There were 36 Races on Tuesday 9th May 2023 across 5 meetings. There was 6 races at Fakenham, 7 races at Lingfield, 8 races at Ffos Las, 8 races at Ludlow, 7 races at Newcastle, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.
Races & Results Tuesday 9th May 2023
The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.
(2) Another Thought 9/1, Fair form when third of 9 in novice at Bath (1m, good to soft, 28/1) on debut 18 days ago. Down in trip. May do better. Promising debut at Bath came over 1m; drop to 6f presents a question mark.
2
2nd (1) (0.8/1 +20%) Holy Fire
0.8/1(+20%)
(1) Holy Fire 0.8/1, Promising type. Won 7-runner novice at Kempton (6f) 6 days ago, always holding on. More to come and has been found a good opportunity for another win. Not straightforward but won at Kempton on reappearance and may improve further.
3
3rd (3) (1.5/1 -7%) Beau Roc
1.5/1(-7%)
(3) Beau Roc 1.5/1, Fair maiden. Good second of 8 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6f) 6 days ago. Should go well but vulnerable to something with potential. Consistent maiden who ran well at Wolverhampton last week; holds solid claims.
LTO Selection:
13:50 Lingfield Stakes (Class 5) 6f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the information provided, 1/1 (1) HOLY FIRE seems to have the best chance of finishing in 1st place as it won its last race and has been described as a promising type with potential for further improvement. 1.4/1 (3) BEAU ROC may be a strong contender for 2nd place as it ran well in its previous race and holds solid claims, but is vulnerable to a horse with more potential. 6/1 (2) ANOTHER THOUGHT may finish in 3rd place as it had a promising debut and may improve with the drop in trip, but the question mark over its ability to handle the shorter distance could be a disadvantage. However, it is important to note that horse racing is unpredictable and many factors can influence the outcome of a race, so these predictions are not guaranteed.
HOLY FIRE scored despite showing clear signs of inexperience at Kempton six days ago and Charlie Fellowes would appear to have found his filly the perfect opportunity to double her tally. The consistent Beau Roc sets the standard with an official rating of 66 and is likely to be in the thick of things once again, while Another Thought drops in trip having faded over 1m at Bath on her debut and is not entirely dismissed.
HOLY FIRE should have more to offer on the back of her Kempton success and can give weight away to the more exposed Beau Roc.
Getting weight from her opponents, the consistent BEAU ROC may well open her account. Holy Fire looks the main threat.
(1) Manorbank 2.5/1, Showed improved form to get off the mark over hurdles in 2m Chepstow novice 4 weeks ago, finding the race falling apart ahead of him but still producing an effort in keeping with his bumper win early in 2020. The second scored next time and he's respected under a penalty up in trip. Easy winner at Chepstow last month; open to further improvement upped in trip.
2
2nd (2) (0.53/1 +65%) The Same
0.53/1(+65%)
(2) The Same 0.53/1, Irish point winner who struck on hurdles debut at Market Rasen over this trip in March and ran respectably under a penalty over C&D next time. Could have more to offer and leading claims. Won well on stable debut at Market Rasen but held under penalty over this C&D last time.
3
3rd (4) (33/1 -175%) Hobb's Delight
33/1(-175%)
(4) Hobb's Delight 33/1, Has shown a bit in 2m bumper/maiden hurdle 18 months apart. This longer trip will suit but he's surely more one for handicaps. Probably needed last month's hurdle debut; improvement required.
4
4th (8) (150/1 -200%) Twilight Prince
150/1(-200%)
(8) Twilight Prince 150/1, Regressive maiden on Flat and offered little on hurdles debut over 2m here a fortnight ago. 14-race Flat maiden and beaten a long way on hurdles debut here a fortnight ago.
|U|
|U| (5) (7/1 -40%) Lelant
7/1(-40%)
(5) Lelant 7/1, Still rough around the edges but showed more than on his hurdling debut when running on for second under hand riding in C&D maiden 9 weeks ago, the longer trip suiting. Has races in him. Improved when second over C&D in March; soft ground may pose a question, but respected.
|PU|
|PU| (6) (150/1 -50%) Mangrove River
150/1(-50%)
(6) Mangrove River 150/1, Placed in points but little to shout about so far in a pair of 2m novice hurdles. Lots more needed back from 6 months off. Well held in both hurdle starts and off six months; can be handicapped after this.
LTO Selection:
14:00 Ffos Las Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 20f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
1.5/1 (2) THE SAME and 1.1/1 (1) MANORBANK are the most likely horses to do well based on the summary. 50/1 (8) TWILIGHT PRINCE and 150/1 (3) DEAL EM HIGH are unlikely to perform well. The predicted finishing order for the top three horses is: 1) 1.5/1 (2) THE SAME, 2) 1.1/1 (1) MANORBANK, 3) 5/1 (5) LELANT.
MANORBANK was impressive when shedding his maiden tag over hurdles at Chepstow last month and, despite having to shoulder a 7lb penalty for that success, he looks settled enough to now handle this longer trip. The Same wasn't disgraced when finishing third over C&D last month and a similar effort should see him in contention once more, while Lelant ran his best race to date when runner-up here in March.
Emma Lavelle's string are in good form and MANORBANK could be the way to go up in trip after a runaway win at Chepstow. The Same is respected, while Lelant has races in him.
The choice is MANORBANK who won easily at Chepstow last time. His pedigree suggests there may be even more to come now upped in trip.
(6) Way Out 1.75/1, Irish point winner and displayed plenty of ability on first 2 starts in bumpers. In-and-out form over hurdles so far, though one of better efforts when fifth of 13 in handicap at Wincanton (21.4f) 23 days ago. Leading form player. Irish point winner in 2022; fair form over hurdles; chance, but proving hard to win with.
2
2nd (5) (3/1 -117%) State Of Bliss
3/1(-117%)
(5) State Of Bliss 3/1, Fairly useful on Flat (stays 1½m) for the Johnston stable and was much improved from hurdling debut when third in 11-runner novice at Kempton (2m) last week. Longer trip should be within range given how he shaped that day and has an excellent chance. Quite useful on the Flat; third in 2m novice at Kempton last week; 2m4f may suit.
3
3rd (2) (20/1 +60%) Fulgurant
20/1(+60%)
(2) Fulgurant 20/1, Placed on completed start in points but dropped away quickly once headed in a Huntingdon bumper on Rules debut in March. Upped in trip now hurdling. Showed promise in Irish points; well beaten in a bumper on stable debut; should do better.
4
4th (7) (66/1 -65%) Moirai
66/1(-65%)
(7) Moirai 66/1, Beaten a long way in 2 juvenile events in March. Up in trip. Cheekpieces on for 1st time. Modest efforts so far; needs to improve for step up in trip, good ground and headgear.
5th
5th (3) (40/1 -60%) Hobie
40/1(-60%)
(3) Hobie 40/1, Successful on second of 2 starts in Irish points but was too free in an Exeter bumper on last month's Rules debut. Winning Irish pointer; only tenth in an Exeter bumper on stable debut but should do better.
6th
6th (4) (66/1 -371%) It Had To Be Shaw
66/1(-371%)
(4) It Had To Be Shaw 66/1, Shirocco gelding. Half-brother to fairly useful 2m hurdle winner/useful chaser Coach Carter. Dam (c123/h121) 2½m-3m hurdle/chase winner. Attracted support but was too headstrong to meet expectations in a Hereford bumper on debut in February. By Shirocco; last of six when 4-1 in a bumper on debut; should improve now going jumping.
|F|
|F| (1) (1.38/1 +54%) Copshill Lad
1.38/1(+54%)
(1) Copshill Lad 1.38/1, Ready winner of Stratford bumper last May. Good start over hurdles when third in 18.5f Exeter maiden on New Year's Day (strong form). Underwhelming in 3 starts subsequently but still merits consideration in a weak event. Bumper winner; fair form over hurdles including 2m4f at Plumpton last time; a possible.
LTO Selection:
14:10 Fakenham Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 20f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
1st: 1.38/1 (5) STATE OF BLISS, 2nd: 3/1 (1) COPSHILL LAD, 3rd: 2/1 (6) WAY OUT.
COPSHILL LAD finished a good third over an extended 2m4f at Plumpton last month and a marginal drop in trip could see him break his maiden here. He represents a reputable stable and he can have a big say in proceedings, but State Of Bliss should not be underestimated following a decent run for third at Kempton earlier this month. Hobie completes the shortlist.
STATE OF BLISS showed much more than on his hurdling debut when third at Kempton last week, and with the longer trip likely to be within range given how he rallied that day, he's selected to open his account in this sphere. Way Out and Copshill Lad look the other key players in a notably thin race.
After his third at Kempton last week useful Flat performer STATE OF BLISS looks the one to beat with Copshill Lad his main threat.
(8) Gearing's Point 18/1, Modest maiden for Mick Channon in 2022. Yard has enjoyed success with recruits from same source before but she's been off for 11 months and watching brief has to be the percentage call. 0-6 for the Channon stable; absent for almost a year.
2
2nd (7) (5.5/1 +15%) Persian Wolf
5.5/1(+15%)
(7) Persian Wolf 5.5/1, Twelve runs since last win in 2022. 22/1, eleventh of 13 in handicap at Brighton (1¼m, good) 17 days ago but had been in decent form on AW prior to that. Back up in trip. This apprentice race looks a favourable opportunity with star rider Billy Loughnane up.
3
3rd (4) (14/1 -75%) Stormingin
14/1(-75%)
(4) Stormingin 14/1, Unreliable individual. Two Chelmsford wins this year but not on a going day back on turf at Brighton latest. Veteran who is hard to dismiss on this year's AW form, which includes two wins.
4
4th (1) (1/1 +20%) Devizes
1/1(+20%)
(1) Devizes 1/1, Four-time C&D winner who made light of a 14-month absence to add to his AW tally at Kempton last month. A 5 lb rise doesn't look enough to stop him. Made all for comfortable win at Kempton on reappearance (form has substance).
5th
5th (6) (11/1 -22%) Kanuhura
11/1(-22%)
(6) Kanuhura 11/1, Unreliable sort. Bit below form third of 7 in handicap (33/1) at Chelmsford (1¼m) 33 days ago. Others arrrive with more pressing claims. Latest effort suggests this return to 1m4f will suit; remains on a handy mark.
6th
6th (2) (3.5/1 +13%) Crazy Maisie
3.5/1(+13%)
(2) Crazy Maisie 3.5/1, In good form on AW at the start of the year, including second over C&D in February. Probably worth ignoring her down-the-field effort on Huntingdon hurdle debut at the end of March. Respected. Consistent efforts on AW this year, most recently second over C&D in February.
7th
7th (5) (22/1 -57%) Uther Pendragon
22/1(-57%)
(5) Uther Pendragon 22/1, Course winner. 10/1, eleventh of 13 in handicap at Bath (11.5f, good to soft) 18 days ago. Others more persuasive. Overall strike-rate is modest; form dipped last time.
8th
8th (3) (33/1 -175%) Divination
33/1(-175%)
(3) Divination 33/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Seventh of 8 in handicap on 1¼m Chelmsford handicap debut 19 days ago. Needs to leave that behind now stepping back up in trip. May improve for this return to 1m4f on only his second handicap attempt.
LTO Selection:
14:20 Lingfield Handicap (Class 6) 12f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Based on the summary provided, it is difficult to confidently predict which horse will finish in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd place. However, some horses that seem to have a better chance than others based on recent form and potential include 6.5/1 (7) PERSIAN WOLF, 1.25/1 (1) DEVIZES, and 4/1 (2) CRAZY MAISIE. Ultimately, the outcome of the race will depend on a variety of factors and cannot be accurately predicted with certainty.
Devizes ought to be popular following last month's Kempton success, but a 5lb higher mark demands more. With that in mind, a chance is taken on CRAZY MAISIE. She was well held over hurdles last time out but having finished a good second over C&D from this mark the start prior, she could go one better. Uther Pendragon is another to consider.
DEVIZES looked better than ever when returning from an absence to win at Kempton last month and a 4 lb rise doesn't look enough to stop him at a venue which suits him well. Crazy Maisie has been knocking on the door on AW this year and can follow the selection home ahead of Persian Wolf.
Preference is for PERSIAN WOLF who looks interesting with Billy Loughnane booked. Devizes is feared most.
(9) Walkinthewoods 2.12/1, Off the mark at Chepstow (2m) in October and got right back on track when runner-up in a C&D handicap on penultimate start in March. Disappointed when last of 4 at Chepstow (23.6f) subsequently but pick of his exploits give him claims here. Regularly in the frame, but may again find one or two too good.
2
2nd (1) (3.5/1 +0%) Pilsdon Pen
3.5/1(+0%)
(1) Pilsdon Pen 3.5/1, Three-time hurdles winner, the latest at Exeter (16.7f, soft) in November. Good placed efforts from revised mark next 2 starts and possible he found race coming too soon back at Exeter in March. Likely candidate to bounce back. Not at his best the last twice; down in grade but could really do with some rain.
3
3rd (3) (4.5/1 +0%) Fanfaron Dino
4.5/1(+0%)
(3) Fanfaron Dino 4.5/1, Ended 2021/22 campaign with success at Fontwell (19.2f) and showed improved form when 1 length second behind Pilsdon Pen on return at Exeter in November. Not in anything like the same form back at that venue in January but he returns from 4 months off with his yard in fine form. Claims. Not far behind Pilsdon Pen in November, but poor last time; needs to bounce back.
4
4th (6) (12/1 -71%) Royal Mer
12/1(-71%)
(6) Royal Mer 12/1, Maiden who, on back of wind op got back on track when runner-up at Hereford (19.6f) in March, albeit finding less than looked likely. Best not judged too harshly on latest run having gone off too hard at Chepstow (19.5f) 24 days ago. Not dismissed from this mark. Ran well on first start since wind surgery, but not so good last time; stamina to prove.
5th
5th (11) (9/1 -20%) Marias Lad
9/1(-20%)
(11) Marias Lad 9/1, No show first 4 starts over hurdles but very well backed, was still in their pitching when unseating on chase bow at Catterick (19.2f) in December 2021. Absent since and no easy task on from so far out of the weights back over timber but interesting what the market makes of him. Unseated when in contention on chase debut 511 days ago; absent since; check betting.
6th
6th (4) (7/1 -8%) Champ Royal
7/1(-8%)
(4) Champ Royal 7/1, Maiden who posted several creditable efforts in Ireland and possible he'll come on for his first start for 12 weeks for new yard at Taunton (23.9f) 26 days ago, beaten when untidy 2 out. Back in trip now. Yet to win, but showed some fair form in Ireland and this trip may suit him better.
7th
7th (10) (66/1 -136%) Henzo Des Boullats
66/1(-136%)
(10) Henzo Des Boullats 66/1, Big prices and well held all 3 starts in maiden/novice hurdles this spring but does now get a crack at handicaps from a low opening mark. Worth a precautionary market check for positive vibes. Beaten a long way in three qualifying runs; up in trip for handicap debut.
|PU|
|PU| (2) (8/1 +56%) Pay The Pilot
8/1(+56%)
(2) Pay The Pilot 8/1, Picked up for £130,000 after finishing second in an Irish bumper and made winning yard/hurdles debut in a 3-runner C&D novice last spring. However, rather disconcerting he's been pulled up both starts in handicaps since the turn of the year and he's a good deal to prove here. C&D winner but pulled up in both starts since returning in January; lots to prove.
LTO Selection:
14:30 Ffos Las Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 20f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
WALKINTHEWOODS will need to put his latest effort at Chepstow behind him, but he gave a subsequent winner in Kepagge a fright over C&D in early March and a reproduction of that effort would give him leading claims. Pilsdon Pen has finished a beaten favourite on his last three appearances, nevertheless, Jeremy Scott's inmate is capable of going close, while Proper Twelve returned to form when runner-up at Plumpton last month and also enters calculations.
FANFARON DINO ran well below his best at Exeter on his latest start in January but he comes here with his yard firmly amongst the winners and, having performed well fresh himself previously, he earns the vote to come out on top. Pilsdon Pen is a live threat along with Proper Twelve, who remains low-mileage from a handicapping perspective.
The vote goes to PROPER TWELVE after his return to form when only just beaten at Plumpton last month.
(2) Jigginstown King 2.25/1, Ran best race over hurdles when runner-up at Hereford (25.5f) in February and back to that level when filling same spot back over fences at Fontwell (19.5f) 18 days ago, strong challenge flat but just held by winner. Still early days and he ought to go well again. Best of 3 handicap chase runs when close second last time; good chance on that form.
2
2nd (3) (8/1 -100%) Abaya Du Mathan
8/1(-100%)
(3) Abaya Du Mathan 8/1, Veteran who has been kept very busy and ended long losing run to land Ffos Las handicap chase (19.4f) for second successive season 2 weeks ago. Handicapper has reacted and wouldn't be a sure thing to back that up here. In good form recently, last time winning at Ffos Las; back up 9lb but should go well again.
3
3rd (7) (9/1 +36%) Ben Brody
9/1(+36%)
(7) Ben Brody 9/1, Winning hurdler/chaser who went with more zest than previously this year when third in 5-runner Fontwell handicap (17.7f) 5 weeks ago, tiring late on having forced pace. However, likely this veteran will face competition on the front end again here. Regressive; on a good mark but not running well enough to suggest he can take this..
4
4th (1) (7/1 -56%) Auditoria
7/1(-56%)
(1) Auditoria 7/1, Hurdles winner who found the switch to forcing tactics/a first-time visor in her favour when to get off the mark over fences at Taunton (21.7f) in March. Ran another solid race when third behind Legendary Rhythm at Wincanton since and expected to be close again on 2 lb better terms. In decent form since finishing second here in February, last twice with a visor (on again).
