There were 38 Races on Friday 28th April 2023 across 5 meetings. There was 8 races at Perth, 8 races at Doncaster, 7 races at Southwell, 7 races at Chepstow, 8 races at Punchestown, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.
Races & Results Friday 28th April 2023
The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.
(8) Inferno Sacree 3.33/1, Free-going front runner who has notched up a Plumpton hat-trick this year. WInning run came to a halt at Ffos Las 19 days ago but could bounce back for yard which won this race in 2022. Hat-trick at Plumpton this year but safely held off this mark latest; often leads.
2
2nd (7) (4.5/1 +0%) Cuban Cigar
4.5/1(+0%)
(7) Cuban Cigar 4.5/1, Consistent sort who reacted positively to refitted cheekpieces (retained) when deservedly getting his head back in front at Musselburgh (17.5f) last month. Likely to give another good account. Musselburgh winner latest but possibly had fortune on his side; 4lb higher.
3
3rd (2) (7/1 +13%) Inca Prince
7/1(+13%)
(2) Inca Prince 7/1, Free-going front-runner who won a pair of Musselburgh juveniles at the start of 2022. It's largely been a struggle since but his latest Catterick run wasn't devoid of promise and he's back on a winning mark. First-time visor replaces cheekpieces. Not beaten far latest two starts but needs more to win again; visor replaces a hood.
4
4th (6) (2.75/1 +21%) Letterston Lady
2.75/1(+21%)
(6) Letterston Lady 2.75/1, Dual bumper scorer who made a winning hurdling debut in straightforward style at Worcester (2m) in October. Below that level twice since but he might have needed latest outing after 4 months off and he brings unexposed potential to this handicap debut. Not at her best in latest two starts; handicap debut and trainer does well here.
5th
5th (5) (33/1 +18%) Enemy Coast Ahead
33/1(+18%)
(5) Enemy Coast Ahead 33/1, Landed a hat-trick of novice events in summer 2020 for Olly Murphy. Sold for just £3,000 and has offered little in 3 outings for current yard. Mark in freefall but can only be watched. Tailed off all three starts from this yard and needs sharp return to form.
|PU|
|PU| (1) (2.75/1 -10%) Ginger Mail
2.75/1(-10%)
(1) Ginger Mail 2.75/1, Made winning reapperaance in 2m Ayr handicap in October and mostly creditable efforts in defeat since, running particularly well when second back at Ayr last month. Cheekpieces on first time. Big player. Narrowly beaten latest and serious contender off 4lb higher; cheekpieces fitted.
LTO Selection:
13:30 Perth Handicap Hurdle (Class 3) 16f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
It is difficult to predict with certainty which horse will perform best based on this summary, as each horse has its own strengths and weaknesses. However, based on the information provided, 2.5/1 (1) GINGER MAIL and 3.5/1 (6) LETTERSTON LADY appear to be serious contenders, with the former having narrowly lost its latest race and the latter bringing unexposed potential to its handicap debut. 4.5/1 (7) CUBAN CIGAR is also a consistent horse and likely to put in a good performance. The other horses have mixed form or need to improve significantly to win.
The addition of cheekpieces could make all the difference to GINGER MAIL, who was just touched off at Ayr last month. The winner boosted that form when subsequently hitting the frame in a stronger race, so Nick Alexander's gelding is taken to go one better. Cuban Cigar struck at Musselburgh on his latest outing and he merits respect from a 4lb higher mark, while previous C&D winner Well Planted can't be ruled out on his first start post wind surgery.
GINGER MAIL has had a solid campaign and he won't need to pull out much more for first-time cheekpieces to get his head back in front. The reliable Cuban Cigar bagged a nice prize at Musselburgh last month and is likely to go well again, while Letterston Lady might have needed last month's comeback run at Market Rasen and is an interesting one for handicaps.
Preference is for LETTERSTON LADY on her handicap debut.
(10) Albeseeingyer 16/1, Career best when winning 12-runner handicap at Redcar (7f, good to firm, 4/1) when last seen, pushed out. Likeable filly and set for more success this year. Ended 2022 with a 7f hat-trick; still looks well treated but slow ground is an unknown.
2
2nd (16) (5/1 +17%) Two Summers
5/1(+17%)
(16) Two Summers 5/1, Winner at Catterick in October. Respectable third of 8 in handicap (9/2) at Beverley (8.4f, good to soft) 9 days ago, doing too much too soon. Shortlist material. Front-runner; placed over 6f and 1m this year; dropping back to 7f can help.
3
3rd (9) (25/1 -79%) Kodebreaker
25/1(-79%)
(9) Kodebreaker 25/1, Latest win at Southwell in March. Creditable second of 14 in handicap (11/1) at Southwell (8.1f) 10 days ago, no match for winner. Holding form well but this is tougher back on turf. In good form on AW this year; 1lb ahead of the handicapper; needs serious consideration.
4
4th (19) (50/1 +24%) Ratafia
50/1(+24%)
(19) Ratafia 50/1, Modest maiden. No show all 3 starts in 2022. Unplaced in all six handicap runs (6f-1m) and he's hard to make a case for.
5th
5th (6) (20/1 +20%) Daafy
20/1(+20%)
(6) Daafy 20/1, Thirteen runs since last win in 2022. Well-backed 10/3, just sixth of 14 in handicap at Southwell (8.1f) 10 days ago. Work to do on only second start on turf. Only run once on turf but he's of interest on his AW best; strong pace will suit.
6th
6th (13) (50/1 -25%) Malham Tarn Cove
50/1(-25%)
(13) Malham Tarn Cove 50/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Off 8 months/gelded. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Could have more to offer. Modest form in four runs last year; gelded since; up in trip and now tried in headgear.
7th
7th (15) (9/1 +0%) Jems Bond
9/1(+0%)
(15) Jems Bond 9/1, In good form on AW since turn of the year. 3/1, respectable third of 12 in handicap at Newcastle (6f) 15 days ago. Not so great on turf. In good form on AW and rated 12lb lower on grass; patchy record on turf though.
8th
8th (4) (5/1 +17%) Lincoln Gamble
5/1(+17%)
(4) Lincoln Gamble 5/1, Off 14 months, 15/2, career best when winning 6-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 18 days ago by ½ length from Triggered, always holding on. Gone well here in the past and not dismissed up 2 lb. Returned from a long absence to gamely win a 7f AW h'cap this month; this looks tougher.
9th
9th (8) (25/1 -14%) Obee Jo
25/1(-14%)
(8) Obee Jo 25/1, Thirteen runs since last win in 2021. Off 6 months. Returns off a very tempting mark (first run at Doncaster) and yard have had a few show up well first time out in recent weeks. On a good mark but lacks match practice and this looks competitive.
10th
10th (17) (14/1 +44%) One Last Hug
14/1(+44%)
(17) One Last Hug 14/1, Twenty seven runs since sole win in 2020. Good third of 9 in handicap (9/1) at Redcar (6f, soft) on return 18 days ago. Needs to back that up. Poor strike-rate but often runs well, as when third on recent reappearance (6f).
11th
11th (11) (11/1 -10%) El Royale
11/1(-10%)
(11) El Royale 11/1, 7/2, below form sixth of 11 in handicap at Yarmouth (6f, heavy) 13 days ago, never nearer. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Lightly-raced maiden who can probably find some races. Promise in handicaps and the return to 7f can help; cheekpieces added; one to consider.
12th
12th (2) (18/1 +18%) Asmund
18/1(+18%)
(2) Asmund 18/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Redcar in October. Seventh of 11 in handicap (7/1) at Redcar (7f, heavy) on return 11 days ago. Suspect his mark remains too high. C&D winner last season; easy lead unlikely and perhaps a bit high in the weights now.
13th
13th (3) (5.5/1 +8%) Hoots Toots
5.5/1(+8%)
(3) Hoots Toots 5.5/1, 9/2, career best when winning 10-runner handicap at Thirsk (7f, soft) on return 24 days ago, cosily. Should get another strong gallop here and good shout in bid for 4-timer under this rider despite high draw. Back from 6 months off to win Thirsk h'cap in good style; big player bidding for 4-timer.
14th
14th (7) (22/1 +27%) Gypsy Whisper
22/1(+27%)
(7) Gypsy Whisper 22/1, Course winner over further. Off 140 days. Might need this. 1m winner off this mark here last summer; back from a break in a competitive race.
15th
15th (18) (8/1 +33%) Van Zant
8/1(+33%)
(18) Van Zant 8/1, Good third of 13 in handicap at Newcastle (7.1f, 12/1) on return 28 days ago. Needs more to gain first success. 0-13 but ran well on AW four weeks ago; best turf form has come on faster ground.
16th
16th (14) (12/1 +33%) Bobby Joe Leg
12/1(+33%)
(14) Bobby Joe Leg 12/1, Four wins from 14 runs last year. 10/3, good second of 9 in handicap at Southwell (7.1f) 14 days ago, doing well under the circumstances given he was harried in to doing a bit too much too soon. Not so good on turf and probably best opposed. Better on AW and not sure he will be able to exploit this lower turf mark.
17th
17th (12) (18/1 +36%) Tom Tulliver
18/1(+36%)
(12) Tom Tulliver 18/1, Latest win at Southwell in March. Respectable fourth of 9 in handicap at Southwell (7.1f, 9/2) 14 days ago. In good form on AW this spring and no issue with the return to turf; contender.
LTO Selection:
13:40 Doncaster Handicap (Class 6) 7f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
6/1 (3) HOOTS TOOTS has a good chance of winning, as they have just won in good style after a 6 month break and are bidding for a 4th win. 10/1 (10) ALBESEEINGYER is another strong contender, having ended 2022 with a hat-trick and showing promise for more success this year. 6/1 (16) TWO SUMMERS and 11/1 (5) TRIGGERED also have potential to be in the running.
HOOTS TOOTS picked up where he left off last year when making a successful return to action over this trip at Thirsk, and a 5lb rise looks unlikely to stop him following up here. The gelded son of Outstrip kept on to prevail by a length and a quarter on that occasion and there is likely more in his locker. Albeseeingyer was last seen completing a three-timer of her own at Redcar in September and has to be feared on her comeback, while recent Wolverhampton winner Lincoln Gamble completes the shortlist.
Any number to consider but TWO SUMMERS has shaped well in a couple of handicaps back on turf in recent weeks and looks the way to go back in trip. Hoots Toots bidding for a 4-timer and the likeable Albeseeingyer are a couple of the other principal challengers.
The return to turf is a potential banana skin but DAAFY needs a good pace to aim at and he may finally get that today.
(11) If Not For Dylan 22/1, Returned to form when taking Sedgefield handicap (19.3f) in January before creditable second of 9 at Haydock (19.9f, good to soft). Needs to shrug off lesser effort at Carlisle, however. Often races over shorter; has won over 3m around here but needs to prove stamina.
2
2nd (7) (10/1 -25%) Silver In Disguise
10/1(-25%)
(7) Silver In Disguise 10/1, Took advantage of reduced mark when scoring at Wetherby 3 weeks ago by 2¼ lengths from Gentleman De Mai. 3 lb worse off with that rival here and not the most reliable, but stamina is assured. Back to his best with Wetherby win this month; up 5lb; stays this trip; contender.
3
3rd (8) (5.5/1 +15%) Planned Paradise
5.5/1(+15%)
(8) Planned Paradise 5.5/1, Winner at Worcester last summer and good second here (20f) next time but just respectable efforts at best since. More needed. May have needed recent Haydock effort and has chances on his two December efforts.
4
4th (4) (12/1 -33%) Geryville
12/1(-33%)
(4) Geryville 12/1, Good runner-up efforts at Market Rasen before shaping as if still in form when third at Newcastle. Will stay and interesting to see how he responds to a first-time tongue strap. Just 2-25 as a chaser but often runs well and perhaps a tongue-strap will help.
5th
5th (13) (7/1 +13%) Gentleman De Mai
7/1(+13%)
(13) Gentleman De Mai 7/1, Fair hurdle winner who made a good start to his chase career with cheekpieces added (retained) when second over 3m at Ayr and backed that up when filling the same spot at Wetherby, unlucky to bump into a rejuvenated rival. Sure to stay and needs considering in a change of headgear. Runner-up in both chases; first attempt beyond 3m; possibilities with visor on.
7th
7th (10) (6/1 -9%) Concetto
6/1(-9%)
(10) Concetto 6/1, Well held all 3 hurdles runs but proved a totally different proposition sent chasing, jumping boldly to score on handicap debut at Huntingdon before following up at Musselburgh. Denied the hat-trick by another progressive novice at Ludlow but is well worth another chance over a trip he should stay. 2-3 as a chaser; major claims, despite inexperience, if staying this trip.
8th
8th (9) (16/1 -45%) Rath An Iuir
16/1(-45%)
(9) Rath An Iuir 16/1, Useful chaser at his best who capitalised on a much-reduced mark to land 3¼m Kelso handicap in December. Just respectable efforts in this headgear both starts since. Respectable efforts in staying chases the last twice; pulled up in this a year ago.
9th
9th (5) (12/1 +33%) Fairlawn Flyer
12/1(+33%)
(5) Fairlawn Flyer 12/1, Resumed winning ways at Ffos Las (23.8f, heavy) in this headgear in December, albeit in fortunate circumstances (left in front at last). Poor effort at Chepstow since, however, so difficult to know what to expect. Four chase wins but pulled up other two attempts; has to bounce back but is capable of it.
|PU|
|PU| (12) (5.5/1 +8%) Destiny Is All
5.5/1(+8%)
(12) Destiny Is All 5.5/1, Has won 3 handicap chases in Scotland in the last 12 months and good runner-up efforts in this headgear at Carlisle and Warwick last 2 starts. Has bags of stamina and yard continue in fine form. Consistent; good efforts in cheekpieces the last twice; leading contender.
|PU|
|PU| (6) (11/1 +39%) Just Don't Know
11/1(+39%)
(6) Just Don't Know 11/1, Successful twice last term and notched second win of the current campaign at Ayr (3m) last month, looking very much in control before his sole rival fell at the second last. Found run of good form coming to a halt at Kempton since, however. Rare modest effort latest but most consistent otherwise; each-way claims.
|PU|
|PU| (2) (16/1 +0%) Innisfree Lad
16/1(+0%)
(2) Innisfree Lad 16/1, Third in last year's Eider and back to form from much-reduced mark when landing weak conditional jockeys' veterans' handicap at Hereford in February. Similar form when fifth of 20 at Cheltenham 9 days ago but more needed to resume winning ways. In decent form, stays this trip and could run well.
|PU|
|PU| (3) (28/1 +15%) Nearly Perfect
28/1(+15%)
(3) Nearly Perfect 28/1, Low-mileage 9-y-o who looked progressive a couple of years ago but offered little on belated return at Plumpton and not much better at Wincanton. Can only be watched on that evidence. No real signs of old ability in two starts since a long absence.
LTO Selection:
14:05 Perth Handicap Chase (Class 3) 31f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
Based on the summary, Silver in Disguise and 8/1 (13) GENTLEMAN DE MAI seem to be the strongest contenders, with 5.5/1 (10) CONCETTO and 6/1 (12) DESTINY IS ALL also having a good chance. The others have either proven to be inconsistent or have not shown enough recent form to suggest they will do well in this race.
Fresh from her success in the Grand National with Corach Rambler, Lucinda Russell will be hopeful that DESTINY IS ALL can round off a fine month. A good second over 3m5f at Warwick 47 days ago, the nine-year-old may benefit from a further step up in trip and his current mark ought to be well within range. Stablemate Return Fire is worthy of consideration, along with If Not For Dylan, who has always given the impression a marathon trip would play to his strengths. Geryville should not be underestimated either.
CONCETTO lost his unbeaten chasing record at the hands of another progressive novice at Ludlow, but he looks the one who could still be ahead of his mark given his lightly-raced profile so is well worth another chance. Gentleman de Mai is another unexposed sort who's taken well to fences so rates the main threat ahead of Destiny Is All and Geryville.
The unexposed Concetto will be a real threat if staying but this could be the chance for DESTINY IS ALL (nap) to win again.
(2) United Approach 0.83/1, Promising type. One win from 2 runs last year. 11/10, won 8-runner maiden at Ayr (6f, soft) when last seen in September. Likely capable of better still and he's the one to beat. Impressive at Ayr (6f, good to soft) on 2nd start; more to come and he's a major player.
2
2nd (10) (3.6/1 -44%) Smoky Mountain
3.6/1(-44%)
(10) Smoky Mountain 3.6/1, Promising individual. Second of 10 in minor event (11/8) at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 32 days ago (winner of that race wasn't disgraced in the Nell Gwyn last week). Open to improvement and should have a part to play. Bumped into smart filly when 2nd at Wolverhampton latest (7f); down in trip for turf debut.
3
3rd (8) (8/1 -7%) Leap Day
8/1(-7%)
(8) Leap Day 8/1, Promising sort. Third of 8 in minor event at Newcastle (6f, 50/1) on debut 35 days ago. Should progress with that experience to draw upon and likely to make his presence felt. Not beaten far into 3rd on debut (6f, AW) despite drifting across the track; more to come.
4
4th (5) (7.5/1 -25%) Desert Games
7.5/1(-25%)
(5) Desert Games 7.5/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 11/8, fourth of 9 in minor event at Pontefract (6f, heavy) 17 days ago. Looks vulnerable on the back of that effort. Two best efforts bring him into the picture and he has the benefit of a recent run; claims.
5th
5th (6) (100/1 -52%) Global Crisis
100/1(-52%)
(6) Global Crisis 100/1, Twice-raced maiden. 7/1, last of 9 in minor event at Pontefract (6f, heavy) 17 days ago. Probably more one for handicaps later on. Too free on his reappearance 17 days ago; needs to settle better to fulfil his potential.
6th
6th (4) (66/1 -32%) American Affair
66/1(-32%)
(4) American Affair 66/1, Washington DC gelding. Half-brother to 6f-7f winner Classy Al. Dam 5f winner. Yard's newcomers usually come on for a run. From a sprinting family the yard knows well; will need to be useful to win this on debut.
7th
7th (13) (10/1 +60%) Sinful
10/1(+60%)
(13) Sinful 10/1, Once-raced maiden. 25/1, ninth of 10 in minor event at Windsor (6f, good to firm) on debut/sole 2-y-o start, not clear run. Can be expected to leave that form well behind in time. Never dangerous in one 2yo run but she's bred to do better; worth a market check.
8th
8th (11) (40/1 +50%) Swanland
40/1(+50%)
(11) Swanland 40/1, Twice-raced maiden. Tenth of 14 in minor event at Redcar (6f, good to firm, 20/1). Off 9 months and he's another who will probably be seen in a better light in handicaps further down the line. Modest form in two 6f events on turf last summer; gelded since; best watched on return.
9th
9th (12) (100/1 -100%) Victors Dream
100/1(-100%)
(12) Victors Dream 100/1, Twice-raced maiden. Sixth of 9 in maiden at Southwell (6.1f, 16/1) 14 days ago. Sizeable step forward will be needed if he's to make an impact. Modest form in two sprint maidens this month; looks up against it once again.
10th
10th (3) (16/1 +60%) Acreswood
16/1(+60%)
(3) Acreswood 16/1, Mayson gelding. Dam lightly raced. Yard rarely strikes with newcomers and he's probably best watched on this occasion. Dam a fair maiden; should have a future but he has a useful standard to aim at on debut.
11th
11th (1) (250/1 -25%) Nooo More
250/1(-25%)
(1) Nooo More 250/1, 50/1, tenth of 12 in minor event at Newcastle (6f) 73 days ago. Impossible to fancy. Unplaced in all 15 starts and flying too high here.
LTO Selection:
14:15 Doncaster Stakes (Class 5) 6f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the summary, 0.8/1 (2) UNITED APPROACH and 2.5/1 (10) SMOKY MOUNTAIN seem to be the ones with the most potential and are likely to do well in the upcoming race. 0.8/1 (2) UNITED APPROACH has already demonstrated an impressive performance in Ayr, while 2.5/1 (10) SMOKY MOUNTAIN has shown promise in recent races despite being bumped into a smart filly. 7.5/1 (8) LEAP DAY also has potential as a promising sort with room for improvement. On the other hand, 40/1 (3) ACRESWOOD and 80/1 (11) SWANLAND may be best to be watched on this occasion as newcomers, while 200/1 (1) NOOO MORE has an unimpressive track record.
A 7lb penalty may not be enough to stop UNITED APPROACH, who confirmed the promise of his Ascot introduction when justifying favouritism at Ayr in September. Billy Loughnane negates most of the penalty with his 5lb claim and James Tate's colt appears to have a bright future ahead of him. Desert Games was beaten less than a length into fourth at Pontefract and can step forward from that reappearance. Smoky Mountain chased home a smart filly at Wolverhampton and completes the shortlist on his turf debut.
With UNITED APPROACH's penalty largely negated by top apprentice Billy Loughnane's claim, the Fastnet Rock colt is taken to add to his ready success in an Ayr maiden on the second of his two starts as a juvenile. Smoky Mountain has shaped well in a couple of runs over 7f on the all-weather and will be a threat if coping with this drop in trip. Leap Day's debut third at Newcastle was promising and he is best of the rest.
Leap Day shaped well on debut but UNITED APPROACH looked a promising sprinter when winning easily at Ayr when last in action.
(1) Resplendent Grey 1.2/1, Looked a good prospect in bumpers and made a winning start in this sphere in 2m Wetherby novice 22 days ago. Has plenty more to offer. Big shout despite conceding weight all round. Won with something to spare on this month's hurdle debut; penalty but leading player.
2
2nd (8) (1.1/1 -21%) Charles St
1.1/1(-21%)
(8) Charles St 1.1/1, Sold out of George Boughey's yard for 50,000 gns in August and would have made a winning hurdles debut at Warwick had he applied himself fully in November. Runner-up on his last three outings too, latest when evens at Herreford 35 days ago. Looks set for a place once more. Runner-up in four of five hurdle starts and this could be his chance.
3
3rd (3) (10/1 -43%) Bix Beiderbecke
10/1(-43%)
(3) Bix Beiderbecke 10/1, Fair form when fourth in bumper here then sixth in similar company at Kelso 174 days ago. More is required now making his hurdles debut. Ability in two bumpers but unplaced in both; hurdle debut after a break.
4
4th (2) (10/1 +17%) Bells Express
10/1(+17%)
(2) Bells Express 10/1, Went backwards from hurdling bow when last of 5 in novice hurdle at Haydock (15.6f, good to soft) 37 days ago. Needs to get back on track. Chance on his sixth at Ayr but needs to leave behind latest Haydock effort.
5th
5th (7) (25/1 +83%) Sea Prince
25/1(+83%)
(7) Sea Prince 25/1, Unpromising in points and well held in 2 starts over hurdles at Ayr. Has since had wind op and lots more is required here. Unplaced all starts; wind surgery since 32l defeat at Ayr in February.
6th
6th (6) (80/1 +47%) Last Mission
80/1(+47%)
(6) Last Mission 80/1, Fair Flat winner but unproven beyond 8.5f and stamina may well be an issue in this sphere judged on his first two goes in this sphere, pulled up at Sedgefield on latter occasion. Flat winner; little to show for two efforts over hurdles for this yard; hood fitted.
7th
7th (5) (66/1 +34%) Desert Stranger
66/1(+34%)
(5) Desert Stranger 66/1, Off 11 months before fading fourth of 9 in novice (200/1) at Ayr (16f, good) on hurdles bow 49 days ago. Plenty more is needed. Well beaten all three starts, the latest on hurdling debut.
|PU|
|PU| (4) (150/1 +0%) Captain Nelson
150/1(+0%)
(4) Captain Nelson 150/1, Failed to complete on his first 3 starts in maiden hurdles before coming in 11th at Wetherby last time. Hard to warm to. Long way behind the top one at Wetherby this month.
