Tomform Monday 8th May 2023

There were 37 Races on Monday 8th May 2023 across 5 meetings. There was 7 races at Ayr, 8 races at Worcester, 8 races at Windsor, 7 races at Southwell, 7 races at Newcastle, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.

Races & Results Monday 8th May 2023

The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.

13:15 Worcester Handicap Chase (Class 5) 23f - 10 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Weight Runs Age Comments
1
1st (7) Pottlerath (3.5/1 +30%)
Pottlerath

3.5/1(+30%)
(7) Pottlerath 3.5/1, Successful 3 times over hurdles during 2022. Best run over fences when third of 7 over 3m at Warwick 11 days ago. Big player if can build on that.
Initially disappointing over fences but his recent Warwick third was much better.
2
2nd (9) Puddlesinthepark (4.5/1 +50%)
Puddlesinthepark

4.5/1(+50%)
(9) Puddlesinthepark 4.5/1, Winner of 3m Ffos Las handicap hurdle in March. Bit disappointing at Exeter last time but less exposed than a lot of these and could bounce back now chasing.
Made promising Irish point debut last year and won over hurdles in March; chase debut.
3
3rd (10) Present Storm (7.5/1 +6%)
Present Storm

7.5/1(+6%)
(10) Present Storm 7.5/1, Pair of handicap hurdle wins over 23f here under Brian Hughes last summer but out of sorts when last seen in the autumn. Below her hurdles form in 2 previous chase outings at the start of last season.
Out of form over hurdles when last seen last autumn and is yet to convince over fences.
4
4th (2) Rostello (10/1 -11%)
Rostello

10/1(-11%)
(2) Rostello 10/1, Down in grade/back to form when scoring unchallenged in 3m Southwell handicap in March but no surprise this unreliable type wasn't in anything like the same form at Wetherby 11 days later.
Won off reduced mark two starts ago but well beaten since; hard to predict.
5th
5th (3) Fine Theatre (125/1 -25%)
Fine Theatre

125/1(-25%)
(3) Fine Theatre 125/1, Dual hurdles/chase winner for Paul Nolan in Ireland but latest success was back in March 2020 and pulled up all 3 outings for current yard.
Ex-Irish teenager; pulled up on all three outings for current stable.
6th
6th (8) Boagrius (16/1 -300%)
Boagrius

16/1(-300%)
(8) Boagrius 16/1, C&D winner last autumn. Ended 2022 with a couple of good runner-up efforts and claims if showing up from a 5-month break in similar form.
C&D winner in October and ended 2022 with two decent seconds; back from break today.
7th
7th (4) Dan's Chosen (11/1 -22%)
Dan's Chosen

11/1(-22%)
(4) Dan's Chosen 11/1, Fair chase winner but he does need to bounce back from a rare poor run at Huntingdon last month. Cheekpieces are reached for on the back of that.
Mostly in good form last season but things have gone awry of late; cheekpieces now added.
8th
8th (5) Glance From Clover (7/1 -40%)
Glance From Clover

7/1(-40%)
(5) Glance From Clover 7/1, Improved in first-time cheekpieces when finally off the mark in 8-runner Warwick handicap hurdle in March. Respectable fourth there since. Chase debut.
In good form over hurdles with cheekpieces added in March; contender if he takes to fences.
|PU|
|PU| (6) Milanford (6.5/1 +7%)
Milanford

6.5/1(+7%)
(6) Milanford 6.5/1, Ran one of his better recent races when second of 8 at Taunton (23f) last month. Whether he can be relied upon to back it up is another matter.
Ran well for a long way at Taunton last month but has become very unreliable.
|PU|
|PU| (11) Gastara (6.5/1 +13%)
Gastara

6.5/1(+13%)
(11) Gastara 6.5/1, Matched his hurdles form when second on course chase debut last spring. Running well when falling next time but below best twice since, albeit he might have needed his latest outing after 10 months off.
0-17 but ran okay over hurdles last month, after a layoff, and is on a workable mark.
LTO Selection:

13:15 Worcester Handicap Chase (Class 5) 23f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

Based on the summary, the horses predicted to finish in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd are: 1st: 4/1 (8) BOAGRIUS - the C&D winner in October and two good runner-up efforts at the end of 2022 make this horse a solid contender if it shows up in similar form after a break. 2nd: 5/1 (7) POTTLERATH - successful over hurdles and a recent third in a 3m chase at Warwick make this horse a big player if it can build on that performance. 3rd: 5/1 (5) GLANCE FROM CLOVER - in good form over hurdles and could be a contender if it takes to fences on its chase debut.

Present Storm has plenty going for her here having won twice here over hurdles on the predicted going, but she is yet to repeat that level over fences and hasn't been seen since November. She is still worth a second look, but if BOAGRIUS retains his abilities at the age of 11, then the C&D winner may shock them all for trainer Tom George. Glance From Clover has his first start over fences and also has to be of interest for a stable going well enough in recent weeks.

POTTLERATH is given a chance to build on a better run over fences last time. Boagrius was in good nick when last seen at the end of 2022 and will be a threat if returning in similar form. Puddlesinthepark has fewer convictions than most of these and could also figure if taking to fences at the first time of asking.

The pick is GASTARA, who is well handicapped on a piece of course form from last spring and shaped quite well over hurdles last month.


13:45 Worcester Handicap Chase (Class 3) 16f - 11 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Weight Runs Age Comments
1
1st (3) Raffle Ticket (7/1 -75%)
Raffle Ticket

7/1(-75%)
(3) Raffle Ticket 7/1, Point/hurdles winner who cemented positive start over fences when off the mark in 5-runner novices' handicap at Huntingdon (19.8f) back in January. Looked to score more decisively than narrow margin suggests and good chance there's more to come in this sphere.
Gamely fended off a next-time-out winner last time and remains lightly raced.
2
2nd (10) Noahthirtytwored (5.5/1 -10%)
Noahthirtytwored

5.5/1(-10%)
(10) Noahthirtytwored 5.5/1, Progressive 4-time winner over hurdles who took his form up a notch over fences in the autumn, scoring at Newton Abbot prior to a good fourth in a Cheltenham novice (15.9f) in October. Entitled to be sharper for a return spin on Flat last month ahead of switch back to chasing.
Made good start to chasing career in the autumn and could be very well handicapped.
3
3rd (7) The Big Lense (10/1 +60%)
The Big Lense

10/1(+60%)
(7) The Big Lense 10/1, Left yard debut effort over hurdles in his wake when second over fences at Leicester (20f) in February. Mixed bag in 2 starts since but his latest Huntingdon third was a creditable display. Eased a little more in weights ahead of this.
Posted two good efforts over 2m4f for new stable in Febraury/March; back in trip here.
4
4th (1) Give Me A Moment (6.5/1 +35%)
Give Me A Moment

6.5/1(+35%)
(1) Give Me A Moment 6.5/1, Useful chaser who won 5 times during 2021/22 and outclassed the opposition in a brace of novice hurdles last summer. Lost action final start but definite encouragement to glean from his reappearance spin over hurdles at Newbury (20.5f) in March. Interesting back over fences.
Did very well in 2022 (five wins) and is a contender if there's not too much rain about.
5th
5th (5) Swaffham Bulbeck (3.2/1 +29%)
Swaffham Bulbeck

3.2/1(+29%)
(5) Swaffham Bulbeck 3.2/1, In good form under both codes and he enhanced his fine record at Fakenham when landing 4-runner handicap hurdle at that venue 4 weeks ago. Ease back in trip will hold no fears and he's a player back over fences from 5 lb higher mark.
Six-time hurdle winner; not seen over fences since 2021 but current mark is workable.
6th
6th (2) Bun Doran (25/1 -127%)
Bun Doran

25/1(-127%)
(2) Bun Doran 25/1, Bounced back to form returned to less testing ground when landing 4-runner Sandown handicap (15.5f) in February. Respectable third at Warwick next time but he again struggled when pulled up at Kempton (18f) 2 weeks ago. Quicker ground here may help.
Still useful as a 12yo but very inconsistent now; looked lacklustre a fortnight ago.
7th
7th (11) Glajou (7/1 +36%)
Glajou

7/1(+36%)
(11) Glajou 7/1, Fair chaser but he's not the most straightforward. Cashed in on a reduced mark over C&D last summer but not scaled same heights on 2 of his 3 starts since, finding little when fourth in 7-runner Plumpton handicap (17f) 4 weeks ago.
Back from break with two respectable efforts but doesn't tend to find much when it matters.
8th
8th (4) Zacony Rebel (11/1 -22%)
Zacony Rebel

11/1(-22%)
(4) Zacony Rebel 11/1, Dual winner as a novice over hurdles and perfect start over fences when successful at Fontwell (17.7f) in October. Improved when third at Wetherby a month later but he proved disappointing both starts thereafter. Needs to bounce back returned from 4 months off.
Won in good style on chase debut in October but had lost his form by the winter.
9th
9th (6) Arthur's Quay (10/1 -33%)
Arthur's Quay

10/1(-33%)
(6) Arthur's Quay 10/1, Winless over fences in Ireland but improved model for new stable, completing hat-trick in good style at Sedgefield (17f, soft) in January. Run with credit all 3 starts in defeat subsequently but present mark just demands that little bit more.
Won three in a row in the winter and is seemingly still in good form; in the mix again.
|F|
|F| (8) Earth Company (25/1 -39%)
Earth Company

25/1(-39%)
(8) Earth Company 25/1, Successful twice over hurdles last season and posted his best run over fences when second at Taunton in January. Pulled up after 3 months off at Chepstow last time though so has something to prove.
Seemed to be getting act together when second in January but has since performed poorly.
10th
10th (9) Kauto The King (16/1 -14%)
Kauto The King

16/1(-14%)
(9) Kauto The King 16/1, Course winner who completed a quick-fire hat-trick in small field handicap chases last summer and easily his best effort since when third at Wincanton (15.7f) in January. Took a heavy fall back at that venue a month later but given time ahead of this.
Has very good strike-rate over fences but seems to have lost his way; wants good ground.
LTO Selection:

13:45 Worcester Handicap Chase (Class 3) 16f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.

1st: 5/1 (10) NOAHTHIRTYTWORED 2nd: 4/1 (3) RAFFLE TICKET 3rd: 4.5/1 (5) SWAFFHAM BULBECK

NOAHTHIRTYTWORED had a pipe-opener on the Flat last month which may have put him spot on for a return to fences now. One win from two starts over the larger obstacles suggests he may have more to offer, while wins over hurdles here on similar ground bodes well for his chances. Glajou is a C&D winner who seems likely to mount a challenge with the booking of Harry Cobden catching the eye, while Arthur's Quay is capable enough off this mark and could run into a place.

This looks competitive but SWAFFHAM BULBECK comes here in good form over hurdles, successful at Fakenham on his latest outing 4 weeks ago and, with his revised mark looking within reach back over fences, he could be the answer. Give Me A Moment, Raffle Ticket and Noahthirtytwored are a trio of others fancied to be in the shake-up.

The most interesting runner is NOAHTHIRTYTWORED (nap), who took very well to chasing last year and is still unexposed over fences.


13:55 Ayr Maiden (Class 5) 5f - 4 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Weight Runs Age Comments
1
1st (1) Indication Call (1.38/1 +0%)
Indication Call

1.38/1(+0%)
(1) Indication Call 1.38/1, Fair form when runner-up at Beverley and Pontefract (both 5f, good to soft) last month. Visored first time. Undoubtedly capable of winning a race but would be vulnerable to a newcomer with potential.
Runner-up in 5f novices at Beverley and Pontefract; visor goes on; holds very good claims.
2
2nd (3) Sennockian (2.75/1 -120%)
Sennockian

2.75/1(-120%)
(3) Sennockian 2.75/1, Foaled May 10. €120,000 No Nay Never colt. Half-brother to useful 1m-1¼m winner Alwaab and smart 2-y-o 7f/1m winner Pretty Gorgeous. Dam 2-y-o 6f winner. Makes obvious paper appeal for last year's winning yard.
No Nay Never colt who is a half-brother to 2 useful winners; interesting newcomer.
3
3rd (2) Moyola (12/1 +64%)
Moyola

12/1(+64%)
(2) Moyola 12/1, 18/1, last of 8 in novice at Musselburgh (5f, soft) on debut 30 days ago. Needs to leave that well behind.
18-1, last of eight in novice at Musselburgh 30 days ago; needs to take a big step forward.
4
4th (4) Torvar (2.25/1 +50%)
Torvar

2.25/1(+50%)
(4) Torvar 2.25/1, 7/2, fifth of 8 in novice at Ripon (5f, heavy) on debut 9 days ago. Likely to improve.
Encouraging debut 5th at Ripon; this daughter of Footstepsinthesand can build on it now.
LTO Selection:

13:55 Ayr Maiden (Class 5) 5f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

Based on the information provided, 1.25/1 (3) SENNOCKIAN seems to have the most potential as a newcomer with a strong breeding background. Therefore, 1.25/1 (3) SENNOCKIAN is likely to finish in 1st place. 1.38/1 (1) INDICATION CALL, with fair recent form, is expected to finish in 2nd place. 4.5/1 (4) TORVAR, who had an encouraging debut and is likely to improve, is expected to finish in 3rd place. 33/1 (2) MOYOLA is not expected to finish in the top three based on their recent performance.

Charlie Johnston has been among the winners of late and he saddles an interesting newcomer in the shape of Sennockian, a 120,000-euro half-brother to Fillies' Mile winner Pretty Gorgeous. A bold bid is expected first time out, but narrow preference is for the experience of INDICATION CALL, who has gone closer with each of his three starts to date and only missed out by a short head at Pontefract a fortnight ago. There could be more to come and he has the assistance of in-form 3lb claimer Pierre-Louis Jamin. Torvar, who showed glimpses of ability on debut, can beat Moyola for third place.

The Johnston stable won this with a newcomer last year and might be able to repeat the feat with the well-bred SENNOCKIAN. Confidence in his chance would increase should the betting vibes be strong.

Charlie Johnston has his string in excellent nick so his well-related No Nay Never newcomer SENNOCKIAN is taken to make a winning start


14:05 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 5f - 7 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Weight Runs Age Comments
1
1st (1) Dapper Man (2/1 +11%)
Dapper Man

2/1(+11%)
(1) Dapper Man 2/1, C&D winner. Latest win here in March. 4/1, creditable second of 7 in handicap at Redcar (5f, good to soft) 4 days ago. Has to be taken seriously in his current mood.
2
2nd (7) The Tron (2.75/1 +45%)
The Tron

2.75/1(+45%)
(7) The Tron 2.75/1, C&D winner. Latest win here in February. Sixth of 8 in handicap at Yarmouth (5.2f, soft, 11/1) 13 days ago.
3
3rd (6) Primo (4.5/1 +36%)
Primo

4.5/1(+36%)
(6) Primo 4.5/1, C&D winner. 10/1, last of 7 in handicap at Redcar (5f, good to soft) 4 days ago. Others more persuasive.
4
4th (2) Show Me A Sunset (33/1 -136%)
Show Me A Sunset

33/1(-136%)
(2) Show Me A Sunset 33/1, C&D winner. Eighteen runs since last win in 2021. Last of 8 in handicap at Chelmsford City (5f, 11/1) 18 days ago, slowly away.
5th
5th (4) Apache Star (5/1 -25%)
Apache Star

5/1(-25%)
(4) Apache Star 5/1, Sixteen runs since last win in 2021. 13/2, respectable third of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 30 days ago. Drop back to 5f shouldn't be an issue.
6th
6th (3) Thegreatestshowman (18/1 -29%)
Thegreatestshowman

18/1(-29%)
(3) Thegreatestshowman 18/1, C&D winner. Fifteen runs since last win in 2021. 20/1, last of 9 in handicap at Lingfield (6f, AW) 40 days ago, though was left poorly placed.
7th
7th (5) Snow Berry (7.5/1 -50%)
Snow Berry

7.5/1(-50%)
(5) Snow Berry 7.5/1, 5/1, respectable fourth of 11 in handicap at this C&D. Off 97 days but she's in very good hands.
LTO Selection:

14:05 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 5f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.

Based on the summary, 2.25/1 (1) DAPPER MAN and 5/1 (5) SNOW BERRY seem to be the strongest contenders. Therefore, my prediction for the top three finishers would be: 1. 2.25/1 (1) DAPPER MAN 2. 5/1 (5) SNOW BERRY 3. 4/1 (4) APACHE STAR

The in-form Dapper Man (third) is being kept busy and should be thereabouts again despite a 9lb higher mark for his C&D success in March. However, he might do well to confirm the January C&D form with SNOW BERRY (fourth) on the revised terms, and Michael Appleby's mare shades preference as a value option on this occasion. The Tron also has a decent chance on these terms.

DAPPER MAN is going through an excellent spell, second to a rival seen to maximum effect at Redcar on Thursday and a 3 lb rise still leaves him very competitive. Apache Star and Snow Berry look the main dangers.

Dapper Man is respected but APACHE STAR, who hasn't had the breaks lately and won't mind the drop from 6f, is better treated.


14:15 Worcester NH Flat Race (Class 5) 16f - 10 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Weight Runs Age Comments
1
1st (5) Moon Chime (6.5/1 +46%)
Moon Chime

6.5/1(+46%)
(5) Moon Chime 6.5/1, £10,000 3-y-o, first foal, dam (h115), 2m hurdle winner (stayed 19f), sister to smart hurdler/useful chaser (stayed 3m) Sweet My Lord and bumper winner/useful 2m hurdle winner Come To Me. Newcomer for top yard.
First foal from a triple 2m hurdle winner; stable does well in bumpers.
2
2nd (12) Marmalade Time (18/1 +45%)
Marmalade Time

18/1(+45%)
(12) Marmalade Time 18/1, Black Sam Bellamy filly. Half-sister to fair hurdler/chase winner Dash of Blue. Dam unraced sister to bumper winner/useful hurdler (2m/17f winner) Knight In Purple. Conditiona on for debut.
Half-sister to fair hurdle/chase winner Dash Of Blue; seemingly stable's second string.
3
3rd (1) Pyffo (2.25/1 +25%)
Pyffo

2.25/1(+25%)
(1) Pyffo 2.25/1, Half-brother to 3 winners and solid start when runner-up at Southwell in November. Built on that when going one place better at Haydock and the one to beat despite a penalty.
Built upon promising debut when battling well to win at Haydock in December; a player.
4
4th (11) Charmian's Place (12/1 -50%)
Charmian's Place

12/1(-50%)
(11) Charmian's Place 12/1, Bred to do well in this sphere and very good start when second of 12 in bumper at Warwick in February, albeit no match for winner.
Made promising debut when second 12 at Warwick in Februarty; enters calculations.
5th
5th (10) Solstice Saint (2.25/1 +50%)
Solstice Saint

2.25/1(+50%)
(10) Solstice Saint 2.25/1, €15,000 3-y-o, Court Cave gelding. Half-brother to 4 winners, including useful hurdler Serious Charges and fair hurdler Cosa Ban. Dam, modest 2m hurdle winner, also 2m winner on Flat. Yard can boast an excellent record in bumpers.
Half-brother to a useful hurdler; yard 23% in bumpers in last 5 seasons.
6th
6th (2) Fresh Speculation (10/1 +70%)
Fresh Speculation

10/1(+70%)
(2) Fresh Speculation 10/1, Pether's Moon gelding. Dam (b85) ran once in bumper.
Out of a mare who shaped with significant promise in a bumper on her only start.
7th
7th (8) Westbrook Lad (28/1 +15%)
Westbrook Lad

28/1(+15%)
(8) Westbrook Lad 28/1, £3,000 4-y-o, Scorpion gelding. Dam, point winner, half-sister to bumper winner/fairly useful but ungenuine hurdler (stays 25f) Spider's Bite. Of interest on debut.
Second foal from a point winner; seemingly the stable first string.
8th
8th (6) My Fernando (10/1 +9%)
My Fernando

10/1(+9%)
(6) My Fernando 10/1, Yorgunnabelucky gelding. Brother to 7.4f winner Yorbelucky. Dam, 9f/1¼m winner, half-sister to useful hurdler/smart chaser (stayed 21f) I'm So Lucky and useful hurdler (2m winner) Dream Esteem. Promise when third in a C&D bumper for Ian Williams in June. Hooded.
Ran well for a long way when third over C&D last June; not seen again since.
9th
9th (4) Jacobs Acre (14/1 +30%)
Jacobs Acre

14/1(+30%)
(4) Jacobs Acre 14/1, €15,000 3-y-o. Yard's newcomers typically come on for a run and this one offered something to work on fitted with a tongue strap when fourth at Taunton in March.
Shaped with promise on debut but was ultimately well held in fourth; improvement needed.
10th
10th (7) Pearlymoon (100/1 +0%)
Pearlymoon

100/1(+0%)
(7) Pearlymoon 100/1, Half-brother to bumper winner Time For Hollie. Dam (b57), ran twice in bumpers, half-sister to useful bumper winner/fairly useful hurdler (stayed 3m) Hollies Pearl.
Half-brother to a bumper winner but stable not known for success in this sphere.
LTO Selection:

14:15 Worcester NH Flat Race (Class 5) 16f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

1st: 3/1 (1) PYFFO, 2nd: 2/1 (3) IDEAL DES BORDES, 3rd: 33/1 (8) WESTBROOK LAD

Ideal Des Bordes may prove popular here for his powerful connections, but he ran on late to win his point-to-point, and may struggle for speed over the two miles here. Pyffo battled on well to win at Haydock but has a 7lb penalty for that and it may be worth taking a chance on SOLSTICE SAINT, who represents a stable with a strong record in bumpers.