5th
5th (6) (3.5/1 +61%) Cloudy Wednesday
3.5/1(+61%)
(6) Cloudy Wednesday 3.5/1, Got off the mark over C&D in February and largely performed with credit since, fourth in 8-runner Huntingdon handicap (19.8f) 23 days ago. Now only 1 lb above last winning mark and she's no forlorn hope. C&D winner in February; mixed form since but fair fourth in April; possibilities.
|PU|
|PU| (5) (4/1 -45%) Legendary Rhythm
4/1(-45%)
(5) Legendary Rhythm 4/1, Well supported when opening chase account from Auditoria at Leicester (20f) in February and again had that rival behind when scoring at Wincanton (20f) 6 weeks ago, holding on gamely. This tight track looks ideal given her style and player again from 3 lb higher mark. Has won two small-field mares chases on last two starts; still feasibly treated; chance.
|PU|
|PU| (4) (12/1 +14%) The Knot Is Tied
12/1(+14%)
(4) The Knot Is Tied 12/1, Fair winner over hurdles who returned to form from out the blue to open chase account at Lingfield (2m, good to soft) in December. However, only one effort of any note in handful of starts subsequently and he's a risky proposition. Lingfield winner in December; below par since, including over C&D; plenty to prove.
LTO Selection:
14:40 Fakenham Handicap Chase (Class 5) 21f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Auditoria has paid a price for consistency of late and has to shoulder top-weight here, so JIGGINSTOWN KING shades the vote based on that. Only narrowly denied over an extended 2m3f at Fontwell last month, there is likely more in the locker and he can post his best run to date. Abaya Du Mathan bolted up at Ffos Las most recently and is another to consider off 9lb higher.
LEGENDARY RHYTHM has really found her feet in mares' handicap chase events in recent months, following up her Leicester victory in game fashion at Wincanton 6 weeks ago. She looks sure to go well again in this groove and can make a bold bid to complete the hat-trick. Jigginstown King and Auditoria can also figure.
The 6yo JIGGINSTOWN KING (nap) ran his best race over fences at Fontwell last time and is taken to get off the mark.
(5) Ibn Aldar 4/1, Lightly-raced winner. Course winner. 7/1, bit below form sixth of 16 in nursery at Newmarket (7f, soft). Off 18 months. Market should prove best guide to claims on return. Gelded since last seen. Absent since 2021 but is still unexposed and market support should be heeded.
2
2nd (2) (4.5/1 +0%) Antiphon
4.5/1(+0%)
(2) Antiphon 4.5/1, Back to best when winning 6-runner handicap at Windsor (5.1f, soft, 3/1) 8 days ago, kept up to work. Races off same mark and must enter calculations. Escapes a penalty for last week's Windsor win; has won on AW; great chance.
3
3rd (4) (7.5/1 +17%) Pablo Del Pueblo
7.5/1(+17%)
(4) Pablo Del Pueblo 7.5/1, C&D winner. Latest win here in March. Seventh of 8 in handicap (12/1) at Epsom (5f, heavy) 14 days ago. Looks competitive on form. This will demand a career best; all wins off lower marks in Class 6.
4
4th (8) (11/1 -83%) Jungle Run
11/1(-83%)
(8) Jungle Run 11/1, 7/2, second of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 31 days ago, never nearer. Claims if building on that. Has place claims if coping with higher grade (raced mainly in Class 6).
5th
5th (3) (5.5/1 -100%) Kensington Agent
5.5/1(-100%)
(3) Kensington Agent 5.5/1, 4 wins from 7 runs this year. 2/1, career best when winning 7-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 24 days ago, comfortably. 6 lb higher now but holds strong follow-up claims. Very productive this year, most recently winning at Wolverhampton; solid chance.
6th
6th (1) (3/1 +25%) Impeach
3/1(+25%)
(1) Impeach 3/1, 3-time C&D winner. Twelve runs since last win in 2022. Fourth of 7 in handicap at this C&D (AW, 9/2) 5 days ago, running on. Others more persuasive. All wins over C&D; close fourth back here last Thursday; player off same mark.
7th
7th (6) (7.5/1 -7%) Porfin
7.5/1(-7%)
(6) Porfin 7.5/1, C&D winner who has run creditably the last twice, latest when second of 6 in handicap (7/1) at this course (7f, AW) 5 days ago. Likely to go well again. Outstayed by the winner over 7f here last week; return to 6f is a plus.
8th
8th (7) (28/1 -12%) Rogue Star
28/1(-12%)
(7) Rogue Star 28/1, Cheekpieces on for 1st time, ninth of 12 in handicap (11/1) at Windsor (6f, heavy) 15 days ago. Makes limited appeal. Ran poorly when dropped to 6f last time and remains a maiden.
LTO Selection:
14:50 Lingfield Handicap (Class 5) 6f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
A comfortable winner at Wolverhampton last month, the steadily progressive KENSINGTON AGENT might have more to offer from a 6lb raised mark and she edges the vote over Antiphon, who struck at Windsor eight days ago. Porfin merits a place on the shortlist, while it is interesting that connections persist with Ibn Aldar, who returns from a 566-day absence with the betting market likely to guide.
KENSINGTON AGENT added to her fine record on the all weather this year when scoring at Wolverhampton last month and a 6 lb rise in the weights may not prevent further success here. Antiphon and Porfin are feared most.
Antiphon has to be feared but KENSINGTON AGENT, who has been largely progressive this year, looks a solid alternative.
(9) Sherborne 7/1, Lingfield novice hurdle winner who has yet to scale same heights in handicaps over hurdles and fences. Hopes pinned on a recent windc op sparking a revival (also tongue tied first time). Has become disappointing; wind surgery since last seen but still difficult to enthuse over.
2
2nd (5) (3.5/1 +56%) Hunter Legend
3.5/1(+56%)
(5) Hunter Legend 3.5/1, Half-brother to the yard's very smart Cepage. Failed to make an impact in his first handicap but it's still early days and this longer trip should suit. Regressive in three starts over hurdles, but may show more now upped in trip.
3
3rd (1) (4/1 +11%) Port Or Starboard
4/1(+11%)
(1) Port Or Starboard 4/1, Finally ended losing run when dead heating at Exeter in March and respectable third over 2m here on his 2 outings since. Up in trip. 1-23 but shaped as though worth another go over this sort of trip last time; down in grade.
4
4th (6) (18/1 +18%) Roscoe Tara
18/1(+18%)
(6) Roscoe Tara 18/1, Reached the frame in a couple of maiden hurdles in 2020/21 season but not seen again until pulling up in a Taunton handicap hurdle at the end of March. Can only watch after that. Probably needed the run when pulled up on his return from a mammoth absence last time.
5th
5th (4) (2/1 +56%) Bobalot
2/1(+56%)
(4) Bobalot 2/1, Made a successful handicap debut at Chepstow (3m) last autumn. Creditable fourth of 10 there in first-time cheekpieces 11 days ago. Visor the headgear of choice this time. Also down in trip. Chepstow winner and ran well there last time; makes some appeal despite the drop in trip.
6th
6th (10) (150/1 -127%) Nowyouvebinandunit
150/1(-127%)
(10) Nowyouvebinandunit 150/1, No form and miles out of the weights on handicap debut. Has achieved nothing in three completed starts over hurdles; 23lb out of the weights.
7th
7th (3) (3.5/1 +65%) Malina Jamila
3.5/1(+65%)
(3) Malina Jamila 3.5/1, Listed bumper winner at Huntingdon and also won a hurdle there last May. Has yet to make a significant impact in handicaps but it's still relatively early days. Drops in grade and trip, but claims not compelling back from a short break.
LTO Selection:
15:00 Ffos Las Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 20f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the summary, it is difficult to predict with certainty which horse will perform well. However, 1.75/1 (4) BOBALOT and 5/1 (1) PORT OR STARBOARD seem to have some potential. Therefore, our prediction for the first three places is: 1. 1.75/1 (4) BOBALOT 2. 5/1 (1) PORT OR STARBOARD 3. 3.5/1 (3) MALINA JAMILA
NEW BEGINNINGS offered more encouragement when placing third in a maiden hurdle over 1m7f at Wincanton in March and this stoutly-bred son of Flemensfirth is expected to relish this stiffer test on his handicap debut. Bobalot has posted two sound efforts in defeat of late and he's feared most with connections now reaching for a first-time visor. Micronormous is another who makes her debut in this sphere and David Pipe's mare is worth noting in the market.
NEW BEGINNINGS appeals as one who should have more to offer in handicaps and gets the vote. Micronormous and Hunter Legend are other lightly-raced types who could have their best days ahead of them and head the dangers.
The unexposed NEW BEGINNINGS seems likely to relish the greater test of stamina on pedigree and can prove the answer.
(8) Baby Sham 22/1, Fair Flat winner but hasn't matched that level over hurdles, including well held in a C&D handicap in October. Fared no better back from a break at Stratford last month. 1m AW winner; yet to win in 16 attempts over hurdles (well beaten over C&D two runs ago).
2
2nd (3) (1.38/1 +31%) Scudamore
1.38/1(+31%)
(3) Scudamore 1.38/1, Fair winner on Flat who returned from a break to open his account over hurdles in a 19f Stratford novice handicap 16 days ago, quickening clear. A 7 lb rise may not prevent him following up. 1m6f Flat winner; won 2m2f h'cap last time; 2m4f should suit; good chance despite 7lb rise.
3
3rd (7) (5/1 -43%) Lighthouse Mill
5/1(-43%)
(7) Lighthouse Mill 5/1, Inconsistent to date but his latest Southwell second shows he can be competitive from his mark when in the mood. Needs to show he can string good runs together now. 0-11; sound run over this trip at Southwell last time and not without a chance.
4
4th (2) (6/1 +45%) Enthused
6/1(+45%)
(2) Enthused 6/1, Fairly useful Flat winner but yet to reach the same level over hurdles, finishing a distant fourth in a 2m course maiden hurdle when last seen in March. Others are more obvious. Flat winner; best hurdles form when 4th in 2m h'cap two runs ago; 2m4f not sure to suit.
5th
5th (6) (9/1 +10%) If Karl's Berg Did
9/1(+10%)
(6) If Karl's Berg Did 9/1, Maiden handicap hurdler who is hard to catch right, offering little again when sxith of 8 at Plumpton last month. Mark in freefall but comes with plenty of risks. 0-13; not been in much form but conditions should suit; others still make more appeal.
6th
6th (1) (8/1 -100%) Champagne Town
8/1(-100%)
(1) Champagne Town 8/1, Winning pointer. Fair form in a bumper and maiden hurdle in Ireland last spring. Below that level in a Doncaster novice hurdle for new yard in March but he's unexposed now making a quick switch to handicap company after wind surgery (also has tongue tie refitted). Interesting. Irish point winner; rather disappointing over hurdles; makes handicap debut after wind op.
7th
7th (5) (11/1 -22%) Jukebox D'Eddy
11/1(-22%)
(5) Jukebox D'Eddy 11/1, Improved effort over hurdles when going close on 2m Wetherby handicap debut (good to soft) in March. Not in the same form when sixth there 15 days later, hanging to his left under pressure. Freshened up since. Races beyond 2m for the first time here. Shaped as though this trip would suit when Wetherby second two runs ago; good run expected.
|F|
|F| (9) (14/1 +65%) Top Drawer
14/1(+65%)
(9) Top Drawer 14/1, Remains with little solid form in handicap hurdles, finishing a distant sixth on last month's return from a break at Stratford. Longstanding maiden who faces a stiff task from 5lb out of the handicap.
|U|
|U| (4) (33/1 -200%) Living's Boy An Co
33/1(-200%)
(4) Living's Boy An Co 33/1, Off the mark in emphatic fashion at Market Rasen (19f) in October. However, in process of running poorly when unseating 2 out at Musselburgh a month later and been absent since. Minus usual cheekpieces here. In good form over fences last year; not sure to go so well back over hurdles after a break.
LTO Selection:
15:10 Fakenham Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 20f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the summary, 2/1 (3) SCUDAMORE, the 2m4f handicap winner, seems like the most likely to do well. Prediction: 1st: 2/1 (3) SCUDAMORE 2nd: 11/1 (2) ENTHUSED 3rd: 9/1 (5) JUKEBOX D'EDDY
LIGHTHOUSE MILL finished a decent second over an extended 2m4f at Southwell last month and a fractionally shorter trip could benefit him here, given he was headed approaching the last in that aforementioned contest. Scudamore is rated 7lb higher following a facile win at Stratford most recently and is feared most, while Champagne Town also warrants a market check.
SCUDAMORE was a cosy winner at Stratford last month for in-form Jennie Candlish and a 7 lb rise may not prevent him going in again. The lightly-raced Champagne Town is an interesting contender on his handicap debut and might be the one to give the selection most to do ahead of Jukebox d'Eddy.
With this longer trip likely to suit, recent Stratford winner SCUDAMORE is taken to follow up. Jukebox D'Eddy should also run well.
(1) Solanna 0.53/1, Posted career best when winning 8-runner handicap at Yarmouth (10.1f, good) 7 days ago, soon clear. Looks well in under 5 lb penalty and is the one to beat. Well treated under a penalty for easy success on turf last week; all AW wins at Kempton.
2
2nd (2) (16/1 -33%) Clay
16/1(-33%)
(2) Clay 16/1, Respectable fifth of 9 in handicap hurdle (13/2) at Taunton (16.5f, soft) 12 days ago, left with lot to do. Below form on last Flat outing. Maiden on Flat and over hurdles; has seemingly regressed overall.
3
3rd (3) (6/1 -80%) How Hard Can It Be
6/1(-80%)
(3) How Hard Can It Be 6/1, Acquitted herself well in similar races the last twice, latest when second of 8 in handicap over C&D (AW) 21 days ago. Likely to go well again. In-form mare, having gone close over C&D the last twice; still on a handy mark.
4
4th (4) (3.6/1 +20%) Villalobos
3.6/1(+20%)
(4) Villalobos 3.6/1, C&D winner. Latest win here in March. 4/1, fourth of 7 in handicap at Chelmsford City (10f) 38 days ago. Others preferred. C&D winner (stable debut) in March; too free last time but can't be dismissed.
LTO Selection:
15:25 Lingfield Handicap (Class 6) 10f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Based on the summary, the top three horses are likely to be 0.8/1 (1) SOLANNA, 3.33/1 (3) HOW HARD CAN IT BE, and 4.5/1 (4) VILLALOBOS in that order. 0.8/1 (1) SOLANNA appears to be in good form, having won a race just seven days ago and being well-treated under a penalty. 3.33/1 (3) HOW HARD CAN IT BE has also been consistent and has a good chance of finishing in the top three. 4.5/1 (4) VILLALOBOS has previously won over this course and distance and cannot be dismissed, although the last race was not as strong. 12/1 (2) CLAY appears to be the weakest of the group and is not likely to finish in the top three.
With just the four runners heading to post, it could pay to side with recent C&D runner-up HOW HARD CAN IT BE. Only narrowly denied last month, a 1lb raised mark looks unlikely to stop her having a say in proceedings. Solanna rates a big player on the pick of his form and is feared, even though he has to shoulder a 5lb penalty for his latest success. Villalobos also warrants respect.
SOLANNA arrives at the top of his game and can follow up his recent Yarmouth victory. How Hard Can It Be looks the likeliest danger.
Solanna is respected but HOW HARD CAN IT BE looks particularly solid on the back of two creditable C&D efforts.
(4) Corey's Courage 3.5/1, Back on the up with a 20.5f Huntingdon win in March but only a respectable third at Uttoxeter since. Beaten favourite last time but shaped as if this new trip will suit; still of interest.
2
2nd (3) (1.38/1 +27%) Great Snow
1.38/1(+27%)
(3) Great Snow 1.38/1, Progressive sort who landed Ludlow maiden (3m) in February before posting an excellent third of 15 in EBF Mares' Final at Newbury. Another sound run when fourth at Ayr Scottish Grand National meeting. Should go well. Couple of sound efforts since switched to handicap level; respected back down in grade.
3
3rd (5) (12/1 -33%) Just Sophie
12/1(-33%)
(5) Just Sophie 12/1, Left her hurdling debut form behind to get off the mark in 7-runner Huntingdon novice (19.5f, good to soft) in March. Found out under a penalty there since and this opening handicap mark demands improvement. Remains unexposed and could do well in handicaps; bred to stay this new trip.
4
4th (1) (2/1 -14%) Touchy Feely
2/1(-14%)
(1) Touchy Feely 2/1, Won first 2 hurdles. Not up to Grade 2 company at Sandown in February but retains potential now switching to handicap company after wind surgery. Leading claims. Had wind surgery since Grade 2 defeat; may have more to offer back down in class.
5th
5th (2) (16/1 +0%) Lady Of The Night
16/1(+0%)
(2) Lady Of The Night 16/1, Novice hurdle winner in 2021/22 season. Lost her way over fences after a promising start and now returns to the smaller obstacles in a bid to get her career back on track. Return to hurdles may suit but there is a question mark over her current form.
LTO Selection:
15:35 Ffos Las Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 22f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
1st - 1.88/1 (3) GREAT SNOW 2nd - 1.75/1 (1) TOUCHY FEELY 3rd - 9/1 (5) JUST SOPHIE
TOUCHY FEELY returns from a wind operation after coming home a distant last at Sandown in a Grade 2, following two wins in lower grades. It will be interesting to see how she gets on making her handicap debut. Great Snow stays further and may try to make all, while Energy One refused to race at Warwick but might be interesting in first-time blinkers.
TOUCHY FEELY has had wind surgery since finishing a well-held last of 5 in a Grade 2 novice at Sandown in February and is selected to get her career back on track now handicapping. Great Snow has been in good form this spring and is the obvious danger.
Back down in grade off an unaltered mark, GREAT SNOW (nap) holds particularly strong claims. Touchy Feely is feared most.
(6) Olly's Folly , Longstanding maiden (0-60 overall; 0-14 in this sphere) and looks set for another struggle. 14-race maiden; well beaten in a maiden hurdle here last time; 5lb wrong; others stronger.