LTO Selection:
14:40 Perth Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 16f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
It is likely that 1.5/1 (1) RESPLENDENT GREY will do well based on the summary provided. The horse has won with ease on its hurdle debut, has shown promise in bumpers, and has
RESPLENDENT GREY had some good bumper form in the book prior to his recent Wetherby success, and the unexposed son of Walk In The Park is taken to follow up under a penalty. It should only be a matter of time before Charles St opens his account in this sphere having posted a series of consistent efforts, while Bells Express could be best placed to chase them home.
RESPLENDENT GREY has to concede weight all round but he looked a good prospect when going in at the first time of asking in this sphere at Wetherby so gets the nod. Charles St has the form to play a big part but looks booked for minor honours once more ahead of newcomer Bix Beiderbecke.
This offers CHARLES ST a golden chance to gain an overdue hurdling win.
(12) Royal Dress 1/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Second of 11 in minor event at this C&D (good to firm, 15/8) on final 2-y-o start. Solid claims. C&D 2nd when last seen 286 days ago represents strong form; leading contender on return.
2
2nd (9) (2.5/1 +44%) Talha
2.5/1(+44%)
(9) Talha 2.5/1, Twice-raced maiden. Second of 9 in maiden (9/2) at this C&D (heavy), running on. Off 174 days but definite each-way chance if fully tuned-up. Second (beaten about 5l) in both 2yo runs; gelded over the winter; more to come this year.
3
3rd (10) (66/1 +34%) Tees George
66/1(+34%)
(10) Tees George 66/1, Twice-raced maiden. Tenth of 13 in minor event (125/1) at this course (7f, heavy) 26 days ago, slowly away. Handicaps will be an option after this and he'll be of greater interest at that point. Down the field in two 7f runs this year; handicaps more suitable in time.
4
4th (2) (80/1 -100%) Miss Willows
80/1(-100%)
(2) Miss Willows 80/1, Once-raced maiden. 80/1, sixth of 13 in minor event at Newcastle (6f) on debut 17 months ago. Absent since and hooded for 1st time. Debut effort in December 2021 wasn't without hope; off since; now tried in a hood.
5th
5th (1) (5/1 -43%) Tyke
5/1(-43%)
(1) Tyke 5/1, Promising type. Won 7-runner maiden at Southwell (6.1f, 17/2) on debut 14 days ago, easily. This scopey sort is entitled to improve and he has to enter calculations. Backed at big odds when making all at Southwell 2 weeks ago; this tougher under penalty.
6th
6th (7) (12/1 +60%) Mascani
12/1(+60%)
(7) Mascani 12/1, Once-raced maiden. 14/1, fifth of 10 in minor event at Catterick (7f, heavy) on debut 16 days ago. Best to look elsewhere. Ran to just a modest level when fifth of ten at Catterick 16 days ago (7f, heavy).
7th
7th (13) (12/1 -33%) Stormy Denise
12/1(-33%)
(13) Stormy Denise 12/1, Promising individual. 10/1, third of 9 in maiden at Southwell (6.1f) 14 days ago. Should have more to offer and she's a live each-way candidate. Clear promise in two AW runs this year but bred to come into her own over 1m2f+.
8th
8th (5) (33/1 +0%) Charlatan
33/1(+0%)
(5) Charlatan 33/1, Once-raced maiden. 18/1, sixth of 7 in maiden at Yarmouth (8f, good to firm) on debut. Off 7 months and down in trip here. Probably more one for handicaps later on. Well beaten in a 1m maiden at Yarmouth last September; risky dropped to 6f.
9th
9th (8) (200/1 +0%) Ray The Hay
200/1(+0%)
(8) Ray The Hay 200/1, Twice-raced maiden. 250/1, last of 6 in maiden at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 17 days ago. Significantly down in trip and he's hard to warm to. Nothing in his two AW runs this year to make him of interest.
10th
10th (4) (80/1 -100%) Brother Dave
80/1(-100%)
(4) Brother Dave 80/1, Once-raced maiden. 20/1, seventh of 9 in maiden at Southwell (6.1f) on debut 14 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Down the field on his recent Southwell debut; up against it in this field.
11th
11th (3) (125/1 -25%) Beechwood Hugh
125/1(-25%)
(3) Beechwood Hugh 125/1, Twice-raced maiden. Sixth of 7 in minor event (66/1) at Southwell (6.1f) 19 days ago. Readily passed over. Second start (19 days ago) was better than his debut effort but he is still hard to fancy.
LTO Selection:
14:50 Doncaster Stakes (Class 5) 6f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
3.5/1 (1) TYKE is the most likely to do well, having won a maiden race recently and showing promise to improve. 1.25/1 (12) ROYAL DRESS C&D also has strong form and is a contender, while 9/1 (13) STORMY DENISE and 14/1 (11) ELUSIVE ANGEL are live each-way candidates. The rest of the field either lack experience or have not shown much promise recently.
TALHA filled the runner-up spot on both juvenile starts - most recently over C&D - and has been gelded during his winter break. Better is expected of the son of Havana Grey this year and he could be worth siding with, although Royal Dress was steadily progressive last summer and bumped into subsequent Oh So Sharp winner/Breeders' Cup fourth Midnight Mile, also over track and trip. Tyke is another who could have a say in proceedings, despite having to shoulder a 7lb penalty for his debut Southwell triumph.
This looks a good opportunity for ROYAL DRESS, who shaped well on each of her three starts as a juvenile, culminating in a C&D second to Midnight Mile. The winner followed up in a Group 3 before finishing fourth in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf, so the form is very solid. Tyke made a highly promising start at Southwell a fortnight ago but he'll need to be pretty useful in order to successfully concede 12 lb to the selection. Stormy Denise and Talha are each-way players.
Talha should win races this year but ROYAL DRESS can make a successful return to action. Her C&D second when last seen is good form.
(5) Readysteadybeau 2.75/1, Fair 3m hurdles winner who scored at the fourth attempt over fences at Ayr (21.5f) in February. Visored and looking second best when falling last in match there last time so needs to brush up his jumping. Ayr winner two starts ago; fell in a match there latest; likely to need more to win this.
2
2nd (2) (2.75/1 +73%) Captain Quint
2.75/1(+73%)
(2) Captain Quint 2.75/1, Won on chase debut at Hexham in November and added to that in a match at Ayr in March. Unseated fifth in 2m4f handicap here two days ago so he's worth another chance off a handy-looking mark. Won a match last month but only fifth off this mark since; unseated here on Wednesday.
3
3rd (6) (2.5/1 +44%) Here Comes The Man
2.5/1(+44%)
(6) Here Comes The Man 2.5/1, Points winner who left his hurdling form well behind when making a winning chasing debut in 7-runner handicap at Newcastle (23.4f, good to soft) 13 days ago. Looks to have plenty more to offer. Big shout. Easy winner on chasing debut 13 days ago; up 8lb but lot to like.
|B|
|B| (9) (14/1 +58%) Wild Polly
14/1(+58%)
(9) Wild Polly 14/1, Fair 2m4f winner over hurdles in 2020 but lightly raced since and pulled up on her belated chasing debut in handicap at Carlisle (20f) 20 days ago after a bad error at the 10th. Has it to prove now. Blundered and pulled up on this month's chasing debut; 3lb out of the weights.
|F|
|F| (1) (4/1 -45%) Bridge North
4/1(-45%)
(1) Bridge North 4/1, Very useful hurdler who made a winning start over fences in 3-runner handicap chase at Newbury (23.4f, soft) 35 days ago. This demands more but he has more to offer so needs considering. Beat two rivals on chasing debut last month; up 3lb and could be a real threat.
LTO Selection:
15:15 Perth Handicap Chase (Class 3) 24f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
Based on the summary, 4.5/1 (6) HERE COMES THE MAN and 5/1 (3) KAKAMORA seem to be the strongest contenders. 4.5/1 (6) HERE COMES THE MAN won easily on his chasing debut just 13 days ago and has a lot to like, while 5/1 (3) KAKAMORA won emphatically in his last outing and is expected to progress. 2.75/1 (1) BRIDGE NORTH and 7/1 (4) UNIVERSAL FOLLY could also be in the running, but may face tougher competition. The other horses have some question marks around their recent form or ability to compete at this level.
There was a lot to like about BRIDGE NORTH's triumph in a small but competitive contest on his chase debut at Newbury last month and the handicapper may have underestimated the strength of that form with only a 3lb rise in the ratings. Here Comes The Man also impressed when winning on his first attempt over fences at Newcastle recently and an 8lb hike in the handicap is unlikely to stop another bold bid. The in-form Everyday Champagne will need to overcome a career-high mark to capitalise here, but he still enters calculations.
HERE COMES THE MAN created an excellent impression when making a winning chasing debut at Newcastle so Rose Dobbin's son of Flemensfirth is fancied to defy a 8 lb rise and make it 2-2 in this sphere. Bridge North also went in at the first time of asking in this sphere at Newbury and is feared most ahead of the handily-weighted Captain Quint and Huntingdon-scorer Kakamora.
A competitive contest could go to BRIDGE NORTH, who is open to improvement as a chaser.
(5) Bill Silvers 2/1, Farhh colt who made an encouraging start when fourth of 13 in minor event (5/1) at this C&D (heavy) on debut 26 days ago, meeting some trouble 1f out. Yard's newcomers tend to come on plenty for a run so he's one to look out for. Fourth on his debut over C&D last month; each-way claims with the run under his belt.
2
2nd (9) (5/1 -11%) Equatorial
5/1(-11%)
(9) Equatorial 5/1, Showcasing gelding. Brother to winner up to 1m Free Solo; Dam unraced sister to very smart winner up to 1½m Yucatan out of very smart 1m (including at 2 yrs) winner Six Perfections. Trainer’s newcomers command respect. Wears hood. Enough to like on pedigree and stable has a fine record with newcomers; hood on.
3
3rd (12) (4/1 +71%) Lowton
4/1(+71%)
(12) Lowton 4/1, Pivotal colt. Half-brother to 6f winners Edgewood and Burscough. Dam, 2-y-o 7f winner, sister to useful 5f-6f winner Embour. Something to like on breeding and stable has a good record with newcomers; watch market.
4
4th (15) (1.62/1 +28%) Supreme King
1.62/1(+28%)
(15) Supreme King 1.62/1, Fairly useful maiden. 7/1, respectable fifth of 15 in handicap at Newmarket (8f, good to soft) 9 days ago. Has finished runner-up 4 times already so he sets a solid standard. Runner-up in four of his seven starts; also ran well last time and sets a useful standard.
5th
5th (7) (125/1 -25%) Crazy Crackers
125/1(-25%)
(7) Crazy Crackers 125/1, €4,000 2-y-o, Cracksman gelding. Half-brother to 9.5f winner Proceed; Dam maiden (stayed 1m), half-sister to 7f-8.2f winner Secret Garden and 2-y-o 6f winner Lady Aquitaine (both useful). Stable's newcomers usually better for a run.
6th
6th (14) (14/1 -40%) Sherood
14/1(-40%)
(14) Sherood 14/1, 130,000 gns foal, Night of Thunder colt. Half-brother to 7.5f winner Raaghib and useful winner up to 1m Ghayadh; Dam, 7f winner, closely related to smart 5f-7f winner Rebellion out of smart 7f winner Last Resort. Enough to like on breeding, but stable doesn't have that many go in first time.
7th
7th (4) (150/1 -50%) Azeezan
150/1(-50%)
(4) Azeezan 150/1, Dabirsim colt who was unsurprisingly held back by inexperience when last of 5 in minor event at Kempton (8f, 125/1) on debut 18 days ago, very slowly away. Faced a stiff task when a long last on his Kempton debut; may need more time.
8th
8th (10) (150/1 +0%) Indrapura Star
150/1(+0%)
(10) Indrapura Star 150/1, Dark Angel colt who looked badly in need of the experience when last of 7 in maiden at Ayr (6f, good to firm) on debut 9 months ago. First run for yard after leaving Kevin Ryan and has been gelded. Last of seven on his only start for Kevin Ryan at Ayr last summer; best watched.
9th
9th (16) (150/1 -127%) Haaf A Diamond
150/1(-127%)
(16) Haaf A Diamond 150/1, Down the field in minor event/maiden 12 days apart earlier this month. Well held in both starts this month; handicaps an option after this.
10th
10th (11) (150/1 +25%) King Of The Jungle
150/1(+25%)
(11) King Of The Jungle 150/1, Bungle Inthejungle gelding who showed only greenness when tenth of 11 in minor event (250/1) at Southwell (7.1f) on debut 24 days ago, very slowly away. Well beaten on his Southwell debut this month; may be one for handicaps in due course.
11th
11th (1) (20/1 +29%) Autumnal Dancer
20/1(+29%)
(1) Autumnal Dancer 20/1, €29,500 yearling, €162,400 2-y-o, El Kabeir filly. Half-sister to 5f winner Puerto Princesa. Dam, 5f winner, half-sister to useful 7f-11f winner Autumn Blades. Has had a breathing operation prior to debut. Underwent wind surgery last summer and the market should be informative on belated debut.
12th
12th (2) (50/1 -213%) All Inclusive
50/1(-213%)
(2) All Inclusive 50/1, Tasleet colt who was near the top of the betting but looked badly in need of the experience when fourth of 7 in maiden at Nottingham (6.1f, good) 9 months ago. Gelded in the interim and worth a market check. Well backed when a well-held fourth on Nottingham debut last summer.
13th
13th (13) (150/1 -127%) Ocean Ridge
150/1(-127%)
(13) Ocean Ridge 150/1, 20/1, didn't make much of an impact on first outing since leaving Charlie Appleby after 10 months off when seventh of 10 in minor event at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 32 days ago. Well held in both starts; may have more opportunities once handicapped after this.
14th
14th (3) (80/1 +20%) Ana Emaraaty
80/1(+20%)
(3) Ana Emaraaty 80/1, Awtaad colt who offered little first time up when last of 13 in minor event at Ffos Las (7.4f, good) 8 months ago. Best watched having left Owen Burrows/been gelded since. Well beaten in one start for Owen Burrows last August; best watched on stable debut.
15th
15th (6) (100/1 -52%) Brocklesby
100/1(-52%)
(6) Brocklesby 100/1, Ran to just a modest level on debut and went with little fluency when ninth of 11 in minor event at Redcar (8f, soft, 50/1) 18 days ago. Some ability on debut, but didn't back it up next time; can be handicapped after this.
LTO Selection:
15:25 Doncaster Maiden (Class 4) 7f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
4.5/1 (9) EQUATORIAL is likely to do well based on the summary. The horse has a strong pedigree and the trainer has a good record with newcomers. The fact that the horse is wearing a hood suggests that the trainer may have identified some potential behavior issues and is taking steps to address them, indicating that the trainer is invested in the horse's success. The market may also give an indicator of how well 4.5/1 (9) EQUATORIAL is expected to perform.
SUPREME KING looked as if he failed to see out the mile in handicap company at Newmarket's Craven meeting, but he has plenty of solid placed form to recommend him and the return to a maiden might help him break through. Equatorial looks the part on paper as a son of Showcasing and he could go well for Roger Varian, while the Ed Walker-trained Sherood cost 130,000gns as a foal so the Night Of Thunder colt is also worth a market watch ahead of his racecourse bow.
Having finished runner-up 4 times already, SUPREME KING sets a pretty solid standard so Richard Hannon's colt is fancied to go a place better back in maiden company. Harry Eustace's runners tend to come on plenty for a run so his Bill Silvers could be the one to give the selection most to think about, with Eddie Temple and newcomer Lowton another couple worth considering.
Although now 0-7 SUPREME KING sets a useful standard including on his two performances this year.
(4) Fr Gilligansvoyge 28/1, Poor chaser. Remains a maiden after 41 NH runs. Dead-heated for first (with winner here earlier in the week Three By Two) on second of 2 starts in points (Mar 5). Not completely ruled out. 41 starts under rules without a win, form of Borris House dead-heat franked on Tuesday.
2
2nd (8) (8/1 +33%) Matthews Hill
8/1(+33%)
(8) Matthews Hill 8/1, Kalanisi gelding. Dam, fairly useful bumper winner. Made frame completed starts in points, still in front when fell 2 out last time (Apr 9). Not discounted. Leading when falling two out in a recent Quakerstown maiden, relatively inexperienced.
3
3rd (7) (16/1 +60%) Lesssaidthebetter
16/1(+60%)
(7) Lesssaidthebetter 16/1, Poor hurdler. Remains a maiden after 28 NH runs. 33/1, unseated rider in minor event chase at this course (25f, good to soft) 3 days ago. Others preferred. 0-28 under rules, placed over hurdles five times, prominent before unseating on Tuesday.
4
4th (3) (10/1 +70%) Chateau Elan
10/1(+70%)
(3) Chateau Elan 10/1, Once-raced maiden. 40/1 and hooded, unseated rider in hunter chase at Limerick (22.6f, heavy) on NH debut 122 days ago. Three unseats and a fall from his last five starts, seems a hazardous proposition.
5th
5th (11) (8/1 +68%) Keenaghan Lass
8/1(+68%)
(11) Keenaghan Lass 8/1, Poor chaser. Creditable third of 10 in hunter chase (16/1) at Thurles (25.4f, soft) 46 days ago. Needs to improve. Last of three finishers in a hunters chase on latest, second to Happy Victory before that.
6th
6th (1) (12/1 -336%) An Droichead Gorm
12/1(-336%)
(1) An Droichead Gorm 12/1, Modest hurdler/chaser. Winning pointer, last of 6 last time (Mar 26). Could make his presence felt. Flopped when favourite for this last year, chance on basis of Roscommon handicap fourth.
7th
7th (9) (8.5/1 +39%) Royal Juniper
8.5/1(+39%)
(9) Royal Juniper 8.5/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 12/1, pulled up in hunter chase at Thurles (25.4f, soft) 46 days ago. Something to prove. Top trainer/rider combination, lost his way after maiden point win last May, appears risky.
|F|
|F| (5) (4/1 -14%) Happy Victory
4/1(-14%)
(5) Happy Victory 4/1, Modest hurdler. 8/1, fourth of 9 in hunter chase at Downpatrick (23.4f, heavy) 26 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Needs to find improvement. Winner of both starts in points, strong chance here despite hunter chase failures.
|U|
|U| (12) (33/1 +18%) Trim To Milan
33/1(+18%)
(12) Trim To Milan 33/1, Poor hurdler and maiden between the flags, so hard to make a case for on hunter debut. Modest overall form over hurdles and points since twice placed in bumpers two years ago.
|PU|
|PU| (2) (4/1 +50%) Artic Weather
4/1(+50%)
(2) Artic Weather 4/1, Arctic Cosmos gelding. Brother to bumper winner Von Humboldt. Runner-up twice from 4 starts in points, including last time (Apr 16). Worth a market check. Twice second from four starts in points, fourth behind Jet Fighter at Monksgrange.
|PU|
|PU| (6) (7/1 +22%) Jet Fighter
7/1(+22%)
(6) Jet Fighter 7/1, Fair chaser. 12/1, respectable sixth of 12 in cross-country event at this course (25f, good to soft) 3 days ago. Difficult to oppose. Maiden point winner at Monksgrange, moderate sixth over the banks course here on Tuesday.
|PU|
|PU| (10) (14/1 -75%) Speaker Thomas
14/1(-75%)
(10) Speaker Thomas 14/1, No form as yet under Rules but successful on the last of 5 starts in points, so not ruled out having a second go in this race. Tried in cheekpieces. Beat Arctic Weather at Stradbally, flopped earlier behind Fr Gilligansvoyge at Borris.
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
It is difficult to confidently predict which horse will do well based on this summary, as many of them have poor form or limited experience. However, 3.5/1 (5) HAPPY VICTORY and 9/1 (6) JET FIGHTER are both described as having strong chances, with 3.5/1 (5) HAPPY VICTORY having won both of their starts in points and 9/1 (6) JET FIGHTER being a fair chaser with a respectable recent performance. 12/1 (8) MATTHEWS HILL and 8/1 (2) ARTIC WEATHER are also worth a market check, with 12/1 (8) MATTHEWS HILL having made the frame in completed starts in points and 8/1 (2) ARTIC WEATHER being runner-up twice from four starts in points.
The form of FR GILLIGANSVOYGE's dead-heat for first place in Borris House in March received a massive boost when the horse that joined him on the line won over the banks at the festival on Tuesday. Pat Taaffe did the steering that day and takes a handy 7lb off his back. Speaker Thomas was well behind Fr Gilligansvoyge in sixth, but arrives in winning form after landing a point-to-point in Stradbally this month. He gets first-time cheekpieces. Artic Weather was beaten a length and a half into second by Speaker Thomas that day, but has a 7lb pull in the weights with James Hannon's claim, and a tongue-strap and blinkers are applied. This seven-year-old gelding is very much unexposed. Gordon Elliott's Happy Victory won his last two point-to-points before a couple of underwhelming track efforts.
JET FIGHTER acquitted himself well when sixth in the cross country earlier in the week and, if he can reproduce that sort of performance he should be hard to beat in what looks quite a thin race. An Droichead Gorm looks the chief threat and Artic Weather merits respect.
Despite two undistinguished hunter chase displays, HAPPY VICTORY will be hard to beat on the evidence of his point-to-point form
(5) The Wolf 3/1, Unreliable type who was pulled up in Ultima at Cheltenham Festival but got back on track in calmer waters when second of 7 at Ludlow 25 days ago. Likely to be on the premises but his long losing run is a concern. On a fair mark and decent second last time (wore visor rather than blinkers); a possible.
2
2nd (2) (4/1 -33%) Uncle Alastair
4/1(-33%)
(2) Uncle Alastair 4/1, Bumper/multiple hurdles winner who finally came good over fences in a 3m Carlisle veterans' event last month, benefiting from the application of a first-time visor (retained). Raised 5 lb. Carlisle winner last time (goes well on the track); last of five over 2m4f here in 2022.
3
3rd (4) (5.5/1 +8%) Saint Arvans
5.5/1(+8%)
(4) Saint Arvans 5.5/1, Likeable type who has taken well to chasing this season, winning for a fourth time at Kelso (3m) 11 days ago. Not obviously well treated under a 7 lb penalty, though. Four wins from 2m-2m7f this term, including last time; suited by good ground; a possible.
4
4th (6) (18/1 -13%) Fire Away
18/1(-13%)
(6) Fire Away 18/1, Added to his tally at Cartmel last May but has struggled since, pulling up (capitulated tamely) on return from a break at Stratford 4 weeks ago. Won over 2m5f last May, but mainly disappointing since; best form at 2m4f.
|F|
|F| (3) (3/1 +25%) Doyen Breed
3/1(+25%)
(3) Doyen Breed 3/1, Did well as a novice chaser last season and back on track when second at Kelso (21.5f) in February. Better than result (made a serious early error) when fourth back at Kelso (3¼m) last month. Interesting with a first-time visor replacing cheekpieces. Bit disappointing this season but on a good mark and visor now replaces cheekpieces.
|U|
|U| (7) (6/1 +33%) Evander
6/1(+33%)
(7) Evander 6/1, Took well to chasing in 2020/21, signing off with a win in 2½m Ludlow handicap. Pulled up either side of a well-held fifth at Carlisle on his 3 outings since returning from a long absence. Something to prove for now. Out of form this season following long absence; could bounce back, but a bit to prove.
|PU|
|PU| (1) (9/1 -38%) Cyclop
9/1(-38%)
(1) Cyclop 9/1, Multiple winner over hurdles/fences during 2020/21 and has rediscovered his shooting boots returned to veterans' company of late, scoring at Musselburgh and twice at Newbury since the start of February. Did look on the retreat when falling 4 out at Fakenham last time, though. Three wins this term, but looked held when falling last time; could well bounce back.