PYFFO confirmed the promise of his debut in no uncertain terms when successful at Haydock in December and while it's rarely easy defying a penalty in a bumper, the same conditional rider is on again and he may well be up to the job. Charmian's Place is the obvious threat on form, with Ideal des Bordes and Moon Chime the pick of the newcomers.

Nicky Henderson's new recruit IDEAL DES BORDES made a winning Irish point debut in December and might be the answer.


14:25 Ayr Handicap (Class 6) 6f - 12 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Weight Runs Age Comments
1
1st (13) One Last Hug (4/1 +50%)
One Last Hug

4/1(+50%)
(13) One Last Hug 4/1, Course winner. One win from 45 Flat runs. Fourth of 7 in handicap at Musselburgh (7.2f, good to soft, 18/1) 3 days ago. Opposable from a win point of view. Stable also represented by Oriental Lilly.
Course winner who comes here in decent nick; not discounted from 1lb out of the handicap.
2
2nd (3) Freedom Flyer (6/1 -71%)
Freedom Flyer

6/1(-71%)
(3) Freedom Flyer 6/1, Latest win at Thirsk in April. Below form fourth of 12 in handicap (7/2) at Catterick (5f, heavy) 26 days ago. That race may have come too soon, just a day after finishing third on the AW, and big player if the drying ground doesn't pose a problem.
Won at Thirsk in April and two good efforts since; player off same mark back over 6f now.
3
3rd (9) Basholo (10/1 +0%)
Basholo

10/1(+0%)
(9) Basholo 10/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2022. Bit below form sixth of 10 in handicap at Catterick (5f, good to soft, 20/1) 12 days ago, never nearer. Needs a couple of these to falter.
Yet to fire in three 5f handicaps this term; mark is falling but more is still needed.
4
4th (11) Cheese The One (4.5/1 +50%)
Cheese The One

4.5/1(+50%)
(11) Cheese The One 4.5/1, 33/1, respectable seventh of 13 in handicap at Southwell (8.1f) 24 days ago. Back down to the trip off which she landed a Thirsk selling handicap off 1 lb higher on latest turf start at Thirsk in September. Possibilities.
Yet to make the frame in 5 starts for current yard but one for the shortlist back in trip.
5th
5th (4) Roman Blaze (66/1 -65%)
Roman Blaze

66/1(-65%)
(4) Roman Blaze 66/1, Thrice-raced maiden on Flat. Tenth of 11 in minor event (200/1) at Redcar (8f, soft) 28 days ago. Down in trip for this handicap debut and big step forward needed. Yard also saddles Dick Datchery.
Has offered little in his four runs to date; plenty more required now going handicapping.
6th
6th (14) Oriental Lilly (3.5/1 +61%)
Oriental Lilly

3.5/1(+61%)
(14) Oriental Lilly 3.5/1, C&D winner. Nineteen runs since last win in 2021. Creditable third of 6 in handicap at this course (8f, good to firm, 9/1) 4 days ago. Back down in trip and visor refitted. Couldn't rule out.
Arrives in good form, third here four days ago; this C&D winner needs considering.
7th
7th (5) Muddy Lynn (20/1 +29%)
Muddy Lynn

20/1(+29%)
(5) Muddy Lynn 20/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 16/1, ninth of 10 in handicap at Thirsk (7f, soft) 34 days ago. Hard to warm to on the back of that display.
Beat only one on her handicap debut at Thirsk last month; needs a big step forward.
8th
8th (2) Stay Smart (14/1 -17%)
Stay Smart

14/1(-17%)
(2) Stay Smart 14/1, Fifteen runs since last win in 2021. 40/1, eleventh of 16 in handicap at Haydock (6f, good to firm) 9 days ago. Blinkers on 1st time. Probably best to look elsewhere.
Arrives on a long losing run and he's offered little in 2 6f h'caps this term; blinkers on.
9th
9th (7) Essencial (40/1 -21%)
Essencial

40/1(-21%)
(7) Essencial 40/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2022. 80/1, last of 11 in handicap at Newcastle (8f), slowly away. Off 102 days. Back down in trip and limited appeal.
Beaten one rival in two handicaps for new yard this term; has lots to prove after break.
10th
10th (10) Dick Datchery (16/1 -78%)
Dick Datchery

16/1(-78%)
(10) Dick Datchery 16/1, Three-time C&D winner. 14/1, eighth of 11 in handicap at Newcastle (6f). Off 94 days. First run for yard after leaving John Wainwright. Visor and tongue strap now refitted and has undergone a wind op.
3-time C&D winner; had a wind op and not ruled out for his new yard off a reduced mark.
11th
11th (12) Nodsasgoodasawink (25/1 -79%)
Nodsasgoodasawink

25/1(-79%)
(12) Nodsasgoodasawink 25/1, Fifteen runs since last win in 2021. Eleventh of 12 in handicap at Newcastle (6f, 25/1). Off 6 months and entitled to come on for the run.
Winless in 2022; has gone very well fresh though so is no forlorn hope after 6 months off.
12th
12th (1) Claim The Stars (7.5/1 -67%)
Claim The Stars

7.5/1(-67%)
(1) Claim The Stars 7.5/1, Remains a maiden after 18 Flat runs. Seventh of 11 in handicap (10/1) at Thirsk (6f, heavy) 16 days ago. Others are more persuasive.
Possibly unsuited by the mud when 7th at Thirsk latest; no surprise if he bounced back.
LTO Selection:

14:25 Ayr Handicap (Class 6) 6f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.

Based on the summary, the horses predicted to finish in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd are: 1st - 9/1 (10) DICK DATCHERY 2nd - 3.5/1 (3) FREEDOM FLYER 3rd - 9/1 (14) ORIENTAL LILLY

In a competitive handicap it may pay to side with ORIENTAL LILLY, who likes it here with two wins, one over C&D off 10lb higher. Her trainer won this last year and, although racing from 1lb out of the handicap, Amie Waugh claims 5lb in the saddle. Claim The Stars may still be a maiden, but the drop in class could see him go close despite the burden of top weight, though the intriguing Roman Blaze, who drops markedly in trip, may have his measure.

Despite a question mark over the suitability of the drying ground, FREEDOM FLYER looks the safest option. He's never been the easiest to predict but hasn't done much wrong in 4 starts this year. Dick Datchery is rather hit-and-miss, too, but this multiple C&D winner would be a threat if bouncing back on debut for new yard following a wind op. Cheese The One is third choice.

Plenty are in with a shout but Ruth Carr's FREEDOM FLYER arrives at the top of his game and edges the vote now he steps back up to 6f


14:35 Southwell Stakes (Class 4) 5f - 7 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Weight Runs Age Comments
1
1st (1) Yorkshire Terrier (2.2/1 -10%)
Yorkshire Terrier

2.2/1(-10%)
(1) Yorkshire Terrier 2.2/1, C&D winner on debut last month. 11/4, sound fifth of 7 under a penalty in novice event at Newmarket (5f, soft) 20 days ago. Sets the bar pretty high.
Easy C&D winner who sets the standard the newcomers are gunning for under a penalty.
2
2nd (6) Melisende (18/1 -100%)
Melisende

18/1(-100%)
(6) Melisende 18/1, No match for the winner when second of 10 in minor event at Saint-Cloud (4.5f, soft) 24 days ago. Should have more to offer but needs to improve to win a novice.
Yard 0-10 with 2yos domestically this year; will only have learned from her French debut.
3
3rd (3) Kaolinite (5.5/1 +8%)
Kaolinite

5.5/1(+8%)
(3) Kaolinite 5.5/1, Foaled February 15. Masar colt. Dam, 2-y-o 6f winner, half-sister to very smart winner up to 1½m Prize Money. Trainer’s newcomers command respect.
Yard just getting going with 2yos and the market will show what's expected.
4
4th (2) Dafoor (8/1 -167%)
Dafoor

8/1(-167%)
(2) Dafoor 8/1, Foaled February 6. 15,000 gns foal, 40,000 gns yearling, Twilight Son colt. Dam, maiden (stayed 9.5f), out of useful 6.5f-1m winner Appealing, runner-up in US Grade 2 8.5f event. Lot to like on paper.
40,000gns yearling who holds a few sales race entries; is a likely looking newcomer.
5th
5th (4) Rising Force (1.38/1 +69%)
Rising Force

1.38/1(+69%)
(4) Rising Force 1.38/1, Foaled March 22. 25,000 gns yearling, Mehmas colt. Half-brother to several winners, including useful 9.5f-1½m winner Laseen and 1¼m/11f winner Art de Vivre. Engaged 4.15 Newmarket Sunday.
25,000gns half-brother to three winners; trainer also saddle Talent Show; market useful.
6th
6th (7) Talent Show (12/1 -60%)
Talent Show

12/1(-60%)
(7) Talent Show 12/1, Foaled January 15. £55,000 yearling, Kodiac filly. Dam maiden (stayed 10.5f), half-sister to smart 1m winner Taniyar out of useful winner up to 1½m (2-y-o 7f winner) Tanoura.
Early-foaled £55,000 yearling who holds a sales race entry in the summer; likely type.
7th
7th (5) Project Frank (40/1 -21%)
Project Frank

40/1(-21%)
(5) Project Frank 40/1, Foaled April 21. €7,500 foal, €16,000 yearling, Soldier's Call colt. Half-brother to winner up to 7f Jackstar. Dam 2-y-o 1m winner.
Half-brother to 2yo debutant winner Jackstar; late foal from a yard not noted for 2yos.
LTO Selection:

14:35 Southwell Stakes (Class 4) 5f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

It is difficult to make a clear prediction based solely on this summary. However, based on the information given, 2/1 (1) YORKSHIRE TERRIER, the C&D winner who sets the standard, and 3/1 (2) DAFOOR, the likely looking newcomer with a lot to like on paper, may be strong contenders for the top three spots. 4.5/1 (4) RISING FORCE, with a trainer who commands respect for newcomers, could also be a contender. Ultimately, it will come down to the performance on the day of the race.

YORKSHIRE TERRIER was a convincing winner over C&D on his debut last month and, while the form of his subsequent outing in a potentially decent novice stakes at Newmarket is yet to really be put to the test, this could be a good opportunity for the son of Bow Creek to boost his profile. He was a bit too keen when he faded into fifth in that Rowley Mile contest, but he sets a good standard. Dafoor appeals most of the newcomers, while Melisende is respected too.

YORKSHIRE TERRIER showed up well for a long way trying to defy a penalty at Newmarket 3 weeks ago and back on the AW, he can put his experience to the best possible use. Dafoor and Kaolinite are interesting debutants on breeding.

Yorkshire Terrier sets a fair standard, but preference is for TALENT SHOW, whose trainer is an impressive 7-21 with 2yos here.


14:45 Worcester Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 16f - 12 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Weight Runs Age Comments
1
1st (3) Idealdes Villerets (0.44/1 +56%)
Idealdes Villerets

0.44/1(+56%)
(3) Idealdes Villerets 0.44/1, Ex-French bumper winner who has made a solid start to his hurdling career. Respectable third in a novice on final outing for Mel Rowley 52 days ago. Sets the standard and should take all the beating.
Made the frame on all four hurdling starts last season and sets a fairly useful standard.
2
2nd (5) Tchoupinminzac (7/1 +13%)
Tchoupinminzac

7/1(+13%)
(5) Tchoupinminzac 7/1, Dual bumper winner who was disappointing starting out over hurdles at Market Rasen 8 months ago. Not seen since but far too soon to write him off in this sphere, and market support would look significant.
Dual bumper winner; flopped on last summer's hurdle debut; still has potential.
3
3rd (6) Tregele (10/1 +44%)
Tregele

10/1(+44%)
(6) Tregele 10/1, Has shown ability in bumpers but will probably need this initial experience of hurdling.
Out of a smart jumper and showed promise in bumpers last season; hurdle debut today.
4
4th (9) Solar System (80/1 -400%)
Solar System

80/1(-400%)
(9) Solar System 80/1, Related to winners but failed to beat a rival in a bumper at Warwick and will probably have a considerate introduction to hurdling.
Raced too freely and was very disappointing favourite on bumper debut; should do better.
5th
5th (1) Baileys Derbyday (28/1 -27%)
Baileys Derbyday

28/1(-27%)
(1) Baileys Derbyday 28/1, Fair handicapper on Flat (stays 2m) and is a half-brother to useful hurdler Pilansberg (2½m-2¾m winner) so shouldn't be totally ignored making hurdling debut after 7 months off.
Fair stayer on the Flat, albeit with modest 1-17 strike-rate; makes hurdle debut today.
6th
6th (8) Activist (12/1 -33%)
Activist

12/1(-33%)
(8) Activist 12/1, Fairly useful form on Flat in France, stays 1½m, runner-up in minor event last time: sold from X. Thomas-Demeaulte €41,000 in November. Worthy of interest if the market speaks in his favour.
Flat winner in France last year; bought for 41,000euros in the autumn; hurdle debut today.
7th
7th (12) Vision Of Hope (33/1 -65%)
Vision Of Hope

33/1(-65%)
(12) Vision Of Hope 33/1, Won 2 of her 5 starts on Flat for George Boughey (hooded). Too free on both hurdling outings for current yard and improvement is required.
Dual AW winner in December but beaten 30l+ after racing freely in two hurdles in February.
8th
8th (7) Yes And Yes (100/1 +0%)
Yes And Yes

100/1(+0%)
(7) Yes And Yes 100/1, Placed in points but only seventh in novice at Bangor on hurdling debut. Looks more one for the longer term.
Placed in two points this year but soundly beaten when 66-1 for recent hurdle debut.
9th
9th (2) Buxted Too (6/1 -100%)
Buxted Too

6/1(-100%)
(2) Buxted Too 6/1, Fair Flat winner who showed a bit on his only hurdling start back in December 2021. Creditable effort on the level a month ago and merits respect.
Well beaten on hurdling debut in 2021 but has developed into useful AW performer this year.
10th
10th (10) Anne Bonny (125/1 -56%)
Anne Bonny

125/1(-56%)
(10) Anne Bonny 125/1, Underwent a breathing op after pulling up in a bumper and not enough encouragement over hurdles to make her of interest in this.
Ran well for a long way on hurdling debut but never featured in modest race last time.
11th
11th (11) Autumn Blaze (200/1 -33%)
Autumn Blaze

200/1(-33%)
(11) Autumn Blaze 200/1, No promise in Hereford bumpers and down the field in a novice at Ludlow on hurdling debut. Others preferred.
Well beaten at triple-digit odds in two bumpers and on hurdling debut.
|PU|
|PU| (4) Importateur (150/1 -127%)
Importateur

150/1(-127%)
(4) Importateur 150/1, Little encouragement in Ireland and best watched on debut for a new yard.
Always in rear at triple-digit odds on both hurdling starts in Ireland last year.
LTO Selection:

14:45 Worcester Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 16f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

1st: 1/1 (3) IDEALDES VILLERETS 2nd: 3/1 (2) BUXTED TOO 3rd: 9/1 (8) ACTIVIST

IDEALDES VILLERETS sets a reasonable standard and is an appealing option with Brian Hughes retaining the ride on his first start for the Donald McCain stable. The gelding can improve now dropped back in trip. French import Activist is one to note in the betting now he switches codes on his debut for a high-profile yard, while any support for Tregele would be noteworthy on his hurdling debut.

IDEALDES VILLERETS has the best form on show and has joined a good stable since last seen, so he's the obvious choice. Tchoupinminzac is a danger based on bumper form and Buxted Too is worthy of interest if strong in the betting.

A fairly good standard of hurdling form is set by IDEALDES VILLERETS, who is selected to make a winning stable debut.


