-brother to a winner over this sort of trip and ticks the right boxes at this level. Maclaine has also undergone similar surgery and showed the benefit with a near miss when well supported last time out. Gardener and Spring Meadow are others for the shortlist.
The vote goes to GARDENER, who failed to measure up to market expectations when only fourth on his hadicap debut at Hereford but is well worth another chance on account of the promise he showed prior to that. Maclaine got back on track when placed at Exeter and he looks dangerous, while King Alexander is also accorded respect.
(3) In These Shoes 1.75/1, Starspangledbanner filly who confirmed promise of opening 2 runs when landing a 7f Redcar maiden in September. Below best on second start in handicaps when third in 5-runner Newmarket nursery (7f) in October but still early days ahead of return. Form dipped on final start as 2yo; player if straight back to best.
2
2nd (1) (4/1 -45%) Feel The Need
4/1(-45%)
(1) Feel The Need 4/1, All the better for debut when landing 6-runner Ayr maiden (7.2f) in July. Set a stiff task in Acomb Stakes next time but shaped much better than bare result when ninth in 11-runner Ayr nursery (1m) final start. Gelded ahead of return and he's one to be interested in. Gelded since final 2yo start; needs improvement but probably has more to give.
3
3rd (4) (7/1 +36%) Common Acclaim
7/1(+36%)
(4) Common Acclaim 7/1, Fair form on 2 of his 3 starts in novice/maiden company last summer but never figured albeit in class 2 company when eleventh of 14 in nursery at York (7f, good, 18/1) on final start in August. Gelded ahead of seasonal bow but stable's runners so far have tended to need a run. Fair form on second and third 2yo starts; no show on nursery debut at York; gelded since.
4
4th (2) (4/1 +38%) Phoenix Fire
4/1(+38%)
(2) Phoenix Fire 4/1, Left first 2 efforts well behind when landing 9-runner novice event (15/2) at Redcar (7f, heavy), unchallenged. Off 177 days. Makes handicap debut and mark doesn't appear to be over generous. Easily made all in Redcar novice (7f, heavy) in November; got loose intended reappearance.
5th
5th (5) (6.5/1 -8%) Honour Your Dreams
6.5/1(-8%)
(5) Honour Your Dreams 6.5/1, Fair winner at 6f during a busy 2-y-o campaign last summer and solid return to action when fourth in 9-runner Newcastle handicap (7f) 24 days ago, just tiring a little late on following 7 months off. Entitled to strip fitter now having his first crack at 7f. None of his ten races have been beyond 6f and this longer trip is a concern.
6th
6th (6) (8.5/1 -21%) Belinda Bell
8.5/1(-21%)
(6) Belinda Bell 8.5/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 5/1, again ran some way below pick of her form when fifth of 11 in minor event at Leicester (6f) in October, underfoot conditions a plausible excuse. Interesting what the market makes of her on return/handicap debut now. Two major backward steps after debut but has a good mark if roaring back to form.
LTO Selection:
15:25 Beverley Handicap (Class 4) 7f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
It is difficult to make a clear prediction as there are multiple horses with potential. 2/1 (3) IN THESE SHOES has proven ability but had a disappointing final start as a 2-year-old, while Starspangledbanner filly has shown promise in previous runs. 2.75/1 (1) FEEL THE NEED has been gelded and may improve, and 6.5/1 (2) PHOENIX FIRE has had an impressive start to its career but is untested in handicaps. 4.5/1 (5) HONOUR YOUR DREAMS has shown solid form in previous races and may benefit from stepping up to 7f. 8/1 (6) BELINDA BELL has had a setback in form but has a good mark if it can return to previous form, and 11/1 (4) COMMON ACCLAIM has shown potential in novice/maiden company but may need a run. It may be best to wait and see how the market reacts to their respective returns/handicap debut before making a prediction.
Phoenix Fire shed his maiden tag in fine style when last seen in November, but he will face very different conditions this time which could catch him out on his handicap debut. Therefore, preference is for the Charlie Johnston-trained IN THESE SHOES, who was sent off a warm favourite at Newmarket in October last year. The daughter of Starspangledbanner was dropped 1lb for that effort and looks set to go very close. Honour Your Dreams is an interesting contender stepping up in distance.
FEEL THE NEED patently shaped better than the bare result on his final start at Ayr in the autumn, still plenty to do 2f out and no chance having been denied a run soon after. Gelded ahead of return, he's very much the type to improve again as a 3-y-o and could well be up to making a winning return. In These Shoes, for Charlie Johnston, and Honour Your Dreams, with a reappearance run under his belt, head up the dangers.
(1) Whistleinthedark 1/1, Much improved since switched to fences, making it 3 from 3 in this sphere when scoring at Kempton last time. Every chance he'll complete the four-timer in a weak race for the grade. Front two clear when winning at Kempton and every chance of defying a 4lb rise.
2
2nd (2) (3/1 -9%) Riders Onthe Storm
3/1(-9%)
(2) Riders Onthe Storm 3/1, High-class chaser in his pomp who capitalised on sliding mark in the Old Roan Chase at Aintree (2½m, good to soft) on return. However, his record in recent years is very patchy and he hasn't really fired since. Very smart on his day and potentially well handicapped but he's so hard to predict.
3
3rd (4) (3.33/1 +33%) Cornerstone Lad
3.33/1(+33%)
(4) Cornerstone Lad 3.33/1, Smart hurdler who opened his chase account at Wetherby last January. Hit and miss this season but can make his presence felt if back on his game. Unproven over this distance. 1-13 over fences but has run a number of good races in defeat; rain brings him into it..
4
4th (3) (9/1 +0%) Kapcorse
9/1(+0%)
(3) Kapcorse 9/1, Clearly fragile and failed to beat a rival on first start since leaving Paul Nicholls at Newbury a month ago. Something to prove. Well handicapped but with questions to answer at the minute.
LTO Selection:
15:30 Perth Handicap Chase (Class 2) 20f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
Based on the summary, 0.8/1 (1) WHISTLEINTHEDARK is likely to do well as they have won their last three races and there is a weak race for the grade. 2.75/1 (2) RIDERS ONTHE STORM is said to be potentially well handicapped but hard to predict and has a patchy record in recent years. 5/1 (4) CORNERSTONE LAD has run good races in defeat but is unproven over this distance. 9/1 (3) KAPCORSE is described as well handicapped but with questions to answer at the minute and something to prove.
WHISTLEINTHEDARK landed the hat-trick on his most recent outing at Kempton when maintaining his unbeaten record over fences. With the likelihood of more to come in this sphere, he can prove too strong for the opposition. The main threat is likely to come from Riders Onthe Storm, who continues to drop in the weights and has champion jockey Brian Hughes booked. Cornerstone Lad would have claims based on his penultimate second at Haydock.
WHISTLEINTHEDARK has been highly progressive since switched to fences and he's fancied to stretch his unbeaten run over fences to four. Cornerstone Lad is the obvious danger as the other pair both have questions to answer.
The one most likely to give his true running is WHISTLEINTHEDARK and he's taken to complete a four-timer.
(9) Broomfield Bijou 6/1, Career best when winning 13-runner novice hurdle at Ballinrobe (17.4f, soft, 11/8) 13 days ago, forging clear. Likely more to come on handicap debut. Had plenty to spare when beating a very experienced mare at Ballinrobe, may be progressive.
2
2nd (24) (6.5/1 +7%) By Your Side
6.5/1(+7%)
(24) By Your Side 6.5/1, Low-key start over hurdles but really getting the hang of it now, landing big-field maiden at Naas (16.3f) last month before good third in Cheltenham handicap (16.8f, good). Must enter calculations. Took nine races for him to win over hurdles, fair third in a Cheltenham handicap last week.
3
3rd (6) (16/1 -113%) Feu Du Bresil
16/1(-113%)
(6) Feu Du Bresil 16/1, 4/1, improved to win 18-runner novice hurdle at Clonmel (16.6f, heavy) 21 days ago, going clear. Must be respected on handicap debut. Came good with a maiden win on heavy at Clonmel three weeks ago, further progress feasible.
4
4th (18) (10/1 +17%) Brookie
10/1(+17%)
(18) Brookie 10/1, Winner in hurdle at Limerick in November. 9/1, respectable sixth of 19 in handicap hurdle at Fairyhouse (16f, soft) 17 days ago. Booking of McKenna a plus. Can make presence felt. Capable of a good run but needs to reverse Fairyhouse form with Gordons Aura and Figaroc.
5th
5th (21) (16/1 +36%) Itwasfate
16/1(+36%)
(21) Itwasfate 16/1, Winner in hurdle at Kilbeggan in July. Below form seventh of 14 in handicap hurdle at Leopardstown (16f, soft, 15/2) 122 days ago. Others more appealing. Maiden winner on good ground last summer, placed on heavy in a Gowran handicap in November.
6th
6th (5) (7/1 +0%) Ifiwerearichman
7/1(+0%)
(5) Ifiwerearichman 7/1, Lightly-raced winner under NH rules. Winner in hurdle at Down Royal in December. Back down in trip. May be capable of better on handicap debut. Down Royal maiden winner, has held his own in better company since, worth considering.
7th
7th (20) (22/1 +33%) Too Bright
22/1(+33%)
(20) Too Bright 22/1, Very good second of 16 in handicap (10/1) at Bellewstown (14.3f, heavy) 21 days ago, clear of rest. Switches from Flat to hurdles. Fairly useful hurdler, poor on last hurdle outing. Tailed off over 2m4f on his last hurdles run, returned to form on the Flat at Bellewstown.
8th
8th (1) (20/1 -25%) Aslukwoodhavit
20/1(-25%)
(1) Aslukwoodhavit 20/1, Tongue strap on for 1st time, career best when winning 13-runner novice hurdle (10/1) at Tramore (16f, good to soft) 10 days ago, pushed out. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Open to improvement. Expensive to follow in bumpers, hacked up in a recent Tramore maiden hurdle, interesting.
9th
9th (11) (33/1 +18%) Clarens
33/1(+18%)
(11) Clarens 33/1, 80/1, sixth of 8 in minor event hurdle at Cork (16f, good to soft) 18 days ago. Has work to do. Went up 26lb for a hat-trick of handicap wins in the autumn of 2021, possibly too high.
|C|
|C| (3) (12/1 -118%) Figaroc
12/1(-118%)
(3) Figaroc 12/1, Winner in hurdle at Clonmel in March. Good fourth of 19 in handicap hurdle (9/1) at Fairyhouse (16f, soft) 17 days ago, not ideally placed. Further progress likely and merits consideration. Almost nothing to choose between him and Gordons Aura on Fairyhouse running, good chance.
|C|
|C| (22) (33/1 +34%) Listentillitellyea
33/1(+34%)
(22) Listentillitellyea 33/1, Remains a maiden after 16 NH runs. Below form eleventh of 19 in handicap hurdle (25/1) at Fairyhouse (16f, soft) 17 days ago. Hard to recommend. Maiden has been placed six times over hurdles, held by several of these on Fairyhouse form.
|C|
|C| (7) (100/1 -100%) Francois
100/1(-100%)
(7) Francois 100/1, Course winner. 6/1, bit below form fifth of 9 in handicap chase at Cork (16.7f, soft) 17 days ago. Switches from chase to hurdles. Cheekpieces on for 1st time in this code. Course winner over 2m4f last May, hard to fancy on his recent handicap chase form.
|U|
|U| (14) (8.5/1 +47%) Gentleman Joe
8.5/1(+47%)
(14) Gentleman Joe 8.5/1, Lightly-raced maiden over hurdles. Fairly useful winner at 8f on flat. Respectable seventh of 19 in handicap hurdle at Fairyhouse (16f, soft, 11/1) 17 days ago. Others preferred. Lightly raced over hurdles, behind Gordons Aura, Figaroc and Brookie at Fairyhouse.
|U|
|U| (23) (12/1 -33%) Gordons Aura
12/1(-33%)
(23) Gordons Aura 12/1, Winner in hurdle at Fairyhouse in February. 11/1, creditable third of 19 in handicap hurdle at Fairyhouse (16f, soft) 17 days ago, running on. Warrants respect. Not beaten far in seventh in the Boodles, closely matched with Figaroc on Fairyhouse form.
|U|
|U| (8) (40/1 +39%) Wild Shot
40/1(+39%)
(8) Wild Shot 40/1, 2 wins from 6 runs this season. Latest win in hurdle at Tramore in June. Creditable fourth of 11 in handicap (18/1) at Dundalk (16f) 27 days ago. Switches from Flat to hurdles. Not taken lightly. Heavily-raced ten-time winner including twice over hurdles, fit from action at Dundalk.
10th
10th (17) (28/1 -40%) The Dasher Conway
28/1(-40%)
(17) The Dasher Conway 28/1, 4/1, running well fell in handicap chase at Navan (17f, heavy) 38 days ago. Switches from chase to hurdles. Needs a couple of these to falter. Two creditable runs over hurdles last autumn, tries again after unproductive chasing spell.
11th
11th (25) (20/1 +39%) Snapius
20/1(+39%)
(25) Snapius 20/1, Career best when winning 13-runner juvenile hurdle at Cork (16f, heavy, 10/3) 35 days ago. Looks competitive on form. 3lb higher than when third in a C&D handicap in January, Cork maiden winner five weeks ago.
12th
12th (12) (18/1 +10%) Clonshire River
18/1(+10%)
(12) Clonshire River 18/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Last of 9 in minor event hurdle (5/1) at Down Royal (17.2f, soft) 93 days ago. Tongue strap on 1st time. Makes limited appeal on handicap hurdle debut. Disappointing in a novice race in January, solid form prior to that in a couple of maidens.
13th
13th (4) (66/1 -100%) Walnut Beach
66/1(-100%)
(4) Walnut Beach 66/1, C&D winner. 16/1, below form sixth of 14 in handicap at Navan (13f, heavy) 29 days ago, would have benefited from stronger handling. Switches from Flat to hurdles. Possibly a bit high in the weights since Cork win in November, has had a recent Flat run.
14th
14th (19) (16/1 +0%) Clever Currency
16/1(+0%)
(19) Clever Currency 16/1, Career best when winning 15-runner handicap hurdle (14/1) at Leopardstown (16f, good to soft) 52 days ago, kept up to work. Remains feasibly treated. Improved form when made all for a handsome win at Leopardstown last month, 9lb higher now.
15th
15th (2) (28/1 -27%) Garrybello
28/1(-27%)
(2) Garrybello 28/1, 25/1, good fifth of 14 in handicap hurdle at Cork (19f, good to soft) 18 days ago. Others more persuasive. Won twice over hurdles in France, has been taking steps in the right direction, needs more.
16th
16th (13) (33/1 -32%) Fascinating Shadow
33/1(-32%)
(13) Fascinating Shadow 33/1, Thrice-raced winner over hurdles. Fairly useful winner at 12f on flat. 15/2, sixth of 8 in handicap at Dundalk (10.7f). Switches from Flat to hurdles. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Showed good form at around time this last year, set stiff task over hurdles later on.
17th
17th (28) (50/1 -52%) Charcor
50/1(-52%)
(28) Charcor 50/1, Lightly-raced winner over hurdles. Off 23 months. First run for yard after leaving Noel C. Kelly. RESERVE. Third reserve, useful on Flat, absent since a hurdle win at Kelso in May 2021, new stable.
18th
18th (26) (50/1 +24%) Vischio
50/1(+24%)
(26) Vischio 50/1, 1 win from 3 runs this season. 40/1, last of 9 in handicap at Dundalk (12f). Switches from Flat to hurdles. Fairly useful hurdler, respectable on last hurdle outing. Needs a couple of these to falter. RESERVE. First reserve, useful dual-purpose type, most recent win was on good ground last summer.
19th
19th (27) (25/1 +24%) It'sallabouteve
25/1(+24%)
(27) It'sallabouteve 25/1, Creditable fourth of 20 in handicap hurdle (8/1) at Cork (16f, soft) 17 days ago. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals. RESERVE. Second reserve, mare has shown a consistent standard of form on her last three starts.
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
7.5/1 (6) FEU DU BRESIL and 7/1 (24) BY YOUR SIDE appear to be the strongest contenders based on their recent form and progress, with good performances in their last outings. It's also worth considering 16/1 (19) CLEVER CURRENCY, who had a handsome win at Leopardstown last month and remains feasibly treated. However, with a competitive field and several horses with potential, the race outcome is difficult to predict.
BY YOUR SIDE is an each-way option in this deep field. Gordon Elliott's charge was rewarded for a string of consistent efforts when getting off the mark over hurdles at Naas last month. He was then a fair third in a Cheltenham handicap hurdle last week off a mark of 120. He races off 114 here and Danny Gilligan takes 7lb off his back. Broomfield Bijou was an unlucky second in Navan last month, but rectified that with a wide-margin success at Ballinrobe. Aslukwoodhavit cruised home in a Tramore maiden hurdle and is one to note on handicap debut. Feu Du Bresil is getting the hang of things and can have a say after winning at Clonmel. Clever Currency made all in Leopardstown and could be dangerous if given too much rope. Figaroc and Ifiwerearichman are others to consider.
Plenty with claims here, including FIGAROC, who wasn't seen to best effect on handicap debut at Fairyhouse last time and remains open to improvement. By Your Side, Golf Marin and Broomfield Bijou make up the shortlist.
The father-and-son Dempsey combination cracked this puzzle last year and may have the solution now with recent winner BROOMFIELD BIJOU
(6) Stumps Or Slips 3/1, Seven-race maiden over hurdles and didn't jump well on chase debut here in February. Didn't jump well enough when pulled up on chasing debut; others look less risky.
2
2nd (7) (9/1 -125%) Getaman
9/1(-125%)
(7) Getaman 9/1, Notched second handicap win of the campaign in novice event at Kelso (17.1f, good) in September. Not in same form at Bangor later the same month but given a break since and must enter calculations. Dual chase winner in early part of season; absent since below-par run in September.
3
3rd (8) (6/1 +50%) Atlantic Storm
6/1(+50%)
(8) Atlantic Storm 6/1, Won a 4-runner race at Southwell (15.8f) in June and back to that sort of form when runner-up at Hereford in October. Below that level since, though, and makes limited appeal. Six-time chase winner; has become well handicapped but needs to better his recent efforts.
4
4th (2) (12/1 -33%) File Illico
12/1(-33%)
(2) File Illico 12/1, Won 4 times in a very productive first season over fences but nowhere near that level in 5 starts this term. Tumbling down the weights but percentage call is to look elsewhere. Cheekpieces back on. Might be boosted by the refitted cheekpieces but generally in poor form this season.
5th
5th (5) (8/1 -7%) Tikkinthebox
8/1(-7%)
(5) Tikkinthebox 8/1, Consistent in 2021 but ran poorly in 4 starts last year and not seen since August. Something to prove on return. Had wind operation. Out of form in early part of this season but resumes on a dangerous mark.
6th
6th (10) (6/1 +50%) Shortcross Storm
6/1(+50%)
(10) Shortcross Storm 6/1, Jumping issues stalled what looked to be a promising chase career and he ran poorly when last seen at Stratford in October. Had wind operation. Badly out of form when last seen in the autumn; had wind op in November.
7th
7th (1) (7/1 -100%) Sayar
7/1(-100%)
(1) Sayar 7/1, Fair winner over hurdles who showed aptitude for chasing (at third attempt after a year off) when third of 6 in handicap at Market Rasen (17.2f, good to soft, 14/1) 18 days ago. Claims if building on that. Returned from layoff with satisfactory run this month; player if the outing brought him on.
8th
8th (3) (16/1 -45%) Fanzio
16/1(-45%)
(3) Fanzio 16/1, Ended time with Richard Hobson with success at Taunton (16.1f) last month but well beaten on debut for new yard at Wincanton 22 days ago. Others more persuasive. Won off much reduced mark last month but tailed off on subsequent stable debut.
|PU|
|PU| (9) (5.5/1 -10%) King Of Quinta
5.5/1(-10%)
(9) King Of Quinta 5.5/1, Minor promise in bumpers and over hurdles and remains to be seen if switch to chasing (and first-time cheekpieces) brings about improvement. Worth a second look in the market. Unexposed 5yo; well beaten on handicap hurdle debut; makes chasing debut today.