LTO Selection:
15:50 Perth Handicap Chase (Class 3) 24f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
Based on the summary provided, it is difficult to confidently predict which horse will perform the best. However, 3/1 (2) UNCLE ALASTAIR Carlisle may have an advantage as they have previously won on the track and are benefitting from a first-time visor. 6/1 (4) SAINT ARVANS also has a good record this season with four wins and may be a contender. The other horses have either been inconsistent or are out of form, so they may have a bit to prove.
Cyclop appeared to be retreating when falling in the latter stages of the race at Fakenham earlier in the month and the veteran may be worth taking on running off the same mark in this contest. UNCLE ALASTAIR proved a different proposition when cruising home in a first-time visor at Carlisle last month and a 5lb rise in the handicap might not be enough to stop Nicky Richards' gelding from going in again. Fellow last-time-out winner Saint Arvans could have more to offer over staying distances and is another viable alternative.
DOYEN BREED looks to be on the way back and can resume winning ways in a change of headgear. The Wolf's long losing run dents confidence for win purpose but he ran well for second at Ludlow last time and can fill the forecast spot again. Recent Carlisle scorer Uncle Alastair may prove best of the rest.
Although his winning run came to an end last time, CYCLOP is taken to return resume winning ways on a track that suits him.
(4) Wonder Legend 2.5/1, Promising individual. Won 6-runner maiden (5/1) at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 17 days ago. Further progress likely now that he ventures down the handicap route and should go close if proving equally effective on turf. Off the mark at Wolverhampton last time and longer trip should suit on handicap/turf debut.
2
2nd (3) (2.5/1 +29%) Westerton
2.5/1(+29%)
(3) Westerton 2.5/1, Promising sort. 14/1, second of 10 in maiden at Nottingham (8.3f, soft) on final 2-y-o start in October (gelded since). Will be suited by this stiffer test now handicapping and he's high on the shortlist. Runner-up at Nottingham last October; longer trip should suit on handicap debut.
3
3rd (2) (3/1 +33%) It's All About You
3/1(+33%)
(2) It's All About You 3/1, Thrice-raced winner. Won 14-runner minor event at Newbury (8f, heavy, 17/2), battling well. Off 6 months and moves up in trip for this handicap debut. Needs to improve. Off the mark at Newbury last October and this longer trip can only be in his favour.
4
4th (7) (8/1 -78%) Denis Anthony
8/1(-78%)
(7) Denis Anthony 8/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Fourth of 13 in minor event at Kempton (8f, 100/1). Off 130 days and goes up in trip for this handicap debut. Likely improver. Will need to improve a fair bit to make a successful handicap debut.
5th
5th (1) (8/1 +56%) Hope You Can Run
8/1(+56%)
(1) Hope You Can Run 8/1, Lightly-raced course winner. 6/1, third of 4 in nursery at Newmarket (8f, good) when last seen 7 months ago. Up in trip and needs to raise his game a notch. Shaped as though this longer trip would suit on final start at two; worth considering.
6th
6th (6) (11/1 +21%) Outrace
11/1(+21%)
(6) Outrace 11/1, Winner at Kempton in February. Good second of 8 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f, 11/2) 3 days ago, having run of race. Efforts on turf last season were modest and not sure that the return to this trip will be in his favour. Consistent in AW handicaps, but up against less exposed rivals and this trip stretches him.
LTO Selection:
16:00 Doncaster Handicap (Class 4) 10f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Based on the summary, it seems that 2.5/1 (4) WONDER LEGEND and 3.5/1 (3) WESTERTON are the most promising horses for this race. 2.5/1 (4) WONDER LEGEND has won a maiden race and is now venturing down the handicap route, and the longer trip should suit his style. 3.5/1 (3) WESTERTON, on the other hand, has been a runner-up in a maiden race and is expected to do well now that he's on handicap debut and running in a longer trip. While 9/1 (5) MINDSET and 4.5/1 (7) DENIS ANTHONY are also promising horses, they may be outmatched by the other contenders.
HOPE YOU CAN RUN takes a drop in class after finishing third in a good nursery at Newmarket on his final start as a two-year-old. Although he has to give weight away to all his rivals, the added two furlongs here might see plenty of improvement. Wonder Legend got back up to take his maiden at Wolverhampton and is one to consider on his turf/handicap debut, though Mindset may prove the bigger danger now stepping up to the trip he was bred for as a son of New Approach.
The two that appeal most are WESTERTON and Wonder Legend. Marginal preference is for the former, who took a step forward when runner-up in a Nottingham maiden on his final start of 2022 (dual subsequent winner Like A Tiger back in third) and further progress is anticipated now faced with a stiffer test on this handicap debut. Wonder Legend has improved with each of his three starts on the all-weather and will be a big threat if taking to turf, while Denis Anthony is another likely improver.
Several of these are open to more improvement, but WONDER LEGEND is race-fit having got off the mark at Wolverhampton this month.
(3) Kilcruit 2.75/1, 15¼ lengths fifth of 6 to Mighty Potter in Scalp Novices' Chase at Leopardstown (21.2f, good to soft, 14/1) 82 days ago. Makes handicap chase debut. One for the shortlist. Sights lowered after Grade 1 attempts, Paul Townend's choice over identically-rated pair.
2
2nd (14) (28/1 +30%) Jody Ted
28/1(+30%)
(14) Jody Ted 28/1, Latest win in chase at Clonmel in December. 14/1 and hooded for 1st time, fell in handicap chase at Navan (23.5f, heavy) 39 days ago. Mixed form since Clonmel beginners' win, not consistent enough to be a betting proposition.
3
3rd (6) (3.6/1 +10%) Life In The Park
3.6/1(+10%)
(6) Life In The Park 3.6/1, Good 2¾ lengths third of 6 to Thedevilscoachman in Gr 3 chase (10/3) at Limerick (24.6f, soft) 33 days ago, running on late. Makes handicap chase debut. Not taken lightly. Handicap hurdle winner off 119 at last year's festival, now 138 for first handicap chase.
4
4th (5) (5.5/1 +39%) Grandero Bello
5.5/1(+39%)
(5) Grandero Bello 5.5/1, 13/8, creditable 2½ lengths second of 6 to Thedevilscoachman in Gr 3 chase at Limerick (24.6f, soft) 33 days ago. Tongue strap on 1st time. Makes handicap chase debut. Useful novice who is closely matched with Life In The Park on Grade 3 running at Limerick.
5th
5th (10) (33/1 -32%) Tullybeg
33/1(-32%)
(10) Tullybeg 33/1, Seven wins from 20 NH runs. 2 wins from 6 runs this season. 7/1, fourth of 5 in handicap chase at Cheltenham (19.8f, good to soft). Off 6 months. Won twice in the first half of the season, absent since Cheltenham defeat in October.
6th
6th (2) (18/1 -50%) Authorized Art
18/1(-50%)
(2) Authorized Art 18/1, 4 wins from 8 runs this season. Fifth of 8 in novice chase at Fairyhouse (19.8f, good to soft, 28/1) 19 days ago. Makes handicap chase debut. Three chase wins in the first half of the season, drops in class with stable's other two.
7th
7th (11) (14/1 +13%) Slip Of The Tongue
14/1(+13%)
(11) Slip Of The Tongue 14/1, Useful winner at 16f over hurdles. Eighth of 12 in handicap chase at Navan (23.5f, heavy, 5/1) 39 days ago. Plenty to find on form. Two 2m hurdle wins, Gowran third behind Grandero Bello potentially puts him in the mix.
8th
8th (13) (25/1 -14%) Sit Down Lucy
25/1(-14%)
(13) Sit Down Lucy 25/1, Useful winner at 19f over hurdles. Well-beaten fifth of 7 to Instit in listed chase (40/1) at Fairyhouse (21.7f, good to soft) 20 days ago. Makes handicap chase debut. Best form has been at Galway, hurdles win there last year was gained off 7lb lower mark.
9th
9th (9) (20/1 +9%) Largy Debut
20/1(+9%)
(9) Largy Debut 20/1, Respectable second of 8 in novice chase (13/8) at Cork (20f, good to soft) 19 days ago. Makes handicap chase debut. Must improve. Appears flattered by his form-figures in the novice grade, does not seem well handicapped.
|F|
|F| (8) (66/1 -200%) Hallowed Star
66/1(-200%)
(8) Hallowed Star 66/1, Useful winner at 23f over hurdles. Pulled up in minor event chase (11/2) at Fairyhouse (21f, heavy) 128 days ago, dropping away approaching 3 out. Makes handicap chase debut. Faller here in November, jumping let him down at Fairyhouse, a little risky at this stage.
|U|
|U| (7) (6/1 -50%) So Scottish
6/1(-50%)
(7) So Scottish 6/1, Promising individual. 3 wins from 8 runs this season. 11/2, shaped well when respectable seventh of 23 in Magners Plate at Cheltenham Festival (20.6f, soft) 43 days ago. Expected to be bang there. Prominent for a long way in the Magners Plate at Cheltenham, solid chance on overall form.
|PU|
|PU| (1) (11/1 -22%) Adamantly Chosen
11/1(-22%)
(1) Adamantly Chosen 11/1, Course winner. Sixth of 8 in novice chase at Fairyhouse (19.8f, good to soft, 16/1) 19 days ago. Makes handicap chase debut. One to bear in mind on pick of form. All five outings in Grade 1s since course win last November, last year's winning rider.
|PU|
|PU| (15) (12/1 +70%) Carrig Sam
12/1(+70%)
(15) Carrig Sam 12/1, Useful winner at 20f over hurdles. 6/4 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, third of 5 in minor event chase at Down Royal (19.6f, soft) 42 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Makes handicap chase debut. Reassuring that he managed to complete the course last time, others have stronger claims.
|PU|
|PU| (12) (25/1 +24%) Aarons Day
25/1(+24%)
(12) Aarons Day 25/1, Latest win in chase at Naas in January. 9/1, below form fifth of 9 in handicap chase at Fairyhouse (16.5f, good to soft) 19 days ago. Back up in trip. Won a Naas novice handicap in January, below that form since, soundly beaten at Fairyhouse.
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
4/1 (3) KILCRUIT seems to be a strong contender based on being Paul Townend's choice and having promising overall form. 4/1 (6) LIFE IN THE PARK and 9/1 (5) GRANDERO BELLO also have good Grade 3 running form and are worth considering. 10/1 (4) MACS CHARM and 12/1 (2) AUTHORIZED ART both have recent wins and could have potential in handicap chases. However, horses like 22/1 (8) HALLOWED STAR and 25/1 (10) TULLYBEG may be risky due to recent poor form or long absences.
LIFE IN THE PARK has an each-way chance at the prices. Henry de Bromhead's six-year-old gelding made a highly encouraging seasonal reappearance at Limerick when nearest at the finish in a close third in a Grade 3 novice chase. There ought to be plenty more to come from him in this sphere. He won the Adare Manor Opportunity Final Handicap Hurdle at last season's Punchestown Festival. Kilcruit is three from four across all codes (a Grade 1 bumper, a maiden hurdle and a beginners' chase) at Punchestown. His last two unplaced outings came in Grade 1 company over fences and he is clearly a big player in this company. Emmet Mullins' So Scottish is very talented and can rebound from an unplaced run at Cheltenham. Grandero Bello was a neck in front of Life In The Park in second at Limerick and gets first-time cheekpieces. Dropping back in trip will suit him.
SO SCOTTISH shaped well when seventh in the Magners Plate at Cheltenham Festival 6 weeks ago, travelling strongly for a long way before the lack of a recent run told, and that should leave him spot on now. Life In The Park shaped much better than the bare result in a Grade 3 at Limerick last month and is of interest now handicapping, while Kilcruit heads a strong team for Willie Mullins.
A hard race to get a handle on with three Mullins runners at the top of the handicap. None of the trio may cope with GRANDERO BELLO
(3) Born Famous 20/1, Limited over hurdles and fences in Ireland for Claire O'Connell but worth a precautionary betting check now setting out for new trainer Iain Jardine. Winning Irish pointer; fair form under rules, including over fences; stable debut.
2
2nd (1) (5/1 +29%) Maillot Blanc
5/1(+29%)
(1) Maillot Blanc 5/1, Winner of Hereford handicap hurdle in January. 12/1, creditable third of 12 at Kelso (21f, soft) 34 days ago. Can make presence felt. Hereford winner in January; has kept his form well but no easy task off 9lb higher.
3
3rd (14) (3.5/1 +30%) Watchoutitscookie
3.5/1(+30%)
(14) Watchoutitscookie 3.5/1, Improved when winning then second at Wincanton last month. Unseated before halfway at Plumpton latest. Treated as if still in form. On the shortlist. Front-runner; won over 2m4f off 5lb lower in March and creditable second last time; chance.
4
4th (2) (12/1 +14%) Kilbrainy
12/1(+14%)
(2) Kilbrainy 12/1, Fair in bumpers and made a solid start to his handicap career over hurdles when second at Musselburgh (2½m) in November. Disappointing twice since (remote third at Ayr latterly) but too soon to write him off. Good second in November and excuses for two below-par runs since; should fare better.
5th
5th (9) (12/1 -9%) Ultra Violet
12/1(-9%)
(9) Ultra Violet 12/1, Fairly useful on Flat in France. Not managed to get near that level over hurdles, but his last 2 runs have been a bit better, finishing fourth in 20.5f Ayr handicap latterly. Better efforts with cheekpieces the last twice, including 4th in Ayr h'cap latest; chance.
6th
6th (10) (5.5/1 +69%) Cowboy Cooper
5.5/1(+69%)
(10) Cowboy Cooper 5.5/1, Poor form in bumpers/over hurdles, failing to improve for a switch to handicap company when beaten 17 lengths into fourth at Hexham (2½m) last month. Still early days but needs improvement. Unexposed; fair 4th on first run at 2m4f on h'cap debut last time; better expected; chance.
7th
7th (5) (20/1 +29%) Dot Cotton
20/1(+29%)
(5) Dot Cotton 20/1, Fair ex-Irish maiden. Hinted at a revival when third of 9 in 2m Ayr handicap in December but has failed to back it up over longer trips there twice since. Ex-Irish; 0-10; hasn't really fired for new yard and comes here with a bit to prove.
|U|
|U| (11) (18/1 +55%) Maisie Too
18/1(+55%)
(11) Maisie Too 18/1, Modest form in a quartet of bumpers and comfortably held in 3 novice hurdles since. More realistic chance now handicapping, though. Also equipped with first-time cheekpieces. Some promise in novice events; cheekpieces tried on h'cap debut; needs to improve..
|PU|
|PU| (4) (5/1 +9%) What A Steal
5/1(+9%)
(4) What A Steal 5/1, Showed fair form in a couple of bumpers last winter. Yet to match that level over hurdles but it's still early days and the booking of Brian Hughes (who doesn't ride regularly for the stable) catches the eye for this handicap debut. Also fitted with a tongue strap for the first time. Decent third over 1m7f latest; should stay 2m3f, but better at shorter so far; h'cap debut.
|PU|
|PU| (7) (7.5/1 +6%) Take Centre Stage
7.5/1(+6%)
(7) Take Centre Stage 7.5/1, Left a disappointing handicap debut at Wetherby on Boxing Day behind when third over 2m at Kelso (heavy) and Market Rasen (good) since. Steps up in trip now. Remains unexposed. Decent efforts on last two starts (2m); interesting up to 2m4f for first time over jumps.
|PU|
|PU| (6) (20/1 +0%) Hector Master
20/1(+0%)
(6) Hector Master 20/1, Has gone the wrong way since a fairly encouraging hurdles bow, although his recent comeback run after a 13-month absence can be overlooked as a he was badly hampered 3 out, eventually finishing a remote fourth. Ordinary form so far; badly hampered on return from a break last time; should fare better.
|PU|
|PU| (8) (28/1 -27%) Barley Breeze
28/1(-27%)
(8) Barley Breeze 28/1, Modest in bumpers. Completed for first time over hurdles when 17 lengths last of 4 at Newcastle (2m) last month. Handicaps could see him in a better light. One to note in the betting. Pulled up on first two runs over hurdles and last of four on latest start; others stronger.
LTO Selection:
16:25 Perth Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 20f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
3/1 (12) CHUMLEE and 5/1 (14) WATCHOUTITSCOOKIE seem to be the strongest contenders based on their recent form and abilities. However, 5.5/1 (4) WHAT A STEAL and 7/1 (1) MAILLOT BLANC cannot be completely ruled out as they have shown some decent performances and could surprise. The rest of the field seems to have some question marks and will need to improve significantly to be competitive.
CHUMLEE has been hit with an 11lb hike in the ratings after romping home by 10 lengths over 2m1f on his handicap debut at Newcastle last month, but Sandy Forster's inmate looks capable of more now stepped up to 2m4f and gets the vote. Maillot Blanc was far from disgraced when placing third off 1lb lower in a class 2 event at Kelso last time and he isn't taken lightly in these calmer waters. What A Steal may have more to offer here on his handicap debut and completes the shortlist.
Tom George has a healthy 22% strike-rate here so a chance is taken on his WHAT A STEAL who showed promise at the start of his career and rates a potential improver now handicapping under Brian Hughes. Maillot Blanc ran a solid race at Kelso last month and is also on the shortlist, along with recent Newcastle scorer Chumlee and Nigel Hawke's Watchoutitscookie.
In a trappy race ULTRA VIOLET, who has improved with cheekpieces, is the tentative choice. Watchoutitscookie is an obvious threat.
(10) Vallamorey 22/1, Thrice-raced maiden on Flat. Third of 5 in minor event (22/1) at Newcastle (10.2f) on latest start 6 months ago. May well improve now handicapping and she's not without each-way hope. Makes her handicap debut after six months off and plenty of improvement is required.
2
2nd (6) (3.5/1 +0%) My Little Queens
3.5/1(+0%)
(6) My Little Queens 3.5/1, Career best when winning 8-runner handicap at Chelmsford City (10f, 4/1) 15 days ago, readily. More needed back on turf following a 5 lb rise. 5lb higher than for her successful Chelmsford reappearance, but she won in fine style.
3
3rd (2) (3/1 +25%) Compliant
3/1(+25%)
(2) Compliant 3/1, Latest win at Kempton in February. 2/1, creditable third of 7 in handicap at Newcastle (10.2f) 50 days ago. Possibilities off the same mark in this slightly lower-grade handicap. 2-4 in AW handicaps and ran with credit in one turf start, but she may need a stiffer test.
4
4th (7) (6/1 -118%) Invisible Friend
6/1(-118%)
(7) Invisible Friend 6/1, Twice-raced winner. 2/9, won 3-runner minor event at Carlisle (9f, good to firm) when last seen in August, keeping on well. Mark for this handicap bow looks fair and improvement is on the cards. Not seen since easily winning a three-runner event last August; unexposed and should stay.
5th
5th (5) (5/1 +58%) Silver Screen
5/1(+58%)
(5) Silver Screen 5/1, Last of 16 in handicap (11/1) at Newmarket (8f, good to soft) when last seen 6 months ago, possibly amiss. Up in trip and possibilities judged on last season's placed efforts. Ended last season with two modest efforts; bred to stay this far, but something to prove.
6th
6th (3) (8/1 +50%) My Silent Song
8/1(+50%)
(3) My Silent Song 8/1, 80/1, last of 12 in handicap at Southwell (8.1f) 22 days ago. Up in trip and Hood on 1st time. Needs to take a step back in the right direction. Two wins over 1m on fast ground; last on her reappearance; more needed up in trip; hood on.
7th
7th (4) (18/1 +18%) Pretty Bouquet
18/1(+18%)
(4) Pretty Bouquet 18/1, Lightly-raced winner. 14/1, good fifth of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (12.2f). Off 151 days ahead of this debut for new yard and others make more appeal. Makes stable debut after five months off; probably best watched.
8th
8th (1) (6/1 +8%) Miss Down Under
6/1(+8%)
(1) Miss Down Under 6/1, Third of 4 in handicap at Lingfield (12f, AW, 9/1) 25 days ago. Cheekpieces back on and, entitled to come on for that run and with this drop back in trip a good move, she's one for the shortlist. Should be better for her reappearance and this trip seems to suit her best; shortlisted.
9th
9th (9) (25/1 +11%) Arab Cinder
25/1(+11%)
(9) Arab Cinder 25/1, Ninth of 11 in handicap (16/1) at Southwell (11.1f) 70 days ago, finding little. Others make greater appeal. Returns from ten weeks off and her three efforts on turf leave plenty to be desired.
LTO Selection:
16:30 Doncaster Handicap (Class 5) 10f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the summary provided, it is difficult to predict with certainty which horse will do well. However, the following horses seem to have some potential: - 2.75/1 (7) INVISIBLE FRIEND: This horse has not been seen since winning easily in August and is described as unexposed. The summary states that improvement is on the cards, which could make them a contender. - 3.5/1 (6) MY LITTLE QUEENS: This horse won in fine style at Chelmsford City and had a career best performance. While they are higher in weight for this race, they are still considered a possibility. - 6.5/1 (1) MISS DOWN UNDER: This horse is expected to do better in this race after their third-place finish in their last race. They will be wearing cheekpieces again, which could improve their performance. - 12/1 (5) SILVER SCREEN: Although their last two performances were modest, this horse has placed in previous races and has possibilities now that they are up in distance. - 16/1 (10) VALLAMOREY: This horse is making their handicap debut and the summary suggests that they may
Compliant will try to make her fitness advantage pay after winning at Kempton in February before a close-up third at Newcastle the following month, but she is yet to prove her worth on the grass and INVISIBLE FRIEND may be the one. Third on her Haydock debut, she won very easily at Carlisle, despite showing signs of her inexperience, and could be in for a successful season with any further improvement. My Little Queens also makes the shortlist after her Chelmsford triumph.
The unexposed INVISIBLE FRIEND looks the way to go having shown plenty of promise on her two starts last summer, finishing third to a subsequent listed winner on debut at Haydock prior to landing the odds in a 9f Carlisle novice. She is probably capable of better than her opening mark would imply. Miss Down Under is likely to come on for her reappearance spin on the all-weather and is feared back at what appears to be her optimum trip. Silver Screen and Vallamorey both make some each-way appeal.
The choice is MISS DOWN UNDER who looked in need of her reappearance. This trip suits her better and she wouldn't mind any more rain.
(2) Walk In Clover 1.88/1, Proved well suited by truly-run affair and sprang a surprise from 14 lb out of the weights when landing 20.6f Grade 2 handicap chase at Cheltenham under this rider last week, typically taking keen hold but keeping on well. Good shout if staying this longer trip. Due to be 11 lb higher in the future. Cheltenham Grade 2 handicap winner last week; 11lb well in; player if this isn't too soon..
2
2nd (1) (2.25/1 -29%) Midnight Mary
2.25/1(-29%)
(1) Midnight Mary 2.25/1, Fair winning hurdler who has done well over fences for new yard this term, winning similar race at Wetherby before 2 good efforts at Warwick (including over 3m, ran a screamer latest). Tongue strap back on and bold bid expected. Close second in Warwick novice latest and well treated on that form; return to 3m is fine..