1
1st (5) (1.88/1 +32%) Gavin
1.88/1(+32%)
(5) Gavin 1.88/1, Winner of a Uttoxeter handicap in November 2022 and while he's blown hot-and-cold since (in this sphere and on the Flat), his Taunton second to Phoenix Risen (winner again since) back from a break last month represented a welcome return to form. Big player. Lacks a recent win but good second last time (winner won next time) and is down in grade.
2
2nd (4) (25/1 -213%) Hey Bob
25/1(-213%)
(4) Hey Bob 25/1, Won 3 on the bounce last spring/summer, including this very race 12 months ago. However, resumes from a break with a bit to prove having failed to fire on each of his last 3 starts. Won this off 10lb lower for Olly Murphy in 2022; since won at Cartmel; off since September.
3
3rd (2) (3/1 +0%) Hayedo
3/1(+0%)
(2) Hayedo 3/1, Fairly useful maiden on Flat who improved to open his account in a Hereford juvenile last January. Below par at Fontwell when last seen in August but sights lowered back from a break here and he needs considering. Maiden hurdle winner in 2022; below that since but on a good mark and stable going well.
4
4th (3) (2/1 +50%) True Romance
2/1(+50%)
(3) True Romance 2/1, Though sole success from 13 starts in this sphere was gained back in 2019, he did go close in a Taunton seller in November and scored on the Flat the following month. Well below par the last twice (latterly on the Flat) but definite chance if on-song. Perhaps not the force of old and was well behind Weebill at Market Rasen in December.
5th
5th (1) (5.5/1 -100%) Weebill
5.5/1(-100%)
(1) Weebill 5.5/1, Enhanced good record at selling/claiming level when landing a 5-runner event over this C&D in March. However, he wasn't on a going day at Stratford (18.7f, heavy) next time and needs to bounce back. Two wins last season, in a selling handicap off this mark and a C&D claimer; good claims.
LTO Selection:
15:45 Fakenham Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 16f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the summary, the horses that are most likely to finish in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd are: 1st: 12/1 (4) HEY BOB 2nd: 1.88/1 (5) GAVIN 3rd: 3.5/1 (3) TRUE ROMANCE
WEEBILL had valid excuses for a seemingly poor effort at Stratford last month (reportedly lost a shoe and was struck into on his right-fore heel) and is better judged on his previous outing, when he won a claiming hurdle over C&D in March. Assuming he can repeat that sort of level, the Olly Murphy-trained gelding can bounce back here. Gavin is suggested as the chief threat after a solid effort at Taunton last month, while the unexposed Hayedo also warrants consideration.
The most recent piece of solid form on offer is GAVIN's second to an upwardly mobile rival in a Taunton handicap and, entitled to come on for that run (his first for almost 6 months), he is taken to go one better here. True Romance needs to bounce back but will be a threat if able to do so and Hayedo should be in the mix, provided he is ready to roll following an 8-month absence.
After his good run last time out Gavin is considered but it could pay to side with WEEBILL, who has a good record here.
(3) Imperiousity 1.38/1, Still looking for first success but ran up to best when second of 8 in handicap at Brighton (5.3f, good) 6 days ago. Addition of cheekpieces looks a good move and he holds solid claims.
2
2nd (2) (2/1 +0%) Byefornow
2/1(+0%)
(2) Byefornow 2/1, Won 7-runner handicap at this course (6f, AW, 10/3) 21 days ago, having run of race. 4 lb higher now but not discounted.
3
3rd (4) (3.5/1 -27%) Alainn Tu
3.5/1(-27%)
(4) Alainn Tu 3.5/1, Career best when winning 6-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f) last week. Carries 6 lb penalty for that victory but must enter calculations.
4
4th (5) (16/1 -113%) Metarace
16/1(-113%)
(5) Metarace 16/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Last of 10 in maiden (80/1) at Chelmsford City (6f) 12 days ago. Tongue strap on for 1st time. Improvement required on handicap debut.
5th
5th (6) (66/1 -100%) Kwiz
66/1(-100%)
(6) Kwiz 66/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 7 lengths last of 7 to Byefornow in handicap (66/1) at this course (6f, AW) 21 days ago. Hard to recommend.
6th
6th (1) (16/1 -45%) Star Adorned
16/1(-45%)
(1) Star Adorned 16/1, Fourth of 7 in handicap (16/1) at Wolverhampton (5.1f) on return 10 days ago. Entitled to build on that.
LTO Selection:
16:00 Lingfield Handicap (Class 6) 5f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Based on the summary, the horses that are most likely to finish in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd respectively are: 1st: 1.5/1 (3) IMPERIOUSITY 2nd: 4/1 (4) ALAINN TU 3rd: 3/1 (2) BYEFORNOW
ALAINN TU has been steadily progressive of late and kept on well to score over 6f at Wolverhampton earlier this month. She must command respect given Aidan Keeley negates most of the fillies' 6lb penalty for that success with his 5lb claim. Byefornow was a game winner at this track last time and is feared most, while the reopposing Imperiousity also has a chance.
This can go to IMPERIOUSITY, who got back to his best at Brighton last time and remains fairly treated. Alainn Tu is feared most.
Last-time-out winners Alainn Tu and Byefornow warrant respect but IMPERIOUSITY is taken to open his account.
(4) Stanley Stanley 9/1, Won brace of handicap hurdles for Paul Nicholls during summer of 2021 and encouraging she could run well for a long way (on back of lengthy absence) when fourth on yard/chase debut at Wetherby (19.4f) in January. However, well below that form at Exeter since and bit to prove now. Dual 2m5f hurdle winner (good); promising chase debut after absence; well held next time.
2
2nd (1) (9/1 -50%) Shirocco's Dream
9/1(-50%)
(1) Shirocco's Dream 9/1, Made winning start over fences at Huntingdon (23.6f) in February but not really built on that and others more appealing. Good start to chase career; needs more to give weight away in quite competitive race.
3
3rd (6) (4.5/1 +25%) Head And Heart
4.5/1(+25%)
(6) Head And Heart 4.5/1, Well backed and off the mark in Mares' handicap chase at Huntingdon (23.6f, soft) last month. 5 lb rise fair and must enter calculations. Looked better the further she went in 2m7f chase latest (soft); has potential as stayer.
4
4th (7) (14/1 +0%) Pageant Material
14/1(+0%)
(7) Pageant Material 14/1, Regular performer here who added to her 2 course victories over hurdles when taking 19.4f handicap in this sphere in March. However, well behind Dicey Rielly last time and needs to find some improvement. All 3 wins on heavy ground here; below best latest and this looks more competitive.
5th
5th (2) (1.75/1 +13%) Dicey Rielly
1.75/1(+13%)
(2) Dicey Rielly 1.75/1, Promising type who opened account in this sphere when taking 6-runner handicap at this course (19.4f, soft, 5/4) 30 days ago, plenty in hand. Longer trip no issue and holds leading claims. Clear when falling heavily on 2nd chase start; cosy winner over 2m3f latest; has potential.
|U|
|U| (3) (11/1 -10%) Do You Think
11/1(-10%)
(3) Do You Think 11/1, Off the mark over fences at Hereford (25.2f) in November but has been rather let down by her jumping since and has work to do off her current mark. Won chase debut (3m1f); unconvincing with jumping since and ran poorly latest.
|PU|
|PU| (5) (3.33/1 +33%) Police Academy
3.33/1(+33%)
(5) Police Academy 3.33/1, Won sole start in Irish points and acquitted herself in both starts over fences, latest when second of 5 in handicap at Wincanton (20.2f, good to soft) 43 days ago. Ought to go well again. Irish point winner; strong finisher over 2m4f on latest; looks sure to be suited by 3m.
LTO Selection:
16:10 Ffos Las Handicap Chase (Class 4) 24f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
1st - 2/1 (2) DICEY RIELLY 2nd - 5/1 (5) POLICE ACADEMY 3rd - 6/1 (6) HEAD AND HEART
Emma Lavelle has her horses running well suggesting the consistent Do You Think could have some say back on better ground, while Cresswell Queen is the only C&D winner in the line-up and could also get involved. Both can go well, but the new trip may see plenty of improvement from the lightly-raced POLICE ACADEMY, who was running on when beaten less than a length at Wincanton in March.
DICEY RIELLY made up for her Uttoxeter mishap (looked certain winner before coming down 3 out) when scoring readily here last month and still looks well treated. She can follow up. Police Academy and Head And Heart should also go well.
At least three of these have the potential to achieve more off their current marks and HEAD AND HEART is marginally preferred.
(1) Duc De Beauchene 5/1, Back to winning ways in emphatic fashion at Wincanton (25.1f) last month and acquitted himself well behind a progressive sort in Kempton handicap (24f, good to soft) since. Shortlisted. Back up in the ratings and stamina to prove but in good form and not ruled out.
2
2nd (9) (6.5/1 +0%) Jony Max
6.5/1(+0%)
(9) Jony Max 6.5/1, Admirably consistent in 2022, scoring twice and making the frame on other 8 starts. Returns from 6-month absence on a feasible mark and must enter calculations. Has won over 3m2f and 20l third only previous run over C&D (2021); worth considering.
3
3rd (6) (6.5/1 -18%) Wake Up Early
6.5/1(-18%)
(6) Wake Up Early 6.5/1, Bright start for this yard last spring, winning twice, including over this C&D on stable debut, and back on the up when scoring at Sedgefield (27f) in March. Not in same form at Cheltenham since but can't be ruled out. Two wins over 3m3f last season, latest in March; below par last time but could play a part.
4
4th (7) (3.5/1 +0%) Midnight Mary
3.5/1(+0%)
(7) Midnight Mary 3.5/1, Fair winning hurdler who has performed well over fences this year, winning at Wetherby before 3 good efforts in defeat, latest when second of 5 in handicap at Southwell (24.3f, good to soft, 9/4) 11 days ago, running on. Not taken lightly Dual course winner; 8lb higher than Wetherby win in January; stays 3m1f; first run at 3m5f.
5th
5th (5) (28/1 +0%) Coup De Pinceau
28/1(+0%)
(5) Coup De Pinceau 28/1, Winner of a 4m hunter chase at Cheltenham in April of last year and ran solid races in defeat on next 2 starts. However, not been in same form since and plenty to prove now. Won 4m hunter chase in April 2022; rather disappointing last season and others stronger.
6th
6th (2) (4/1 +50%) Tommie Beau
4/1(+50%)
(2) Tommie Beau 4/1, Below par latest but had got back on the scoreboard at Plumpton (25.7f) previously and is only 1 lb higher than when taking this prize home 12 months ago. Respected. Handles most ground; below best latest but won this off 1lb lower in 2022; obvious chance.
7th
7th (11) (10/1 +0%) D'Jango
10/1(+0%)
(11) D'Jango 10/1, Won 3 times in busy 2022-23 campaign. Little chance from out of the handicap at Sandown latest but remains on a workable mark and can't be discounted. Won over 3m5f at Lingfield in February; highly tried on occasions since; could go well.
|PU|
|PU| (4) (12/1 +14%) Shetland Bus
12/1(+14%)
(4) Shetland Bus 12/1, It all clicked for him over fences with cheekpieces added in the autumn, winning over shorter trips here and at Stratford. Not been in same form in a couple of recent outings, though, and percentage call is to look elsewhere. Winner here in October, but disappointing since; first run at beyond 3m; stamina to prove.
|PU|
|PU| (10) (14/1 -40%) Flying Verse
14/1(-40%)
(10) Flying Verse 14/1, Three wins from 16 runs last season. Back to form when second of 7 in handicap chase at Perth (23.8f, good to soft) 12 days ago, going with enthusiasm. Longer trip no issue and likely to make presence felt. Won over 3m7f in November; some fair efforts since; including when 2nd last time.
|PU|
|PU| (8) (14/1 +13%) Captain Tommy
14/1(+13%)
(8) Captain Tommy 14/1, Disappointed on final start for David Bridgwater last spring and has offered little in 3 starts for present yard. Continues to slide in handicap but remains hard to recommend. Wears first-time visor. On a fair mark but not in the best of form last season; visor replaces cheekpieces.
LTO Selection:
16:20 Fakenham Handicap Chase (Class 3) 29f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
Based on the summary, some horses that could potentially do well are 10/1 (11) D'JANGO, 6.5/1 (9) JONY MAX, 28/1 (5) COUP DE PINCEAU, 10/1 (10) FLYING VERSE, 5.5/1 (6) WAKE UP EARLY, 3.33/1 (1) DUC DE BEAUCHENE, and 8/1 (2) TOMMIE BEAU. However, it is difficult to predict with certainty which horses will finish in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd without more information on the race and the horses' current form.
Tommie Beau is only 1lb higher than his success in last year's renewal of this race and is again high on the shortlist, while Duc De Beauchene, who has a healthy strike-rate over fences, is holding his form well and also warrants serious consideration. However, FLYING VERSE is still on a competitive mark and he gets the nod on these terms. David Dennis' charge was a good second in the 2021 edition of this off 7lb higher and might be a bit of value.
MIDNIGHT MARY won a couple of handicaps over hurdles at this course and has made a good start over the larger obstacles. She gets the nod. Duc de Beauchene and Flying Verse head the list of dangers.
Last year's winner TOMMIE BEAU is taken to score again with Flying Verse and Midnight Mary also expected to go well.
(1) Dragon Icon 0.91/1, 60,000 gns Lope De Vega colt. Brother to Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf winner Aunt Pearl. 4/1, impressive winner of 7f Kempton novice in November. More to come. Scored readily at Kempton on sole 2yo start and looks a useful prospect; commands respect.
2
2nd (4) (18/1 -50%) Halla Dubai
18/1(-50%)
(4) Halla Dubai 18/1, Well-backed 5/1, sixth of 11 in minor event at Kempton (7f) on debut 22 days ago, green and left poorly placed. Open to progress. Shaped with promise over 7f at Kempton last month, keeping on for sixth.
3
3rd (2) (50/1 -213%) Algernon
50/1(-213%)
(2) Algernon 50/1, Showcasing colt. Half-brother to 5f-7.4f winner Siyata. Dam, 9.4f/1¼m winner, half-sister to smart 8.4f winner Brooch. Newcomer by Showcasing out of a Listed winner; notable connections; check the betting.
4
4th (12) (18/1 -125%) Gentle
18/1(-125%)
(12) Gentle 18/1, €200,000 yearling, No Nay Never filly. Half-sister to 2-y-o 6f winner Light Angel. In excellent hands and very much caught the eye once she got the hang of things on debut at Kempton (7f) in December, nearest finish having been left with lot to do. More to come. Eyecatching debut at Kempton five months ago; interesting with improvement on the cards.
5th
5th (5) (1.5/1 -9%) Lion Tamer
1.5/1(-9%)
(5) Lion Tamer 1.5/1, Roaring Lion colt. Half-brother to 6.5f winner Havana Bound and 2-y-o 6f winner Perfect Sign. 2/1 and hooded, promising second of 13 in maiden at Kempton (8f) on debut in October. Tongue tie goes on. More to come and Derby entrant has strong claims. Derby entry; promising second, despite wandering, at Kempton on sole 2yo run; big player.
6th
6th (9) (16/1 +27%) Playactor
16/1(+27%)
(9) Playactor 16/1, Green in C&D/10f Newmarket novices in recent weeks. Looks one for handicaps. Has ability but gives the impression he'll be more interesting in handicaps.
7th
7th (3) (150/1 -200%) Desfondado
150/1(-200%)
(3) Desfondado 150/1, 40/1, last of 6 in minor event at Kempton (10f) 38 days ago. Hood on 1st time. Exposed maiden hard to fancy in this company. Came up short back at novice level last time, taking record to 0-5; hood fitted.
8th
8th (7) (150/1 -88%) Morcar
150/1(-88%)
(7) Morcar 150/1, 82,000 gns yearling, Saxon Warrior colt. Dam maiden (stayed 1½m) out of useful 1¼m-1½m winner Wannabe Loved. 50/1, tenth of 12 in novice event at Kempton (7f) on debut. Off 9 months. Down the field in 7f event at Kempton nine months ago; may do better this year.
9th
9th (8) (28/1 +44%) Penzance
28/1(+44%)
(8) Penzance 28/1, 7/1, little encouragement in the Wood Ditton at Newmarket 19 days ago. Finished last of eight in the Wood Ditton but seemed green and should improve.
10th
10th (11) (200/1 -506%) Expert Witness
200/1(-506%)
(11) Expert Witness 200/1, Modest form in AW fillies' novices. Hard to fancy on these terms. Similar type to Playactor, with handicaps likely to be more suitable.
11th
11th (6) (33/1 -106%) Mathematician
33/1(-106%)
(6) Mathematician 33/1, €62,000 foal, 100,000 gns yearling, Starspangledbanner gelding. Dam maiden (stayed 1m), half-sister to smart winner up to 1¼m Alhaban. Interesting newcomer. Wears hood. 100,000gns yearling; wears hood on debut; yard also runs Dragon Icon; market helpful.
LTO Selection:
16:35 Lingfield Stakes (Class 5) 8f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Dragon Icon certainly impressed when winning on his debut at Kempton in November and he looks a horse to watch out for, though he does have to give 7lb to the promising Lion Tamer, who was only beaten by inexperience when second in October, and 12lb to the filly GENTLE. She raced far too freely early on before finishing well at Kempton in December and with that run under her belt, and an added furlong here, she could prove hard to beat.
Derby-entry LION TAMER has more to offer this year and can make a successful reappearance. Impressive Kempton-winner Dragon Icon is a big player, while Gentle, in the same ownership as the selection, could have a stack of improvement in her.
Kempton winner DRAGON ICON looks a good prospect and he is taken to defy a 7lb penalty. Lion Tamer is feared most.
(6) Back Yourself 8/1, Left yard debut effort behind when second of 13 in novice hurdle at Taunton (16.5f, soft, 22/1) 57 days ago. Upped in trip for handicap debut and remains open to improvement. Some bumper promise in 2021; finished remote over hurdles for new yard; handicap debut.