14:55 Ayr Handicap (Class 4) 10f - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Weight Runs Age Comments
1
1st (7) Morning Sun (7.5/1 -50%)
Morning Sun

7.5/1(-50%)
(7) Morning Sun 7.5/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 16/1, first run since leaving Sir Michael Stoute when respectable third of 13 in handicap at Redcar (10f, heavy) 21 days ago. Possibilities if able to build on that.
Encouraging third for new yard at Redcar; few miles on the clock so very much in the mix.
2
2nd (1) First Impression (3.33/1 +26%)
First Impression

3.33/1(+26%)
(1) First Impression 3.33/1, C&D winner. Creditable sixth of 15 in handicap hurdle (18/1) at this course (16f, good) 17 days ago. Fairly useful on the Flat and, though safely held on latest start in this sphere, he's certainly not without hope.
Last at Newcastle but creditable hurdles 6th since; this C&D winner can't be dismissed.
3
3rd (3) Snapius (16/1 -33%)
Snapius

16/1(-33%)
(3) Snapius 16/1, 20/1, below form eleventh of 25 in handicap hurdle at Punchestown (16.2f, good to soft) 11 days ago. Fairly useful on the Flat, winner of a Fairyhouse claimer on latest start in this sphere/final run for Joseph O'Brien last May.
Fair 1m2f winner who also scored over hurdles; this Irish challenger is no forlorn hope.
4
4th (10) Sophiesticate (6.5/1 +68%)
Sophiesticate

6.5/1(+68%)
(10) Sophiesticate 6.5/1, C&D winner. Ninth of 11 in handicap at this C&D (heavy, 20/1). Off 7 months and she's probably worth taking on. Engaged 3.10 Hamilton Sunday.
C&D winner in August; ended 2022 under a cloud; respectable Hamilton 4th on Sunday.
5th
5th (9) Glasses Up (4.5/1 +50%)
Glasses Up

4.5/1(+50%)
(9) Glasses Up 4.5/1, Five-time C&D winner. Twenty-one runs since last win in 2021. Respectable fourth of 14 in handicap at Musselburgh (12.5f, soft, 28/1) 8 days ago. Others make more appeal for win purposes this time.
Fair Musselburgh fourth eight days ago so this five-time C&D winner can't be ruled out.
6th
6th (5) Zahee (12/1 -71%)
Zahee

12/1(-71%)
(5) Zahee 12/1, Unreliable type. 28/1, respectable ninth of 16 in handicap at Limerick (8f, soft) 16 days ago, never nearer. Step back up in trip looks a good move and definite chance for respected Irish yard if he puts his best foot forward.
Not disgraced after 8 months off when ninth at Limerick 16 days ago; unreliable, however.
7th
7th (2) Val Bassett (10/1 +0%)
Val Bassett

10/1(+0%)
(2) Val Bassett 10/1, 12/1, first run since leaving Fabrice Chappet when seventh of 8 in handicap at Ripon (9.8f, soft) on UK debut 18 days ago. Entitled to come on for that run and likely that his respected yard will find the key to him before long.
Fairly useful winner in France; beat only one on yard debut at Ripon though so more needed.
8th
8th (6) Highwaygrey (4/1 -20%)
Highwaygrey

4/1(-20%)
(6) Highwaygrey 4/1, C&D winner. 20/1, good third of 13 in handicap at Haydock (10.2f, good to firm) 9 days ago, not knocked about. Not taken lightly off the same mark.
C&D scorer; promising Haydock 3rd on return; merits serious consideration off same mark.
9th
9th (4) Society Red (12/1 -33%)
Society Red

12/1(-33%)
(4) Society Red 12/1, Cheekpieces on for 1st time, good second of 8 in handicap at Ripon (9.8f, soft, 18/1) 18 days ago, better placed than most. Forecast conditions won't be an issue (fully effective on good/good to firm) and he's one for the shortlist.
Back on track in cheekpieces with Ripon 2nd; needs considering with headgear retained.
LTO Selection:

14:55 Ayr Handicap (Class 4) 10f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

Prediction: 1st - 3.33/1 (6) HIGHWAYGREY 2nd - 9/1 (4) SOCIETY RED 3rd - 5/1 (7) MORNING SUN

Morning Sun was only beaten three lengths into third in a class 5 contest on his first start for the Keith Dalgleish yard and looks to have every chance of taking a step forward to have a say. However, he could be up against it with HIGHWAYGREY, who was a massive eye-catcher last time at Haydock and goes off the same mark. The seven-year-old is only 2lb higher than when scoring over C&D in August last year and he could be the one to beat. Society Red is far from out of it either.

The vote goes to MORNING SUN, who is by far the least exposed of these. The 4-y-o made an encouraging debut for this yard back from 8 months off at Redcar and while conditions were pretty testing that day, he appears to handle good/good to firm judged on what he showed for Sir Michael Stoute in 2022. Busby has yet to strike on turf but he's capable of a bold show, as he proved when going close over C&D last spring, and is feared most ahead of Highwaygrey and Society Red.

There was plenty to like about HIGHWAYGREY (nap)'s eyecatching Haydock third so this C&D scorer gets the vote.


15:05 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 12f - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Weight Runs Age Comments
1
1st (2) Bond Spirit (1.38/1 +45%)
Bond Spirit

1.38/1(+45%)
(2) Bond Spirit 1.38/1, C&D winner. Winner here in January. Creditable third of 8 in handicap at this C&D (2/1) 55 days ago. Another bold bid is on the cards.
C&D winner early in the year; nothing wrong with his latest effort here; leading claims.
2
2nd (5) Blue Hawaii (10/1 -300%)
Blue Hawaii

10/1(-300%)
(5) Blue Hawaii 10/1, Thrice-raced maiden on Flat. 6/1, unseated rider in handicap chase at Bangor (20.3f, good to firm) 16 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Makes Flat handicap debut from a lowly mark.
Three Flat runs came at about 1m and she's potentially well handicapped upped in trip.
3
3rd (3) Pittsburg (3/1 -9%)
Pittsburg

3/1(-9%)
(3) Pittsburg 3/1, Below form sixth of 13 in handicap (9/2) at Bath (11.6f, good to soft) 17 days ago. Better expected returned to the AW.
Three solid efforts here around the turn of the year; should do better back on the AW.
4
4th (4) Foursome (8/1 +27%)
Foursome

8/1(+27%)
(4) Foursome 8/1, Sixth of 8 in handicap at Beverley (12.1f, good to soft, 50/1) 19 days ago. Struggling for form at present.
Nothing in recent efforts to suggest she's ready to take advantage of a career-low mark.
5th
5th (9) Mad Artymaise (18/1 +45%)
Mad Artymaise

18/1(+45%)
(9) Mad Artymaise 18/1, 50/1, fourth of 9 in handicap at this course (11.1f) 20 days ago.
Bit better since a wind op but finished well held here last time; exposed as ordinary.
6th
6th (8) John The Pirate (7.5/1 +32%)
John The Pirate

7.5/1(+32%)
(8) John The Pirate 7.5/1, Ninth of 11 in handicap at Newcastle (12.4f, 16/1) 25 days ago.
Regressed since handicapping; is some way down the pecking order.
7th
7th (7) Easter Sundae (22/1 +45%)
Easter Sundae

22/1(+45%)
(7) Easter Sundae 22/1, 80/1, ninth of 13 in handicap at this course (16.5f) 38 days ago. Back down in trip.
Beaten a long way all starts, latterly under aggressive rides over further round here.
8th
8th (6) Hammy End (16/1 +11%)
Hammy End

16/1(+11%)
(6) Hammy End 16/1, Unreliable type. C&D winner. Ninth of 13 in handicap at Bath (14f, good to soft, 66/1) 17 days ago. Hard to win with.
Inconsistent gelding who has run poorly in two starts this spring for his new yard.
9th
9th (1) Bondi Man (25/1 -56%)
Bondi Man

25/1(-56%)
(1) Bondi Man 25/1, Last of 8 in handicap at Wolverhampton (14f, 22/1) 39 days ago. Bounce back called for.
The handicapper's easing off quickly but it's hard to find any other positives.
LTO Selection:

15:05 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 12f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.

Based on the summary, 2.5/1 (2) BOND SPIRIT seems to have the best chance of finishing well, with a C&D win earlier this year and a creditable third place finish at the same location 55 days ago. 2.5/1 (5) BLUE HAWAII is a potential dark horse with a lowly mark and a significant step up in trip, while 2.75/1 (3) PITTSBURG may also perform better on the AW after three solid efforts earlier in the year. Predicted finish: 1st - 2.5/1 (2) BOND SPIRIT, 2nd - 2.5/1 (5) BLUE HAWAII, 3rd - 2.75/1 (3) PITTSBURG.

With solid recent form thin on the ground, this looks a good time to side with BOND SPIRIT, who has been consistent since winning a classified stakes over C&D in January. He has gone close in three subsequent starts back in handicaps and looks worth sticking with. Mad Artymaise is unexposed on the all-weather and is respected after appearing to appreciate a sterner test of stamina last time. Pittsburg rates best of the rest.

BOND SPIRIT scores plenty of points for consistency and in a race lacking strength in depth, he's comfortably the most persuasive option. Better is expected of Pittsburg returned to the AW and he's the main threat, though it will be interesting to see what Blue Hawaii can do now handicapping.

Pittsburg should be happier back on the AW, but this looks ideal for BOND SPIRIT (nap) as he tries to add to January's C&D win.


15:15 Worcester Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 16f - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Weight Runs Age Comments
1
1st (12) Komedy Kicks (3.5/1 -5%)
Komedy Kicks

3.5/1(-5%)
(12) Komedy Kicks 3.5/1, Fair maiden on the Flat and acquitted herself well in 3 starts over timber for Jessica Harrington. Not in same form, on debut for new yard, at Cheltenham last month but sights lowered now and must enter calculations.
Flat form at 1m4f and close 2nd in Fairyhouse maiden in December; lesser run on yard debut.
2
2nd (10) Myristica (3.5/1 +0%)
Myristica

3.5/1(+0%)
(10) Myristica 3.5/1, Fairly-useful Flat winner who made a solid start for David Pipe when fourth of 15 in handicap at Newbury (10f, heavy) 16 days ago, not knocked about. Must enter calculations on hurdles bow.
Four 1m2f Flat wins for previous yard; creditable debut for this one; hurdle debut.
3
3rd (8) Our Scholar (7.5/1 +6%)
Our Scholar

7.5/1(+6%)
(8) Our Scholar 7.5/1, Fair Flat winner who left his NH debut form well behind when close second of 13 in novice hurdle at Southwell (15.8f, soft, 33/1) 26 days ago. Entitled to build on that.
Winning handicap debut on Flat (1m6f); promising 2nd hurdle run last month; can improve.
4
4th (7) Allihies (14/1 -75%)
Allihies

14/1(-75%)
(7) Allihies 14/1, Fairly useful winner at 7f on Flat who shaped as if in need of the experience when third of 8 in juvenile hurdle at Huntingdon (15.8f, good to soft, 11/4) on NH debut 98 days ago, refusing to settle. Had wind operation since and is worth monitoring in the market.
Fairly useful on Flat in Ireland; modest hurdle debut for new yard; wind op since.
5th
5th (2) Evenwood Sonofagun (1.88/1 +32%)
Evenwood Sonofagun

1.88/1(+32%)
(2) Evenwood Sonofagun 1.88/1, Made the frame on plenty of occasions when trained in Ireland and shaped well on second start for new yard when seventh of 19 in handicap hurdle at Cheltenham (16.4f, good) in November, finishing with running left. Shortlisted.
0-10 over hurdles but shown promise in both starts for new yard (2m, good); thereabouts.
6th
6th (6) Wurlitzer (16/1 +0%)
Wurlitzer

16/1(+0%)
(6) Wurlitzer 16/1, Fair performer on level (winner over 9.5f) and related to useful bumper winner/fairly useful hurdler (stayed 2½m) Gold Award. Market check advised on NH debut here.
Suited by AW/good to firm on Flat; sole win at 1m1f; market can guide now hurdling.
7th
7th (9) Gardons La (80/1 -142%)
Gardons La

80/1(-142%)
(9) Gardons La 80/1, Modest performer in France, last seen when eighth of 10 in juvenile hurdle at Moulins (17.4f, good to soft) 11 months ago. Likely best watched on first start for new connections unless market speaks in her favour.
Minor form in juvenile hurdles in France; from good family; worth a market check.
8th
8th (3) Ruby's Comet (200/1 -33%)
Ruby's Comet

200/1(-33%)
(3) Ruby's Comet 200/1, Half-brother to 3 winners but didn't offer much in a couple of bumpers and is best watched on hurdles debut.
100-1 for both bumpers, finishing out the back each time; one to watch now hurdling.
|PU|
|PU| (4) Seaforth Mancy (8/1 +43%)
Seaforth Mancy

8/1(+43%)
(4) Seaforth Mancy 8/1, Point winner last year and made the frame in first 3 starts over longer trips for current yard. Shaped as if amiss when last seen in October, though, and something to prove now.
Won point in Ireland; showed 2m hurdle promise there; bled from the nose in October.
LTO Selection:

15:15 Worcester Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 16f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

Based on the summary, the horses that are most likely to finish in the top 3 are: 1) 8/1 (8) OUR SCHOLAR - has shown promise in both flat and hurdle races and is expected to improve. 2) 3.33/1 (12) KOMEDY KICKS - although not in the same form in recent races, has strong flat form and has performed well over timber. 3) 8/1 (7) ALLIHIES - has shown some promise in her hurdle debut and has had a wind operation since. Market check advised. It is important to note that horse racing is unpredictable and unexpected outcomes can occur.

KOMEDY KICKS has her sights considerably lowered after being pitched in a Listed race at Doncaster in January, where she posted a game effort and was in the process of rallying until she fell two out. She also faced a stiff task in a premier handicap at Cheltenham last month and may not have appreciated being tried in a hood that day. Now back in cheekpieces, she is dangerous to underestimate getting weight from the rest. Myristica was useful on the Flat and makes considerable appeal, while Evenwood Sonofagun is also considered.

Preference is for OUR SCHOLAR, who failed only narrowly to break his maiden tag at Southwell last month and remains low mileage. Evenwood Sonofagun looks sure to go well on his return to action, whilst Myristica is the pick of the hurdling debutants.

Our Scholar can improve further over hurdles but EVENWOOD SONOFAGUN is taken to confirm his autumn promise at Cheltenham.


15:30 Ayr Maiden (Class 5) 8f - 7 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Weight Runs Age Comments
1
1st (2) Abu Royal (1/1 +9%)
Abu Royal

1/1(+9%)
(2) Abu Royal 1/1, Promising sort. 11/1, second of 9 in novice at Thirsk (1m, heavy) 16 days ago, clear of rest. Likely capable of better again and hard to beat.
2
2nd (4) Golden Move (3/1 +45%)
Golden Move

3/1(+45%)
(4) Golden Move 3/1, 80/1, green when sixth of 8 in novice at Leicester (7f, good) on debut last autumn. Should stay 1m.
3
3rd (5) Iron Lion (7.5/1 +12%)
Iron Lion

7.5/1(+12%)
(5) Iron Lion 7.5/1, By Roaring Lion and out of a winning half-sister to some smart performers. Makes paper appeal and one to note in the betting.
4
4th (6) Mount King (10/1 -33%)
Mount King

10/1(-33%)
(6) Mount King 10/1, Fair form. First run since leaving Joseph O'Brien when respectable second of 6 in novice at Beverley (8.5f, good to soft, 10/1) 19 days ago. May come on for that and is one to note.
5th
5th (3) Eagle Day (5/1 -82%)
Eagle Day

5/1(-82%)
(3) Eagle Day 5/1, Twice-raced colt. 3/1, third of 14 in maiden at Southwell (7f) 74 days ago. Should have more to offer now stepping up to 1m.
6th
6th (1) The Caltonian (150/1 -127%)
The Caltonian

150/1(-127%)
(1) The Caltonian 150/1, Swiss Spirit gelding. Dam, maiden (stayed 9f), out of Australian/New Zealand winner Zola, won Group 1 2-y-o 6f event. Makes a belated debut.
7th
7th (7) Mrs Happy (150/1 -50%)
Mrs Happy

150/1(-50%)
(7) Mrs Happy 150/1, 40/1, fifth of 6 in maiden at this course (7f, good to firm, 40/1) on debut 4 days ago. Can only watch.
LTO Selection:

15:30 Ayr Maiden (Class 5) 8f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

1.1/1 (2) ABU ROYAL is likely to do well and is hard to beat. The horses that will finish in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd cannot be accurately predicted based on the information given.

ABU ROYAL makes plenty of appeal for an in-form yard as he really stepped forward on his all-weather debut at Kempton when switched to the turf at Thirsk for his second start. Headed close home over this trip on soft ground that day, it is thought this sounder surface might eke out some improvement and he may not be for catching this time. Iron Lion is the pick of the newcomers judged on his eye-catching pedigree, while Eagle Day boasts a similar profile to the selection and is also noted.

ABU ROYAL showed plenty of promise when only narrowly denied at Thirsk last month and can strike at the third time of asking. Eagle Day should have more to offer on the back of his Southwell third and can provide the chief threat ahead of Mount King.

Having stepped up markedly on his debut run when a clear second over this trip at Thirsk last time ABU ROYAL looks the one to beat.


15:40 Southwell Handicap (Class 4) 16f - 5 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Weight Runs Age Comments
1
1st (2) Dubai Jeanius (1/1 +64%)
Dubai Jeanius

1/1(+64%)
(2) Dubai Jeanius 1/1, 5-time course winner. 5 wins from 7 runs this year. Respectable sixth of 12 in handicap (17/2) at this course (8.1f) 32 days ago, inadequate test. Significantly back up in trip. Others preferred.
Ran up a five-timer here early in the year; needs to settle going right back up in trip.
2
2nd (1) Seal Of Solomon (3/1 -117%)
Seal Of Solomon

3/1(-117%)
(1) Seal Of Solomon 3/1, Back from 6 months off when winning 8-runner handicap at Chelmsford City (14f) 11 days ago. 8 lb higher now but may have more to offer over this sort of trip.
8lb rise will test him but could yet be capable of better over staying distances.
3
3rd (4) Daniel Deronda (6/1 +40%)
Daniel Deronda

6/1(+40%)
(4) Daniel Deronda 6/1, Thirteen runs since last win in 2021. Sixth of 7 in handicap (8/1) at Chelmsford City (14f) 4 days ago. Others preferred.
Hasn't shone in two runs back on the Flat; second-time blinkers replace the cheekpieces.
4
4th (3) Mukha Magic (6.5/1 -86%)
Mukha Magic

6.5/1(-86%)
(3) Mukha Magic 6.5/1, Course winner. Latest win at Lingfield in January. Respectable fourth of 11 in handicap at this course (14.1f, 6/1) 38 days ago. Back to a potentially lenient mark.
Has enjoyed a productive last 12 months, winning six; record on Tapeta is patchy (0-16).
5th
5th (5) Kitten's Dream (12/1 -20%)
Kitten's Dream

12/1(-20%)
(5) Kitten's Dream 12/1, Unreliable type. C&D winner. Creditable second of 11 in handicap (10/1) at Wolverhampton (16.6f) 5 days ago. Claims if in same form again. 1 lb out of the weights.
Bounced back to form from the front last week; is a dual course winner and respected.
LTO Selection:

15:40 Southwell Handicap (Class 4) 16f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

Based on the summary, the horse that is most likely to do well and potentially win is 1.38/1 (1) SEAL OF SOLOMON, followed by 10/1 (5) KITTEN'S DREAM and 3.5/1 (3) MUKHA MAGIC in second and third place respectively. 2.75/1 (2) DUBAI JEANIUS is not expected to perform as well due to the change in distance and is not mentioned as a top contender.

SEAL OF SOLOMON goes from strength to strength for Ed Dunlop and won as he pleased last time out at Chelmsford despite a slow start. Upped 8lb in the handicap for that, he will need to improve again, but as that was his first start in six months he may do just that. Kitten's Dream has won here twice suggesting he may get involved, leaving C&D winner Dubai Jeanius to chase them home.

SEAL OF SOLOMON remains unexposed over staying trips and can follow up his recent Chelmsford City victory here. Kitten's Dream may give him most to think about.

Dubai Jeanius will need to settle better and the vote goes to the progressive SEAL OF SOLOMON, who remains unexposed as a stayer.