LTO Selection:
15:50 Warwick Handicap Chase (Class 4) 16f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Based on the summary, 4/1 (7) GETAMAN and 5/1 (9) KING OF QUINTA seem to have the most potential for success, with 4/1 (7) GETAMAN having previously won dual chases and 5/1 (9) KING OF QUINTA being an unexposed 5-year-old who may improve with the switch to chasing and first-time cheekpieces. 11/1 (3) FANZIO and Stumps or Slips are less likely to perform well based on their recent form. The other horses have some potential but also some concerns, such as 3.5/1 (1) SAYAR returning from a layoff and 7.5/1 (5) TIKKINTHEBOX having been out of form earlier in the season. Overall, it is difficult to make a definite prediction without additional information or analysis of the race, track, conditions, and other factors.
Most of these have something to prove for one reason or another and, with that in mind, GETAMAN, who made all to win over 2m1f at Kelso on his penultimate start, could take advantage. Sayar is capable of getting involved if he copes with shouldering top weight, while the veteran Atlantic Storm was not disgraced at Southwell last month and has each-way claims.
SAYAR showed more at Market Rasen 18 days ago and gets a tentative nod in a tricky race. Getaman rates the principal danger, while King of Quinta is worth keeping an eye on in the market.
(1) Pillar Of Hope 6.5/1, Dual winner at up to 10f who ended last year below his best on AW. However, better effort on back of 4 months off when fifth of 10 in handicap at Newcastle (1m) in March and possible he'll sharpen up for that here and he's now 2 lb below his last winning mark. Took step back in right direction on reappearance and now below his last winning mark.
2
2nd (3) (6.5/1 +46%) Crownthorpe
6.5/1(+46%)
(3) Crownthorpe 6.5/1, Fine start on AW for new yard, gaining third success since January at Chelmsford (1m) at the start of the month. Not in quite the same form when fifth in 9-runner Redcar handicap (1m) latest, though. Has done well on AW for new yard this year but only fifth when back on turf last week.
3
3rd (7) (25/1 -127%) Golden Sands
25/1(-127%)
(7) Golden Sands 25/1, Three wins from 14 runs last year. Latest win at Kempton (1m) in February. Creditable fourth of 13 in handicap back at that venue 15 days ago. Effective on turf but all 4 career victories have come on all weather. In good form on AW in this headgear combination and he's also effective on turf.
4
4th (9) (16/1 +43%) King Of York
16/1(+43%)
(9) King Of York 16/1, Maiden. 11/1, tenth of 12 in handicap at Doncaster (7f, heavy) 25 days ago, underfoot conditions a plausible excuse. Eased 3 lb since and handy draw to operate from if he can leave that effort behind. Has twice failed to threaten since returning from absence and needs something extra.
5th
5th (6) (8.5/1 -13%) Ibiza Rocks
8.5/1(-13%)
(6) Ibiza Rocks 8.5/1, First run since leaving Edward Bethell when very good third of 7 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f, 7/1) 19 days ago, hampered over 1f out and weakening. That was a definite step back in the right direction and operating from career-low mark if he can build on it now. Disappointing campaign last year but may be able to build on encouraging stable debut 3rd.
6th
6th (5) (6.5/1 +19%) Challet
6.5/1(+19%)
(5) Challet 6.5/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2021. Tenth of 14 in handicap at Redcar (7f, heavy, 12/1) 17 days ago. Back up in trip. Well treated on placed efforts last April-June but no return to peak form on comeback.
7th
7th (8) (10/1 +29%) Crown Princess
10/1(+29%)
(8) Crown Princess 10/1, C&D winner. Respectable third of 11 in handicap (14/1) at this course (7.4f, good) in September, keeping on without matching the principals. Mark is about right but she's a consistent sort and each-way claims on return/following a wind op. Third on reappearance in this last year after wind surgery; returns after another wind op.
8th
8th (2) (4.5/1 -13%) Hortzadar
4.5/1(-13%)
(2) Hortzadar 4.5/1, 6/1, creditable ¾-length second of 12 to Dogged in handicap at Ripon (1m, soft) 7 days ago, caught further back than ideal. Expected to be bang there from same mark despite his wide draw for yard who won this 12 months ago. Runner-up at Ripon on reappearance; likes it there but still respected on first visit here.
9th
9th (11) (3.33/1 +17%) Dogged
3.33/1(+17%)
(11) Dogged 3.33/1, 10/1, improved on recent efforts to win 12-runner handicap at Ripon (8f, soft) 7 days ago by ¾ length from Hortzadar, well ridden. Not taken lightly. Won apprentice handicap at Ripon last week and obvious claims off the same mark here.
10th
10th (4) (18/1 -100%) Emperor Caradoc
18/1(-100%)
(4) Emperor Caradoc 18/1, 6f novice winner at 2yrs and progressed again to double career tally at Carlisle (6.9f, good to soft) last summer. Never figured faced with very testing ground on return from 6 months off at Leicester (8.2f) 2 weeks ago but likely type to bounce back. Improved form last autumn but he was tailed off on his recent reappearance at Leicester.
11th
11th (10) (18/1 +45%) Temper Trap
18/1(+45%)
(10) Temper Trap 18/1, Successful 4 times during a real purple patch last summer before the handicapper caught up with him in the autumn. Not much to shout about back over hurdles thereafter and possible he'll strip fitter for this first start for 4 months. On a competitive mark but all nine of his wins have come in the second half of the year.
LTO Selection:
16:00 Beverley Handicap (Class 4) 8f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
4/1 (11) DOGGED has the best chance of doing well based on the summary as they won the apprentice handicap at Ripon last week and have obvious claims off the same mark here. They also improved on recent efforts to win a 12-runner handicap at Ripon just seven days ago.
A chance can be taken on CROWN PRINCESS, who ran into the places at this track when last seen in September off a 1lb higher mark. The five-year-old mare has undergone a wind operation since and is now 1lb lower than her last winning rating. Pillar Of Hope is a player now 2lb lower for a solid fifth at Newcastle last time, while last-time-out winner Dogged also warrants respect.
HORTZADAR marked himself down as one to be interested in from his career-low mark when ¾-length second of 12 to Dogged in handicap at Ripon (1m) 7 days ago, having been caught further back than ideal. He gets the nod to reverse those placings here, with the latter-named a lead threat nevertheless. Ibiza Rocks and Emperor Caradoc are others to consider.
Having won an apprentice handicap under Elle-May Croot at Ripon last week, DOGGED (nap) runs off the same mark here and can follow up.
(5) Burbank 33/1, Classy chaser on his day but appears to be very much in decline judged on what he's shown in 3 appearances this season. Looks set for another struggle on what will be his first run in this sphere for over 2 years. Has pulled up in three handicap chases since his return from a year off.
2
2nd (7) (2.5/1 +44%) Shoeshine Boy
2.5/1(+44%)
(7) Shoeshine Boy 2.5/1, Ended last season on a winning note and again came good in the month of April when getting his head back in front at Carlisle (25f, good) 19 days ago. Clearly no issues stamina-wise but this looks more demanding. It was a weaker race he won at Carlisle and likely to need more off 3lb higher.
3
3rd (2) (2.75/1 +8%) Castle Rushen
2.75/1(+8%)
(2) Castle Rushen 2.75/1, Things haven't worked out for him over fences this season but returned to this sphere with a creditable effort in first-time cheekpieces at Newcastle (20.3f, soft), for all that his jumping wasn't foot perfect. Now tried in a visor and shapes as though this stamina test will be right up his street. Ran well returned to hurdles last time; should be bang there if taking to the new visor.
4
4th (6) (3.5/1 -17%) Miss Milano
3.5/1(-17%)
(6) Miss Milano 3.5/1, Endured a winless campaign during her first season in training last term but has won each of her 3 starts this time round, the latest at Doncaster (24.4f, good to soft) where she was returning from a 4-month break. More needed up 6 lb here but merits respect all the same. Won by 17l at Doncaster and the handicapper didn't go overboard with a 6lb rise.
5th
5th (3) (7.5/1 -88%) Grove Road
7.5/1(-88%)
(3) Grove Road 7.5/1, Sedgefield bumper winner on Rules debut/sole start last season and made it 2-2 over hurdles when landing a Hereford novice upped to 25.5f in December. However, turned over when odds on for a match at Hexham last month and more needed now pitched into a handicap. Only defeat came at the hands of an improver; competitive mark for his handicap debut.
|F|
|F| (4) (5/1 -11%) Salvino
5/1(-11%)
(4) Salvino 5/1, Winning pointer who got off the mark over hurdles in a 23f Kelso novice in November. Hasn't done a great deal wrong since, most recently finishing fifth of 12 in a Class 2 handicap back at Kelso (21f, soft), and moving back up in trip here will be no bad thing. Performed well in the majority of his five handicaps, beaten under 2l in three of them.
|PU|
|PU| (1) (40/1 -60%) Alfa Mix
40/1(-60%)
(1) Alfa Mix 40/1, Dual hurdles scorer in Ireland in 2019 but winless since and ran no sort of a race in a handicap chase on debut for new yard at Wetherby. Hard to know what to expect of him back in this sphere (last seen over hurdles back in March 2020). Could be happier back over hurdles (2-7) and potentially on a perfectly fair mark.
LTO Selection:
16:05 Perth Handicap Hurdle (Class 3) 27f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
3/1 (6) MISS MILANO seems to be the most promising horse based on the summary. She has won all three of her starts this season, including a 17l victory at Doncaster, and her 6lb rise in handicap doesn't seem to have affected her too much. The other horses have either been struggling or have variables that make it hard to predict their performance, such as 3/1 (2) CASTLE RUSHEN trying a new visor and 25/1 (1) ALFA MIX returning to hurdles after running in handicap chases.
MISS MILANO returned from a break to hose up by 17 lengths at Doncaster over 3m and the daughter of Milan was leniently put up 6lb for that effort. This is a step up in class, but, considering the manner of that victory, it is likely she could prove tough to beat once more. The connections of Castle Rushen will be hoping a change in headgear to a first-time visor may bring out further improvement, while Salvino will appreciate the drop in class.
While he could do with brushing up on his jumping technique, CASTLE RUSHEN is nevertheless appealing having put in a good shift back in this sphere at Newcastle last time. He goes off the same mark here and both this step up in trip and the addition of more severe headgear (sports a first-time visor) are potentially positive factors. Stablemate Miss Milano is 3-3 this season and needs considering but Salvino, who looks pretty solid overall, is feared most.
(2) Dinoblue 2.75/1, Promising sort. 2 wins from 6 runs this season. Career best when winning 9-runner handicap chase (evens) at Fairyhouse (16.5f, good to soft) 18 days ago. Major player. Left clear at Fairyhouse but would probably have won anyway; 7lb rise is fair..
2
2nd (6) (3.5/1 -5%) Douglas Talking
3.5/1(-5%)
(6) Douglas Talking 3.5/1, Two wins from 5 runs this season. Good second of 13 in handicap chase at Aintree (15.8f, good, 9/2) 14 days ago, going with enthusiasm. Remains open to improvement. A late mistake perhaps cost him when reeled in late on at Aintree; big shout..
3
3rd (14) (11/1 -83%) The Folkes Tiara
11/1(-83%)
(14) The Folkes Tiara 11/1, 5/1, good second of 9 in handicap chase at Leopardstown (17f, soft) 122 days ago. Enters calculations for last year's winning yard. 5lb out of the weights and still a maiden, but his Leopardstown second was encouraging..
4
4th (4) (7/1 +50%) Hollow Games
7/1(+50%)
(4) Hollow Games 7/1, 28/1, pulled up in Arkle Chase at Cheltenham (15.9f, good to soft) 44 days ago won by El Fabiolo. Needs to get back on track now pitched into a handicap. Contested Grade 1s the last twice and this mark is okay given his highs over hurdles..
5th
5th (9) (50/1 -52%) Espion Du Chenet
50/1(-52%)
(9) Espion Du Chenet 50/1, C&D winner. Pulled up in handicap chase at Gowran (16f, heavy, 12/1) 47 days ago (race won by Grange Walk). Others make more appeal. Can give his running under these conditions but perhaps vulnerable from a win perspective..
6th
6th (10) (5.5/1 +21%) Whiskeywealth
5.5/1(+21%)
(10) Whiskeywealth 5.5/1, Latest win in chase at Clonmel in February. Fell in handicap chase (11/2) at Fairyhouse (16.5f, good to soft) 18 days ago (race won by Dinoblue), going with enthusiasm. Should give a good account. About a length up on Dinoblue when falling late on at Fairyhouse; progressing well..
7th
7th (3) (33/1 -136%) Grange Walk
33/1(-136%)
(3) Grange Walk 33/1, Blinkered for 1st time, improved to win 10-runner handicap chase (20/1) at Gowran (16f, heavy) 47 days ago, suited by way race developed. This is more demanding. Jumped better in the blinkers when staying on best at Gowran; up 7lb for that..
8th
8th (13) (125/1 -150%) Bold Emperor
125/1(-150%)
(13) Bold Emperor 125/1, 20/1, eighth of 10 in handicap chase at Fairyhouse (21.7f, good to soft) 19 days ago (sixth past the post but subsequently disqualified). Down in trip. Has struggled since hit by the handicapper for his clear-cut win at Wexford last summer..
9th
9th (5) (16/1 -33%) Call Me Lyreen
16/1(-33%)
(5) Call Me Lyreen 16/1, Six wins from 19 NH runs. 28/1, below form seventh of 19 in handicap chase at Cheltenham (15.9f, good to soft) 43 days ago. Each-way shout. Good first half of the season but now has to steady the ship after recent failures..
|F|
|F| (7) (25/1 -108%) Brandy Harbour
25/1(-108%)
(7) Brandy Harbour 25/1, Threewins from 11 runs this season. 14/1, career best when winning 9-runner handicap chase at Cork (16.7f, soft) 17 days ago, forging clear. This looks tougher. Won well at Cork but a 12lb rise spells danger in this warmer company..
|U|
|U| (12) (25/1 -25%) Sil Ver Klass
25/1(-25%)
(12) Sil Ver Klass 25/1, Latest win in chase at Fairyhouse in December. Below form 20¾ lengths fourth of 10 to Grange Walk in handicap chase (25/1) at Gowran (16f, heavy) 47 days ago. Needs to bounce back. Not been at his best since winning at Fairyhouse (2m1f, yielding) earlier in the season..
10th
10th (8) (40/1 -82%) The Greek
40/1(-82%)
(8) The Greek 40/1, Career best when winning 5-runner minor event chase (3/1) at Down Royal (19.6f, soft) 41 days ago, always holding on. Not without hope back in this sphere. Tricky customer but no surprise to see him smuggled into contention..
|PU|
|PU| (1) (8/1 +50%) Coeur Sublime
8/1(+50%)
(1) Coeur Sublime 8/1, Unreliable individual. Below form twelfth of 19 in handicap chase (12/1) at Cheltenham (15.9f, good to soft) 43 days ago, finding nothing. Too classy to leave out of calculations but he's beginning to frustrate..
|PU|
|PU| (11) (22/1 +12%) Fighting Fit
22/1(+12%)
(11) Fighting Fit 22/1, Running below form when fell in handicap chase at Fairyhouse (21.7f, good to soft, 9/1) 19 days ago. Down in trip and cheekpieces on 1st time. Below best this season; cheekpieces could give him a lift but others appeal more..
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
3.5/1 (2) DINOBLUE and 7/1 (10) WHISKEYWEALTH both seem to have a good chance based on their recent form, with 3.5/1 (2) DINOBLUE coming off a career-best win and 7/1 (10) WHISKEYWEALTH showing progress before a fall. 22/1 (8) THE GREEK and 16/1 (1) COEUR SUBLIME also have some potential, but may be less reliable.
DINOBLUE ought to make her presence felt. Willie Mullins' six-year-old mare was chasing the leader when left clear at the final fence to win a Grade B handicap chase at Fairyhouse on her last start. She certainly wasn't winning out of turn after three consecutive runner-up berths including behind subsequent Cheltenham Festival winner Impervious at Cork. Douglas Talking can go well off the front for Lucinda Russell and Derek Fox. He was only collared in the latter stages of a premier handicap at Aintree a fortnight ago. Coeur Sublime has the rating to be a player, but his form can be a bit in and out. On a going day, he would be more than dangerous. Hollow Games never travelled at Cheltenham and was pulled up in the Arkle. He's better than that and an improved performance is probable.
British raider DOUGLAS TALKING lost little caste in defeat when runner-up in a valuable Aintree handicap a fortnight ago and, with the promise of even better to come from this bold-jumping 7-y-o over fences, he is taken to resume winning ways. Dinoblue is a much-respected main danger on the back of his Fairyhouse success, a race in which Whiskeywealth would've likely finished second but for falling at the final fence. The latter is an each-way player but The Folkes Tiara is third choice.
A very competitive handicap. DOUGLAS TALKING looks seriously progressive despite coming up just shy at Aintree.
(7) Regarding Ruth 20/1, Tasted success 3 times during 2020/21 but absent 22 months and down the field both starts this season. Not at her best this term having been off for 645 days; best watched for now..
2
2nd (6) (12/1 -243%) Martha Brae
12/1(-243%)
(6) Martha Brae 12/1, Gained reward for a consistent spell when scoring at Hereford last time. Something to spare and 6-lb rise seems reasonable, so she should give another good account. All wins have been in mares' events, including last time; stiffer task in a stronger race.
3
3rd (5) (14/1 -17%) Ask A Honey Bee
14/1(-17%)
(5) Ask A Honey Bee 14/1, Winning chaser but yet to convince in that sphere. Went with more zest than usual back over hurdles on return at Aintree in October but followed it with a poor run at Newbury. Off 5 months since. Chase winner; good third back over hurdles in October; goes well fresh; good chance.
4
4th (3) (7/1 +42%) Gentleman At Arms
7/1(+42%)
(3) Gentleman At Arms 7/1, Ended last season with a second in Grade 1 novice hurdle at Aintree (3m, good). Hasn't scaled the same heights this time round, including over fences, and others are more persuasive. Below par this term including on both runs since wind op; well treated; bit to prove.
5th
5th (9) (6.5/1 +54%) Midnightreflection
6.5/1(+54%)
(9) Midnightreflection 6.5/1, Resumed winning ways at Doncaster in February but has underperformed on both subsequent outings. Dropped 2 lb since latest but others make more appeal. Doncaster winner in February and not disgraced in better race last time; worth considering.
6th
6th (4) (12/1 -33%) Bothwell Bridge
12/1(-33%)
(4) Bothwell Bridge 12/1, Lost the plot after making a winning chase debut in December 2021. Some encouragement back over hurdles at Sandown in Febuary but failed to build on it at Newbury next time. Potentially well treated. Two fair runs since reverting to hurdles (last win was a chase) but has bled in the past.
7th
7th (8) (1.38/1 +59%) Jubilee Express
1.38/1(+59%)
(8) Jubilee Express 1.38/1, Made a winning hurdle bow in Hereford novice in March last year and has improved on both subsequent outings, pushing Broadway Boy (won again next time) close as the pair pulled clear at Market Rasen last time. Excellent claims. Unexposed; fine second to a subsequent Cheltenham winner at Market Rasen last time; chance.
8th
8th (10) (18/1 +28%) Butler's Brief
18/1(+28%)
(10) Butler's Brief 18/1, Had run of race but produced a career best when winning 5-runner handicap hurdle at Uttoxeter (good to soft, 11/2) back in July. Disappointing both starts since and off a further 6 months prior to this. In good form last summer; form tailed off a bit in the autumn; back from a break; player.
|PU|
|PU| (1) (8.5/1 -113%) Captain Morgs
8.5/1(-113%)
(1) Captain Morgs 8.5/1, Unreliable type but he showed the benefit of cheekpieces (retained) when winning at Cheltenham in December. Poor effort in the Pertemps Final last time but could make more of an impact back in calmer waters. Poor in the Pertemps final (soft), but today's better ground should suit; a possible.
|PU|
|PU| (2) (14/1 -56%) Docpickedme
14/1(-56%)
(2) Docpickedme 14/1, Landing 3m handicaps at Southwell and Doncaster this winter and shaped as if something was amiss at Haydock recently. Could get back on track quickly. Two wins over 3m this term (good) but pulled up in better race last time; others stronger.
LTO Selection:
16:25 Warwick Handicap Hurdle (Class 3) 25f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
Based on the summary, 3.33/1 (8) JUBILEE EXPRESS and Made are the two horses with excellent claims and are likely to do well in the race. 3.5/1 (6) MARTHA BRAE has also been consistent in mares' events, but faces a stiffer task in a stronger race. 4/1 (1) CAPTAIN MORGS has shown some potential, but has been unreliable and poor in his recent races. 9/1 (2) DOCPICKEDME and 9/1 (4) BOTHWELL BRIDGE have had some good runs but have also faced setbacks. 12/1 (5) ASK A HONEY BEE has won a chase but is yet to convince in that sphere. 12/1 (3) GENTLEMAN AT ARMS has had a below par season so far. 14/1 (9) MIDNIGHTREFLECTION has had a recent win but has underperformed in subsequent outings. 16/1 (7) REGARDING RUTH has been off for a long time and is best watched for now. 25/1 (10) BUTLER'S BRIEF had a good run last summer but his form tailed off in the autumn and he has been on a break prior to this race.