2
2nd (9) (8/1 +50%) Karavomylos
8/1(+50%)
(9) Karavomylos 8/1, Ran encouragingly on debut in autumn but rather gone backwards since. However, bred for stamina and could be a different proposition now upped in trip for handicap bow, albeit 4 lb out of the weights. Little to show for three 2m runs; has stamina in pedigree; may do better now handicapping.
3
3rd (8) (7.5/1 +53%) Mumbles
7.5/1(+53%)
(8) Mumbles 7.5/1, Well behind in novice hurdle (50/1) at this course last month but had shown some ability in 2 starts previously and is worth monitoring in the market on handicap bow. Modest form in qualifying runs but dam was quite useful so may do better now handicapping.
4
4th (5) (3.5/1 +42%) Concrete King
3.5/1(+42%)
(5) Concrete King 3.5/1, Still looking for first success but posted best effort for some time when fourth of 10 in handicap hurdle over C&D (heavy) 48 days ago. Claims if building on that. Four point wins; rather becalmed but latest 4th over C&D came in a better race than this.
5th
5th (3) (10/1 -18%) Star Flyer
10/1(-18%)
(3) Star Flyer 10/1, Reached the frame in both bumpers and ran to a fair level on second start over hurdles (following wind op) when third at Newcastle (20.3f) in January. However, not matched that form since, including on handicap bow at Fontwell latest. Handled soft and good in novices; stopped to nothing on 2m5f handicap debut; up in trip.
6th
6th (4) (1.62/1 +35%) Hungry Hill
1.62/1(+35%)
(4) Hungry Hill 1.62/1, Promising sort who posted his best effort over timber when second of 12 in C&D handicap (good to soft) 65 days ago. Cheekpieces now added and likely has more to offer yet. Improved form on handicap debut over C&D (good); remains of interest; cheekpieces on.
|PU|
|PU| (1) (9/1 +25%) Moodofthemoment
9/1(+25%)
(1) Moodofthemoment 9/1, Showed a fair bit in novice/maidens but bombed out on handicap debut at Warwick (26f) in March. Headgear now reached for. Won Irish point; fair 4th in second of first 3 hurdles; very disappointing handicap debut.
|PU|
|PU| (10) (66/1 -32%) Champs Hill
66/1(-32%)
(10) Champs Hill 66/1, Little impact in bumper/6 outings over hurdles and remains hard to recommend. 7 lb out of the weights. Tongue strap on first time. Minor form so far, including in three handicaps at up to 2m5f; 7lb out of the weights.
LTO Selection:
16:45 Ffos Las Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 24f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
It is difficult to accurately predict which horse will do well based on this summary as there are multiple factors that may influence their performance on the day. However, based on recent form and potential for improvement, the horses that may finish in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd places are: 1st place: 4/1 (7) SADIE HILL - The horse has just had a recent win and appears to be in good form. The 3 lb rise in weight seems fair and could potentially drive the horse to perform even better. 2nd place: 2.5/1 (4) HUNGRY HILL - The horse has shown improved form on a previous handicap debut over the same course and distance. The addition of cheekpieces may help the horse perform even better. 3rd place: 4.5/1 (6) BACK YOURSELF - The horse showed promise in a novice hurdle race and has just had an improved performance in a novice hurdle at Taunton. The horse is open to improvement and may perform well on handicap debut.
Point-to-point winner Moodofthemoment could be of some interest if the application of cheekpieces helps him to focus on the job in hand, but top-weight may mean he has to settle for a place if SADIE HILL improves again as hoped. All out to get up and win by a short-head here last month, the extra couple of furlongs looks ideal and an added 3lb seems fair enough. Hungry Hill may prove best of the rest.
HUNGRY HILL left the impression there's more to come when runner-up on handicap debut over C&D last time and is taken to score. Back Yourself and Sadie Hill can also make their presence felt.
This can go to HUNGRY HILL who showed plenty on his handicap debut here in March and should stay this extra distance.
(4) Gwennie May Boy 2/1, Fair hurdles winner at around 2m during the autumn. Yet to reproduce that form in handicaps, jumping none too fluently when fourth at Chepstow (19.4f) 4 weeks ago. Still his previous Sandown display highlighted he's not one to be writing off and the assessor is relinquishing his grip. Hasn't really kicked on from shock win on hurdle debut in October; needs to find extra.
2
2nd (3) (6/1 -100%) Ike Sport
6/1(-100%)
(3) Ike Sport 6/1, Raised his game considerably back from 4 months off when seeing off a subsequent winner at Taunton (19f) in March prior to good second at Huntingdon next time. Not in same form faced with much quicker conditions at Fontwell (19.2f) latest but it remains early days with him. Had excuse when below form last month; big player if judged on March form.
3
3rd (6) (5/1 +64%) Prince De Juilley
5/1(+64%)
(6) Prince De Juilley 5/1, Irish point winner who fared a bit than previously when third on qualifying run in a maiden here (23.8f) in February. However, couldn't build on that in a C&D handicap next time and others make greater appeal on balance. Ran well to a point over C&D on last month's handicap debut but was beaten over 17l.
4
4th (7) (10/1 +0%) Malina Ocarina
10/1(+0%)
(7) Malina Ocarina 10/1, Bagged second victory over hurdles in a Uttoxeter seller during summer 2021 and similar form when runner-up on 2 of her 3 starts in handicaps last summer. Below form fifth back from 9 months off (has gone well fresh) at Stratford 16 days ago and she goes up in trip now. Quite well handicapped now but needs last month's run to have done her good; new trip.
5th
5th (1) (3.6/1 -3%) Pyramid Place
3.6/1(-3%)
(1) Pyramid Place 3.6/1, Capitalised on sliding mark at Wetherby (19.7f) in February and essentially run with credit all 3 starts since, taking a while to wind up when making late headway in to fourth over 2m latest. Return to further back on better ground should hold no fears. Consistent last season; drops in grade after very respectable fourth in 0-135 race.
6th
6th (2) (7/1 -75%) Tiger Orchid
7/1(-75%)
(2) Tiger Orchid 7/1, Dual bumper winner who crucially avoided serious mistakes when doubling hurdles tally over extended 23f here in October. Proved a shade free to see things out when third in a C&D handicap a month later but returns with yard amongst the winners. Not out of things. Collected two small-field wins last term; off since tame finishing effort here in November.
7th
7th (5) (20/1 -150%) Lelantos
20/1(-150%)
(5) Lelantos 20/1, Gained third hurdles win at Bangor (23f) in July and similar form in defeat on 2 of his 3 starts since (disappointed sole chase try) left behind between last 2 back over hurdles at Southwell (24.2f) in November. Below best on soft ground in the autumn but has possibilities here if tuned up after break.
LTO Selection:
16:50 Ludlow Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 21f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Based on the information provided, it is difficult to definitively predict which horse will do well. However, 3/1 (3) IKE SPORT seems to have strong potential based on its previous performance at Taunton in March and could be a big player if judged on that form. 3.5/1 (1) PYRAMID PLACE also has a consistent record and drops in grade after a respectable fourth place finish in its last race. 4/1 (2) TIGER ORCHID has also collected two small-field wins in the past and could potentially be a contender. Predicted finishes: 1) 3/1 (3) IKE SPORT, 2) 3.5/1 (1) PYRAMID PLACE, 3) 4/1 (2) TIGER ORCHID.
TIGER ORCHID was unlucky to bump into two progressive rivals at the start of their winning runs when third over C&D in November and he likely has more to offer this season. Ike Sport is best forgiven his Fontwell flop last month, having made a bad mistake on the final circuit, and a reproduction of previous displays would see him go close. Better is expected of the lightly-raced Gwennie May Boy and the five-year-old completes the shortlist.
A competitive opener with the narrow vote in favour of IKE SPORT. Off the mark in handicaps at Taunton in March prior to a good second at Huntingdon later that month, he may have found much quicker conditions against him on his latest outing and he could well be up to defying this sort of mark. Gwennie May Boy needs to shrug off a lesser effort latest but there's an air of unfinished business about him in handicaps, whilst Pyramid Place is also worth a second look.
Class-dropper PYRAMID PLACE is only 2lb higher than when winning a much stronger race than this at Wetherby in February.
(5) Raleagh Flora 2.25/1, Modest hurdler in Ireland in 2020. Point winner 10 days ago and of firm interest back under Rules. Pulled up on first run after a break this year; easy point winner 10 days ago; a possible.
2
2nd (6) (4/1 -167%) For Rita
4/1(-167%)
(6) For Rita 4/1, Held in Cork bumper 4 years ago but 7-time point winner since, including a fortnight ago. Of firm interest. Good second in a ladies open before winning two small-field events; the one to beat.
3
3rd (3) (5/1 +38%) Fiddler Of Dooney
5/1(+38%)
(3) Fiddler Of Dooney 5/1, Modest form in hunters (held in third in this race 12 months ago). Point winner after but held twice last month in that sphere. 16l third in this race last year; last on both point starts this year; others preferred.
4
4th (4) (5/1 +64%) Oval Street
5/1(+64%)
(4) Oval Street 5/1, Point winner who showed up well for a long way with cheekpieces fitted for his hunter debut at Stratford a year ago (made running, 2 lengths down in third and beginning to look held when fell 2 out). Held in Fakenham point a fortnight ago. Fell only previous run under rules; mixed efforts pointing this year; headgear switch.
5th
5th (1) (11/1 +8%) Caballo Diablo
11/1(+8%)
(1) Caballo Diablo 11/1, Half-brother to 4 winners, including useful hurdler Gilt Shadow (2m-21f winner, by Beneficial) and fairly useful chaser Cage of Fear (3m winner, by Milan). Point winner, last of 4 finishers last time (Feb 25). Hooded/tongue tied. 1-10 in points although has come up against some decent prospects; others more convincing.
|PU|
|PU| (2) (4/1 +11%) Doctor Tom
4/1(+11%)
(2) Doctor Tom 4/1, Dual point winner (easily latest, a fortnight ago). One to consider on Rules debut. Visored. Two point wins this year including on the point track here last month; up in grade.
LTO Selection:
16:55 Fakenham Hunter Chase (Class 5) 24f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
1.5/1 (6) FOR RITA is the one to beat based on their recent performances and past success as a point winner. 4.5/1 (2) DOCTOR TOM and 3/1 (5) RALEAGH FLORA could also be contenders, as they have shown success in recent point wins and are up in grade for this race. The others, 12/1 (1) CABALLO DIABLO, 8/1 (3) FIDDLER OF DOONEY, and 14/1 (4) OVAL STREET, may struggle based on their recent form and lack of notable successes.
FOR RITA, a multiple winner in point-to-points, could be hard to beat if she copes with tackling regulation fences for the first time in public. She has a live chance and the 7lb she receives from the boys could be a telling factor at the business end. Doctor Tom was a comfortable winner when he made all on the pointing course here last month, and rates as the chief threat to the selection. Raleagh Flora rates best of the rest.
FOR RITA is a 7-time point winner and demands plenty of respect on her first go in a hunter. Raleagh Flora and Doctor Tom are also of interest.
In a tricky maiden hunter chase the in-form FOR RITA is taken to beat Raleagh Flora and Doctor Tom.
(5) Shockwaves 1.75/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Off 9 months/gelded. Could have more to offer. Best effort came over C&D; possible improver back here on second handicap run.
2
2nd (10) (2.5/1 +55%) King Cabo
2.5/1(+55%)
(10) King Cabo 2.5/1, Won at Kempton last summer. Off 7 months. Must improve. Has good claims on peak form but goes without usual hood on return from layoff.
3
3rd (9) (14/1 +0%) Ciotog
14/1(+0%)
(9) Ciotog 14/1, Won at Wolverhampton in September. Off 164 days. Best form is on Tapeta at Wolverhampton; first run at Lingfield.
4
4th (3) (7/1 +36%) Ellade
7/1(+36%)
(3) Ellade 7/1, C&D winner. Off 171 days. Wouldn't dismiss on return. Held in Class 4 here when last seen; 3-3 at this course otherwise (Class 5 wins).
5th
5th (6) (5/1 +33%) Thapa Vc
5/1(+33%)
(6) Thapa Vc 5/1, Course winner. Cheekpieces on for 1st time, didn't need to improve to win 11-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f, 4/1) 6 months ago. Tongue strap on 1st time. More needed over this trip. Has done his winning over 7f; return to 1m may find him out on reappearance.
6th
6th (8) (8.5/1 +79%) Kaaranah
8.5/1(+79%)
(8) Kaaranah 8.5/1, 16/1, fifteenth of 16 in handicap at Pontefract (8f, good to soft) 15 days ago. Form for current stable suggests he may need a return to 1m2f.
7th
7th (7) (40/1 -21%) Baikal
40/1(-21%)
(7) Baikal 40/1, 125/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, fifth of 7 in handicap at Chelmsford City (7f) 12 days ago. Something to find on form. Latest effort may not be reliable; still a maiden.
8th
8th (4) (16/1 -45%) Cephalus
16/1(-45%)
(4) Cephalus 16/1, Landed a four-timer on AW for Charles Hills in the space of 6 weeks in 2021-22. Off 11 months/gelded. Might need this. Has form figures of 631111 on AW; interesting back in this sphere on debut for new yard.
LTO Selection:
17:05 Lingfield Handicap (Class 5) 8f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the information provided, 2.25/1 (1) BRASIL POWER seems to be the strongest contender with a good AW record and a recent career-best win at Wolverhampton. 4.5/1 (2) ENOUGH ALREADY and 11/1 (3) ELLADE also have some potential with recent wins at the same course and a strong C&D record, respectively. Therefore, the predicted order of finish would be: 1. 2.25/1 (1) BRASIL POWER 2. 11/1 (3) ELLADE 3. 4.5/1 (2) ENOUGH ALREADY
Ellade saves her best for this venue, with three wins from four starts, the latest over this trip in January 2022 when racing off 1lb higher. Although not at her best more recently, she drops in class today and could surprise a few. BRASIL POWER failed to sparkle in Ireland but has returned to Newmarket and won a shade cleverly at Wolverhampton last week. A 5lb penalty may not stop a follow-up victory, leaving Cephalus as a likely outsider to consider.
BRASIL POWER made a tremendous return for George Boughey at Wolverhampton on Wednesday and is taken to go in again under a penalty. Enough Already struck here on Thursday and is respected. The returning Shockwaves under Oisin Murphy is an interesting alternative.
Based on his record for George Boughey, BRASIL POWER (nap) could well improve further on AW. Ellade is second choice.
(12) Shaw's Cross 9/1, Landed 2m1f handicap chase at Plumpton in January and solid efforts in defeat since until posting a below-par fifth back hurdling at Newton Abbot 31 days ago. Sort to bounce back returned to larger obstacles. Just 1lb above last winning mark and should appreciate the return to fences.
1
1st (3) (5.5/1 +8%) You Say Nothing
5.5/1(+8%)
(3) You Say Nothing 5.5/1, Posted best effort over fences when narrowly taking 6-runner handicap at Market Rasen (17.2f, soft) in March and shaped much better than bare result when fifth in Carlisle handicap chase (15.9f, good) since. Shortlisted. Won at Market Rasen in March and latest heavy defeat was in a much better race.
2
2nd (5) (18/1 +18%) Chestnut Pete
18/1(+18%)
(5) Chestnut Pete 18/1, Fair hurdler who matched that form at the first time of asking over fences when second in handicap at Hereford (16f, good to soft) last month. Unseated at first fence at Huntingdon since, though, and in a more competitive contest now. Still unexposed over fences, but is 0-15 under rules.
3
3rd (2) (4/1 +0%) Feel The Pinch
4/1(+0%)
(2) Feel The Pinch 4/1, Has built up a particularly good record at Bangor, adding to his tally over hurdles in March and in process of running well prior to unseating in luckless fashion over fences at that venue 17 days ago (set to go close). Has another win in him from this mark. Unexposed over fences; in with a chance last time when unseating his rider at the last.
4
4th (7) (7.5/1 -25%) Billingsley
7.5/1(-25%)
(7) Billingsley 7.5/1, C&D winner who got back on scoreboard when taking 7-runner handicap chase (16/1) at Chepstow (19.4f, good to soft) 24 days ago, always holding on. Just 3 lb higher now and warrants respect. May have been fortunate last time, but the return to this trip is in his favour.
5th
5th (1) (14/1 +0%) Lermoos Legend
14/1(+0%)
(1) Lermoos Legend 14/1, In good form last summer, scoring at Cartmel in June, but rather went off the boil in latter part of year. Returns on a workable mark at least. Has no great record fresh, so this first start in 161 days is likely to be needed.
6th
6th (9) (7/1 +0%) Fortunate Fred
7/1(+0%)
(9) Fortunate Fred 7/1, Clearly has had his problems but also possesses a fair bit of talent, finishing placed in a trio of maiden hurdles last summer. Worth monitoring in the market on chase/handicap debut. Makes his chase debut after nine months off; worth a market check.
7th
7th (10) (4.5/1 +82%) Holerday Ridge
4.5/1(+82%)
(10) Holerday Ridge 4.5/1, Fair winner over hurdles who made an encouraging start in this sphere when third in handicap at this course (20.9f) in March. Couldn't build on that at Huntingdon last time, though. Fair third on chase debut here in March; could go well if coping with the shorter trip.
8th
8th (11) (6/1 +25%) Henry Box Brown
6/1(+25%)
(11) Henry Box Brown 6/1, Bumper winner on debut/sole start in Ireland and showed improved form when opening his account over hurdles in Uttoxeter handicap (15.8f) in December. However, not been in anything like the same form since and plenty to prove sent chasing here. 1-13 over hurdles and now makes his chase debut; half-brother to a winning pointer.
|PU|
|PU| (6) (7.5/1 -15%) Madiba Passion
7.5/1(-15%)
(6) Madiba Passion 7.5/1, Run creditably last twice, latest when second of 9 in handicap chase at Bangor (17.4f, good to firm) 17 days ago, going with enthusiasm. 2 lb rise fair and likely to go well again. Runner-up the last twice; up another 2lb but a contender nonetheless.