3
3rd (4) (12/1 +40%) Lady Tremaine
12/1(+40%)
(4) Lady Tremaine 12/1, Dual winner over hurdles over much shorter last season and having been in decent order made a fairly encouraging debut in this sphere at Ffos Las (19.4f) 5 weeks ago, a deliberate jump at the last proving costly. Blinkers go on (previously worn cheekpieces) and this is tougher up in trip. Nearly made successful chase debut latest (2m4f, heavy); good ground would lessen appeal..
4
4th (3) (7/1 +50%) Lily Glitters
7/1(+50%)
(3) Lily Glitters 7/1, Likeable staying hurdler who has won 2 more handicaps this term. Belated chase debut and while she has a bit to find she won't want for stamina so could be in the mix. Hereford hurdles winner off 5lb lower in February; all wins gained going right-handed..
|U|
|U| (5) (3/1 +70%) Western Jill
3/1(+70%)
(5) Western Jill 3/1, Not disgraced in 3 runs over hurdles and type to make a better chaser stepped up in trip (runner-up sole outing in Irish points). Interesting for yard that does well here. In the frame on all three 2m4f hurdles outings; chasers in immediate family; interesting..
LTO Selection:
16:35 Southwell Handicap Chase (Class 4) 24f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
0.83/1 (2) WALK IN CLOVER has the highest chance of doing well based on the summary.
Walk In Clover has been put up 11lb for future races by the handicapper, meaning that even with a 7lb penalty here, she is still effectively 4lb well in at the weights. She seems likely to go well but she may not be able to cope with MIDNIGHT MARY, who was only beaten half a length in a better race at Warwick in March, and racing off the same mark here. She may have too may gears for these, leaving Western Jill as a tentative suggestion to chase them home.
WESTERN JILL is interesting starting out over fences and could be the way to go over Midnight Mary and Cheltenham-winner Walk In Clover (no banker to back that up over this longer trip).
Off an unchanged mark and with longer to recover, MIDNIGHT MARY can capitalise if this comes too soon for Walk In Clover.
(3) Fortuna Ligna 0.5/1, Fair form in bumpers and found improvement sent handicapping in this sphere the last twice. latest when fourth of 15 at Newbury (20.5f, soft) 34 days ago. Holds obvious claims. Leading claims, with form which is miles better than that of most of her rivals.
2
2nd (1) (4/1 -45%) All The Glory
4/1(-45%)
(1) All The Glory 4/1, Fair performer in bumpers who posted her best effort over hurdles (back from 5 months off) when third of 8 in novice at Haydock (18.9f, good to firm) 20 days ago. Entitled to build on that and is a likely contender. Third at Haydock (2m3f, good to soft; acts on soft) was a return to her bumper form.
3
3rd (6) (66/1 +34%) Key Instinct
66/1(+34%)
(6) Key Instinct 66/1, Runner-up sole outing in Irish points but well held both starts in bumpers and over hurdles. 2nd in Irish point; modest form in her second bumper; heavy defeats in two novice hurdles.
4
4th (7) (14/1 -40%) La Pagerie
14/1(-40%)
(7) La Pagerie 14/1, Half-sister to 8 winners who showed some ability in sole bumper outing and similarly when sixth of 13 in novice at Doncaster (16.6f, good to soft, 7/1) on hurdles bow 42 days ago. Each-way claims. Some promise in a bumper but beaten 25l when 7-1 for maiden hurdle at Doncaster (2m, good).
5th
5th (2) (7.5/1 +25%) Cooleenymore
7.5/1(+25%)
(2) Cooleenymore 7.5/1, Placed 3 times in Irish points this winter and far from disgraced when third of 8 in novice (11/1) at Ffos Las (20f, heavy) on NH debut 37 days ago. Not out of things. Minor honours in her Irish points and maiden hurdle at Ffos Las (2m4f, heavy); modest form.
6th
6th (5) (50/1 -150%) Houston Calling
50/1(-150%)
(5) Houston Calling 50/1, Well bred but didn't offer much in her 2 bumpers and was a similar story on Ffos Las hurdles debut in February. Minor form in her two bumpers and when 36l third of four at Ffos Las (2m4f) over hurdles.
7th
7th (10) (50/1 -150%) Mollie Brown
50/1(-150%)
(10) Mollie Brown 50/1, Down the field in pair of bumpers and held back by inexperience on hurdles debut at Ffos Las last month. Soundly beaten in her two bumpers and when fourth of eight in maiden hurdle (2m4f, heavy).
8th
8th (12) (66/1 -100%) Defferella
66/1(-100%)
(12) Defferella 66/1, Modest maiden on the Flat and never really involved on debut in this sphere at Exeter earlier this month. Modest maiden at best on Flat; 150-1 fourth of seven in a selling hurdle (2m2f, good).
9th
9th (4) (28/1 +15%) Gio's Girl
28/1(+15%)
(4) Gio's Girl 28/1, Winning pointer who hasn't stood much racing under Rules and she's offered little in 3 starts upon returning from a 2-year absence this campaign. Best watched in first-time blinkers. Player on 2020 form but back from long absence with disappointing runs this year; blinkers.
10th
10th (9) (100/1 -203%) Maskara
100/1(-203%)
(9) Maskara 100/1, Made appeal on pedigree (closely related to Annsam) but finished last of 7 in bumper at Stratford on NH debut 8 months ago. Tries hurdles now. 14-1, faded into tailed-off last of seven in bumper at Stratford (2m, good) last August.
11th
11th (11) (125/1 -279%) Well Paid Soldier
125/1(-279%)
(11) Well Paid Soldier 125/1, Well held in a pair of Wincanton maidens this year and looks one for longer term. Beaten 30l then 51l in her two maiden hurdles at Wincanton, both 1m7f on good to soft.
12th
12th (8) (50/1 +0%) Lily Grace
50/1(+0%)
(8) Lily Grace 50/1, No impact in bumper on NH debut in January or when switched to hurdling at Lingfield the following month. Looks one for handicaps down the line. Beaten 68l when favourite for a bumper (heavy) and 66l when 33-1 in a novice hurdle (2m).
13th
13th (13) (20/1 +60%) Eile Tara
20/1(+60%)
(13) Eile Tara 20/1, Kayf Tara filly, dam bumper/2½m-3m hurdle winner, half-sister to bumper winner/useful hurdler (19f-21f winner) Lesser out of useful 2½m-2¾m hurdle winner (stayed 3m) Aine Dubh. Worth a check in the market on debut. Debut but worth a second look given that this field appears to have no strength in depth.
LTO Selection:
16:45 Chepstow Maiden Hurdle (Class 4)
20f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
0.83/1 (3) FORTUNA LIGNA looks like the strongest contender based on her leading claims and superior form compared to her rivals. 2.75/1 (1) ALL THE GLORY and 10/1 (7) LA PAGERIE also have potential to be contenders, but may not be as strong as 0.83/1 (3) FORTUNA LIGNA. The rest of the field appears to have less promising form and may not be as likely to do well.
FORTUNA LIGNA performed as well as expected when fourth in the EBF Mares' Final at Newbury last month and looks to have been found a good opportunity returning to maiden company. All The Glory posted an improved effort to place third at Haydock earlier in the month and rates as the only conceivable danger, with Cooleenymore making most appeal of the remainder.
Preference is for ALL THE GLORY, who upped her game when third at Haydock earlier this month and remains low mileage in this sphere. Fortuna Ligna has performed well in handicap company recently and is the obvious danger, whilst Cooleenymore can also make her presence felt.
This is a great chance to get off the mark for FORTUNA LIGNA, with All The Glory almost her only conceivable danger.
(3) Impervious 0.73/1, Promising sort. 15/8, career best when winning 9-runner Mrs Paddy Power Mares' Chase (Liberthine) at Cheltenham (20.6f, good to soft) 42 days ago by 2½ lengths from Allegorie De Vassy, going clear. Obvious claims. Battled well to win the Mares' chase at Cheltenham last month to make it 4-4 over fences.
2
2nd (7) (5/1 +23%) Instit
5/1(+23%)
(7) Instit 5/1, Useful chaser. 15/2, career best when winning 7-runner listed chase at Fairyhouse (21.7f, good to soft) 20 days ago by 9½ lengths from Allegorie De Vassy. Not taken lightly. Took her form to a new level with Listed win latest over stablemate Allegorie De Vassy.
3
3rd (1) (3.33/1 -21%) Allegorie De Vassy
3.33/1(-21%)
(1) Allegorie De Vassy 3.33/1, Smart chaser. Respectable 9½ lengths second of 7 to Instit in listed chase at Fairyhouse (21.7f, good to soft, 4/9) 20 days ago, folding. Shortlisted on pick of form. Consistent and has run well behind Impervious and Instit last 2 starts but may be exposed.
4
4th (2) (18/1 +45%) Elimay
18/1(+45%)
(2) Elimay 18/1, Useful hurdler. Blinkered for 1st time, respectable 15½ lengths fifth of 9 to Impervious in Mrs Paddy Power Mares' Chase (Liberthine) (20/1) at Cheltenham (20.6f, good to soft) 42 days ago. Unlikely to be good enough judged on this season's form. 2nd in this last year after Cheltenham success but doesn't arrive in the same form.
|F|
|F| (6) (200/1 +20%) Echoes Of Family
200/1(+20%)
(6) Echoes Of Family 200/1, Fair chaser. One win from 26 NH runs. Fourth of 6 in handicap chase (15/2) at Navan (20.4f, good to soft) 55 days ago. Out of her depth. 1-15 over fences; rated 43lb below her closest rival..
|PU|
|PU| (4) (12/1 -50%) Riviere D'etel
12/1(-50%)
(4) Riviere D'etel 12/1, Smart chaser. Course winner. Fell in Mrs Paddy Power Mares' Chase (Liberthine) (18/1) at Cheltenham (20.6f, good to soft) 42 days ago won by Impervious. Jumping remains a concern. Turned over at odds on at Carlisle and fell after a mistake at Cheltenham since.
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
0.91/1 (3) IMPERVIOUS is likely to do well based on the summary. She has won her last four races over fences and had a career-best win at Cheltenham last month. She has obvious claims and is a promising sort. 2.75/1 (1) ALLEGORIE DE VASSY and 6.5/1 (7) INSTIT also have respectable chances, having run well in their previous races. 33/1 (2) ELIMAY and 250/1 (6) ECHOES OF FAMILY are unlikely to be good enough, based on their recent form.
IMPERVIOUS has been a joy to watch over fences and is taken to maintain her unbeaten record in this discipline. She was a more than useful hurdler in winning a Grade 3 in Down Royal, but has taken her form to a whole new level over the bigger obstacles. She is a perfect four from four including the Grade 2 mares' chase at Cheltenham where she won a battle on the run-in with Allegorie De Vassy. The latter comes back for more and is a threat as she is the closest to Impervious on ratings (4lb inferior). She has had a run since Cheltenham when clearly not at her best in second at Fairyhouse. Instit, a stablemate of Allegorie De Vassy, beat her at Fairyhouse and has a shot at finishing in front of her again.
IMPERVIOUS maintained her unbeaten record over fences with a very smart performance when readily beating Allegorie de Vassy in the Mrs Paddy Power Mares' Chase (Liberthine) at the Cheltenham Festival 6 weeks ago and should prove hard to beat once more. Allegorie de Vassy can follow her home again despite a rather disappointing performance at Fairyhouse 3 weeks ago.
IMPERVIOUS (nap) is the one to beat after her Cheltenham success last month and she arrives fresher than her two main rivals
(2) Haribo Collonges 5.5/1, Third on Market Rasen handicap debut (20.5f, good to soft) on Boxing Day (final start for Dr Richard Newland). Seemingly failed to stay 25f on recent Carlisle stable debut after a break. One to consider back at shorter with a hood added. Maiden; not beaten too far on stable debut and drop in trip/hood could help.
2
2nd (8) (6.5/1 +54%) Sanosuke
6.5/1(+54%)
(8) Sanosuke 6.5/1, Fairly useful on the Flat in Ireland but has proved rather hit-and-miss since switched to hurdles, beaten 24 lengths when second of 5 at Musselburgh latest. First-time tongue strap needs to have a positive effect. Yet to be really competitive in handicaps; tongue-strap now fitted.
3
3rd (11) (7.5/1 -88%) The Bandit
7.5/1(-88%)
(11) The Bandit 7.5/1, Much improved effort over hurdles when winning 13-runner handicap at Southwell (20.5f, soft) 16 days ago. Will be very competitive off his revised mark if showing up in similar form. Much improved when winning at Southwell this month; up 7lb; hard to discount.
4
4th (12) (10/1 +38%) Ginger Pointe
10/1(+38%)
(12) Ginger Pointe 10/1, Maiden Irish pointer who has shown just modest form at best over hurdles thus far, although latest 9 lengths fifth over 2m at Ayr was a bit more encouraging and he's been eased another 3 lb since. Back up in trip. Not beaten far at Ayr, following wind surgery, but this maiden needs further improvement.
5th
5th (5) (6/1 +14%) Euchan Falls
6/1(+14%)
(5) Euchan Falls 6/1, Has taken his form up a level since fitted with cheekpieces, landing handicaps over this trip at Musselburgh and Ayr this year. Last weekend's effort back at Ayr was disappointing, though. Two wins since cheekpieces fitted; below best latest but could well bounce back.
6th
6th (14) (9/1 +36%) Dr Shirocco
9/1(+36%)
(14) Dr Shirocco 9/1, Remains a maiden after 22 runs but has finished runner-up 3 times over fences at Mussleburgh this winter. Creditable fourth back hurdling at Carlisle (19f) latest, although the reopposing Balranald was ahead in second. Not beaten far at Carlisle this month but now 0-22 under rules.
7th
7th (4) (10/1 +50%) Velasco
10/1(+50%)
(4) Velasco 10/1, Twice runner-up for Tom Lacey last season but his jumping became an increased issue and that problem has again been on show for this yard. Others are preferred. Unplaced all six starts for this yard; slightly better latest but not enough to convince.
8th
8th (1) (16/1 -33%) Minella Youngy
16/1(-33%)
(1) Minella Youngy 16/1, Fair winning hurdler in Ireland for Gavin Cromwell. Yet to get competitive in 4 outings for current yard (distant fourth last time) but this represents a drop in class and he's worth a second look in the betting. Not beaten far first two starts for yard but twice tailed off since; down in class.
9th
9th (6) (14/1 -75%) Pats Dream
14/1(-75%)
(6) Pats Dream 14/1, £55,000 purchase from Irish pointing field who has shown a bit in his qualifying runs over hurdles and rates a possible improver now handicapping over further. Unplaced so far over hurdles but may do much better now handicapping over longer trip.
|U|
|U| (7) (100/1 +20%) Silver Vision
100/1(+20%)
(7) Silver Vision 100/1, Won a weak juvenile at Musselburgh in November but big prices and well beaten on her completed start in handicaps this spring. Shock winner last November but little either side of that.
10th
10th (10) (33/1 +74%) Nights Of Doyen
33/1(+74%)
(10) Nights Of Doyen 33/1, Modest ex-Irish maiden who offered little obvious encouragement in 2 outings for current yard at the start of 2023. Unplaced all starts; beaten long way by Euchan Falls latest.
|PU|
|PU| (13) (3/1 +54%) Eden Mill
3/1(+54%)
(13) Eden Mill 3/1, Modest maiden but he does arrive on the back of placed efforts at Ayr (2m) and Carlisle (19f). Considered under Sean Bowen. Narrowly beaten at Carlisle last month and strong candidate off 2lb higher.
LTO Selection:
17:00 Perth Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 20f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
It is difficult to predict with certainty which horse will do well as there are several contenders, each with their own strengths and weaknesses. However, 4/1 (11) THE BANDIT and 6.5/1 (13) EDEN MILL seem to have a better chance as they have recently shown improved form and are only slightly up in the weights. 8/1 (6) PATS DREAM and 12/1 (1) MINELLA YOUNGY, although unproven in handicaps, also have potential to do well if they can build on their previous performances.
The booking of Brian Hughes to ride Rory And Me for the trainer who won a division of this in 2021 catches the eye, and he could go well at a price as he comes down the weights, along with Sanosuke, who looks well handicapped but isn't guaranteed to be at his best over this trip. It may be more sensible to side with EUCHAN FALLS, who returns to a more suitable grade after failing in better company the last twice and he races off just 4lb higher than his latest winning mark.
In a race where few arrive with compelling claims the suggestion is HARIBO COLLONGES who seemed to have his stamina stretched over 25f at Carlisle last time and his Market Rasen third prior to that is solid form in the context of this race. The Bandit pieced it all together at Southwell last time and is second choice ahead of Rory And Me, who might have needed the outing last time and has Brian Hughes up. Rose Dobbin's Pats Dream is a potential improver in handicaps.
Although below form last time, EUCHAN FALLS appeals most with the drop in class a positive.
(3) Caldwell 9/1, Hurdles winner who opened his account on the Flat at Kempton (2m) a year ago and followed that with a trio of in-frame efforts. Respectable fifth of 11 in handicap at Nottingham (16f, heavy) after 9 months off 23 days ago and entitled to come on for that. Ran as though the outing was needed at Nottingham this month; may do better.
1
1st (4) (4.5/1 +18%) Justus
4.5/1(+18%)
(4) Justus 4.5/1, French maiden winner who acquitted himself pretty well in handicaps at York and Ascot (both at around 2m) in September. Only sixth of 11 in handicap at Nottingham (16f, heavy, 11/1) on return 23 days ago but can make presence felt if coming on for that. Finished behind Caldwell on Nottingham reappearance; needs to have come on from that.
2
2nd (1) (18/1 -29%) Cogital
18/1(-29%)
(1) Cogital 18/1, In good form on the Flat at the start of last summer (won twice). Not so good since but shaped as if needing run when seventh of 12 in handicap (40/1) at this course (11.9f, heavy) 26 days ago. His six Flat wins were over shorter but he stays this far; 1lb above last winning mark.
3
3rd (7) (3.5/1 +46%) Ghadbbaan
3.5/1(+46%)
(7) Ghadbbaan 3.5/1, Course winner. 10/1, creditable third of 8 in handicap at Pontefract (18f, heavy) 17 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Course winner over 1m4f and has won over 2m at Ripon; ran well on recent Pontefract return.
4
4th (2) (3.33/1 +5%) Star Angel
3.33/1(+5%)
(2) Star Angel 3.33/1, Lightly-raced winner. Winner at Southwell in March. Creditable sixth of 12 in handicap at this course (11.9f, heavy, 11/2) 26 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Respected. Looked fortunate to win at Southwell last month and held here last time; stamina to prove.
5th
5th (5) (3.33/1 +17%) Quercus Robur
3.33/1(+17%)
(5) Quercus Robur 3.33/1, Latest win at Newcastle in January. Creditable second of 6 in handicap (10/3) at Catterick (13.9f, heavy) 16 days ago, clear of rest. Has to be taken seriously. Four wins from last nine starts at up to 2m; clear second last time; highly respected.
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6th (6) (8.5/1 -42%) Flint Hill
8.5/1(-42%)
(6) Flint Hill 8.5/1, Often in the mix, respectable fourth of 8 in handicap at Pontefract (18f, heavy) 17 days ago. Can give another good account. 1lb below last winning mark and good to soft ground fine, but wouldn't want it soft.
7th
7th (8) (33/1 -32%) Prince Abu
33/1(-32%)
(8) Prince Abu 33/1, Three wins from 14 runs last year. Latest win at Southwell in December. Bit below form sixth of 11 in handicap at Southwell (14.1f, 8/1) 28 days ago. Well held both previous tries on turf. Four-time winner on the AW, but three turf efforts leave him with plenty to prove.
LTO Selection:
17:05 Doncaster Handicap (Class 4) 16f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
4/1 (5) QUERCUS ROBUR is likely to do well in this race based on the summary. They have had four wins from their last nine starts and were a clear second in their last race. They have also won at the distance of this race and are described as
Several of these are old rivals and it's likely this will be a tactical affair. With that in mind, it might be worth chancing that PRINCE ABU adapts to turf well enough to exploit the fact he gets weight all round, and he could be good value to stage a repeat of December's defeat of Quercus Robur on the Tapeta at Southwell. Star Angel and Cogital are also closely matched on past form and complete the shortlist, in that order of preference.
QUERCUS ROBUR has developed into a reliable sort and continues in good heart having pulled clear of the rest when runner-up off this mark at Catterick 16 days ago. He shades the vote over Justus and Star Angel in what looks a competitive event.
Preference is for QUERCUS ROBUR (nap) who has won four of his last nine starts and stays this trip well.
(2) Quid Pro Quo 3.33/1, Landed his first 2 starts over hurdles in maiden/novice events last year, before coming up short in Grade 2 contests to begin his 2022/23 campaign. Struggled over fences on his last 3 outings, but could be dangerous if bouncing back on handicap hurdle debut. RPRs of up to 132 over hurdles last summer; no chasing form yet, bleeding here latest..
2
2nd (8) (16/1 -14%) Cenotice
16/1(-14%)
(8) Cenotice 16/1, Won 3 times in handicaps following a lengthy absence in 2021/22 but beaten just one rival in 5 starts this season, pulled up at Bangor last time. Is becoming well-treated if first-time cheekpieces can spark a revival. 11lb below his last winning mark now; not sure a return to this sort of trip is a plus..
3
3rd (6) (8/1 +0%) Fabrique En France
8/1(+0%)
(6) Fabrique En France 8/1, Off the mark over fences in handicap at Worcester (16.5f) in June but hasn't gone on as hoped since. Some encouragement after 7 months off when third at Uttoxeter in February, though not in the same form next time. 8lb below last June's winning chase mark; almost immediately in trouble last time out..
4
4th (5) (4.5/1 +47%) Here We Have It
4.5/1(+47%)
(5) Here We Have It 4.5/1, Overcome poor position to win handicap chase at this course (15.8f) in December. However, pulled up both starts since so he needs to leave his form this year behind with visor back on. Should be suited by this distance. Versatile winner at 2m; Newcastle flop latest took Rules record over 2m4f-plus to 64PP..
5th
5th (4) (4/1 -60%) Joly Maker
4/1(-60%)
(4) Joly Maker 4/1, Reliable sort who has scored twice at Stratford (both at 19.4f) from only 3 starts in 2022/23, making a winning return from 7 months off at the beginning of the month. Strong traveller who can add another win to his tally. Stratford winner latest (heavy) despite drift to 25-1; up 4lb, but no trip/ground issues..
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6th (3) (4/1 -33%) Luckofthedraw
4/1(-33%)
(3) Luckofthedraw 4/1, Successful in handicap chases at Fontwell and Huntingdon in 2021/22 and has returned to form on his last 3 starts, getting back to winning ways at Huntingdon (19.9f) in March. Possibly stretched by longer trip on latest outing, so he's respected back down in distance. Another 2m4f win last month and fair third over further since, despite errors; chance..
7th
7th (7) (5/1 +64%) Commander Of Ten
5/1(+64%)
(7) Commander Of Ten 5/1, Has gone backwards from an encouraging seasonal/hurdling debut in the autumn, faring no better after a second wind op when well held on his handicap bow at Exeter 17 days ago. Cheekpieces on first time as he now goes chasing. Beaten 39l on handicap hurdle debut latest; may take to chasing, but others likelier..
|PU|
|PU| (9) (100/1 -100%) Grow Nasa Grow
100/1(-100%)
(9) Grow Nasa Grow 100/1, Four chase wins during a productive spell in 2018 but has only had the one start since, pulled up in handicap hurdle at Market Rasen back in July 2021. Off a further 22 months ahead of return to chasing. Best watched. Four-time chase winner at up to 2m6f (good); no show on only start since November 2018..