Things didn't pan out for CAPTAIN MORGS in the Pertemps Final at the Cheltenham Festival but this is a big drop in class for Nicky Henderson's seven-year-old and he can get things back on track. He won in first-time cheekpieces (retained) on his penultimate start and comes here with a live chance of brushing aside the burden of top weight. The in-form pair Martha Brae and Jubilee Express could pose the selection the most problems on these terms.
JUBILEE EXPRESS boasts a progressive profile and came clear (with one that followed up next time) at Market Rasen 29 days ago, so he's a confident selection to gain his second success in this sphere. Martha Brae looks the obvious danger and Captain Morgs could bounce back in a lesser race than he contested at the Cheltenham Festival.
(2) The Nu Form Way 5.5/1, Made winning start for this yard at Chester last July but largely struggled in handful of starts thereafter. Took step back in the right direction when fifth of 10 in handicap (11/1) at Pontefract (12f, heavy) on return 16 days ago and he could well build on that dropped back in trip. Step back in right direction on recent reappearance & not ruled out now back down in trip.
2
2nd (4) (8.5/1 +47%) Where's Jeff
8.5/1(+47%)
(4) Where's Jeff 8.5/1, C&D winner. Thirteen runs since last win in 2021. 13/2, below form sixth of 12 in handicap at Carlisle (9f, good) in August, weakening over 1f out. Back on last winning mark for return to action and the betting may prove a useful guide. Went close over C&D last July and yard had two winners at the meeting here last Wednesday.
3
3rd (11) (28/1 +0%) Bit Of A Quirke
28/1(+0%)
(11) Bit Of A Quirke 28/1, Veteran, 6-time C&D winner. 5/1, seventh of 9 in handicap at this C&D (good to firm) in August, weakening final 1f. Absent since and he's often needed his first run of the season to put him spot on. Absent since last August but trainer's horses running well and he's a six-time C&D winner.
4
4th (8) (8.5/1 +61%) Bollin Margaret
8.5/1(+61%)
(8) Bollin Margaret 8.5/1, Enjoyed a very productive 2021, successful 4 times at around 10f. Winless last year though, creditable fifth in 10-runner Southwell handicap (11.1f) in October. Absent since and she's often needed her first run of the campaign. Down in the weights but last season was a regressive campaign; perhaps best watched.
5th
5th (1) (8/1 +27%) Freak Out
8/1(+27%)
(1) Freak Out 8/1, Back to winning ways at Newcastle (10f) in October but not in same form on AW more recently, well held last of 6 in handicap at that venue back in March. Needs to bounce back returned from a short break. Won off 5lb higher last October but more recent AW form hasn't been up to scratch.
6th
6th (12) (6/1 +40%) Dandy's Angel
6/1(+40%)
(12) Dandy's Angel 6/1, C&D winner. 7/1, creditable second of 8 in handicap at this course (8.4f, good to soft) 8 days ago, suited by way race developed. Can often be relied upon to give her running around here but she's an infrequent winner as a rule. Won over C&D last year and reappeared with good second here last Wednesday; solid claims.
7th
7th (5) (11/1 -57%) Strangerontheshore
11/1(-57%)
(5) Strangerontheshore 11/1, Course winner. Three wins from 12 runs last year. 7/1, creditable second of 6 in handicap at Newcastle (8f) 24 days ago, pushed along 2f out and keeping on. Up in trip and expected to give another good account. Two-time 8.4f course winner; she's a player if seeing out this new trip.
8th
8th (3) (40/1 -264%) Mawkeb
40/1(-264%)
(3) Mawkeb 40/1, Both career victories gained at Chelmsford (1m) the latest in January. 6/1, last of 5 in handicap at Lingfield (12f, AW) 54 days ago, unproven at the trip. Visor goes on here but he still needs to prove his effectiveness on turf. Unproven on turf and needs something extra than on last three starts, but visor may help.
9th
9th (9) (2.75/1 +21%) Contrast
2.75/1(+21%)
(9) Contrast 2.75/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Nottingham in October. Creditable second of 13 in handicap at Redcar (10f, heavy, 12/1) 10 days ago, making effort earlier than ideal. Nicely clear of remainder then and big shout off same mark. C&D winner who was 2nd at Redcar last Monday after a break; could be bang there once more.
10th
10th (6) (12/1 -85%) Oliver's Army
12/1(-85%)
(6) Oliver's Army 12/1, Lightly-raced maiden on Flat. Eyeshields/hood on, proved he retains ability when respectable eighth of 15 in handicap (66/1) at Pontefract (8f, heavy) 16 days ago, plodding on. Expected to be suited by this step up to 1¼m. Didn't run badly a fortnight ago and could build on that now back on better ground.
11th
11th (7) (11/1 +31%) Kalahari Prince
11/1(+31%)
(7) Kalahari Prince 11/1, First run since leaving Kevin Ryan when eighth of 9 in handicap (5/1) at Doncaster (10.2f, heavy) 26 days ago. Return to a sounder surface/refitting of cheekpieces should help now and he's operating from last winning mark. Could leave stable debut run well behind now back in cheekpieces and back on better ground.
LTO Selection:
16:35 Beverley Handicap (Class 5) 10f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
It is difficult to predict which horse will do well based on this summary as there are several contenders with decent past performances and varying current form. However, some horses to keep an eye on include the C&D winner who was second at Redcar last Monday, 10/1 (12) DANDY'S ANGEL who won over C&D last year and reappeared with a good second here last Wednesday, and 7/1 (5) STRANGERONTHESHORE who has won twice at the course and comes off a creditable second at Newcastle. 28/1 (11) BIT OF A QUIRKE, a six-time C&D winner, also has potential but has been absent since last August.
Slow starts have blighted some of BEARWITH's most recent performances but he still has the ability to be a key player at this level and may be worth chancing on his return to turf. He's fared well with a handy draw and notably was successful the only previous time he was partnered with Ben Curtis in the saddle. Contrast has form that ties in with the selection and is feared most, while Dandy's Angel and Strangerontheshore are also considered.
CONTRAST returned from 10 weeks off with a good second at Redcar last week, reeled in late on having made his effort earlier than ideal. Nicely on top of the remainder that day, he could well be the answer operating from the same mark. Harriet Bethell has her string in good order and the returning Bearwith rates a threat, with The Nu Form Way and Strangerontheshore completing the shortlist.
This could go to the very lightly raced OLIVER'S ARMY who has shown potential for this sort of trip. Dandy's Angel is feared.
(3) Duyfken 4/1, Fair form on the Flat in France and posted best effort in this sphere when second of 13 in juvenile handicap at Musselburgh (17.4f, good to soft) 34 days ago. Likely contender. Second of 13 at Musselburgh (2m1f, good to soft) five weeks ago on handicap hurdle debut.
2
2nd (9) (9/1 -29%) Darkest Day
9/1(-29%)
(9) Darkest Day 9/1, Back to winning ways when making all at Wetherby (16f, good to soft) 52 days ago, always holding on. 4 lb higher now but must enter calculations. Back up 4lb but old form was a fair bit better and there was more in the tank last time.
3
3rd (10) (4.5/1 +25%) El Jefe
4.5/1(+25%)
(10) El Jefe 4.5/1, Been operating below his best this season but shaped better than distance beaten at Sedgefield latest and is too well handicapped to dismiss. Tongue strap back on. Needs to better this season's form but he has been finishing closer with each run.
4
4th (5) (14/1 +50%) Just Dottie
14/1(+50%)
(5) Just Dottie 14/1, Yet to trouble the judge in 4 starts to date, including on handicap debut at Wetherby last month. Still early days, though. More was needed to make an impact on handicap debut last time and it was not forthcoming.
5th
5th (11) (6/1 +40%) My Macho Man
6/1(+40%)
(11) My Macho Man 6/1, Yet to score after 22 attempts over hurdles but he arrives in good nick, third in 2m Ayr handicap last month. Could make his presence felt in first-time blinkers. 0-22 hurdling; recent runs give a place chance, however; cheekpieces replaced by blinkers.
6th
6th (12) (8.5/1 +47%) More To Follow
8.5/1(+47%)
(12) More To Follow 8.5/1, Has yet to achieve much, including in handicaps on last 3 outings. Readily opposed from 3 lb out of the weights. Going handicapping on last three starts has not greatly boosted his fortunes.
7th
7th (7) (25/1 +38%) Ingleby Mackenzie
25/1(+38%)
(7) Ingleby Mackenzie 25/1, Fair handicap chaser in Ireland for Henry de Bromhead but yet to threaten for new yard, beaten a long way at Carlisle over timber earlier this month. There's been no revival on his six starts for this stable; well down the weights.
8th
8th (8) (9/1 +50%) Jack Yeats
9/1(+50%)
(8) Jack Yeats 9/1, Modest strike rate on the Flat and winless following 14 attempts over hurdles. Let down by jumping on chase debut in October and best watched back over the smaller obstacles here. Pulled up early on chase debut in October latest; place chance on hurdles form last summer.
9th
9th (2) (4.5/1 -29%) Thistlebuffs
4.5/1(-29%)
(2) Thistlebuffs 4.5/1, Run with credit both starts thus far, latest when fourth of 9 in novice hurdle at Wetherby (16f, soft) 27 days ago. Tongue strap now added for handicap debut and remains open to improvement. Tongue tied for this handicap debut; at such early stage of career, should bring potential.
10th
10th (4) (16/1 -129%) Jackhammer
16/1(-129%)
(4) Jackhammer 16/1, Won pair of handicaps here last year before scoring on level at Carlisle. However, not been at same level in either code since and makes limited appeal. 2-3 here and won this race last year; four months off before latest start (66-1).
LTO Selection:
16:40 Perth Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 16f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
It is difficult to determine which horse will do well based on this summary as each horse has varying levels of potential and form. However, 4/1 (3) DUYFKEN and 7/1 (9) DARKEST DAY seem to be the strongest contenders based on their recent performances and potential for improvement. 7/1 (4) JACKHAMMER may also have a chance due to their past success at this course, but their recent form is not as strong.
DUYFKEN was possibly a bit too keen in the early stages when he was edged out in a series final at Musselburgh last month, but a more settled approach could be enough for him to take full advantage of this drop in class. Bruce Lynn knows the selection well and his 3lb claim is a handy asset. The unexposed Thistlebuffs could have more to give with a tongue-tie now applied, while recent Wetherby winner Darkest Day is also feared off just 4lb higher.
There should be more to come from THISTLEBUFFS, who has acquitted himself well in a couple of novices and starts handicapping on a feasible mark. Duyfken and El Jefe head the list of dangers.
(6) Vital Island 3/1, Fairly useful chaser. Course winner. Back from 7 months off when creditable second of 12 in minor event chase (11/10) here (25f, good to soft) 2 days ago. Significantly back up in trip. One for shortlist. Won the 3m Ladies' Cup here 12 months ago; was second in that event here Tuesday.
2
2nd (1) (1.75/1 +13%) Stealthy Tom
1.75/1(+13%)
(1) Stealthy Tom 1.75/1, Disappointed, dropped in trip over hurdles latest, but had taken 20-runner minor event chase (8/1) at this course (25f, good to soft) previously and holds strong claims. Won 3m1f event over this course in February, kept ticking over with a handicap hurdle run.
3
3rd (4) (28/1 +58%) Michael's Pick
28/1(+58%)
(4) Michael's Pick 28/1, Fair chaser. One win from 25 NH runs. 50/1, below form fifth of 12 in minor event chase at this course (25f, good to soft) 2 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Cheekpieces on for 1st time. 80-1 second in this race in 2021, held by Vital Island on recent form, 5th in Ladies' Cup.
4
4th (8) (16/1 +36%) Blast Of Koeman
16/1(+36%)
(8) Blast Of Koeman 16/1, Temperamental sort. 14/1, pulled up in minor event chase at this course (25f, good to soft) 67 days ago won by Stealthy Tom, struggling badly soon after halfway. Significantly back up in trip. Up against it. Third in this race last year, has run well on other occasions too, poor on last two visits.
5th
5th (5) (8/1 -45%) Midnight Maestro
8/1(-45%)
(5) Midnight Maestro 8/1, Course winner (25f) last season. Not in same form this term but worth a second look in the market with top amateur booked. Won over 3m1f here last season, doubts raised by subsequent form, reportedly bled latest.
6th
6th (3) (6/1 +40%) Clonguile Way
6/1(+40%)
(3) Clonguile Way 6/1, Fairly useful chaser. Course winner. Ninth of 10 in handicap chase at Kelso (26.2f, soft, 14/1) 33 days ago. Back up in trip. Each-way claims. Best form this term when second over 4m at Kelso, fourth to Stealthy Tom here in February.
7th
7th (13) (80/1 +0%) Western Sea
80/1(+0%)
(13) Western Sea 80/1, Modest hurdler. 100/1, well-beaten eighth of 20 to Stealthy Tom in minor event chase at this course (25f, good to soft) 67 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Easy to look elsewhere. Failed to find form in three runs at Thurles before remote eighth to Stealthy Tom here.
8th
8th (2) (50/1 +0%) Alpha Male
50/1(+0%)
(2) Alpha Male 50/1, Modest chaser. Course winner. 50/1, thirteenth of 18 in handicap hurdle at Limerick (21f, heavy) 28 days ago. Switches from hurdles to chase. Significantly up in trip. Hard to fancy. Useful form over orthodox fences at this track, struggled over this course in February.
9th
9th (11) (14/1 -17%) Space Cadet
14/1(-17%)
(11) Space Cadet 14/1, Fair chaser. Good third of 13 in handicap chase at Downpatrick (28.6f, heavy, 33/1) 25 days ago. One of likelier contenders. Beaten only a head by Vital Island at Knockanard, bright handicap display at Downpatrick.
|F|
|F| (12) (28/1 -12%) The Red Menace
28/1(-12%)
(12) The Red Menace 28/1, First run since leaving Shane Kieran Ryder when well-beaten ninth of 20 to Stealthy Tom in minor event chase at this course (25f, good to soft, 10/1) 67 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Work to do. Went close against Vital Island and Space Cadet at Knockanard, disappointing since then.
10th
10th (7) (100/1 -203%) An Droichead Eile
100/1(-203%)
(7) An Droichead Eile 100/1, Modest chaser. First run since leaving Stephen Gerard Carey when 66/1, pulled up in minor event chase at this course (25f, good to soft) 67 days ago won by Stealthy Tom. Significantly up in trip. Makes limited appeal. Failed to adapt to this course in the race won by Stealthy Tom in February, no appeal.
|PU|
|PU| (9) (8/1 -45%) Mortal
8/1(-45%)
(9) Mortal 8/1, Useful chaser. Below par latest but acquitted himself well in both Cross Country Chases at Cheltenham earlier this year and must be taken seriously. Has shown some ability in cross-country races at Cheltenham, flopped at Downpatrick latest.
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
Based on the summary, 2/1 (1) STEALTHY TOM, 2.75/1 (6) VITAL ISLAND, 5.5/1 (9) MORTAL, and 12/1 (11) SPACE CADET seem to be the likeliest contenders in the upcoming race.
SPACE CADET looks a solid each-way play. The admirable 13-year-old gelding is a former winner of the Ulster National at Downpatrick in 2020 and ran a cracker in this year's renewal when third over the extended 3m4f trip at the start of the month. On his penultimate outing, he was beaten by a head over the banks course at Knockanard. The horse that beat him, Vital Island, is a more than decent yardstick in this discipline. He is due to line up, but ran on Tuesday over the banks at the festival and had a tough race in finishing second. A two-day turnaround would be tricky over this trip, although he did attempt it last season and unseated in this race after winning on the Tuesday. Stealthy Tom is clearly the horse to beat. He travelled smoothly before winning a 3m1f banks race at this track in Punchestown. This is a fair step up in trip but, if he travels, he should be difficult to beat.
STEALTHY TOM looks to have found his niche in this discipline and can land the spoils. Mortal and Vital Island rate the principal dangers.
The safest choice is possibly his stablemate STEALTHY TOM who showed his toughness when scoring over 3m1f here in February
(2) Northern Poet 2.5/1, Bumper/hurdles winner who has improved a little to land 2 of his 3 starts over fences, seeing off a sustained challenge from the runner-up for the latest of them at Plumpton (25.7f) 18 days ago. Possibilities in hat-trick bid from 2 lb higher mark. Won small-field handicap chases on good going at Huntingdon and Plumpton on last two runs.
2
2nd (5) (10/1 +29%) Henschke
10/1(+29%)
(5) Henschke 10/1, Good start over fences following a second wind op when runner-up at Hereford in January and went one better over 21f at Ffos Las later that month. Has failed to complete all 3 starts since though, soon off bridle and beaten long way out at Exeter (24.2f) 16 days ago. Won at Ffos Las (2m5f, soft) in January in his second chase; non-completions have followed.
3
3rd (7) (4/1 +38%) Pottlerath
4/1(+38%)
(7) Pottlerath 4/1, Successful 3 times over hurdles during 2022 including over 26f here and even better form when runner-up on 3 of last 4 starts in that sphere. Fairly low-key start over larger obstacles more recently but the assessor is relinquishing his grip at least. Latest chase performance offered something to work on but he's not top of the list.
4
4th (1) (9/1 -13%) Coo Star Sivola
9/1(-13%)
(1) Coo Star Sivola 9/1, Won the Ultima at Cheltenham in 2018 and some useful efforts for Nick Williams in 2020/21. Hasn't looked the force of old since returning from lengthy absence for new yard this campaign, however. Thrown in if judged on his form up to spring 2021; had a long absence before this term.
5th
5th (3) (5.5/1 +8%) Daranova
5.5/1(+8%)
(3) Daranova 5.5/1, Did well upon joining new yard, winning a couple of 3m Bangor handicap chases and second to a well-treated sort at Uttoxeter (26f) in June. Shaped as if retaining all his ability before being derailed by a bad stumble on return here (29f) in March and better expected now. Latest result is easy to forgive and he should be much more interesting again today.
6th
6th (4) (4.5/1 +0%) Eclair De Guye
4.5/1(+0%)
(4) Eclair De Guye 4.5/1, Good form in regional Nationals around the turn of the year and perked up by application of first-time blinkers when runner-up at Market Rasen (23.8f) 18 days ago. Headgear needs to have desired effect once more here. First-time blinkers when taking a step back in the right direction on latest outing.
7th
7th (6) (8/1 -23%) Who's In The Box
8/1(-23%)
(6) Who's In The Box 8/1, Snapped a long losing run with cheekpieces refitted at Carlisle (24.5f) in February and dispelled a poor effort when third at Market Rasen (23.8f) earlier this month. May find a couple too good again here, though. Carlisle win (3m, soft) in February; ran poorly next time; held by Eclair De Guye latest.
LTO Selection:
17:00 Warwick Handicap Chase (Class 4) 24f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Based on the summary, 2/1 (2) NORTHERN POET seems to be the strongest contender, having won two small-field handicap chases on good going and improved to win two of his three starts over fences. He also saw off a sustained challenge from the runner-up in his latest win at Plumpton. 4.5/1 (4) ECLAIR DE GUYE and 6/1 (3) DARANOVA also have some potential, with 4.5/1 (4) ECLAIR DE GUYE's recent application of blinkers having a positive effect and 6/1 (3) DARANOVA having won a couple of 3m Bangor handicap chases and shaping well before being derailed by an accident in his last race at the same track. The other contenders may have some limitations or inconsistencies that make them less likely to win.
NORTHERN POET has made a terrific start to his chasing career and a 2lb rise for a determined success at Plumpton last time may not be enough to prevent him from bringing up the hat-trick. Eclair De Guye has shown glimpses of form this season but remains winless since December 2020, whereas, Who's In The Box managed to score at Carlisle in February and could be the biggest danger.
A number arrive with something to prove but that can't be said for NORTHERN POET who saw off a sustained late challenge to double his career tally in this sphere at Plumpton recently and a mere 2 lb rise should see him go well again in his hat-trick bid. Daranova, with a reappearance run under his belt, and Eclair de Guye head up the dangers.