LTO Selection:
17:15 Ffos Las Handicap Chase (Class 4) 16f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
BILLINGSLEY returned to form with a decisive win at Chepstow last month and this admirable veteran, who remains well treated off a 3lb higher mark, could repeat the dose with a similar performance. The lightly-raced Tarahumara must be of interest on just his second start over the larger obstacles, while the consistent Shaw's Cross can't be ruled out in receipt of weight all round.
FEEL THE PINCH may well have won but for being bumped and his pilot dislodged at Bangor last month and he makes plenty of appeal off the same mark here. You Say Nothing was far from disgraced in a stronger event last time and is much respected, whilst Madiba Passion can also make his presence felt.
Had he not unseated his rider at the last at Bangor recently FEEL THE PINCH may have beaten Madiba Passion. He can do so this time.
(8) Ooh Betty 1.4/1, Point winner who built on her earlier promise when second in 18-runner handicap at Exeter (18.5f) 18 days ago, staying on well having conceded first run. Big player back up in trip. Point winner; promising Exeter 2nd in h'cap hurdle latest; big shout with Brian Hughes up.
2
2nd (5) (2.5/1 +25%) Manimole
2.5/1(+25%)
(5) Manimole 2.5/1, Fair maiden hurdler who resumed progress dropped back in trip when third in 9-runner handicap at Stratford (16.3f) 16 days ago. Respected on form but this step back up in trip isn't sure to suit. Very good third in 2m Stratford h'cap latest; needs to show her stamina over this trip.
3
3rd (10) (40/1 -60%) Sinurita
40/1(-60%)
(10) Sinurita 40/1, Third of 4 finishers sole start in Irish points in October 2020. Shaped as if badly needing the run when well held in a maiden hurdle at Market Rasen (20.6f) on Rules debut in November but ran even worse in a first-time tongue strap at Huntingdon subsequently. Lots to prove. Had breathing op. Has offered little in 2 runs in this sphere; returns after breathing op with more to do.
4
4th (6) (40/1 -21%) Miss Pearl
40/1(-21%)
(6) Miss Pearl 40/1, Looks a handicap project. Significantly up in trip. Hooded for 1st time. Too free when sixth at Ludlow and Ffos Las last month; hood goes on so no forlorn hope.
5th
5th (12) (40/1 -515%) Pennsylvanie
40/1(-515%)
(12) Pennsylvanie 40/1, Kayf Tara filly. Dam fairly useful hurdler/useful chaser (15f-21f winner, stayed 3m). Fair form on 2 of her 3 starts in France but ran a long way below that level on his British/yard debut at Chepstow. Significantly up in trip. Fair form in France but beat only one on her yard debut at Chepstow; more is needed.
6th
6th (9) (16/1 -100%) Pollyonesock
16/1(-100%)
(9) Pollyonesock 16/1, Modest form in bumpers and some encouragement completed start over hurdles but will probably be of more interest in handicaps for all that this is a weakish race. Encouraging Stratford 3rd latest; can build on that over this longer distance; considered.
7th
7th (2) (4.5/1 +10%) Ambush Annie
4.5/1(+10%)
(2) Ambush Annie 4.5/1, £38,000 5-y-o, Fame And Glory mare. Dam (h91), bumper winner (stayed 2¼m), half-sister to fairly useful hurdler (2½m winner) Part Presenting. Runner-up both starts in Irish points (latest Nov 2022). Cobden a positive jockey booking. Twice runner-up in points this winter; goes hurdling now after a wind op; much respected.
8th
8th (7) (6.5/1 +35%) Oneway Express
6.5/1(+35%)
(7) Oneway Express 6.5/1, £20,000 5-y-o, Milan mare. Dam unraced half-sister to useful hurdler/smart chaser (17f-2¾m winner) Princesse Kap. Third sole start in Irish points (Feb 5) and requires a market check now switched to Rules. Third in Irish point in February; changed hands for £20,000; is an interesting newcomer.
9th
9th (3) (150/1 -50%) Black Sam Vicki
150/1(-50%)
(3) Black Sam Vicki 150/1, Ran to a modest level on the second of 2 bumper starts but has made no impact in a pair of maiden hurdles. Third in a Chepstow bumper but she has offered little in two runs in this sphere.
|F|
|F| (4) (25/1 -127%) Love Bite
25/1(-127%)
(4) Love Bite 25/1, Well related and in top hands but has shown little in a brace of bumpers. Significantly up in trip for hurdle debut. Modest form shown in two bumpers but this half-sister to Might Bite is not discounted.
|U|
|U| (1) (150/1 -355%) After Midnight
150/1(-355%)
(1) After Midnight 150/1, In next of experience both starts in bumpers. Upped in trip on hurdle bow. Never dangerous in bumpers at Warwick and Southwell last month; lots more needed.
LTO Selection:
17:25 Ludlow Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 21f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Pennsylvanie was a well-beaten fifth on her British debut at Chepstow last month and Alexandra Dunn's filly may prove worth taking on, despite being well treated at these weights. MANIMOLE does have her stamina to prove over this extended 2m5f trip, but she arrives in good form as displayed when third in a handicap hurdle at Stratford recently. Ambush Annie is a potential fly in the ointment on her hurdling debut and is worth a market check.
OOH BETTY caught the eye keeping on well when runner-up in a big-field handicap at Exeter 18 days ago and she's worth supporting to go one better on the back of that encouraging display, especially with chief form rival Manimole having stamina doubts over this longer trip. Ambush Annie was runner-up on both her starts in Irish points, so warrants respect with Harry Cobden an interesting jockey booking.
Point winner OOH BETTY looks the way to go on on the back of her promising Exeter handicap second andwith Brian Hughes in the saddle.
(3) Fifty Sent 2/1, First run since leaving Michael Bell when creditable third of 11 in handicap at this C&D (22/1) 36 days ago. Down 1 lb and he needs considering.
2
2nd (6) (4/1 +11%) Tafsir
4/1(+11%)
(6) Tafsir 4/1, 9/1, good third of 7 in handicap at this C&D 7 days ago. Shouldn't be at all far away if able to back that effort up.
3
3rd (4) (7/1 -40%) Kardinya
7/1(-40%)
(4) Kardinya 7/1, Unreliable type. One win from 22 Flat runs. Ninth of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (14f, 8/1) 31 days ago, lost all chance at start. Back down in trip and visor on 1st time. Looks vulnerable.
4
4th (5) (16/1 +11%) Top Attraction
16/1(+11%)
(5) Top Attraction 16/1, Temperamental sort. Course winner. One win from 24 Flat runs. 66/1, last of 15 in handicap at Pontefract (8f, heavy) 28 days ago. Back up in trip.
5th
5th (1) (1.62/1 +19%) Pallas Lord
1.62/1(+19%)
(1) Pallas Lord 1.62/1, Course winner. Twelve runs since last win in 2022. 12/1, last of 14 in handicap at Catterick (12.1f, soft) 13 days ago. No surprise at all if he bounces back with a bold show returned to the AW.
LTO Selection:
17:40 Newcastle Handicap (Class 6) 10f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Based on the information provided, it is difficult to reliably predict the horses that will finish in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd places. However, 18/1 (5) TOP ATTRACTION may not do well based on their previous performance and high odds, while 3/1 (3) FIFTY SENT and 2/1 (1) PALLAS LORD have both won on this course and could potentially be contenders. 4.5/1 (6) TAFSIR also had a good showing in their previous race and should not be underestimated. 5/1 (4) KARDINYA is described as unreliable and vulnerable, so they may be less likely to finish in a top position. Ultimately, further research and analysis would be necessary to make more informed predictions.
Fifty Sent may prove popular here with the Michael Dods team in winning form, but he will need to step up on his C&D third if he wants to get the better of TAFSIR at these weights. The selection ran on well to be beaten less than a length over this trip last week and gets in here off 1lb lower in the handicap. Pallas Lord might also get involved dropping in trip after weakening over further at Catterick.
PALLAS LORD failed to fire on turf last time but he was runner-up in back-to-back C&D handicaps prior to that and is presented with a good opportunity to resume winning ways. He may have most to fear from the filly Tafsir, who was a close third here last week. Fifty Sent is best of the rest.
Pallas Lord can fare better back on AW but FIFTY SENT may leave last month's reappearance behind him and gets the nod.
(10) He's My Shadow 12/1, Placed in points and showed something to work on in novice/maiden hurdles earlier this year. Produced an underwhelming effort on handicap debut at Chepstow 24 days ago though, and hood reached for now. Hasn't got home over 2m3f at Chepstow the last twice; drop in trip a positive; hood on.
1
1st (5) (6.5/1 -18%) Double Click
6.5/1(-18%)
(5) Double Click 6.5/1, Unplaced all 3 starts in Irish points and having run to only a modest level on Rules/hurdles bow, he took a step forward to get off the mark in a Wincanton maiden (15.2f) 23 days ago, staying on to lead between last 2 and keeping on. Less exposed than most now handicapping. Won at Wincanton last time; improvement needed on handicap debut but that is possible.
2
2nd (3) (2.75/1 +39%) Good Friday Fairy
2.75/1(+39%)
(3) Good Friday Fairy 2.75/1, Well held only start in bumpers but steadily progressive over hurdles, winning readily having dictated when landing 14-runner Chepstow maiden (2m) 11 days ago. interesting connections turn out quickly on handicap debut and there could well be more to come. Won easily at Chepstow last time; this looks tougher on handicap debut, but on the up.
3
3rd (13) (7/1 +30%) Imperial Measure
7/1(+30%)
(13) Imperial Measure 7/1, Low-key efforts in novice/maiden hurdles but bettered form showed on C&D handicap debut when runner-up back here 30 days ago, no match for a ready winner. Remains early days with him and he may yet have a little more to offer at this level. Runner-up over C&D last time; frame material.
4
4th (4) (3.5/1 +56%) Filanderer
3.5/1(+56%)
(4) Filanderer 3.5/1, Warwick bumper winner who has showed signs of promise in handful of runs over hurdles, fourth in 11-runner Fontwell handicap (17.7f) last month. Still, he does need to learn to settle if he's to make a greater impact. Better when fourth at Fontwell last time; one for the shortlist if taking another step up.
5th
5th (14) (4.5/1 +44%) Half The Freedom
4.5/1(+44%)
(14) Half The Freedom 4.5/1, Got off the mark at Doncaster in January and he comes here having run respectably when fourth at Uttoxeter (15.7f) 38 days ago, off bridle long way out and keeping on gradually. Not out of things. Has run with credit since winning at Doncaster in January, but is fairly well exposed now.
6th
6th (6) (33/1 -136%) Menin Gate
33/1(-136%)
(6) Menin Gate 33/1, 3-time winner on Flat who displayed minor promise initially over hurdles early last year. Winless on the level subsequently but entitled to be sharper for last month's return to action at Yarmouth. Betting may guide back over timber. Only had three starts over hurdles, but on a losing run of 16.
7th
7th (12) (25/1 +0%) Good Impression
25/1(+0%)
(12) Good Impression 25/1, Successful twice during the autumn, latterly over C&D in October. Hasn't scaled same heights upon returning to action this spring, fifth in 8-runner handicap at Chepstow (2m) 24 days ago. Mark is easing all the time at least. Four wins last year including over C&D; could bounce back.
8th
8th (11) (18/1 +18%) Call Me Arthur
18/1(+18%)
(11) Call Me Arthur 18/1, Soldier of Fortune gelding who has displayed a modicum of promise on 2 of his 3 starts in juvenile/novice hurdles, seemingly in need of a greater test when fifth in 9-runner Newton Abbot novice (16.7f) 31 days ago. Handy 4-y-o allowance here and he's the type to do better. Hinted at ability on his debut and may show a bit more now making his handicap debut.
9th
9th (9) (40/1 -100%) Tokyo Live
40/1(-100%)
(9) Tokyo Live 40/1, Made the frame all 3 starts in 4-y-o hurdles for Francois Nicolle in 2021 and in process of running creditably when coming down at last in Lingfield handicap early last year. However, offered little on back of 14 months off at Hereford 33 days ago. This should reveal more. Tailed off on return from a long layoff at Hereford last month; enough to prove.
|U|
|U| (8) (8.5/1 -6%) King's Castle
8.5/1(-6%)
(8) King's Castle 8.5/1, Fair performer on the Flat (stays 1¾m) and better with each outing over hurdles, fading late on when fourth in a Taunton maiden (16.5f) in February. Undergone wind surgery ahead of this handicap debut and another who can improve further. Best effort over hurdles when fourth last time; form has worked out well; handicap debut.
LTO Selection:
17:48 Ffos Las Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 16f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
In an open contest, it might be worth taking a chance on ONLY FOOLS. The Mondialiste filly didn't show much in three qualifying runs, but, for an in-form yard, it would be no surprise were she to step forward on her handicap debut. Good Friday Fairy bolted up at Chepstow 11 days ago and must be considered, along with recent Wincanton scorer Double Click.
DOUBLE CLICK stepped up plenty on his hurdles debut form when running out a good winner of a Wincanton maiden 23 days ago and, easily one of the least exposed in this field, he could well build on that now his sights are set on handicaps. Similar comments apply to fellow last-time-out winner Good Friday Fairy and he's feared along with King's Castle. Call Me Arthur is a 4-y-o to note also.
Handicap-debutant KING'S CASTLE is given the vote with the form of his latest Taunton fourth having been boosted.
(5) Fine By Her 5/1, Did the job well when opening her account at Fakenham (3m, good) last spring and found just one too good back there in January. Latest effort wasn't one of her better ones but she will be a danger to all if bringing her A-game. In good form until coming in only fourth of five in 3m1f Hereford handicap 46 days ago.
2
2nd (2) (16/1 +36%) Bright Sunbird
16/1(+36%)
(2) Bright Sunbird 16/1, Maiden in Ireland but it didn't take her long to come good for new yard, winning a Uttoxeter handicap and Cartmel novice last summer. Form nosedived thereafter, though, and she's essentially opposable. Beat only one over C&D in November; has gone well fresh though so can't be discounted.
3
3rd (3) (7/1 +18%) Let's Go Amigo
7/1(+18%)
(3) Let's Go Amigo 7/1, Lightly-raced maiden who appeared to take a step in the right direction when fourth of 10 on handicap debut at Taunton (19f, good) in February. However, disappointed in first-time cheekpiece (retained) upped to 25f at Huntingdon last time. Ran poorly at Huntingdon (3m1f) in March; he needs to bounce back with headgear retained.
4
4th (4) (2.25/1 +50%) Whenitrainsitpours
2.25/1(+50%)
(4) Whenitrainsitpours 2.25/1, Hasn't really threatened in 5 starts since switched to hurdles but shaped better than the bare result in a first-time tongue strap (on again here) when seventh in an 18-runner Exeter handicap (23.1f, good to soft) recently. Possibilities here if able to build on that. Good seventh at Exeter 18 days ago; enters calculations off same mark.
5th
5th (8) (18/1 -112%) Robynson
18/1(-112%)
(8) Robynson 18/1, Well held in a bumper and no great promise over hurdles so far, the switch to handicap company failing to spark any improvement at Chepstow (19.4f, good to soft) last month. Now moves up in trip with cheekpieces enlisted. In excellent hands but he's offered little in four runs in this sphere; cheekpieces go on.
6th
6th (1) (8/1 -60%) Zafar
8/1(-60%)
(1) Zafar 8/1, Has failed to land a blow both starts at around 2½m since returning from 9 weeks off in February but there were nevertheless positives to take from those efforts. Now 11 lb below his last winning mark and could have a part to play back up in trip. Arrives in good nick, 7th at Bangor 17 days ago; very much one to consider off easing mark.
7th
7th (7) (28/1 +15%) Robeam
28/1(+15%)
(7) Robeam 28/1, Largely struggled since finishing third in a Southwell handicap off 5 lb higher in September and it's best to look elsewhere. Comes here out of sorts, pulled up in 3m Southwell handicap hurdle 11 days ago.
8th
8th (9) (3.33/1 -33%) Tellairsue
3.33/1(-33%)
(9) Tellairsue 3.33/1, Imposing sort who appeared to benefit from the step up in trip when landing a 4-runner Fontwell handicap (25.8f, good to firm) 18 days ago. Nudged up just 3 lb and should be thereabouts if able to build on that with cheekpieces refitted. Landed Fontwell h'cap latest; up 3lb but remains unexposed at staying trips; a player.
9th
9th (11) (33/1 -32%) Cheer's Delboy
33/1(-32%)
(11) Cheer's Delboy 33/1, Some decent bits and pieces of form to his name but record stands at 0-20 in this sphere, and needs to find some improvement with blinkers refitted/tongue strap applied here. Longstanding maiden who was pulled up in 3m Southwell handicap 11 days ago.
|PU|
|PU| (6) (28/1 -75%) Dynali
28/1(-75%)
(6) Dynali 28/1, Nicely treated on his best form but well held for new connections back in this sphere following a break at Fakenham in March. Poor effort on the Flat since and others make more appeal. Fair maiden hurdler for Amy Murphy but has offered little in two runs for his current yard.
LTO Selection:
17:55 Ludlow Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 24f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the summary, the horse that is most likely to do well is 2.75/1 (9) TELLAIRSUE. The horse is in good form and landed a Fontwell handicap in the latest race. It is also unexposed at staying trips and has been nudged up just 3 lb. 5/1 (5) FINE BY HER and 5/1 (1) ZAFAR could also finish in the top three, given their recent form and current marks.
TELLAIRSUE proved a different proposition when upped from an extended 2m4f to 3m2f at Fontwell recently and off only 3lb higher in the ratings for that success, David Bridgwater's gelding looks capable of completing the double. Zafar's tumbling mark sees him drop into a class 5 contest over hurdles for the first time and he shouldn't be underestimated. Robynson is likely capable of more for his leading yard and he also warrants consideration now faced with a stiffer test.
This drop to 0-100 company could be just the tonic for ZAFAR, who wasn't disgraced at Bangor recently and he has been given a real chance by the handicapper. Whenitrainsitpours is of interest with Harry Cobden booked and he is second choice ahead of Fine By Her and Tellairsue.