LTO Selection:
17:10 Southwell Handicap Chase (Class 4) 20f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Based on the summary, 2.5/1 (4) JOLY MAKER Stratford and 3/1 (3) LUCKOFTHEDRAW seem to be the strongest contenders. 2.5/1 (4) JOLY MAKER Stratford has won his latest race despite being a heavy underdog and has a good track record at Stratford. On the other hand, 3/1 (3) LUCKOFTHEDRAW has been successful in handicap chases in the past and has recently returned to form. 9/1 (1) SOMEKINDOFSTAR and 8.5/1 (5) HERE WE HAVE IT could also potentially perform well, but they need to overcome recent poor form. The other horses have either not been successful in recent races or have not had enough recent performances to gauge their form accurately.
Here We Have It represents the stable who won this last year and although he won here over two miles in December, he has been pulled up on both starts since and it may be sensible to look elsewhere. JOLY MAKER is inclined to arrive late on the scene in his races, making it difficult for the handicapper to get to grips with his true ability, and following a one-length success at Stratford last time out, he arrives in good form. He may follow up off 4lb higher, while Luckofthedraw is the pick for third spot.
In a light 2022/23 campaign, JOLY MAKER has recorded two wins at Stratford from 3 starts and this strong-travelling type can score again on his second run back following a 7-month absence. Luckofthedraw has been in good form of late and could be the main danger, with Quid Pro Quo completing the shortlist on his handicap hurdle debut.
If anyone is going to deny Joly Maker it may be the still well-treated LUCKOFTHEDRAW, assuming the errors are kept in check.
(11) Doyens De Ante 6/1, Maiden hurdler but has taken well to chasing, runner-up at Huntingdon last 2 starts. Should be in the mix again with headgear re-fitted. Chasing last three starts; 2nd at Huntingdon on last two, so he's in serious calculations.
2
2nd (13) (9/1 +44%) Bignorm
9/1(+44%)
(13) Bignorm 9/1, Ran his best race for a while when 6 lengths third of 14 at Chepstow but failed to back that up at Huntingdon since. Up against it from out of the handicap. Back in some form when third on last two starts, one over C&D; should be staying on.
3
3rd (12) (20/1 +20%) Vetoncall
20/1(+20%)
(12) Vetoncall 20/1, Made a winning return from another absence at Fakenham (3m) in November but in and out since. Opposable from out of the handicap. Heavy ground is a possible excuse for two of his last three starts; case can be made.
4
4th (9) (6.5/1 +41%) Wind Tor
6.5/1(+41%)
(9) Wind Tor 6.5/1, Dual winner at Exeter last season and returned to form when third of 9 in handicap at same course (24.2f, soft) last month. Backed that up when placed again at Fontwell but more needed to resume winning ways. Last season's form was much better; third on last two starts, though; considered each-way.
5th
5th (2) (12/1 +0%) Felton Bellevue
12/1(+0%)
(2) Felton Bellevue 12/1, Modest maiden hurdler who has bettered that level over fences, winning handicap chases at Hereford and Market Rasen in early-2022. Mixed record this campaign, only fourth of 7 in handicap chase at Plumpton (25.7f, soft, 7/2) 38 days ago. Beaten a head at Lingfield February after wind surgery; backward step at Plumpton latest.
6th
6th (10) (4/1 +0%) Kings Krackertara
4/1(+0%)
(10) Kings Krackertara 4/1, Failed to progress over hurdles but stepped up on previous chasing efforts when fourth at Chepstow. Similar form when off the mark at Newton Abbot 3 weeks ago, albeit in fortunate fashion (left clear 2 out). Remains unexposed. Better again with tongue tied last two starts; fortunate winner on latest but shortlisted.
7th
7th (8) (14/1 +58%) Tudors Treasure
14/1(+58%)
(8) Tudors Treasure 14/1, By far his best effort of the season when second of 14 in handicap chase at Chepstow in February. Has a patchy overall record, though, so no surprise he wasn't in anything like the same form back there 4 weeks later. C&D second in February is the only time this term that he hasn't been pulled up.
8th
8th (5) (33/1 +18%) Versatility
33/1(+18%)
(5) Versatility 33/1, Temperamental sort who continues out of sorts, tongue strap on for 1st time when pulled up back over hurdles at Lingfield (23f, good) 73 days ago. Not hard to oppose him on the more recent evidence.
9th
9th (1) (12/1 +0%) Eceparti
12/1(+0%)
(1) Eceparti 12/1, Losing run is mounting up and well below par when a remote fourth at Warwick/Ffos Las last 2 starts. Headgear now given a whirl. In frame but needs much better than the form shown on last two occasions; first headgear.
|U|
|U| (6) (5.5/1 -57%) Kingsmill Gin
5.5/1(-57%)
(6) Kingsmill Gin 5.5/1, Bounced back to her best (from 6 lb out of the weights) to get off the mark for the season at Exeter 17 days ago. Big shout with a repeat racing off 6 lb higher. Second win (21 starts) came on latest run when scoring by 6l at Exeter (3m, good to soft).
10th
10th (4) (33/1 -175%) Corrany
33/1(-175%)
(4) Corrany 33/1, Had been struggling for form over hurdles but stopped the slide with a trio of in-the-frame efforts over fences. However, let down by jumping when running poorly at Ffos Las when last seen in October. Placed three times in a row at Worcester (2m7f, good) last August-October; off 187 days.
|PU|
|PU| (3) (7/1 +56%) Galop Du Bosc
7/1(+56%)
(3) Galop Du Bosc 7/1, Back-to-form second of 15 in handicap chase at Chepstow (23.6f, soft). Got no further than the second at Newton Abbot next time but ran poorly at Stratford since. Sparked only once in his last seven starts; has another change of equipment.
|PU|
|PU| (7) (18/1 +10%) El Hageb Rose
18/1(+10%)
(7) El Hageb Rose 18/1, Very lightly raced for Gary Moore and caused a major upset starting out for Paddy Butler when landing a Plumpton handicap hurdle in November. Below that level since, though, and including over fences. Cheekpieces first time, progress from right out the back latest on rare run over fences.
|PU|
|PU| (15) (50/1 +0%) Botus Fleming
50/1(+0%)
(15) Botus Fleming 50/1, Of little account. Second run since wind surgery; no form claims from 7lb out of the handicap.
LTO Selection:
17:20 Chepstow Handicap Chase (Class 5) 26f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
3.5/1 (6) KINGSMILL GIN is likely to do well based on the summary provided. She has recently won by a significant margin and has bounced back to her best form. She is also racing off a slightly higher weight, which suggests that she is in good condition.
Kingsmill Gin returned to winning ways when leading from an early stage at Exeter earlier in the month and a 6lb rise doesn't appear insurmountable. Jackie Du Plessis' mare, however, could struggle to dominate in this larger field and DOYENS DE ANTE makes slightly more appeal. The seven-year-old finished a never-nearer second at Huntingdon last Sunday and, as he was 3lb out of the handicap on that occasion, a bold bid is expected. Eceparti's mark continues to drop and he also can't be discounted at this level.
KINGSMILL GIN looked back to her very best when scoring at Exeter 17 days ago, pulling clear with the runner-up, and a repeat performance should see her go very close. Doyens de Ante should be on the premises again, with the unexposed Kings Krackertara another to consider.
This extra distance looks a positive for KINGS KRACKERTARA who has got her act together again when tongue tied for her last two starts.
(4) State Man 0.4/1, Top-class hurdler. 7/2, 9 lengths second of 7 to Constitution Hill in Champion Hurdle at Cheltenham (16.4f, soft) 45 days ago. Stable in good form. Very much the one to beat. Won four Grade 1s in a row before no match for Constitution Hill, can regain the thread.
2
2nd (5) (3.33/1 +39%) Vauban
3.33/1(+39%)
(5) Vauban 3.33/1, High-class hurdler. C&D winner. 15¼ lengths fourth of 7 to Constitution Hill in Champion Hurdle at Cheltenham (16.4f, soft, 16/1) 45 days ago. Stable having good spell. Considered for place purposes. Top juvenile hurdler last season, high-class form this term but safely held by State Man.
3
3rd (1) (33/1 +50%) Colonel Mustard
33/1(+50%)
(1) Colonel Mustard 33/1, Smart hurdler. Creditable second of 10 in handicap hurdle (9/2) at Ayr (16f, good) 6 days ago. Cheekpieces on for 1st time. Hard to make a case for here, though. Chased home Rubaud in the Scottish Champion Hurdle, lowest-rated here to the tune of 12lb.
4
4th (3) (14/1 -27%) Sharjah
14/1(-27%)
(3) Sharjah 14/1, Very smart hurdler. C&D winner. 20/1, creditable 3 lengths second of 6 to Constitution Hill in Aintree Hurdle at Aintree (20f, good) 15 days ago. Yard having good spell so he's firmly in the picture. Creditable Aintree second with Zanahiyr third, unlikely to beat State Man at this stage.
5th
5th (6) (22/1 +0%) Zanahiyr
22/1(+0%)
(6) Zanahiyr 22/1, Very smart hurdler. 14/1, creditable 3½ lengths third of 6 to Constitution Hill in Aintree Hurdle at Aintree (20f, good) 15 days ago. Not discounted. Back near top form last two starts, no reason why he should turn the tables on State Man.
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6th (2) (22/1 -83%) Pied Piper
22/1(-83%)
(2) Pied Piper 22/1, Very smart hurdler. C&D winner. 2 wins from 5 runs this season. Good second of 24 in handicap hurdle (12/1) at Cheltenham (16.8f, good to soft) 42 days ago. In the mix. A shade unlucky not to win the County Hurdle, well held by the Mullins-trained principals.
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
Based on the summary, it appears that 0.4/1 (4) STATE MAN is the favorite to do well, having won four Grade 1s in a row and being described as
STATE MAN is very hard to get away from in this field, but is priced accordingly. He couldn't land a blow on the imperious Constitution Hill in the Champion Hurdle at Cheltenham, but did come home in a clear second. His record prior to that reverse was excellent as he accumulated four Grade 1 victories in a row. He is ground versatile. His stablemate, Sharjah, is still a very solid operator. He was placed at both the Cheltenham and Aintree festivals and is likely to give Patrick Mullins another good spin. Zanahiyr finished third in the Champion Hurdle and occupied the same berth in the Aintree Hurdle. He could land another good cheque. Vauban chased home State Man in Grade 1 company at Leopardstown in December and February. He weakened in fourth in the Champion Hurdle, but has plenty of ability.
STATE MAN has no Constitution Hill to contend with this time so is confidently expected to resume winning ways after his Champion Hurdle second and make it 5-6 for the season. Stablemates Sharjah and Vauban are fancied to chase home Willie Mullins' top-class hurdler in that order.
Everything points to STATE MAN resuming the sequence interrupted by Constitution Hill at Cheltenham. Vauban can take second
(6) El Elefante 2/1, Runner-up sole start in Irish points before readily bagging 11-runner bumper at Musselburgh (15.6f, good to soft) 27 days ago. Has more to offer. Firmly in the picture. Second in Irish point and good winner of Musselburgh bumper last month; strong claims.
2
2nd (10) (6.5/1 +59%) Old Gregorian
6.5/1(+59%)
(10) Old Gregorian 6.5/1, Displayed ability both starts to date but marked improvement needed if he's to trouble his stablemate. Ability in both starts earlier this year; could figure; stable companion of El Elefante.
3
3rd (4) (4.5/1 +18%) Marty Mcfly
4.5/1(+18%)
(4) Marty Mcfly 4.5/1, Dead-heated on the second of his 2 starts in Irish maiden points last year. Returned from an absence with a solid fourth at Kelso on Rules debut 11 days ago. Tongue tied now and fitness is assured. Irish point winner; good effort in Kelso bumper 11 days ago; considered.
4
4th (2) (14/1 +72%) Industrialist
14/1(+72%)
(2) Industrialist 14/1, Hasn't shown a great deal in two starts to date and others make more appeal. Has shown ability but well beaten each start; tongue-strap fitted.
5th
5th (9) (100/1 -203%) Highland Fashion
100/1(-203%)
(9) Highland Fashion 100/1, Champs Elysees gelding. Closely related to fairly useful hurdler King of Fashion. Not an obvious sort on paper. Closely related to a winning hurdler; trainer 0-30 in bumpers in last five years.
6th
6th (1) (14/1 +58%) Beaumesnil
14/1(+58%)
(1) Beaumesnil 14/1, Konig Turf gelding. dam, maiden over hurdles/fences in France. Pulled up sole start in Irish points (Dec 2021). Wears hood. Pulled up in an Irish point in December 2021; hood fitted for stable/bumper debut.
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7th (5) (2.5/1 +17%) The Kalooki Kid
2.5/1(+17%)
(5) The Kalooki Kid 2.5/1, Gentlewave gelding who has shaped encouragingly when placed on both starts to date and seems likely to be on the premises again. Has shown enough when placed at Ayr and Market Rasen to make him a leading contender.
8th
8th (13) (150/1 -275%) Tread Softly Now
150/1(-275%)
(13) Tread Softly Now 150/1, Champs Elysees filly. Dam, placed in a point, half-sister to fair hurdler/fairly useful chaser (3m-3½m winner) See You There and fairly useful hurdler/chaser (stayed 3m) Golden Sparkle. Limited appeal on pedigree; stable companion to Highland Fashion.
9th
9th (12) (50/1 +38%) Scoop N' Sauce
50/1(+38%)
(12) Scoop N' Sauce 50/1, €1,000 3-y-o, Valirann filly. Dam unraced. Cheap purchase who is unlikely to feature on debut. Bought for 1,000euros last year; stable companion of Buzzmatic.
10th
10th (11) (9/1 +44%) Mrs Fox
9/1(+44%)
(11) Mrs Fox 9/1, No Risk At All filly. Dam unraced. Hard to fancy unless the market speaks in her favour. First foal of an unraced dam; trainer has modest record in bumpers.
11th
11th (8) (50/1 -25%) Buzzmatic
50/1(-25%)
(8) Buzzmatic 50/1, Elusive Pimpernel gelding. Dam unraced half-sister to fairly useful hurdler/smart chaser (stayed 25f) Drovers Lane. Wears hood. Some appeal on paper but trainer yet to send out a bumper winner.
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
1.25/1 (6) EL ELEFANTE and 3/1 (5) THE KALOOKI KID are the most likely to do well based on their recent strong form and encouraging performances, with 1.25/1 (6) EL ELEFANTE having won a good race at Musselburgh last month and 3/1 (5) THE KALOOKI KID having shown promise in previous races. 5.5/1 (4) MARTY MCFLY may also be a contender with his previous Irish point win and solid fourth place in a recent Rules debut. The other horses have either shown limited ability or are debutants without much to go off in terms of performance history.
With precious little form to work with it may be safest to take the side of EL ELEFANTE, a four-length winner on her debut under Rules at Musselburgh, where she made all to come home alone. She carries a 4lb penalty for that victory but still gets a mares' allowance and any improvement may see her follow up. Stuart Crawford sends Largy Ray over from Ireland and he may be worth a market watch here, while twice-placed The Kalooki Kid and newcomer Buck Of Maine are others to consider.
EL ELEFANTE was second in a point before going one better in comfortable fashion at Musselburgh a month ago and she's firmly expected to go in again. The Kalooki Kid looks the main danger ahead of Marty McFly.
Good Musselburgh winner EL ELEFANTE can defy a 4lb penalty and win again.
(4) Juryman 9/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 11/1, looked rusty but ultimately shaped well after 4 months off when fifth of 9 in maiden at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 23 days ago, caught further back than ideal. Not taken lightly back in handicap company. Ran well on return from four months off last time; looks to have a bigger effort in him.
2
2nd (10) (20/1 +0%) Platinum Girl
20/1(+0%)
(10) Platinum Girl 20/1, Wasted no time getting back to form when seventh of 10 in nursery at Nottingham (6.1f, good, 12/1) 7 months ago. Third at Carlisle last August but held next twice; may need this after seven months off.
3
3rd (8) (7.5/1 +6%) Annie Law
7.5/1(+6%)
(8) Annie Law 7.5/1, Off the mark on handicap debut at Kempton in February but failed to meet expectations after 10 weeks off when 3¾ lengths sixth of 10 to Vasilissa in handicap at Kempton (7f, 9/4) 16 days ago, needing stronger gallop. Merits consideration on turf debut. Won at Kempton in February but disappointing there last time; needs to bounce back.
4
4th (17) (16/1 +0%) Rockonmecca
16/1(+0%)
(17) Rockonmecca 16/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Fared better than previously when third of 11 in minor event (100/1) at Redcar (7f, heavy) 6 months ago. Makes handicap debut. Third on her final start at two; could take a step forward on seasonal/handicap debut.
5th
5th (16) (11/1 +45%) Yorkstone
11/1(+45%)
(16) Yorkstone 11/1, Again ran to just a poor level after 5 months off when sixth of 10 in minor event at Catterick (7f, heavy, 50/1) 16 days ago. Makes handicap debut. Half-brother to six winners; not a great surprise were he to show more now handicapping.
6th
6th (3) (10/1 +50%) Katar
10/1(+50%)
(3) Katar 10/1, Was far too free on his second outing in a visor when sixth of 9 in handicap (22/1) at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 23 days ago. Placed a couple of times on the AW; held in handicaps with a visor fitted the last twice.
7th
7th (5) (4/1 -33%) Vasilissa
4/1(-33%)
(5) Vasilissa 4/1, 18/1, resumed progress back on polytrack after 10 weeks off when winning 10-runner handicap at Kempton (7f) 16 days ago, leading well inside final 1f. Expected to be bang there from a 1 lb higher mark under her in-form claimer. Off the mark at Kempton last time; one for the shortlist if as effective back on grass.
8th
8th (14) (28/1 -40%) Don't What Me Boy
28/1(-40%)
(14) Don't What Me Boy 28/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 125/1 and hooded for 1st time, seventh of 9 in maiden at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 23 days ago, late headway. Makes handicap debut. Has not shown a great deal in three AW starts; improvement needed on handicap/turf debut.
9th
9th (7) (11/1 +50%) Erazmus
11/1(+50%)
(7) Erazmus 11/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Fifth of 6 in minor event at Hamilton (5f, good, 18/1) 7 months ago. Significantly upped in trip for handicap debut. Limited encouragement in three starts on turf last year; watch market on handicap debut.
10th
10th (6) (5.5/1 +66%) Royal Razzmatazz
5.5/1(+66%)
(6) Royal Razzmatazz 5.5/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 14/1, seventh of 9 in minor event at Kempton (7f). Makes handicap debut after 3 months off and could prove a different proposition. May show improvement now making his handicap/turf debut after three months off.
11th
11th (1) (16/1 -14%) Nibras Rainbow
16/1(-14%)
(1) Nibras Rainbow 16/1, Dual 7f winner at 2, including on AW. Ran poorly after 6 months off when eleventh of 12 in handicap (6/1) at Kempton (8f) 16 days ago. Dual 7f nursery winner last year but needs to leave his reappearance effort well behind.
12th
12th (11) (14/1 +13%) Tillybob
14/1(+13%)
(11) Tillybob 14/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Eighth of 11 in minor event at Leicester (6f, heavy, 12/1), slowly away. Off 6 months. Makes handicap debut. Makes handicap debut after six months off; not certain to be suited by the longer trip.
13th
13th (12) (22/1 -10%) Stoic Syd
22/1(-10%)
(12) Stoic Syd 22/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Never involved when seventh of 9 in minor event at Kempton (6f, 125/1) 27 days ago. Makes handicap debut. Improved required up in trip on handicap/turf debut.
14th
14th (13) (18/1 +28%) Bowleaze
18/1(+28%)
(13) Bowleaze 18/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Fourth of 6 in minor event at Southwell (7.1f, 66/1) 6 months ago, left behind gradually final 1f. Makes handicap debut and could make more of a splash. Some ability in two of her three novices last year; watch the market on handicap debut.
|PU|
|PU| (2) (9/1 -100%) Inspired Knowhow
9/1(-100%)
(2) Inspired Knowhow 9/1, Promising sort. 2/1 and tongue strap on for 1st time, respectable third of 8 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 53 days ago, late headway after slowly away. Makes turf debut. Should have more to offer. Has shown ability on the AW and the step up in trip can suit; worth a second look.
LTO Selection:
17:35 Doncaster Handicap (Class 6) 7f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Based on the summary, 3/1 (5) VASILISSA seems like a good bet as she has recently won a handicap on the polytrack and is expected to perform just as well on the grass, especially with her in-form claimer. 4.5/1 (2) INSPIRED KNOWHOW is also worth considering as he has shown promise in his previous races and may benefit from the step up in trip, but his lack of experience on turf may be a concern. The other horses don't have as strong of a case based on their recent performances and/or lack of experience, but it's always wise to keep an eye on the market and see if any surprising developments arise before making a final prediction.
Several of these are open to improvement as they are develop as handicappers and the likes of Inspired Knowhow, Rockonmecca and Juryman all merit betting checks. However, VASILISSA took a big step forward when she won over this trip at Kempton 16 days ago and, from just 1lb higher, she is an appealing option now switched to turf. With her yard in good form and Alec Voikhansky keeping the partnership intact, the daughter of Kingman could be the answer in a tough one to call.
An ultra-competitive finale in which the suggestion is VASILISSA, who did well under the circumstances given the lack of pace to open her account at Kempton just over a fortnight ago, and operating from just a 1 lb higher mark, she's fancied to double her tally. Inspired Knowhow should have more to offer making his turf debut, so he heads up the opposition, with Juryman and Annie Law rounding off the shortlist.
The vote goes to JURYMAN who has run well in his last four starts and gives the impression he has improvement in him.
(4) Call The Dance 2.5/1, Closely related to smart hurdler/useful chaser Thomas Campbell (bumper winner), and half-sister to numerous winners. Encouragement when fourth at Ludlow 112 days ago and there's improvement on the cards. Leading claims. Outpaced before staying on for 4th at Ludlow in January (sent off favourite); more to come.
2
2nd (12) (6/1 +25%) Sunday Soldier
6/1(+25%)
(12) Sunday Soldier 6/1, Didn't come up to expectations for Gordon Elliott and might need this first run for 7 months on debut for a new yard. Some promise in 2 Irish runs for G Elliott last year; joined another good yard; unexposed.
3
3rd (13) (33/1 -65%) Jersey Gem
33/1(-65%)
(13) Jersey Gem 33/1, Out of a bumper winner but will have to step up markedly from her debut over C&D if she's to make a serious impact. Nicely bred but finished a well-beaten sixth on her C&D debut 16 days ago; more required.
4
4th (8) (5/1 +55%) Lucky Rose
5/1(+55%)
(8) Lucky Rose 5/1, Better effort (fair form) in bumpers when second of 9 at Lingfield on debut. Not disgraced when fourth over C&D last time and shouldn't be completely ruled out. Promise in two bumpers, including C&D, but improvement is needed to trouble the principals.
5th
5th (5) (150/1 -650%) Cotoneaster
150/1(-650%)
(5) Cotoneaster 150/1, Looked in need of experience when only eighth of 10 at Cheptsow on debut. Now tongue tied but probably more one for the longer term. 7-1 for her Chepstow debut last month when finishing tailed off; tongue-tie now added.
6th
6th (3) (12/1 -20%) Bethpage
12/1(-20%)
(3) Bethpage 12/1, Sixth of 12 in bumper (22/1) at Newbury (16.3f, good to firm) on NH debut 55 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Should take a step forward from that. Ran with a degree of promise in a useful event at Newbury on debut; plenty more to come.