15:50 Worcester Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 23f - 12 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Weight Runs Age Comments
1
1st (6) Judicial Law (6.5/1 +59%)
Judicial Law

6.5/1(+59%)
(6) Judicial Law 6.5/1, Now 1 lb below last winning mark but operating some way below his best since returning from a break in September.
Out of form on all three appearances last season and needs to turn things around.
2
2nd (4) Come On Gruff (5/1 +38%)
Come On Gruff

5/1(+38%)
(4) Come On Gruff 5/1, Bettered his rather underwhelming reappearance when a close third in a 10-runner Kempton handicap (24.5f. soft) in November. By no means disgraced on first start since when third at Exeter last month but remains 6 lb above last winning mark and could do with the ground easing.
Low-mileage 7yo; placed on two of three starts last season; probably won't be far away.
3
3rd (5) Benign Dictator (8.5/1 +47%)
Benign Dictator

8.5/1(+47%)
(5) Benign Dictator 8.5/1, Bumper winner who improved on previous hurdling efforts in first-time cheekpieces when landing a novice at Uttoxeter in February. Little impact next 2 starts, latterly off 2 lb higher on handicap bow at Ffos Las, and others look stronger.
Opened account in first-time cheekpieces in February but not in same form since.
4
4th (10) Peace Of Rome (22/1 -83%)
Peace Of Rome

22/1(-83%)
(10) Peace Of Rome 22/1, Fair in bumpers and some positives to glean from hurdles debut third at Plumpton in December. However, proved disappointing on handicap bow in a first-time tongue strap (retained) at Fontwell (21.8f, good) last time and needs to raise his game now upped in trip.
Flopped badly on handicap debut but is with a top stable and remains unexposed.
5th
5th (3) Crossing The Bar (7/1 -8%)
Crossing The Bar

7/1(-8%)
(3) Crossing The Bar 7/1, Successful twice over 25f at Plumpton this year, including when denying Ramo the hat-trick 15 days ago. That was on soft ground but also a winner on good and definite chance up 4 lb for last year's winning yard.
Won twice at Plumpton towards end of last season and latest 4lb rise looks manageable.
6th
6th (8) Czech Her Out (8.5/1 -113%)
Czech Her Out

8.5/1(-113%)
(8) Czech Her Out 8.5/1, Right back to form when notching second success over this C&D in August. Followed up under another exaggerated waiting ride on return at Southwell (24.3f, soft) last month and another bold show likely, despite a further 4 lb rise in the weights.
33-1 C&D winner last summer and returned from layoff with another big-price win last month.
7th
7th (12) Itacare (7/1 +61%)
Itacare

7/1(+61%)
(12) Itacare 7/1, Scored off this mark at Ludlow last spring and he was a good third off 9 lb higher over this C&D in June 2022. Below par since but he would be a major player if back to something like his best following another wind op.
Placed off 9lb higher over C&D last summer; out of form when last seen in the winter.
8th
8th (7) Motion In Limine (18/1 -29%)
Motion In Limine

18/1(-29%)
(7) Motion In Limine 18/1, Registered first success present yard in 3m handicap hurdle at Southwell last summer. However, didn't put up much of a fight over this C&D when last seen in September and the percentage call is to look elsewhere.
Won at Southwell last June; absent since dropping out very tamely over C&D in September.
9th
9th (2) Umndeni (14/1 -75%)
Umndeni

14/1(-75%)
(2) Umndeni 14/1, Won off 2 lb higher mark at Newton Abbot in August 2021 and stepped up on low-key reappearance in February (first run for 15 months) when fifth of 11 at Newbury (20.5f, good to firm). Moving back up in trip looks a good move and he's not without hope.
Took big step back in right direction when fifth last time; well handicapped on old form.
10th
10th (11) Ebony Gale (66/1 -136%)
Ebony Gale

66/1(-136%)
(11) Ebony Gale 66/1, Won 4 handicaps over fences (at up to 24.3f) for Philip Hobbs in 2021 but ran no sort of a race on debut for new yard at Ffos Las recently. While he can be expected to come on for that run, he now has a bit to prove back over hurdles.
Showed no promise in a chase on recent stable debut; first hurdle run since 2019 today.
|PU|
|PU| (9) Ballycamus (3.5/1 +0%)
Ballycamus

3.5/1(+0%)
(9) Ballycamus 3.5/1, Scored on handicap debut at Hereford last spring and doubled his tally at Newbury (24.2f, soft) in March, seeming to relish the emphasis on stamina back up in trip. Subsequently chased home a rapid improver at Ludlow and he's one to consider.
Ended last season in good form and won't mind what the weather does.
|PU|
|PU| (1) Yes No Maybe So (28/1 -75%)
Yes No Maybe So

28/1(-75%)
(1) Yes No Maybe So 28/1, Won 4 handicap hurdles in 2020 and returned to form when runner-up at Ffos Las in January. However, well held both subsequent starts, latterly in Plumpton race won by Crossing The Bar, and hopes pinned on the first-time visor sparking an upturn.
Comes here after two disappointing runs and needs a boost from today's headgear switch.
LTO Selection:

15:50 Worcester Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 23f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

1st: 6.5/1 (3) CROSSING THE BAR 2nd: 4/1 (8) CZECH HER OUT 3rd: 8/1 (2) UMNDENI

CZECH HER OUT once more defied market expectations when winning on her seasonal debut at Southwell last month and a third C&D success could be on the horizon off only 4lb higher. Yes No Maybe So hasn't proved the most consistent of late, but Tom Lacey's gelding could benefit from a first-time visor and is feared most. Ballycamus has put together a string of good efforts and is likely to be on the premises once again.

While ITACARE has failed to fire on each of his last 4 starts, it's worth noting that he bounced back with a win (off this mark) following a similarly barren spell on the back of a wind op at Ludlow last spring. He has undergone another round of surgery since his latest appearance at Exeter in February and could be worth chancing at a course where he performed well on his sole previous visit. The hat-trick seeking Czech Her Out has to be feared, along with Crossing The Bar and Ballycamus.

The vote goes to BALLYCAMUS, who looked good at Newbury two starts ago and bumped into an improver at Ludlow last time.


16:05 Ayr Handicap (Class 5) 6f - 5 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Weight Runs Age Comments
1
1st (4) Little Muddy (2.5/1 +25%)
Little Muddy

2.5/1(+25%)
(4) Little Muddy 2.5/1, C&D winner who added to tally on reappearance at Doncaster (5f, heavy) in April. Creditable second of 12 over 6f there since. Likely to give another good account.
C&D winner; has run two good races this year (5f, 6f, soft) and should go well again.
2
2nd (2) Black Friday (3.5/1 +22%)
Black Friday

3.5/1(+22%)
(2) Black Friday 3.5/1, Three-time C&D winner. Fourteen runs since last win in 2021. Good second (Rock Melody fourth) on Musselburgh reappearance and lost his chance with a slow start at Wetherby since. Capable of bouncing back if breaking on terms.
Not won since 2021; good second on reappearance (missed the break last time); a possible.
3
3rd (5) Gannon Glory (4/1 +0%)
Gannon Glory

4/1(+0%)
(5) Gannon Glory 4/1, Bit below form sixth of 10 in handicap at Pontefract (5f, good to soft, 6/1) 14 days ago.
5f novice winner last year; mixed efforts over 5f and 6f since (below form last twice).
4
4th (3) Be Proud (12/1 +14%)
Be Proud

12/1(+14%)
(3) Be Proud 12/1, Course winner. Fourteen runs since last win in 2022. First run for 6 months and watching brief is the percentage call.
All wins have been over 5f; lacks a recent run and looks the Goldie second string.
5th
5th (1) Rock Melody (2.25/1 -50%)
Rock Melody

2.25/1(-50%)
(1) Rock Melody 2.25/1, Solid start for this yard when reaching the frame in big-field 5f handicaps at Musselburgh last month, nearest at the finish both times. Can come good now returning to 6f.
12,000gns purchase; two decent runs over 5f this year; step up to 6f should suit; player.
LTO Selection:

16:05 Ayr Handicap (Class 5) 6f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

Based on the summary, the horses that are most likely to finish in the top three are 3.33/1 (4) LITTLE MUDDY, 1.5/1 (1) ROCK MELODY, and possibly 4.5/1 (2) BLACK FRIDAY. 3.33/1 (4) LITTLE MUDDY is a C&D winner who has run two good races this year and is likely to give another good account. 1.5/1 (1) ROCK MELODY has had two decent runs over 5f this year and may come good when returning to 6f. 4.5/1 (2) BLACK FRIDAY is a three-time C&D winner who was a good second on reappearance and is capable of bouncing back if breaking on terms. However, it is important to note that all predictions are based on past performance and that horse racing can be unpredictable.

Stablemates Rock Melody and Be Proud both offer strong appeal at the weights and are likely to be key players today. Of the two, the former is marginally preferred over this trip and is likely to be thereabouts running off 4lb lower than her last winning mark. However, LITTLE MUDDY, a C&D winner last July, has returned with a vengeance this season and she could be hard to repel in her bid to extend the run of good form. Three-time course winner Black Friday looks the obvious pace angle and is also feared.

The way in which ROCK MELODY has finished off to really good effect in a couple of 5f Musselburgh handicaps suggests she can get her head in front now stepping back up to 6f. Black Friday was ahead of the selection in second in one of those races and is feared most.

This could turn out to be a muddling race and BLACK FRIDAY, who can be ridden prominently may be the one to benefit.


16:15 Southwell Stakes (Class 5) 8f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Weight Runs Age Comments
1
1st (2) Marksman Queen (2/1 -6%)
Marksman Queen

2/1(-6%)
(2) Marksman Queen 2/1, Promising individual. Won 14-runner minor event at Kempton (8f, 16/1) on debut in November. Should be more to come and holds leading claims.
Came away with two others on her Kempton debut last autumn; sets the standard.
2
2nd (4) Lil' Frank (5.5/1 -38%)
Lil' Frank

5.5/1(-38%)
(4) Lil' Frank 5.5/1, Frankel colt who showed fairly-useful form first time up when third in Doncaster minor event (7f). Not seen to best effect at Chelmsford the following month and remains open to improvement.
Two expensive defeats last summer but retains potential having since been gelded.
3
3rd (6) Tribute (16/1 +0%)
Tribute

16/1(+0%)
(6) Tribute 16/1, Once-raced maiden. 12/1, seventh of 8 in maiden at Newmarket (8f, good to soft) on debut 18 days ago. Improvement required.
Beaten some way on his Newmarket debut; needs a decent step forward from that.
4
4th (7) Purple Lady (80/1 -142%)
Purple Lady

80/1(-142%)
(7) Purple Lady 80/1, Once-raced maiden. Sixth of 8 in maiden at Lingfield (7f, good, 3/1) on debut. Off 11 months. Open to improvement.
Below market expectations on her debut and has been absent since; the market will help.
5th
5th (3) Elraaed (1.1/1 +12%)
Elraaed

1.1/1(+12%)
(3) Elraaed 1.1/1, Once-raced maiden. 5/2, fifth of 11 in maiden at Ffos Las (7.4f, heavy) on debut, not knocked about. Off 9 months. Should have more to offer.
Among the favourites for his debut last summer and is almost certainly capable of better.
6th
6th (8) Rajawail (250/1 -67%)
Rajawail

250/1(-67%)
(8) Rajawail 250/1, £1,000 yearling, Rajasinghe filly. Dam maiden (stayed 1¼m). Wears tongue strap. Likely longer-term project.
Dam has produced a couple of poor maidens for this yard; best watched.
7th
7th (1) The Grey Bandit (250/1 +0%)
The Grey Bandit

250/1(+0%)
(1) The Grey Bandit 250/1, Twice-raced maiden on Flat. 250/1, last of 6 in maiden at Yarmouth (10.1f, good), slowly away. Off 21 months. Down in trip. Best watched.
Three poor efforts, including in a bumper, in 2021.
8th
8th (5) Savvy Brilliance (8.5/1 +47%)
Savvy Brilliance

8.5/1(+47%)
(5) Savvy Brilliance 8.5/1, Twice-raced maiden. Fifth of 12 in minor event (10/1) at Kempton (7f). Off 161 days. Each-way claims.
Handicaps are likely next on the agenda; interesting to see how he goes in the market.
LTO Selection:

16:15 Southwell Stakes (Class 5) 8f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

1st: 1.88/1 (2) MARKSMAN QUEEN 2nd: 1.25/1 (3) ELRAAED 3rd: 4/1 (4) LIL' FRANK

Marksman Queen is the only previous winner in this field after scoring by a head at Kempton last November, but the form of that race isn't working out that well and she has a 7lb penalty. LIL' FRANK has been a beaten favourite on both his starts and has been gelded since his Chelmsford fourth. He has always been expected to make up into a better three-year-old and he gets the nod, though Dubawi colt Elraaed looks the part on paper and may yet be the surprise package.

MARKSMAN QUEEN sets the standard on her Kempton debut victory and likely has more to offer this year. She can land the spoils. Lil' Frank and Elraaed look the obvious dangers.

Marksman Queen may find the concession of a penalty too much, with ELRAAED most interesting against her.


16:20 Worcester Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 20f - 6 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Weight Runs Age Comments
1
1st (3) Doughmore Bay (3.33/1 +63%)
Doughmore Bay

3.33/1(+63%)
(3) Doughmore Bay 3.33/1, €8,500 3-y-o, £90,000 4-y-o, Milan gelding. Dam (h104), bumper winner, closely related to useful hurdler/smart chaser (stayed 21f) Tully East. Every chance when fell 2 out sole start in Irish points (Nov 2022).
Held every chance when falling two out in Irish point; worth market check on hurdle debut.
2
2nd (5) Ikarak (6/1 -300%)
Ikarak

6/1(-300%)
(5) Ikarak 6/1, Fairly useful form in France (winning chaser). Jumped erratically when failing to beat his sole rival in a handicap at Fontwell on British/stable debut but sets the standard and should take the beating back over hurdles.
Won 2 chases in France (2m2f/2m6f); good 2nd in Fontwell chase in April; now back hurdling.
3
3rd (1) Everyonesgame (0.67/1 +59%)
Everyonesgame

0.67/1(+59%)
(1) Everyonesgame 0.67/1, Fairly useful bumper winner who opened his account over hurdles in a novice at Hereford last month. May do better still and should go well under a penalty.
Not disgraced in warm 2m4f Newbury novice; easy Hereford win in April; good chance.
4
4th (2) Astigar (7/1 -40%)
Astigar

7/1(-40%)
(2) Astigar 7/1, Fair hurdler who took a firm step back in the right direction when third in a handicap at Wincanton a couple of months ago. Should be on the premises.
Hurdle career gone back and forth; had two wind ops, latest after return to form in March.
|PU|
|PU| (7) Archie Macdart (80/1 -142%)
Archie Macdart

80/1(-142%)
(7) Archie Macdart 80/1, Hasn't shown enough in 4 starts to warrant interest.
In the frame in novice hurdles on last 2 starts but this is another tough task.
|PU|
|PU| (4) Garcon Dargent (150/1 +0%)
Garcon Dargent

150/1(+0%)
(4) Garcon Dargent 150/1, Successful twice between the flags but yet to offer any encouragement under Rules. Set for another struggle.
Won 2 Irish points but pulled up twice and beaten a long way in 3 hurdles since.
LTO Selection:

16:20 Worcester Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 20f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

1st: 1.5/1 (5) IKARAK 2nd: 5/1 (2) ASTIGAR 3rd: 1.63/1 (1) EVERYONESGAME

IKARAK wasn't disgraced when finishing under a length behind the progressive Hell Red on his British debut for Milton Harris at Fontwell recently and these brush hurdles may be more to his liking than the fences on that occasion. Everyonesgame arrives at the top of his game judged on his first success in a maiden hurdle at Hereford last month and the six-year-old isn't taken lightly, despite shouldering a 7lb penalty here. Astigar is a potential improver having undergone a wind procedure in March and completes the shortlist.

IKARAK wasn't disgraced on his British debut and the return to hurdling should help, so he's preferred to last-time-out winner Everyonesgame, who might have more to offer. Astigar is another one to consider.

Ikarak comes into it on his chase form but EVERYONESGAME was an untroubled winner at Hereford and is capable of better.


16:35 Ayr Handicap (Class 5) 7f - 6 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Weight Runs Age Comments
(1) Tellus (1.2/1 +56%)
Tellus

1.2/1(+56%)
(1) Tellus 1.2/1, Stepped up on her juvenile form to make a winning reappearance in novice at Pontefract (6f, good to soft) 14 days ago. Back up in trip. Makes handicap debut.
Has decent form at 7f but her win last time was over 6f (second has won since); chance.
(5) Royal Cay (3/1 +10%)
Royal Cay

3/1(+10%)
(5) Royal Cay 3/1, Career best when winning 12-runner handicap at Beverley (7.5f, good to soft) 19 days ago. 4 lb rise looks fair. Should go well again.
Improved form to win at Beverley last time (7.5f); this easier 7f may not be ideal.
(2) Rock Of England (3.33/1 -48%)
Rock Of England

3.33/1(-48%)
(2) Rock Of England 3.33/1, Promising type. Shaped as if better for the run when promising fifth of 14 in handicap at Haydock (1m, good to firm, 9/2) on reappearance 9 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Open to improvement. Leading claims.
May not have stayed 1m latest; chance, but forecast rain and reapplied headgear a concern.
(4) Kelpie Grey (14/1 +44%)
Kelpie Grey

14/1(+44%)
(4) Kelpie Grey 14/1, First run since leaving Declan Carroll when eighth of 10 in handicap at Musselburgh (5f, soft, 28/1) on reappearance 8 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Something to find on form.
All runs have been over 5f, but two half-brothers won over 7f, so longer trip may suit.
(6) Sunfyre (14/1 -56%)
Sunfyre

14/1(-56%)
(6) Sunfyre 14/1, Three runs at up to 1m on Newcastle's AW over the winter. Switches to turf for handicap debut after 116 days off. Betting should help guide to expectations.
Pulled hard when third on AW in January; h'cap debut and first run on turf; bit to prove.
(3) Camusdarach (28/1 -367%)
Camusdarach

28/1(-367%)
(3) Camusdarach 28/1, Fair form at 2 but dropped away tamely when remote fourth of 5 in handicap at Newcastle (1m) on reappearance 35 days ago. Drops back in trip now.
Not looked easy; pulled too hard on reappearance but chance on his last two runs in 2022.
LTO Selection:

16:35 Ayr Handicap (Class 5) 7f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

Based on the summary, it seems like 3.33/1 (5) ROYAL CAY and 2.25/1 (2) ROCK OF ENGLAND have the strongest potential to finish in the top 3. 3.33/1 (5) ROYAL CAY has improved form and a fair 4 lb rise, and 2.25/1 (2) ROCK OF ENGLAND is a promising type who is open to improvement and has leading claims. As for the third spot, it is a bit more uncertain, but 2.75/1 (1) TELLUS could have a chance based on her decent form at 7f.

Royal Cay powered home to get off the mark at Beverley last month and has strong claims on that form, but a 4lb rise and slight drop in trip are against him and he may have to play second fiddle to TELLUS. John Quinn's filly also opened her account last time, in a 6f novice event at Pontefract, and looks feasibly treated off 75 now switched to a handicap with the step up in distance a possible source of improvement. Camusdarach only weakened late on over 1m at Newcastle latest and the Charlie Johnston-trained gelding is interesting now returned to 7f.

ROCK OF ENGLAND gets the vote on the back of a promising reappearance effort at Haydock. A 4 lb rise for Royal Cay's latest Beverley success doesn't look too severe and he can give Ed Bethell's charge most to think about.

In a tricky race 6f winner TELLUS, who has run well over 7f, is taken to beat Kelpie Grey and Beverley winner Royal Cay.