Low-mileage TELLAIRSUE took his form up a notch when scoring at Fontwell and this unexposed stayer can defy a 3lb rise in the weights
(11) Jo's Rainbow , Fourth of 10 in minor event (33/1) at this course (7.1f) on debut. Off 179 days. Has since left Richard Fahey and she's open to improvement with the step up in trip likely to suit. Engaged 6.35 Newcastle Monday. Bred for middle distances and can leave her 2yo debut behind her in time; third 6.35 Monday.
1
1st (7) (0.91/1 +24%) Crystal Mariner
0.91/1(+24%)
(7) Crystal Mariner 0.91/1, Sea The Stars colt who shaped with plenty of encouragement first time up under a hands-and-heels ride when third in 7-runner maiden at Pontefract (10f, heavy) 4 weeks ago. Will improve. Promise amidst inexperience on last month's Pontefract debut; leading contender.
2
2nd (9) (1.38/1 +31%) Lion's Pride
1.38/1(+31%)
(9) Lion's Pride 1.38/1, Roaring Lion colt. Half-brother to several winners, including smart 1m-1¼m winner Purple Ribbon, useful 1m-1¼m winner Crimson Rosette. Lots to like on paper. Has a Group 2 entry. Bred to be smart and he's starting out in a winnable race; of obvious interest.
3
3rd (10) (7/1 +13%) Open Choice
7/1(+13%)
(10) Open Choice 7/1, Shaped with encouragement amidst greenness when fourth of 8 in minor event at this course (8f) on debut, very slowly away. Off 117 days. Up in trip. Open to improvement. Attracted support on debut here in Jan (1m) but fluffed the start; up in trip now.
4
4th (5) (28/1 -211%) Cuernavaca
28/1(-211%)
(5) Cuernavaca 28/1, 190,000 gns yearling, Lope De Vega filly. Half-sister to several winners, including smart 7.6f-1¼m winner Let's Go and useful winner up to 9f Global Spectrum. Has taken a while to get to the track but is nicely bred. 190,000gns half-sister to 4 winners; debut been a long time coming but check the betting.
5th
5th (12) (125/1 -346%) Surge
125/1(-346%)
(12) Surge 125/1, Is well bred but looked one for later on when well held in minor event at Yarmouth (10.1f, heavy, 20/1) on debut 24 days ago, slowly away. 20-1, green and beaten a long way on Yarmouth debut last month; one for the longer term.
6th
6th (3) (40/1 -43%) Evident
40/1(-43%)
(3) Evident 40/1, Found wanting for know-how when last of 5 in minor event at Beverley (9.9f, good to soft) on debut 12 days ago. Should do better at some point. Green when a well-beaten last of five on recent Beverley debut; bred to do much better.
7th
7th (2) (200/1 -400%) Easter Island
200/1(-400%)
(2) Easter Island 200/1, Twice-raced gelding. 100/1, third of 4 in minor event at this course (12.4f). Off 6 months. Ran creditably in a small-field novice here (1m4f) on second start; more required today.
8th
8th (8) (12/1 -50%) Elusive Empire
12/1(-50%)
(8) Elusive Empire 12/1, €45,000 yearling, Territories colt. Half-brother to several winners, including smart 7f/1m winner Afjaan and useful winner up to 13f Cairde Go Deo. Dam 2-y-o 6f winner. Interesting newcomer. Half-brother to five winners, two of whom achieved an RPR of 106 or more; betting useful.
9th
9th (6) (200/1 -203%) Wheres The Crumpet
200/1(-203%)
(6) Wheres The Crumpet 200/1, Down the field in bumpers and was probably flatted when fifth of 7 in C&D maiden on Flat debut 26 days ago. Didn't run badly over C&D on Flat debut last month (missed the break); still opposable.
10th
10th (4) (250/1 -658%) Bella Puledra
250/1(-658%)
(4) Bella Puledra 250/1, Assertive filly. Half-sister to 3 winners, including useful 1m-1¼m winner Alfred Richardson and 6f winner Highjacked. Best watched on debut. Half-sister to three winners but likely best watched on this belated debut.
LTO Selection:
18:10 Newcastle Maiden (Class 5) 10f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
With very little form to work with, Sir Michael Stoute's CRYSTAL MARINER stands out after coming home third on his only start at Pontefract. Slowly away that day and shaping as if the experience would not be lost on him, the three-year-old makes a good bit of appeal. He may prove tough to beat, though newcomers Lion's Pride, a son of Roaring Lion, and Territories colt Elusive Empire cannot be overlooked.
LION'S PRIDE is bred to be at least useful and is evidently quite highly regarded given he holds a Group 2 entry at Royal Ascot, so he's selected to get his career off to the perfect start. Crystal Mariner shaped with plenty of promise first time up at Pontefract 4 weeks ago and rates a sure-fire improver, while Open Choice is another who's likely to build on encouraging debut.
Crystal Mariner sets the standard and is open to improvement, but the well-bred LION'S PRIDE is taken to make a winning debut.
(4) Jet Plane 7.5/1, Emphatic winner of 25f Hereford handicap chase in November and better than the result the last twice, late jumping errors exaggerating the distance beaten at Wetherby 7 weeks ago. One to note back up in trip. Impressive winner of 2nd chase (3m1f); disappointing since; risky for now.
2
2nd (3) (3.5/1 +36%) Copperhead
3.5/1(+36%)
(3) Copperhead 3.5/1, Grade 2 novice chase winner in early-2020. Hasn't been the same since a heavy fall in the RSA that term, mistakes and held in handicaps the last twice. Down further in grade here. Looked to have bright future in 2019-20 season; out of sorts these days; has it to prove.
3
3rd (8) (3.5/1 +42%) Marettimo
3.5/1(+42%)
(8) Marettimo 3.5/1, Back to winning ways in 3m handicap chase (25/1) here a fortnight ago under this rider, idling a touch in front if anything. Can go well again up 2 lb/in trip. Won both completions here, over 2m4f and 3m; good ground is important to him.
4
4th (2) (9/1 -157%) Tide Times
9/1(-157%)
(2) Tide Times 9/1, Fine record here, all 3 of his wins over fences coming at this track (latest in January over C&D). Mark has dipped a little but suspect he'll need a bit more to strike in this company. Good track record, 3-5, but latest defeat here was lesser effort and pulled up either side.
5th
5th (6) (3.33/1 -11%) Kakamora
3.33/1(-11%)
(6) Kakamora 3.33/1, Dual hurdles winner who gained his first success in this sphere in 5-runner handicap chase at Huntingdon (23.6f) 4 weeks ago, forging clear. Up 5 lb but he ought to be in the shake-up again. Having 2nd attempt at staying trip when convincing 2m7f win latest; should go on.
6th
6th (5) (4.5/1 +31%) Minella Buster
4.5/1(+31%)
(5) Minella Buster 4.5/1, Hurdles winner who improved sent chasing last season, scoring on his return at Kempton (3m). Down in grade on first run for 4 months and could figure. Best form at about 3m1f on good ground; pulled up on Boxing Day; form chance.
|PU|
|PU| (7) (12/1 -9%) Brianstorm
12/1(-9%)
(7) Brianstorm 12/1, Dual winning hurdler over 2m who hasn't kicked on over fences, albeit shaping okay after another 11 months off/wind op at Doncaster (3m) 10 weeks ago. Needs to build on that and it's doubtful. Maiden chaser but shown useful 3m form at times and easing ground would suit.
LTO Selection:
18:25 Ludlow Handicap Chase (Class 4) 26f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
MARETTIMO has won back-to-back races before now and rates a solid option to repeat the feat after returning to form over 3m here 13 days ago. With similar ground conditions forecast, a 2lb higher mark is unlikely to be a stumbling block in his bid to follow up over this slightly longer trip. Kakamora also won last time out and is feared most running off 5lb higher, while Brianstorm is lightly raced in recent times and could also have more to give.
MARETTIMO looked full value for his win here a fortnight ago and is taken to follow up over this slightly longer trip. Jet Plane and Minella Buster are a couple of others to consider.
The ground is crucial but with rain about BRIANSTORM may be able to take advantage of a good mark after a satisfactory return to action.
(1) Ba'hoa 6.5/1, Foaled February 21. Mehmas filly. Dam, temperamental 6f winner who stayed 1m, half-sister to useful 7f-8.3f winner Rekdhat. Yard 2-2 with their juveniles on AW so far this year and market support behind her would look significant. February foal; bred to be sharp and stable have made a bright start (3-7) with their 2yos.
2
2nd (3) (10/1 -33%) Exponista
10/1(-33%)
(3) Exponista 10/1, Foaled March 16. Showcasing filly. Sister to smart 6f winner Ehraz. Dam unraced, half-sister to smart winner up to 5.4f Pearl Secret. Notable newcomer. Sister to Group-placed 6f winner Ehraz (RPR 110); stable can get them ready first time out.
3
3rd (8) (1.1/1 +20%) Snafiya
1.1/1(+20%)
(8) Snafiya 1.1/1, Blue Point filly. Half-sister to 2-y-o 6f winner Apricot Twist. Promise when second in 4-runner Nottingham novice (5f) on debut 7 days ago, racing off the pace but noted running on. Seems sure to have derived plenty from that and experience could well count for plenty here. Close 2nd to rival with experience on last week's debut; sets standard with more to come.
4
4th (2) (7/1 +42%) Callianassa
7/1(+42%)
(2) Callianassa 7/1, Foaled February 28. €23,000 foal, Invincible Army filly. Dam, lightly raced (best effort at 5f), half-sister to smart 11f-17f winner Amade. 23,000euros foal; some appeal on paper but yard's 2yos usually better for a run.
5th
5th (7) (5/1 -25%) Raknah
5/1(-25%)
(7) Raknah 5/1, Foaled February 16. €80,000 yearling, Blue Point filly. Dam, unraced sister to smart 1½m/12.5f winner Stellar Mass and half-sister to smart 1¼m-11.6f winner (stayed 1¾m) Fairmile Interesting newcomer. Stamina on dam's side of the pedigree but he's by Blue Point; market to guide.
6th
6th (4) (150/1 -50%) Miss Rainbow
150/1(-50%)
(4) Miss Rainbow 150/1, Once-raced filly. Last of 8 in novice event (33/1) at Redcar (5f, heavy) on debut 22 days ago, running very green and soon detached. 33-1 when tailed off in a 5f novice at Redcar (soft) three weeks ago.
7th
7th (6) (12/1 -33%) Out Of Line
12/1(-33%)
(6) Out Of Line 12/1, Foaled February 25. Showcasing filly. Dam, 2-y-o 5f-6f winner, half-sister to smart winner up to 1½m (stayed 2¼m) Repeater. Yard have made a sound start with their juveniles this campaign and she's another to monitor in the betting for clues on debut. Dam a Group-placed 2yo winner (RPR 102); stable's 2yos going well; check the betting.
8th
8th (5) (10/1 +17%) Mystical Illusion
10/1(+17%)
(5) Mystical Illusion 10/1, Foaled January 2. Soldier's Call filly. Dam, 5f winner, half-sister to 5f-6f winner Tangerine Trees and 5f winner Alpha Delphini (both very smart). Rates a likely type on paper so interesting what the market makes of her on racecourse bow. Early foal; dam a Listed-placed winner from a fast family; interesting newcomer.
LTO Selection:
18:45 Newcastle Maiden (Class 5) 5f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the summary, the most likely horses to finish in the top three are 1.38/1 (8) SNAFIYA, 5.5/1 (1) BA'HOA, and 7.5/1 (3) EXPONISTA. 1.38/1 (8) SNAFIYA has already shown promise in a previous race and is expected to improve. 5.5/1 (1) BA'HOA has a strong breeding and the stable has had success with their 2-year-olds. 7.5/1 (3) EXPONISTA is a notable newcomer with a strong pedigree and the stable has a good record of getting their horses ready for their debuts. The market may provide further clues as to the chances of these horses.
Unless there is something special among the unraced contingent then George Boughey's Nottingham second SNAFIYA is going to prove tough to beat. Only beaten a neck that day after a slow start, she will know her job now and could put her experience to good use. Archie Watson has a good record with his all-weather juveniles which suggests Ba'hoa is worth noting, while Raknah and Mystical Illusion also look the part on paper and could go well.
SNAFIYA displayed plenty of promise when runner-up on debut at Nottingham 7 days ago, and with that experience entitled to count for plenty in this field, she earns the vote with improvement expected. There are a host of appealing newcomers in opposition though, Raknah, Ba'hoa and Mystical Illusion a trio to note in the betting for clues.
An interesting maiden in which MYSTICAL ILLUSION, an early foal from an extremely fast family, might be worth chancing.
(12) Lipa K 11/1, Bumper winner in Ireland last May and got the job done at the fifth attempt over hurdles when landing a 4-runner handicap at Warwick (2m, heavy). 4 lb rise fair enough but has more on his plate this time. Won four-runner Warwick h'cap latest; not discounted given he's still low mileage.
2
2nd (13) (7.5/1 +46%) Casi Crudo
7.5/1(+46%)
(13) Casi Crudo 7.5/1, Fair maiden on Flat for Charlie & Mark Johnston and off the mark over hurdles in juvenile at Market Rasen in December. Matched that level of form when third on handicap bow in this sphere at Southwell (15.8f, soft) and he's not without hope down 3 lb here. Back on track when third at Southwell 27 days ago; off 3lb lower mark now so shortlisted.
3
3rd (1) (4.5/1 +0%) Carole's Pass
4.5/1(+0%)
(1) Carole's Pass 4.5/1, Hurdles winner in France last summer and followed up back from a break at Newbury in November. Bounced back from a couple of below par efforts when fifth of 15 in first-time cheekpieces at Ayr (2m, good) recently and she's a major player off the same mark. Back on track in cheekpieces with Ayr 5th; merits serious consideration with headgear on.
4
4th (5) (6.5/1 +46%) Galata Bridge
6.5/1(+46%)
(5) Galata Bridge 6.5/1, Emphatic winner at Huntingdon last May and acquitted himself well off 12 lb higher in a Class 2 Market Rasen handicap next time. Rather disappointing final 2 starts of 2022, though, and entitled to come on for this following a 7-month break. Scored at Huntingdon (2m) last May but below par on his last two outings; off 7 months.
5th
5th (9) (25/1 +0%) Bombyx
25/1(+0%)
(9) Bombyx 25/1, Useful on the Flat for James Fanshawe and made a winning start over hurdles in March 2021. Hasn't stood much racing since and almost certainly needed the run at Stratford in March, so this run should reveal more. Off nearly two years before pulled up in 2m Stratford h'cap in March; has lots to prove.
6th
6th (4) (7/1 +13%) Shallow River
7/1(+13%)
(4) Shallow River 7/1, Bumper/novice hurdle winner during 2021/22 campaign and good second to Filey Bay (subsequently placed twice in top handicaps) on return at Wincanton in December. Well below that level both starts since but reproduction of that Wincanton form would put him firmly in the picture. Has twice failed to build on a good reappearance Wincanton second; not written off yet.
7th
7th (3) (33/1 -32%) Tap Tap Boom
33/1(-32%)
(3) Tap Tap Boom 33/1, Back-to-back winner over fences at Plumpton/Ludlow back in November but not scaled same heights since the turn of the year, safely held back hurdling with cheekpieces enlisted at Bangor last time. Scored over fences here in November but below that form since, cheekpieces tried on latest.
8th
8th (6) (22/1 -340%) Socialist Agenda
22/1(-340%)
(6) Socialist Agenda 22/1, Bagged a Musselburgh handicap (15.6f, good to soft) off 1 lb higher last February and solid second over the same C&D back from a break in December. Not in the same form since but will be a threat if subsequent wind op has had the desired effect. Dual 2m winner last February but below-par Musselburgh 7th latest; has had a wind op.
9th
9th (2) (7/1 +42%) Finest View
7/1(+42%)
(2) Finest View 7/1, Won 4 on the bounce for Alan King last spring and stepped up on low-key yard debut when third at Taunton (16.5f, good) in February. Seemingly found step up to 19.8f on soft ground too much of a test at Sandown last time and not discounted back down in trip here with a tongue strap added. Took this contest 12 months ago; good Sandown 5th latest; well worth considering.
10th
10th (10) (28/1 -56%) Prime Time Lady
28/1(-56%)
(10) Prime Time Lady 28/1, Exuberant sort who was improved when scoring twice over hurdles last May. However, pulled up on return/chase debut in January and equally poor in a handicap hurdle over this C&D last time. Last of four in C&D handicap 47 days ago; she's the sort to bounce back though.
11th
11th (8) (3.5/1 +22%) Kincardine
3.5/1(+22%)
(8) Kincardine 3.5/1, Pulled up first 2 starts since returning to action in January but combination of the dropping back in trip, wind op and fitting of cheekpieces triggered a return to form when making all at Exeter (16.7f, heavy). Has to enter calculations, for all that more is needed up 4 lb here. Had wind op before landing 2m Exeter h'cap latest; not taken lightly despite a 4lb rise.
|PU|
|PU| (7) (11/1 -10%) Samuel Spade
11/1(-10%)
(7) Samuel Spade 11/1, No more than a fair handicapper on the Flat but has quickly reached a higher level over hurdles, winning at Kempton and Huntingdon and a good second in a Class 2 event at the latter course in between. However, limitations exposed the last twice and the percentage call is to look elsewhere. Won 2m Huntingdon novice in February but he's been below par both runs since.
LTO Selection:
19:00 Ludlow Handicap Hurdle (Class 3) 16f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
Cabrakan is versatile and reverts to hurdles off a reasonably competitive mark. The trip and ground shouldn't pose too many problems and he is likely to be on the premises. However, CASI CRUDO shades preference on this occasion given he tends to come on for a run. He arrives on the back of respectable third at Southwell last month and looks a lively contender off 3lb lower. Kincardine is an obvious one to note in the betting market given his powerful connections, while Lipa K can also go well.