7th
7th (10) (100/1 -150%) Mighty Duchess
100/1(-150%)
(10) Mighty Duchess 100/1, Runner-up in a point but didn't give enough encouragement on Rules debut at Chepstow to make her of interest in this. Tried in a tongue tie. Promise in second Irish point; flopped on soft on rules debut; tongue-tied now; early days.
8th
8th (2) (20/1 +20%) Belle Saint
20/1(+20%)
(2) Belle Saint 20/1, From a good family but not much encouragement when down the field at Ludlow first time out. Others are more persuasive. Tenth of 15 on Ludlow debut in January; bred to do better at some stage.
9th
9th (14) (3/1 +10%) Young At Heart
3/1(+10%)
(14) Young At Heart 3/1, Closely related to 2 winners on Flat, including smart 1½m/1¾m winner Eagles By Day. Positive start when third at Fakenham 18 days ago and should benefit from the experience, so looks a big player. Poor track position & flashed tail repeatedly when third on Fakenham debut; can do better.
10th
10th (9) (12/1 -9%) Malago Rose
12/1(-9%)
(9) Malago Rose 12/1, Half-sister to bumper winner and made an encouraging start when a staying-on fourth at Taunton 39 days ago. Improvement on the cards, so can't be dismissed. Kept on from well off pace to take 4th at Taunton on debut; contender back amongst mares.
11th
11th (11) (40/1 -21%) Spice Heaven
40/1(-21%)
(11) Spice Heaven 40/1, Down the field at Warwick 163 days ago and looks set for another struggle. Didn't threaten in soft-ground bumper at Warwick in November; wind op since; can do better.
12th
12th (6) (18/1 +45%) Crimson Ruby
18/1(+45%)
(6) Crimson Ruby 18/1, Half-sister to fair hurdler Prussia With Love, stays 23f. Down the field at Huntingdon on debut 78 days ago and will probably need more time. Couldn't land a blow at Huntingdon on debut in February; bred to do much better in time.
13th
13th (7) (16/1 -78%) Crystal Times
16/1(-78%)
(7) Crystal Times 16/1, Related to winners but only fifth on debut at Uttoxeter 9 months ago. Not seen since and has left Neil Mulholland, so best watched unless the market speaks in her favour. Didn't live up to market billing in one run last summer; new yard today; can do better.
14th
14th (1) (40/1 +68%) Araglen Star
40/1(+68%)
(1) Araglen Star 40/1, Signs of ability first two starts but latest effort at Hexham (4 days ago) lacked encouragement and she has something to find. Shaped okay over C&D this month but tailed off on soft at Hexham on Monday.
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the information provided, 3/1 (4) CALL THE DANCE and 10/1 (3) BETHPAGE seem to have the best chances of performing well in their next races. 3/1 (4) CALL THE DANCE has shown promise in previous races and is closely related to successful horses, while 10/1 (3) BETHPAGE showed potential in a competitive event on debut and is expected to improve. However, other horses such as 11/1 (9) MALAGO ROSE and 11/1 (8) LUCKY ROSE cannot be completely ruled out.
Lucky Rose showed promise with a second at Lingfield and a fourth here in March, but she was beaten 16 lengths on the latter occasion and will need to do more here. Young At Heart ran well on her only start when third at Fakenham and she may prove to be the biggest danger to CALL THE DANCE. Fourth on her sole start at Ludlow, she encountered trouble in running that day and will have learned from the experience, which she could put to good use here.
CALL THE DANCE is well bred and left the impression she'd improve for her debut at Ludlow in January, so a chance is taken on her to see off Young At Heart, who also made an encouraging start. Bethpage is the pick of the remainder.
Call The Dance should be more streetwise today but BETHPAGE made a promising start in a better race at Newbury.
(4) Good Friday Fairy 0.73/1, Improved from debut effort over hurdles when second of 9 in novice over C&D (good to soft) 18 days ago. Likely contender. 22l second of nine in C&D novice 18 days ago, leading until a bad mistake three out.
2
2nd (12) (5.5/1 +61%) Stiletto
5.5/1(+61%)
(12) Stiletto 5.5/1, Below par on Flat this year but capable of fair form at best and is worth monitoring in the market on hurdles debut. Fair maiden on Flat, pretty consistent over 2m in recent outings; headgear off.
3
3rd (11) (6.5/1 -117%) Prince Nino
6.5/1(-117%)
(11) Prince Nino 6.5/1, Returned to form, in first-time blinkers, when fourth of 10 in novice hurdle (5/2) at Wincanton (15.2f, soft) 12 days ago. Claims if building on that. Modest maiden after one bumper and seven hurdle races; each-way hopes in this weak race.
4
4th (15) (11/1 +21%) Uggy Uggy Uggy
11/1(+21%)
(15) Uggy Uggy Uggy 11/1, Far from disgraced when ninth of 13 in bumper at Taunton (16.5f, good to soft) on NH debut 39 days ago. More required to figure on hurdles bow here, however. 25-1, headway after halfway but ended beaten about 19l when 9th of 13 in bumper at Taunton.
5th
5th (6) (100/1 -203%) Harry Gulliver
100/1(-203%)
(6) Harry Gulliver 100/1, Well behind in bumper (22/1) at Stratford on NH debut last month and best watched on first crack at hurdling. 22-1 and hooded, remote in bumper at Stratford (2m, heavy) four weeks ago.
6th
6th (10) (33/1 -136%) Parsons Stone
33/1(-136%)
(10) Parsons Stone 33/1, Showed a bit more, in first-time hood, when seventh of 13 in bumper (66/1) at Taunton (16.5f, good to soft) 15 days ago. Warrants respect on hurdles bow. Has twice shown a little ability in bumpers; needs a check on hurdle debut.
7th
7th (9) (100/1 -614%) Megascope
100/1(-614%)
(9) Megascope 100/1, Well held in bumper (50/1) at Huntingdon (15.8f, good to soft) on NH debut 12 days ago. Makes hurdles bow. 50-1, weakened into well-beaten seventh of eight in maiden bumper at Huntingdon.
8th
8th (2) (18/1 +55%) Chankaya
18/1(+55%)
(2) Chankaya 18/1, Remains with one standout effort on the Flat for Hugo Palmer and no impact on only 2 starts for his current yard, off a further 22 months before finishing well held at Warwick on hurdling debut 37 days ago. 150-1 after a long absence, tailed off on hurdle debut at Warwick (2m, soft) last month.
9th
9th (7) (6/1 +63%) Harrys Game
6/1(+63%)
(7) Harrys Game 6/1, Phenomena gelding. Dam 7f winner. Wears hood. Market check advised on NH debut. Third foal; dam 7f AW winner (RPR 65), half-sister to 7f/8.4f winner Invincible Joe; hood.
10th
10th (1) (150/1 -200%) Alfie Sharp
150/1(-200%)
(1) Alfie Sharp 150/1, Offered little on hurdles debut at Wincanton earlier this month. 40-1, no show in maiden at Wincanton (1m7f, good) this month.
11th
11th (16) (150/1 +0%) Tango For Sally
150/1(+0%)
(16) Tango For Sally 150/1, Offered little in a Wincanton bumper on debut back in November and well behind when departing on debut in this sphere at Taunton recently. No form after a Wincanton bumper and novice at Taunton.
12th
12th (14) (40/1 -60%) Try The Money
40/1(-60%)
(14) Try The Money 40/1, Held back by inexperience when well beaten over C&D on NH debut 18 days ago. 22-1, showed little in C&D novice (good to soft) 18 days ago.
13th
13th (5) (66/1 -32%) Haafbourd
66/1(-32%)
(5) Haafbourd 66/1, Signs of ability when third in small-field Fakenham bumper in November but not in anything like the same form at Taunton last month and showed nothing on Huntingdon hurdles debut. 3rd of 5 in bumper; no positives from either run since, tongue tied on hurdle debut latest.
|PU|
|PU| (13) (125/1 +0%) Time To Smile
125/1(+0%)
(13) Time To Smile 125/1, No signs of ability in a couple of outings thus far. Pulled up when 80-1 for a Fontwell bumper and remote last when 250-1 for Wincanton maiden.
LTO Selection:
17:50 Chepstow Maiden Hurdle (Class 5) 16f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the summary provided, the horse with the best chance of doing well appears to be 2.25/1 (8) HUNTERS SONG, who finished 2nd in a handicap at Thurles and has shown the best form overall. 3/1 (4) GOOD FRIDAY FAIRY and 3/1 (11) PRINCE NINO also seem like likely contenders based on their recent performances. The rest of the horses have not shown as much promise in their recent races, so they may have a harder time competing in this particular race.
This maiden contest won't take much winning and GOOD FRIDAY FAIRY gets the vote. Ben Clarke's gelding finished a respectable second over C&D earlier in the month and a reproduction of that effort may suffice. Hunters Song should prove more competitive in these calmer waters having finished sixth on his stable debut in a handicap hurdle here a few weeks ago, with hurdling debutant Parsons Stone looking a potential improver in this sphere.
HUNTERS SONG finished with running left on his yard debut here earlier this month and is taken to get off the mark. Good Friday Fairy and Prince Nino are also respected.
This looks a low-level contest and GOOD FRIDAY FAIRY showed enough over C&D 18 days ago to suggest that he can go well.
(4) Impaire Et Passe 0.33/1, Highly promising individual who made it 3-3 in this sphere in 10-runner Ballymore Novices' Hurdle (Baring Bingham) at Cheltenham (21f, soft, 5/2) 44 days ago by 6½ lengths from Gaelic Warrior, scoring impressively. Will take some stopping. Unbeaten in 4; won Moscow Flyer here before bolting up in the Ballymore; hard to beat.
2
2nd (3) (12/1 -20%) High Definition
12/1(-20%)
(3) High Definition 12/1, Thrice-raced winner over hurdles. Smart winner at 8f on flat. 18/1, 10¼ lengths seventh of 14 to Marine Nationale in Supreme Novices' Hurdle at Cheltenham (16.4f, soft) 45 days ago. Needs to take a big step forward. Won warm maiden hurdle on yard debut; things haven't gone to plan since though; tongue-tie.
3
3rd (2) (3.5/1 +30%) Champ Kiely
3.5/1(+30%)
(2) Champ Kiely 3.5/1, Smart hurdler. 13/2, good 7½ lengths third of 10 to Impaire Et Passe in Ballymore Novices' Hurdle (Baring Bingham) at Cheltenham (21f, soft) 44 days ago. Stable in good form. Considered. Jumped right throughout when third in the Ballymore and hard to see him reversing the form.
4
4th (5) (20/1 +39%) Inothewayurthinkin
20/1(+39%)
(5) Inothewayurthinkin 20/1, Lightly-raced winner over hurdles. 7/2, 6¾ lengths third of 5 to Hunters Yarn in listed hurdle at Navan (16f, good to soft) 75 days ago. Back up in trip. Should progress but he needs to here. 4th to Champ Kiely in Gr 1 earlier in season; plenty to find to get involved here.
5th
5th (1) (50/1 -52%) Amir Kabir
50/1(-52%)
(1) Amir Kabir 50/1, Lightly-raced winner over hurdles. 25/1, good 5¼ lengths third of 6 to Hercule Du Seuil in Hardy Eustace Novices' Hurdle at Fairyhouse (16f, good to soft) 19 days ago. Up in trip and no forlorn hope. Won Listowel novice hurdle before career best 3rd latest but much more required up in trip.
LTO Selection:
18:00 Punchestown Maiden Hurdle 19f Race Speed Rating Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
0.33/1 (4) IMPAIRE ET PASSE is likely to do well based on the summary. They have won multiple races, including the Moscow Flyer and the Ballymore Novices' Hurdle, and have remained unbeaten in their last four races. Additionally, they are described as a
IMPAIRE ET PASSE is a top-class novice and can follow up his Ballymore win. A debut bumper winner at Nancy in March 2022, he has done everything right in his three hurdle wins, scoring impressively at Cheltenham and should confirm placings with third-placed Champ Kiely. The selection's main rival could be one-time Derby favourite High Definition, who should be suited by stepping up in distance. He is quirky and keen but was only beaten seven lengths by top-class runner-up Facile Vega in the Supreme at Cheltenham, when he appeared caught for pace. Champ Kiely is a Grade 1 winner but was beaten seven lengths by the selection at Cheltenham and perhaps High Definition might beat him for second. Amir Kabir, Inothewayurthinkin and Thecompanysergeant are each capable but need to improve.
Impressive Ballymore Hurdle scorer IMPAIRE ET PASSE remains unbeaten over hurdles and looks the way to go here with Willie Mullins' most exciting prospect holding much the best form on show with the prospect of even better to come. Stablemate Champ Kiely came home third there at Cheltenham so could emerge as the chief threat ahead of improving duo Amir Kabir and Thecompanysergeant.
There doesn't seem to be much point in opposing IMPAIRE ET PASSE who arrives unbeaten and sets a clear standard after his Ballymore win
(4) Bertie Blue 6.5/1, Showed plenty of ability in bumpers and likewise in maiden hurdles at Plumpton and Chepstow (both at around 2m4f). Shaped as if amiss when well held on handicap debut at this C&D last month, but it still remains early days. Disappointing on handicap debut here last month but he's still unexposed; not ruled out.
2
2nd (10) (0.91/1 +55%) White Rhino
0.91/1(+55%)
(10) White Rhino 0.91/1, Didn't show much in maiden/novice company but has left that form behind since upped in trip/switched to handicaps, completing the hat-trick in decisive fashion at this C&D last month. Could still have to offer and he can score again. Improver who made it 3-3 in handicaps with clearcut win over C&D latest; big player.
3
3rd (8) (10/1 -25%) Sageburg County
10/1(-25%)
(8) Sageburg County 10/1, Successful on sole outing in Irish points and took a step forward over hurdles when runner-up in maiden at Market Rasen (20.6f) last month, settling better under a more patient ride. Merits consideration on handicap debut. Unexposed handicap newcomer who was runner-up in 2m4f maiden last time; in the mix.
4
4th (2) (18/1 -13%) Doyouknowwhatimean
18/1(-13%)
(2) Doyouknowwhatimean 18/1, Didn't kick on after a promising start in bumpers and ran to only a modest level in a trio of maiden hurdles in November, well-beaten at this course (15.8f) on his most recent outing. However, could yet do better now handicapping after 5 months off. Lightly raced 6yo who is with a top yard and needs a close look on his handicap debut.
5th
5th (7) (16/1 +0%) Ripper Roo
16/1(+0%)
(7) Ripper Roo 16/1, Landed the odds in a maiden hurdle at Market Rasen in April 2021 but, after a lengthy layoff, showed little sent chasing on first 3 starts in 2022/23. Returned to hurdling, seemingly back on track when third of 4 in handicap at Market Rasen (23.1f) last month. Very lightly raced since his maiden win (2m4f) in 2021 and others are more convincing.
6th
6th (16) (50/1 +50%) Rainbow Jet
50/1(+50%)
(16) Rainbow Jet 50/1, Fairly useful handicapper at best on the Flat but little form in this sphere, in cheekpieces (for first time over hurdles) when down the field in handicap at Uttoxeter at the beginning of the month. Step up in trip not enough to tempt. Has plenty to prove at this new trip and she's 7lb out of the weights.
7th
7th (3) (16/1 -33%) Herecomeshogan
16/1(-33%)
(3) Herecomeshogan 16/1, Off the mark in a Newton Abbot maiden hurdle in August and resumed his progress when winning handicap at Exeter (18.5f) in October. After 6 months off, shaped as if better for run at Ludlow last time. Could get back on track. May have needed his reappearance run and he could resume his progress now back up in trip.
8th
8th (5) (25/1 -56%) Fletch
25/1(-56%)
(5) Fletch 25/1, Placed on first 2 starts over hurdles before making the most of a good opportunity in a Uttoxeter novice (15.8f) in February 2021. In first-time tongue tie, fourth on his handicap bow at Perth 2 months later, but he's been off for 2 years since. Uttoxeter winner who is still unexposed but he has something to prove after two years off.
9th
9th (11) (16/1 +60%) Inchester D'amsyl
16/1(+60%)
(11) Inchester D'amsyl 16/1, Showed a bit on first 2 starts over hurdles, not unduly punished when runner-up in novice at Huntingdon (15.8f) in February. Held when fell 3 out at Exeter last time, but could prove a different proposition now handicapping over this longer distance. Unexposed 5yo who is a possible improver upped in trip on handicap debut; market useful.
10th
10th (12) (6/1 +63%) Steal My Sunshine
6/1(+63%)
(12) Steal My Sunshine 6/1, Some encouragement in a pair of bumpers but has yet to make much of an impact in 3 starts over hurdles so far, sixth of 14 in novice at Huntingdon (15.8f) when last seen in January. May show more now handicapping after a wind op, though. Lightly raced 6yo who has had wind surgery and is open to progress on his handicap debut.
11th
11th (13) (16/1 +36%) Irish Sovereign
16/1(+36%)
(13) Irish Sovereign 16/1, Showed improved form in blinkers when winning handicaps at this C&D and Sedgefield in 2021/22. However, pulled up back here on his final outing of the campaign and off 12 months ahead of first run for yard after leaving Sarah Humphrey. C&D winner but he's been off for 388 days and has something to prove for new yard.
|PU|
|PU| (15) (40/1 -60%) Overstate
40/1(-60%)
(15) Overstate 40/1, Made a winning start for this yard on the Flat at Kempton (2m) in February. However, has gone backwards from his hurdling debut in 2 starts at Fakenham since, well beaten by his sole rival last time. Has plenty to find on handicap hurdle debut. Has struggled in this sphere and he needs a transformation on his handicap hurdle debut.
|PU|
|PU| (1) (100/1 +20%) With A Start
100/1(+20%)
(1) With A Start 100/1, Lightly-raced winner over hurdles who had only 2 starts on the Flat last year. After a further 10 months off, well held on first run since leaving Noel Meade when last in handicap on the level here in March. Others more persuasive back hurdling. Very lightly raced in recent years and made a low-key start for new yard on AW last month.
LTO Selection:
18:15 Southwell Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 20f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
2/1 (10) WHITE RHINO Improver looks like a strong contender for the race based on the summary provided. The horse has been in good form in handicaps, winning its latest race over the same course and distance as this race. Furthermore, it has shown improvement since moving up in trip and switching to handicaps, suggesting there may be more to come. All in all, 2/1 (10) WHITE RHINO Improver is a
White Rhino is likely to prove popular having completed a hat-trick over C&D last month, but there may be some value in taking on the seven-year-old, who has been hit with another 10lb rise in the ratings for that latest success. Bumper winner SWAPPED makes his handicap debut off what looks a fair mark and a wind procedure since his midfield finish at Plumpton in January may unlock enough potential to triumph here. Sageburg County and Inchester D'amsyl also make their first appearance in this sphere and any market support would make them of interest.
WHITE RHINO's form has taken off since going handicapping up in trip, recording a second C&D success when scoring comfortably here last time, and he can land the 4-timer with the promise of still more to offer. There are several interesting handicap debutants in the line-up, though, with Swapped feared most ahead of Inchester d'Amsyl and Sageburg County.
The vote goes to the highly progressive WHITE RHINO (nap), who made it 3-3 in handicaps with his comfortable win over C&D last month.
(1) Jetoile 1.38/1, Career best when winning 4-runner handicap chase (4/5) over C&D (good to soft) 40 days ago. 5 lb rise fair and holds strong follow-up claims. Pretty consistent sent chasing this term, winning a four-runner handicap over C&D latest.
2
2nd (5) (9/1 -38%) Le Ligerien
9/1(-38%)
(5) Le Ligerien 9/1, Revitalised since having breathing op/joining Joe Tizzard this term, cosily completing his hat-trick in 2m Newbury handicap last month. Shaped as if still in good form when fourth at Newton Abbot (21f) latest and must enter calculations. Won first three starts for this yard; fair fourth latest, jumping issues playing a part.
3
3rd (3) (22/1 -83%) Jemima P
22/1(-83%)
(3) Jemima P 22/1, Three from 3 in handicap chases around this trip in 2021-22 but not quite got going this term, let down by her jumping in listed race at Doncaster over Christmas. Been given a chance by the handicapper. Four wins in 2021; outclassed in December latest start; handicapper has given her a chance.
4
4th (8) (6/1 +63%) Gats And Co
6/1(+63%)
(8) Gats And Co 6/1, Really got his act together in 2022, landing a 4-timer (including a hat-trick at this course) in staying handicap chases. Been largely disappointing since, however, and will likely find this trip on the sharp side. Cheekpieces on first time. Four months off and 3m5f when pulled up latest; long time since he tried trip this short.
5th
5th (6) (5/1 +44%) Enzo D'Airy
5/1(+44%)
(6) Enzo D'Airy 5/1, Ran right up to his best when returning to winning ways over C&D in December and largely acquitted himself well in defeat since. Possibly found test too much when third at Newbury (22.4f, soft) last time and not discounted. May be best front-running nowadays, as when winning over C&D in December.
|F|
|F| (4) (4/1 +11%) Nothin To Ask
4/1(+11%)
(4) Nothin To Ask 4/1, Fair novice hurdler last season who made a positive start over fences this term, scoring over C&D in October and following up at Doncaster (19.1f) a month later. Back on the up when second in a small-field handicap at Newbury latest and can't be ruled out. Chasing this term, hitting new heights with two wins and a 2nd on good ground.
|U|
|U| (2) (16/1 -357%) Northern Bound
16/1(-357%)
(2) Northern Bound 16/1, Enhanced his fine strike rate over fences when taking 4-runner handicap (11/8) at Newbury (19.8f, good to firm) in November, bit in hand. Fairly treated on return to action and must be taken seriously. 7-13 over fences; readiness after layoff is a stumbling block judged on previous campaigns.
LTO Selection:
18:25 Chepstow Handicap Chase (Class 3) 19f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
6.5/1 (5) LE LIGERIEN and 4.5/1 (4) NOTHIN TO ASK seem like strong contenders based on their recent form and previous success over course and distance. 2.5/1 (1) JETOILE also has a good chance based on consistent form and a recent win over course and distance. 9/1 (6) ENZO D'AIRY and 4/1 (2) NORTHERN BOUND cannot be ruled out entirely but may need to improve or overcome past issues. 10/1 (7) MOONLIGHTER and 14/1 (8) GATS AND CO may struggle with the distance or recent form respectively. 12/1 (3) JEMIMA P could be a wildcard with previous success in handicap chases but has not performed as well this term.
Northern Bound has been highly consistent over fences and again looks a player at this level off just 2lb higher than his Newbury success last November, while Le Ligerien also makes some appeal. However, JETOILE was a very comfortable winner over C&D last month and, as he has bags of scope to improve over the trip, a 5lb higher mark may not be enough to prevent the gelding from following up.
Dual course winner JETOILE is still relatively low mileage for his age and remains on a workable mark. He gets the nod in a tricky-looking contest. Northern Bound and Le Ligerien rate the principal dangers.
Preference is for JETOILE who has had the form of his clearcut win over C&D last month boosted by the runner-up.
(7) Its On The Line 6/1, Useful chaser. Fell in hunter chase (8/1) at Aintree (21.1f, good) 15 days ago. Ran with credit at the Cheltenham Festival on previous outing and shouldn't be ruled out. Won twice in points before excellent second at Aintree, fell at Becher's in the Foxhunter.
2
2nd (10) (2/1 +0%) Vaucelet
2/1(+0%)
(10) Vaucelet 2/1, Useful chaser. 2 wins from 4 runs this season. Bit below form seventh of 23 in Festival Challenge Cup at Cheltenham (26.3f, good to soft, 9/4) 42 days ago. Type to bounce back quickly and should take the beating. Career had been on a steady upward curve before Cheltenham lapse, capable of making amends.