16:40 Windsor Handicap (Class 5) 6f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Weight Runs Age Comments
(3) Wadi Bani (2.5/1 +58%)
Wadi Bani

2.5/1(+58%)
(3) Wadi Bani 2.5/1, Improved back sprinting following a 5-month break when third at Chelmsford (6f) in March. However, beat just the one rival home in an 8-runner Kempton handicap since (first run since being gelded) and needs to get back on track here.
Seven-race maiden who has bit to prove again and needs to resume his progress back on turf.
(4) Destiny's Spirit (4.5/1 -29%)
Destiny's Spirit

4.5/1(-29%)
(4) Destiny's Spirit 4.5/1, Progressed well in nurseries last year, winning 3 of last 4 starts (all 5f). Shaped as though well worth another try at this trip when fourth on return at Nottingham (soft) and she's one of the more appealing candidates.
Three wins last season and she could kick on again this term; dangerous back up in trip.
(8) Twayblade (5/1 -11%)
Twayblade

5/1(-11%)
(8) Twayblade 5/1, Improved when justifying market confidence in a 7-runner Yarmouth handicap (6f, heavy) last month, making all. Things didn't go so smoothly at Chelmsford recently but he will have a chance if breaking smartly this time.
Won at Yarmouth win on penultimate run and has claims if he can get back in the groove.
(5) Hiatus (5/1 +17%)
Hiatus

5/1(+17%)
(5) Hiatus 5/1, Belatedly opened his account when narrowly outpointing Confederation at Kempton (6f) in January. Perhaps a shade fortunate that day (looked booked for second before the eventual runner-up idled close home) but well worth a second look back on turf nonetheless.
Still unexposed on turf but overall record stands at 1-15 and others are more persuasive.
(1) Confederation (7/1 -27%)
Confederation

7/1(-27%)
(1) Confederation 7/1, Brighton maiden winner for John Butler on final 2-y-o start and posted best effort for present yard when touched off by Hiatus at Kempton (6f) in January. Rather snatched defeat from the jaws of victory by idling once hitting the front that day, and more needed back up 2 lb.
Went close at Kempton (6f) in January and has claims if he can pick up where he left off.
(7) Lynwood Lad (10/1 -54%)
Lynwood Lad

10/1(-54%)
(7) Lynwood Lad 10/1, Has shown ability in a trio of novice events over 6f/7f at Kempton this year and appeals as the type to make more of an impact now switched to handicap company off a realistic opening mark. Not discounted.
Unexposed handicap newcomer and he needs watching in market on this switch to turf.
(2) On The Pulse (12/1 +33%)
On The Pulse

12/1(+33%)
(2) On The Pulse 12/1, Dual winner at 2 yrs but ended that campaign on a downer and started this one with a heavy defeat at Nottingham (8.3f, heavy) last month. Drop back in trip/forecast better ground here should help but she's opposable all the same.
Two wins last summer but she's struggled in her last two runs and needs a major revival.
(6) Alpine Girl (18/1 -227%)
Alpine Girl

18/1(-227%)
(6) Alpine Girl 18/1, Appeared to take a step forward when fourth of 11 in 6f Yarmouth novice in September. Poor effort on nursery debut over the same C&D the following month but she represents a respected, in-form yard and is probably worth another chance.
In good hands and still early days but she needs improvement back from 202 days off.
LTO Selection:

16:40 Windsor Handicap (Class 5) 6f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

1st - 3.5/1 (4) DESTINY'S SPIRIT 2nd - 6.5/1 (7) LYNWOOD LAD 3rd - 4.5/1 (8) TWAYBLADE

CONFEDERATION posted an improved effort when runner-up over this distance of 6f at Kempton in January and he could take some stopping now returned to the turf off only 2lb higher. Destiny's Spirit was a progressive sort last season and she may have needed her seasonal debut when finishing fourth at Nottingham last month. Dominic Ffrench Davis' filly is feared most, ahead of Twayblade, who should appreciate this switch from the all-weather.

The vote goes to DESTINY'S SPIRIT, who progressed nicely during the second half of her 2-y-o campaign and there wasn't a great deal wrong with her reappearance fourth at Nottingham where she was beaten by three in-form, race-fit rivals. Though disappointing in a Yarmouth nursery when last seen, Alpine Girl can be given another chance and she is next on the list ahead of handicap debutant Lynwood Lad.

It might be worth siding with TWAYBLADE, who made all at Yarmouth last month and could resume his progress on this switch back to turf.


16:45 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 7f - 10 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Weight Runs Age Comments
(5) Wildfell (0.91/1 +39%)
Wildfell

0.91/1(+39%)
(5) Wildfell 0.91/1, Career best when winning 12-runner handicap at Kempton (7f, 6/5) 21 days ago by 1½ lengths from Ticket To Alaska. Makes tapeta debut and the hat-trick may well be on the cards.
Twice won easily on Polytrack this spring; handicapper may well still be playing catch-up.
(4) Mr Gloverman (6.5/1 +19%)
Mr Gloverman

6.5/1(+19%)
(4) Mr Gloverman 6.5/1, Respectable fifth of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f, 7/2) 39 days ago, left poorly placed. Likely to improve.
Things didn't fall his way last time; too soon to write him off for a trainer in good form.
(1) South Dakota Sioux (7/1 -56%)
South Dakota Sioux

7/1(-56%)
(1) South Dakota Sioux 7/1, 7/2, career best when winning 8-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 6 days ago, overcoming positional bias. Carries penalty but can be a factor again.
Got it together back in the hood last Tuesday; is only 4lb higher under the penalty.
(8) Ticket To Alaska (7/1 +7%)
Ticket To Alaska

7/1(+7%)
(8) Ticket To Alaska 7/1, 5/2, good 1½ lengths second of 12 to Wildfell in handicap at Kempton (7f) 21 days ago, no match for winner. Makes tapeta and wide draw to deal with but he's still considered.
Only one backed against Wildfell on his comeback; is at least entitled to close the gap.
(7) All Dunn (8.5/1 +0%)
All Dunn

8.5/1(+0%)
(7) All Dunn 8.5/1, C&D winner. 3 wins from 6 runs this year. Latest win at Lingfield in February. 3/1, creditable fourth of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 65 days ago.
Has to prove this mark within range following two expensive defeats (pulled hard latest).
(3) Aurora Glory (12/1 -118%)
Aurora Glory

12/1(-118%)
(3) Aurora Glory 12/1, 8/1, sixth of 9 in handicap at Catterick (6f, heavy) 26 days ago, not clear run. Makes tapeta debut. Should improve.
Better since handicapping; is one of the more interesting runners on her AW debut.
(2) Victory House (16/1 -33%)
Victory House

16/1(-33%)
(2) Victory House 16/1, Creditable third of 6 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f, 6/1) 13 days ago, needing stronger gallop. Others more persuasive.
Up to winning at this level when things fall right but there are risks involved.
(10) Skyblue Expert (66/1 -65%)
Skyblue Expert

66/1(-65%)
(10) Skyblue Expert 66/1, Ninth of 10 in handicap (18/1) at this course (8.1f) 24 days ago. Cheekpieces back on.
Has been running poorly over further since returning from a short break; fully exposed.
(9) Rhea Of The Year (66/1 -32%)
Rhea Of The Year

66/1(-32%)
(9) Rhea Of The Year 66/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 14/1, sixth of 9 in handicap at Windsor (8.1f, heavy) 14 days ago. Makes tapeta debut. Very hard to make a case for.
Didn't see out 8.1f on heavy ground on her comeback; is still to get involved in a finish.
(6) Native Melody (80/1 -60%)
Native Melody

80/1(-60%)
(6) Native Melody 80/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Last of 10 in handicap (50/1) at Yarmouth (8f, heavy) 23 days ago. Makes tapeta debut. Cheekpieces need to spark her into life.
Poor handicap debut when tailed off on soft ground three weeks ago; headgear goes on.
LTO Selection:

16:45 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 7f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.

Prediction: 1.5/1 (5) WILDFELL is likely to do well and has a good chance of winning the race, followed by 7.5/1 (8) TICKET TO ALASKA in second place and 4.5/1 (1) SOUTH DAKOTA SIOUX in third.

Native Melody ran a shocker last time out when last on soft ground at Yarmouth, but connections try first-time cheekpieces here and, with her best run a debut third at Chelmsford, a return to the all-weather makes sense. She may prove the biggest danger to hat-trick seeker WILDFELL, the winner of both starts since a gelding operation. An added 6lb may not be enough to stop a third victory, though both Ticket To Alaska and All Dunn could also get involved.

WILDFELL has made a superb start to life with Peter Chapple-Hyam, looking more straightforward to boot when winning again 3 weeks ago and the hat-trick may well be forthcoming. South Dakota Sioux is effectively up only 4 lb for last week's Wolverhampton win and he's a definite threat, along with Ticket To Alaska.

This revolves around WILDFELL, who again had something in hand when beating Ticket To Alaska on 5lb better terms last time.


16:50 Worcester Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 20f - 10 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Weight Runs Age Comments
(9) Boom Boom (4/1 -60%)
Boom Boom

4/1(-60%)
(9) Boom Boom 4/1, Paced both outings in bumpers but below that level on his first 2 starts over hurdles in 2022/23. However, much more like it when winning maiden at Wincanton (15.2f) last month and can do better again back up in trip for his handicap debut.
Fell two starts ago; convincing minor winner over 1m7f latest; should progress.
(12) Almost Gotaway (4/1 +38%)
Almost Gotaway

4/1(+38%)
(12) Almost Gotaway 4/1, Most progressive in handicaps last term, again showing a likeable attitude when making it 3 wins from his last 4 starts with success at Taunton (2m3f) in February. Can give another good account.
Won last 3 starts on officially good ground; off since February; not want rain.
(4) Samtara (5/1 -67%)
Samtara

5/1(-67%)
(4) Samtara 5/1, Belatedly off the mark in handicap hurdle at Hereford (19.7f) in March and backed that up with a good second at Cheltenham (16.8f) 19 days ago, sticking to task. Respected as he drops back down in grade.
Off the mark at Hereford (2m3f); good 2nd in higher grade since; still on handy mark.
(8) Sambezi (5.5/1 +27%)
Sambezi

5.5/1(+27%)
(8) Sambezi 5.5/1, Doubled his tally over timber when making all in handicap at Fontwell (19.2f) in March. Shaped as if still in good form when third of 5 at Wincanton (15.2f) last time and he can give his running again with return to this longer trip to suit.
Consistent and deserved his 2m3f win in March; close up over 1m7f since; not far away.
(6) Cluain Aodha (7/1 +50%)
Cluain Aodha

7/1(+50%)
(6) Cluain Aodha 7/1, Opened account in mares' handicap at Warwick (2m3f) in March, but wasn't in the same form when fourth of 9 at Wincanton (21.4f) next time, taking time to warm to task. Needs to get back on track returned to this shorter distance.
Usually leads; broke duck over 2m3f in March; lesser run since when unable to lead.
(10) Dr Sanderson (9/1 +25%)
Dr Sanderson

9/1(+25%)
(10) Dr Sanderson 9/1, Scored twice over fences at Cartmel last summer but has shown little returned to hurdling since, eleventh of 15 in handicap at Ayr (2m) 17 days ago. C&D winner back on his hurdling debut, but return to this trip not enough to tempt at present.
Multiple winner but out of form over hurdles despite dropping in weights.
(2) The Street (10/1 +44%)
The Street

10/1(+44%)
(2) The Street 10/1, Fairly useful hurdles winner in 2021/22 but went the wrong way last term, failing to complete on first 4 starts of the campaign (tried over fences on first 2 outings). Only eighth at Wincanton last time, so first-time cheekpieces need to spark a revival.
Well treated but had terrible time over fences and hurdles over the winter.
(5) Barrier Peaks (14/1 -100%)
Barrier Peaks

14/1(-100%)
(5) Barrier Peaks 14/1, Much improved sent handicapping this year, completing 4-timer at Uttoxeter (19.9f) in February. Continued in good heart when placed last 2 starts, not suited by the extra distance when third at Newton Abbot (26.5f) last month. Not dismissed lightly back down in trip.
Non-stayer over 3m2f latest; in fine form at about 2m5f previously this year; involved.
(7) Highlander Casseul (25/1 +11%)
Highlander Casseul

25/1(+11%)
(7) Highlander Casseul 25/1, In frame twice in maiden hurdles in 2021/22 but offered little in 2 starts last summer, including on chasing debut. Placed in an Irish point in November, but others still preferred on first run for yard after leaving J. G. Coogan. Makes handicap hurdle debut.
One standout hurdle run in Ireland; out of sorts in 2022; worth market check for new yard.
(11) Floating Rock (33/1 +34%)
Floating Rock

33/1(+34%)
(11) Floating Rock 33/1, Pair of chase wins last summer and made the most of a good opportunity in selling hurdle at Stratford (18.7f) in October (final start for Mark Walford). Has offered little back in handicap company since, though.
Won 2m2f seller in October; not yet found feet for new connections since.
LTO Selection:

16:50 Worcester Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 20f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

1st: 6.5/1 (12) ALMOST GOTAWAY 2nd: 3/1 (4) SAMTARA 3rd: 7/1 (5) BARRIER PEAKS

SAMTARA ran better than expected when runner-up dropping back in trip to 2m1f at Cheltenham last month and a 2lb rise may not prevent him from returning to winning ways. Boom Boom shed his maiden tag with a cosy success at Wincanton in early April and Nicky Henderson's gelding is feared most on this handicap debut. Almost Gotaway is seeking a hat-trick and adds further spice to a competitive-looking contest.

Having shown fair form in bumpers, BOOM BOOM matched that level over hurdles when opening his account at Wincanton last month and the 5-y-o can follow up with further progress to come now handicapping. Samtara arrives in good form and is feared most back down in grade, while Horn Cape also merits consideration as he bids for a hat-trick.

Samtara and Boom Boom are just two of several with claims but preference is for ALMOST GOTAWAY who kept winning when last seen.


17:10 Ayr Handicap (Class 6) 13f - 12 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Weight Runs Age Comments
(9) Lex Maxima (3.33/1 +26%)
Lex Maxima

3.33/1(+26%)
(9) Lex Maxima 3.33/1, Tenth of 14 in handicap at Dundalk (12f, 12/1) 45 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals.
Irish raider; 0-11; good second on the AW two runs back (1m4f); yard has good record here.
(8) Lochnaver (5.5/1 +61%)
Lochnaver

5.5/1(+61%)
(8) Lochnaver 5.5/1, Last of 8 in handicap (16/1) at this course (10f, good to firm) 4 days ago. Significantly up in trip and each-way chance if on a going day. Yard also saddles Pammi.
Dual winner last term; needs to bounce back from a poor run here four days ago (1m2f).
(5) Imperative (5.5/1 -57%)
Imperative

5.5/1(-57%)
(5) Imperative 5.5/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 12/1, first run since leaving Charles Hills when excellent second of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (12.2f) 9 days ago, better placed than most. Unexposed but it remains to be seen if he'll be able to build on that back on turf.
Sound stable/handicap debut when second at Wolves last week (first run at 1m4f); chance.
(6) Well Planted (6/1 +29%)
Well Planted

6/1(+29%)
(6) Well Planted 6/1, Sixth of 8 in handicap hurdle at Perth (16.2f, good, 9/1) when last seen 7 months ago. Failed to fire on latest start in this sphere at Musselburgh in August. Has undergone a wind op.
Two hurdle wins and a 1m4f AW flat success; back from a break after wind op; best watched.
(2) Yakhabar (8/1 -14%)
Yakhabar

8/1(-14%)
(2) Yakhabar 8/1, 10/1 and visored for 1st time, respectable sixth of 10 in handicap at Southwell (12.1f) 34 days ago, never nearer. Cheekpieces back on and he merits consideration.
0-8; bits of form from 1m2f to 2m on the AW in the winter including in today's cheekpieces.
(10) Uberrima Fides (8.5/1 -55%)
Uberrima Fides

8.5/1(-55%)
(10) Uberrima Fides 8.5/1, Visored for 1st time, respectable seventh of 14 in handicap (66/1) at Dundalk (10.7f) 24 days ago. Down another 2 lb and could have a part to play if this step up in trip has the desired effect.
Not shown much under both codes this year and others look stronger.
(7) Marbuzet (12/1 +0%)
Marbuzet

12/1(+0%)
(7) Marbuzet 12/1, 8/1, twelfth of 13 in handicap at Thirsk (12f, soft) 34 days ago. Probably needed that run on the back of a 7-month absence and claims if reproducing form akin to his 2022 best.
Tailed off on reappearance; has chance on his best form of last year (won over 1m4f/1m6f).
(1) Bamboo Bay (12/1 +64%)
Bamboo Bay

12/1(+64%)
(1) Bamboo Bay 12/1, Cheekpieces on for 1st time in this code, last of 12 in handicap hurdle at Newcastle (16.2f, soft, 100/1) 172 days ago. Off 172 days. Poor on last Flat outing. Readily passed over.
Disappointing since Chester win last June; no cheekpieces or tongue-tie; best watched.
(3) Eye Knee (18/1 -13%)
Eye Knee

18/1(-13%)
(3) Eye Knee 18/1, Thirteen runs since last win in 2021. First run since leaving Gay Kelleway when tenth of 14 in handicap (16/1) at Doncaster (11.9f, soft) 9 days ago, folding. Others preferred.
Infrequent winner; tailed off on stable debut last month (pulled hard); best watched.
(4) Ask Peter (20/1 -100%)
Ask Peter

20/1(-100%)
(4) Ask Peter 20/1, 20/1, creditable sixth of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (16.6f) 13 days ago. Down in trip and needs to find improvement from somewhere if she's to get off the mark at the ninth time of asking.
Two fair runs for today's rider since returning from a 268-day break; a possible.
(11) Buford (28/1 -27%)
Buford

28/1(-27%)
(11) Buford 28/1, Fourteen runs since last win in 2021. Eighth of 11 in handicap at Newcastle (12.4f, 16/1) 25 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Appears to be more effective on the AW nowadays.
Exposed; hasn't won since August 2021, but a good second three runs back; excuses since.
(12) Pammi (80/1 -100%)
Pammi

80/1(-100%)
(12) Pammi 80/1, Twenty-four runs since last win in 2018. 66/1, last of 9 in handicap at Musselburgh (12.5f, good to soft) 3 days ago. Blinkers back on. Best to look elsewhere.
Tough mare; well beaten after 321-day break at Musselburgh last week; better expected.
LTO Selection:

17:10 Ayr Handicap (Class 6) 13f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.

It is difficult to definitively predict which horse will do well based on this summary, as there are several horses with potential. However, based on recent form and potential for improvement, 3.5/1 (5) IMPERATIVE and 7/1 (2) YAKHABAR may be good bets to finish in the top three. A dark horse could be 14/1 (8) LOCHNAVER, if he can bounce back from his recent poor run and handle the increased trip. Therefore, the predicted order of finish for the top three horses is 3.5/1 (5) IMPERATIVE, 7/1 (2) YAKHABAR, and 14/1 (8) LOCHNAVER.

IMPERATIVE improved plenty for stepping up to 1m 4f on his handicap bow when filling the runner-up spot at Wolverhampton on his return to action. The four-year-old, who was making his debut for Iain Jardine, is entitled to build on that performance by going one better. Marbuzet won twice last season and is expected to bounce back from an underwhelming effort on his first run of the year at Thirsk, while others to consider include Well Planted and Ask Peter.

Irish raider UBERRIMA FIDES posted one of his better efforts when mid-field in a first-time visor at Dundalk last month and he gets the nod in the hope that this step up in trip triggers some improvement. Yakhabar has been in decent form on the all-weather and, unexposed on turf, he looks dangerous, while Marbuzet should also have a part to play, provided he steps up on his low-key reappearance.

Following an improved run on his stable debut when second at Wolverhampton last week IMPERATIVE is taken to get off the mark.