(1) Cantora 1.38/1, Promising type who won a brace of nurseries on slow ground last term and all the better for return when good second of 8 in handicap at Redcar (10f, heavy) 10 days ago, no extra close home. Sound claims from same mark. Near-miss at Redcar last Monday and major player if this different ground isn't an issue.
2
2nd (4) (16/1 -78%) Crosstitch
16/1(-78%)
(4) Crosstitch 16/1, 17/2, first run since leaving Ivan Furtado when 3 lengths fourth of 6 to Papa Ricco in handicap at Nottingham (10.2f, heavy) 22 days ago, no extra late on. May strip fitter for that here and each-way claims. Step back in right direction three weeks ago; may be able to build on that but needs to.
3
3rd (3) (5/1 -100%) Papa Ricco
5/1(-100%)
(3) Papa Ricco 5/1, Son of Almanzor who was well served by step up in trip/switch to handicaps when winning 6-runner handicap (4/1) at Nottingham (10.2f, heavy) 22 days ago, leading last ½f and asserting close home. Further progress certainly possible and he's one to consider. Won on handicap debut three weeks ago and could have lots more left in the tank.
4
4th (9) (11/1 +67%) Master Sheridan
11/1(+67%)
(9) Master Sheridan 11/1, Nearer last than first all 3 starts in novice/maiden events, including when sixth of 7 returning from 6 months off/having been gelded at Pontefract (10f) 16 days ago. Switch to handicaps rates a plus but would need to see market support behind him to make him of interest. Has shown very little but dam won six times for connections; check betting on h'cap debut.
5th
5th (7) (18/1 -29%) Future Times
18/1(-29%)
(7) Future Times 18/1, Respectable fifth of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f, 16/1) 47 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Has failed to threaten in his four handicaps; goes up in trip in first-time cheekpieces.
6th
6th (6) (14/1 +44%) Breathtaker
14/1(+44%)
(6) Breathtaker 14/1, Modest form on 2 of his 3 starts in maiden/novice company at up to 7f during second half of last year but easy to back and didn't find any notable progress for marked step up in trip when fifth in 8-runner Southwell handicap (12f) in January. More needed returned to turf. Soundly beaten fifth of eight on AW on handicap debut and improvement is needed.
7th
7th (5) (6/1 +57%) Mayjority
6/1(+57%)
(5) Mayjority 6/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Seventh of 13 in minor event at Doncaster (7f, heavy, 200/1) 25 days ago, driven halfway and never dangerous. Switch to handicaps rates a plus now but he does need to start with more efficiency. Significantly up in trip. Improvement needed on handicap debut but he could be suited by the step up in trip.
8th
8th (8) (18/1 +28%) Eyeofthebeholder
18/1(+28%)
(8) Eyeofthebeholder 18/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Fifth of 8 in handicap (12/1) at Redcar (8f, heavy) 17 days ago, weakening over 1f out. May well strip fitter for that and blinkers could put an extra edge on him. Didn't run badly on h'cap debut; dam's side of pedigree suggests this longer trip can suit.
9th
9th (10) (40/1 -21%) Wadacre Inca
40/1(-21%)
(10) Wadacre Inca 40/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Ninth of 12 in handicap (12/1) at Thirsk (12f, soft) 23 days ago, dropping away under 2f out. Much more needed. Unexposed and in top hands but well beaten on all four starts (handicap debut last time).
10th
10th (2) (8.5/1 -31%) Mickey Mongoose
8.5/1(-31%)
(2) Mickey Mongoose 8.5/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Had wind op/gelded, failed to improve for switch to handicaps when fifth in 7-runner handicap at Lingfield (1m, AW) 24 days ago, headed final 1f and fading. May sharpen up a little for that now tackling this longer trip. Needs to better his comeback run but could improve for this longer trip; not ruled out.
LTO Selection:
17:08 Beverley Handicap (Class 6) 10f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
2.5/1 (3) PAPA RICCO and 1.63/1 (1) CANTORA are the most promising based on their recent wins and form in their last races. 25/1 (8) EYEOFTHEBEHOLDER and 9/1 (4) CROSSTITCH could also be considered for each-way bets based on their potential to improve and recent performances. The others would need to show significant improvement to be competitive.
Papa Ricco (winner) undoubtedly improved for the step up in trip when he landed a similar race at Nottingham 22 days ago and warrants respect despite lining up off 6lb higher. However, the revised terms give CROSSTITCH (fourth) a reasonably strong chance of reversing the form and he edges the vote of confidence with this stiffer finish potentially in his favour. Breathtaker, Future Times and Eyeofthebeholder all try headgear for the first time and merit some respect.
A dual heavy ground winner late last year, CANTORA stepped up plenty on her comeback run when runner-up at Redcar 10 days ago and a repeat may well be enough to see her go one place better from the same mark. Papa Ricco improved for the switch to handicaps/longer trip when scoring at Nottingham recently and he's the chief threat, ahead of Crosstitch.
The step up to 1m2f prompted a first win from PAPA RICCO at Nottingham and this well-bred sort can take a 6lb rise in his stride.
(10) Magic Mike 8/1, Made frame second start in points and Irish bumper efforts for John Halley also weren't devoid of promise. Yet to better poor form over jumps for his current yard, racing too freely without his usual hood (back on now) when 12½ lengths third of 8 in 2m Newcastle handicap latest. Newcastle 3rd (2m1f, heavy) latest was closest finish under rules, in his second handicap.
2
2nd (6) (20/1 +0%) Pateen
20/1(+0%)
(6) Pateen 20/1, Back to winning ways at Market Rasen in July but operating below his best at present and others more likely. Veteran who may well have needed the race when 40-1 in a series final on latest start.
3
3rd (7) (5.5/1 -267%) Sanitiser
5.5/1(-267%)
(7) Sanitiser 5.5/1, Useful handicapper on Flat for Paul & Oliver Cole. Below that level in juvenile hurdles for current yard but that Flat ability marks him down as one who could go on to better things in handicaps. Gets the vote. Handicap hurdle debut means he can't be dismissed, particularly given his useful Flat form.
4
4th (2) (5.5/1 +0%) Leopolds Rock
5.5/1(+0%)
(2) Leopolds Rock 5.5/1, Reached a fair level on the Flat over the winter and has scored twice over hurdles under Brian Hughes in the first half of this season. Fit from a couple of AW runs last month and respected with Hughes up again. May have needed the two Flat runs after his winter break; 6lb above his last winning mark.
5th
5th (8) (6/1 +45%) Derracrin
6/1(+45%)
(8) Derracrin 6/1, Still a maiden. One of his better efforts when fourth of 11 in handicap at Carlisle (17f) 19 days ago but he'll need more if he's to get off the mark here. 0-13; absent 177 days before latest start and he did give some encouragement.
6th
6th (4) (2.5/1 +55%) Fathers Advice
2.5/1(+55%)
(4) Fathers Advice 2.5/1, Down in the weights and back on track when runner-up at Ayr and Newcastle last month. Ought to be very competitive again. 2nd on last two starts; also second in this race last year but his overall score is 0-15.
7th
7th (5) (5/1 +0%) Artic Row
5/1(+0%)
(5) Artic Row 5/1, Justified strong support when winning 8-runner event on handicap debut at Ayr (2m, good to firm; Fathers Advice second) last month. Bit disapponting at Carlisle on his completed start since but it's still early days. Considered seriously judged on first two handicaps but disappointing at Carlisle latest.
8th
8th (3) (16/1 +60%) Coolkill
16/1(+60%)
(3) Coolkill 16/1, Novice hurdle winner in April 2021 but has struggled in a light handicap career since, pulling up at Carlisle in February. First-time cheekpieces need to have a positive effect. Won C&D novice two years ago; subsequent form leaves a lot to be desired; cheekpieces now.
9th
9th (11) (33/1 +67%) Big Arthur
33/1(+67%)
(11) Big Arthur 33/1, Poor maiden who has been off since weakening quickly on his 20.5f Ayr handicap debut at the turn of the year. Drops back in trip now. Lacks worthwhile form, albeit after just one handicap (pulled up at 2m4f on heavy latest).
10th
10th (9) (20/1 +50%) Celestial Fashion
20/1(+50%)
(9) Celestial Fashion 20/1, First impact over hurdles when returning from wind surgery to finish second of 12 on 17f Carlisle handicap debut last month but not in anything like the same form at Newcastle since. Wind op before runner-up on handicap debut; failed to shine over 2m4f on heavy 12 days ago.
11th
11th (1) (80/1 -21%) Stand Staunch
80/1(-21%)
(1) Stand Staunch 80/1, Ran to a fair level when making the frame both completed starts over hurdles for Joseph O'Brien but has pulled up on all 3 outings for this yard. Remains to be seen if a second wind op and a first-time hedgear combination sparks a revival. Pulled up last three starts; two wind operations; tongue-tie and cheekpieces are added.
LTO Selection:
17:13 Perth Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 16f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the information provided, the horse that is predicted to do well is the one referred to as
SANITISER, who has won off 86 on the Flat, has shown an aptitude for this discipline since switching codes and offers strong appeal in race of this nature. This marks a slight drop in class for the gelding and he may have too much toe for the likes of Leopolds Rock and Derracrin, who both warrant respect judged on the pick of their previous hurdles form.
SANITISER is potentially very well treated judged on Flat ability so he's taken to make a winning handicap hurdle debut. Fathers Advice, twice a runner-up last month, and Leopolds Rock, who has a good record when partnered by Brian Hughes, head the dangers.
(2) Just Loose Change 4/1, Much improved when readily making a successful handicap debut at Worcester (2m4f) in October and took another step forward when runner-up at Fontwell (21.8f, good to soft) latest. Shortlisted. Has done well in handicaps and made a bold bid over 2m5f (soft) last time; respected.
2
2nd (4) (4/1 -45%) Sonnemoser
4/1(-45%)
(4) Sonnemoser 4/1, Some promise in bumpers and novice hurdles for Evan Williams and has made a sound start in handicaps for new stable, finishing runner-up at Wetherby (16f) and Huntingdon (20.7f). Looks sure to go well again. Went close in two handicaps for new yard this year and another bold bid can be expected.
3
3rd (9) (11/1 -10%) Colden's Dream
11/1(-10%)
(9) Colden's Dream 11/1, Disappointing following early promise for Dan Skelton in 2021 and no impression in a couple of starts for new connections this year. Mark is tumbling but he's struggled in both runs for new yard and has plenty to prove.
4
4th (10) (16/1 -33%) Per Vino Veritas
16/1(-33%)
(10) Per Vino Veritas 16/1, Modest maiden who stopped the slide when third in 21.4f handicap at Wincanton in February. Not in same form over longer trip here since, though, and others preferred. On dangerous mark but he's an inconsistent 12-race maiden and others are more solid.
5th
5th (1) (2.25/1 +0%) Fame And Fun
2.25/1(+0%)
(1) Fame And Fun 2.25/1, C&D winner who found further improvement when taking 5-runner handicap hurdle at Wincanton (19.8f, soft, 6/4) 11 days ago, plenty in hand. 7 lb penalty to carry now but another bold bid expected. Improver who was a comfortable winner at Wincanton latest; big player again under penalty.
6th
6th (7) (12/1 -9%) Symphorine
12/1(-9%)
(7) Symphorine 12/1, Visored for first time when taking 7-runner novice selling hurdle at Exeter (18.5f, soft) 16 days ago, pushed out. More demanded back handicapping here, however. Won a seller at Exeter last time but this is much tougher back in a competitive handicap.
7th
7th (13) (80/1 +20%) Freddie Fleetfoot
80/1(+20%)
(13) Freddie Fleetfoot 80/1, Yet to trouble the judge in half a dozen attempts over timber and is hard to fancy from 11 lb out of the handicap. Has struggled in all six runs under rules, including two C&D handicaps (good) this year.
8th
8th (12) (20/1 +70%) Sans Of Gold
20/1(+70%)
(12) Sans Of Gold 20/1, Unplaced completed start in points and hasn't really threatened over hurdles to date. Makes limited appeal from 7 lb out of the handicap. Has not finished closer 16l to a winner over hurdles; no appeal from 7lb out of weights.
9th
9th (8) (10/1 +17%) Auba Me Yang
10/1(+17%)
(8) Auba Me Yang 10/1, Stand-out effort came when taking Ffos Las handicap (15.8f) in February and well below that level over this trip at Fontwell since. Percentage call is to look elsewhere. Won on handicap debut at Ffos Las but he flopped in his follow-up bid at Fontwell (2m3f).
10th
10th (5) (7/1 +30%) Titanium Bullet
7/1(+30%)
(5) Titanium Bullet 7/1, Acquitted himself well in both starts since sent handicapping, latest when fourth of 7 at Huntingdon (20.7f, soft) 17 days ago. On a workable mark and can't be ruled out. Bit disappointing at Huntingdon last time and he needs to step up again after that.
11th
11th (11) (150/1 -127%) Wellwillya
150/1(-127%)
(11) Wellwillya 150/1, No impact in a trio of hurdles and needs to find improvement from 5 lb out of the weights on handicap debut here. Tailed off in all five runs and needs a transformation on his handicap debut.
|PU|
|PU| (6) (18/1 +10%) Leissieres Express
18/1(+10%)
(6) Leissieres Express 18/1, Found improvement in this sphere when fourth of 15 in 2m Chepstow novice on penultimate start but failed to repeat that effort on handicap debut at Wincanton in December and others more appealing. Has mixed record and questions to answer after another break.
|PU|
|PU| (14) (200/1 -100%) Vendange
200/1(-100%)
(14) Vendange 200/1, Showed nothing in 5 starts under Rules and not seen since June. 13 lb out of the handicap. Has struggled in all four hurdles runs and is 13lb out of the weights on his return.
LTO Selection:
17:20 Taunton Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 19f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the summary, Fame and Fun Improver seems like the most likely to do well as they were a comfortable winner at Wincanton in their latest race and have plenty in hand despite carrying a 7 lb penalty. 2.75/1 (4) SONNEMOSER and 5/1 (2) JUST LOOSE CHANGE also seem like solid contenders based on their recent performances and promising starts in handicaps. Other horses such as 9/1 (9) COLDEN'S DREAM and 100/1 (14) VENDANGE have struggled in recent races and are unlikely to fare well.
In a fairly open contest, only a tentative vote can go to SONNEMOSER. A runner-up to the Dan Skelton-trained William Of York on both of his handicap starts, Dr Richard Newland's charge is fancied to gain some overdue compensation and get off the mark. The consistent Just Loose Change appeals as a likely contender, along with Fame And Fun, for all that he must shoulder a 7lb penalty for his recent Wincanton triumph.
This can go to FAME AND FUN, who posted a career best when scoring at Wincanton recently and his penalty is offset by his useful claimer's allowance. Sonnemoser and Just Loose Change should also go well.
The most striking contender is Paul Nicholls' progressive 6yo FAME AND FUN (nap), who was an easy winner at Wincanton last time.
(3) Klassical Dream 3/1, High-class hurdler. 34 lengths ninth of 11 to Sire Du Berlais in Stayers' Hurdle at Cheltenham (24f, good to soft, 15/2) 42 days ago. Has won the last two runnings of this and likely to make a bold bid to defend his crown. Won this last two years; below his best in the Stayers Hurdle but is Paul Townend's pick.
2
2nd (2) (8/1 +0%) Asterion Forlonge
8/1(+0%)
(2) Asterion Forlonge 8/1, High-class chaser. Made it 3-5 in this sphere when landing the 6-runner Ballybin Hurdle at Fairyhouse (20f, soft, 11/8) 17 days ago by ½ length from Monkfish, driven out. Townend prefers Klassical Dream. Two fine runs back to hurdles, beating Monkfish at Fairyhouse last time; this is tougher.
3
3rd (6) (7/1 -8%) Sire Du Berlais
7/1(-8%)
(6) Sire Du Berlais 7/1, High-class hurdler. 8/1, career best when winning 10-runner Liverpool Hurdle at Aintree (24.7f, good) 12 days ago by 3¼ lengths from Marie's Rock, staying on strongly. Clearly at the top of his game. Back to best in winning the Stayers' Hurdle and Liverpool Hurdle; big player if holds form.
4
4th (8) (3/1 -20%) Teahupoo
3/1(-20%)
(8) Teahupoo 3/1, High-class hurdler. Creditable ¾-length third of 11 to Sire Du Berlais in Stayers' Hurdle at Cheltenham (24f, good to soft, 9/4) 42 days ago, faring best of those held up. Big player. A close third to Sire Du Berlais in the Stayers' Hurdle last time and has a serious chance.
5th
5th (1) (11/1 +8%) Ashdale Bob
11/1(+8%)
(1) Ashdale Bob 11/1, Smart hurdler. Twelve runs since last win in 2021. Pulled up in Stayers' Hurdle at Cheltenham (24f, good to soft, 25/1) 42 days ago (race won by Sire Du Berlais), folding in the home straight. Others preferred. Second in the Christmas Hurdle; questions after being pulled-up in the Stayers Hurdle.
6th
6th (7) (33/1 -18%) Summerville Boy
33/1(-18%)
(7) Summerville Boy 33/1, Smart hurdler. Won 5-runner minor event hurdle at Thurles (23.2f, soft, 4/1) 40 days ago by 4½ lengths from Asterion Forlonge. This is much tougher. Beat Asterion Forlonge in a 2m7f Thurles conditions event; could struggle to confirm that.
7th
7th (4) (10/1 +70%) Meet And Greet
10/1(+70%)
(4) Meet And Greet 10/1, Smart hurdler. Creditable 17¼ lengths fourth of 10 to Sire Du Berlais in Liverpool Hurdle (16/1) at Aintree (24.7f, good) 12 days ago. No more than an each-way squeak. Third in the Christmas Hurdle; below that level at Cheltenham and has a bit to find today.
8th
8th (9) (22/1 +56%) Whatdeawant
22/1(+56%)
(9) Whatdeawant 22/1, Useful hurdler. 13/2, third of 8 in novice chase at Gowran (20f, heavy) on debut over fences 152 days ago. Switches from chase to hurdles. Appears to be the least-fancied of the Willie Mullins-trained quartet. Useful sort was beaten 30l on chasing debut earlier this season; lots to find.
9th
9th (5) (4.5/1 +0%) Monkfish
4.5/1(+0%)
(5) Monkfish 4.5/1, Top-class chaser. ½-length second of 6 to Asterion Forlonge in Ballybin Hurdle at Fairyhouse (20f, soft, 11/4) 17 days ago, keeping on well. Good chance he'll reverse those placings with his stablemate back up in trip here. Ran a stormer over hurdles on comeback at Fairyhouse over 2m4f; can improve from that.
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
Based on the summary, 6.5/1 (6) SIRE DU BERLAIS seems to be in top form and has recently won two big races. 2.5/1 (8) TEAHUPOO also has a strong record and came in third to 6.5/1 (6) SIRE DU BERLAIS in the Stayers' Hurdle. 3.33/1 (3) KLASSICAL DREAM has won this race for the last two years but did not perform well in the Stayers' Hurdle. 4.5/1 (5) MONKFISH has potential after running well in a recent race. 8/1 (2) ASTERION FORLONGE also has a good record but this race might be tougher for him. 12/1 (1) ASHDALE BOB has not won since 2021 and struggled in the Stayers' Hurdle. 28/1 (7) SUMMERVILLE BOY and 33/1 (4) MEET AND GREET have both placed in previous races but might struggle to keep up with the top contenders. 50/1 (9) WHATDEAWANT is considered the least-fancied of the Willie Mullins-trained quartet. Therefore, 6.5/1 (6) SIRE DU BERLAIS and 2.5/1 (8) TEAHUPOO are the top picks to do well in
There is plenty of rain forecast for Punchestown and that will play to TEAHUPOO's strengths. He didn't have the clearest passage in the Stayers' Hurdle at Cheltenham, but finished well to be placed. Prior to that, he had been in winning form at Fairyhouse and Gowran Park. He loves it when the rain gets into the ground. Sire Du Berlais is gunning for a Grade 1 hat-trick after winning at the Cheltenham and Aintree festivals. He stayed on strongly to beat Teahupoo in Cheltenham and is in the form of his life. It would be a serious achievement if the 11-year-old landed this after his Cheltenham and Aintree exploits. Willie Mullins' Klassical Dream has won the last two renewals of this race and could bounce back from a below-par run at Cheltenham. His stablemate, Monkfish, made an impressive return to action after almost two years off when a close second in a Grade 2 at Fairyhouse.