The vote goes to CAROLE'S PASS, who returned to form when fifth in a competitive Ayr handicap last month, and with just half-a-dozen starts in this sphere under her belt, she may well have more to offer now back on track. The one at the bottom of the weights, Casi Crudo, should have a part to play, while Exeter-winner Kincardine and Finest View are others to consider.
The vote goes to Amy Murphy's CAROLE'S PASS, who can race off the same mark as when a good fifth in a strong Ayr handicap last time out
(2) Can To Can 20/1, 28/1, first run for new yard when last of 13 in handicap at Thirsk (5f, heavy) 17 days ago. Makes tapeta debut and sports first-time blinkers. Flopped on stable debut and connections now reach for blinkers; risks attached.
2
2nd (5) (2.75/1 -46%) Wasdale
2.75/1(-46%)
(5) Wasdale 2.75/1, Career best when winning 8-runner handicap (15/2) at this C&D 84 days ago, well on top finish. 4 lb rise is by no means the end of the world and she's very much the one to beat. Won 3 of her last 4 and improved for the return to 5f latest; up 4lb but progressive.
3
3rd (3) (5/1 -11%) Tyke
5/1(-11%)
(3) Tyke 5/1, Winner at Southwell in April. Fifth of 11 in minor event (5/1) at Doncaster (6f, heavy) 11 days ago. Possibilities if able to get back on track here. Winning debut (6f, AW); lesser run on turf last time; needs drop to 5f to spark more.
4
4th (7) (12/1 +14%) Let's Go Hugo
12/1(+14%)
(7) Let's Go Hugo 12/1, Ninth of 13 in handicap at Southwell (5f, 25/1) 30 days ago but will be in with a shout if able to reproduce something akin to peak 2-y-o form. Turf winner last summer; excuses on last two starts but he does need a full revival.
5th
5th (4) (5/1 +17%) Raven's Up
5/1(+17%)
(4) Raven's Up 5/1, 25/1, creditable third of 8 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 28 days ago, nearest finish. Eased 1 lb since but she'll need to find some improvement in order to emerge on top here. 5f turf winner last year; placed over 6f latest without looking ahead of her mark.
6th
6th (1) (1.5/1 +55%) Project Black
1.5/1(+55%)
(1) Project Black 1.5/1, Lightly-raced winner. Successful at Redcar in October. 9/4, fifth of 7 in handicap at Pontefract (6f, heavy) 28 days ago. Will probably find one or two too good. Flopped on reappearance (6f, soft) but progressive as 2yo and still has more to come.
LTO Selection:
19:15 Newcastle Handicap (Class 4) 5f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
WASDALE was worth more than the winning margin suggests when successful over C&D in February, and the unexposed daughter of Twilight Son may be capable of better despite a 4lb elevated mark. Project Black should appreciate the return to a synthetic surface and is considered, while handicap debutant Tyke is open to further improvement and could be suited by a drop in trip.
WASDALE appeared to win with more in hand than the margin of victory would suggest over C&D in February and this 4 lb higher mark should be well within her reach. Though Tyke was safely held at Doncaster last time, he was a pretty decisive winner on debut at Southwell and is preferred to Let's Go Hugo for forecast purposes.
Wasdale is on the up but PROJECT BLACK (nap) looked promising at two and can leave his disappointing reappearance well behind him.
(7) Alghazaal 11/1, Fairly useful on the Flat but has so far failed to land a meaningful blow over hurdles and was pulled up on recent debut in this sphere at Stratford. Pulled up on his chasing debut at Stratford (2m3f) 16 days ago; others appeal more.
2
2nd (3) (2.25/1 +0%) Flash Gorcombe
2.25/1(+0%)
(3) Flash Gorcombe 2.25/1, Confirmed the promise of his chase debut at the second attempt when winning 6-runner Taunton handicap at the end of March. Followed up at Wincanton (15.7f, soft) and a further 6 lb rise may not be enough to stop him in his tracks. On hat-trick after cosily landing 2m h'caps at Taunton and Wincanton; up 6lb; big shout.
3
3rd (6) (16/1 -45%) Arbennig
16/1(-45%)
(6) Arbennig 16/1, Opened account in 5-runner handicap at Fakenham off 2 lb higher last May but safely held both completed starts since, the latest at Plumpton in September (subsequent to which he has had another wind op). Won at Fakenham last May but below par since; off 7 months; more needed after a wind op.
4
4th (5) (10/1 +0%) Letsbe Avenue
10/1(+0%)
(5) Letsbe Avenue 10/1, Quickly off the mark over jumps for new yard in Taunton handicap chase in December, albeit rather fortunate. Added to what is best described as a patchy record when pulled up at Fontwell last time, though, and others make more appeal. Won at Taunton in December but he's been hit and miss since; he needs to bounce back.
5th
5th (4) (4/1 -33%) Miladygrace
4/1(-33%)
(4) Miladygrace 4/1, Didn't show much over hurdles but has won twice and placed on 3 occasions from 5 completed starts in this sphere. Probably flattered by proximity to the winner when runner-up at Taunton (21.7f, good to soft) last time but drop back in trip/quicker ground here are potentially positive factors. Won at Market Rasen and backed it up with Taunton 2nd latest; can make her presence felt.
6th
6th (1) (3.33/1 +45%) Elmount
3.33/1(+45%)
(1) Elmount 3.33/1, Irish import who struck at the third time of asking for new connections when making all in 2m Catterick handicap chase in February. Didn't do much wrong when hitting the crossbar at Plumpton (17f, good) last time and should make his presence felt. Won at Catterick and good Plumpton 2nd 30 days ago; needs considering off the same mark.
7th
7th (10) (50/1 -100%) Mawlood
50/1(-100%)
(10) Mawlood 50/1, Dual hurdles winner but failed to progress over fences for Phil Middleton. Well held all 3 starts back hurdling upon joining this yard last spring and opposable returned to the larger obstacles following 11 months off (has undergone a wind op). Little show for current yard; reverts to fences after 11 months off/breathing surgery now.
8th
8th (9) (25/1 -178%) Begoodtoyourself
25/1(-178%)
(9) Begoodtoyourself 25/1, Belatedly opened Rules account when landing a 2m Huntingdon handicap chase last summer. Placed on 3 of his 5 subsequent starts and not without each-way hope. Won at Huntingdon and largely ran well after; off 6 months so needs to hit ground running.
|U|
|U| (2) (6.5/1 +41%) Extraordinary Man
6.5/1(+41%)
(2) Extraordinary Man 6.5/1, Fair maiden over hurdles (twice placed during 2021/22) who had yet to be asked for his effort when taking a heavy fall 3 out on third start over fences (and first following a wind op) at Plumpton (17f, good). Needs to raise his game a touch. Still in touch when fell 3 out at Plumpton 30 days ago; he's one for the shortlist.
LTO Selection:
19:30 Ludlow Handicap Chase (Class 5) 16f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
FLASH GORCOMBE is hard to oppose in his bid for a third consecutive success since he returned from a short break. He won both his last two starts with a fair bit in hand and is taken to continue his progression over fences, despite the imposition of a 6lb higher mark. Elmount has also flourished since switching to chasing and is feared most, although Brian Hughes gets on well with Miladygrace and that partnership is also high on the shortlist.
The hat-trick beckons for FLASH GORCOMBE, who is clearly going the right way over fences and a 6 lb rise for his latest success at Wincanton doesn't look at all prohibitive. Elmount is second choice ahead of Miladygrace.
Robert Walford's b\FLASH GORCOMBE(nap)\p arrives on the up over fences and he can make light of a 6lb weights rise and complete his-track
(4) Prodigious Blue 16/1, 50/1, failed to come on for his seasonal bow when fourteenth of 15 in handicap at Ripon (6f, soft) 19 days ago, ridden 2f out and unable to land a blow. Needs to get back on track making tapeta debut but is at least operating from last winning mark. Quickly dropped 7lb this year; a much better effort is on the cards on this AW debut.
2
2nd (2) (3.33/1 +33%) Princess Karine
3.33/1(+33%)
(2) Princess Karine 3.33/1, Looked unlucky not to score on return over C&D in March and she pretty much matched that form when respectable third of 8 in handicap at Beverley (5f, good to soft) 12 days ago, no extra final 1f. No reason why she won't be in the mix again. Placed in both runs this year, including over C&D, and she should be involved once more.
3
3rd (3) (8/1 -60%) Saaheq
8/1(-60%)
(3) Saaheq 8/1, Stepped up with each outing upon joining present yard, confirming promise of his Southwell second when landing 8-runner Chelmsford handicap (5f) 19 days ago. 5 lb higher mark demands a little bit more back up in grade. Easy winner at Chelmsford last month; up 5lb but still has handicapping potential.
4
4th (10) (14/1 -17%) Yaahobby
14/1(-17%)
(10) Yaahobby 14/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2022. Respectable third of 11 in handicap (8/1) at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 7 days ago, nearest finish. Each-way claims once more. Ran well over 6f at Wolverhampton last week; effective at 5f; not discounted.
5th
5th (1) (33/1 -175%) Jarvis
33/1(-175%)
(1) Jarvis 33/1, Dual 5f winner (5 months apart) earlier in career for Ger Lyons. Didn't hit the ground running in trio of turf runs upon joining present stable during second half of last year though, so market may prove a useful guide back from 7 months off. Thrown in on Irish form but struggled in 3 runs for this yard in the autumn; down in class.
6th
6th (5) (4.5/1 +36%) Glorious Rio
4.5/1(+36%)
(5) Glorious Rio 4.5/1, 3-time C&D winner. 9/1, shaped better than distance beaten suggests when fourth of 16 in handicap at Haydock (6f, good to firm) 10 days ago, keeping on well late having met trouble early. Not out of things returned to this venue. Conditions to suit and he's slipped to a handy mark; better run on the cards today.
7th
7th (8) (33/1 +0%) Fai Fai
33/1(+0%)
(8) Fai Fai 33/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2021. Hooded for 1st time, last of 7 in handicap (50/1) at Catterick (6f, soft) 13 days ago. Needs to show more before becoming of interest again. Tumbled down the weights in the last year; type to pop up at some point; visor returns.
8th
8th (6) (6.5/1 +0%) Caribbean Sunset
6.5/1(+0%)
(6) Caribbean Sunset 6.5/1, Clearly not the easiest to train and having ran well on the back of a lengthy absence when runner-up here (6f) in February of last year, he may of found the race coming too soon at Wolverhampton a month later. Absent again since but time to catch him could well be fresh. Had some long absences during his career; dangerous mark but there are risks involved.
9th
9th (9) (4/1 +27%) Sugar Baby
4/1(+27%)
(9) Sugar Baby 4/1, 3-time winner (including here) who ran his best race yet when runner-up in a C&D handicap on his final start in November. Clearly on a competitive mark if ready to roll on the back of 6 months and he's shortlisted. Career-best effort when just touched off here in Nov; off since; may come on for the run.
10th
10th (7) (7.5/1 -114%) Elzaal
7.5/1(-114%)
(7) Elzaal 7.5/1, Thrived at this venue since the autumn, making it five C&D victories from his last 6 starts when staying on to lead post 46 days ago. Assessor applies a little more pressure now upped in class but he has to merit respect in this groove. Won 5 of his last 6 over C&D and not taken on lightly despite stiffer opposition today.
LTO Selection:
19:45 Newcastle Handicap (Class 5) 5f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
A few with chances, but the progressive ELZAAL gets the nod. A winner of five of his last six starts, he can continue his ascendency for a trainer who has enjoyed plenty of success with his sprinters over the years. Saaheq struck under Mia Nicholls at Chelmsford last month and is entitled to go well once again, while Sugar Baby, who was narrowly denied over C&D when last seen, can also make his presence felt.
CARIBBEAN SUNSET evidently isn't the easiest to train but he ran well on the back of a lengthy absence when runner-up over 6f here early last year and from a career-low mark he could just be worth chancing to make a bold bid back from 14 months off. Sugar Baby appeals as being on a handy mark and is feared, along with Princess Karine. Elzaal, who has been prolific over this C&D, also merits respect.
Elzaal and Saaheq are solid but it might be worth taking a flier on the class-dropping PRODIGIOUS BLUE back at 5f.
(10) Miss Applejack 7/1, 18/1, eighth of 15 on C&D debut (soft) 123 days ago. Best watched unless the betting hints she's improved in the 4 months since. Hinted at promise when debut eighth over C&D in January; sort to do better in due course.
2
2nd (12) (11/1 +21%) Time In The Sun
11/1(+21%)
(12) Time In The Sun 11/1, Some appeal on paper but never involved on her Warwick debut in February. Very green when eighth in bumper at Warwick; this Getaway filly can take a step forward.
3
3rd (7) (8.5/1 -89%) Trudie Glen
8.5/1(-89%)
(7) Trudie Glen 8.5/1, Blue Bresil mare. Dam (h117), bumper/2m-2½m hurdle winner, half-sister to fairly useful hurdler/smart chaser (21f-3¼m winner) Eva's Oskar. Noteworthy newcomer. In excellent hands so this Blue Bresil mare is firmly in the picture on her debut.
4
4th (2) (2.5/1 -43%) Brave Jen
2.5/1(-43%)
(2) Brave Jen 2.5/1, Fourth on C&D debut in November and far from disgraced in a listed event at Newbury since. One to consider back in shallower waters. 6th in Listed bumper at Newbury in February; she needs considering after a break.
5th
5th (3) (2.5/1 +29%) Faha Belle
2.5/1(+29%)
(3) Faha Belle 2.5/1, Successful on second of 2 starts in Irish points (February 19th). Joined a leading yard with a good bumper record. Likely type. Winning Irish pointer in February so she rates and interesting newcomer for good yard.
6th
6th (6) (12/1 -167%) Strong Belle
12/1(-167%)
(6) Strong Belle 12/1, Promising 2¼ lengths third in listed bumper at Huntingdon on debut but well below that level in her 2 outings since, beaten 22¼ lengths when fourth at Chepstow latterly. Major player on debut form but hard to be very confident about. Has twice failed to build on a promising debut Huntingdon bumper third.
7th
7th (9) (7/1 +36%) Aunty Christine
7/1(+36%)
(9) Aunty Christine 7/1, €37,000 Westerner filly. Closely related to bumper winner Fancy Girl, and half-sister to fair hurdler Gotthenod. Stable has a healthy bumper strike-rate. One to note in the betting. This Westerner mare is no forlorn hope, especially if the market vibes are positive.
8th
8th (5) (200/1 -203%) Pepite De Amour
200/1(-203%)
(5) Pepite De Amour 200/1, 40/1, last of 11 on Southwell debut 4 weeks ago. Can only be watched. Last in Southwell bumper on her debut 27 days ago; needs to take a big step forward.
9th
9th (11) (125/1 -213%) Persian Willow
125/1(-213%)
(11) Persian Willow 125/1, 16/1, needed experience (ran in snatches) when 45 lengths seventh of 10 on Southwell debut 27 days ago. Needs to have come no a lot. 16-1 and tongue tied, raced green when debut seventh at Southwell; can build on it now.
10th
10th (8) (40/1 +39%) Apache Princess
40/1(+39%)
(8) Apache Princess 40/1, Fountain of Youth filly. Dam 1m-1½m winner. Watching brief advised on debut. Fountain Of Youth mare; makes her debut but others appeal more on this occasion.
11th
11th (4) (18/1 +10%) Massima Bella
18/1(+10%)
(4) Massima Bella 18/1, Black Sam Bellamy half-sister to numerous winners, including smart hurdler Baradari and temperamental but useful hurdler/chaser Barizan. Bred to have a future and worth a market check. Daughter of Black Sam Bellamy who is a half-sister to seven winners; considered debutante.
This represents a considerable drop in class for BRAVE JEN, who struggled in Listed territory at Newbury on her most recent run in February. She is entitled to build on that at this level, but Faha Belle makes both her Rules and stable debut following a comfortable win in a point-to-point last time out and is feared. Trudie Glen looks the pick of the unraced prospects and can have a say in proceedings.
Nicky Henderson's BRAVE JEN didn't fare too badly in listed company last time and is perhaps a more solid option than Strong Belle who has taken a couple of backward steps since her very encouraging debut third. Point-recruit Faha Belle and newcomers Trudie Glen and Aunty Christine could also play prominent roles if the market speaks in their favour.
There are some newcomers who bring potential, not least Fergal O'Brien's winning Irish pointer FAHA BELLE. She can emerge on top.
(5) Martineo 3.2/1, 7/2 and tongue strap on for 1st time, creditable third of 8 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 7 days ago, slowly away. Won on his last visit here and one to consider. Placed on his last three starts and he's a leading contender at this level.
2
2nd (6) (5/1 -43%) Eyes
5/1(-43%)
(6) Eyes 5/1, C&D winner. Thirteen runs since last win in 2021. Fourth of 13 in handicap (14/1) at this C&D 39 days ago. Leading claims. Not beaten far over C&D latest and that is strong form for the grade; leading contender.
3
3rd (2) (3/1 +0%) Written Broadcast
3/1(+0%)
(2) Written Broadcast 3/1, Latest win at Wolverhampton in March. Bit below form sixth of 14 in handicap at Beverley (7.4f, soft, 12/1) 8 days ago. One to consider. Didn't run badly on turf last week and has 2 AW wins to his name this year; major player.
4
4th (9) (11/1 -38%) Oriental Lilly
11/1(-38%)
(9) Oriental Lilly 11/1, 6-time course winner. Nineteen runs since last win in 2021. Creditable third of 6 in handicap at Ayr (8f, good to firm, 9/1) 5 days ago. Visor back on. Engaged 2.25 Ayr Monday. On losing run and faded into sixth at Ayr yesterday.
5th
5th (3) (6.5/1 +13%) Darker
6.5/1(+13%)
(3) Darker 6.5/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 33/1, eleventh of 14 in handicap at Wetherby (8f, good to soft) 9 days ago. Makes tapeta debut. Lots more needed. Modest form to date, including on recent h'cap debut; bred to do better at some point.