17:15 Windsor Stakes (Class 4) 5f - 4 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Weight Runs Age Comments
(1) Revenue (1.1/1 -38%)
Revenue

1.1/1(-38%)
(1) Revenue 1.1/1, Clearly knew his job when making a winning debut at Brighton (5.3f, good), form which was boosted when the runner-up went one better at Ripon recently. Obvious chance under a penalty.
Made a bright start when scoring at Brighton and he's a major player again under a penalty.
(3) Palmar Bay (1.25/1 +9%)
Palmar Bay

1.25/1(+9%)
(3) Palmar Bay 1.25/1, Foaled April 1. Dam, 7f winner (including at 2 yrs), sister to very smart winner up to 11f Dibayani. Yard no stranger to success with 2-y-o newcomers and it will look significant if the market speaks in favour of this colt.
Plenty to like on paper and he's an interesting newcomer for powerful yard.
(4) Tears Of A Clown (10/1 +9%)
Tears Of A Clown

10/1(+9%)
(4) Tears Of A Clown 10/1, Showed ability when fifth of 11 on debut in a C&D novice a fortnight ago but not enough to suggest that she will be winning this.
No impact when 125-1 fifth in a C&D novice last month.
(2) Macedonian King (14/1 +44%)
Macedonian King

14/1(+44%)
(2) Macedonian King 14/1, Sent off at just 9/2 for a Beverley novice 19 days ago but looked very green and he was essentially beaten at the halfway point. Will need to leave that well behind if he's to emerge on top here.
Didn't live up to market expectations at Beverley and he needs a transformation here.
LTO Selection:

17:15 Windsor Stakes (Class 4) 5f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

Based on the summary, it is likely that 0.8/1 (1) REVENUE and 1.38/1 (3) PALMAR BAY will do well in the race. As for the top three finishers, it is possible that 0.8/1 (1) REVENUE and 1.38/1 (3) PALMAR BAY could finish 1st and 2nd, while the third place is difficult to predict with the information given.

REVENUE made a fine start to his racing career when winning with something in hand at Brighton recently and he looks to have found a suitable opportunity to back that performance up. Newcomer Palmar Bay is the potential fly in the ointment and any market support should be respected. Clearly better was expected of Macedonian King than his seventh on debut at Beverley last month, but it's too early to be writing off Amy Murphy's colt.

If there's confidence behind newcomer PALMAR BAY in the betting, the hint should be taken. He ticks plenty of the right boxes on paper and represents a leading yard that has made a good start to the season. Revenue beat a next-time-out winner when scoring on his introduction at Bath and is the clear main danger, given that Macedonian King performed well below market expectations on his debut at Beverley and Tears of A Clown needs to take a big step forward.

This can go to REVENUE, who made a bright start at Brighton 16 days ago and sets a clear standard under a penalty for that success.


17:20 Southwell Handicap (Class 5) 7f - 13 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Weight Runs Age Comments
(7) Kath's Toyboy (2.5/1 +0%)
Kath's Toyboy

2.5/1(+0%)
(7) Kath's Toyboy 2.5/1, Back to winning ways over C&D last month and improved on that form when close second of 10 in handicap here (6.1f) 4 days later. Big player.
Came right away with a subsequent winner over 6f here last time; is high on the shortlist.
(1) King Of York (3.33/1 +26%)
King Of York

3.33/1(+26%)
(1) King Of York 3.33/1, Returned to form when creditable fourth of 11 in handicap (16/1) at Beverley (8.4f, good to soft) 11 days ago. 1 lb lower now and enters calculations.
More on turf last time; the question now is whether he'll still have the speed for 7f.
(11) Bobby Joe Leg (7/1 +30%)
Bobby Joe Leg

7/1(+30%)
(11) Bobby Joe Leg 7/1, C&D winner. Eleven runs since last win in 2022. 12/1, sixteenth of 17 in handicap at Doncaster (7f, heavy) 10 days ago. Claims on best form.
6lb better off with Kath's Toyboy than when pushing him close over C&D last month; player.
(5) Saisons D'or (7.5/1 +32%)
Saisons D'or

7.5/1(+32%)
(5) Saisons D'or 7.5/1, C&D winner. 1 win from 3 runs this year. Latest win here in March. 8/1, seventh of 11 in handicap at this C&D 38 days ago. Needs a couple of these to falter.
Buzzy front-runner who tends to come to hand early; may face competition up front.
(8) Drakeholes (8.5/1 +47%)
Drakeholes

8.5/1(+47%)
(8) Drakeholes 8.5/1, Winner at Newcastle in December. Seventh of 11 in handicap at this C&D (20/1) 55 days ago. Others more persuasive.
Struggled back into handicaps since a novice win, albeit he offered more last time.
(10) Motawaafeq (9/1 -13%)
Motawaafeq

9/1(-13%)
(10) Motawaafeq 9/1, C&D winner. 11/2, bit below form fourth of 8 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 39 days ago. Needs a couple of these to falter.
On a handy mark but that's been true for a while and his only recent win came in a seller.
(2) Visibility (14/1 +50%)
Visibility

14/1(+50%)
(2) Visibility 14/1, Course winner. Thirteen runs since last win in 2022. Eleventh of 16 in handicap (25/1) at Pontefract (8f, good to soft) 14 days ago, slowly away. Needs a couple of these to falter.
Most wins have come over a bit further and never off a mark quite this high.
(13) Mudlahhim (18/1 -100%)
Mudlahhim

18/1(-100%)
(13) Mudlahhim 18/1, Nineteen runs since last win in 2022. Good third of 8 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f, 16/1) 9 days ago. One of likelier contenders.
Best run in a while last time despite pulling hard; lacks consistency and this is stronger.
(12) Custard The Dragon (22/1 -83%)
Custard The Dragon

22/1(-83%)
(12) Custard The Dragon 22/1, 9-time C&D winner. Tenth of 11 in handicap (66/1) at Newcastle (7.1f) 38 days ago. Hard to fancy on recent form.
Looking like the years have caught up since he returned from a nine-month absence.
(9) Eagle Creek (22/1 +33%)
Eagle Creek

22/1(+33%)
(9) Eagle Creek 22/1, 66/1, sixth of 9 in handicap at this C&D 34 days ago, slowly away. Blinkers on 1st time. Makes limited appeal.
Handicapper's giving him every chance and he's worth a market check in first-time headgear.
(6) Little Earl (28/1 -211%)
Little Earl

28/1(-211%)
(6) Little Earl 28/1, Sixth of 11 in handicap at Thirsk (6f, heavy, 7/1) 16 days ago. Others more appealing.
The handicapper's easing off but he's from a speedy family and stamina is the big question.
(3) Bond Boy (33/1 -65%)
Bond Boy

33/1(-65%)
(3) Bond Boy 33/1, 3 wins from 11 runs this year. Last of 10 in handicap (25/1) at this course (6.1f) 20 days ago, very slowly away. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals.
Won three early in the year, latterly off just 1lb lower, but has gone off the boil since.
(4) White Umbrella (100/1 -203%)
White Umbrella

100/1(-203%)
(4) White Umbrella 100/1, First run since leaving Harry & Roger Charlton when last of 8 in handicap (50/1) at Beverley (8.4f, good to soft) 19 days ago. Work to do.
Return to 7f will suit but offered little in finishing well beaten on her turf return.
LTO Selection:

17:20 Southwell Handicap (Class 5) 7f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

1st: 2.5/1 (7) KATH'S TOYBOY 2nd: 10/1 (11) BOBBY JOE LEG 3rd: 9/1 (13) MUDLAHHIM

KATH'S TOYBOY arrives boasting a consistent level of form, which includes a C&D success on his penultimate start when getting the better of the reopposing Bobby Joe Leg, and his second here over a furlong shorter, when narrowly denied, was boosted by the winner going in again at Haydock last Saturday. A 3lb rise is unlikely to stop him from going one better. The aforementioned Bobby Joe Leg is forgiven his subsequent turf effort and is entitled to be in the mix, while Saisons D'Or won over C&D two starts ago and would be respected if bouncing back to that kind of form.

KATH'S TOYBOY arrives at the top of his game and can score for the second time here this year. King of York and Tom Tulliver head the list of dangers.

Bobby Joe Leg is weighted to turn things round with KATH'S TOYBOY but the latter is in cracking form and can confirm the placings.


17:35 Newcastle Handicap (Class 6) 12f - 5 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Weight Runs Age Comments
(1) True Legend (1/1 +47%)
True Legend

1/1(+47%)
(1) True Legend 1/1, Not much impact in a trio of minor events last year, tenth of 12 at Kempton (7f, 125/1) when last seen in October. However, bred for longer trips so can leave those efforts well behind now handicapping.
Bred to leave 7f novice form well behind him over middle distances; of obvious interest.
(2) Damascus Steel (2.5/1 +17%)
Damascus Steel

2.5/1(+17%)
(2) Damascus Steel 2.5/1, After 6 months off (gelded), improved when second of 6 on all-weather/handicap debut at Wolverhampton (12.2f, 11/5) 27 days ago. Can make his presence felt.
Sent off favourite for his h'cap debut last month but could only manage second; needs more.
(4) Book Of Tales (2.75/1 +17%)
Book Of Tales

2.75/1(+17%)
(4) Book Of Tales 2.75/1, After 3 months off (gelded), didn't manage to live up to market expectations when third of 5 on handicap debut at Lingfield (1m4f, AW, 11/8) 12 days ago. It still remains early days, though.
Couldn't live up to market billing on handicap debut but should be capable of better.
(5) A Day To Dream (12/1 -243%)
A Day To Dream

12/1(-243%)
(5) A Day To Dream 12/1, Took a step forward after 8 months off when winning 12-runner handicap at Thirsk (1m4f, soft, 6/1) 34 days ago, finding extra. Task is now to build on that effort.
Game effort to win at Thirsk last month (1m4f) but the form looks modest.
(3) Star Start (66/1 -100%)
Star Start

66/1(-100%)
(3) Star Start 66/1, Again beaten a long way out when last of 10 in nursery at Redcar (1m, heavy, 15/1) in November. Has enough to prove after 6 months off (has been gelded) as he goes up in trip.
Didn't progress as a 2yo; steps up in trip for reappearance but looks a risky proposition.
LTO Selection:

17:35 Newcastle Handicap (Class 6) 12f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.

Based on the summary, 1.88/1 (1) TRUE LEGEND seems like the most promising horse as it is bred for longer distances and has the potential to do well now that it is handicapping. 3.5/1 (5) A DAY TO DREAM also shows promise after a recent win but may face tougher competition in this race. 3/1 (2) DAMASCUS STEEL has shown improvement but may need more experience, while 3.33/1 (4) BOOK OF TALES and 33/1 (3) STAR START have not shown enough promise to be considered top contenders. 1st place: 1.88/1 (1) TRUE LEGEND 2nd place: 3.5/1 (5) A DAY TO DREAM 3rd place: 3/1 (2) DAMASCUS STEEL

A Day To Dream struck by a length at Thirsk last time and has been raised 3lb for that effort, but he now switches to the all-weather and that could give the Sir Mark Prescott-trained TRUE LEGEND a big chance. The son of Camelot is bred to be a lot better than an opening mark of 63, and he fits the perfect type his master trainer does well with, as he takes a big step in trip for his handicap bow. Damascus Steel is also respected off the same mark as when a six-length second at Wolverhampton last time.

TRUE LEGEND didn't make much of an impact in his 3 outings last year, but he appeals as the type that his trainer does so well with now handicapping up in trip. The son of Camelot can leave his previous form behind to get off the mark, with Damascus Steel the main danger on his second start in a handicap. Book of Tales is the pick of the remainder.

Stepping up to 1m4f can see TRUE LEGEND leave his 2yo efforts well behind him.


17:45 Windsor Maiden (Class 5) 10f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Weight Runs Age Comments
(5) Circuit Breaker (2/1 +50%)
Circuit Breaker

2/1(+50%)
(5) Circuit Breaker 2/1, Nathaniel gelding. Dam, 1m-14.5f winner, half-sister to smart winner up to 10.4f Arabian Queen out of smart 1m-1½m winner Barshiba.
Already been gelded but he makes plenty of appeal on paper and needs a close look.
(6) Orange N Blue (3/1 -9%)
Orange N Blue

3/1(-9%)
(6) Orange N Blue 3/1, Promising individual. Fifth of 8 in maiden (28/1) at Newmarket (8f, good to soft) on debut 18 days ago. Up in trip. Should have more to offer.
Wasn't beaten far at Newmarket last month and he's in the mix on this step up in trip.
(8) Villazon (4/1 -45%)
Villazon

4/1(-45%)
(8) Villazon 4/1, Cracksman colt. Half-brother to 3 winners, including smart 11f/1½m winner Strathspey and useful winner up to 1m Romance Story. Wears blinkers and a newcomer of extreme interest given his connections.
Has a striking pedigree and he's an interesting newcomer for top yard; wears blinkers.
(9) Mineko (7/1 -75%)
Mineko

7/1(-75%)
(9) Mineko 7/1, €210,000 yearling, Wootton Bassett filly. Half-sister to 3 winners, including useful 7f-10.5f winner Chance and useful 1m-1¾m winner Haliphon. Likely type on paper.
210,000euros yearling; yard is in good form and market should be useful.
(7) St Just In Time (7.5/1 +70%)
St Just In Time

7.5/1(+70%)
(7) St Just In Time 7.5/1, Time Test gelding. Dam unraced.
Dam was well beaten in two bumpers and he's best watched on debut.
(4) Blenheim Prince (8/1 -7%)
Blenheim Prince

8/1(-7%)
(4) Blenheim Prince 8/1, 52,000 gns foal, €30,000 yearling, Churchill colt. Half-brother to ungenuine 7f/1m winner Cashel and 1¼m-1½m winner Sweet Celebration. Newcomer to note.
Has a good pedigree and he needs checking in market on debut.
(1) Fravanco (25/1 +38%)
Fravanco

25/1(+38%)
(1) Fravanco 25/1, Minor promise only in 3 starts, fifth of 10 in maiden at Lingfield (10f, AW, 33/1) on Flat debut 66 days ago, though was denied a clear run.
Well held in two bumpers and a 1m2f AW maiden; remains best watched for now.
(2) Its Going Rome (66/1 +0%)
Its Going Rome

66/1(+0%)
(2) Its Going Rome 66/1, Twice-raced gelding on Flat. 200/1, fourth of 6 in minor event at Wolverhampton (12.2f) 28 days ago.
Down the field in all five runs and he was tailed off at Wolverhampton (1m4f) last time.
LTO Selection:

17:45 Windsor Maiden (Class 5) 10f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

1st: 2.75/1 (8) VILLAZON, 2nd: 4/1 (9) MINEKO, 3rd: 7.5/1 (4) BLENHEIM PRINCE

Orange N Blue appears to set the standard judged on his midfield finish in the Wood Ditton at Newmarket last month, but he may prove vulnerable to some interesting newcomers. VILLAZON, a half-brother to French Group 2 winner Strathspey, heads the list, and any market support for the son of Cracksman would make him of more interest. Fellow debutants Mineko and Circuit Breaker could also be smart and complete the shortlist.

ORANGE N BLUE displayed ability amidst obvious inexperience when fifth at Newmarket and sure to come on a lot for that, he could be the answer with this trip also in his favour. Newcomers may provide the main threats, with Villazon and Mineko of particular interest before market clues.

There are several interesting contenders in the line-up but the vote goes to the Gosdens' striking newcomer VILLAZON.


18:05 Newcastle Handicap (Class 5) 10f - 6 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Weight Runs Age Comments
(5) Calcutta Dream (2.25/1 -13%)
Calcutta Dream

2.25/1(-13%)
(5) Calcutta Dream 2.25/1, Won twice from 4 runs this year, latest over C&D in January. Ran right up to best when second of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton later that month and holds strong claims.
Two C&D wins to his name and was on the up when last seen; one to consider.
(1) Bearwith (3/1 +33%)
Bearwith

3/1(+33%)
(1) Bearwith 3/1, Capitalised on lower turf mark to score twice at up to 10f last summer. Essentially held his form well on AW during back end of last year and returns to action with his yard amongst the winners. Could be the way to go.
Conditions no problem & has the ability to feature if primed for first run since November.
(4) Cusack (3/1 +40%)
Cusack

3/1(+40%)
(4) Cusack 3/1, Got right back on track with success in 7-runner handicap over C&D in March. Below that level at Redcar since but could well bounce back here.
Good record over C&D, winning off 3lb lower in March; can leave latest turf run behind him.
(2) Dougies Dream (4.5/1 +36%)
Dougies Dream

4.5/1(+36%)
(2) Dougies Dream 4.5/1, Course winner in March. Thirteenth of 15 in handicap (16/1) at Pontefract (8f, heavy) 27 days ago. Up in trip. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals.
Game 1m winner here in March; bad draw latest; new trip but bred to stay; big chance.
(3) Gonnetot (11/1 -214%)
Gonnetot

11/1(-214%)
(3) Gonnetot 11/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Eighth of 12 in maiden (125/1) at Nottingham (8.3f, heavy) 33 days ago. Back up in trip. Improvement required on handicap debut.
Potential improver switched to handicaps but his opening mark isn't an obvious gift.
(6) Hot Team (22/1 -144%)
Hot Team

22/1(-144%)
(6) Hot Team 22/1, C&D winner. 7/1, creditable fifth of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (9.5f) 9 days ago. Others more persuasive.
Running okay this year without matching last season's best.
LTO Selection:

18:05 Newcastle Handicap (Class 5) 10f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

Based on the summary, I predict that 2/1 (5) CALCUTTA DREAM, 4.5/1 (1) BEARWITH, and 5/1 (4) CUSACK have the best chances of finishing in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd place, respectively.

A chance can be taken on BEARWITH, who returns from a break after failing to justify favouritism over C&D in November and was dropped 1lb for that display. The son of Brazen Beau finished well for second on his penultimate run behind a subsequent winner and if able to reproduce that level of form, he ought to go very close. Calcutta Dream would be foolish to dismiss, after only being beaten half a length at Wolverhampton last time and he goes off the same mark. Of the remainder, Gonnetot is the most interesting on his handicap debut.

This can go to BEARWITH, who wasn't seen to best effect here in November and returns on a workable mark. Calcutta Dream rates the chief threat.

Dougies Dream is greatly respected up in trip but CUSACK has a solid record here and can come out on top.