TEAHUPOO wasn't seen to best effect when a close third to Sire Du Berlais in the Stayers' Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival and, still unexposed as a stayer, he is taken to emerge on top this time. To his credit, Sire Du Berlais subsequently produced another career-best when following up at Aintree and he won't go down without a fight. Klassical Dream can be expected to make a bold bid to win this race for the third consecutive, while stablemate Monkfish is a fascinating contender.
Though KLASSICAL DREAM(nap) ran no race in the Stayers' Hurdle, Paul Townend stays loyal so he can complete a three-timer in this race.
(2) Check The Score 10/1, €45,000 3-y-o, £75,000 5-y-o, Mahler gelding. Dam unraced half-sister to fair hurdler/fairly useful chaser (2m-2½m winner) Bohemian Lass. Successful on second of 2 starts in Irish points (Feb 11). Respected. Irish point winner in February; could well be a factor on debut for good yard.
2
2nd (5) (6.5/1 -44%) King William Rufus
6.5/1(-44%)
(5) King William Rufus 6.5/1, Diamond Boy gelding who has shaped with encouragement on both starts to date, third in quite a strong contest at Chepstow on latest. Should go well again. Fine second on debut; only third last month but still on the shortlist.
3
3rd (1) (4/1 +56%) Bentley's Return
4/1(+56%)
(1) Bentley's Return 4/1, Related to a bumper winner and stepped forward on previous efforts when runner-up at Wincanton 49 days ago. Will need further improvement to go one better, though. Improving with experience; runner-up last month and ought to be firmly involved again.
4
4th (13) (18/1 -13%) Don Marione
18/1(-13%)
(13) Don Marione 18/1, €55,000 3-y-o, My Dream Boat gelding. Dam, French 17f hurdle winner, half-sister to multiple bumper winner/fair hurdler (stays 25f) Coquelicot. Noteworthy newcomer. Cost 55,000euros and worth a second look on debut.
5th
5th (8) (16/1 -100%) Ned Cash
16/1(-100%)
(8) Ned Cash 16/1, Blue Bresil gelding. Half-brother to useful French hurdler/chaser Fou Et Sage and modest/ungenuine hurdler/chaser Wisecracker. Half-brother to winners and trainer does well in bumpers; worth market check on debut.
6th
6th (18) (66/1 +34%) Tiger Blade
66/1(+34%)
(18) Tiger Blade 66/1, Scorpion gelding. Dam (h100), 27f hurdle winner, half-sister to fairly useful chaser (stayed 23f) Alpancho. Limited appeal on pedigree and trainer not noted for bumper winners.
7th
7th (11) (22/1 +12%) Dorcas Road
22/1(+12%)
(11) Dorcas Road 22/1, Walk In The Park mare. Half-sister to useful bumper winner/smart hurdler Eskylane. Worthy of interest if the market speaks in her favour. Half-sister to a bumper winner and worth a second look on debut.
8th
8th (17) (2.75/1 +31%) Strutter
2.75/1(+31%)
(17) Strutter 2.75/1, €80,000 3-y-o, Racinger gelding. Half-brother to fair French hurdler Klaus Your Eyes. Dam maiden over hurdles/fences in France. Makes plenty of appeal on paper. Represents top trainer and bought for 80,000euros last year; of obvious interest.
9th
9th (16) (28/1 +0%) Maximum Effort
28/1(+0%)
(16) Maximum Effort 28/1, Dartmouth gelding. Half-brother to fair 2½m hurdle winner Just Sophie. Not an obvious sort on paper. Half-brother to a hurdle winner; worth a glance on debut.
10th
10th (15) (5/1 +55%) Golden Ambition
5/1(+55%)
(15) Golden Ambition 5/1, €35,000 3-y-o, Mount Nelson gelding. Half-brother to 3 winners, including fair hurdler/fairly useful chaser East Street and bumper winner/fair chaser Armattiekan. Makes plenty of appeal on paper. Half-brother to winners; stamina in pedigree; good stable is 5-26 in bumpers this season.
11th
11th (3) (7/1 +50%) Deerstalker
7/1(+50%)
(3) Deerstalker 7/1, £34,000 3-y-o, Walk In The Park gelding. Dam, showed little in bumpers/over hurdles, closely related to fairly useful hurdler/smart chaser (stayed 3¼m) Wakanda. Clear when fell last sole outing in points (Mar 18). One to note on Rules debut. Fell at final fence when about to win a point; of interest now switched to a bumper.
12th
12th (10) (25/1 -79%) Streamsforth Lad
25/1(-79%)
(10) Streamsforth Lad 25/1, Brother to fairly useful hurdler/fair chaser Dawn Raider and showed something to work on when third at Wetherby first time out. Could step forward from that, so not completely dismissed. Beaten 18l when third on debut but that still looks like good form.
13th
13th (12) (100/1 -300%) Grangeclare North
100/1(-300%)
(12) Grangeclare North 100/1, Related to winners and third at Warwick on debut but failed to back it up the last twice. Others make more appeal. Ordinary form and others appeal more.
14th
14th (4) (33/1 +18%) Forlano
33/1(+18%)
(4) Forlano 33/1, Closely related to smart hurdler/chaser Farclas and stepped forward from debut when third at Kempton. Disappointed at Plumpton 17 days ago and improvement is required. Consistent but very likely to need improvement to win this.
15th
15th (9) (150/1 -127%) Red Ripple
150/1(-127%)
(9) Red Ripple 150/1, £10,000 3-y-o, Gentlewave gelding. Dam, point winner/no impact under Rules, half-sister to useful hurdler/chaser (stayed 3¼m) Pure Faith. Newcomer; dam won a point; trainer without success in bumpers.
16th
16th (6) (66/1 -65%) Le Douet Vacu
66/1(-65%)
(6) Le Douet Vacu 66/1, Manatee gelding. Half-brother to fair French chaser Astaisien. half-brother to fair French chaser Astaisien (19f winner, by Astarabad). Dam, winning hurdler/chaser in France. Debutant; others probably more likely.
17th
17th (7) (125/1 -89%) Madra Morjohn
125/1(-89%)
(7) Madra Morjohn 125/1, Black Sam Bellamy gelding. Dam (h79) 3¼m/27f hurdle winner. Likely to need more time and distance. Newcomer; limited appeal on pedigree.
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the information provided, the horses that seem to have the highest chance of doing well are 4/1 (17) STRUTTER, 6/1 (2) CHECK THE SCORE, and 11/1 (15) GOLDEN AMBITION. They all have impressive pedigrees and have performed well in previous races. However, it is important to note that anything can happen in horse racing and all horses have the potential to surprise.
KING WILLIAM RUFUS disappointed when a short-priced favourite at Chepstow last month, but the form of that race has worked out well and the same can be said of his second at Plumpton on debut when behind the subsequent Champion Bumper third. Chris Gordon's charge gets the vote ahead of C&D runner-up Globe Player and Bentley's Return, who put in a career-best at Wincanton last time out. Strutter looks the pick of the newcomers for a team that knows how to ready one first time out.
This has a strong look to it and CHECK THE SCORE could be worth chancing on the back of a point win starting out for a stable that recently picked up a big race at Aintree in this division. King William Rufus has shaped well on both starts to date and is feared along with Golden Ambition.
(4) Shades Of Summer 2.75/1, Course winner. Two wins from 5 runs last year. Latest win here in November. Respectable third of 8 in handicap (11/8) at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 30 days ago. Could resume progress and makes plenty of appeal. Turned over at short prices twice this spring and the extra furlong needs to help.
2
2nd (3) (4/1 +50%) Winforglory
4/1(+50%)
(3) Winforglory 4/1, Lightly-raced winner. Two wins from 4 runs last year. Eighth of 9 in handicap (11/2) at Wolverhampton (9.5f) 31 days ago, slowly away. Back down in trip. Tonight's drop back in trip should help and he ought to fare better down another 2lb.
3
3rd (7) (6/1 +0%) Jenson Benson
6/1(+0%)
(7) Jenson Benson 6/1, 4-time course winner. Latest win here in February. Last of 9 in handicap at Kempton (11f, 18/1) 26 days ago. Significantly back down in trip. Not discounted returning to a track where he usually goes well. Will need a good test down from 1m3f, as well as a career-best, if he's to take this.
4
4th (2) (2.25/1 +10%) One More Dream
2.25/1(+10%)
(2) One More Dream 2.25/1, Five wins from 17 Flat runs. Three wins from 12 runs last year. 9/4, career best when winning 8-runner handicap at this C&D 14 days ago, bit in hand. Should go well again. Made it 2-2 over C&D two weeks ago; further 5lb rise demands more but holds leading claims.
5th
5th (1) (125/1 -213%) Baikal
125/1(-213%)
(1) Baikal 125/1, Last of 13 in handicap at Redcar (10f, heavy, 50/1) 10 days ago. Down in trip. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Uphill task. Maiden who's with his third yard; comes right down in trip in first-time cheekpieces.
6th
6th (5) (6.5/1 +46%) Papa Stour
6.5/1(+46%)
(5) Papa Stour 6.5/1, Two wins from 5 runs last year. 14/1 and hooded for 1st time, fifth of 7 in handicap at this course (8f) 26 days ago. Visor back on, tongue strap back on. Chance if rediscovering old form. On the downgrade since returning from eight months off and others are more likely.
7th
7th (6) (14/1 -87%) Ideal Guest
14/1(-87%)
(6) Ideal Guest 14/1, Three wins from 12 runs last year. Sixth of 9 in handicap (6/1) at Yarmouth (7f, good to soft). Off 6 months. Others make more appeal. May well be able to get his own way but will need to be spot on off this mark.
LTO Selection:
17:40 Chelmsford Handicap (Class 5) 7f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
2.5/1 (2) ONE MORE DREAM seems like the most likely to do well, given their recent form and the fact that they have already won at this course twice, with a recent win over the same distance. 2.25/1 (4) SHADES OF SUMMER also has potential, with their respectable third place finish in their last race and a previous win at this course.
A taking winner over course and distance last time out, ONE MORE DREAM can follow up off a 5lb higher mark and gain a sixth career victory. That may be at the main expense of the dual-course winner Shades Of Summer, who has the potential to improve for this step up in trip. Ideal Guest is another to note on his return, as well as Jenson Benson.
SHADES OF SUMMER was progressive prior to her respectable effort at Wolverhampton and a return to this track should help, so she's marginally preferred to the likeable One More Dream, who is still going the right way. Jenson Benson is also considered.
It's hard to get away from the progressive ONE MORE DREAM (nap) as he bids to make it 3-3 over C&D. Winforglory rates the danger.
(2) Vicki Vale 0.53/1, Taking winner on hurdles debut in November. Hasn't really progressed as expected and was too keen when failing to justify short odds at Kempton last time but still has to be considered the one to beat. Can take a strong hold but she sets a good standard and should be hard to beat.
2
2nd (1) (1.88/1 +6%) Parikarma
1.88/1(+6%)
(1) Parikarma 1.88/1, 3-time winner on Flat who confirmed hurdles debut promise when landing a 7-runner mares' C&D novice. Ran at least as well under a penalty when second at Lingfield and should give Vicki Vale plenty to think about. C&D winner in February before a respectable second under a penalty at Lingfield; player.
3
3rd (5) (16/1 -100%) Sniper Point
16/1(-100%)
(5) Sniper Point 16/1, Showed fairly useful form when winning a claimer at Cagner-Sur-Mer on final start for Hugo Merienn, but was easy to back and made a disappointing British debut after 9 weeks off at Wincanton. Won her final run in France but was disappointing on her British/stable debut last month.
4
4th (3) (125/1 -89%) Astro Babe
125/1(-89%)
(3) Astro Babe 125/1, Half-sister to 3 winners but beat only one home in 2 bumpers last summer. Modest form in two bumpers last summer and she is best watched on hurdling debut.
|U|
|U| (4) (33/1 +0%) Ryder's Rock
33/1(+0%)
(4) Ryder's Rock 33/1, Went backwards from debut when a well-held fourth in 9-runner bumper at Wincanton (15.2f, soft) 49 days ago. Makes hurdles debut. Finished in midfield in two bumpers and needs a transformation on this switch to hurdling.
LTO Selection:
17:50 Taunton Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 16f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Based on the summary provided, it seems that 2/1 (1) PARIKARMA is the strongest contender, with a proven track record and recent successful performance in a mares' C&D novice race. 0.67/1 (2) VICKI VALE also has potential, but has not progressed as expected and had a disappointing performance at Kempton last time. 8/1 (5) SNIPER POINT and 33/1 (4) RYDER'S ROCK both have previous disappointing performances and are untested in hurdles. 66/1 (3) ASTRO BABE has not shown promising form in previous bumpers and may not be a strong contender in her hurdling debut.
Beaten twice as an odds-on favourite this year, it would be no surprise were punters to err on the side of caution with VICKI VALE. However, the form of the races in question reads well, so Dan Skelton's mare, who sets the standard with an official rating of 119, ought to be difficult to stop. Parikarma lost nothing in defeat when finishing second under a penalty at Lingfield 66 days ago, and she appeals as the main danger. Sniper Point can chase them home.
VICKI VALE hasn't progressed as expected following her taking win on her Hereford hurdles debut in November, but she's still the one to beat on the pick of her form. Parikarma is the obvious threat.
This can go to Dan Skelton's VICKI VALE, who sets a good standard on her best form. C&D winner Parikarma is feared most.
(15) Kilbeg King 12/1, Lightly-raced winner under NH rules. Very good second of 10 in handicap hurdle (15/2) at Newbury (24.2f, soft) 34 days ago, running on. Yard having good spell. Open to improvement. Dual winner over shorter in UK just denied over this trip last time and one to consider.
2
2nd (18) (14/1 -17%) Lets Go Champ
14/1(-17%)
(18) Lets Go Champ 14/1, Thrice-raced winner over hurdles. 4/9, won 19-runner novice hurdle at Tipperary (20.2f, soft) 9 days ago, kept up to work. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Very much unexposed. Came back from a huge absence this season; won a Tipperary maiden last time; more needed.
3
3rd (12) (16/1 +0%) Sir Argus
16/1(+0%)
(12) Sir Argus 16/1, Evens, didn't need to be at best when winning 9-runner novice hurdle at Cork (24.4f, soft) 17 days ago, going with enthusiasm. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Won a Cork maiden over this trip; this is much tougher but he is going the right way.
4
4th (16) (8.5/1 +0%) Grozni
8.5/1(+0%)
(16) Grozni 8.5/1, Promising type. C&D winner. 3 wins from 10 runs this season. Good second of 17 in handicap hurdle (5/1) at Leopardstown (24f, good to soft) 82 days ago. Can make presence felt. C&D winner ran a fine race in a competitive Leopardstown h'cap at Christmas; player again.
5th
5th (23) (9/1 +50%) Lord Snootie
9/1(+50%)
(23) Lord Snootie 9/1, Promising sort. Winner in hurdle at Warwick in December. Creditable second of 13 in handicap hurdle (7/2) at Uttoxeter (23.3f, soft) 40 days ago. Tongue strap on 1st time. Not taken lightly. Thorough stayer has already won over 3m2f; solid second last time and a player again.
6th
6th (1) (25/1 +0%) Beacon Edge
25/1(+0%)
(1) Beacon Edge 25/1, Course winner. Creditable 4 lengths third of 6 to Asterion Forlonge in Ballybin Hurdle at Fairyhouse (20f, soft, 7/1) 17 days ago. Respected dropped in class even with top-weight; rider great value for his claim.
7th
7th (20) (25/1 -14%) Toss Again
25/1(-14%)
(20) Toss Again 25/1, Lightly-raced winner over hurdles. 11/10, career best when winning 5-runner novice hurdle at Killarney (22.8f, good to soft), driven out. Off 6 months. Likely to improve. Won a Ballinrobe maiden last summer and a Killarney novice in October; has to step up.
8th
8th (4) (11/1 -38%) Parmenion
11/1(-38%)
(4) Parmenion 11/1, Lightly-raced winner over hurdles. Winner of maiden at Leopardstown in March. Creditable third in Fairyhouse Grade 2 over Easter. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Open to progress for top stable with a good recent record in this. No match for stablemate Nick Rockett in a Fairyhouse Grade 2; lacks experience for this.
9th
9th (5) (6/1 +25%) Walking On Air
6/1(+25%)
(5) Walking On Air 6/1, Latest win in hurdle at Exeter in February. Good fifth of 23 in handicap hurdle (9/1) at Cheltenham (24f, good to soft) 42 days ago. Yard in good form. Exeter winner ran well in the Pertemps and chance would be enhanced if the ground dried.
10th
10th (24) (8/1 +33%) Verdant Place
8/1(+33%)
(24) Verdant Place 8/1, Promising individual. C&D winner. 2 wins from 5 runs this season. 11/4, creditable second of 12 in handicap hurdle at Fairyhouse (24.5f, soft) 19 days ago. Looks competitive on form. Dual winner here, including over C&D; fine run at Fairyhouse last time and run well again.
11th
11th (3) (14/1 +13%) Gatsby Grey
14/1(+13%)
(3) Gatsby Grey 14/1, 14/1, creditable fifth of 22 in handicap hurdle at Aintree (24.7f, good) 12 days ago, running on. Seemed to stay this trip when ran a blinder in a Grade 3 at Aintree last time.
12th
12th (11) (33/1 +34%) Au Fleuron
33/1(+34%)
(11) Au Fleuron 33/1, Blinkered for 1st time, fifteenth of 22 in handicap hurdle (12/1) at Aintree (24.7f, good) 12 days ago. Ran a solid race in the Martin Pipe at Cheltenham but was well below that at Aintree.
13th
13th (21) (28/1 +0%) Dartan
28/1(+0%)
(21) Dartan 28/1, Thrice-raced winner over hurdles. 1 win from 1 run this season. Won 11-runner novice hurdle at Ballinrobe (21.3f, good, 6/4). Off 11 months. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Won two on Flat and a maiden hurdle lately; much slower ground up in trip today.
14th
14th (25) (80/1 -142%) Legacy Thor
80/1(-142%)
(25) Legacy Thor 80/1, Unreliable sort. 28/1, good second of 14 in handicap hurdle at Cork (19f, good to soft) 18 days ago. Up in trip. Back to form when second at Cork last time; first time over this trip today.
15th
15th (14) (33/1 -83%) Ailie Rose
33/1(-83%)
(14) Ailie Rose 33/1, Career best when winning 19-runner handicap hurdle at Fairyhouse (21.7f, soft, 16/1) 17 days ago. Improved form when a comfortable winner at Fairyhouse last time; 8lb higher but respected.
16th
16th (8) (40/1 +20%) Ballyshannon Rose
40/1(+20%)
(8) Ballyshannon Rose 40/1, Bit below form eighth of 23 in handicap chase (20/1) at Leopardstown (21.2f, good to soft) 81 days ago. Switches from chase to hurdles. Ran well over hurdles behind French Dynamite at Thurles last October and has a squeak.
17th
17th (22) (28/1 -12%) A Great View
28/1(-12%)
(22) A Great View 28/1, C&D winner. 31¼ lengths fourteenth of 19 to Ailie Rose in handicap hurdle at Fairyhouse (21.7f, soft, 22/1) 17 days ago. Enters calculations. Dual winner of this race is now 3lb lower than last year so has to enter calculations.
18th
18th (9) (66/1 -136%) Lunar Power
66/1(-136%)
(9) Lunar Power 66/1, Course winner. 11/1, good second of 14 in handicap at Dundalk (16f), sticking to task. Switches from Flat to hurdles. Significantly up in trip. Needs a couple of these to falter. Flat winner has run well in Graded races over hurdles; major step up in trip today.
19th
19th (6) (28/1 +15%) Rebel Ivy
28/1(+15%)
(6) Rebel Ivy 28/1, Latest win in hurdle at Limerick in October. Creditable sixth of 14 in handicap hurdle (16/1) at Cork (19f, good to soft) 18 days ago. Up in trip. Listed winning mare has run well in defeat in handicaps lately and this trip suit better.