6th
6th (7) (10/1 +9%) Mr Coco Bean
10/1(+9%)
(7) Mr Coco Bean 10/1, Twenty nine runs since last win in 2021. Seventh of 11 in minor event (11/1) at this course (8f) 55 days ago. Others more persuasive. On a losing run and short of his best the last twice; others look stronger.
7th
7th (1) (7/1 +30%) Ice Shadow
7/1(+30%)
(1) Ice Shadow 7/1, Ninth of 14 in handicap (12/1) at Beverley (7.4f, soft) 8 days ago. Others have achieved more. Ten-race maiden but has shown promise and this is his first taste of 0-55 company.
8th
8th (4) (16/1 -14%) Rum Runner
16/1(-14%)
(4) Rum Runner 16/1, Course winner. Twenty three runs since last win in 2020. Last of 8 in handicap at this course (8f, 28/1) on return 7 days ago. Dropped right away on last week's return; handicapped to go well if that brings him on.
LTO Selection:
20:15 Newcastle Handicap (Class 6) 7f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Based on the summary, the horses that are likely to finish in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd are: 1st: 4.5/1 (6) EYES 2nd: 4.5/1 (5) MARTINEO 3rd: Return
It might be worth chancing that EYES (fourth) can build on what was a promising effort over C&D last time out. The mare tends to go well here and, having dropped 1lb in the handicap, she finds herself on an attractive mark in comparison to her peak form. Written Broadcast is also considered as switching to the all-weather may help him reproduce the sort of form which saw him win at Wolverhampton in March. Martineo is noted as well.
Poor stuff with EYES taken to resume winning ways after a good effort here 6 weeks ago. Martineo and Written Broadcast are feared.
Written Broadcast can go well but EYES looked on the way back when fourth here last time in a race that represents solid form.
(3) Hard As Nails 7/1, Third on Warwick debut in November and not disgraced in a Huntingdon listed a month later. Respected back from a break. Shown promise both bumpers; should improve but doesn't set a high standard.
2
2nd (12) (6.5/1 -8%) Tour Ovalie
6.5/1(-8%)
(12) Tour Ovalie 6.5/1, 150/1, but showed promise amidst inexperience when fourth of 19 on Newbury debut (soft) 45 days ago. Open to improvement. Promising debut at Newbury in March (150-1); should improve and play a part.
3
3rd (2) (7.5/1 +6%) Chatty Chich
7.5/1(+6%)
(2) Chatty Chich 7.5/1, Presenting mare. Half-sister to fairly useful hurdler/very smart chaser Le Milos and 2¼m bumper winner/useful hurdler Kid Commando. Would very much enter the reckoning if the betting vibes are strong. Half-sister to smart Le Milos; very interesting for leading yard on pedigree.
4
4th (7) (8/1 +60%) After Many Days
8/1(+60%)
(7) After Many Days 8/1, Getaway filly. Closely related to temperamental/smart chaser Fortescue, and half-sister to 3 winners, including useful hurdler Blenkinsop. Bred for longer trips but still worth a betting check. Dam bred several winning jumpers at about 2m5f; yard gets some bumper winners.
5th
5th (9) (1/1 +60%) Mary
1/1(+60%)
(9) Mary 1/1, Yeats filly who has shown plenty of promise when placed at Warwick and Cheltenham this spring. Sets the standard for the rest to aim at. Shown bumper promise both starts, on soft and good ground; open to improvement.
6th
6th (4) (12/1 -140%) Hedera Park
12/1(-140%)
(4) Hedera Park 12/1, Fair form when twice reaching the frame for Oliver Signy at the end of 2022. Reappears for a new stable. Overhauled after making the running on final 2 bumper starts; may need the run; new yard.
7th
7th (11) (100/1 -150%) Pearl's Legacy
100/1(-150%)
(11) Pearl's Legacy 100/1, 16/1, seventh of 10 in bumper at Chepstow (soft) on debut 47 days ago. Always behind and eventually tailed off on Chepstow bumper debut; one for later on.
8th
8th (10) (40/1 +39%) Milan Cyclone
40/1(+39%)
(10) Milan Cyclone 40/1, 66/1, down the field on her Cheltenham debut last month, with the reopposing Mary well ahead in third. Refused at the first on point debut; long way behind Mary in a Cheltenham bumper since.
9th
9th (6) (11/1 -83%) Moon Lady
11/1(-83%)
(6) Moon Lady 11/1, 13/2, eighth of 16 on Huntingdon debut (good to soft) in February. In top hands and a potential improver on second start. Good family; yard does well in bumpers; easy to back and mid-div at Huntingdon on debut.
|F|
|F| (5) (150/1 -971%) Might Do Emery
150/1(-971%)
(5) Might Do Emery 150/1, Unplaced sole start in point bumpers and likely outsider on Rules debut. Well held in a point bumper; pedigree suggests she'll come into her own over further.
A half-sister to the classy Le Milos, CHATTY CHICH could be worth siding with on her racecourse bow for powerful connections. The fact her dam won her first two Rules starts in bumpers suggests she can go well first time out, and she is narrowly preferred to the grade-dropping Hedera Park, who returns off a break. After Many Days boasts an appealing pedigree and warrants a market check, while Mary adds further spice to the race.
MARY has achieved enough in her 2 outings this spring to think she can win a race of this nature and is the one to beat. Tour Ovalie shaped quite well in a big-field event at Newbury on debut and should have more to offer so she's second choice ahead of Fergal O'Brien's Hard As Nails. Chatty Chich is a newcomer to monitor in the betting.
Tour Ovalie ran well on her Newbury debut but MARY may be able to get off the mark after encouraging runs at Warwick and Cheltenham.
(1) Young Fire 3.2/1, Latest win at Wolverhampton in March. 10/3, seventh of 9 in handicap at Redcar (8f, heavy) 22 days ago. Cheekpieces back on and would be a big player were he to put his best foot forward. Drop to Class 5 saw him win at Wolverhampton in March; less good in better races since.
2
2nd (5) (6/1 +33%) Flag Of Truth
6/1(+33%)
(5) Flag Of Truth 6/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Eleventh of 13 in handicap (11/1) at Redcar (10f, heavy) 22 days ago. Makes tapeta debut and cheekpieces on 1st time. Ground perhaps an excuse on h'cap debut 3 weeks ago; headgear now reached for.
3
3rd (2) (3.5/1 +0%) Anif
3.5/1(+0%)
(2) Anif 3.5/1, Three-time C&D winner, the latest in March. Creditable fourth of 8 in handicap at this course (7.1f, 6/1) 36 days ago, not ideally placed. Should give another good account. Game effort over 7f here in March; respectable in defeat since; return to 1m might help.
4
4th (3) (2.5/1 -25%) Windsor Pass
2.5/1(-25%)
(3) Windsor Pass 2.5/1, Fourth of 6 in handicap at Lingfield (8f, AW, 16/5) 13 days ago, not ideally placed. Good second here in March on first start following a lengthy absence and a reproduction of that would give her every chance. 15-race maiden but two good runs for her new yard; should be bang there.
5th
5th (6) (5/1 -11%) Asdaa
5/1(-11%)
(6) Asdaa 5/1, C&D winner. Fifth of 7 in handicap (22/1) at Beverley (8.4f, soft) 8 days ago. Couldn't rule out. On last winning mark, fully effective here and could get an easy lead; big player.
6th
6th (4) (18/1 -50%) Abnaa
18/1(-50%)
(4) Abnaa 18/1, Four-time course winner. the latest in February. Ninth of 10 in handicap (40/1) at this C&D 26 days ago, slowly away. Opposable in current form. Three 7f AW wins this year & now 1lb lower than for the 3rd; quiet since but down in class.
LTO Selection:
20:45 Newcastle Handicap (Class 5) 8f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the summary, 4.5/1 (6) ASDAA and 2/1 (3) WINDSOR PASS seem to be the strongest contenders for the top 3 positions. 4.5/1 (6) ASDAA is fully effective at the course and could get an easy lead, which makes him a big player. 2/1 (3) WINDSOR PASS has had two good runs for her new yard and was a good second at the course in March. 3.5/1 (2) ANIF could also give a good account and finish in the top 3.
WINDSOR PASS has a solid chance of breaking her maiden and is taken to come good on just her third run for current connections. Formerly trained in Ireland by Jessica Harrington, the daughter of Lope De Vega has gone well in both starts since she returned from a long break and, having gone close over 7f here on her penultimate outing, she ticks plenty of boxes. Anif and Young Fire are the main dangers.
WINDSOR PASS wasn't ideally placed when fourth at Lingfield recently and is probably better judged on her solid comeback effort here in March. She appeals as the most likely winner, with Young Fire and Anif taken to fill the places.
Young Fire and Windsor Pass are feared but ASDAA may enjoy a tactical advantage and is marginally preferred.
Racecard Key
Ths is the racecard key.
Icon
Meaning
TomForm top stats, gold rated
TomForm top stats silver rated
Ran similar race before
S
TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out
T
Top Time speeed rated
Top Racingpost rated
At the races watchout for
At the races top pick
Top rated for thet statistic
How to use Tomform
Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.
This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.
About U.K Horse Racing
Horse racing is a popular and historic sport in the UK, with a tradition dating back centuries. It is a multi-billion pound industry that attracts millions of spectators each year and generates significant economic activity.
There are two main types of horse racing in the UK: flat racing and jump racing. Flat racing is run on a level course and is typically shorter in distance, while jump racing involves horses jumping over obstacles and is generally longer in distance. Both types of racing are popular with spectators and bettors, and they take place at various racetracks throughout the country.
The most famous horse racing event in the UK is the Grand National, which is held annually at Aintree Racecourse in Liverpool. It is a jump racing event that is known for its challenging course and has become a national institution in the UK. Other notable horse racing events in the UK include the Derby, held at Epsom Downs Racecourse in Surrey, and the Royal Ascot, held at Ascot Racecourse in Berkshire.
Horse racing in the UK is regulated by the British Horseracing Authority (BHA), which sets rules and standards for the industry. It is responsible for the welfare of racehorses and the safety of jockeys and trainers, as well as ensuring fair and transparent racing practices.
In addition to its economic and cultural importance, horse racing in the UK also plays a significant role in the breeding and training of thoroughbred horses. Many of the world's top thoroughbreds are bred and trained in the UK, and the industry plays a vital role in the preservation and promotion of the breed.
Overall, horse racing is an integral part of British culture and a major contributor to the country's economy. It is a thrilling and exciting sport that continues to attract a loyal following and generate significant interest from spectators and bettors around the world.
(9/1 -50%)
(0.8/1 +20%)
(1.5/1 -7%)
(2.5/1 -127%)
(0.53/1 +65%)
(33/1 -175%)
(150/1 -200%)
(7/1 -40%)
(150/1 -50%)
(1.75/1 +13%)
(3/1 -117%)
(20/1 +60%)
(66/1 -65%)
(40/1 -60%)
(66/1 -371%)
(1.38/1 +54%)
(18/1 +18%)
(5.5/1 +15%)
(14/1 -75%)
(1/1 +20%)
(11/1 -22%)
(3.5/1 +13%)
(22/1 -57%)
(33/1 -175%)
(2.12/1 +70%)
(3.5/1 +0%)
(4.5/1 +0%)
(12/1 -71%)
(9/1 -20%)
(7/1 -8%)
(66/1 -136%)
(8/1 +56%)
(2.25/1 +25%)
(8/1 -100%)
(9/1 +36%)
(7/1 -56%)
(3.5/1 +61%)
(4/1 -45%)
(12/1 +14%)
(4/1 +64%)
(4.5/1 +0%)
(7.5/1 +17%)
(11/1 -83%)
(5.5/1 -100%)
(3/1 +25%)
(7.5/1 -7%)
(28/1 -12%)
(7/1 +30%)
(3.5/1 +56%)
(4/1 +11%)
(18/1 +18%)
(2/1 +56%)
(150/1 -127%)
(3.5/1 +65%)
(22/1 -22%)
(1.38/1 +31%)
(5/1 -43%)
(6/1 +45%)
(9/1 +10%)
(8/1 -100%)
(11/1 -22%)
(14/1 +65%)
(33/1 -200%)
(0.53/1 +34%)
(16/1 -33%)
(6/1 -80%)
(3.6/1 +20%)
(3.5/1 +30%)
(1.38/1 +27%)
(12/1 -33%)
(2/1 -14%)
(16/1 +0%)
( )
(1.88/1 +32%)
(25/1 -213%)
(3/1 +0%)
(2/1 +50%)
(5.5/1 -100%)
(1.38/1 +31%)
(2/1 +0%)
(3.5/1 -27%)
(16/1 -113%)
(66/1 -100%)
(16/1 -45%)
(9/1 +25%)
(9/1 -50%)
(4.5/1 +25%)
(14/1 +0%)
(1.75/1 +13%)
(11/1 -10%)
(3.33/1 +33%)
(5/1 -50%)
(6.5/1 +0%)
(6.5/1 -18%)
(3.5/1 +0%)
(28/1 +0%)
(4/1 +50%)
(10/1 +0%)
(12/1 +14%)
(14/1 -40%)
(14/1 +13%)
(0.91/1 +34%)
(18/1 -50%)
(50/1 -213%)
(18/1 -125%)
(1.5/1 -9%)
(16/1 +27%)
(150/1 -200%)
(150/1 -88%)
(28/1 +44%)
(200/1 -506%)
(33/1 -106%)
(8/1 -78%)
(8/1 +50%)
(7.5/1 +53%)
(3.5/1 +42%)
(10/1 -18%)
(1.62/1 +35%)
(9/1 +25%)
(66/1 -32%)
(2/1 +56%)
(6/1 -100%)
(5/1 +64%)
(10/1 +0%)
(3.6/1 -3%)
(7/1 -75%)
(20/1 -150%)
(2.25/1 +25%)
(4/1 -167%)
(5/1 +38%)
(5/1 +64%)
(11/1 +8%)
(4/1 +11%)
(1.75/1 +68%)
(2.5/1 +55%)
(14/1 +0%)
(7/1 +36%)
(5/1 +33%)
(8.5/1 +79%)
(40/1 -21%)
(16/1 -45%)
(9/1 +25%)
(5.5/1 +8%)
(18/1 +18%)
(4/1 +0%)
(7.5/1 -25%)
(14/1 +0%)
(7/1 +0%)
(4.5/1 +82%)
(6/1 +25%)
(7.5/1 -15%)
(1.4/1 +30%)
(2.5/1 +25%)
(40/1 -60%)
(40/1 -21%)
(40/1 -515%)
(16/1 -100%)
(4.5/1 +10%)
(6.5/1 +35%)
(150/1 -50%)
(25/1 -127%)
(150/1 -355%)
(2/1 +33%)
(4/1 +11%)
(7/1 -40%)
(16/1 +11%)
(1.62/1 +19%)
(12/1 +0%)
(6.5/1 -18%)
(2.75/1 +39%)
(7/1 +30%)
(3.5/1 +56%)
(4.5/1 +44%)
(33/1 -136%)
(25/1 +0%)
(18/1 +18%)
(40/1 -100%)
(8.5/1 -6%)
(5/1 +0%)
(16/1 +36%)
(7/1 +18%)
(2.25/1 +50%)
(18/1 -112%)
(8/1 -60%)
(28/1 +15%)
(3.33/1 -33%)
(33/1 -32%)
(28/1 -75%)
( )
(0.91/1 +24%)
(1.38/1 +31%)
(7/1 +13%)
(28/1 -211%)
(125/1 -346%)
(40/1 -43%)
(200/1 -400%)
(12/1 -50%)
(200/1 -203%)
(250/1 -658%)
(7.5/1 -36%)
(3.5/1 +36%)
(3.5/1 +42%)
(9/1 -157%)
(3.33/1 -11%)
(4.5/1 +31%)
(12/1 -9%)
(6.5/1 -18%)
(10/1 -33%)
(1.1/1 +20%)
(7/1 +42%)
(5/1 -25%)
(150/1 -50%)
(12/1 -33%)
(10/1 +17%)
(11/1 -83%)
(7.5/1 +46%)
(4.5/1 +0%)
(6.5/1 +46%)
(25/1 +0%)
(7/1 +13%)
(33/1 -32%)
(22/1 -340%)
(7/1 +42%)
(28/1 -56%)
(3.5/1 +22%)
(11/1 -10%)
(20/1 +0%)
(2.75/1 -46%)
(5/1 -11%)
(12/1 +14%)
(5/1 +17%)
(1.5/1 +55%)
(11/1 +45%)
(2.25/1 +0%)
(16/1 -45%)
(10/1 +0%)
(4/1 -33%)
(3.33/1 +45%)
(50/1 -100%)
(25/1 -178%)
(6.5/1 +41%)
(16/1 -33%)
(3.33/1 +33%)
(8/1 -60%)
(14/1 -17%)
(33/1 -175%)
(4.5/1 +36%)
(33/1 +0%)
(6.5/1 +0%)
(4/1 +27%)
(7.5/1 -114%)
(7/1 +72%)
(11/1 +21%)
(8.5/1 -89%)
(2.5/1 -43%)
(2.5/1 +29%)
(12/1 -167%)
(7/1 +36%)
(200/1 -203%)
(125/1 -213%)
(40/1 +39%)
(18/1 +10%)
(3.2/1 +4%)
(5/1 -43%)
(3/1 +0%)
(11/1 -38%)
(6.5/1 +13%)
(10/1 +9%)
(7/1 +30%)
(16/1 -14%)
(7/1 -56%)
(6.5/1 -8%)
(7.5/1 +6%)
(8/1 +60%)
(1/1 +60%)
(12/1 -140%)
(100/1 -150%)
(40/1 +39%)
(11/1 -83%)
(150/1 -971%)
(3.2/1 +9%)
(6/1 +33%)
(3.5/1 +0%)
(2.5/1 -25%)
(5/1 -11%)
(18/1 -50%)