18:15 Windsor Maiden (Class 5) 10f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Weight Runs Age Comments
(6) Nothing To Sea (1.2/1 +40%)
Nothing To Sea

1.2/1(+40%)
(6) Nothing To Sea 1.2/1, Sea The Moon gelding who displayed plenty of promise when runner-up in a Sandown novice (7f, heavy) on debut in September. Increase in trip promises to suit and big shout on return with yard very much amongst the winners.
Runner-up at Sandown on sole 2yo run and he's a key player upped in trip on his return.
(5) Lunatick (2/1 +43%)
Lunatick

2/1(+43%)
(5) Lunatick 2/1, Bred to stay well and promise to glean from midfield efforts in pair of AW novice events (both at 1m) late last year. Had wind op ahead of this return to action and he promises to do better still, particularly in handicaps.
Has shown promise in two 1m AW events; dangerous upped in trip after wind surgery.
(8) We Could Be Heroes (4.5/1 -50%)
We Could Be Heroes

4.5/1(-50%)
(8) We Could Be Heroes 4.5/1, Runner-up first 2 starts initially last term, chasing home subsequent Group 2 winner Marbaan at Salisbury (7f) in July. Gelded, not far off that level when fifth in 9-runner AW novice (8.6f) on final start in October and good chance he can do better this term now upped in trip.
Sets standard on his best 2yo form and he's respected upped in trip after another break.
(7) Sir Cilia (14/1 +13%)
Sir Cilia

14/1(+13%)
(7) Sir Cilia 14/1, 40,000 gns yearling, Lope De Vega gelding. Brother to useful 2-y-o 1m winner Moon de Vega. Dam, French 11f winner, half-sister to smart winner up to 10.5f Celimene. Betting should unearth some clues on debut.
Has good pedigree and yard is 3-6 in maidens this year; needs watching in market on debut.
(2) Peace Man (14/1 -180%)
Peace Man

14/1(-180%)
(2) Peace Man 14/1, From a good family (has more of a sprinting pedigree) and shaped well amidst greenness when fourth on belated debut at Wolverhampton (8.6f) in March. Underfoot conditions may not have been ideal when filling same spot at Redcar (10f, heavy) since and likely he can do better.
Promising fourth at Wolverhampton but he failed to build on that over 1m2f at Redcar.
(9) Flowers (25/1 +24%)
Flowers

25/1(+24%)
(9) Flowers 25/1, Frankel filly who proved easy to back and showed only greenness when last of 5 in a Kempton novice (11f) on debut in March. In excellent hands though and this should at least reveal more.
Made a low-key start at Kempton in March and she looks the stable second-string.
(1) Merrijig (66/1 +18%)
Merrijig

66/1(+18%)
(1) Merrijig 66/1, Schiaparelli gelding. Fair form when making the frame on first 3 starts in bumpers last year. Not at best when midfield in 10-runner contest at Market Rasen (16.5f) in December and he's probably best watched making his debut in this sphere.
Yard 0-9 in maidens in recent years and he's best watched on debut.
(3) Mini Mildred (200/1 -60%)
Mini Mildred

200/1(-60%)
(3) Mini Mildred 200/1, Merely hinted at ability when midfield in a Taunton bumper on debut in March and she was beaten a long way out making her debut in this sphere at Bath (1m) 17 days ago. One for handicaps/over longer trips further down the line.
Big prices and she's been well held in a bumper and a 1m novice (good to soft) this spring.
LTO Selection:

18:15 Windsor Maiden (Class 5) 10f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

1st: 1.88/1 (6) NOTHING TO SEA, 2nd: 3/1 (8) WE COULD BE HEROES, 3rd: 3.5/1 (5) LUNATICK

We Could Be Heroes sets the standard for others to aim at having placed behind the likes of Victory Dance and Marbaan on his first couple of starts. However, NOTHING TO SEA just shades the vote, as he shaped really well in second on his first start at Sandown over 7f in a race that has thrown out four subsequent winners since. With the step up in trip a possible source of improvement, he could prove tough to beat. Lunatick is also respected with Oisin Murphy booked.

NOTHING TO SEA shaped with plenty of promise when runner-up on debut in a Sandown novice (7f) on debut back in September and, with progress anticipated stepping up in trip, he earns the vote to come out on top for his in-form yard. We Could Be Heroes is feared most, with Peace Man and newcomer Baltic others worth a second look.

The vote goes to Ralph Beckett's Sandown runner-up NOTHING TO SEA, who has plenty of scope for progress upped in trip on his return.


18:35 Newcastle Stakes (Class 5) 8f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Weight Runs Age Comments
(1) Coppice (0.44/1 +12%)
Coppice

0.44/1(+12%)
(1) Coppice 0.44/1, Sister to very smart 6f winner Calyx and created an excellent impression herself when making a winning debut in a 7f novice at Kempton in October. Never figured on return in Nell Gwyn last month but she remains one to be very positive about. Can get back on track.
Impressive on 2yo debut; beaten fav in Group 3 on return; remains a smart prospect.
(8) Rising Bay (4.5/1 +36%)
Rising Bay

4.5/1(+36%)
(8) Rising Bay 4.5/1, Twice-raced maiden. 16/1, did better for debut whilst still in need of experience when fourth of 16 in maiden at Newmarket (8f, good to soft) 19 days ago. Type to go on improving for good yard.
Clear promise in her two runs and she has more to come; needs taking seriously.
(5) Fleurir (5/1 +0%)
Fleurir

5/1(+0%)
(5) Fleurir 5/1, Promising sort. 13/2 and hooded, third of 11 in minor event at Lingfield (1m, AW) on debut in November, coming from further back than others who made the frame. In very good hands and she's very much the type to improve this year.
Promising start at Lingfield (1m, AW) in November; lots more to come; each-way contender.
(6) Jo's Rainbow (22/1 +33%)
Jo's Rainbow

22/1(+33%)
(6) Jo's Rainbow 22/1, Once-raced maiden. Fourth of 10 in minor event (33/1) at this course (7.1f) on debut. Off 178 days. Has since left Richard Fahey and she's open to improvement with the step up to 1m likely to suit.
Ran okay over 7f here on debut; new yard today; middle distances will suit better in time.
(7) Merrnaa (22/1 -193%)
Merrnaa

22/1(-193%)
(7) Merrnaa 22/1, €160,000 yearling, Zoustar filly. Dam, 2-y-o 5f winner, sister to very smart winning sprinter Extortionist, from a very good family. Trainer’s newcomers command respect and interesting what the market makes of her.
160,000euros yearling; well-bred newcomer but she has a useful standard to aim at.
(2) Apollo's Angel (28/1 -12%)
Apollo's Angel

28/1(-12%)
(2) Apollo's Angel 28/1, Dark Angel filly. Half-sister to several winners, including 7f winner Ducal Crown. 17/2, offered something to work on when fifth of 7 in novice event at Southwell (8.1f) on debut 32 days ago, not knocked about. Open to improvement.
Debut effort at Southwell wasn't without promise; big step forward needed to feature.
(4) Delayed Action (100/1 +60%)
Delayed Action

100/1(+60%)
(4) Delayed Action 100/1, Twice-raced maiden. 100/1, eighth of 11 in minor event at Thirsk (7f, soft) in September, weakening from 2f out. Likely type for low-grade handicaps over longer trips moving forward.
Huge prices and well beaten in two runs last summer; handicaps more suitable after this.
(3) Clementyne (300/1 -20%)
Clementyne

300/1(-20%)
(3) Clementyne 300/1, Twice-raced maiden. Last of 13 in minor event at Southwell (7.1f, 200/1). Off 139 days. Easy enough to look elsewhere.
200-1 when finishing last in two AW novice events in December.
LTO Selection:

18:35 Newcastle Stakes (Class 5) 8f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

1st - 0.5/1 (1) COPPICE, 2nd - 5/1 (5) FLEURIR, 3rd - 7/1 (8) RISING BAY

COPPICE was a disappointing favourite in the Nell Gwyn last time at Newmarket, but she raced on the wrong side of the track that day and has only had the two starts in her career. Therefore, another chance can be taken on the daughter of Kingman, who won well at Kempton on debut and she is in good hands. The main threat could be Rising Bay, who took a step forward when attempting to make all at Newmarket last time before fading into fourth and that form could be enough to give her a shout. Merrnaa is a newcomer to note.

Having created an excellent impression when scoring on debut in the autumn COPPICE looked all at sea at Newmarket in the Nell Gwyn and remains the type to do a lot better. She can capitalise on the return to calmer waters and defy a penalty. Fleurir and Rising Bay can chase her home.

Coppice is the one to beat but RISING BAY has shaped nicely in both starts and could pose a big threat in receipt of 7lb.


18:45 Windsor Handicap (Class 4) 11f - 5 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Weight Runs Age Comments
(3) Bucephalus (1.75/1 -17%)
Bucephalus

1.75/1(-17%)
(3) Bucephalus 1.75/1, Looked on good terms with himself when making a winning debut for this yard back from over a year off in a 1¼m Doncaster handicap last month. Raced on the unfavoured part of the track at Newmarket next time and is well worth another chance.
1m2f winner on his penultimate run and he's respected back up in trip and down in grade.
(4) Splendent (1.88/1 +44%)
Splendent

1.88/1(+44%)
(4) Splendent 1.88/1, Lightly raced for his age and ran to form when sixth at Haydock on reappearance 9 days ago. Has course form and should be able to make his presence felt if the race doesn't come too soon.
Lightly raced 4yo who is on a dangerous mark and has possibilities at this new trip.
(2) Noble Masquerade (4/1 -14%)
Noble Masquerade

4/1(-14%)
(2) Noble Masquerade 4/1, C&D winner last season. More miss than hit subsequently but starts the new campaign on a handy mark and is worthy of respect.
Won this race off 2lb higher on his seasonal return last year; needs close look in market.
(5) Downsman (4.5/1 -29%)
Downsman

4.5/1(-29%)
(5) Downsman 4.5/1, Pulled up in handicap hurdle at Plumpton (17.8f, soft, 16/1) 24 days ago, racing lazily. Fair on the Flat, but still needs to get back on track.
On reduced mark back on the Flat and he needs watching in market; new headgear.
(1) Hy Brasil (66/1 +18%)
Hy Brasil

66/1(+18%)
(1) Hy Brasil 66/1, Debut winner in Ireland and showed useful form while coming up short in listed races subsequently. Hasn't been seen for over 2 years and has left Joseph O'Brien, so market should be informative on belated return.
Very lightly raced 6yo but he has something to prove after a massive absence; had wind op.
LTO Selection:

18:45 Windsor Handicap (Class 4) 11f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

It is difficult to predict without more information, but based on the summary, 1.5/1 (3) BUCEPHALUS seems to have the best chance of finishing in the top three, with 3.33/1 (4) SPLENDENT and 3.5/1 (5) DOWNSMAN as potential contenders. Therefore, the predicted order of finish is: 1. 1.5/1 (3) BUCEPHALUS, 2. 3.33/1 (4) SPLENDENT, 3. 3.5/1 (5) DOWNSMAN.

BUCEPHALUS scored on his penultimate start over 1m2f at Doncaster and now steps back up from a mile on his most recent effort for the Neil Mulholland stable. The six-year-old hit the line well over that trip and he is unexposed at this distance, which could give him a leading chance. Another to consider is Splendent, who was a respectable sixth in this class last time, when sporting a first-time tongue tie, and was dropped 1lb in the weights for that effort. Downsman is of interest in a first-time visor.

BUCEPHALUS made an impressive start for his new stable when scoring at Doncaster and his next effort is easily excused, so he's worth siding with ahead of Splendent, who wasn't disgraced at Haydock recently. Downsman is the pick of the remaining trio.

6yo BUCEPHALUS goes back up in trip and down in grade and is a big player if he can recapture the form of his Doncaster win last month.


19:05 Newcastle Handicap (Class 6) 8f - 6 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Weight Runs Age Comments
(6) Urban Road (2.75/1 +45%)
Urban Road

2.75/1(+45%)
(6) Urban Road 2.75/1, Winner at Southwell in April. 9/1, respectable third of 11 in handicap at Pontefract (8f, good to soft) 5 days ago. Not out of things.
Ready winner at Southwell last month; not disgraced on turf last week; major player.
(5) Odd Socks Havana (3.33/1 -67%)
Odd Socks Havana

3.33/1(-67%)
(5) Odd Socks Havana 3.33/1, 3-time C&D winner. Latest win here in March. Creditable second of 8 in handicap (6/1) at this C&D 6 days ago. Should be in the mix again.
Two C&D wins this year and better form in defeat the last twice; should be involved again.
(3) Reclaim Victory (4/1 +67%)
Reclaim Victory

4/1(+67%)
(3) Reclaim Victory 4/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Southwell in December. Respectable eighth of 14 in handicap (9/1) at Beverley (7.4f, soft) 7 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Others preferred.
Conditions no problem and sharper for last week's turf return; not ruled out.
(1) Martin's Brig (4/1 -100%)
Martin's Brig

4/1(-100%)
(1) Martin's Brig 4/1, Dual winner at Southwell (both 7.1f) in December. Good second of 11 in handicap (13/2) at Redcar (7f, heavy) 21 days ago, conceding first run. Races off same mark and holds leading claims.
Two 7f wins in December; in good form over that trip on turf the last twice; 0-17 over 1m+.
(2) Biplane (4/1 +33%)
Biplane

4/1(+33%)
(2) Biplane 4/1, Course winner. Creditable 1½ lengths third of 14 to Urban Road in handicap at Southwell (8.1f, 11/2) 20 days ago. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals.
Conditions to suit and on a good mark; wouldn't be best suited by a tactical event.
(4) Depart A Minuit (80/1 -60%)
Depart A Minuit

80/1(-60%)
(4) Depart A Minuit 80/1, First run since leaving David O'Meara when tenth of 12 in handicap at Southwell (7.1f, 100/1) 20 days ago. Makes limited appeal.
Low-key stable debut at Southwell last month (7f; 100-1); early days but others look safer.
LTO Selection:

19:05 Newcastle Handicap (Class 6) 8f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.

1st: 2/1 (1) MARTIN'S BRIG 2nd: 2/1 (5) ODD SOCKS HAVANA 3rd: 5/1 (6) URBAN ROAD

Odd Socks Havana has been a model of consistency lately, with a win and two seconds from his last three starts, but he has no margin for error off his current mark and will need a career-best effort to win this. He can still go close, but it may be worth taking a chance that MARTIN'S BRIG can defy top-weight. He ran on well into second over seven furlongs at Redcar last month despite being short of room, and this represents a drop in grade. Urban Road could be best of the rest in a closely-matched handicap.

MARTIN'S BRIG ran a cracker when runner-up at Redcar last month and makes plenty of appeal off the same mark. Odd Socks Havana and Urban Road can also make their presence felt.

This is competitive but URBAN ROAD (nap) created a good impression at Southwell last month and still looks well handicapped.


19:15 Windsor Handicap (Class 5) 5f - 7 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Weight Runs Age Comments
(4) Bang On The Bell (2.5/1 +9%)
Bang On The Bell

2.5/1(+9%)
(4) Bang On The Bell 2.5/1, Chasing a hat-trick after victories at Wolverhampton (5.1f) and Yarmouth (5.2f) last month. Only 2 lb higher now and proven on slow ground so ticks plenty of boxes.
Hat-trick seeker who battled well to win on soft at Yarmouth last time; big player again.
(2) Rich Rhythm (2.5/1 +29%)
Rich Rhythm

2.5/1(+29%)
(2) Rich Rhythm 2.5/1, Off the mark at third attempt over C&D in August and acquitted himself well in handicap company thereafter. Still lightly raced and looks feasibly treated on return.
C&D winner who is still unexposed and he's respected back in trip on his return.
(5) Concierge (4.5/1 +44%)
Concierge

4.5/1(+44%)
(5) Concierge 4.5/1, Not scored since 2021 and recent efforts have been disappointing. Returns to minimum trip now and continues to slide down weights but plenty to prove currently.
Losing run is up to 20 and he has a bit to prove on this drop back to 5f.
(3) Secret Handsheikh (7/1 -100%)
Secret Handsheikh

7/1(-100%)
(3) Secret Handsheikh 7/1, Returned to form, in first-time tongue strap, when taking 6-runner handicap at Brighton (5.3f, good, 9/4) 16 days ago. Likely to face slower conditions here but respected nonetheless.
Recorded his seventh win when scoring at Brighton last month; key player again up 4lb.
(7) Mary Of Modena (10/1 +38%)
Mary Of Modena

10/1(+38%)
(7) Mary Of Modena 10/1, Three-time winner (at up to 6f) last year and posted encouraging third on return at Lingfield in March. Not in same form at Bath latest but can't be ruled out.
Triple turf winner but she was well below form at Bath last month and others are preferred.
(6) My Genghis (10/1 -11%)
My Genghis

10/1(-11%)
(6) My Genghis 10/1, Off the mark in 4-runner handicap at Wolverhampton in January and not disgraced when third of 15 in handicap at Bath (5f, soft) 7 days ago. Others more appealing, though.
Back from a break with a fair third at Bath and has claims if he can build on that.
(1) Glamorous Express (25/1 +24%)
Glamorous Express

25/1(+24%)
(1) Glamorous Express 25/1, Well beaten both times he has faced testing conditions, latest on return over C&D 14 days ago. Hard to recommend.
Drops back in grade off a reduced mark but he needs to turn things around.
LTO Selection:

19:15 Windsor Handicap (Class 5) 5f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

1st place: 2.75/1 (4) BANG ON THE BELL 2nd place: 3.5/1 (2) RICH RHYTHM 3rd place: 3.5/1 (3) SECRET HANDSHEIKH

BANG ON THE BELL brought the double up on his latest outing when just prevailing by a short head at Yarmouth last month, and the four-year-old is only 2lb higher for that effort. With lots in his favour once more and the booking of Oisin Murphy a huge positive, he could prove difficult to beat. The main threat looks to be last-time-out winner Secret Handsheikh, who has been raised 4lb in the weights, which makes life tougher but he is still capable of going close, along with Rich Rhythm.

Preference is for RICH RHYTHM, who is still low mileage and begins the season off a handy mark. The in-form Bang on The Bell is feared most, whilst Gherkin can also make his presence felt.

Several have possibilities but the hat-trick seeking BANG ON THE BELL gets the vote ahead of Secret Handsheikh and Rich Rhythm.


19:40 Newcastle Handicap (Class 6) 5f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Weight Runs Age Comments
(1) Another Angel (1.62/1 -30%)
Another Angel

1.62/1(-30%)
(1) Another Angel 1.62/1, 8-time C&D winner who justified strong support to win 7-runner handicap at this C&D 3 days ago, going clear final 1f. No surprise to see him out under a penalty and he's the one to beat in this groove.
Gained 3rd win of the year when trouncing rivals over C&D on Friday; well in under penalty.
(2) Imperial Khan (3.5/1 +71%)
Imperial Khan

3.5/1(+71%)
(2) Imperial Khan 3.5/1, Maiden who returned from a break with a good second in a C&D handicap in February. However, not matched that level since, albeit unproven on the ground when tenth in 12-runner Catterick handicap (5f, heavy) 26 days ago. Not out of things back on AW.
Chance on his C&D second in February; less good since and others are more appealing.
(8) Stallone (5.5/1 +15%)
Stallone

5.5/1(+15%)
(8) Stallone 5.5/1, Thirty six runs since last win in 2019. 4/1, bit below form fourth of 14 in handicap at Leicester (6f, heavy) 9 days ago. Blinkers back on.
Running okay of late but on long losing run and drops to 5f for the first time.
(4) Joshua R (8/1 +33%)
Joshua R

8/1(+33%)
(4) Joshua R 8/1, Latest win over C&D in January. Not in same form in trio of subsequent starts, eighth of 9 in handicap back here in March. Is operating from last winning mark at least.
Conditions to suit and on last winning mark; not at his best on last three starts.
(3) Rockley Point (8.5/1 +6%)
Rockley Point

8.5/1(+6%)
(3) Rockley Point 8.5/1, 4-time course winner. Latest win here in March. 4/1, seventh of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (5.1f) 6 days ago, weakening final 1f having endured a wider trip than ideal. Each-way possibilities.
Beat Another Angel over C&D in March; went close at Wolverhampton last month; contender.
(9) Lancashire Life (10/1 +0%)
Lancashire Life

10/1(+0%)
(9) Lancashire Life 10/1, One win from 25 Flat runs. Second of 9 in minor event at Wolverhampton (6.1f, 33/1) 41 days ago, suited by strong pace. Task now is to back that up returned to handicap company.
Poor strike-rate but her win came here (6f) and she ran well when last seen in March.
(7) Embla (14/1 +0%)
Embla

14/1(+0%)
(7) Embla 14/1, Latest win at Southwell in March. Respectable fourth of 9 in minor event at Wolverhampton (6.1f, 9/1) 41 days ago, one paced late on having forced the pace. More needed back in handicap company.
Two Tapeta wins this winter; forced strong pace when only 4th latest; others are stronger.
(5) Quanah (25/1 +24%)
Quanah

25/1(+24%)
(5) Quanah 25/1, C&D winner who ended long losing run at Hamilton (5f) 12 months ago prior to making the frame next 2 starts on turf. Disappointed thereafter, eighth of 12 in handicap at Catterick (5f, heavy) in October. Possible he'll be sharper for this first start for 6 months.
C&D winner and should be well treated; ended 2022 quietly though and off since October.
LTO Selection:

19:40 Newcastle Handicap (Class 6) 5f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.