20th
20th (13) (50/1 +0%) Max Flamingo
50/1(+0%)
(13) Max Flamingo 50/1, Cheekpieces on for 1st time, pulled up in handicap chase at Fairyhouse (29f, soft, 25/1) 17 days ago, pulled up twenty-first. Switches from chase to hurdles. Has work to do. Has been running mostly over fences in the last two seasons; best on a sound surface.
|PU|
|PU| (7) (4.5/1 +47%) Seabank Bistro
4.5/1(+47%)
(7) Seabank Bistro 4.5/1, Latest win in hurdle at Naas in January. Creditable third of 12 in handicap hurdle at Fairyhouse (24.5f, soft, 10/3) 19 days ago. Yard in good form. Should be thereabouts. Ran a fine race over this trip at Fairyhouse and could have further improvement.
|PU|
|PU| (19) (25/1 -25%) Sweet Will
25/1(-25%)
(19) Sweet Will 25/1, Promising sort. 3 wins from 7 runs this season. 10/3, career best when winning 7-runner handicap hurdle at Doncaster (24.4f, good) 54 days ago. Another to consider. Won his last three over hurdles, last time over this trip; has to enter calculations.
|PU|
|PU| (2) (40/1 -43%) Master Mcshee
40/1(-43%)
(2) Master Mcshee 40/1, 14/1, 17½ lengths fifth of 6 to Asterion Forlonge in Ballybin Hurdle at Fairyhouse (20f, soft) 17 days ago. Grade 1 chase winner; well beaten back over hurdles last time but can improve.
|PU|
|PU| (17) (66/1 -32%) Haxo
66/1(-32%)
(17) Haxo 66/1, Course winner. Bit below form 27½ lengths twelfth of 19 to Ailie Rose in handicap hurdle (22/1) at Fairyhouse (21.7f, soft) 17 days ago. Stable in good form. Tongue strap on 1st time. Course maiden winner over 2m4f has twice been well below that level; tongue-tie on now.
|PU|
|PU| (10) (80/1 +0%) Walking On Glass
80/1(+0%)
(10) Walking On Glass 80/1, Unseated rider in Ten Up Novices' Chase (66/1) at Navan (24f, good to soft) 74 days ago won by Churchstonewarrior. Switches from chase to hurdles. Not easy to make a case for. Jumping issues over fences lately and will be more at home back over timber today.
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
It is difficult to confidently predict a clear winner based on this summary. However, some horses that could be in contention include 8/1 (5) WALKING ON AIR (if the ground dries out), 8/1 (4) PARMENION (despite lack of experience in handicap hurdles), 8.5/1 (7) SEABANK BISTRO (with recent good form and a promising run at Fairyhouse), 8.5/1 (16) GROZNI (with a C&D win and strong recent record), 12/1 (15) KILBEG KING (with room to improve and a good recent second place finish), 16/1 (12) SIR ARGUS (with a recent win and going in the right direction), 20/1 (19) SWEET WILL (with a promising record and recent career best win), 33/1 (6) REBEL IVY (a listed-winning mare who has run well in recent handicaps), and 50/1 (8) BALLYSHANNON ROSE (with a chance after running well behind French Dynamite at Thurles last year).
WALKING ON AIR ran well in the Pertemps Final, stays well and likes a sound surface. He has run consistently well in handicaps this season and met some trouble in-running at Cheltenham, when running on late. He competes from a 2lb lower Irish rating and is dependable. Verdant Place and Seabank Bistro are closely matched on a recent Fairyhouse race and with both being proven stayers, have obvious claims. Parmenion is deserted by Paul Townend but finished third at Grade 2 level recently and notably steps up to this distance for the first time. Sweet Will is a proven stayer who should get involved racing from 1lb lower than when winning from his UK rating last month while Lets Go Champ was a slightly fortunate maiden hurdle winner recently but should be suited by stepping up in trip. Grozni ran well in a similar race at the DRF while Toss Again and returning Dartan are suited to drying ground. Sir Argus steps up in grade while Kilbeg King has improved over staying distances recently.
Although seemingly deserted by Paul Townend the fact PARMENION went off favourite in a Fairyhouse Grade 2 over Easter suggests he's thought capable of even better than he's shown so far so perhaps he can provide the Willie Mullins stable with a third win in this very competitive handicap in the last 4 years. Grozni showed he can cope with the demands of a competitive, big-field affair when second at the Dublin Racing Festival and heads the many dangers along with Sweet Will and Lord Snootie.
UK challenger LORD SNOOTIE is of most interest for a trainer who is brilliant with stayers and could still have a bit in hand.
(7) Spirited Guest 5/1, Didn't get his head in front last year but dropped down the weights as a result and returned with creditable second of 8 in handicap over C&D (15/2) 14 days ago, running on. Shortlisted. Claims on comeback second but was patchy last season and hasn't won in almost two years.
2
2nd (6) (6/1 -100%) Priscilla's Wish
6/1(-100%)
(6) Priscilla's Wish 6/1, Five wins from 12 runs last year. Career best when winning 8-runner handicap (66/1) over C&D on return 7 days ago, driven out. 5 lb penalty to carry now but another bold is anticipated. Surprise winner over C&D in a race run to suit last week; could be up to defying a penalty.
3
3rd (5) (3.5/1 +13%) Lord Rapscallion
3.5/1(+13%)
(5) Lord Rapscallion 3.5/1, C&D winner. Latest win here in December. 9/1, fifth of 8 in handicap at Newcastle (7.1f) 43 days ago. Needs a couple of these to falter. Currently 2-2 over C&D after two narrow wins in the winter,; not as good since though.
4
4th (3) (4.5/1 +36%) Business
4.5/1(+36%)
(3) Business 4.5/1, Latest win at Wolverhampton in January. 33/1, creditable sixth of 12 in handicap at Kempton (8f) 26 days ago, never nearer. Others have achieved more. Ran better than his final position latest; is one to consider back down in trip.
5th
5th (4) (3/1 +14%) Barging Thru
3/1(+14%)
(4) Barging Thru 3/1, C&D winner. One win from 3 runs last year. Latest win here in March. Visored for 1st time, fourth of 7 in handicap at this C&D (10/3) 21 days ago. Others preferred. Two solid efforts over C&D this spring; is a straightforward sort who enters the equation.
6th
6th (2) (5.5/1 +0%) G'Daay
5.5/1(+0%)
(2) G'Daay 5.5/1, 3-time C&D winner. Four wins from 14 runs last year. Below par when 3¼ lengths fifth of 6 to Lord Rapscallion in handicap over C&D in December but reappears off a fair mark and must enter calculations. Record over C&D since handicapping reads 123115 but is 3lb above his highest winning mark.
LTO Selection:
18:15 Chelmsford Handicap (Class 4) 7f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
3/1 (6) PRISCILLA'S WISH is likely to do well based on the summary as it won the last race and has a strong record with five wins from 12 runs last year. It may be able to defy the penalty and secure another win. 14/1 (7) SPIRITED GUEST is also a possible contender as it returned with a creditable second place after dropping down in weights last year.
PRISCILLA'S WISH has racked up plenty of wins over the last 12 months and she returned from 173-day break to score over C&D last week. A 5lb penalty for that success may not be enough to stop her as she looks to make it seven wins from her last eight starts. Runner-up over course and distance last time out, Spirited Guest looks to be her main danger, along with Spirit Of Nguru.
PRISCILLA'S WISH got back on the up when making a winning reappearance here last week and may be able to follow up. Spirited Guest and G'daay are feared most.
A chance is taken on BUSINESS, who shaped better than his final position last time. The reliable Barging Thru is next best.
(8) Phoenix Risen 4/1, Has got his act together since the cheekpieces went on, having plenty up his sleeve when opening his account over C&D (good to soft) a fortnight ago. Hit with a 10 lb rise for that success but there could well be more to come, so he's high on the shortlist. Surged clear when landing a C&D handicap last time; up 10lb but he's a big player again.
2
2nd (5) (8/1 +0%) Great Ocean
8/1(+0%)
(5) Great Ocean 8/1, Sole Rules success came over hurdles at Wincanton last January for Philip Hobbs. Easily most encouraging run for current yard when third there just over 3 weeks ago and drop back in trip looks ideal. His third at Wincanton (2m5f) was much more like it; claims if he can build on that.
3
3rd (4) (7.5/1 +63%) Kingofthewest
7.5/1(+63%)
(4) Kingofthewest 7.5/1, Dual hurdles winner at Taunton and Exeter last winter. Yet to improve on those exploits in handicaps this season but didn't get the chance to show what he could do in first-time blinkers at Chepstow earlier this month (brought down at the first). Has not hit top gear this season and he needs a major revival back at this trip.
4
4th (2) (3.5/1 +30%) Inca De Lafayette
3.5/1(+30%)
(2) Inca De Lafayette 3.5/1, French bumper scorer who made a winning British/hurdles debut over C&D last February. Has only run 3 times since and shaped as if amiss second time back at Chepstow at couple of months ago. No surprise to see the tongue tie back on. Pulled up at Chepstow last time and has questions to answer; tongue-tie reapplied.
5th
5th (9) (6.5/1 +7%) Clay
6.5/1(+7%)
(9) Clay 6.5/1, Fairly useful maiden on Flat for Richard Hannon and improved when third of 17 on handicap debut in this sphere at Doncaster in January. Not so good when sixth the last twice (let down by jumping most recently) but it remains early days. Inconsistent 14-race maiden who wasn't at his best last time; others preferred.
6th
6th (1) (4.5/1 +47%) Coolnaugh Haze
4.5/1(+47%)
(1) Coolnaugh Haze 4.5/1, Successful from 1 lb higher mark 12 months ago at Huntingdon and did all he could against a less-exposed rival after 4 months off under this pilot in that corresponding event 17 days ago. Could have a say in proceedings with that under his belt. Returned from a break with a bold bid at Huntingdon (2m) 17 days ago; respected.
7th
7th (6) (8/1 -60%) Universal Secret
8/1(-60%)
(6) Universal Secret 8/1, Belatedly got off the mark in a weak maiden hurdle at Wincanton in February and followed up back in handicap company 5 weeks later, getting the better of a drawn out battle from 2 out with a thriving favourite. Up another 4 lb and could be in the mix again. Has won at Wincanton (1m7f) in last two starts and he's open to more progress; key player.
|PU|
|PU| (3) (18/1 -140%) Cornicello
18/1(-140%)
(3) Cornicello 18/1, Fair Flat performer on the level in Germany and on the up over hurdles for this yard in the winter, easily gaining second win at Wincanton in November. Unable to justify short-priced favouritism when last seen 5 months ago and returns from a 5 lb higher mark. Dual hurdle winner who had an excuse at 2m3f in final run last year; dangerous on return.
|PU|
|PU| (7) (40/1 -186%) Naturally High
40/1(-186%)
(7) Naturally High 40/1, Dual Flat/2m hurdles winner. Off 14 months and has offered little in handicaps at Exeter and Fontwell this term. Hard to warm to. Ended 2021 with two wins but, after a long absence, he's struggled in both runs this year.
LTO Selection:
18:25 Taunton Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 16f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
2.75/1 (8) PHOENIX RISEN and 5/1 (6) UNIVERSAL SECRET are likely to do well based on the summary. 2.75/1 (8) PHOENIX RISEN has shown improvement since the cheekpieces were put on and surged clear to win a C&D handicap in his last race. Despite a 10lb rise in weight, he is still considered a big player. On the other hand, 5/1 (6) UNIVERSAL SECRET has won his last two races at Wincanton and has potential for more progress.
PHOENIX RISEN came well clear of his rivals when romping to a C&D victory two weeks ago, and a subsequent 10lb rise in the handicap might not prevent Jeremy Scott's charge from following up. Universal Secret arrives in search of a hat-trick having notched up a brace of successes at Wincanton recently and he merits respect, along with Coolnaugh Haze, who finished a good second at Huntingdon last time.
PHOENIX RISEN bolted up over C&D a fortnight ago and a 10 lb rise may not be enough to prevent Jeremy Scott's charge from doubling his tally. He gets the nod over Coolnaugh Haze, who did all he could against a lesser-exposed rival at Huntingdon earlier this month and should be in the mix once again. Great Ocean rounds off the shortlist.
The vote goes to PHOENIX RISEN, who got off the mark with an emphatic win over C&D two weeks ago and is open to more progress.
(2) El Fabiolo 0.25/1, Smart novice hurdler last term and an even better chaser, making it 3-3 with impressive 5½-length defeat of Jonbon in Arkle at Cheltenham (Dysart Dynamo weakening in third when fell last, leaving Saint Roi in that position). Can't oppose.
2
2nd (1) (5/1 +17%) Dysart Dynamo
5/1(+17%)
(1) Dysart Dynamo 5/1, Enthusiastic front-runner who made an impressive winning start to his chase career at Leopardstown over Christmas. Beaten 10½ lengths by El Fabiolo in Grade 1 there next time and would have finished behind him again (headed and weakening when fell last) in Arkle at Cheltenham.
3
3rd (3) (40/1 +0%) Indiana Jones
40/1(+0%)
(3) Indiana Jones 40/1, Useful C&D winner. Latest win in chase at Navan in March. 15¾ lengths fourth of 6 to Flame Bearer in Grade 3 at Thurles (18f, soft) 40 days ago. Up against it at this level.
4
4th (4) (11/1 -38%) Saint Roi
11/1(-38%)
(4) Saint Roi 11/1, Very smart novice chaser. 3/1, creditable 1½ lengths second of 5 to Banbridge in Aintree Grade 1 a fortnight ago but beaten 12 lengths by El Fabiolo when third in Arkle at Cheltenham prior to that and his stable-companion will surely be too strong again.
LTO Selection:
18:35 Punchestown Maiden Chase 16f Race Speed Rating Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
0.3/1 (2) EL FABIOLO is predicted to do well based on the summary.
EL FABIOLO was a fine winner of the Arkle and has plenty in his favour and holds Dysart Dynamo and Saint Roi on Cheltenham form. Dysart Dynamo was held in third when falling at the final fence, leaving Saint Roi to pick up that position and both shouldn't trouble the selection. That Cheltenham form was boosted by the runner-up Jonbon winning at Aintree, when beating Saint Roi and being a Christmas Grade 1 winner, might fill second place again today, with Dysart Dynamo arriving from his Cheltenham fall. Experienced third-season novice Indiana Jones is capable but needs to improve to win.
This should be plain sailing for the top-class EL FABIOLO who has already shown he's superior to stablemates Dysart Dynamo (second choice) and Saint Roi and can make it a perfect 4-4 in his novice chase season.
Granted a clear round of jumping, the season's outstanding 2m novice chaser EL FABIOLO should stay unbeaten over fences.
(7) Tiempo Star 3.5/1, Failed to go on as hoped last season, well-beaten sixth of 11 in handicap at Chester (10.3f, soft, 12/) when last seen in July. Needs to get back on track after 9 months off. Has a nine-month absence to overcome but is at least worth a market check.
2
2nd (1) (8/1 +33%) Phantasy Mac
8/1(+33%)
(1) Phantasy Mac 8/1, Five wins from 9 runs last term, including at Kempton on her final start in October. However, has struggled for form this year, tenth of 14 in handicap at Lingfield (1m2f, AW) 20 days ago. Nothing like as good in three runs back this spring and it's hard to back her currently.
3
3rd (9) (6.5/1 +19%) Hotspur Harry
6.5/1(+19%)
(9) Hotspur Harry 6.5/1, Shaped well after 7 months off when second of 7 in handicap at this C&D (16/1) 26 days ago, conceding first run. Needs to build on that effort back up in grade. Solid effort on C&D comeback this month; should go well again.
4
4th (5) (18/1 -13%) Last Hoorah
18/1(-13%)
(5) Last Hoorah 18/1, After 8 months off, last of 7 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f, 20/1) 28 days ago. Cheekpieces back on, but still looking for his first success in handicap company. No signs of a revival on his comeback, when last of seven behind Dynamic Talent.
5th
5th (8) (18/1 -13%) Balgair
18/1(-13%)
(8) Balgair 18/1, Course winner. Respectable fourth of 8 in handicap at this course (1m2f, 20/1) in November. Below his last winning mark, but may just be vulnerable to his younger rivals on his return. Does most racing now over further and is approaching the veteran stage.
6th
6th (3) (16/1 -33%) Dynamic Talent
16/1(-33%)
(3) Dynamic Talent 16/1, Three wins from 8 runs in 2022. Below form both starts so far this year, though, sixth of 7 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f, 11/) 28 days ago. Better chance of seeing it out round here; not consistent but is on his last winning mark.
7th
7th (6) (8/1 +11%) Brunel Charm
8/1(+11%)
(6) Brunel Charm 8/1, Again not seen to best effect when second of 8 in handicap at Lingfield (7f, AW, 12/1) 29 days ago, faring best of those held up. Capable of getting involved. Does most racing over 7f now; a lot will hinge on how he settles and how the race pans out.
8th
8th (10) (8/1 +11%) Goldsmith
8/1(+11%)
(10) Goldsmith 8/1, Won at Lingfield in December/January on first 2 starts for current trainer. Shaped as if still in good form when third of 7 in handicap at Wolverhampton (9.5f, 9/2) 16 days ago. Can make presence felt. Be happier back to Polytrack but the drop in trip, minus the usual hood, is a concern.
9th
9th (4) (5.5/1 +8%) He's A Gentleman
5.5/1(+8%)
(4) He's A Gentleman 5.5/1, Upped in grade when last of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f, 12/) on final outing last year. Could leave his latest run behind back in calmer waters after 5 months off. Just a single win to date; outside stall isn't ideal for one happiest on the sharp end.
10th
10th (2) (5/1 -67%) Lucky San Jore
5/1(-67%)
(2) Lucky San Jore 5/1, Two wins from 5 runs last year, successful at Wolverhampton (9.5f) in October. After 5 months off, ran well when second of 9 in handicap at the same C&D (10/3) 31 days ago. Major player on polytrack debut. Raced exclusively over 9.5f at Wolverhampton for this yard, often pulling hard; needs more.
LTO Selection:
18:50 Chelmsford Handicap (Class 4) 8f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
8/1 (9) HOTSPUR HARRY is the most likely to do well based on the summary. He had a solid effort on his C&D comeback this month and shaped well after 7 months off when second in his previous race. He is expected to go well again and just needs to build on his last effort.
This can go the way of LUCKY SAN JORE, who has done very well since joining the Marco Botti stable and this drop in trip could get him back on the winning trail. The four-year-old is narrowly preferred to Brunel Charm and Hotspur Harry, who was not beaten far over course and distance last time out. Goldsmith and Tiempo Star are also entitled to be thereabouts.
LUCKY SAN JORE has yet to finish out of the frame in 4 starts for his current yard, running well after 5 months off when second at Wolverhampton last month, so he is taken to build on his reappearance effort and resume winning ways. Goldsmith has also been in good form since switching trainers and can go well again, with Brunel Charm completing the shortlist.
After a pleasing C&D comeback, despite a slow start, HOTSPUR HARRY gets the nod. Tiempo Star is worth tracking in the market.
(8) Little Else 3.5/1, Bumper winner at Chepstow in December 2020 and posted by far her best effort yet over hurdles when fifth of 11 in a first-time tongue strap over C&D last time. Since undergone a wind op and wouldn't be without an each-way chance if she's benefited from that procedure. Not beaten far over C&D latest and has claims if she can build on that after wind surgery.
2
2nd (10) (6.5/1 +0%) Gaia Vallis
6.5/1(+0%)
(10) Gaia Vallis 6.5/1, Scored a couple of times last term and back in fair form the last twice, placed in handicaps at Stratford (2¾m, heavy) and Wincanton (19.8f, soft). Effective on good ground, too, and she's one to consider. Dual hurdle winner; has returned to some form with thirds in last two starts; in the mix.
3
3rd (1) (4/1 +0%) Ma Belle Noire
4/1(+0%)
(1) Ma Belle Noire 4/1, Runner-up at Ludlow (21.2f, heavy) on penultimate start and followed that with a respectable third of 10 over 19f at Fontwell, despite hanging. Down 1 lb and very much of interest back up in trip here with cheekpieces enlisted. 0-7 but she has a solid record and is respected at this new trip; cheekpieces added.
4
4th (15) (11/1 +67%) Rubys Reward
11/1(+67%)
(15) Rubys Reward 11/1, Landed a gamble for Anthony Honeyball at Fontwell this time last year but hasn't shown enough in 2 starts for new yard this season to suggest that further success is imminent. Won off 1lb higher at Fontwell (3m2f) last spring but she's not matched that form since.
5th
5th (3) (14/1 +13%) Kentford Mallard
14/1(+13%)
(3) Kentford Mallard 14/1, Successful at Southwell off a 3 lb lower mark last summer and back to that sort of level when second in a C&D handicap in February. Below par back here next time, though, and she's opposable on balance. 10yo who is not easy to predict and was laboured over C&D latest; risks attached.