3
3rd (8) (11/1 -10%) Lough Derg Spirit
11/1(-10%)
(8) Lough Derg Spirit 11/1, Useful hurdler. Creditable third of 27 in hunter chase (40/1) at Aintree (21.1f, good) 15 days ago. Should give another good account. Veteran comes into the reckoning on the strength of a fine run in the Foxhunter at Aintree.
4
4th (5) (150/1 -355%) Down The Highway
150/1(-355%)
(5) Down The Highway 150/1, Fairly useful chaser. Good 9¾ lengths third of 8 to Dinny Lacey in hunter chase at Cork (20f, soft, 25/1) 18 days ago. Something to find. Cork winner last April, third to Dinny Lacey when bidding for a repeat early this month.
5th
5th (11) (125/1 -213%) Visioman
125/1(-213%)
(11) Visioman 125/1, Fairly useful hurdler. 28/1, first run since leaving Henry De Bromhead when 10¾ lengths fourth of 8 to Dinny Lacey in hunter chase at Cork (20f, soft) 18 days ago. Uphill task. Would have finished closer but for interference when fourth to Dinny Lacey at Cork.
|F|
|F| (3) (4.5/1 +25%) Chris's Dream
4.5/1(+25%)
(3) Chris's Dream 4.5/1, Fairly useful chaser. Six wins from 22 NH runs. Creditable fifth of 23 in Festival Challenge Cup at Cheltenham (26.3f, good to soft, 7/1) 42 days ago, going with enthusiasm. One to consider. Fifth at Cheltenham, renews rivalry with runner-up Its On The Line and unplaced Vaucelet.
|U|
|U| (2) (3.5/1 +22%) Billaway
3.5/1(+22%)
(2) Billaway 3.5/1, Useful chaser. Respectable 4½ lengths second of 5 to Annamix in hunter chase (3/1) at Fairyhouse (25.2f, good to soft) 20 days ago. Blinkers back on, tongue strap back on. Should be closer to his stablemate this time. Fell at Cheltenham when bidding for a repeat of last year's win, surprise defeat last time.
|U|
|U| (6) (25/1 +24%) Drumcliff
25/1(+24%)
(6) Drumcliff 25/1, Fairly useful hurdler. Successful on sole start in points earlier this month and looks an interesting one back under Rules, particularly if the market speaks in his favour. Three-time chase winner scored for this rider on his recent point-to-point debut.
|PU|
|PU| (1) (9/1 -29%) Annamix
9/1(-29%)
(1) Annamix 9/1, Useful chaser. 18/1, improved to win 5-runner hunter chase at Fairyhouse (25.2f, good to soft) 20 days ago by 4½ lengths from Billaway. Merits respect for stable in rude health. Had been struggling until a surprise return to form beating Billaway at Fairyhouse.
|PU|
|PU| (4) (14/1 +0%) Dinny Lacey
14/1(+0%)
(4) Dinny Lacey 14/1, Fairly useful chaser. 4/1, won 8-runner hunter chase at Cork (20f, soft) 18 days ago. Merits respect for all that he has some improvement to find. Fell two out in Naas event won by Billaway, ended long losing sequence with Cork success.
|PU|
|PU| (12) (200/1 +0%) Dancing After Dark
200/1(+0%)
(12) Dancing After Dark 200/1, Lightly-raced maiden under NH rules. Tenth of 14 in hunter chase at Cork (24f, soft, 7/2) on debut over fences 18 days ago. Out of her depth. Winner of two of her three starts in points, unplaced favourite in her first hunter chase.
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
Based on the summary, it is predicted that 2/1 (10) VAUCELET will do well as it is mentioned that it is capable of making amends, had been on a steady upward curve, and is expected to bounce back quickly. 4.5/1 (7) ITS ON THE LINE, 4.5/1 (2) BILLAWAY, and 6/1 (3) CHRIS'S DREAM are also mentioned as useful chasers and should be considered. 7/1 (1) ANNAMIX is mentioned as having a surprise return to form and merits respect for its stable in rude health. 10/1 (8) LOUGH DERG SPIRIT is also mentioned as having a fine run in the Foxhunter at Aintree and should give another good account. The rest of the horses are either fairly useful chasers or out of their depth.
ITS ON THE LINE might overcome an Aintree fall and win, with neither UK rivals Premier Magic nor Shantou Flyer running due to an administration mess. Returning from a fall isn't ideal but the selection had previously finished a staying second at Cheltenham, with a sounder surface being an advantage to the progressive six-year-old. Chris's Dream is 7lb better off, having finished fifth at Cheltenham, but is his rider's first chase ride and prefers soft ground. Billaway beat Vaucelet to win last year's renewal and while both are fine hunters, Billway is now a gear slower with Vaucelet disappointing at Cheltenham. Annamix showed no regard for the form book at Fairyhouse and while suited by good ground, faces a tougher task. Aintree-third Lough Derg Spirit is suited by a sound surface but has been beaten in Open points this season. Dinny Lacey steps up from his Cork win.
VAUCELET was slightly disappointing at Cheltenham but he's a reliable character who should bounce back quickly. Chris's Dream was ahead of the selection that day and deserves respect, while Billaway is a player if he has one of his better days in terms of jumping.
A little unlucky here last year, VAUCELET may make amends for that and for last month's Cheltenham disappointment
(4) Thanksforthehelp 1.25/1, Had wind op and cheekpieces on when off the mark comfortably in handicap hurdle at Chepstow (23.6f) in February. Sent off favourite for Pertemps Final at Cheltenham next time when finishing mid-field, though shaped better than result. Leading contender. Beaten favourite in the Pertemps Final; sets a clear standard on his February success.
2
2nd (5) (16/1 +11%) Cabhfuilfungi
16/1(+11%)
(5) Cabhfuilfungi 16/1, Modest form in bumpers and offered little sent hurdling on final start in 2021/22. However, after a year off, showed more on his first outing since leaving John Groucott when third in maiden here (15.8f) 16 days ago. Needs more again back up in trip. Placed in maiden hurdle here 16 days ago but that form is only modest.
3
3rd (1) (2.25/1 +25%) Amrons Sage
2.25/1(+25%)
(1) Amrons Sage 2.25/1, Won sole outing in Irish points and runner-up on first 2 starts in novice hurdles. On second start in a handicap, confirmed previous promise when successful at Ludlow (21.1f) last month, coping well with emphasis on speed. Open to further improvement. Opened his rules account in Ludlow handicap last month; may well build on that win.
4
4th (3) (5.5/1 -38%) Richhill
5.5/1(-38%)
(3) Richhill 5.5/1, Irish point winner who finished third on hurdling debut. After 3 months off (had wind op), built on that effort when making all in maiden at this C&D in January and ran well under a penalty when second at Kelso (16.2f) the following month. Back up in trip. Ten-week absence looks a plus, as he was fresh when making all over C&D in January.
5th
5th (2) (5/1 +29%) Gentle Frank
5/1(+29%)
(2) Gentle Frank 5/1, Runner-up completed start in points and shaped encouragingly in maiden hurdles before opening account in novice at Doncaster (19.4f) 55 days ago. Won easily there despite racing freely/not jumping fluently, so he should still have more to offer. Off the mark in similar event at Doncaster six weeks ago, easily beating three rivals.
|PU|
|PU| (6) (200/1 +20%) Remember Ally
200/1(+20%)
(6) Remember Ally 200/1, Having been tailed off in a bumper in December, fared no better on hurdling debut (with tongue tie applied) when pulled up in novice at Huntingdon 12 days ago. Makes little appeal. Has easily the worst chance on form.
LTO Selection:
18:50 Southwell Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 20f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Based on the summary provided, it appears that
THANKSFORTHEHELP was unable to justify favouritism when finishing midfield in the Pertemps Final at the Cheltenham Festival last month, but David Pipe's inmate is of strong interest now returned to novice company and looks to have been found a good opportunity to return to winning ways. Amrons Sage recorded a first success under Rules when winning a handicap hurdle at Ludlow last time and warrants respect, despite having 8lb to find on the ratings with the selection, while Richhill makes most appeal of the remainder.
THANKSFORTHEHELP shaped better than the result in the Pertemps Final at Cheltenham last month, unable to sustain his effort, and he can resume winning ways back in novice company. The 6-y-o can see off the challenge of the improving Amrons Sage, while Gentle Frank could also have further progress to come.
Thanksforthehelp holds leading claims provided he copes with the drop back to a sharp 2m4f. A solid alternative is RICHHILL.
(6) Takeit Easy 4.5/1, Four-time winning hurdler over 2m who hasn't shown his form in 4 outings this season but has shaped better than the result on a couple of occasions (still with a bit to do but not properly asked for effort when hampered and unseated 3 out in valuable Haydock contest latest). Interesting. Yet to hit top gear this season but lurks on a good mark and can't be ruled out.
2
2nd (1) (3.33/1 +0%) Hardy Du Seuil
3.33/1(+0%)
(1) Hardy Du Seuil 3.33/1, Has had a good campaign over hurdles, winning 2m Sandown handicap in January and going close behind a course specialist at Wetherby in first-time cheekpieces 4 weeks ago, ridden more positively and pulling clear of the rest. Raised 3 lb but can go well again. Won good-quality Sandown handicap in January and ran big race in defeat last month.
3
3rd (8) (8/1 -7%) Shared
8/1(-7%)
(8) Shared 8/1, Has made a good start over hurdles for new yard, winning 2m novices at Wetherby and Doncaster this year. Well beaten off stiff-looking mark in the Fred Winter 6 weeks ago though and suspect he'll need some respite from the handicapper. Found Boodles 4yo handicap too hot last month but won two of first three hurdle races.
4
4th (7) (6/1 +57%) Zambezi Fix
6/1(+57%)
(7) Zambezi Fix 6/1, Finally opened his account for present connections when cosy winner of C&D handicap in February. Good run at Taunton next time but let down by jumping at Ffos Las latest. Still not on a bad mark. Didn't fire last time but now only 1lb higher than for game C&D win in February.
5th
5th (4) (16/1 +27%) Rathmacknee
16/1(+27%)
(4) Rathmacknee 16/1, Quickened up to lead late on at Doncaster (19.5f) in December but it's been a write-off since, folding tamely the last twice (stumbled badly first, folded rapidly leaving back straight in C&D race won by Zambezi Fix 9 weeks ago). Fair bit to prove. Won a shade cosily at Doncaster in December but pulled up three times since.
6th
6th (3) (14/1 -75%) Lunar Sovereign
14/1(-75%)
(3) Lunar Sovereign 14/1, Made good strides as a novice during 2020/21 campaign, winning twice over 2m, but lightly raced since, not seen again after his first run for 15 months at Market Rasen last June (final run for Fergal O'Brien). Interesting to see what the market makes of him starting out for new stable. Not seen since finishing fourth of six on handicap debut last June; stable debut today.
7th
7th (2) (5/1 -11%) Soul Icon
5/1(-11%)
(2) Soul Icon 5/1, Proved a different proposition switched to handicaps, finding another chunk of improvement when making it 7 wins from 8 starts at Cheltenham (16.4f) in October. Poor return off this mark at Aintree after 6 months off but may have needed that and conditions were testing. This is easier. Flopped at Aintree this month but won seven of his first eight handicaps.
8th
8th (9) (125/1 -89%) Atholl Street
125/1(-89%)
(9) Atholl Street 125/1, Maiden/novice hurdle winner at Taunton in late 2020 but it's been a struggle since, including in 3 starts for current yard in the last 7 weeks. Has struggled to get competitive for new stable this season; revival needed.
|F|
|F| (5) (4.5/1 -13%) Deere Mark
4.5/1(-13%)
(5) Deere Mark 4.5/1, Folded as if amiss in the Morebattle at Kelso last month but had been going the right way before that, winning 2m events at Hereford and Kempton under this rider. Still early days for him and he could get back on the up. Disappointed in valuable handicap last month but remains a promising novice.
LTO Selection:
19:00 Chepstow Handicap Hurdle (Class 3) 16f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
3.33/1 (1) HARDY DU SEUIL has had a good campaign and is predicted to do well again despite being raised 3 lb. 4.5/1 (2) SOUL ICON is also a strong contender, having won seven of his first eight handicaps and proven to be a different proposition when switched to handicaps. 6/1 (6) TAKEIT EASY and 8/1 (3) LUNAR SOVEREIGN are interesting options to keep an eye on, while 22/1 (4) RATHMACKNEE and 66/1 (9) ATHOLL STREET have struggled recently and may need a revival.
HARDY DU SEUIL showed improvement in first-time cheekpieces (retained) when he was a close second in a series qualifier at Wetherby 28 days ago, and he may be able to go one place better off just 3lb higher. Soul Icon may have been in need of the run at Aintree a fortnight ago and also rates as a player with Harry Kimber, who has won five times aboard the gelding, back in the saddle. Shared is another to note.
TAKEIT EASY lurks on a very tempting mark (10 lb lower than for last success) and could be the way to go having not enjoyed much luck in a stronger race at Haydock 3 weeks ago. Hardy du Seuil can go well again, while it remains early days for Sam Thomas' Deere Mark and he could get back on the up after struggling in the Morebattle.
Another chance can be given to DEERE MARK, who looks very promising before his disappointing run in a hot handicap last month.
(4) Monbeg Park 1.88/1, Useful hurdler. Course winner. 8/1, second of 16 in handicap hurdle at Fairyhouse (16.4f, soft) 20 days ago (first past the post but subsequently disqualified). Will take the beating back in grade. Demoted for interference latest but front 2 pulled clear; big player on these terms.
2
2nd (6) (16/1 -60%) Spillane's Tower
16/1(-60%)
(6) Spillane's Tower 16/1, Winner in hurdle at Naas in February. 11/4, unseated rider very early in handicap hurdle at Cork (19f, good to soft) 19 days ago. Luckless there and remains with potential. Unseated early latest; winner on penultimate run; may not want drop in trip.
3
3rd (7) (14/1 +0%) Uncle Phil
14/1(+0%)
(7) Uncle Phil 14/1, Fair hurdler. Hooded for 1st time, below form third of 6 in minor event hurdle at this course (16.1f, good to soft, 7/2) 160 days ago, finishing tired. Uphill task. Struggled in 2 novice hurdles and looks up against it here; off 160 days.
4
4th (1) (6.5/1 -8%) Arctic Bresil
6.5/1(-8%)
(1) Arctic Bresil 6.5/1, Impressive when making winning hurdling debut at Cork in December. However, ran no sort of race when pulled up in Tolworth Novices' Hurdle at Sandown (2m, soft, 9/2) 111 days ago. Tongue strap on 1st time. Plenty to like about Rules debut but beaten a long way out in Tolworth since.
5th
5th (9) (18/1 +10%) Night Sparkle
18/1(+10%)
(9) Night Sparkle 18/1, Fairly useful Flat winner. 13/2, first run since leaving Simon & Ed Crisford when third of 23 in juvenile hurdle at Naas (16.3f, soft) on NH debut 29 days ago. Can improve. Promising stayer on Flat and encouraging hurdle bow last month; much more needed though.
6th
6th (5) (1.62/1 +41%) Sa Majeste
1.62/1(+41%)
(5) Sa Majeste 1.62/1, Fairly useful form over hurdles. 11/1, won 17-runner 4-y-o event at Auteuil last time by 1¼ lengths from Iceberg du Large. Should improve and obvious appeal starting out for new connections. Finished off race well when winning at Auteuil when last seen; may want a bit further.
7th
7th (2) (8.5/1 -70%) Firm Footings
8.5/1(-70%)
(2) Firm Footings 8.5/1, Bumper winner at the second attempt who knuckled down well to break his duck over hurdles in 16-runner maiden at Navan (2m). Cracking effort in the Martin Pipe at Cheltenham (20.2f, good to soft) 42 days ago. Back down in trip. One to consider. Maiden hurdle winner; career best 6th in Martin Pipe latest but more needed back at 2m.
8th
8th (8) (66/1 -164%) Lahinch Three
66/1(-164%)
(8) Lahinch Three 66/1, 9/2 and tongue strap on for 1st time, creditable second of 10 in bumper at Cork (19f, good) when last seen. Off 18 months. Switches from bumpers to hurdles. May well do better. Won bumper on debut; solid runs in defeat since; off 558 days and this is a tough comeback.
9th
9th (3) (66/1 -65%) Heliko Conti
66/1(-65%)
(3) Heliko Conti 66/1, Fairly useful hurdler. Good seventh of 14 in handicap hurdle at Cork (19f, good to soft, 11/1) 19 days ago. This looks too tough. Winner on h'cap debut two starts ago and not a bad run since but much more on his plate.
LTO Selection:
19:10 Punchestown Maiden Hurdle 16f Race Speed Rating Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
Based on the summary provided, 2.5/1 (4) MONBEG PARK seems to be the strongest contender with a recent second-place finish (although later disqualified) and a track record of being a course winner and useful hurdler. 2.75/1 (5) SA MAJESTE and 5/1 (2) FIRM FOOTINGS also have potential, but 2.5/1 (4) MONBEG PARK seems to have the best chance of doing well in this race.
SA MAJESTE is absent since winning 341 days ago and while he has probably had a setback, is suited by race conditions and could be smart. His two French runs were at Auteuil, beating blacktype-placed horses last-time and should be ok on drier ground. Monbeg Park has a big race-fitness edge having been disqualified, following interference, at Fairyhouse. It now seems he is ideally suited by this distance and while vulnerable to smart types, should get involved. Spillane's Tower could prove better than 126 but nonetheless steps up from his Naas win and drops in distance. Firm Footings ran well in the Coral Cup and has won at this distance but faces a tough task. Arctic Bresil is possibly best watched reappearing in a first-time tongue-tie having disappointed in a January Grade 1, with his Cork form being nothing outstanding. Uncle Phil looks Willie Mullins' second-string having had veterinary issues on recent runs.
MONBEG PARK was much improved at Fairyhouse 3 weeks ago only to lose the race in the stewards' room. He can gain compensation back at the scene of his November success. Sa Majeste starting out for Willie Mullins and Firm Footings, who ran a blinder in the Martin Pipe, are among the chief dangers.
This can go the way of MONBEG PARK who posted a career best when first past the post last time and he should have every chance
(15) Whataboutyeh 3.33/1, Irish point winner at the third attempt but well beaten in 3 novice hurdles. Upped markedly in trip for handicap debut and tongue tie goes on. Interesting to see a market move. First return to 3m since pointing days looks a plus on pedigree; improvement likely..
2
2nd (1) (18/1 -80%) Montmartin
18/1(-80%)
(1) Montmartin 18/1, Cost a fair bit and showed first form over hurdles when a running-on third at Wetherby (2m) 4 weeks ago. Handicaps over longer trip will see him in a better light now and he's one to consider. Should pay his way in handicaps from here on, if not necessarily over quite as far as 3m..
3
3rd (3) (8.5/1 -42%) Royal Lake
8.5/1(-42%)
(3) Royal Lake 8.5/1, Attracted support and took advantage of a reduced mark refitted with cheekpieces in 10-runner Fontwell handicap (21.8f) earlier this month. Remains on a favourable weight up 4 lb and can go well again. 4lb raise for breakthrough Fontwell win (2m6f, soft) isn't unfair; may yet make a stayer..
4
4th (9) (4.5/1 +44%) Perfect Man
4.5/1(+44%)
(9) Perfect Man 4.5/1, Losing run stetches back to 2020 but he has a very lowly mark. Well backed but held behind Tiny Tantrum starting out for this yard at Stratford 4 weeks ago. Tongue tie back on. Last handicap win came off 47lb higher in 2020; flopped on his recent stable debut..
5th
5th (4) (8.5/1 -55%) Can't Beat History
8.5/1(-55%)
(4) Can't Beat History 8.5/1, Second in an Irish bumper last spring and showed more than previously over hurdles switched to a handicap when runner-up in 13-runner event at Doncaster (19.4f) 2 months ago, just failing. Longer trip should suit but he could do with settling down. Beaten a head on handicap debut latest; 3lb rise looks fair, longer trip a likely plus..
6th
6th (6) (28/1 -27%) Just Call Me Al
28/1(-27%)
(6) Just Call Me Al 28/1, Won 3 times last season but form has gone the wrong way during the current campaign and he's hard to warm to at present, despite slipping to an attractive mark. Has had a breathing operation. Mark never lower, and still lightly raced over stayers' trips; not discounted lightly..
7th
7th (2) (7.5/1 +17%) Hillfinch
7.5/1(+17%)
(2) Hillfinch 7.5/1, In good form, winning mares' handicap hurdle at Huntingdon and going close over C&D a fortnight ago (just failed having edged left away from the whip close home). More needed raised 3 lb. Huntingdon win and C&D second since stepped up to 3m-plus; back up 3lb but good claims..
8th
8th (10) (10/1 +44%) The Skiffle King
10/1(+44%)
(10) The Skiffle King 10/1, Equipped with first-time cheekpieces when getting off the mark in 10-runner handicap over further here in February. Good third at Huntingdon next time but struggled in the mud at Market Rasen latest. 3m2f winner here three runs ago (good); slow ground to blame last time; place claims..
9th
9th (11) (8/1 +33%) Robber's Bridge
8/1(+33%)
(11) Robber's Bridge 8/1, Took a big step forward when second at Wincanton (21.4f) last month, unlucky to bump into a well-punted one. Nudged up just 1 lb and headgear goes back on. Near-4l second at Wincanton latest; uncertain the return to 3m rates a plus; hood returns..
10th
10th (12) (11/1 +39%) Storm Force One
11/1(+39%)
(12) Storm Force One 11/1, Again well backed and ran creditably at Wetherby last time but remains a long-standing maiden. Nearest finish at Wetherby the last twice; won't fail for stamina, but 0-24 overall..
|PU|
|PU| (8) (16/1 -33%) On The Bandwagon
16/1(-33%)
(8) On The Bandwagon 16/1, Remains winless but caught the eye in first-time cheekpieces in conditionals/amateurs staying handicap back over hurdles at Warwick 9 weeks ago, racing wide for a long way. One to note. Ran okay in a 3m2f hurdle last time until stamina gave out; return to shorter makes sense..
|PU|
|PU| (5) (33/1 +18%) Robeam
33/1(+18%)
(5) Robeam 33/1, Won small-field C&D handicap 11 months ago but out of sorts in more recent times (including on the level). C&D scorer off 9lb lower last May (good); short of his best on the Flat the last twice..
|PU|
|PU| (14) (33/1 +34%) Cheer's Delboy
33/1(+34%)
(14) Cheer's Delboy 33/1, Some decent bits and pieces of form to his name and should have come on for his run here earlier this month, his first since October. This is tough, though. Glimmer more over C&D last September, but hasn't built on that since; 0-23 overall..
LTO Selection:
19:25 Southwell Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 24f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
9/1 (2) HILLFINCH and 10/1 (1) MONTMARTIN are the most likely to do well based on the summary. Both have recent wins or close finishes in handicaps and have been raised in the weights but still have good claims.
Upped markedly in trip for his handicap debut, it would be no surprise to see Montmartin take his form to a new level, but HILLFINCH edges the vote. Stuart Edmunds' mare has displayed significant progress since stepping up to 3m and having bumped into an improver when narrowly denied over C&D 16 days ago, she can go one better today. Recent Stratford scorer Tiny Tantrum must enter calculations, along with Just Call Me Al, who is well treated on his best form and hinted at a return to form when finishing a creditable fourth at Catterick last time.