1st: 1.25/1 (1) ANOTHER ANGEL 2nd: 9/1 (3) ROCKLEY POINT 3rd: 33/1 (5) QUANAH

ANOTHER ANGEL has to carry a 4lb penalty after winning over C&D on Friday, but he did that very easily by five lengths when making all and, if the same tactics are employed, he may well follow up here. Imperial Khan looks interesting out of stall nine, with his best form being a second over this C&D in February off 4lb higher, and he can go well, along with Lancashire Life. The latter was second here in late March despite being left with too much to do.

ANOTHER ANGEL is thriving, forging clear as he enhanced his fine C&D record 3 days ago, and he ought to prove tough to beat under a penalty. Imperial Khan's recent form figures are hardly inspiring, but he could represent some each-way value back on an artificial surface. Stallone and Deputise can also get in the mix.

Multiple C&D winner ANOTHER ANGEL trounced his rivals here on Friday and can make light of his 4lb penalty.


19:50 Windsor Handicap (Class 4) 10f - 7 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Weight Runs Age Comments
(2) Dubai Souq (0.91/1 +55%)
Dubai Souq

0.91/1(+55%)
(2) Dubai Souq 0.91/1, Won at Redcar in November 2021. Not at his very best in 3 outings in the first half of 2022 but his stable perseveres and Oisin Murphy is in the saddle for this reappearance.
No joy in light campaign last season and has something to prove after 317 days off.
(1) Tamarama (2/1 +11%)
Tamarama

2/1(+11%)
(1) Tamarama 2/1, Ended her time with Charlie Hills with a Chelmsford win last October and the form has been boosted. Unexposed at this trip and could have more to offer for new trainer Ralph Beckett.
Progressive filly who changed hands for 115,000gns in November; big player for new yard.
(4) Grey Fox (12/1 -71%)
Grey Fox

12/1(-71%)
(4) Grey Fox 12/1, Four course wins, including over this trip. Has had wind surgery ahead of reappearance. Won first time up in 2021 so clearly capable when fresh. Has to enter calculations.
Multiple course winner but he's ideally suited by fast ground and others are preferred.
(3) Dal Mallart (12/1 -71%)
Dal Mallart

12/1(-71%)
(3) Dal Mallart 12/1, Three wins from 9 runs last year. Creditable 3 lengths fifth of 8 on Chelmsford reappearance 25 days ago but it underlines she needs a bit more from her mark.
Three turf wins; only 1lb higher than for last success; dangerous back in this sphere.
(7) Monteria (20/1 -67%)
Monteria

20/1(-67%)
(7) Monteria 20/1, Fair maiden. Shaped is if needing last month's reappearance run at Chelmsford, fading in the closing stages. Tongue strap refitted. Could go well.
Six-race maiden with a mixed record and he comes with risks attached back up in trip.
(8) Night Eagle (20/1 +0%)
Night Eagle

20/1(+0%)
(8) Night Eagle 20/1, Successful at Lingfield (AW) and Epsom last June. Ended 2022 with a disappointing effort at Brighton but he returns to action with his yard in form. Has had wind surgery.
Five-time winner but he doesn't have a great record when fresh and others are preferred.
(6) Sophosc (33/1 -267%)
Sophosc

33/1(-267%)
(6) Sophosc 33/1, Scored twice on the Flat last year and added to his tally with 2 hurdle wins in the autumn. Contender if fully primed after 6 months off.
Prolific winner under both codes but the ground is a concern on this return to the Flat.
LTO Selection:

19:50 Windsor Handicap (Class 4) 10f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

Based on the summary, 2.25/1 (1) TAMARAMA seems to be the strongest contender with a progressive record, recent win, and potential for more under a new trainer. 7/1 (4) GREY FOX and 20/1 (8) NIGHT EAGLE may also be in the running, but 2.25/1 (1) TAMARAMA appears to have the strongest potential. Therefore, the predicted finish would be: 1st - 2.25/1 (1) TAMARAMA 2nd - 7/1 (4) GREY FOX 3rd - 20/1 (8) NIGHT EAGLE

TAMARAMA improved for the step up to 1m2f when ending last season with a victory at Chelmsford in October. The daughter of Muhaarar could have more to offer, especially given the fact she was sold for 115,000gns subsequently and now makes her debut for Ralph Beckett. Dal Mallart is likely to progress from her first run of the season at Chelmsford, while Sophosc is of interest back on the level.

It's worth chancing the fitness of TAMARAMA as the form of her Chelmsford win last autumn looks strong given the second, third and fourth all won next time. She's unexposed at this trip and can make a successful start for the Ralph Beckett yard. Grey Fox's very good course record makes him a possible threat, while Sophosc has a good strike rate since this time last year and also merits respect.

Top of the list is TAMARAMA, who changed hands for 115,000gns in November and is open to more progress for her new yard this season.


20:10 Newcastle Handicap (Class 5) 7f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Weight Runs Age Comments
(4) Slippin Jimmy (1.88/1 +58%)
Slippin Jimmy

1.88/1(+58%)
(4) Slippin Jimmy 1.88/1, Confirmed previous promise and looked well served by step up in trip when opening his account over C&D in October. Proved disappointing back here the following month but gelded subsequently and distinctly possible he can get back on track.
C&D winner off 3lb lower in October; less good next time; gelded after; market useful.
(2) Sidney's Son (4/1 +11%)
Sidney's Son

4/1(+11%)
(2) Sidney's Son 4/1, Showed little both starts at 2 yrs but much more like it back from 5 months off when second in 5-runner novice over 1m here 25 days ago, making his effort 2f out and running on. Distinctly possible there's further improvement in the offing now handicapping.
Improved run when 2nd to a hotpot here (1m) last month; handicapper taken no chances.
(9) Roaring Ralph (4.5/1 +40%)
Roaring Ralph

4.5/1(+40%)
(9) Roaring Ralph 4.5/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 11/2, last of 8 in handicap at Redcar (8f, heavy) 28 days ago, weakening over 1f out having not been ideally placed. Remains with potential moving forward in handicaps. Cheekpieces on 1st time.
Soft ground perhaps didn't suit on handicap debut; headgear on now; unexposed.
(1) Concert Boy (5/1 +17%)
Concert Boy

5/1(+17%)
(1) Concert Boy 5/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Gelded, possibly needed the run on back of 6 months off when seventh of 12 in handicap (13/2) at Beverley (7.4f, good to soft) 19 days ago, weakening inside final 1f. May well be sharper here and worth noting if strong in the betting.
No improvement on last month's handicap debut; still early days and did shape well at two.
(5) Shot Of Love (8/1 -23%)
Shot Of Love

8/1(-23%)
(5) Shot Of Love 8/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 5/2, ran below best when last of 5 in a C&D handicap in February. Remains early days with him at least and the assessor is steadily relinquishing his grip if a short break has positive effect now.
No improvement for handicapping as yet; gelded since latest run; others look safer.
(3) Banquo (9/1 -80%)
Banquo

9/1(-80%)
(3) Banquo 9/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 13/8, first run since leaving K. R. Burke when third of 7 in maiden at Southwell (6.1f) 24 days ago. Will hold more chance now handicapping.
Looked ready for a step up in trip when 3rd on stable debut last month; more to come.
(6) Original Thinker (33/1 -175%)
Original Thinker

33/1(-175%)
(6) Original Thinker 33/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 12/1, ninth of 11 in nursery at Windsor (6f, good to firm). Off 7 months. First run for yard after leaving John & Thady Gosden. Needs a couple of these to falter.
Didn't really shine for the Gosdens last season; may do better this year; stable debut.
(7) Brocklesby (40/1 -150%)
Brocklesby

40/1(-150%)
(7) Brocklesby 40/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 100/1, last of 15 in maiden at Doncaster (7f, heavy) 10 days ago, weakening 2f out. Needs to step up plenty to figure on handicap debut. Cheekpieces on 1st time.
Promise here on debut (1m); struggled on slow turf since; headgear added for h'cap debut.
LTO Selection:

20:10 Newcastle Handicap (Class 5) 7f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

Based on the summary, 4.5/1 (4) SLIPPIN JIMMY, 4.5/1 (2) SIDNEY'S SON, and 5/1 (3) BANQUO are the most likely to finish in the top three. 4.5/1 (4) SLIPPIN JIMMY has previous success on the course and has shown promise with a recent step up in trip. 4.5/1 (2) SIDNEY'S SON had a strong second-place finish last month and has potential for further improvement. 5/1 (3) BANQUO showed promise on his stable debut and may have more to offer now that he is handicapping. However, as with any horse race, there are no guarantees, and any of the other horses could surprise and finish in the top three.

Slippin Jimmy is well worth a market watch as the C&D winner has his first start of the season following a gelding operation. He could go well in this company, but BANQUO is narrowly preferred. Supported in the market and a beaten favourite when third at Southwell last month, he kept on late over shorter despite losing a shoe and may do better at this trip. My Honey B (also engaged to run at Hamilton on Sunday) wasn't beaten far on her Redcar return when fading late on and is another to consider dropped back a furlong.

SIDNEY'S SON showed much more than previously when runner-up in a 1m novice here 25 days ago and, with potential for better still now handicapping, he gets the narrow vote to come out on top. This does look competitive though, with Slippin Jimmy and My Honey B heading up the dangers. Roaring Ralph is also worth keeping an eye on with his reappearance under his belt.

A trappy race. Soft ground probably hasn't suited ROARING RALPH on his last two starts and he can benefit from AW/headgear today.


20:25 Windsor Handicap (Class 6) 8f - 6 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Weight Runs Age Comments
(4) Optik (2.25/1 +63%)
Optik

2.25/1(+63%)
(4) Optik 2.25/1, Little impact in a trio of starts late last year, thirteenth of 14 at Kempton (1m) when last seen in December. Has been gelded since, so no surprise if he were to show more now making his handicap debut in first-time blinkers.
Goes handicapping in blinkers and he looks a possible improver on this switch to turf.
(5) Racing Demon (2.5/1 -100%)
Racing Demon

2.5/1(-100%)
(5) Racing Demon 2.5/1, Has been going the right way in handicaps this year, bumping into the improving Sparks Fly (winner again since) when second at this C&D (heavy, 5/1) 14 days ago. Looks ready to open his account.
0-10 but was a clear second in a C&D handicap (heavy) two weeks ago; key player.
(2) Stintino Sunset (2.5/1 +44%)
Stintino Sunset

2.5/1(+44%)
(2) Stintino Sunset 2.5/1, Started the year in decent nick, making the frame when fourth of 8 at Kempton (1m) in February. Had excuses next time, but below form in reapplied cheekpieces at Lingfield on her final outing later that month. Could get back on track after a break.
0-10 but she's well treated on her best form and is unexposed on turf; in the mix.
(6) Deep Spirit (7/1 -27%)
Deep Spirit

7/1(-27%)
(6) Deep Spirit 7/1, In the frame twice in handicaps at Lingfield (both at 1m) this year, third of 7 on the latest occasion in March. Respectable effort when sixth of 10 at Southwell last time and can give her running again.
Eight-race maiden who has bit to prove again back on turf for first time since her debut.
(3) Astronomica (12/1 +25%)
Astronomica

12/1(+25%)
(3) Astronomica 12/1, Having shown little in her 3 qualifying runs, failed to improve on her nursery debut when last of 11 at Kempton (1m) in November. Easy enough to look elsewhere.
Still early days but she needs a transformation back on turf on her return.
(1) Dream Frontier (33/1 -136%)
Dream Frontier

33/1(-136%)
(1) Dream Frontier 33/1, Ran to only a modest level at 2 yrs and fared no better on first run since leaving Ed Dunlop when ninth of 12 in handicap at Kempton (7f) 21 days ago. Looks to be up against it.
Well held in all six starts and he has a lot to prove on this step up to 1m.
LTO Selection:

20:25 Windsor Handicap (Class 6) 8f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.

Based on the summary, 1.25/1 (5) RACING DEMON seems to be the strongest contender as he has been improving in handicaps and was a clear second in a C&D handicap just two weeks ago. 4.5/1 (2) STINTINO SUNSET could also be in the mix as she is well treated on her best form and is unexposed on turf. For third place, 6/1 (6) DEEP SPIRIT could be a respectable choice as she has been in the frame twice in handicaps at Lingfield this year and gave a decent effort at Southwell last time.

Racing Demon has been knocking on the door on his last couple of starts and the gelding is likely to enter calculations once again, despite a 2lb rise for those efforts. The vote, though, goes to OPTIK, who hasn't shown much in three runs to date, but the application of first-time blinkers and being gelded are likely to bring about considerable improvement on his handicap debut. Stintino Sunset's last effort on turf saw her finish second at Leicester and she isn't one to discount.

RACING DEMON arrives in good form having finished runner-up on his last 2 starts, bumping into an improving rival over C&D last time, and he can build on those efforts to go one better this time around. Deep Spirit has been running respectably and could be the one to give the selection most to think about, ahead of Stintino Sunset.

Preference is for RACING DEMON (nap) who has finished runner-up in his last two starts including a clear second over C&D two weeks ago.


20:45 Newcastle Handicap (Class 6) 6f - 13 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Weight Runs Age Comments
(7) Jems Bond (3.5/1 +36%)
Jems Bond

3.5/1(+36%)
(7) Jems Bond 3.5/1, 3-time C&D winner. 3 wins from 10 runs this year. Seventh of 17 in handicap at Doncaster (7f, heavy, 9/1) 10 days ago, driven over 2f out and plugging on. Better showing expected returned to an artificial surface.
Three course wins this year; latest turf run best ignored; leading contender.
(10) Mumcat (5/1 +58%)
Mumcat

5/1(+58%)
(10) Mumcat 5/1, One win from 24 Flat runs. Creditable fifth of 12 in handicap at this C&D (13/2) 25 days ago. Has gone close on several occasions on AW in recent months and she's entitled to be thereabouts again from this mark.
Hard puller; handles conditions but she's always a risky betting proposition.
(5) Thaki (5/1 +38%)
Thaki

5/1(+38%)
(5) Thaki 5/1, C&D winner. Eleven runs since last win in 2022. Third of 5 in handicap (9/2) at Ayr (6f, good to firm) 4 days ago, not quicken only late on. Now operating 3 lb below last winning mark returned to AW.
Conditions to suit and he has run two sound races for his new yard this spring.
(14) Hilary's Boy (8/1 +33%)
Hilary's Boy

8/1(+33%)
(14) Hilary's Boy 8/1, Latest win at Southwell (6f) in November. Cheekpieces on for 1st time, respectable sixth of 11 in handicap back at that venue (6.1f) 69 days ago. Has since joined a yard with a particularly good record with such types and he's well worthy of a second look.
Four wins for former yard; quite possible new trainer can coax more from him; Tapeta fine.
(3) Redzone (8.5/1 +0%)
Redzone

8.5/1(+0%)
(3) Redzone 8.5/1, 3-time C&D winner. Fourteenth of 16 in handicap (15/2) at Haydock (6f, good to firm) 9 days ago, weakening over 1f out. No surprise to see cheekpieces back on and bounce back anticipated.
Below par on turf latest but down in class and he's the type to bounce back quickly.
(4) Lezardrieux (10/1 +0%)
Lezardrieux

10/1(+0%)
(4) Lezardrieux 10/1, Course winner. 17/2, eighth of 9 in handicap at Catterick (6f, heavy), slowly away. Off 6 months. Has good chance on pick of form.
Returns from a break at a realistic level; yard going along nicely; check the betting.
(2) Bayraat (11/1 -29%)
Bayraat

11/1(-29%)
(2) Bayraat 11/1, Respectable fourth of 11 in handicap at Southwell (7.1f, 16/1) 38 days ago, short of room briefly 1f out and one paced. Not out of things returned to sprinting.
Has shown promise on Tapeta; perhaps sharper for his reappearance; time to do better.
(6) Emeralds Pride (12/1 -20%)
Emeralds Pride

12/1(-20%)
(6) Emeralds Pride 12/1, Showed much improved form when making a winning return in a Thirsk maiden (6f) last spring and largely ran with credit in handicaps thereafter. Below best final start but she returns with yard amongst the winners. Makes tapeta debut.
Won fresh last spring; chance on best handicap form; headgear left off; AW debut.
(11) Tathmeen (12/1 -41%)
Tathmeen

12/1(-41%)
(11) Tathmeen 12/1, 7-time course winner. 3 wins from 14 runs this year. Creditable fourth of 12 in handicap (12/1) at Southwell (7.1f) 20 days ago, faring best of those held up.
Four 6f wins over the winter, two here; still feasibly treated; one to consider.
(9) Eldeyaar (14/1 +0%)
Eldeyaar

14/1(+0%)
(9) Eldeyaar 14/1, Kept busy in first season as a 3-y-o, gaining second success over 6f at Wolverhampton (6f) in September. Below best final 3 starts so break needs to have positive effect ahead of this.
Progressive on AW last summer; more to come this year but could well come on for this.
(13) Gowanlad (22/1 +33%)
Gowanlad

22/1(+33%)
(13) Gowanlad 22/1, C&D winner. Thirteenth of 15 in handicap (28/1) at Thirsk (6f, heavy) 16 days ago. Blinkers/tongue tie reached for now.
Tumbled down the weights; new accessories need to spark a revival.
(8) Doctor Khan Junior (33/1 +0%)
Doctor Khan Junior

33/1(+0%)
(8) Doctor Khan Junior 33/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 50/1, tenth of 11 in handicap at Redcar (7f, heavy) 21 days ago. Visor on 1st time.
Out the back on handicap debut last month; now visored and down in class; risky.
(12) Secret Daay (66/1 -230%)
Secret Daay

66/1(-230%)
(12) Secret Daay 66/1, Modest maiden who ran best race when third over 7f here during summer 2021. Absent since finishing eighth in 12-runner handicap back here in September 2021 and probably best watched unless market vibes were particularly positive on belated return for new yard.
Promise here at two for M Dods; no headgear today and 594-day absence to overcome.
LTO Selection:

20:45 Newcastle Handicap (Class 6) 6f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.

1st: 7/1 (1) ATHOLLBLAIR BOY 2nd: 5.5/1 (7) JEMS BOND 3rd: 8.5/1 (11) TATHMEEN

Many of these are old rivals and the margins are likely to be tight again. MUMCAT is a strong candidate judged on the pick of her form and, given she has gone well when partnered with Shane Gray before, the Jacqueline Coward-trained filly has a lot going for her running off 7lb lower than her only previous winning mark. Athollblair Boy was a half-length in front of the selection when scoring here in March and rates as the main danger, while Jems Bond also warrants serious consideration.

This looks wide open and it could just pay to take a chance on REDZONE. His last 4 victories have come on all weather and, with cheekpiece refitted, he could represent a spot of value from an easing mark. Hilary's Boy on debut for Mick Appleby, Jems Bond and Emeralds Pride are others to consider.

Several possibles but ATHOLLBLAIR BOY loves it here and he can record a 13th career victory back down into a Class 6.


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