6th
6th (17) (14/1 +13%) Hazy Dream
14/1(+13%)
(17) Hazy Dream 14/1, Remains a maiden following 8 attempts over hurdles and hardly shapes as though crying out for this step up in trip. Tongue strap applied. 11-race maiden who has not progressed over hurdles and others are preferred.
7th
7th (11) (11/1 +50%) Sindabella
11/1(+50%)
(11) Sindabella 11/1, Some decent efforts to her name over hurdles but has been struggling for form of late and it's easy enough to look elsewhere. Has record of 1-16 and she's been well held in last three completed starts.
8th
8th (16) (12/1 +40%) Universal Island
12/1(+40%)
(16) Universal Island 12/1, Fair efforts on first 2 starts in handicap company but she was pulled up tried in a first-time tongue strap (retained) at Wincanton when last seen in December. Hood also enlisted here. Hasn't looked entirely straightforward and was pulled up in her final run last year.
9th
9th (13) (33/1 +0%) Can You See Her
33/1(+0%)
(13) Can You See Her 33/1, Placed sole start between the flags but no impact in 4 starts in this sphere to date and significant step forward needed now hooded for this handicap debut. Still early days but needs a transformation at this new trip on handicap debut; hood added.
10th
10th (7) (6/1 +70%) Start Point
6/1(+70%)
(7) Start Point 6/1, Modest form at best over hurdles and while she stepped up on her poor reappearance effort when third at Wincanton last month, others make more appeal for win purposes. Shaped like a stayer when third at Wincanton and could be dangerous at this new trip.
|PU|
|PU| (9) (11/1 -22%) Danzini
11/1(-22%)
(9) Danzini 11/1, Career best when winning 7-runner handicap hurdle at Southwell (24.3f, good) last July. However. followed that with a tame effort at Worcester the following month and absent since. Flopped in her final run last summer and has something to prove after 247 days off.
|PU|
|PU| (2) (28/1 -75%) Makety
28/1(-75%)
(2) Makety 28/1, Landed a Worcester handicap chase in autumn 2021 but hasn't really built on that since and she's 0-14 in this sphere. Chase winner but she's 0-14 over hurdles and it is easy to have reservations..
|PU|
|PU| (4) (33/1 -32%) Ballymilan
33/1(-32%)
(4) Ballymilan 33/1, Dual 23f chase winner early last summer but she's not the most reliable and pulled up both starts since returning from a break, including back hurdling at Wincanton last time. Cheekpieces refitted. On reduced mark but she's been pulled on last two starts and needs a major revival.
LTO Selection:
19:00 Taunton Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 24f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the summary provided, the horse that seems most likely to do well is 6.5/1 (10) GAIA VALLIS. This is because she has won dual hurdles in the past, has returned to form with two third-place finishes in recent races, and has shown effectiveness on good ground. Other horses to consider include 4/1 (1) MA BELLE NOIRE and 6.5/1 (8) LITTLE ELSE.
HEY FRANKIE had quite a successful summer campaign over hurdles last year without winning and she returns from a 116-day break boasting strong claims in this. A mark of 88 looks feasible and she is narrowly preferred to 13-race maiden Milanese Rose and Ma Belle Noire, who is of serious interest stepped up in trip. Completing the shortlist are the likes of Gaia Vallis and Makety.
The addition of cheekpieces may help the lightly-raced MA BELLE NOIRE and she gets the nod in this open-looking handicap. Next on the list is Gaia Vallis, who has slipped to a tempting mark and her efforts in recent weeks have been more like it. Little Else is also worth a second look.
An open race in which Harry Fry's lightly raced 6yo MA BELLE NOIRE gets the vote ahead of Milanese Rose and Hey Frankie.
(11) Indie Belle 7/1, 7/2, improved to win 8-runner handicap chase at Downpatrick (19.2f, heavy) 25 days ago, easily. Looks competitive on form. Has to deal with a 9lb rise in this better race but she has momentum behind her..
2
2nd (9) (40/1 +0%) Influential Lady
40/1(+0%)
(9) Influential Lady 40/1, Tenth of 11 in handicap chase at Fairyhouse (21.2f, soft, 20/1) 145 days ago, struggling some way out. Break needs to have perked her up. Only 1-11 over fences and recent form not good enough to seriously consider here..
3
3rd (7) (8/1 -14%) Lilith
8/1(-14%)
(7) Lilith 8/1, C&D winner. 2 wins from 5 runs this season. Third of 4 in handicap chase (15/8) at Market Rasen (21.4f, soft) 37 days ago. Trainer going well and better showing not ruled out. Below best last time but she won this 12 months ago and is only 5lb higher..
4
4th (12) (10/1 +60%) Shes Some Doll
10/1(+60%)
(12) Shes Some Doll 10/1, Below form 27 lengths third of 8 to Indie Belle in handicap chase at Downpatrick (19.2f, heavy, 2/1) 25 days ago. Needs to bounce back. Even if back on song it's not ideal being 4lb out of the weights..
5th
5th (6) (5/1 -43%) Secret She Keeps
5/1(-43%)
(6) Secret She Keeps 5/1, Winner in chase at Thurles in October. 15/8, bit below form fourth of 14 in handicap chase at this course (22.6f, good to soft) 158 days ago. Enters calculations. Solid start to chase career but lacks a run and Blackmore rides the stablemate..
|F|
|F| (2) (5/1 -25%) Queen Jane
5/1(-25%)
(2) Queen Jane 5/1, Promising type who impressed in making it 2-2 over fences when landing 6-runner handicap at Limerick (17.5f, soft) 32 days ago, readily. Up in trip. Expected to be bang there. Raised 11lb for Limerick but it's hard to gauge the ceiling of her ability..
|F|
|F| (1) (5.5/1 +39%) Broomfield Hall
5.5/1(+39%)
(1) Broomfield Hall 5.5/1, 3 wins from 5 runs this season. 25/1, 27¼ lengths fourth of 7 to Instit in listed chase at Fairyhouse (21.7f, good to soft) 19 days ago, some headway 3 out and never on terms. Switch to handicaps in this sphere rates a plus now. Would appear to be on a tough mark for this handicap debut over fences..
|F|
|F| (10) (11/1 +45%) Bonnie Kellie
11/1(+45%)
(10) Bonnie Kellie 11/1, Respectable fifth of 9 in handicap hurdle at Ballinrobe (22.1f, soft, 6/1) 13 days ago. Consistency essentially hard to knock and she's an each-way player back over larger obstacles. Not at her best over hurdles last time but had been competitive over fences..
|U|
|U| (4) (20/1 +20%) Optional Mix
20/1(+20%)
(4) Optional Mix 20/1, Latest win in hurdle at Limerick in December. 8/1, eighth of 9 in handicap hurdle at Ballinrobe (22.1f, soft) 13 days ago. Switches from hurdles to chase. Tongue strap on 1st time. Usually consistent in both disciplines but has to bounce back from two quiet runs..
|PU|
|PU| (3) (7/1 +22%) Western Zara
7/1(+22%)
(3) Western Zara 7/1, Hurdles/chase winner who didn't see things out as might have been expected when seventh in Kim Muir at Cheltenham last month. Ease back in trip will hold no fears and she finished a good second in this race from 1 lb higher mark 12 months ago. Runner-up 12 months ago and she didn't run at all badly in the Kim Muir latest..
|PU|
|PU| (5) (14/1 -100%) Pont Aval
14/1(-100%)
(5) Pont Aval 14/1, Fairly useful winner at 20f over hurdles. Respectable fifth of 12 in handicap chase (6/1) at Fairyhouse (24.6f, soft) 17 days ago, brief headway straight but not sustain effort. This trip rates more suitable and better showing anticipated. 0-5 over fences and was quiet on handicap debut; perhaps a tongue-tie can help..
|PU|
|PU| (8) (14/1 +0%) Kalli's Quest
14/1(+0%)
(8) Kalli's Quest 14/1, 11/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, career best when winning 12-runner handicap chase at Navan (24f, good to soft) 54 days ago, rallying when headed briefly run in. Headgear seemed the catalyst then and this a tougher ask from 4 lb higher mark. Navan winner; up 4lb in a stronger race this time and perhaps placed at best..
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
9/1 (11) INDIE BELLE looks to be a strong contender, having recently improved and won a handicap chase at Downpatrick easily. 9/1 (1) BROOMFIELD HALL may also be worth considering as it switches to handicaps in this sphere and has had a fair season with three wins from five runs.
INDIE BELLE has progressed well in recent times and might continue her upward curve. She won just once in 18 hurdles but was unlucky in a useful Navan handicap in February and has won her last two chase starts. She won readily at Downpatrick recently and while this is tougher, can cope with a 9lb hike. Queen Jane has also won her last two chases and while she too faces a stiffer task, on better ground, than when winning from 9lb lower at Limerick, is also progressive. Pont Aval is a 10-year-old maiden chaser but chased home subsequent Ulster National runner-up My Design in March, but was well enough held on her last start and now runs in a first-time tongue-tie. Kalli's Quest is 4lb higher than when winning at Navan and while she likes a sound surface, would ideally prefer 3m.
QUEEN JANE has improved markedly for the switch to chasing, readily making it 2-2 at Limerick (17.5f) last month, and an 11 lb rise in the weights shouldn't prevent a bold bid to complete the hat-trick on that evidence. Her stablemate Secret She Keeps is similarly low mileage and feared, along with Western Zara and Pont Aval.
This has an open look to it but perhaps last year's principals LILITH and Western Zara can dominate once more.
(1) Believing 2.5/1, After 6 months off (had wind op), 5½ lengths fifth of 15 to Mammas Girl in Nell Gwyn Stakes at Newmarket (7f, good to soft, 18/1) 8 days ago, no extra well inside final 1f. Respected back down in trip. Drop from 7f will suit and she's one of the likelier winners now she's had a run.
2
2nd (2) (11/1 +45%) Catherine Of Siena
11/1(+45%)
(2) Catherine Of Siena 11/1, Fairly useful filly. Latest win at Dundalk (5f) in December. 9/4, again ran creditably when second of 6 in minor event at the same course (6f) 42 days ago. Plenty to find upped in grade. This course should suit her style but she has plenty to find; holds each-way claims.
3
3rd (8) (9/1 +10%) Marine Wave
9/1(+10%)
(8) Marine Wave 9/1, Respectable effort when 3 lengths fourth of 10 to Matilda Picotte in listed race at Newmarket (6f, good to soft, 8/1) in October. pulling clear of the rest. Remains with potential after 6 months off. Better with each start last year; further improvement is possible and she's considered.
4
4th (3) (9/1 +10%) Glenlaurel
9/1(+10%)
(3) Glenlaurel 9/1, Looked good prospect when winning on debut at Thirsk. Back on track when 3½ lengths eighth of 13 to Swingalong in Lowther Stakes at York (6f, good, 50/1) in August, nearest finish. Should still have more to offer. Highly tried last summer after impressive debut win; this is more realistic; possibilities.
5th
5th (6) (10/1 -11%) Lady Hamana
10/1(-11%)
(6) Lady Hamana 10/1, Below form on reappearance when 9¼ lengths fifth of 9 to Perdika in listed race at Chantilly (5.5f, soft, 11/1) 37 days ago. However, could fare better having second try at 6f on her polytrack debut. Well held on her comeback in France last month; Pillow Talk perhaps her yard's best shot.
6th
6th (12) (20/1 -43%) Wave Machine
20/1(-43%)
(12) Wave Machine 20/1, Two wins from 6 runs last year. After 5 months off, shaped as if needing run when 8 lengths last of 9 to Tenebrism in listed race at Cork (6f, heavy, 12 /1) 19 days ago. Could play a part on polytrack debut. Again found this company too hot when last of nine on her Cork comeback.
7th
7th (13) (16/1 -60%) Woolhampton
16/1(-60%)
(13) Woolhampton 16/1, Fairly useful filly. 25/1, 4½ lengths eighth of 16 to Happy Romance in listed race at Bath (5f, good to soft) 6 days ago, merely passing beaten rivals. Makes polytrack debut with cheekpieces soon reapplied. Step back up from 5f looks in her favour but will be doing well to make the frame.
8th
8th (9) (5.5/1 +45%) Minnetonka
5.5/1(+45%)
(9) Minnetonka 5.5/1, Ran well after 6 months off when length fourth of 7 to Iconic Moment in listed race at Lingfield (7f, AW, 14/1) 54 days ago, having run of race. Needs to find more. Will be happier back down in trip from a handy draw but is vulnerable to improvers.
9th
9th (4) (40/1 -60%) Glorious Angel
40/1(-60%)
(4) Glorious Angel 40/1, Completed hat-trick in January, winning at Southwell (twice) and Newcastle. 33/1, below-par effort when seventh of 9 in minor event back at Newcastle (6f) 20 days ago. Faces a tough task. Ran up a quick hat-trick in Tapeta handicaps early in the year but this looks beyond her.
10th
10th (5) (20/1 -25%) It's Showtime Baby
20/1(-25%)
(5) It's Showtime Baby 20/1, Cheekpieces on for 1st time, not discredited when eighth of 24 in sales race at Naas (5.9f, good to soft, 40/1) when last seen in August. First run for yard after leaving Mrs J. Harrington. Picked up for 150,000gns; needs to have improved over the winter if she's to take this.
11th
11th (11) (5/1 -25%) Rage Of Bamby
5/1(-25%)
(11) Rage Of Bamby 5/1, Won first 2 starts before good third in Rockfel Stakes (7f, good) at Newmarket in September. Disappointing in Oh So Sharp Stakes at the same C&D (10/3) on final outing, but can get back on track on return. Leading contender. Combination of drop in trip, sharp course and stall 12 is a worry but sets the standard.
12th
12th (7) (80/1 -220%) Love Affairs
80/1(-220%)
(7) Love Affairs 80/1, Blinkered for 1st time, first run since leaving Clive Cox when 11¼ lengths sixth of 9 to Perdika in listed race at Chantilly (5.5f, soft, 17/1) 37 days ago. Difficult ask. Behind Lady Hamana on her comeback inn France and this again looks tough.
13th
13th (14) (20/1 +20%) Zouky
20/1(+20%)
(14) Zouky 20/1, Won both starts last year. After 7 months off, not seen to best effect when last of 5 in handicap at Lingfield (6f, AW, 5/2) 33 days ago, slowly away. Needs to resume progress upped in grade. Lightly raced but this is a deal tougher and she's landed stall 14.
LTO Selection:
19:25 Chelmsford Listed (Class 1) 6f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.
Rage of Bamby is the most likely winner according to the summary.
BELIEVING makes plenty of appeal following her creditable fifth in the Nell Gwyn at Newmarket. Twice second in Group 3 company as a juvenile and having her second run since undergoing wind surgery, there is a lot to like about George Boughey's filly and her supporters will be pleased to see that James Doyle keeps the ride. Marine Wave is feared most given her juvenile form reads well, while Rage Of Bamby finished third in the Rockfel and also comes into calculations.
Having won on her first 2 starts, RAGE OF BAMBY improved again when third in the Rockfel at Newmarket, so she is well worth another chance after a below-par effort on her final outing last season. She can resume her progress to see off the challenge of Believing, who is respected back down in trip, while Lady Hamana also merits consideration with her reappearance run behind her.
Believing is a player, with the drop from 7f in her favour, but the lightly raced GLENLAUREL is open to improvement and preferred.
(1) Lounge Lizard 2.25/1, Made the frame all 6 starts over hurdles and going the right way over fences, winning 25f Catterick handicap last time by 9 lengths from Betty Baloo (won next time). First-time blinkers worn on that occasion are retained. Should remain very competitive up 9 lb. Put in a dominant display when beating a subsequent winner at Catterick; leading contender.
2
2nd (6) (2.5/1 +29%) Imperial Joe
2.5/1(+29%)
(6) Imperial Joe 2.5/1, Dual C&D winner this spring, latterly by 8½ lengths a fortnight ago. An 8 lb rise demands more of him but no shock were he to find it at a venue which clearly suits. Made it 3-8 over fences with his C&D win last time; up 8lb but he's on the shortlist.
3
3rd (5) (2.5/1 +62%) Haldon Hill
2.5/1(+62%)
(5) Haldon Hill 2.5/1, Thrived this spring, winning at Ffos Las (3m) and over C&D last month. Even better effort when runner-up at Exeter (3m) last month and a further 1 lb nudge is unlikely to prevent another prominent showing from this very much in-form 10-y-o. Has done well switched to staying trips this spring and should be in the mix again.
4
4th (4) (4/1 +43%) Love Actually
4/1(+43%)
(4) Love Actually 4/1, Winning pointer who took well to fences with wins over C&D in December and at Kempton (3m) in February. Let down by her jumping when very disappointing at Fontwell last month but her excellent course record (also won twice over hurdles) suggests there's every chance she'll bounce straight back. Won her first two chase starts and she had an excuse on heavy last time; could bounce back.
LTO Selection:
19:35 Taunton Handicap Chase (Class 4) 23f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Based on the summary, 3/1 (1) LOUNGE LIZARD and 4/1 (2) AVIEWTOSEA seem to be strong contenders. 3/1 (1) LOUNGE LIZARD had a dominant display in a previous race and is favored to remain competitive even with an increase in weight. 4/1 (2) AVIEWTOSEA also has a strong record over fences and is expected to continue improving under their leading stable. 7/1 (4) LOVE ACTUALLY is also a possibility if she can bounce back from a disappointing last race, given her previous success over fences and good course record. 20/1 (7) BALLAQUANE may have some risks attached, while 7/1 (3) JET PLANE and 3.5/1 (6) IMPERIAL JOE may need to recapture their peak form.
LOUNGE LIZARD could not have been more impressive from the front at Catterick last time out and a 9lb rise could underestimate Henry Daly's charge as he looks to follow up. A winner of his last two starts over C&D, Imperial Joe can give him plenty to think about, along with the hat-trick seeking Aviewtosea. C&D winner Haldon Hill must enter calculations as well.
A few to consider in a competitive race. HALDON HILL has got on a roll this spring and might be able to make it 3 wins in his last 4 starts. Taunton-specialists Imperial Joe and Love Actually might be the pair to give him most to do but this is a contest where it's posible to make a case for most of the runners.
Top of the list is Henry Daly's unexposed chaser LOUNGE LIZARD, who came good with his dominant display at Catterick last time.
(1) Ballyburn 0.91/1, Point winner. 7/4, also won 13-runner bumper at Punchestown (16f, good to soft) on NH debut 50 days ago, well on top finish. Should improve and likely to take all the beating. Did well to win here in February and there was talk of Cheltenham after that; promising..
2
2nd (4) (8/1 +11%) Dancing City
8/1(+11%)
(4) Dancing City 8/1, Off the mark at the second attempt under Rules in 8-runner bumper (4/7) at Wexford (16f, good to soft) 53 days ago, finding extra. Could step forward again and likely to give another good account. No more than workmanlike at Wexford and Patrick Mullins has jumped ship..
3
3rd (7) (6/1 -33%) Slade Steel
6/1(-33%)
(7) Slade Steel 6/1, Successful on only start in points. 7/2, won 7-runner bumper at this course (16.4f, soft) on NH debut 129 days ago, cosily. Well worth his place in this company. Had a bit in hand here in December and the form looks all the better now..
4
4th (5) (14/1 +60%) Great Universe
14/1(+60%)
(5) Great Universe 14/1, Untrustworthy individual. Improved when winning 8-runner bumper (8/1) at Clonmel (18.5f, heavy) 37 days ago, driven clear. Likely to come up short in this tougher race. Quirky but talented; if bucking up his ideas at the start he could have some say..
4
4th (3) (16/1 +60%) Chosen Witness
16/1(+60%)
(3) Chosen Witness 16/1, Thrice-raced winner in bumpers. Well-beaten nineteenth of 21 to A Dream To Share in Champion Bumper at Cheltenham (16.4f, soft, 66/1) 43 days ago. Others preferred. Not gone on from his easy win at Limerick and wouldn't be the obvious answer..
6th
6th (11) (80/1 -60%) Cato's Revenge
80/1(-60%)
(11) Cato's Revenge 80/1, Twice-raced maiden. Tongue strap on for 1st time, third of 15 in bumper at Thurles (15.6f, good to soft, 50/1) 77 days ago. Lots to like about his Thurles run and the winner has since won a Grade 2 hurdle..
7th
7th (9) (3/1 -9%) Apple's Of Bresil
3/1(-9%)
(9) Apple's Of Bresil 3/1, Blue Bresil gelding. Half-brother to 4 winners, including fairly useful hurdler The Grey Falco, stays 2½m, and poor French hurdler Pola Chance. Dam 1m winner. Worth a market check. Interesting newcomer for an in-form yard that's 6-22 in bumpers the last five seasons..