MONTMARTIN is just the type to leave his previous form behind now handicapping upped markedly in trip and he gets the vote. Royal Lake opened his account at Fontwell earlier this month and can go well again up 4 lb. Stratford-winner Tiny Tantrum and On The Bandwagon are also considered.
Back on track after treatment for ulcers, ROYAL LAKE can defy a 4lb rise at the chief expense of Can't Beat History.
(5) Honey I'm Good 1.25/1, Not much promise under Rules but she's a multiple point winner who arrives on the back of a solid showing in this sphere, so could pose the main threat to First Preference. 3-17 in points; no match for winner when second this month but should give a good account.
2
2nd (4) (0.91/1 -36%) First Preference
0.91/1(-36%)
(4) First Preference 0.91/1, Prolific point winner, including on last 5 starts (latest Apr 8), and looks to have been found a winnable race on Rules debut. Should take all the beating. Has won his last five points and is the one to beat on today's rules debut.
3
3rd (1) (12/1 +57%) Debacle
12/1(+57%)
(1) Debacle 12/1, Winning pointer but performed poorly in that sphere last time and his Rules form is far from inspiring. Has won 2-3 of his last three points but the form isn't anything to get excited about.
|PU|
|PU| (2) (16/1 -60%) Dower Caves
16/1(-60%)
(2) Dower Caves 16/1, Half-brother to modest hurdler Dynamic Kate, stays 3m. Dam (h120) bumper/21f-3m hurdle winner. Maiden pointer, third last time (Apr 1). Wears cheekpieces for Rules bow. Close second to Debacle in maiden point on last month's stable debut; has more to do here.
LTO Selection:
19:35 Chepstow Hunter Chase (Class 5) 24f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
It is likely that 0.67/1 (4) FIRST PREFERENCE will do well based on the summary as they have won their last five points and are expected to perform well on their Rules debut. 2.75/1 (5) HONEY I'M GOOD and 9/1 (2) DOWER CAVES may provide some competition, but 28/1 (1) DEBACLE's form is not promising.
Debacle struck between the flags last time out and he demands the utmost respect, as does Dower Caves, who could benefit from a return to this sounder surface. The one to beat, however, is FIRST PREFERENCE. A winner of his last five point-to-points, the gelded son of Publisher is fancied to make an immediate impact under Rules. Honey I'm Good will need more if she's to feature.
FIRST PREFERENCE has won his last 5 outings between the flags and this doesn't look much of a race, so he should be able to make a successful start in hunters. Honey I'm Good looks the main danger.
It's very hard to get away from FIRST PREFERENCE, who has impressed in all three points for his new stable this year.
(19) Walk Away Harry 11/1, Second of 11 in bumper (18/1) at Clonmel (16.6f, heavy) on NH debut 22 days ago. Respected for last year's winning yard. 18-1 2nd on debut earlier this month; longer trip should suit and may come on for that.
2
2nd (11) (4.5/1 +31%) Irish Panther
4.5/1(+31%)
(11) Irish Panther 4.5/1, Twice-raced maiden. Third of 13 in bumper at this course (16f, good to soft, 11/8) 68 days ago. 2nd to Fact To File (2nd in Champion bumper) on Rules bow; 2m didn't suit since; respected.
3
3rd (6) (7/1 -17%) Dr Eggman
7/1(-17%)
(6) Dr Eggman 7/1, Once-raced maiden. Third of 15 in bumper (17/2) at Fairyhouse (16f, soft) on NH debut. Off 12 months. Yard in good form. Beaten 3l in valuable sales bumper just over a year ago; mixed signals on that form.
4
4th (16) (4.5/1 -80%) Quantum Storm
4.5/1(-80%)
(16) Quantum Storm 4.5/1, £165,000 buy after finishing runner-up on sole start in points and promise when filling the same position in a course bumper on his Rules debut. Should go well again. Big run when 2nd on Rules debut ahead of Irish Panther and should improve for further.
5th
5th (12) (1.5/1 +14%) Lecky Watson
1.5/1(+14%)
(12) Lecky Watson 1.5/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Very good 5½ lengths fourth of 21 to A Dream To Share in Champion Bumper at Cheltenham (16.4f, soft, 80/1) 44 days ago. The one to beat. Demoted to 2nd here earlier this term; took form to a new level with Champion Bumper 4th.
6th
6th (9) (18/1 -80%) He's My Hero
18/1(-80%)
(9) He's My Hero 18/1, Once-raced maiden. 20/1 and tongue strap on, second of 8 in bumper at Naas (16.3f, soft) on NH debut 29 days ago. Beaten 1l in point on debut and encouraging 2nd on Rules bow last month; may build on that.
7th
7th (5) (125/1 +17%) Down Around
125/1(+17%)
(5) Down Around 125/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Bit below form fifth of 10 in bumper (4/1) at Tramore (16f, good). Off 8 months. 2nd in 2 bumpers last summer; lesser run latest; needs to take form to new level.
8th
8th (13) (11/1 +8%) Littlefoot
11/1(+8%)
(13) Littlefoot 11/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Second of 8 in bumper (15/8) at Wexford (16f, good to soft) 54 days ago, clear of rest. Hit the crossbar in trio of bumpers; best run yet latest but much more on his plate here.
9th
9th (4) (100/1 -100%) Dorans Law
100/1(-100%)
(4) Dorans Law 100/1, Champs Elysees gelding. Half-brother to dual bumper winner Dorans Weir and unreliable/useful hurdler Dorans River, stays 3¼m. Champs Elysees gelding; half-brother to 2 bumper winners; a tough debut but can't rule out.
10th
10th (3) (12/1 +33%) Did I Ask You That
12/1(+33%)
(3) Did I Ask You That 12/1, Twice-raced maiden. Fourth of 10 in bumper (evens) at Navan (16f, heavy) 39 days ago. Trainer going well. Tongue strap on 1st time. Big debut run; not as good latest (green); may do better but yard have stronger contenders.
11th
11th (10) (80/1 -60%) Ilitch
80/1(-60%)
(10) Ilitch 80/1, Authorized gelding. Closely related to modest 19f chase winner Tis Fantastic, and half-brother to French hurdler/chaser Polidara and fair hurdler/chaser Customer. Closely related to 2m3f chase winner Tis Fantastic; unlikely to have a say.
12th
12th (18) (40/1 -43%) Talk In The Park
40/1(-43%)
(18) Talk In The Park 40/1, Twice-raced maiden. 9/4, second of 8 in bumper at Clonmel (18.5f, heavy) 38 days ago. Distant 2nd in both bumper outings so far; needs to improve for a likely quicker surface.
13th
13th (14) (125/1 +0%) One Way Traffic
125/1(+0%)
(14) One Way Traffic 125/1, Twice-raced maiden. 150/1, fifth of 6 in bumper at Naas (15.5f, good to soft) 61 days ago. Well held at big odds in 2 bumpers so far; bits of promise but out of his depth now.
14th
14th (15) (125/1 +50%) Our Chezney
125/1(+50%)
(15) Our Chezney 125/1, Doyen gelding. Dam, ran once over fences, half-sister to fairly useful hurdler/fair chaser (stayed 2½m) I'll Call You Back. Doyen gelding; dam placed in points, half-sister to two winners; tough ask for newcomer.
15th
15th (20) (125/1 +50%) Petit Dejeuner
125/1(+50%)
(20) Petit Dejeuner 125/1, Lightly-raced maiden under NH rules. Fifteenth of 24 in novice hurdle (66/1) at Fairyhouse (20f, soft) on hurdles bow 20 days ago. Switches from hurdles to bumpers. Promise in couple of her bumper runs so far but this is tough.
16th
16th (8) (100/1 +60%) Getaway George
100/1(+60%)
(8) Getaway George 100/1, Once-raced maiden. 100/1, eighth of 10 in bumper at Navan (16f, heavy) on NH debut 39 days ago. Mid-division when 100-1 at Navan last month having been keen early; may do better.
17th
17th (2) (50/1 +60%) Bold Brook
50/1(+60%)
(2) Bold Brook 50/1, Dylan Thomas gelding. Half-brother to bumper winner/fairly useful 2m hurdle winner Brooklynn Glory and fair chaser Who's The Guv'nor. Half-brother to Brooklynn Glory and Who's The Guvnor; yard 0-10 in bumpers.
18th
18th (17) (150/1 +40%) Shining Flame
150/1(+40%)
(17) Shining Flame 150/1, Once-raced maiden. 150/1 and hooded, tenth of 12 in bumper at Fairyhouse (16.5f, good to soft) on NH debut 62 days ago. Tongue strap on for 1st time. Showed very little when 150-1 for his debut.
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
Based on the summary, 1.75/1 (12) LECKY WATSON seems to be the strongest contender as they have taken their form to a new level with a very good fourth place in the Champion Bumper at Cheltenham. They are also described as
LECKY WATSON showed real promise in the Cheltenham Bumper and is now Patrick Mullins' pick. Disqualified here due to interference in November, his big size suggests today's slightly longer distance could suit and has form on a sound surface. Stablemate Dr Eggman finished a half-length behind Lecky Watson when last seen at Fairyhouse last April and while capable, the selection seemed a work-in-progress then and has improved since. Quantum Storm finished second to a capable type in a February course bumper, and holds Irish Panther (now 5lb worse off) on that form. Littlefoot also has good form but is vulnerable to smart types while Walk Away Harry showed potential when dead-heating for second on heavy ground at Clonmel. He's My Hero has useful points form and ran well in a tongue-tie on bumper debut while Talk In The Park has been well held by the winners of his two bumpers. Did I Ask You That has twice been a beaten even-money favourite and runs in a first-time tongue-tie.
Perhaps surprisingly Willie Mullins hasn't won this race since 2012 but he can put that right courtesy of LECKY WATSON who was an excellent fifth in last month's Champion Bumper at the Cheltenham Festival. Gordon Elliott's Quantum Storm is feared most on the back of his promising second over 2m here in February. Clonmel runner-up Walk Away Harry is also on the shortlist for last year's winning yard.
LECKY WATSON sets the standard on his Champion Bumper fourth and he can give his trainer another winner this week
(16) Well Done Dani 6/1, Arrives in good form, prominent long way when pulled up in 2m4f handicap hurdle at Uttoxeter in December. Has since had a wind op and not ruled out back down in trip. Not seen since poor 2m4f run in December but placed in three 2m handicaps beforehand.
2
2nd (3) (12/1 -100%) Fort De L'ocean
12/1(-100%)
(3) Fort De L'ocean 12/1, Fair winning hurdler/chaser for Oliver Greenall but off 16 months since posting a creditable fourth in handicap hurdle at Plumpton for new yard. Has his fitness to prove. Ran quite well on stable debut in December 2021 but not seen again since.
3
3rd (6) (28/1 -27%) For Three
28/1(-27%)
(6) For Three 28/1, Successful twice for James Ewart in summer of 2021 but he's yet to fire in 6 runs for his current yard this term. Not firing on all cylinders this season but today's return to good ground will suit.
4
4th (5) (5.5/1 +39%) Red Vision
5.5/1(+39%)
(5) Red Vision 5.5/1, Winner of a pair of novice hurdles last March. Took a step back in the right direction when fifth of 8 in handicap hurdle at Uttoxeter (15.8f, heavy) 27 days ago. That form is working out really well so he holds good claims off a falling mark. Took step back in right direction this month but still has something to prove.
5th
5th (13) (10/1 +0%) Chemical Warfare
10/1(+0%)
(13) Chemical Warfare 10/1, Good second in 2m handicap chase at Newcastle in January but pulled up at Sedgefield 14 days ago. More is needed back in this sphere if he is to shed his maiden tag. Second to progressive rival in a chase in January and had excuse when pulled up last time.
6th
6th (10) (33/1 -32%) She Has Notions
33/1(-32%)
(10) She Has Notions 33/1, Made a solid start when third in a novice hurdle at Kilbeggan for John Halley in July but little impact all 3 runs since for current yard. Others make more appeal. Unexposed after only four runs but absent since low-key handicap debut in December 2021.
7th
7th (14) (4.5/1 +47%) Bushmill Boy
4.5/1(+47%)
(14) Bushmill Boy 4.5/1, Yet to score over hurdles but arrives in decent nick, fourth of 16 in handicap hurdle here (20.4f, good to soft) 53 days ago. Back down in trip and can make presence felt. 0-9 over hurdles but recent efforts suggest he can make his presence felt.
8th
8th (4) (80/1 +0%) Forever Des Long
80/1(+0%)
(4) Forever Des Long 80/1, Market Rasen winner for Philip Hobbs last spring but ended his time with that yard on a low note and well held all 4 starts for present connections, tongue strap applied at Taunton last time. Others are preferred. Very well handicapped on old form but hasn't shown a great deal for current stable.
9th
9th (15) (11/1 +78%) Phoebus Lescribaa
11/1(+78%)
(15) Phoebus Lescribaa 11/1, Unreliable type and off 7 months before being pulled up in handicap hurdle here (20.4f) 79 days ago. Blinkers back on now though so this C&D winner is no forlorn hope. Regressive veteran with modest strike-rate; struggled here on latest outing in February.
|F|
|F| (9) (6/1 +25%) Aristobulus
6/1(+25%)
(9) Aristobulus 6/1, Made a successful stable debut on AW Flat in January and in the frame all four runs since, third of 7 on his handicap hurdle debut at Ludlow (2m) 25 days ago. Enters calculations. Third on this month's handicap debut and may still have a bigger run in him.
|F|
|F| (12) (40/1 +39%) Rhyme Scheme
40/1(+39%)
(12) Rhyme Scheme 40/1, Regressive on the Flat and has yet to better modest form over hurdles. Pulled up in handicap hurdle at Fakenham (16f, soft) 18 days ago so hard to make a case for. Has very modest hurdling record but getting back on decent ground will aid her cause.
|U|
|U| (2) (12/1 -85%) Mutual Respect
12/1(-85%)
(2) Mutual Respect 12/1, Remains a maiden after 17 runs and below-form fifth of 15 in handicap hurdle at Exeter (16.7f, good to soft) 49 days ago. Others appeal more. Very much in contention before falling two starts ago but hurdle record is now 0-13.
10th
10th (1) (16/1 -146%) Scarpered
16/1(-146%)
(1) Scarpered 16/1, Caught the eye under considerate handling when 5th on hurdles debut at Ludlow (2m) but poor efforts at Ffos Las and Plumpton since. Lots more to do now handicapping. Soundly beaten on all three hurdling starts but open to improvement in handicaps.
|PU|
|PU| (11) (8.5/1 -13%) Dance At Night
8.5/1(-13%)
(11) Dance At Night 8.5/1, Fairly useful on the Flat (stays 1¼m) for Andrew Balding. Yet to match that form over hurdles, though, fourth of 12 in handicap hurdle at Huntingdon (15.8f, good to soft) 64 days ago. More is needed. Decent effort when fourth at Huntingdon last time; can improve if/when he learns to settle.
LTO Selection:
20:00 Southwell Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 16f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
9/1 (5) RED VISION is likely to do well based on the summary. Although he hasn't won a hurdle race yet, he has won two novice hurdles last March and took a step back in the right direction with a good fifth in a handicap hurdle at Uttoxeter (15.8f, heavy) 27 days ago. This form is also working out really well and he holds good claims off a falling mark.
ARISTOBULUS achieved a peak rating of 82 when trained on the Flat, and he's shown signs of ability in this sphere. Far from disgraced on his handicap debut 25 days ago, the gelded son of Adaay was dropped 1lb for that effort and he wouldn't need to improve much further to record a first hurdles success today. Dance At Night merits a place on the shortlist, as does Scarpered, who remains capable of better for his leading trainer. Eventful is another to consider.
Not nearly so competitive as the numbers suggest. RED VISION hinted at a revival when fifth at Uttoxeter last time and with that form working out really well he looks the way to go off a handy-looking mark. Aristobulus is holding his form well for Stuart Edmunds and is next on the list ahead of in-form maiden Bushmill Boy.
Preference if for ARISTOBULUS, who probably didn't have the race run to suit when third on his recent handicap hurdle debut.
(4) Ballydisco 14/1, Improved for the step up to 3m when dead-heating with subsequent winner in Ffos Las handicap but only seventh in similar company at Exeter 17 days ago. Needs to get back on track. Rallied to dead-heat for 1st at Ffos Las (3m, heavy) but tailed off at Exeter 17 days ago.
2
2nd (1) (7/1 -40%) Ballymagroarty Boy
7/1(-40%)
(1) Ballymagroarty Boy 7/1, Sole win came in 2018 but he arrives in good nick, second of 10 in handicap hurdle at Exeter (23.1f, heavy) 17 days ago. Can go well again. 1-28 and the win was in 2018; bang there most starts this season and short-headed latest.
3
3rd (12) (14/1 +30%) Nickelsonthedime
14/1(+30%)
(12) Nickelsonthedime 14/1, Opened his account in a 25f Warwick handicap in May 2022 but his form has been up and down since. Percentage call is to look elsewhere. Won off 1lb higher last May; he's not refound his form in five starts since summer break.
4
4th (14) (5.5/1 +31%) Bobalot
5.5/1(+31%)
(14) Bobalot 5.5/1, C&D winner in October. Respectable fourth of 10 in handicap hurdle at Haydock (24.3f, good to firm) 20 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Merits consideration. Won over C&D (good to soft) off this mark on handicap debut; cheekpieces in revival bid.
5th
5th (9) (10/1 +17%) Langley Hundred
10/1(+17%)
(9) Langley Hundred 10/1, Dual 23f winner in November and posted a creditable third of 8 in handicap hurdle at Exeter (23.1f, good) 49 days ago. In the mix. His poor show two runs ago was on soft; probably needs extra but may have more to offer.
6th
6th (7) (8.5/1 -6%) Betterforeveryone
8.5/1(-6%)
(7) Betterforeveryone 8.5/1, Got off the mark at Bangor (23f) in October and looked set for a creditable fourth when falling 2 out at Plumpton last time. Player off a 2 lb lower mark here with few miles still on the clock. Hasn't repeated his winning reappearance form; low-mileage, which offers hope of better.
7th
7th (6) (25/1 -150%) Aimee De Sivola
25/1(-150%)
(6) Aimee De Sivola 25/1, Back on song in first-time cheekpieces when second of 5 in handicap hurdle at Hereford (25.5f, good to soft) 35 days ago. Not ruled out with headgear retained. Runner-up on two of last three starts (cheekpieces latest) but needs to refind some extra.
8th
8th (11) (11/1 +8%) Haven't Time
11/1(+8%)
(11) Haven't Time 11/1, Winning pointer who was in process of running well when falling in hunter chase here on Rules debut in January 2022. However, has finished safely held in both starts over hurdles for new yard this year. Improvement needed on handicap bow. Bold show in hunter chase in January 2022 on rules debut; interesting on handicap debut.
9th
9th (8) (7.5/1 +38%) Halifax
7.5/1(+38%)
(8) Halifax 7.5/1, Gained a deserved first success at Exeter (23f) in February but only ninth of 15 in handicap hurdle at Haydock (24.3f, good to firm) 20 days ago. Sort to bounce back, however. Well beaten in a warm race latest and he's one to consider with his sights lowered again.
|U|
|U| (2) (2.75/1 +39%) Equinus
2.75/1(+39%)
(2) Equinus 2.75/1, Made a successful handicap debut at Ffos Las (20f) in January and got back on track when third of 9 in handicap at Newbury (18.8f, soft) 34 days ago. Up in trip and not taken lightly. First season and further improvement is possible over new trip, so he could have a say.
10th
10th (10) (33/1 -50%) Potters Venture
33/1(-50%)
(10) Potters Venture 33/1, Scored over fences on his yard debut at Newton Abbot (25.8f) in October but well held since, tried in cheekpieces at Taunton last time. Others appeal more. Won stable debut in a 3m2f chase in October; four heavy defeats have followed.
11th
11th (3) (40/1 -60%) Chinwag
40/1(-60%)
(3) Chinwag 40/1, Did well over fences last season, scoring at Ffos Las and Plumpton, but he's yet to fire this term, blinkers on when only seventh in Uttoxeter handicap hurdle last time. Lots more is needed. This is his first season without a win, right out of form in headgear on last three starts.
12th
12th (13) (25/1 -39%) Trixster
25/1(-39%)
(13) Trixster 25/1, C&D winner but arrives below par over fences, unseated rider 9th in handicap at Wincanton (25.1f, soft) 50 days ago. Switches to hurdles with cheekpieces on for 1st time. Back from chasing (first time since last April); 7lb lower than chase mark; first headgear.
|PU|
|PU| (5) (66/1 -230%) Round The Buoy
66/1(-230%)
(5) Round The Buoy 66/1, Fair winning hurdler for David Dunne but off 10 months before pulled up in handicap chase at Punchestown in January. Needs to bounce back for his new yard. Ex-Irish, having changed hands and left David Dunne; perhaps best watched today.
LTO Selection:
20:10 Chepstow Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 24f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Based on the summary provided, 4.5/1 (2) EQUINUS and 8/1 (14) BOBALOT seem to have the best chances of doing well in their upcoming races. 4.5/1 (2) EQUINUS has shown improvement in his first season and could have a say in the new trip, while 8/1 (14) BOBALOT has won over C&D on his handicap debut and has cheekpieces on for the first time. 10/1 (6) AIMEE DE SIVOLA and 12/1 (8) HALIFAX could also be in the mix for a good performance.
Having been narrowly denied at Exeter earlier this month, Ballymagroarty Boy appears likely to throw down another stern challenge, while at the foot of the handicap Bobalot is back down to his sole winning mark, which came over C&D, and must enter calculations too. However, in an open event, EQUINUS shades the vote. Nigel Twiston-Davies' charge ought to benefit from a step up in trip and drop in class, having contested a warm 0-130 at Newbury 34 days ago.
Alan King's Bangor scorer BETTERFOREVERYONE still has few miles on the clock and comes here on a handy-looking mark so gets the nod in a very open handicap. Ballymagroarty Boy is feared most on the back of his good Exeter second, with Langley Hundred and Halifax two more who need considering.
A bold show in a hunter chase last January is the eyecatching run from HAVEN'T TIME (nap) and he now makes his handicap debut.
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How to use Tomform
Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.
This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.
About U.K Horse Racing
Horse racing is a popular and historic sport in the UK, with a tradition dating back centuries. It is a multi-billion pound industry that attracts millions of spectators each year and generates significant economic activity.
There are two main types of horse racing in the UK: flat racing and jump racing. Flat racing is run on a level course and is typically shorter in distance, while jump racing involves horses jumping over obstacles and is generally longer in distance. Both types of racing are popular with spectators and bettors, and they take place at various racetracks throughout the country.
The most famous horse racing event in the UK is the Grand National, which is held annually at Aintree Racecourse in Liverpool. It is a jump racing event that is known for its challenging course and has become a national institution in the UK. Other notable horse racing events in the UK include the Derby, held at Epsom Downs Racecourse in Surrey, and the Royal Ascot, held at Ascot Racecourse in Berkshire.
Horse racing in the UK is regulated by the British Horseracing Authority (BHA), which sets rules and standards for the industry. It is responsible for the welfare of racehorses and the safety of jockeys and trainers, as well as ensuring fair and transparent racing practices.
In addition to its economic and cultural importance, horse racing in the UK also plays a significant role in the breeding and training of thoroughbred horses. Many of the world's top thoroughbreds are bred and trained in the UK, and the industry plays a vital role in the preservation and promotion of the breed.
Overall, horse racing is an integral part of British culture and a major contributor to the country's economy. It is a thrilling and exciting sport that continues to attract a loyal following and generate significant interest from spectators and bettors around the world.
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