8th
8th (8) (25/1 +50%) Special Cadeau
25/1(+50%)
(8) Special Cadeau 25/1, Lightly-raced winner in bumpers. Fourth of 5 in bumper (5/4) at Limerick (16f, heavy) 46 days ago. Yard in good form. Tongue strap on 1st time. One to consider. Good first effort for this yard but opposable on his subsequent exploits..
9th
9th (10) (66/1 +47%) Ask Anything
66/1(+47%)
(10) Ask Anything 66/1, Twice-raced maiden. 25/1, fourth of 8 in bumper at Naas (16.3f, soft) 28 days ago, unsuited by drop in trip. Twice well held and has to improve if he's to play ball with the best of these..
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
Based on the summary, 1.38/1 (1) BALLYBURN and 4.5/1 (7) SLADE STEEL seem to have the strongest form and are likely to perform well in the race. 50/1 (8) SPECIAL CADEAU and 50/1 (11) CATO'S REVENGE also have potential based on their recent runs and could be worth considering as well.
BALLYBURN won a course and distance bumper on yielding ground last February and is likely to improve. A point-to-point winner for Colin McKeever before moving yard, his course form has yet to be properly tested but the third-horse had finished second to Cheltenham Bumper runner-up Fact To File. He missed a Fairyhouse engagement on April 10 due to a temperature but arrives fresh and is Patrick Mullins' pick. Slade Steel, a points winner on yielding ground for Pierce Power, was also a smart CD bumper winner last December. The runner-up subsequently finished sixth in the Cheltenham Bumper and the third won subsequently, with today's rider again claiming 7lb. Owner-ridden Great Universe is quirky and while beaten 20 lengths by the selection in February, he surrendered plenty ground at the start. He was subsequently an impressive 2m2f Clonmel bumper winner but there might prefer testing ground and further. Loughglynn holds Better Days Ahead and Chosen Witness on Cheltenham form while Dancing City steps up from a Wexford win. Newcomer Apple's Of Bresil is notable being a half-brother to four French winners and out of a French mile winner.
Having won his only start between the flags, BALLYBURN made an excellent first impression under Rules when landing a bumper here a couple of months ago. With more to come, he looks the one to beat although stablemate Dancing City should provide formidable opposition. Slade Steel is another one to consider. Slade Steel is another one defending an unbeaten record, and he also merits respect.
A good bumper. A chance is taken on SLADE STEEL, whose win here in December looks all the better now.
(8) Poweredbylove 16/1, Stiff task when twenty fourth of 27 in sales race at Newmarket (6f, good, 150/1) in October. Needs to get back on track as she make her polytrack debut on return. Out of her depth in a sales race when last seen but had looked limited prior to that.
2
2nd (4) (2/1 +27%) Surrey Noir
2/1(+27%)
(4) Surrey Noir 2/1, Some encouragement when fifth of 14 in minor event at Kempton (7f, 15/2) on debut 29 days ago, not knocked about. Can improve from that effort to get off the mark. Showed enough on his 7f Kempton debut to be considered from a handy stall down in trip.
3
3rd (3) (12/1 -85%) Raven's Applause
12/1(-85%)
(3) Raven's Applause 12/1, Green but not beaten far when seventh of 9 in minor event at Pontefract (6f, heavy, 12/1) on debut 16 days ago, nearest finish. Can do better. Some promise after a slow start on his soft-ground debut recently and is one to consider.
4
4th (7) (9/1 -125%) Chamber Choir
9/1(-125%)
(7) Chamber Choir 9/1, First run since leaving Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero when third of 9 in minor event at Kempton (6f, 25/1) 26 days ago. Can give another good account with blinkers on 1st time. Better debut for this yard from a wide stall latest but remains vulnerable to improvers.
5th
5th (2) (7/1 +42%) Protest Rally
7/1(+42%)
(2) Protest Rally 7/1, Tongue strap on for 1st time, showed more than on his first outing when eighth of 11 in minor event at Lingfield (7f, AW, 50/1) in September, not knocked about. Others preferred after 7 months off. Is one to keep an eye on but maybe in handicaps after this.
6th
6th (1) (8/1 -45%) Get Off Me
8/1(-45%)
(1) Get Off Me 8/1, Shaped better than distance beaten suggests when last of 11 in minor event at Leicester (7f, heavy, 13/2) on debut 13 days ago, travelling better than most. Open to improvement. Debut was too bad to be true and maybe the heavy ground was to blame; can do much better.
7th
7th (5) (2.5/1 +17%) Hailey Ya Mal
2.5/1(+17%)
(5) Hailey Ya Mal 2.5/1, €16,000 yearling, Dark Angel colt. Half-brother to winner up to 9f Eqtiraan and 6f/7f winner Ejtilaab, both smart. Makes plenty of appeal on paper, so he's one to consider first time up. Half-brother to two debutant winners; is an interesting newcomer despite stall 10.
8th
8th (9) (125/1 -25%) Haulfronhobbs
125/1(-25%)
(9) Haulfronhobbs 125/1, 200/1 and hooded for 1st time, failed to progress from her first start when last of 12 in minor event at this course (7f) 21 days ago. Best watched. Well beaten in two runs over 7f here this spring; low-grade handicaps probably next up.
9th
9th (10) (25/1 +24%) Irish Rocket
25/1(+24%)
(10) Irish Rocket 25/1, Run best excused when eleventh of 16 in maiden at Cork (5f, heavy, 22/1) on debut 19 days ago. worst of draw. First run for yard after leaving Michael J. Browne. Speedy pedigree but didn't show much on sole Irish start.
10th
10th (6) (80/1 -142%) Metarace
80/1(-142%)
(6) Metarace 80/1, After 10 months off (gelded), still needed experience when last of 10 in minor event at Kempton (6f, 50/1) 10 days ago. Looks to be one for further down the line. Again hung left on comeback (50-1) and will probably find life easier once handicapping.
LTO Selection:
20:00 Chelmsford Maiden (Class 5) 6f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
3/1 (5) HAILEY YA MAL is the most promising horse based on the summary, as he has a strong pedigree and is considered an interesting newcomer despite being in a difficult stall position. He is also half-brother to two debutant winners and has a good chance of doing well in his first race.
SURREY NOIR ran well for a long way over 7f on his debut at Kempton last month and, with the drop in trip looking likely to suit, he can put that experience to good use in this company. Chamber Choir appears to be the main threat to the selection with the first-time blinkers a possible aid for improvement, although all-weather debutant Poweredbylove also has to be respected.
SURREY NOIR offered something to work on when fifth at Kempton on debut last month, not knocked about, and he can build on that effort to open his account at the second attempt. Hailey Ya Mal makes plenty of appeal on paper and could be the main danger on his first start, while Chamber Choir ran well on her stable debut last time.
Hailey Ya Mal is an interesting newcomer but this can go to SURREY NOIR, who shaped well from a tough stall on debut.
(10) Tom O'Roughley 16/1, Left below-par efforts behind when opening his account from 3 lb out of the weights at Worcester in September, leading from 4 out. However, produced a laboured display there following month and off since. Inconsistent type and it is hard to know what to expect back from 203 days off; risky.
1
1st (9) (4/1 +84%) School For Scandal
4/1(+84%)
(9) School For Scandal 4/1, Yet to win and pulled up last 2 starts. Easy to look elsewhere. Two good efforts this year but he's been pulled up last twice and is now 0-13 under rules.
2
2nd (2) (3.33/1 +58%) Lady Wilberry
3.33/1(+58%)
(2) Lady Wilberry 3.33/1, Maiden over hurdles but often there or thereabouts. Just a low-key start over fences at Wincanton last month. Tongue strap on 1st time. 12-race maiden who was a well-held fourth of five on her chase debut (2m4f) last time.
3
3rd (1) (6.5/1 -63%) Dindin
6.5/1(-63%)
(1) Dindin 6.5/1, Has had a busy season and resumed winning ways in a race that panned out well for him at Wincanton (20f) last month. Good second at Plumpton since and should give another decent account. Won at Wincanton last month and he went close at Plumpton last time; respected.
4
4th (7) (1.25/1 +29%) Hard Frost
1.25/1(+29%)
(7) Hard Frost 1.25/1, Bred for chasing and duly improved on his hurdles form when just failing at Market Rasen (17.2f) and Wincanton (20f). Can make it third-time lucky in this sphere. Ten-race maiden but he's gone very close switched to chasing in last two runs; big player.
5th
5th (8) (18/1 -80%) Scrumpy Boy
18/1(-80%)
(8) Scrumpy Boy 18/1, Cheekpieces on for 1st time when finally getting off the mark in 8-runner handicap chase at Newton Abbot a year ago. However, pulled up there following month and off since. Flopped at Newton Abbot last May and has not been seen since; stablemate of Lady Wilberry.
|PU|
|PU| (5) (18/1 -29%) O'faolains Lad
18/1(-29%)
(5) O'faolains Lad 18/1, Raced only 7 times under Rules, winning back-to-back handicap chases (at up to 26f) in autumn of 2021. Got no further than the third on first run since here earlier this month and soon brushed aside at Wincanton 3 days later. Difficult to assess at present. Won two staying handicaps in the autumn but has failed to complete in both runs this year.
|PU|
|PU| (4) (33/1 +0%) Ho Que Oui
33/1(+0%)
(4) Ho Que Oui 33/1, Fair hurdler in France and produced her best effort for this yard when scoring over fences at Ffos Las in October. Disappointing since, though, markedly so the last twice. Won at Ffos Las in October but she's struggled since and needs to turn things around.
LTO Selection:
20:10 Taunton Handicap Chase (Class 5) 22f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based solely on the summary, it appears that 4/1 (1) DINDIN and 1.75/1 (7) HARD FROST are the most likely contenders, as they have both had recent success and have shown improvement in their chase form. 8/1 (6) COBRA COMMANDER may also be a contender, as he has shown previous form at the course and has recently stopped a decline in performance. It is unlikely that 7.5/1 (3) ELECTRIC ANNIE, 8/1 (2) LADY WILBERRY, 10/1 (8) SCRUMPY BOY, 14/1 (5) O'FAOLAINS LAD, 16/1 (10) TOM O'ROUGHLEY, or 25/1 (9) SCHOOL FOR SCANDAL will do well in this particular race. 33/1 (4) HO QUE OUI may have potential, but needs to turn things around after recent disappointing performances.
Denied by the narrowest of margins on his last two starts in this sphere, HARD FROST can gain compensation with the step up in trip expected to suit. The consistent Dindin is a major contender on what he's shown in recent starts, while Lady Wilberry is bound to improve on her chase debut effort at Wincanton last month when she was sent off favourite.
HARD FROST has gone down only by a whisker on both his starts over fences and surely would have opened his account had he been fluent over the last at Wincanton 3 weeks ago. He's fancied to make amends at the main expense of Dindin and Cobra Commander.
Top of the list is HARD FROST, who has gone very close switched to chasing in his last two runs. Dindin is the main danger.
(3) Quinault 5.5/1, Promising type. Sixth of 8 in maiden at Lingfield (5f) 61 days ago, never nearer. Appeals as one who could go on to better things in handicaps. Has continued to pull hard over 5f for his current yard and needs to settle better.
2
2nd (1) (7.5/1 -114%) Rhythmic Acclaim
7.5/1(-114%)
(1) Rhythmic Acclaim 7.5/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 28/1, fourth of 7 in novice at this course (5f) 14 days ago, never nearer. Makes handicap debut. Open to improvement now handicapping at a lowly level for a yard going well; player.
3
3rd (4) (8/1 +80%) Smasher
8/1(+80%)
(4) Smasher 8/1, Modest maiden. Sixth of 11 in handicap at Kempton (6f, 50/1) 22 days ago, never nearer. Improvement will be needed. Hasn't progressed, twice finishing well held since handicapping; opposed.
4
4th (6) (4.5/1 +55%) South Dakota Sioux
4.5/1(+55%)
(6) South Dakota Sioux 4.5/1, Stuck in the mud at Catterick last time but had been running respectably on AW prior to that. Remains a maiden and had plenty of chances at short prices over the winter; headgear off.
5th
5th (2) (7/1 +22%) Missing You
7/1(+22%)
(2) Missing You 7/1, 10/1, seventh of 11 in handicap at Kempton (6f) 22 days ago, never nearer. Cheekpieces on first time. Exposed now and a lot will hinge on how he responds to first-time headgear.
6th
6th (5) (1.75/1 +50%) Twayblade
1.75/1(+50%)
(5) Twayblade 1.75/1, 6/4, improved to justify market confidence in 7-runner handicap at Yarmouth (6f, heavy) 12 days ago, making all. 5 lb rise doesn't look enough to stop him. Very well supported when making all latest; 5lb rise demands more but is respected.
7th
7th (9) (125/1 -213%) Carranita
125/1(-213%)
(9) Carranita 125/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Achieved little when well-held fourth of 7 in maiden over C&D (150/1) 61 days ago. Makes handicap debut. Huge odds for three runs; again achieved little when a well-beaten fourth over C&D latest.
8th
8th (8) (9/1 -13%) Sumac
9/1(-13%)
(8) Sumac 9/1, 7/2, 7 lengths fifth of 7 to Twayblade in handicap at Yarmouth (6f, heavy) 12 days ago but had been runner-up on AW on his 2 outings prior to that and Oisin Murphy takes the ride this evening. Behind Twayblade when below market expectations last time; return to the AW should help.
9th
9th (7) (50/1 -25%) Lashes
50/1(-25%)
(7) Lashes 50/1, Modest maiden in Ireland and well beaten on both outings for current yard. Ex-Irish maiden who's still to get involved in a finish after ten starts.
10th
10th (10) (200/1 -203%) Ritarocks
200/1(-203%)
(10) Ritarocks 200/1, Hasn't beaten a rival in 3 qualifying runs so hard to be positive even though she has a basement mark to work with. Three-figure prices for three runs in February, finishing a well-beaten last each time.
LTO Selection:
20:30 Chelmsford Handicap (Class 6) 6f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Based on the summary, it is most likely that 3.5/1 (5) TWAYBLADE will do well since he has won his last race and only has a 5 lb rise, which is not significant enough to hinder him. He is also respected and well-supported according to the summary. 4/1 (1) RHYTHMIC ACCLAIM may also have potential as he is open to improvement and his yard is going well. The other horses either lack experience, have not shown significant improvement, or have not done well in their previous races.
It looks best to side with TWAYBLADE, who exploited a drop in the handicap to score at Yarmouth 12 days ago. He made all that day and is berthed well in stall two to do so once again here. Quinault is bred to be smart and he merits the utmost respect on this handicap debut, while South Dakota Sioux is another to consider.
TWAYBLADE reacted positively to a switch to front-running tactics at Yarmouth last time and might be able to dominate here from a handy low stall. Quinault is a likely improver now switching to handicap company for the Stuart Williams yard and is second choice ahead of Sumac, who was comfortably held by the selection at Yarmouth but can fare better back on AW with Oisin Murphy in the saddle.
Twayblade is respected but preference is for RHYTHMIC ACCLAIM, who remains open to improvement for a yard among the winners.
(5) Seal Of Solomon 8/1, Four wins from 13 runs last year, the latest at Wolverhampton in October. 5/1, seventh of 10 in handicap there final start. Been off for 6 months. Othes preferred this time. It's possible he has more to offer as a stayer, so one to consider on this reappearance.
2
2nd (3) (5.5/1 -57%) De Vega's Warrior
5.5/1(-57%)
(3) De Vega's Warrior 5.5/1, 25/1, last of 11 in handicap at Nottingham (2m, heavy) 22 days ago but had performed with credit on his AW reappearance prior to that. 0-10; tailed off on soft three weeks ago but not entirely dismissed now back on AW.
3
3rd (4) (3.33/1 +5%) World Without Love
3.33/1(+5%)
(4) World Without Love 3.33/1, Won over this trip at Wolverhampton in November. Creditable second of 5 in 2m handicap at this course on reappearance a week ago. Cheekpieces back on. Enters calculations. Won easily from Golden Keeper at Wolverhampton (1m6f) last November; 2nd here last week.
4
4th (1) (18/1 +45%) Thunder Ahead
18/1(+45%)
(1) Thunder Ahead 18/1, Runner-up on AW Flat at Wolverhampton in December but has struggled on the Flat/over hurdles since. Others are more obvious. 2nd in December after wind surgery; soundly beaten in his 4 runs since, three as hurdler.
5th
5th (6) (8/1 +20%) Golden Keeper
8/1(+20%)
(6) Golden Keeper 8/1, Second in AW handicap on final 3-y-o start and possibly unsuited by testing ground when tailed off on his Catterick reappearance a fortnight ago. Tailed off 15 days ago when he first ran on soft going (also lost a shoe); not ruled out.
6th
6th (8) (1.38/1 +39%) Spit Spot
1.38/1(+39%)
(8) Spit Spot 1.38/1, C&D winner who ended her time with Chris Wall with a good second over C&D in November. Likely there's more to come for new stable this year. Big player. C&D 1st and 2nd in two of her last three runs for Chris Wall; plenty points to a big run.
7th
7th (2) (33/1 -450%) Noahthirtytwored
33/1(-450%)
(2) Noahthirtytwored 33/1, Prolific over jumps since last year. Improved effort on the Flat when fourth in Ffos Las novice last August. Makes handicap debut in this sphere back from 6 months off. Much depends on whether he's primed for this. Won last year in 4 handicap hurdles and a novice chase; interesting on Flat handicap debut.
8th
8th (7) (22/1 +12%) Dirham Emirati
22/1(+12%)
(7) Dirham Emirati 22/1, Well beaten over hurdles and on AW Flat this winter but stable's recent form is a plus back from a 106-day break. Out of form over hurdles late last year; last of nine back on Flat (1m4f, AW) in January.
LTO Selection:
21:00 Chelmsford Handicap (Class 5) 14f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the summary, 2.25/1 (8) SPIT SPOT C&D appears to be the most promising contender for the upcoming race. The horse has had recent successes, including two 1st and 2nd place finishes in the last three runs. Additionally, the horse has a history of success on this particular course and has the potential for further improvement under a new stable. Therefore, 2.25/1 (8) SPIT SPOT C&D seems to be the strongest choice among the listed horses.
WORLD WITHOUT LOVE finished a promising second over 2m here a week ago when returning from a 160-day absence. She's 4lb higher than when successful over this trip last November, but the daughter of Ulysses remains unexposed over staying distances and could have more to offer. She edges the vote ahead of Spit Spot, who hit the woodwork over course and distance when last seen. Seal Of Solomon must also enter calculations, along with Golden Keeper.
While her peak fitness has to be taken on trust there should be more to come from SPIT SPOT for her new stable so she's narrowly preferred to last week's 2m course second World Without Love. De Vega's Warrior presumably failed to handle deep ground back on turt at Nottingham last time but had run well on AW prior to that and can prove rest of the rest.
While others are also interesting, the ones to concentrate on may well be SPIT SPOT, World Without Love and Seal Of Solomon.
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How to use Tomform
Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.
This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.
About U.K Horse Racing
Horse racing is a popular and historic sport in the UK, with a tradition dating back centuries. It is a multi-billion pound industry that attracts millions of spectators each year and generates significant economic activity.
There are two main types of horse racing in the UK: flat racing and jump racing. Flat racing is run on a level course and is typically shorter in distance, while jump racing involves horses jumping over obstacles and is generally longer in distance. Both types of racing are popular with spectators and bettors, and they take place at various racetracks throughout the country.
The most famous horse racing event in the UK is the Grand National, which is held annually at Aintree Racecourse in Liverpool. It is a jump racing event that is known for its challenging course and has become a national institution in the UK. Other notable horse racing events in the UK include the Derby, held at Epsom Downs Racecourse in Surrey, and the Royal Ascot, held at Ascot Racecourse in Berkshire.
Horse racing in the UK is regulated by the British Horseracing Authority (BHA), which sets rules and standards for the industry. It is responsible for the welfare of racehorses and the safety of jockeys and trainers, as well as ensuring fair and transparent racing practices.
In addition to its economic and cultural importance, horse racing in the UK also plays a significant role in the breeding and training of thoroughbred horses. Many of the world's top thoroughbreds are bred and trained in the UK, and the industry plays a vital role in the preservation and promotion of the breed.
Overall, horse racing is an integral part of British culture and a major contributor to the country's economy. It is a thrilling and exciting sport that continues to attract a loyal following and generate significant interest from spectators and bettors around the world.
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